Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 www.elsevier.com/locate/jaa Monitoring regional market systems in prehistory: Models, methods, and metrics Leah D. Minc * Radiation Center, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA Received 23 August 2004; revision received 20 September 2005 Available online 2 December 2005 Abstract While market systems have long been recognized as key factors in the development and integration of many complex societies, market exchange has been largely ignored in recent studies of archaic states. The underlying causes appear threefold: (1) we overlook the rich conceptual framework developed within economic geography that identifies key differences among regional market systems; (2) we underestimate the degree to which these differences constrain or create distinct opportunities for other productive activities; and/or (3) we lack appropriate measures for monitoring organizational differences in the archaeological record. To understand the role of markets within the ancient economy, measures are needed to model and monitor its regional organization. The method proposed here focuses on the distribution of goods which circulated through the market system. By examining how different types of market systems move goods through the regional system in different ways, distinct patterns of commodity distribution are predicted. Metrics for monitoring exchange based on artifact assemblage similarity are then proposed. As a case study, the analysis applies these insights to characterizing the regional market system in the Aztec heartland, an area where the organization of exchange and the degree of political interference remain topics of active debate. 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Keywords: Market systems; Regional exchange; Aztec empire Introduction Although market systems have long been recognized as a key factor in the development and integration of complex societies (e.g., Berdan, 1989; Brumfiel and Earle, 1987; Flannery, 1972; Morrison and Sinopoli, 1992; Sanders and Price, 1968; Sinopoli, 1994), market exchange has received relatively little attention in recent studies of archaic state * Fax: +1 541 737 0480. E-mail address: [email protected]. economies (Smith, 2004, pp. 83–84; Stein, 1998). The slight is especially noticeable when contrasted with the degree of attention focused on agrarian and craft production (Costin, 1991, 2001; Denevan, 2001; Sinopoli, 2003; Trigger, 2003, pp. 358–373; Whitmore and Turner, 2001), households and domestic consumption (DÕAltroy and Hastorf, 2001; Feinman and Nicholas, 2000; Santley and Hirth, 1993), and mechanisms of elite finance (Earle, 2001, 2002; Feinman and Nicholas, 2004; Yoffee, 1995). The shift away from market studies is both puzzling and troubling. In many complex societies, 0278-4165/$ - see front matter 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jaa.2005.09.003 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 market exchange is inextricably linked to production and consumption, and is critical for the effective articulation and coordination of these economic processes. Typically, market systems are seen as supporting increasingly specialized production in both agrarian and craft sectors by mobilizing resources directly from producers, and enabling households to provision themselves with needed items. Further, market systems coordinate these activities both spatially and temporally, by concentrating exchange in a predictable time and location that allows participants to schedule. Yet the relationship between market exchange and production is not simply a supporting role. It is widely recognized by economic anthropologists and cultural geographers that different market systems create very different contexts for production, exchange, and consumption according to the structure and scale of their regional organization (Hodges, 1988; Larson, 1985; Plattner, 1985, 1989a,b; Smith, 1974, 1976a,b,c,d, 1977). Solar, dendritic, and interlocking network systems, for example, generate distinctive conditions for market participation that affect the degree of reliance on (and investment in) market exchange as a viable economic strategy. In addition, these systems represent different levels of political involvement or interference in the arena of exchange activities on the part of ruling elites. To understand the complex role of markets within the ancient economy, measures are needed not only to detect the existence of market exchange, but to monitor key dimensions of its regional organization. Prior approaches to modeling regional market system organization have focused heavily on the infrastructure of market systems, including the spatial distribution of economic central places or market centers, and networks of roads and transportation routes that developed in response to market forces (Santley, 1986, 1991; Skinner, 1964, 1977; Smith, 1979; Trombold, 1991). Aside from concerns over the applicability of commercial models such as Central Place Theory (CPT) to pre-industrial societies (e.g., Evans, 1980), archaeologists face the additional problem of identifying economic nodes and networks from settlement pattern data. Settlement systems are determined by multiple factors in addition to economic concerns, including ecological, geographic, political, religious, and historical circumstances, such that settlement size and location 83 are not responsive indicators of market forces alone.1 The approach taken here, in contrast, focuses on the distribution of goods which circulated through the market system, and is grounded on observations from economic geographers that different market systems move goods through the regional system in different ways. Accordingly, this study begins by examining the major types of regional exchange systems and their organizational features, drawing from the insights of previous studies in economic anthropology (Feinman, 1980; Fry, 1979, 1980; Fry and Cox, 1974; Hodges, 1988; Plattner, 1985; Renfrew, 1975, 1977; Santley, 1986, 1991; Smith, 1974, 1976d). Second, by evaluating how these organizational features affect commodity flows, distinct patterns of commodity distribution associated with each market system type are identified. The resulting models of regional exchange are potentially amenable to testing using a range of data types, including chemical, typological, and stylistic analyses of goods that circulated through the market system. Metrics for monitoring exchange based on artifact assemblage similarity are proposed here, in that these data are a common product of archaeological surveys and provide the necessary regional perspective. Finally, as a case study, the analysis applies these insights to the task of characterizing the regional market system in the Aztec heartland, an area where the organization of exchange and the degree of political interference remain topics of active debate. Models of market system organization In a regional perspective, market systems consist of a series of (1) market centers that function as foci of economic exchange, and (2) the market zone or service area provisioned by a given market center. As economic central places, market centers bring together producers and consumers on a regular 1 Central Place Theory and related models derived from network analysis (Berry, 1967; Christaller, 1966; Skinner, 1964) are based on assumptions that may not hold in pre-industrial, non-commercial societies (Smith 1976a 1:8,12; Hassig, 1991, p. 20). For example, CPT holds that if the market principle is dominant then microeconomic forces will generate a predictable spatial patterning in the distribution and hierarchical arrangement of economic central places (King, 1984); conversely, if this predictable pattern is observed to be present, then the underlying market principle is assumed to have been operative. For a more detailed critique, see reviews by Evans (1980) and Hirth (1998). 84 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 basis (either daily or periodic) for exchanges involving a broad range of goods and services. The area provisioned by a market center depends on the range of goods available at the market center and their demand function (Plattner, 1989b). Lower-order centers provide basic subsistence and household items of relatively low unit cost; since such goods are widely available, they are not typically transported great distances to market nor distributed far from the market centers, resulting in a relatively small service zone. In contrast, higher-order centers additionally offer commodities requiring greater labor input or energy investment, with correspondingly higher unit cost and lower demand. These goods travel greater distances from producers to point of redistribution in the market center and attract consumers from a broader area. The organization and integration of multiple market centers within a regional market system can be assessed along three primary dimensions: (1) scale of inclusiveness (areal extent of exchange interactions or system integration), (2) network (the amount of horizontal commodity flows between market centers of the same size), and (3) hierarchy (the amount of vertical commodity flows between market centers at different levels of the settlement hierarchy) (Smith 1976d, pp. 314–315). A fourth dimension, political congruence, assesses the spatial organization of market systems relative to features of political geography, including administrative centers and territorial boundaries. Economic geographers suggest that the dimensions of scale, network, and hierarchy can be integrated to characterize the distinct organizational features of four different market system models, as described below (Fig. 1; Table 1). While these ideal types do not claim to cover all possible cases, they do provide a well-tested starting point for evaluating ancient, historic, and modern market systems (Hodges, 1988, p. 25). Solar market systems, also known as simple centralized market exchange systems, are characterized by both poorly developed hierarchy and network, and relatively small scale. As a system of central places, a solar market system consists of a localized, low-level market hierarchy (usually involving an administrative center serviced by several small rural market places) that is poorly articulated with other low-level hierarchies in the same region (Hodges, 1988, p. 73; Smith, 1974, p. 176). A key feature of solar systems is that the center provides both political and economic functions for dependent commu- nities within its hinterland. As a result, the extent of political control is spatially congruent with the sphere of economic influence. Under a system of enforced dependence on the primary center for both economic goods and administrative services, rural market participants (as either producers or consumers) are unable to exercise a choice in market destinations—they must patronize the center to which they are politically dependent (Smith, 1974, pp. 176–177). Goods move from production sources into the central marketplace where they are redistributed throughout the area served by the centralized market. If a number of producers contribute to this system, their products will have nearly identical, overlapping patterns of spatial distribution, resulting in a high degree of internal homogeneity within the area served by the central market. At the regional level, restricted consumer and retailer movements result in poor articulation between solar market systems, marked by sharp discontinuities in commodity flows across system boundaries. The resulting pattern is one of discontinuous, bounded market territories. Linkages between these territories occur only as elite-controlled trade between administrative centers, indicated by the movement of foreign commodities or prestige goods between primary central places. Under a solar market system, then, the regional spatial patterns of commodity flow should be characterized by (1) bounded, discontinuous market territories that (2) are coterminous with political administrative units. If commodity exchange was centralized at the level of the local polity, then the boundaries of market systems would be apparent as sharp discontinuities in commodity distribution, corresponding to polity borders. Household assemblages within communities participating in the same market system will appear relatively homogeneous in composition but distinct from those served by neighboring market systems. Non-centralized or overlapping market exchange systems (also called network exchange systems) are also characterized by poorly developed hierarchy, but the higher degree of horizontal exchanges results in a higher degree of market network at the regional level than found under solar market systems (Bohannan and Bohannan, 1968; Fry, 1979; Smith, 1974, pp. 179–180). In non-centralized market exchange systems, political authority is decentralized and relatively weak, and administrative boundaries do not constrain the movements of L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 85 Fig. 1. The primary dimensions of scale, network, and hierarchy generate distinct organizational features for four different regional market systems. Table 1 Dimensions of market system variation Dimension of variation Regional market systems Solar Non-centralized Overlapping Dendritic Complex Interlocking Scale Network Hierarchy Political Congruence Small, local Poorly developed Poorly developed Coterminous with local polity Small, relatively local Well developed Poorly developed Not constrained by political boundaries Large, regional Poorly developed Well developed Coterminous with control of primate center Large, Regional Well developed Well developed Coterminous with regional polity goods or people. Producers and consumers have access to several independent market centers, and goods move readily between adjacent market zones. Based on the distribution of goods, no sharp boundaries are visible between market zones; rather, a gra- dient in similarity of assemblages extends along a line between exchange centers, as the frequency of each product declines with distance from its original source. However, political instability precludes the development of a market hierarchy and the system 86 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 is characterized by poor regional articulation; as a result, economic interaction between communities declines rapidly with distance. Neighboring communities will thus share a large number of commodities, while the assemblages of more distant communities will be more dissimilar. These characteristics suggest several key aspects of regional spatial patterning generated by non-centralized or network market systems: (1) the structure is characterized by a series of fluid, overlapping market territories; and (2) the network is spatially unbounded by local political or administrative boundaries. If commodities were distributed through a non-centralized market system in which several independent exchange systems interacted, then individual goods or artifact types would likely form overlapping distributions and they would be represented in increasingly smaller proportions with distance from their source. Individual market territories would emerge as areas with similar assemblages, but the degree of similarity between adjacent market territories would be high and differences across these boundaries relatively weak. Dendritic market systems, in contrast, are characterized by a well-developed market hierarchy, in conjunction with a poorly developed market network. Within the regional system, political and economic control emanates from a single primate center, which connects to dependent communities through a linear chain of exchange interactions (Appleby, 1976; Johnson, 1970; Kelley, 1976; Smith, 1974, pp. 177–179). In the resulting branch-like structure, goods flow vertically up and down the market hierarchy, while horizontal connections among communities at the same level of the hierarchy are minimal. Dendritic market structures depend on a strong centralized authority in which ‘‘political and economic elites are one and the same, and political decisions are made to safeguard elite economic interests’’ (Santley, 1991, p. 199). This imbalance of power precludes the development of a competitive market system, as elites are able to manipulate market commerce to their own ends. Under a strategy of commodity oligopoly, for example, administrative elites control the availability of goods and services needed by the rural populace to force them to produce for the urban market; monopolistic controls over access to trading partners, transportation, and currency can be equally effective in directing and controlling the flow of goods (Hodges, 1988, pp. 42–52; Smith, 1974, p. 179). Although primarily associated with mercantile or colonial powers (e.g., Smith, 1976d; Larson, 1985; Vance, 1970), several authors note that such market imperfections were probably widespread, and the model has considerable utility in highlighting the effects of strong vertical market integration in prehistoric and early historic economies as well (e.g., Allen, 1992; French, 1964, pp. 120– 122; Hodges, 1988, pp. 42–52; Santley, 1991; Smith 1974, p. 179; 1976a, p. 36). In particular, while the dendritic system supports the primate center, this marketing structure suppresses economic development within the hinterland (Plattner, 1989b, p. 203). Rural goods do not flow with regularity across rural markets, and rural producers cannot depend on those markets for subsistence goods (Smith 1976a, pp. 34–35). The incomplete development of market network reduces hinterland dependence on the market system either as an outlet for products or as a source of desired goods (Smith 1974, pp. 177–178; 1976d, pp. 319–320). A key characteristic of dendritic market systems, then, is the differential integration of communities into the regional system based on their distance from the primate center (Smith, 1974, p. 177). If the regional economy is dendritic in structure, the geographic pattern would be that of distinct zones characterized by different levels of central market participation, including (1) a wellintegrated core zone around the primate center displaying high market participation, and (2) a poorly integrated rural periphery with low market participation. The degree of central market system participation will be reflected in the degree of access to higher-order goods produced in (or imported into) the primate center. As market participation declines with distance from the primate center, we can expect to see a decline in the abundance of centrally produced goods. Within the periphery, locally produced subsistence and utilitarian goods will predominate. Reduced lateral commodity flows within the periphery will result in localized differences in style and assemblage composition. Complex, interlocking market systems or hierarchically integrated market networks are characterized by both well-developed market hierarchy and network. In such a market system, goods are channeled through a series of local and regional centers, serving overlapping market regions of various spatial scales: L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 ‘‘In interlocking systems each market center is linked to several higher-level centers as well as to several lower-level centers. This creates a network with several levels, several links between levels, and hierarchically organized service to all places in the system. Goods flow to and from other systems and regions but are also exchanged within the local system at each level. Trade areas are overlapping and economic regions unbounded. Hence, supply and demand or price information is communicated across broad areas to ensure coordination of specialization. Under these circumstances the rural consumer can stay put and still enjoy product diversity in his marketplace; he can also depend on a broad market for the goods he produces. This allows specialization within the realm of food production, so that rural areas become as market dependent if not as diversified as urban centers’’ (Smith 1976d, p. 320). A primary feature of interlocking market systems is the high degree of regional economic integration (Plattner, 1989b, p. 203). Because goods move both vertically and horizontally between centers, distribution patterns are geographically widespread and create a higher degree of similarity in consumer goods throughout the regional system. Local variations in the availability of goods from a given source may persist, however, generating minor differences between local market systems. If the regional economy was organized as a complex interlocking market system, the distribution of artifact types should reflect a pattern of widespread, relatively uniform distribution throughout the region served by the market system. Minimal intra-regional variation in type frequencies would occur, although pockets of locally produced types might appear. However, because trade areas are overlapping and unbounded, no sharp internal boundaries in distribution would be apparent. Similarly, because rural areas are well integrated into the market system, no sharp core-periphery pattern in market participation is expected. Archaeological correlates of regional market systems The preceding models of regional market system organization present distinct expectations for commodity distribution patterns against which the archaeological case can be compared. Fundamental to such an analysis, however, is the empirical identi- 87 fication of areas participating in the same market system, and the delineation of market zones—the archaeological manifestation of market territories—based on patterns of consumption. Once market zones have been delineated, the organization of the regional market system can be evaluated in terms of the size and number of distinct market zones, their spatial organization, the horizontal and vertical relationships among market zones, and their distribution relative to features of political geography. Identifying market zones and boundaries In archaeological terms, market zones are defined here as areas serviced by the same market center(s) within which communities have access to the same array of goods. One direct measure of whether communities visit the same market center is the degree to which they obtain goods from the same producers, as determined through compositional analyses of artifacts and raw materials (Arnold et al., 1991; Bishop and Blackman, 2002; Bishop and Neff, 1989; Glascock and Neff, 2003; Neff, 1992; Neff and Glascock, 1995). Trace-element studies have been particularly fruitful in modeling the extent and mechanisms of long-distance exchange in high-status elite goods (e.g., Glascock, 2002; Renfrew, 1975, 1977). At the intra-regional level, however, the success of trace-element studies depends on the spatial scale of geochemical variability in raw (source) materials and our ability to differentiate the products of local producers (Bishop and Blackman, 2002). Even when variability in source materials supports a fine-grained spatial analysis, the cost of such analyses has generally limited their application in the assessment of regional market systems, where a large number of samples and a regional sampling strategy are required to map quantitative differences in the volume of exchange and identify market boundaries. As demonstrated below, however, compositional analyses play a critical role in verifying key aspects of market system organization as delineated from less direct measures of exchange. An alternative means for defining market zones focuses on the degree of assemblage similarity among sites within the study area based on typological and stylistic grounds. This tactic follows up on the ‘‘distributional approach’’ formalized by Hirth (1998), which demonstrated that market participation to provision households results in a high level 88 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 of homogeneity in the distribution of circulating commodities. Briefly, Hirth argues that market places provide equal access to commodities for all consumers, independent of social status (1998, p. 458). Since consumers participate directly in market exchange, and all households (whether low-status or high-status) have access to the same types of resources in the marketplace, the result is an increase in the homogeneity of material culture assemblages at the community level. In the archaeological record, ‘‘the homogenizing effects of trade’’ (Creamer, 1998) among households offers a clear indicator of marketplace exchange. Beyond identifying the existence of market exchange, however, the distributional approach offers a powerful tool for examining the spatial organization of exchange at a regional level.2 Archaeologists have long utilized stylistic similarity (particularly that of ceramics) to assess the relative degree of economic interaction among different communities, arguing that greater exchange of goods, technology, and artistic norms results in greater uniformity (Fry, 1979, 1980; Fry and Cox, 1974; Hodge and Minc, 1990; Pires-Ferreira, 1976; Plog, 1976, 1978). Where markets provide the primary mechanism for exchange and commodity distribution, HirthÕs analyses suggest that the degree to which communities share similar artifact assemblages can be used to assess the degree to which they attend the same market centers. Because they have access to the same array of goods, communities attending the same market center(s) will have highly similar assemblages of basic craft goods; in contrast, those participating in completely different exchange networks will have largely dissimilar assemblages. It is therefore possible to identify and map the spatial distribution of communities participating in the same market zone from areas which display compositionally similar material culture assemblages. Conversely, boundaries between market zones will be apparent as discontinuities in assemblage similarity reflecting a decline in exchange activities. Several factors may distort the presumed relationship between assemblage similarity and economic interaction, however. Primary among these are differences in site function and status that can 2 Several reviewers (Hassig, 1998; Hicks, 1998) of HirthÕs approach suggested that it had wider utility, e.g., ‘‘The judicious elaboration of his approach holds promise for going beyond the detection of markets to the tentative identification of market types and systems’’ (Hassig, 1998, p. 467). alter the mix of different functional and prestige artifact classes found at a site. In order to minimize variability in assemblage composition owing to such functional or wealth differences, the delineation of market zones can focus on stylistic variability within a single functional artifact type or class. The implementation of the distributional method is illustrated below based on stylistic variability within the class of decorated ceramic serving vessels. The identification of market zones utilizes the methodology entitled ‘‘unconstrained clustering for the analysis of spatial data’’ developed by Whallon (1984). The goal of unconstrained cluster analysis is the identification of spatial clusters or areas with similar artifact assemblages that are not constrained as to their size, shape, density, composition, or patterns of artifact covariation by the very quantitative methods employed to identify them. This methodology was originally designed to assist intra-site analyses in the identification of activity areas within occupation floors. It is, however, a general approach rather than a specific technique (Whallon, 1984, p. 244), and as such is appropriate for the analysis of regional spatial data as well. The approach requires, first, that we have data on the distributions of a number of different artifact types over a contiguous spatial area. Second, it requires that information on artifact type distributions within this area be sufficiently detailed to characterize the underlying distributional patterns. Ceramic collections generated by regional site surveys potentially satisfy both these requirements. Surveys attempt to provide relatively complete information on settlement distributions for a large contiguous area. The surface collections generated through these surveys theoretically represent samples drawn from the underlying ‘‘true’’ ceramic distribution patterns. Individual samples or collections, however, are subject to local noise or distortion of the regional pattern, due to differences in surface collecting conditions and factors affecting artifact preservation and visibility. One major goal of unconstrained cluster analysis, therefore, is to even out the local perturbations in artifact recovery to expose the larger underlying patterns of distribution. Input data consist of information on both the absolute and relative densities of artifact types, as these potentially provide complementary types of information. On one hand, relative measures (e.g., percent of ceramic assemblage) reflect potential similarities and differences in consumer behavior that L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 are independent of differences in assemblage size. This is an advantage where assemblage size may well vary according to differences in settlement density or surface survey conditions. Assuming, as Hirth (1998) suggests, that market participation promotes equal access and that consumers (on average) obtained goods proportionate to their availability in the market place, then communities participating in same market zone will be marked by assemblages with highly similar proportions of ceramic types. On the other hand, absolute densities (e.g., differences in the total number of sherds per unit area) potentially reflect differences in access to a particular source, as a function of distance. Typically, we can associate source areas for a given ceramic type with high availability and high consumption (high absolute densities) and assume that accessibility declines with distance from a source, such that marginal areas will be characterized by low densities of that type. Absolute densities are also critical in identifying areas with low overall artifact densities within which percentage data may be unreliable or misleading. Thus, through combining both perspectives, we gain insights into both the relative degree of interaction as well as the volume of interaction between different areas. To the extent that the results of the two analyses agree, we can be assured that the patterning within the spatial data is relatively robust. Unconstrained cluster analysis proceeds through a number of steps; at each step specific decisions must be made to tailor the approach to the problem at hand. Briefly, the basic sequence involves: (1) Creation of a regular data grid from irregularly spaced data points for each artifact type included in the analysis. A regular grid of points is established over the study area, and the value of each grid point (e.g., ceramic type density) is estimated from neighboring data points (e.g., sites or collection areas), usually as a weighted average of the values of points within a certain distance of the grid point. Generally, the weights applied are the inverse square of the distances from the central point. (2) Smoothing the data within each grid. In a second optional step, the density grid is smoothed using a moving template of surrounding grid points, and each grid point is replaced with the average of itself plus its closest neighbors. Grid smoothing does involve some degree of 89 generalizing from the data, but Whallon (1984, p. 245) argues that this is necessary: ‘‘We are interested in distributional pattern, and pattern is a characteristic of the data as a whole rather than of the array of individual item locations. That is, pattern is a generalization from the data.’’ In this context, grid smoothing is recommended in that it reduces noise and enhances the underlying pattern by averaging out random fluctuations. (3) Clustering of grid points based on density values for multiple artifact types. Cluster analysis is utilized to summarize the information contained in the multiple density contour maps and to reveal the joint patterning of the different artifact types or stylistic variants within the study area (Whallon, 1984, p. 245). Input data for the cluster analysis consists of type densities as calculated for each grid point. It should be emphasized here that what is being clustered are grid points, with clusters of grid points presumably representing areas with similar assemblage composition. As a result, the focus is on identifying areas with similar ceramics, rather than on identifying groups of sites with similar ceramics. An explicitly hierarchical algorithm, such as the minimum variance or WardÕs method that joins clusters by minimizing intra-cluster variance (Aldenderfer and Blashfield, 1984), is useful in revealing the degree of relatedness among areas within the study area. The clustering is based on Euclidean distances between grid points as calculated from the densities of the different artifact types or stylistic variants at those points. The appropriate cluster solution is identified using the scree method, based on major changes in error sum of squares (SSE). According to this criterion, ‘‘clustering proceeds . . . until a series of marked jumps in the error sum of squares are produced by the fusion of relatively dissimilar groups. These sudden jumps in the clustering criterion indicate significant increases in the heterogeneity of the groups being defined’’ (Whallon, 1984, p. 253). The strategy here is to examine cluster solutions just prior to major increases in the SSE, as these divisions represent relatively distinct groups. (4) Cluster mapping. Once the appropriate cluster solution has been identified, grid points belonging to each cluster are plotted on a 90 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 map of the study area, and these groups are examined for spatial integrity and geographic interpretability. It is expected that grid points belonging to the same cluster will also cluster spatially, and that as a group they represent an area with a distinctive ceramic assemblage. (5) Cluster interpretation. If clusters pass these preliminary tests, the analysis proceeds to cluster interpretation using descriptive statistics to quantify differences in assemblage composition between clusters or areas. Cluster interpretation must also consider the spatial configuration of clusters, their size, and their location relative to features of political geography, including political centers and polity boundaries. Assessing relationships among market zones Once market zones have been delimited, the relationships within and among the zones are examined to characterize the regional market system structure. Metrics for the key organizational attributes of scale, network, hierarchy, and political congruence are suggested below. Scale The scale of market zones can be evaluated directly from the number of market zones and their relative spatial extent. Of primary interest here is the characterization of the regional system as comprising one or a few large market zones as opposed to many, smaller market zones. The size of market zones relative to travel time and distance is also of interest, as indicating whether the service zone corresponds to a local, regional, or supra-regional market center. Network The degree of horizontal integration among market zones reflects the extent of trade and exchange between adjacent market zones in goods of the same order, and can be assessed from the overall similarity among their ceramic assemblages. For example, the Brainerd-Robinson agreement coefficient (Cowgill, 1990) measures similarity between pairs of market zones, when assemblage composition data are expressed as percentages of various ceramic types and variants. The coefficient can range from 0 (when pairs of market zones share no types in common) to 200 (when pairs of market zones share all types in common and in the same proportions). As a measure of network, a high coefficient indicates a high degree of interaction among market zones. Conversely, a low coefficient suggests a lower degree of interaction; a sharp decrease in the agreement coefficient represents a boundary in economic interaction. In addition, the degree of horizontal integration can be assessed qualitatively from the spatial congruence between market zones and individual type distributions, that is, whether type distributions appear to conform to market zone boundaries (low network) or cross over market zone boundaries (higher network). Hierarchy The degree of vertical integration within the regional market system can be evaluated from the dual perspective of differential access to a greater diversity of goods and to better quality goods. In a hierarchically organized system, higher-order markets offer higher-order goods (including higher cost, higher status items), plus all lower-order goods (such as basic necessities) (King, 1984, p. 32; Smith, 1985). As a result, higher-order markets are more diverse than lower-order markets, and carry a greater proportion of higher-order goods. In the presence of a well-developed market hierarchy, market zones surrounding the highest-order market centers are therefore expected to have a greater diversity and greater volume of high quality ceramics. In contrast, in a non-hierarchically organized system, we can expect that all market zones will be more equally diverse and/or have roughly equal access to higher quality goods. A large number of indices have been developed to measure assemblage richness and/or diversity (Ludwig and Reynolds, 1988, pp. 85–95; Pielou, 1975); most do not adequately account for the sample-size effect; that is, that the larger the assemblage is, the more artifact classes it should have, simply as a function of sample size (Rhode, 1988). In contrast, the socalled ‘‘regression approach’’ (Grayson, 1984; Jones et al., 1983), focuses on the systematic relationship (generally linear or curvilinear) between assemblage richness and assemblage size, and examines differences in the rate of acquisition. The region with the steeper slope adds artifact classes at a faster rate, indicating access to a more diverse array of goods and, in this context, proximity to higher-order markets. With respect to higher quality goods, differential access can be calculated by first using the production-step index to rank the different types according to the level of labor input or number of distinct steps L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 91 Table 2 Archaeological measures of regional market systems Dimension Definition Potential Measures Delineation of market zones Areas serviced by the same market center(s) that have access to the same array of goods Scale Network Relative size of market territories. Degree of horizontal interaction or overlap between market territories of the same order Hierarchy Degree of vertical interaction between market territories of a different order Spatial organization of market territories relative to administrative centers and territorial boundaries Spatially unconstrained cluster analysis to identify market zones from areas with similar artifact assemblages Number and areal extent of distinct market zones a. Measures of similarity/ dissimilarity between adjacent market zones b. Degree of spatial congruence between artifact type distributions and market zones a. Assemblage richness/diversity b. Differential access to higher quality goods Distribution of market zones relative to administrative territories as reconstructed from: a. Archaeological measures (CPT, Thiessen polygons, etc.); or b. Ethnohistoric documentation of territorial extent. Political Congruence involved in their production (Feinman, 1980; Feinman et al., 1981; Garraty, 2000). The distribution (relative to market zone boundaries) of ceramics belonging to different ‘‘labor input’’ classes can be assessed using a simple v2 test for homogeneity, based on type counts at sites assigned to market zones. Standardized v2 residuals represent departures from the expected frequencies in standard deviations (Reynolds, 1977, 1984). By examining the sign and strength of the standardized v2 residuals, market zones having greater access to more labor-intensive ceramics can be identified. Political congruence The spatial organization of market zones relative to features of political geography, including administrative centers and territorial boundaries, provides a potential measure of political controls over market system participation. For prehistoric societies where the distribution of administrative centers is known from archaeological surveys, the extent of market zones can be compared with reconstructed political territories (e.g., Thiessen polygons) or markers of ethnicity (such as representations of conquest on stelae, etc.). Where administrative centers and their dependent territories have been mapped from documentary evidence such as tribute lists, the degree of political congruence can be assessed directly from the degree of spatial conformity between ethnohistoric and archaeological data. The proposed measures are summarized in Table 2. Clearly, all measures are relative scales, such that assessment is best approached on a comparative basis. Case study: the Aztec empire and market system reorganization We now turn to an examination of regional patterns of ceramic distribution as a basis for reconstructing the major organizational features of the Aztec market system through which these craft goods and a host of other commodities circulated. Market system organization is examined relative to two distinct phases of political centralization: before and after consolidation of the Aztec empire. The purpose of this exercise is to illustrate the methodology developed above as applied to the Basin of Mexico; in the interests of brevity, it is not possible to synthesize the extensive literature on the larger Aztec economy, except as it directly relates to market system organization. Models for Early Aztec market systems The Early Aztec or pre-imperial period in the Basin of Mexico (traditionally dated to ca. 1150– 1350 AD)3 is known from the ethnohistoric documents as a time of extreme political decentralization and instability. At that time, the Basin was divided 3 The absolute chronology for the pre-imperial period is currently under revision (Cowgill, 1996; Nichols and Charlton, 1996; Parsons et al., 1996), in part based on radiocarbon dates suggesting a much earlier inception than traditionally held. In addition, while finer grain ceramic chronologies are available for parts of the Basin, the complex variation in ceramic sequences continues to frustrate attempts to refine the regional picture beyond the traditional Early Aztec and Late Aztec employed here. 92 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 among a number of small, independent and often conflicting city–state polities, each consisting of an urban administrative center and a discrete territory containing dependent villages and hamlets (Bray, 1972; Hodge, 1984, 1996). Groups of city–state polities formed alliances or confederations for purposes of mutual defense or military campaigns (Anales de Cuauhtitlan, 1938, 1945; Chimalpahin, 1965; Durán, 1967). The documentary accounts suggest that while city–state territories were relatively stable geographic entities throughout the Early Aztec period, confederation boundaries shifted with political expansion or defeat. The settlement patterns for the Early Aztec period support the documents on this point. The distribution of sites during the Early Aztec period consists of ‘‘a series of local centers, each dominating a small part of the Basin and each separated from its neighboring polities by a frontier of contested, not well-inhabited borderland’’ (Blanton et al., 1981, p. 152). In keeping with this political milieu, several authors (Hassig, 1985, pp. 71–73; Hicks, 1987; Smith, 1979) have suggested that Early Aztec market exchange was organized through a solar market system. According to this view, the political insularity of polities would have made it unlikely that the subject population was able to exercise a great deal of choice in which market they patronized or that they were able to travel safely to the market center of a hostile polity. Thus, the degree of network development was low, and the regional market system is expected to have been organized through a series of small, discrete market zones coterminous with city–state polity boundaries. A second model proposed for the Early Aztec market system is that of non-centralized, overlapping market zones. Proponents of this model argue that city–state polities, owing to their small size, were unlikely to have been economically self-sufficient (Calnek, 1982, p. 45). Thus, political confederations of city–state polities—ostensibly organized along ethnic lines for mutual defense—may also have been critical economic alliances. By allowing trade to move unhindered across borders between allied territories, consumers would have had access to a broader range of necessary resources. Yet owing to the unstable and competing political structure of confederations, it is unlikely that an economic hierarchy of centers would develop. These characteristics are consistent with the development of a series of overlapping market zones, in which consumers had a choice—within the limits of the polit- ical confederation—as to which of several market centers to patronize (Minc et al., 1994). In contrast, Blanton (1996) argues that the foundations of a hierarchically integrated market network were established in the pre-imperial or Early Aztec period, although the system was unevenly and incompletely developed at that time. Based on the number and spatial organization of primary and secondary centers that serviced the local hinterland during that period, Blanton concludes that even at this early time a commercial principle was operating as a major determinant of central-place development in some portions of the Basin, even though the interstitial spaces of the settlement lattices were not completely filled in (1996, p. 67). In terms of the distribution of goods, we would expect the operation of commercial forces to generate both well-developed network and hierarchy, although integration into a single, region-wide market system may be incomplete. Models for Late Aztec market systems In contrast to the preceding period, the Late Aztec period (ca. 1350–1520 AD) witnessed a rapid centralization of political authority in the Basin of Mexico culminating in the rise of the Aztec empire, the so-called Triple Alliance of Tenochtitlan, Texcoco, and Tlacopan. Initially, these three powers were considered equal partners and divided the Basin amongst themselves along traditional (ethnic or tribal) lines. Texcoco retained control over Acolhua polities east and NE of Lake Texoco, the Mexica of Tenochtitlan controlled territories acquired in the south, and Tlacopan controlled polities in the west and NW (Alva Ixtlilxóchitl 1975–1977, II, p. 146; Hodge, 1996). Tenochtitlan, however, soon emerged as the dominant member, assuming direct control over Tlacopan by appointing the rulers of that city, and centralizing external relations (primarily military campaigns and tribute collection) under her authority. Texcoco, in contrast, remained a strong member state in the alliance, and maintained a high degree of political and economic control over her territories (Alva Ixtlilxóchitl 1975–1977, II, p. 146; Carrasco, 1991, 1999, 1971, pp. 40–49; Gibson, 1956, 1964, 1971; Hicks, 1982, 1992; Hodge, 1984, p. 141; Offner, 1983). Two long-standing models have been proposed concerning the impact of this political centralization on the structure of exchange relations within the L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 93 Basin of Mexico. One traditional school of thought argues that the break-down of former political barriers led to increased regional interaction and the development of a basin-wide hierarchically integrated exchange network (Blanton et al., 1981, p. 162; Smith 1979, 2002, p. 119). Based in large part on central-place analyses of Late Aztec centers, this view holds that administrative controls over exchange activities were minimal, and argues for the presence of both a well-developed market hierarchy centered on Tenochtitlan and an extensive market network that moved goods efficiently throughout all parts of the Basin (Berdan, 2005, pp. 47–50). In terms of the distribution of goods, the expected pattern would be that of nested market zones serviced by a hierarchical arrangement of central places but reflecting strong network and largescale integration. An alternative view contends that many production and exchange activities were centralized through administrative controls to direct the flow of rural agricultural surpluses into the dominant urban center(s). Based on network analyses of roads and transportation routes at the time of the Spanish conquest, Santley (1986, 1991) argued that the Aztec market system primarily addressed imperial concerns for channeling bulk foodstuffs into Tenochtitlan and Texcoco. The resulting market system was characterized by strong vertical integration and a dendritic structure in which goods moved up a well-developed market hierarchy, but not among sites of the same level, resulting in poor market network. Initially, it was proposed that agricultural commodity flows were stimulated by exchanges for urban-produced craft and elite goods that flowed back down the hierarchy to rural dependents and local rulers (Brumfiel, 1991a, p. 193; Hassig, 1985; Sanders and Santley, 1983; Santley, 1986, 1991, pp. 206–208); however, the general picture of decentralized, part-time production of basic craft goods within the Basin (e.g., Brumfiel, 1976, 1980, 1986, 1991b; Hicks, 1994, pp. 94–96; Hodge et al., 1992, 1993) indicates that urban control over these goods was unlikely.4 In contrast, the Aztec elite did exert monopolistic controls over exotic prestige items, through state sponsorship of foreign trade and regulation of the right to trade in exotic goods (Berdan, 1975, pp. 27, 114–116; Hassig, 1985, pp. 111–113). The necessity to obtain exotic raw materials—particularly the large quantities of cotton and tropical feathers needed to meet tribute assessments in finished goods (Berdan, 1985, 1987; Brumfiel, 1987b; Hicks, 1987, p. 99)—would have enforced market participation and stimulated vertical exchanges between rural–urban markets while dampening incentives for lateral exchanges among smaller communities.5 More recently, there has been a growing appreciation of the extent to which the Aztec market system, in addition to provisioning a rapidly increasing urban population, also served an important role in elite finance (Brumfiel, 1987a,b; Hicks, 1987, 1991; Minc, 1994, vol. 1, pp. 101–110). Market commerce was taxed in kind at rates as high as 20%, with the revenues (ranging from subsistence goods to exotic prestige items) going to the local ruler (Cortés, 1928, p. 93; Durán, 1967, pp. 2, 264; Torquemada, 1969, vol. II, p. 560). As potential bases of wealth and competing political power, urban markets were subject to imperial regulation, including controls over market location and the rights to market revenues (Alvarado Tezozómoc, 1975, p. 396; Anales de Cuauhtitlan, 1945, pp. 43–44; Berdan, 1985, pp. 344–345; Chimalpahin, 1965, p. 205; Durán, 1964, pp. 102–105; Hicks, 1987, p. 96). The extent and impact of such ‘‘market meddling’’ remains an open question. Blanton (1996, pp. 82–83), for example, argues that elite intervention served to spatially disconnect economic and political power bases, leaving the regional market system free to respond largely to commercial forces. It is equally plausible, however, that administrative regulation of the market system precluded the development of a fully competitive market network by channeling market traffic into politically sanctioned points in the landscape. Such political maneuvering, as played out in the market system, would have intensified rather than eased economic divisions within the Basin. In fact, a growing body of stylistic and compositional analyses of Aztec ceramics strongly suggest that some degree of regionalism persisted in the market system under Aztec imperial 4 The greater concentration of craft production found at Otumba relative to other provincial centers may well relate to its greater distance from Tenochtitlan and its position outside the market sphere of that imperial center (Charlton et al., 1991, 1993; Nichols, 1994; Otis-Charlton, 1994). 5 Exotic goods and raw materials were introduced into the market system via the professional long-distance merchants (pochteca) who specialized in such high-value goods, or through the ‘‘recycling of tribute’’—i.e., market resale of goods received in tribute (Berdan, 1975, pp. 215–254). 94 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 rule (Hodge, 1990, 1992; Hodge and Minc, 1990; Hodge et al., 1992, 1993; Minc, 1994, n.d.; Nichols et al., 2002; Parsons, 1972, 1975). However, the significance of these subregional systems—and their potential relationship to market structure and elite market manipulation—remains poorly understood. Monitoring market systems in the Basin of Mexico The regional database To gain a regional perspective on Aztec market exchange, this study turned to the broad spatial coverage provided by the Basin of Mexico site surveys. The primary goal of these early surveys was to locate, map, and describe settlements of all ceramic-producing societies in the Basin, through a comprehensive field-by-field survey effort (Blanton, 1972; Parsons, 1971; Parsons et al., 1982; Sanders et al., 1979). But these surveys also provide a regional data base of ceramic assemblages, generated using a relatively consistent and uniform method of surface collection (Parsons, 1971, pp. 18–19; Parsons et al., 1982, p. 67; Sanders et al., 1979, pp. 27– 29). After a site had been located and the extent of surface scatter mapped, the survey teams demarcated one or more collection areas within the site boundaries. Survey members recorded the dimensions and location of the collection areas, then picked up 100% of the diagnostic sherds, including all rims and chronologically significant body sherds from this area.6 Although the collection strategy was primarily designed to determine the temporal placement of each site, when averaged over a larger area, the collections provide a generalized picture of ceramic distribution patterns and a uniquely broadbased perspective on prehispanic exchange within the Aztec imperial core. The geographic area examined here corresponds to the Texcoco, Ixtapalapa, Chalco, and Xochimilco survey regions (Parsons et al., 1983) repre6 Collections tended to focus on areas with good visibility and higher artifact densities, with collection area sizes ranging from a 10 m diameter circle to several thousand square meters if an architectural unit was used to designate collection area boundaries. At small sites, a single collection area was the rule; at larger sites, several collections areas were designated to ensure chronological control over the entire site. As a result, the number of collections per site varies from 1 at small sites to 45 at large sites that had extensive areas of prehispanic settlement still exposed. The number of decorated sherds collected per site ranged from 10 to more than 3000. senting a large (ca. 1500 km2) contiguous block comprising the eastern and southern portions of the Basin of Mexico (Fig. 2). Within these four survey regions, 563 Aztec-period sites had been located and sampled for surface ceramics by the survey teams. Collections from a sub-set of 243 sites (43% of all Aztec sites mapped in the study region) were selected for ceramic typological analyses. Choice of specific sites was guided by the necessity of obtaining representative geographic coverage by survey region, a balanced sample of Early and Late Aztec period sites, and the full range of site types, from small hamlets to regional centers. Aztec Red wares Within this portion of the Basin, regional patterns of market exchange were examined from the perspective of stylistic variation in one ceramic ware and vessel shape class: Aztec Red ware (guinda or rojo pulido) bowls. Characterized by well-slipped and polished surfaces ranging in color from deep red to terra cotta, Red wares were an important component of the serving vessel assemblage during Early Aztec and Late Aztec times (BranstetterHardesty, 1978; Minc, 1994; OÕNeill, 1956–1957, 1962; Parsons, 1966; Solis and Morales, 1991; Séjourné, 1983; Tolstoy, 1958; Whalen and Parsons, 1982). While perhaps less well known than the Aztec Black/Orange and polychrome types, Red wares were widely available throughout Aztec society, and were at times numerically dominant, accounting for over 60% of the decorated assemblage in some areas (Hodge and Minc, 1991; Nichols et al., 2002, p. 67). Stylistic variability in Aztec Red wares is characterized through the identification of ceramic types based on differences in surface treatment (including the use of paint, incising, and other decorative techniques), vessel form, and paste characteristics. Within each type, stylistic variants represent distinct organizational frameworks or ways of dividing up the design field (e.g., vertical, horizontal, or diagonal panels) as established by the dominant paint color, while subvariants represent modifications of the basic design structure, such as consistencies in the choice and execution of decorative motifs (Franco and Peterson, 1957; Hodge and Minc, 1991; Minc, 1994, vol. II; Noguera, 1930; Parsons, 1966). The focus on variation within a single ceramic ware is purposeful, and is aimed at limiting the influence of other factors (including differences in wealth, L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 95 Fig. 2. Aztec centers in the Basin of Mexico. The 16th century lakeshore (fine dashed line) provides a spatial reference in figures that follow. status, and site function) that potentially determine artifact distributions within and between sites. And although Aztec Red wares clearly cannot reflect the total complexity of the larger market system, several factors justify using the single commodity approach as a point of departure. First, most economic geographers refer to a single market system for an area, but multiple market paths. That is, different goods flow through the same system in different ways, but they rarely form distinct systems (Smith, 1976a, p. 38). Second, it is well-known that most consumers buy more than a single item in a marketing trip, so that the range of multiple items determines their willingness to travel and their ability to give custom to any particular supplier or location (Smith 1976a, p. 24). Decorated ceramics are only one class of goods, but since most buyers deal in multiple items and make multi-purpose trips, the movement of pottery reflects 96 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 the movement of other goods as well. In this context, Red ware ceramics represent a widely used and widely exchanged mid-range good, whose distribution reflects the basic structure of exchange interactions within the Basin. Identifying Aztec market zones from ceramic distributions For the Early Aztec period, the empirical delineation of market zones was based on distributional patterns of 18 stylistic types, variants, and subvariants that jointly account for >95% of the early Red ware bowl assemblage.7 For the Late Aztec period, market zones were identified from 8 dominant Red ware bowl types and variants.8 For each time period, the starting configuration consisted of local densities (sherds/ha of collection area) of each type, variant, and subvariant at 243 sites within the study area (Fig. 3A). First, a regular grid of 2.5 · 2.5 km squares was established over the study area; ceramic densities were then calculated for each grid point using a weighted average of ceramic type densities from the 10 nearest sites, with an unlimited search radius and an inverse distance (1/D2) weighting factor. Next, the density grid for each ceramic type was smoothed using a moving template of 3-by-3 grid squares and an inverse distance (1/D2) weighting factor. The small template and the weighting factors were utilized to retain a fair degree of local detail within the grid while still attaining the advantages of smoothing out extremely local perturbations. At this point, a series of density contour maps were generated to visually characterize the geographic distribution of individual ceramic units (Fig. 3B). A total of 317 grid points remained within the irregularly shaped study area from which to characterize ceramic assemblage composition through 7 The 18 Early Aztec ceramic units included in the cluster analyses were Black/Red early profile variants A, B, D, E, H, I; Black/Red-Incised Variants A, B, and C/D; Black&White/Red early profile variants AW1, AW2, AN, B, C, D1, D2, D3, E1, E2, and E3 (for type descriptions see Minc, 1994, vol. II). 8 The eight Late Aztec Red ware bowl types and variants included: Black/Red Variant C, Late Profile Black/Red (Variants A, B, and E combined), Late Profile Black&White/Red (all variants combined), Black&White/Red Variant G, Yellow/Red, Black&White&Yellow/Red, White/Red, and Black&Red/Tan (for type descriptions see Minc, 1994, vol. II). spatially unconstrained cluster analysis. For each time period, dual cluster analyses were performed based on absolute ceramic densities as well as on percent of Red ware assemblage, and the results compared. Cluster membership was mapped (Fig. 3C), and overlays were utilized to identify areas where the two analyses were in agreement and to determine factors affecting areas of disagreement. The results were then synthesized to provide a map of economic interaction spheres and market zones within the study area for each of the two chronological periods. Once market zones had been so identified, measures were employed to evaluate the intensity and nature of exchange relationships among those zones, and to examine factors influencing their spatial configuration and boundaries. Market System Organization in the Early Aztec Period Locating Early Aztec market zones Based on the distributional patterns of Early Aztec Red ware variants, the cluster analyses identified six areas with distinctive ceramic assemblages that are interpreted as representing distinct zones of ceramic exchange activity (Fig. 4; Table 3). Clustering results based on absolute ceramic densities and percentage data show a high degree of agreement for the Early Aztec period, indicating that the spatial patterning is fairly robust. The final composite map reveals that the southeastern portion of the study area (Chalco survey region) is subdivided into three parallel zones from south to north (Zones 1–3, respectively). Together these zones share generally high densities of Early Aztec Red wares and a preference for the Black/Red and Black/Red-Incised types; each zone, however, is characterized by higher percentages of locally preferred decorative variants. Immediately to the north (eastern Ixtapalapa peninsula) is Zone 4, with somewhat lower densities of Red ware ceramics. Based on the mix of stylistic variants, Zone 4 appears to have been intermediate between the northern and southern areas, but more similar to the north. The northeast contains a single zone (Zone 5), including the lakeshore and piedmont portions of the Texcoco survey region. Overall, this zone is characterized by fairly high Red ware sherd densities, and a L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 Fig. 3. Steps in spatially unconstrained cluster analysis. (A) Local densities (calculated as sherds/ ha) are mapped for each ceramic type or variant, in this case, Black/Red-Incised Variant A. symbol size reflects relative density of variant; dots indicate sites where collections are available, but this variant was not encountered. (B) Density contour maps are generated for each ceramic variant based on smoothed grid. Density values are interpolated at points in a regular grid, and input into cluster analyses. (C) Grid points are clustered, the appropriate cluster solution(s) selected, and cluster membership plotted over the study area. Here, clusters show good high spatial integrity, representing areas with highly similar ceramic assemblages. 97 98 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 Fig. 4. Early Aztec market zones as identified through spatially unconstrained cluster analysis. Table 3 Definition of Early Aztec market zones Region (and survey zone) Southern (Chalco) Northern (Texcoco) Western (Xochimilco) a Zone 1 2 3 4 5 6 Areal extent (km2) 200 188 181 481 331 506 Characteristic ceramic variantsa B/R-I B/R A A I H B C — — None None B&W/R E E AW2 A A B B B E2 E2 E2 D AN AN D3 D3 AW AW B B C None B/R-I = Black/Red-Incised; B/R = Black/Red; B&W/R = Black&White/Red (all variants after Minc, 1994, Vol. II). predominance of the Black&White/Red variants. Finally, Zone 6 comprises the Chalco-Xochimilco lakebed and some adjacent lakeshore regions; this area is characterized by very low Early Aztec Red ware densities and apparently minimal participation in regional Red ware exchange. Characterizing Early Aztec market system structure Scale The spatial map of cluster results suggests that in areas of active Red ware production and exchange, market zones were relatively small, ranging in size L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 from approximately 200–400 km2 (Table 3). This corresponds to a service area with a radius of 8–12 km around a central market town, and reflects a travel time well within that reported for peasant potters attending local (weekly) market towns (Biddick, 1985; Streeten, 1981; Vossen, 1984, pp. 369–373). Network The degree of lateral movement of ceramics among adjacent zones, however, does not suggest that they represent discrete exchange systems. Zones show at least an intermediate level of assemblage similarity (Brainerd–Robinson coefficient >100) and exchange interaction with their nearest neighbors, although the degree of similarity decreases as separating distance increases (Table 4). The overall pattern is that of a chain of interaction, with no abrupt discontinuities in commodity flows, and one that supports the interpretation of a well developed network among adjacent zones. The chain of interaction can be seen directly from the degree to which ceramic type distributions overlap each other and cross over market zone boundaries. A visual comparison of these areas reveals a pattern in which the dominant variants display distinct centers of concentration, but highly overlapping distributions (Fig. 5). Hierarchy Possible hierarchical relations among market zones were first assessed from their differential access to a greater diversity of ceramics, as revealed through a plot of assemblage richness relative to total Red ware bowl assemblage size (Fig. 6). A visual comparison of regression lines calculated for each market zone indicate that the slopes for all zones are strikingly similar. The minimal differences in assemblage richness suggest Table 4 Matrix of Brainerd–Robinson coefficients indicating degree of similarity among Early Aztec market zonesa Market zone 1 2 3 4 5 6 a 99 that all areas enjoyed roughly equivalent access to market centers of the same order during the Early Aztec period. In contrast, the relative abundance of ceramics belonging to different ‘‘labor input classes’’ initially does suggest significant spatial differences in access to higher quality goods across market zones. Early Aztec Red ware variants were divided into four groups representing different levels of labor investment based on the number of paint colors and the complexity of the design (Fig. 7). An analysis of two-way v2 residuals (Table 5) indicates that southern Zones 1–3 consumed a disproportionate amount of less labor-intensive ceramics, while the northern Zone 5 enjoyed greater than expected access to more labor-intensive ceramics. In this case, however, the limited focus on Red wares may be misleading, in that the full range of decorated wares and labor investment is not taken into consideration. In the south, the vibrant Chalco-Cholula polychrome tradition produced elaborately decorated elite vessels (Hodge and Minc, 1990; Parsons et al., 1982; Séjourné, 1970); Red wares were of somewhat lower status and their decoration was correspondingly simple. In contrast, the near absence of a true polychrome tradition further north may have elevated Red wares to a higher-status role, such that in this area, some Red ware vessels received greater elaboration and labor input in the form of complex, multi-color designs. Taking into account regional differences in the relative status of Red wares, the evidence for hierarchical relationships among Early Aztec market zones is mixed. Within the Chalco-Cholula polychrome sphere, market zones provided equivalent access to the range of Early Aztec Red wares, suggesting no one zone enjoyed a hierarchical advantage. Further north, however, Zone 5 enjoyed a predominance of vessels requiring greater labor investment, particularly the more elaborate Black&White/Red variants, suggesting at least a low-level market hierarchy in this region. Relationship to political geography Market zone 1 2 3 4 5 6 200 110 200 68 136 200 72 110 111 200 55 84 82 156 200 51 90 101 129 104 200 Values for adjacent zones have been highlighted in bold. The study area includes the archaeological remains of at least 14 Early Aztec city–states, representing four confederations, including (from NE to SW) the Acolhua, Chalca, Xochimilca, and Culhua (Alden, 1979; Alva Ixtlilxóchitl 1975–1977, vol. I, pp. 310, 329; Anales de Cuauhtitlan, 1945; Chimalpahin, 1958, 1965; Davies, 1980; Durán, 100 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 Fig. 5. Many Early Aztec Red ware variants display concentrated, but overlapping distributions, suggesting well-developed network among market zones. (A) Black/Red Variant I, concentrated in Zone 1. (B) Black/Red Variant E, concentrated in Zones 1 and 2. (C) Black/Red Variant A, concentrated in Zones 2 and 3. L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 1967, pp. 21–22; Gibson, 1964, pp. 11–17, 1971; Hodge, 1984; Offner, 1983; Parsons, 1971; Parsons et al., 1982, pp. 76–81; Schroeder, 1991; Zimmermann, 1960) (Fig. 8A).9 A comparison of market zone boundaries with ethnohistorically documented city–state territories (Hodge, 1984, 1994, 1996; Hodge and Minc, 1990, p. 422) indicates a very poor spatial agreement between exchange interactions and political allegiance at the local level. Rather, ceramic type distributions and market zone boundaries generally cross-cut city–state territories (Fig. 8B), and indicate that consumers and goods moved freely among polities belonging to the same confederation. At the regional level, however, borders between competing political confederations appear to have limited ceramic exchange to some degree. In the south, Zones 1–3 spatially conform to the Chalcan province, while in the north, Zone 5 represents the core area of the Acolhua confederation. Much of the intervening area (Zone 4) represents the buffer zone between the Chalca and Acolhua. Finally, the western area of Lakes Chalco-Xochimilco (Zone 6) corresponds to the confederation territories of the Culhua, Xochimilca, and Mixquica-Cuitlahuaca. Multiple type distributions conform to, rather than cross, these confederation boundaries, indicating 9 The southwestern portion of the Basin was dominated by Culhuacan and Xochimilco. Although the Culhua initially claimed control over much of the southern lakebed (Chimalpahin, 1958, p. 3,5; Davies, 1980, p. 23; Zimmermann 1960, p. 29), by the mid-1300s, their territory had contracted to a core area surrounding Culhuacan and the near-by centers of Ixtapalapa, Mexicaltzingo, and Huitzilopocho (Gibson, 1964, p. 11). Further east, the Xochimilca confederation controlled a large territory, much of which extended south of the study area (Parsons et al., 1982, pp. 76–78). Two small buffer states, Mixquic and Cuitlahuac, occupied the lakebed between the Culhua and confederations to the east (Anales de Cuauhtitlan, 1945, pp. 61–62; Durán, 1967, p. 22; Gibson, 1964, p. 12; Parsons et al., 1982). The southeastern corner of the Basin was home to the Chalcan league, of which the member city–states of Chalco, Tenango, and Amecameca are represented here (Chimalpahin, 1965; Schroeder, 1991). To the north, the Acolhua confederation, including the principal city–state centers of Huexotla, Coatlinchan, Texcoco, Chiautla, and Tepetlaoztoc, spread east from Lake Texcoco to the piedmont (Offner, 1983; Parsons, 1971). Between the Chalca and the Acolhua was a buffer zone, characterized in the archaeological record by sparse population and lack of extended suburban areas (Alden, 1979; Parsons, 1971, pp. 229–230). Polities of this zone (Chimalhuacan, Coatepec, and Ixtapaluca) were initially allied with the south, but more enduringly with the north (Anales de Cuauhtitlan, 1945, p. 29; Gibson, 1964, p. 17; Parsons et al., 1982, p. 81). 101 Fig. 6. Early Aztec assemblage richness by market zone. All zones display similar regression lines, indicating similar assemblage richness and an absence of hierarchy among market zones. that exchange interactions decreased markedly across these territorial limits. Market zones belonging to either the Chalca or Acolhua confederation have higher degrees of interaction among themselves; there are, however, significant organizational differences between these two regions. Within the Chalcan confederation, distinct market zones are identified, each associated with a single political center: Zone 1 contains Amecameca, Zone 2 surrounds Tenango, while Zone 3 contains Chalco. Within the Acolhua area, in contrast, there is a greater degree of similarity overall, as indicated by the fact that the cluster analyses did not agree on distinct subdivisions of this area. It can be hypothesized that the differences in economic organization between the Chalca and Acolhua confederations reflect, in part, differences in their pre-imperial political structure. For example, the Chalcan confederation is characterized as acephalous, containing a number of separate but equal city–states (Hodge, 1984, p. 139). This political separatism among Chalcan league members potentially encouraged the maintenance of distinct local traditions and expressions of ethnic identity (including ceramic decorative styles). In contrast, 102 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 Fig. 7. Differences among Early Aztec market zones based on ceramics displaying different levels of labor investment, as a potential measure of access to higher order goods. Table 5 Standardized v2 residuals for ceramics of different labor input groups relative to Early Aztec market zones Decorated ceramic labor input level Market zonea 1 1 1 2 2 color paint, simple design color paint, complex design colors or treatments, simple design colors or treatments, complex design a 11.4 0.7 3.0 8.3 2 3 9.3 1.3 1.5 9.8 4 4.0 2.6 4.9 5.6 5 5.3 3.4 2.3 1.4 6 5.2 1.0 3.0 7.1 2.1 1.1 1.6 1.3 Positive residuals >2.0 have been highlighted to clarify patterns of association between ceramic types and market zones. Fig. 8. Early Aztec political and economic divisions within the Basin of Mexico. (A) Early Aztec political geography: distribution of city– states and confederations. (B) Early Aztec market zones relative to political confederations. L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 there is evidence that the Acolhua confederation was somewhat hierarchically organized at this early date, with one city–state—Coatlinchan (located in Zone 5)—serving as capital and directing the affairs of other city–states (Gibson, 1964, p. 17; Hodge, 1984, p. 139). The greater degree of political integration may have translated into an overall higher level of economic interaction among allied city–states. Interpretation of Early Aztec market system organization Of the three models proposed for market exchange during the Early Aztec period—solar, network, and early stages of a hierarchically integrated market network—the Red ware stylistic data lend strong support to the model of non-centralized network market system characterized by overlapping market zones. We can, on the one hand, readily eliminate competing models. The lack of congruence between market zones and local (city–state) political boundaries excludes the solar market system model from further consideration. Similarly, the presence of major divisions within the Basin (particularly the exclusion of the Lake ChalcoXochimilco polities from participating in Red ware ceramic exchange) are not compatible with a model positing uninterrupted commodity flows within an integrated market network. On the other hand, the relations among these market zones are consistent with the regional organization of exchange under a network market system. The Early Aztec market zones exhibit well-developed lateral integration, in that the mapped ceramic distributions displayed a series of overlapping areas of concentration that were shared between adjacent market zones. Conversely, the evidence of hierarchical ties among market zones to articulate commodity flows throughout the larger area is weak. Some zones had richer (more diverse) assemblages and some contained more labor intensive ceramics, but no area consistently displayed superior access to the full diversity and wealth of Red ware types such as would result from hierarchical advantage in a regional system. In short, the Early Aztec pattern is consistent with a series of overlapping market zones, in which city–state administrative centers presumably served as important foci of exchange activities. While market activity readily crossed local city–state political territories, hostilities between competing confederations appear to have slowed economic interaction. 103 Verification of exchange interactions during the Early Aztec period The features of the Early Aztec market system as identified from Red ware stylistic data are supported by compositional analyses of Early Aztec ceramics from the study area to date. Instrumental neutron activation analysis of 147 Early Aztec Red ware bowls (Minc, 1994) noted strong regional differences in ceramic pastes and identified multiple centers of Red ware production within both the Chalcan and Acolhua confederations. Less than 3% of bowls analyzed could not be securely linked to production sources in these areas. Overall, the exchange of Red ware bowls moved freely across city–state borders but stayed largely within confederation boundaries. Greater than 80% of Red ware bowls manufactured by Chalcan-area producers were recovered within market Zones 1–3; similarly, greater than 75% of Red ware bowls manufactured by Acolhua sources were associated with market Zones 4 and 5. In contrast, the lakebed communities (Zone 6) were neither major producers nor consumers of Early Aztec Red wares. Analyses of Early Aztec Black/Orange ceramics (Hodge and Minc, 1990; Minc, 1994; Minc et al., 1994) similarly suggest the operation of several sub-regional market systems within the study area during the pre-imperial period that largely conform to confederation boundaries. Based both on the spatial distribution of distinct ceramic styles and on trace-element analyses of ceramic pastes (N = 70), ceramic exchange networks were associated geographically with the Chalcan (market Zones 1–3), Acolhua (market Zones 4 and 5), and Culhua (market Zone 6) confederations. In contrast, compositional analyses of Early Aztec decorated ceramics reported by Nichols et al. (2002) provide a geographically expanded view of pre-imperial market exchange. In particular, the Early Aztec sample from Xaltocan (N = 105) indicate that this northern center maintained more extensive exchange relations than noted for other sites in the Basin: greater than 60% of pre-imperial ceramics came from non-local sources, and a significant portion crossed confederation borders. Even here, however, regional divisions are indicated. While Xaltocan imported large quantities of ceramics from the southern and western Basin (Chalco, Culhuacan/Tenochtitlan, and Cuauhtitlan sources), exchange between Xaltocan and the eastern Basin (Texcoco) was extremely limited. The authors 104 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 suggest a split within the Basin between eastern and western market spheres (Nichols et al., 2002, p. 70; after Blanton, 1996, pp. 62–66), although their exact boundaries and relationship to political geography cannot be evaluated. For the Early Aztec period, then, compositional analyses of decorated ceramic pastes support key aspects of the model for pre-imperial market system organization as derived from the distributional approach. Both approaches indicate the operation of subregional systems of exchange in the Basin. The spatial scale of exchange clearly exceeded that of the city–state polity, while sharper boundaries in exchange were identified that reflect the geographic boundaries of confederations or other political alliances. In contrast, there is no strong indication of hierarchy among portions of the Basin, although this study suggests that the beginnings of market hierarchy may be indicated (based on differential access to higher quality ceramics) within the Acolhua domain. In general, most market zones enjoyed access to a diversity of local decorated ceramics, with elite competition and added prestige value presumably stimulating the demand for imported ceramics as well (Brumfiel, 1994; Nichols et al., 2002, p. 70). Market system organization in the Late Aztec period Fig. 9. Late Aztec market zones as identified through spatially unconstrained cluster analysis. Locating Late Aztec market zones As for the Early Aztec period, the examination of Late Aztec ceramic exchange began by determining the number and location of distinct market zones, using unconstrained cluster analysis of spatial data. Owing to extreme differences in the rate of artifact recovery, however, cluster analyses based on absolute densities and percentages of Late Aztec Red ware types do not show the high degree of correspondence as noted for the earlier period. There are, however, substantial areas of overlap in cluster boundaries denoting areas which both analyses classify as distinct that represent boundaries in ceramic exchange activity. Overall, the cluster analyses indicate that, during Late Aztec times, the study area was divided into two major ceramic spheres (SW and NE), each containing a number of distinctive subdivisions or separate zones (Fig. 9; Table 6). The SW sphere comprises the Lake ChalcoXochimilco area, an area dominated by the distinc- tive ‘‘Late Profile’’ bowls. Within this sphere, Zone 1 encompasses much of the western and central portions of the Xochimilco lakebed and adjacent lakeshore plain. East from this area, Zone 2 extends through the eastern end of Lake Chalco and into adjacent piedmont areas (Tenango to Amecameca) to the southeast. Both total Red ware densities and assemblage diversity decline markedly from Zone 1 to Zone 2, suggesting a core-periphery arrangement. Zone 3, in contrast, represents an area in the extreme SE corner of the study area that may well mark the margins of the Basin of Mexico exchange system. Although grouped spatially with the SW sphere, the near absence of Red wares in this area precludes accurate assessment of ceramic assemblage similarity. Accordingly, Zone 3 is generally omitted from subsequent analyses. The NE sphere extends through much of the Texcoco survey region, and can be similarly subdivided into apparent core and periphery. The centrally L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 105 Table 6 Definition and composition of Late Aztec market zones Market sphere and zone Areal extent (km2) SW Sphere Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3 1149 612 356 181 NE Sphere Zone 4 Zone 5 Zone 6 831 481 306 44 a b Mean ceramic densityb % of Red ware assemblage by market zone a B/R Var. C Late B/R Late B&W/Red B&W/ Red-G Yellow/ Red B&W&Y/ Red White/ Red B&R/ Tan 68 20 2 3.5 21.2 — 32.9 27.7 — 48.7 46.0 — 2.3 0.7 — 5.8 0.7 — 4.1 3.6 — 2.6 0.0 — 0.0 0.0 — 115 227 265 67.7 89.6 78.4 2.4 0.6 1.2 9.0 0.6 0.6 12.3 5.6 4.7 1.7 0.2 0.3 3 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 2.8 14.1 Based on type counts for all sites assigned to zone. Sherds/ha of collection area. located Zone 4 extends N–S along the lakeshore plain of Lake Texcoco, while a more peripheral Zone 5 extends inland into the piedmont areas east and north Texcoco. A number of administrative centers, including Texcoco, Huexotla, and Coatlinchan, fall on or very near the boundary between Zones 4 and 5. Finally, Zone 6 represents a small area in the NE corner of the study area near Tepetlaoztoc. The Red ware assemblages of all three northern zones are dominated by a single ceramic type, simple bowls decorated with the simple ‘‘comb motif’’ (Black/Red Variant C). However, Zone 4 contains the highest percent and a broader mix of higher status wares, while the more peripheral Zones 5 and 6 are relatively disadvantaged in these ceramics even though they have substantially higher Red ware ceramic densities overall. Zone 6 further appears distinctive in having a higher percentage of the Black&Red/Tan type; however, in terms of total assemblage composition, this small zone appears most similar to Zone 4. Characterizing Late Aztec market system structure Scale The cluster analyses suggest a two-tiered hierarchical division of the study area during Late Aztec times: a primary division between the SW and NE halves of the study area, and a secondary division within each of these into distinct zones. The Late Aztec market spheres represent a significant increase in the spatial scale of exchange interactions and a service area clearly exceeding the distance routinely traveled by peasants attending weekly markets (Table 6). Table 7 Matrix of Brainerd–Robinson coefficients indicating degree of similarity among Late Aztec market zonesa Zone Zone SW Sphere 1 2 3 4 5 6 a NE Sphere 1 2 3 4 5 6 200 165 200 — — — 44 74 — 200 16 48 — 156 200 17 49 — 158 176 200 Values for adjacent zones have been highlighted in bold. Network The matrix of Brainerd–Robinson coefficients (Table 7) supports the division of the study area into two relatively separate spheres of exchange interaction during Late Aztec times. Agreement coefficients are high (>155) between zones belonging to the same sphere (with the exception of the peripheral Zone 3), but low (<75) across the boundary between SW and NE spheres (between Zones 2 and 4). The sharp discontinuity between spheres suggests a poorly developed exchange network at the regional scale. Distribution maps for the dominant types for the Late Aztec period illustrate the division between the two sub-regional exchange systems. Late Profile Black/Red and Black&White/Red variants are clearly concentrated in the SW ceramic sphere (Figs. 10A and B), while Black/Red Variant C bearing the simple comb motif concentrates in the NE ceramic sphere (Fig. 10C). Only a minimal degree of overlap occurs between these predominant types; rather, their distributions create a sharp boundary running 106 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 Fig. 10. Late Aztec type distributions reflect a major division within the study area. (A) Late Profile Black/Red variants, concentrated in the SW market sphere. (B) Late Profile Black&White/Red variants, concentrated in the SW market sphere. (C) Black/Red Variant C, bearing the ‘‘comb motif’’, concentrated in the NE market sphere. L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 diagonally between the NE and SW spheres. The area where these major types do overlap consists of a lobe extending eastward from Lake Texcoco toward Texcoco, Huexotla, Coatlinchan, and Chimalhuacan, suggesting that these administrative centers held an important role in the interaction between the NE and SW exchange systems. At a finer spatial scale, Red ware ceramic distributions also clarify the nature of exchange interactions within each of these ceramic spheres, and suggest that the two spheres differ in their internal organization. The SW sphere appears to have been supplied by one major distribution center located in or near Zone 1. Ceramic densities for low-frequency, more elaborate Red ware types are highest in western Lake Xochimilco, and decline with distance from that apparent source. In the NE, in contrast, absolute densities suggest multiple centers of distribution. The elaborate Black&White&Yellow/ Red and the Late Profile Red ware types are concentrated in Zone 4, while the numerically dominant but simple Black/Red C is largely concentrated in the piedmont areas along the eastern edge of the study area within Zones 5 and 6. One of the lower frequency types—Black&Red/Tan—is concentrated in the extreme NE corner of the study in Zone 6, but extends well into Zone 5. Hierarchy Assemblage richness as a measure of differential access to a broader range of goods reveals clear differences among zones.10 Regression lines for Zones 1 and 2 in the south, and Zone 4 in the north display a much steeper slope than other zones, indicating areas with more diverse ceramic assemblages (Fig. 11). Within the SW sphere, both Zones 1 and 2 were equally diverse, while the extreme south (Zone 3) was clearly disadvantaged in both quantity and diversity of Red ware variants. In contrast, in the NE sphere, the core zone (Zone 4) enjoyed significantly greater access to a broader diversity of Red ware variants relative to more peripheral areas of the NE (Zones 5 and 6), suggesting a hierarchical advantage. 10 Ceramic units included in the assessment of Late Aztec assemblage richness were: Black/Red Variant C; Late Profile Black/Red Variants A, B, and E; Late Profile Black&White/Red Variants AW, AN, B, C, D1, D2, D3, E3, F; Black&White/Red Variant G; Yellow/Red, Black&White&Yellow/Red, White/ Red, and Black&Red/Tan (for type descriptions see Minc, 1994, vol. II). 107 Fig. 11. Late Aztec assemblage richness by market zone. Several market zones display steeper regression lines, indicating greater assemblage richness. Further evidence of hierarchical relationships among market zones comes from their relative access to higher-order goods, i.e. to ceramics requiring higher levels of labor investment (Table 8). In both spheres, one zone appears to have enjoyed significantly greater access to higher class ceramics than the other, a pattern consistent with a hierarchical relationship of one zone over another. In the SW, Zone 1 has significantly higher than expected counts of more labor-intensive ceramics, and somewhat lower than expected counts of ceramics with simple decoration. In the NE, Zone 4 has greater than expected counts of the elaborately decorated types, while Zones 5 and 6 have significantly more of the low-input ceramics, such as the simple ‘‘comb motif’’. These multiple lines of evidence suggest a welldeveloped hierarchy existed between market zones within the same sphere. In the SW, Zone 1 appears to have been the center of distribution for most ceramic types consumed in this sphere, with overall abundance falling off with distance from this area, and it enjoyed access to greater quantities of higher-class ceramics than did the more peripheral 108 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 Table 8 Standardized v2 residuals for ceramics of different labor input levels relative to Late Aztec market zones Labor investment Red ware type Market zonea SW Sphere 1 1 color decoration, simple to somewhat complex design 2 color decoration, simple to complex design 2–3 step decoration, complex to very elaborate design a Black/Red C Late Black/Red Late B&W/Red Black&Red/Tan B&W/Red G Yellow/Red B&W&Y/Red White/Red NE Sphere 2 14.2 18.0 19.3 3.7 3.2 6.6 2.7 7.1 6.4 9.1 11.3 2.3 2.8 0.7 1.4 0.7 3 4 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.2 5 0.6 5.0 2.6 0.2 5.8 0.5 2.1 1.7 6 8.9 7.4 10.1 2.0 1.5 3.2 3.1 1.8 2.8 3.9 5.9 9.0 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.1 Positive residuals >2.0 have been highlighted to clarify patterns of association between ceramic types and market zones. Zones 2 and 3. Similarly, in the NE, Zone 4 is characterized by greater assemblage richness and greater access to elite ceramics than the more peripheral Zones 5 and 6. In contrast, evidence for hierarchical relationships between the SW and NE spheres is not strong. Both spheres retained their distinctive stylistic traditions of elite and more mundane Red ware ceramics, arguing for their separate but equal status. Taken together these patterns suggest two relatively separate systems within which vertical ties were well-developed and predominated over lateral ties. Relationship to political geography According to Triple Alliance divisions, political control over the portion of the Basin under investigation here was divided between the two dominant imperial capitals, Tenochtitlan and Texcoco (Hodge, 1994, 1996; Hodge and Blanton, 1996). The northeastern portion of the study area, extending from Tepetlaoztoc to as far south as Ixtapaluca, remained firmly under Texcocan (Acolhua) control (Alva Ixtlilxóchitl 1975–1977, vol. II, pp. 89–90). In contrast, much of the south and southwest, corresponding to the Ixtapalapa, Chalco, and Xochimilco survey regions, came under TenochtitlanÕs control. Although the exact boundary dividing Acolhua and Mexica territories is unknown, the distribution of dependent communities (Hodge, 1996: Figs. 2–5) and CortesÕ comment (cited in Gibson, 1964, p. 15) that Tlalmanalco was on the Acolhua frontier suggest an approximate border extending from Lake Chalco (equidistant between Ixtapaluca and Chalco) angling southeast (Fig. 12A). Communities north of this line were dependencies of Texcoco; communities south and west of this line owed allegiance to Tenochtitlan. A comparison of market zone boundaries and Triple Alliance territories (Fig. 12B) indicates a close spatial agreement between political divisions and exchange interactions at the regional level. Specifically, the SW sphere corresponds with the area under the political jurisdiction of the Mexica and owing tribute to Tenochtitlan. Within this sphere, the core zone (Zone 1) falls in the western end of Lake Xochimilco, adjacent to the imperial center of Tenochtitlan, located just outside the study area to the west, under the extensive modern construction of Mexico City. In contrast, the NE sphere is spatially congruent with the area under Acolhua control with tributary obligations to Texcoco. In this sphere, the core zone (Zone 4) extends along the lakeshore and contains the Triple Alliance capital Texcoco, while the periphery extends east up the Texcocan piedmont (Zones 5 and 6). Interpretation of Late Aztec market system organization The patterns observed here are clearly at variance with long-held views about the Aztec market system which posit a high level of regional market integration in the Basin of Mexico during Late Aztec times, either within a hierarchically integrated market network or under a single dendritic market system serving the needs of Tenochtitlan. Rather, the Red ware stylistic data argue for a dual market system in the Basin, spatially congruent with major political divisions of the Triple Alliance. A distinguishing feature of the Late Aztec market system as observed here is the presence of two largely distinct spheres of Red ware exchange interaction, each subdivided into an apparent core zone and a periphery. Ceramic distributions show sharp L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 109 Fig. 12. Late Aztec political and economic divisions within the Basin of Mexico. (A) Late Aztec political geography: Triple Alliance divisions within the Basin. (B) Congruence between Late Aztec market spheres and Triple Alliance territories. boundaries along the division between spheres, reflecting a poorly developed regional market network. Further, the evidence for a hierarchical relationship within each sphere is strong. In both cases, the affluent core zones (adjacent to the imperial centers of Tenochtitlan and Texcoco) enjoyed greater access to higher quality ceramics and to imported ceramics. Their peripheries, in contrast, appear relatively disadvantaged: they consumed high quality ceramics in much reduced proportions. Overall, then, the regional pattern of Red ware ceramic distribution is most consistent with a dual, dendritic market structure focused on the two major centers of empire, Tenochtitlan and Texcoco. In keeping with our understanding of dendritic market systems, the predominance of vertical market integration argues that elite interests played a significant role in structuring Late Aztec market exchange. While the specific mechanisms of market manipulation remain unknown, the documentary sources suggest a variety of administrative actions that potentially contributed to a dendritic structure. Monopolistic controls over exotic raw materials needed to meet tribute assessments in finished goods could certainly favor the development of vertical market flows between rural producers and urban centers (Brumfiel, 1987b, p. 116; Hicks, 1987, p. 99). At the same time, legislative and normative controls over market location and participation potentially combined to inhibit lateral integration. For example, the location of marketplaces within administrative centers, the necessity to propitiate the patron deity of the local marketplace, obligatory market attendance for residents within a 10–15 km radius of the market place, and the prohibition on exchange outside the market (Berdan, 1975, pp. 206–207; Blanton, 1996, pp. 82–83; Carrasco, 1978, 1983; Durán, 1971, pp. 273–277; Kurtz, 1974; Torquemada, 1943, pp. 558–560) could effectively constrain consumer choice and locally align market participation with political affiliation. Verification of exchange interactions during the Late Aztec period Key features of the Late Aztec market system as reconstructed here are strongly supported by recent compositional studies of Aztec ceramics indicating that subregional exchange systems persisted (and were perhaps strengthened) under imperial rule. Of 110 L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 particular relevance here are trace-element analyses of 255 Late Aztec Red ware bowls from the study area (Minc, 1994; Minc, n.d.). Seven distinct centers of Red ware production were identified and associated with Texcoco, Tepetlaoztoc, and the Texcocan piedmont (under Acolhua control) as well as with Tenochtitlan, Cuauhtitlan, Xochimilco, and Chalco (under Mexica control). Regional maps linking Aztec Red ware bowls to their center of manufacture confirm the sharp boundary in exchange interactions along the political boundary between Mexica and Acolhua territories. Nearly 85% of Red ware bowls analyzed from the NE market sphere were manufactured by Acolhua producers (Minc, n.d.). Further, Mexica-made imports into the Acolhua market sphere were (a) more elaborate, and (b) concentrated within the core zone (Zone 4), confirming a hierarchical relationship in which consumers in the core zone enjoyed significantly greater access to higher quality goods. In contrast, imports into the Mexica zone were extremely limited: more than 95% of Red ware bowls recovered within the SW market sphere were produced within Mexicacontrolled territory. Within both spheres, the ceramics of local producers were widely distributed, initially suggesting a higher than expected level of lateral integration. However, a two-way v2 analysis reveals that while ceramics produced in or near the imperial capitals were uniformly distributed across market zones, those produced in the more peripheral zones were consumed primarily within their home market zone, a pattern consistent with poor network within the periphery. Related studies of ‘‘imperial-style’’ Black/Orange ceramics present a similar, if less detailed picture of subregional exchange systems. Initial analyses of Late Aztec Black/Orange vessels (N = 85) from the eastern and southern portions of the Basin revealed that the products from a given manufacturing source tended to concentrate geographically (Hodge et al., 1992, 1993). That is, Black/Orange ceramics produced in Texcoco were recovered largely in the area corresponding to the Acolhua state, while ceramics produced by Chalco and Culhuacan/Tenochtitlan sources in the southern part of the Basin were primarily restricted to areas under Mexica control. More recently, Nichols et al. (2002) present convincing evidence that regionalism actually intensified following imperial integration. Judging from patterns of Late Aztec (Aztec III) ceramic consumption at Chalco (N = 17), Cerro Portezuelo (N = 27), and Xaltocan (N = 36), for example, utilization of locally produced ceramics increased, while lateral ceramic exchanges among adjacent regions declined relative to the Early Aztec period. Further, the eastwest division noted for pre-imperial exchange relations apparently persisted. Chalco and Xaltocan, with strong political ties and tribute obligations to Tenochtitlan-Tlatelolco, imported ceramics from that center while ceramic exchange with Texcoco was conspicuously absent; conversely, the incorporation of Cerro Portezuelo into the Acolhua domain was marked by a corresponding increase in ceramic imports from Texcoco, although sample sizes are small (Nichols et al., 2002, pp. 70–71). Overall, there are significant points of agreement between direct measures of exchange as monitored from compositional analyses of decorated ceramic pastes and the model of imperial market system organization developed from the distributional approach. In particular, these alternative approaches suggest two major market spheres for the Late Aztec period that can be associated with the major political divisions. Within this bifurcated system, both (a) the emphasis on vertical ties with the imperial centers at the expense of lateral integration (noted by Nichols et al., 2002, pp. 70–71), and (b) the evidence for a hierarchical relationship among market zones within each sphere (noted here), are most consonant with a vertically integrated market system structure, as represented by the dendritic model. Continuity and change in Aztec market system organization Regional market system organization before and after the consolidation of the Aztec empire reveals strong continuities as well as areas of major change. On one hand, considerable continuity is apparent in the conformity of market zones to political boundaries—a factor that suggests that in both periods, political forces played a major role in restricting or structuring exchange interactions. During the Early Aztec, confederation boundaries between the Acolhua, the Chalca, and polities of the Lake Chalco-Xochimilco basin significantly inhibited exchanges of ceramic vessels. During Late Aztec times, Triple Alliance divisions between the Tenochca/Mexica and the Acolhua (based in part on earlier confederation boundaries) apparently presented even stronger constraints on consumer movements. On the other hand, the imposition of imperial rule was clearly accompanied by significant changes L.D. Minc / Journal of Anthropological Archaeology 25 (2006) 82–116 in market system organization. In terms of the four primary dimensions, these organizational changes involved: (1) an increase in the scale of market zones from multiple small zones during the Early Aztec to two large market spheres during Late Aztec times; (2) a decrease in the degree of market network or lateral commodity flows between zones; (3) a concomitant strong increase in market hierarchy or vertical commodity flows; and (4) a close spatial congruence between market spheres and expanded political territories. The presence of subregional exchange systems and the apparent spatial conformity of market spheres with Triple Alliance political divisions in this portion of the Basin suggest that consumer movements and market participation were determined as much by political affiliation as by economic incentives. These implications are consistent with the ethnohistoric view that Triple Alliance members retained a significant degree of autonomy with regards to the administration of their hinterlands, with a clear division of political control and economic influence between the dominant centers of empire, Tenochtitlan and Texcoco (Alva Ixtlilxóchitl 1975–1977, vol. II, p. 146; Carrasco, 1991, 1999). The actual mechanisms by which political authority created constraints on exchange remain hypothetical. In addition, further research is clearly needed to evaluate the extent and intensity of exchange interactions relative to administrative boundaries in other parts of the Basin. However, the patterns of market system organization revealed here suggest that political divisions and elite competition deserve increased scrutiny in our attempts to understand the Aztec economy. 111 exchange limit or encourage market participation and reliance, distinct patterns of commodity distribution are evident for each, with correlates that are readily apparent in the archaeological record. As applied to the Basin of Mexico, this approach has enabled the independent determination and mapping of boundaries between distribution systems, and provides a framework for examining the nature of exchange relationships between and within these distributional systems under Aztec rule. To a large extent, these results are consistent with patterns of exchange identified through compositional analyses of Aztec ceramics, while offering both greater spatial detail than is currently available and an enhanced conceptual framework for monitoring economic change within the Basin. It is hoped that these additions to our methodological toolbox will foster a critical rethinking of the Aztec case, and serve to stimulate new interest in market exchange in states and empires, an area which has received too little attention in recent research. Acknowledgments The Basin of Mexico ceramic collections examined for this study have been curated over the years by Jeff Parsons, and are now held by the Universidad Autónoma Chapingo, Mexico. I am indebted to Jeff for his foresight and dedication in preserving these important collections. I also thank members of the INAH Consejo for permission to export samples of Aztec ceramics for chemical analyses, and the reviewers whose thoughtful comments have significantly improved the clarity of my presentation. Kay Clahassey provided the fine artwork used as a basemap in Fig. 2. Conclusions Market systems both create and constrain opportunities for production and exchange, according to their regional organization and spatial extent. 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