The International Hydrological Decade Water and man; a world view. ~~RAYMOND L. NACE Unesco I’uhlished in 1969 hy the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Orpanization Place de Fontenoy, 75 Paris-7” Printed hy Irnprimeries Oherthur 0 Unesco lY6Y Prinkd in France COM.6Y/I1.?9/A Unesco and its programme In this series: Teachers for the schools of tomorrow by Jean Thomas The right to education by Louis Franqois Children’s progress by Richard Greenough In partnership with Four statements Preservation youth on the race question of cultural rater and man: a world by Raymond L. Nare heritage view Preface The International Hydrological Decade, sponsored by Unesco, began on 1 January 1965 as man’s first concerted attempt to take stock of his diminishing available resources of fresh water and to co-ordinate world-wide research on ways of making better use of them. The Decade, which began in the context of a world water shortage, has now reached its half-way mark. It has mobilized hydrologists the world over in a task of equal urgency to developed and developing countries alike. In fact, it is a task that could be called a textbook example of a scientific problem that can be solved only by international co-operation. The historical and scientific background of the problem and the manner in which the machinery of international co-operation has been put into motion are the subject of thi,s booklet in the Unesco series. The author, Dr. Raymond L. Nace, and its Programme holds the position of research hydrologist with the Water Resources Division of the United States Geological Survey. He has served as chairman of the United States National Committee for the International Hydrological Decade and as United States representative on the Decade’s Co-ordinating Council. He has worked on problems of general hydrology in the United States and on the disposal of radioactive waste. The opinions expressed here are the author’s and do not necessarily reflect the official views of Unesco. Contents Water I and the environment II Water : the substance 11 III air conditioning Planetary Earth’s The global 9 15 IV water wheel V distillation VI Man and water through VII Yardsticks 16 system 17 the ages 19 30 VIII The plight of man 34 IX A look towards the future 36 X A programme for action XI Accomplishments 4.2 38 I Water and the environment Since the dawn of civilization increased numbers of people and proliferation of their activities have depended on surmounting natural environmental restrictions, including the amount and distribution of water. Water development and water policies always have been important, as is evident from the many physical and administrative measures to control its distribution and use, beginning with the ancient Sumerians of Mesopotamia and becoming ever more complex with the passage of time. Even so, water problems are becoming increasingly critical in many regions, including areas in developed countries where water is relatively abundant. The reason is that in many regions problems are less apt to relate to water quantity than to its quality. Broadly stated, water problems are few but basic: distribution in space (too much or too little) ; distribution in time (too much in some seasons or years and not enough in others) ; chemical quality (too highly mineralized; lacking in desirable minerals; containing deleterious minerals) ; and pollution. More will be said about these problems in later sections. Here it is appropriate to note that some well-intentioned individuals spea,k confidently of surmounting all problems by achieving mastery of the environment. This is an illusory goal. Man first must master himself. The plain fact is that he has not done so, and because of this he has so completely upset the natural environmental system in which he evolved, that he no longer knows what his place is in the system except as an element of disorder. We do know that water has a vital role in every earth environment from the depths of the sea to the highest mountain; from the dryest desert to the wettest rain forest; and from the tropics to the polar ice-caps. It also has a role in every activity of man and beast. Thus far, our attempts at ‘mastery of the environment’ have 9 Water and the environment been mere short-sighted tinkerings with the landscape. Meanwhile, other human activity has brought on unwanted, unforeseen, and poorly understood side effects. Human activity already has contaminated the entire world ocean, the atmosphere, and even the remote ice caps of Greenland and Antarctica. Most rivers are polluted to some extent and many are nauseous open sewers. The plant cover and soil fertility of vast areas have been destroyed. Yarts of the story of human despoliation of the earth have been told many times. But the whole story cannot be told because not all of it is known and the story has not yet ended. The problem is not mastery of the environment. The problem is whether nature can be preserved in some semblance of order and whether civilization can survive its own impact on nature. The facts of history vis-&is the plight of most of mankind today are sufficient evidence that the problems of man and his environment are not problems of the men of individual nations. They are problems of all men and all nations. This is especially true of water. The mobility of water is one of its most useful properties, but it also gives rise to serious problems, both practical and scientific, international as well as national. It is instructive, to consider water as a substance and in global therefore, perspective. 10 II Water: the substance Water is the only common substance that occurs naturally and simultaneously in three distinct phases as gas, liquid, and solid. This was recognized and emphasized by Thales of Miletos about 2,500 years ago. Owing to the unusualness of this common substance, man has cloaked water with mystery throughout his history, and much mystery remains even today. Each physical and chemical property of water was a surprise, when discovered, and surprises continue to come. Study of water has led to many important discoveries about the physical world, and this is one of the reasons why K. S. Davis and J. A. Day, in their book on water, call it ‘The mirror of science’. Mean sea level is the standard reference datum for geodesy, geophysics and other sciences that need a fixed datum. The freezing-point of water is the zero point of the Celsius temperature scale, and its boiling-point is the loo-degree mark. On the relative density scale of matter, the density of pure water is taken as unity. These are a few examples of ways in which water is important in science, and hence in human affairs, far beyond its ordinary daily uses. The story of the growth of civilization and science could be written largely in terms of human concern with water. .4 vial of water It is said that a small sealed vial in Paris (France) contains 45 grams of water that was synthesized in 1775 by burning a gas that later received the name of hydrogen. Nowadays, any schoolboy can do the same thing, but two hundred years ago chemistry still had made no clean break with alchemy. The true structure and composition of chemical substances were unknown. Even water, the most common of palpable substances, was a chemical mystery. 11 Water: the substance Antoine-Laurent Lavoisier, working in his laboratory at Paris, the Mecca of eighteenth-century natural scientists, was not the first man to synthesize water. He was preceded by the eccentric and misanthropic amateur English chemist, Henry Lord Cavendish, but Cavendish was unable to explain what had happened. Another amateur chemist, Joseph Priestley, the English dissenting ecclesiastic and teacher, also had observed that some kinds of combustion produced moisture. Several other experimenters made similar observations independently and about at the same time. None of these, however, understood the combustion reaction. Lavoisier correctly explained what he had achieved. In doing so he overthrew the old phlogiston theory, which had led Priestley, Cavendish and others astray. By this and other accomplishments Lavoisier laid the foundations of modern chemistry. Atoms of water The atomic theory of matter is the oldest scientific hypothesis extant. The Greek natural philosopher, Democritus of Abdera (c. 460-350 B.C.), taught an atomic theory which had been originated by his mentor, Leukippos of Miletos. But modern atomic theory is a far cry from Leukippos’ idea of an invisible and indivisible simple mote. The constitution of matter was not studied seriously until 2,100 years after Leukippos’ time. Late in the seventeenth century Robert Boyle and Isaac Newton resurrected the concept of the atom, though calling it a corpuscle. Boyle also drew a distinction between chemical elements and compounds, and Lavoisier later confirmed this in his experiments with water and its constituents. In 1808 John Dalton published an atomic theory, including the law of constant proportions among the elements in a given compound. That is, contrary to traditional belief, water has the same proportions of hydrogen and oxygen whether it falls from the sky, flows in the Rhine, or is frozen in the heart of Antarctica. He also conceived the law of multiple proportions among given elements in series of compounds. That is, compounds may include the basis AB, AB,, AB,, etc., but not AB,g. He also established for a system of relative atomic weights, using as unity the weight of the lightest element, hydrogen. His system gave wrong weights because he assumed, as had Lavoisier, that water is HO. In 1809 12 Water: the substance Joseph Louis Gay-Lussac gave a clue to the correct formula with his observation that bulk reactions of gases conformed to Dalton’s laws for atoms. Thus, two volumes of hydrogen combine with one volume of oxygen. Dalton rejected this idea, however, and it remained for the Italian, Amedeo Avogadro, to straighten matters out with his concept of the molecular state of elemental free gases. This was published in 1811, though not accepted until nearly fifty years later. Dalton’s laws, which really were only astute guesses, were confirmed within only a few years, and the composition of water as H,O was firmly established. From then on, advance in chemistry was rapid, and water continued to play a prominent role. By 1895, after origination and confirmation of the periodic table of the elements, devised by Dmitri Ivanovich Mendeleev and published in 1869, the atom achieved full recognition. By 1905, Albert Einstein had, at least on paper, smashed the unsmashable atom. Not until 1934, however, did the American chemist, Harold Clayton Urey, show that ‘HrO’ is not the whole chemical story of water. Urey proved the existence of heavy hydrogen (deuterium) and heavy water (D,O). Then came the discovery of heavier hydrogen (tritium) and still h eavier water (T20). Oxygen also has three isotopes. Theoretically, therefore, in combination with three isotopes of hydrogen, eighteen subspecies of H,O are possible. The chemical story of water in the test tube, on the other hand, gives scarcely a hint of its importance in the history of the earth and its inhabitants. 14 III Planetary air conditioning The importance of water far surpasses its function in vital organic processes and it,s varied uses by man. Water is a key factor in the natural air-conditioning system of the planet earth. Men have often bewailed the great area and volume of the world ocean, three times the area of the land. Actually, these proportions are fortunate. The oceans are the great heat reservoir of the earth system, absorbing huge quantities of solar energy and returning it to the atmosphere slowly, maintaining a heat regime that is acceptable to living organisms. Much of the heat transforms water into vapour, which becomes part of the atmosphere. The atmosphere absorbs some direct and reflected solar radiation, but not uniformly so. Non-uniformity produces imbalances in the thermal pattern of the atmosphere and these imbalances cause atmospheric motion. Solar energy is the driving force and the atmosphere is the vehicle that delivers water and cool air to the land areas. Much of the water re-evaporates from the land, but some runs back to the sea. 15 IV Earth’s water wheel The hydrological cycle or water cycle consists of the continual movement of water by evaporation from the sea into the atmosphere, by precipitation on land and sea, and by return-flow in rivers to the sea. Some water precipitated on the land re-evaporates from lakes, wet soil and vegetation; some percolates underground and becomes ground water; and only part of the water returns directly to the sea in rivers. The atmosphere is a very effective vehicle for water transport. A column of the atmosphere contains, on the average, vapour equivalent to about 2.5 centimetres of liquid water-the thickness of the layer of water that would form over the entire earth if all atmospheric water were suddenly precipitated. Locally, however, storm air masses may contain as much as 8 centimetres of water or more. The air mass involved in a hurricane may contain in the order of 5 to 10 cubic kilometres of water and it may transport this through distances of thousands of kilometres. Only part of the contained water vapour is actually precipitated. For example, it has been estimated that total annual vapour transport across the conterminous United States is equivalent to about 60,000 cubic kilometres of water, but only about one-tenth of this is precipitated. Despite the relatively small amount of water in the world atmosphere at any given time (about 13,000 cubic kilometresj, land areas receive large amounts of precipitation becau,se atmospheric vapour is being continually renewed by evaporation. On the average, a given molecule of water remains in the atmosphere as vapour only about eight to ten days. 16 v The global distillation system During the past decade the technology for desalinization of brine and brackish water has advanced rapidly and has been widely acclaimed. The annual world-wide production rate of desalinized water is currently in the order of 90 million cubic metres per year. This seems like a great deal of water until we convert it to 0.09 cubic kilometres and compare it to natural production of fresh water from the ,sea. The sun, the world ocean and the world atmosphere form a giant natural water distillation plant and distribution system. Solar heat evaporates annually about 350,000 cubic kilometres of water from the world ocean and 70,000 cubic kilometres from the continents. The total is 420,000 cubic kilometres. The circulating atmosphere distributes the vapour around the world. An equal amount of water falls as precipitation, of which about 100,000 cubic kilometres fall on land areas. Natural annual precipitation on land, therefore, is over a million times as great as the current production of artificially freshened water. The latter will be important locally to many towns and industries, but it is unlikely ever to be more than a tiny fraction of the amount produced naturally. Man can compete with natural processes only on a local scale. 17 VI Man and water through the ages The surpassing importance of water, or lack of it, has made it a lively topic of conversation and action throughout the historical period and probably since long before. The rising tide of human population in the twentieth century has accentuated this importance, not because water is scarce in general, but because use and conservation of it are poor. Throughout the past 7,000 years men at some time and place have been trying to increase the supply of fresh water, or at least to increase the share used before its inevitable return to the sea. During most of that time the water cycle was a mystery. Ancient man, like modern man, evidently loved sunshine and dry warm weather. But in order to prosper and multiply in dry areas, a change was needed more profound than the transition from nomadic hunting and herding to sedentary farming. Crop farming without irrigation is precarious to impossible in dry areas. Extensive irrigation, however, requires community effort for water diversion, maintenance of works, and allocation of water, and these can be achieved only through effective social and political organization. Civilization may have been a result of man’s unwillingness to accept the limitations of geography and his search for means to circumvent these limitations. Following the ice age, climatic conditions identical in all essential aspects with those that prevail now were established at least 5,OOO years ago and perhaps 8,ooO. The Near East and Middle East already were arid to semi-arid, and it was there that the early civilizations arose. This was no mere coincidence, for the reason noted above. Climate determined the locale for the rise of civilization. 19 Man and uxter through the ages Irrigation Considering the long history of water management, it is surprising that the water cycle has been a mystery to man during most of his history. Sumerian knowledge about hydrology is problematical. Writers of their cuneiform inscriptions were concerned with military exploits and practical matters, rather than with intellectual adventures. The people, however, must have had extensive practical understanding of running water, else they could not have operated a large and complicated irrigation system on the Mesopotamian plain. They had such a system at least as early as 4000 B.C.,and perhaps much earlier. They and their successors held sway over a region of about 20,000 square kilometres, and much of this was irrigated, though not all at the same time. The Sumerian irrigation system was a marvel, not only because of its size but also because of its long existence. Salinity and siltation plagued the irrigated fields in varying degrees from very early times, but the Sumerians learned to some extent to cope with the problems. So did their Semitic successors, and irrigation continued until the middle of :he twelfth century. Hulagu Khan’s invasion in the thirteenth century has been blamed for devastating Mesopotamia, but the area had been essentially abandoned a hundred years earlier. Judging from experience with modern irrigation methods, it is doubtful that any modern system will last for a length of time even approaching that of Mesopotamia. In the vast and fertile Indus Plain of West Pakistan live more than 30 million people. An enormous irrigation network supplies about 9 million hectares of land (90,000 square kilometres). More than 2 million hectares already have been lost by salinity and waterlogging, and current annual losses are about 40,000 hectares. The Indus Plain is only one example of irrigation problems. Dry areas naturally tend to have salty soil and ground water because not enough water moves through the local water cycle to flush salts away. Successful irrigation requires application of sufficient water for flushing and sufficient movement of ground water or drainage water to actually remove the salts from the irrigated area. Where drainage is inadequate, waterlogging aggravates the problem. Many tens of thousands of hectares annually are lost to production by salinity and waterlogging, principally in Asia, Africa and North America. 20 Man and water through the ages Organized large-scale irrigation agriculture arose in the Nile Valley around 3400 B.C.,following an antecedent period of smallscale local developments. For a variety of reasons, the problem of irrigation there was far simpler than in Mesopotamia. Simple flood-basin irrigation practice was followed, first on the left bank only. Later, when basining spread to the right bank also, constriction of the river by both banks raised serious problems during high floods. During the twelfth Dynasty a brilliant plan evolved to mitigate this problem-the Fayum project. This project used the Fayum depression as an off-stream reservoir into which excess waters were diverted, forming Lake Moeris in the desert 50 miles south-west of Cairo. During years of deficient flood water, stored lake water was led back to the valley. The Egyptian irrigation system was unique. The irrigation basins were lavishly flooded, but only once each year. Sand and gravel beneath the valley soil provided good subsurface drainage. There was no need for irrigation canals or drainage ditches, and no general problem arose of salinity or waterlogging of soils. The annual deposit of silt obviated the need for fertilizer. It will be interesting to observe the future of the Nile Valley with a modern irrigation system, including a large up-stream reservoir where much of the sediment will settle out of the impounded water. Flood plains and cities Modern peoples are not the first to build cities on river flood plains. Mohenjo-Daro and Harappa, the archaeologically famous cities of a civilization that flourished on the l.ndus Plain during 2500-1500 B.C.,got into trouble because the people did not understand or could not cope with the interactions of land, water, vegetation and man in a flood-plain environment. The civilization deteriorated during a long period before it finally disappeared. A common supposition has been that the Harappan culture was based on irrigation agriculture and that it was defeated by soil salinization. However, some authorities say that evidence is lacking of any irrigation structures in Harappan times. A recent theory is that the Harappan towns were destroyed by repeated flooding. Massive masonry walls around Mohenjo-Daro failed to protect it and it was engulfed and filled with silt. The nature of these floods was unusual. 21 Man and water through the ages A flood plain is exactly what its name implies-a land form built by the river during flood flows. A river is in flood when it overtops the banks of its channel. Overtopping is a normal recurrent event with most rivers, and minor flooding occurs every two or three years. Higher floods are less frequent. Indus floods in Harappan times, however, seem to have been different in nature. According to one interpretation, some unidentified geological event interposed an obstruction on the Indus River down-stream from Mohenjo-Daro, impounding a lake which engulfed the town with water and silt. After the lake’s outlet eroded the obstruction and drained the lake, the people returned and built anew on top of the old masonry. This happened at least five times. A mound at the site contains artifacts to a depth of 22.6 metres, 7.3 of which are below the present water table and can be probed only by core drilling. The evidence proves that the town was engulfed by silt and water, but whether by a lake or by flood water remains undetermined. The Indus Plain is very flat and a high flood would have many of the characteristics of a lake. At any rate, MohenjoDaro is an ancient example of a problem that has assumed major proportions in modern times. Human encroachment on flood plains leads to ever-increasing damage to property and, in some cases, to loss of life. Modern man has not solved this problem either, because large floods cannot be controlled. They can only be combated. Other ancient irrigation and public water works, as in Iran and China, are equally interesting, but the examples discussed illustrate that during many centuries classical Grecian civilization arose, men had a great deal of practical understanding of water and how to manage it. They had invented the principal types of water control structures: diversion dams, storage dams, shlices, canals and drainage ditches; they used canals for irrigation, city water supply and navigation. Their knowledge was largely or wholly empirical, but it was immensely useful. Ancient people learned also to tap sources of ground water and to promote groundwater recharge, but the degree of antiquity of this knowledge remains uncertain. Ancient people also encountered the same problems that beset u.s today: maintenance of canals and drainage ditches; necessity 22 _. ^ - _^ .l. .” _^-._.___,_..I,. Man and water thr,ough the ages for dredging and disposition of the spoil; public water supply; navigation; flood-fighting; pollution. These problems have merely become more urgent with the passage of time and the proliferation of the human race. Greek hydrology Aside from practical problems of water control, the earliest coherent thinking about water as a substance and about the water cycle as a whole seems to have occurred in classical Greece. The Greek natural philosophers were intellectually methodical. They sought rational causes for effects, rather than invoking the caprices of gods as basic causes. Although mythology strongly influenced their thinking, in principle they rejected myths, substituted rational deductions, and tried to reduce many facts to a few principles. Commonly they were wrong but, right or wrong, they were generally logical. The first of the natural philosophers was Thales of Miletos (640?-546 B.C.). Knowing the ubiquity of water in the sea, on land, underground and in the air, Thales supposed that all substances originally came from water and eventually would revert to that form. This may have been man’s first attempt to reduce the bewildering diversity of matter to a common denominator. Thales believed that rivers are fed by the sea and that wind forces water into the earth. Once inside, the weight of overlying rocks forces the water upward into the mountains, from which it spills out to form rivers. After Thales, the philosophers contributed little to ideas about water until the time of Anaxagoras of Clazomene (500-428 B.C.), a highly original thinker who rejected the Milesian idea of a primordial element. He believed that no transformations of matter could occur and that all substances had existed from eternity. Anaxagoras formed a basically correct concept of the gross hydrological cycle: the sun raises water from the sea into the atmosphere, from which it falls as rain. Rain-water gathers in underground reservoirs from which the rivers flow. The earth generates no new water, but the reservoirs fill during the rainy season. Perennial streams flow from large reservoirs and ephemeral streams from small ones. 23 Man and water through the ages Democritus developed the atomistic idea of Leukippos and taught that the properties of substances depend on the shapes for example, might be composed of of their atoms. Water, smooth spheres, which would explain why it flows so readily. Plato (428 or 427-348 B.C.) led a great advance in Greek He assumed that the universe was created by an thinking. organizing mind and that the universe, therefore, is understandable. The core of Plato’s water cycle, however, was mythical Tartarus. He supposed that a series of interconnecting subterranean channels communicate with their source, the vast reservoir Perpetual surging to and fro of waters in the of Tartarus. subterranean reservoir causes the flow of springs and rivers. All water of rivers and seas returns eventually to Tartarus. Aristotle of Stagira (384-322 B.C.), pupil of Plato and tutor to Alexander, the son of Philip of Macedonia, carried his thinking far beyond that of his mentor. His vast and omnivorous intellect ranged the entire scope of human knowledge and philosophy and, inevitably, included the water cycle. As ‘Will Durant has pointed out, no scientist can work today without leaning on Aristotle. The words ‘faculty’, ‘mean’, ‘maxim’, ‘category’, ‘energy’, ‘actua‘form’ and many other abstract lity’, ‘motive’, ‘end’, ‘principle’, terms, were minted in the mind of Aristotle. Peremptorily, Aristotle rejected the ideas of Anaxagoras about the water cycle and Plato’s Tartarus. He recognized that some springs are fed by meteoric water, but he believed that the main flow of water originates in great underground caverns where coldness transforms air into water. He differed with Anaxagoras also on the explanation of meteorological phenomena, such as hail storms. Living in an arid region, Aristotle could not conceive that rain was any but a minor source of water for rivers and springs. He said that sea water turned into air under the heat of the sun, and that air turned back into water (condensed) in caverns under the influence of cold. It happens that Anaxagoras came closer than Aristotle to explanations that are now generally accepted. Aristotle, however, marshalled more observational information than had Anaxagoras and some of these facts conflicted with the latter’s beliefs. Aristotle’s argument, therefore, was the more compelling and it was not .successfully challenged for nearly 2,000 years. 26 Man and water Imperial Rome and public through the ages works Before the Romans came under the intellectual influence of Greece they had learned much from the Etmscans, who were masters in the arts of irrigation and swamp drainage. This heritage enabled Rome to have a well-developed sewerage system as early as the sixth century B.C. Romans, in general, accepted the science of Greece and added little to basic concepts. Their great forte as is evident from the aqueducts, bridges and was engineering, other structures which still endure. Roman engineers also invented delivery of domestic water through pipes to households. Curiously, they were quite unable to measure the flow of water in a conduit. They assumed that flow from a conduit depends only on the size of the orifice, ignoring the factor of hydraulic head. Europe and authoritarianism During the Dark and Middle Ages many fanciful notions were current about the water cycle. One of these ideas, an elaborated inheritance from Greece, was that ocean water pours into submarine caverns which conduct it to the land areas, where it is distilled and rises to the surface to feed springs and rivers. The mediaevalists were correct in that the sea is the source of water in the hydrological cycle, but they had the cycle turning in the wrong direction and they called upon the wrong distillation apparatus. Such ideas persisted because men accepted the Greeks, especially Aristotle, as final authorities, and because of church dogma concerning a pa,ssage in Ecclesiastes which was interpreted to mean that continental waters originate by underground flow from the sea. To believe otherwise was heresy. Neither the natural philosophers nor the churchmen could accept precipitation as a sufficient source for water in the land areas. The Renaissance for hydrology Hydrology, like other sciences and the arts, was bound eventually to break with dogmatism and authoritarianism. The break came in a curious way. The French Huguenot, Bernard Palissy (1514?1590), was a self-taught ceramist who invented the naturalistic 27 ___.____ ._-- -.- -- -.--.I_- Man and water masterpieces through the ages of enamelled pottery which he called rustiques The invention saved his life. Arrested and sent to Bordeaux for trial concerning his activity in the new religion of the Reformation, he seemed to be doomed. But the Queen Mother, Catherine de Medici, intervened by naming him inventeur des rustiques figulines du roi (that is, of Henri III). As a member of the king’s household he became immune to the parliament of Bordeaux. Palissy boasted that he knew neither Latin nor Greek. He knew only what he had seen during extensive travels as a surveyor before he took up ceramics. His observations were acute and, in the context of his times, he was an accomplished geologist, mineralogist and palaeontolopist. Although Palissy rejected theory and relied on direct observation, he knew enough about authoritarian doctrine to be aware that it denied the adequacy of rain as a source for springs and rivers. Nevertheless, what his geological eye saw convinced him otherwise. In a book published in 1580 he declared that springs and rivers take their origin in and are fed by rain and by rain alone. This may have been the first such declaration ever published. This was more important to mankind than the invention of his celebrated enamelled pottery, but Palissy received no scientific recognition in his own lifetime. The world waited nearly a century to awaken. Again, the catalyst was a Frenchman. In 1668, the French amateur scientist, Pierre Perrault, convinced of the adequacy of rain as a source for run-off, set out to prove it. During three years he measured precipitation in the upper Seine basin, obtaining an average of about 49 centimetres annually. Calculation showed that this was about six times the estimated discharge of the Seine. He published this and other information in 1674. Measurements and calculations such as these could have been made at any time during the previous 2,000 years, but science simply had not reached the stage of testing hypotheses by measurement and observation. Perrault it was, therefore, who initiated modern scientific hydrology. Perrault correctly accounted for the remainder of precipitation (the part that did not run off in the Seine), five-sixths of it being disposed of by groundwater recharge, evaporation, and transpiration by plants. Perrault’s findings were verified by others within a few years and hydrology was launched toward its modern course. The jigulines. Man and water through the ages science is interdisciplinary, however, and could make no great progress along quantitative lines until the basic sciences of physics, chemistry and biology were well advanced, and until basic principles of geology were established. The earth’s geological framework is its plumbing system, and this system must be understood as a basis for understanding hydrology. The classical period of geology was not until the nineteenth century. 29 _- - VII Yardsticks In scientific and technological work, a large share of time and energy goes into the basic problem of measurement. The search for better yardsticks is continual. A major reason for the tardy development of exact science was the early lack of means for accurate measurement. Advances in the basic and derivative sciences gathered momentum during the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, along with development of the technology for measuring natural phenomena. The branch of physics called hydraulics has had extensive application in hydrology. For example, Perrault could only estimate the flow of the Seine. Nowadays, the stages of rivers can be gauged and recorded automatically, while a computer calculates and prints out the discharge rate. Twentieth-century science depends heavily on ever more sophisticated measurement and the analysis of measurements by computers. Water science is handicapped by unsatisfactory techniques and instruments for measuring many hydrological phenomena, especially on the very large and very small scales. How, for example, does one measure the rate of movement of ground water trough an aquifer underground? How does one measure evaporation from a ‘whole continent or from the world ocean? These cannot be measured directly. They can only be estimated by measuring related phenomena from which computed values can be derived. Evaporation and trarrspiration are important because they dissipate a large .share of precipitation on land areas. Because of evaporation, man-made lakes are not unmixed blessings. In arid areas lakes may evaporate annually a layer of water equal to their surface area and up te three metres or more in thickness. Evaporation plus transpiration are usually computed on the basis of 30 Yardsticks solar radiation, wind speed, air humidity, temperature and other factors. Late in the seventeenth century, the British astronomer Edmund Halley, based on a brief experiment in his London quarters, estimated that annual evaporation from the warm Mediterranean sea was 3 feet (about 90 centimetres). The estimate was low and the modern estimate, averaged for the world ocean as a whole, is about 100 centimetres. Measurement of precipitation has been practised systematically over an increasingly large part of the world during nearly two centuries. The first European meteorological network was established in 1780, with its easternmost station in Hungary. Europe and part of North America are now reasonably well covered, but precipitation on vast areas in Asia, Africa, South America, polar regions and the seas is virtually unknown. Rivers of the world that reach the sea discharge about of water annually, and this is about 30,000 cubic kilometres 30 per cent of precipitation on the continents. However, only about 50 per cent of river discharge has been actually measured, the rest being estimated. The Amazon, largest river in the world, had never been measured until 1963-64, when a joint BrazilianUnited States expedition aboard a Brazilian navy corvette measured it three times, once at high-water stage, once at lowwater stage, and again at an intermediate stage. The average flow was found to be about 175,000 cubic metres per second, or about 5,540 cubic kilometres per year. This is roughly 18 per cent of the discharge of all rivers of the world. According to these measurements, the Amazon is nearly twice as large as had been estimated earlier. These measurements alone upset earlier calculations of the world water budget and illustrate why large-scale measurements are important. The last ice age ended some 10,000 years ago, but much of the world is still locked in deep ice. The great ice-caps of Greenland and Antarctica contain nearly 80 per cent of all water outside the oceans. Alpine, Piedmont and valley glaciers are widespread; shelf-ice and pack-ice cover vast expanses of the polar seas; and permafrost (permanently frozen ground) occupies vast areas of Siberia, northern Europe and northern North America. The total vohrme of ice-caps and glaciers in land areas is about 26 million cubic kilometres, while alI other water in the continents amounts to only about 8 million cubic kilometres. 31 Yardsticks Evidently, much of the world is still in an ice age, but relatively little is known about the frozen areas. The great ice-caps seem to be stable, but considerable difference of opinion prevails about whether the ice masses are growing, shrinking or merely being maintained. It is important that this be determined because the ice areas are great weather factories and their melting would cause a rise of sea level. 32 VIII The plight of man The total land area of the world is I49 million square kilometres. About 15 million square kilometres is under permanent ice cover. Another 22 million square kilometres is in permafrost, comprising 22 per cent of all the land area in the Northern Hemisphere. Nearly 40 million square kilometres is extremely arid to arid. Considerable areas are high-altitude mountain masses. In all, more than half the world’s land area is basically inhospitable for human occupation. Despite man’s great adaptability, he has made relatively little encroachment in the inhospitable areas. Burgeoning population, however, inevitably will place increasing pressure on parts of the world that are now relatively uninhabited but which contain a wealth of natural resources, including water. These are the frontiers of the future and their full use will require pushing further the frontiers of knowledge because the new areas are poorly known and experience in their occupation is small. Living standards in all societies are closely related to water use. High living standards require high rates of water use for agriculture, industry, public services and households. The extent to which developing countries can forge ahead is linked to their ability to develop water resources. In ,some countries per capita use of water is only about 100 litres per day. In some industrialized countries water use is sixty times greater. The disparity between living standards is even larger. Lessening of the disparity will require, not only more water use, but more use per capita. In view of prospective population growth in developing countries, the problem is formidable. The developed countries themselves have ,serious problems. Doubling of population may entail doubling of water use merely to maintain existing standards. The situation in the United States of America is illustrative. 34 The plight of man Per capita use of water for all purposes other than hydroelectric power generation in the United States is about 6,100 litres per day. This is a very high rate of use compared to that of most even those which are highly industrialized. other countries, However, it is only a small part of the average total national water supply, as is illustrated in the table. Total water yield (run-off) Per capita withdrawals Gross withdrawals Gross consuming use Percentage of gross withdrawals consumed Percentage of water yield consumed 5.4 6.1 1.2 0.3 x x x x lo*:! lo3 101:’ 101:: litres/day litres/day litres/day litres/day 25 6.5 Consuming uses are those which turn water to atmospheric vapour, so that it is not directly reusable. Unconsumed water is available for reuse, though it may require purification. Actually, gross withdrawal uses, noted above, include reuse of some water. In some areas water is reused many times. On the average, however, somewhat more than 90 per cent of the water yield of the United States is not subjected to withdrawal uses. It serves as a conveyor belt to send wastes out to the sea. While this summary ignores recreational and navigational use of water (which cannot be measured), it helps to emphasize the fact that the central problem of water resources development and management is a problem of water quality, not water quantity. On a continental or regional scale, water shortage in one area may be alleviated by interbasin transfers of water. This will not necessarily alleviate pollution, however. In the basin from which water is exported, the amount remaining to dilute pollution is less. In the receiving basin it may permit additional developments that add to the total pollution problem. Evidently it is necessary to establish national, and in some cases, international objectives and policies to control and abate pollution, not merely to control and distribute water itself. 35 IX A look towards the future Much has been written about the population explosion and the prospective severity of multitudes of future problems. The outlook is, indeed, dismaying. However, written or spoken words in themselves do nothing to cope with problems. Action is necessary. Cope is the proper term, because problems cannot be ‘solved’ in any permanent sense. All problems involve people so they are problems of water and man. The problems cannot be ‘solved’ because numbers and concentratione of people change, water supplies are variable in time, and man-made changes induce changes in hydrological regimes. To cope with water problems, therefore, requires an endless series of decisions and actions to meet changed situations. Th’ is is evident from the geverity and multiplicity of existing problems. The necessity for organized action was recognized by scientists many years ago, and it received recognition in international scientific circles. However, water resources problems as such had no international focus at the intergovernmental level, so the problem was brought to the attention of Unesco. In view of critical water problems already evident in many parts of the world and of the disturbing outlook for the future, at its General Conference, recognized the absolute Unesco, necessity for improving the rationale of water use and management. After several years of consideration by intergovernmental the Conference, at its thirteenth session in 1964, meetings, established the International Hydrological Decade (IHD) programme, starting in January 1965. The general purpose of the IHD is to accelerate scientific study of water resources and water regimes in order to improve water conservation, management and use. This is necessary in all countries, developed and developing alike. Historically, hydro- 36 A look towards the future logists worked largely in obscurity. In many countries, hydrology was not even recognized as a profession, and work was done by engineers, geologists, geographers, climatologists, chemists, physicists and others who were drawn into the field by chance or necessity. In order to accelerate scientific study, it is necessary to improve water science (hydrology) itself and to improve education in hydrology. These improvements have been consistently stressed in the IHD programmes of Unesco and of Member States. Many scientists are motivated largely by a thirst for knowledge. But scientific study and education in science have no intrinsic appeal either to taxpayers or to comptrollers of treasuries, who are interested primarily in utilitarian ends. This poses no problem if it is recognized that, whatever the specific motives of individual scientists may be, the purpose of science itself is benefit to man. Utilitarian factors, therefore, have always figured prominently in the IHD programme. Th e prmcipal problem has been to gain * support and attention to long-term broad-scale water studies in addition to dealing with the short-term immediate problems that beset all nations. Hydrological phenomena are related to planetary circulations of the atmosphere and oceans, to the distribution of land masses and seas, and to major topographic features of the land. Study of hydrological phenomena therefore, in many cases involves very from networks of observation large areas. Data are needed stations which are of suitable density and comparable standards in all countries. This requires international collaboration and mutual assistance among States. The global distribution of water, its mobility, and the global scale of the hydrological cycle predispose water science to international co-operation. Neither water nor science recognizes national boundaries. The effectiveness of past and current international co-operation in oceanography, antarctic research, atmospheric physics, and other fields adequately meteorology, demonstrates the benefits of international co-operation in science. The IHD is taking advantage of proven methods for the advancement of science in the service of mankind. 37 -. X A programme for action Not all international activities require universal participation, and not all consist of regional, continental or global studies. Any activity involving two or more countries is international. Some activities within a single country have international significance and are jointly studied by scientists from several countries. Moreover, international exchanges of information and ideas have catalytic effects, and they invariably accelerate scientific understanding of the physical world even without acquisition of new data. They also help to show what new data will be most useful. The programme for the Hydrological Decade includes the following basic components: 1. Appraisal of the state of knowledge of the hydrology and water resources of the world, and identification of the principal gaps in knowledge. This will guide new or enlarged water studies. 2. Standardization of instruments, observations, techniques and terminologies for the collection, compilation and reporting of data. This will assure comparability of results of studies by different workers in different places. 3. Establishment of basic networks and improvement of existing networks, to provide fundamental data on hydrological systems varying in size from small watersheds to the world as a whole. These data are essential for rational water use and conservation. 4. Research on hydrological systems in selected geological, geographical, topographical, and climatic environments, constituting what may be called representative basins. Information obtained will have transfer value. That is, conclusions reached 38 A programme for action concerning one basin may be applicable to another similar basin that has not been studied. Research on specific hydrological problems whose urgency and special nature call for a considerable effort at international level. An example is the hydrology of the Chad Basin of northern Africa. Another example is the physical dynamics of the Great Lakes of North America. Theoretical and practical education and training in hydrology and related subjects. Systematic exchanges of information. The bulk of the IHD programme consists of activities by participating States within their own territories, catalysed, co-ordinated and supplemented by international intergovernmental organizations and scientific associations. The programme covers the entire field of hydrology from collection of standard basic data to advanced basic research. The programme is a challenge to the abilities of individuals at all levels of competence in hydrology. All nations can participate because all have water and all have some degree of competence. A study by Unesco a few years ago disclosed that the world population of senior scientists i’s about 300,000. This is a pitifully small minority in terms of simple numbers-less than 0.01 per cent of the world population. Yet this group is guiding the scientific revolution in human affairs. Even more significant is the fact that two-thirds of the world’s nations, containing twothirds of world population, have practically none of these scientists. That is, two-thirds of humanity have been bystanders in the scientific revolution. An important objective of the IHD is to bring the bystanders into action, recognizing that no country can go far on borrowed skill and doled assistance. Each country must develop its own skill to manage its own resources. Because of the scarcity of scientists in many countries, some of those countries have expressed concern about use of the term ‘scientific hydrology’ in the programme of the IHD. They fear that it is an abstruse scientific programme in which only a few advanced countries can participate. This fear is ungrounded. Science is discovery along the frontiers of knowledge. Thus it is not new. It is as old as human curiosity. Only ‘big science’ (lavishly financed science) is new. Nations that are only now 39 .- _---. _--- -. A programme for action emerging from primitive conditions can contribute to science, just as they contribute to the sum of human culture. Science is not magic ; it is mostly hard work. Nowadays any minor discovery is apt to be heralded as a scientific break-through. But human progress is based, not only on the supposedly single-handed achievements of a few wellpublicized individuals, but also on the dedicated service of countless individuals, unhonoured and unrecognized, who do the myriad smaller tasks that make spectacular achievements possible. The results and benefits of science are cumulative and science grows continually. People can contribute to science by using it as well as by seeking new principles. Any intelligent and diligent person can contribute to science, and all nations have intelligent and diligent people. Therefore, all nations can contribute to the programme as well as benefit from it. Water is the greatest common denominator of the earth environment so it is intrinsically a subject of international concern and interest. Man’s future success on this planet may well hinge on the degree to which nations joirr hands to co-operate effectively in the conservation and management of water and other resources. 40 XI Accomplishments On the basis of hydrological information compiled, projects activated, new data collected, and other tangible products, early within the framework of the IHD were accomplishments unimpressive. Although more than one hundred Member States of Unesco adhere to the IHD in principle, less than half of these have reported significant activities that are actually new. However, the real measure of progress at mid-decade is the frame of mind in the world community concerning water, the real international co-operation that is developing, and the importance of the activities that have been initiated or planned. We have space to cite only a few examples. One of the more remarkable areas of South America is the upper basin of the Rio Paraguay-an area called the pantanal, which extends along the frontiers of Brazil, Bolivia and Paraguay. This is a vast flood-plain having an area of about 400,000 square kilometres and lying at an average altitude of about 150 metres. Its principal physical features are thousands of small lagoons and intervening areas of slightly elevated land. A study in this area, approved by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), is being carried out by Unesco and the Brazilian Government. Methods of reclamation and development, when worked out, will be applicable also to the Bolivian and Paraguayan parts of the basin. Expenditure of several million dollars for practical and scientific studies will make possible developments that will be worth many times that amount. This study is one of the world’s greatest projects among hydrological studies now in progress. It is part of a long-term co-ordinated international programme of studies for the basins of the Rio Parani and Rio de la Plata. A related activity in Brazil is the establishment, within her IHD programme, of a Centre for Applied Hydrology at Porto 42 Accmnplishments Alegre. This has been made possible by contributions from the Government of Brazil, the National Bank for Economic Development, and UNDP (Special Fund), the latter being administered by Unesco. The Great Lakes of North America contain one of the largest concentrations of fresh surface water in the world. Canada and the United States have collaborated during many years in studies of many international water problems. Within the IHD, for the first time, the two countries are collaborating in an intensified co-ordinated study of the lakes as an integrated physical system. This study will have wide implications for navigation, power generation, industrial and municipal development, fisheries, and recreation. Another remarkable area is the Chad Basin in Africa. The basin is much larger than Lake Chad itself, covering 400,000 square kilometres and extending into the four States of Cameroon, Chad, Niger, and Nigeria. Studies in this area relate to the soil, surface-water and ground-water resources. Although many excellent studies had been made long before the advent of the IHD-specifically under the Arid Zone Research Project of Unesco-the IHD has made it possible to collate a wide variety of available data. Through Unesco and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), a Commision formed by the four riparian States obtained assistance from the United Nations Development Programme (SF). Administratively, in consultation with the Commission, FA0 administers the reclamation studies and Unesco administers the general hydrological survey. The study project was approved in 1965 and got under way in 1966. It is an outstanding example of the intensive and extensive practical and scientific co-operation that can be achieved when stimulation and co-ordination facilities are provided by a programme such as the IHD. Still another example is Study of Ground-Water Resources in the Northern Sahara, which will cover the area underlain by principal artesian aquifers in Algeria and the Saharan area of The study is in progress under the auspices of the Tunisia. governments of the two States, under an agreement with UNDP, with Unesco serving as the United Nations Participating and Here also, the purpose is to organize and Executing Agency. amplify scientific and practical information as a prelude to rational use of the resources. 43 Accomplishments Quite a different type of project is the establishment of a Centre for Hydraulics and Applied Hydrological Research at Ezeiza, Argentina. This also will be assisted by UNDP (SF), with Unesco as the Participating and Executing Agency. The over-all purpose is to build up within the state, facilities and capabilities for advanced studies and research in water science and application of the results to practical development projects. A similar establishment with a similar purpose is the lnstitute for Hydrosciences and Water Resources Technology, in Iran. This has been established by the Government of Iran, assisted by UNDP (SF), with Unesco as the executing agency. A considerable number of similar and varied activities may be cited: Co-ordinated planning of IHD activities by the council of the five Nordic countries; research on uses of saline water for irrigation in Tunisia; world-wide research on the uses of radionuclides in hydrology (leadership by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)) ; th e interstate integrated hydrometeorological study of Lake Victoria, administered by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; development of the Central American hydrometeorological network, administered by WMO ; development of a flood-warning system for the Mekong River Basin ; establishment of a Natural Resources Institute in Iraq; and many other activities. Study of the many documents produced by the IHD Coordinating Council and of its Working Groups and Panels of Experts, perusal of reports submitted by Member States in response to questionnaires from the Secretariat, and direct contact with scientist’s from Member States, all indicate a new awareness of the importance of hydrology. Only a few years ago, many hydrologists and government officials were complacent about water resources and problems. The Decade has created new awareness among the nations of the world that water problems are large and growing. Decade activities have exposed the glaring inadequacy of information about water in many parts of the world and the depressingly retarded state of some aspects of hydrology, the only science that can translate raw data into water information that can guide action to conserve and use water. Developing countries are rightly anxious to see construction machinery in action on water-development projects. International 44 Accomplishments organizations that provide project funds also want to see dirt fly. Planning studies have generally been heavily weighted toward engineering and economic feasibility and minimally toward hydrological or ecological aspects. Possible unwanted side effects have received little attention. Consequently, some projects have been over-designed, under-designed or wrongly designed. Over-design entails excessive costs for construction. Under-design results in failure to achieve maximum use of resources. Wrong design can cause either or both results, and it may lead to project failure. Circumstances are now changing and scientific studies are being authorized and carried out in advance of crystallization of plans and beginning of construction. An example, already mentioned, is the organized international study of the La Plata River basin in South America, involving five nations and one of the world’s great rivers. Advance studies can save many millions of dollars of construction cost and greatly improve the benefit/ cost radio of projects. The industrialized countries have extensive networks for the accumulation of basic water data. Special compilations of these data for the IHD have disclosed an over-supply of some kinds of data and a serious shortage of other kinds. These countries are modifying their observation programmes accordingly. Developing countries, on the other hand, have recognized the necessity for cultivating their own hydrological competence and establishing observation networks. Their small cadres of hydrologists have always recognized these needs, but the General Conference of Unesco, by establishment of the IHD, brought the matter to the attention of governments at ministerial level, including ministers of finance. With nations, as with individuals, the first step toward improvement is recognition and acknowledgement of deficiencies. The second is determination to correct them. The spirit of determination is visibly growing throughout the world. Education and training have always had a high-priority position in the IHD programme. For two years preceding the a modest head-start programme of IHD, Unesco sponsored education in hydrology. During the Decade, various governments and universities, with the collaboration and assistance of Unesco, have established advanced-level semester-length special courses 45 Accomplishments in hydrology and water resources problems. Such courses have been established in Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Netherlands, Spain and Venezuela. These are for foreign nationals. In addition, Unesco, WMO and FAO, in collaboration with other organizations and universities, have sponsored many seminar-type short courses in hydrology, chiefly in countries of Latin America and North Africa. Further, various universities in developed countries have offered many scholarships to foreign nationals to enable them to enrol in regular university curricula oriented toward hydrology. It is not practical to include here a full report of progress on all IHD activities. These will be covered more fully in other reports to the Intergovernmental Conference on the IHD in October 1969. Suffice it now to say that the role of water in international affairs, as well as in the well-being of man and the fate of his environment, is now more widely recognized than ever before. This recognition is growing, and hydrology is on the move. Thus, the IHD is gaining its proper role among the many international co-operative programmes that are aimed to improve the lot of all men at all places. 46
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