JSPR Article The cycle of concealment model Journal of Social and Personal Relationships 000(00) 1–16 ª The Author(s) 2010 Reprints and permissions: sagepub.co.uk/journalsPermissions.nav DOI: 10.1177/0265407510378301 spr.sagepub.com Tamara D. Afifi1 and Kellie Steuber2 Abstract This study tested a cycle of concealment model in families. Confirming the model, a family member’s past verbally aggressive reactions to revelations influenced the extent to which the family member was estimated to react negatively to revealing a secret. These factors also attenuated closeness toward family members. In addition, expectations of negative reactions to a revelation and the extent to which those expectations were violated after the secret was revealed influenced closeness with the family member and future willingness to reveal secrets. Counter to the model, however, secret disclosure did not affect closeness. Feelings of closeness toward the family member also did not predict revelation of the secret. Keywords avoidance, closeness, concealment, family, privacy, satisfaction, secrets Families in which members feel the need to bury information out of shame or fear of judgment probably communicate in vastly different ways compared with families where those fears are minimized (Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997). For example, families with rigid conformity rules that foster high expectations for appropriate behavior (Fitzpatrick & Ritchie, 1994; Koerner & Fitzpatrick, 1997, 2002) can create a pressure to conceal secrets (Afifi & Olson, 2005). Unfortunately, continually feeling the need to guard disclosures, because of fear of family members’ negative reactions, may stifle important identity components. These fears can also negatively affect relationships (Afifi & Olson, 1 2 University of California, Santa Barbara, USA University of Iowa, USA Corresponding author: Tamara D. Afifi, Department of Communication, 4119 Social Sciences and Media Studies Building, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-4020 Email: [email protected] 1 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 2 Journal of Social and Personal Relationships 000(00) 2005), especially if individuals become entrenched in predictable patterns of concealment with family members. Although research demonstrates that secret keeping (e.g., Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997) and topic avoidance (e.g., Afifi, Coho, McManus, & Steuber, 2009; Caughlin & Golish, 2002; Dailey & Palomares, 2004) are negatively related to relationship closeness and satisfaction, this research is primarily cross-sectional in nature. Little research has examined how concealing secrets influences relationships over time, particularly if the concealment is motivated by fear of family members’ responses to revelations. Chilling effect research (Cloven & Roloff, 1993; Roloff & Cloven, 1990) focuses on when people refrain from voicing opinions, complaints or concerns for fear of how others will react. Applying the chilling effect to secrets, Afifi and Olson (2005) found that people often refrain from revealing secrets when they fear aggressive responses. An important next step, then, is to examine how withholding (and revealing) information is associated with changes in relational quality. Understanding patterns of concealment in families and their impact on these relationships is essential because if individuals consistently fear negative reactions to the revelation from family members, it may create a ‘‘cycle of concealment’’ (Afifi & Olson, 2005). Secrets may be concealed because an individual has been reprimanded for previously revealing sensitive information. This fear of retribution, due to past negative, disconfirming, and/or verbally aggressive responses, may propel individuals to suppress information. This suppression might widen feelings of disconnect between the secret keeper and some family members. These outcomes are likely dependent upon the degree to which the potential recipient of the secret violated their expectations for certain types of responses. While research on secret keeping generally focuses on people speculating what they think would happen if they revealed a secret (e.g., Afifi, Olson, & Armstrong, 2005; Vangelisti, Caughlin, & Timmerman, 2001), we assessed what actually happens to closeness and willingness to reveal future secrets with a family member after actually revealing a secret. Therefore, the goal of this study is to test the extent to which a cycle of concealment exists in families. Components of the cycle of concealment model Expectations of negative responses to revelations According to Communication Privacy Management (CPM) theory (Petronio, 1991, 2000, 2002), revealing secrets or private information leaves people vulnerable, leading them to erect metaphorical boundaries around themselves that ebb and flow with the degree of risk associated with disclosing information. The more comfortable people feel disclosing, the more permeable their privacy boundaries become and the more likely they are to reveal sensitive information. Privacy boundaries become more impermeable when negative reactions to disclosures are expected. Boundaries are likely more permeable when others are trusted or when the confidant is anticipated to be accepting, supportive, or open-minded (Harber & Pennebaker, 1992; Pennebaker, 1990; Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997; Vangelisti et al., 2001). When responses to revelations are consistently disconfirming, privacy boundaries may become increasingly rigid or impermeable 2 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 Afifi and Steuber 3 over time, perpetuating a cycle of concealment (Afifi & Olson, 2005). Past negative, disconfirming, or verbally aggressive responses may encourage consistent secret keeping from specific family members. Although originally proposed by Afifi and Olson, this study is an initial test of the cycle of concealment. Although the chilling effect (Cloven & Roloff, 1993; Roloff & Cloven, 1990) has been applied to the suppression of complaints in romantic relationships, these power struggles are also relevant to secret keeping in families (Afifi & Olson, 2005; Afifi et al., 2005). The chilling effect can stem from different types of power and different relationship forms (Afifi & Olson, 2005). Dependence power, or the control a less reliant partner has in the relationship over the more dependent partner (Lawler & Bacharach, 1987; Solomon & Samp, 1998), is often considered part of the chilling effect (Cloven & Roloff, 1993). If parents disapprove of their children, they have the dependence power to restrict a variety of outcomes (e.g., activities, emotional connections, or money). Secrets may be kept from a family member because that person has dependence power over them. Another power source, punitive power, stems from a fear of physical or psychological aggression. The chilling effect is typically viewed as punitive power or the suppression of ideas as a result of fear of verbal and/or physically aggressive responses (see Cloven & Roloff, 1993; Roloff & Cloven, 1990; Solomon & Samp, 1998). The chilling effect can also stem from the anticipation of an aggressive response. Although no actual aggression has to occur, this anticipation is most likely a result of past communicative responses. By keeping topics secret, individuals attempt to control the risk associated with potential responses. Aggression is only one type of response to the revelation of secrets (see Afifi, Caughlin, & Afifi, 2007). Anticipated aggressive responses are more likely than other responses (e.g., disappointment, sadness) to elicit concealment because of the severe consequences of revealing the secret. In the current study, the chilling effect is operationalized as the suppression of information (i.e., secrets) generated by past verbally aggressive responses to revelations and/or expectation of future negative responses to revelations. Family members’ past negative reactions, whether they are generally negative or aggressive, to secret revelations establish expectations for future negative reactions to revelations. People keep sensitive information private to protect themselves and other family members from getting hurt, ridiculed, or shamed (Afifi et al., 2005; Petronio, 2002) as well as to preserve their relationship. In fact, Afifi et al. (2005) found that the desire for self and other protection mediated the association between family members’ past aggressive response to negative secret revelation and decisions to continue keeping secrets. Habitual secret keeping may result from patterns of disconfirming family messages. Parental confirmation generally plays a substantial role in children’s identity and selfworth (e.g. Ellis, 2002). Disconfirming environments often include more and stronger hostile messages than validating environments (Dailey, 2006). Disconfirming environments – including parental responses such as indifference, imperviousness, or disqualification – interfere with childhood development, resulting in children distrusting their own abilities (Dailey, 2006). Confirming climates (i.e., recognizing, acknowledging, and endorsing responses) help children work through their emotions (Gottman, Katz, & Hooven, 3 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 4 Journal of Social and Personal Relationships 000(00) Verbally aggressive responses to prior revelations H1 H3a Expectation for negative reaction to potential revelation H3b Violation of expectations of actual reaction H2 H4 H3c H6 H3f Closeness Time 1 H3d H5 Change in closeness Time 2 Willingness to reveal secrets in the future H3e Revealment or continued concealment of secret Figure 1. Cycle of Concealment Model 1996) and enhance communicative and argumentation skills (Dailey, 2006). Along similar lines, person-centered messages (i.e., empathy-oriented and rationale-driven) from parents promote more positive communicative environments for children than unidirectional, dogmatic messages (e.g., Applegate, Burleson, & Delia, 1992). Thus, when people feel that their ideas and opinions are confirmed rather than rejected, they are more likely to reveal sensitive information to family members. In general, then, our cycle of concealment model (see Figure 1) predicts that past verbally aggressive responses to secret revelations should predict expectations for negative reactions to other revelations (H1). These expectations for negative reactions to revelations should be negatively related to actual secret revelation (H2). Closeness, expectations for negative responses, and concealment Afifi and Olson (2005) examined closeness as a mediator of the association between family members’ past aggression to secret revelation and continued concealment. They hypothesized that aggression weakens bonds between family members and, as a result, reduces the likelihood of confiding in those family members. They found, however, a direct relationship between aggression and continued concealment, and that aggression to past revelations was associated with less closeness between family members. Thus, verbally aggressive responses to prior revelations of secrets should directly affect family members’ closeness (H3a). Similarly, the perceptions of potential adverse reactions to the revelation of secrets should be associated with less closeness before the revelation (H3b) and even less closeness afterward (H3c). Although Afifi and Olson (2005) is an exception, closeness is frequently a positive predictor of the disclosure of secrets (e.g., Vangelisti et al., 2001). In CPM terms, as closeness increases, the more permeable privacy boundaries become because the disclosure risk is minimized (Petronio, 2000). Therefore, it is hypothesized that, as closeness increases, the disclosure of secrets should increase (H3d). 4 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 Afifi and Steuber 5 Revealing secrets may increase relational closeness. While research typically finds that withholding information is associated with less close and satisfied relationships (e.g., Afifi et al., 2009; Caughlin, Huston, & Houts, 2000; Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997), research has not examined relational consequences of the revelation of secrets. Revealing a secret could damage family relationships if it is not received well (Afifi & Olson, 2005) or could bring members closer if bonding and catharsis ensues (Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997). Although disclosing secrets improves personal health (e.g., Pennebaker, Kiecolt-Glaser, & Glaser, 1988; Pennebaker, 1990), less research has focused on how it affects relational health over time. One notable exception is Frijns and Finkenauer’s (2009) large longitudinal study of adolescents. Adolescents who revealed a secret to no one reported diminished well-being (e.g., depressed mood, lower self-esteem, loneliness) and poorer parental relationships six months later, when compared with those who disclosed their secret to someone. The perception that a partner is keeping a secret may inadvertently cause relationship harm. Finkenauer, Frijns, Engels, and Kerkhoff (2005) found that parents’ perception that their adolescent was concealing a secret was associated with poorer parenting practices, regardless of whether there was actual secrecy or not. Although the direction of the relationship is unclear, the revelation of a secret should influence family relationships (H3e). Increases in closeness after a revelation should predict greater willingness to subsequently reveal secrets (H3f). Likewise, expectations of a negative reaction to the disclosure of a secret should predict the likelihood of revealing future secrets (H4). Expectancy violations The link between family bonds and future revelation decisions is also likely based upon the extent to which the target met or violated expectations to past revelations. From a CPM (Petronio, 1991, 2002) perspective, when faced with consistently disconfirming responses to revelations, privacy boundaries may become increasingly impermeable or rigid over time. This could potentially widen the emotional disconnect between family members. These rigid boundaries and weakened relationships likely will continue, unless the receiver positively violates expectations for responses to secrets. When positive expectancy violations for reactions occur, it may slowly build trust, closeness, and willingness to disclose future secrets. People reveal secrets, however, for a host of reasons (e.g., receiver has the right to the information, internal or external pressure, catharsis), despite the anticipated negative responses (Afifi & Steuber, 2009). There is a tendency, however, to conceal secrets when aggressive responses are anticipated (Afifi et al., 2007; Kelly & McKillop, 1996; Petronio, 2000). The ramifications of revealing secrets are real, but potential negative reactions may be exaggerated through rumination (see Caughlin, Afifi, Carpenter-Theune, & Miller, 2005; Dunn & Laham, 2006; Lane & Wegner, 1995; Roloff & Ifert, 2000). Reactions to secret revelations tend to be more positive than expected, which can enhance self-esteem (Afifi & Caughlin, 2006). Thus, expectations for negative reactions, and whether those expectations are met or violated, likely influence closeness and willingness to reveal future secrets. Even if negative reactions to secret revelations occurred in the past, a more positive reaction than expected may improve the relationship and increase the 5 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 6 Journal of Social and Personal Relationships 000(00) likelihood of future revelations. The opposite is also true – consistently negative reactions to revelations, or worse reactions than expected, likely diminish closeness and foster continued concealment. Our cycle of concealment model (see Figure 1) hypothesizes that responses to secret revelations that positively violate expectations should be positively associated with closeness (H5) and the willingness to reveal future secrets (H6). Method Participants Participants included 594 female (n ¼ 383, 65%) and male (n ¼ 207, 35%) college students (age range from 17 to 28, M ¼ 19.65), who were predominantly sophomores (n ¼ 268, 45%) and juniors (n ¼ 163, 27%). Most participants were White (n ¼ 452, 76%), Hispanic (n ¼ 21, 4%) or Asian (n ¼ 58, 10%). Procedures Participants were recruited from communication courses at a large Western and a large Eastern University in the United States and were offered nominal extra credit for their participation. They completed two surveys, two months apart. The first survey gathered information about a secret the participants were keeping from another family member, their relationship with that family member, and their expectations of how that person would react if s/he revealed the secret. The second survey determined whether participants revealed the secret to the target and how it affected their relationship. Surveys were completed in a laboratory on campus. To reduce attrition, all participants received email reminders, resulting in a 77% compliance rate. Only data from students who completed both surveys are reported. Of the 594 participants who completed both surveys, 122 (21%) revealed their secret within the two-month period. In the second survey, participants who indicated that the target person learned the secret since the first survey were asked how the target learned the secret. We needed to differentiate voluntary revelation and the target accidently discovering the secret through another means (Caughlin et al., 2005). As Afifi and Steuber (2009) reported, however, people often use indirect strategies for disclosing secrets (e.g., telling a third party whom they know would tell the target or providing evidence of the secret). To retain participants who used indirect disclosure strategies, we eliminated those who reported not using any of these strategies to reveal the secret. Five participants had no intent of revealing the secret to the target and three participants who reported keeping no secrets from a family member were removed from the final sample. These deletions, along with eliminating 66 participants with positive secrets, resulted in a final sample size of 520 participants, 100 of whom had their secret revealed. Of these participants, 300 (58%) indicated they were primarily keeping the secret from their mother, 137 (27%) from their father, and 54 (18%) from a sibling. Participants were initially informed that secrets could be positive or negative and that they were a conscious choice to withhold information from a particular person. They were asked to think of someone in their immediate family from whom they were keeping a secret and to consider this person throughout the study. In the second data collection, 6 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 Afifi and Steuber 7 participants were reminded of their secret and the name of the family member from whom they were keeping the secret. All participants who initially had a secret claimed to remember it. The secrets in the current manuscript are consistent with those reported in earlier studies (Vangelisti, 1994; Vangelisti, Caughlin, & Timmerman, 2000). Measures Past aggressive responses. The target family member’s past aggression in response to secret revelation was measured at time 1 with modified verbal aggression items from the Conflict Tactics Scales (CTS) (Mason & Blankenship, 1987; Straus, 1990). Participants reported whether the target family member responded with various verbally aggressive behaviors in response to past secret revelations. Seven items measured symbolically aggressive responses (e.g., verbally or psychologically abusive). These items were augmented with eight additional items that measured the psychological nature of aggression (e.g., ‘‘gave me a disappointing look’’). Participants indicated whether the target performed each behavior in response to prior secret revelations. Summed scores ranged from zero (no aggression) to 15 (high aggression). Expected negative reaction. At time 1, the target’s expected negative reaction to secret revelation was measured with six items, each accompanied by a seven point, Likert-type scale (1 ¼ ‘‘very unlikely’’, 7 ¼ ‘‘very likely’’). Items tapped disappointment, judgment, and withdrawal. One item assessed the overall negativity of the target’s reaction. Higher scores reflect increasingly negative reactions. Confirmatory factor analysis revealed good fit and unidimensional structure of the items (w2 [5, N ¼ 493] ¼ 16.45, p ¼ .06, NFI ¼ .99, CFI ¼ .99, RMSEA ¼ .07, where NFI is the normal fit index, CFI is the comparative fit index and RMSEA is the root mean square error of approximation). The coefficient alpha for this scale was .80. Expectation violation. At time 2, the extent to which the target’s reaction violated expectations was measured with two, 7-point semantic differential items (Caughlin et al., 2005) (e.g., ‘‘this person reacted much more negatively (to much more positively) than I expected’’). Higher scores reflect more positive violations. Given a strong correlation between items (r ¼ .75), the items were averaged. Closeness. Participants’ closeness with the target family member was measured with eight of the original 10 items from Buchanan, Maccoby, and Dornbusch’s (1991) closeness scale at time 1 and time 2. Two items were removed as they focused on openness and were strongly correlated with revealment. The five-point Likert-type scale was coded such that larger scores reflect closer relationships. The coefficient alphas were .89 at time 1 and .86 at time 2. Secret valence. Only participants reporting neutral or negative secrets were analyzed because responses are unlikely to be negative or aggressive to positive secrets. Two items (Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997) measured secret valence. Seven-point semantic differential items (extremely good - extremely bad and extremely positive - extremely 7 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 8 Journal of Social and Personal Relationships 000(00) Table 1. Correlations, means, and standard deviations for the variables in the cycle of concealment model Variables 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Past verbal aggression (T1) Expected neg. reaction (T1) T1 closeness T2 closeness Violation of expectations (T2) 6. Willingness to reveal in future (T2) M SD 1 2 3 4 5 6.51 3.42 4.18 4.12 1.20 4.14 1.24 .62 .67 5.22 —— .51*** –.48*** –.43*** .10 —— –.30** –.35*** –.07 —— .60*** .22* —— .20* —— 5.27 1.68 –.14 –.30* .11 .23* .21* 6 —— Note. * p < .05; ** p < .01; *** p < .001. negative) were strongly correlated (r ¼ .70). Participants were retained if they scored at or above 4.0 on negativity on this scale (M ¼ 4.71; SD ¼ 1.41). Secret revelation. Whether participants revealed the secret to the target in the period between times 1 and 2 was dummy coded (did or did not reveal it). Willingness to reveal future secrets. Participants’ willingness to reveal future secrets to the target was measured with one item at time 2 (Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997; Vangelisti et. al., 2001). Participants who revealed their secret responded to a seven-point Likert-type scale (1 ¼ ‘‘not at all likely,’’ 7 ¼ ‘‘very likely’’). Results Preliminary data analyses Means, standard deviations, and correlations among all cycle of concealment model variables are provided in Table 1. Target family members reacted slightly more positively to the secret’s revelation than participants expected and participants, on average, reported relatively and consistently high closeness with the target. Structural equation modeling (using AMOS 18.0) with maximum likelihood estimation was used to test the cycle of concealment model (Figure 1) and account for missing data. This version of the software allows for estimation of categorical outcome variables using Bayesian estimation. The cycle of concealment model was tested with two structural equation models. The first model used all participants to test H1, H2, and H3a-e (see Figure 2). The second model tested all of the hypotheses, except those involving the actual revelation and included data only from participants who revealed their secret (see Figure 3). One path was added to the second model, simply to account for the fact that reactions anticipated before the revelation should be associated with the degree to which those expectations were violated after the revelation. All confirmatory factor analyses (CFAs) indicated good unidimensional fit. After the CFAs were calculated, preliminary measurement models were formed by parceling each of the latent constructs. The latent constructs for expectation for negative responses and 8 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 Afifi and Steuber 9 .37 Expectation of neg reaction .61*** Past aggression -.03 -.18** -.26*** .13** .16 .42 .65*** Closeness T1 Closeness T2 .00 .02 .02 Revealment or continued concealment Figure 2. Hypothesized Model for Full Sample for Revelation of Secret and Association with Closeness Note. The number to the upper right of the latent construct is the multiple R2. All of the parameters in the model are standardized.** ¼ p < .01; *** ¼ p < .001. .33 Expectation of negative reaction .57*** Violation of expectation Past verbal aggression -.09 -.21* -.31* .22* .27* -.47*** .28 -.20* Closeness T1 .17 .61 .05 .63*** Closeness T2 Willingness to reveal Figure 3. Hypothesized Model with Those Who Revealed Their Secret Note. The number to the upper right of the latent construct is the multiple R2. All of the parameters in the model are standardized.* ¼ p < .05; ** ¼ p < .01; *** ¼ p < .001. closeness (separately for time 1 and time 2) were parceled into three parcels each. Items were formed into the parcels by averaging similarly operationalized items together (see Matsunaga, 2008). The measurement model for the first model with all of the participants was a good fit to the data (w2 [40, N ¼ 493] ¼ 93.46, p ¼ 09, NFI ¼ .94; CFI ¼ .95, RMSEA ¼ .08), as was the second revealment model (w2 [48, N ¼ 100] ¼ 76.18, 9 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 10 Journal of Social and Personal Relationships 000(00) p ¼ .06, NFI ¼ .97, CFI ¼ .98, RMSEA ¼ .07). However, to further improve the fit of the model because of the limited sample size for model two, we formed single composite variables or indicators (with individual items, subscales or scales) for the latent variables instead of parceling the items for the structural models. To control for measurement error, the error variance for observed indices of latent constructs was fixed to (1-a) multiplied by the variance of the indicator (see Bollen, 1989; Stephenson & Holbert, 2003). Testing the cycle of concealment model The first model (see Figure 2) tested H1, H2, and H3a-e and was an excellent fit to the data, w2 (2, N ¼ 493) ¼ 4.99, p ¼ .09, NFI ¼ .99, CFI ¼ .99, RMSEA ¼ .06. Past verbal aggression was strongly and positively associated with expectations that the target would respond negatively upon revelation (H1). Both verbal aggression to prior secrets (H3a) and the expectation for aggression to the revelation (H3b) were significantly associated with less closeness at time 1. The expectation of a negative response was significantly and positively associated with the continued secret concealment (H2). The path between past aggressive reactions and continued concealment was also tested; however, this association only approached significance (.12, p < .06) and was not included in the model. Inconsistent with hypotheses, participants’ closeness with the target was not associated with secret revelation (H3d). Moreover, the secret revelation did not significantly affect participants’ closeness with their target at time 2 (H3e). The second model (see Figure 3) was tested using data only from participants who revealed their secret. The model was an excellent fit to the data w2 (5, N ¼ 100) ¼ 3.00, p ¼ .85, NFI ¼ .99, CFI ¼ .99, RMSEA ¼ .01. Past verbal aggression was strongly and positively related to the expectation that the target would respond negatively upon secret revelation (H1) as well as strongly and negatively related to closeness at time 1 (H3a). The expectation for negative reactions was not related to time 1 closeness (H3b). Closeness at time 1 was strongly related to closeness at time 2. Time 2 closeness, however, was not significantly related to willingness to reveal future secrets to the target (H3f). The more positively targets violated secret-keepers’ expectations, the greater time 2 closeness (H5) and the more willing secret-keepers were to reveal future secrets (H6). Discussion Most research on secrets has examined factors likely to propel people to reveal or conceal secrets (e.g., Derlega, Winstead, & Folk-Barron, 2000; Petronio, Reeder, Hecht, Ros-Medoza, 1996; Vangelisti et al., 2001) and indicates that secret keeping tends to be associated with relational dissatisfaction (e.g., Caughlin et al., 2000; Vangelisti & Caughlin, 1997). It is less clear is how secrecy patterns are created and maintained in families and the relational costs associated with these patterns over time. The current study makes important contributions to this literature by examining how secrets and their revelations change relational closeness with a family member. 10 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 Afifi and Steuber 11 The cycle of concealment in families These data provide initial support for a ‘‘cycle of concealment’’ in families. As hypothesized, a target family member’s verbally aggressive reactions to prior revelations influenced individuals’ estimations of that target family member’s negative reaction to present revelations. When family members were expected to react negatively to revelations, continued concealment resulted. In addition, both past aggression and the expectation of negative reactions were related to decreases in closeness with the target. Consistent concealment of secrets out of fear of how the other will respond could slowly tear at family relationships (Afifi & Olson, 2005). However, unlike what prior research suggests (e.g., Vangelisti et al., 2001), revealing a secret to a target was not related to closeness. Participants’ expectations for the target person’s reaction to revelations and the extent to which that perception was violated seemed to make the biggest difference in decisions to reveal. Fear of how others will react to revelations will likely lead to continued concealment (Kelly & McKillop, 1996), perhaps regardless of closeness with that person. Willingness to reveal sensitive information in families (with their long communicative history) is likely based on disclosure and response patterns that emerge over time. Perception of a target’s reaction to secret revelation depends both on the teller’s expectations for the response and whether the target’s action response meets or violates that expectation. Consistent with Caughlin et al. (2005), targets responded more positively to secret revelations than was expected, perhaps because the expected negative reaction is exacerbated in the secret-keeper’s mind. The secret’s emotional burden may be greater on the secret keeper than the target or relationship. This also suggests that, when expectations are positively violated (i.e., family members respond to the revelation more favorably than was thought), future revelations to that target are more likely. Continued concealment is likely to follow consistently negative responses to revelations from family members. Over time, these responses to revelations may influence family bonds and, perhaps, the teller’s attachments with the respondent. If family members positively violate expectations in their responses to revelations, it may create confidence and a sense that future revelations can occur, perhaps also fostering more secure attachments in the teller. Continued disconfirmation of revelations may produce insecure attachments in general and inconsistent responses to family secret revelations may produce a fearful avoidant attachment, specifically (see Bartholomew & Horowitz, 1991), where family members fear revealing information because they cannot predict the response. An interesting practical, and theoretical, avenue of future research would be to consider how to break family cycles of concealment. Are there trigger events in families that change disclosure and concealment norms? For example, significant life events (e.g., marriage, divorce, children, or illness) may create openness and acceptance. A new spouse, for example, could help a partner communicate more directly with family members. These same events, however, could initiate conflict and establish taboo topics in families. Personality traits or communication characteristics may also facilitate or inhibit cycles of concealment. For example, communication efficacy may ease the communication of secrets (Afifi et al., 2005). Similarly, the sociometer hypothesis 11 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 12 Journal of Social and Personal Relationships 000(00) (Leary, 1999; Leary, Haupt, Strausser, & Chokel, 1998; Leary, Tambor, Terdal, & Downs, 1995) suggests that people want to feel included or accepted and will avoid situations that prompt feelings of exclusion. High self-esteem, then, may make it easier to handle negative family reactions to revelations and enable future revelation of negative information. Individuals with low self-esteem tend to closely monitor people’s reactions for signs of rejection and avoid situations where they could be rejected. Therefore, low self-esteem may facilitate the censoring of negatively valenced disclosures from those with whom one expects a negative response. Findings from the present study suggest that one way of breaking a cycle of concealment may be revelation. Finally, scholars should investigate how cycles of concealment in families influence identities. More specifically, how do family members’ continued negative reactions to disclosures, over time, influence communication of one’s identity? People may hide aspects of their identity from certain family members because revealing it produced previous negative reactions. For instance, failed attempts at revealing one’s sexual identity may perpetuate the hiding of that part of one’s identity. The hierarchically structured nature of identity is a normal part of how people communicate their identities to others, but if it is done out of fear of others’ negative reactions, over time it might have a stifling effect on one’s sense of self. As secrets examined were, on average, moderately important to identities (a mean of 4.89 on a 7-point scale), future work could examine how identity salience influences concealment patterns. Does identity salience of the secret and/or history of negative reactions to similar secrets influence likelihood of revelation? Highly salient secrets may be more likely to be concealed because of the negative consequences associated with revelation. However, some topics are so important to identity (e.g., being gay), that direct revelation, regardless of ramifications, may be a way of remaining true to the self (Denes & Afifi, 2010). While this study examined secrets, defined as information purposefully withheld from a family member, the cycle of concealment likely applies to topic avoidance where the target knows of the topic, but it is not discussed. In this study, a topic may have been introduced in the past, but dropped when repeated negative responses resulted in frustration. It is also possible that targets suspect a secret, but individuals conceal it anyway, transitioning to topic avoidance. These important distinctions require clarification in future research. Repeated failures to reveal a secret, especially if it is important to one’s identity, may be particularly harmful to the concealer’s self and relationship because it has a stifling effect. Future research should assess whether initial responses to secrets or discussions of topics commonly avoided perpetuate cycles of concealment over time and the role of identity in this process. Concluding remarks This article’s contributions must be considered within its limitations. This study traced the cycles of concealment over a two month period. Secrets tracked over a longer time likely would have generated more revelations. In addition, secrets revealed within such a short period may be less negatively valenced than longer-term secrets. Identity threatening, stigmatized secrets, according to societal standards, are especially likely to be concealed (Vangelisti, 1994). Even given the longitudinal nature of this study, model paths 12 Downloaded from spr.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 19, 2016 Afifi and Steuber 13 may not be causal. For instance, it is possible that the expectation for negative reactions predicts actual negative reactions for the respondent (i.e., self-fulfilling prophesy). Moreover, secrets are concealed for many reasons, such as relationship protection and privacy (see Petronio, 2000; Afifi & Stueber, 2009; Caughlin et al., 2005; Vangelisti et al., 2001). Finally, these results are limited to secrets in families, specifically, one family member (typically a parent). To fully test a cycle of concealment model in families, researchers should consider multiple family members and a longer time period. Processes underlying secret keeping in families likely apply to other relational contexts (e.g., romantic relationships). The model should probably be restricted to contexts with a chilling effect, which requires dependence power or power discrepancy. Children, for example, may be more likely to engage in the cycle of concealment rather than parents because children typically have no dependence power over parents. Parents also are less likely to fear an aggressive response from children. Even with limitations, the study highlights patterns of concealment in families and how they affect family relationships. Results provide initial support for a cycle of concealment such that past aggressive responses, expectations for present negative responses to secret disclosures, and expectancy violations influence concealment and family relationships. Counter to our expectations, however, revealing or concealing a secret did not influence closeness. 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