Marine Policy 34 (2010) 1357–1365 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Marine Policy journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/marpol Institutional and substantial uncertainty—Explaining the lack of adaptability in fish stocking policy Annica Sandström n Luleå University of Technology, 971 87 Luleå, Sweden a r t i c l e in fo abstract Article history: Received 15 May 2010 Received in revised form 10 June 2010 Accepted 11 June 2010 Adaptive management implies a system in which policy and practice are constantly revised in a continuous circular process to accommodate new ecological knowledge. In the case of current fish stocking practices, there is an evident gap between science and practice indicating a lack of adaptability. While fish stocking is perceived as a solution to many problems of modern fishery management, scientific researchers warn that current practices, including introducing alien populations, seriously threaten the sustainability of fish stocks. The aim of this study was to address, explain the existence of and, finally, discuss the prospect of narrowing this gap. For this purpose, the characteristics of the policy subsystem were analyzed. The empirical findings highlight the wickedness of the policy problem. The substantial and institutional uncertainties surrounding the issue are proposed as the main reasons for the deficits in adaptability. Fish stocking decisions are made within a complex policy subsystem that involves multiple actors and policy-making institutions, conflicting goals and competing notions of the problem. Cross-coalition learning—learning between coalitions of actors with different problem definitions, forming a joint view—is a necessary and, in the case of fish stocking, lacking variable in the adaptive management process. & 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Adaptive management Policy Science Governance Genetic diversity Fish stocking 1. Introduction It is generally agreed that integration of new scientific knowledge into the process of management is a necessary precondition for the establishment of adaptive management systems and the sustainable use of natural resources [1–3]. Even so, the establishment of adaptive management systems in which knowledge, policy and practice are integrated, and continuously revised and adapted to new conditions, constitutes a real challenge. This paper sets out to address the often complicated link between science and management, which holds a prominent position in adaptive management theory. This topic will be elaborated, and the challenges illustrated, focusing on the empirical case of fish stocking practices in Sweden. Fish stocking, the intentional introduction or release of hatchery-reared fish into the wild, is a central tool in modern fishery management, and intentional introductions are made for several reasons: to support threatened fish stocks, to increase the volume of harvestable yield or to compensate for hydropower development [4,5]. At the same time, scientific research points at severe downsides of current stocking practices [6,7]. Of particular concern is the use of alien populations (here used synonymously with the term alien genotypes), i.e., genetically distinct groups n Tel.: + 46 920 49 13 56; fax: + 46 0920 49 13 99. E-mail address: [email protected] 0308-597X/$ - see front matter & 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2010.06.009 within species that are introduced outside their natural range [8,9] via fish stocking. There is a ‘‘scientific consensus that both intentional and unintentional release of cultivated fish poses serious risks to the genetic identity of the recipient populations’’ [5]. Natural gene stocks might be limited, become extinct or change radically, decreasing the level of local adaptiveness. By extension, this might also have implications for biodiversity on the species and ecosystem levels [10]. Swedish stocking practices suffer from significant shortcomings in how these issues are considered. A review of recent years’ stocking decisions revealed that alien populations, as defined above, are used, and introductions are neither properly documented nor adequately followed up and evaluated [7,11]. Thus, there is an evident gap between prevailing scientific advice and practice that might jeopardise future ecological sustainability. The situation has been attributed to insufficient scientific knowledge [12] and an implementation failure on the national level [5,13]. In this paper, these tentative explanations are reconsidered and revised as the characteristics of the policy subsystem [14], both the substance of policy and the structure of policy-making bodies, are analyzed in the search for an explanation. Thus, the aim of this paper is to address and propose explanations for the lack of adaptability in Swedish fish stocking policy. Two main questions are asked. First, how can the gap between scientific knowledge and practice be explained? Second, how can this gap be narrowed? The study provides both empirical and theoretical contributions to adaptive management research. 1358 A. Sandström / Marine Policy 34 (2010) 1357–1365 2. The case, method and material Sweden is a candidate for empirical study for several reasons. First, numerous releases are made each year [10] and, while Sweden often is considered an international leader in environmental policy, there are documented divergences between the concerns expressed by science and actual practice. Thus, apart from the case-specific empirical findings, the study can generate theoretical insights into the difficulties and challenges of adaptive management that are likely also relevant for other policy areas and countries, at least within the European context. The operational decisions concerning fish stocking are made at the County Administrative Board (CAB) level; CABs are the subnational government authorities in Sweden. These decisions are framed by policies formulated on other political and administrative levels that – together – constitute the policy subsystem that is the focus of the forthcoming empirical analysis. The study uses a classic top-down analytical approach [15], as the term policy refers to the formulations of problem, goals and means expressed in official documents. The operational decisions regarding introductions, previously mentioned as practices, represent the policy outcome. For the purpose of studying the policy subsystem, a textual analysis of legal documents and written policies that concern the intentional introduction of hatchery-reared fish in Sweden was conducted. Additionally, the most central documents concerning biodiversity and alien species strategies were included in the analysis. To delineate the research problem, and to restrict the scope and amount of empirical material, only documents that are relevant for the release of salmonids in the Baltic Sea were considered. The reasons for this were threefold. First, these species are commonly used for largescale introductions. Second, genetic considerations are of particular importance in these species since they are composed of genetically distinct populations. Third, salmonids are well researched, which means that considerable scientific information describing the genetic composition and possible impact of stocking exists [16]. The empirical analysis did not cover the specific policy frameworks regulating introductions with regard to trade, compensational releases, genetically modified organisms or introductions within Natura 2000 areas. The research problem dealt with in this study involves the science–policy interface, researched within the framework of science and technology studies [17]. Still, this paper is not intended to examine the role of science or the scientific community in policy, from either a normative or an empirical perspective. 3. Theory The inherent complexities of ecological systems constitute the focal point of departure for the adaptive management approach [2,18]. Due to the vast ecological uncertainties, management must be sensitive and responsive to ever changing conditions. Adaptive management is a continuous learning process in which management rules and regulations are constantly revised based on what is known about the ecological system. In such a process, the generation and integration of new ecological knowledge become absolutely crucial. Accordingly, knowledge – both local ecological knowledge and scientific knowledge – and change are key concepts within the adaptive management approach [1,3,19]. Adaptive management is often visualised as a circular process involving, for example, the stages of knowledge generation, goal formulation, generation of measures and indicators, systematic observations, monitoring and evaluation [20,21]. An adaptive process comprises a large set of qualities. For the purposes of this paper, though, the notion of the necessity of a connection between new ecological (here, scientific) knowledge and management is adopted as a point of departure. If an adaptive policy subsystem is characterised by a correspondence between current scientific knowledge and policy outcome, Swedish fish stocking practices illustrate a situation in which ambitions for such a system have not been fully realised. Adaptive policy making might be elementary in theory, but it is significantly complicated in reality. The link between science/ knowledge, policy and policy outcome in the adaptive circle is far from straightforward. The policy chain, just like the adaptive circle, covers several stages, from the formulation of a problem to the implementation of a solution [22,23]. Public policy making in general, and environmental policy making in particular, essentially deals with wicked societal problems that are characterised by great uncertainty regarding the substance of the problem (substantial uncertainty), the strategies of other actors (strategic uncertainty) and the overall institutions governing the processes (institutional uncertainty) [24,25]. Thus, even though the adaptive circle illustrates an approach and a model on how to deal with ecological uncertainties, the social and political uncertainties that pose serious challenges to environmental policy making remain. These uncertainties complicate the different stages in the adaptive policy circle. In this paper, the focus is on substantial and institutional uncertainties and their effects on adaptability. Substantial uncertainty relates to the function of problem formulation in the adaptive circle and has to do with how the fundamental policy problem is defined and comprehended in the subsystem. Policy problems are differently framed as ideas about what the problem is, what the cause is and how it should be dealt with are formulated [26]. Different belief coalitions composed of different actors come to share the same view of the problem, i.e., policy beliefs emerge [14]. Applied to the case of fish stocking, actors might have different viewpoints concerning whether fish stocking is a problem or not, what type of problem it is and for whom and what corrective measures to apply. The substance and structure of existing belief coalitions within the subsystem significantly affect the function of defining a common view of the problem, which has proven to be particularly decisive for the results of policy-making processes [27–29]. To achieve change, relevant belief coalitions of actors must agree that there is a problem. A policy subsystem in which there is no common agreement concerning the nature of the problem is here regarded as a subsystem struggling with substantial uncertainty. In the case of fish stocking, substantial uncertainty will be investigated by mapping the policy beliefs that can be detected through the textual policy analysis. To address uncertainty stemming from institutional complexity, the structure of policy-making bodies was also explored. Thus, the empirical analysis was made using the following questions as a point of departure: (i) Within what organisations are policies regarding genetic diversity and fish stocking formulated? (ii) Is the spread of alien populations regarded as a problem for genetic diversity and environmental sustainability? (iii) Are stocking practices identified as a cause of this problem? Additionally, policy proposals for dealing with the problem were considered. Thus, the underlying theoretical hypothesis is that substantial and institutional uncertainties complicate any ambitions of establishing adaptive policy-making systems. Therefore, the policy subsystem of fish stocking was analyzed with regard to policy substance and institutional structure. 4. Results The empirical analysis started at the international level. In Table 1, the policy-making bodies are listed and the policies are A. Sandström / Marine Policy 34 (2010) 1357–1365 1359 Table 1 Organisations and policies on the international level. Organisation Program/decision Policy substance UN Convention on The Convention text [8] Biological Diversity (CBD) ’’’’Biological diversity’’ means the variability among living organisms from all sources including, inter alia, terrestrial, marine and other aquatic ecosystems and the ecological complexes of which they are part; this includes diversity within species, between species and of ecosystems’’ (Article 2). ‘‘Prevent the introduction of, control or eradicate those alien species which threaten ecosystems, habitats or species’’ (Article 8h). COP (conference of the parties) decisions concerning alien The threats of alien genotypes on genetic biodiversity are acknowledged. [9,30] species that threaten ecosystems, habitats, or species [9,30] Alien species is defined as: ‘‘species subspecies or lower taxon, introduced outside its natural past or present distribution [y]. If they ‘‘threaten biological diversity’’ they are regarded as invasive. Partners are requested to develop regulations and legislation to deal with the problem. 15 non-binding recommendations concerning national regulations: All introductions of alien species and genotypes, potentially invasive, must be authorised. Permits should only be given for introductions unlikely to threaten biodiversity. Burden of proof lies with the applicant. Permissions can be conditioned. The precautionary principle is stressed [9]. FAO and ICES codes of conduct (see below) should be taken into account when forming national regulations [30]. COP decisions concerning marine and coastal biodiversity The importance of genetic diversity is stressed [31]. UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) [32] UN Convention on the Law of the Non-navigational Uses of International Watercourses (watercourses convention) [33] UN Food and Agriculture Code of Conduct for Responsible Fisheries [34] Organisation (FAO) International Council on the Exploration of Seas (ICES) Code of Practice on the Introductions and Transfer of Marine Organisms [35] summarised. The CBD and documents adopted within the framework of this convention include important formulations and definitions that are relevant for the problem studied herein. First and foremost, the convention includes variability on the genetic level in the definition of biodiversity and, thus, does not merely discuss biodiversity on the ecosystem and species levels. Furthermore, the convention states that signing parties are required to prevent the spread of alien species. Similar formulations on the matter of alien species are also found in the UNCLOS and the UN watercourses convention. The spread of alien populations is not explicitly addressed in any of the above referenced conventions. It is, however, addressed in decisions related to the CBD (see the COP agreements in Table 1). Here, the term alien species is defined as ‘‘species, subspecies or lower taxon, introduced outside its natural past or present distribution [y]’’ [9], thereby including genetically distinct populations. These populations are regarded as invasive if they threaten biological diversity. The genetic integrity of fish stocks is protected within the framework of these agreements and partners are requested to develop national regulations and legislation for this purpose. The recommendation is that all stocking decisions be authorised and permitted only when introductions are unlikely to threaten biodiversity—a recommendation that stresses the precautionary principle. Additionally, in developing national frameworks, countries are required to take the voluntary codes developed by the FAO and ICES, also listed in Table 1, into account. The FAO document discusses the genetic Biodiversity loss caused by intentional spread of alien species is addressed. Biodiversity loss caused by intentional spread of alien species is addressed. Protection of biodiversity emphasised. Countries are asked to confer with adjacent countries before introductions are made. Harmful effects from the use of non-native species or genetically altered stocks in aquaculture (due to escapes, not intentional introductions) are acknowledged. Addresses genetic loss caused by intentional introductions of alien genotypes. Countries should present a proposal plan to the ICES for evaluation before new introductions are made. Genetic impacts from introductions of species part of current practice should be monitored. consequences that might result from escapes from aquaculture facilities. The ICES document, on the other hand, explicitly discusses the genetic consequences of fish stocking practices, and certain precautionary actions, such as prior risk analyses and monitoring, are suggested as part of good practice. Table 2 presents policies and organisations on the European level. Many policies, strategies, binding regulations and directives originate from European Union (EU) institutions. Some of these address biodiversity in general; others focus on specific areas such as fishery policy, aquaculture policy and water or marine policy. Table 2 reveals that some documents acknowledge biodiversity on the genetic level while others focus on the species or ecosystem level only. For example, the Habitats Directive, which is the most important regulatory tool for conservation and biodiversity issues, treats the risks from introductions on the species level only. This is also the case in the Bern Convention, which deals with the problem of invasive alien species, including damage to socioeconomic values (cf. the definition in the CBD). The essence of some texts listed in Table 2 is difficult to interpret. The Water Directive, for example, does not specifically address the topic of alien species. However, alien species are included as one variable in determining water quality in a guidance document related to the framework (see Table 2). The council regulation concerning Use of Alien and Locally Absent Species in Aquaculture seems to apply to the topic dealt with in this paper. The regulation emphasises both the benefits and potential risks associated with the use and introduction of 1360 A. Sandström / Marine Policy 34 (2010) 1357–1365 Table 2 Organisations and policies on the European level. Organisation Program/decision Policy substance European Commission European Commission Community Biodiversity Strategy [36] Biodiversity Action Plan for Fisheries [37] European Council European Council European Commission The Habitats Directive [38] Water Framework Directive [39] Common Implementation Strategy for the Water Framework Directive [40] Marine Strategy Framework Directive [41] Briefly addresses genetic diversity. Alien species and their impact on genetic biodiversity are addressed. Introductions of alien species should be limited. Current stocking programs of salmon are questioned and more research on this topic is requested. Risks of introductions of alien species are acknowledged. Does not address alien species or genotypes. Alien species are one variable to consider when determining water quality. European Council European Council European Commission European Commission European Commission Use of Alien and Locally Absent Species in Aquaculture [42] Detailed Rules for the Implementation of [y] Use of Alien and Locally Absent [y] [43] Amending Annex IV to Council Regulation [y] Concerning Use of Alien and Locally Absent [y] [44] A Strategy for the Sustainable Development of European Aquaculture [45] Building a Sustainable Future for Aquaculture [46] Halting the Loss of Biodiversity 2010 and Beyond [47] Introductions of non-native species should not affect the ecosystem negatively. The distribution (not specifically intentional) of non-indigenous species or, where relevant, genetically distinct forms of native species should be one variable in the analysis of current environmental status. Acknowledges both benefits and risks with the use and introduction of alien species and populations. Refers to ICES Code of practice, i.e., introductions should include a risk analysis and be authorised. The risk analysis should cover the genetic consequences that might occur in the interface between introduced and native stocks. The regulation above does not cover introductions and translocations of locally absent species within member states, unless there is clear scientific evidence indicating environmental threats. A list of species is excluded from the regulation above. Risks of new introductions to genetic biodiversity are addressed. ICES Code is perceived as good practice. European Commission Neither intentional introductions nor genetic diversity are discussed. European Commission Problems with invasive alien species and genotypes are highlighted. No common legal framework for these issues exists. Working Document. Annex to Halting the Loss of Stock enhancement is suggested as a measure to sustain salmon stocks, without Biodiversity 2010 and Beyond [48] acknowledging the risks of such programs. European Commission Toward an EU Strategy on Invasive Alien Species [49] Discusses the development of a community framework dealing with invasive alien species. Different policy proposals are presented. Nothing about genotypes. Council of Europe, The Convention on the Conservation of European Wildlife and Highlights the problems with invasive alien species and stresses the importance of Natural Habitats (The Bern Convention) [50] controlling introductions. The term invasive includes socioeconomic damages. European Inland Fisheries Codes of Conducts for Recreational Fisheries [51] The connection between intentional introductions and risks of genetic loss is Advisory Commission (EIFAC) explicitly expressed. Introductions of non-native species should be avoided. Fish stocking should be the last alternative. The Helsinki Convention (HELCOM) [52] Discusses biodiversity in general terms. HELCOM Baltic Sea Action Plan [53] Addresses the importance of genetic biodiversity. Serious consequences of current stocking practices (for salmon and salmon trout) are acknowledged. More appropriate breeding and stocking practices are needed to safeguard future sustainability of wild stocks. Salmon Action Plan (SAP) 1997–2010 [54] International Baltic Sea The interplay between wild and reared stocks is discussed, and the risks are Fishery Commission (IBSFC), highlighted. HELCOM Stresses the importance of monitoring the effects of releases. European Commission Consultation Paper to Support the Development of a The old plan (SAP 1997-2010) is criticised due to its restocking targets. Specific Baltic Salmon Management Plan [55] objectives for the genetic status of Baltic Sea salmon are suggested. alien species and populations. It refers to the ICES Code of Practice (see Table 1) and states that the risk analysis should encompass the genetic consequences that might occur as introduced and native stocks interact. However, in the document specifying how to implement the regulation, the most common species are all excluded and it is made clear that the regulation does not cover introductions and translocations of locally absent species within member states, unless there is scientific evidence indicating environmental threats. The lower rows in Table 2 list documents that more directly consider the genetic impacts from alien populations caused by intentional introductions. The EIFAC codes of conduct stipulate that fish stocking should be the last alternative for fishery management. In the HELCOM Baltic Sea Action Plan, the serious consequences of prevailing restocking practices are recognised with regard to salmon and sea trout, and more appropriate breeding and restocking practices are requested to safeguard the future sustainability of wild stocks. This topic is further elaborated in the Salmon Action Plan 1997–2010 (SAP), developed by the HELCOM and the IBSFC. As the IBSFC ceased to exist in 2007, the process to develop a new Baltic Salmon Management Plan was taken over by the EU. In the consultation paper (see the last row of Table 2) starting this process, the restocking targets in previous SAPs were criticised and objectives for the genetic status of salmon populations were suggested for inclusion in the new plan. Table 3 lists organisations and policies on the national level. Biodiversity, particularly on the ecosystem and species levels, is a concern for Swedish fishery policy and constitutes one of sixteen goals guiding national environmental policy. The topic of fish stocking is discussed in some government bills listed in Table 3, although somewhat ambiguously, and there is seemingly a conflict between economic and ecological interests with regard to the problem. In coastal fishing, lake fishing and aquaculture, for example, the genetic risks of introductions are acknowledged. A. Sandström / Marine Policy 34 (2010) 1357–1365 1361 Table 3 Organisations and policies on the national level. Organisation Program/Decision Policy Substance Swedish Government Swedish Environmental Objectives – a Joint Task [56] Goal 16: A rich diversity of plant and animal life: clear emphasis on diversity on ecosystem and habitat levels. Alien species or genotypes that threat human health or biological diversity should not be introduced. Swedish Government Coastal Fishing, Lake Fishing, and Aquaculture [57] Avoid introductions of alien species; fish stocking should be the last alternative. The genetic consequences of introductions are discussed, and the great potential of both wild and reared salmon for coastal fishing and tourism is acknowledged. Swedish Government Some Fishery Policy Issues [58] Natural fishery production should be prioritised. All three aspects of sustainability are emphasised; still, it is acknowledged that the fishing law is based on fishing rights and not on resource conservation. Ministry of Agriculture The National Strategy for Fishery Industry in Sweden 2007–2010 [59] Genetic biodiversity is mentioned in a discussion of how different fishery measures affect biodiversity. Nothing about intentional introductions. Swedish Parliament Fisheries Law [60] The government, or the authority that the government nominates, can formulate regulations concerning how conservation interests should be taken into account in fishery. These conditions are, however, not allowed to intervene in a way that significantly restrict fishery. The government, or the authority that the government nominates, can prescribe that an analysis concerning the impact on fishery from releases be conducted. The one attempting to do the introduction is responsible for the analysis (based on the environmental code [61]). The government, or the agency that the government nominates, can stipulate that certain permits are needed and decide on the conditions for these permits to release, move, or cultivate fish. Swedish Government Regulation on Fishing, Aquaculture and the Fishing Industry [62] Swedish Board of Fisheries (SBF) communicates prescriptions with regard to environmental concerns in fishery. SBF or the County Administration Boards (CAB’s) can decide that analyses of the environmental impacts from intentional introductions should be conducted. The Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) should be given the possibility to remark on the matter. SBF and CAB can decide that the one attempting to do the release also perform, or found, the analysis. All introductions, or movement of fish from one area to another, require permissions that are issued by the CABs. Permissions can be combined with certain conditions. Permissions cannot be given for species or populations that are considered inappropriate for the water or when risks of spreading diseases exist. Salmon, or salmon trout, to be introduced in water adjacent to the sea must be marked. SBF can decide on exceptions from this rule. SBF can formulate further prescriptions on the matter. Swedish Board of Fisheries (SBF) Regulation on the Culture, Stocking, and Permissions cannot be given for country alien species or alien populations, i.e., species or Movement of Fish [63] populations brought to the country after the year 1800. However, rainbow trout, brook char, lake char, and native species and populations that Sweden has in common with either Norway or Finland are excluded from the rule above. Certain restrictions on salmon, due to the risk of spreading diseases, exist. Salmon can only be introduced in fresh water or in water adjacent to the sea if local populations are used. Swedish Board of Fisheries (SBF) Introductions and Spread of Fish [4] A conflict between short-term and long-term goals, economic values, and ecological values with regard to fish stocking practices is acknowledged. Habitat improvements and fishing regulations, not introductions, should be the first alternatives for fishery management. Genetic consequences must be considered when making introductions. Species or populations should not be spread outside their natural range. It is recommended that the same genetic composition as the receiving stock be used. Stock and number of releases should be included in the application. Stocking programs should be evaluated and consequences documented. Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (SEPA) National Strategy for Alien Species and Genotypes [64] The importance of following up on and evaluating introductions is emphasised. The precautionary principle is stressed, while the benefits of alien species and genotypes in fishery management are acknowledged. Fish stocking should be the last alternative, but the great potential of both wild and reared salmon stocks for coastal fishing and tourism is emphasised. The national legal framework that regulates introductions of fish consists of the Environmental Code (to a minor extent), the Fisheries Law, government regulations and the regulations of the Swedish Board of Fisheries (SBF) (see Table 3). Together, these documents set the conditions for the operational stocking decisions that are made at the CABs. In short, all introductions or movements of fish from one area to another require permissions that are issued by the CABs. Permissions are denied for species or populations that are considered inappropriate for the character of the water or when there is the risk of spreading disease. Permissions cannot be given for alien species or alien populations, defined as non-native species or populations brought to the country after the year 1800 (cf. definition in CBD). However, this rule does not apply to species like rainbow trout, brook char, lake char or native species and populations that Sweden has in common with either Norway or Finland. Specific conditions and requirements are also stipulated for species like char and salmon. Of foremost relevance here is that salmon can only be introduced in water adjacent to the sea if local populations are used. Consequently, for species other than salmon, the legal framework is opened for the spread of genetically distinct populations 1362 A. Sandström / Marine Policy 34 (2010) 1357–1365 (i.e., alien populations) among different regions within the country and for releases of Norwegian and Finnish species and populations that naturally occur in the country. In the SBF strategy for introduction and spread of fish, another viewpoint is proposed—one stating that stocking should be avoided, that species or populations should not be spread outside their natural range and that the same genetic composition should be used when stocking is necessary. Tensions between short-term goals and long-term goals, between economic values and ecological values, with regard to fish stocking practices are clearly visible in some of the reviewed policy documents. The three questions formulated to capture the characteristics of the policy subsystem can now be addressed: i) Within what organisations are policies regarding genetic diversity and fish stocking formulated? ii) Is the spread of alien populations regarded as a problem for genetic diversity and environmental sustainability? iii) Are stocking practices identified as a cause of this problem? To start with the first question, the empirical analysis reveals a multi-level and multi-sector framework of organisations. Policy is produced on the international, European and national levels and within different policy sectors, being a matter of concern for both fishery policy and conservation policy. A set of non-governmental organisations is involved in policy making. Altogether, this underlines the impression of a policy subsystem characterised by great institutional complexity and related uncertainties. Considering the two latter questions, no unequivocal answers can be given since the empirical analysis reveals great diversity and range. There is no consensus on how the problem is comprehended. Policy documents dealing with biological diversity or alien species do not necessarily encompass the genetic level, and fish stocking is not always perceived as a cause of genetic loss. To exemplify and further elaborate on this reasoning, the term biological diversity does not always include genetic diversity; there is generally a strong emphasis on the ecosystem and species levels. Furthermore, there is no consistency in how the term species is used, whether it includes lower taxonomic levels, such as genetically distinct populations, or not. Divergences related to the term alien also exist. One definition, formulated in the CBD agreements, refers to species or populations with different genetic compositions that are introduced outside their natural range, while other definitions, adopted, for example, in the EU regulation and the national regulations, regard national borders or even time as decisive criteria. In addition, policies depart in how the term invasive is understood, exemplified by a comparison between the CBD and the Bern Convention. It is not clear when policy applies to intentional introductions or solely to unintentional introductions. Finally, the level of awareness varies extensively and the topic is far from prioritised on all agendas. Thus, the policy subsystem consists of different belief coalitions with different notions of the problem. The relationship between intentional introductions and genetic loss, and the severity of the situation, is recognised in only a handful of documents, mostly in voluntary codes, management plans and other non-binding strategies. Seemingly, the closer to being legally binding, the larger the gap between science and policy. Further reflections can be made when looking closer at the documents that actually do address the topic of genetic concerns in fish stocking. The problem is mostly acknowledged in documents dealing with the Baltic Sea salmon stocks. Furthermore, the kinds of measures that are suggested to deal with the problem vary exceedingly. This can be illustrated by contrasting the call for more research in the EU Biodiversity Action Plan with the proposition to formulate specific goals concerning the proportion of reared and wild stocks that was suggested in the preparation work preceding the new Baltic Salmon Management Plan. In general, however, the policy proposals are vaguely formulated and no radical changes are suggested. The conflicts, and possible trade-offs, between different aspects of sustainability emerge when analyzing suggested policy measures, for example, when the ecological benefits of a total prohibition are weighed against the socioeconomic values generated through fish stocking. To conclude the empirical presentation, the analysis provides a picture of a policy subsystem characterised by vast substantial and institutional uncertainties. 5. Discussion The aim of this paper was to address and propose explanations for the lack of adaptability in Swedish fish stocking policy. Two questions were asked. First, how can the gap between scientific knowledge and practice in fish stocking be explained? Second, how can this gap be narrowed? The underlying hypothesis was that the problems with adaptability stem from the fact that we are dealing with a wicked societal problem that given its characterising features significantly complicates any ambition to establish adaptive policy-making processes. The empirical analysis verified that the policy subsystem features considerable substantial and institutional uncertainties. In the forthcoming sections, these characteristics are discussed and related to the deficits in adaptability. To start with the institutional complexity, fish stocking is embedded in a multi-level governance framework [65] covering different policy areas. Thus, the problem of concern crosses both vertical levels and horizontal sectors of governance. Horizontal complexity is further increased by the fact that many nongovernmental organisations, representing various interests, are involved in policy making. Altogether, these institutional factors pose serious challenges to the achievement of adaptive policy making. Responsibility is widely spread, and it is difficult to determine exactly what type of problem this is and the party responsible for the solution. For example, are the genetic consequences of fish stocking a concern for fishery policy or conservation policy? Issues related to alien species are primarily dealt with in the environmental conservation sector, e.g., through the SEPA, while the activity causing the problem, i.e., stocking, is regulated within the fishery sector (SBF). Additionally, the problem crosses subareas also within the fishery policy sector—the borders between aquaculture policy and conventional fishery policy and between fresh water policy and marine policy. Thus, numerous institutional uncertainties, and institutional clashes, complicate the adaptive process. For example, the tensions among the three aspects of sustainability previously identified can partly be explained by the institutional structure of the subsystem since different values must be balanced [66]. Should the economic interests that benefit from fish stocking be promoted or should the ecological concerns be prioritised? Should prevailing practices be evaluated due to their impact on economic performance or due to their ecological consequences? The problem is that considerable value conflicts promote the existence of various belief coalitions with competing views. The analysis showed that there is no common view with regard to the problem. Instead, different belief coalitions exist. Additionally, the analysis showed that the problem is described with a set of multifaceted and ambiguous concepts and considerable inconsistency in terminology [13]. Another complicating factor that relates to substantial uncertainty is that fish stocking has current positive effects on fisheries, while possible negative consequences must be seen in a longer time perspective [10]. Should the present or future, actual or possible, consequences be A. Sandström / Marine Policy 34 (2010) 1357–1365 taken into account? Even though the precautionary principle is generally adopted, its application is far from straightforward. Thus, the policy problem spans time, ecosystems, administrative jurisdictions, belief coalitions and the institutional borders of science and policy. The institutional and substantial uncertainties are proposed as the main explanations for the identified gap between science and policy outcome, indicating a lack of adaptability. Thus, the situation cannot be described solely as an implementation failure. How could it be when there is no clear policy to implement? The situation also cannot be explained by an insufficient knowledge base, a standpoint that is further elaborated in the section below. Without acknowledging the uncertainties of the policy subsystem – and their relationship to adaptability – all arrangements to enhance adaptability will be ineffectual. A traditional public management approach would be to focus on enhancing adaptability by reducing uncertainty, most probably by requesting more scientific research [24]. This rationalistic approach to policy making is evident in some of the documents reviewed in this paper, and it is also illustrated in the EU Commission’s communication on scientific advice in fishery policy [67,68]. The basic idea is that more and better science will increase adaptability. Contrary to this view, the principal aim of a network approach to public management is to handle uncertainty. According to this alternative perspective, increased knowledge production is an important but not a necessary prerequisite for adaptive policy making [24]. Scientific knowledge might play a central role in policy making by influencing how a problem is understood, by raising concerns and by placing issues on the political agenda [69,70]. Still, the processes of problem formulation are considerably aggravated by the fact that ecological knowledge more often than not is interpreted differently and often contested [71]. More science might in fact promote, and not mitigate, disagreements between different belief coalitions [72–74]. Thus, the message proposed here is that a management approach mainly aimed at generating more research will not succeed in narrowing the gap between science and policy outcome since the belief coalitions within the subsystem will receive and comprehend the information differently. Evidently, a certain amount of scientific uncertainty will always remain [75] and even though multi-level and multi-actor policy structures increase institutional complexity, these institutional structures, and cross-scale linkages, are absolutely crucial in dealing with this type of problem [24,76]. Thus, in line with the network approach, public management aimed at enhancing adaptability must be directed toward handling – rather than reducing – uncertainty. How can the gap between science and policy in this disorderly subsystem be narrowed? To handle uncertainty and achieve change, learning across belief coalitions on various levels and in different policy sectors must occur [14,77]. Researchers, policy makers and stakeholders must exchange world views and formulate a common notion of the problem. The rationalistic view of science in policy ought to be replaced with a view emphasising cross-boundary policy learning. The bottom line proposed here is that a sole focus on generating new ecological knowledge will not succeed in narrowing the gap; instead, policy networks crossing belief coalitions are needed. The interface between science and policy can be organised through the establishment of various kinds of boundary organisations, and the recent trend is to institutionalise stakeholder involvement, forming collaborative structures of stakeholders, policy makers and scientists [78–82]. The success of these structures is, however, far from given and will depend upon, for example, the structure of the collaboration networks and on the conflict level and distribution of power within the subsystem as a whole [74,83–85]. Thus, cross-coalitional policy learning with regard to 1363 the genetic consequences of fish stocking is a prerequisite for adaptive policy making, although the establishment of these kinds of processes is coupled with many challenges. 6. Conclusions and future research Adaptive management implies a system in which policy and practice are constantly revised in a continuous circular process to accommodate new ecological knowledge. The challenges associated with the realisation of such processes have been elaborated in this paper using fish stocking as an example. The proposition is that the perceived gap between scientific knowledge and practice can be explained by the characteristics of the governance system, the substantial and institutional uncertainties. The lower level bureaucrats who make stocking decisions must navigate within a complex policy subsystem of multiple actors and policy-making institutions, conflicting goals and disparate problem definitions. In general terms, a common view regarding the problem and its solutions is a necessary and, in the case of fish stocking policy, lacking variable in the adaptive circle. A management approach focused on handling, rather than reducing, uncertainties by promoting learning among coalitions of actors with different notions of the problem is the most promising way forward to enhance the adaptability of the policy subsystem. This study generates topics for future research. First, the challenges that have been illustrated in this paper, using Sweden as a point of departure, are likely also present in other countries. A comparative analysis of how various Baltic Sea countries deal with uncertainties and how they respond to international and European policies would, therefore, be highly relevant. Second, while this study constitutes a classic top-down policy analysis, a next step would be to carry out a bottom-up analysis, starting at the subnational level, to study how and on what grounds stocking decisions are actually made. After a reconstruction of the cause of events and the considerations of the decision-making actors, it could be determined in what respects the formal governance system reviewed in this paper actually affects decisions making. How is the problem defined at the operational level and based on what knowledge? What kinds of policy networks, or sets of actors, affect the operational decisions and what belief coalitions can be found within these networks? Studies elaborating these questions would certainly generate contributory findings about the preconditions for adaptive policy making. Acknowledgment This study has been made within the research program BaltGene—Baltic Sea Genetic Diversity. The program was founded by the Baltic Organisations Network for funding Science EEIG, BONUS, and the Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences, and Spatial Planning, FORMAS. I gratefully acknowledge the financing bodies and all colleagues within the program. 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