Congressional Parties, Fundraising, and Committee Ambition ERIC S. HEBERLIG, UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA, CHARLOTTE Congressional party leaders are hypothesized to use desirable committee assignments as a selective incentive to entice incumbent members of Congress to contribute the collective good of the party’s campaign efforts. Financial contributions to the party are an effective measure of party loyalty, particularly in an era of high levels of party loyalty on roll call votes. This article analyzes committee transfers in the U.S. Congress from the 102nd through the 107th Congresses. The evidence shows that the greater the amount an incumbent contributes to party committees or party candidates, the more likely he or she will transfer to prestige committees. It also demonstrates that fundraising has become more closely related to prestige committee transfers when margins of party control in the House became very close after the Republican takeover. and to party committees have increased substantially over the past decade (Herrnson 1997, 2000). This article examines the extent to which funds donated by the campaign committees of incumbent members of Congress to other candidates and to party election committees affect committee transfers. In doing so, it evaluates the extent to which congressional parties channel the ambition of individual members by using such institutional resources as seats on prestige committees to reward members who assist the party in attaining its collective goals. This reward helps to explain why members vote with the party and contribute electoral funds to parties or colleagues when these activities pose some risk to own reelection efforts. The evidence presented here shows that contributions affect transfers in the 102nd through 107th Congresses. The evidence also indicates that contributions have a greater influence on switches to prestige committees than to policy or constituency committees. The results demonstrate the importance of fundraising as an indicator of party loyalty in the contemporary partisan, high-cost electoral environment. O n June 14, 2000, the Republican leadership of the U.S. House of Representatives announced “Battleground 2000,” a plan for incumbent members of the Republican caucus to raise $16 million for the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) (Allen 2000). The leadership gave each member a “nonvoluntary” yellow pledge card. The amount listed was determined by a sliding scale based on the member’s position in the leadership, committee, and seniority hierarchy. A United Waystyle contribution thermometer, delineating each member’s individual contribution, was posted outside of the suites from which members made fundraising calls. A special seventeen-member whip organization monitored progress and exerted peer pressure. Furthermore, Speaker Hastert explicitly told members that their contributions to the fundraising drive would help to determine their committee assignments and their rank within committees in the 107th Congress. The techniques of congressional fundraising in the most recent election cycle are more coercive iterations of trends that started in the last few election cycles. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) formally initiated the practice of soliciting contributions from incumbents as “dues” during the 1991-92 election cycle, and the Republicans followed in the 1993-94 cycle (Gimpel 1996; Herrnson 2000; Sabato and Larson 2002: 87). Although a member’s use of campaign contributions to colleagues to advance within the House’s power structure is not unprecedented (see Baker 1989; Jackson 1988), incumbents’ contributions from their own campaign accounts and/or leadership PACs to the campaign treasuries of other candidates or CONDITIONAL PARTY GOVERNMENT AND COLLECTIVE ACTION The aim of party leaders in Congress is to accomplish the collective goals of the party through the achievement of majority party status (Jacobson 1985-86). With majority status comes the ability to structure and control the legislative process (Cox and McCubbins 1993), and thus makes it easier for members of the majority party to achieve their policy goals and to deliver benefits to constituents. Although individual members favor majority status, they also have individual goals. These include reelection, advancement to leadership positions or another office, and good public policy (Fenno 1973). Congressional party leaders face a free rider problem in mobilizing members to achieve collective goals. Majority status is a collective good. Its benefits are available to all members of the majority party re g a rdless of any individual member’s contribution to achieving it. Even if members are willing to contribute to NOTE: An earlier version of this article was presented at the 2001 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. I thank Ben Bishkin, Burdett Loomis, Peter Radcliffe, brownbag participants at UNC Charlotte, and the editor and reviewers for their comments and assistance. I especially thank Bruce Larson for sharing his data on campaign contributions by members of Congress from 1990 through 1994. Political Research Quarterly, Vol. 56, Number 2 (June 2003) pp. 151-161 151 Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 152 POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY achieving majority status, the extent to which they can personally make a difference is doubtful, given the number of variables that affect the outcome of congressional elections (e.g., Jacobson 2001). The contribution to majority status that each member is most able to affect is his or her reelection. Members traditionally have acted to assure their reelection by amassing personal campaign war chests, voting their district, and engaging in constituency service with little regard for the collective partisan consequences (Fiorina 1989; Mayhew 1974). Members delegated powers to congressional party leaders to coordinate legislative business and strategy within the chamber. Parties provided technical and communications assistance and minimal funds, at best, to congressional candidates. The last decade has seen a resurgence of partisan activities in Congress. Parties have improved their resource bases and technical sophistication to become more involved in their candidates’ campaigns (Herrnson 2000). The ideological realignment of the party caucuses (Rohde 1991) has made members more accepting of an aggressive party legislative agenda that is used to establish national themes for local elections. In addition, the close partisan margins since 1994 may have made it easier to persuade individual members that their own contribution to the party campaign can be efficacious. These factors plausibly could explain members’ increased willingness to contribute to party campaign finances over the past few election cycles. Heberlig and Larson (2002), for example, find that the 1996 election cycle marked a dramatic change in the quantity and patterns of redistribution of funds by congressional incumbents as party control was up for grabs and both congressional parties mobilized to seize it. Selective incentives provide the most effective method of overcoming free rider problems (Olson 1965). Presumably, there are a variety of selective incentives that party leaders can bestow—information, favorable scheduling, assistance with projects, visits to the district, etc. Either these traditionally have not been used effectively by party leaders to solicit campaign funds or they were insufficient to overcome members’ incentives to use funds for their reelection. The selective incentive that Speaker Hastert has now invoked—committee assignments—are central to members’ ability to achieve a variety of their goals in Congress (Fenno 1973). Rank-andfile members then have an incentive to donate to their party’s fund redistribution efforts in order to fulfill their own personal ambitions for institutional advancement and the electoral and policy benefits derived from them.1 Importantly, advancing to a more powerful committee based on one’s contributions to the party can occur regardless of whether the party achieves its collective goal of majority status. 1 Other personal motivations that could increase a member’s campaign contributions include: building up “chits” with colleagues for assistance in passing legislation (Wilcox 1989), and policy and fundraising advantages (Cox and McCubbins 1993; Cox and Magar 1999) that derive from majority status. Mobilization is also a solution to the free rider problem. Individuals commonly participate politically in response to requests by others, particularly if they are personal acquaintances (Bianco and Bates 1990). Contemporary incumbents may give funds to the party, where they had not in the past, in part because now someone is explicitly asking them to do so, and using social pressure, such as whip organizations, to gain compliance. The relationship between fundraising and committee assignments may become more apparent after 1994 once party leaders started to mobilize their members as fundraisers in earnest. Parties and Committee Assignments One of the venues in which the tension between the party’s collective goals and an individual member’s personal goals has played out has been the committee assignment process. Party leaders want to place party loyalists on influential committees. They also want to look after the electoral needs of their members and to assure that states or regions are not underrepresented on committees (Masters 1961). As elected leaders, they face pressure to accommodate members’ demands (Shepsle 1978). The literature differs on how this tension is resolved.2 The independent committees perspective argues that, for the most part, members “self-select” their committees. They request to be on committees that help them achieve their dominant mix of goals—constituency, policy, and/or power (Fenno 1973). The leadership has the most discretion on “ p restige” committees where demand is usually greater than available seats (Deering and Smith 1997; Jewell and ChiHung 1974; Shepsle 1978). The committee assignment process largely accommodates their requests, going so far as to expand committee ratios in order to meet the demand (Shepsle 1978). Committees are filled with members who share similar preferences, who are “high demanders” for the policy outputs of that committee, and who make policy that reflects their interests (Adler and Lipinski 1997; Hall and Grofman 1990; Shepsle and Weingast 1987). The party-dominated committee perspective argues that party leaders, who are responsible to their caucus for producing policies that are consistent with its collective preferences, will attempt to assure that committee delegations are responsible agents of the party (Cox and McCubbins 1993; Kiewiet and McCubbins 1991). This is especially true on the “prestige” committees that have jurisdiction over the most important policies. Studies of Democratic committee assignments in selected Congresses in the 1970s did not find statistically significant relationships between members’ party loyalty and their success in obtaining their committee requests (Rhode and Shepsle 1973; Smith and Ray 1983). 2 For a concise review of the three main perspectives, see Maltzmann (1997). The focus here is on the independent committees and partydominated committee theses; the chamber-dominated committee thesis is not explored. Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 CONGRESSIONAL PARTIES, FUNDRAISING, AND COMMITTEE AMBITION More recent analyses, however, have found that party loyalty has a small but statistically significant influence on committee assignments. Cox and McCubbins (1993) measure party loyalty based on a member’s party leadership loyalty scores, which occur when the party’s House floor leader and whip vote together and in opposition to the same two leaders of the other party. Using this measure, party loyalty has a statistically significant effect on committee transfers for both part i e s — p a rticularly for prestige committees. Maltzmann (1997) finds that Democrats with higher levels of party loyalty on “committee specific votes” are more likely to receive their requests to selected committees. Like others, he finds that the caucus is most concerned with loyalty on prestige committees. Support for the hypothesis that party voting affects committee transfers is thus somewhat inconsistent. When it is found, the magnitude of the effect is small. In part, this is due to the nature of the committee transfer process. Transfers, particularly to prestige committees, are rare from the perspective of the individual member of Congress. And once a member has transferred to the desired committee, he or she is likely to stay to build seniority, thus forgoing future transfer opportunities. All of the above studies use some variation of voting as a measure of party loyalty. There are many good reasons for conceiving of party loyalty in this way, including evidence that party leaders provide their own “leadership support scores” to their Steering committees for consideration in granting requests (Deering and Smith 1997: 107). However, p a rties are also sensitive to members’ needs to vote their districts. Although they do not want to assign disloyal members to important committees, they do pre s e rve regional and ideological balance (Cox and McCubbins 1993; Krehbiel 1991). An alternative way for ambitious members to demonstrate their party loyalty is to raise substantial funds on behalf of party candidates. Fundraising demonstrates one’s willingness to contribute to the good of the party and to the achievement of majority status without offending voters or important interests in one’s district. Indeed, it is unlikely to be noticed by anyone other than party leaders and the recipients of a member’s generosity. As levels of party voting have increased dramatically over the past decade, fundraising allows members to distinguish themselves from other members with high party voting scores. Thus, we can define party loyalty broadly to include a member’s behavior that is oriented towards helping the party achieve its collective agenda. Party voting helps the party achieve its policy agenda. Fundraising helps the party achieve its goal of majority status, and thereby, its policy goals through its control of the legislative process. The empirical question is whether fundraising activity for colleagues during the previous election has any effect on committee assignments.3 To evaluate this relationship, we 3 Evidence of a relationship between fundraising and committee transfers in Congresses prior to Speaker Hastert’s explicit linkage does not mean 153 must control additional variables that may affect the relationship. Most important is the existing committee position of the incumbent. As Shepsle (1978) notes, there is a “wealth effect” and an “opportunity cost effect” in committee transfers. The “wealth effect” is that members who already have good committee assignments are less likely to seek other assignments. The “opportunity cost effect” is that members who have already gained seniority, particularly a chairmanship or ranking position on the full or subcommittee, are unlikely to surrender their positions to become junior members on a new committee. These effects are particularly important in assessing the relationship between fundraising and committee assignments because members with assignments to prestige committees or who have party or committee leadership positions are also in a position to raise more money to redistribute it to the party or to other candidates (Grenzke 1989; Grier and Munger 1993; Romer and Snyder 1994). The availability of seats on desired committees also a ffects the probability of transferring. Vacancies occur through the retirement or defeat of members and by the committee ratios set by majority party leaders. The availability of desirable seats affects the probability of transfer directly as well as the ability of party leaders to restrict assignments to members who have been the most loyal. The hypotheses can be summarized as follows: (1) Demonstrations of party loyalty increase the probability of successful shifts to prestige committees. Party loyalty can be demonstrated in two ways: by campaign contributions and by roll call votes. Larger contributions and higher levels of party voting will increase the probability of successful transfers. (2) The “wealth effect,” existing service on desirable committees, and the “opportunity cost effect,” seniority and a leadership position on a committee or subcommittee, decrease the probability of a transfer because members are unlikely to abandon their investments in their existing assignments. (3) Higher numbers of available seats increase the probability of transfer. (4) Fundraising will have a greater effect on the probability of transferring to prestige committees after the 1996 election cycle (starting with the 105th Congress) than in earlier congresses. DATA AND METHODS This article examines committee transfers in the 102nd (1991-93) through the 107th Congress (2001-3).4 A transfer 4 that this was an intentional strategy by the party leaderships. Members who donated excess campaign funds to others, particularly in eras when such donations were less common, are likely to have been members who engaged in other party-oriented activities. Contributions, then, like party voting, are a quantifiable measure of party loyalty that is associated with other less-measurable partisan behaviors. This decade is a challenging one in which to study committee transfers because of the Republican takeover in the 104th Congress. Republicans eliminated several committees, thus decreasing the opportunities for transfers in later congresses. Their new majority status also entitled them to make dramatic changes in each party’s committee ratios. Generally, Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 154 POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY was coded when any returning member of the House of Representatives switched from one committee to another or took an additional assignment.5 These data were obtained from CQ Almanacs for the relevant years. Transfers also were divided into the traditional three types: prestige, policy, and constituency committees. Cox and McCubbins’ coding scheme was followed (1993: 20). It is based on the exclusiveness of the committees as defined by the party caucuses themselves.6 Deering and Smith (1997: 64) was used for committees not listed explicitly by Cox and McCubbins. The prestige committees are Appropriations, Rules, and Ways and Means. Energy and Commerce was counted as a prestige committee for the Democrats starting in the 104th Congress, when it became an exclusive assignment for their caucus. Policy or semi-exclusive committees are: Agriculture, Armed S e rvices, Budget, Energy and Commerce (for Republicans), Banking, Education, Judiciary, Tr a n s p o rtation, Intelligence, and International Relations. Although Budget is a control committee, its members may serve for limited terms and on an additional committee simultaneously. Constituency, or nonexclusive committees, include: Government Reform , House Oversight, Resources, Science, Small Business, Standards of Official Conduct, and Veterans’ Affairs. Prior to the 104th Congress and their elimination, the Post Office and Civil Service and the Merchant Marines and Fisheries committees were coded as constituency assignments. Data were gathered on several other characteristics of members of Congress: their seniority in each session of Congress, their status as a party or committee leader, and their CQ party loyalty voting score adjusted for participation during the previous Congress.7 These data were gath- 5 6 7 members who had assignments on eliminated committees were transferred to the committee that gained jurisdiction over the issues, e.g., Post Office and Civil Service committee members were transferred to Government Reform and Oversight. I did not count these as transfers. I coded other members who were removed from a committee in the 104th due to changing committee ratios but who were returned to that committee in the 105th and entered this as a separate independent variable. It is not statistically significant and does not affect the estimation of the other variables in the model; therefore, I do not include it in the equations presented here. I am studying transfers rather the success of a member’s committee request for a number of reasons. Most prominently, the data on recent requests is unavailable. Extant studies of requests focus on Democrats in the 1970s, thus preventing analysis of Republican committee assignment behavior. The campaign finance data during this time period is not of high quality. Also, Cox and McCubbins (1993: 179-82) find that much transfer activity is accomplished informally; those who make formal requests have done so when informal means did not succeed. Members of exclusive committees may not serve on any other committees. Members of semi-exclusive committees may serve on one other non-exclusive committee. Members of nonexclusive committees may serve on two nonexclusive committees or on nonexclusive and one semiexclusive committee. For the 105th Congress, I also used Cox and McCubbins’ party leadership voting scores (1993: 146). These scores include only votes on which the majority leader and whip vote the same way, in opposition to the minority leader and whip who also vote the same way. Each member’s p a rty leadership voting score is the standardized pro p o rtion of party leadership votes on which the member supports his or her leaders (on the ered from the CQ Almanac and the Almanac of American Politics (Barone and Ujifusa 1990-2000) from the appropriate Congress. Data on the value of committee assignments were taken from Groseclose and Stewart (1998). Contributions of members of Congress for the 1989-90 through the 1999-2000 election cycles were obtained from the Federal Election Commission (www.fec.gov). Two sets of data on members’ contributions were gathered: those from a candidate’s campaign committee to other candidates’ campaigns, and those from a candidate’s campaign committee to a party committee.8 Separate contributions were aggregated to create measures of the total number of dollars each member gave to candidates, to a congressional campaign committee, and cumulative contributions to both sets of recipients. Contributions and Committee Transfers by Members of Congress, 102nd-107th Congresses The 1990s marked an era of extremely close partisan competition, and following the 1994 election, a continuous pitched battle for majority party status. The fundraising spiral is easy to illustrate (Figure 1). In the 1989-90 election cycle, congressional incumbents who sought reelection gave just under $2 million in contributions: $1.6 million to party candidates and just under $400,000 to party committees. One hundred fifty-six members (39 percent) did not donate either to other candidates or to party committees. Figure 1 also shows a shift in recipients, with other candidates as the primary beneficiaries in 1990 (84 percent of total contributions; 98 percent from Republicans and 76 percent from Democrats), while the party’s House campaign committees were the primary beneficiaries in 2000 (71 percent of total contributions; 76 percent from Republicans and 66 percent from Democrats). In part, the dramatic increase of members’ donations from their principal campaign committees to CCCs has occurred because these contributions are unlimited (11 CFR 113.2). (For further analysis of the changes in the contribution patterns of members of Congress over time see Heberlig and Larson 2002). In the 1999-2000 election cycle, contributions totaled $29.2 million, nearly a 1500 percent increase from the 198990 cycle. Only 30 re t u rning members (7 percent) did not redistribute any money. Apparently party leaders’ efforts to persuade members to participate in party building efforts have had a substantial effect. Incumbents gave $5.3 million to other candidates and $23.9 million to party committees. Republicans gave $15.7 million; Democrats gave $13.5 million. Table 1 shows the number and percentage of committee switches from the 102nd through 107th Congresses in 8 votes on which the member participates). These scores did not produce results that differ from the CQ party loyalty vote scores re p o rted here. Leadership PAC contributions are not very relevant to the analysis of committee transfers because they overwhelmingly are sponsored by members who are already on an exclusive committee or in a leadership position (Heberlig and Larson 2002). Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 CONGRESSIONAL PARTIES, FUNDRAISING, AND COMMITTEE AMBITION 155 ≡ FIGURE 1 CAMPAIGN CONTRIBUTIONS BY MEMBERS OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, 1990-2000 ELECTION CYCLES aggregate and within each party. Twenty-two percent of re t u rning members transferred committees during this period. Only 5.7 percent of transfers were to prestige committees. The aggregate number of transfers and proportion of members making transfers decreases across the decade, with the 104th Congress marking the shift. Table 1 also shows that the plurality of transfers was to policy committees. Transfers to prestige committees fluctuate, but are always substantially fewer in number and proportion than policy committee switches. The numbers and percentages of members transferring to constituency committees are similar to those of prestige committees. Measurement and Analysis Strategy To evaluate the effect of a member’s campaign contributions on committee assignments, a series of probit equations were estimated. Probit with robust standard errors is the appropriate estimation pro c e d u re because there are repeated observations of the same case—each member for each Congress in which he or she served between 1991 and 2001. Members who served throughout this period consequently are observed six different times. Although our observations are not independent of one another, a probit model still produces unbiased coefficients. The coefficients, however, may be inefficient due to the lack of independence. The robust standard errors procedure reduces the efficiency problem and allows us to assess the statistical significance of each independent variable more accurately. In estimating the models, prospective and retiring members of Congress in the previous election cycle are excluded. Newly elected members are receiving their original committee assignment rather than transferring, and do not have party voting records or the “wealth” values from existing assignments. Retirees who supplied funds to colleagues or party committees in the previous election cycle did not have the opportunity to transfer and are excluded. The dependent variable is whether or not the member transferred between committees or added an additional assignment from one Congress to the next. The independent variables are the total value of the member’s campaign contributions, party loyalty voting score, seniority, leadership position, value of the member’s committee assignments in the previous Congress, and committee vacancies. Campaign contributions are the total amount a member redistributed from his or her principal campaign account to Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 156 POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY ≡ TABLE 1 COMMITTEE TRANSFERS, 102ND-107TH CONGRESSES Transfer to 102nd 103rd 104th 105th 106th 107th 102 (25%) 15 (4%) 50 (14%) 48 (12%) 105 (30%) 26 (7%) 56 (16%) 23 (6%) 73 (19%) 20 (5%) 42 (11%) 13 (4%) 82 (23%) 33 (9%) 40 (11%) 10 (3%) 116 (29%) 25 (6%) 44 (11%) 19 (5%) 70 (18%) 14 (3.5%) 51 (13%) 12 (3%) Republicans Any Prestige Policy Constituency 46 (29%) 8 (5%) 18 (11%) 20 (13%) 37 (27%) 6 (4%) 22 (16%) 8 (6%) 44 (28%) 13 (8%) 27 (17%) 3 (2%) 46 (21%) 15 (7%) 20 (9%) 7 (3%) 64 (29%) 9 (4%) 23 (11%) 15 (7%) 45 (21%) 8 (4%) 34 (16%) 10 (5%) Democrats Any Prestige Policy Constituency 56 (23%) 7 (3%) 32 (13%) 28 (11%) 68 (32%) 20 (9%) 34 (16%) 15 (7%) 29 (13%) 7 (3%) 15 (7%) 10 (4%) 36 (21%) 18 (10%) 20 (12%) 3 (2%) 52 (25%) 14 (7%) 21 (10%) 4 (2%) 25 (12%) 6 (3%) 17 (8%) 2 (1%) Any Prestige Policy Constituency Note: The number and percentage of members of Congress who compromise the total for “any” transfer are not the sum total of the number and percentage of members who make transfers to each type of committee because some members transferred to multiple types of committees in the same Congress. other House candidates or to his or her party’s House campaign committee during the previous election cycle.9 To compare contributions across six election cycles in which the amount of funds contributed escalated substantially, all contributions were set at their 2000 “value.”10 9 10 I also estimated the equations with incumbent’s contributions to other candidates and to party committees separately. These measures obviously produce effects that are similar to the cumulative measure. The aggregate amount of money given to both sources, however, consistently produces stronger results than either type of contribution alone. Apparently, parties are not just rewarding members who contribute directly to the party campaign committee or only to candidates in competitive elections, but those who maximize their assistance by doing both. Further, I attempted to model the possibility that those who “gave more than expected” would be more likely to transfer successfully. Contributions were modeled as function of a number of variables (including elected and unelected leadership positions, existing committee memberships, electoral margin) to estimate the predicted amount a member could be “expected” to raise. Actual contributions were then subtracted from their projected contributions. This method produced results in the committee transfer equations that were very similar to those produced by using the total amount contributed. I use the member’s actual contributions as the measure for the sake of parsimony and because it avoids the additional error of using an instrumental variable produced by equations with low explanatory power. In addition, leadership positions, seniority, and existing committee assignments, three predictors of fundraising capacity, already are controlled in the transfer model. The only committee from which members typically raise substantial sums that does not have a high “wealth value” is Banking. Thus, the most important variables that explain variation in fundraising capacity already are included in the model. The total contributions for each year were multiplied by the appropriate pro p o rtion to make them equivalent to the total contributions in 2000. Each member’s contribution for that year was then multiplied by the same pro p o rtion. In this way, the effect of each year’s contribution on committee transfers can be assessed on the same basis as every other year’s. Party loyalty voting is measured by the z-score of Congressional Quarterly’s party voting scores, adjusted for attendance, during the previous Congress. The scores were calculated separately for each party during each Congress. Z-scores are used to assure that the relative loyalty of members compared to their colleagues is measured. In an era of homogenized and polarized parties, there is restricted variation in the raw voting scores. Z-scores also standardize the party voting scores to allow for comparisons across sessions of Congress and political parties. The Wealth Effect is measured with two values of a member’s committee assignments in the previous Congress taken from Groseclose and Stewart’s cardinal committee values during the 94th-102nd Congresses (1998: 470).11 The value of the member’s most valuable committee assignment and the value of the member’s least valuable assignment are entered because each may operate independently. That is, a member who is switching committees may surrender one assignment and keep others or surrender all of them. The relationship between both committee values and transfers is likely to be negative: the more valuable a member’s existing assignments, the lower the probability should be that he or she changes committees. The Opportunity Cost Effect is measured by the member’s seniority and leadership status. Seniority is the number of years the member has served in Congress. Leadership status is measured: 2 = elected party leader or full 11 These sessions are closest available to those being studied in this article. Because the cardinal values for the Appropriations, Rules, and Ways and Means Committees are “infinity” during this period, I use value of the A p p ropriations committee during from the 81-102nd Congre s s e s (Table 4: 467) for these three committees. Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 CONGRESSIONAL PARTIES, FUNDRAISING, AND COMMITTEE AMBITION 157 ≡ TABLE 2 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS FOR INDEPENDENT VARIABLES Adjusted Contributions Party Voting High Committee Value Low Vommittee Value Seniority Leadership Prestige Vacancies Policy Vacancies Constituency Vacancies Min Max Mean Standard Deviation 0 –5.44 –0.17 –0.31 1 0 6 15 1 1,711,210 1.38 5 5 27 2 20 34 28 68,013 0.01 2.06 1.11 6.0 0.63 10.9 23.9 10.8 135,360 1.06 1.83 1.87 3.92 0.70 4.69 6.60 8.03 committee leader; 1 = subcommittee leader; 0 = no leadership position.12 Committee vacancies are measured by the number of seats available to returning members on prestige, policy, and constituency committees for each party. The vacancies for each type of committee are measured separately and the appropriate committee vacancy is entered into the equation for transfers to that type of committee (e.g., policy committee vacancies are included into the policy committee transfer equation). This measure accounts for the changing committee ratios for each party across the sessions of Congress during the decade. The descriptive characteristics of these variables are presented in Table 2. Change scores for each independent variable were calculated in order to assist in the interpretation the substantive effect of logit coefficients. The change in the dependent variable, the probability of transferring, was calculated based on changing the value of the independent variable from one standard deviation below the mean to one standard deviation above the mean. All other independent variables were set at their respective means. FINDINGS The results of the model for committee transfers from the 102nd through the 107th Congresses are presented in Table 3. The results provide considerable support for the hypotheses. The evidence supports the contention that members who seek prestige committee assignments have an incentive to demonstrate their party loyalty, but that parties are less concerned with the loyalty of members on policy or constituency committees. All of the variables in the prestige committee equation are significantly related to transfers in the predicted directions. Both measures of party loyalty—a member’s level of campaign contributions and party voting—are significantly associated with moves to prestige committees (p < .05). It is notable that each has an independent effect on prestige transfers. The magnitude of the change scores shows that party loyalty voting has a somewhat larger effect than contributions on probability of transferring to prestige committees.13 Neither measure of party loyalty is related to shifts to policy or constituency committees, consistent with the literature’s traditional finding. Other hypotheses also are strongly supported. The Wealth Effect is demonstrated by the finding that members who already have better committee assignments are significantly less likely to transfer to prestige committees. Those whose “best” and “worst” committee assignments are more highly valued relative to their colleagues’ assignments tend to keep what they have, while those whose assignments are relatively undesirable are more likely to switch. Members whose least valuable committee assignment is relatively high, however, are significantly more likely to transfer to policy or constituency committees, perhaps in order to find a better match between their personal or their constituents’ interests and their committee responsibilities. Similarly, the Opportunity Cost Effect is most clearly demonstrated in prestige transfers. Members who have accrued seniority and party or committee leadership positions are less likely to give these up or take on additional responsibilities by transferring to a prestige committee. Higher levels of seniority significantly inhibit switches to policy and constituency committees as well. Seniority consistently has the largest change scores for each type of committee. Members are loath to surrender their cumulative expertise and experience on a committee, independent of gaining a leadership position through seniority, even for the presumed benefits of service on a prestige committee. Finally, the more transfer opportunities for each type of committee per party per session, the higher the probability of transfer. Table 4 presents separate equations for prestige transfers in the old (1990-1994 election cycles or 102nd-104th Congresses) and new eras (1996-2000 election cycles or 105th13 12 Republican party rules prohibit party leaders from serving as full or subcommittee committee chairs. The change scores for all independent variables and the R2 values are relatively small. This is consistent with the fact that committee transfers are a relatively rare event; thus, the probability of doing so in any given Congress is low. Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 158 POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY ≡ TABLE 3 PROBIT WITH ROBUST STANDARDS ERRORS ON COMMITTEE TRANSFERS, 102ND-107THCONGRESSES Variable Party Loyalty Adj. Contributions (3 10,000) Prestige Transfer _____________________ Coefficient % Change Policy Transfer _____________________ Coefficient % Change Constituency Transfer _____________________ Coefficient % Change 0.13** (0.060) 0.8 0.08 (0.053) 2.1 –0.01 (0.063) –0.1 0.25** (0.126) 1.1 –0.004 (0.064) –0.1 0.11 (0.102) 0.9 –0.34*** (0.096) –2.7 –0.18*** (0.067) –6.2 0.003 (0.095) 0.1 –0.29** (0.135) –2.4 0.12* (0.068) –4.2 0.14* (0.086) –2.3 –0.20*** (0.057) –3.9 –0.24*** (0.037) –19.0 –0.27*** (0.051) –10.5 Leadership –1.01*** (0.309) –2.8 –0.18 (0.146) –1.1 0.25 (0.192) 1.4 Vacancies 0.07*** (0.019) 1.3 0.06*** (0.009) 4.2 Party Voting Wealth Effect Highest Committee Value Lowest Committee Value Opportunity Cost Effect Seniority Constant N= Pseudo R2 = –2 * Log Likelihood = Model significance, p-value = –1.85*** (0.314) 2227 0.19 812 0.00 0.04*** (0.009) 4.7 –1.31*** (0.261) 2227 0.09 1632 0.00 –2.43*** (0.232) 2227 0.08 948 0.00 Note: Standard errors are in parentheses. *p < .10; **p < .05; ***p < .01 (two-tailed test). 107th Congresses) of congressional fundraising.14 Hypothesis 4 stated that contributions would have a greater effect on changing committee assignments after the Republican takeover increased the pressure for members of both parties to raise funds to compete for majority control. The evidence in the “Overall” columns of Table 4 strongly supports this hypothesis. Prior to the 105th Congress, the amount of money a member redistributed to colleagues was not significantly related to his or her probability of obtaining a prestige transfer. After control of Congress is in doubt, however, prestige assignments are given to those who demonstrate that they are team players by sharing their campaign wealth. The importance of party voting also shifts between the eras. 14 Analysis of each session of Congress separately produces results that are consistent with the aggregate analysis presented here. The limited number of transfers in each Congress, especially to prestige committees, makes these finding less robust than the pooled model. At least one variation of the measure of contributions (logarithmic or linear measures of total contributions or contributions to candidates) was related to a transfer any type of committee and/or to prestige committees specifically in every Congress during the period for members of at least one party. The relationship between contributions and transfers were especially strong in the 102nd, 105th, and 107th Congresses. Party voting is significantly related to prestige transfers early in the decade, but they are not associated later in the decade. This suggests that contributions may be replacing voting as the most important measure of party loyalty. Similarly, the change score produced by the party voting variable is nearly twice the size of the score for contributions early in the decade, but the change score of contributions is nearly twice the size of voting’s score late in the decade. In contrast, the other variables in the model behave consistently and as hypothesized in both eras. Specifically, members with committee “wealth,” who face high opportunity costs, and who have fewer opportunities are less likely to transfer to prestige committees in both eras. Table 4 also shows that when equations for each era are estimated separately for each party, the relationship between fundraising and prestige committee transfer is statistically significant for the minority parties. In the 102nd through 104th Congresses, Republicans who furnished more money were more likely to receive prestige committee transfers, while in the 105th through 107th Congresses, Democrats who gave generously were more likely to make these switches. In contrast, party loyalty voting attains significance only for the Democrats while they held the majority Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 CONGRESSIONAL PARTIES, FUNDRAISING, AND COMMITTEE AMBITION 159 ≡ TABLE 4 PROBIT WITH ROBUST STANDARDS ERRORS ON PRESTIGE COMMITTEE TRANSFERS, 102ND-104TH CONGRESSES VS. 105TH -107TH CONGRESSES 102nd-104th Congress _____________________________________________ Overall Republicans Democrats _____________ _____________ _____________ Variable MLE Party Loyalty Adj. Contributions (3 10,000) Party Voting .14 .30** Wealth Effect High Committee value Low Committee value % Change MLE % Change 0.6 1.3 .03* .15 1 0.7 MLE 105th-107th Congress _____________________________________________ Overall Republicans Democrats _____________ _____________ _____________ % Change –.007 –0.1 .77*** 1 MLE % Change MLE % Change MLE % Change .20* .17 1.3 0.7 .02 .55 0.3 1 .09** –.02 5 –0.2 –0.7 –.45*** –4 –.53*** –4 –.44* –1 –.20* –2 –.34* –1 –.07 –.22 –.34 –2 –.25 –0.5 –.39** –3 –.22 –0.5 –.57*** –5 Opportunity Cost Effect Seniority –.20** –4 Leadership –1.1** –3 Prestige Vacancies .07*** 1.4 –.28* –.79 –.03 –6 –2 –0.6 –.38* –1.5** –.03 –3 –2 –0.2 –.24*** –6 –.39 –1 .12*** 3 Constant –.08 –3.1*** –2.34*** –.60 –2.9*** 1069 .22 436 .21 633 .30 1134 .16 539 .21 545 .16 406 .00 188 .00 184 .00 394 .00 164 .00 228 .00 –1.56*** N= Pseudo R2 = –2 * Log Likelihood = Model sig., p-value = –2 –.02 –0.1 –3.3*** –4 .12*** 1 –.19*** –4 –.87** –2 .09*** 2 Note: Standard errors are in parentheses. *p < .10; **p < .05; ***p < .01 (two-tailed test). early in the decade. Lest too much emphasis be placed on the majority versus minority party distinction, the relationship between fundraising and committee assignments is statistically significant for both political parties (p < .01 for Republicans, p < .10 for Democrats; results not shown) in the 107th Congress, when Speaker Hastert made the linkage explicitly and publicly. The potential for and limitations of the influence of party loyalty can be seen in the substantive effects of contributions and party voting on prestige committee transfers. During the 102nd through 104th Congresses, when party voting was related to prestige transfers at a statistically significant level, an increase in the standard voting score from two standard deviations below the mean to two standard deviations above the mean, only increases the probability of a prestige transfer in a given Congress by about 3 percent. Similarly, between the 105th and 107th Congre s s e s , increasing one’s contributions from nothing to $500,000 (in 2000 dollars), totaling roughly seven times the mean contribution, increases one’s probability of transferring to a prestige committee in a given Congress by 5 percent. In short, a lot of partisan votes and contributions would be required to have a substantial probability of attaining a prestige transfer. But with all independent variables set at their means, one only has a 2.1 percent probability of making a prestige transfer, so anything that can improve this low probability may be worth it to ambitious members. Such members would need to set themselves apart from competitors to achieve a rare and valuable assignment. Likewise, votes and contributions are the only variables in the model that members have under their own control that actually increase the probability of a successful transfer; the other variables are largely outside of a member’s control. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION Since the Republican’s takeover of majority status in Congress in the 1994 election, there has been a close and intense battle for majority control. Republicans seek to preserve their ability to control the legislative agenda. Democrats are desperate to regain their status as the governing party. The evidence in this paper shows that institutional resources such as committee assignments are now being marshaled as instruments of the permanent campaign. Though members traditionally have been primarily concerned with their own reelection, the battle for majority status has given party leaders greater leverage to ask their members to make contributions to achieving this collective good. Party leaders also may have discovered a new selective incentive— committee assignments—to exchange for a member’s Downloaded from prq.sagepub.com at PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV on September 18, 2016 160 POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY c o n t r ibutions to the good of the part y. Members make financial contributions to colleagues or to the party because they can benefit with a better committee assignment, regardless of whether their party succeeds in reaping the collective reward of majority status. As a sign of conditional party government (Rhode 1991), it is noteworthy that members have accepted party leaders’ imposition of fundraising duties on them and the allocation of valued committee assignments based on their compliance. It seems hard to imagine either of these occurring in eras when congressional parties were less united and invested less power in the leadership. The evidence presented in this article has important implications for the committee assignment literature. In general, evidence that party loyalty voting affects committee switches has been mixed. The evidence here, consistent with the party-dominated committees thesis, supports the hypothesis that campaign contributions to the party or part y candidates is a measure of party loyalty that can significantly affect the success of moving to prestige committees. Traditionally, party leaders sought to reward party loyalists with seats on prestige committees (with debatable success because of the other important concerns in the assignment process). In an era of spiraling campaign costs and razor-thin part y control of the House, the ability to raise campaign funds may now be a critical measure of party loyalty. Thus, an ambitious member from a district whose constituency preferences make high levels of party voting difficult can use contributions to demonstrate his or her loyalty to attain assignments to party-controlled committees. It is also noteworthy that recent evidence (Wawro 2000: 124-26) demonstrates that legislative entrepreneurialism is not related to prestige transfers. The inference that partisan considerations dominate considerations of legislative craft is important given the centrality of committees to the development of legislation. On the surface, the fact that larger contributions to a party’s electoral effort are associated with committee assignments seems to distort republican democracy. This concern parallels the question of whether Political Action Committee contributions “buy” access, votes, and legislative activism. There has been a long, vigorous, and inconclusive debate within the interest group literature on this question (see Smith 1995 for a review). Within this context, it necessary to emphasize that contributions are one indication of party loyalty. Members of Congress are likely to measure party loyalty mainly based on personal interactions and reputation, and less so by any indicators that can be quantified such as vote scores or aggregate campaign contributions. 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