CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES Report: Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies MND Auditorium, Singapore 18 June 2015 Contents 2 Video Link 2 Post Event Summary Report 7 Highlights from Q&As 9 About the Speakers 10 About the CLC Lecture Series CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES Click here to view the full lecture video Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies MND Auditorium, Singapore 18 June 2015 CLC Lecture Series: Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies with speaker Olaf Merk “The risk of transhipment is to simply move a few boxes without creating much local value.” Olaf Merk, OECD’s Administrator of Ports and Shipping, International Transport Forum and former Administrator of its Port-Cities Programme, made a case for how cities could benefit more from shipping. On 18 June, speaking to a Singapore audience comprising shipping executives, civil servants, academics and students, Mr Merk shared a number of studies on regulation and governance of ports, maritime services and port cities, including examples and analyses from the OECD recent title, The Competitiveness of Global Port-Cities. Mr Merk highlighted how the relationship between port cities faced a dearth of research. First, there was little literature on ports. Second, ports as a natural interface between cities had not been widely acknowledged nor discussed. Much more reflection would be needed in Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 2 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES order to understand the relationship between ports and their cities, as well as between cities through their ports. Spatial, economic and spiritual realities Describing how ports have historically been the sites of thriving cities, e.g., Amsterdam, Mr Merk positioned the role of ports as one of the interfaces between shipping and cities. In many instance, shipping has structurally defined the outlook of cities — where there are spatial, economic and spiritual realities that have set in for many port cities. Spatially, a port city could be natural or man-made. For instance, Singapore as a major hub was first due to its geography. In the case of Amsterdam, it is an example of a city that has taken on the shape of shipping. The spatial characteristics of a port city include road structures directed to ports, and urban plans that revolve around a desire to accommodate shipping. In many instances, ports have moved away from the city towards the sea. This is in part due to the economic reality of cities. Trading hubs like Amsterdam and Singapore often progress to a second stage of the industry. Beyond shipping, and increasingly seen in large cities, the move is towards banking and finance. Speaker: Olaf Merk Engagement in merchant shipping has also historically brought in the cultural sector, such as the enjoyment of the arts — highlighting a stronger focus on for what Mr Merk called “spiritual realities”. “It is, in a way, an agglomeration of values… a vehicle of mentalities and even spirituality,” he said, citing Joel Kotkin’s elements of great cities, i.e., personal safety, economic possibilities and sacredness. In port cities, it is shipping that shapes this nature. By linking the city to a larger context, Mr Merk said port cities were “generally more entrepreneurial, more cosmopolitan and more free-minded.” Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 3 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES How can cities benefit from shipping? Mr Merk shared three ways in which cities could benefit from shipping: trade and services cluster, industrial development, and waterfront development. All ports need maritime services, and these include legal services, engineering, ship classification and financing, to name a few. Citing Jane Jacobs on how waterfronts should be used for enjoyment, Mr Merk described how these have become more spectacular, and give cities a definite edge in their liveability. Illustrating the benefits in the figure below, Mr Merk said Singapore was in the centre of these overlapping benefits. This was quite an achievement because some economic functions were hard to combine, he said. Rotterdam, on the other hand, could be considered a typical port industrial complex with large industrial activity related to the port, particularly a petrochemical sector. Nonetheless, it has also developed into one of the leading European maritime clusters. The port of Los Angeles and Long Beach, an industrial complex, has managed to develop successful waterfronts, with cafes, restaurants, museums, an aquarium, craft markets and marinas. Dubai presents yet another model — from transhipment port to global logistics cluster, to a global tourist attraction as well, more or less due to its waterfront. Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 4 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES Fundamental differences between urban agglomeration and port logic Mr Merk shared some fundamental differences in urban centres and port logic. The main economic advantage of being in cities is agglomeration, where many people with different skills have access to many opportunities. This is the main reason why people choose to live in cities. Ports, on the other hand, work based on the logic of minimisation, e.g., minimising transport costs, etc. These two differences pose challenges to port cities. A trade and services cluster could, to some extent, will combine with a waterfront economy because this economy could provide urban amenities that could make the city more attractive. However, large industrial areas could be considered largely incompatible with the other two sectors. For instance, the creative class that may want to live in a reconverted warehouse, while they might appreciate the local fish markets, generally does not appreciate the fumes from a series of oil refineries or the fumes from big cargo ships. Related to these economic profiles are some social considerations. Shipping and port industrial activities are traditionally labour intensive and fairly low-skilled, often carried out by a workforce of predominantly immigrants. This population composition has prevailed in most port cities, even when economic functions have over time become less labour-intensive, such as developing into higher-end maritime cluster. This simultaneous presence of a former population related to a port industry and a new population related to the high-end services, for example, can create social tensions, said Mr Merk. Sometimes described as the “frontline soldiers of globalisation”, port cities can become places where social dissatisfaction and the resentment of elites begin. “It is no coincidence that some of the port cities are indeed the places where some of the recent extremist political movements have emerged; think Marseilles, Rotterdam, Antwerp and Gothenburg,” he said. Upsizing, consolidation, energy and the environment What are the developments that shape the relation between shipping and their ports? Mr Merk focused on three different trends when addressing this question. The first was upsizing, the second consolidation, and the third was related to energy and the environment. In terms of upsizing, he discussed mega ships and their impacts. These are becoming bigger than apartment buildings and even neighbourhoods. To give a sense of the acceleration in ship sizes, he said: If you look at container ships, it took two decades to double in size between 1975 and 1995. It took one decade to grow from 5,000 to 9,000 TEU [20-feet equivalent] ships, and another decade to go from 9,000 to what is now the biggest ship, the 19,000 TEU ship. Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 5 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES Today, ships of 21,000 TEUs are in the order books. The OECD has also reflected in their study on mega ships, scenarios in which there will be 24,000 TEU ships in 2020. These will have huge impacts on the whole transport chain — in maritime transport and also terminals, ports and landside transportation. Mega cities with ports also mean that shipping markets will be more in direct competition. The peaks in ports of mega cities, generated by mega-ships, will translate into traffic peaks and possibly contribute to more urban gridlock. Labour flexibility, Mr Merk said, will be needed to accommodate the big peaks of mega-ships. For instance, truck drivers will be nudged into driving at night, warehouses will need to be opened 24 hours a day. Port cities should be prepared for a lot of local resistance related to this. What does this mean for policy planning? Mr Merk concluded his presentation by drawing attention to the kinds of policy planning challenges involved in developing port cities for the future. The first challenge was size. Mega cities, mega ships and mega ports — all these needed forward-looking and strategic planning. It involves delicate planning with phenomenal investment, and if competitors do the same, one immediately becomes less effective. The second challenge was consolidation. This includes the regulation of competition. “Concentration can make cities very expensive”, he said — a paradox of many global cities, where their successes eventually undermine their sustainability. For instance, in terms of negotiating power, “ports in South Europe would do well to collaborate more or actually merge.” The merger of certain ports mirrors the consolidation of all these shipping lines. The third and final challenge was in energy. Mr Merk emphasised the need for institutions to come together, and for policymakers to provide the infrastructure in order to recognise and manage a real energy transition. “Port authorities would need to become more entrepreneurial”, by developing into network managers and bringing together different actors and to create synergies between those actors. This will be an important step to improve “the acceptability of the port versus its citizens of the port city,” he said. Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 6 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES Highlights from Q&A From left: Olaf Merk and R Arjun Batra (moderator) The Q&A session was moderated by Mr Arjun Batra, Group Managing Director, Drewry Shipping & Consultants Ltd. The following are some highlights from the session: In terms of future development, Singapore is now moving its container terminals out of Pasir Panjang to Tuas. What will be the main challenges for Singapore as port city, or even as a maritime centre? Mr Merk replied that when assessing the challenges of a port, determining factors are largely based dependent on external developments. It depends on what the competitors are going to do, if they are “at the same game as Singapore”, and whether these competitors will be more efficient. “Are they also going to be able to benefit from their geographical location?” he asked. There is not much that Singapore can do in this aspect, apart from continuing to improve its efficiency, to be at the forefront of a lot of technological innovation, etc. If Singapore is able to achieve that, Mr Merk thinks it will continue to play a central role as a transhipment hub for the years to come. About Singapore’s position as a maritime centre, the challenge — as with all large maritime centres — is in “how to deal with the successes”, he said. If a global city becomes too successful, it also undermines its success, in that it could become too expensive such that the quality of life that first attracted a lot of the global talent to that place also starts to decrease. There needs to be a balance there, he said. Also relating to quality of life are the environmental impacts that very large ports tend to have. Mr Merk qualified that Singapore was doing comparatively well in relation to Hong Kong and Shanghai, Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 7 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES when it comes to global maritime city functions and environmental sustainability. But it might, in the future, have to “up its game if all others are doing [the same].” What will be the impact for Asia if Nicaragua builds its canal, and how important will the Nicaragua Canal be for Singapore? Mr Merk suggested that the key factor would be the performance of the main shipping flows that are going on right now. For the moment, he thinks the role of Singapore is still very important “because there is a lot of Asia-Europe maritime transport.” The question is whether a Nicaragua Canal be a game changer. Here, the burden of the proof is on the stakeholders behind the Canal. His personal sense is that the current and projected flows via the Malacca Straits — with Singapore as its hub — will continue to be the main route. In planning ahead and looking beyond the move of the port to Tuas — what are some of the new elements Singapore should consider, given that the OECD has done the study on the port cities and future opportunities? Mr Merk replied that there are two elements to consider. The first is related to Singapore’s unique position — not only as a port but as a leading maritime cluster and a leading waterfront economy. (The latter underlines the element of the quality of life and the liveability.) Therefore, an important issue for Singapore is environmental sustainability. Looking at some of the large US and European ports, “there is a lot of effort, a lot of thinking going on”, about the different measures to mitigate some of their environmental impacts. This is sometimes in the form of international regulation, e.g., emission control, but in many cases, they are in the form of local initiatives, such as incentive structures to reduce environmental impacts, having cleaner port trucks and cleaner ships. There is a whole range of instruments that some other ports have used, he said, that might also be considered for the case of Singapore. The second thing is the trend of developing ports further away from the city and the city centre. To him, this tends to lead to the “disconnectedness of the citizens with its port.” It is important to ensure citizens still know there is a port in order to have local support for sustaining these port functions well. That way, people would still be willing to see a their tax monies go into sustaining such an infrastructure. This could be a challenge in the longer term, i.e., making sure that the port is still somehow present in the hearts and minds of the Singaporean. Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 8 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES About the Speakers Speaker: Mr Olaf MERK Administrator, Ports and Shipping, International Transport Forum Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Mr Merk directs studies on ports, port-cities, port regulation and governance. He is the author of various OECD books including “The Competitiveness of Global Port-Cities”. In his previous posting as Administrator of the OECD Port-Cities Programme, he directed more than a dozen studies on port-cities, including on Shanghai, Hong Kong, Rotterdam and Hamburg. He has authored various portrelated articles in academic and professional journals. He is also Assistant Professor at the Institute for Political Science (Sciences Po) in Paris. Prior to the OECD, he worked for the Netherlands Ministry of Finance. He holds a Master’s degree in Political Science from the University of Amsterdam. Moderator: Mr Arjun BATRA Group Managing Director, Drewry Shipping & Consultants Ltd Arjun Batra is a shareholder and Group Managing Director of Drewry Group, with overall responsibility for Advisory operations within the Drewry group of companies. Arjun has been instrumental in setting up Drewry’s international offices in India and Singapore. His previous experience includes finance director at Stelmar Tankers, and senior positions with Easyjet and Troodos Shipping. He holds a MSC in Shipping from the Cass Business School and is a Master Mariner. Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 9 CENTRE for LiveableCities SINGAPORE LECTURE SERIES About the CLC Lecture Series The Centre for Liveable Cities was set up in 2008 by the Ministry of National Development and the Ministry of the Environment and Water Resources, based on a strategic blueprint developed by Singapore’s Inter-Ministerial Committee on Sustainable Development. Guided by its mission to distil, create and share knowledge on liveable and sustainable cities, the Centre’s work spans three main areas - Research, Capability Development, and Promotion. The CLC Lecture Series is a platform for urban experts to share their knowledge with other practitioners. © 2015 Centre for Liveable Cities All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without prior written permission of the Centre for Liveable Cities. Centre for Liveable Cities Lecture Series: “Shipping Cities and their Interdependencies” 10
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