EPS 5 Spring 2010 Problem Set 1 Due: Wed, Feb 3, 2010 (at the beginning of lecture) 1. Pressure in the International Space Station (8 points) In January 2004, NASA reported that the International Space Station was experiencing a leak (http://www.clickorlando.com/technology/2742496/detail.html, units have been changed to SI). The shuttle, which has a volume of roughly 7.0×105 m3 and is usually pressurized to 1.01352×105 Pa, had lost 1200 Pa over the course of 5 days. (a) Assuming the temperature remained constant at 20°C, how many air molecules were lost from the space station during the leak? (2 points) We use the perfect gas law, PV = NkT. We can rearrange to have N = PV/kT. Since temperature isn’t changing and the volume of the space station also cannot change, the initial number of molecules can be written N1 = P1V/kT and the final number N2 = P2V/kT. The change in the number of molecules is therefore ΔN = (V/kT)*ΔP. Plugging in the numbers, and remembering to convert from °C to °K, we get ΔN = 2.1×1029 molecules. (b) The “air” in the space station is a mix of 78% nitrogen (N2), 21% oxygen (O2), and 1% water vapor (H2O). What is the average molar mass (g/mol) of space station air? (2 points) First we determine the molar mass of each individual component: (14 g/mol)*2 = 28 g/mol for nitrogen, (16 g/mol)*2 = 32 g/mol for oxygen, and (1 g/mol)*2 + (16 g/mol) = 18 g/mol for water vapor. Then we add them according to their percent contributions: m=0.78*28 + 0.21*32 + 0.01*18 = 28.7 g/mol. (c) Using your answers from parts (a) and (b), calculate the mass of air molecules that was lost. Give your final answer in kilograms of air. (2 points) There are 6.02×1023 molecules in one mole, so using our answer from part (a), we find that the number of moles lost was (2.1×1029 molecules)*(1 mole / 6.02×1023 molecules) = 3.4×105 moles. We can now use our calculate molar mass from part (b): (3.4×105 moles)*(28.7 g/mol) = 9.9×106 g = 9.9×103 kg (d) What percent mass was lost? Do you think the astronauts were worried? (2 points) We can use the same calculations to figure out the mass of air originally present: M1 = N1*m*(1/N0) = (P1*V*m) / (k*T*N0) M1 = (1.01352×105 Pa)*(7.0×105 m3)*(28.7 g/mol) / ((1.38×1023 J/K)*(293.15 K)*( 6.02×1023 molecules)) = 8.4×108 g = 8.4×105 kg So, the percent lost is 100*(ΔM/M) = 100*(9.9×103 kg / 8.4×105 kg) = 1.2% - not a lot to worry about (but more than I expected)! 2. Solar Variability and Global Energy Balance (9 points) Temporal variation in solar activity (and thus the total emission of solar radiation) is found to be one of the major causes of pre-industrial climate change, causing the so-called Little Ice Age in the latter half of the 17th century. Some scientists have proposed that the recent global warming phenomenon could be a result of solar variability. Let us evaluate this claim based on our understanding of global energy balance covered in class. (a) Measurements since 1979 have indicated that the Sun’s surface “radiating” temperature varies between 5765 K and 5768 K over an 11-year cycle, due to variations in sunspot activity. Calculate the solar constants corresponding to the peak and trough of the solar cycle. Take the Sun’s radius to be 6.955×105 km, and the average distance between the Earth and the Sun to be 1.490×108 km. The Stefan-Boltzmann constant σ is 5.670×10-8 W m-2 K-4. (3 points) € Solar constant F is calculated by: σ TS4 ⋅ 4 π RS4 σ TS4 RS4 (1 points) F= = 4 π dE4 dE4 where TS is the solar surface “radiating” temperature, RS = 6.955×108 m is the solar radius, and dE = 1.490×1011 m is the average distance between the Earth and the Sun. Substituting values, the solar constants are For TS = 5765 K: F = 1365 W m-2 (1 point) -2 For TS = 5768 K: F = 1367 W m (1 point) (b) Assume the Earth has a one-layer blackbody atmosphere, as we discussed in class. Find the Earth’s mean ground temperatures corresponding to the peak and trough of the solar cycle. Assume the Earth has an albedo of 0.33. (4 points) € € The Earth’s effective temperature is calculated by: F (1 − A) 1 4 (1 point) Teff = 4σ For a one-layer blackbody atmosphere, the mean ground temperature is related to Teff by: Tg = 21 4 Teff (1 point) Substituting values, For F = 1365 W m-2: Tg = 299.7 K (1 point) For F = 1367 W m-2: Tg = 299.8 K (1 point) (c) The Earth’s global mean surface temperature has risen by > 0.5 K since 1980. Would solar variability be responsible for the recent global warming phenomenon? Explain. (2 points) No. (1 point) Solar variability can explain at most a 0.1 K change in the Earth’s surface temperature over the past few decades, which is only a small fluctuation compared to the actual temperature trend. The overall increase in recorded global surface temperature must have been caused by other factors, including anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. (1 point) 3. Simplified Feedback Loops (8 points) Imagine a very simple planet that has no atmosphere but magically sustains one species of white flower.1 Temperature is maintained by energy from the planet’s sun, and flower growth is dependent only on temperature (higher temperatures mean more flowers can grow). Answer the following questions about the planet. (a) Would you expect the albedo of the bare ground to be higher or lower than the albedo of flower-covered areas? How would that affect the local temperature? (2 points) The albedo would be higher for the flowers (white) than for the bare ground. The flowercovered areas therefore reflect more solar radiation, leading to a decrease in local temperature. (b) If the sun suddenly brightened, leading to a sharp increase in temperature, how would the flower population respond? How would the temperature respond to the change in flower population? Is this a positive or negative feedback loop? (3 points) The increased temperature would cause an increase in flower population, causing more areas to be covered by flowers. As these areas change from bare ground to white flowers, the albedo would increase. The result would be a decrease in temperature (and subsequent decrease in flower population, etc.). This is therefore a negative feedback loop. (c) How would your answers to parts (a) and (b) change if the flowers were black instead of white? (3 points) If the flowers were black, they would have a lower albedo than the bare ground, so their growth would lead to increases in local temperature. In this case, a sudden increase in temperature would lead to increased flower growth, decreased albedo, and subsequently increased temperature. This cycle would continue unabated, making this a positive feedback loop. 4. Greenhouse Gases and Feedback (10 points) Listed below are the effective and ground temperatures for Mercury, Venus, Earth and Mars: Planet Teff (K) Tg (K) Mercury 442 442 Venus 227 750 Earth 253 288 Mars 216 240 (a) In class, we mentioned that the one-layer blackbody atmospheric model could be generalized to any number n of layers, with the ground temperature related to the effective temperature by: 14 Tg = ( n +1) Teff Find the effective number of blackbody layers n for the 4 planets. Contrast and comment on your answers for Mercury and Venus. (3 points) 1 Idea € courtesy of the Science Education Resource Center at Carleton College. Substituting the corresponding values for Tg and Teff : For Mercury: n=0 (0.5 point) For Venus: n = 118 (0.5 point) For Earth: n = 0.679 (0.5 point) For Mars: n = 0.524 (0.5 point) Mercury has no atmosphere (therefore n = 0), so Tg = Teff. In contrast, Venus has a very thick atmosphere heavily composed of greenhouse gases (96.5% CO2!), so n is large, representing the strong greenhouse effect and causing Tg to be much higher than Teff. (1 point) (b) You may have noticed that n < 1 for the Earth. If n = 1 as assumed by the one-layer model, the Earth’s surface will be warmer than it actually is. Explain why n is smaller than one for the Earth. Hint: How valid is it to treat the Earth’s atmosphere as a blackbody? Is all radiation emitted by the Earth’s surface absorbed by the atmosphere? (1 point) In fact, the Earth’s atmosphere is not a perfect blackbody. Rather, it is a “leaky” greenhouse, or a “greybody”, which means that only a fraction of the radiation emitted by the Earth’s surface is absorbed by the atmosphere while the rest passes directly into outer space. Also, the atmosphere emits only a fraction of its blackbody radiation. The overall effect is that less radiation is reemitted back to the Earth’s surface, causing the mean surface temperature to be lower than if the atmosphere were a perfect blackbody. (1 point) (c) Suppose now we have a hypothetical planet at Earth's orbit with n = 0.75 and Teff = 250K. What is Tg, the ground temperature? (1 point) Tg = (0.75 + 1)1/4 * 250 K = 287.5 K (1 point) (d) If we add greenhouse gases sufficiently to increase n by 0.05 units, how much will Tg increase? (1 point) Now n = 0.75 + 0.05 = 0.80: Tg = (0.80 + 1)1/4 * 250 K = 289.6 K, an increase of ~1 K. (1 point) (e) If this Tg increase leads to an additional increase of n by 1/2 as much as the initial addition of greenhouse gases did (e.g. as a result of adding to the water vapor content of the atmosphere), how much additionally would Tg change? Is this a positive or negative feedback? (2 points) Now n = 0.75 + 0.05 + 0.025 = 0.825: Tg = (0.825 + 1)1/4 * 250 K = 290.6 K, an additional 1K increase. (1 point) The initial increase in Tg will cause a further increase in Tg, and therefore this is a positive feedback. (1 point) (f) Can you guess the final temperature change if the atmosphere keeps adjusting in this way? (Hint: 1 + 1/2 + 1/4 + 1/8 + … = 2) (2 points) If the atmosphere keeps adjusting in this way, n = 0.75 + 0.05*(1 + 1/2 + 1/4 + 1/8 + …) = 0.75 + 0.05*2 = 0.85 (1 point) Tg = (0.85 + 1)1/4 * 250 K = 291.6 K Feedback will induce a total temperature increase of (291.6 – 287.5) K ≈ 4 K. (1 point)
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