All Work and No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time

All Work and No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time Off
October 2014
As prepared by:
Oxford Economics
September 2014
1
Key Findings
• 
Americans are taking less vacation time than at any point in the last nearly four decades. In 2013,
employees entitled to paid time off (PTO) took and average of 16 days of vacation compared to an
average of 20 days as recently as 2000.
• 
Among employees with PTO, nearly five days went unused in 2013. Of those five days, 1.6 days will
be permanently lost, totaling 169 million days across the workforce.
• 
By choosing to work instead of taking PTO, employees are essentially working for their employers
for free. The 169 million days of forfeited PTO equates to $52.4 billion in lost benefits.
• 
Employees who forfeit PTO do not receive raises or bonuses at a faster rate than those who take
all of their vacation time. However, employees leaving days on the table report higher levels of
stress at work.
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Methodology
Oxford Economics’ analysis is based on the Monthly Current Population Survey results reported by the
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and a June 2014 survey of 1,303 American workers conducted by
GfK Public Affairs and Corporate Communications in conjunction with Oxford Economics. The BLS data
compiles long-term vacation activity, while the GfK results indicate average vacation days taken. By
combining the two data sources, Oxford Economics determined long-term, historical vacation activity
among American workers.
For a full methodology, refer to page 41.
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Long Term Trends in Vacation Usage
Long Term Trends Vacation Usage Show Steady Decline
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Analysis of BLS data shows a steady decline in the number of vacation days taken by Americans
over the past two decades.
In 2013, employees with paid time off took 16.0 days of paid leave. As recently as the 2005 to 2010
period, Oxford Economics estimates employed adults took an average of 18.1 days of vacation
annually. Over the long-term period from 1976 to 2000, annual vacation time used averaged 20.3
days.
If Americans returned to vacation patterns experienced on average from 1976 to 2000 (20.3 days
per year on average), annual vacation days taken by employed people would increase 27%, which
would be equivalent to 768 million additional days of vacation at a national level (4.3 additional
vacation days, times 179 million employed people based on Bureau of Economic Analysis).
Long Term Trends Vacation Usage Show Steady Decline
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If Americans were to use those 768 million days, it would result in $284 billion of economic
impact, including $118 billion in direct travel spending.
Full-week vacations have steadily declined over the more than 35 years covered by the survey.
The impact of this decline was offset by increased incidence of partial-week vacations through
the mid-1990s. Since then, the frequency of partial-week vacations has eased, even as the
frequency of full-week vacations has continued to decline.
Annual Vacation Days
Average Vacation Days Used, Among Employed Adults
Annual Vacation Days
Long Term Average
(1976 to 2000)
20.3 days
22 21 20 19 Estimated Annual
Vacation Days Used
(24-month moving
average)
18 17 16 Recent Average
(2013)
16.0 days
15 14 1976 7
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Full-Week Vacation Activity has Steadily Declined
Full-Week Vacations
Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation
Not at work all week due to vacation, among employed adults
3.0% 2.5% 2.0% Full-Week Vacations
(24-Month Moving
Average)
1.5% Recent Average
(2013)
1.7%
1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1976 8
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Partial-Week Vacation has Leveled Off Since the Mid 1990s
Partial-Week Vacations
Usually work full time, but worked fewer than 35 hours due to vacation
Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
Recent Average
(2013)
2.2%
Partial-Week
Vacations by FullTime Workers
(24-Month Moving
Average)
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
1976 9
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Decline of Full-Week Vacations is No Longer being Offset
Vacation Activity by Type
Full-Week and Partial-Week Vacations
Recent average
(2013)
2.2%
Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation
3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1976 10
Full-Week Vacation
(24 Month Moving
Average)
Partial-Week Vacations by
Full-Time Workers
(24 Month Moving Average,
Usually Work Full-Time but
Worked Fewer than 35 Hours
Due to Vacation)
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 Recent average
(2013)
1.7%
2011 Analysis of Unused Vacation Time
Introduction to the Survey
• 
This analysis assesses the value of paid time off (PTO) forgone by US workers.
• 
For the purposes of this analysis, PTO includes vacation and personal days, but excludes sick days
and paid holidays.
• 
The study is based on a survey conducted by GfK and Oxford Economics on behalf of U.S. Travel.
12
Summary Metrics of PTO
• 
• 
• 
On average, employees surveyed earned
just under 21 PTO days in 2013.
Employees took an average of 16 PTO
days, and left 4.9 days on the table.
On average, U.S. workers used 77% of
earned PTO.
PTO Summary
PTO Utilization 77%
Days
25 20.9
20 16.0
15 10 4.9
5 0 13
Earned
PTO
Taken
PTO
Unused
PTO
Distribution of PTO
• 
• 
Nearly a quarter of employees earn
between 11 and 15 PTO days per year.
Just under 60% of employees earn
between 11 and 25 PTO days per year.
Amount of PTO Earned
% of respondents
25 20 Average
20.9 days
23.2
18.5
18.2
17.9
15 11.5
10.7
10 5 0 1-10
11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 31 or
more
Days of PTO
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Distribution of PTO Taken
• 
• 
Nearly 40% of workers take between 10
and 19 PTO days.
Just under a quarter of employees take
less than 10 PTO days.
Amount of PTO Taken
% of respondents
38.0
40 Average
16.0 days
35 30 25 22.3
19.3
20 16.1
15 10 5 0 4.1
0
1-9
10-19
20-24
Days of PTO
15
25+
Options for Unused PTO
• 
Not all unused PTO is actually lost.
• 
Most employees (56%) can either roll
over or bank PTO days for later use.
• 
But nearly a quarter (23.4%) lose it at
the end of the year.
Options for Unused PTO
% of respondents
Roll it over 47.4
Use it or lose it 23.4
Be paid for it 16.4
Bank it 8.8
Don't know 4.0
0 16
10 20 30 40 50 Limits on Rolled Over PTO
• 
Of those that can roll it or bank, there
are caps and expiration periods.
• 
Nearly a third (29.7%) can only roll over
or bank five days or less.
The Limit to Bank it or Roll it Over
% of respondents
1-­‐5 days 29.7
21+ days 20.5
6-­‐10 days 19.6
11-­‐15 days 19.0
16-­‐20 days 9.9
Don't know 1.3
0 17
10 20 30 40 Unused PTO by Income
• 
• 
Higher income earners tend to earn
more PTO, and also leave more PTO
days on the table.
On average, the US worker did not take
4.9 days of earned PTO in 2013.
Unused Days of PTO in 2013
Days by income group
>$150k 6.5
$75 to <$150k 5.4
$50 to <$75k 5.2
$30 to <$50k 5.0
<$29k 3.7
0 2 4 Days of PTO
18
Average
4.9
Days
6 8 PTO Lost After Constraints
• 
• 
• 
After taking into account caps and
expiration of roll over and banked PTO, a
portion is actually lost.
Higher income earners have more to
lose.
On average, U.S. employees lost 1.6 PTO
days in 2013.
Days of PTO Lost in 2013
Days by income group
>$150k 3.8
2.8
$75 to <$150k 1.7
3.7
$50 to <$75k 1.9
3.4
$30 to <$50k 1.4
<$29k 1.3
0 Average
Days Lost:
1.6
3.6
Lost PTO Unused 2.4
2 4 Days of PTO
19
6 8 Lost PTO
• 
• 
On average, U.S. employees lost more
than a third of their unused PTO.
High income earners lost more than half
of unused PTO days.
Share of Unused PTO Lost in 2013
Share by income group, %
>$150k 57.5
$75 to <$150k 31.5
$50 to <$75k 35.6
$30 to <$50k 28.6
<$29k 35.6
0 20 40 Days of PTO
20
Average
Share Lost
34%
60 80 Estimated Value of a Foregone PTO Day
• 
Based on total annual income and an
assumed 260 work days, the value of a
forgone PTO day was estimated by
income group.
Estimated Value of a Forgone PTO Day
Income in Thousands
$150 to <$175 $625.00
$100 to <$125 $432.69
$75 to <$85 $307.69
$50 to <$60 $211.54
$35 to <$40 $144.23
$25 to <$30 <$20 $105.77
$38.46
$0
$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000
$ Per Day
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Value of Lost PTO Days
• 
• 
Lost PTO days multiplied by the value of
a forgone day yields an estimate of the
monetary value of lost days by income
group.
On average, U.S. employees give up
$504 in paid time off – essentially giving
their employers that amount in free
work.
Value of Lost PTO Days
$ by income group
>$150k $3,427
$75 to <$150k $770
$50 to <$75k Average
$504
$470
$30 to <$50k $234
<$29k $108
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 $ Pay Cut
22
4,000 Value of Lost PTO Days
• 
• 
• 
By forgoing these days, employees are
essentially working for free.
High income earners give up the most,
1.4% of their pay, on average.
Overall, U.S. workers give 1.1% of their
salary back to their employer each year,
in the form of free work.
Percent Value of Lost PTO
By income group, %
>$150k 1.4 $75 to <$150k 0.6 $50 to <$75k 0.7 $30 to <$50k 0.6 0.5 <$29k 0.0 23
Average
1.1%
0.5 1.0 1.5 Pay Raise Based on PTO Used
• 
• 
There is no evidence that taking less
time off boosts the chance of getting a
raise or a bonus.
Employees who used most earned PTO
were just as likely to get a raise or
promotion than those who left PTO
unused.
Recent Bonus by Unused PTO
% of respondents
100 80 60 83.3
86.6
82.5
76.8
89.2
78.9
Yes 40 No 20 0 16.7
13.4
17.5
0
1-5
6-10
23.2
10.8
11-15 16-20
Days of Unused PTO
24
Bonus in
Last 3
Years?
21.1
21+
Pay Raise Based on Hours Worked
• 
• 
Employees that worked between 40 and
49 hours per week were slightly more
likely to have received a recent pay raise.
But this relationship was not apparent at
higher levels of hours worked per week.
Weekly Hours by Recent Raise
% of respondents
80 71.0
67.0
60 Raise in the
last 3
years?
50 Yes 70 40 30 20 12.0 14.0
12.0 13.0
10 0 35-39
40-49
50-59
Weekly Hours
25
5.0 6.0
>60
No Stress at Work
• 
• 
Stress at work was clearly associated
with leaving more unused PTO days.
The more PTO days employees leave
behind, the more likely they are to report
being “very” or “extremely” stressed at
work.
% of respondents
Stressed at Work
35 20
30 25 21
21
20 19
18
Very Extremely 15 13
10 5 0 4
0
5
1-5
8
7
6-10
11-15
Days of Unused PTO
26
16+
Stress at Home
• 
While a relatively small share of workers
reported stress at home, the share tends
to increase the more days of PTO
workers leave on the table.
% of respondents
Stressed at Home
12 5
10 8 8
9
7
Very 6 6
4 1
0
2
1-5
1
6-10
11-15
Days of unused PTO
27
2.11
3.16
2 0 Extremely 16+
Extrapolate to Total Economy
• 
• 
The amount of time off forfeited for the
entire economy is the average amount of
free labor hours times the total jobs in 2013.
• 
Average amount of free labor= $504
per job
• 
Estimated non-farm payroll jobs in
2013 that received PTO: 103.9 million
Total economic impact= $52.4 billion, which
is greater than total wage and salary income
in several states.
Voluntary Pay Cut in Context
Total wage and salary income by state, $ billions
Connec_cut Louisiana Alabama Oregon South Carolina Kentucky Oklahoma Iowa District of Columbia Kansas Utah Voluntary Pay Cut Nevada Arkansas Mississippi Nebraska New Mexico New Hampshire 52.4
0 28
25 50 75 100 125 Findings by Region
PTO Summary, by Region
• 
• 
Workers in the Northeast earn more and
take more PTO.
The South region stands out as taking
less PTO than other regions and leaving
more PTO days on the table.
PTO Summary by Region
Days, utilization in parentheses (days taken/days earned)
25 22.1
20 21.1
20.6 20.2
Northeast (81.0%) Midwest (78.6%) 17.9
16.6
15.0 15.8
South (73.1%) West (78.0%) 15 10 5.5
4.4
4.5
4.2
5 0 30
Earned
PTO
Taken
PTO
Unused
PTO
Distribution of PTO Earned, By Region
• 
• 
Workers in the Northeast earn an
average of 22.1 days of PTO per year.
More workers in the South and West
regions earn less than 15 days of PTO.
Amount of PTO Earned
% of respondents by region, average PTO earned in days in parentheses
35 Northeast (22.1) Midwest (21.1) South (20.6) West (20.2) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1-10
11-15
16-20
21-25
Days of PTO
31
26-30
31 or
more
Distribution of PTO Taken, By Region
• 
• 
Few workers in the Northeast take less
than 10 days of PTO per year.
Just under 30% of employees in the
South taken less than 10 days of PTO;
this is a higher share than any other
region.
Amount of PTO Taken
% of respondents by region, average PTO taken in days in parentheses
50 Northeast (17.9) Midwest (16.6) South (15.0) West (15.8) 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0
1-9
10-19
Days of PTO
32
20-24
25+
Unused and Lost PTO, By Region
• 
The West region of the US reported
leaving more PTO unused and also more
PTO actually lost.
• 
The Northeast region left fewer days of
PTO on the table and also lost fewer
days of PTO.
Unused and Lost PTO by Region
West 2.2
South 3.4
1.7
Midwest 2.9
2.0
Northeast 2.4
1.3
0 1 Lost Unused 2.8
2 3 4 Days of PTO
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5 6 Lost PTO as a Share of Unused PTO, By Region
• 
Of the unused PTO days, employees in
the West tend to actually lose a higher
share at 46% due to roll over caps and
expiration banked and rolled over PTO.
Share of Unused PTO Actually Lost
Share, %
West 45.7
South 39.4
Midwest 36.6
Northeast 32.1
0 34
10 20 30 40 50 Findings by Region
• 
The value of employees’ forfeited time
off is highest in the South.
• 
This is due to the low utilization of PTO
days. Also, more unused PTO days are
forgone by those in the higher income
groups.
• 
For Southern employees, this is the
equivalent to 1.5% of their salary,
compared to 0.6% in the Northeast.
Percent Value of Lost PTO
South 1.5
Midwest 1.2
West 0.7
Northeast 0.6
0.0 35
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Findings by Gender
PTO Summary by Gender
• 
• 
There were no major differences
reported by gender in terms of PTO
earned.
Men tend to take less PTO and leave
slightly more on the table.
PTO Summary by Gender
PTO utilization
Male: 76.4%
Female: 77.2%
Days
25 20.7 21.2
20 15.8 16.4
15 Male Female 10 4.9 4.8
5 0 37
Earned
PTO
Taken
PTO
Unused
PTO
Distribution of Earned PTO, By Gender
Amount of PTO Earned
% of respondents by gender
25 20 23.0
19.8
17.5
Male avg: 20.7 days
Female avg: 21.2 days
23.4
19.9
15.8
17.5
18.5
15 11.6 11.3
Male Female 10.4 11.2
10 5 0 1-10
11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30
Days of PTO
38
31 or
more
Distribution of PTO Taken, By Gender
Amount of PTO Taken
% of respondents
Male avg: 15.8 days
Female avg: 16.4 days
38.0 38.1
40 35 Male 30 25 21.1
19.1 19.5
20 24.0
16.3 15.9
15 10 5 0 5.5
2.2
0
1-9
10-19
Days of PTO
39
20-24
25+
Female Lost PTO, By Gender
• 
According to survey results, female
workers tend to lose slightly more PTO
days compared with male their
counterparts.
Unused and Lost PTO by Gender
• 
Women lost an average of 38% of
unused PTO, compared with 31% for
men.
Female 1.8
3.0
Lost Unused Male 1.5
0 1 3.4
2 3 Days of PTO
40
4 5 Benefits Lost, by Gender
• 
• 
Both men and women gave their
employers just over $500 of free labor
per job.
In percentage terms, women work for
free more than men, equivalent to 1.3%
of their salary vs. 0.8% for men.
Benefits Lost per Job, By Gender
In dollars and % cut per job
$503
$505
Male Female 0.8%
$ value
% pay cut
Per Job
41
1.3%
Methodology
Methodology
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The analysis uses two sources of information. The first is the Current Population Survey (CPS),
which is a monthly survey of U.S. households that provides the national unemployment rate and
other labor force information reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
For the purpose of this analysis, Oxford Economics focused on two categories of employed
people as tracked by the CPS. Those who were not at work all week, due to vacation, which we
refer to as “full-week vacations.” Those who usually work full time, but worked fewer than 35
hours during the week, due to vacation, which we refer to as “partial-week vacations”
We have referred to these two categories combined as: “employed, on vacation during part or all
of the week”.
These categories are focused on vacation time (including personal days), and exclude other
reasons such as illness, bad weather, labor dispute, or economic reasons such as a furlough.
The CPS asks respondents about their activities during a specific reference week each month.
This is defined as the week (Sunday through Saturday) that includes the 12th of the month; it is
modified on occasion to avoid major holidays that could impede data collection.
Methodology
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Our analysis of CPS data found that people that were employed, but on vacation during part or all
of the week, represented 4.0% of employed people on average during 2013.
To put this measure in context, if an individual took vacation two weeks a year (either the fullweek, or partial-week) it would represented 3.8% of the year (e.g. 2 weeks / 52 weeks).
The second source of information used in our analysis is the Vacation Time Opportunity Survey
conducted by GfK and Tourism Economics in 2014 that shows the average employee with paid
time off used 16 days of vacation time in 2013.
Starting with this survey-based average of 16 days of vacation during 2013, we estimated days of
vacation historically, and forward into 2014, based on the CPS survey results.
The process of scaling the CPS data based on the 2013 survey result included assumptions on
the number of vacation days being taken by the two categories of survey respondents (full-week
and partial-week).
Methodology
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The CPS provides an indicator of vacation activity, but it has some limitations. For example:
During the CPS interview, households are asked about the time they spent at work during
specific mid-month reference weeks. These weeks are selected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
to measure stable work weeks, minimizing the impact of major holidays. As such, the CPS data
is an indicator of how vacation activity has changed during mid-month periods over time, which
may differ from vacation activity during major holidays.
The CPS provides an indicator of vacation activity, but it has some limitations. For example:
• 
During the CPS interview, households are asked about the time they spent at work during specific mid-month
reference weeks. These weeks are selected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to measure stable work weeks,
minimizing the impact of major holidays. As such, the CPS data is an indicator of how vacation activity has changed
during mid-month periods over time, which may differ from vacation activity during major holidays.
• 
Changes in the ways Americans use their vacation time during the year could impact the survey results
independently of the actual quantity of vacation time used. For example, taking multiple short vacations, such as
two days of one week and three days of another week rather than a full five-day week, could result in a greater
incidence of vacation activity being measured in the CPS approach, even though the quantity of days could be the
same. Similarly, a trend of taking shorter partial-week vacations such as two days off rather than three, would not
be evident in the CPS-based results as a reduction in vacation activity.
Methodology
46
• 
The CPS survey has been periodically redesigned, such as to improve the sample process or refine the interview
process. One such redesign was implemented in 1994. To support comparability across the full period of available
information back to June 1976, Tourism Economics has adjusted the data for the 1976 to 1993 period based on a
comparison of survey results directly before and directly after the redesigned survey was implemented.
• 
In addition to stable seasonal patterns that do not detract from the analysis, such as higher vacation activity in
summer months, there are also less stable patterns. For example, the impacts of certain religious holidays that
occur during the reference week on certain months, as well as major weather events. Lastly, though there are
60,000 households included in the sample, there are also typical survey-related sources of variability.
• 
The CPS survey has been periodically redesigned, such as to improve the sample process or refine the interview
process. One such redesign was implemented in 1994. To support comparability across the full period of available
information back to June 1976, Tourism Economics has adjusted the data for the 1976 to 1993 period based on a
comparison of survey results directly before and directly after the redesigned survey was implemented.
• 
The raw CPS data on vacation activity is volatile from month to month, requiring the use of longer-term averages,
such as the 24 month moving average, to smooth the results.
• 
In addition to stable seasonal patterns that do not detract from the analysis, such as higher vacation activity in
summer months, there are also less stable patterns. For example, the impacts of certain religious holidays that
occur during the reference week on certain months, as well as major weather events. Lastly, though there are
60,000 households included in the sample, there are also typical survey-related sources of variability.
All Work and No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time Off
October 2014