REFERENCE: Sarmento, H., Barbosa, A., Anguera, M.T., Campaniço, J., & Leitão, J. (2013). Regular patterns of play in the counterattack of the FC Barcelona and Manchester United football teams. In D. Peters & P. O´Donoghue (Eds.), Performance Analysis of Sport IX (pp. 59-‐66). London: Routledge. 59 CHAPTER 9 Regular patterns of play in the counterattack of the FC Barcelona and Manchester United football teams Hugo Sarmento, António Barbosa, Maria T. Anguera, Jorge Campaniço and José Leitão 9.1 INTRODUCTION Traditionally, the frequency of occurrence of events (e.g., number of passes made in a certain area of the field or how many times a team committed an error) have been used as indicators of performance. Studies based on the analysis of frequency of certain performance parameters provide important information for coaches and athletes, enabling advances in training processes. However, the game of football is characterized by great complexity that make it difficult to objectify its observation and analysis. The expression “playing style” is now commonly used by the fans, coaches and in academic settings. However, this is a complex concept that is influenced by many factors, like the strategy or philosophy of the playing style (i.e., a plan of how a team should play), the tradition, identity and history of the club, as well as the specific environment that characterizes the game (e.g., quality of opposition, match status). Determining which style of play is more effective has long been disputed by soccer performance analysts including match-performance researchers. Initially the published data advocated a direct approach to goal (Reep and Benjamin, 1968) which has created much debate and rebuttal for those who suggest possession as a key indicator of success (Hughes and Franks, 2005). Trying to predict future performance on the basis of previous performances is an important goal for notation analysts. Typically the basis for any prediction model is that performance is repeatable, to some degree. In other words events that have previously occurred will occur again in some predictable manner. This type of prediction is based on the principle that any performance is a consequence of factors like prior learning, inherent skills and situational variables (James, 2012). In order to detect regular structures of behavior, T-patterning has been already been used to establish playing patterns in football. The basic premise here is that the interactive flow or chain of behaviour is governed by structures of variable stability that can be visualized by detecting these underlying T-patterns. Thus, the aim of the present study is to demonstrate the potential of the software THEME 5.0, for the detection of behavior temporal patterns (T-pattern) in Performance Analysis of Sport IX 60 the football game, more specifically, in the actions of counter-attack of the F.C. Barcelona and Manchester United Football teams. 9.2 METHODS The sample included 24 games (12 per team) from the sporting season 2009/2010 of the F.C. Barcelona and Manchester United teams. The design used in the present study was based on the observational methodology applied to the acquisition of data . The matches were analysed through systematic observation by using a specific instrument to observe the offensive process (Sarmento et al. 2010). The reliability of data was calculated by the intra and inter observer agreement (Cohen´s Kappa), and values above 0.90 for all criteria were achieved: i) Type of attack (0.99, 0.97, intra-observer agreement and inter observer agreement, respectively); ii) Start of the offensive process (0.94, 0.91); iii) Development of the OP (0.99, 0.98); iv) End of the OP (0.96, 0.95); v) Area where the action was performed (0.96, 0.93); vi) Interactions contexts in the centre of the game (0.93, 0.91). The following criteria were used in this study: 1- Type of attack; 2- Start of the offensive process (OP); 3- Development of the OP; 4- End of the OP; 5- Area where the action was performed (Figure 9.2); 6- Interactions contexts in the centre of the game. To analyse the interaction context, we used the concept of the centre of the game (Castelo, 1992), that is defined as the zone of the field where the ball moves at a certain instant, through a context of cooperation and opposition of the influential players in the game, in the specific zone where the player that is in the possession of the ball is. For the detection of temporal patterns, we used the software THÈME 5.0, and the following criteria were used: the minimum number of times a pattern must occur to be detected was set at 3 and the level of significance was set at 0.05. In this context, the software THÈME as a program that detects temporal patterns assumes a particular importance. The temporal patterns recognised are based on an algorithm described in several publications (e.g., Magnusson, 2000) that was developed and extensively tested in non-sporting contexts. We can characterize this algorithm based on the assumption that the flow of complex human behavior (e.g., sports performance) is based on sequential structure as a function of the time, has a discrete nature that is not fully detectable without the use of standardized statistical methods, as well as by the use of behavioral analysis techniques (Borrie et al., 2002). In the analysis of actions in football, if we have that registration done in a systematic way, taking into account the successive units in which it breaks down the flow of practice runs, it is possible to evidence that there are repetitive temporal patterns of behavior (T-pattern) (Anguera, 2004). The most valuable contribution of T-patterns arises from the possibility of detecting particular types of temporal structures (Borrie et al., 2002). Given that patterns facilitate the detection of hidden structures, they are of significant importance in the analysis of the football game. This technique of analysis allows the representation of a specific diagram (Figure 9.1), which corresponds to the actions that occur in the same order, with distances (relatively to the number of frames) that remain relatively invariant, always within the critical interval time (Anguera, 2004). Regular patterns of play in the counterattack of FC Barcelona and Manchester United 61 9.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The data analysis revealed the existence of 787 different T-patterns in the team of the FC Barcelona, ranging from a minimum of 1 level to a maximum of 6 levels and a minimum of 2 events to a maximum of 9 events. We selected 8 t-patterns (4 per team), in relation to different phases of the counterattack that were analysed in a detailed way (each pattern occur at least 3 times). Initially we present the diagram of the software together with the respective graphical representation of the obtained T-pattern. Subsequently we will put only the visual representations of the T-patterns obtained. The first pattern (Figure 9.1a and 9.1b) represents an incomplete T-pattern (it does not include the end of the offensive process) in relation to the start of a counterattack sequence (this pattern occurred three times). This counterattack: 1) was initiated by an interception of the ball in the left corridor (zone 6) in an interaction context of numerical superiority, 2) followed by a short pass (diagonally forward) in the central defensive midfield (zone 5) in a context of numerical superiority; 3) a player performed the reception/control of the ball (zone 9) in a interaction context of numerical equality, 4) and then, the sequence developed through a short pass (diagonally forward) performed in zone 5 (numerical inferiority); 5) this pass is followed by a reception/control of the ball by a colleague in zone 8 (numerical superiority). Performance Analysis of Sport IX 62 Figure 9.1a Diagram of the T-Pattern 1 – Barcelona Figure 9.1b T-Pattern 1 – Barcelona In a general way, there is a similar feature in the selected F. C. Barcelona tpatterns (Figures, 9.1a and b, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4), i.e., the sequences start through an interception of the ball in the left corridor (zone 6) in terms of numerical superiority, after that, there was a quick transfer of the game center, from the right to the left side, trying to take advantage, probably, of the imbalance of the opposing defensive structure (numerical equality). The sequences are developed through actions like the conduction of the ball with the intention of displacing the center of the game in the field of the game, to the areas close to the penalty area. In relation to the analysis of the sequences that end through a shot with a scored goal allowed us to understand (beyond the fact that these sequences are developed by the left corridor) that these shots are performed in the central zone of the offensive sector (zone 11) in conditions of numerical inferiority. All the presented patterns are repeated at least 3 times. Regular patterns of play in the counterattack of FC Barcelona and Manchester United Figure 9.2 T-Pattern 2 - Barcelona 63 Figure 9.3 T-Pattern 3 – Barcelona Figure 9.4 T-Pattern 4 - Barcelona Relatively to the Manchester United team, the data analysis revealed the existence of 118 different T-patterns (Figures 9.5, 9.6, 9.7, 9.8), ranging from a minimum of 1 level to a maximum of 5 levels and a minimum of 2 events to a maximum of 8 events. In a similar way to the patterns found relatively to the FC Barcelona team, the selected Manchester United T-patterns showed that the sequences of the counterattacks start in the central zone of the defensive midfield (zone 5), in a context of numerical superiority, and are developed in the left corridor through actions like the short pass to forward, the diagonal pass forward, and reception/control of the ball, in contexts of numerical equality. The last pass came from the left corridor (zone 7), and the sequences finished in the central zone of the Performance Analysis of Sport IX 64 offensive midfielder (zone 8 and 11), through a shot inside or a shot with a scored goal. Figure 9.5 T-Pattern 5 - Manchester Figure 9.6 T-Pattern 6 – Manchester Figure 9.7 T-Pattern 7 - Manchester Figure 9.8 T-Pattern 8 - Manchester When we analyzed the obtained results for the two studied teams we observed that much more patterns were detected for the team of Barcelona (n = 787) compared with the Manchester United team (n = 118). This suggests that the offensive sequences of Barcelona have a more defined temporal and sequential structure than the sequences of counterattack of Manchester, which seem to reveal a greater variability of the behaviors performed by this team. On the other hand, when we analyzed the patterns presented above jointly, we found that there are similar aspects. Though, these counterattack sequences begin in the central zone (Manchester) or right zone (Barcelona) of the defensive Regular patterns of play in the counterattack of FC Barcelona and Manchester United 65 midfield in situations of relative numerical superiority, developed subsequently in the left side of the offensive midfielder. However, while the players of the Barcelona team used actions like conduction of the ball and dribble to progress on the field of play, the players of Manchester team make it through the use of short passes. In both teams, the effectively ending sequences (e.g., goal, shot defended by the goalkeeper, etc.) are preceded by actions (reception/control of the ball, shooting) in the central sector of the offensive sector (zone 11) in interaction contexts of numerical inferiority. 9.4 CONCLUSIONS The results show that many temporal patterns exist in soccer, namely in the teams of FC Barcelona and Manchester United The number (787, 188, respectively), frequency (at least three repetitions for each of the previously mentioned patterns) and complexity (ranging from 1 to 6 and 1 to 5 levels, respectively) of the detected patterns indicate that sport behavior is more synchronized than the “human eye” can detect. This type of analysis allows us to know and to characterize the regular structures of offensive sequences in football teams. The T-patterns detected in these successful teams allowed us to know how that process is developed in an effective way. This information is relevant, on the one hand for the team itself because it makes it possible to conceive training exercises in order to increase this efficiency, and on the other hand it allows, for example, that the opposing coaches can develop strategies to prevent that the Barcelona and Manchester United teams perform these transitions effectively. Through the use of this methodology, the coaches can have new tool to analyze the game so different from the tools currently available. Now they can analyze the patterns of play that most often induce to the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of his team or opposing teams. It becomes thereby possible to complement in a scientific way the analysis that usually is performed through "the naked eye”. 9.5 REFERENCES Anguera, T., 2004, Hacia la búsqueda de estructuras regulares en la obsservación del fútbol: detección de patrones temporales. Cultura, Ciencia y Deporte, 1(1), pp. 15-20. Borrie, A., Jonsson, G.K. and Magnusson, M.S., 2002, Temporal pattern analysis and its applicability in sport: an explanation and exemplar data. Journal of Sports Sciences, 20(10), pp. 845 - 852. Castelo, J., 1992, Conceptualização de um modelo técnico/tático do jogo de futebol. Identificação e caraterização das grandes tendências evolutivas do jogo das equipas de rendimento superior. Tese de Doutoramento, (Lisbon, Portufal: Universidade Técnica de Lisboa). Performance Analysis of Sport IX 66 James, N., 2012, Predicting performance over time using a case study in real tennis, Journal of Human Sport and exercise, 7(2), pp. 421-433. Hughes, M. and Franks, I., 2005, Analysis of passing sequences, shots and goals in soccer. Journal of Sports Sciences, 23(5), pp. 509-514. Magnusson, M., 2000, Discovering hidden time patterns in behavior: T-patterns and their detection. Behavior Research Methods, Instruments & Computers, 32, pp. 93-110. Reep, C. and Benjamin, B., 1968, Skill and chance in association football. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 131, pp. 581-585. Sarmento, H., Anguera, M.T., Campaniço, J. And Leitão, J., 2010, Development and validation of a notational system to study the offensive process in football. Medicina (Kaunas), 46(6), pp. 401-407.
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