ECON2913 (Spring 2012) 28.2 & 2.3.2012 (Tutorial 3) Consumer price index (CPI) and cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) Cost-of-Living Index: ratio of the present cost of a typical bundle of consumer goods and services compared with the cost during a base period. Example: Two sisters, A and B whose preferences are identical. Person A and B began their university education in 1990 and 2000 respectively. Person A in 1990 Her parents gave $500 for to A to spend on food and books Price of food = $2, and Price of book is $20 A’s consumption: 100 food and 15 books I1 $2 100 $20 15 $500 Person B in 2000 Price of food = $2.2, and price of book is $100 Her parents decided to give B the amount which is equivalent in buying power to the budget given to A. How much would be the budget? B’s consumption: 300 food and 6 books (same utility level as A’s bundle and B consumes more food and less books after the price change) I 2 $2.2 300 $100 6 $1260 The ideal cost of living index: the cost of attaining a given level of utility at current prices relative to the cost of attaining the same utility at base prices In this example, ideal cost of living index: $1260/$500 = 2.52 (152% in the cost of living) Books 25 I4 A 15 12.6 B U1 6 I1 100 I3 I2 250 300 Food 572 1 Laspeyres price index (keep the bundle fixed as the base year bundle) Amount of money at current year prices that an individual requires to purchase a bundle of goods/services chosen in a base year divided by the cost of purchasing the same bundle at base-year prices. Example: CPI (Consumer price index) P Q P2t Q2b LI 1t 1b P1b Q1b P2b Q2b The Laspeyres price index assumes that consumers do not alter their consumption patterns as prices change The Laspeyres price index tends to overstate the true cost of living index. (Why?) $2.2 100 $100 15 $1720 In this example, LI = 3.44 $2 100 $20 15 $500 Paasche index (keep the bundle fixed as the current year bundle) Amount of money at current year prices that an individual requires to purchase a current bundle of goods/services divided by the cost of purchasing the same bundle in a base year P Q P2t Q2t PI 1t 1t P1b Q1t P2b Q2t It assumes that individuals will buy current year bundle in the base period, however, facing the base year prices, consumers would be able the achieve the same utility at lower cost with another bundle The Paasche price index tends to understate the true cost of living index. (Why?) $2.2 300 $100 6 $1260 In this example, PI = 1.75 $2 300 $20 6 $720 Comparison of indexes Comparison between LI and PI Both LI and PI are fixed weight indexes. Quantities of various goods and services in each index remain unchanged (Verify!) Chain-Weighted Indexes: Cost-of-living index that accounts for changes in quantities of goods and services Introduced to overcome problems that arose when long-term comparisons were make using fixed weight price indexes COLA If salary is indexed to inflation, COLA recipients are always better off. Would individuals be better off or worse off in the time of deflation if there is COLA in their salaries? Price I1 A U2 U1 I4 I3 I2 Quantity 2
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