Wildlife ranching and the green economy: the role of evidence-based policy Michael ‘t Sas-Rolfes Focus on your game? Know the rules of the game! Who makes the rules? •of prod Biodiversity Economy Strategy (BES): 7 key objectives 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Conservation of biodiversity and ecological infrastructure Sustainable use of indigenous resources Fair and equitable beneficiation Socio-economic sustainability Incentive driven compliance to regulation Ethical practices Improving quality and standards of products Or do these guys make the rules? Look at the messaging! Some common claims Legal wildlife trade fuels illegal wildlife trade and poaching Farming / commercial ranching of endangered species won’t save them – it will hasten their demise Trophy hunting is not sustainable and does not contribute to conservation, nor does it contribute significantly to national economies or rural livelihoods We must reduce / stop supply and demand for harvested wildlife products Where is the evidence to support these claims? Contested facts and figures Fake news Stop killing lions for their bones to make bogus aphrodisiacs The export of lion skeletons to China for use in 'aphrodisiac' wines threatens the survival of the king of the beasts, says Richard Schiffman The Good News SA Government supports the Biodiversity Economy Minister Molewa: ‘We need to step up our efforts to utilise our biodiversity sustainably and economically to support livelihoods of all South Africans including present and future generations’ SA Government also supports evidence-based policy What is evidence-based policy-making? Evidence-Based Policy Evidence-based policy-making (EBPM) helps policy makers and providers of services make better decisions, and achieve better outcomes, by drawing upon the best available evidence from research and evaluation and other sources. - DEA / UCT October 2014 http://www.dpme.gov.za/keyfocusareas/evaluationsSite/Evaluations/Wha t%20is%20EBPM%2014%2010%2013_mp.pdf Drucker: Measure and manage! What is wildlife ranching? Minister Molewa: Wildlife ranching industry is ‘characterised by an interesting combination of agriculture, eco- tourism and conservation characteristics.’ (& trade!) “The biodiversity economy (wildlife ranching) has not reached its full potential It remains: unrecognised, underdeveloped and untransformed To achieve its full potential, we require a strategic partnership between the state, private sector and communities.” Some questions about wildlife ranching What is its current contribution to economic development? What is its current contribution to socio-economic transformation? What is its current contribution to conservation? What are the industry’s ethics? What is the unrealised potential? & How do we realise it? Standard criticisms / concerns wrt wildlife ranching Elitist – ‘rich white farmers’ (not contributing to transformation) Unethical – animal exploitation (welfare); illegal activity; reputational risk Conservation impacts of intensification: Loss of wildness (Red-List issue) / ‘no conservation value’ Selective breeding – unnatural / bad genetics Fences – habitat fragmentation Predator control Target areas of concern: rhinos, lions, colour variants Lots to measure! What do we know? What do we not know? How do we fill the gaps? BES: Research and development currently insufficient – research budgets are limited – very little new data is collected – research efforts are uncoordinated – access to this research outputs are also limited “Official statistics and supporting research are required for: – quantifying the relevant industry baselines – appropriate target setting and short, medium and long term planning of a variety of intermediate objectives within the BES. Statistical and other research outputs are required also for quarterly monitoring, answering various policy questions and tracking trends. First requirement: develop a research strategy for the wildlife sector: prioritise research requirements, identify existing research capacity and new capacity requirements, data and data sources and funding requirements.” It’s not so simple! Lion example Captive lions: Do they threaten wild lions? ‘No conservation value’ – can’t reintroduce into wild - Hunter et al (2013) Canned hunting / bone trade controversies US decision to ban trophy imports from captive lions: - No contribution to wild lion conservation Lion bone trade – zero quota? Not so fast! Bauer et al (2015): Wild lions declining in all but four (southern) African countries South Africa is the only country in which all wild populations are increasing South Africa is the only country with large-scale captive breeding Do these facilities threaten wild lions? or Do they play an important ‘buffer’ role? A general research question: Wilding the farm? or Farming the wild? - Carruthers (2008) Two hypotheses: Wildlife ranching: Reduces biodiversity, Undermines conservation objectives, Reduces ‘wildness’ or Enhances biodiversity (including ecosystem services), Supports conservation objectives, Rewilds Conservation (& other) contributions may be: • Direct • Indirect (economic; second-order effects) • Counterfactual (ask the ‘what if’ questions) Need interdisciplinary research that understands complex dynamic systems, ecological – economic interactions! Bottom line We need more / better data (and sound analysis)! – – – – – – – Habitat conserved Animal numbers, species distribution and genetic conditions Fences; predator control; movement control / fragmentation Economic data: quantities traded & prices; production costs Consumer preferences Financial and economic contributions (size and distribution) Impacts of regulations Data (evidence-based) uses: Influence policy and regulation Certification / industry self-regulation Better management (individual and collective) Outreach Peer-reviewed articles Popular articles Social media / sound-bites Research project examples Lions – market dynamics (SANBI / SAPA) Categorisation of wildlife ranching activities (SANBI) Rhinos – trading system; productive capacity (PROA) Recommendations To ensure its future, the wildlife ranching industry needs to come of age: Formalize, set standards, be more accountable Be pro-active in research arena – help to set the agenda! Work with government (e.g. SANBI) and credible academic institutions Build in data protection mechanisms to address business confidentiality and security concerns (PROA, SAPA models)
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