1 Acknowledgements Writing a Master Thesis which is a final part of the study program has given me the practical understanding of how the theoretical set off tools acquired when studying deferent disciplines in the Aarhus School of Business can be applied to the real set of circumstances. Writing the Thesis has been both challenging in terms of time contribution and efforts as well as rewarding in terms of experience gained. But it would be impossible to carry out this study without support of people who contributed to my work. Therefore, I would like to express my gratitude to people who even very slightly contributed to this paper, would it be making suggestions, providing information, or merely cheering with the kind word. I would like to thank Professor Rajesh Kumar, the supervisor of the Master Thesis, gratefully, for supporting the ideas and his professional involvement. Special thanks also to the people who found the time in their tough schedule to provided information so valuable to this paper by means of interviews. 2 Abstract The issue of a secure world is something that has been a matter of greatest fear and concern during the centuries. Security is “the condition of being protected from or not exposed to danger, […] a feeling of safety or freedom from or absence of danger” (Oxford English Dictionary). This study examines the effectiveness of European Neighborhood Policy (ENP), based upon the agreed activities in the EU/Georgian relation. By the enlargement of the European Union in 2004, Europe has entered its new, historical phase. Hence, the policy of the European Union since 2004 has been an intensive cooperation and support to democratic processes with the new member states and their neighbors. EU is directly interested in promoting security and stability in the countries both within and outside of EU. These are caused by common political and economic interests of the EU and its neighboring and geographically close countries. Originally, the ENP was intended to apply to its direct neighbors – Algeria, Belarus, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Moldova, Morocco, the Palestinian Authority, Syria, Tunisia and Ukraine. In 2004, it was extended also including countries of the Southern Caucasus: Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia, with whom new member states Bulgaria, Romania and present candidate country Turkey share either a maritime or land border The list of countries involved in ENP could be divided into four groups: Eastern Europe, South Caucasus, Middle East and North African Countries. The EU has different approaches to each of the countries individually and also regionally. Keywords: European Union, European Neighborhood Policy, International Negotiation, Regional Cooperation, Security, South Caucasus Region, Georgia. 3 Acknowledgements ..............................................................................................................................1 I Introduction ......................................................................................................................................................................... 7 1.1 Background ...........................................................................................................................7 1.2 The Purpose ...................................................................................................................................8 1.3 Problem Statement.........................................................................................................................8 1.4 Case: EU interests towards Georgia ..........................................................................................11 1.5 Delimitations of the Thesis ..........................................................................................................12 1.6 Abbreviations...............................................................................................................................13 1.7 The outline of the thesis ...............................................................................................................15 1.8 Disposition...................................................................................................................................16 II Methodology ....................................................................................................................................................................... 17 2.1 Research Strategy ........................................................................................................................17 2.2 Research Design ..........................................................................................................................18 2.3 Research approach ......................................................................................................................19 2.4 Scientific reasoning .....................................................................................................................19 2.5 Qualitative research ....................................................................................................................20 2.6 Data collection ............................................................................................................................21 2.6.1 Primary data ........................................................................................................................21 2.6.2 Secondary data ....................................................................................................................22 2.7 Triangulation ...............................................................................................................................22 2.8 Evaluation of research results .....................................................................................................23 2.9 Material .......................................................................................................................................25 III Theoretical Background ....................................................................................................................................................................... 26 3.1 Theoretical Framework ...............................................................................................................26 3.2 Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT) ................................................................................29 3.3 New Regionalism .........................................................................................................................31 3.4 International Negotiation Theory ................................................................................................32 3.4.1 “Relationship” Interests ......................................................................................................34 IV Empirical Studies ....................................................................................................................................................................... 35 4.1 European Union: as a power in International Relations.............................................................35 4 4.2 Legal foundation for the European Unions Foreign Policy ........................................................35 4.2.1 Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) ....................................................................35 4.2.2 European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) ..................................................................36 4.2.3 European Security Strategy (ESS), tool for strategic relations............................................37 4.3 The European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) ................................................................................37 4.4 Regional Cooperation..................................................................................................................39 4. 5 EU Russian Relationship and Geopolitics of the Energy Supply................................................40 4.5.1 Europe’s Troubling Dependence .........................................................................................40 4.6 Georgia: country overview ..........................................................................................................41 4.6.1 Political stability ..................................................................................................................42 4.6.2 Economic situation ..............................................................................................................43 4.6.3 Membership of Different Organizations ..............................................................................46 4.6.4 Georgia - Russian Relationship ...........................................................................................47 4.7 South Caucasus Region ...............................................................................................................49 4.7.1 Similarities within the South Caucasus................................................................................50 4.7.2 Differences within the South Caucasus................................................................................50 4.8 Regional Cooperation within South Caucasus ............................................................................50 4.8.1 Energy ..................................................................................................................................50 4.8.2 Transportation .....................................................................................................................51 4.9 EU-Georgia Relation under Partnership and Cooperation Agreement ......................................52 4.10 EU-Georgia ENP development process ....................................................................................53 V Analyses ....................................................................................................................................................................... 55 5.1 EU-Georgia Interests and ENP Negotiation process ..................................................................55 5.1.2 EU-Georgia “Relationship” Interests .................................................................................56 5.1.3 ENPAP Negotiation process ................................................................................................57 5.2 Security Challenges .....................................................................................................................58 5.3 Military Sector .............................................................................................................................59 5.3.1 Conflict resolution ...............................................................................................................60 5.4 Political Sector ............................................................................................................................61 5.5 Social/Societal Sector ..................................................................................................................62 5.5.1 Internal conflicts ..................................................................................................................63 5.5.2 Human Rights ......................................................................................................................63 5.6 Economic Sector ..........................................................................................................................64 5.6.1 Free Trade ...........................................................................................................................64 5.7 Environmental Sector ..................................................................................................................65 5.8 What do facts in these five sectors speak for? .............................................................................66 5.9 ENP and Security Challenges in the Regional Context ...............................................................67 5.10 Regional Cooperation and South Caucasus ..............................................................................69 5.11 ENP Tool for Regional Cooperation .........................................................................................69 5.12 EU-Georgia: reasons for engagement.......................................................................................70 5.12.1 The common security context of the EU and Georgia .......................................................70 5.12.2 Securing a stable European energy supply ........................................................................71 5 5.13 Summary of the chapter .............................................................................................................72 VI Outcomes ....................................................................................................................................................................... 74 6.1 Evaluation of EU interests towards Georgia ...............................................................................74 6.2 Evaluation Georgian interests under the Action Plan .................................................................75 VII Conclusion ....................................................................................................................................................................... 77 References: .................................................................................................................................................... 79 Books ............................................................................................................................................79 Articles..........................................................................................................................................80 The European Union institution Official Documents ...................................................................83 Interviews .....................................................................................................................................85 Internet ..........................................................................................................................................86 Appendixes:................................................................................................................................................... 88 Appendix 1 ...................................................................................................................................88 Appendix 2 ...................................................................................................................................90 Appendix 3 ...................................................................................................................................90 Appendix 4 ...................................................................................................................................91 Appendix 5 ...................................................................................................................................92 Appendix 6 ...................................................................................................................................93 Appendix 7 ...................................................................................................................................94 Appendix 8 ...................................................................................................................................95 Appendix 9 ...................................................................................................................................96 Appendix 10 .................................................................................................................................98 Appendix 11 .................................................................................................................................98 Appendix 12 .................................................................................................................................99 6 I Introduction This chapter introduces the subject and then the purpose of this thesis. This part opens with introduction of background and purpose for undertaking this study. The information regarding the ENP/Georgia is presented in this part along with the definition of major problem questions which need to be answered during this study. The chapter is concluded with a disposition presenting the chapters and finally, the structure of the thesis is provided. 1.1 Background In recent years, nations around the world have attempted to develop strategies that will make their citizens and their territories more secure. The European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) was developed in an effort to combat some of the security issues that exists in Europe. Georgia's inclusion in the ENP has put the country in a new “Wider Europe” context which still needs to be shaped (A. Gegeshidze 2006). Georgia has not always been at the centre of attention for European Union and there have been different political reasons for the lack of attention. However, more recent developments have made the need for increased cooperation difficult to ignore. With Romania and Bulgaria's accession, the EU enlarged to the Black Sea shores and provided itself with long-term perspective in a region that is vital to its security and foreign policy ambitions (M. Vahl 2005). The EU is keen on maintaining its borders safe and secure from external risks such as illegal migration, environmental degradation and economic crisis. In order to meet these objectives, the EU promotes democratic and economic reforms in the countries located along its borders and in doing so strives to foster political stability and 7 security in these regions. The ENP comprises a number of policy instruments to promote closer mutual relations below the line of EU membership. Security is essential for Georgia to sustain political and economic stabilization where society can live in peaceful environment. As a result of numerous related security issues Georgia have already implemented various policies but still is on a way for more changes. By accepting ENP Georgian government believes that this policy will help to reduce and even eliminate internal and external threats as European Union is an expert of developing such policies (Bretherton & Vogler 1999). Authorities believe that this Policy will further enhance the European Union’s ability to secure the neighbourhood against different threats. In addition the ENP is designed to enhance the economy and the overall quality of life that exist in the region. 1.2 The Purpose The aim for this thesis is to visualize the policy outcome of the ENP concerning the EU-Georgian relation. The studies in this paper will be directed towards EU-Georgian relations using ENP as a strategic tool for political analyses. Hence, the goal of the paper is to explore the level of interest of the EU towards Georgia and vice versa. The aim is to define the guiding principals in terms of bilateral engagement, supported by theoretical and empirical evidence. 1.3 Problem Statement The main problem arising from the background of the research purpose is formulated in following: 8 To reach my purpose, the following questions are asked: Main Problem What is the aspiration for EU-Georgia relations within the ENP process? In order to answer the main problem question it is divided in three sub-questions, each of them corresponding to the major influences guiding EU actions in Georgia and examines areas where the EU can upgrade its political role in Georgia. Sub-Problem 1 What are the goals for the EU regarding the ENP concerning Georgia? The first sub-problem concerns the EU and Georgia relations is their partnership which sets up from 1992, when EU has recognized Georgia as an independent state. For better understanding of present and future of this cooperation it is important to analyze past. From 1992 to 2004 the EU has provided number of technical, humanitarian and security assistance but interest towards Georgia remained very low. This question supplies the thesis with an empirical ground for analyses. 9 Sub-Problem 2 What are the main reasons for EU’s greater interest inviting Georgia in ENP? Another layer affecting the influence of different factors leads us towards Georgia’s inclusion in ENP. After Georgia was offered to participate in European Neighborhood Policy, relationships between EU and Georgia became more important. This might be caused by different political, economic, socio-cultural and other factors. The second sub question provides the paper with analyses. Sub-Problem 3 What are the achievements and planned actions in the ENP concerning EU/Georgian relation? The third and final sub-question was designed to find out limits, principles and instruments which are used by the EU in the ENP concerning EU/Georgian relation Thus last question is decisive to visualize meaning, motives and reasons of the ENP concerning the EU/Georgian relation in which the EU has declared important, regional cooperation. 10 1.4 Case: EU interests towards Georgia At the beginning of the 21st century Georgia has clearly set priorities for its foreign policy - the top priority of the country has been integration in western, Euro-Atlantic military-political and economic structures. In 2004, the European Neighborhood Policy (ENP)1 was developed in the context of the EU’s latest enlargement, with the objectives: avoiding the emergence of new dividing lines between the enlarged EU and its neighbors and strengthening stability, security and well-being for the participant countries. Increasing importance of Georgia and invitation in ENP has been consequential after various important events. Since 2003 Georgia managed to arouse the interests of Europe with its accelerated reforms, improved budgeting discipline, and significant reduction in corruption. The World Bank's “Anti-Corruption in Transition 3” report places Georgia among the countries showing the most dramatic improvement in the struggle against corruption, due to implementation of a strong program of economic and institutional reform, and reported reductions in the burden of bribes paid by firms in the course of doing business2 (See Figures 1; 2; 3; 4; in Appendix 1). Democratic changes of the country have caused bigger interest of Europe towards Georgia as well the whole South Caucasus region. In particular, Georgia has shown to European partners that it is on the road to successful transformation (G. Nodia 2005). Also geographical proximity has given the new opportunities to the events which aim modernizing Georgia as a state, getting its political, legal and administrative system closer to European standards. It is in the interests of EU to make Georgia – as a key section of the Eurasia Corridor – institutionally strong to be able to oppose the risks associated with drug transit and 1 http://ec.europa.eu/comm/world/enp/policy_en.htm World Bank Report: “Corruption Eased in Transition Countries from 2002-2005” July 26, 2006 2 http://web.worldbank.org 11 export of other forms of crime and illegal migration into Europe. Besides, Europe recognizes current or potential challenges of energy security, pays more attention to the new objective of finding alternative energy resources. In this context, Caspian energy sources and Georgia, as a transit country of these resources to Europe is of a bigger interest. This interest has become more significant after finalizing BakuTbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) and South Caucasus Pipelines (SCP) projects (Appendix 2) (Starr S.F and Cornell S. 2005). Europe recognizes threats that are associated with conflicts within Georgia (Abkhazia3 and South Ossetia4). Internal conflicts in Georgia may result in rising tensions within whole Caucasus Region in the future. It is in Georgia’s, as well as EU’s interest to peacefully resolve these conflicts in order to avoid the threat of blockades and confrontations, leading to a war in the region, that in its turn could have direct or indirect influence on the security of EU member and candidate countries (Lynch, Dov 2006). This study aims to analyze what ENP means in practice and how ENP Action Plan is implemented, choosing one partner country, Georgia (Appendix 3). 1.5 Delimitations of the Thesis This thesis has some delimitation. It concerns the scope and the time aspect. The full scope of the EU’s foreign policy is not examined in this paper, neither all the aspects of the European Neighborhood Policy. Instead, one particular field of interest is provided to the reader, explaining why this study is of importance describing the EU and Georgia Relation. Delimitation is the time aspect. The latest reports, statements and agreements have been searched. Written official materials from the European Union as well as Georgian Republic have been used in my analysis. Some interviews 3 4 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abkhazia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Ossetia 12 have been conducted to check the information. The latest developments and the current positions are in focus. 1.6 Abbreviations AP - Action Plan BSEC - Black Sea Economic Cooperation BTC - Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan CFSP - Common Foreign and Security Policy CIS - Commonwealth of Independent States CSP - Country Strategy Paper EC - European Commission ENP - European Neighborhood Policy ENPAP - European Neighborhood Policy Action Plan ESDP - European Security and Defense Policy ESS - European Security Strategy EU - European Union GATT - General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade GDP - Growth of Domestic Product GSP - General System of Preferences GUAM - Georgia-Ukraine-Azerbaijan-Moldova IMF - International Monetary Fund IPAP - Individual Partnership Action Plan IR - International Relations 13 IREO - International Regional Economic Organization MFN - Most Favored Nation MP - Member of Parliament NATO - North Atlantic Treaty Organization PCA - Partnership and Cooperation Agreement RSC - Regional Security Complex RSCT - Regional Security Complex Theory SCP - South Caucasus Pipelines TRACECA - Transportation Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia UN - United Nations USD – United States Dollar USSR - Union of Soviet Socialist Republics WB - World Bank WTO - World Trade Organization 14 1.7 The outline of the thesis Chapter 1 Introduction Chapter 2 Methodology Chapter 3 Theoretical Background Chapter 4 European Union Georgia Empirical ENP Study South Caucasus Region EU-Georgia Relations Chapter 5 Analyses of 1) ENP Negotiation Processes 2) ENP Security Challenges by Action Plan 3) ENP and Regional Cooperation Empirical Results EU-Georgia EU-Georgia-South Caucasus Chapter 6 Survey findings Chapter 7 Conclusion 15 1.8 Disposition Materials are presented and so is critique of the sources used in this study. The thesis is organized in the following way: Chapter 1 introduces the reader to the topic of the study, states the research aims and questions, and outlines the methodology and research design including a review of the literature pertinent to this topic; Chapter 2 presents methodology used for this thesis; Chapter 3 provides framework of theoretical background for the study provides the theoretical framework. The main premises of theory will underline the specific dimension of the study; give an order and classification to the thesis. In this chapter, the analytical framework and terminology will be explained; Chapter 4 delivers empirical studies, and focuses on the ENP security area and how it values security partnership. The security sectors will be explained and main security challenges that the EU and Georgia face will be examined; Chapter 5 makes basic analyses of empirical and theoretical approach. It comprises the evaluation of the ENP towards Georgia and Regional Cooperation; Chapter 6 sets out the main outcomes from the research; Chapter 7 concludes the research; 16 II Methodology Every type of the study implies use of different scientific methods. The purpose of current chapter aims at providing methodological base used in the thesis. Research strategy and design, scientific reasoning of the paper and data collection method is examined. Finally, the process of analyzing the data and evaluation of obtained research results is discussed. 2.1 Research Strategy There are several strategies researchers employ when undertaking social studies. These strategies vary depending on the purpose of the research, thus researcher must be careful deciding on the most relevant approach. The five relevant situations for research strategies are experiments, survey, archival analyses, history and case study (Yin, 1994). Research questions like “who”, “what”, “where”, and “why” also influence the research strategy to be used. Thus a first thing researcher should do is to formulate the main research question. The main research question of the paper is formulated as “what” question. “What is the aspiration for EU-Georgia relations within ENP process” is a main research question. To reach the purpose of the thesis three subquestions are formulated as “what” questions as well: 1) What are the goals for the EU regarding the ENP concerning Georgia? 2) What are the main reasons for EU’s greater interest inviting Georgia in ENP? 3) What are the achievements and planned actions in the ENP concerning EU/Georgian relation? The answer to these questions will be the answer to my research problem. Research strategy of the theses provides possibility to deal with multiple sources of evidence. This study focuses upon one policy field promoted towards one country instead of a large number of policy fields. This gives me the time and space to carry 17 out deeper analysis. This policy field, regional cooperation, is also one of the toppriority fields in the EU’s foreign policy. 2.2 Research Design Every type of empirical research has an implicit, if not explicit, research design. In the most elementary sense, the design is the logical sequence that connects the empirical data to a study’s initial research questions and, ultimately, to its conclusions (Yin, 1994). The research design helps to answer the research problem in the best possible way considering certain limitations. It is the choice of the best way of how research shall be conducted and what kind of information to be collected to answer the research problem. Research design depends on what problem is investigated. There are four types of design for case studies described in literature following 2x2 matrixes. The first pair of categories consists of single-case and multiple-case designs. The second pair, which can occur in combination with either of the first pair, is based on the unit or units of analyses to be covered – and distinguishes between holistic and embedded designs (Yin, 1994). The difference between a single and multiple-case study designs arises from the number of case studies to be used when trying to solve the research problem. The decision on the number of cases to use should be made before starting collecting the evidence. The embedded case study includes more than one unit of analysis and focuses on one or more sub-units and their outcome within the case study, while the holistic case study rather aims at examining the global nature of the problem. Embedded-single-case study design was chosen in this paper to describe the EU/Georgian relations. All the evidence is going to be tested on one case in order to get an in-depth understanding of observable facts. 18 2.3 Research approach All research approaches can be classified into one of the general categories of research: explanatory, descriptive, and exploratory. When it comes to the exploratory research design, it is characterized by the flexibility and is more useful when the problem is poorly understood. The explanatory case studies use the available data to explain a particular phenomenon. In case of structured and well understood problems, the descriptive research is appropriate. These categories differ significantly in terms of research purpose, research questions, the precision of the hypotheses that are formed, and the data collection methods that are used (Aaker, Kumar, Day, 2004). An exploratory research is used to explore general nature of a problem and the possible decision alternatives that need to be considered. This research approach was used in the beginning of the paper, in order to become more familiar with the subject – the European Union (EU) and its relation with third countries. The same approach continued while conducting interviews in order to gather more information. The main objective of the descriptive approach is to describe the investigated phenomenon (Kinnear T., Taylor J., 1996). The aim of this approach is to describe an observed event but without attempting of generalization of the findings into theory. This approach was used when presenting empirical findings in the paper. The exploratory approach represents a cause and effect relationship between different factors. It is used when describing relationships that can be identified by existing theories. Exploratory approach is used in the analytical part of the paper where the empirical data is tested according to the theories developed in theoretical chapters. 2.4 Scientific reasoning 19 A particular problem can be approached from either theoretical or empirical level. In this respect there are three ways of reasoning when examining a particular problem: the deductive, inductive, and abductive. The deductive research is based on existing theory and knowledge. The researcher uses only data that explains the theoretical propositions. Contrary, the inductive approach begins from the empirical level by gathering empirical data first, to produce conclusions and develop theories thereafter. This method is usually used when there is a lack of theoretical evidence or when the existing theories do not explain a certain event. The combination of these two approaches derives from what is known as an abductive approach. This method is advantageous when the researcher wants to clarify two operations: the selection and the formation of reasonable theory (Merriam, 1998). As process of finding premises, it is the basis of interpretive reconstruction of causes and intentions, as well as of inventive construction of theories. In this paper deductive research design is used in order to determine the area of the study to focus on. All the data was gathered in order to explain the existing theories and drawn conclusions are based on them. 2.5 Qualitative research Qualitative data collection is done to obtain a basic feel for the problem before proceeding to the more analytical portion of the study (Aaker, Kumar, Day, 2004). Qualitative data are collected to know more about things that can not be directly observed and measured. Explanations of social activities involve understanding and interpreting actions. It includes searching for meaning, motives and reasons. Qualitative methods role is to identify and make the society’s character understandable (Marsh & Stoker 2002). Qualitative method is used for this study due to the thesis’s purpose and the question formulated in this study. My aim is to take a look into a policy field, ENP within the 20 EU and to answer empirical questions on why and how the Union is promoting this policy. The techniques that can be used in a qualitative method are observations, interviews and text analysis (Aaker, Kumar, Day, 2004). I have chosen text analysis along with interviews. This study is examining the EU/Georgia relationship which has no lack of material for analysis and keeps good records of their activities. But I chose to use text analysis together with interviews in order to have the specific answers on questions. . 2.6 Data collection The data collected for the research purpose can be primary or secondary. Secondary data are already available, because they were collected for some purpose other then solving the present problem. It may include information from different databases, articles, books and internet sources. Primary data are collected especially to address a specific research objective. A variety of methods, ranging from qualitative research to surveys to experiments, may be employed (Aaker, Kumar, Day, 2004). According to Yin there are six sources of primary data: documentation, archival records, interviews, direct observations, participant observation, and physical artifact. Both primary and secondary data sources were used in order to increase the validity of this paper. 2.6.1 Primary data Primary sources such as government publications, internet, books, reports, journals; different articles along with previous studies were used in this paper. A vast amount of literature on existing theories addressing problems discussed in the current work has been analyzed in order to reveal the most appropriate ones. Furthermore primary data gave a general insight to the EU/Georgian relations. It helped to understand the 21 main issues regarding the research questions and provided a good background to the main issues. 2.6.2 Secondary data Secondary data was implemented by the means of personal interviews (Appendix 13) and personal observations. 2.7 Triangulation Triangulation is a method used by researchers to check and establish validity in their studies. It can be defined as a process of combining findings from different sources in order to increase the accuracy level of the study. There are several types of triangulation described in literature: • Data triangulation, involving time, space, and persons; • Investigator triangulation, which consist of the use of multiple, rather than single observers; • Theory triangulation, which consists of using more than one theoretical scheme in the interpretation of the phenomenon; • Methodological triangulation, which involves using more than one method and may consist of within-method or between-method strategies; • Environmental triangulation which involves the use of different locations, settings and other key factors related to the environment in which the study took place; • Multiple triangulations when the researcher combines in one investigation multiple observers, theoretical perspectives, sources of data, and methodologies. For the sake of increasing accuracy of the findings presented in a paper data triangulation was applied. Different sources of data, primary as well as secondary, 22 ware combined to ensure some degree of accuracy. In cases of diverse information provided by different sources data verification has been performed. 2.8 Evaluation of research results Because a research design is supposed to interpret a logical set of statements, the quality of any given design can be judged according to certain logical tests. There are four tests summarized in literature: construct validity, internal validity, external validity and reliability (Yin, 1994). Validity in research has to do with description and explanation, whether or not the explanation fits decision. In addition, researchers do not claim that there is only one way of interpreting an event. There is no one “correct” interpretation (Norman K. Denzin, Yvonna S. Lincoln. 2000). The construct validity concerns with the specifications that comprise applicability of theoretical approach throughout the research. A well constructed study must have theoretical background with clear operational definitions involving considerable indicators. A construct is a way of defining something. The construct validity of the research is higher if the construct is used by researchers in more settings with outcomes consistent with the theory. The internal validity of the experiment depends on the extent to which competing explanations for the results are avoided (Aaker, Kumar, Day, 2004). According to Merriam there are six ways of increasing internal validity of the study. The first method is using triangulation (using different sources for data verification). The second method is a member-check. The people who were the original source of information are familiarized with the data and interpretations included in the study. The third method is the long term observations. The results are closer to reality if the data was obtained over a longer time span. Another way of increasing internal validity is asking fellow researchers to give opinion on the results of a study. The fifth method involves all the research participants to be as a part of in the process of the 23 research from beginning to end. And finally, investigator can provide assumptions used as the background of the study. Further, it has to be mentioned that internal validity is concern only for causal explanatory studies, where an investigator is trying to determine effect of some specific event on another (Yin, 1994). As already mentioned, data triangulation is used to increase the internal validity of this paper. To improve the quality of collected information latest materials were looked up and respondents for the interviews were carefully selected by there expertise in specific matters. Some additional questions were sent to the respondents where particular issues and their interpretation were doubted. The external validity is the extent to which the result of the study can be applied to circumstances outside specific research setting in which a particular study was carried out. It establishes the domain to which a study's findings can be generalized However, the extent for further generalization in this thesis is limited by the fact that some realities described in this thesis have some geographical and cultural specificity. The reliability of a measure is the extent to which it provides consistent information every time it is used. It implies that if another researcher is doing the same case all over again following exactly the same procedures as described by an earlier researcher the latter should arrive at the same findings and conclusions. This idea is based on the assumption that there is only one reality. As already mentioned, several techniques were applied in this paper to avoid any possible errors. To increase the reliability of the presented data some efforts were put in obtaining trustworthy sources of information. To facilitate the consistency of the primary data, it was collected from different sources. For this purpose the information were obtained from various institutions and compared for any inconsistencies with 24 the latest agreements. Moreover, to conduct the interviews, competent respondents have been chosen in order to get secondary opinion about the subject. Questions have been chosen carefully according to the subject for the interviews. Thus, it is believed that efforts mentioned above will increase the reliability of this paper and lower possibility of significant errors. 2.9 Material In order to collect answers to the questions agreements and reports regarding the policy field ENP will be analyzed. Reports from the Commission, statements made by the European Council, regulation decided by the Council and by the Parliament will be used for the research. Also, interviews from the policy makers will have a priority through the thesis. The heads of governments from the member states agree upon the agenda and the Commission is given the task to produce reports and propositions. This material is decided and legalized in the Council, sometimes accompanied with the Parliament. After this, it is up to the Commission to implement the policy. This “wheel” of initiating and deciding does not stop here, it keeps spinning. The Commission reports the status of action taken and the Council or the European Council takes further actions. This communication is the base of material for the research. Also websites for information about the ENP have been searched. Latest EU publications, research papers and articles relevant to the ENP have been used in empirical analyses. 25 III Theoretical Background This section intends to present the theoretical approach for this study. It represents the analytical part providing different theories composing conceptual frame of the thesis. First of all the theories needed to describe Regional Security Complex theory, New Regionalism theory and International Negotiations theory are introduced and explained in context of study approach. 3.1 Theoretical Framework The recent development in EU-Georgia bilateral relations has been the establishment of an ENP Action Plan (ENPAP)5. The ENPAP aims at bringing an increasingly close bilateral relationship between EU and Georgia. By agreeing an ENP Action Plan, Georgia and the EU have committed themselves to develop deeper economic integration and to strengthen bilateral political cooperation, including foreign and security policies. Country Strategy Paper (CSP) is European Neighborhood and Partnership instrument covering main objectives of EU cooperation with Georgia for the period of 2007-2013 (Country Strategy Paper 2007-2013; Georgia). Key elements signified as theoretical structure for the thesis is based on following factors: Country Strategy Paper for Georgia represents ENP instrument for EU Georgia relations. One of the top priorities of the strategic objectives identified by CSP of EU cooperation with Georgia is Security Challenges (military, political, economic, social and environmental). EU’s approach toward Georgia is shaped by both, Regional (Georgia was included in ENP together with two South Caucasus countries, Armenia and Azerbaijan) as well as Country-specific (Country Action Plan) cooperation 5 http://www.mfa.gov.ge/index.php?sec_id=156&lang_id=ENG 26 objectives. A relation between EU and Georgia, which has been developed slowly, negotiation, was a strategic element through these years. As a theoretical framework, Regional Security Complex Theory is chosen in order to provide a general analyses that reveals the complete background causing regional security arrangements. Since the centre of attention in the thesis is on security, the analytical framework stems from security theories, specifically the New Regionalism Theory which is preferred in order to evaluate the ENP process according Georgia. While EU-Georgian relation under the ENP is shaped by regional as well as country specific approach, International Negotiation Theory was selected to supply the analyses. Thus, security and regional partnership will be used as analytical tools and security complex as the framework of analysis Using Regional Security Complex Theory in this study was initiated by several factors. First of all, the foundation of ENP is European Common Foreign and Security Policy. This means that security problems are at the top of the list from EU position. And the second factor derives from the fact that security stands at the top of Georgia’s national priorities. So this theory should guide us through the analytical part to explore the main questions in this paper. The Regional Security Complex Theory clarifies comprehensive security concept based on the idea of geographic proximity of regional security binding the whole Neighborhood together. The security complex theory enables to understand increasing number of regional patterns and provides a framework for studying particular regions. It allows for explanations of security interdependence between the EU and Georgia that initially belongs to South Caucasus regional cluster. The general picture includes interplay between general factors and security of states which form the regional dynamics. This theory offers a structure to grasp these dynamics. The New Regionalism Theory makes emphases on the factors that explain the regional cooperation within the European Neighborhood. The ENP is a regionallevel process of building mechanisms and institutions to settle the local aspects 27 of global trends and problems (Attina, 2003). This paradigm stresses economic and political interdependence, security vulnerabilities and geopolitics. These factors can be used to understand the interdependence between Europe and Georgia to further their security cooperation through ENP. New Regionalism theory was the interconnection between regionalism and security. Using New Regionalism Theory was preferred because, unlike the old one, the new regionalism provides a viewpoint on the possibility of cooperation in a heterogeneous region like South Caucasus region, part of which is Georgia. New Regionalism differs from the old regionalism in certain aspects: while old regionalism was specific with regard to objectives, being security-oriented or being economically-oriented whereas new regionalism is a more comprehensive, multidimensional process including trade and economic integration, environment, social policy, security, democracy which means inclusion of whole issue of accountability and legitimacy. (Hettne, 1999) New regionalism, in contrast, with old Regionalism studies non-homogenous regions and explains the possibility of regional cooperation in those areas. It underlines the perception of problem-sharing and intensification of dialogue between governments in the formation of regional cooperation. (Attina, 2002, 2003) International Negotiation Theory is relevant to our discussion as it is main tool between states to reach their goals. EU-Georgian cooperation and ENP strategic objectives was reached by negotiation process where interested parties attempted to reach the outcomes which serve their mutual interests even with some significant differences. Negotiation theory identifies the idea behind ENP, engagement of Georgia with European Union and vice versa. This theory should help in analyzing level of interests between EU and Georgia trough ENP. It was a long process on negotiating ENP Action Plan for Georgia as well as for EU. In this agreement Georgia and EU were both trying to focus on their best interests. 28 3.2 Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT) Regional security complex can be defined as: a cluster of nation states within which “security interdependence is relatively more intense inside it than across its boundaries.” (Buzan & Wæver; 2003) The original definition of this theoretical framework was formed in 1983, which stated that a security complex was: “a group of states whose primary security concerns link together sufficiently closely that their national securities cannot reasonably be considered apart from one another” (Buzan 1998). In 1998 a reformulation was called for stating that a RSCT constituted: “a set of units whose major processes of securitization, are so interlinked that their security problems cannot reasonably be analyzed or resolved apart from one another” (Weaver & Buzan 1998). The central idea of these definitions is that securitization in the international system will manifest itself in regional clusters (Weaver & Buzan 2003). The analytical framework which we attend to use in this perspective is called Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT), developed by Ole Wæver and Barry Buzan6. There are three principal theoretical perspectives on post-Cold War international security structures : neorealism, globalism and regionalism (Buzan & Wæver 2003). It is not in the nature of this thesis to discuss the first two perspectives; only regionalism perception will be discussed further. Importance to locate the regional (security) level, is due to the circumstance that a state is primary interrelated with its neighbors regarding security matters. 6 Buzan, Barry & Wæver, 2003, Ole, Regions and Powers – The Structure of International Security, Cambridge Studies in International Relations 29 Neighbors are simply more likely to have security threats from each other than from distant states, one of the reasons could be simply spillover effect. (Buzan & Wæver 2003) Therefore the regional perspective is also the primary perspective. The dynamics inside a regional security complex is not much different from those at the global level. There are patterns of rivalry, balance-of-power, and alliance patterns among the main powers. These dynamics are formed by general patterns of amity and enmity, which most often is generated by a mixture of historic, political, and material conditions (Buzan & Wæver 2003). This, however, should not lead to the misunderstanding that a regional security complex can be understood through historical, political, or material perspectives (Buzan & Wæver 2003). Security complexes are related to the intensity of interstate relations that lead distinctive regional patterns. Regional complex is defined as a set of states whose major security perceptions and concerns are so interlinked that their national security problems cannot reasonably be analyzed or resolved apart from one another (Buzan; 1998). Main characteristics of security regions are: there should be at least two states as constituent; these states constituted a geographically coherent grouping; security interdependence shapes the interaction between these states; and finally, the pattern of security interdependence is to be deep and long-lasting. (Buzan; 1998). According to the theory, any public issue can be located on the spectrum ranging from non politicized, through politicized, to securitized. Meaning for securitized issue is presented as an existential threat requiring emergency measures and justifying actions outside the bounds of political procedure (Buzan; 1998). Securitization is a process with no objective measure of security, meaning that different states perceive threat in different ways. Therefore, the extent of shared security concept understanding is a key to grasp the interplay among actors. In security partnership all regional states as well as external powers should be involved to accomplish stability and security in the region. 30 According to the theory geographical estimate is important in the formation of security complex system. By using complex system, this study aims to show that security is a particular type of politics applicable to a wide range of issues and sectors, actually creating the structure: military, political, economic, environmental and societal and should not be regarded as independent aspects. The military sector is about relationships of forceful coercion. The political sector is about relationships of authority, governing status and recognition. The economic sector is about relationships of trade, production and finance. The societal sector is about relationships of collective identity. The environmental sector is about relationships between human activity and the planetary biosphere. To analyze security complex system it is important to show how sectors are synthesized. In other words, the majority of states have traditionally been concerned with the capabilities and plans of their neighbours (Buzan and Wæver 2003). As it relates more specifically to the EU and security, European Union is keen upon encouraging regional cooperation. (Wæver 1995; Buzan and Wæver 2003). For the purposes of this discussion New Regionalism Theory concerning regional cooperation will be exploited. This should enable us to understand how regional cooperation remains as the primary method to secure the region. 3.3 New Regionalism New Regionalism is a comprehensive, multidimensional process including trade and economic integration, environment, social policy, security, democracy which means inclusion of whole issue of accountability and legitimacy (Buzan and Wæver 2003). 31 Appling New Regionalism, for this research was caused by several reasons. New Regionalism explains connection between regional cooperation and security. It underlines the perception of problem-sharing and intensification of dialogue between governments in the formation of regional cooperation. (Attina, 2002, 2003) The new global system is characterized by the flow of information, communication, cross-border problems such as migration, terrorism, drug trafficking, organized crimes and illegal trade. It is not only the military but also the non-military issues threaten the security and stability of a country. Thus, nation-states become insufficient to prevent the threats unilaterally. Therefore, states preferred to participate in collective security and cooperation framework and establish transnational policy coordination so that costs of action will be shared. New regionalism stresses that regional cooperation can be started by governments which assume that negotiations for building good-neighbor relationships, economic ties, knowledge transfer and policy coordination, are the most preferable tool to cope with the problems broadly caused to the countries of the region by some new global trends. (Attina, 2003: 183). In summary, new regionalism goes beyond the rational evaluation and broadens the perspective by seeing the whole picture with all its dimensions. ENP is a multidimensional process of regional cooperation; it is a package rather than a single policy and goes beyond the free trade market idea (Hettne, 1999:17). Multidimensionality of ENP offers an explanation of regional cooperation in South Caucasus. 3.4 International Negotiation Theory International Negotiation theory is also an aspect of the theoretical framework that will govern this discussion. One of the main factors to be considered as it relates to international negotiations theory is the complexity of negotiations on an international 32 scale (Midgaard and Underdal 1977; Elgström and Jönsson 2005 ). Negotiation process consists of communication, among states seeking to arrive at mutually acceptable outcome on some issue or issues of shared concern. Complexity of negotiation streams from diplomatic activity between states and has to be distinguished, on the one hand, from the simple exchange of views and on the other hand, from the practice of conceive diplomacy by which one party attempts to impose its wishes unilaterally( Raymond Cohen,1995). The theoretical framework associated with international negotiations theory is essential to understanding the role of the EU and ultimately the ENP. As it relates to the goals of the EU through the implementation of ENP, it is clear that negotiations can be complex and that they play an instrumental role of achieving the goal with Georgia and vice versa. Negotiation is a process by which we search for terms to obtain what we want from somebody who wants something from us (Kennedy Gavin, 2006). ENP negotiation phase for EU and Georgia was a process to further their interests. It is important to assess the relative importance of those interests and proportions in the ENP negotiation process. In the negotiation process each party want to do well for themselves. “Doing well” is only measured with respect to the things they care about, weather out of direct self interest or concern for the welfare of others. Thus doing better in negotiations does not imply pressing for a bigger share rather it means advancing the totality of ones interests (K. Gavin 2006). It is not always easy to know how to evaluate interests when it comes to the state negotiation process. They may derive from interactions too complex to understand directly. In such cases, carefully chosen proxy interests may help. For example it is not possible to predict the effect of any particular negotiated outcome on all substantive interests over the course of term. Clarifying interests, however, can sometimes be difficult (R. Cohen 1995). 33 3.4.1 “Relationship” Interests Several types of interests (Lax and Sebenius, 1986) may be at stake in a negotiation. It can provide a way to capture some important qualities of interests and lead to improved agreements. “Process” Interests - Are related to the way an agreement is settled. Analysts often assume that negotiators evaluate agreements by measuring the value obtained from the outcome. Yet, negotiators may care about the process of bargaining as well. Even with no prospect of further interaction, some would prefer a negotiated outcome reached by pleasant, cooperative discussion to the same outcome reached by abusive, dealings (Ficher and Ury 1981). “Relationship” Interests - These interests indicate that one or both parties value their relationship with each other and do not want to take actions that will damage it. “Relationship” Interests exist when the parties value the relationship both for its existence and for the fulfillment of substantive benefits from the relationship. Negotiation process often stresses the value of the relationship interests, those interests sometimes derive from developing an effective working relationship (Ficher and Ury 1981). Interests should be distinguished from issues and positions. For analyzing EU-Georgia relationship process, issues and positions under ENP, it will be helpful to focus on “Relationship” Interests that assist to develop a better understanding of mutual problems and inventing solutions. Interest in “Principles” - Negotiating parties may have interests in principle. Certain principles - concerning what is fair, what is right, what is acceptable, what is ethical, or what has been done in the past and should be done in the future - may be deeply held by the parties and serves as the dominant guide to their action (Ficher and Ury 1981). 34 IV Empirical Studies This part of the paper discloses the information about the current conditions prevailing in EU and Georgia regarding politics, economic situation and legal regulations which affect relations. 4.1 European Union: as a power in International Relations In the recent years the development of the EU’s foreign policy has been a focal point for IR researchers. Theories on the EU were to a great extent built upon the integration process and had been more or less ignored earlier by IR theorizers (Rosamund, B. 2000). Development of Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) has strengthened EU’s role on international arena (Smith, H. 2001). 4.2 Legal foundation for the European Unions Foreign Policy The end of the cold war, Germany’s reunion and the war in former Yugoslavia led to new threats and needs. The Unions member states decided it necessary to establish the second pillar of the European Union in the 1993 Treaty on European Union signed at Maastricht.(“Europe in the world…2006”). 4.2.1 Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) This was the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP)7 the function of the second pillar (Appendix 4). 7 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_Foreign_and_Security_Policy 35 In addition there were many changes made in 1999 enforcement of the Amsterdam Treaty and there have been additional developments in CFSP. It led to the establishment of a common European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP)8 in1999. 4.2.2 European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) The European Union has agreed to develop a Common Security and Defence Policy (CESDP) that fits within the overall framework of the CFSP and the development of this policy has been ongoing. In December of 2001 the European Council at Laeken implemented a declaration on the operational capacity of the ESDP (“Common Foreign and Security Policy”). In addition, the provisional structures developed in the aftermath of the Amsterdam treaty are now permanent (“Common Foreign and Security Policy”)9. Indeed the Amsterdam treaty plays a fundamental role in establishing the following objectives: Ø To make stronger the security of the Union in every possible way; Ø To protect the shared values, basic interests, autonomy and integrity of the European Union in compliance with the principle of the United Nations Charter; Ø To defend peace and reinforce international security, in agreement with the standards established by the United Nations Charter, in addition to the standard of the Helsinki Final Act and the objectives established in the Paris Charter (“Common Foreign and Security Policy”); Ø To enlarge and strengthen democracy and the rule of law, respect for human rights and basic freedoms (“Common Foreign and Security Policy”); 8 9 Also referred to as CESDP, including “Common” as well. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Security_and_Defence_Policy 36 Ø To encourage international collaboration (“Common Foreign and Security Policy”); The European Council, the heads of state or government in the EU member states, confirmed their intention that the EU “shall play its full role on the international stage… give the European Union the necessary means and capabilities to assume its responsibilities regarding a common European policy on security and defense” (European Security Strategy 2003; The European Council;). The aim was to create the capacity for independent action, backed up by credible armed forces and decisionmaking bodies and procedures. 4.2.3 European Security Strategy (ESS), tool for strategic relations This new policy for security lined the way also for a European Security Strategy (ESS) in December 2003. The security strategy recognizes the significance of “security in neighborhood” and the creation of a “ring of responsibly governed states” around the EU (“The European Security Strategy” The European Council 2003). Enlargement in 2004 changed the European Union geographically. New neighbors in the East were in vision. In 2004 the EU responded to these internal and external changes with the launch of a new “European Neighborhood Policy” (ENP). The ENP promotes the above-mentioned objectives in the CFSP and the ESS towards third countries in the surrounding area of Europe (“European Neighborhood Policy: Strategy Paper” 2004). 4.3 The European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) 37 What is the European Neighborhood policy (ENP)? Initially it is a programme in the EU’s foreign policies, dealing with third countries. As the name imply, the EU has grouped its neighbor countries into one cluster and is to some extent dealing with them jointly. The ENP allows neighboring countries to the EU for a deeper relationship with the Union. Almost every country comprising the ENP is very much already associated prior to the establishment of this programme. In Eastern Europe and South Caucasus the Partnership and Cooperation Agreements10 contribute the foundation for relations. The EU Mediterranean Partnership, including the Barcelona Process, presents a regional support for cooperation in the Mediterranean (Common Strategy 2000/458/CFSP; The European Council). The ENP using all these agreements as a base is trying to simplify and combine the EU’s relations. Each country has or will have an agenda, a so called Action Plan, for the participation in the ENP (Appendix 5). All the measures that the partner country and also the EU have to take are declared here. This will be the tool, by which the ambitions and the objectives of the ENP will be fulfilled. The Commission and inquisitive negotiating with the country in point will put these Plans forward (“European Neighborhood Policy: Strategy Paper” 2004). ENP Action Plans are already being implemented – with Israel, Jordan, Moldova, Morocco, the Palestinian Authority, Tunisia and Ukraine, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. Lebanon and Egypt are the next countries and for the last 4 countries, Algeria, Belarus, Libya and Syria, no predictions are made at this date.11 The development of the ENP evolved from the enlargement of the European Union that took place in 2004 (Appendix 7). This enlargement was viewed as a way to improve the Economic and social stability on the European Continent. Because Europe and the European Union in particular are composed of many different nations 10 11 http://ec.europa.eu/comm/external_relations/ceeca/pca/index.htm The European Commission http://ec.europa.eu/world/enp/policy_en.htm 38 with diverse cultures, the enlargement of the Union brought with it certain challenges related to this diversity. To combat these challenges the European Union developed the Neighbourhood policy to create and implement policies that would encourage all of the countries to work together towards the accomplishment of mutual goals. 4.4 Regional Cooperation The Regional Cooperation as a policy matter in the EU takes its origin from the establishment of the European Communities. The EU has sustained to build relations from the perspective of its own success, stemming from cooperation. A definition of the term regional cooperation in the EU context is “all efforts on the part of (usually) neighboring countries to address issues of common interest” (COM (95) also, Smith, K.E. 2005) A reason for grouping countries together concerning regions is due to the fact that they usually are interdependent which includes their weaknesses. Problems like environmental pollution, drug trafficking and other cross-bordering activities must be dealt with on a regional basis (Smith, K.E. 2005). Also states domestic issues such as economy or unemployment usually affect neighboring countries, the problems could be transmitted. In an interdependent world economic system, regionalization is seen as an agent of integration and globalization as well as a level for transformation from guided economic systems to market economies. Regional partnership also contributes to geopolitical stability. Cooperation can in these areas benefit from a regional approach and is considered to be one of the most effective confidence building measures. The EU definition of Regional Cooperation includes elimination of policy-induced fences in movement of goods, services, transportation, and factors of production in the group of cooperating states; harmonization in these areas is a key issue. With this promotion the Union expects economic development, prosperity and peace among the cooperating countries (Appendix 6). 39 This support for regional groupings is seen as a way to maintain links between an enlarged EU and the rest of the countries in Europe. An objective for the ENP is, “to prevent the emergence of new dividing lines between the enlarged EU and its neighbors and to offer them the chance to participate in various EU activities” (Ferrero-Waldner B. 2006). ENP allows third countries to create an opportunity for better trade facilitation within the region as well as towards the EU. 4. 5 EU Russian Relationship and Geopolitics of the Energy Supply The EU is a major player on the international energy market as it is one of the world's largest importers of oil, gas and coal. With external dependence on imports forecast to grow steadily, the EU has started to engage itself into relations with third countries for energy aspects12. Oil and gas reserves are unevenly distributed around the globe, and the largest reserves are situated in politically or economically insecure regions (Middle-East, Russia). North Sea oil and gas fields have already been exploited beyond their peak, leaving Europe dependent on non-EU countries for future supply (Piebalgs A. 2007). 4.5.1 Europe’s Troubling Dependence Russia, the European Union’s primary oil and gas provider, has deliberately taken advantage of this lack of cohesion to gain favorable energy deals and heighten European dependence on Russian supplies. Russia has practiced a strategy whereby Europe’s substantial dependence on Russian energy is a power to obtain economic and political 12 http://www.euractiv.com/en/industry/geopolitics-eu-energy-supply/article-142665 40 gains. If this situation continues, the EU will find itself in further danger, as its dependence leaves it beholden to Russian interests. There simply is no readily available alternative to the supplies the EU receives from Russia, particularly natural gas. Unlike oil, gas is extremely difficult and costly to ship via tankers; pipe-lines are the preferred method of transportation. Thus, if a supplier refuses to provide gas or charges an unreasonable price, the consumer cannot quickly or easily turn to another source. The consumer state would have no choice but to accept the supplier’s conditions or go without natural gas, an option that is all but unacceptable for most. The unjust manipulation or interruption of energy supplies is as much a security threat as military action is, especially since the EU relies on Russia for more than 30 percent of its oil imports and 50 percent of its natural gas imports13. Seven eastern European countries receive at least 90 percent of their crude oil imports from Russia, and six EU nations are entirely dependent on Russia for their natural gas imports. If no action is taken, it predicted, the EU's energy dependency will climb from 50% in 2000 to 70% in 203014. The lack of reliable and sustainable European access to energy represents a clear threat to the Union’s security. The Commission has adopted new energy policy for Europewhich states that “energy must become a central part of all external EU relations” 15. 4.6 Georgia: country overview 13 http://www.consilium.europa.eu/ueDocs/cms_Data/docs/pressdata/EN/reports/90082.pdf. 14 http://ec.europa.eu/energy/green-paper-energy-supply/doc/contributions/2002-02/2002-02-27-i2.pdf 15 http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2007:0001:FIN:EN:HTML 41 Georgia is situated at the junction of Europe and Asia, in the central western part of Transcaucasia. Caucasus mountain range separates it from Russia from north, to the south it neighbors Turkey and Armenia, and to the east Azerbaijan. The western boundaries of Georgia are washed by the Black Sea. The overall territory occupies 69,700 square kilometers. It has a borderline of 1968.8 km, of which 308,4km is coastal. The population according to various estimates is 5.4 million people, 70.1% being ethnically Georgian. 15 major ethnic groups constitute almost 30% of population. The capital of Georgia is Tbilisi with around 1.3 million inhabitants. There are 9 regions, 65 districts, 5 cities of republic dependence and 2 autonomous republics. The state language is Georgian. The Georgian alphabet, one of fourteen in the world originates form 3ed - 4th centuries AD. Georgia is one of the oldest Christian countries. Christianity was declared as state religion 337 AD. The majority of the population is Orthodox Christians. 4.6.1 Political stability Since the peaceful “Rose Revolution” of November 2003 Georgia has appeared under the world spotlight, as the new government led by innovative young people took over Shevardnadze’s regime to replace the years of frustration and dissolution with a new sense of hope and unity; to build a democracy that could embrace and protect all members of Georgian nation (M. Saakashvili, president of Georgia). Georgia was the first among the Soviet Union republics to declare independence in 1991. It was followed by the outbreak of conflicts in autonomous republics of South Ossetia and Abkhazia within Georgian territory. Economy has collapsed because of open combats and loss of preferential access to the former Soviet Union markets. The armed conflicts were stopped as a cease-fire came to effect at the end of 1993. 42 Nevertheless the relation between the central government and self declared republics remains very tense. Fraud of parliamentary elections of November 2003 caused public protests which led to resignation of the president E. Shevardnadze. Presidential elections held in January 4th 2004 were won by the leader of mass protests, former member of the cabinet of ministers M. Saakashvili by overwhelming majority of votes 96.27%. Constitutional amendments where run through parliament to strengthen the power of president. The post of Prime Minister was formed. Political power in Georgia is based on classical democratic model with presidential power. The Constitution of 1995 defines the principles of rule of law. Parliament of Georgia represents the legislative power consisting of 235 MPs (subject to change) and is assembled on the basis of general elections. Georgian Constitution provides the independence of judiciary. Supreme Court is the supreme judicial body. Articles of Constitution are protected by Constitutional Court. Political security made it possible to implement economic stabilization program which is being successfully observed at present. Critical measures were taken to tackle the corruption and organized crime. The foreign policy is directed towards developing co-operation with other countries and integration into different international structures. 4.6.2 Economic situation Georgia had relatively strong economy before the collapse of Soviet Union. The dissolution of the Soviet Union had a dramatic impact on Georgian economy, reflecting in reduction of personal incomes, hyperinflation of national currency, increased levels of unemployment, and reduction of output of agricultural and industrial products. In 1992 the GDP dropped by 44.2% compared to 1989. 43 In 1994 with assistance of WB and IMF Georgia launched Anti-Crisis program under which the implementation of large-scale economic reforms began. The reforms encompassed entire range of economy: restructuring banking system and monetary policy, acceleration of privatization, liberalization of prices, transformation of fiscal system and liberalization of foreign trade, improving of revenue system and appropriate legal framework and many more. National currency was introduced in September 1995. As a result inflation was reduced to 13.8% in 1996 and to only 7.3% in 1997. Lower annual average inflation of 5-6% is explained by the government’s prudent monetary policy. The National Bank of Georgia continues the floating exchange rate policy in order to ensure currency stability. The systematic institutional reforms, creation of liberal legislative framework and structural changes in economy has led to constant economic growth since 1995. The chart illustrates the GDP growth rates from 2000 to 2006. GDP growth rates 2000-2006 Source: Department for Statistics of the Ministry of Economic Development of Georgia 44 As in most of former communist countries the shadow economy and non recorded operations remain the major obstruction to the Georgian economy. However, implementation of successful anti-corruption policies has resulted in a clear tendency towards legalization of informal economy. Due to the size and the openness of Georgian economy, foreign trade plays very important role for stability and economic development of the country. After gaining independence Georgia enhanced foreign relations with more then 100 countries. Import is dominated by mineral products (especially natural gas, oil and oil products) and electricity, indicating country’s complete reliance on foreign energy resources. Other major import products are pharmaceuticals and food. Georgia’s international trade and exchange is one of the most liberal among transitional economies. The IMF’s trade restrictiveness index for Georgia is only 2 on a scale of 1 to 10 (see the article “Invest in Georgia 2007”). According to the data of State Department of Statistics of Georgia16 the major trade partners in 2003 were Russia, UK, Turkey, Azerbaijan and Ukraine. Those countries represent 53% of the overall registered trade. The same year imports from CIS and EU amounted to 70% of total imports. The major export market for Georgian products still remains CIS. Turkey contributed to 18% of exports and share of the EU was about 17%. Political stability, recent economic reforms and favorable geographic locations attracts great deal of interest from foreign investors. The improvement of the investment climate has increased FDI inflows to Georgia, especially after the “Rose revolution”. Foreign direct investments made in Georgia in 2006 amounted to $1.147 billion USD. As shown on the following chart the amount of foreign direct investments has increased significantly compared to the previous years. 16 http://www.statistics.ge/index.php?plang=1 45 Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) 2000-2006 Source: Department for Statistics of the Ministry of Economic Development of Georgia The World Bank recognized Georgia as the world's fastest-reforming economy in its 2007 “Doing Business” report, ranking it as the world's 37th easiest place to do business17. 4.6.3 Membership of Different Organizations In early 90’s Georgia started to prepare to become a member of GATT and then of the WTO (after its establishment in 1995) membership of which enjoys since 2000. This membership indicates that Georgian legislation is in full compliance with international norms and the trade is liberal and country welcomes the foreign investments. Acceptance by WTO encouraged Georgia’s integration with Europe. In terms of market access arrangements, Georgia as the member of WTO is subject to Most Favored Nation (MFN) treatment. Besides, Generalized System of Preferences 17 World Bank Report: “Corruption Eased in Transition Countries from 2002-2005” July 26, 2006 http://web.worldbank.org 46 (GSP) status is granted to Georgia by the EU, USA, Canada, Japan, Switzerland and Turkey18. Since June 25, 1992 Georgia is one of the founders of the Organization of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) and accordingly participant of the main processes taking place within the Organization. Georgia greatly contributed to the formation of the BSEC process and its transformation into the International Regional Economic Organization (IREO). The main goals and objectives of BSEC are economic development and stability of the Region, welfare of the people of the Member States and the promotion of democratic processes in the Black Sea area19. Georgia joined the CIS in 1993 and is a founding member of GUAM, since May 1996 regional organization consisting of Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan and Moldova. The major objectives of the organization are Democracy and Economic Development20. In 1999 Georgia has become a member of the European Council, which was a very important step towards integration in European institutions21. On November 21st 2002, at the Prague Summit Georgia officially announced its desire for NATO membership, what automatically draw Georgia into IPAP (Individual Partnership Action Plan) process. The IPAP is approved and intensified dialog between NATO and Georgia has been started. If membership of the EU is viewed as a long term priority, target date for NATO membership is 200822. 4.6.4 Georgia - Russian Relationship Georgia’s European strategic choice is primarily based on the “fear of Russia” paradigm (Rondeli A. 2001). This is a security-driven motivation. Over the past two 18 http://mfa.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=ENG&sec_id=150 http://www.mfa.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=ENG&sec_id=471&info_id=4696 20 http://mfa.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=ENG&sec_id=128 21 http://www.mfa.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=ENG&sec_id=492 22 http://mfa.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=ENG&sec_id=88 19 47 centuries Russian Empire and the Soviet Union have contributed much to laying foundation of current ethnic tensions in Georgia through deportations and resettlement of different ethnic groups, as well as artificially drawing and redrawing administrative boundaries. Since the breakup of the USSR, Russia has shown little willingness to witness the emergence of Georgia as a sovereign state capable of making free choices, ensuring its political stability and security. Indeed, Russia has actively, manipulated Georgia’s domestic vulnerabilities in an effort to retain the republic within its sphere of influence. Russia has acted in most cases as an initiator of, a participant in, and at the same time as official mediator in these conflicts, openly favoring the secessionist side. In sum, Russia has become the problem, not the solution, in most of these cases (Socor V. 2005). Further, continued crisis in Chechnya has made Georgia a target for international terrorists. This has served as a cause for repeated violation of Georgia’s air space, by Russian military forces, including bombing cases. Additionally, Russia has used various forms of blockade to reinforce coercion: Closing Russia's market to Georgia's agricultural products; Imposing “radical” price hikes on gas and electricity supplies to Georgia; Denying residence permits to Georgia's citizens for work or business in Russia; Russia’s aggressive attitude towards Georgia, therefore, has played a decisive role in determining Georgia’s strategic choice-seeking security guarantees in its western partners23. 23 Personal Interview with Alexsander Maisuradze 48 4.7 South Caucasus Region The Caucasus mountain range gave the name to the Region of South Caucasus, which stretches for more than 800 kilometres from the Caspian to the Black Sea (Seely, R. 2001). This place has always been a bridge between west and east, where Europe meets with Asia and where cultures have crossed (Henze 1983 cited in Seely 2001). The nation-states that the South Caucasus is comprised of today are the post-Soviet states of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia. Three territories in the region: Abkhazia24, South Osetia25, and Nagorno-Karabakh26 have de facto independence but are not officially recognized as sovereign states by the international community. Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia share a compact geographic area, many common cultural practices, and a long, interlinked history. Despite these deep ties, crossborder relations and collaborative efforts on a regional scale have diminished significantly since the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Regarding for energy infrastructure from the Caspian Sea region, South Caucasus literally represents a strategic crossroad for the global market. Georgia is well placed to serve as one of the world’s major corridors for the shipment of oil and gas from Caspian Sea27. The three countries are also tied into a web of commercial and diplomatic interests that complicate the role of European Union in the region when dealing with all three. Armenia has close relations with Russia and depends on Russia for much of its energy. Armenia also has a tense relationship with its neighbors Turkey and especially Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan for its part remains closer to Turkey and retains 24 Abkhazia is a de facto independent republic located in the South Caucasus, officially part of the Republic of Georgia. 25 South Ossetia (or Samachablo) is a de facto independent republic located in the South Caucasus, officially part of the Republic of Georgia 26 Nagorno-Karabakh is a de facto independent republic located in the South Caucasus, officially part of the Republic of Azerbaijan. 27 Personal Interview with Archil Gegeshidze 49 good relations with Russia. Georgia on the other hand has a tense relationship with Russia and is the most western-oriented of the three, preferring closer relations with European Union and NATO28. All three countries maintain good relations with neighboring Iran. As European Union builds its relationship with the region and each country individually, it is important to take into account the common interests of the regional actors. 4.7.1 Similarities within the South Caucasus A common authoritarian past and a common Soviet legacy granted all three South Caucasus States with common challenges and opportunities. The crucial challenge for South Caucasus countries is the problem of territorial integration. Frozen conflicts in Azerbaijan (Nagorno-Karabakh) and in Georgia (Abkhazia and South Ossetia) do not contribute to the regional stability. These zones of tension in each country represent the great risk for the overall development process in the region. 4.7.2 Differences within the South Caucasus The differences can be found in the manner of political governance, the features of civil society and the foreign policy orientations. Each country of the South Caucasus has different assets (political, economic, cultural, societal, natural etc.). 4.8 Regional Cooperation within South Caucasus 4.8.1 Energy 28 Personal Interview with Alexander Maisuradze 50 Regardless of differences within South Caucasus there is a tight cooperation within the region, due to the vast projects such as energy matters which is essential not just on regional but on international level as well29. New pipeline which was opened in 2005 runs through Georgia from the offshore oil fields of Azerbaijan in the Caspian Sea to the southern shores of Turkey on the Mediterranean. Starting near Baku in Azerbaijan, running close to Tbilisi in Georgia, and finishing south of Ceyhan in Turkey, it is known as the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline30. Baku-Supsa oil pipeline is another important collaboration between Georgia and Azerbaijan. Beside oil pipelines there is also new independent gas pipeline from the Caspian basin to Western markets transiting Georgia, Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum (South Caucasus). Batumi (Georgia) is a key terminal for gas exports for partners like Turkey and South Eastern European countries. Currently there is also an investigation on the feasibility of bringing Azeri gas from Shah Deniz (Azerbaijan) to the EU (either through Ukraine and Poland or through Romania) via Georgia31. Electricity transmission is another important project on regional cooperation. In 2007, Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan signed the “Tbilisi Declaration on a Common Vision for Regional Cooperation”32, by which they agreed to support the construction of a new electricity transmission line from the Republic of Azerbaijan through the territory of Georgia to the Republic of Turkey, as well as other projects designed to enhance electricity exchange between the parties in future. The stated aim of the declaration is that, through developing major regional energy projects the three states can establish long term and predictable relations33. 4.8.2 Transportation 29 Personal Interview with David Dondua http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BTC_Pipeline 31 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Caucasus_Pipeline 32 http://www.un.int/azerbaijan/61%20Session%20Letters/17.pdf 33 http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=14589 30 51 “The New Silk Road” project, run by Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey, is another strengthening point in a sense of regional cooperation within South Caucasus revealing numerous political, economic and environmental challenges that is a part of the package of markets and capital integration. Framework of the project aims to link Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia via a 258kilometer-long railway. The railroad, 14 years in the making, has been touted as the shortest route for commercial traffic between Asia and Europe. The railroad will create conditions for the restoration of the historical “Silk Road” and will develop the Europe-Caucasus-Asia transport corridor, thereby advancing the region’s integration with Europe. This corridor proves particular significance for the Caspian Sea region’s oil industry, also known as TRASECA project, a regional transportation program backed by the European Union34. 4.9 EU-Georgia Relation under Partnership and Cooperation Agreement The EU-Georgia Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA)35 was an important component in the establishment of EU-Georgia Relations (Appendix 8). The EUGeorgia Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA) was developed in 1996, and implemented in 1999. The PCA establishes the legal basis of EU-Georgia relations (Country Report, Georgia). The EU-Georgia partnership is based on: respect for democracy values of international law, 34 http://www.traceca-org.org/ 35 http://ec.europa.eu/external_relations/ceeca/pca/pca_georgia.pdf 52 principles of a market economy human rights The PCA is responsible for broad cooperation in the spheres of investment, trade, economics, political discussion, legislation and culture (Country Report, Georgia). This dialogue is based on the mutual pledge to support international peace and security and the non-violent settlement of disputes. The PCA has also been responsible for removing trade quotas and is committed to safeguarding industrial, intellectual and commercial property rights (Country Report, Georgia). In addition EU and Georgia have given one another Most Favoured Nation (MFN) treatment and Georgia profits from the EU’s General System of Preferences (GSP) (Country Report, Georgia). Many joint institutions established as the result of the PCA have operated in a smooth manner and have served as the platforms for political discussion. These institutions include the Cooperation Committee, Sub-Committee on Trade, Cooperation Council, Economic and Related Legal Affairs and the Parliamentary Cooperation Committee (Country Report, Georgia). 4.10 EU-Georgia ENP development process During the General Affairs Council in February 2001, the EU established its readiness to play a more vigorous political position in the South Caucasus region (Appendix 9). The EU also shared its desire to assess ways to support efforts to prevent and resolve conflicts in the region and to partake in post-conflict rehabilitation (Country Report, Georgia). In addition Georgia embraced the EU’s pledge to play a more dynamic role in the region. The commission reports that during 2001 and 2002 relations between the EU and Georgia were negatively affected by several security incidents and slow down EU 53 Georgia relations.36 The decline in Georgian security led the European Commission to evaluate its policy towards Georgia which resulted in of a revised Country Strategy Paper in September of 2003 (Country Report, Georgia). In June 2004 Georgia was offered to be included in the European Neighbourhood Policy which was a considerable step forward in dealings between the EU and Georgia (Country Report, Georgia). In addition, Georgia has embraced its inclusion and articulated its eagerness to take advantage of the opportunities that are now available because of this inclusion. In addition in July 2004, the Georgian government implemented a declaration establishing a “Commission for Georgia’s integration into the EU” (Country Report, Georgia). Overall, the relationship between the EU and Georgia already begun to move forward after identifying major points of concern in Georgia. Time will reveal the magnitude of the relationship and the impact of ENP on Georgia37. However, it is evident that Georgia could gain greatly from the benefits offered to the nation through the Neighbourhood policy and the Action Plan. The next chapter will focus on an in depth analysis of EU/Georgia relations. 36 These security incidences began in December of 2001 when Guenther, a staff member of the EC Delegation in Georgia, was killed. Another security incident occurred in June 2002, when a TACIS contractor, Peter Shaw, was taken captive and detained for five months. The individuals that carried out these crimes have never been found and or held accountable by the Georgian authorities (Country Report, Georgia). 37 Personal interview with Robert Lidell 54 V Analyses 5.1 EU-Georgia Interests and ENP Negotiation process One of the main reasons focusing on the International Negotiation Theory for this study is for the light it sheds on the aspects of negotiation: interests in “relationship” between Georgia and EU. The European Union represents the model of relation among nations governed by traditional view of the European Institutions. EU is carrying out global mission, which aims to develop closer relations with third countries. But it is impossible to have close relations without sharing and implementing beliefs of the Union. Georgia as well as many other countries do agree with the ideology of the EU and is ready to implement rules to achieve deeper relation38. European Neighborhood Policy is a voluntary processes based on bi-lateral and multilateral agreements assisting Georgia for its successful transformation. Increasing importance of Georgia has been caused by various factors. In particular, democratic changes of the country have caused bigger interest of Europe towards Georgia as well as the whole South Caucasus region. Also, geographical proximity gave rise to new opportunities. It became in the interests of EU to make Georgia institutionally strong to be able to oppose the risks associated with security39. Europe recognizes current or potential challenges of energy security, pays more attention to the new objective of finding alternative energy resources. In this context, Caspian energy sources and Georgia, as a transit country of these resources to Europe is of a bigger interest40. 38 Personal Interview with David Jalaghania Personal Interview with Alexander Maisuradze 40 Personal Interview with David Dondua and Robert Liddell 39 55 Georgia’s inclusion in ENP was a process when EU and Georgia negotiated to further their interests. (Kennedy Gavin, Negotiation Techniques, Soren Hilligsoe Outzen 2006). It is important to assess the relative importance of those interests and the negotiation process between EU and Georgia. EU-Georgia partnership under the ENP can be analyzed as “relationship” interest with a strategic view for long run perspective to become a partner country of the EU. 5.1.2 EU-Georgia “Relationship” Interests After more than a decade of bilateral political and economic interactions with the EU in the framework of its Partnership and Co-operation Agreement, European Union has been developing a new stage in relations and Georgia has been included in the European Neighborhood Policy (ENP), putting EU-Georgia relations on a higher level. EU-Georgia “relationship” interests approach is based on bilateral agreement with combination of respect, obligation and partnership41. The Rose Revolution and the subsequent free and fair elections in Georgia enabled the country and the rest of the South Caucasus to be included into the ENP initiative in June, 2004 (Kapanadze S. 2004). The Georgian government, together with EC was conducting negotiations on the ENP Action Plans. The ENPAP does not change the PCA; it still remains the main legal framework for EU-Georgian relations. However, the ENPAP represents more concrete document, unlike the PCA, which lacks the details.42 The Action Plan strengthened the political dialogue component already set up in the PCA and added significant components as well, such as measures for a gradual and partial integration into the EU’s internal market, cooperation in Justice and Home Affairs, cooperation in the fields of energy, transport and environment, research and innovation. 41 42 Personal Interview with David Jalaghania Personal interview with Archil Gegeshidze. 56 The European Union’s Neighborhood Policy Action Plan for Georgia could be a useful mechanism for promotion of reforms, if used effectively. It should allow EUGeorgia relation to become more focused. ENP offers the opportunity for the EU and Georgia to develop an increasingly close relationship, going beyond co-operation, to involve a significant measure of economic integration and a deepening of political co-operation. The EU and Georgia are determined to make use of this occasion to enhance their relations and to promote stability and security. (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia) The level of ambition of the “relationship” interest depends on the degree of Georgia’s commitment to common values as well as its capacity to implement jointly agreed priorities, in compliance with international and European norms and principles43. The progress of the relationship will acknowledge fully Georgia’s efforts and concrete achievements in meeting those commitments. 5.1.3 ENPAP Negotiation process ENP is more in favor of bilateralism than a multilateral approach because it concentrates on developing bilateral relations between the EU and individual countries (Smith K. 2001). ENPAP negotiation process highlights the values in developing and furthering effective working relations between EU and Georgia. The individual country AP is based on the principle of “differentiation” and is modified to take account of Georgia’s needs and capacities, as well as its existing relations with the EU (Ferrero-Waldner 2005). Three rounds of negotiation on ENPAP raise different positions on specific set of issues that both side, EU and Georgia wanted to decide in its favor. However, many different sets of issues during negotiation process reflected the same interests, extent to which the EU and Georgia both showed 43 Personal Interview with David Jalaghania and Alexander Maisuradze 57 considerable equality on carrying out their points for successful promotion of mutual interests.44 Interests are the concerns, needs, fears, and desires underlying EUGeorgian positions (Fisher, Ury, and Patton, 1991). Negotiation under ENPAP reflects decision making process by EU and Georgia, both having interests to determine how to allocate resources, or work together in the future. 5.2 Security Challenges For any country and especially for Georgia, security is the primary concern45. The European Neighborhood Policy is oriented towards preventing new conflicts and security threats46. After the latest enlargement, EU shares its external sea border with Georgia, by the Eastern part of the Black Sea. Consequently EU is now directly exposed to the threats from Georgia. As a result a strong Georgia in the interest of Europe matters more than ever. Therefore, further sectoral analyze will lead us to the answers of the question “what are the goals for the EU concerning Georgia and regional cooperation and what are the achievements and planned actions in ENP concerning EU/Georgia relation and regional cooperation”. EU and the ENP can serve a valuable role in assisting the securing of the state of Georgia. From a Georgian perspective the security expertise that can be derived from a relationship with the EU and through the implementation of the ENP is immeasurable. In addition, the resources that these entities can offer Georgia are essential to the capacity of the country to overcome these threats. Also when the security issues in Georgia are stable the country will have the ability to expand economically, politically and socially47. 44 Personal Interview with Archil Gegeshidze 45 Personal Interview with Alexander Maisuradze 46 Personal Interview with Robert Liddell Personal Interview with David Dondua 47 58 The starting point of the ENP comprehensive approach is the recognition of the interdependence between all dimensions of security – political, economic, cultural, environmental, military – hence the need to formulate integrated policies on all of them (Biscop, 2005). This comprehensive approach is translated into the overall objective of “effective multilateralism”, a stronger international society, well functioning international institutions and a rule-based international order. At the global level, the EU seeks to pursue this objective mainly through the regional partnerships and organizations. With regard to its neighbourhood, the EU itself assumes a leading role in order to “promote a ring of well governed countries as European Union neighbours with who can enjoy close and cooperative relations” (Ferrero-Waldner 2006). The same approach is to be followed by: dialogue, cooperation and partnership in all fields of external action, putting to value the whole range of instruments at the disposal of the EU. 5.3 Military Sector Military threats are the core of the security concerns. (Buzan; 1998). Military capability of states threatens the other states. Especially if the relationship is in enmity pattern, the capabilities would trigger further threat. Geography shapes perceptions and operation of military threats and vulnerabilities in two ways: through distance and terrain. (Buzan; 1998). Distance implies that military threats are more difficult to be controlled and prevented in short distance while terrain can reduce or increase the vulnerabilities according to the landscape and climate conditions. History is another factor determining the military threat that past experience shapes the present perceptions. Political factors such as degree of recognition of each other and ideological divergences also trigger military threats. Breached territorial integrity is the primary contributing to various other problems that destabilize the economic political and social stability of Georgia. Georgia's state borders have sill not been established; unrestrained territories serve as a safe place for illegal militant groups (National Security Concept of Georgia). These areas create 59 sensitive conditions for a variety of terrorist groups and provide rich ground for illegal imports and multinational organized crime. As a result, the breach of territorial integrity, if not confronted in the upcoming years may jeopardize the survival of Georgia as a viable state (National Security Concept of Georgia). As it comes to the European Union the military sector also remains of vital interest and importance. The EU’s fundamental aim is to create a situation where military conflict is unthinkable, and expanding to the region the area of peace, stability and prosperity. One of the key objectives of the European Neighborhood Policy is to contribute to the settlement of regional conflicts in the EU’s neighborhood. Primary concerns of the ENP is better coordination and integration of the political, economic and security dimensions in order to contribute to conflict resolution in the EU’s neighborhood. It is in the EU’s best interest that countries on the EU borders are well-governed because, neighboring weak states, who are engaged in violent conflicts, where organized crime flourishes, create security threats for the EU. (The European Security Strategy (ESS)) 5.3.1 Conflict resolution The EU has been a player in conflict resolution efforts around the secessionist areas of Abkhazia and South Ossetia in Georgia. Since 1997 the EU has been financing the rehabilitation of the conflict zones in South Ossetia and Abkhazia. EU assistance for these regions amounted to 33 million Euros between 1997 and 2005. From 2006, the EU significantly increased its budget and became the biggest international donor in the conflict regions (Georgia; Country Strategy paper 2004). Activating the role of EU in conflict resolution is one of the main issues for Georgia. The EU believes that even at the given stage it is sufficiently involved in resolution of internal conflicts of Georgia. EU is careful about getting involved in new conflicts, 60 such as Abkhazia and Ossetia, despite elements of engagement; the EU chooses not to play too large role in conflict resolution issues in Georgia. Although it always emphasizes that it considers Abkhazia and Ossetia as part of Georgia and participates in peacekeeping processes. The government of Georgia expects EU to increase the number as well as efficiency of the projects in the conflict zones with participation of Georgia and that it will secure more international interest towards the conflict resolution process. However EU focuses on Georgia’s reforms and transformation instead, which is seen as a precondition for settling the conflicts48. Rather than conflict resolution, the Action Plan’s first priorities are rule of law and improving the investment climate. The EU approach is entirely justified. Most political and economic reforms in Georgia can (and should) be undertaken without holding them hostage to the unsolved conflicts in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. In any case, the conflicts cannot be solved without an attractive, prosperous, democratic and Europeanized Georgia. 5.4 Political Sector Political security is the widest sector in certain aspects, especially when it comes to the threats to state sovereignty (Buzan et al., 1998). Political threats stem from the great diversity of ideas and traditions. Legitimacy crisis, problems in democratic system and human rights, secessionist movements, pressure on government for change, ideological and identity problems are among political threats. Georgia is attempting to establish itself in the region, as it relates to the development of a successful government and political stability. The objectives and goals established by the Georgian government are consistent with many of the goals and objectives of the ENP. 48 Personal Interview with Robert Liddell 61 Political reforms undertaken by President Saakashvili's administration have laid the foundations that should allow Georgia to become a fully fledged democratic state. Success in the fight against widespread corruption and the intensification of external relations with the EU, Georgia showed the ability for positive changes. However, Georgia is still in the process of consolidating the good results achieved so far. Georgia’s democratic institutions are in place, but further efforts need to be made to ensure that a democratic and human right culture takes root in Georgian society. Developing a functioning parliamentary opposition, adopting an effective system of institutional checks and balances, allowing a participatory civil society to develop, and encouraging local governance through the newly established local authorities are important challenges that Georgia still faces to complete the transition from a postrevolutionary country to a modern, democratic, market-oriented state. The main objective of the European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) is the mutual interest of the EU and its neighbors in promoting reform, the rule of law, stable democracies and prosperity – security and stability - throughout the neighborhood of the enlarged European Union. The EU offers its neighbors an intensified political dialogue based on shared values and common interests in tackling common problems. An objective of the action plan is to enhance the degree of legal expertise and lawscreening while harmonizing Georgian legislation with the European standards (EU/Georgia Action Plan). The action plan also desires to promote a greater level of political pluralism by strengthening the functioning of political parties in Georgia (EU/Georgia Action Plan). The ENP pays special attention increasing safety of borders and ensuring political stability. 5.5 Social/Societal Sector Societal threats are often part of a larger package of military and political threats.(Buzan, 1991:122). Suppression of sub-identities, ethnic differences, rise 62 of societal violence, migration and population growth are among those threats. While social security is about individuals and is largely economic, societal security is about collectives and their identity (Buzan, 1998: 120). 5.5.1 Internal conflicts As it relates specifically to the society sector one of the main thrusts of the action plan is to encourage peaceful solutions to internal differences or conflicts. The action plan calls for improved efforts and for additional economic assistance from the EU for the conflict resolution process within Georgia. 5.5.2 Human Rights Since the Rose Revolution, Georgian government has seemed ready to reform its laws and policies in accordance of human rights, to bring them into line with European standards and made some progress in improving its legislation to comply with international human rights standards. But, this has not always corresponded with improvements in practice. However the European Neighborhood Policy Action Plan for Georgia sets clear prospects and could be a useful mechanism for promotion of human right reforms, if used effectively. In order to ensure consistency with international human rights standards when carrying out reforms through changes in legislation or the creation of other legal documents, the Action Plan includes the requirement that focus not only on changes in Georgia’s legislative framework that are achievable in the short run but also on implementation and changes in practice, which require longer-term monitoring. Effective monitoring of the Action Plan’s implementation will encourage compliance and allow for timely EU intervention and assistance when needed. 63 5.6 Economic Sector Economic security means self-reliance of a state to feed its population and industry and its ability to have access to outside supplies, markets and credits. At the regional level, it is related to the new regionalist logic of interaction between the states and the impact of global economic transitions on the relations of the regional states. The economic threat is highly linked to the political and military threat. The economic welfare of a country has direct influence on military sector as financial sources could be used to strengthen the military capabilities of a state. In addition, there is a strong link between economy and the overall power of the state within the international system as well as economic decline threatens the domestic stability of a state. Economic threats resemble to an attack on the state that result in material loss, strain on various institutions of the state and even substantial damage to the health and longevity of the population. (Buzan, 1991:130). As it relates to the economic sector Georgia can benefit from the resources that the EU offers through the neighbourhood policy (Appendix10). Economic development through ENP is important also as it promotes poverty reduction efforts for Georgia. Economic stability can greatly improve the quality of life within Georgia and promote great educational and health opportunities. 5.6.1 Free Trade Both, the government of Georgia and representatives of EU recognize high interests in EU-Georgia relation and free trade development under the ENP process. According to the Georgian government this will have significant influence over the development of the economy of the country, although the necessary pre-condition for reaching this goal for Georgia is to ensure full compliance of the internal regulations with European standards. Government of Georgia believes that full implementation of EU requirements regarding internal market that is associated with the increase of state 64 regulations, will limit corruption and improve business environment for this particular stage49. From an economic standpoint it is also in the best interest of the EU to ensure that Georgia has a stable economy. When a stable economy is in place many other factors will also fall into places and the country will not have to rely upon the EU for funding no more. In other words, it is in the best interests of the EU to use its resources to ensure that Georgia has an efficient economy because poverty breeds all sorts of negative attributes including violence and corruption. 5.7 Environmental Sector The nature of environmental problems as a long term danger makes the environmental security very weak in comparison with other security sectors.(Haddadi, 1999). Nonetheless, it started to count in international relations and to raise conflicts between states. The environmental sector includes several issues like disruption of ecosystems, energy problems, economic problems, food problems and civil conflicts. Environmental issues can also create security threats for the states. With regard to global environment issues and climate change in particular, Georgia acceded to the Kyoto Protocol in 1999, and therefore needs to implement the relevant provisions and, where appropriate, implement concrete policies and measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, in particular in the energy and heavy industry sectors. The Action Plan for Georgia desires to support sustainable growth including the safeguarding of the environment (EU/Georgia Action Plan). EU and Georgia plan to 49 Personal Interview with Archil Gegeshidze 65 work together to guarantee that conditions for acceptable environmental management are established and can be implemented. Overall, environment legislation in Georgia is in place in several areas, but still needs further development, in particular with regard to implementing legislation. Georgia faces difficulties with implementation and enforcement of environment legislation due to limited administrative capacities and financial resources, especially at regional and local levels. 5.8 What do facts in these five sectors speak for? The evaluation of the five sectors of security shows that the relationship between EU and Georgia is marked by the security interdependence since the solution of these challenges requires collective rather than unilateral action and needs cooperation in each of them. The linkage between these sectors and the challenges within each, have both local and global causes and effects. Thus, the pattern of interdependence gets deeper for EU and Georgia under the ENP. The security challenges depicted that they are interrelated and make both the EU and Georgia interdependent. Rising density of relations and security interdependence premises to frame the ENP. This picture confirms the necessity for cooperative action, as the root-causing security challenges does not lie just under political or economic cooperation but rather on cooperation in each sector. The EU with specific approach towards Georgia under the ENPAP tries to enhance structural reforms in different sectors as each sector represented above can cause threats to securitization in local as well as in global terms. The security interests of the EU are in the forefront of the ENP gaining success in Georgia as a part of the South Caucasus Region. Security challenges along this chapter illustrates that EU promotes the ENP in order to grasp full stability in Georgia and prosperity within the South Caucasus Region. 66 5.9 ENP and Security Challenges in the Regional Context Regions may be defined and distinguished according to an approximate combination of geographic, social, cultural and political variables. Barry Buzan has developed the concept of the Regional Security Complex in effort to highlight the importance of the regional level in international security affairs. Security relations presume high levels of interdependence, multiple interactions and shared sensitivities and vulnerabilities among the states. Even in an era of globalisation, geography still matters, while the security issues arising in the neighbourhood of the EU are potential threats because of geographic proximity. In the security complex theory, the existence of the security interdependence and the pattern of interdependence are determining for a regional cooperation. Georgia’s inclusion in South Caucasus Region under the ENP should be considered as a “Regional Security Complex” defined as “group of States whose primary security concerns link together sufficiently closely that their national securities cannot realistically be considered apart from one another” (Buzan 1991). It is logical therefore that in this area the EU assumes responsibility and directly takes the lead in promoting peace and security, for a stable neighbourhood is a necessity for Europe’s own security. The actual development of the CFSP and ESDP can be seen in the light of Europe’s desire to fulfil security challenge through ENP. Promotion of the regional cooperation as an EU foreign policy clearly illustrates how EU external relations are formed under the influence of the internal experiences. EU recognizes the South Caucasus as a significant component of the Union’s foreign policy strategy. Nature of EU external relations is considered to be suitable for the export of EU economic and political principles to third countries. EU uses regional cooperation as a policy instrument towards South Caucasus to achieve peace, economic and political stability within the region. The development and implementation of the ENP is in the vital interest of both sides: the EU will gain more 67 influence through the ENP, which in turn will also enable the three states to stabilize their political and economic situation and integrate more closely into the EU. Regional cooperation is defined as joint efforts of neighboring countries to work together on the issues of common interests. This broad term has two sub sections. Regional integration refers to removing policy imposed barriers to regional movement of goods, services, people and capital. Regional cooperation on the other hand, aims to reduce other barriers that can facilitate economic interdependence and common management of recourses, such as barriers in transportation and communication infrastructure (COM (95)). Certainly, inclusion of Georgia together with the South Caucasus countries into the ENP is viewed as a positive development, which has generated hope of larger EU role in the whole region. This move sent an important message that the EU is committed to support the three states on their way towards building democratic societies and creating workable market economies. In response, the leaderships of South Caucasus countries consider the ENP to be, solid opportunity for deeper regional cooperation and further integration into the EU. Regionalism stresses the factors including cultural identity, historical context, degree of economic and political homogeneity, and security that explain the regional formations and arrangements. Therefore, dynamics of regionalization within South Caucasus includes cultural, security, economic and political development and cooperation. According to this paradigm, regional security arrangements can absorb the tensions easily, reduce the risk of bilateral conflicts and could intervene in the intra-state conflicts which threaten regional security. (Hettne, 1999) In result, EU has formulated a true rational strategy towards Georgia as a part of South Caucasus Region. In other words, the EU outlined a strategic vision of its own role for enhancing relationships with Georgia dealing on a regional level. 68 5.10 Regional Cooperation and South Caucasus Georgia’s priority, concerning regional cooperation is regional security. This, however, cannot be achieved without stability and economic development within South Caucasus region. Again, in order to obtain stability and economic development certain conditions have to be fulfilled. Georgia’s vision of the South Caucasus region is its belief that regional states have to cooperate in the promotion of regional security and economic cooperation. Regional security can be developed through economic cooperation, which would bring not only stability and economic dynamism to all three small independent states, but also benefit regional powers, both in their security and in their economies. South Caucasus may play the role of a bridge for regional powers, even more the role of a bridge in East-West and North-South trade. The conflicts which have already taken place in the Caucasus have shown EU that internal problems and instability within each of the Caucasian states may spill over the regional boundaries, and affect the interests of the EU, including their security concerns. They may trigger unexpected processes and may even threaten the security of the EU. From the regionalism view, the geographic proximity of the EU to the South Caucasus makes Europe vulnerable to those security challenges as well as any spread of instability from the region to the EU. This makes the ENP initiative inevitably compulsory for the EU while for the South Caucasus the ENP is also unavoidable to promote stability and prosperity in the region. Thus, this proximity makes the regionalizing logic strong. 5.11 ENP Tool for Regional Cooperation 69 In point of fact, EU chose to apply regional approach rather than individual towards Georgia. But on the other hand EU provides the three South Caucasus countries with equal opportunities exploiting their realistic possibilities within individual Action Plans. Certainly, EU has concerns in Georgia as a part of South Caucasus region. Inclusion of Georgia within South Caucasus in the ENP pointed exclusively to an increased EU visibility and engagement in the whole region. Stability and security are indeed of great importance for the EU. More exactly, EU faces both real opportunities in the South Caucasus region and obvious challenges with each South Caucasus Country individually, including Georgia. First and foremost, the current challenges include the issue of regional security and stability. As it comes to opportunities, EU focus on energy resources of the Caspian Sea and the role of the South Caucasus as both a resource-rich area and transit corridor for carrying petroleum and gas to Europe, which remains heavily dependant on Persian Gulf oil and Russian gas supplies. Without doubt, the EU seeks for economic objectives in South Caucasus, which is potentially a lucrative and attractive place for foreign direct investment, especially for oil multinational companies. Hence, conflict resolution should be regarded as a prerequisite for the development of energy and infrastructure projects each of which has a vital importance for the entire region. On the other hand the ENP has offered Georgia a great opportunity to come closer to South Caucasus countries within the region and advance the relationships with the EU. 5.12 EU-Georgia: reasons for engagement 5.12.1 The common security context of the EU and Georgia Georgia represents an important test of the EU’s ability to take responsibility for the security of the European neighborhood, and develop a meaningful policy for a 70 country that cannot be considered as candidate for accession. The EU wants to have stable neighbors, for the EU’s internal security and also for stability as a prerequisite for 50 prosperity and economic development in the countries concerned . There is no much difference between developing security and stability within the regions and what the ENP is offering to its partner countries. “ENP is European Union Policy, with the bases of security strategy, including aspects of the Common Foreign and Security Policy of the EU. Common Foreign and Security Policy may not be part of the ENP exactly, but it is a closest policy that leads to a total package from the European Union to maintain security and stability within the neighborhood51”. ENP embodies the EU’s desire for stability, good governance and economic reforms within Georgia and South Caucasus Region. EU sees Georgia in a wider context due to the active interest in the region for energy security. The top priority for Georgia from security reasons is to engage the EU in the peaceful resolution of the conflicts in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The conflict zones in Abkhazia and South Ossetia are threats of becoming international centers of smuggling, drug trafficking, illegal arms deals etc. The implications from these conflict zones could stretch far beyond Georgia’s borders. Also political instability in Georgia would have economic implications for the EU. 5.12.2 Securing a stable European energy supply It is significant to note that Georgia provides a critical land corridor for the transit of Caspian oil and gas to the West. Provision of Caspian energy sources to the western markets increased the role of Georgia for Europe since the energy routes in South Caucasus region decrease Europe's energy dependency on Russia. This factor links Europe to elimination of the risks of explosions in unsafe areas and this should be 50 51 Personal interview with Robert Liddell Ibid. 71 used by Georgia to initiate and request increased European involvement in regulation of conflicts. Georgia has a strategic position by its geopolitical location. EU views Georgia within South Caucasus region as integrally linked to the Caspian Sea and energy reserves in Central Asia52. Georgia is important as a transit area for energy supplies to Europe, which will lower the EU’s dependence on Russia as energy supplier. Georgia is also interested in ensuring to a significant extent Europe’s energy security, which could be supported by two factors: Europe’s demand on Caspian energy will increase essential partnership and interdependence of EU and Georgia. This will speed up the process of Georgia’s transformation into a European country. And another also very important issue is that Georgia as a transit country will have a certain economical benefit from this53. The European Union’s interests require a continued engagement with Georgia, through more effective economic, security and cultural cooperation in the framework of the ENP. 5.13 Summary of the chapter The first part of this chapter evaluated the developments achieved so far between EUGeorgia under the ENP negotiation process and has identified interest of the relationship. In order to create a security partnership EU-Georgia relation is based on relationship interests with further cooperation prospects. Second part showed that the ENP has identified the challenges within the AP according to Georgia. From the comprehensive analysis defined in the Regional Security Complex Theory, at the bottom end lays the domestic politics. Improvement 52 Personal Interview with Robert Liddell 53 Personal Interview with Archil Gegeshidze 72 of the domestic conditions within Georgia would enhance the security as the analyses of the security challenges showed. Third part shows EU-Georgia relation at regional level and ENP as Regional Cooperation. At the regional level the EU tries to build links among the states within South Caucasus region. ENP is the largest initiative comprising states under one framework and the most comprehensive with its focus on the fields of different sectors. Partnership in the ENP influences the regional and domestic developments. This creates probability to avoid risks of further security threats for the EU, Georgia and South Caucasus Region. 73 VI Outcomes The aim of this part of the thesis is to answer the main research question, by presenting implications derived from the analyses carried throughout the study. The aim of the Neighbourhood Policy is to achieve shared prosperity and values by creating close partnerships with the EU’s neighbouring states, bringing them as close to the EU as possible without being a member, which should lead to in-depth economic integration, close political and cultural relations and a joint responsibility for conflict prevention. 6.1 Evaluation of EU interests towards Georgia The EU has four direct interests in Georgia. First, the European Union has an interest in the fulfillment of the expectations that were born with the Rose Revolution in Georgia. Before change of power, Georgia was a failing state with a failing democracy. The Rose Revolution marked Georgia’s return to the path of democratic transition, and transformation began with number of reforms, and for the restoration of political stability. EU has a clear interest in Georgia fulfilling its transformation into fully democratic state. Second, it is important for the EU that good governance is established in Georgia and its territorial integrity is restored peacefully. Apart from the unacceptable cost of human casualties in Georgia itself, renewed conflict would leave the South Caucasus over also more widely through the Black Sea region, and possibly affect the security of EU member states and candidate countries. The EU is interested in the peaceful settlement of Georgia’s conflicts as the resumption of hot wars would unravel all of the gains Georgia has achieved since the Rose Revolution and increase doubts over 74 the countries future. EU has direct interest in peaceful resolution of frozen conflicts in Georgia. Third, Georgia is an important neighbor of the enlarged European Union. The EU has a number of objective interests in its stability and prosperity. A weak and failing Georgia could serve as a source of threats towards Europe. The EU has an interest in Georgia not becoming a challenge in terms of international organized crime, drug trafficking from Central Asia or the pressure of illegal labor migration. A democratic and stable neighborhood is important for EU security. Finally, the Union has a direct interest in the stability of Georgia or the transit of energy production from the Caspian Sea. With the opening of the Baku-TbilisiCeyhan (BTC) oil pipeline, Georgia has emerged as an important transit state for Caspian oil to European Markets54. The BTC pipeline is the key for securing European access to this market. BTCs sister project, the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum natural gas pipeline, also confirms Georgia’s centrality. The EU estimates that its energy imports will rise from 50% to cover 70% by 2030 (COM (202)). In this case, Georgia’s role in securing access to Caspian Sea energy reserves is vital. 6.2 Evaluation Georgian interests under the Action Plan The full implementation of the Action Plan will put Georgia in a winning position that will significantly improve relationships with EU. Certainly, implementation of European Neighborhood Policy action Plan would only have positive results. Besides, implementation of the reforms described in the Action Plan will improve the quality of life in Georgia and turn into a stronger country. Accordingly, experts believe that implementation of the Action Plan falls under the interests of Georgia and European Union. 54 See the discussion of the BTC in S.Fred Starr and Svante Cornell (eds.), ‘The BTC Pipline:Oil Window to the West’ 75 Due to the above reasons, there is a growing interest of Europe to successfully implement peaceful processes and democratic transformation of Georgia. Currently Georgia together with South Caucasus Region is one of the main challenges for the EU in terms of energy security, although Georgia should better show the aspiration towards European values and democratic transformation. That is why European Neighborhood Policy is an important instrument on this road. EU and Georgia negotiated on Action Plan which further generates strategies for country in subjects such as political economy, security, democracy, human rights etc. EU Neighborhood Policy Action Plan was formed in 2006 by EU and the Georgian government. The plan is an important document defining strategic goals of EUGeorgia partnership. Its implementation should promote development of growing relationships between Georgia and Europe that will increase the level of economic integration and deeper political cooperation. Implementation of Action Plan will assist Georgia to enhance norms and standards of EU. Full implementation of ENP Action Plan, offers Georgia close collaboration in the issues of politics and security, economy and culture as well as active regional and mutual border responsibility for conflict resolution. The goals of ENP are based on respect to shared values and efforts to effectively implement political, economic and institutional reforms in Georgia. Proposing European Neighborhood Policy Action Plan to Georgia does not automatically promise offering EU membership. Implementation of the European neighborhood Policy is an important step for integration with EU. Its successful implementation will contribute to advancement of the reforms in Georgia and serve as a step forward for building democracy (Appendix 11). 76 VII Conclusion This part provides final conclusions regarding the results of the current thesis highlighting the major findings from the research questions. This discussion was concerned with the EU-Georgian relations utilizing the ENP as a strategic tool for political analyses. This thesis attempted to assess the EU/Georgia relation and ENP process in aspect of security within the theoretical framework of RSCT, Regionalism and Negotiation Theory. This study showed that EU-Georgia relations have enhanced after the ENP. The EU is the partner who Georgia sees as the most engaging one today. The EU and Georgia with Action Plan in the framework of ENP set up an agreement which involves both political and security issues in exchange of enhanced trading deals and participation in different developing projects. EU interest in Georgia can be found in the overall purpose of the European Union, which as evidenced by the research, involves regional security and economic development. Existing cooperation projects and positive developments within South Caucasus Region require attention. New Regionalism with its broader perspective of studding non-homogenous regions provides an explanation of regional cooperation in the South Caucasus Region. As it relates to security, Georgia is in a very vulnerable location and has already experienced security threats from external sources. Instability in Georgia and South Caucasus Region could be a serious threat to EU security. As such it is in the best interest of the European Union to use its resources to secure and to promote development within the area as much as possible. Overall, the research seems to validate the need for the ENP and for good relations between the European Union and Georgia. 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The European Union institution Official Documents The European Commission: Communication from the Commission (COM) is found on: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/ - COM (95) 219 final, European Community Support for Regional Economic Integration Efforts among Developing Countries - COM (2000) Green Paper on “Security of Energy Supply” http://ec.europa.eu/energy/green-paper-energy-supply/doc/contributions/200202/2002-02-27-i-2.pdf - COM (2002) “Towards a European Strategy for the Security of European Energy Supply” Communication from the Commission to the European Council of June http/europa.eu.int/comm/energy_transport/lirevert/final/report_en.pdf - European Commission (2002) “Common Foreign and Security Policy” Retrieved http://ec.europa.eu/comm/external_relations/cfsp/intro/index.htm - COM (2003) “Wider Europe - Neighborhood: A New Framework for Relations with our Eastern Neighbors”, Communication from the Commission to the European Council - European Commission (2003) “Country Strategy Paper 2003-2006: Georgia.” http://ec.europa.eu/comm/external_relations/georgia/csp/georgia_csp_6.pdf 83 - COM (2004) 373 final, European Neighborhood Policy Strategy Paper http://ec.europa.eu/world/enp/pdf/strategy/strategy_paper_en.pdf - European Commission (2004); “Country Strategy Paper 2007-2013: Georgia, European Neighborhood and Partnership Instrument”; - COM (2004) 628 final 2004/0219 ENPI - COM (2004) 795 final, communication from the Commission to the Council on the Commission proposals for action plans under the European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) - COM (2005) 561, Communication from the Commission: 2005 Enlargement Strategy Paper - COM (2005) 72 final, communication from the Commission to the Council on the “European Neighborhood Policy Recommendations for Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia and for Egypt and Lebanon”. http://ec.europa.eu/world/enp/pdf/enp_communication_72_2005_en.pdf - COM (2005) 72 final, ENP Country Report Georgia http://www.eu-integration.gov.ge/pdfs/georgia_cr_0503.pdf - COM (2006) “Europe in the World - Some Practical Proposals for Greater Coherence, Effectiveness and Visibility”; Communication from the Commission to the European Council - The European Commission and EU Secretary-General/High Representative (2006) “An External Policy to Serve Europe’s Energy Interests,” http://www.consilium.europa.eu/ueDocs/cms_Data/docs/pressdata/EN/reports/90082. pdf - COM (2007) “An energy policy for Europe” Communication from the Commission to the European Council and the European Parliament http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2007:0001:FIN:EN:HTML The Council or Council of the European Union or the Council of Ministers (three names for one institution) - Common Strategy 2000/458/CFSP of the European Council of 19 June 2000 on the Mediterranean region http://europa.eu/scadplus/leg/en/lvb/r15002.htm 84 The European Council or the European Summit (not an institution) - The European Security Strategy (2003) the European Council, 15895/03 http://www.mae.es/NR/rdonlyres/140E90B3-E188-4E78-9C803BF32951BA0F/1836/europasegurapdf.pdf - Treaty on the European Union, title V article 11. Official Journal C 325 of 24 December 2002 http://eur-lex.europa.eu/en/treaties/dat/12002M/htm/12002M.html - The European Council meeting in Cologne on 3 and 4 June 1999 http://www.europarl.europa.eu/summits/kol1_en.htm - The European Security Strategy, “A secure Europe in a better world - the European Security Strategy” Approved by the European Council held in Brussels on 12 December 2003 http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cmsUpload/78367.pdf Interviews Robert Liddell - First Counselor, Head of Economic, Political and Press Section; Delegation of the European Commission to Georgia July 23, 2007 Dr. Archil M. Gegeshidze - A senior fellow at the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies (GFSIS). June 28, 2007 Amb. David Dondua - Director of the Political Department; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia; June 11, 2007 Alexander Maisuradze - Director of Department of Security Policy and Euro-Atlantic Integration; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia; June 11, 2007 85 David Jalaghania - Director of the Department of European Integration; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia; August 1, 2007 Internet http://ec.europa.eu/world/enp/policy_en.htm http://ec.europa.eu/comm/external_relations/ceeca/pca/index.htm http://ec.europa.eu/comm/world/enp/policy_en.htm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BTC_Pipeline http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_Foreign_and_Security_Policy http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Security_and_Defence_Policy http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Caucasus_Pipeline http://eur-lex.europa.eu/ http://europa.eu/pol/cfsp/index_en.htm http://europa.eu/scadplus/leg/en/lvb/r00001.htm http://web.worldbank.org http://www.cer.org.uk/pdf/policybrief_georgia_sept05.pdf http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=14589 http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=12481 http://www.consilium.europa.eu/ueDocs/cms_Data/docs/pressdata/EN/reports/90082. pdf. http://www.cpirs.org.ge/ http://www.delgeo.ec.europa.eu/en/index.html http://www.enp.ge/?l=1&i=18 86 http://www.eu-integration.gov.ge/eng/ http://www.euractiv.com/en/energy/energy-green-paper-new-revolution/article153104 http://www.euractiv.com/en/industry/geopolitics-eu-energy-supply/article-142665 http://www.geotimes.ge/index.php?m=home&newsid=3802 http://www.geplac.org/index.php?lang_id=ENG&sec_id=50050 http://www.gfsis.org/pub/eng/ http://www.investingeorgia.org/ http://www.mfa.gov.ge/ http://www.mod.gov.ge/?l=E&m=1 http://www.president.gov.ge/?l=E&m=0&sm=3&st=30&id=2145 http://www.statistics.ge/index.php?plang=1 http://www.statistics.ge/printpublication.php?plang=1&pform=-999999 http://www.traceca-org.org/ http://www.un.int/azerbaijan/61%20Session%20Letters/17.pdf 87 Appendixes: Appendix 1 Figure 1. Corruption as a problem for business, by country, 2002 and 2005 Figure 2. Bribe frequencies, by country, 2002 and 2005 88 Figure 3. Bribe tax by country, 2002 and 2005 Figure 4. Change in the impact of state capture, 2002-2005 89 Appendix 2 Map of Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) and Baku-Supsa Pipelines Source: EIA Appendix 3 Map of Georgia and its neighbors 90 Appendix 4 EU Structure EU EC European Community First pillar (ECT) Common Foreign and Security Policy Second pillar (CFSP) Police and Judicial Cooperation in criminal Matters Third pillar (title VI TEU) 91 Appendix 5 AA = Association Agreement, PCA = Partnership and Cooperation Agreement. EU relations with neighboring countries by the end of 2006 Source: Press release (2006) European Commission 92 Appendix 6 The European Neighborhood Policy by Regional Coverage GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE Eastern Europe Russia, Ukraine, Moldova, Belarus Southern Mediterranean Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, the Palestinian Authority, Syria, Tunisia Southern Caucasus Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia 1. Strengthening stability, security and well-being for EU member states and neighboring countries. OBJECTIVES 2. Preventing the emergencies of new dividing lines between the enlarged EU and its neighbors. Source: EUROPEAN NEIGHBOURHOOD POLICY: POLITICAL, ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL ISSUES Fulvio Attinà and Rosa Rossi The Jean Monnet Centre “Euro-Med” Department of Political Studies Catania, 2004 93 Appendix 7 A Chronology of ENP Ø April 2002: The General Affairs Council (GAC) requests the Commission and the High Representative for Common Foreign and Security policy ‘to work up ideas on the EU’s relations with its neighbors’. Ø September 2002: The GAC initial outline, presented to an informal meeting of foreign ministers, meets with a general lack of interest. Ø December 2002: At academic conference, the Commission President proposes ‘A Policy of Proximity’ arguing that the enlarged EU needed ‘a ring of friends’. Ø December 2002: The Copenhagen European Council declares that The Union remains determined to promote stability and prosperity within and beyond the new borders of the Union. Ø March 2003: European Commission publishes Communication 104: Wider Europe— Neighborhood: A New Framework for Relations with our Eastern and Southern Neighbors Ø June 2003: The Council of Ministers declares the EU wishes to define an ambitious new range of policies towards its neighbors Ø July 2003: European Commission publishes Communication 393: Paving the way for a New Neighborhood Instrument Ø December 2003: The European Council adopts the “Solana document” A Secure Europe in a Better World Ø May 2004: The Commission presents Communication 373 European Neighborhood Policy Strategy Paper Source: EUROPEAN NEIGHBOURHOOD POLICY: POLITICAL, ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL ISSUES Fulvio Attinà and Rosa Rossi The Jean Monnet Centre “Euro-Med” Department of Political Studies Catania, 2004 94 Appendix 8 Short Chronology of EU – Georgia Relations 1992 Ø Technical Assistance for the Commonwealth of Independent States (TACIS) allocates its first funds to Georgia 1993 Ø The EU launches Transport Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia (TRACECA) The EU’s Humanitarian Aid Office (ECHO) starts operation in Georgia 1995 Ø The EU launches the Interstate Oil and Gas Transport to Europe program (INOGATE) 1996 Ø 22 April: The EU signs the Partnership and Co-operation Agreement (PCA) with Georgia 1999 Ø 1 July: the PCA with Georgia enters into force 2003 Ø 7 July: The EU appoints Finnish diplomat Ambassador Heikki Talvitie as its Special Representative for the South Caucasus Ø 23 September: The Country Strategy Paper 2003-2006 for Georgia is adopted Ø 2 December: Romano Prodi and Javier Solana meet with Nino Burdzanadze, the interim President of Georgia Ø December: the EC allocates funds for Georgia’s presidential and parliamentary elections from the Rapid Reaction Fund 2004 Ø 13 January: The National Indicative Programme 2004-2006 for Georgia is signed Ø 14-15 January: Javier Solana visits Georgia to congratulate President Saakashvili on his election to presidency Ø 6 April: President Saakshvili pays his first visit to the European 95 Commission where he meets President Prodi and Commissioner Patten Ø 13 May: The Commission recommends the inclusion of Georgia, along with Armenia and Azerbaijan, in the European Neighborhood Policy Ø 14 June: The Council makes a decision to include Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia in the ENP Ø 16-17 June: The European Commission co-chairs a Donors Conference for Georgia Ø 5-6 July: Commissioner Janez Potoènik visits Georgia Ø 16 July: The Council approves the “EUJUST THEMIS” Operation Plan with the aim of deploying it in Georgia Ø 22 July: The “EUJUST THEMIS” Rule of Law Mission to Georgia is launched in Tbilisi, Georgia Ø 17-19 September: Romano Prodi visits Georgia 2005 Ø March: The Commission issues its comprehensive ENP Country Report on Georgia Ø April: The EU sends the first three civilian experts of the EU Special Representative’s Border Support Team to Georgia to observe the situation Ø on the Georgian borders. 25-27 October: A team of EU troika visits Georgia before the commencement of the ENP Action Plan negotiations Ø 29-30 November: The first round of negotiations between the EU and Georgian officials over the ENP Action Plan is held in Tbilisi, Georgia; Ø 21 December: EU grants trade preferences under “GSP+” to Georgia 2006 Ø 20 February: The EU appoints Peter Semneby as a new EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus with extended mandate Ø 8 March: The second round of negotiations between the EU and Georgian officials over the ENP Action Plan is held in Brussels Ø 16 May: The third round of negotiations between the EU and Georgian officials over the ENP Action Plan is held in Tbilisi, Georgia Appendix 9 96 A Chronology of ENP - Georgia Ø June 2004: Georgia joined the European Neighborhood Policy (ENP). The relevant decisions of the EU Council included recommendations of the European Parliament, European Commission, those of the EU Council Secretary General, the high representative of the Common Foreign Security Policy and the special representative of the EU in the South Caucasus on involvement of Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia into the ENP. Ø July 2004: the Commission for Georgia's Integration into the EU was established. Its purpose was to assist Georgia in the process of joining the European Union, to coordinate the process of implementation of the Partnership and Cooperation Agreement and to ensure Georgia's effective participation in the European Neighborhood Policy. Ø November 2005: the first round of talks over the EU Neighborhood Policy Action Plan was held. Ø March 2006: the second round of talks over the EU-Georgia Action Plan within the European Neighborhood Policy was held on in Brussels Ø May 2006: the third round of talks over the elaboration of the EUGeorgia Action Plan within the European Neighborhood Policy was held in Tbilisi. Ø October 2006: the Joint Statement on the agreed text of the ENP Action Plan within the European Neighborhood Policy was signed between the Troika and Georgia in Tbilisi. Ø November 2006: the 7 th meeting of the EU-Georgian Cooperation Council was held in Brussels. At the end of the meeting the EU-Georgia Cooperation Council’s recommendations on the implementation of the EU-Georgia Action Plan in the framework of the European Neighborhood Policy was signed. Ø January 2007: the EU fact-finding mission visited Georgia. The aim of the mission was to examine the possibilities of implementing the EUGeorgia ENP Action Plan in the conflict zones of Georgia, including issues of border control and confidence building between the conflicting sides, as well as the ways of EU participation in peaceful resolution of the conflicts on the territory of Georgia. Source: http://www.mfa.gov.ge 97 Appendix 10 Assistance to be provided to Georgia within the framework of ENP 2007-2013 Source: European Neighborhood and Partnership Instrument Georgia. National Indicative Program, 2007-2013 Appendix 11 Georgia’s other expectation from ENP process: Establishment of independent judiciary, based on the implementation of the reform strategy for the criminal justice Strengthening border monitoring capacity and intensifying co-operation with the EU on border protection issues, including increasing administrative and technical capacity, equipping and training of border guards; EU to encourage Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia to negotiate agreements with Georgia on border delimitation; Simplification of visa procedures for Georgian citizens traveling to the EU member states; Simplification of the regulations for workers to migrate to the EU member states; Establishment of preconditions for realization of the Four Freedoms; 98 Enhancing EU-Georgia cooperation on CFSP starting with inviting Georgia, on a case by case basis, to align with EU positions on regional and international issues; Start consultations on Free Trade Agreement; Increase the share of investment component in the future aid; Appendix 12 Interview Questionnaires Robert Liddell - First Counselor, Head of Economic, Political and Press Section; Delegation of the European Commission to Georgia July 23, 2007 1. In most of the articles and research papers European Neighborhood Policy in relation of Georgia is discussed from regional point of view. Does it mean that European Union’s growing interest derives from South Caucasus Region, and not necessarily towards Georgia itself? 2. Georgia has finally negotiated a Neighborhood Policy Action Plan with the EU. Is it possible to make some remarks about Action Plan implementation process at this moment in Georgia? 3. Integration into the European Union is one of the main agenda of National Security Concept of Georgia: What is the specific role of the EU for this moment as a security actor in Georgia and can European Neighborhood Policy be perceived as a guarantee in the matters of security for Georgia? 4. Can the process of Europeanization be used as an alternative mechanism to the settling of indigenous conflicts? 5. What are current priorities of the European Commission in Georgia? 6. How far this work under the Neighborhood Policy can take Georgia? Can Georgia see itself one day as a member of the European Union, bearing in mind that ENP does not work that way? 7. What is the EU’s reaction to Georgia’s demands for clear EU political support for its sovereignty and independence and a change in the negotiating format for conflict resolution? 99 8. What are the EU’s interests in the South Caucasus Region? Do they match with the expectations of the South Caucasus countries? Dr. Archil M. Gegeshidze - A senior fellow at the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies (GFSIS). June 28, 2007 1. Integration into the European Union is one of the main agenda of National Security Concept of Georgia: What is the specific role of the EU for this moment as a security actor in Georgia? 2. Can European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) be perceived as a guarantee in the matters of security for Georgia? 3. In most of the legal documents Georgia’s inclusion in ENP is discussed from regional point of view. Does it mean that European Union’s growing interest derives from South Caucasus Region, and not necessarily towards Georgia itself? 4. Georgia has negotiated a Neighborhood Policy Action Plan with the EU. What does this mean in practice? Can we describe Action Plan as limits and guiding principals of EU actions towards Georgia? 5. What is the actual difference between Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA) and ENP from policy perspective? 6. What was the most important issue during negotiating the Action Plan from Georgia’s point of view? 7. Can we describe outcomes from being ENP participant country from security point of view? 8. Does Georgia see itself one day as a member of the European Union, bearing in mind that ENP does not work that way? 9. On what conditions will the EU become a full foreign and security policy actor in Georgia? 10. Does the document about European Strategy for the Security of Energy Supply spell out clearly the EU’s interest in the energy resources of the Caspian basin and the South Caucasus energy corridor? How has the EU policy towards Georgia changed since decisions were made to build the Baku- Supsa and Baku-Ceyhan oil pipelines and the Baku-Erzerum gas pipeline? 100 11. What is on the agenda of cooperation between the EU and Georgia in the energy sphere? What is Georgias position and future plans? Amb. David Dondua - Director of the Political Department; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia; June 11, 2007 1. Can you describe limits and principles, guiding EU actions in Georgia where EU can upgrade its political role in Georgia? 2. To what extent do the European Neighborhood Policy's (ENP) objectives and instruments comply with Georgia's needs for modernization and democratic transition? 3. Georgia has negotiated a Neighborhood Policy Action Plan with the EU and frequently proclaims its desire for integration with Europe. What does this mean in practice? Does Georgia see itself one day as a member of the European Union, bearing in mind all the problems of resistance to further expansion within the EU? 4. Can ENP be perceived as a guarantee in the matters of security for Georgia? 5. How far this work together under the Neighborhood Policy can take us? 6. Is ENP the way of EU's increased foreign policy capacity in Georgia? 7. Can we already see some outcomes from being ENP participant country? David Jalaghania - Director of the Department of European Integration; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia; August 1, 2007 1. To what extent do the European Neighborhood Policy's (ENP) objectives and instruments comply with Georgia's needs for modernization and democratic transition? 2. Can you describe limits and principles, guiding EU actions in Georgia where EU can upgrade its political role in Georgia? 3. What is the actual difference between Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA) and ENP from policy perspective? 4. Can ENP be perceived as a guarantee in the matters of security for Georgia? 5. What additional incentives could be offered so that the sustainability of Georgia's reforms is ensured? 101 6. Georgia has negotiated a Neighborhood Policy Action Plan with the EU and frequently proclaims its desire for integration with Europe. What does this mean in practice? Does Georgia see itself one day as a member of the European Union, bearing in mind all the problems of resistance to further expansion within the EU? 7. What was the most important issue during negotiating the Action Plan from Georgia’s point of view? 8. How far this work together under the Neighborhood Policy can take us? Alexander Maisuradze - Director of Department of Security Policy and EuroAtlantic Integration; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Georgia; June 11, 2007 1. Integration into the European Union is one of the main agenda of National Security Concept of Georgia: What is the role of the EU as an emerging security actor in Georgia? How can the EU work and support other security institutions, such as the OSCE, which are present in the region? 2. Can European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) be perceived as a guarantee in the matters of security for Georgia? 3. What are the main security objectives under the ENPAP for Georgia? How can you evaluate the ENPAP implementation process today? 4. On what conditions will the EU become a full foreign and security policy actor in Georgia? 102
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