The Ha Forum: Disarmament Commission Issue: Controlling access to nuclear technology to limit its military application Student Officer: Anoushka Sharma Position: Deputy President of the Disarmament Commission Introduction The birthplace of the nuclear age was during the Second World War in the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The long-term destruction caused by the nuclear weapons sparked the desperate need to control access to nuclear technology and limit its military application, urging the formation of the United Nations and eventually leading to the establishment of the IAEA in 1957. Although nuclear energy is dangerous, when handled with caution, it is a great source of clean and reliable energy. Currently, nuclear power reactors provide 16% of the world’s energy. For nine countries 40% of energy production is from nuclear power plants. Thus, to ensure countries are using for peaceful purposes, a UN affiliated organization known as the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) was formed. Definition of Key Terms Nuclear Weapon An explosive that utilizes nuclear energy to cause mass destruction Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zones (NWFZ) A group of nations agreeing to prohibit the proliferation of nuclear weapons, whereby nations have complete absence of nuclear weapons and an international system by which nations are inspected and controlled through verification processes is implemented. Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) The NPT is a United Nations treaty with the aim of preventing the spread of nuclear weapon technology. Ratified in 1968 by 190 countries, however it remained unsigned by India, Israel, North Korea, Pakistan and South Sudan. Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) Research Report | 1 of 13 The Ha A group of 46 nations that supply nuclear weapons with the aim of contributing to the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons by implementing strict guidelines and methods of controlling nuclear exports. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) The International Atomic Energy Agency is an international UN-affiliated organization with the simple goal of monitoring nuclear energy facilities by conducting on-site inspections to ensure nuclear energy is being utilized for peaceful and secure purposes. Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) The Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) was the legal banning of nuclear testing/use, for both military and civilian Use. It is also the last step in a “vision” put together fifty years ago by President John F. Kennedy. The CTBT was welcomed for signing in 1996. Nuclear Weapon States (NWS) There are eight sovereign states that successfully stood for the use of nuclear weapons. Five of them are recognized as “nuclear-weapon states”; those include China, France, Russia, United Kingdom, and the United States of America. These five states have been allowed by the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) to possess nuclear weapons. Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty I (START I) The Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty I (START I) was signed by the Soviet President, Mikhail Gorbachev and by the former U.S. President George H.W. Bush. It was signed on the 31st of July, 1991. It is the first treaty to serve within the reductions of the United States and the Russian usage of nuclear power. New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty 2016 (New START 2016) The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty of 2016 is the reduction and the limitation of the Strategic Offensive Arms, which is also known as the New START Treaty. It is most current and updated form of the original START I treaty. Current President of the United States of America, Barack Obama stated; “The New START Treaty responsibly reduces the number of nuclear weapons and launchers that the United States and Russia deploy, while fully maintaining America’s nuclear deterrent.” Research Report | 2 of 13 The Ha Strategic Nuclear Weapons Strategic nuclear weapons are used for critical purposes. They are used when threatening an enemy’s industrialized base, aiming at their direction within their structure, and are arranged to aim and hit a target, which disturbs the enemy’s ability to perform at high levels during war. Strategic Nuclear Weapons tend to target at the military, rather than cities of nonmilitary concern. Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons or Tactical Nuclear Weapons Non-Strategic Nuclear weapons are weapons that are used within the battlefield during war. They are designed for utilization in opposition to targets that are present in friendly territory. Background Information Hiroshima and Nagasaki The entire world came to know of the devastating powers on nuclear energy when American planes first dropped nuclear bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August 1945, bringing an abrupt and decisive end to the World War II. The bombs killed 120,000 people immediately and many tens of thousands of people died later due to nuclear radiation exposure. The cities were completely destroyed. Japan’s Emperor Hirohito announced his country’s unconditional surrender citing the devastating and cruel power of “a new and most cruel bomb”. Nuclear energy: source of clean and effective energy Nuclear energy is a clean, reliable energy source. Power generation using nuclear technology does not produce greenhouse gases and decreases our dependence on fossil fuels that emit Carbon Dioxide and cause serious sustainability issues. Electricity generated by using nuclear technology is not as vulnerable to price changes as the one generated using coal or gas. 11% of the World’s production in 55 countries is generated using nuclear technology. In the US alone, nearly 20% of the Electricity is produced using nuclear technology. More than 1.5 billion people, almost all living in developing countries, do not have access to electricity. Demand for energy in these countries continues to grow with population growth and the dependence on Energy to achieve the much needed economic growth. Many of these countries have approached International Energy Agency (IEA) with plans to install nuclear reactors in their own countries. Misuse and threats of nuclear energy capability Research Report | 3 of 13 The Ha One of the biggest concerns over deploying nuclear technology in generating energy for peaceful purposes is potential use of the technology in building dangerous nuclear weapons. A large-scale increase all over the globe in deployment of nuclear technology will increase the risk of its use in development of nuclear weapons and also a risk of these nuclear facilities and technology potentially falling in the hands of terrorists. There has been some evidence and claims of a link between attempted nuclear weapon development and nuclear energy program in various countries including Iran, Iraq, Pakistan, India and North Korea. Nuclear facilities also become a potential target during a Military conflict and there is a potential danger of these being attacked by terrorist organizations. The potential threat and damage from leaked radioactive material to the environment could be substantial with massive and unprecedented human, environmental and economic cost. By-product of nuclear waste generated in the nuclear energy plant could be stolen and used as radiological weapon. There needs to be sufficient security at these sites to prevent radioactive material falling into wrong hands and ending up with terrorist organizations. Major Countries and Organizations Involved International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) The International Atomic Energy Agency is a UN organization established in 1957, dedicated to monitoring and providing regular checks on nuclear power stations in various nations around the world. The organization conducts several methods of controlling access to nuclear technology in order to ensure nations are only using it for peaceful purposes (for energy). The IAEA has been a significantly important advocate in matters of establishing the secure application of nuclear energy. The organization was created as a response to the rapidly developing world nuclear weapons; the idea of the controversial technology being used either as a weapon of mass destruction or as a source of clean and efficient energy lead to the formation of the IAEA. United States of America The United States of America is one of the five Nuclear-Weapon States (NWS). It began nuclear experimentation in 1945 by conducting two nuclear test explosions in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Although US wanted to remain in possession of nuclear power, this ignited the rush for nuclear weapons, spreading an arms race across the world and forcing nations to mobilize with nuclear weapons. Countries began to utilize nuclear energy for military purposes after the United States’ nuclear explosions in Japan. Following USA, The Soviet Union in 1949, The Research Report | 4 of 13 The Ha United Kingdom in 1952, France in 1960 and China in 1964 began nuclear testing. In order to prevent the arms race from progressing into a conflict, new treaties such as the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) and the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) were negotiated. The NPT prevented the proliferation of nuclear weapons and the CTBT prohibited nuclear testing in all areas including outer space, underwater and on land. Current Capabilities Currently, United States of America maintains an extensive nuclear arsenal with a rough total of 7,100 nuclear warheads and 1,481 deployed warheads. As a member of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG), the US follows all guidelines set by it and has a strict Task Force Report towards usage of nuclear technology, the policy ensures that nuclear energy is being used at its lowest-possible level and is utilized in a safe and secure manner. U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy The Task Force Report is known as the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy, it addresses the alarming threat of nuclear warfare in various countries including North Korea, Iran and other potentially nuclear nations. The task force mentions that it is imperative for the United States to cooperate with other nations to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons and form a more powerful nuclear security system. Additionally, as the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) is on the verge of expiration, American and Russian nuclear arsenals will commend the idea that the report highlights the importance of discussing new methods of arms control with Russia and implementing these new strategies. The U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy also provides detail regarding China and the idea that China and the United States are not willing or ready enough to form an agreement due to the imbalance between their nuclear arsenals. The policy encourages transparency between the two counties, agreeing to a tripartite ban including Russia, China and U.S. in which there is an understanding of banning the use of nuclear weapons in space and preventing nuclear testing on antisatellite weaponry. Russian Federation Russia was the second nation to test a nuclear device; it had tested its first device in Semipalatinsk, Kazakhstan, on 29 August 1949. Today, as the leading Nuclear Weapon State, Research Report | 5 of 13 The Ha The Russian Federation has a rough total of 7,300 nuclear warheads and possesses the greatest amount of nuclear weapons. During The Cold War, the arms race allowed the Soviet Union to gain access to a substantial arsenal of both strategic and nonstrategic nuclear weapons. Therefore, both the Soviet Union (present day Russia) and the United States outnumbered all other nations in the production of nuclear devices. Additionally, Russia is a member of the NSG and is presently aiming to export nuclear goods and services. Russia follows the strict guidelines set by the NSG (nuclear suppliers group), and is currently supplying multiple countries around the globe. Current Capabilities Russia is currently developing new nuclear technology for new nuclear reactors in hopes of obtaining more nuclear energy. This emerging new technology may pose as a threat to other nations, especially Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zones (NWFZ) as Russia would be capable of utilizing the technology for military purposes. Russia is presently over the maximum inventory of set by the New START limits, thus it will need to limit its production of nuclear warheads by 2018. At the rate that Russia is producing nuclear reactors, it has been estimated by the year 2028, Russia will be producing one large reactor per year. However, as Russia is a country that has agreed to observation by the IAEA, therefore, it is less likely nuclear energy will be used for violent purposes. India and Pakistan India and Pakistan are both a part of the five countries that were not signatories to the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT) or the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT). Pakistan currently possesses approximately a total of 120 nuclear warheads and India currently possesses approximately 110 nuclear warheads. Both India and Pakistan have started advancing nuclear missiles. India ran its first nuclear test in 1974, prompting Pakistan to begin its secret nuclear weapons program soon after. Furthermore, Pakistan has lowered its yield of nuclear weapons by initiating non-strategic nuclear weapons with the capabilities of counteracting perceived Indian military threats. History of Nuclear Programs In 2008, it was declared that India is to have regular checks of their nuclear power plants by the IAEA and although India is not a member of the NSG, it has been granted a waiver, which allows the country to participate in global nuclear technology Research Report | 6 of 13 The Ha affairs. India is currently the only country that is capable of participating in nuclear commerce with the world not being a signatory to the CTBT or NPT. After the waiver, India has been able to sign nuclear deals with multiple nations including France and the Unites States of America. In contrast, Pakistan began mobilizing nuclear weapons after the conflict with India that took place in 1965. It was as a form of self-defense for Pakistan as India had started developing their nuclear program. This prompted Pakistan to begin their nuclear program as it was assumed that India was threatening the security of Pakistan. No-First-Use Policy India’s policy states that the nation will only provide retaliation when necessary to nuclear strikes; there will be no initiation of utilization of nuclear weapons otherwise. The nuclear no-first use doctrine simply was to demonstrate the idea that India only retains nuclear weapons for protective purposes and nuclear energy is strictly used for peaceful purposes. The principle that the no-first-use policy is based on and the doctrine is reliant is known as the Credible Minimum Deterrence. Additionally, India has an authoritative agency called the Nuclear Command Authority (NCA) that controls India’s nuclear weapons programme. No-First-Attack Policy Similarly, Pakistan follows a policy known as the no-first-attack policy, which claims unlike India, Pakistan will attack a nation that threatens Pakistan even if the other nation did not utilize nuclear weapons first. Pakistan’s atomic weapons programme is based on the Minimum Credible Deterrence (MCD). Timeline of Events Date Description of Event August 6th, 1945 Attack on Hiroshima, Japan August 9th, 1945 Attack on Nagasaki, Japan 1957 The International Atomic Agency (IAEA) was formed Research Report | 7 of 13 The Ha July 1st 1968 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) signed in New York, United States of America. 1974 Formation of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) 1979 First Conference on Disarmament (CD) took place in Geneva, Switzerland 1980 Convention on the physical protection of Nuclear Material, took place in Vienna, Austria 31st July, 1991-5th December 2009 The first Strategic Arms Treaty was signed, the treaty expired later in 2009 1996 Signing of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) 2005 Convention for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism Relevant UN Treaties and Events ● Treaty on the Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), 28 April 2004 (S/RES/1540) ● Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), 5 August 1963 (A/RES/54/280) ● Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty I (START I), 31 July 1994 ● New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START 2016), 13th October 2016 Previous Attempts to solve the Issue The aftermath of nuclear weapons in Hiroshima and Nagasaki impacted nations all over the world. The disturbing effects of misusing nuclear technology drove the need to prevent proliferation of nuclear weapons. Over the years, the United Nations formed several treaties Research Report | 8 of 13 The Ha and organizations with the goal of controlling access to nuclear technology to limit its military application. The UN began controlling the spread of nuclear weapons by establishing the UN Conference on Disarmament (CD) in 1979 - a group of 65 countries that are dedicated to discussing and negotiating agreements on issues relating to disarmament. Additionally, the UN formed the IAEA in 1957. The IAEA had the simple goal of monitoring nuclear energy programs in various nations that have access to nuclear technology. Although this is an effective method of ensuring nuclear energy is used safely and has been effective in multiple countries- there are still some nations that are not observed by the IAEA. One of these countries is the Democratic Republic of Korea- agency inspectors have not visited the nation since April 2009, however, they continue to observe their nuclear activities through satellite imagery and have detected that the nation is utilizing nuclear energy for military purposes. Furthermore, the Nuclear Suppliers Group was formed as a group of nations that supplies countries with nuclear energy; they are to ensure that nations are securely supplying the energy in order to prevent proliferation of nuclear weapons. However, the NSG does not have a clear policy as to adherence of nations that are apart of it. The CTBT and NPT were both major treaties that contributed to preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons. The CTBT ensured nations do not conduct nuclear weapon testing and the NPT allowed nations to agree to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons. However, there are still several nations that are not signatories of one or either treaties. These countries include India and Pakistan- who are currently supplying nuclear technology to nations worldwide and the Democratic Republic of Korea (North Korea), who withdrew from the NPT in January 2003 and has been testing nuclear devices since then. Moreover, the United Nations worked towards establishing Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zones, whereby, a group of nations agree to complete absence of nuclear weapons in their possession. NWFZs are consistently checked by the IAEA. The establishment of NWFZs directly led to countries being safer and more secure as other NFWZs don’t possess nuclear weapons at all. Lastly, the Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty (FMCT) was not implemented, which was an international agreement to ban the producing of highly enriched uranium (HEU) and plutonium (both the main constituents to create nuclear weapons). The main goal of the FMCT was to provide new restrictions for the Nuclear Weapon States and nations that were not signatories of the NPT. However, the FMCT was not negotiated and the terms of the treaty are yet to be evaluated and clarified. Research Report | 9 of 13 The Ha Possible Solutions Transparency and compliance with regulations of the IAEA All nations must cooperate and support the IAEA in conducting audits, investigations, surveys of their capabilities and entire facilities deployed in using nuclear energy. Nations must be willing to allow the International Atomic Energy Agency to regularly conduct tests in nuclear power stations in the nation in order to ensure that no nations are utilizing nuclear energy for military purposes. Non-compliance should automatically be resulting in trade sanctions imposed by the United Nations. Adherence to Nuclear Suppliers Group, strict compliance It should be mandatory for all nuclear supplier nations to comply with guidelines and requirements of the Nuclear Supplier Group (NSG). This is necessary in order to ensure that nuclear technology, equipment and raw materials (uranium and plutonium) would not be diverted to irresponsible recipients who could engage in military use of nuclear capabilities. Furthermore, it will also help in stopping any illegal trade in nuclear equipment and materials. Nuclear Policy Every nation that is not a Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone must have a nuclear policy, which specifies the terms and conditions of utilizing nuclear energy in that nation. The policy must be officially written and not a verbal statement, it should be a legal document in the respective nation that must be complied by all successive governments. Additionally, the IAEA should have access to copies of the nuclear policies including any amendments made throughout the years of its existence to ensure they are updated and understand the terms and conditions of each policy. 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