“Redistricting Louisiana” Every ten years, state legislatures around the country go through the process of redrawing congressional and legislative district maps to reflect population changes. How these maps are drawn ultimately can affect what types of candidates are able to win elections. The Louisiana Legislature has called a special session in March to determine how to reconfigure congressional as well as state election districts to reflect the state’s population changes since the last census. Which areas of Louisiana will be most affected? And how will redrawn boundaries for both local and congressional districts impact you and your representation? 2010 CENSUS The United States Constitution mandates that a census be taken every ten years for the purposes of reapportionment and redistricting. Reapportionment is the redistribution of congressional representatives among the states. Each state is guaranteed two U.S. Senate seats and one U.S. House seat. The remaining 385 House seats are reapportioned every 10 years based on each state’s population in proportion to the nation overall. Redistricting is the redrawing of a state’s congressional and legislative district maps to reflect population changes. Our Unconstitutional Census On February 3rd, the U.S. Census Bureau delivered (Excerpts from an 8/09 Wall Street Journal opinion piece by Elliott Stonecipher, Louisiana demographic analyst, and Louisiana’s population totals from the 2010 Census. The John Baker, LSU Constitutional Law professor.) data showed that over the last ten years, the state’s Because the census (since at least 1980) has not population grew from 4,468,976 to 4,533,372 residents. This distinguished citizens and permanent, legal residents from individuals here illegally, the is roughly a 1.4% rate of growth. In contrast, the growth basis for apportionment of House seats has rate over the last decade for the South was 14.3% and for been skewed…. According to the latest American the country, 9.7%. In fact, Louisiana’s population growth Community Survey, California has 5,622,422 over the past 30 years has been almost 2% less than the noncitizens in its population of 36,264,467. nation’s population growth over the past 10 years. Based on our round-number projection of a decade-end population in that state of Louisiana had 8 U.S. House seats until the 1990 37,000,000 (including 5,750,000 noncitizens), census. Due to the lackluster population growth reflected California would have 57 members in the by the 2010 census, Louisiana will again lose another newly reapportioned U.S. House of Representatives. However, with noncitizens congressional seat, reducing the state’s number of U.S. not included for purposes of reapportionment, Representatives from 7 to 6. SPECIAL SESSION In December, for the first time in the state’s history, the Louisiana Legislature agreed to call itself into special session. The focus of the special session will be redrawing congressional district boundaries and state district lines to reflect changes due to the population shifts in the state. Also included will be redrawing of Public Service Commission, Board of Elementary and Secondary Education (BESE), Courts of Appeals, and Supreme Court districts. California would have 48 House seats. Using a similar projection, Texas would have 38 House members with noncitizens included. With only citizens counted, it would be entitled to 34 members. Of course, other states lose out when noncitizens are counted for reapportionment But under a proper census enumeration that excluded illegal residents, some of the states projected to lose a representative— including our own state of Louisiana—would not do so. Quick Turnaround The session will begin March 20th and must end no later than April 13th. An unusual combination of factors gives Louisiana one of the tightest redistricting schedules in America. The state's history of voting inequities for minorities means Louisiana must get U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) approval on its statewide plan to ensure compliance with the Voting Rights Act (VRA). Louisiana is one of 16 states whose district maps must be pre-approved by the DOJ. For as long as the VRA requirement has been in place, the DOJ has yet to accept a plan from Louisiana on the first try. Once the plan has been submitted to the DOJ, the Department has at least 60 days to either approve or reject the plan. Justice approval must be received by Aug. 29 to meet fall election deadline Additionally, Louisiana is one of the few states to be holding elections this year. Qualifying for most offices affected by redistricting begins September 6th. In recognition of the state's tight schedule, the U.S. Census Bureau put Louisiana at the front of its schedule for distributing final data. Elliott Stonecipher, a political and demographic analyst from Shreveport recently told LPB, “We literally will have five months to have plans drawn and approved by the Governor and legislature; get it off to the Justice Department in Washington; they have to approve it, get it back; make changes they order; approve it again; and be ready for qualifying for state representative and senate races as early as September.” Stonecipher notes “We’ve had instances since 1970 where it took us 5 years, so I just don’t know how we do this.” LEGISLATIVE IMPARTIALITY In Louisiana, as in 27 other states, the state legislature is responsible for the redistricting process. As the Public Affairs Research Council of Louisiana (PAR) points out, “Critics of the legislative redistricting process assert that legislators have an inherent conflict of interest when choosing district boundaries, as those boundaries will affect who is able to run and be elected.” A recent article from the nonprofit political action organization, Louisiana Progress, says, “…in states where the legislature has control of the redistricting process there are consistent efforts made to gerrymander districts, thereby eliminating districts controlled by the minority political party.” The article notes that after Republicans took control of Georgia’s state government in 2004 they redrew the 2005 Democratic legislature redistricting plan, resulting in the loss of two more Democratic seats in the 2006 midterm elections. And Democrats in Maryland used redistricting to oust two Republicans in 2002. Louisiana Democrats have already expressed concerns that the Republican Speaker of the House, Jim Tucker, has appointed twice as many Republicans as Democrats to the House and Governmental Affairs Committee – the body which will take the lead in redrawing House district lines. Republicans contend that since the Senate is Democratically-controlled and each chamber must House Speaker Jim Tucker, R-Terrytown approve the other’s final plan, the process will be fair. According to PAR there is a growing interest nationwide in removing legislatures from the redistricting process. Since 2005, 18 of the 28 states that use their legislatures for redistricting have tried to create independent redistricting commissions. Opponents, however, argue that boards and commissions are no less political than legislatures; that plans designed by such bodies have been no more successful in terms of being upheld in courts. U.S. Representative John Fleming (R) Shreveport, defending the state legislature’s involvement in the redistricting process, told LPB, “The reality is you can never take politics out of it and if you put a citizens group in there or any other kind of commission, there's going to be politics involved and those making the decision will not be accountable to the voters.” Starting February 17th, both the House and Senate Governmental Affairs Committees will be holding joint public hearings to receive input from residents around the state on redistricting. LOUISIANA’S CURRENT 7 CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICTS AND U.S. REPRESENTATIVES District 5: U.S. Rep. Rodney Alexander (R) District 4: U.S. Rep. John Fleming (R) District 6: U.S. Rep. William Cassidy (R) District 1: U.S. Rep. Steve Scalise (R) District 2: U.S. Rep. Cedric Richmond (D) District 7: U.S. Rep. Charles Boustany (R) District 3: U.S. Rep. Jeff Landry (R) Louisiana Loses a Congressman Excerpts from the Advocate Capital News Bureau/ By Gerard Shields / December 21, 2010 The congressional loss will mean that Louisiana will lose one of its electoral votes, which are used to elect the president. Each state receives a vote based on the number of members it has in Congress. With its two senators, Louisiana will now have eight votes. The state has lost 119 years of seniority in the last six years, mostly due to the retirements of long-time members. The last time Louisiana lost a congressional seat was in 1990. Republican U.S. Rep. Rodney Alexander of Quitman said the loss will hurt Louisiana economically. A lost vote is also a lost congressional committee assignment, said Alexander, the dean of the Louisiana’s House delegation. As important, the state would lose out to other states with more growth in the distributing of federal dollars, ($400 billion in federal aid) he said. “You not only lose that vote but you lose that money,” said Alexander, a member of the U.S. House Appropriations Committee. “You lose in a double whammy.” POTENTIAL AREAS OF CONTENTION In the upcoming redistricting process, political analysts foresee the following areas of debate: How to protect the rights of minorities? Congressional Districts Louisiana's congressional district 2 contains nearly all of the city of New Orleans (a small portion being located in the neighboring 1st District), and some of its suburbs, including the West Bank portion of Jefferson Parish and South Kenner. Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district is a “majority minority” district created as a result of the Voting Rights Act (VRA) of 1965, to ensure minority voters have a likely opportunity to elect representatives in Congress and to guard against adverse raciallymotivated gerrymandering. SOURCE: nationalatlas.gov Redistricting Glossary Contiguity: Every point in a district must be reachable from any other point in that district, without having to cross district lines—is a firmly established redistricting principle. Community of interest: A grouping of people that has common political, social, or economic interests. Compactness: The degree to which the geography assigned to a district is close together Courts have held that “reasonably compact districts” is a traditional districting principle. Gerrymander: Intentionally drawing a district in such a way as to favor one or more interest groups (including political parties) over others. Retrogression: A voting change that leaves minority voters "worse off" than they had been before the change with respect to their opportunity to exercise their right to vote. The 2010 Census figures show that New Orleans has lost 140,845 residents, a drop of 29% from 2000. The percentage of black population fell from 67.3% to 60.2%. To maintain the “Majority Minority” status of District 2 may require a socalled "bar-bell" shaped district that would encompass the densest concentrations of black voters in Orleans and Baton Rouge parishes, connected by a sliver of territory along the interstate to meet the requirement for continuous districts. This would create enough black voters to call for a majority-minority district, but bar-bell shaped districts have been previously rejected by the U.S. Supreme Court. State Legislative Districts Speculation is that New Orleans will likely lose three state House seats and one state Senate seat. Because of the VRA, Louisiana cannot have fewer minority districts than before the redistricting process. Elliott Stonecipher asks, “How do you cut out House of Representative and Senate districts in a majority African-American area and not retrogress. That’s real difficult to do.” Sen. Elbert Guillory, D-Opelousas feels he may have the solution – at least for the senate. His “Demographic Equity Plan” developed in conjunction with the Christian advocacy group, Louisiana Family Forum, rights what he calls Louisiana’s current “inharmonious” state. Keeping the current number of 39 state senators, his plan focuses on returning “political power for those persons who have moved from New Orleans into Southwest Louisiana” and redistributing what he sees has been an inordinate amount of power centralized in the New Orleans area. “New Orleans for a long time,” says Guillory, “has been the tail that wagged the dog.” Guillory’s plan maintains the same number of “majority minority” districts that exist presently in the state – 10 – but redistributes them across seven regions of the state: Northeast, Northwest, Central, Acadiana, Capital, Bayou/River and Metro New Orleans. Five new districts are created including three majority Black districts and two majority White districts. The three new majority Black districts are in the Central, Acadiana and the Bayou/River regions of Louisiana. The two majority White districts are anchored in East Baton Rouge Parish and Tangipahoa Parish. Guillory notes, “The number of districts remain constant; and the number of minority districts remain constant and there’s no packing of districts, no attempting to heavily concentrate minority or whites into a district. It’s an extremely fair presentation from a racial standpoint.” But not everyone finds it fair. Rep. Rick Gallot, D-Ruston and chairman of the House and Governmental Affairs Committee takes issue with the plan’s division of Rapides Parish into four Senate districts and says the "racial polarization" inherent in the Family Forum's Senate plan does the state "a disservice." Sen. Guillory, an African-American, says of such criticism, “Some people have only one card in their deck and that’s the race card and they will always play that. This plan for the first time in the last 40 years distributes political voice; political power throughout Louisiana; in a way that any Louisianan can be proud of and can benefit from.” How to lose a Congressional district? Population Change within Louisiana’s Current Congressional Districts Based on 2010 Census Data SOURCE: GCR and Associates Consulting ©2011 ONE NORTHERN DISTRICT Governor Bobby Jindal has said that his administration will play a backseat role when state legislators convene to redraw district maps. The Governor has asked the congressional delegation to come up with its own plan and says, “We’ll let the Legislature handle the legislative map.” State Senator Robert Kostelka, R-Monroe, is head of the Senate and Governmental Affairs Committee which will oversee the redistricting process in the legislature on the Senate side. Kostelka has indicated he will do everything in his power to maintain Monroe in its own congressional district, saying “We need our own representation for this part of the state.” But this would amount to gerrymandering, according to Stonecipher. “The problem is that (Northeast Louisiana) is the part of the state that in addition to the impacted Katrina area has lost the most population.” Stonecipher says, “If Bob Kostelka keeps his word and the process nets Monroe a continuation of having what is now the fifth district, then you’re upside down on doing things the way the rules would, so that’s called gerrymandering.” Stonecipher predicts this move would result in litigation. Stonecipher supports an “I-20 District” instead. “I’m from Shreveport, but I promise you it doesn’t matter where you’re from, this is the one that makes sense, when you’re losing a congressional seat.” Stonecipher says, “It’ll stretch from Caddo Bossier over on the Northwest part of the state all the way over to Mississippi on the Northeast. It would include Ouachita parish.” Stonecipher points out it will also include a “commonality of interest” a redistricting principle. Congressman John Fleming, who currently represents District 4, says merging the two vertically oriented districts 4 and 5 together presents apportionment problems for the state. Because most of the population in north Louisiana is around I-20 and above, Fleming says, “What you end up with is a very large sparsely populated area which is Central Louisiana.” Proposed I-20 District Image courtesy Evets Management, Inc. Using the 2010 census figures, the new ideal number and size of Louisiana’s districts by population is reflected in the table below. The federal civil rights office that must approve Louisiana's maps historically has allowed a range of plus or minus 5%. Body Congress State House of Reps. State Senate B.E.S.E. Public Service Comm. Supreme Court Districts 6 105 39 8 5 7 Ideal Population 755,562 43,174 116,240 566,571 906,674 647,624 ONE COASTAL DISTRICT State Rep. Joe Harrison, R-Houma, has proposed merging districts 7 and 3 into one coastal congressional district that stretches from Cameron to St. Bernard parish. “Coastal issues have become among the most important for our state and it’s time we speak with one voice,” Harrison says. “We need a full-time spokesperson.” The proposal has gained support of the St. Mary, Iberia, and St. Martin parish councils — all situated on the dividing line between the two current districts — passing resolutions pledging their support for the plan. Terrebonne and Lafourche parish officials also have endorsed the plan. The plan also carries the endorsement of U. S. Rep. Jeff Landry, the freshman Republican who represents District 3. “I think there is a tremendous amount of hunger on the coast for it,” Landry told the Politico online political site. Approval of the plan would almost certainly open the door for a future contest between Landry and District seven’s U.S. Rep. Charles Boustany, who would suddenly find themselves sharing the same territory. The proposal excludes Calcasieu parish which forces Lake Charles into the same district as Shreveport - District 4. Boustany, whose district includes both Lafayette and Lake Charles opposes the one coastal plan and has said “Southwest Louisiana’s economy benefits by having these two metropolitan areas together.” Boustany also warns that one coastal district could create the loss of badly needed clout in the House. “It would be better to have two or three members fighting for the Louisiana coastline than just one,” Boustany told the Politico. “If you have more than one member fighting for the coastline, you’re going to be more effective.” Source: The Independent Weekly The majority of the Louisiana Congressional delegation appears to be throwing its support behind a plan based on a proposal developed by state Rep. Robert Kostelka, chair of the Senate and Governmental Affairs Committee. It forms a new district is by merging District 7 with some of District 3 while keeping Calcasieu Parish within its boundaries. CONCLUSION As legislators prepare for the monumental task of redistricting that faces them, they should be guided by the advice of Greg Rigamer, CEO of GCR and Associates a Louisiana based consulting firm that has been tracking the state’s population data since Hurricane Katrina. “As a real practical matter, it’s a mathematical exercise - the number of people divided by the number of seats. Now there’s a phenomenal amount of political influence that comes to bear at that point but at the end of the day, the test is the math.” Watch “Redistricting Louisiana” on “Louisiana Public Square” airing Wednesday, February 23rd at 7 p.m. on LPB HD. Tell us where you think the state should redraw district boundaries by commenting at www.lpb.org/publicsquare.
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