The Bear Facts Implications of Whitebark Pine Loss for Yellowstone Grizzlies Why Grizzlies Matter www.larryeifert.com/ blog/New_Work Principles for Recovery •A precautionary approach for imperiled species •The use of the best available science •Decision-making that is transparent, open, inclusive, democratic, and responsive to change 1800-1970 1850 1800 1970 1910 “Manifest Destiny” Where the Bears Are Consumption of whitebark pine seeds The problem with whitebark pine cones... Consumption of whitebark pine seeds and why red squirrels are so helpful... Consumption of whitebark pine seeds The search… audio cues Consumption of whitebark pine seeds Over 97% of all pine seed consumption involved excavation of red squirrel middens. Consumption of whitebark pine seeds by males & females Proportion of activity 0.4 0.3 0.2 Males Females 0.1 0 Spring Estrus Early Late Hyperphagia Season Effect of Seed Crop Size on Production of Cubs Number of Cubs Per Year 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Following a Good Crop Following a Poor Crop Number of Management Trappings A mirror image 25 20 15 10 5 0 Percent freq. in Sept.-Oct feces Pine Seed Use and Human-Bear Conflict No. of manage. traps 30 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 93 95 Frequency of Pine Seed Use 100 80 60 40 20 0 77 79 81 83 85 87 Year 89 91 Death Rate of Adult Females Growth of the Population 2 1.1 Population Growth Rate Death Rate (1E-3) + 7% 1.5 1 0.5 0 Good Crop 1.05 Poor Crop 1 Good Crop 0.95 Poor Crop 0.9 - 5% http://www.nps.gov/features/yell/slidefile/mammals/grizzlybear/Page-5.htm With ESA Protection “Should whitebark pine decline rapidly, we … would witness a scenario similar to what occurred when dumps were closed in Yellowstone Park, … with a substantial increase in measurable bear mortality.” Interagency Grizzly Bear Study Team, 2006 The Predictions Come True 2008 48 Dead Bears 37 Human-caused 1999-2008 Known and probable grizzly mortalities from human and undetermined causes Interagency Grizzly Bear Study Team data http://greatoutdoorstudios.com/about.php The Current Situation What are the bear managers doing? http://www.inkcinct.com.au/Web/CARTOONS/2008/2008-621--why-the-Titanic-sank.gif What to do Next 600-800 bears Long-term conservation of bears: Evolutionarily Robust Populations Courtesy Troy Merrill, LTB Institute of Landscape Ecology The ability to adapt to environmental changes is essential for the long-term (thousands of years) survival of grizzly bears. This ability to adapt is their evolutionary potential; the genetic and behavioral diversity acquired over millennia of evolution. Maintaining evolutionary potential requires the exchange of genes and ‘culture’ among several thousand individuals. Ecoflight Additional Special Thanks: Whitebark Pine Ecosystem Foundation Earth Wise
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