EUROPEAN SYSTEMS SCIENCE UNIO ISA RESEARCH COMMITTEE 51 ON SOCIOCYBERNETICS 6TH EUROPEAN CONGRESS ON SYSTEMS SCIENCE, PARIS, FRANCE, SEPTEMBER 19-22,2005 _________________________ THE IDENTITY OF THE “PLACE IN LA MANCHA” IN DON QUIXOTE: A SYSTEMIC APPROACH F. Parra-Luna ABSTRACT A multidisciplinary research team using systemic methodologies to analyze the novel The ingenious hidalgo Don Quixote of La Mancha has discovered an underlying mathematical structure in Cervantes’ book: an architecture emerging when the riding times between actual geographic places, expressed in days and nights on horseback, were systemically related to the respective real distances expressed in kilometers, assuming different riding speeds. Building on this mathematical structure, two facts were determined: first, the ground that – according to the novel – Rosinante and Sancho’s donkey could cover in a day’s time; and second, the identity of Cervantes’ mysterious “place in La Mancha”, indisputably located in the region known as “Campo de Montiel”, and verified within a reasonable degree of scientific certitude to be the village of Villanueva de los Infantes, in the Spanish province of Ciudad Real. INTRODUCTION In the four centuries since Cervantes published his novel, no-one has identified the “place in La Mancha” whose name the author cared not to remember. The Argamasilla de Alba legend, based on the famous farcical ode written by Cervantes himself to the members of the Argamasilla (or perhaps the Calatrava) Academy, was later nourished by Fernández de Avellaneda (1614), along with some of the novel’s earliest commentators such as Mayans (1737), de los Rios (1782), Fernández Navarrete (1819) and Clemencín (1833). That premise was later definitively disproved, however, by both Astrana Marín (1948) and Rodríguez Marín (1949). More recent papers proposing new places by authors such as Terrero (1959), Ruiz de Vargas (1976), Perona (1988), Ligero Móstoles (1991) and Muñoz Romero (2001), to name a few, likewise lack scientific substantiation. In fact, there is no known attempt to rigorously apply scientific method to determine the exact location of Don Quixote’s “place in La Mancha”. And yet, today such an approach is perfectly possible thanks to the methodological paradigms proposed in Systems Theory, among others. Indeed, the systemic approach is generally characterized by providing for the best possible selection of variables that not only represent the object studied as a whole, but are themselves inter-related in complex ways. In the present case, the analysis involves 24 possible villages, 96 decisive distances and 21 different assumptions about the speed at which Don Quixote and Sancho Panza were able to ride Rosinante and the donkey, all of which must be taken into account in the systemic whole. All of this precludes simplistic approaches and conclusions obtained on the basis of a single village; rather, the solution should be found by optimizing plausible assumptions (minimization of differences) and taking account of all the potential candidates. The present paper will show that the existence of a certain mathematical structure in the novel provides: firstly, confirmation of the hypothesis put forward in an earlier study that the “place in La Mancha” is Villanueva de los Infantes; and secondly, to determine the exact speed sustained by Rosinante and Sancho’s donkey (a matter that has become highly controversial). From the vantage of the first objective, the present study entails “revisiting” research conducted at the Complutense University of Madrid and published under the title E L QUIJOTE COMO UN SISTEMA DE DISTANCIAS/TIEMPOS: HACIA LA LOCALIZACIÓN DEL LUGAR DE LA MANCHA (The novel Don Quixote as a time/distance system: locating the place in La Mancha), Ed. Complutense, Madrid, 2005, referred to hereafter as the “parent paper”. The reply implicit in this article reformulates some of the initial assumptions on which that research was based for the sole purpose of verifying its core hypothesis (location of the “place in La Mancha”), while pursuing a higher degree of certitude and objectivity, whatever the new findings show. The existence of a tacit mathematical structure in the work is instrumental to verification or refutation of the prior research. THE DISTANCE / RIDING TIME SYSTEM But is the existence of a mathematical structure in Don Quixote, of any sort, let alone able to attain the above two objectives, even imaginable? In fact, it is both imaginable and verifiable, thanks to the facts that Cervantes himself provides: First, the point of departure: Campo de Montiel, a historic/geographic region with a total of 24 villages at the time the novel was written, all at empirically measurable distances from one another. Second, “theoretical” distances (expressed in riding time): between the enigmatic “place in La Mancha” (hereafter abbreviated “L”) and three places (Puerto Lápice, Sierra Morena and El Toboso) explicitly cited by Cervantes, and one (Munera) implicitly mentioned; and all of these are real geographic sites with their respective distances to the region’s 24 villages. Moreover, these theoretical riding times can be quantified to a reasonable degree of accuracy. These data were structured on the basis of these premises and the information gathered during the research effort described above. The parent paper 2 announced some of the quantitative keys implicit in the novel: among others, the so-called topological solution, which is the one reconsidered here under more certain and verifiable assumptions. But, outside the data and calculations that led to advancing the hypothesis that Villanueva de los Infantes is the “place in La Mancha”, certain problematic issues remained outstanding, namely: to know if the hypothesis of 31 and 36 kms/day were correct; and to verify with new data if the “place of la Mancha” is Villanueva de los Infantes. a) The speed of 31 km/day assumed in the above study was obviously too slow a pace to travel from Villanueva de los Infantes to El Toboso in the time allotted by the author. It was found (Chapter 8, “Model Ethics”) that if a speed of 36 km/day for that particular journey (so different from the preceding two) had been assumed instead, no discrepancy would have arisen between the two days and one night that, according to Cervantes, it took to travel that far, and the distance of approximately 90 km between the two villages. b) Cervantes himself – albeit implicitly - established a speed of 31 km/day for the journey from Puerto Lápice to Sierra Morena on the occasion of Don Quixote’s second departure from home. Eminent Cervantine experts have proved (see Casasayas, 1999) that Don Quixote left home the first time on Friday, 28 July (one assumes in 1589) and returned two days later. His respite lasted for a further 17. Slightly reinterpreting Casasayas’ calculations, Don Quixote (this time in the company of Sancho Panza) would have set out for the second time on the night of 15 August. It took the travelers two days to reach Puerto Lápice, having spent the night of 17 August in a shepherd’s hut just outside the village. By 22 August they reached Don Quixote’s place of penance, in the very midst of Sierra Morena (in the region of Andalusia, eight leagues from Almodóvar del Campo and more than thirty from El Toboso), after traveling what translates to approximately 141 km (from Puerto Lápice). Since they rode this distance in five, or more precisely, four and a half days, their speed, calculated from Cervantes’ literal account, was 31 km/day. It was gratifying for the research team to find – when they had nearly completed the parent study - that the speed of 31 km that they had adopted from the outset based on a series of calculations and estimated averages, concurred with Cervantes’ own assumptions. c) As discussed in Annex 4 to the initial paper, the speed of 31 km/day deduced for the distance from Puerto Lápice to Sierra Morena was reached despite the couple’s sundry and on occasion physically traumatic adventures (peddlers from Yanguas, sheep, a corpse, fulling mills and so on). It was consequently found reasonable to increase that pace by ten to twenty per cent (fifteen was ultimately adopted) for less eventful journeys. d) Hence the use in the aforementioned Annex 4 of a speed of 36 km/day to locate the inn where Don Quixote and Alvaro Tarfe met, and on those grounds conclude that in all likelihood their encounter took place in the Munera, a village located in what is now the Spanish province of Albacete. MUNERA, ALBACETE AS THE HYPOTHETICAL “TARFE POINT” Moreover, the identification of Munera as the venue for that meeting is further sustained by the following evidence: firstly, the name of that village appeared more often than any other as the match for the connection defined in terms of the distance between “Tarfe point” and “place in La Mancha”. Secondly, it is the most logical place for the three 3 characters to have parted company, considering that Don Alvaro Tarfe was heading towards Granada and Don Quixote/Sancho towards their home in Campo de Montiel. And thirdly, it is highly unlikely that the “Tarfe point” would be in any nearby village, given Munera’s relative importance and cross-roads location. The establishment of the location of the “Tarfe point” at Munera with an acceptable degree of certainty provides the fourth geographic point of reference needed to determine the distance/riding time system and the resulting mathematical structure in the novel. THE OBJECTIVE DISTANCES BETWEEN VILLAGES AND THE FOUR POUINTS OF REFERENCE Measuring the distances between villages was an exercise fraught with difficulties due to the inability to objectively establish what would have been the most logical routes – and respective distances - in the late sixteenth century (differences between maps, new roads, short-cuts, paths and so on) and indeed, the want of a more verifiable system of distances left the researchers with an uncomfortable sensation of uncertainty. Based on the old adage that “La Mancha has no roads, for it is nothing but a road” (plain that it is), this problem was circumvented by measuring the straight-line distances between villages on a validated map (Michelin 2004) to reach a consensus on the question with the highest possible degree of objectivity. Table 1 shows then, exactly, straight-line distances (scale: 1mm.=1 km.) HYPOTHESES ON KILOMETERS TRAVELLED PER DAY This new approach forms a part of the mathematical strategy presented hereunder, which purports not only to avoid the subjectivity involved in choosing one of several alternative routes and taking problematic measurements, but especially to free the analysis of any dependence on different hypotheses about the ground that the two mounts could cover in a day’s time. Therefore, all the reasonable hypotheses about speed were tested to find the one that reduced to a minimum all the discrepancies in the distances between the 24 villages in question and the presumed “place in La Mancha”. The aim was to reduce the differences between theoretical riding time and actual distance from each village to each of the four points of reference, to calculate a speed necessarily acceptable for each and every one of the villages that would consequently minimize the sum of the discrepancies for all of them as a whole. The first step was to estimate the riding time (expressed in kilometers) from the unknown place in La Mancha (L) to each of the four “points of reference”. The criteria considered, all of which can be found in different chapters of the novel, were as follows: Distance to Puerto Lápice *Don Quixote and Sancho rode almost a whole night (from 1 to 6=5 hours=3,1x5=15,5 kms). *The next day, they were estimated to have traveled 1 kilometer less than normal because of the windmill episode (31-1=30 kms/day). *On the second day they “discovered” Puerto Lápice at three o’clock in the afternoon. Assuming that they started at approximately eight o’clock in the morning (Don Quixote woke Sancho when the sun was already up) they rode for seven hours, or 3,1x7=21,7 kms. (Chapters XII to XXIV, Part I).Summarizing, they were estimated to rode a little more than two days (63 kms). 4 Distance from Sierra Morena Two days, or 62 kms (Chapter 37, Part I) Distance to El Toboso *one night * two days (Chap. 9, Part II). Summarizing, 15,5+31+31=77,5 kms.. Distance from Munera (“Tarfe point”) *Distance from the inn where they met Don Alvaro Tarfe to the place where they parted company (half a league), i.e., 2.75 km. *They rode for a night and a day. Since when they reached the village there were children playing in the vegetable patches outside the town, it must have been around ten in the morning, from which it may be deduced that they rode another four hours, or 4x3,1=12,4 kms. (Chap. 72, Part II). Summarizing, 2,75+15,5+31+12,4=61,65, or 62 kms. THE MATHEMATICAL STRUCTURE In table 1 are the distances between the 24 villages of Campo de Montiel until the four reference points given by Cervantes: Puerto Lápice (PL), Sierra Morena (SM), El Toboso (ET) and Munera (M). Let us consider this table as the matrix (aij) i = 1,…,24 j = 1,..,4. Equally the vector d = (d1,d2,d3,d4) where dj represents the number of days spent by D. Quijote and Sancho to arrive from the “place of La Mancha” (L) until the four reference points. d1 = days to arrive until PL. d2 = days to arrive until SM. d3 = days to arrive until ET. d4 = days to arrive until M. According with the information given by Cervantes in the novel, it can be estimated the dj (j =1,..,4), thus, d = (2.03, 2, 2.5, 2) Let us call v the speed by day in kms, and define now the matrix (xij): xij = v dj for all i Let us consider now the following matrix (_ij) = (_ xij - aij _) which represents the discrepancies between the xij , (theoretical distances) that are function of v, and Aij (real distances). It remains thus (_ij) as a function of speed. If we could know exactly this speed (f.i. the 31 Km. per day used previously in our published work), then the matrix of discrepancies (_ij), would be known. F.i. for i = 1 (Albaladejo), the file would be: _11 = _100 – 31*2.03 _ = 37 5 _12 = _69 – 31*2_ = 7 _13 = _100 – 31*2.5 _ = 22.5 _14 = _54 – 31*2.5 _ = 8 as it can be checked in the hypothetical figure 1. . . for i = 24 (Villanueva de los Infantes), the file would be _11 = _77 – 31*2.03 _ = 14 _12 = _58 – 31*2_ =4 _13 = _85 – 31*2.5 _ = 7.5 _14 = _57 – 31*2 _ = 5 In the same way, for i = 2,…,23, the matrix (_ij), is shown in table 2. The problem now is to compare the discrepancies of the 24 villages, each one represented by its file in the matrix (_ij). Fig. 2 shows the need of overlapping the circles in an optimum point (L) by minimization of discrepancies. But the comparisons between vectors are not easy unless we have access to certain mathematical methodologies. The idea is to apply the Multicriteria Decision Theory, defining a function z able to associate to each file of the matrix (vector) a real value, making then possible to compare real numbers. In principle, the minimum value of them will correspond to the unknown “place of La Mancha”. Symbollicaly: Z (_i1, _i2, _i3, _i4) _ Z(_i1, _i2, _i3, _i4) = r _ R Following the Multicriteria Decision Theory, and once analyzed the components of the vector (criteria), we can set up different functions of value which will give very similar solutions to the problem. : (1) Z (_i1, _i2, _i3, _i4) = ∑ni=1 _ij (2) Z(_i1, _i2, _i3, _i4) = ∑ni=1( _ij )2 (3) Z(_i1, _i2, _i3, _i4) = maxi _ij With any one of these four functions of value and once each village has been evaluated, the village achieve the minj Z, will be the “place of La Mancha”. Repeating this procedure for different hypothesis of speed v (not only for the 31 kms. day), we will get the optimum villages for each value of v. In other words, from this methodological perspective the optimum for each village will be determined by the minimum values of any of the “relative maximin”, “absolute maximin”, “sum of maximin” and “global discrepancy”. It can be seen in table 3 that there are two minimum ”maximin” (0,15), two “absolute maximin” (10), two “sum of maximin” (605), but different “global 6 discrepancies” (1377 and 1399). It can said then that this “global discrepancy” can be taken as the most relevant and sensible explicative tool. As a consequence of this, we may rise a second problem: If, instead of consider the _ij constant, we set up them as function of v, _ij(v), then the problem can be solved by minimizing a convenient objective function related to v. This will give us, in principle, and according with the function we choose, different solutions. Let us take as a function of the global discrepancy, the sum of the total discrepancies. That means to use the metrique L1. The problem will be: minvO = minv ∑i ∑j _ij(v) = minv ∑i ∑j _ v dj – aij _ and we will get the polygonal fig. 2 In this case, which correspond to a parabola,, we can get its minimum in an analytic form, deriving respect to v and equalizing to cero. Thus dO/ dv = 2 ∑i ∑j( v dj – aij ) dj which making equal cero we get ∑i ∑j( v dj – aij ) dj = 0 ∑i ∑j( v dj2 – aij dj ) = 0 that is to say v ∑i ∑j dj2 = ∑i ∑j aij dj them vopt = ∑i ∑j aij dj / 24∑j dj2 7 Which can be repeated for the other three metriques L2,L3,L4. (see the adjusted equations and their correspondent derivatives in table 4) where these derivatives mean the speed of Rosinante and Sancho’s donkey. Summarizing: Table 4 shows the four possible adjustments of data in table 3 taking the speed v as the independent variable (X). We have then four final results and two main alternatives of interpretation. The first one is to consider the best result as given by the best adjustment (R2 = 0,9976) and take as the most valid v=34,678 kms/day. The second, is the weighed average of the four results doing V= 4∑i=1 vi ei / 4∑i=1 ei.. Where v are speeds and e errors As we prefere the later, the final result is V=33,5008 kms/day which would be the real speed of Rosinante and Sancho’s donkey according with Cervantes’ information, and Villanueva de los Infantes the “place of La Mancha” as it can be seen also in table 3. CONCLUSION Cervantes’ novel Don Quixote of La Mancha has an implicit mathematical structure that emerges when the riding times-distances between the villages in the geographic area where the action takes place are organized into a formal system. Moreover, this mathematical structure would reveal the identity of the author’s enigmatic and to date unknown “place in La Mancha”. Despite the logical skepticism that the mere enunciation of such a structure in any literary text – not to mention a novel as famous and universal as Don Quixote - may elicit, the present study is believed to have effectively proved that a systemic approach can in fact be used to reach both of the objectives defined at the outset. By relating all the actual distances between the villages existing in Campo de Montiel and the four points of reference provided by the author (three explicitly: Puerto Lápice, Sierra Morena and El Toboso; and one implicitly: Munera) to the “theoretical” distances (or riding times) based on different hypotheses about the distances that Rosinante and Sancho Panza’s donkey could travel per day, this approach revealed the formal or mathematical structure underlying the text, from which the two specific facts listed below could be determined: First, the overlap among the circles illustrated in Graph 3 coincides precisely with the geographic area known as Campo de Montiel, putting an end to certain self-serving speculations and redefinitions in this regard. And second, the speed of 33.5 km/day is the result calculated from a literal reading of a series of facts in Cervantes’ text. This rule out any further conjecturing about the much debated speed at which the novel’s two main characters rode their respective mounts. The speed implicit in Cervantes’ definition of a riding time of four and a half days from Puerto Lápice to Sierra Morena was confirmed by the mathematical structure comprising the system of distances-riding times subsisting in the novel. Finally, the chief finding of the exercise was the verification of the hypothesis put forward in the parent paper to the effect that the “place in La Mancha” is Villanueva de los Infantes, with the difference that here the certainty of the outcome could be scientifically 8 quantified. On the grounds of the fit to the parabolic equations, the error calculated was ….… REFERENCES • • • • • • • • • Astrana Marín, L., “Vida ejemplar y heróica de Miguel de Cervantes Saavedra”, I.E. Reus, Madrid, 1948. Casasayas, J.M., “Itinerario y cronología en la segunda parte del Quijote”, Anales Cervantinos, XXXV, 1999. Ligero Móstoles, A. “La Mancha de don Quijote”, Ayuntamiento de Alcazar de San Juan, 1991. Muñoz Romero, J., “La única y verdadera ruta de Don Quijote”, Ledoria, Toledo, 2001. Parra Luna et al. “El Quijote como sistema de distancias/tiempos: hacia la localización del lugar de la Mancha”, Ed. Complutense, Madrid, 2005. Perona D. “Geografía cervantina”, Alba Grupo Espasa, 1998. Rodríguez Marín, A. “El Ingenioso Hidalgo don Quijote de la Mancha”, por Miguel de Cervantes, Atlas, tomo IX, Madrid, 1949. Ruiz de Vargas, L. “El verdadero pueblo de don Quijote”, CIMBRA, Rev. De Ingeniería Técnica de Obras Públicas, Mayo 1976, num. 107 Terrero J. “La ruta de don Quijote”, Imp. Viuda de Galo Saez, Madrid, 1959. 9 Figure 1: Hyp. 31 kms/day ALBALADEJO El Toboso 100 77 Puerto Lápice 63 100 Munera L 62 54 69 62 Sierra Morena (Sta. Elena) 10 Table 1 Real distances between the villages of Campo de Montiel until the four referential points Villages Albaladejo Alcubillas Alhambra Almedina Cañamares Carrizosa Castellar s Cozar Fuenllana Membrilla Montiel Ossa Puebla P. Ruidera S.C. Cañamos Solana Terrinches Torre J. A. Torres M. Torrenueva Villahermosa Villamanrique Villa. Fuente Villa. Infantes PL 100 72 61 91 92 69 90 85 79 42 90 75 100 65 95 48 98 93 88 78 84 98 98 77 SM 69 52 70 55 78 66 27 46 64 65 67 92 55 87 64 65 64 44 61 30 69 49 80 58 ET 100 85 68 100 90 75 110 98 84 67 93 65 107 61 100 67 102 105 94 102 85 108 94 85 M 54 64 52 62 41 50 89 68 52 75 50 25 66 36 58 66 57 73 59 88 46 71 42 57 * Source: Map Michelin (España, Portugal) 2004 Scale 1mm=1km PL=Puerto Lápice (C. Real) SM=Sierra Morena (Jaen) ET=El Toboso (Toledo) M=Munera (Albacete) 11 Table 2 Discrepancies between "theoretical distances" and real distances among the villages of Campo de Montiel and the four referential points Villages Albaladejo Alcubillas Alambra Almedina Cañamares Carrizosa Castellar s Cozar Fuenllana Membrilla Montiel Ossa Puebla P. Ruidera S.C. Cañamos Solana Berrinches Torre J. A. Torres M. Torrenueva Villahermosa Villamanrique Villa. Fuente Villa. Infantes PL = - 63 SM = - 62 ET = - 77,5 M = - 62 37 7 22,5 8 9 10 7,5 2 2 8 9,5 10 28 7 22,5 0 29 16 12,5 21 6 4 2,5 12 27 35 32,5 27 22 16 20,5 6 16 2 6,5 10 21 3 10,5 13 27 5 15,5 12 12 30 12,5 37 37 7 29,5 4 2 25 16,5 26 32 2 22,5 4 15 3 10,5 4 35 2 24,5 5 30 18 27,5 11 25 1 16,5 3 15 32 24,5 26 21 7 7,5 16 35 13 30,5 9 35 18 16,5 20 14 4 7,5 5 * Source: Map Michelin (España, Portugal) 2004 Scale 1mm=1km PL=Puerto Lápice (C. Real) SM=Sierra Morena (Jaen) ET=El Toboso (Toledo) M=Munera (Albacete) 12 Table 3 Hypothesis of speed (v) Global discrepancies Sum of "Maximin" Absolute "Maximin" Relative "Maximin" Village X 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Y1 2951 2793 2617 2439 2277 2153 1979 1863 1751 1663 Y2 1124 1087 1036 973 923 889 822 774 722 677 Y3 25 23 21 20 18 16 14 12 10 10 Y4 0,63 0,55 0,48 0,49 0,38 0,32 0,27 0,22 0,18 0,17 La Solana " " " " " " " " Carrizosa 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 1575 1507 1445 1399 1377 1391 1413 1460 1499 1567 1649 643 621 609 605 605 617 638 666 697 737 786 10 10 12 10 10 12 14 14 16 18 21 0,17 0,16 0,18 0,15 0,15 0,17 0,2 0,19 0,21 0,23 0,27 Carriz. + Alh. Alc. + Alh. V. Infantes " " " " Torres M. " " " 13 Figure 2: 3500 3000 2500 Global Discrepancy 2000 1500 1000 2 y = 7,4262x - 514,94x + 10338 2 R = 0,9976 500 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 kms/day 14 Table 4: Final results Dependent Derivative Variable p Equation Error (v) Y1 Global discrepancy Y = 7,4262x2 - 514,94x + 10338 R2=0,9976 34,678 Y2 Sum of “Maximin” Y = 3,1119x2 - 207,65x + 4088,4 R2=0,9804 33,363 Y3 Absolute “Maximin” Y = 0,1297x2 - 8,0816x + 135,98 R2=0,9669 31,155 Y4 Relative “Maximin” Y = 0,2855x2 - 18,853x + 325,65 R2=0,9781 33,018 15 FIGURE 2: APPROXIMATIONS TOWARDS THE MINIMIZATION OF DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN “THEORETICAL DISTANCES” AND REAL DISTANCES. ET M PL L SM 16
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