How might human activities and climate change impact on the health of our seas? Marine Theme Objective: Human Pressures and Impacts on the Marine Environment What’s the problem? We want ‘clean, healthy, safe, productive and biologically diverse’ oceans and seas. To achieve this we need to manage human activities in a way that minimises their impact. The problem is that we don’t fully understand the impacts of climate change and human activity on the marine environment, nor how much disturbance it can take before it stops being able to provide the goods (e.g. fish) and services (e.g. the cycling of carbon) we take from it. It is assumed that a marine system which is biodiverse is ‘good’, as it provides a range of different habitats and species, thus making it more ‘resilient’ to impacts. This project intends to help us understand the link between biodiversity and a healthy functioning system and how climate change and human activities affect these links. This understanding will help us to manage the marine environment more effectively. What are the aims of the project? The key to avoiding ecosystem dysfunction is improving the understanding of the connections between important parts of the ecosystem such as flows of materials such as Carbon (C), Nitrogen (N), Oxygen (O), Silicon (Si) and energy, and to determine key connections that are susceptible to change due to pressures such as human activity and climate changes. To help understand these links the aim of this research is to look at: key processes such as the controls on production and fate of Carbon, and how the water column and sea-bed interact to cycle Carbon in the marine environment; and what parts of the marine ecosystem are key to delivering these processes. Models will be used to look at changes in key processes under different scenarios, for example aspects of climate change and human activity (specifically trawling). Indicators which can be used to describe the state and change in these processes will also be developed during the course of the project which is due to complete in March 2011. Figure 1: Key elements of ecosystem structure & function in shelf seas. Carbon is cycled through food webs in the water column and the seabed. Connectivity between planktonic and benthic food webs is essential for ecosystem health and productivity, and is susceptible to climate change and human activity. Which policy areas will the research inform? Policy areas dealing with the assessment of human and climate impacts such as the Marine Strategy Framework Directive will be able to use this information to inform the development of Good Environmental Status descriptors of seabed integrity, food-webs and biodiversity. Data will also be used to communicate the effect of climate change to the public. Findings may also be useful in informing decisions on the placement and management of Marine Protected areas by assessing the effects of fishing effort redistributions on water and sediment functions (carbon and nutrient cycling, benthic production, plankton production). ME3205: Marine Ecosystem Connections: Essential indicators of healthy, productive & diverse seas How might climate change and human activities impact on the health of our seas? What are the results from the project and how will they be used? Importance of biodiversity in cycling of C and N: Work to date has concentrated on flows of carbon and nutrients in the North Sea in three study sites. It’s been found that primary production by phytoplankton in the water column during the growth season appears to be rapidly consumed and recycled by diverse communities of animal plankton. Seabed carbon cycling in shallow areas with a permanently well mixed water column is controlled by physical processes. Here, primary production which reaches the seafloor can be rapidly recycled in a matter of days to weeks. A large proportion of the North Sea shelf is of this type. Developing indicators of connectivity: Collection of baseline data for the development of candidate indicators relating to Good Environmental Status descriptors for food-webs, seabed integrity and biodiversity is underway within the project and these health indicators (for example: sediment redox, zooplankton ratios, water column oxygen) respond to human and climate scenarios, so can be easily incorporated into future monitoring programmes. They will be useful in providing improved insight into ecological functioning and health of shelf sea regions. In deeper areas, where the seabed tends to be more muddy, biological processes are more important in controlling recycling rates through the sediment which may take weeks to months. Within the seabed, a number of key species have been found to drive carbon cycling and we are now exploring how many species can perform the same type of ‘function’ and thus if ‘functional redundancy’ exists. Those sites with little functional redundancy (i.e. do not have many species which can do the same thing) will be more vulnerable to human activities, so impacts will need to be carefully managed in these areas. Effects of trawling and climatic changes: Trawling can impact the seabed by decreasing benthic biomass and production, resulting in slower carbon cycling and increased carbon storage. However, through sediment resuspension, trawling may also increase the release of nutrients into the water column. Changes in the duration and intensity of stratification due to climate change are likely to have considerable impacts on marine food webs and carbon cycles. Changes could include the timing and magnitude of primary production in different regions and the abundance of planktonic communities. Models have shown that prolonged stratification in the North Sea is likely to increase the incidence of hypoxia (i.e. very low oxygen levels) with levels reaching <60% oxygen saturation. All of these impacts will have implications for food-webs and the links to fisheries production. Figure 2: Potential impact of bottom trawling on zooplankton production at a site in the southern North Sea. Zooplankton production is reduced due to the removal of seabed fauna which recycle nutrients to the water column. Implications are for reduced ecosystem productivity and reduced drawdown of atmospheric CO2. This may be moderated by nutrient-release due to sediment disturbance and re-suspension during trawling. Where can I find further information about this and related research? Cefas are leading this research, and more information can be found from www.cefas.co.uk/e-conn Alternatively, please contact the Marine and Fisheries Science Unit at Defra, Nobel House, London. Defra Science – did you know? At any one time Defra manages over 2000 research projects covering a wide range of topics. For more information on current research see http://randd.defra.gov.uk and to find out about future research proposals see the Defra Research and Analysis page at: http://www.defra.gov.uk/evidence/index/htm ME3205: Marine Ecosystem Connections: Essential indicators of healthy, productive & diverse seas
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