Chapter 5 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Exploring Further 5.1 The welfare effects of tariff-rate quotas have been briefly discussed in this chapter. Let us further examine these welfare effects. Figure EF 5.1 illustrates the welfare effects of a hypothetical tariff-rate quota on sugar. Assume that the U.S. demand and supply schedules for sugar are given by DU.S. and SU.S., and the equilibrium (autarky) price of sugar is $540 per ton. Assuming free trade, suppose the United States faces a constant world price of sugar equal to $400 per ton. At the free-trade price, U.S. production equals 5 tons, U.S. consumption equals 40 tons, and imports equal 35 tons. To protect its producers from foreign competition, suppose the United States enacts a tariff-rate import quota of 5 tons. Imports within this limit face a 10 percent tariff, but a 20 percent tariff applies to imports in excess of the limit. Because the United States initially imports an amount exceeding the limit as defined by the tariffrate quota, both the within-quota rate and the over-quota rate apply. This two-tier tariff causes FIGURE EF 5.1 TARIFF-RATE QUOTA WELFARE EFFECTS S U.S. 540 Price (Dollars) © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. No distribution allowed without express authorization. Tariff-Rate Quota Welfare Effects 480 S W + 20% d 440 c f e g a S W + 10% b SW 400 D U.S. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Sugar (Tons) The imposition of a tariff-rate quota leads to higher product prices and a decrease in consumer surplus for domestic buyers. Of the tariff-rate quota’s revenue effect, a portion accrues to the domestic government, while the remainder accrues to domestic importers or foreign exporters as windfall profits. Nontariff Trade Barriers the price of sugar sold in the United States to rise from $400 to $480 per ton. Domestic production increases to 15 tons, domestic consumption falls to 30 tons, and imports fall to 15 tons. Increased sales allow the profits of U.S. sugar producers to rise by an amount equal to area e ($800). The deadweight losses to the U.S. economy, in terms of production and consumption inefficiencies, equal areas f ($400) and g ($400), respectively. An interesting feature of the tariff-rate quota is the revenue it generates. Some of it accrues to the domestic government as tariff revenue, but the remainder is captured by businesses as windfall profits—a gain to businesses resulting from sudden or unexpected government policy. In this example, after enactment of the tariff quota, imports total 15 tons of sugar. The U.S. government collects area a ($200), found by multiplying the within-quota duty of $40 times 5 tons. Area b þ c ($800), found by multiplying the remaining 10 tons of imported sugar times the over-quota duty of $80, also accrues to the government. Area d ($200) in the figure represents windfall profits. Under the tariff-rate quota, the domestic price of the first 5 tons of sugar imported is $440, reflecting the foreign supply price of $400 plus the import duty of $40. Suppose U.S. import companies can obtain foreign sugar at $440 per ton. By reselling the 5 tons to U.S. consumers at $480 per ton, the price of over-quota sugar, U.S. importers would capture area d as windfall profits. But this opportunity will not last long, because foreign sugar suppliers will want to capture the windfall gain. To the extent that they can restrict sugar exports to the United States, foreign producers could force up the price of sugar and expropriate profits from U.S. importing companies. Foreign producers conceivably could capture the entire area d by raising their supply price to $480 per ton. The portion of the windfall profit captured by foreign sugar producers represents a welfare loss to the U.S. economy. © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. No distribution allowed without express authorization. 5-2 Chapter 5 5.2 Exploring Further low-cost producer, and SG denotes the supply schedule of Germany. Referring to Figure EF 5.2(a), the price of autos to the U.S. consumer is $20,000 under free trade. At that price, U.S. firms produce one auto, and U.S. consumers purchase seven autos, with imports from Japan totaling six autos. Note that German autos are too costly to be exported to the United States at the free-trade price. FIGURE EF 5.2 WELFARE EFFECTS OF AN EXPORT QUOTA (a) Japanese Export Quota (b) Japanese Export Quota with German Exports S U.S. S U.S. + Q 30,000 25,000 Price (Dollars) S U.S. Price (Dollars) © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. No distribution allowed without express authorization. Export Quota Welfare Effects Typical orderly marketing agreements have involved limitations on export sales administered by one or more exporting nations or industries. What are the welfare effects of export quotas? Figure EF 5.2 illustrates these effects in the case of trade in autos between the United States, Japan, and Germany. Assume that SU.S. and DU.S. depict the supply and demand schedules of autos for the United States. The SJ denotes the supply schedule of Japan, assumed to be the world’s S U.S. + Q + N 30,000 h a 20,000 i c b j k d e l SG f g SJ 25,000 h a 20,000 j i c b l k d e SG f g SJ D U.S. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quantity of Autos 7 8 D U.S. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 5-3 8 Quantity of Autos By reducing the available supplies of a product, an export quota (levied by the foreign nation) leads to higher prices in the importing nation. The price increase induces a decrease in consumer surplus. Of this amount, the welfare loss to the importing nation equals the protective effect, the consumption effect, and the portion of the revenue effect that is captured by the foreign exporter. To the extent that nonrestrained countries augment shipments to the importing nation, the welfare loss of an export quota decreases. Nontariff Trade Barriers Suppose that Japan, responding to protectionist sentiment in the United States, decides to restrain auto shipments to the United States rather than face possible mandatory restrictions on its exports. Assume that the Japanese government imposes an export quota on its auto firms of two units, down from the free-trade level of six units. Above the free-trade price, the total U.S. supply of autos now equals U.S. production plus the export quota; the auto supply curve thus shifts from SU.S. to SU.S.+Q in Figure EF 5.2(a). The reduction in imports from six autos to two autos raises the equilibrium price to $30,000. This price leads to an increase in the quantity supplied by U.S. firms from one auto to three autos and a decrease in the U.S. quantity demanded from seven autos to five autos. The export quota’s price increase causes consumer surplus to fall by area a þ b þ c þ d þ e þ f þ g þ h þ i þ j þ k þ l, an amount totaling $60,000. Area aþh ($20,000) represents the transfer to U.S. auto companies as profits. The export quota results in a deadweight welfare loss for the U.S. economy equal to the protective effect, denoted by area b þ c þ i ($10,000), and the consumption effect, denoted by area f þ g þ l ($10,000). The export quota’s revenue effect equals area d þ e þ j þ k ($20,000), found by multiplying the quotainduced increase in the Japanese price times the volume of autos shipped to the United States. Remember that under an import quota, the disposition of the revenue effect is indeterminate: It will be shared between foreign exporters and domestic importers, depending on the relative concentration of bargaining power. But under an export quota, it is the foreign exporter who is able to capture the larger share of the quota revenue. In our example of the auto export quota, the Japanese exporters, in compliance with their government, self-regulate shipments to the United States. This supply-side restriction, resulting from Japanese firms behaving like a monopoly, leads to a scarcity of autos in the United States. Japanese automakers then are able to raise the price of their exports, capturing the quota revenue. For this reason, it is not surprising that exporters might prefer to negotiate a voluntary restraint pact in lieu of facing other protectionist measures levied by the importing country. As for the export quota’s impact on the U.S. economy, the expropriation of revenue by the Japanese represents a welfare loss in addition to the deadweight losses of production and consumption. Another characteristic of a voluntary export agreement is that it typically applies only to the most important exporting nation(s). This is in contrast to a tariff or import quota, which generally applies to imports from all sources. When voluntary limits are imposed on the chief exporter, the exports of the nonrestrained suppliers may be stimulated. Nonrestrained suppliers may seek to increase profits by making up part of the cutback in the restrained nation’s shipments. They may also want to achieve the maximum level of shipments against which to base any export quotas that might be imposed on them in the future. For example, Japan was singled out by the United States for restrictions in textiles during the 1950s and in color television sets during the 1970s. Other nations quickly increased shipments to the United States to fill in the gaps created by the Japanese restraints. Hong Kong textiles replaced most Japanese textiles, and TV sets from Taiwan and Korea supplanted Japanese sets. Referring to Figure EF 5.2(b), let us start again at the free-trade price of $20,000, with U.S. imports from Japan totaling six autos. Assume that Japan agrees to reduce its shipments to two units. However, suppose Germany, a nonrestrained supplier, exports two autos to the United States in response to the Japanese cutback. Above the free-trade price, the total U.S. supply of autos now equals U.S. production plus the Japanese export quota plus the nonrestrained exports coming from Germany. In Figure EF 5.2(b), this is illustrated by a shift in the supply curve from SU.S. to SU.S.+Q+N. The reduction in imports from six autos to four autos raises the equilibrium price to $25,000. The resulting deadweight losses of production and consumption © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. No distribution allowed without express authorization. 5-4 © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. No distribution allowed without express authorization. Chapter 5 inefficiencies equal area b þ g ($5,000), less than the deadweight losses under Japan’s export quota in the absence of nonrestrained supply. Assuming that Japan administers the export restraint program, Japanese companies would be able to raise the price of their auto exports from $20,000 to $25,000 and earn profits equal to area c þ d ($10,000). Area e þ f ($10,000) represents a trade-diversion effect, which reflects inefficiency losses due to the shifting of two units from Japan, the world’s low-cost producer, to Germany, a higher-cost source. Such trade diversion results in a loss of welfare to the world because resources are not being used in their most productive manner. The overall welfare of the United States thus decreases by area b þ c þ d þ e þ f þ g under the export-quota policy. When increases in the nonrestrained supply offset part of the cutback in shipments that occurs under an export quota, the overall inefficiency loss for the importing nation (deadweight losses plus revenue expropriated by foreign producers) is less than that which would have occurred in the absence of nonrestrained exports. In the preceding example, this reduction amounts to area i þ j þ k þ l ($15,000). 5-5
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