Outline MEO Satellite Dynamics Alessandro Rossi ISTI–CNR, Spaceflight Dynamics Section Via Moruzzi 1, 56124 Pisa, Italy 24th IADC Meeting Tsukuba, April 10 - 13, 2006 Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Acknowledgments This work was done in the framework of the ESA/ESOC Contract No. 18423/04/D/HK: Analysis of Mitigation Measures based on the Semi-Deterministic Model, for the upgrade of SDM to SDM 4.0 Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Agenda 1 Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey 2 Conclusions Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Orbital evolution MEO - ETALON Etalon 1 and 2 are identical geodetic passive satellites of Russia (former USSR), for satellite laser ranging. They are spheres with diameter = 1.294 m, mass = 1415 kg. Etalon-1 and Etalon-2 were launched in 1989 in GLONASS-like orbits: 1 E-1: a = 25 498 km, e = 0.00061, i = 64.9◦ 2 E-2: a = 25 498 km, e = 0.00066, i = 65.5◦ Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Orbital evolution MEO - ETALON The Etalon satellites are ideal test bodies to study the perturbations affecting the long term evolution of the navigation satellite orbits The Etalon satellites are ideal bodies to test the accuracy of the orbital propagators. The Tuned Inter-Range Vectors (TIRV) are state vectors of the Etalon satellites used to track them by the Laser stations. The accuracy of the TIRVs is about 1 m. ASI (Matera Station) provided also one year (2004) of fitted orbits with weighted RMS of a few cm. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Orbital evolution MEO - ETALON The Etalon satellites are ideal test bodies to study the perturbations affecting the long term evolution of the navigation satellite orbits The Etalon satellites are ideal bodies to test the accuracy of the orbital propagators. The Tuned Inter-Range Vectors (TIRV) are state vectors of the Etalon satellites used to track them by the Laser stations. The accuracy of the TIRVs is about 1 m. ASI (Matera Station) provided also one year (2004) of fitted orbits with weighted RMS of a few cm. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Orbital evolution MEO - ETALON The Etalon satellites are ideal test bodies to study the perturbations affecting the long term evolution of the navigation satellite orbits The Etalon satellites are ideal bodies to test the accuracy of the orbital propagators. The Tuned Inter-Range Vectors (TIRV) are state vectors of the Etalon satellites used to track them by the Laser stations. The accuracy of the TIRVs is about 1 m. ASI (Matera Station) provided also one year (2004) of fitted orbits with weighted RMS of a few cm. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Orbital evolution MEO - ETALON The Etalon satellites are ideal test bodies to study the perturbations affecting the long term evolution of the navigation satellite orbits The Etalon satellites are ideal bodies to test the accuracy of the orbital propagators. The Tuned Inter-Range Vectors (TIRV) are state vectors of the Etalon satellites used to track them by the Laser stations. The accuracy of the TIRVs is about 1 m. ASI (Matera Station) provided also one year (2004) of fitted orbits with weighted RMS of a few cm. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Orbital evolution MEO - ETALON The Etalon satellites are ideal test bodies to study the perturbations affecting the long term evolution of the navigation satellite orbits The Etalon satellites are ideal bodies to test the accuracy of the orbital propagators. The Tuned Inter-Range Vectors (TIRV) are state vectors of the Etalon satellites used to track them by the Laser stations. The accuracy of the TIRVs is about 1 m. ASI (Matera Station) provided also one year (2004) of fitted orbits with weighted RMS of a few cm. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey ASI vs. TIRV The difference between the precise orbits and the TIRV elements is within a few tens of meters in a and a few parts in 10−6 in e. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey ASI vs. TIRV The difference between the precise orbits and the TIRV elements is within a few tens of meters in a and a few parts in 10−6 in e =⇒ use of TIRV correct for the study. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey ETALONs orbital evolution from TIRVs- Semiaxis Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey ETALONs orbital evolution from TIRVs - Eccentricity Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey ETALONs orbital evolution from TIRVs - Inclination Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey ETALONs orbital evolution from TIRVs - Node Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey ETALONs orbital evolution from TIRVs - Node Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey TIRV vs. FOP (ETALON 1 - 63 y) Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey TIRV vs. SATRAP (ETALON 2 - 200 y) 4 2.9 x 10 2.8 Apogee/Perigee [km] 2.7 GPS 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 0 1 2 3 4 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi 5 6 7 4 x 10 MEO Satellite Dynamics Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions ETALON 2 Ecc. evolution 1990–2004 w. SATRAP −4 10 ETALON 2 x 10 ALL 9 There is a secular growth of the eccentricity caused mainly by the third body perturbations. Eccentricity SUN MOON NOPRES SUN MOON NOPRES J22 8 SUN − NO MOON J88 + RAD. PRESS J88 − NO RAD. PRESS J44 7 J33 J22 J2 6 0 Alessandro Rossi 1000 2000 3000 Time [days] MEO Satellite Dynamics 4000 5000 6000 Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Spectrum of the ETALON 2 Eccentricity perturbations Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey TIRV vs. FOP - Eccentricity Spectrum Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey SATRAP - Eccentricity Spectrum Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey SATRAP - Eccentricity Spectrum (long period) Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Exploration of the MEO region The influence of the node and semimajor axis on the eccentricity growth of the orbits is explored by propagating, for 100 years with FOP and SATRAP, a large set of ETALON clones. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Node clones 36 Etalon 2 like orbits, with Ωi = 36.69◦ + (i × 10◦ ) i = 0, 35 Maximum eccentricity growth after 100 years. Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Semimajor axis clones 0.09 GLONASS 5:3 2:1 0.08 500 Etalon 2 like orbits ai = 25400 + (i × 10) km, i = 0, 459 (25400 < a < 29990). Maximum eccentricity 0.07 0.06 GPS 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 Maximum eccentricity growth after 100 years. GALILEO 0.01 0 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 Semimajor axis [km] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.1 4 x 10 Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Semiaxis clones - Ecc. evolution near resonance 0.07 ainiz = 26560 0.06 Eccentricity 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 ainiz = 26540 26550 0.01 26580 0 ainiz = 26570 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3.5 4 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Only Luni-Solar perturbations (no gravity harmonics) 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 0.1 Eccentricity 0.08 Only gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 2 and order m = 2. 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 2 and order m = 2 + Luni-Solar perturbations 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Only gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 3 and order m = 3 (No Luni-Solar perturbations). 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Resonance theory Given the expansion of the gravity field in terms of spherical harmonics, the resonance argument for a J`m coefficient is: ψlmpq = [(` − 2p + q)n − mθ̇]t + (l − 2p)ω + m(Ω − θ0 ) where: 0 ≤ p ≤ `, −∞ < q < +∞ n = mean motion Ω, ω: argument of node and pericenter θ = θ0 + θ̇ = right ascension of the Greenwich meridian Large perturbations occur when: ψ̇lmpq = [(` − 2p + q)n − mθ̇]t + (l − 2p)ω̇ + mΩ̇ ' 0 Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Resonance theory For MEOs we have: ω̇ ' 10−5 , Ω̇ ' −10−4 , n ' 2, θ̇ ' 1 So that: 2' n m ' ` − 2p +q θ̇ Therefore the main resonant coefficients are: ` = 3, m = 2 for p = 1 and q = 0 ` = 4, m = 4 for p = 1 and q = 0 ` = 2, m = 2 for p = 0, 1 and q = ±1 Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Only gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 4 and order m = 4 (No Luni-Solar perturbations). 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Only gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 10 and order m = 10 (No Luni-Solar perturbations). 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 10 and order m = 10 + Solar perturbations (i.e., no Moon). 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 10 and order m = 10 + Lunar perturbations (i.e., no Sun). 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + MOON GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 + SUN + MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 3 and order m = 3 + Lunar and Solar perturbations 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + MOON GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 + SUN + MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 4 and order m = 4 + Lunar and Solar perturbations 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + MOON GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 6 x 6 + SUN + MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 6 and order m = 6 + Lunar and Solar perturbations 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + MOON GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 6 x 6 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 8 x 8 + SUN + MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 8 and order m = 8 + Lunar and Solar perturbations. 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Resonance onset 0.12 ONLY SUN AND MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 GRAV. FIELD 2 x 2 + SUN + MOON ONLY GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 ONLY GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + MOON GRAV. FIELD 3 x 3 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 4 x 4 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 6 x 6 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 8 x 8 + SUN + MOON GRAV. FIELD 10 x 10 + SUN + MOON 0.1 0.08 Eccentricity Gravity harmonics up to degree ` = 10 and order m = 10 + Lunar and Solar perturbations. 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Time [days] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 3 3.5 4 x 10 Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Node dependence at resonance Initial semiaxis = 26560 km (2:1 resonance) 0.25 0.2 Eccentricity Maximum eccentricity growth as a function of initial longitude of the node, at the resonance semiaxis. 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Initial longitude of the node [degrees] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 300 350 Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey Node dependence at resonance Initial semiaxis = 26560 km (2:1 resonance) 0.25 0.2 Eccentricity Maximum eccentricity growth as a function of initial Moon angle (difference between initial longitude of the node and initial longitude of the Moon), at the resonance semiaxis. 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 −50 0 50 100 150 200 Initial angular separation of the Moon [degrees] Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics 250 Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions Agenda 1 Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Orbital evolution Orbital propagation Orbital region survey 2 Conclusions Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics Long term evolution of objects in GLONASS-like orbits Conclusions (No) conclusions and Future work Analytical theory of the resonance (from Kozai et al.) Disposal of spacecraft Collision risk Alessandro Rossi MEO Satellite Dynamics
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