Which Stock Market Do You Follow? The DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq, or NYSE? Imagine you are sitting in your office and the phone rings. It’s one of your top clients, and they ask you; “How’s the stock market doing?” Maybe your client wants to know how the stock market is doing right then. Maybe they are wondering how it has performed over the past month, quarter, or year. Or maybe they are asking for your current or future stock market outlook. However, this story should not end there. As the famous Paul Harvey used to say; “And now…for the rest of the story.” There is actually another historical, major, and all-important stock market index. In fact, this particular index is the oldest, largest, and most reputable measurement of the overall stock market. Which index could this be? The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). In either case, where would you turn for your answer? Which index do you believe tells the most accurate story of the overall stock market? FACT: The NYSE is, without question, the single most reputable, meaningful, and valuable stock market index. For the last 100 years (particularly the last 50 years), investors and investment professionals have gauged the stock market by using: 1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) 2.The Standard and Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) 3. The Nasdaq Composite (Nasdaq) I have found most people are surprised to learn the history of the NYSE and how it compares to the other three benchmarks. This is especially true when you consider the fact that the NYSE is: • Largely overlooked and ignored • Rarely mentioned or acknowledged • Extremely hard to find and follow Page 12 The NYSE — Compared to the DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq As you will see from this exercise, the NYSE has always been the leading indicator for the stock market’s overall health and long-term trend. The best way to prove this fact is by comparing and contrasting the NYSE to the other popular benchmarks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) The DJIA was created by Charles Dow, editor of the Wall Street Journal and co-founder of Dow Jones & Company. The “Industrial” part of its name is merely historical, since very few of today’s DJIA stocks have anything to do with the traditional heavy industry. The DJIA is arguably the most notable stock market index. For example, when the media states “the stock market is up or down today”, they are generally referring to the DJIA. The Register | November-December 2016 DJIA key details and characteristics: • The DJIA was founded in 1896 — dating back only 120 years. • The DJIA is the second oldest U.S. stock market index. • Commonly referred to as “Dow Jones”, “Dow 30”, and “Dow”. • The DJIA began with 12 stocks, which expanded to 30 in 1928. • The stocks that make up the DJIA have changed a total of 51 times. • The DJIA consists of 30 stocks that are among the largest publicly-owned stocks based in the United States. • Each of the 30 DJIA stocks also trade on the NYSE. • The DJIA is a price-weighted index. What this means is the stocks with the highest prices are given a greater weight and, have a greater impact on the index. The Standard and Poor’s 500 Index The S&P 500 is often considered the most accurate gauge of the performance of large-cap American equities. While the S&P 500 focuses on the large-cap sector of the market, many consider this index as representative of the stock market because it includes a significant portion of the total value of the market. Over the past several decades, the S&P 500 has become the preferred index for U.S. stocks, unseating the DJIA. Since the S&P 500 is made up of 500 stocks (versus 30 in the DJIA), it is perceived as a bigger, broader, and better measurement of the overall stock market. S&P 500 key details and characteristics: • The S&P 500 was founded in 1957 — dating back only 59 years. • The S&P 500 is the second youngest U.S. stock market index. • Commonly referred to as the “S&P Composite” and “S&P”. • The S&P 500 consists of 500 stocks selected by the S&P Index Committee, a team of analysts and economists at Standard & Poor’s. • The criteria for stocks to be added to the S&P 500 include: being a U.S. company, market capitalization in excess of $4 billion, a public float of at least 50%, financial viability, adequate liquidity and reasonable price, sector representation, and company type. • The S&P 500 is a market capitalization weighted index. This means the stocks with the highest capitalization are given a greater weighting and, therefore, have a greater impact on the index. (Note: A stock’s capitalization is determined by multiplying the stock’s share price by the number of shares outstanding. The Register | November-December 2016 The Nasdaq Composite Index The Nasdaq is mostly known as the benchmark index for U.S. technology (and growth) stocks. Some of the world’s most notable tech stocks traded on the Nasdaq include: Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google (commonly referred to as “FANG”), Microsoft, Intel, and Oracle. The Nasdaq was created by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) to enable investors to trade securities on a computerized, speedy, and transparent system. As the technology sector explosively grew during the 80’s and 90’s, the Nasdaq was the most followed market index during that time frame. Nasdaq key details and characteristics: • The Nasdaq was founded in 1971 — dating back only 45 years. • The Nasdaq is the youngest U.S. stock market index. • Unlike other major market indexes, the Nasdaq Composite is world-wide, which is not limited to just U.S. based companies. • The Nasdaq is also known as a global electronic marketplace to facilitate the buying and selling of stocks. • Commonly referred to as the “Nasdaq Composite Index”. • The Nasdaq’s computerized trading system was created to serve as an alternative to the “specialist” system. • The Nasdaq consists of approximately 2,500 small, medium, and large-cap growth stocks. • Similar to the S&P 500, the Nasdaq is also a market capitalization weighted index. Again, this means the stocks with the highest capitalization are given a greater weighting and, therefore, have a greater impact on the index. The New York Stock Exchange Since the inception of the stock market, the NYSE has maintained a set of uniquely stringent listing requirements. Therefore, any stocks listed on the NYSE have earned an inherent “seal of approval”. NYSE stocks are perceived as more reputable, credible, and well-established than the stocks listed on other exchanges. For many, the NYSE is a symbol of all that is Wall Street. It is the place where fortunes are made and lost, and where the free market can be seen in its most tangible form. NYSE key details and characteristics: • The NYSE was founded in 1792 — dating back 224 years. • T he NYSE is the oldest U.S. stock index. • The NYSE is the largest world-wide stock index (in terms of the U.S. and globally). • The NYSE has the largest and oldest publicly traded companies. • The NYSE consists of over 3,000 of the world’s largest, most reputable, and heavily-traded stocks. • Commonly referred to as “The Big Board” and “NYSE Composite” • The NYSE ensures an “orderly” market for the trading of stocks. • The NYSE is distinguished because its stocks are traded using an auction market where brokers and specialists buy and sell securities for people by matching the highest bidding price with the lowest selling price. • Unlike other exchanges, the NYSE has an actual trading floor (11 Wall Street in New York). Who Actually Follows the NYSE… and Where? To illustrate how under-recognized and allusive the NYSE is, here are two interesting challenges. Challenge 1 Ask at least 20 people (family, friends, investors, clients, fellow investment professionals, etc.) the following questions: “How did the stock market do today?” “Which index do you refer to as the stock market?” “How did the NYSE perform today?” “ Can you tell me the difference between the NYSE and the other three popular indexes — DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq?” “Do you regularly follow the NYSE?” “ If you had to choose one index to follow the market, would you choose the DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq, or NYSE?” Once you’ve completed this challenge, how many people quickly and easily identified with the NYSE? How many said they really understand the NYSE? How many claimed they regularly follow the NYSE? How many would choose the NYSE as their main stock market index? Challenge 2 Search the internet for popular places that offer stock market performance updates. In other words, go online and visit the most widely-recognized websites for quick and easy access to the stock market, such as; CNBC, CNN, FOX News, Wall Street Journal, Money, Bloomberg, Schwab, YAHOO Page 13 Finance, etc. Then, type “stock market update” into a Google search. Finally, use your iPhone to ask Siri for a stock market update — and also check to see which indices are listed on your iPhone “stocks” app. Once you’ve completed this challenge, how many of these places actually list the NYSE? How many make the NYSE’s performance readily and easily accessible? How many display the NYSE in the same location as the DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq? The NYSE Must Be Followed I sincerely hope this article provides enough of the necessary facts to reveal the NYSE’s untold story and unspoken truth. Even though the NYSE is rarely talked about in public, and rarely visible or accessible, we cannot forget this index is the oldest, largest, most notable measurement of the stock market. Christopher P. Hill, RFC® Christopher P. Hill, RFC®, is the President of Wealth and Income Group LLC, with multiple branch offices in Virginia. Chris began his 28-year career in the financial services industry by spending his summers as a college intern for a major stockbrokerage firm. After graduating college with a B.S. in Finance, he spent over a decade working with the Senior Portfolio Manager of a leading money management firm. In 2001 Chris formed his own company with a primary focus on wealth management. Contact: 540.685.4321 [email protected] www.wealthandincome.com Securities offered through O.N. Equity Sales Company Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory services offered through ON Investment Management Company. Page 14 The Register | November-December 2016
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