Dear Future AP Statistics Student, In order to ensure we have adequate time for all curriculum in Advanced Placement Statistics, the math department has designed a pre-assignment to help introduce the concepts of experimentation and research study. The assignment follows on pages 2 – 4 of this file. The assignment will need to be submitted on the first AP Stats class at the beginning of second semester. Email any questions or concerns to the address below. Take care, Ms. Paula Schute Mathematics Department Chairperson [email protected] 513.821.3044 | 711 E. Columbia Ave., Cincinnati, OH 45215 | www.mndhs.org The goal of this assignment is for you to become familiar with experiments and observational studies in the context of statistics. Use the textbook excerpts (attached) and online resources on the second page of this document to learn about the concepts, process, and vocabulary of experiments and observational studies in statistics. Part 1: Create notecards for the terminology listed below. Be sure to define the words in the context of statistical studies and not in the context of general usage. These concepts are 10% - 15% of the Advanced Placement exam content. Put definitions in your own words so you can use these to prepare for the AP test. Include diagrams and/or examples whenever appropriate. You should have the notecards to turn in the first day of class. Part 2: Answer 2 of the 3 questions on page 3 of this file. You may type or ink your responses and the file will be submitted digitally on the first day of class. Terminology of Statistical Experiments & Observational Studies Population Parameter Sample Statistic Sample Survey Bias Census Representative sample Simple Random Sample (SRS) Sampling Frame Sampling Variability Stratified Sampling Cluster Sampling Systematic Sampling Multistage Sampling Voluntary Response Bias Convenience Sampling Undercoverage Nonresponse Bias Response Bias Observational Study Retrospective Study Prospective Study Experiment Cause-and-effect Levels Treatment Four principles of experimental design Statistically Significant Control Group Blinding Single-Blind Double-Blind Placebo Placebo Effect Randomized Block Design Matching Subjects (Matched Pairs) Confounding Resources Chapter 12 and 13 from your textbook https://padlet.com/pschute/apstatspreassig Data Collection Methods http://www.stattrek.com/statistics/data-collection-methods.aspx?Tutorial=AP Sampling Methods http://www.stattrek.com/survey-research/sampling-methods.aspx?Tutorial=AP Bias http://www.stattrek.com/survey-research/survey-bias.aspx?Tutorial=AP Experiments http://www.stattrek.com/experiments/what-is-an-experiment.aspx?Tutorial=AP Experimental Design http://www.stattrek.com/experiments/experimental-design.aspx?Tutorial=AP Overview of Data Collection https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hJ3gKGHhIjE&index=1&list=PL6334s8hsQG1jp03rdqJeIsEbCK2QwNdT Sample Surveys https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YpFn471OE2Q&index=2&list=PL6334s8hsQG1jp03rdqJeIsEbCK2QwNdT Bias & Sampling Techniques https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QGW8HYcxoDk&list=PL6334s8hsQG1jp03rdqJeIsEbCK2QwNdT&index=4 Experimental Design https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2G1KQPZLbQw&list=PL6334s8hsQG1jp03rdqJeIsEbCK2QwNdT&index=3 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8To54UpCM5E&list=PL6334s8hsQG1jp03rdqJeIsEbCK2QwNdT&index=6 Observational Studies https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wWxZJN5Ijhs&list=PL6334s8hsQG1jp03rdqJeIsEbCK2QwNdT&index=5 1. A local school board plans to conduct a survey of parents’ opinions about year-round schooling in elementary schools. The school board obtains a list of all families in the district with at least one child in an elementary school and sends the survey to a random sample of 500 of the families. The survey question is provided below. A proposal has been submitted that would require students in elementary schools to attend school on a year round basis. Do you support this proposal? (Yes or No) The school board received responses from 98 of the families, with 76 of the responses indicating support for year-round schools. Based on this outcome, the local school board concludes that most of the families with at least one child in elementary school prefer year-round schooling. (a) What is a possible consequence of nonresponse bias for interpreting the results of this survey? (b) Someone advised the local school board to take an additional random sample of 500 families and to use the combined results to make their decision. Would this be a suitable solution to the issue raised in part (a)? Explain. (c) Suggest a different follow-up step from the one suggested in part (b) that the local school board could take to address the issue raised in part (a). 2. As dogs age, diminished joint and hip health may lead to joint pain and thus reduce a dog’s activity level. Such a reduction in activity can lead to other health concerns such as weight gain and lethargy due to lack of exercise. A study is to be conducted to see which of two dietary supplements, glucosamine or chondroitin, is more effective in promoting joint and hip health and reducing the onset of canine osteoarthiritis. Researches will randomly select a total of 300 dogs from ten different large veterinary practices around the country. All of the dogs are more than 6 years old, and their owners have given consent to participate in the study. Changes in joint and hip health will be evaluated after 6 months of treatment. (a) What would be an advantage to adding a control group in the design of this study? (b) Assuming a control group is added to the other two groups in the study, explain how you would assign the 300 dogs to these three groups for a completely randomized design. (c) Rather than using a completely randomized design, one group of researchers proposes blocking on clinics, and another group of researchers proposes blocking on breed of dog. How would you decide which one of these two variables to use as a blocking variable? 3. A tennis racquet manufacturer has designed a new racquet. The manufacturer claims the new racquet will allow the user to return more serves than any racquet currently sold. A group of male volunteers who currently play tennis and own their own racquets agree to participate in the study. (a) Design an experiment that would test the manufacturer’s claim. Remember to include the principles of experimental design. (b) Suppose the volunteer group had included both men and women. How would you adjust the design of your new experiment?
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