Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Agricultural Water Management journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat Assessing the ecosystem services supplied by freshwater flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems Bárbara A. Willaarts a,∗ , Martin Volk b , Pedro A. Aguilera a a b Department of Plant Biology and Ecology, Carretera de Sacramento s/n, University of Almeria, 04120 Almeria, Spain Department of Computational Landscape Ecology, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Permoserstr. 15, D-04318 Leipzig, Germany a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 13 June 2011 Accepted 14 December 2011 Available online 5 January 2012 Keywords: Green water Blue water Agroecosystems Hydrologic ecosystem services GIS-based Hydrologic Modeling a b s t r a c t Water performs essential ecological functions in agroecosystems and supplies an array of hydrologic ecosystem services (HES). The nature and quantity of HES is intimately linked with the management of the territory, and the capacity of the different land uses to partition rainfall into green (evapotranspiration) and blue (runoff) freshwater flows. This paper presents an innovative method to empirically assess the underlying relationship between the use and management of Mediterranean agroecosystems, their spatial pattern of green and blue freshwater flow generation and the provision of HES. We test this approach in Sierra Norte de Sevilla, a characteristic Spanish agro-forestry system. To assess the hydrological functioning we used the spatially explicit hydrologic model BalanceMED. HES’ identification and societal valuation was done through an expert panel. The hydrologic performance and the social values ascribed to the different services were combined to identify key provisioning areas or HES hotspots. Our results show that multifunctional agroecosystems, where agrarian and forestry activities co-exist, optimize the partition and use of freshwater flows and supply the largest bundles of HES at a wide range of spatial scales. The often low profitability of these extensive activities is prompting either the intensification or the abandonment of many Mediterranean agro ecosystems. We discuss the trade-offs in HES associated with these land use trends, and we illustrate the potential options available for implementing payments for ecosystem services (PES) schemes to pursue “win–win” management solutions. © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Water is the most essential component for ecosystem functioning and plays a key role in sustaining human wellbeing (Falkenmark, 2003). Across the landscape, water flows through terrestrial and aquatic systems, taking part in multiple ecological processes and supplying an array of hydrologic ecosystem services (HES) (e.g. drinking water, food or climate regulation). HES are defined as “all the benefits ecosystems supply by regulating the hydrologic cycle” (adapted from Brauman et al., 2007). The provisioning of HES relies upon the so-called blue and green water flows (Falkenmark and Rockström, 2004). Green water refers to the amount of rainfall infiltrated and stored in the soil’s root zone supporting primary productivity of natural and agricultural systems through evapotranspiration. Blue water is the amount of ∗ Corresponding author. Present address: CEIGRAM, Edificio Producción Vegetal: Fitotecnia, Campos de Prácticas de Agrónomos, Technical University of Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain. Tel.: +34 91 452 49 00x1945; Fax: +34 91 452 48 18. E-mail address: [email protected] (B.A. Willaarts). 0378-3774/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2011.12.019 rainfall exceeding the soil’s storage capacity that runs downstream to fed rivers, lakes and aquifers. The quantity and quality of freshwater flows and HES supply is closely related to the management of the territory. Vegetation cover, land use and climate play a critical role in the partition of rainfall into green and blue water flows (Zhang et al., 2001; Calder, 2005). Currently there is considerable evidence that land conversions have large impacts on the water cycle because they alter the ratio and condition of freshwater flows in catchments (Farley et al., 2005; Gerten et al., 2005; Scanlon et al., 2007). Indeed hydrologic changes linked to global-land-use conversions rival or even surpass those produced by climate change (Vörösmarty et al., 2000). Human induced changes on land and water resources have considerable socio-economic consequences (Vörösmarty et al., 2005). This is primarily because modifications in the regional pattern of freshwater flows entail significant trade-offs in HES at a wide range of spatial scales (Foley et al., 2007; Gordon et al., 2005). Variations in the provision of blue HES ascribed to land changes are well documented (Foley et al., 2005; Schröter et al., 2005), since blue water supplies are well known to direct market benefits (e.g. water for irrigation, sanitation or hydropower). However, the extent to which changes in the management of a territory alter the supply of green 22 B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 HES have largely remained hidden and undervalued, till the importance of green water flows for rain-fed agriculture and the supply of other water-driven plant services have been explicitly acknowledged (Rockström et al., 1999; Falkenmark and Rockström, 2004; Gordon et al., 2005, 2010). Conventional approaches to water management have focused on managing solely the blue component of the water cycle (Falkenmark and Rockström, 2004; Jewitt, 2006). This narrow approach to water management has often failed to secure the provision of blue HES and it has also done poorly to enhance the provision of off-stream services. The increasing demand for blue water but essentially the existing ‘green water blindness’ (Falkenmark, 2003) as well as the overlooked tight relationship between land and water have been argued as key drivers of many unsuccessful water policies (Scanlon et al., 2007; Tielbörger et al., 2010). Accordingly, effective water management needs to move towards the development of “Integrated Water and Land Resources Management (IWLRM)” approaches (Falkenmark and Rockström, 2004), to better understand land–water interactions, to forecast intended and unintended consequences of land changes on the water cycle and to acknowledge the multiple benefits supplied by freshwater flows (Vörösmarty et al., 2005; Rockström et al., 2010). Hence, successful IWRLM requires site-specific assessments to provide reliable information on the local hydrology of catchments and the array of HES provided. A large proportion of Southern Mediterranean agroecosystems are dedicated to agro-forestry activities, especially along the marginal mountain areas (García Mora et al., 2003). These systems support high rates of biological diversity, and their extensive use has contributed over time to sustain and optimize the nutrient cycles under existing poor soil conditions (Pineda and Montalvo, 1995). The industrialization process that took place in many Mediterranean countries after the 1950s caused important socio-economic changes (e.g. rural migration, prices fall of typical agroecosystem products such as wood, charcoal or wool), prompting important shifts in the management of these multifunctional systems and altering their hydrological functioning (Gallart and Llorens, 2003; Otero et al., 2010). Because such changes alter the flow of HES, it becomes necessary to gain insight regarding the underlying relationship between land and water, in order to forecast functional changes and trade-offs in HES under different resource-use scenarios (Brauman et al., 2007). Our study assesses the link between the use and management of Mediterranean agroecosystems, its hydrological functioning and the resulting flow of HES. Accordingly, this paper has three main objectives: (1) model the generation of green and blue freshwater flows across Mediterranean agroecosystems; (2) identify and value the main HES provided by these systems; and (3) map priority areas for HES provision to devise suitable management options that maximize water benefits for a wide range of beneficiaries. 2. Methodology 2.1. Study area Sierra Norte de Sevilla (SNORTE) is a Mediterranean agroecosystem located in the Southwest of Spain (Fig. 1). It covers an area of approximately 1700 km2 and is located in the central part of Sierra Morena Mountain range. It includes the headwaters of three important sub-basins of the Guadalquivir basin, namely Viar, Huesna and Retortillo. The climate is Mediterranean subhumid, with wet and mild winters and dry and hot summers. Mean annual precipitation is around 800 mm and annual average temperature is around 16 ◦ C, although there is a high intra-annual Table 1 Map sources required to run BalanceMED. Map layers Format Scale Soil units Land use and cover (year 2003)a Digital elevation model Monthly precipitationb Monthly potential evapotranspirationb , c Vector Vector Raster Raster Raster 1:10,000 1:25,000 20 m 100 m 100 m Source: CMA (2010). a The 2003 land use map represented the most updated source of information at the time this study was conducted. b Mean values for the time series 1971–2000. According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) this time series represents current mean climatic conditions. c Based on the equation proposed by Thornthwaite (1948). variability (CMA, 2003). The lithology is mainly composed of low permeable metamorphic materials (mainly slates, schist, and quartzite) interspersed with granites and permeable limestones and marbles. Prevailing soils are Lytic and Eutric Leptosols, poorly developed, acid and non-suitable for cultivation. Only in the calcareous areas, Eutric and Chromic Cambisols can be cultivated. Climate, terrain conditions and soil development have shaped the landscape of SNORTE. The upper mountains in the northern part are covered by original Mediterranean forests and woody crops (mainly olives), whereas the peneplains of the southern part represent agro-forestry ecosystems, locally called “dehesas” (Pineda and Montalvo, 1995). These agroecosystems result from the opening of native Mediterranean forests (Quercus ssp.) for grazing (primarily with Merino sheep, Iberian pigs and autochthonous Retinta cows), forming a complex mosaic of sparse oak trees mixed with pastures, crops and shrubs. They are ‘man-made’ ecosystems evolved from the ingenious and dynamic adaptation of humans to the Mediterranean environment (Plieninger and Schaar, 2008). As is the case with most of the 2.4 million ha of dehesas existing across Spain (MARM, 2011), SNORTE has suffered important transformations in its management in the last decades (Rescia et al., 2010). The industrialization process after the 1950s and currently the European Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) are both promoting the loss of its multifunctional use, disrupting its eco-cultural equilibrium (Schröder, 2005; Willaarts, 2010). 2.2. Hydrological functioning: green and blue freshwater flow generation To assess the spatial partition of rainfall into green and blue freshwater flows we used the hydrologic model BalanceMED (Willaarts, 2010). It is a semi-deterministic model developed to quantify the hydrological functioning of Mediterranean catchments using long time series of monthly rainfall and potential evapotranspiration. Model formulation is written and run in Excel 2007 and the hydrological outputs mapped with ARC GIS 9.2 (ESRI, 2006). Conceptually, BalanceMED assumes that a fraction from total precipitation is intercepted (I) by the plant canopy and returned to the atmosphere through evaporation without reaching the soil. The remaining precipitation (effective rainfall) reaches the soil and infiltrates. A significant part of the infiltrated rainfall is either consumed by the vegetation and transpired (T) or directly evaporated from the soil surface (E) back to the atmosphere. If the infiltrated water exceeds the soil storage capacity, the remaining flow can either percolate and recharge aquifers (R) or drain as runoff into the closest rivers or surface water bodies (Q). Table 1 depicts the map sources required to run the model. Mean values for climate variables instead of year to year values were chosen to isolate the B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 23 Fig. 1. Geographical location of SNORTE. The light shadow area represents the boundaries of the study area. Catchment limits are represent in light grey. potential effect of climate variability in the partition of rainfall into green and blue water flows. Fig. 2 illustrates the different pathways of water movement simulated by BalanceMED. To reflect hydrological differences across the territory, SNORTE was divided into so-called “hydrological units” (HU) by overlaying the soil and land use map. Each HU represents a defined area with unique soil, plant and land management characteristics. Parameter values required to simulate the water movement within each unit were extracted from databases linked to the different map sources (Fig. 2). With these inputs BalanceMED estimates mean monthly values of I, T, E, R and Q. Model formulation is described next. 2.2.1. Interception (It ) It (mm) = PPt − (a × nt ) (1) PPt is the mean precipitation each HU receives; ˛ is the leaf canopy interception and nt is the mean number of rainy days in month t for the time series 1971–2000. ˛ values for the different types of vegetation covers were extracted from the literature (Breuer et al., 2003; Díaz et al., 2005). 2.2.2. Transpiration (Tt ) Tt (mm) = min [w, (St − WP)] Fig. 2. Potential pathways of water movement simulated with BalanceMED. (2) 24 B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 w is the potential water uptake by plants within a HU (mm); St is the soil moisture content (mm) in month t and WP is the soil wilting point (mm). w is a parameter highly influenced by the vegetation type and soil development within the HU, and was calculated as (Neitsch et al., 2005): PTt × 1 − exp w(mm) = 1 − exp(−ˇ) −ˇ × dsoil droot (3) where PTt is the potential water transpiration in month t (mm); ˇ is a water-use distribution parameter; dsoil is the soil depth (mm) and droot is the plant root depth (mm) within a HU. ˇ was set constant for all HU at 10 (Neitsch et al., 2005). dsoil values (mm) were obtained from the database linked to the soil map; and droot values (mm) were obtained from the literature (Canadell et al., 1996; Breuer et al., 2003). PTt represents only a fraction of the potential evapotranspiration (PETt ). This fraction is highly influenced by the development stage of the leaf canopy (r), which is the dimensionless fraction of the incident beam radiation that penetrates the canopy, calculated as (Campbell and Norman, 1998): r = exp[(Kb ) × (LAI)] (4) Kb is the canopy extinction coefficient with a constant value of 0.82 (Stockle, 1985) and LAI is the leaf-area index (cm3 /cm3 ). LAI values for the different types of vegetation types were obtained from the literature (Breuer et al., 2003). PTt was then calculated as: PTt (mm) = (1 − r) × PETt (5) 2.2.3. Evaporation (Et ) Et (mm) = min [PEt , (St − WP)] (6) PEt (mm) = r × PETt (7) PEt is the potential evaporation from the soil surface; St the soil moisture in month t and WP is the soil wilting point of the HU. 2.2.4. Groundwater recharge (Rt ) To estimate Rt we incorporate the model APLIS (Andreo et al., 2004) as a subcomponent of BalanceMED. APLIS was specifically developed to estimate the mean rate of recharge in carbonate aquifers in Southern Spain. A + P + 3L + 2I + S Rt (mm) = Dt × 90 Rt (mm) = 0 if St ≤ FC if St > FC (8) (9) Dt represents the volume of water exceeding the maximum soil storage capacity within each HU (mm) in month t; St is the soil moisture (mm); FC is the soil field capacity (mm); A is the mean altitude; P is the mean slope; I is the infiltration water capacity and S is the soil texture. A, P, I, L and S are dimensionless, since they have been previously converted into categorical values following Andreo et al. (2004). 2.2.5. Surface runoff (Qt ) Qt (mm) = Dt − Rt (10) Translated into freshwater flows, Qt represents the surface fraction of the blue water flow (SBW), while Rt is the groundwater flow (GBW) (Fig. 2). Tt maintains the primary productivity of forests and agricultural systems, representing therefore a “productive” green water flow (PGW). It and Et are two vapor fluxes not involved in maintaining the productivity of systems, and thus both fluxes represent a “non-productive” green water flow (nPGW). 2.2.6. Model validation To validate model results, monthly volumetric flow rates (VFR) from the only available gauging station located in the Huesna subbasin within SNORTE (CMA, 2008) were recorded for the time series 1971–2000. Mean-monthly values of VFR were contrasted against Qt values provided by BalanceMED, using 4 common model evaluation statistics (Loague and Green, 1991): (i) mean squared error (MSE), which describes the squared average of the differences between the estimations and the observed data; (ii) model efficiency (ME), which indicates how well the plot of observed vs. simulated values fits the 1:1 line; (iii) coefficient of determination (R2 ), which indicates the strength of the linear relationship between the observed and simulated values; and (iv) the coefficient of residual mass (CRM), which indicates if the model estimation is underor overestimated. 2.3. HES identification and valuation The main driver underpinning the maintenance of HES is instrumental; and relates to the benefits agroecosystems supply to upand downstream users in catchments. Hence, it is crucial to include the human dimension (e.g. people’s values and preferences) when performing an ecosystem service assessment (Cowling et al., 2008; Menzel and Teng, 2010). The identification and valuation of HES was performed through an expert panel following a similar approach as Binning et al. (2001) and Shelton et al. (2001). A questionnaire with a potential list of HES was sent by to 25 national experts on ecosystem services, hydrology, agronomy, forestry and local environmental authorities. In total 18 experts (10 scientists and 8 local managers) participated. The list of HES was elaborated using the expertise knowledge of the study area and relevant services identified in other water-related studies (MEA, 2003; Falkenmark and Rockström, 2004; de Groot, 2006; Brauman et al., 2007). Experts were also invited to complete the list of HES. Once the final list of HES was agreed among all, experts were further requested to value the importance of each service based on the benefits it supplies. Value rankings ranged from 0 (none) to 1 (low), 2 (medium), 3 (high) and 4 (very high). Likewise, experts were requested to identify which land uses supply each identified HES; and indicate the spatial scale (local, regional, international) at which each service delivers its benefits. 2.4. Mapping HES hotspots If HES should be maintained in the long run it is necessary to spatially identify key provisioning areas, also called “HES hotspot” (Egoh et al., 2008; O’Farrell et al., 2010). To map the importance of each HU delivering a HES, we took into account: (1) the biophysical performance of the production function (freshwater flow); (2) the land use type, since the same production function can deliver different benefits depending on the use and management of the territory (de Groot, 2006; Feld et al., 2009); and (3) the societal value attached to each service. Consequently, the importance of one HU to provide a service (HESscore ) was quantified as: HESscore = F(x) × Land × Value (11) where F(x) is the value of the freshwater flow (either green or blue) providing the service linearly transformed into a scale from 0 to 1. This transformation implies that HUs with a high evapotranspiration or runoff rate will score close to 1, while HUs with a low hydrological performance will score close to 0. Land is a dichotomic variable (0, 1) expressing if the HU supplies or not the HES based on its land use; and Value expresses the mean societal value assigned by the experts to each HES (ranking between 0 and 4). B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 25 Table 2 Water balance of Monthly (t) values of model outputs (It , Et , Tt , Rt , Qt ) were aggregated to provide mean annual volumes (mm) of green and blue freshwater flows. Non productive green water flow (nPGW) Interception mm/year Rainfall partition (%) 65.9 9.0 12 t=1 It Evaporation 12 t=1 Et 47.1 6.5 Individual maps of HESscores were integrated to obtain the HES provisioning capacity map (HESindex ). To identify hotspot areas, map values were ranked in three major classes using the quartile classification in ArcGIS® 9.2. Areas with a HESindex above third quartile are considered HES hotspots. 3. Results 3.1. Hydrological functioning 3.1.1. Rainfall partitioning and model validation Table 2 shows the annual summary of the monthly outputs provided by BalanceMED. The largest fraction of annual rainfall (43.4%) is used to support primary productivity of forest and agricultural systems and therefore represents a “productive green flow”. The non productive fraction (15.5%) represents a smaller amount and accounts for all the water losses occurred through canopy or soil evaporation. The fraction of rainfall not evapotranspired turns into a blue water flow. The greatest blue freshwater flow becomes superficial (almost 24.2% of annual precipitation) and feeds rivers, streams and small water bodies. The remaining fraction (16.9%) constitutes a groundwater flow, which percolates deep to recharge aquifers. Productive green water flow (PGW) Blue ground water (GBW) Transpiration Aquifer recharge 12 316.4 43.4 t=1 Tt 123.4 16.9 12 t=1 Rt Blue surface water (SBW) Runoff 12 t=1 Qt 176.1 24.2 Table 3 Model evaluation of BalanceMED. Four metrics were calculated to validate model results: mean squared error (MSE) (range = −∞/+∞, optimum 0); model efficiency (ME) (range = −∞/+∞, optimum 1); regression coefficient (R2 ) (range = 0–1, optimum 1); and coefficient of residual masses (CRM) (range = 0–1, optimum 0). Statistics Value MSE ME R2 CRM 1 0.82 0.75 0.03 Model validation confirms the reliability of BalanceMED to quantify the spatial pattern of green and blue water flow generation in the study area (Table 3). The mean squared error (MSE) shows that the average difference between observed and predicted values (1 hm3 ) is equivalent to 25% of the average monthly blue surface runoff (4.3 hm3 ) recorded in the gauge station of the upper Huesna sub-basin. ME value indicates that BalanceMED performance is satisfactory according to the model performance assessment provided by Moriasi et al. (2007). The R2 shows a good fit, implying that 75% of the variation found in the volumetric flow rates (VFR) is accounted by the BalanceMED when modeling surface runoff (Qt ) values. CRM is slightly above zero, implying that surface runoff is somewhat overestimated. Fig. 3. Mean annual values (mm) of (a) non-productive green water (nPGW); (b) productive green water (PGW); (c) blue surface water (SBW); and (d) blue groundwater (GBW). 26 B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 accounting for 26–30% of annual rainfall (Fig. 4). Only in woody and abandoned crops the fraction of groundwater recharge becomes more important (30%), mainly because these land uses extend along the calcareous and permeable mountain areas in the north. Most water bodies (e.g. rivers, reservoirs and ponds) store rainfall as surface runoff, although a small fraction (<15%) is normally infiltrated, and contributes to deep water recharge. 3.2. Identification and valuation of HES Fig. 4. Rainfall partition (%) into productive green water (PGW), non productive green water (nGPW), surface blue water (SBW) and blue groundwater (GBW) flows in the different land uses. 3.1.2. Influence of the use and management of the territory in the generation of freshwater flows The diversity of orographic, lithological and climate characteristics as well as the different land use management types are the underlying drivers of the heterogeneous spatial pattern of green and blue freshwater flows found in the study area (Fig. 3). The highest rates of evaporated or non-productive green water occur in the northern half, in calcareous HUs mainly dedicated to grow woody crops and where vegetation cover is small (Fig. 3a). On the contrary, the highest rates of transpired or productive green water flows overlap with HUs spread across SNORTE presenting a high forest cover (Fig. 3b). The greater surface flows of blue water are generated in the western part, in metamorphic HUs with steep slopes and mainly covered by shrubs (Fig. 3c). In contrast, the highest rate of groundwater recharge occurs in the northeast, overlapping with permeable calcareous HUs with a mixture of land uses (Fig. 3d). The predominance of surface flows is related with the high impermeability and complex orography of SNORTE, which promotes short and fast water courses in the medium and upper stretches (CMA, 2003). Fig. 4 quantifies the effect of vegetation and land management on the partition of rainfall into green and blue water flows. Extensively managed HUs with a medium to high vegetation cover (e.g. Mediterranean and riparian forests, afforestation, shrubs, and dehesas with or without shrubs) have large soil moisture requirements to maintain their primary productivity, and therefore the largest fraction of effective rainfall (between 52 and 57%) is invested in producing green water flows. On the contrary, HUs subjected to a more intensive use and with a lower vegetation cover (e.g. crops and pastures) consume on average less green water (<50% of total rainfall). These differences in green water consumption between land uses are statistically significant (ANOVA test, p-value < 0.001). Remarkable differences can be found as well when comparing the ratio (%) of productive and non-productive green water consumption (Fig. 4). On average, crops and pastures HUs evaporate a larger fraction of green water (19–22%), compared to forests, shrubs and dehesas (10–15%). This implies that denser vegetated HUs are more efficient in terms of water used to produce a unit of biomass (Rockström et al., 1999; Falkenmark and Rockström, 2004) as they have less water losses through evaporation. The fraction of rainfall diverted to blue water is influenced by the vegetation cover and management but not its allocation into surface or groundwater flows. Since the majority of SNORTE has a low permeability, surface flows predominate in most land uses, According to the experts’ criteria SNORTE provides nine HES (Table 4). Five out of these nine services are green water dependent, while the remaining four are of blue nature. Most valued services (scores between 3 and 4) are forage, drinking water, flow regulation, recreation, olive crops and cork production. Less valued services (scores between 1 and 2) are meso-climate regulation and hydropower generation. The maintenance of aquatic biodiversity is a HES with intermediate importance (scores between 2 and 3). Grouping the nine HES according to the ecosystem services categories proposed by the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA, 2003), we found that cultural and provisioning HES are on average more valued than regulating services, but these differences are not statistically significant (Kruskall–Wallis test; p > 0.05). Likewise, no significant differences were found when comparing the societal value of green and blue water dependent services (Kruskall–Wallis test; p > 0.05). Differences found among HES’ values appear to be more influenced by the scale of benefit delivery (Fig. 5). The majority of HES supply their benefits upstream and downstream (Fig. 5a). However, SNORTE’s hydrological functioning also benefits stakeholders beyond its borders – at regional and European scales – by regulating the meso-climate and preserving some important threatened European aquatic species (for example the fire salamander (Salamandra salamandra), the lataste’s viper (Vipera latestei) and the water vole (Arvicola sapidus)). As Fig. 5b shows, HES delivering their benefits downstream and upstream are significantly the most valued services. HES providing their benefits at greater spatial scales are less valuable from a societal perspective. 3.3. HES hotspots Fig. 6a identifies key provisioning areas or HES hotspots within SNORTE. Most hotspots are located in the northern half and in the central part and occupy 38% of SNORTE’s area. Areas with a medium HES index extend mainly along the central and southern part and occupy 28% of total area. The remaining 34% of the study area shows low capacity to deliver HES, and most of these areas are located in the northern and eastern part. The performance of the three main HES provisioning areas (low, medium and hotspot) is described in Fig. 6b. Hotspot areas supply the largest bundles of HES and exhibit the greatest biophysical capacity to supply most services. These areas are important providers of blue-water-dependent HES, whose benefits are enjoyed downstream and at greater spatial scales (e.g. European). HES’ hotspots are also the greatest suppliers of onsite green water benefits through the provision of cork and forage and to a lesser extent meso-climate regulation (Fig. 6b). Areas with a medium capacity to provide HES supply less green water dependent services and their mean performance to deliver benefits at different spatial scales decreases significantly. Lastly, low HES production areas show very little capacity to provide HES, and the most important (green) benefits are accrued locally through the production of olive crops, forage and regionally via climate regulation. Differences encountered in the HES provisioning capacity are intimately linked with the vegetation cover and management of B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 27 Table 4 Hydrologic ecosystem services (HES) supplied by SNORTE and associated freshwater flows involved their provision. Societal value refers to the mean value assigned by the different experts to each HES (minimum value 0; maximum 4). Typology Hydrological asset HES Societal value Cultural Blue water (surface and groundwater) Recreation (fishing and swimming) Maintenance of aquatic biodiversity 3.25 2.50 Productive Green water Forage Olive crops Cork Drinking water Hydropower 3.75 3.13 3.00 3.38 1.00 Flow regulation Meso-climate regulation 3.38 1.63 Provisioning Blue water (surface runoff) Regulating a Green water reservoir Green watera Productive (transpired) and non-Productive (evaporated). Fig. 5. Richness (a) and societal values (b) of HES supplied by SNORTE at several spatial scales. Different letters indicate significant differences in HES value across delivering scales (Kruskal–Wallis Test; p < 0.05). the territory (Fig. 7). Areas with a relatively high woody vegetation cover provide larger bundles of HES compared to those that have been intensified to maximize the supply of one set of HES (e.g. olive crops and forage) and where the land cover is low thicket or even artificial. Likewise, areas extensively used where native forests coexist with dehesas that are mainly used for livestock production, supply a greater flow of HES when compared to fully natural or even abandoned areas. 4. Discussion Over half of the total annual rainfall that SNORTE receives turns into green water and is largely used to support primary productivity of forest and agricultural ecosystems. This rate of green water consumption is lower than the value estimated for the Guadalquivir basin as a whole, where the mean annual evapotranspiration represents around 80% of the annual precipitation (GBA, 2010). The Fig. 6. HES provisioning map (a) and bundles of HES (b) supplied by the different provisioning areas. 28 B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 Fig. 7. Correspondence analysis between landscape structure and HES provisioning areas. Landscape cover and management explains 95% of the variance shown by the different uses found in SNORTE when supplying HES (2 -test; p < 0.05). lower rates of green water consumption quantified in SNORTE are to a large extend related to the fact that soils in this mountain area are poorly developed (CMA, 2004), limiting the soil moisture content and thus the capacity of vegetation to consume larger volumes of green water. This small soil water storage capacity is probably the main reason why vegetation in this area is subjected to significant water stress compared to other areas within the Guadalquivir basin, CMA, 2011). Nevertheless, the rate of rainfall diverted to green water is in agreement with the calculations obtained by Zhang et al. (2001). This author found that in regions with an aridity index (PET/PP) close to 1, evapotranspiration rates of mixed vegetation types range between 55 and 60% of annual rainfall. In addition to physical factors, land management also exerts considerable influence on the partition of rainfall in the study area. The opening of the original Mediterranean forest and its conversion to dehesas and pastures has reduced the evapotranspiration rates by 2% and 8%, respectively (cp. Fig. 4). Joffre and Rambal (1993), however, found that differences in evapotranspiration rates across land uses in SNORTE largely depend on the precipitation regime. In a humid year differences in the evapotranspiration rates between forest and pastures remain below 15% depending on the location, rainfall amount and soil properties. However, in dry years when water requirements for vegetation are not met, forests can consume up to 62% more green water than pastures, mainly because trees have larger root systems and therefore access to deeper water. Farley et al. (2005) also found that land cover changes have a larger effect on the water balance of catchments in dry regions. Accordingly, the maintenance of an open mixed-agrarian landscape with pastures and dehesas represents an effective adaptation measure from a hydrological perspective to the frequent droughts affecting SNORTE and surroundings. From an ecosystem service perspective, the hydrological changes linked to the domestication of the Mediterranean forests have influenced the capacity of the study area to supply HES at a wide range of scales. Nowadays, the greatest flow of water-related benefits is of green nature despite the overall well known socioeconomic importance of blue services. Tielbörger et al. (2010) also found that green water flow supplies some of the most important ecosystem services in arid Mediterranean ecosystems. Despite the flow’s color supplying the service, SNORTE supplies the largest number of water-related benefits beyond its borders, mainly downstream but also at larger scales. This spatial mismatch between service production and enjoyment its benefit is a common feature within ecosystem services assessment (Hein et al., 2006; Fisher et al., 2009). Among blue water dependent services this is of special importance, since their benefit enjoyment is determined by the direction of the blue flows (Fisher et al., 2009); and thus away from the production source. Green water dependent services show a higher spatial overlapping since they are produced and enjoyed mainly in situ (except for meso-climate regulation and flow regulation). From a management point of view, the large spatial disconnection between service production and benefit enjoyment implies that changes in the land management within SNORTE will exert the largest impacts beyond its borders. To support the continuous supply of HES by SNORTE, the HES index map elaborated in this study provides a valuable piece of information for decision makers. On the one hand, it illustrates the areas with the greatest biophysical performance to provide HES. Moreover, it incorporates social preferences for HES based on the opinion of local and national experts. Heretofore, most of the spatial assessments have mapped ecosystem services hotspots by overlapping existing biophysical information but disregarding stakeholders’ preferences (Chan et al., 2006; Egoh et al., 2008; O’Farrell et al., 2010). But avoiding the human dimension and people’s values in ecosystem planning runs the risk of making the whole attempt of securing services irrelevant for policy making (Cowling et al., 2008; Menzel and Teng, 2010). The combination of both dimensions – social and ecological – helped to evidence a major finding in this research: the maintenance of an heterogeneous landscape mosaic where agro-forestry land uses (dehesas) coexist with Mediterranean forests not only enhances high rates of biological diversity in this part of the Mediterranean basin (Pineda and Montalvo, 1995; Plieninger and Wilbrand, 2001), but also optimizes the provision of HES at a wide range of spatial scales. Several studies (Schröder, 2005; Rescia et al., 2010; Willaarts, 2010) have described an ongoing trend of livestock intensification in SNORTE, which is causing an overall decrease in forest and shrubby vegetation cover in many farms. In principle, this trend could be beneficial for the downstream areas since it increases blue water availability. However, as livestock densities increase so does the probability of having water quality problems, which might hamper the overall supply of blue water-related services. To our knowledge no specific studies have been conducted to assess this particular issue in SNORTE. Nevertheless, the European Nitrogen Assessment (Sutton and van Grinsven, 2011) stresses that currently one third of the total farm input of nitrogen to soils in Europe comes from animal manures linked to livestock intensification; and that the fraction of nitrogen in animal manures that is lost to the environment is typically twice the mineral nitrogen fertilizer from plant production. Along with the livestock intensification process, Schröder (2005) and Rescia et al. (2010) also observed an expansion of shrubs across dehesas, pastures and crops resulting from the abandonment of traditional forestry practices in SNORTE. This woody expansion has the opposite hydrological impact, as it increases the demand for green water, reducing the generation and availability of blue water and related services. These observed land use trends taking place in SNORTE result from the shift dehesas have experienced in their land management over recent decades, away from a diverse agro-silvo-pastoral system to a much simpler modern pastoral-hunting scheme (Willaarts, 2010). According to Schröder (2005) and Rescia et al. (2010) the major drivers of such changes are related with: (1) the low demand for many of the main traditional dehesa products (e.g. wood-related products), which contributes to the abandonment of forestry practices; (2) the need to maintain farm profitability, which is causing the increase in livestock densities (number of animals/unit of area), especially of bovine and porcine animals; and (3) the increased demand for hunting as a recreational activity in the larger B.A. Willaarts et al. / Agricultural Water Management 105 (2012) 21–31 farms – i.e. big landowners who pursue this activity because it is very profitable and socially prestigious, but they have an untied relationship with their lands and disregard most traditional activities. In an attempt to maintain dehesas’ multifunctional landscapes, the Regional Environmental Government of Andalusia signed in 2006 the so-called “Dehesa Agreement” (CMA, 2006). This pact sought to join efforts among different institutions and landowners to promote the maintenance of these agroecosystems in southern Spain and their flow of services. However, and despite the institutional interest, the lack of economic incentives to promote the implementation of specific sustainable forestry and agrarian practices continues to threaten the persistence of these cultural systems. One way to overcome the loss of these heterogeneous agricultural landscapes and maximize the supply of services could be through the implementation of the so-called ‘Green Water Credits’ (GWC) (Grieg-Gran et al., 2006). GWC is an innovative scheme of payments for ecosystem services (PES), where landowners are paid for specific land and soil management activities to secure the provision of different freshwater services at source (Grieg-Gran et al., 2006). Such a PES scheme could be applied and enforced by local institutions in southern Spain but also by the EU Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). Currently, the CAP is discussing a new mechanism to subsidize famers based on the green farm practices they apply, in an attempt at “greening the CAP” (Kaley and Baldock, 2011). The implementation of GWCs seems feasible under this new approach to subsidize agriculture in Europe, particularly in agroecosystems of Southern Europe where agricultural productivity is low but ecosystem and cultural values are very important. Nevertheless GWCs as any other PES scheme should be regarded as an economic complement, rather than a substitute, to other ongoing initiatives like: (1) the development of commercial strategies promoting the consumption of ‘dehesa products’ with denomination of origin (Schröder, 2005); or (2) the development of alternative sources of income through the ecotourism or sustainable gaming activities (Rescia et al., 2010). Overall, the implementation of a PES scheme could contribute to maintain and recover landscape multifunctionality in SNORTE, enhancing the supply of HES and associated benefits to a wide range of spatial scales. However, the “reversibility” in ES loss (Rodríguez et al., 2006) remains uncertain even if the ongoing landscape trends (intensification and abandonment) could be reversed. Foremost because ecosystems are complex and changes do not occur linearly and in predictable ways; and thus, it is difficult to forecast intended environmental changes (de Fries et al., 2004; Carpenter et al., 2009). Nevertheless, to the extent that ecological knowledge can quantify the ecosystem response to varying scales resulting from changes in land use and management, the assessment presented in this paper can inform decision makers about potential trade-offs that arise under various land management scenarios and future measures for optimizing the supply of HES for up- and downstream users. 5. Conclusions Up-to-date quantitative studies assessing the underlying relationship between the management of ecosystems, their ecological functioning and the associated flow of services have been scarce. Our research represents a step forward, as we have developed a method to empirically assess the link between land use and management of agroecosystems, its hydrological functioning and the supply of water-related services. We applied this framework to one particular region but we expect it to be applicable to other Mediterranean agroecosystems facing similar trends. 29 To provide relevant information for achieving IWLRM we have identified key HES hotspots. As opposed to most ecosystem services mappings performed so far, HES hotspots in this study were identified by taking into account the biophysical performance of the different land uses but also social’ preferences for the different services. Including both the societal and biophysical dimension in ecosystem management increases the reliability of the information provided for decision makers and ecosystem managers (Cowling et al., 2008; Menzel and Teng, 2010). A major finding of our research is that maintaining a multifunctional use of Mediterranean ecosystems combining agrarian and forestry practices optimizes the use of freshwater flows and generates the larger bundles of HES. The importance of promoting multifunctionality in landscapes for ecosystem service provision has been highlighted previously (de Fries et al., 2004; Gordon et al., 2010; O’Farrell et al., 2010). However, to our knowledge this is the first time empirical research has been done in this direction. Most HES benefits are delivered away from the source of production of freshwater flows; thus, changes in the management of mountainous agroecosystems will have important implications for a wide range of ecosystem service beneficiaries (e.g. locals but downstream users as well). In the Mediterranean region, ongoing processes of land abandonment reduce the efficiency of green water use since most green-provisioning HES are lost. Moreover, shrub encroachment and forest expansion reduces the availability of blue water, diminishing the supply of services downstream. Likewise, land use intensification resulting from an increase in livestock density might prevent shrub and woody vegetation expansion, and thus it can help to reduce green water demand by vegetation. However, the impacts on water quality might alter the flow of blue water dependent services downstream. Overall, most of the changes in Mediterranean agroecosystems result from the current low profitability of traditional farm practices. Bearing in mind the multiple non-market benefits these systems provided, it seems reasonable to explore options for setting up PES schemes such as “Green Water Credits”. Such schemes could help to achieve “win–win” solutions by incentivizing land owners to improve land management, and at the same optimize provision of multiple water benefits for other stakeholders. Acknowledgements This research was supported by the Regional Environmental Government of Andalucía through the project “Ecological and Socio-economic Assessment of the Ecosystem Services supplied by the Network of Protected Areas in Andalusia” (UAL-CG 400431). The authors acknowledge the valuable comments for the manuscript provided by two anonymous reviewers, who helped to focus and make improvements to the paper. 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