Swedish Granary/Atlantic White Cedar Project Cumberland County Historical Society Greenwich, NJ Dendrochronology Progress Report Dr. Edward R. Cook William J. Callahan, Jr. November 2014 Introduction In August, 2008, while engaged on an independent project studying other sites in the vicinity, dendrochronologists William Callahan and Dr. Edward Cook were asked to assist in the evaluation of a structure identified as being of historical importance. They therefore collected 10 wood core samples from a timber building known as the "Swedish Granary", presently located on the grounds of the Gibbon House at 960 Ye Greate Street, Greenwich, NJ 08328. In 1973 this structure had been identified by G. Edwin Brumbaugh, PAIA, and Albert F. Ruthrauff, AIA as being of early Swedish settlement origin, and they suggested a construction date of circa 1650 and speculated that it might have functioned as a grain storehouse. Also proposing an early Swedish colonial origin for the building were Carl & Alice Lindborg, who referenced the work of Dr. Amandus Johnson, author of “The Swedish Settlements on the Delaware, vols. 1&2” (1911). At the time a decrepit farm outbuilding standing in Lower Hopewell Township, it was disassembled, moved to and restored at its present site in 1976. It is currently owned and maintained by the Cumberland County NJ Historical Society (CCHS). The logs used in the construction are Atlantic White Cedar (Chamaecyparis thyoides), a species indigenous to a narrow coastal region along the Atlantic, growing in fresh water swamps and bogs. Although commonly called "Atlantic White Cedar", it is horticulturally not a cedar but a cypress. However, throughout this report the common name will be employed, often shortened for convenience to AWC. The wood is lightweight, easily worked and highly resistant to decay, and in southern New Jersey was used for shingles, barrels, siding, boats, and occasionally as primary timber for construction. The field sampling of the Swedish Granary resulted in ten wood cores of good quality, but laboratory analysis afterward was unable to provide dates for the materials. To make precise dendrochronological datings it is necessary that the field samples be correlated with an absolutely dated "master chronology" (aka "absolute chronology" or "standard chronology"), which specifically identifies each calendar year. This master chronology must be compiled previously, of multiple samples of the same species sharing the same ecological region. In the case of the Swedish Granary, no such master existed at the time, and therefore no dendrochronological datings were possible. Although the 2008 sampling did not succeed in providing dates, awareness of the potential of dendrochronology to contribute irrefutable evidence to the debate about the age of the Swedish Granary remained. It was realized that the absence of a regional master chronology had precluded successful analysis, and that a targeted effort could redress the limitation: if a master chronology for AWC could be compiled, then an absolute dating of the timbers used in the construction of the Swedish Granary could be possible. To that end, in 2013 the Cumberland County Historical Society NJ applied to and was granted funding from New Jersey Historical Commission to support the creation of an AWC master chronology, with the intent to to date the Swedish Granary. Moreover, it was understood that the project, if successful, would make possible dating of other historical AWC structures in the region. Theory and Methodology The word dendrochronology derives from Greek dendron/tree + kronos/a space of time. That trees develop annual growth rings in response to ecological conditions, and that these growth rings can be used to align wood specimens chronologically, is an old concept. In the 3 rd century B.C. the Greek botanist Theophrastus speculated on the correspondence between ecological factors and tree-ring development, and Leonardo da Vinci noted in the 15 th century that the ring growth patterns of newly felled trees reflected weather variations that he remembered from his youth. In 1737 French naturalists Duhamel and Buffon performed a "crossdating" of tree rings based upon a severely frost damaged growth ring caused by an unusually harsh winter in 1709. But it wasn't until the 1920's that dendrochronology began to be utilized in a formally scientific manner. An American astronomer, A.E. Douglass, was searching for correspondence between weather and sunspots, a solar activity that occurs with more or less cyclical regularity. He hoped to trace the effects of sunspots in tree rings, which he knew constituted an acceptable record of past climatological conditions. Although not successful in this experiment, Douglass noted that similar growth patterns appeared in wood samples collected throughout a very wide area in southwestern USA. In many cases the patterns of even distant samples could be positioned upon each other like a jigsaw puzzle, some pieces longer and some shorter, eventually producing an overlapping collection - a "chronology"- that stretched much farther in time than any one sample. In theory dendrochronology is simple. Trees expand around their outer diameter as they grow, and normally each year's expansion becomes visible in the wood as a single ring. Ring development is a complicated response to local growth conditions, including factors such as temperature, precipitation, species, soil type, variations in sun, wind, etc.; in general, good ring growth reflects good conditions and bad growth bad conditions. By measuring the size of the annual rings, i.e. measuring the change in ring width from year to year, a pattern of growth over time can be established. In theory, all of the trees in an ecological region share similar growth conditions and consequently all produce similar annual ring patterns, allowing comparison of their measured patterns with each other. In actual practice, measurement series from contemporary samples can vary greatly and even duplicate series from the same tree are never precisely alike. Comparison can prove extremely difficult or even impossible to do. Dating a sample requires not only a quality measurement but also the previously executed compilation of local growth patterns over time, the "master" or "standard" chronology. This compiled measurement represents the mean growth rates for the species and region under study, and is created by overlapping, more correctly crossdating, measurements from a large number of samples. Generally this process is begun using samples from living trees, for obviously their outermost rings are of known date. Specimens are collected from progressively older sources, from buildings or art objects or sub-fossil logs, etc., which are then measured and mathematically overlapped upon the measurements from the living trees and from each other. As this process continues a chronology longer than any single sample is constructed, stretching back in time and absolutely dated by the samples taken from the living trees. To illustrate simply, assume for example that a researcher in 2010 takes samples from a grove of 200-year old trees. The measurements of its growth rings thus represent the years 1810-2010. Samples from a nearby structure built in 1910 with 200-year old trees are collected, measured, and added to the ones from the living tree samples. With a 100-year overlap between them, (1810-1910) a mathematical mean is calculated from the two sources and the revised master chronology now covers 1710-2010. Another site is sampled, this one built in 1810 with 200-year old trees, supplying timbers with an overlap of 100 years on the early portion of the master (1710-1810), and again the measurements are compiled and a revised mean calculated. Now the master chronology covers 1610-2010. This process is repeated until there are no samples older than those earliest in the master chronology. In this way some chronologies, for certain species in certain regions, have been produced that exceed 10,000 years in length. Douglass was able to compile a very long master chronology for a species of pine found in America's southwest, with each calendar year on the the chronology represented by multiple individual measurements compiled into the standardized mean measurement of growth. He hypothesized that since each ring in the master represents a single year of growth, any independent pattern that could be successfully compared to it could be assigned to a specific year by its last growth ring. Douglass used his master chronology to date to the 13 th century A.D. samples from various abandoned Indian dwellings in Arizona and New Mexico. After publication of his results, dendrochronology received widespread attention in the scientific community. Standardized in practice and computerized to assist with processing the mathematics, modern dendrochronology is practiced worldwide, assisting not only archeology and architecture, but art history, climatology, geology, hydrology, vulcanology, et alia. Modern dendrochronology relies heavily on statistical evaluations to aid in synchronizing crossdating positions between series, and to determine the strength of correspondence between them. Specialized computer programs evaluate the massive amounts of mathematical data, sometimes involving thousands of individual series comprising millions of data points, and establish positions of correspondence exhibiting high degrees of statistical similarity. It is the responsibility of the dendrochronologist to evaluate this information, for in practice random statistical correspondence between series may occur at multiple positions, and these "false positives" must be recognized and disregarded. The wood samples themselves are collected using a variety of techniques, the particular manner dictated by the type of object. Most commonly samples are taken using specially designed and manufactured drill bits, which extract thin cores efficiently and with negligible harm; aesthetic considerations are satisfied by carefully selecting locations for drilling. Occasionally an artifact can be taken whole for measurement in the laboratory, or if permissible a piece may be sawn and removed. Measurement in place can be done using a loupe after some surface preparation, but this method is extraordinarily time-consuming and inevitably yields imprecise data sets, and so is used very rarely. In the laboratory the samples are assigned identity numbers and the surfaces carefully prepared to allow accurate measurement. Each sample is examined ocularly on a movable stage that passes under a microscope, the operator controlling the speed and distance of the movement. As it passes under, the researcher uses crosshairs in the reticle to measure each growth ring on the perpendicular, to a precision of .01mm, and the width is recorded. A single sample may contain hundreds of rings, some wider than 10mm -a centimeter- and some as small as .02mm - only one or two cells wide. The measurements are entered into the computer database, easily managed and accessible. Swedish Granary AWC Project Status and Results One inescapable circumstance guided the organization of the AWC Project: without a functional master chronology, no dendrochronological dating of the Swedish Granary could be possible. Therefore, development of a suitable standard chronology for Atlantic White Cedar (Chamaecyparis thyoides) for dating historical structures in southern New Jersey was essential. A complex undertaking, it would be necessary to locate multiple regional sources of both living and historic AWC, sufficient in quality and quantity to provide the materials for compiling a viable and representative mean. To begin, living AWC, preferably in the range of 200+ years old, had to be found and sampled, and compiled into a viable "live tree" master that would secure the outermost year of the chronology to 2014. Older sources, especially historic structures, had to be located and sampled, and they had to provide material of such quality and age that the individual "site chronologies" from these historical buildings (often of undocumented age) could overlap the earlier portions of the "live tree dating master" with, minimally, a statistically significant 50+ years. Furthermore, the various historic sites had to be synchronized and overlapped with each other, in order to extend the master in an unbroken chronological chain sufficiently far back in time to traverse the potential age of the Swedish Granary. In short, a sequential series of measurements had to be created, affixed in 2014 and continuing uninterrupted back to approximately 1550, a period covering the purported age of the Granary. Following extensive planning, field work began in May, 2014. Accompanied by the project's coordinating manager, Joseph Mathews of CCHS, and assisted by architectural historian Joan Berkey and historical carpenter J.P. Hand, dendrochronologists William Callahan and Dr. Edward Cook made more than 20 exploratory and operational sampling visits to the SW New Jersey region. Samples were collected from multiple stands of living trees in state forests, from sub-fossil trees at various locations, and from more than 10 historic structures (see Table 1). Nearly a dozen additional structures were visited and surveyed without being sampled. The effort to establish the foundational master chronology, one based on living trees and thus Seq Series Time_span 1780 1800 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1839 1859 1879 1899 1919 1939 1959 1979 1999 2019 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 NIC01A 1848 2000 .50 .36 .37 .33 .55 .47 .47 2 NIC01B 1844 2000 .26 .38 .38 .47 .51 .56 .53 with each calendar3 NIC01D year specified, to the knowledge, networks and 1851 2000 succeeded due .46 .42 local .32 .45 .30 .36 contact .36 4 NIC02 efforts 1891 2000 .52 .53 .54 thorough reconnoitering of the personnel from CCHS, and.55a .52 serendipitous meeting of 5 NIC03 with 1891 .38 .47Joe.45 .35 .37 colleagues. After contact the2000 NJ Parks and Forests department, Mathews from CCHS located NIC06 1909 2000 .60 .65 .35 .37 remnant old growth67 AWC in 1888 Peaslee Wildlife Management Area. Permission was granted, and multiple NIC07 2000 .47 .54 .72 .70 .69 samples were collected there by Callahan, Cook, et alia. During an informal conversation with Nicole 8 NIC12 1903 2000 .55 .55 .59 .60 9 NIC14 1933 2000 .49 .42 .43 Davi, a researcher at Lamont-Doherty Tree Ring Lab, Dr. Cook discovered that she and colleagues had NIC16 AWC 1902trees 2000 in NJ in 2000, and graciously .22 .24 .30the.31 sampled some old 10 growth she shared measurements, some 11 NIC20A2 1820 2000 .47 .53 .51 .37 .31 .18 .35 .37 extending back to121790, with the present AWC project. Together these efforts provided the necessary NIC20C3 1790 2000 .12 .24 .35 .43 .38 .44 .34 .36 .36 .37 material for an absolutely dated, period 13 CPFF01A 1912live 2013tree master chronology for the .50 .601788-2014. .60 .41 14 CPFF01B 1891 2013 .09 AWC .17 .27 .40 It is operationally Figure 1 shows the modern master created by this phase.17of the project. 15 CPFF03A 1788 2013 .11 .28 .53 .47 .48 .29 .38 .19 .29 .23 robust back to the 1820's, meaning that there are enough individual samples calculated into each year to 16 CPFF03B 1806 2013 .31 .51 .39 .37 .25 .36 .39 .43 .33 produce a statistically representative mean. Prior to that decade the number of sampled trees included 17 CPFF05A 1863 2013 .39 .42 .55 .54 .51 .31 declines, and although currently individuals are compiled of these 18 CPFF05B 1894 several 2013 .54 into .52 each .55 .50 .40 earlier years, the 19 CPFF06B 2013 .34 .33 .28 representative .34 .32 .36 statistically; .35 .41 .38 before .32 1800 only three number is insufficient to be 1794 considered rigorously CPFF07A 1911 2013 .55 longest .56 .45 trees contribute to20the chronology. Nevertheless, this AWC master.61 is the calendar-year-dated 21 CPFF08A 1913 2013 .56 .53 .45 .39 record of regional 22 annual growth for the species Chamaecyparis thyoides ever developed. CPFF09A 1903 2013 .60 .70 .64 .52 23 CPFF09B 1891 2013 .54 .54 .57 .57 .44 24 CPFF10A 1904 2013 .50 .51 .52 .42 Figure 1 25 CPFF10B 1862 2013 .54 .61 .60 .58 .46 .36 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AWC Modern Master for Southern New Jersey In d ic e s 1.5 1 1780 1820 1860 1900 1940 1980 2020 Time in Calendar Years ======================================================================================== Figure 1. Regional Atlantic White Cedar (Chamaecyparis thyoides) dating master for Southern New Jersey covering 17882014. To be serviceable for dating historical structures and objects for the entire European settlement period in the region, this chronology must be robustly supplemented and extended from its present length to 1550 or before. ========================================================================= In spite of the important success in establishing this regional live tree master, from the broader perspective of the AWC project the result remains incomplete. The length in years of the chronology already demonstrably overlies the normal extent of the natural age expectancy of regional AWC, yet simultaneously it remains insufficiently long and robust to permit most dating of historical AWC materials from the early settlement through the post-Revolution era. As discussed previously, in order to expand the length of master chronologies to years beyond those of living trees it is necessary to assemble substantial amounts of older materials, identify and correlate any examples that overlap with the live tree master and/or with each other, and sequentially build a continuous series of measurements backward in time. Very rarely does this stage produce rapid progress, since much exertion often leads to no result, and in practice the effort generally is exceedingly demanding of time, resources, and patience. Requisite materials -the right species, the appropriate potential age, satisfactory physical condition, etc.- can be difficult or impossible to locate, and available materials may prove only after much laborious collection and analysis to be qualitatively or methodologically unsuitable. As they had in the search for living AWC trees, the associates from CCHS provided efficient aid in advancing the project. Familiar with local geography and building history, they were able to compose a list targeting potentially useful structures and objects throughout the region. Over a period of several months Callahan & Cook visited these sites, surveyed and sampled them whenever the AWC material was judged promising (see Table 1). In all, several dozen locations were inspected, and samples of disparate number and quality were acquired from perhaps half of these. Not all the collected specimens could be utilized, as ultimately many were rejected after examination in the laboratory due to the poor physical quality of the wood, and/or because they had too few rings to ever reliably support statistical evaluation: under normal circumstances approximately 60 rings are required to meet minimal dendrochronological protocols. Table 1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Moses Crossley House, Cape May Court House, NJ 2) Caesar Hoskins House, Mauricetown NJ 3) ۩ Veale-Sewall Cabin, Upper Hopewell, NJ 4) Reeves-Iszard-Godfrey House, vicinity Seaville, NJ (originally Middle Township) 5) ۩ Historical Society Museum Barn, Cape May Court House, NJ 6) ۩ Swing Family Cabin, Mannington, NJ 7) Seaville Quaker Meeting House, Seaville, NJ 8) ۩ Stites Barn, John Gandy Homestead, vicinity Greenfield, NJ 9) ۩ Falkenburge Barn, South Dennis, NJ 10) Schorn Cabin, Swedesboro, NJ 11) Hope House, vicinity Nesco, NJ 12) Richard Townsend House, Middle Township, NJ 13) Penny Watson House, Greenwich, NJ 14) Fred Peech Barn, Marmora, NJ 15) Inn at Historic Cold Spring Village, Lower Township, NJ (originally from Dennisville, NJ) 16) Swedish Granary, Greenwich, NJ (originally Lower Hopewell Township) ======================================================================================== Table 1: Historical sites and structures from throughout south and south-central New Jersey providing AWC wood material for laboratory analysis. Not all source materials were of sufficient quality to allow subsequent laboratory processing. The symbol ۩ indicates sites included in the relative master chronology, see Figure 2 and Table 2. ======================================================================================== Fortunately, several selected historical sites provided material of sufficient quality that the individual timbers could be synchronized with each other and their measurements thereafter combined into a unified "site chronology". Because they still cannot be assigned specific calendar years they are designated as "floating" or "relative chronologies", but they remain extremely useful for crossdating purposes. As mathematical means, such compilations tend to significantly strengthen the statistical "signal" so that the new combined site chronology more closely reflects actual growth conditions than does any single individual timber. Although the selected site series remain undated absolutely, i.e. none of the sites is dated to a specific year, they all have purported dates suggesting construction in either the 18 th or early 19th centuries, and therefore were considered as potentially contemporaneous and were tested to discern any relative overlap. Strong positive correlations between these buildings were discerned and the relative offsets in the outer, relative dates between buildings were not inconsistent with expectations based on evaluations of the buildings by architectural historians. Table 2 shows the statistical strengths of the crossdating of the five buildings purportedly constructed in the mid-to-late 18th century and the early 19th century. Each site chronology is based on the average of the measurements of two or more sampled timbers from the site that crossdate amongst themselves. By first crossdating each building internally, independent of the other structures, a constraint is imposed on the temporal placements of the different series. The numbers are expressions of the "r-factor”, the Spearman rank correlation coefficient. This coefficient is a universally standard measure of relative statistical agreement between two groups of measurements or data. It can range from +1 (perfect direct agreement) to -1 (perfect opposite agreement). These statistical correlations, produced by the COFECHA computer program, indicate how well each sample crossdates at various positions with the mean of the others in the group. The correlations listed vary in statisticalPage strength, ZZCOF.OUT 1 of 1 but all are within a range expected for correctly crossdated timbers from the eastern United States. Printed: 9/28/14, 11:50:24 AM Printed For: Ed Cook 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Correlations of 30-year dated segments, lagged 5 years Table 2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Seq Series --- -------1 AWCSFC 2 AWCVSC 3 AWCCMM 4 AWCGSB 5 AWCFKB --- -------- Time_span --------997 1077 983 1080 1000 1090 1027 1093 1021 1102 --------- No. Years ----81 98 91 67 82 ----- with Master ----0.492 0.497 0.465 0.484 0.362 ----- 995 1024 ---.46 .51 1000 1029 ---.40 .42 .26 1005 1034 ---.42 .47 .37 1010 1039 ---.41 .52 .39 1015 1044 ---.38 .53 .43 1020 1049 ---.54 .56 .51 1025 1054 ---.56 .65 .69 .53 .24 .38 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1030 1059 ---.55 .67 .70 .55 .51 ---- 1035 1064 ---.71 .62 .66 .76 .53 ---- 1040 1069 ---.71 .54 .66 .61 .52 ---- 1045 1074 ---.57 .47 .64 .55 .46 ---- 1050 1079 ---.55 .38 .59 .54 .43 ---- 1055 1060 1065 1084 1089 1094 ---- ---- ---.33 .51 .49 .42 ---- .45 .40 .39 ---- .44 .28 .37 ---- AWCSFC: Swing Family Cabin; AWCVSC: Veale-Sewall Cabin; AWCCMM: Cape May Museum Barn; AWCGSB: Stites Barn, John Gandy Homestead; AWCFKB: Falkenburge Barn ======================================================================================== Table 2. Output from COFECHA program showing the statistical strength of crossdating between five independently developed Atlantic White Cedar (AWC) site masters. The building names corresponding to the series codes are given at the bottom of the table. Spearman rank correlations between each ‘floating’ master and the mean of the site masters are shown for 30-year periods with five year, 25-year overlaps. The years assigned are arbitrary (hence ‘floating’) because no calendar year dates could be assigned by crossdating with a calendar year dated AWC master. However, the offsets of the years of overlap between buildings are generally consistent with purported construction dates based on historical assessments, circa 1700-1775. ======================================================================================== The black curve in Figure 2 illustrates the composite relative master created from the historical sites during this phase of the AWC project. The statistical correspondences of the crossdating of the individual sites in the composite are as listed in Table 2. Key signature years representing uncommonly narrow ring measurements found in each of the five site chronologies also are indicated in the figure. Together with Spearman rank correlations, these signature years provide the base alignments for the crossdating. The dearth of key signature years and the marked visual differences between the overlapping chronologies are a stark graphical demonstration of the difficulties that have been, and probably routinely will be, experienced in crossdating AWC historical structures in South Jersey. Additional evidence of the methodological challenges confounding the AWC project is that only three of the site chronologies statistically correlate with a t-statistic above the desired t>3.5, the standard minimum threshold for statistical crossdating. The "t-value" is Student's distribution test for determining the unique probability distribution for the “r factor”, i.e. the likelihood of the “r factor” correlation value occurring by chance alone. As a rule, a t=3.5 has a probability of about 1 in 1000, or 0.001, of being invalid. Higher “t” values indicate exponentially increasing, stronger statistical certitude. Two correlations exceed >4.0: that is, between AWCSFC and AWCVSC (t=4.9) and between AWCGSB and AWCFKB (t=4.2); only one other pair of chronologies crossdates with a t>3.5: that is, between AWCVSC and AWCGSB, (t=3.7). However, when AWCSFC and AWCVSC were combined into a experimental composite, crossdating between this alternative compilation and AWCCMM and AWCGSB then exceeded the t>3.5 threshold (t=4.0 and t=3.9, respectively). This exemplifies the benefit of sequentially building multiple-site, regional master chronologies for crossdating. However, a project of such thorough breadth requires much effort and time to accomplish, as multiple alternative configurations must be systematically formulated, tested, rejected or accepted, then supplemented and adjusted with new alternative configurations, which in turn are tested, and so forth. Figure 2 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------AWCCross-Dating Between Five Independent Buildings and the Regional Average Series w/ Signature Years Indicated 3.5 3 t=4.9 Indices 2.5 2 A A A A A A 1.5 1 W C S FC W C V S C W C C M M W C G S B W C FK B V E R A G E t=4.2 0.5 0 980 1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 Relative Time in Years AWCSFC: Swing Family Cabin; AWCVSC: Veale-Sewall Cabin; AWCCMM: Cape May Museum Barn; Average Correlation (RBAR) Between the Five Buildings AWCGSB: Stites Barn, Gandy Homestead; AWCFKB: Falkenburge Barn [30-year running means w/ 29-year overlaps] ========================================================================= RBAR Figure 2. Illustration of crossdating between the five different historical site chronologies described numerically in Table 2. The building names corresponding to the series codes are given at the bottom of the table. Shared key signature years are marked with a dotted vertical line. The t-value notation indicates the strength ofRBAR correlation =0.42 between specific selected sites. The series at the bottom -the black curve- is the composite, relatively dated AWC historical master for southern New Jersey, as presently configured. It is expected to serve as the basis for continued AWC chronology development in the future, with the intention of eventually connecting the absolutely-dated live tree chronology and the relatively-dated site chronologies into a continuous master chronology functionally serviceable for dating AWC structures and artifacts over the entirety of the historical period. 1020 1040 1060 1080 ========================================================================= Relative Time in Years Remarks In order to apply dendrochronological dating methods it is necessary to possess a master chronology for the species and region under study. In the case of the Swedish Granary in Greenwich, NJ, the lack of such a reference precluded all possibilities of using tree-ring analysis to date the building when it was initially tested in 2008. The primary structural timbers used in its construction were of Atlantic White Cedar, a species not compatible with existing oak and pine historical masters. In the hope of using dendrochronology to date the Granary and other AWC buildings of New Jersey, the Cumberland County Historical Society initiated a grant funded project in 2013 to create this master. To construct a statistically robust master chronology is a scientifically complicated and technically demanding undertaking. Nevertheless, in a remarkably short time and with restricted resources, unprecedented progress has been made. A modern AWC master chronology, affixed in time by sampling live trees in the region, now exists for the period 1788-2014. Moreover, a collection of several "relative" AWC chronologies has been assembled from sampled historic buildings and objects. Though not yet dated to specific years, their purported dates suggest that collectively they likely can be assigned to the period circa 1700-1790. At a minimum their existence is additional proof that historical dating of the species is practicable, and they provide the foundation for future efforts to extend the master chronology back in time. Despite this success, the conjunction of the absolute and relative chronologies remains unachieved. Because of a deficiency of materials from the period bridging these modern and historical series, no robust composite can yet be compiled. The material available is deficient in both number and quality. In order to extend the extant AWC masters and thereby establish a continuous chronology viable over the entire settlement period, it will be necessary to: 1) find more buildings and artifacts constructed of AWC, cut during 1750-1850, to correlate with the inner portion of the live tree dating master, and which also offer enough rings to bridge the gap between the dated master and various undated site masters; 2) find in the landscape remnant AWC logs from trees that died decades ago, socalled sub-fossil material, and sample these for eventual addition to the dating master. No buildings from the late 18th through mid 19th centuries containing AWC of suitable quality have been identified and sampled, but it is hoped that with time, exploration, and advertising some may be found. Experience hereto has been that the latest structures to contain sizable AWC timbers were constructed by the first decade of the 1800's. As a consequence, living trees with 250+ rings would have had to be available in order to have sufficient overlap with the ring series from the historic structures. None so old have been found, apparently because intensive harvesting of AWC for construction during the colonial era had exhausted supplies of old-growth AWC in the region. Of course, old trees may still exist in the forests, but a search will require much more exploration than the timetable and funding of this project allowed. Two large AWC logs lying on the surface of a coastal salt marsh were sampled. Each of these logs had over 200 rings but neither crossdated with the dating master shown in Fig. 1, nor did they crossdate with any of the collected historical samples. Remarkably, the logs did not crossdate with each other either. Although in a similar location and visibly in similar states of physical preservation, their ages in fact may be very different from one other, perhaps by hundreds of years. Logs of this kind can serve as a valuable source of rings and should be sought, for if enough are found some will contribute to extending the master chronologies, potentially back centuries into pre-settlement times. Although much has been accomplished, one goal of the AWC project remains unfulfilled: successfully dating the Swedish Granary. Repeated attempts to correlate the Granary with the modern chronology and/or site chronologies have procured no viable result. Reasons for this are purely speculative at this time. It is possible that the age of the building in fact is as proposed by some architectural historians, i.e. in the later part of 17th century, in which case it lies outside the present range of existing chronologies. Another potential explanation is that it is similar in age to tested historical sites, i.e. post-1700, but that the signal of its internal site chronology is statistically too weak or anomalous to correlate at present with any existing masters; the compiled mean chronology for the Granary timbers contains in toto just 69 rings, a not overly large number if synchronizing with other non-robust tree ring series. Alternately, the Granary could be from the 18 th century or even the 19th century, and the same conditions of statistical weakness could preclude crossdating under current circumstances. It seems very likely that the Swedish Granary ultimately can be dated successfully using dendrochronology. Experience from the recently completed stages of the investigation proves that AWC can crossdate and that master and site specific chronologies can be compiled thereafter. However, creating a wholly new operative dating chronology for a previously untested species requires resources and patience. It took A.E. Douglass seven years to finalize the master chronology that enabled him to date the Anasazi dwellings in the American Southwest. The historical master chronology for oak compiled by Cook & Callahan had its beginnings in eastern forests in 1984 and was not fully functional until 1992. In comparison, since the active field sampling phase of the AWC project began in summer 2014 it has proceeded with extraordinary speed and efficaciousness. The results are very promising. Edward Cook was born in Trenton, New Jersey, in 1948. He received his PhD. from the Tucson Tree-Ring Laboratory of the University of Arizona in 1985, and has worked as a dendrochronologist since 1973. Currently director of the Tree-Ring Laboratory at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, he has comprehensive expertise in designing and programming statistical systems for tree-ring studies, and is the author of many works dealing with the various scientific applications of the dendrochronological method. William Callahan was born in West Chester, Pennsylvania, in 1952. After completing his military service he moved to Europe, receiving his MA from the University of Stockholm in 1979. He began working as a dendrochronologist in Sweden in 1980 at the Wood Anatomy Laboratory at the University of Lund, and returned to the United States in 1998. A former associate of Dr. Edward Cook at the Tree-Ring Laboratory of Lamont-Doherty, he has extensive experience in using dendrochronology in dating archaeological artifacts and historic sites and structures.
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