ACCESSIBILITY: AN IMPORTANT ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY FOR THE EUROPEAN TOURISM SECTOR Victoria Eichhorn [email protected] University of Surrey/ Partner of the OSSATE (One-Stop-Shop for Accessible Tourism in Europe) – Project) Overview 1. Methodology 2. General Demand for Accessibility in Europe Target Markets for accessibility: People with Impairments Elderly Population Able-Bodied Citizens Market Size – General demand for accessibility 3. Tourism Market Potential in Europe Potential Travel Market Potential Tourism Revenues 4. Other Case Studies Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 2 Methodology Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 3 Methodology Comprehensive literature accounts and websites. review of reports, statistical Currently: limited research on disability at a broader scale and figures vary from source to source. Sources that were used to gather the prevalence figures of disability and the elderly population include: Eurostat Eurobarometer US Census Bureau (for demographic data) Data sets from surveys or studies at the regional and national level have been incorporated to: Compare existing data sets Validate general findings Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 4 General Demand for Accessibility in Europe Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 5 Target Markets People with impairments In Europe: Worldwide: > 46 million* (population aged 16 to 64) between 600 and 900 million citizens** The ageing population EU (currently): > 75 million*** Able-bodied citizens Almost everyone * Eurostat 2003, 2005 ** Daruwalla & Darcy 2005; Smith 1987; Horgan-Jones & Ringaert 2004 *** U.S. Census Bureau 2005 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 6 People with Impairments (1) Total number of the population with LongStanding Health Problems and Disabilities (LSHPD) (aged 16 to 64) = ALL 15.7 NO 16.4 5.8 RO 27.2 UK 19.9 SE 8.7 ES 19.5 SI 8.2 SK 20.1 PT (in 25 European countries) 8.5 MT Countries > 46 million citizens 25.4 NL 11.7 LU 8.4 LT 6.6 IT 11.0 IE 11.3 HU 10.3 GR One in six persons (15.7%) 11.2 DE 24.6 FR 32.2 FI 23.7 EE 19.9 DK Most prudent/ conservative estimation BE = Belgium DK = Denmark DE = Germany GR = Greece ES = Spain FR = France IE = Ireland IT = Italy LU = Luxembourg NL = Netherlands PT = Portugal AT = Austria FI = Finland SE = Sweden UK = United Kingdom CZ = Czech Republic EE = Estonia CY = Cyprus LT = Lithuania HU = Hungary MT = Malta SI = Slovenia SK = Slovak Republic NO = Norway RO = Romania 20.2 CZ 12.2 CY 18.4 BE 12.8 AT 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 Percentage of population 25.0 30.0 35.0 Eurostat 2003 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 7 People with Impairments (2) Among the most prevailing subcategories of LSHPD: Hidden illnesses (dysfunctions of heart) = 12.7% Hidden impairments (chest or breathing problems) = 9.4% Hidden impairments: skin conditions Hidden impairments: epilepsy Hidden impairments: other progressive illnesses Hidden impairments: other LSHPD Mobility impairments: back/ neck Hidden impairments: heart/ blood pressure/ circulation Mobility impairments: legs/ feet Mobility impairments: arms/ hands Hidden impairments: stomach/ liver/ kidney/ digestive Seeing impairments Hidden impairments: chest/ breathing Hidden impairments: diabetes Hearing impairments Mental/ intellectual impairments Mobility impairments (affecting people’s neck or back) = 19.3% Mobility impairments (affecting people’s legs or feet) = 11.3% Speech impairments Mental/ intellectual impairments = 9.3% Eurostat 2005 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 8 The Elderly Population There is a strong and positive correlation between ageing and LSHPD 35.0 30.0 25.0 Percentage Thus: elderly population has similar accessibility requirements as people with impairments 20.0 15.0 10.0 Currently: Elderly population in Europe and worldwide is continuously ageing 5.0 0.0 16-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 Age 25 European countries include = Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Greece, Spain, France, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Austria, Finland, Sweden, United Kingdom, Czech Republic, Estonia, Cyprus, Lithuania, Hungary, Malta, Slovenia, Slovak Republic, Norway & Romania By looking at European figures alone, the total number of elderly citizens is estimated to increase by nearly 35%** by the end of 2025 * Eurostat 2003 ** U.S. Census Bureau 2005 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 9 Able-Bodied Population Able-bodied citizens also have accessibility needs that have to be catered for Ability exists on a continuum of high, mid-range and low ability Often people have temporary limitations during the normal course of their life Almost everyone tends to lose ability as they age The “average” person often has “non-average” needs or limitations Thus: Need to bring disability/ accessibility into the mainstream Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 10 Market Size - General Providing information about accessibility for particular people with impairments and the elderly decides whether they engage in the travel process or not. 40 Demand for accessibility in 25 European countries: > 127 million* 35 30 3 7 .1 34 32 2 9 .1 2 8 .2 2 4 .5 25 2 2 .9 2 3 .2 2 3 .5 2 5 .2 2 5 .7 2 9 .5 3 0 .3 3 0 .4 3 2 .4 3 0 .6 2 8 .6 2 6 .3 2 3 .8 22 1 9 .4 20 1 7 .6 1 8 .6 2 0 .4 1 8 .6 15 Includes mild, moderate and severe impairments, long-standing health problems as well as the elderly population having accessibility requirements 10 5 0 SK MT RO CY LT LU HU IE ES IT NO AT GR DE DK CZ SI BE PT SE NL EE FR UK FI General demand for accessibility in Europe per country (% of population) * Eurostat 2003, 2005; U.S. Census Bureau 2005 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 11 Tourism Market Potential in Europe Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 12 Potential Travel Market General demand for accessibility: 127.5 million Market research has shown: 70%* of the population in demand for accessibility has both, the physical as well as financial means to travel. Thus: potential travel market: > 89 million Further research revealed that people with accessibility needs seldom travel alone: Thus: multiplier effect for friends and family members: 0.5* Total potential travel market in Europe: > 133 million * Deloitte Touche ‘Tourism for All in Europe’ 1993 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 13 Potential Tourism Revenues Potential Tourism Revenues (average holiday expenditure in EU in 2003=620 Euro* per arrival): > 80 billion Euros In reality, these figures will even be higher due to two reasons: 1. calculations based only on people with impairments, the elderly population and their friends and family members 2. calculations based on Europeans. However, there are also people from all over the world which choose Europe as their holiday destination * Eurostat 2005 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 14 Other Case Studies Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 15 Other case studies (1) US: Figures from 1997: nearly 21% of the US population (approx. 54 million people with impairments)*. By 2030: The total disabled population will increase by 30.9 million and the severely disabled population will increase by 21 million, when compared to 1997*. American adults with impairments spend $13.6 billion on travel each year* More than 2 out of 5, who travel outside the US choose Europe as holiday destination Canada: Figures from 1991: 15.5% of the Canadian population (approx. 2.7 million people with impairments)** In 1991: 45% of persons with disabilities were 65 years of age or older*** By 2041: ~ 23% of the Canadians will be over 65, up from 12% in 1995*** * Open Doors Organisation, 2005 ** van Horn, 2002 *** Horgan-Jones & Ringaert, 2004 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 16 Other case studies (2) Australia: Figures from 1993: 18% of the Australian population (approx: > 3 million persons with impairments) For people 75 years and older: the disability rate is 14 times in comparison to people aged 35 to 44 years. New Zealand: Figures from 1997: ~ 20% of the population (approx. 80.000 people with impairments)** * Darcy, 1998 ** Shelton & Tucker, 2005 Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 17 SUMMARY: Potentially, this is a huge market It will depend on the tourism industry to respond to this potential with the development of a coherent strategy to adequately target this market. Market Size and Potential for Accessible Tourism 18 THANK YOU! For more information about market analysis and potential: www.ossate.org Victoria Eichhorn / [email protected] University of Surrey
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