AN INSURANCE REVOLUTION: How Cloud-Based Industrialization Will Reinvent Risk Management for the 21st Century By Patricia L. Renzi Principal, Milliman INTRODUCTION T ony Kassimiotis, head of operations at Phoenix Life, summed up the dilemma facing the insurance industry this way: “I wince a little bit when I see all those spreadsheets. You don’t want to drive your executive decisionsupport framework off the back of Excel.” Kassimiotis was referring to a serious operational challenge confronting not just Phoenix but nearly every major player in the industry: The tools and systems used to drive one of the most complex sectors of the economy are in serious need of an upgrade. They work, but they do so with sharply diminishing returns, and with rising costs, inefficiencies, and risks. For years, desktop tools, Excel, and industrial-grade computing hardware have turned in solid results for actuaries who often developed and coded the models themselves. But dramatic changes to the regulatory environment and increasingly complex insurance products are putting enormous stress on these outmoded systems and processes. Companies that once spent as many as five months modeling thousands of interest-rate scenarios now must model hundreds of thousands of new scenarios each quarter. As their existing technology strains under the weight of these growing demands, insurance companies are finding it increasingly difficult to strategically and profitably deploy their highly trained actuaries. Dramatic changes, page 2 not more incremental fixes, are needed to bring the insurance business into the 21st century. A huge opportunity cost hangs in the balance. Fortunately, there’s now a revolutionary, cloud-based solution—aptly named Integrate™—that replaces the old tools and protocols with a state-of-the-art industrialization platform. Developed by my team at Milliman for Phoenix Life, Integrate reimagines the relationships between people, processes, and technology; manages risk and maximizes efficiencies; and unlocks the true potential of human capital to drive business, not simply manage it. At Phoenix today, the desktop tools and manual, redundant, isolated processes are gone. Integrate is in—and has already reduced the number of man-hours required to produce quarterly results by 95 percent and reduced the elapsed time to get the answers by 97.5 percent. The results are unlike anything seen before in the insurance industry. milliman.com/integrate AN INDUSTRY STUCK AT THE DESKTOP A brief history of insurance tech Why Integrate™, and why now? A brief history of technology in the insurance sector helps explain. In the 1980s, actuaries were dependent on IT for the production of financial reports. Actuaries wrote the formulas and then IT staff implemented them on mainframes. Operational costs were quantified simply by the numbers of actuaries and IT staff required to do the work. Then came the PC revolution, and processing shifted to the desktop. No longer dependent on IT departments, actuaries had the freedom to design and build the models themselves. Actuaries took full advantage, developing innovative new products quickly and efficiently without the overhead of IT processes such as documentation, code management, and release management. While this independence encouraged innovation, it also resulted in a proliferation of incredibly complex but disconnected models and processes. Worse yet, the actuaries became attached to a way of working that significantly increased the operational risk associated with the models used to evaluate financial risk. IT costs also factor into the need for new solutions. In the 1980s, a typical insurer’s annual costs for actuarial computing infrastructure hovered around $5,000. Today, this figure is closer to $500,0001, and for larger companies it can exceed $3 million. Relying heavily on homegrown IT infrastructure, many companies are struggling to meet current needs. And as risk modeling and reporting demands continue to intensify, it has become clear that this is an unsustainable formula. Critical need for automation Another handicap of risk modeling today is its heavy reliance on manual work. According to a Society of Actuaries2 survey of 200 life insurance and annuity firms, “almost all companies currently input at least some assumptions manually into the actuarial models.” The required data generally resides in a variety of different systems in very different formats. Often, actuaries are provided this disparate data and then must 1 ”Actuarial models meet the cloud: A perfect marriage?” http://es.milliman.com/ insight/2013/Actuarial-models-meet-the-cloud-A-perfect-marriage/?lng=1048578 2 ”Actuarial Modeling Controls: A survey of actuarial modeling controls in the context of a model-based valuation framework,” Dec. 2012, Society of Actuaries page 3 milliman.com/integrate organize, consolidate and manipulate it to feed the models with the necessary information. This data is then manually linked in to the models, creating even more work and increasing the risk of human error. The process has turned seemingly simple jobs into major undertakings. Annual cashflow testing, for example, which requires insurers to run models using a small number of financial scenarios, can often take months to complete. Other tasks, such as updating models, refreshing assumptions, and manipulating results files, account for nearly 70 percent of the time it takes to complete the cash flow testing analysis. That’s another opportunity cost for companies that need to compete for increasingly scarce, high-level talent in a challenging global economy. Integrate™ is the first solution to effectively tear down these silos through the application of a concept called industrialization. Delivered as software as a service (SaaS), Integrate provides a holistic, cloud-based computing environment that seamlessly introduces collaboration, governance, and automation to the actuarial modeling process. And after 30 years, the change is long overdue. Doing Too Much By Hand Almost all companies currently input some assumptions manually into actuarial models. 40% Critical need for collaboration Despite the mass adoption of cloud-based and other Web 2.0 computing solutions outside of the insurance industry, 68 percent of insurers are still using desktop applications and personal computers to perform actuarial modeling, according to the Society of Actuaries. This has created a silo effect that makes it difficult for actuaries to collaborate on critical decisions about assumptions, methodology changes, testing changes or reviewing results. Instead of real-time collaboration, many companies depend on a clunky workaround: Actuaries work independently and exchange information through email or shared network drives to ensure consistency and review each other’s work. page 4 13% How Data Is Fed Into Actuarial Models Minor manual adjustments 37% Data manually loaded 10% Data directly from source Other Source: “Actuarial Modeling Controls,” Society of Actuaries survey, 2012 INTEGRATE™: AN ACTUARIAL REVOLUTION The concept of actuarial industrialization plays well on paper—but prior to Integrate™ , no product or platform had been able to truly deliver on the promise. Introduced in 2008, Integrate is the first solution to successfully address the following critical challenges: Compliance One of the primary benefits of Integrate is that it provides a systematic means for addressing data, assumption and model governance, reproducibility, auditability, business continuity, and disaster recovery. End-to-end automation Integrate is the first solution to automate the modeling workflow, the governance and control of assumption management, and collaboration across all aspects of model management. Integrate uses a common model with various workspaces to specify the workflows necessary to produce a range of actuarial analyses, such as cash-flow testing, valuation, business plan projections, and capital management. The assumption management feature provides the ability to define various versions of assumptions to be used for different applications and to manage the governance around the updating of assumptions. A new social enterprise for actuaries The Integrate platform is managed entirely in the cloud, securely and privately through Microsoft Windows Azure. This allows actuaries simultaneous, realtime access to the model. So instead of 40 actuaries working on discrete portions of the model on their own PCs—and then trying to put all 40 pieces back together into a working model Desktop Dependence Production (Act.) Desktop + Production (Act.) Exclusive Desktop Desktop + Production (Act.) + Production (IT) Desktop + Production (IT) Other Desktop software and hardware still dominate the actuarial modeling environment. Source: “Actuarial Modeling Controls,” Society of Actuaries survey, 2012 page 5 milliman.com/integrate without errors—they all work in the cloud simultaneously. The platform also provides role-based access to the system, dictating who can access the model and make specific changes, which helps smooth workflow and minimizes errors. Ultra-scalable processing Integrate™ gives insurers access to supercomputer-like calculation intensity whenever they need it. This scalability translates into dramatic time and cost efficiencies (paying only for what you use) while enabling more robust and regular monitoring of financial risks. IT staff, meanwhile, are relieved of managing infrastructure. Optimized talent management Integrate frees up untold numbers of actuarial man-hours by eliminating low-level processing tasks and the manual processes that accompany them. Less time spent on data and model management means more time spent on analyzing model results and higher yields on business intelligence. New competitive advantages Understanding capital requirements is a vital part of the management process. Many insurers calculate their capital position using data that is sometimes three or more months old. Using automation, scalability, and controls, Integrate allows for production of this valuable information on a near real-time basis for quarter-end data. Additionally, through the use of proxy modeling tools, Integrate provides the ability to monitor and manage the impact of actual changes in the capital markets on a daily basis. page 6 Case Study: The Phoenix AST Project Integrate is a proven industrialization solution, as evidenced by the success of a three-year project with the Phoenix Group, the largest specialist life and pension fund consolidator in the UK. Immediate Impact with Integrate™ BEFORE AFTER Models 77 1 Fund-specific methodologies Hundreds 1 Manual processes 900 44 ICA production time 4 months 3 days Sources: InsuranceERM; Milliman The challenge: At the start of the project, Phoenix managed over 900 manual processes and hundreds of fundspecific methodologies, with a quarterly reporting process that took four months to complete. Phoenix sought not only to reduce the complexity of its modeling process, but to reduce the complexity of the business itself—reorganizing from 13 separate companies down to three—as well as to meet new regulatory demands. The solution: Rolled out in phases, with the client seeking to completely industrialize and automate as much as possible, Milliman worked to shift Phoenix’s entire actuarial infrastructure to the cloud—eschewing less flexible in-house grid options. As Mark Hutton, Phoenix’s chief of actuarial reporting, explained recently, “Private grids don’t allow you to gear up to your peak demand. You get only 5 to 10 percent utilization.” Switching to Integrate™, Phoenix now has “virtually unlimited IT resource capacity. It’s been tested on up to 50,000 processing units.” page 7 With Integrate™, we’ve shown that cloud-based industrialization—if properly implemented—can improve risk management, maximize operational efficiency, and enable a more strategic allocation of human capital. Getting there, however, requires the willingness to make the leap. And a leap it is—the old ways simply need to be retired. Change is never easy, but insurers that make an honest appraisal of their current actuarial modeling environments are likely to conclude that the riskiest thing they can do is to simply stand still. “You can only patch systems up and make them achieve the current requirement for so long,” says Mark Hutton. “Ultimately, you’ll face the huge risk of doing nothing.” page 8 milliman.com/integrate Milliman is among the world’s largest providers of actuarial and related products and services. The firm has consulting practices in healthcare, property & casualty insurance, life insurance and financial services, and employee benefits. Founded in 1947, Milliman is an independent firm with offices in major cities around the globe. For further information, visit milliman.com Additional Resources: Who We Are | Company History | Contact Us | News & Events
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