Surveying Mars Martian oceans, v he new Mars Global Surveyor altimetry shows that the heavily cratered southern hemisphere of Mars is 5 km higher than the sparely cratered plains of the northern hemisphere. Previous suggestions that oceans formerly occupied the northern plains as evidenced by shorelines are partly supported by the new data. A previously identified outer boundary has a wide range of elevations and is unlikely to be a shoreline but an inner contact with a narrow range of elevations is a more likely candidate. No shorelines are visible in the newly acquired, 1.5 metre/pixel imaging. Newly imaged valleys provide strong support for sustained or episodic flow of water across the Martian surface. A major surprise, however, is the near absence of valleys less than 100 m across. Martian valleys seemingly do not divide into ever smaller valleys as terrestrial valleys commonly do. This could be due to lack of precipitation or lack of surface runoff because of high infiltration rates. High erosion rates and formation of valley networks supports warm climates and presence of large bodies of water during heavy bombardment. The climate history and fate of the water after heavy bombardment remain controversial. T 3.20 In the Harold Jeffreys Lecture given to the Royal Astronomical Society on 12 February 2000, Michael H Carr describes new information and insights from Mars Global Surveyor. T he purpose of this paper is to re-assess the role that water has played in the evolution of Mars in the light of the new data from Mars Global Surveyor (MGS). The Mars Global Surveyor spacecraft was injected into Mars orbit on 12 September 1997. It was designed to operate in a sunsynchronous, circular orbit. However, in order to minimize the fuel needed for orbit injection, the spacecraft was initially placed in a highly elliptical orbit, which became circular as the atmosphere slowly decelerated the spacecraft. This process took longer than originally planned and systematic mapping from the predesignated orbit did not start until March 1999. Since then, the spacecraft has returned thousands of high-resolution (1.5 m/pixel) images, mapped the planet’s gravity field and altimetery, determined the composition of the surface with a 3 km spatial resolution, and discovered numerous, heretofore unsuspected, remanent magnetic anomalies. These new data are causing us to re-assess almost every aspect of the evolution of Mars. We have suspected, ever since Mariner-9 returned images of seemingly water-worn channels and valleys incised into the Martian surface, that water has played a major role in the evolution of the planet (Masursky 1973). Yet most aspects of the water story remain puzzling. Mars today is a cold, dry planet. The atmosphere contains only minute amounts of water and the only place on the surface where water ice has been unambiguously detected is at the north pole (Kieffer et al. 1976, Farmer et al. 1976). Yet large flood channels indicate that abundant water was formerly present at the surface and branching valley networks appear to imply that Mars was warmer in the distant past. How much water was present, when the warm conditions prevailed and what caused the global climate to change are, however, uncertain. Similarly, although we have excellent evidence for gigantic floods, we do not know what caused the floods, what their climatic implications are, and what sized bodies of water were left afterwards. Some researchers have, for example, postulated that the floods created ocean-sized bodies of water and changed global climates (Baker et al. 1991); others have suggested that the floods resulted in only modest-sized bodies of water (Scott et al. 1995, Carr 1996) that had only trivial effects on climate. The new MGS data has implications for all these issues. The topography of Mars is now well defined from the MGS altimetry (Smith et al. 1999). The dominant feature is the 5 km difference in elevation between the low northern hemisphere and the high southern hemisphere (figure 1). Most of the southern hemisphere is rough and heavily cratered, having survived from the early era of heavy bombardment. Its topography is dominated by the southern parts of the Tharsis bulge and the 8 km deep Hellas Basin, with its 6000 km diameter rim. Much of the northern hemisphere outside the volcanic provinces of Tharsis and Elysium is an almost level, sparsely cratered plain, within which is a newly discovered, shallow, roughly 1500 km diameter basin, centered at 45°N 250°W, referred to as the Utopia Basin. At each pole is a pile of layered deposits up to 3 km thick. The observed drainage features, including both fluvial channels and lava flows, are to first order consistent with the present topography. Since most of the valley networks are ancient features (Carr 1996), the correlation indicates that most of the topography dates back to very early in the planet’s history. Valley networks Much of the ancient cratered highlands of Mars are dissected by small valleys that form branching networks. Their branching patterns superficially resemble those of terrestrial rivers. The valley networks are found mostly in the Noachian terrain of the southern highlands, but a few do cut younger units particularly those of Hesperian age. While much of the southern highlands is dissected, the drainage pattern is mostly very open, with drainage densities that are two orders of magnitude lower than typical terrestrial values. The valleys are widely accepted as water-worn, although other processes have been suggested. Because significant precipitation and surface runoff are not possible under the present conditions with mean daily temperatures ranging from 220 to 150 K, the valley networks have been taken as June 2000 Vol 41 Surveying Mars alleys and climate 1: The topography of Mars as determined from the laser altimeter on Mars Global Surveyor. evidence of warmer conditions in the past. The climatic implications of the valleys are, however, controversial, and not all researchers accept that warmer conditions were necessary for their formation (Squyres and Kasting 1994). The valleys visible in the previously acquired Viking imagery are typically 1–2 km across and a few tens to a few hundred kilometres long. One striking finding from the 1.5 m resolution imaging from MGS is that the Martian valleys do not, in general, divide upstream into ever smaller valleys as commonly happens on Earth. With the new imaging we see the valleys in greater detail but do not see arrays of previously unobserved valleys. The near absence of drainage by valleys a few hundred metres across or smaller could result simply from erosion and burial. This is unlikely, however. Erosion rates since the end of the Noachian have been very low as discussed below. While some valleys may have been buried by layered deposits that are common throughout the highlands, small valleys are not present where such layered deposits are absent, and the outlines of the valleys that appear more pristine do not show interruptions where tributaries formerly present but now eroded away or buried might have been. The small tributary valleys appear to be scarce because few formed. Two possible explanations are: (1) No precipitation has occurred during the time period recorded by the present landscape, there has been no surface runoff, and all the valleys June 2000 Vol 41 Martian ages Ages of different parts of the surface of Mars are estimated from the number of superimposed impact craters. Noachian surfaces date back to the era of heavy bombardment which, by analogy with the Earth and the Moon, is estimated to have ended 3.8 ´109 years ago. The next youngest era is the Hesperian, then the Amazonian. Estimates of the date of the Hesperian/Amazonian boundary range from 1.8 to 3.5 ´109 years (Tanaka et al. 1992). The precise date is poorly known because of uncertainties in the cratering history of the inner solar system. formed by release of groundwater or some other mechanism. (2) There was precipitation, but the relation between precipitation intensity, infiltration rates, slopes, and resistance to erosion were such that the threshold for erosion by surface runoff was rarely achieved (Carr and Malin in press). The new MGS images provide excellent evidence for sustained erosion by modest-sized streams. Nanedi Vallis is a 3 km wide, 1 km deep valley that extends 800 km northward from a source in an almost featureless plain near 0°N 49°W (figure 2). A 200 m wide river channel can be seen in places on the valley floor. The river is likely to have meandered ini- tially across the lava plains of Lunae Planum, then sustained or episodic flow resulted in deep incision of the meanders. Many of the small valleys within the highlands had previously been attributed to groundwater sapping, in which valleys extend themselves headward by erosion at spring sites. Such an origin is very unlikely for Nanedi Vallis because of the difficulty in forming tight meanders in this way. More likely, the valley formed as a result of release of groundwater from some source upstream of the section seen in figure 2. The climatic conditions under which Nanedi Vallis formed remain unclear. Rivers sustained by groundwater may be able to flow for hundreds of kilometres under an ice cover even under the present frigid conditions (Wallace and Sagan 1979, Carr 1983, Squyres and Kasting 1994), so that the valley does not necessarily imply warm conditions in the Hesperian, when it appears to have formed. An intriguing possibility is that at the time of formation of Nanedi Vallis, the groundwater table under Lunae Planum was sustained by the presence of lakes in the canyons to the south (McCauley 1978, Nedell et al. 1987, Lucchitta et al. 1992) and that movement of water through Nanedi Vallis contributed to drainage of these lakes. The valleys in the uplands range widely in their state of preservation from those that are barely discernible to those, like Nanedi Vallis, that are almost perfectly preserved. In the Viking images most of the upland valleys were 3.21 Surveying Mars seen to have a rectangular cross-section. We now see that the flat floors are due to later fill and are not flood plains, as had been formerly assumed by analogy with the Earth. Some areas that appear densely dissected in the Viking images are shown in the MOC images to have poorly integrated drainage, with interconnected linear and rounded depressions. These areas resemble the drainage in some permafrost areas of the Earth where erosion is by a combination of water, sublimation of ground ice, and mass wasting. Some valleys merge upstream with lines of depressions as though fed by sub-surface streams. A particularly well developed drainage network is seen on the inner wall of the crater Bakhuysen (figure 3). The tributaries start at the crater wall and the surrounding terrain is undissected. The valleys were possibly fed either from groundwater seeping from the crater wall or from local melting of ice or snow that had collected within the crater. In summary, evidence for surface runoff is rare. The valleys appear to have formed mainly from groundwater. One possibility is that precipitation did occur after the present topography stabilized, but most of the water infiltrated into the ground and fed, via the groundwater system, the streams that cut the valleys. Alternatively, little or no precipitation occurred after the landscape stabilized and the groundwater system was sustained by means other than precipitation, such as basal melting of polar ice deposits (Clifford 1993). The abundant presence of water-worn valleys at high elevations in the southern highlands indicates active recharge at least in the Noachian and possibly in the lower Hesperian. Outflow channels Outflow channels are tens to hundreds of kilometres across, much larger than the valley networks. Most start at full size, commonly from a rubble-filled depression. They have few tributaries. A distinctive characteristic is the presence of teardrop shaped islands with a pointed prow upstream and a long tail downstream. The valley floors typically have a longitudinal scour of diverging and converging furrows. Because of their abrupt beginnings, large size, lack of tributaries, and numerous features in common with large terrestrial floods, outflow channels are almost universally accepted as having formed by very large floods, much larger than any known on Earth. Rough estimates of peak discharges range as high as 109 m3 s–1, as compared with 2 ´107 m3 s–1 for the largest terrestrial floods (Baker 1982, Robinson and Tanaka 1990). Most of the floods appear to have formed well after the end of heavy bombardment, as a result of massive eruptions of groundwater. To achieve the high discharges the eruptions must have been driven by large 3.22 2: Incised meanders of Nanedi Vallis at 5°N 48°W. The valley maintains a constant width of roughly 3 km for most of its several hundred kilometre length. The Viking frame on the left is shown for context. hydrostatic pressures (Carr 1979). Cold climate conditions, similar to those that prevail today, were probably required so that pressures could build within groundwater trapped below a thick permafrost zone Because of their large sizes, the characteristics of the outflow channels were well documented from previous missions and the new MGS data does not change significantly our perception of these features. Only three points need be mentioned. The first is that the new altimetry enables the channels to be traced farther into the northern basin than was formerly possible. Those that start to the southeast of Chryse can be traced as far as 45°N and those that extend northwest of Elysium can be traced into the bottom of the newly discovered Utopia Basin at 40°N 245°W. This may have implications concerning the former presence of bodies of water in these low areas. Secondly, the altimetry appears to confirm the presence of a large Noachian channel that extends from the Argyre basin into the low-lying areas of Margaritifer Sinus. It may imply that, some time during the Noachian, the Argyre basin was filled with water that overflowed to the north. The third point is that the new altimetry and images support the supposition that in places there has been massive subsurface solution or erosion in several places. The most striking example is provided by Hebrus Vallis at 18°N 232°W (figure 4). The channel emerges fullsize from an irregular depression, extends 200 km to the northwest with typical outflow channel characteristics. It then breaks up into lines of deep discontinuous depressions. The geometry resembles that in terrestrial karst regions where rivers flow partly on the ground and partly underground as a result of solution of limestone. The geometry of Hebrus Vallis and other similar valleys is puzzling in that the thermal emission spectrometer on MGS has not detected calcium carbonate anywhere on the planet (Christensen 1998). Other examples of large-scale subsurface flow are discontinuous fretted channels in northern Arabia and a depression that extends northward from Ganges Chasma to the source of the outflow channel Shalbatana Vallis. In both these cases the imaging suggests that the surface has partly collapsed to form a linear depression that can be well seen in the altimetry. The example near Shabaltana Vallis suggests that the lake thought to have been formerly present in Ganges Chasma (McCauley 1978, Nedell et al. 1987, Lucchitta et al. 1992) may have partly drained northward below the surface. Erosion The evidence for a rapid decline in erosion rates near the end of heavy bombardment is unambiguous. Nearly all the craters in the Noachian terrain that are tens of kilometres across or larger must date from the era of heavy bombardment. (Cumulative frequencies for 10 km diameter craters on lunar surfaces 4.0 and 3.5 Gyr old differ by more than a factor of 10 (Neukum and Ivanov 1994). Similar June 2000 Vol 41 Surveying Mars 3: Gullies incised into the wall of the 180 km diameter crater Bakhuysen. The gullies start near the top of the crater wall. They could have formed as a result of seepage from the crater wall or as a result of melting of snow or ice that accumulated within the crater. The surrounding terrain is mostly undissected. differences are expected for Martian surfaces.) Most of these large craters are highly degraded, many being simply shallow rimless depressions. Even the large impact basins Hellas, Argyre and Isidis have highly modified rims. In contrast, many lower Hesperian surfaces, which formed shortly after the end of heavy bombardment (figure 5), have almost perfectly preserved populations of craters less than 10 km in diameter (Carr 1992), with fine morphological details retained (Craddock and Maxwell 1993). Estimates of erosion rates after heavy bombardment rate range from 0.001 to 0.02 µm/yr as compared with estimates of 0.1–10 µm/yr for the Noachian (Arvidson et al. 1979, Carr 1992). The latter number is at the low end of terrestrial rates. The cause of the 2–3 order of magnitude decline in erosion rates is not known, but it is difficult to see how climate change could not have been involved. A warmer climate and an active hydrological cycle during the Noachian is also supported by the non-equilibrium distribution of water at the end of the Noachian and early Hesperian, as discussed above. High erosion rates in the Noachian must June 2000 Vol 41 4: Hebrus Vallis at 20°N 234°W. The Viking image on the right is 120 km across. The channel starts at an irregularly shaped depression. In its upper reaches it has typical fluvial features but downstream it breaks up into discontinuous lines of depressions as though flow was mainly subsurface. have produced large amounts of eroded debris. Thick deposits of wind-deposited, wind-eroded material along the plains–upland boundary between 120°W and 240°W were recognized from the Viking images and etched deposits overlying the cratered terrain were noted in several areas, particularly north of Isidis (Scott and Tanaka 1986, Greeley and Guest 1987). The MOC images show that wind-blown materials and layered, partly eroded deposits are common at the surface throughout the highlands, particularly in large craters and basins. In addition, much of the terrain in the 30–45° latitude belts in both hemispheres appear covered with easily erodible material that mutes the topography of the underlying surface. Thus poorly consolidated material is abundant at the surface and probably represents material produced during the early era of high erosion rates. Since the end of heavy bombardment, it has probably been constantly moved around the planet by the wind, but little added to by subsequent erosion. Climate change The change in erosion rates, the disequilibrium distribution of water and the presence of valley networks all support a major change in climate near the end of heavy bombardment (late Noachian – early Hesperian). Climate modelers have, however, had trouble explaining how such a change could have occurred (Haberle 1998). Part of the problem is caused by Mars’ distance from the Sun and the likely low luminosity of the early Sun. Haberle (1998) estimates that to warm early Mars to 273 K, the atmosphere must have had a very effective greenhouse, needing to absorb 85% of the radiation from the surface, as opposed to the 56% absorbed by the Earth’s atmosphere. Early modelling by Pollack et al. (1987) suggested that a CO2–H2O atmosphere at least 5 bars thick was needed. Kasting (1991) subsequently showed, however, that the vertical temperature profiles within the atmosphere in the Pollack et al. models were in error in that they had not been adjusted to take into account condensation of CO2. Making the necessary corrections, Kasting claimed that surface temperatures could not reach 273 K, no matter how thick the CO2–H2O atmosphere. More recently, Forget and Pierrehumbert (1997) refuted this claim 3.23 Surveying Mars and maintained that that CO2 clouds could so effectively scatter infrared radiation from the surface, that 273 K surface temperatures could be achieved with as little as 1 bar of CO2. Yet another problem with maintaining warm temperatures on early Mars is that when surface temperatures get above 273 K and liquid water becomes abundant, chemical weathering accelerates, carbonates tend to form rapidly and the atmosphere collapses on a short timescale, on the order of 107 years (Pollack et al. 1987). To maintain the atmosphere, the CO2 would have to be recycled rapidly back into the atmosphere, such as by volcanic burial (Pollack et al. 1987) or by impacts (Carr 1989). Finally, the atmosphere must be maintained against losses by impact erosion. Melosh and Vickery (1989) showed that impact erosion of the atmosphere would have been very effective on early Mars, and Zahnle (1993) invoked impact erosion to explain the almost one hundred-fold, non-fractionating depletion of non-radiogenic noble gases in the Martian atmosphere, as compared with the Earth. According to the Melosh and Vickery model, early heavy bombardment could have eliminated an atmosphere a few bars thick in a few hundred million years. I attempted to model how atmospheric pressure on early Mars might have changed as a result of loss by weathering and impact erosion and recycling of the CO2 in carbonates back into the atmosphere as a result of burial and heating by impacts and volcanism (Carr 1999). The model assumes an arbitrary inventory of CO2 at 4.4 ´109 years ago and steps forward in time tracking the CO2 as it is lost to space by impact erosion and redistributed between the atmosphere and the ground. High rates of volcanism are expected on early Mars as a result of the high heat flow (Schubert et al. 1992) and appear confirmed by MGS observations of sequences of layered rocks, several kilometres thick, in the walls of Valles Marineris (McEwen et al. 1999). The high burial rates and steep thermal gradient on early Mars would have enabled CO2 fixed as carbonates to be returned to the atmosphere quite efficiently. However, the heat flow declines rapidly throughout the era of heavy bombardment and by early Hesperian recycling of CO2 becomes trivial. In the case of a strong greenhouse (Forget and Pierrehumbert 1997), surface temperatures and hence weathering rates are high during heavy bombardment. As a consequence, much of the CO2 resides in the ground as carbonates and so is protected from removal from the planet by impact erosion. According to the model, at the end of heavy bombardment 0.5–1 bar of an originally assumed 6 bars of CO2 is left in the atmosphere and 4 bars are in the ground (figure 6). Globally averaged sur3.24 5: Evidence for a change in erosion rates early in Mars’ history. Small, minimally eroded craters are superimposed on an 8 km diameter crater that is almost completely eroded away. Such relations are common throughout the terrains that date back to heavy bombardment. Large, old craters are heavily eroded while younger, much smaller craters are uneroded. face temperatures are close to freezing. Most of the 0.5–1 bar of CO2 in the atmosphere would be subsequently lost to space by sputtering (Luhmann et al. 1992). This model is roughly consistent with what is observed. A climate change occurs near the end of heavy bombardment as global temperatures fall below freezing. The atmosphere is slowly eroded away by sputtering after heavy bombardment so that average global temperatures, although below freezing are not far below for some time, thereby possibly permitting formation of valley networks well into the Hesperian. Large amounts of CO2 fixed as carbonates in the ground are consistent with evidence given above for underground movement of water, although inconsistent with the lack of detection of carbonates by the thermal emission spectrometer on MGS (Christensen et al. 1998). These models are, however, very simple and do not take into account several important effects such as formation of polar caps (Haberle et al. 1994). In weak greenhouse models (Pollack et al. 1987), little weathering occurs because of the low surface temperatures and much of the initial inventory of CO2 is lost to space by impact erosion. Surface temperatures are well below freezing throughout heavy bombardment. Clearly, such models are inconsistent with high rates of erosion and valley formation early in the planet’s history. A global aquifer system Many of the large outflow channels appear to have formed by eruption of water from below the surface, and the characteristics of the valley networks appear more consistent with origin by groundwater seepage rather than surface runoff. Clifford (1993) suggested that Mars has a large capacity, globally interconnected aquifer system. The aquifer is comprised mostly of a deep, porous megaregolith that was formed during heavy bombardment. By analogy with the Moon, Clifford suggested that the porosity declines with depth with a scaled depth of 2.8 km, and estimated the total capacity of the aquifer is 0.5–1.5 km of water spread evenly over the whole planet. We, of course, have no means of telling what fraction of this capacity is actually filled with water. Under present heat flow and climatic conditions the system is frozen to depths of roughly 2 km at the equator and to roughly 6 km at the poles. The model of Clifford should perhaps be viewed as one that places upper limits on the capacity, porosities and permeabilities of the aquifer system. Comparison with the Earth may be more appropriate than comparison June 2000 Vol 41 Surveying Mars 320 5 310 ground temperature (K) pressure (bars) 4 3 2 impact 300 290 280 270 1 260 atmosphere 0 4.5 4 time before present (Gyr) 3.5 250 4.5 4 time before present (Gyr) 3.5 6: Some results from modelling the fate of an early atmosphere on Mars. In this model the planet is assumed to have had 6 bars of CO2 4.4 ´109 years ago. Some of the CO2 is lost from the planet by impacts, but most enters the ground as carbonates. Roughly 0.5–1 bar is left in the atmosphere at the end of heavy bombardment and is mostly lost later by sputtering. The graph on the right shows globally averaged temperatures according to the Forget and Pierrehumbert (1997) greenhouse model. It shows that global temperatures fell below 273 K close to the end of heavy bombardment. with the Moon. Permeabilities (and by inference porosities) on Earth decline rapidly with depth until they reach the brittle to ductile transition at roughly 12 km, where the permeability has fallen to 10–18 m2 (Manning and Ingebritsen 1999). The permeabilities are derived from chemical reactions and are for regions and times of active metamorphism. In stable cratonic regions of the Earth, significantly lower permeabilities are likely. On Mars at the end of heavy bombardment, the heat flow was roughly 2.5 times the present terrestrial heat flow (Schubert et al. 1992) so that the depth to the ductile to brittle transition was correspondingly shallower (roughly 4–5 km). This depth may more realistically represent the limiting depth of the aquifer system, since generation of a deep megaregolith effectively ceased with the end of heavy bombardment. Oceans If Mars is or was water-rich and global temperatures were above freezing, then large bodies of water must have existed at the surface. We have just seen that these two conditions are likely to have been met in the Noachian. Moreover the high heat flows expected during the Noachian (Schubert et al. 1992) would have driven most of the near-surface inventory onto the surface. Some observational support for large bodies of water in the Noachian is provided by a Noachian outflow channel that emerges from the Argyre impact basin, thereby possibly implying that the basin overflowed. The rationale for ocean-sized bodies of water after the end of heavy bombardment is, however, far less convincing. Parker et al. (1989, 1993) mapped two discontinuous contacts around the northern plains that they claimed could have been shorelines of a former northern ocean. In addition, they argued that many of the downstream features of the large outflow channels, particularly those that converge June 2000 Vol 41 on the Chryse Basin, were consistent with their having debouched into a body of water. Baker et al. (1991) speculated further that the large outflow channels created short-lived oceans that temporarily changed the global climate, thereby explaining some of the younger valley networks. How such oceans formed, dissipated and changed climates was, however, left largely unexplained. The new altimetry from MGS shows that the outer contact of Parker et al. (1989, 1993) has a wide range of elevations (several kilometres) and cannot be a shoreline unless Mars has been far more active tectonically than is generally believed. The inner contact, however, is much more plausibly a former shoreline in that it has a narrow range of elevations, particularly if the sections near the volcanic regions of Tharsis and Elysium are excluded (Head et al. 1999). Terraces around the newly discovered Utopia Basin provide strong support that this basin at least could have been filled with water, at one time. Similar “shorelines” have been proposed for the interior of the Hellas basin. Arguing against the ocean hypothesis is the lack of evidence for shorelines in the new high-resolution imaging (Malin and Edgett 1999). Indeed, the abundance of surfical deposits, clearly visible in the MOC images at the latitudes proposed for the shorelines, would make recognition of shorelines extremely difficult even if they were present. A possible reconciliation is that the terraces around the Utopia Basin and possibly elsewhere are traces of Noachian shorelines that are now largely covered with younger deposits and so are not discernible in the imaging. Such an interpretation would be consistent with high erosion rates and possibly warmer climates in the Noachian and low erosion rates and cold climates in the post-Noachian. The fate of the water present at the surface near the end of heavy bombardment is puzzling. Clifford (1993) suggested that the water could be lost to the groundwater–ground-ice system through the poles. When the climate changed, the surface, including any bodies of water, would have frozen. Ice at the surface would slowly sublime and accumulate at the poles (figure 7). Ultimately, ice at the poles would become so thick that the ice would melt at its base and water could enter the underlying aquifer system. Because of the high elevation of the south pole, water from it could have steadily recharged the aquifer system underlying the high-standing southern highlands, thereby providing a groundwater source for the postNoachian valleys. As the heat flow declined further and the frozen zone became thicker, then access of groundwater to the surface would have become more difficult and the rate of formation of valley networks would have declined, as is observed. The large floods occurred subsequent to the main period of valley formation. Most appear to have formed by massive eruptions of groundwater under large artesian pressures (Carr 1979). The pressures could have been generated in at least two ways. The first possibility is that groundwater became trapped between the base of the global aquifer system and the advancing base of the cryosphere (figure 7). The second possibility is that, as the heat flow declined, water continued to enter the global groundwater system through the poles, thereby raising the global water table and creating large artesian pressures in low areas. Breakouts occurred in low areas at low latitudes where the cryosphere was thinnest. The floods could have involved huge volumes of water and repetitively recreated ocean-sized bodies of water as suggested by Baker et al. (1991). Alternatively, the floods could have resulted in only modest-sized bodies of water that froze in place to form permanent ice deposits in the lowest parts of the northern plains (Carr 1996). Summary If Mars was water-rich as appears likely from the presence of large flood features, and if, near the end of heavy bombardment, surface conditions were warm, as appears likely from the high erosion rates, the presence of valley networks, and the disequilibrium distribution of water, then large bodies of water must have been present at the surface during heavy bombardment. Terraces, revealed by the altimetry, around the northern plains, and within the Hellas and Utopia basins may be evidence for these bodies. Visible evidence for the shorelines appears to have been largely destroyed by subsequent erosion and deposition. During the Noachian, an active hydrologic cycle probably resulted in constant recharge of the groundwater system. The climate history since the end of heavy bombardment is controversial. The almost complete absence of evidence for surface 3.25 Surveying Mars other hand, have argued from erosion rates (Carr 1979, 1996, 1999) that a dramatic change in climate took place at the end of heavy bombardment such that the surface froze and has remained so ever since. According to this hypothesis the large floods are cold climate features that left behind only small bodies of water that froze and formed permanent ice deposits in low-lying areas. The Noachian oceans dissipated near the end of heavy bombardment largely by incorporation of the water into the deep megaregolith by the process of basal melting (Clifford 1987). ● (a) Noachian age 2 elevation (km) 0 evaporation –2 ocean –4 impermeable basement –6 –8 –90 –60 –30 0 latitude 30 condensation on polar cap 2 (b) Early Hesperian age polar layered deposits cryosphere elevation (km) 0 –2 90 60 basal melting and infiltration sublimation –4 impermeable basement –6 basal melting and infiltration –8 –90 –60 –30 0 latitude 30 thickening cryosphere 90 (c) Late Hesperian age 2 catastrophic floods 0 elevation (km) 60 –2 –4 ground water trapped impermeable under high pressure basement –6 –8 –90 –60 –30 0 latitude 30 60 90 7: Diagram showing one possible sequence of events early in Mars’ history. (a) During heavy bombardment (Noachian), Mars had a warm climate, and active hydrologic cycle, oceans, and high erosion rates. (b) The climate changed at the end of heavy bombardment, the oceans slowly sublimed, and ice accumulated at the poles. A cryosphere developed and water entered the groundwater system through basal melting of the polar ice. (c) As the heat flow declined, the cryosphere became thicker and water was trapped under high pressure below the cryosphere. Periodic breakouts of groundwater under high pressure caused catastrophic floods. runoff in the MOC images can be explained in at least two ways: (1) climate conditions were too cold for significant precipitation and surface runoff after heavy bombardment or (2) warm climate conditions and precipitation did occur after heavy bombardment but the permeability of the ground is such that most of the precipitation infiltrated into the ground leaving little surface runoff. 3.26 The fate of the planet’s water after heavy bombardment is similarly controversial. 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