ICES Journal of Marine Science ICES Journal of Marine Science (2014), 71(9), 2589– 2598. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsu093 Original Article Biomass consumption by breeding seabirds in the western Indian Ocean: indirect interactions with fisheries and implications for management D. K. Danckwerts1*, C. D. McQuaid 1, A. Jaeger2, G. K. McGregor 3, R. Dwight 3, M. Le Corre2, and S. Jaquemet 2,4 1 Department of Zoology and Entomology, Rhodes University, Grahamstown 6140, South Africa Laboratoire ECOMAR (FR3560 UR/CNRS-INEE), Université de La Réunion, 15 Avenue René Cassin, CS 92003, 97744 St Denis Cedex 9, Ile de La Réunion, France 3 Department of Geography, Rhodes University, Grahamstown 6140, South Africa 4 UMR EME 212 (IRD/IFREMER/UM2), Department of Botany, Rhodes University, Grahamstown 6140, South Africa 2 *Corresponding author: tel: +27 46 603 8525; fax: +27 46 622 8959; e-mail: [email protected] Danckwerts, D. K., McQuaid, C. D., Jaeger, A., McGregor, G. K., Dwight, R., Le Corre, M., and Jaquemet, S. Biomass consumption by breeding seabirds in the western Indian Ocean: indirect interactions with fisheries and implications for management. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 71: 2589 – 2598. Received 7 October 2013; revised 14 April 2014; accepted 27 April 2014; advance access publication 6 June 2014. Fisheries potentially affect seabirds both directly and indirectly. Well-documented direct effects have resulted in significant losses to seabird populations, but indirect effects are less well known. One way in which tropical seabirds may be indirectly affected is through overexploitation of large subsurface predators. Tropical seabirds must forage over wide areas to attain sufficient prey and have evolved various methods of increasing foraging efficiency. One strategy is their association with surface-feeding tunas. When feeding, these predators drive prey to the surface, making them available to seabirds feeding from above. Losses in predator biomass will reduce prey accessibility (but not necessarily prey abundance) for seabirds, contributing to declines in bird populations. To explore indirect fisheries effects, we compared estimates of the magnitude and spatial distributions of consumption by breeding seabirds with fisheries offtake in the western Indian Ocean (WIO). Data from the literature were compared with Indian Ocean Tuna Commission longline and purse seine landings of selected tuna and billfish species from between 2000 and 2009. Breeding seabird populations (adults and immature birds) were estimated at 19 million individuals, assuming 50% breeding success. Based on the literature, these birds will consume between 150 000 and 500 000 metric tonnes (t) of prey; values that are of the same magnitude as mean annual longline (904+632 t) and purse seine (349 861+61 820 t) landings for the region. Spatial overlap between fisheries and seabirds is high, especially around the Seychelles, suggesting that the indirect impacts of fisheries on seabird populations may be great. Sooty Tern (Onychoprion fuscatus) is by far the dominant seabird in the study area, accounting for over 80% of numbers and consumption estimates. Our results highlight the importance of seabirds within WIO marine trophic webs and emphasize the potential indirect effects of industrial tuna fisheries on their populations. Keywords: longline, prey accessibility, purse-seine, sooty tern, subsurface predators, tropical seabird, tuna. Introduction The importance of seabirds within marine ecosystems is becoming increasingly recognized (Schreiber and Burger, 2002). Indeed, recent research has shown that the annual biomass consumed by seabirds is equivalent to the tonnage of marine resources removed each year by industrial fishing practices (Brooke, 2004). But while seabirds are gaining scientific appreciation, the future of their populations remains uncertain. The human population, characterized by # International an unparalleled growth, has now exceeded 6.1 billion individuals and has been shown to be directly correlated with species extinctions (Soulé, 1991; Steadman, 1995). One-fourth of all bird species are believed to have gone extinct as a result of human activities and seabird groups, most notably the Procellariiformes, are among the most threatened of all (Soulé, 1991; Steadman, 1995; Dee Boersma et al., 2002). This is especially true for the biodiverse western Indian Ocean (WIO) where a decline in seabird populations Council for the Exploration of the Sea 2014. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] 2590 has been observed since the 18th century (Feare, 1978, 1984). Many colonies are now extinct and those that still exist are greatly reduced in size (Feare, 1984; Feare et al., 2007). Some of the greatest threats facing seabirds today relate to industrial fishing practices (Tasker et al., 2000), and while a considerable degree of scientific attention has been devoted to understanding the direct effects of fishing activities on seabird populations, very little is known about the potential indirect impacts of these activities on the birds (reviewed in Montevecchi, 2002). One way in which tropical seabirds might be indirectly affected by fishing practices is through the overexploitation of large subsurface predators (Le Corre and Jaquemet, 2005). Unlike temperate and polar species, few tropical seabirds are able to access the water column through diving and most must search wide areas to obtain sufficient prey (Ballance and Pitman, 1999). To increase foraging efficiency, these birds have evolved an association with feeding subsurface predators, mainly schooling tuna and dolphins. The predators, when feeding, drive forage fish to the surface making them available to seabirds feeding from above (Au and Pitman, 1986; Ballance and Pitman, 1999; Le Corre and Jaquemet, 2005). Some seabird species are even regarded as “near obligate commensals” of tuna with more than 70% of all feeding activity occurring in association with schools of large predatory fish (Au and Pitman, 1986; Harrison and Seki, 1987; Jaquemet et al., 2004). As such, declines in tuna populations are thought to affect seabird populations by indirectly decreasing the prey available to them (Au and Pitman, 1986; Harrison and Seki, 1987; Le Corre et al., 2012). Until very recently, fisheries management has attempted to increase target fish catches, while ignoring the unintended ecosystem consequences. But the overall risks associated with seabird–fishery interactions have led to various international conservation agreements including the International Plan of Action (IPOA) for Reducing Incidental Catch of Seabirds in Longline Fisheries [under the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)], the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, and the Agreement on the Conservation of Albatrosses and Petrels. These agreements address the critical need for a more effective and holistic approach to fisheries management, by promoting ecosystem-based management (EBM; Yodzis, 2001; Pikitch et al., 2004). EBM places considerable emphasis on the sustainable use of marine resources, while also attempting to reduce the non-target species and habitat impacts of human activities (Pikitch et al., 2004). Particular emphasis is given to fisheries considering the influence that these practices have on fish abundance, trophic structure, ecosystem integrity, and marine biodiversity (Pikitch et al., 2004). In fact, EBM is also referred to as ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) and ecosystem-approach to fishery management (EAFM; Pikitch et al., 2004). EBM management will remain controversial until the numerical relationships between predators and prey are quantified and such an approach implies the need to estimate the flux of biomass that exists through marine ecosystems (Pikitch et al., 2004; Cury et al., 2011). Therefore, as an initial step towards EBFM, we conducted the first estimation of biomass consumption by breeding seabirds in the WIO, a region where tuna fisheries are well developed and tuna constitute the main overall catches. These biomass intakes were compared with Indian Ocean Tuna Commission (IOTC) longline and purse-seine landings of selected tuna and billfish species for the period 2000 – 2009. Our intention was to identify the areas where the impacts of intensive fisheries on seabird populations are likely to be greatest, by examining bird consumption, D. K. Danckwerts et al. during the breeding season, and fishery catches on a spatially explicit basis. Study area and methods For the purposes of this study, the WIO is defined as the area between 508E and 758E, and 308S and 208N. Seabird colonies were lumped into five groups roughly corresponding to the five main regions of the WIO, namely the Mascarenes, the Seychelles, the northern, and southern Mozambique Channel, and the Somalia and Red Sea regions (Figure 1). All 30 breeding seabird species from the 54 known colonies (Figure 1) in the region were included in our calculations. Many transient and vagrant species are found within the study area, but these were excluded because of the difficulty of estimating their abundance and because there is a great deal of the uncertainty regarding their diet when they are present in the region. Calculation of the biomass consumed by seabirds The range of biomass consumed by each species was calculated as the product of a population estimate (number of individuals), the daily biomass consumed (t d21), and a period of time (days). Seabird populations were estimated using an existing database of breeding population size of different species at different colonies across the WIO (data from Baker and Baker, 2001; Bennun and Njorge, 2001; Le Corre and Safford, 2001; Robertson, 2001; Rocamora and Skerrett, 2001; Safford, 2001a, b; Le Corre and Jaquemet, 2005; Feare et al., 2007). It was assumed that a single chick is produced by every breeding adult pair (Weimerskirch, 2002), corrected with 50% breeding success. Although Brooke (2004) estimated seabird populations using 60% survival, Catry et al. (2013) showed considerable interannual variation in the breeding performance of four tern species at Aride Island in the Seychelles. This ranged from complete failure in some species in some years to 91.5% fledgling success in other species in other years. The average breeding success of the four species studied over 4 years only marginally exceeded 50% and so this value was deemed most appropriate in our study. In addition, data owned by MLC and SJ and their experience on most of the tropical seabird species in the region support the suggestion of 50% breeding success. The units of time used in these calculations were the number of days within a single calendar year that each species is associated with the breeding colonies, taken from Appendix 2 in Schreiber and Burger (2002). We refer to this time, which extends from the pre-laying period through to the end of the post fledging dependence (where applicable), as the breeding season. This ranged from a minimum of 40 days in smaller species, such as the Saunder’s Tern (Sterna saundersi), to a full year for larger species like the Great Frigatebird (Fregata minor), which show extended parental care. In this regard, we also use the term “immature” to encompass the various growth stages that young birds must go through before they are completely independent of their parents. No distinction was made between the active breeding season when energy constraints on the adult birds are higher and otherwise. Rather, consumption was calculated using the known range of daily biomass consumption and the length of breeding season, providing conservative and liberal estimates of the tonnage removed. During the breeding season, adults are constrained by the energy demands of their offspring and remain within the vicinity of the colony, though some species do forage over great distances (up to 1000 km) at this time (Weimerskirch et al., 2004; Pinet et al., 2011). There is considerable evidence to suggest that many species disperse widely when at sea during the interbreeding period with some also undertaking long distance migrations within [e.g. 2591 Biomass consumption by breeding seabirds Figure 1. The WIO is a biodiverse region hosting globally significant populations of seabirds. Fifty-four extant breeding colonies are known to exist and are as follows: (1) Jasiira Ceebaad and Jasiira Sacada Din, (2) Jasiira Maydh, (3) Socotra Group, (4) Raas Xaafun and Raas Gumbax, (5) Mogadisho Islets, (6) Bajan islands, (7) Kiunga Marine Nature Reserve, (8) Whale Island, (9) Kisite Island, (10) Zanzibar Chumbe Island, (11) Latham, (12) Mafia Island, (13) Aride, (14) Bird Island, (15) Cousin, (16) Cousine, (17) Frégate, (18) Récif, (19) African Banks, (20) Boudeuse, (21) D’Arros, (22) Desnoeufs, (23) Marie-Louise, (24) Farquhar, (25) Goelettes, (26) Aldabra, (27) Cosmoledo, (28) Glorieuses, (29) Mayotte, (30) Mohéli, (31) Cape Anorontany Archipelago, (32) East Coast of Ansiranana, (33) Mitsio Archipelago, (34) Nosy Bé and other islets, (35) Etoile, (36) Puga-Puga, (37) Juan de Nova, (38) Nosy Barren, (39) Europa, (40) Islets off Morombé, (41) Nosy Vé, (42) Nosy Manitra and other islets, (43) Ilôts off Toamasina, (44) Tromelin, (45) Réunion, (46) Flat Island, (47) Gabriel Island, (48) Gunner’s Quoin, (49) Pigeon Rock, (50) Round Island, (51) Serpent Island, (52) Saint-Brandon, (53) Rodrigues Islets, and (54) Chagos Archipelago. Brown Noddy (Anous stolidus)] and outside the WIO [e.g. Sooty Tern (Onychoprion fuscatus) and Barau’s Petrel (Pterodroma baraui); pers. unpub. data; Pinet et al., 2011; Le Corre et al., 2012]. Consequently, consumption was calculated only for the breeding population (adults and immature birds) during the breeding season. Finally, the relative contribution of fish, fish larvae, crustaceans, and cephalopods to the diets of adults and immature birds of each species were extracted from the literature. Information on stomach content weights and the number of meals received each day were used to calculate the daily biomass consumption of immature birds, whereas the consumption of adults was calculated using field metabolic rates (FMRs) and prey energy contents assuming 75% digestive efficiency (Jackson, 1986; Hilton et al., 1999; Brooke, 2004). Prey proportions of closely related species were used when the required data were unavailable and FMRs were calculated using mass-based equations (Nagy, 1987; Birt-Friesen et al., 1989; Nagy et al., 1999; Ellis and Gabrielsen, 2002). Energetic values for each of the four prey groups were extracted from Davis et al. (1998) and Harris et al. (1986) as follows: crustaceans 2 kJ g21, cephalopods 5.5 kJ g21, fish 5.7 kJ g21, and fish larvae 4.98 kJ g21. More detailed descriptions of the calculations, including examples, are provided in Supplementary material. The four different prey groups were not individually analysed and no distinction was made between adults and immature birds. Rather, the data were analysed, by species, colony, and region. The six dominant species (in terms of consumption) within each main region of the WIO were selected for more detailed analyses of population size and estimated consumption. Together, these species account for over 95% of the overall seabird populations (by number) and 97% of the overall biomass consumption (see the Results section). The remaining species within each region were lumped into a seventh category labelled “Other”. Results were tabulated and analysed using Microsoft Office 2007 packages and mapped using ArcGIS10. Analysis and comparison with industrial fisheries landings The estimates of seabird consumption were compared with the mean annual IOTC purse-seine and longline landings of selected tuna and billfish species for the period 2000–2009. These data can be downloaded directly from the IOTC databases (www.iotc.org/ English/data.php). Fisheries data were analysed using R.3.0.1. and were spatially mapped using ArcGIS10 packages. Results Seabird population sizes The breeding seabird population of the WIO was estimated at 19 million individuals. The Sooty Tern accounts for 85% of this estimate, while the Lesser Noddy (A. tenuirostris), Wedge-tailed Shearwater (Puffinus pacificus), and Brown Noddy together contribute an additional 11% to the total population. The remaining 2592 26 species, together, account for only 4% of the overall seabird population within the region. The Sooty Tern was the most abundant species in the Mascarenes (64%), Seychelles (79%), northern (99%), and southern (98%) Mozambique Channel regions, but was replaced by the Socotra Cormorant (Phalacrocorax nigrogularis) around Somalia and the Red Sea. In this last region, the Socotra Cormorant accounts for 22% of the local seabird population, while the Sooty Tern constitutes only 0.2% of the birds there (Table 1). Seabird populations are centred on the Seychelles Archipelago (Figure 2a). Twenty-three of the 54 known colonies are found there, supporting 51% of all breeding seabirds in the WIO (Figures 1 and 2a). Some of the largest colonies are found within this area, including Cosmoledo (+2 900 000 birds), Bird Island (+1 800 000 birds), Aride Island (+1 400 000 birds), and Chagos (+1 000 000 birds; Figure 2a). The largest breeding colony is, however, Juan de Nova (+5 000 000 birds) in the northern Mozambique Channel (Figure 2a). This region hosts 30% of the breeding birds in the WIO, while the Mascarenes and southern Mozambique Channel together host a comparatively small 19% of seabirds. The lowest population was recorded from around Somalia and the Red Sea, comprising only 1% of the total estimate (Table 1). Biomass consumed by seabirds Based on the population sizes, the biomass consumed by breeding seabirds was calculated as between 150 000 and 500 000 t (Table 1). The relative contribution of each species to the total consumption differed slightly from the patterns observed in population sizes. The Sooty Tern was once again the dominant species overall, accounting for 81% of consumption, while the Lesser Noddy, Wedge-tailed Shearwater, Red-footed Booby (Sula sula), and Masked Booby (S. dactylatra) together added an additional 12%. The remaining 25 species accounted for only 7% of the estimated consumption. At a regional scale, the importance of each species to the consumption was variable, but the Sooty Tern was again dominant across all regions except around Somalia and the Red Sea where it was replaced by the Brown Booby (Sula leucogaster) and Socotra Cormorant (Table 1). This region is unusual in that it is dominated (in both consumption and population) by a number of species, which are endemic, or nearly endemic to the region. The spatial distribution of consumption mirrored the heterogeneous distribution of seabird populations during the breeding season (Figure 2b). The highest overall consumption was recorded for Juan de Nova (26%), with significant contributions also recorded from Cosmoledo (16%), Europa (10%), Bird Island (10%), Aride (7%), and Chagos (6%; Figure 2b). The remaining 49 colonies accounted for 25% of the total estimated consumption. At a regional scale, the Seychelles accounted for 51% of consumption and the northern Mozambique Channel contributed an additional 29% (Table 1). The southern Mozambique Channel and Mascarene regions together accounted for 18% of the consumption estimates, while Somalia and the Red Sea contributed the final 2% (Table 1). Longline and purse-seine catches Purse-seine fishing dominates the catches in the WIO, removing 349 861 + 61 820 t annually over the period 2000–2009. Longline fishing removes significantly less, with 904 + 632 t of tuna and billfish caught annually over the same period. D. K. Danckwerts et al. Purse-seine and longline landings were heterogeneously distributed in both space and time. Overall landings are moderately higher during summer when longline and purse-seine fishing removed 52.3 and 55.4% of the total landings, respectively (Figure 2c and e). At this time, the main longline tonnage was removed from the area between 258S and 408S and immediately around the Seychelles and the Mascarene islands (Figure 2c). In contrast, purseseine landings were concentrated between the Seychelles and East Africa, extending northwards towards Somalia and Oman, and eastwards towards the Chagos Archipelago (Figure 2e). Landings during winter, 47.7% for longline and 44.6% for purse-seine, were only marginally lower (Figure 2d and f). Longline landings were more concentrated within the same regions (Figure 2d), accompanied by a southeastward contraction in purse-seine landings (Figure 2e). Discussion Our results provide an estimate of total prey offtake by breeding seabirds in the WIO of between 150 000 and 500 000 t, consumed by nearly 19 million individuals. Importantly, using a conservative approach, this estimate is of the same order of magnitude as the annual landings of tuna and billfish in the region. This highlights the importance of seabirds as a component of the marine ecosystem in the WIO, as they consume a significant proportion of the production by the lower trophic levels. There have been similar findings for other oceanic regions (e.g. Harrison and Seki, 1987; Guinet et al., 1996; Barrett et al., 2002) and even at a global scale (Brooke, 2004). This does not necessarily imply that seabirds and fisheries are in competition, but it does imply important ecosystem consequences that are largely unknown at this stage (Brooke, 2004; Cury et al., 2011). Seabird populations and biomass consumption in the WIO Because of its numerical dominance, the spatial distribution of the total seabird populations in the WIO mirrors that of the Sooty Tern and the highest concentrations of birds were found where this species is the most abundant. Sooty Terns accounted for over 85% of all seabirds in the study area and were especially abundant around the northern Mozambique Channel and the Seychelles. Significant breeding colonies are also known from the southern Mozambique Channel and the Mascarenes, while gatherings of unknown sizes are found in the Maldives (Feare et al., 2007). Interestingly, moderately high seabird biomass was also recorded in the areas surrounding Somalia and the Red Sea where the Sooty Tern occurs in very low abundance and biomass is instead dominated by a suite of species not found elsewhere in the WIO. These include the Socotra Cormorant, Red-billed Tropicbird (Phaethon aethereus), White-eyed Gull (Ichthyaetus leucophthalmus), Persian Shearwater (Puffinus persicus), and Jouanin’s Petrel (Bulweria fallax). There is a very close relationship between the population size of a species and our estimate of its consumption. Not surprisingly then, the highest estimates of consumption by seabirds were recorded from the northern Mozambique Channel and the Seychelles, corresponding to those areas where Sooty Tern is most numerous. Nevertheless, on an individual basis, larger species tend to consume more that smaller ones, explaining the slight discrepancy between the numerically dominant species and those which account for the most consumption. The Sooty Tern was ranked as fourth in terms of annual biomass consumption on a global scale by Brooke (2004), being the only tropical species comparable with many high latitude birds, and dominated consumption in our study. Indeed, the Sooty Tern is widely accepted as the most abundant tropical seabird worldwide 2593 Biomass consumption by breeding seabirds Table 1. Regional breeding population size (adults and immature birds) and estimated biomass consumption (t year21) by dominant seabird species in the WIO. Consumption by breeding birds (adults and chicks) Region Mascarenes Common name Sooty Tern Wedge-tailed Shearwater Lesser Noddy Brown Noddy Masked Booby Red-tailed Tropicbird Other Seychelles Sooty Tern Lesser Noddy Red-footed Booby Wedge-tailed Shearwater Masked Booby Brown Noddy Other Southern Mozambique Sooty Tern Red-footed Booby Lesser Frigatebird Red-tailed Tropicbird Greater Frigatebird Roseate Tern Other Somalia and Red Sea Brown Booby Socotra Cormornat Brown Noddy Persian Shearwater White-eyed Gull Masked Booby Other Northern Mozambique Sooty Tern Greater Crested Tern Brown Booby Masked Booby Lesser Frigatebird Caspian Tern Other Scientific name Onychoprion fuscatus Puffinus pacificus Anous tenuirostris Anous stolidus Sula dactylatra Phaethon rubricauda N/A Regional totals Onychoprion fuscatus Anous tenuirostris Sula sula Puffinus pacificus Sula dactylatra Anous stolidus N/A Regional totals Onychoprion fuscatus Sula sula Fregata ariel Phaethon rubricauda Fregata minor Sterna dougallii N/A Regional totals Sula leucogaster Phalacrocorax nigrogularis Anous stolidus Puffinus persicus Ichthyaetus leucophthalmus Sula dactylatra N/A Regional total Onychoprion fuscatus Thalasseus bergii Sula leucogaster Sula dactylatra Fregata ariel Hydroprogne caspia N/A Regional total Grand total and the biodiverse WIO is known to host globally significant populations of this species (Schreiber et al., 2002; Feare et al., 2007). During the breeding season, these birds nest in large, synchronized, and extremely dense colonies that frequently exceed 100 000 pairs (Le Corre and Jaquemet, 2005; Feare et al., 2007) and Juan de Nova in the northern Mozambique Channel is one of the largest tropical seabird colonies in the world, hosting some 2 million breeding Sooty Tern pairs (Feare et al., 2007). Globally, the distribution of seabird colonies and seabird abundances have been related to the availability of suitable nesting areas (Bailey, 1968) and to the accessibility and predictability of food during the breeding season (Lack, 1968; Jaquemet et al., 2007). The WIO in particular is a hotspot of marine and terrestrial biodiversity (Myers et al., 2000), and this is partly a consequence of the geomorphology of the region. Several islands of different ages, Breeding population 88 1125 229 075 127 500 92 250 1 275 6 575 46 231 1 384 031 7 657 625 1 060 000 84 525 246 075 31 113 257 750 338 383 9 675 471 1 900 250 7 500 6 000 9 613 2 750 13 700 3 463 1 943 276 37 750 38 000 50 000 25 000 2 500 500 17 000 170 750 5 710 000 27 725 775 200 250 125 3163 5 742 238 18 915 766 Min (t) 5 725 4 950 662 607 104 106 470 12 624 49 343 5 507 6 921 5 318 2 532 1 695 4 398 75 712 12 362 618 360 155 235 37 39 13 806 2 248 1 454 329 180 48 41 97 4397 38 185 386 46 16 15 4 27 38 680 145 220 Max (t) 21 745 8 745 2 221 1 802 381 324 1 038 36 257 187 660 18 468 12 071 9 394 9 282 5 036 10 266 252 176 47 961 1 078 627 474 446 124 77 50 787 6 772 2 617 977 394 372 149 261 11 542 144 807 1 260 139 60 26 24 64 146 380 497 142 sizes, and origins are spread throughout the region hosting a very high diversity and abundance of species, including seabirds. At the basin scale, the western part is the most productive region of the Indian Ocean because of the many seasonal upwelling cells that develop (Bakun et al., 1998) and the strong mesoscale oceanographic activity in the Mozambique Channel (Tew Kai and Marsac, 2010). More specifically, environmental predictability is associated with large, persistent hydrological structures such as the Indian Ocean South Equatorial Current (SEC), the succession of mesoscale eddies in the Mozambique Channel (Zubkov and Quartly, 2003), and the seasonal upwelling off Somalia, which develops during the southwest Indian monsoon season (Schott et al., 2002). Associated with these features are a high diversity and biomass of marine organisms (Bakun et al., 1998), including zooplankton and micronekton (Sabarros et al., 2009), flying fish (Plomley, 1968; 2594 D. K. Danckwerts et al. Figure 2. Population size (a) and estimated biomass consumption (b) of seabirds at colonies in the WIO, as is compared with the spatial distribution of mean (2000 – 2009) longline and purse-seine landings during summer (c and e) and winter (d and f), respectively. Piontkovski and Williams, 1995), and also the tunas (Fonteneau, 1997; Worm et al., 2005; Tew Kai and Marsac, 2010) and the marine mammals that increase prey accessibility for tropical seabirds. Consequently, the western part is also the most productive region of the Indian Ocean in terms of industrial fisheries landings and the area where the diversity of catches is greatest (Fonteneau, 1997). Sources of error and comparison with other oceanic regions This is only the second attempt at estimating seabird consumption over a tropical region (see Harrison and Seki, 1987), and this assessment for the WIO provides a first order of magnitude of biomass uptake by tropical seabirds. Several potential errors complicate Biomass consumption by breeding seabirds the estimation of total food consumption however. These arise from uncertainties concerning the diet of several species, including almost all species from the Somalia and the Red Sea region, and the sizes of breeding populations in several areas (e.g. Sooty Terns in the Maldives). In addition, almost all data relating to nonbreeding and pre-breeding birds are lacking. Various authors (e.g. Harrison and Seki, 1987; Cairns et al., 1991; Brooke, 2004) have provided means by which to calculate their populations, but they assume that all birds return to the region when the breeding population does so. An unknown proportion will almost certainly do so, but tracking data suggest that at least some will remain in more productive waters elsewhere (unpub. data, MLC, SJ). Similarly, the proportion of birds that remain within the WIO during the interbreeding period when others migrate elsewhere is not known, and recent evidence suggests that these movements vary considerably between species and colonies (unpub. data, MLC, SJ). This, combined with the uncertainties on their dietary habits, would only act to confound our results and hence their exclusion from this first estimation. These points also hold true for vagrants and large seasonally visiting species, such as albatrosses (Cherel et al., 2013), that can remove significant quantities of marine resources each year. For these reasons, our work serves as a conservative first estimation that nevertheless indicates the magnitude of seabird consumption in the region. We also note that that our estimation of biomass uptake by seabirds is smaller than those for higher-latitude ecosystems, which have an equivalent or fewer number of birds (e.g. Woelher and Green, 1992; Guinet et al., 1996; Barrett et al., 2002). This simply reflects the average body mass of the species involved and the associated energy requirements, which are smaller in tropical species. A calculation for the seabirds of the Hawaiian Archipelago constitutes the only other estimation for a tropical ecosystem and produced results of a similar order of magnitude to ours despite bird numbers being less than one-third that of the WIO, even after the inclusion of non-breeding groups (Harrison and Seki, 1987). This reflects the dominance of large (.2.5 kg) tropical albatrosses around Hawaii and their higher energy requirements and daily consumption. Importantly, consumption from the Hawaiian study will have been gathered from a much greater area than within our study region. Breeding Laysan Albatrosses (Phoebastria immutabilis) will often travel up to 10 000 km from Bird Island in the Hawaiian Archipelago during a single foraging trip (Kappes et al., 2010). Combining the inclusion of non-breeding and visiting birds with the spatial concentration of seabird consumption in the WIO emphasizes their importance in these foodwebs. Critically, as for the Sooty Tern, Wedge-tailed Shearwater, and Red-footed Booby in our study, the second most important feeding guild in the Hawaiian ecosystem comprised seabirds which feed in association with surface predatory fish (Harrison and Seki, 1987). Seabird consumption compared with fisheries activities The WIO is one of the world’s most productive regions in terms of the annual tuna and billfish landings (Fonteneau, 1997; Worm et al., 2005; Juan-Jordá et al., 2011). Consequently, our principal results are that the substantial consumption of marine resources by breeding seabirds in the WIO is comparable with the combined longline and purse-seine landings for the region and, not unexpectedly, that there is considerable spatial overlap between the two groups. The first finding is similar to those from other comparisons between seabird consumption and fisheries landings (e.g. Brooke, 2004; Karpouzi et al., 2007). Importantly, however, fisheries catches for 2595 the WIO do not include illegal, unregulated, and unreported (IUU) offtake. Incorporating IUU estimates into our calculations (Agnew et al., 2009), longline and purse-seine landings rise to 1000 and 420 000 t, respectively, but are still directly comparable with our estimates of bird offtake during the breeding season. Given the conservative nature of our estimates, this emphasizes the importance of seabirds within the marine foodwebs of the WIO but does not necessarily imply direct competition between seabirds and fisheries. On the contrary, competition is only expected in instances where both groups target the same prey species/groups in the same areas (Brooke, 2004). Assuming phytoplankton occupy a trophic level (TL) of 1, food fish theoretically then occupy TLs of between 3 and 4.5, ranging from small forage fish to large tropical tunas and billfish (Pauly et al., 2002). Humans have preferentially targeted the higher trophic level species (Collette et al., 2011), and a decline of 0.05 – 0.10 TLs per decade has been observed in global fish stocks, suggesting that humans are “fishing down foodwebs” (Pauly et al., 1998). Indeed, recent research has shown that 63.3% of the adult tuna biomass was lost from the WIO between 1954 and 2006, constituting the greatest loss at the global scale exceeding both the Pacific (249.2%) and Atlantic Oceans (249.6%; Juan-Jordá et al., 2011). While this implies major changes to marine foodwebs, it does not necessarily imply that the forage fish stocks are declining in the region. The mesopredator release hypothesis suggests that top-down forces (e.g. predation) limit the populations of these groups and if released, their populations can be expected to increase (Frank et al., 2005; Baum and Worm, 2009; Ferretti et al., 2010). And indeed, the “fishing down foodwebs” theory represents an overall shift from long-lived piscivorous fish towards smaller herbivorous and planktivorous groups (Pauly et al., 1998, 2002). Why then are seabird populations expected to decline because of the overexploitation of tuna stocks? Forage fish species usually remain within surface waters (≤50 m), but few tropical seabird species are able to dive deeper than a few metres (≤10 m) below the surface (Le Corre, 1997; Ballance and Pitman, 1999; Peck and Cogdon, 2006). Consequently, most of these birds forage in mixed-species flocks that are often associated with marine mammals and surface-feeding tunas (Ballance and Pitman, 1999; Jaquemet et al., 2004; Le Corre and Jaquemet, 2005). Various authors have even demonstrated that little tropical seabird feeding activity occurs in the absence of these subsurface predator groups (Harrison and Seki, 1987; Le Corre and Jaquemet, 2005), and most birds appear to actively search for mixed species flocks that signify the feeding frenzies from which most resources are gathered. Therefore, declines in tuna populations imply that the “new” forage fish stocks would be largely unavailable to the seabirds, ultimately resulting in declines in bird populations’ (Baum and Worm, 2009). To estimate how far subsurface predator populations would need to decline before there are serious effects on seabird foraging would require accurate stock estimates of predatory and forage fish with which to make a temporal comparison against the declining seabird populations. Forage fish stock estimates currently do not exist for the region, as these groups are rarely targeted by the fishing industry in this area, so that we cannot compare the relative offtake by humans (i.e. fisheries) and seabirds. Tuna and billfish stock estimates are available from the IOTC but are based on catch per unit effort (cpue) data and we have to assume that they are not biased or underreported in any way. Furthermore, various authors have now questioned the use of cpue data as they often present a misleading picture of the status of large predatory fish 2596 (Watson and Pauly, 2001; Maunder et al., 2006; Polacheck, 2006). Though it is clear that predatory fish stocks are only a fraction of their historical levels (Myers and Worm, 2003; Pauly et al., 2003; Srinivasan et al., 2010; Juan-Jordá et al., 2011), the IOTC believe that, at least for most species, quotas are still well within sustainable levels however. Tropical seabirds are surface foragers so that the longline catches, which are usually dominated by swordfish and mature tunas that rarely feed at the surface, may not immediately affect seabird access to their prey. Furthermore, the risk of bycatch is low in the tropics, compared with higher latitudes, as no tropical seabirds actively scavenge behind fishing vessels. Nevertheless, the exploitation of mature tuna by longliners does have the potential to influence tuna population dynamics and indirectly affecting these seabirds. On the other hand, purse-seine fishing, which is by far the dominant fishing type in the region, targets schools of juvenile tuna with which the seabirds regularly interact at the surface so that we anticipate the effects of purse-seine fishing on seabird populations to be much greater. Furthermore, the spatial overlap between the habitats used by seabirds, during the breeding season, and purse-seine fishing is higher than for longlining, suggesting that the immediate impacts of this fishing type will be much greater. Implications for conservation Seabird populations in the WIO are thought to be a fraction of the historical estimates. Many colonies have become extinct and those that still exist are greatly reduced in size (Feare, 1978; Cheke, 2001; Feare et al., 2007). Feare (1978) recognized that one of the main conservation priorities for the WIO was to survey the remaining seabird breeding colonies and to identify and monitor the local factors that might influence these populations. While considerable scientific attention has been devoted to understanding the threats these birds might face on land, little is known about the perturbations they experience at sea. Fisheries pose some of the greatest threats to seabirds today and the overexploitation of marine fish stocks has greatly affected seabird populations worldwide (Tasker et al., 2000). Various tools are now available that promote EBFM in an effective manner and one of the most commonly employed methods is that of Marine Protected Areas (MPAs). MPAs are being introduced worldwide with the primary aim of enhancing fish stocks and conserving marine biodiversity (Buxton et al., 2006; Turpie et al., 2006; Worm et al., 2009). Offshore (pelagic) MPAs could benefit species targeted by fisheries, while also helping to sustain fishery practices over time (Worm et al., 2009; Le Corre et al., 2012). Turpie et al. (2006) found that the value of MPAs far exceeds the revenue that these areas would have generated if unprotected and by linking MPAs in coherent networks, ecosystem recovery, and conservation can be promoted supporting wider management issues. Despite this, MPAs cover ,1% of all marine ecosystems and few other tools are available that protect ecosystem integrity in such an effective manner (Roberts et al., 2005; Worm et al., 2009). Some attempt has been made to identify areas suitable for protection in the WIO; however, little policy response has been achieved yet (Le Corre et al., 2012). Various MPAs have been implemented in the region, but most of these are designed to protect fringing/ coastal ecosystems and, except the areas around the Chagos Archipelago, pelagic communities remain largely unprotected (Koldewey et al., 2010; Le Corre et al., 2012). Since most seabird species in the WIO are pelagic foragers, they are unlikely to receive any direct benefits from this form of protection. Many D. K. Danckwerts et al. colonies have also been labelled Important Bird Areas but, again, this does not necessarily imply that the birds are protected while at sea (Fishpool and Evans, 2001). Cury et al. (2011) also demonstrated that, in several ecosystems where seabirds are strongly dependent on forage species (small coastal pelagic fish, euphausiids, or squid), a practical way to sustain healthy upper trophic level predator populations and ecosystem functions would be to maintain forage fish biomass above one-third of the maximum observed long-term biomass. In the WIO, seabirds are widely used by fishers to find surface tuna schools. It will be of great interest to quantify the real dependence of seabirds on tuna to define a threshold of exploitation that would not affect seabird population dynamics, as this could contribute to effective EBFM. Supplementary data Supplementary material is available at the ICESJMS online version of the manuscript. Acknowledgements The first author would like to personally thank T. Diamond, P. Carr, S. Geelhoed, S. Muzaffar, M. Villet, W. Froneman, H. Retief, and K.L. Kelly for their assistance and seemingly endless support during various phases of this research. This work is based upon research supported by the South African Research Chairs Initiative of the Department of Science and Technology and the National Research Foundation. 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