Empathy and Political Preferences Peter John Loewen∗ Christopher Cochrane† Gabriel Arsenault‡ January 26, 2017 Abstract Individuals differ in their capacities for empathy. Some individuals can easily understand and share the feelings of another, while other individuals cannot. We use three different studies to demonstrate how this ability, empathy, matters for political preferences. First, using self-reported empathy in an observational survey, we demonstrate that variation in levels of empathy explain variation in partisan identification. More empathic individuals are more likely to identify with and vote for parties of the left. Empathy also underwrites differences in the willingness to pay for public spending programs usually associated with the Left. More empathic individuals are more willing to support such policies, even at a personal cost. We also demonstrate that partisanship partially mediates the relationship between empathy and policy preferences. Second, we replicate our first findings using a behavioural or revealed measure of empathy. We also recover distributive preferences using an incentive compatible task. Here, we find that partisanship again mediates the relationship between empathy and basic political preferences. Third, we use a survey experiment to demonstrate the relationship between empathy and preferring empathic candidates in the presence and absence of policy information. Taken together, all of this evidence points to a relationship in which empathy helps individuals sort over candidates, and that the resulting partisanship then does some of the work of informing policy preferences. This work thus contributes to recent work on the relationship between personality and political behaviour and helps to clarify a longstanding debate on the relationship between individuals’ partisanship and political preferences. Word count: approx. 8500 ∗ Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, and Director of the School of Public Policy and Governance, University of Toronto † Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Toronto ‡ Assistant Professor of Political Science, Université Moncton 1 Introduction Individuals differ in their ability to experience the emotions of others. Upon seeing an individual in a moment of emotional turmoil, some individuals will be able to experience that same tumult. Likewise, some individuals are able to experience the fear, sadness, happiness, or joy of others. Relatedly, individuals often experience social situations very differently. One person at a sporting event or a faculty cocktail party may have trouble judging whether their conduct is rude or polite, may unwittingly offer insensitive comments to a colleague, or may struggle to even introduce themselves into a conversation. Another person, by contrast, may seemingly be at ease, drawing others into conversation and appearing to know just what others are thinking and feeling. In short, individuals vary in their ability to put themselves into the shoes of others - sharing their feelings and understanding their thoughts. This difference has important implications for our abilities to interact with others, to navigate various social situations, and to comfort others in pain (Del Barrio, Aluja and Garcı́a, 2004; Goubert et al., 2005). In this paper, we demonstrate that this ability, empathy, also matters for politics. We argue that empathy exercises an influence over political preferences in a consistent and theoretically informed way. We present findings indicating that individuals who have a greater empathic capacity are more likely to identify with parties of the left and are more likely to indicate support for new spending programs, even at a personal cost. Moreover, we show that partisanship acts as a partial mediator of the effect of empathy on policy preferences. Indeed, we demonstrate that empathic individuals not only report a preference for left-wing parties because they are more likely to favour redistributive and helping policies, but because they are more likely to offer up candidates who are themselves empathic. Our work thus speaks to two important literatures. First, it builds on a recent vein of research into the influence of personality traits on political behavior. This work has principally considered the role of Big Five personality traits on political participation and partisanship (e.g. Gerber et al., 2010; Mondak, 2010). Additional related work has demonstrated the importance of physiological and genetic differences on various aspects of political behaviour and preferences (e.g. Fowler, Baker and Dawes, 2008; Hatemi and McDermott, 2011; Oxley et al., 2008). Our work adds to this by demonstrating the importance of another individual difference for partisanship, vote choice, and policy preferences. Second, our paper speaks directly to work on the nature and effects of partisanship. As we show, partisanship varies systematically with the individual difference of empathy. Moreover, partisanship partially mediates the relationship between this individual differences and policy preferences. This suggests a deep partisanship (Gerber and Huber, 2008; Green, Palmquist and Schickler, 2002; Greene, 2004; Loewen, 2011), in which a stable identification with parties is built not only on the foundation of early socialization and social identity, but also differences between individuals (Settle, Dawes and Fowler, 2009). Our paper proceeds as follows. First, we review the trait empathy (Section 2). Second, we forward a likely relationship between empathy and political preferences, and then outline how this matters for current debates over the relationship between partisanship, vote choice, and policy preferences (Section 3). We then describe our empirical strategy, including a brief justification of the use of Canadian data Section 4). We next present 2 data and results from Study 1, an observational study of approximately 2000 subjects. We highlight the limitations of these data, and then outline a second study, Study 2, which we undertook to address the shortcomings. We follow this with a further extension in Study 3. Following the description of this study and our results, we conclude by considering the importance of our findings for the study of personality effects and politics, and for our understanding of partisanship. 2 Empathy While empathy is generally understood as an ability to understand and share feelings of others, recent scholarship distinguishes between two key components: affective (or emotional) empathy and cognitive (or intellectual) empathy (e.g. Davis, 2006, 443-444). Affective empathy is conceived as the observer’s capacity to share the target’s emotional state (or to experience an appropriate emotional response to the target’s). In contrast, cognitive empathy is defined as the observer’s capacity to discern or understand the target’s emotional state (but without necessarily experiencing it). Although these different components of empathy are conceptually - and, indeed, neurally - distinct, they are closely related to one another and operate in conjunction in normal human empathic experience (e.g. Cox et al., 2012). Studies 1 and 3 use a measure of individuals’ empathy levels - the Empathy Quotient (EQ) - that does not distinguish between affective and cognitive empathy (Baron-Cohen and Wheelwright, 2004; Lawson, Baron-Cohen and Wheelwright, 2004; Wakabayashi et al., 2006a), whereas Study 2 includes results from both the EQ and a measure of cognitive empathy (Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test). As we demonstrate in Study 2, scores across these two measures are significantly correlated. The extent to which individuals exhibit empathy is certainly influenced by situational factors, such as emotional regulation and familiarity with the situation (Kirman and Teschl, 2010; Singer and Lamm, 2009). In particular, individuals are generally less competent at recognizing the facial expressions of members of other cultures (Dailey et al., 2010) and may feel less empathic toward them (Bloom, 2017; Gutsell and Inzlicht, 2012). Yet, most empathy scholars agree that robust and stable individual differences exist in empathic capacities (Baron-Cohen, 2012; Davis, 1983; Knafo et al., 2008). Empathy is thus construed as a trait (or a disposition), in contrast to a mere state. The causes of these individual differences are not well-known, although it is increasingly clear that empathic capacities are genetically informed. For example, correlations on empathy measures are found to be greater in MZ twins compared to DZ twins (Davis, Luce and Kraus, 1994); specific genes predict empathy quotient scores (Chakrabarti et al., 2009) and facial expression recognition abilities (Lin et al., 2012). In particular, Rodrigues found that people who have two ”G” variants of the oxytocin receptor gene tend to be substantially more empathic than those with at least one ”A” variant of the oxytocin receptor (Rodrigues et al., 2009a). Environmental factors also matter. Although most scholars stress the importance of very early education for empathy development (Hoffman, 2001, e.g.), a few studies tentatively suggest that environmental factors might also affect adults’ empathic capacity. 3 Hence, new social media are suspected to account for the decline of self-reported empathy among American college students in the last few decades (Konrath, O’Brien and Hsing, 2011; Konrath and Grynberg, 2013). Cohort effects are also hypothesized to explain observed empathy differences across age groups more broadly (Grühn et al., 2008; O’Brien et al., 2013). Finally, it has recently been suggested that reading a lot of fiction might increase one’s capacity for empathy (Mar et al., 2006; Mar, Oatley and Peterson, 2009). How traits like empathy are linked to political preferences is a vexing question. In the study of political preferences, the effects of core beliefs or values, especially on party identification, has been hard to disentangle. This is in part because the concept of values’ has not been properly conceptualized and measured, and in part because political science surveys and experiments tend to focus, for understandable reasons, on questions about highly politicized subjects (Goren, 2005). Opinions about family values, abortion, homosexuality, taxes and spending, war and peace, and so on, might well tap the underlying latent values of respondents, but they are also often the subjects of intense partisan controversy. As a result, it is difficult to parcel out the extent to which opinions about these issues reflect enduring party loyalties rather than enduring core beliefs or values. An alternative strategy to uncover the causes of political preferences is to look at traits and to measure them with batteries of indicators which are far removed from the objects of partisan contestation. We follow this strategy by examining the effect on political preferences of a single trait, empathy, measured via a battery of questions which are not remotely connected to partisan political disagreement. In other words, our strategy involves measuring an underlying trait without using questions about politically relevant topics, and then testing whether that underlying trait has an effect on political preferences. If variation on an apolitical measure of empathy is associated with distinctive patterns of political preferences, then we will have uncovered evidence which points to a role for traits in our understanding of political preferences. We then engage a series of further experiments to attempt to discern the precise nature and ordering of the relationship between empathy, partisanship, and political preferences. What is the likely relationship between empathy and political preferences? Thus far, work on the relationship between personality and political preferences has mostly focussed on the “Big Five” traits. Those traits – openness, conscientiousness, extraversion, agreeableness, neuroticism - and the effect of these traits on policy preferences and partisanship has recently come under the scrutiny of political science research (e.g. Gerber et al., 2010; Mondak, 2010). Although it may be characterised as a “personality disposition” (Johnson, 1990), empathy is distinct from those five personality traits. While it is closest to and most strongly correlated with “agreeableness” (Del Barrio, Aluja and Garcı́a, 2004), empathy and agreeableness are not merely synonyms for the same construct. Being able to recognize and feel others emotions does not necessarily mean that one is “acquiescent” or “trusting”; similarly, one could generally be considered “good-natured” (e.g McCrae and Costa, 2003, 4) in spite of finding it difficult to discern others’ emotional states. As with “personality traits” likes the Big Five, variation in empathy levels likely precedes politics. 4 3 Empathy and Political Preferences How should we expect empathy to affect political preferences? The literature on empathy suggests that high levels of empathy should make individuals adopt left-wing political preferences regarding the economic dimension of the left-right cleavage (i.e. related to taxation and public spending). This is so for two distinct but related reasons. First, one’s level of empathy might influence one’s distributional preferences (Hoffman (2001), p 230, although seeVan Lange (2008) for disconfirming evidence of this). Hoffman suggests that highly empathic individuals are more likely than others to prefer distribution according to “need” and “equality” and less likely than others to prefer distribution according to “merit”, understood as competence and productivity. Such emphasis on equality and caring for the “needy” is traditionally associated with parties of the left (Noel and Therien, 2008). Second, relatively empathic individuals might be drawn to leftist parties because leftist parties emphasize “care” to a greater extent in their discourse - independently of policy cues. Hence, Lakoff (2002) argues that liberals views the government as an empathic “nurturant parent” taking care of its citizens qua children through generous social programs, whereas conservatives view the government as a strict father and the “nanny state” as an overindulgent mother, lacking in discipline. Empirically, Democrats have indeed been shown to use a more nurturant parent language than Republicans, who use a more “strict father” language (Ahrens, 2011; Cienki, 2005; Deason and Gonzales, 2012) - but see Ahrens (2009). More generally, leaders of the Left are usually perceived as more empathic and caring (Goren, 2005; Hayes, 2005). Graham and Haidt’s moral foundations theory (Graham, Haidt and Nosek, 2009) similarly contends that “caring” is more central to the moral system of the left than that of the right.” Taken together, then, we expect empathy to be positively associated with more left wing positions, whether with partisanship, or policy preferences. However, to the extent that these two types of political preferences are related, it bears making clear our priors concerning the relationship between these measures and then articulating the order of influence of empathy on these measures. The effect of individual differences on political preferences and behaviors does not operate in a vacuum. Researchers consistently find that personality and social environments interact with each other to influence preferences and behaviors (Caspi et al., 2002; Gerber et al., 2010). Among the most important properties of the political environment are the established lines of political competition between parties (Sniderman, 2000). The concept of partisanship, a psychological attachment to a political party, is an important caveat to bottom-up understanding of politics. Political sociologists in the 1950s and 60s, for example, contended that party policy was but a reflection of the underlying structural cleavages in society (Lipset, 1960). Similarly, important economic models were built on the assumption that political elites catered strategically to the policy preferences of voters in order to maximize their party’s appeal in elections (Downs, 1957). From both of these perspectives, party policy was but a reflection of the distribution of voter preferences in the electorate. The American Voter (1960) turned these arguments upside down. In this seminal work, Cambell et al. (1960) found that “the influence of party identification on attitudes toward the perceived elements of politics has been far more important than the influence of these attitudes on party identification itself” (135). Party identification, in 5 other words, shapes the policy preferences of voters. Indeed, partisanship tended to precede in time, and outlast, the attitudes of citizens toward specific political objects. A large body of subsequent research supports the key empirical finding that party loyalties drive political opinions at least as much, if not more, than the other way around (Bartels, 2002; Goren, 2005; Green, Palmquist and Schickler, 2002). Although scholars have attempted to re-interpret the stability of party identification from the standpoint of core beliefs and values (Feldman, 1988; Killian and Wilcox, 2008), Bayesian learning (Achen, 1992), and rational shortcuts (Lupia and McCubbins, 1998), the balance of evidence suggests that partisanship is something more than a “running tally” (Fiorina, 1981, 89) or a heuristic (Sniderman, Brody and Tetlock, 1991) for the projection of exogenous preferences (Bartels, 2002). Partisanship, for at least some voters much of the time, and many voters some of the time, shapes policy preferences. We are left then with three closely-related but ultimately separable explanations for why more empathic individuals might prefer parties of the left and prefer policies which are at once redistributive and aimed at helping other citizens. First, more empathic individuals may be attracted to more expansive government programs because they are more redistributive and generative of more equal outcomes. Second, they may prefer more expansive government programs not because they are more redistributive per se, but because they are framed in a language of helping and care. Third, they may be attracted to parties of the left not for their policy positions (at least principally), but because those parties appeal to the voter’s basic values and dispositions. In this case, parties of the left may present more empathic candidates, leading more empathic individuals to identify with these parties. Policy preferences may then follow from that identification. Cross-sectional survey data cannot disentangle empirically the direction of causality between partisanship and preferences; however, we expect for theoretical reasons that partisanship plays a role in mediating the effects of core personality traits, such as empathy, on policy preferences. Empathy may shape issue positions directly, but it also may shape how people orient themselves to established political parties and thereby exert an additional influence on political preferences through partisanship. There is nothing intrinsically or exclusively political about empathy. Indeed, measuring empathy means moving beyond analyses that are confined exclusively to political attitudes and behaviors by gauging people’s orientations and behaviors in other domains of life, such as casual social situations. Nonetheless, more empathic individuals may find themselves drawn to left-wing parties because of their distributional preferences or because the leaders of these left-wing parties display a more caring attitude towards those in need than members of right-wing parties. As they come to identify with left-wing parties, moreover, the influence of partisanship means that empathic individuals are likely to adopt more of their party’s policy stances on a broad range of issues. In such a scenario, an apolitical trait, empathy, is politicized by the established lines of party competition, and thereby shapes one’s political preferences and values. 6 4 Empirical approach and summary of results Following from this discussion, our empirical approach is the following. In Study 1, we demonstrate that individuals who have higher levels of empathy are more likely to identify with parties of the left. We also show that they are more likely to support policies which are redistributive in nature and which are framed as caring and helpful. Finally, we show in this study that the link between empathy and these policy preferences is partially mediated by partisanship. Because Study 1 presents policies which are both redistributive and helping, it does not allow us to understand if the direct relationship between empathy and policy preferences is a result of empathic individuals having more redistributive preferences, preferences for helping policies, or both. In Study 2, we present three advances. First, we demonstrate that a behavioural measure of empathy also explains policy and partisan preferences. Second, we use an experiment to demonstrate that empathic individuals are more likely to choose candidates who signal empathy. This suggests that at least some of the relationship between empathy and partisanship is driven by the characteristics of candidates rather than their policy positions. Third, we demonstrate that when presented with a choice over distributional schemes that is stripped of helping language, there is no direct relationship between empathy and distributional preferences. There is, however, a mediated relationship between empathy and distributional preferences via partisanship. This suggests that empathy has an effect on distributional preferences only via partisanship. In Study 3, we expand on our candidate choice findings by exploring the potential for empathy signalling by candidates to affect the preferences of empathic respondents in the presence or absence of policy information. Taken together, our results suggest that empathic individuals exhibit left wing preferences because of both the nature of left policies (in particular their helping nature; less so their redistributive elements) and because of the characteristics of left-wing politicians. 4.1 Canada as a test case To demonstrate the relationship between empathy and political preferences, we rely on Canadian data. Canada is a suitable case for at least two reasons. First, in Canada outside Quebec, the three main parties earning 94% of the vote in the election in question can be clearly distinguished in terms of the economic dimension of the left/right cleavage1 . In a comparative perspective, the left-right gap between the Conservative Party (right) the Liberal Party (center-left) and the New Democratic Party (left) is particularly significant (Benoit and Laver, 2006; Cochrane, 2010). Second, the effect of traits on political preferences has thus been mainly studied in the United States (Gerber et al., 2010). To confirm that traits influence political preferences beyond America, it is useful to conduct studies in different polities. 1 In contrast, the leading party in Quebec at the time we collected our data for Study 1, the Bloc Québécois,is mainly defined by its stance on identity and ethnic issues. 7 5 Study 1 5.1 Data To test these expectations, we first make use of an online survey of nearly 4000 subjects, conducted in May 2007. The study was conducted by a commercial polling firm. The firm uses a self-selected sample which, while more broadly constituted than a student convenience sample, is not a representative sample. Subjects are required to login to the survey using a unique identification. Subjects all answered questions concerning their partisan identification. All subjects also completed an eight-item empathy measure. All subjects also answered a series of standard attitudinal questions and a series of questions on past charitable giving, and a completed set of four dictator games. Finally, subjects completing the survey in the second half of the month were exposed to four questions regarding their willingness to pay for public spending programs. As is conventional with much survey research in Canadian political behaviour, we retain only those subjects residing outside of Quebec. We exclude those subjects who do not report their income or education levels. This leaves us with effective samples of 3700 subjects for our analysis of party identification and 1985 subjects for policy preferences.2 5.2 Subjects Our subjects3 are evenly balanced between males (50.5%) and females (49.5%). The average age of our subjects was 50.5 years old (S.D. 13.4). The majority of subjects report at least some university education (59.6%), while a quarter report at least some post-high school training (27.9%). The remaining subjects report a high school education or less (12.6%). Approximately one-in-five subjects report a household income of $40,000 or less per year (21.0%). A similar proportion report an income between forty- and sixty-thousand per year (19.6%) or an income between sixty- and eighty-thousand per year (19.0%). The remaining subjects (40.4%) report a household income of greater than $80,000 per annum. 5.3 Measuring empathy The eight-item version of the Empathy Quotient was derived from Wakabayashi et al. (2006b)’s analysis of the full forty-item EQ. They presented a principal components factor analysis of a 60-item scale (Wakabayashi et al., 2006b, Table 2). Using their results, the four affirmative EQ questions with the highest principal component factor loadings and the four reversal items (marked by (R)) with the highest factor loading were chosen for the eight-item version. Responses were forced so that the survey could not be completed without answering all eight questions. Question order was randomized for each respondent. The items are: 1. I find it easy to put myself in somebody else’s shoes. 2 Policy preferences were only queried among those who responded to the survey in the last two weeks of the month. 3 In reporting subject statistics, we report all subjects who are included in at least one of the analyses. 8 2. I am good at predicting how someone will feel. 3. I am quick to spot when someone in a group is feeling awkward or uncomfortable. 4. Other people tell me I am good at understanding how they are feeling and what they are thinking. 5. I find it hard to know what to do in a social situation. (R) 6. I often find it hard to judge if something is rude or polite. (R) 7. It is hard for me to see why some things upset people so much. (R) 8. Other people often say that I am insensitive, though I don’t always see why. (R) Following Wakabayashi et al. (2006b), respondents indicate whether they strongly agree, agree, disagree, or strongly disagree with the statement. A respondent scores two points if they exhibit a empathizing trait strongly, 1 if they exhibit it slightly, and 0 in the other two response categories. Scores are then aggregated over all items, with each being equally weighted, producing an overall empathy quotient. All eight questions exhibit a respectable internal consistency (α = .76) and load heavily on a single dimension.4 Moreover, as should be expected from prior work (Baron-Cohen, 2004), women exhibit a significantly higher empathy score than men (t = 14.9, p = .00, two-tailed). We provide an additional test of construct validity in Section 9. For interpretive ease in the regressions presented below, we transform the EQ8 into a 0 to 1 score, where 0 indicates the lowest possible empathic capacity and 1 the highest. 5.4 Dependent Variables Study 1 uses two dependent variables: a standard partisan identification instrument5 and a unique scale measuring respondents’ willingness to pay more in taxes or time to support new public spending programs. 5.4.1 Partisan identification For partisanship, we use a standard series of questions from the Canadian Election Study. Respondents are asked “Thinking about federal politics in Canada, generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Liberal, a Conservative, a New Democrat, or none of these?” Respondents are then asked how strongly they think of themselves as a partisan of the identified party. We only consider as partisan identifiers those who indicate a fairly strong or very strong identification. From these questions, we generate a categorical variable that indicates whether an individual has a Conservative, Liberal or New Democratic identification. No identification acts as the reference category. Forty-seven percent of our 4 A principal components factors analysis indicates a first factor eigenvalue of 3.08, with a mean loading of .62 and a minimum loading of .50. 5 We note that we have also run analysis using vote choice as a dependent variable. The returned results are substantively the same as those for partisanship: the likelihood of voting for the Conservative party decreases as empathy increases, while the likelihood voting for the New Democrats and Liberals increases 9 respondents indicate no identification. Of those identifying with a party, Conservatives (20.2%) and Liberals (21.6%) are evenly split, while approximately one-in-ten respondents identify as New Democrats (10.9%). These results are presented in section 5.5.1. 5.4.2 Willingness of Pay for Public Spending Near the end of the survey, a subset of respondents were asked about four hypothetical public spending programs usually associated with the Left. For half of the policies, respondents were asked whether they would pay a high price for the good. If they agreed, they proceeded to the next question. If they disagreed, then they were asked about their willingness to pay a lower price. This continued until they agreed to pay some price, or until the lowest price was reached. For the remaining half of the policies, the expressed price began low and then increased until subjects expressed an unwillingness to pay or reached the highest price. The question order was randomized for each respondent. These questions have two important features. First, each policy has a distributive consequence, in that the respondent is asked how much they would be willing to pay to provide more of a service or good to another individual. Second, the policies are framed in a helping fashion, in that some problem of potentially great distress for another citizen is solved by the adoption of the policy. Apart then from standard self-interest motivations for supporting one policy or another, these items should recover support for public policy on redistributive and/or caring grounds. The exact question wordings are: • One proposed solution to fight climate change and decrease air pollution is to impose carbon taxes. Supporters of these environmental policies say such taxes would result in cleaner air and better health for everyone. Would you support carbon taxes if you knew it would cost you $2000 ($1500, $1000, $500, $100) more per year to heat your home, ride the bus, and drive a car? • Some politicians and policy groups propose making the first four years of university free for all qualified students, just like high school. This will result in greater accessibility to university education. Would you support the elimination of tuition fees if it cost you $100 ($250, $500, $1000, $2000) more per year in taxes? • Provincial health care programs often do not cover the cost of drugs for those with cancer. This can make fighting cancer financially taxing for cancer sufferers and their families. Would you support covering the cost of cancer drugs if you knew it would increase average emergency wait times for non-critical injuries (such as ear infections, the flu, or small cuts) by one hour (90 minutes, two hours, three hours, five hours, ten hours)? • Wait times for many medical procedures (such as cataract surgery and hip and knee replacements) are currently longer than recommended by doctors. If tax dollars were guaranteed to go to these priority areas and to reduce wait times, would you be willing to pay $2000 ($1500, $1000, $500, $100) more per year in taxes? 10 We convert the willingness to pay for each policy to a 0 to 1 scale, where 0 indicates an unwillingness to pay even the lowest cost, while 1 indicates a willingness to pay the highest stated cost. We then average out these scores in a single scale. When all four items are scaled together, they have reasonable internal consistency (α = .62). Conceptually, the scale represents a respondent’s general willingness to incur personal costs for the provision of public spending programs generally associated with the Left. The results for this dependent variable are presented in section 5.5.2. 5.5 5.5.1 Study 1 Results Partisanship Results We begin by examining the relationship between expressed levels of empathy and partisan identification. We specify a multinomial logit with four outcomes: no identification (our reference category), Conservative identification, Liberal identification, or New Democratic identification. We also include a standard schedule of controls, including gender, age, dummies for region, and a variable measuring income category. Our results, in the form of logit coefficients and their associated standard errors, are presented in Table 1. All variables are scaled from 0 to 1 for ease of interpretation. We also present our results graphically in Figure 1. As these estimates demonstrate, the probability of identification with the Conservative party (versus no identification) declines as empathy increases. Indeed, across the range of empathy values, the probability of identifying with the Conservative party decreases by approximately 9 percentage points from 25 percent to 16 percent, or more than a full third of the starting value. By contrast, the probability of identifying with the Liberal party over no identification increases from 17 percent to 24 percent, an increase of 7 percentage points, or more than 40 percent. Finally, the probability of identifying with the New Democratic party experiences the steepest rise, increasing from 7 percentage among those with the lowest empathy level to 13 percent among those with the highest levels, almost a completely doubling of the likelihood. We note further that compared to Conservative identification, subjects are more likely to identify with the Liberal party (p = .00) or the NDP (p = .00) as empathy increases. There is no difference, however, in the probability of identifying with the NDP over the Liberal party (p = .34). Taken together, these results suggest that empathy underwrites large differences in the probability of identifying with Canada’s principal parties and does so in a fashion consistent with a traditional left-right understanding of politics. 5.5.2 Policy Preference Results We next consider the effect of empathy on policy preferences. Table 2 presents our first results. Once again, we employ the same series of controls, but add in controls for each partisanship. Empathy again exercises an independent and substantively impressive effect. According to the estimates in Table 2, over the range of empathy support for public spending increases by nearly 50%, with 31% at the lowest level of empathy supporting all policies at their highest price to 45% at the highest level of empathy supporting all policies at their highest price. As we demonstrate in Section 9.2, this result also holds across all four components of our scale measured independently. 11 Table 1: Empathy and Partisan Identification (multinomial logit) Variable Coefficient (Std. Err.) NDP partisan identification vs. no identification Empathy 0.733∗∗ (0.263) Female 0.216† (0.118) Age -0.106∗ (0.042) ∗∗ Income -0.256 (0.049) College -0.381∗ (0.185) University -0.038 (0.168) Alberta -0.696∗∗ (0.250) Prairies -0.051 (0.209) Ontario -0.299∗ (0.135) Atlantic Canada -0.515∗ (0.204) Intercept -0.808∗ (0.354) Conservative partisan identification vs. no identification Empathy -0.306 (0.207) ∗∗ Female -0.486 (0.094) Age 0.122∗∗ (0.035) † Income 0.068 (0.040) College -0.122 (0.141) University -0.514∗∗ (0.135) Alberta 0.394∗ (0.162) Prairies 0.029 (0.184) Ontario 0.013 (0.111) † Atlantic Canada -0.337 (0.173) Intercept -0.368 (0.293) Liberal partisan identification vs. no identification Empathy 0.450∗ (0.203) Female 0.100 (0.090) Age 0.074∗ (0.034) Income 0.095∗ (0.039) College 0.049 (0.156) University 0.094 (0.146) Alberta 0.113 (0.183) Prairies -0.138 (0.204) Ontario 0.442∗∗ (0.115) Atlantic Canada 0.183 (0.164) Intercept -2.124∗∗ (0.299) N Log-likelihood Significance levels : 3799 . † : 10% ∗ : 5% 12 ∗∗ : 1% LIB NDP .3 .2 .1 0 Probability of identification .4 CON 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 EMPATHY Graphs by Party Figure 1: These graphs estimate the probability that an individual identifies with the Conservative, Liberal or New Democratic party respectively as empathy increases. The gray lines represent 95% confidence intervals. All estimates are generated using Clarify (Tomz, Wittenberg and King, 2001). To this point, we have demonstrated that empathy is associated with both partisanship and policy preferences. Moreover, our estimate of the effect of empathy on policy preferences controls for partisanship. This points us towards a potential mediated relationship in which partisanship (partially) mediates the relationship between empathy and policy preferences. Following Baron and Kenny (1986), some variable M, in our case partisanship, mediates the relationship between X, in our case empathy, and Y, or policy preferences, if X predicts M and M predicts Y controlling for X. There are multiple ways to estimate the parameters of such a mediated relationship, most frequently the protocol of Baron and Kenny (1986). However, recent research (Green, Ha and Bullock, 2010) has noted the potential inferential challenges of traditional mediation tests when neither the causal variable or the mediator are randomly assigned. While this potentially limits the confidence with which we can make inferences from mediation tests, recent advances at least allow us to estimate the robustness of any mediation effects to omitted variables. Accordingly, following the procedure of Imai et al. (2011), we first estimate a series of logistic regression between three binary variables measuring partisan identifications (Liberal, Conservative, and NDP), and empathy, with a series of controls. We then estimate a model of policy preferences on the same partisan identification variables, empathy, and 13 the same series of controls. We report three relevant quantities in Table 3: the Average Causal Mediation Effect (ACME), the percent of the direct effect of empathy mediated by the partisanship in question, captured in the coefficient on empathy in Table 20 in Section 10, and ρ, which reports the minimum level of correlation between the error terms of our first and second regressions required to reduce the ACME to 0 Imai et al. (2011). Full results for the mediation analysis are available in Section 10. Table 2: Empathy and policy preferences (OLS) Variable Empathy Conservative ID Liberal ID New Democratic ID Female Age Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Canada Income College University Intercept Coefficient 0.143∗∗ -0.091∗∗ 0.072∗∗ 0.106∗∗ -0.003 -0.003 -0.053∗ -0.021 -0.023 -0.002 0.016∗∗ 0.026 0.080∗∗ 0.240∗∗ N Log-likelihood Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.026) (0.019) (0.021) (0.026) (0.011) (0.004) (0.022) (0.023) (0.014) (0.020) (0.005) (0.018) (0.017) (0.036) 1985 . † : 10% ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% The results reported in Table 3 demonstrate that the partisanship routinely if modestly mediates the relationship between empathy and policy preferences. Three percent of the relationship between empathy and policy preferences is mediated by Liberal partisanship. This increases to a more impressive 5% of mediation attributable to New Democratic identification and 4% to Conservative identification. As our sensitivity analysis estimate (ρ) suggests, the nullification of these results would require an omitted variable which was strongly related to both a subject’s underlying levels of empathy and their partisanship. Given the relatively low amount of variance already explained by variables known to be related to partisanship, this seems empirically unlikely. Moreover, given the strong evidence on the early sources of individual difference in empathy (Baron-Cohen, 2004; Plomin et al., 1993; Rodrigues et al., 2009b), it seems unlikely that some lurking variable would completely obviate our results. 14 Table 3: Mediation statistics for influence of empathy on policy preferences through partisanship Partisanship Conservative Liberal New Democrat 5.6 ACME 0.01 0.01 0.01 % Total Effect Mediated (95% ci) 4.0 (3.0-5.9) 3.2 (2.4-4.9) 5.1 (3.8-7.7) ρ -0.30 0.30 0.30 Study 1 Limitations Study 1 has two clear limitations which we seek to address in Study 2 and 3. First, while we find a statistically-clear mediated relationship between empathy, partisan identification, and policy preferences, the causal ordering of this relationship is still the subject of debate. Relatedly, we have not specified the mechanism linking empathy to leftist (party or policy) preferences. Second, our measure of empathy is self-reported, and thus subject to social desirability. While the instrument we use has been validated elsewhere, it is still possible that respondents on the left may be more likely to feel that they are supposed to exhibit caring and empathic characteristics. Accordingly, they may exaggerate their own empathy. Such social desirability could lead to a spurious relationship between empathy and left wing identification and policy preferences. In Study 2, we address both of these limitations. (Study 3 expands on the results of Study 2). 6 Study 2 To replicate and extend the findings of Study 1, we conducted a second study (Study 2) in the Fall of 2012. Study 2 goes beyond Study 1 in two manners. First, although our measure of empathy in Study 1 is arguably pre-political, it is possible that individuals’ self-reports of empathy could be influenced by their partisanship. In Study 2, we therefore employ a behavioural measure of empathy using the “Reading the Mind in the Eyes” task. This method requires respondents to reveal rather than report their empathic capacity. Second, Study 1 does not determine the mechanism through which empathy influences political preferences. Study 2 tests for the two mechanisms alluded to in section 3: distributional preferences and identification with candidates displaying empathy. Through a “sorting experiment” and a “distributional game”, we find that empathy influences political preferences not by informing distributional preferences but by drawing high-empathy individuals to political candidates displaying high levels of empathy (independently of partisan or policy cues). In turn, we show that partisan identifications link empathy to abstract distributional preferences, helping to clarify both the direction of relationships and the mechanisms of the effects estimated in Study 1. 6.1 Data Study 2 relies on data collected from a relatively representative sample of Canadians. This sample is drawn from a panel of more than 100,000 respondents, most of who are recruited 15 to a commercial panel through a voting advice application called Vote Compass. After joining the panel, participants are occasionally invited to complete surveys in exchange for entry in a draw. The survey was hosted on the Qualtrics platform. 6.1.1 Subjects Our Study 2 sample includes N = 434 respondents. Respondents had an average age of 53.4 (S.D. 15.4). Subjects were 64% male. 6.2 Behavioural measures of empathy The first innovation of Study 2 is the use of a behavioural measure of empathy. Rather than relying on a self-report, we use a behavioural measure of empathy. We began by telling individuals that they would complete a task and that if their name was drawn we would pay them according to their performance and the payment system they chose. We use this to measure distributive preferences, described the Section 6.3.2. Our behavioural measure of task is the “Reading the Mind in the Eyes” paradigm. In this task, individuals are shown a set of eyes, and then asked to choose from four words the one which best describes the emotion displayed. Subjects completed this for four sets of eyes. We find that this behavioural measure is significantly correlated with the EQ measure of Study 1 (r=.22, p <.00). 6.3 Dependent variables Study 2 relies on two separate dependent variables. To further explore the relationship between empathy and preferences over candidates and parties, we designed a simple empathy cuing and partisan sorting experiment, described in Section 6.3.1. To understand the relationship between empathy and distributive preferences, we developed a unique task, designed to elicit basic distributive preferences. This is described in Section 6.3.2. 6.3.1 A test of partisan sorting We wished to understand how empathy influences candidate or party choice absent policy cues. If we can demonstrate that empathy helps voters sort into parties according to their values and independently of their policies, then this can help explain how partisanship links empathy to policy preferences. Accordingly, we designed a simple experiment to explore whether empathy helps individuals sort over parties. The experiment was conducted in the following manner. First, we told respondents to Study 2 the following: In the next question, we’d like to tell you about two hypothetical politicians. These individuals don’t exist, but they are meant to reflect real politicians in the world. We will tell you something about each of these politicians. Then, we’d like to know which candidate you think you’d be more likely to vote for in an election. 16 We then presented them with two candidates. While the experiment manipulated the gender and occupation of the respondents, we here only focus on a manipulation of the degree of empathic language expressed by the second politician. For example, some respondents would be presented with the two following vignettes, where more empathic substitutes are indicated in parentheses. John Smith is a businessperson and is 42 years old. He is entering public life because he believes he can be a good representative of his constituents in Ottawa, because he has a longstanding interest in public policy, and because he is concerned about the future of the country. Frank Cochrane is a teacher and is 47 years old. He is entering public life because he (is concerned/cares deeply) about people, because he (thinks/feels) that many citizens are (falling behind/suffering) and government is (not doing enough/not meeting their needs), and because he thinks government should (lookout/care) for its citizens. The only difference between treatments is that the degree of empathic language used by Frank Cochrane varies between that which is low in care (e.g. thinks that many citizens) and high in care (e.g. feels that many citizens). Neither candidate indicates any policy preferences or intentions, and no party labels are used. The objective of the experiment then is to determine whether more (less) empathic individuals are more (less) likely to support candidate 2 when empathic language is used. Since high-empathy candidates are more likely to have left-wing political preferences (Goren, 2005; Hayes, 2005), this suggests that high-empathy individuals may adopt left-wing political preferences partly because they are drawn to high-empathy left-wing political candidates in the first place. 6.3.2 Distributional preferences We recovered subjects’ preferences for income distributions in an incentive-compatible task. Subjects were told that they would be completing a task of which they had no knowledge. They were told that three participants would be randomly drawn. These participants would be paid according to their performance in the task relative to the two other participants and according to one of five distribution schemes chosen by one of the study’s participants. Choices ranged from a very fair system, in which the income of the bottom third was $3.20 and the top third was $3.50 to a very unequal system, in which those in the bottom third received $0 and those in the top received $9. Table 4 shows the complete schemes, as well as the percentage of subjects preferring each scheme. This design has three notable features. First, better performance is always rewarded, so subjects are choosing a tradeoff between better pay for better performance and a decreasing minimum income. Second, as subjects did not know the task they could not know with certainty how well they would perform. Third, the scheme isolates distributive preferences from utilitarian preferences, as the total amount of money available at the tasks end does not vary across schemes. 17 Income distribution system Payment by rank Bottom third Middle third Top third 3.20 3.30 3.50 2.50 3.00 4.50 1.50 2.00 6.50 0.50 1.50 8.00 0.00 1.00 9.00 Percentage preferring 32% 47% 15% 3% 3% Table 4: Preferences for income distribution in unknown task. The first three columns report the number of dollars or pounds paid to players depending on their rank in the unknown task. The remaining column reports the percentage preferring each distribution scheme. Table 4 reports the distribution of preferred payment systems. While most subjects prefer relatively equal systems, the modal choice does allow for the best performer to take 45% of the game income, suggesting some preferences for mild inequality. In Section 6.4 we demonstrate how empathy is related to these preferences. 6.4 Study 2 results Having described our three instruments, we now turn to a discussion of our results. We begin by presenting simple results for our sorting experiment and then turn to a full estimation of the link between empathy, partisanship, and policy preferences. 6.5 Linking empathy to partisan identification Table 5 presents the frequencies of support for candidate 2 (Frank Cochrane) in two conditions (no empathy signal and empathy signal) for individuals below and above the median of observed empathy. These results suggest that when candidates do signal empathy, more empathic individuals increase their support for such candidates. Those with low empathy sort in the opposite direction. We confirm the significance of these results in Table 10. This table estimates a simple logit regression of choice of candidate 2 regressed on empathy level, the treatment and their interaction. We also include controls for age and income in an effort to tighten our standard errors. The results clearly suggest that empathic respondents are significantly more likely to choose candidate 2 when empathy is signalled. 6.6 Linking empathy to distributional preferences Our final test in Study 2 involves specifying, as in Study 1, a mediation model of the effects of empathy on policy preferences, via partisanship. In this case, we take for policy preferences the distributional preferences captured in 6.3.2. For partisan identification, we create a variable reading -1 for Conservative identifiers, 0 for non-identifiers, and 1 for 18 Low empathy High empathy No signal 59% 53% Empathy signal 49% 60% Table 5: Percentage of low and high empathy voters support candidate 2 when empathy is not and is signalled. This table shows that support for candidate 2 increases (decreases) for those with high (low) empathy when empathy is signalled by the candidate Table 6: Empathy signals and candidate sorting (logistic regression) Variable Empathy signal High empathy Empathy signal*High empathy Income Age group Coefficient -0.483 -0.327 0.911∗ -0.332∗∗ 0.014∗ N Log-likelihood χ2(5) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.329) (0.285) (0.415) (0.102) (0.007) 434 -287.546 19.314 † : 10% ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% those who identify with the either of the centre-left Liberals or NDP. Tables 7-9 present the results for each stage of the mediation test. As shown the first stage (Table 7), there is no direct relationship between empathy and distributive preferences. However, as Table 8 demonstrates, there is a link between high empathy and partisanship (as in Study 1). Finally, Table 9 demonstrates that partisanship clearly influences preferences over distribution, such that those who are on the left are more likely to prefer more egalitarian income schemes. In sum, what we find is that while empathy does not link to distributive preferences directly, it does underwrite partisanship, which in turn influences distributive preferences. An analysis of mediation statistics suggests this relationship may be significant (ACME=.01 (95% CI -.002, .022), % direct effect mediated=22%, ρ = .27).6 The importance of these results is the following: when we consider the relationship between empathy and abstracted policy preferences, i.e. those stripped of the language of care or concern but retaining their distributional features, we find no relationship. However, we do find that preferences over such policies are shaped by partisanship, which is itself a product of empathy. Accordingly, our replication suggests that to the extent that empathy matters for policy preferences, it is especially through its concurrent influence on partisanship. These results, combined with our sorting experiment, suggest that partisanship serves as in important link between empathy and policy preferences. Perhaps, over 6 We also note that if we drop controls for gender, the significance of our mediation results increases substantially. 19 time, empathic individuals learn about the political world and the policy preferences they should hold via the signals and proposals of politicians with whom they identify. Such a mechanism seems consistent with the kind of story told in the moral tastes framework, in which individuals come to understand over time how different policy choices can be linked to their own moral and psychological taste (Haidt, 2013). Table 7: Redistribution preferences and behavioural empathy measure, with gender (ordered logit) Variable High empathy Age category income Female Coefficient 0.038 -0.003 -0.185∗ 0.540∗∗ N Log-likelihood χ2(4) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.188) (0.006) (0.092) (0.188) 434 -517.044 13.78 † : 10% ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% Table 8: Partisanship and behavioural empathy measure, with gender (ordered logit) Variable High empathy Age category Income Female Coefficient 0.365† 0.000 -0.149 0.787∗∗ N Log-likelihood χ2(4) Significance levels : 7 (Std. Err.) (0.209) (0.007) (0.103) (0.226) 422 -359.287 20.409 † : 10% ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% Study 3 Our partisan sorting experiment in Study 2 demonstrates that individuals who demonstrate greater empathy are more likely to select a candidate when that candidate in turn signals more empathic behaviour. This provides some evidence that it is the characteristics of candidates, rather than their policy positions, which helps voters sort on to parties. It is possible, however, that such a pattern of responses could still be generated by differential policy positions among candidates. Suppose in the real world that candidates who display more empathy are also more likely to take more progressive policy positions. If this is 20 Table 9: Redistributive preferences and behavioural empathy measure, with partisanship and gender (ordered logit) Variable Partisanship High empathy Age category Income Female Coefficient 0.638∗∗ -0.053 -0.003 -0.171† 0.413∗ N Log-likelihood χ2(5) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.119) (0.192) (0.006) (0.095) (0.193) 422 -487.16 43.456 † : 10% ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% true, then choosing more empathic candidates may be a learned behavioural response of empathic individuals not because they value empathy per se, but because they prefer more redistributive and helping policies, and they know these are more likely to be advanced by more empathic candidates. The aim of Study 3 is to demonstrate that this is not the case. We achieve this by extending our sorting experiment, by introducing into it a policy positions stated by the candidates. Our results suggest that more empathic individuals are more likely to sort onto candidates who signal more empathy. However, in the absence of an empathy signal, they are not more likely to sort onto those who indicate support for redistributive or helping policies. Likewise, in the presence of an empathy signal, indicating policy positions does not change the distribution of preferences among more empathic individuals. 7.1 Data Study 3 was conducted in November of 2014. A sample of 1033 individuals was provided by Survey Sample International (SSI). Our study was conducted on the Qualtrics platform. The results presented below are from questions placed in the second half of the survey. The first half included a series of unrelated foreign policy questions (see Soroka et al. (2016)). 7.1.1 Subjects We exclude subjects who do not indicate their age group, gender, household income, or province of residence. We likewise exclude those who did not complete our empathy measure or our sorting experiment. This leaves 1012 respondents. Subjects display an even balance on gender (52.1% male, 47.9% female) and age group (18 to 24: 9.7%, 25 to 34: 17.4%; 35 to 44: 18.7%; 45 to 54: 16.1%, 55 to 64: 19.4%; 65+, 18.7%). Respondents are likewise well-balanced on income category and province of residence. 21 7.1.2 Empathy As in Studies 1 and 2, empathy was recovered using the eight-item version of the Empathy Quotient. As in Study 1, the scale demonstrates respectable internal consistency (α = .75). The items all load heavily on a single dimension.7 As in Study 1, women display a higher mean score than mean (t=6.1, p = .00, two-tailed). 7.2 Experiment As in Study 2, respondents were presented with two fictional candidates and asked for which they would be more likely to vote. Once again, the second candidate was randomized to a description that included cognitive language or empathic language. The innovation of this experiment is to include a second treatment in which the description of the second candidate is also randomized to include a description of a redistributive, helping policy position. The exact text of the experiment is as follows, with the randomizations for the first experiment included in parentheses and the randomization for the second experiment included in bold text: John Smith is a businessperson and is 42 years old. He is entering public life because he believes he can be a good representative of his constituents in Ottawa, because he has a longstanding interest in public policy, and because he is concerned about the future of the country. Frank Martin is a teacher and is 47 years old. He is entering public life because he (is concerned/cares deeply) about people and because he (thinks/feels) that he can make their lives better. He thinks tuition fees are too high and public schools are under-funded. He supports raising taxes in order to decrease university tuition and increase public school funding. Which candidate would you be more likely to vote for? 7.3 Study 3 results As articulated in Section 7, there are two relevant tests to demonstrate that the link between empathy and candidate choice can occur independently of policy positions. First, to demonstrate that empathic individuals are more likely to sort onto more empathic candidates even in the presence of a policy position. This would demonstrate that the additional information present in a policy position does not eliminate the effect of empathic signalling. Second, to demonstrate that absent an empathic signal, signalling a policy position has no additional effect on the likelihood that empathic individuals select a candidate. To begin, Table 10 shows the frequency of preferences for the left wing candidate according to their empathy signal and the empathy of respondents. Once again, more 7 A principal components factor analysis indicates a first factor eigenvalue of 2.28, with a mean loading of .52 and a minimum losing of .47. 22 empathic individuals appear more likely to sort onto the more empathic candidate. Compared to Study 2 (table 5), there is less sorting away from the empathic candidate among those low in empathy. However, the general pattern appears consistent. Low empathy High empathy No signal 35% 44% Empathy signal 34% 52% Table 10: Percentage of low and high empathy voters support candidate 2 when empathy is not and is signalled. This table shows that support for candidate 2 increases (decreases) for those with high (low) empathy when empathy is signalled by the candidate Tables 11 and 12 present results related to our two more critical tests. Two sets of regressions are estimated. In the first regression, we estimate a model of support for the left candidate as a function of an empathy signal conditional on being empathic and conditional upon knowing the policy position of the left candidate. This is the first test. The results suggest that a candidate who sends an empathic signal is no more likely to win the votes of individuals above the median on empathy than those below the median. In the second regression, we estimate a model of support for the left candidate as a function of a policy signal conditional on the respondent being empathic and the candidate not signally empathy. Here, as expected, we find no effect for the policy signal. Empathic individuals do not appear to sort on to candidates who propose more redistributive, helping policies in the absence of empathic language. Taken together, this provides some evidence that the effect of candidates sending empathy signals to empathic voters is not simply as a stand in for policy positions. Indeed, while we do not find evidence of that an empathy signal has an independent effect in the presence of a policy position, nor do we find evidence that a policy position alone in the absence of an empathy signal moves empathic voters. Table 11: Empathy signalling and support for left candidates, conditional on policy information (logistic regression) Variable Empathy signal Female Household income Intercept Coefficient 0.050 0.088 0.003 0.310∗ N R2 F (3,220) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.067) (0.068) (0.011) (0.133) 224 0.01 .731 † : 10% 23 ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% Table 12: Policy signalling and support for left candidates, conditional on no empathy signalling (logistic regression) Variable Policy signal Female Household income Intercept Coefficient 0.166 0.483† -0.107∗ -0.561 N Log-likelihood χ2(3) Significance levels : 8 (Std. Err.) (0.266) (0.269) (0.045) (0.508) 243 -161.964 9.935 † : 10% ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% Discussion and Conclusion Individual traits matter for politics. This paper suggests that one individual trait, empathy, has unsuspected political implications. When parents or day-care workers teach young children how to attend and respond to others’ emotions, we do not usually view them as engaging in a political activity. Yet, even without mentioning political parties, political candidates, or political issues, they may be shaping the children’s future political preferences. Our results suggest that those who exhibit strong empathic capacities will be more likely than others to identify with left-wing parties as well as to support higher spending programs, even at a cost to themselves. Much of this support for greater government programs comes not as a result of the programs themselves, but because of empathy’s influence on the political identifications these individuals develop. We have demonstrated this first through an observational study relying principally on self-report measures. The results from this study are largely replicated by the behavioural measures employed in Study 2. The link is further clarified in Study 3. These results add to our understanding of the relationship between personality and political behavior. As with notable previous work (e.g. Gerber et al., 2010; Johnston, 1992; Lenz, 2013; Mondak, 2010), we demonstrate that an individual difference in a key trait matters for a large schedule of political preferences. Moreover, it does so in a manner which is theoretically informed by our understanding of the properties of this trait. Empathic individuals are better able to imagine and feel the pain of others and to exhibit care for others, so it makes sense that they would demonstrate greater preference for candidates who exhibit care. A focus on empathy also helps us gain a deeper understanding of both the causes and the effects of partisanship. First, we argued that partisanship is informed by one’s empathic capacity; second, we showed that partisanship mediates part of the effect of empathy on policy preferences. Given that individual traits tend to be stable among adults (Knafo et al., 2008), these findings support the characterization of partisanship as an “unmoved mover” (Johnston, 2006). It also helps us in understanding how partisanship precedes other political preferences and values (Goren, 2005; Lenz, 2013). 24 Our work has several limitations. First, it is conducted in a single country. Given the likely conditional effect of the political environment on personality traits (Mondak et al., 2010), replication of these results in countries with a different array of political choices would help us understand how consistently empathy is related to political preferences. Second, our work has considered only a limited schedule of policy preferences, particularly those related to social spending and, in Study 2, more basic questions of distribution. Our questions thus tap into the economic dimension of the left-right cleavage. We have not theoretically entertained or empirically measured the relationship between empathy and preferences for social and moral policy and issues (Feldman and Johnston, 2014). Even with these limitations, we have demonstrated that another important individual difference matters for political preferences. Political science should continue to explore the importance of such heterogeneities among various populations. 25 9 Appendix A: Additional Results In this section, we present additional results to demonstrate the construct validity of our measure of altruism, to demonstrate the robustness of our policy results over each item, and to present additional components from our mediation analysis. 9.1 Construct validity The survey contains a unique behavioural measure by which we can test the validity of our measure of empathy, in addition to the check on gender presented in Section 5.3. We assume, based on the Empathy-Altruism hypothesis (Batson et al., 2002), that those who exhibit higher empathy will also reveal greater preferences for altruism To test this, we rely on an anonymous recipient dictator game embedded in the survey. Respondents were given the opportunity to share any amount of a $100 prize with an anonymous recipient. Subjects were told that they would be entered in a draw and that, if they won, their allocation decision in the dictator game would determine their share of the prize. Subjects were thus making a decision over expected money. A bivariate regression suggests that empathy is strongly and positively related to dictator game allocations (b = 9.40, p = .00, N = 3765). 9.2 Additional Results The following tables (13-16) demonstrate that our policy preference results hold for each individual policy item. 26 Table 13: Empathy and prefrences for carbon taxes (OLS) Variable Empathy New Democratic identification Conservative identification Liberal identification Female Age Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Canada Income College University Intercept Coefficient 0.096† 0.181∗∗ -0.219∗∗ 0.152∗∗ -0.003 -0.003 -0.088∗ -0.016 -0.039 0.006 0.023∗ 0.050 0.193∗∗ 0.231∗∗ N R2 F (13,1435) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.049) (0.051) (0.035) (0.039) (0.022) (0.008) (0.041) (0.044) (0.027) (0.039) (0.009) (0.035) (0.033) (0.067) 1449 0.126 15.915 † : 10% ∗ : 5% 27 ∗∗ : 1% Table 14: Empathy and prefrences for free university (OLS) Variable Empathy New Democratic identification Conservative identification Liberal identification Female Age Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Canada Income College University Intercept Coefficient 0.200∗∗ 0.145∗∗ -0.074∗∗ 0.049† 0.010 -0.028∗∗ -0.061∗ -0.049 -0.002 -0.015 0.013∗ 0.028 0.051∗ 0.229∗∗ N R2 F (13,1864) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.033) (0.033) (0.024) (0.027) (0.015) (0.005) (0.028) (0.030) (0.018) (0.026) (0.006) (0.024) (0.022) (0.045) 1878 0.082 12.773 † : 10% ∗ : 5% 28 ∗∗ : 1% Table 15: Empathy and prefrences for cancer drugs (OLS) Variable Empathy New Democratic identification Conservative identification Liberal identification Female Age Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Canada Income College University Intercept Coefficient 0.106∗ 0.184∗∗ -0.064∗ 0.064† -0.041∗ 0.022∗∗ -0.047 -0.005 -0.066∗∗ -0.020 0.031∗∗ 0.042 0.107∗∗ 0.148∗ N R2 F (13,1390) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.045) (0.046) (0.033) (0.036) (0.020) (0.008) (0.037) (0.043) (0.025) (0.036) (0.009) (0.032) (0.030) (0.063) 1404 0.062 7.095 † : 10% ∗ : 5% 29 ∗∗ : 1% Table 16: Empathy and prefrences for reduced wait times (OLS) Variable Empathy New Democratic identification Conservative identification Liberal identification Female Age Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Canada Income College University Intercept Coefficient 0.122∗∗ 0.031 -0.019 0.070∗ 0.010 0.006 -0.019 -0.034 -0.001 0.003 0.005 0.037 0.031 0.291∗∗ N R2 F (13,1789) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.037) (0.037) (0.028) (0.030) (0.017) (0.006) (0.032) (0.034) (0.020) (0.029) (0.007) (0.027) (0.025) (0.052) 1803 0.016 2.25 † : 10% ∗ : 5% 30 ∗∗ : 1% 10 Appendix B: Mediation Results The following tables demonstrate logit regressions of each partisanship on empathy and the schedule of control variables in Table 2. Table 17: Empathy and Conservative Partisanship (logit) Variable Empathy Female Age Income College University Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Intercept Coefficient -0.517∗∗ -0.540∗∗ 0.117∗∗ 0.078∗ -0.083 -0.531∗∗ 0.453∗∗ 0.063 -0.061 -0.309† -0.660∗ N Log-likelihood χ2(10) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.195) (0.089) (0.033) (0.038) (0.131) (0.126) (0.152) (0.174) (0.105) (0.165) (0.275) 3799 -1843.546 132.092 † : 10% 31 ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% Table 18: Empathy and Liberal Partisanship (logit) Variable Empathy Female Age Income College University Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Intercept Coefficient 0.433∗ 0.195∗ 0.060† 0.117∗∗ 0.135 0.233† 0.082 -0.136 0.482∗∗ 0.331∗ -2.905∗∗ N Log-likelihood χ2(10) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.191) (0.085) (0.032) (0.037) (0.146) (0.137) (0.172) (0.194) (0.108) (0.156) (0.283) 3799 -1943.842 72.852 † : 10% ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% Table 19: Empathy and New Democratic Partisanship (logit) Variable Empathy Female Age Income College Education University Alberta Prairies Ontario Atlantic Intercept Coefficient 0.696∗∗ 0.296∗∗ -0.148∗∗ -0.292∗∗ 0.000 -0.356∗ 0.055 -0.813∗∗ -0.029 -0.407∗∗ -0.491∗ -1.266∗∗ N Log-likelihood χ2(10) Significance levels : (Std. Err.) (0.253) (0.113) (0.040) (0.047) (0.000) (0.177) (0.160) (0.242) (0.200) (0.129) (0.197) (0.338) 3799 -1251.44 109.431 † : 10% 32 ∗ : 5% ∗∗ : 1% This table demonstrates the effects of empathy on policy preferences absent controls for partisanship. 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