Short presentation of Po River Basin Authority The Po River Basin Authority introduced by law 183/89, now 152/2006, is a collegiate body in which state and regional authorities are represented. It is composed of: - an “institutional committee”, a governmental “decision making” board composed of regions’ presidents and four ministers (Public Works, Environment, Agriculture and forestry, Cultural and Environmental Assets), and of the “Secretary General”; - a “technical committee”, composed by scientific experts, and technicians from regional institutions, is chaired by Secretary General and is the consulting body if the Institutional committee; - a “Secretary General”, who is the legal representative of the body and oversees and coordinates the activities; - a “technical-operational” secretariat, composed of technical and administrative personnel employee directly in the unit to carry out operational functions. Main activity and institutional framework The main responsibility of the Po River Basin Authority is the drafting and implementation of the Basin Plan, covering soil defence, hydrogeological and hydraulic risk management, water quality and land utilization. The basin Plan lays down policies and measure for the basin as a whole, considered with regard to physical/hydrological, not administrative, boundaries. The Basin Plans encompasses the following plans required by European legislation: - River Basin Managment Plan, from Water Framework Directive 2000/60, aimed primarily at the restoration of a good ecological status of European water; - Flood Risk Management Plans, from “Flood Directive” 2007/60 CE; - Drought Management Plan, from European Strategy on Water Scarcity and Drought and the “Blueprint to safeguard Europe’s water”. The Climate change issue is cross-cutting all these policies, and needs an action of “mainstreaming” (inclusion) in all these water related policies. It is very relevant the “science-policy interface” issue. Territorial features. The total area of the basin is 74.000 km2, of which only 4000 lying out of national border (Switzerland) (in grey in the figure). This part of basin contributes to the Maggiore Lake waters. Due to the small size of this area, the influence of CC transboundary issues are not a main issue in the Po River Basin activities, even if we have bilateral agreements with Switzerland regarding the rules to manage the Maggiore Lake water level during floods, which could be touched in the event of a prevision of increased flood risk due to CC. Anyway, due to historical-socio-economic asset of the district, and also to a lack of homogeneity in the climate, we’re called to “transregional” problem solving in managing extreme events that will be impacted from CC. Just to give an example the figure shows the distribution of the “De Martonne” meteorological aridity index, defined as the ratio between rainfall and temperature. On the left the situation during non irrigation period, on the right the situation during the irrigation period. In the Po district the season in which there’s a greater need of water corresponds to the season in which there is naturally fewer availability. The South-Eastern part (Emilia Romagna region) of the basin is in fact quite arid, while the Northern part (Lombardy and Piedmont regions) is quite rich in water resources. In the northern part the irrigation efficiency is very low compared to the South-Eastern, but in both these areas agriculture is one of the main sources of income. Climate change will impact very negatively on the South-Eastern part, where a reduction of natural water availability up to the 30% is expected in the next 50 years, accompanied by an increased water need due to a regional mean-annual local warming up to 3 °C. The main concern relates to drought and water scarcity risk: we experienced four drought/water scarcity events in the last ten years (2003, 2006-2007, winter 2001-2012, summer 2012). Thought, we developed a very advanced drought management system, which encompasses a “governance board” and a “technological board”: in the first all the institutional and economic stakeholders are called to decide on actual water management during water scarcity/drought events; the second consists in a very advanced computer model system, called “DEWS-Po: Drought Early Warning System for the Po River”, which can be profitably used both for crisis management and planning purposes or even for “what-if scenarios” simulation. The action started in 2005 with a “Memorandum of Understanding” which provided the following actions: - cooperation for the production of tools for the analysis and control of the water balance at river district level; - establishment of a “technical committee” to provide: oversight, guidance, liaison and consultation among the signatories; technical specifications for conducting monitoring activities, and forecasting of water crises; identification of specific indicators of water resource status and possible trends; tools for collecting, processing and return the necessary information to the purposes [of the agreement], and any tools and simulation models to represent the distribution of the resource within the area of interest. Basin wide monitoring system Since then a basin-wide monitoring system and integrated climate modelling system has been developed, and in the last three years it has been used intensively for water crises management and planning purposes. Here is the model interface. The architecture is based on the “Fews” system, provided by DeltaresDelft Hydraulic Company, which is now world wide distributed. The model integrates: - meteorological models and forecasting, on the short, medium and long (three months) range; - hydrological modelling; - hydraulic balance modelling; - tidal water modelling at the outlet; - subsurface water modelling; - reservoir modelling. Beyond the technical merit, this model has proved to be a very effective instrument of governance: also due to the huge amount of investment made both in terms of economic and human resources, it requires collaboration between different institutional components for decision making, development and maintenance, and forces to reach an agreement between different regions on the quantities represented and on the results that it provides, or will provide. This is the starting point/knowledge base for the agreement on water managing actions at district scale. For the evaluation of climate change impact, having future scenarios available, it is possible to run the model to assess the effect in terms of water availability/water use, and we’re working in this direction. Knowledge and strategy on climate change impacts and adaptation, needs and approaches to integrate CC adaptation into development plans and the water related sectors: the CCPO project. The need is to include the study of CC in three planning processes that are activated right now within Po River Basin Authority: - within the meaning of “Water Framework Directive”, 2000/60 CE, River Basin Management Plans (Water quality). In the six-year updates of River Basin Management Plan we’re being asked to take into account climate change effects in the second and third planning cycle. The priorities are: monitoring and early detection of climate trends. - Water Balance Plan (Water quantity). With regard to the strategy for drought and water scarcity. The objectives are: identification of historical trends, current status and future trends, identification of measures to address the water crisis and measures for the "medium term" to prevent water scarcity under climate change, development of Drought Managment Plans. - Flood Risk Management Plan, within the meaning of “Flood Directive” 2007/60 EC and following art. 4 of National Legislative Decree 49/2010. It is required the "assessment of the potential adverse consequences of future floods for human health, land, property, the environment, cultural heritage and economic and social activities taking into account factors such as […] the long-term socio-economic and environmental scenarios [….],also determined by the effects of climate change. Due to the interconnections between these three planning processes, we have designed a project to deal with the issue with an integrated approach. In order to ensure consistency with the strategic EC framework, the results of the project CCPO should allow to answer three questions for the assessment of climate policy, regarding "inclusion, coherence and weight": - To what extent are considered in the Po River Authority’s Plans, the objectives of climate policy? (inclusion) - How to analyze and recover the contradictions between the objectives of different policies, minimizing the negative interference? (coherence) - Are there defined relative priorities between the climate policy’s objectives and other policies’ objectives? (weight) Lessons learned: uncertainty and stakeholders Within the development of Water Balance Plan, a Public Participation Process has been activated to share Plan’s purposes, Plan’s instruments and measures between stakeholders and policy makers. The Public Participation Process consists of: - public Forums, organised at the beginning and at crucial moments of the planning process; - thematic workshops and “Focus groups”, with the invitation of experts and main stakeholders; - activation of “platforms” for the collection of information, comments and observations on what should be the contents of the plan, and what should be the problems faced and possible ways to address them, and the prevailing social and economic interests of the territory involved, or touched by, the plan. A “Thematic Workshop” and a “Focus Group” were organised specifically to face CC issues, with interesting outcomes. The aims were: - to present the actual situation and the possible impacts of future CC on water availability and distribution, especially during “dry periods”; - to present the different adaptation options which we collected through best practices inventory and guidelines; - to test the awareness and perception of CC within stakeholders (between theme: agricultural operators, hydropower producers, citizen); - to test the provision to adapt, in front of very uncertain future scenarios; - to collect expertise and knowledge. We collected the outcomes in a “return-report” which was shared again with participants, containing a summary of discussion, and “key-messages”. Here are the reported the key-messages which are the main goal of the process: Key message 1: in view of pressing of the European Community institutions (to develop adaptation strategies), an acceptable response may be the activation of processes/projects well thought out, sensible and sustainable in the light of available knowledge. Identification and upgrading of possible adaptation options can be considered an adequate response to the instances. Key Message 2: Provide answers to perceived "climate variability" rather than to long-term and large scale climate change scenarios, which are not considered reliable by stakeholders. Use "what if scenarios" based on impacts assessments of the occurred events. It is required the reconstruction of the "perception of the CC" to communicate effectively with the public. Key message 3: The general scientific level on the issue of climate change present in the district is adequate, as part of research institutions and public administrations. There is a need to strengthen the relationship between science and final-users to direct more specifically the production of scientific knowledge and technical tools (eg: scenarios). Key message 4: There a demand to produce short-term climate projections attached to tools for assessing the "cost of uncertainty". Key message 5: There’s a need to assess the impacts of extreme events due to CC over the last decade with shared/standard methodologies. The most involved sector in the topic "CC and water" is agriculture. There a need of appropriate and specific training activities to increase awareness of the economicsystems about the "climate risk" to which they are exposed. Key message 6: The adaptation costs are proportional to the uncertainty that economic systems must manage at the time they have to choose the strategy (ie. the cultivations) for the incoming season/period. To reduce adaptation’s costs it should be useful to reduce the uncertainty to a time-horizon of 2-4 years. Key message 7: Given uncertainty, “win-win” and “no-regret” solution and measures are well accepted, since they bring benefit to the system anyway.
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