Validity Is AP® Exam Participation and Performance Related to Choice of College Major?1 By Krista D. Mattern, Emily J. Shaw, and Maureen Ewing College Board Research & Development Info To Go™ 2011-6 Introduction The renewed focus on fostering students’ interest in particular careers, especially in the science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) fields, motivates a discussion of when and how to best support students in this process. Helping students to make sound and timely college major choices has been shown to increase their likelihood of graduating in that major field and ultimately succeeding in a related career path. To provide additional clarity to key decision-makers, further research on college major choice and behavior was particularly needed. To this end, Mattern, Shaw, and Ewing (2011) determined that the AP® Program may provide a solution because prior research found a positive relationship between AP participation and performance and various college outcomes, such as: • first-year grade point average; • grade earned in subsequent course; • graduation; and are students who earn higher AP Exam scores in a particular content area more likely to major in that area in college? Data and Methodology Data used for this study were based on 39 four-year colleges and universities that submitted to the College Board secondyear college grades and retention data for the entering class of fall 2006, along with the students’ majors at the beginning of their third year of college. Data from these colleges and universities were merged with College Board data, including SAT scores, student responses to the SAT Questionnaire, as well as student performance on AP Exams. The resulting sample size was 39,440 students enrolled in 15 broad major fields. Females made up 53 percent of the sample. As for the ethnic breakdown, 72 percent of the students were white, 9 percent were Asian, 7 percent were Hispanic, 5 percent were African American/black, 1 percent were American Indian, 3 percent indicated “Other,” and 4 percent did not respond. • retention to the second year of college. Results and Conclusions About the Research Mattern, Shaw, and Ewing (2011) examined the relationship among AP Exam participation and performance and college major. Specifically, they investigated whether students who took an AP Exam in a certain content area were more likely to major in that content area than students who had not taken an AP Exam in that content area, taking into account relevant student characteristics (i.e., gender, ethnicity, parental education, high school grade point average (HSGPA), and SAT® scores). Additionally, unlike previous research, this study examined the relationship between AP performance (exam score) as well as participation with the likelihood of majoring in that area. In other words, are students who take more AP Exams in a particular content area more likely to major in that area in college? Moreover, collegeboard.org/research As was found in previous AP research, students who took an AP Exam in a particular content area were more likely to major in a related discipline in college, even when taking into account relevant student characteristics. Furthermore, of the subsample of students who took at least one AP Exam in a particular content area, those with higher scores had an increased likelihood of majoring in that content area. These results provide support for the AP Program as a medium by which to expose students to advanced academic material in various content areas, potentially confirming or sparking interest in particular career paths. Moreover, AP courses can provide opportunities for students to be academically successful in a particular subject area, thereby fostering beliefs in their own competence in that area, which in turn have been shown to promote sustained interest in related careers. Info To Go™ Series Editor: F. Tony Di Giacomo 1 The relationship between AP participation and college major was stronger for some subject areas than others. In particular, students who took an AP Computer Science exam as well as students who took a math and/or physical science exam were much more likely to major in a similar subject area, whereas a smaller effect was found for the humanities/social sciences results. The base rate of computer science majors was extremely low for the entire sample (2 percent); however, 27 percent of students who took both computer science exams majored in that content area. Likewise, 16 percent of the sample majored in a STEM-related field, compared to 65 percent of students who took 5 or more AP Exams in mathematics and/or physical sciences. For more results, refer to Figure 1 for the percentage of students who majored in a specific content area by the number of AP Exams they took in that content area. Also noteworthy were the results for students with undeclared majors. Similar to the finding that AP participation and performance in a particular content area was related to majoring in that area, students who did not take any AP Exams were more likely to be undeclared by the beginning of their third year of college. It is possible that the lack of exposure to a variety of advanced academic material has left some students undecided about their future because they have yet to take coursework that has sparked their interests. Based on their SAT scores and HSGPA, undeclared students seem to have the ability to perform better in college than they have demonstrated, but simply may need assistance with identifying their academic interests and enrolling in courses that align with those interests. Exposure to different content areas through the AP Program could potentially serve this need. Or, perhaps taking no AP courses and having an undeclared major signal a lack of academic commitment or motivation on the student’s part. Either way, interventions and resources should be directed at these students to help increase the likelihood of their college success. Figure 1. The percentage of students majoring in a specific content area by the number of AP Exams taken in that content area. The Percentage of Students Majoring in a Specific Domain by the Number of AP Exams taken in that Domain 70 64 65 60 49 Percentage 50 40 33 30 20 20 10 0 27 26 6 20 17 2 Biological Sciences 26 1 Computer Science 5 11 8 Foreign Languages 13 15 16 16 25 21 21 13 9 Humanities Math/ Physical Sciences 17 19 Social Sciences College Major 0 exams 1 exam 2 exams 3 exams 4 exams 5 exams 6 or more exams 1. K. D. Mattern, E.J. Shaw, and M. Ewing, Is AP Exam Participation and Performance Related to Choice of College Major? (College Board Research Report No. 2011-4) (New York: The College Board, 2011). Click here for the full report: http://professionals.collegeboard.com/data-reports-research/cb/RR2011-6. 12b-6161 collegeboard.org/research Info To Go™ © 2011 The College Board. 2
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