AOMIP coordinated experiment with the NYU ice-isopycnal OGCM Petteri Uotila and David M. Holland New York University Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences email: [email protected] June 11, 2004 Configuration (MICOM) • Horizontal resolution 0.5◦, isotropic grid, grid size 103×134 • 11 vertical layers • no diapycnal mixing • shallowest ocean points at -50m • minimum mixed layer thickness is 25 m • coupler time step = 4 h • baroclinic time step = 24 min • barotropic time step = 48 s Figure 1: Model mask and bathymetry. P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 1 Configuration (CICE) four ice thickness categories three vertical layers time step = 4 h subcycling time step for dynamics = 120 s elastic Ice categories in March 1953 0.45 0.45 0.4 0.4 0.35 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.1 0.05 0.05 0 0 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ Ice categories in September 1953 0.5 Average coverage [ratio] • • • • Average coverage [ratio] 0.5 2 4 Thickness [m] 0 0 2 4 Thickness [m] 2 Initial Conditions 01/1948, Ice Thickness Based on SST < Tf + 1◦C 0 1 2 3 4 Ice is relatively thin in 01/1948 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 3 Results Mean Ocean Temperature 2 degC 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1950 1955 1960 1965 1950 1955 1960 1965 psu 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 1995 2000 1995 2000 Mean Ocean Salinity 34.9 34.8 34.7 34.6 0.1 Mixed Layer Volume Fraction % Restoring ends 0.05 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 6 x 10 03/72, 1.1e7 km2 5 0 08/95, 3.2e6 km2 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 4 3 km 3 1975 Ice Area 10 km 2 15 x 10 1975 1980 Ice Volume 1985 1990 3 04/71, 2.5e4 km • Evident trends appear after restoring • Arctic becomes warmer and fresher • mixed layer becomes thinner → MICOM ? • Too little initial and summer ice • Too much ice in the winter • Ice variability as expected, but higher than observed 2 1 2 08/95, 8.0e3 km 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 1980 1985 1990 4 Inter-annual Ice variability Ice Area in March 1.2 km2 1.1 1 0.9 0.8 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Ice Area in September 1990 1995 2000 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Ice Volume in March 1990 1995 2000 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Ice Volume in September 1990 1995 2000 1950 1955 1960 1965 1990 1995 2000 6 km 2 5 4 3 km3 2.5 • Especially (winter) ice volume decreases 2 1.5 km3 1.5 1 0.5 1970 1975 1980 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 1985 5 Ice Drift 01/2001, Ice velocity field 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 01/2003, Ice velocity field 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 6 Results: Ocean, surface circulation 01/2001, Ocean surface velocity field 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 0.4 01/2003, Ocean surface velocity field 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 7 Results: SSS 01/1948, Salinity at the surface 34 34.5 35 01/2003, Salinity at the surface 35.5 10 15 Note scale change !! P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 20 25 30 35 8 Results: Salinity at -400 m 01/1948, Salinity at −400 m 34 34.5 35 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 01/2003, Salinity at −400 m 34 34.5 35 9 Results: Ocean circulation at -400 m 01/1953, Ocean velocity field at −400 m 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 0.2 01/2003, Ocean velocity field at −400 m 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 10 Concluding Remarks • Data can be found from AOMIP-LAS • Freshening due to the lacking salt input from the Pacific and due to the too weak advection of fresh water from the Arctic ? • Freshening of the surface layer increases stratification and separates deeper layers from the surface layer. • Atlantic layer circulation becomes non-dependent on the surface conditions. • Deeper layers become more fresh as well • Mixed layer thinning when there’s no restoring → Gaspar et al. -scheme, mixing, shear ? • Thin mixed layer cools/warms fast and affects ice conditions and causes excessive seasonal ice variability P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 11 Maximum Ice extent in 03/1989 03/1989, Ice Concentration 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 11 million sq km P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 12 Minimum Ice extent in 08/1995 08/1995, Ice Concentration 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 3.2 million sq km P. Uotila, http://cims.nyu.edu/˜uotila/ 13
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