Hydrobiological Assessment of the Zambezi River System: A Review Pinay, G. IIASA Working Paper WP-88-089 September 1988 Pinay, G. (1988) Hydrobiological Assessment of the Zambezi River System: A Review. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria, WP-88-089 Copyright © 1988 by the author(s). http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/3116/ Working Papers on work of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis receive only limited review. Views or opinions expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of the Institute, its National Member Organizations, or other organizations supporting the work. All rights reserved. Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage. All copies must bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. For other purposes, to republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, permission must be sought by contacting [email protected] WORKING PAPER HYDROBIOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT OF THE ZAMBEZI RWER SYSTEM: A REVIEW September 1988 W P-88-089 l n l e r n a i ~ o n a ll n s l ~ i u l e for A p p l ~ r d Sysiems Analysis HYDROBIOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT OF THE ZAMBEZI RIVER SYSTEM: A REVIEW September 1988 W P-88-089 Working Papers are interim reports on work of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and have received only limited review. Views or opinions expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of the Institute or of its National Member Organizations. INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE F O R APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria One of the Lmporhnt P r o j e c t s within the Environment Program i s t h a t entitled: De*on apport *stems jbr Mancrgfnq Lurge Intemartiorrcrl Rivers. Funded by t h e Ford Foundation, UNEP, and CNRS France, t h e P r o j e c t includes t w o case stud i e s focused on the Danube and the Zambezi r i v e r basins. The a u t h o r of t h i s r e p o r t , Dr. G. Pinay, joined IIASA in F e b r u a r y 1987 a f t e r completing h i s PhD at the C e n t r e dSEmlogie d e s Ressources Renouvelables in Toulouse. Dr. Pinny was assigned t h e task of reviewing t h e published l i t e r a t u r e on water management issues in the Zambezi r i v e r basin, and r e l a t e d ecological questions. A t the outset, I thought that a literature review on the Zambezi r i v e r basin would b e a r a t h e r slim r e p o r t . I am t h e r e f o r e greatly impressed with t h i s Working P a p e r , which includes a l a r g e number of r e f e r e n c e s but more importantly, synthesizes t h e various studies and provides t h e scientific basis f o r investigating a v e r y complex set of management issues. Dr. Pinay's review will b e a basic r e f e r e n c e f o r f u r t h e r water management studies in t h e Zambezi r i v e r basin. R.E. Munn Leader, Environment Program - iii - I would like to thank the IIASA library which i s really part of the research team and without them this work would not have been possible. My thanks to R.E. Munn who kindly reviewed the paper, and to Y. Taher who typed it and helped me improve the language. Chapter I: The Zambezi River System The Zambezi r i v e r system les between 24-38'E and 12-20's. and is t h e larg- est of t h e African r i v e r systems flowing into t h e Indian Ocean [(Balek 1977; Davies 1986). Figure 11. I t consists of t h r e e sections (Balon and Coche 1974): ljrlpper from its sources to t h e Victoria Palls, Middle from t h e Victoria Palls to t h e Cahora Bassa rapids, and Lower from Cahora Bassa to the Indian Ocean. These t h r e e stretches s e e m to have been independent until t h e Pliocene era (Balon 1978) following which. due to tectonic movements, they merged to form t h e actual r i v e r sys- t e m (Table 1). There is much evidence to support such a picture of evolution particularly in relation with pre-impoundment fish distributions in t h e r i v e r (Jackson 1986). The length of t h e r i v e r itself is controversial. For instance, Welcomme (1977) claims i t is 2574 km, Balon and Coche (1974) 2494 km, Balek (1977) 2600 km, and Beadle (1932) 3000 km. I t flows eastwards from its sources in the Central African Plateau at 1400 m altitude to t h e Indian Ocean (Figure 2). The surface of the Zambezi drainage basin varies greatly from 1193500 km2 (Balon and Coche, 1974) to 1570000 kmz (Balek 1977). In addition, one can divide t h e entire Zambezi drainage basin into subcatchments a r r e s p o n d i n g to the drainage basins of the main tributaries of t h e Zambezi r i v e r m b l e 2). The Zambeei drainage basin is situated south of t h e equator between 12' and 20°S. The cool dry season is between May end September. The headwaters situated north of the basin belong to the tropical summer rainfall zone (climate m e I1 in W a l t e r et a.1973). As one moves south, t h e tropical summer becomes progressively more arid due to a prolongation of the dry season (Pigure 3). Thus, t h e upper and t h e middle Zambezi are defined as warm temperate regions with dry winter, t h e warmest month being up to 22' C (Schulze and McGee, 1978) a s quoted by Davies (1979). while t h e Okavango basin and t h e southern part of t h e middle F m 1. The Zambezi drainage basin. %ble 1. Main f e a t u r e s of t h e t h r e e s t r e t c h e s of t h e Zambezi r i v e r ZAMBEZI STRETCH Source LENGTH km DRAINAGE SURFACE km2 MEAN ANNUAL FLOW m3 s - I UPPER Victoria Falls M l DDLE Cahora Bassa rapids 853 LOWER Indian Ocean Table 2. Main subcatchments of t h e Zambezi r i v e r system. 1 I basin km ) Chobe 95800 I Annual 3 flow km A k W 1 1 Sanyati 43500 I 4.2 Qvrum Fdls / 1 Kafue Huangwa 154200 147500 I 3.4 1 Hunyani 23900 I 10.3 13.0 1 I Shire 115000 I 1.4 N.D. V i * 1100 124) Q)O a00 an an 34) 0 UPPER MIDDLE 0 LWER zwl 250d km length Figare 2. Longitudinal profile of t h e Zarnbezi River. Zambezi belong to t h e a r i d s t e p p e zone with a mean annual temperature of more than 18°C. Finally, t h e lower Zambezi moves from t h e a r i d climatic zone in t h e w e s t to a n equatorial climate with d r y winters in t h e east. Figure 9. Map showing precipitation repartition on t h e Zambezi drainage basin adapted from Vieira (1961)and Bolton (1983). 2. Pain Water Retention Systems S e v e r a l kinds of water s t o r a g e systems such as natural lakes, man-made lakes, and swamps exist along t h e Zambezi r i v e r and i t s tributaries. 2.1. Natural lakes The only l a r g e n a t u r a l l a k e on t h e Zambezi watershed is Lake Malawi. I t i s t h e t h i r d l a r g e s t lake in Africa with a maximum length of 580 km and a width of between 16 and 80 km, and a s u r f a c e of about 30000 km2. I t s volume capacity i s almost 8000 km3. The hydrological balance of t h e lake i s dominated by permanent rainfall which r e a c h e s 2270 mm p e r annum in t h e l a k e area. The lake i s subject to a b r u p t annual and seasonal changes in i t s water level as a r e s u l t of variations in rainfall. The S h i r e r i v e r in t h e southern p a r t of t h e lake constitutes i t s outlet; this r i v e r f l o w s through a small lake, t h e Malombe, before i t joins t h e Zambezi in its lower reach. 2.2. Ban-Ymdc hkam Two man-made lakes, t h e Kariba and Cahora Bassa, are on t h e Zambezi r i v e r regulating almost 570 km of t h e length of t h e r i v e r . These impoundments r e p r e s e n t 65 p e r c e n t of t h e middle Zambezi. Some o t h e r man-made l a k e s lie on t h e Zambezi t r i b u t a r i e s , mainly in Zambia on t h e Kafue r i v e r a n d in Zimbabwe. The c h a r a c - teristic f e a t u r e s of t h e l a r g e r l a k e s are given in C h a p t e r 111, while t h e main f e a t u r e s of t h e most important o n e s are given in Table 3 (Marshall a n d Falconer 1973a-b; Mitchell a n d Marshall 1974; Jackson and Davies 1976) and t h e i r locations in Figures 1and 4. Figure 4. Locations of man-made lakes mound H a r a r e , Zimbabwe. Certain c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of man-made l a k e s are t r p i c a l f o r most of them, and, t h e r e f o r e , are distinguishable from n a t u r a l l a k e systems. The development of t h e s h o r e l i n e is slightly h i g h e r t h a n t h a t f o r n a t u r a l lakes; if t h e r i v e r i s confined Table 3. Hydrological f e a t u r e s of t h e main r e s e r v o i r s of t h e Zambezi drainage basin. I I Lake s u r f a c e (kmZ) Drainage basin (km2) Kariba Cahora Bassa Ithezithezi Kafue Gorge McIlwaine Mazoe Mwenie between high banks, t h e new l a k e will b e long and narrow; if t h e r e are t r i b u t a r i e s , water will b e held back giving t h e new lake a dendrite form. In comparison, t h e e x t e n t of shoreline modification in a r e s e r v o i r is g r e a t e r than in a natural lake because t h e annual drawdown exposes a l a r g e r area t o t h e effects of s h o r e processes. Whereas normally natural l a k e s are deepest n e a r t h e c e n t r e , man-made lakes are almost always deepest just upstream from t h e dam. They are then r e f e r r e d to as "half-lakes" (Ellis 1941). The incoming water does not mix immediately with t h e water in t h e r e s e r v o i r due to differences in temperature and cont e n t of dissolved or suspended solids. I t leads to density c u r r e n t s and hypolimnetic withdrawals (Baxter 1977). The retention time in man-made lakes is v e r y s h o r t compared to t h a t of n a t u r a l lakes. For instance, t h e retention time of water in t h e Kariba w a s measured at f o u r y e a r s , while i t i s about one y e a r for t h e Cahora Bassa. According to Wetzel (1975) a swamp i s a more or less permanently waterlogged system with persistent standing water in t h e vegetation. In Africa h e r b a ceous swamps may b e defined as f l a t areas t h a t are flooded to a shallow depth densely covered with herbaceous vegetation whose shoots r i s e above t h e water level to more t h a n one metre. The swamps are bottom-rooted or floating (HowardWilliams and Gaudet 1979). T h e r e are s e v e r a l reasons why swamps should b e taken into consideration f o r t h e i r hydrological and biological processes. Among them water retention, water loss by evapotranspiration, t h e sedimentation process, fishery r e s o u r c e s , and grazing p a s t u r e s may b e mentioned. The p r e s e n t c h a p t e r p r e s e n t s some f e a t u r e s of t h e main swamps in t h e Zambezi drainage basin, and t h e OOL Z .aeN *aSN OE8 Z *a.N I 000 T OL6 OL6 00s OPOT OP9 G 000T OOT Z 000OT OOPL I I enJe>I eiiulpsna eiiulpynq O ~ U ~ A y 0R asqo~rrg ' ( a ~sdurems ) eq? Ile u! pelenleAa uaaq 2ou seq U O ! ? ~ J ! ~ S U ~ J ? -sdurems O ~ ~ ~ A u!eur ~ aq? JO s a { ? s ! ~ a ? a a ~ e q 3'g alqnj -r;a ~ n B l du! pa?eaol a J e sdurems ulaw aq? purr 'p a l q q ul uah{B eJe s a s s a a o ~ d leo!i3o~o~pKqjo saJn?eej TeJauef) 'Jaqel pessnasip aq lllm S O S S ~ ~ ~ O'+ueJajj!p J ~ 2.3.1. Barotse swamps The B a r o t s e floodplain l i e s on t h e u p p e r c o u r s e of t h e Zambezi r i v e r in t h e Central African plateau in western Zambia. It i s a 240 km long a n d 40 km wide floodplain through which t h e Zambezi r i v e r meanders. The annual rainfall i s a b o u t 1 0 5 0 mm of which 9 0 p e r c e n t o c c u r s between November a n d March. Flooding of t h e u p p e r Zambezi normally commences in November, b u t may v a r y depending on t h e intensity of t h e e a r l y r a i n s in t h e headwater catchments. Usually t h e flood p e a k s are in April in t h e B a r o t s e floodplain, a n d r e c e d e slowly o v e r a p e r i o d of six months between May a n d October (FAO-UN 1969; Burgis a n d Symoens 1987). 2.3.2. Okavango delta The Okavango d e l t a system i s r a t h e r complex b e c a u s e of i t s hydrological f e a t u r e s leading to g e n e r a l flow p a t t e r n s as well as sedimentation p r o c e s s e s t h a t c h a n g e t h e delta's topography. Surprisingly t h e Okavango d e l t a h a s a r e g u l a r conical s h a p e with a s l o p e of a b o u t 1in 3600. Thus, relatively small i r r e g u l a r i t i e s provide t h e p a t t e r n of channels. ridges, swamps a n d pools. Estimates of t h e area of t h e Okavango swamp v a r y between 1 0 000 a n d 1 8 0 0 0 km2, b u t t h e estimation of Wilson a n d Dincer (1976) from s a t e l l i t e imagery i s 1 0 0 0 0 km2. The water balance of d e l t a i c swamps d i f f e r s from usual r i v e r basins or l a k e s , mainly by varying swamp areas a n d flow distribution. Thus, hydrological f e a t u r e s v a r y l a r g e l y as functions of water input (precipitation o n t h e d r a i n a g e basin) and output (evapot r a n s p i r a t i o n , runoff). The Okavango catchment consists mainly of two r i v e r systems, t h e Cubango with a catchment area of 1 1 5 0 0 0 km2 with a n a v e r a g e annual rainfall of 983 mm, a n d t h e Cuito with a d r a i n a g e basin of 65000 km2 and a n a v e r a g e annual rainfall of 876 mm [(Wilson a n d Dincer 1976) Figure 63. The t w o r i v e r s then merge to form t h e Okavango r i v e r b e f o r e e n t e r i n g t h e Okavango delta. Usually, t h i s input of water is completely r e t a i n e d in t h e Okavango d e l t a 2 w h e r e evapotranspiration i s t h e main p r o c e s s (about 2 8 3 0 mm/year/m ). E x c e s s water flows t h r o u g h t h e Boteti Channel to Makgadikgadi P a n s system. During high rainfall y e a r s t h e Okavango swamps system c a n d r a i n t h e e x c e s s water through Selinda spillway to t h e Chobe r i v e r , a n d t h e n o n to t h e Zambezi r i v e r (Figure 6). The Selinda spillway i s t h e only link between t h e Okavango d r a i n a g e basin and t h e Zambezi, which means t h a t t h e Okavango d r a i n a g e basin i s r e l a t e d t o t h e Zambezi r i v e r only during t h e heavy r a i n f a l l season. Wilson a n d Dincer (1976) have given a Figure 6. Drainage basin of t h e Okavango d e l t a and i t s connection with t h e Zambezi r i v e r system. t e n t a t i v e water balance f o r t h e Okavango d e l t a (Table 5). TPrble 5. Water balance f o r t h e Okavango d e l t a (Wilson a n d Dincer 1976). Processes Inflow of Okavango r i v e r Precipitation Total I Annual input I Annual output 11 X 109m3 5x 10)~~ 16 x 10 m 1 6 x 109m3 Evapotranspiration Outflow (Boteti r i v e r ) Groundwater outflow To complicate t h e hydrology, t h e function of t h e Chobe r i v e r is to r e v e r s e t h e flow when t h e u p p e r Zambezi i s flooded (Davies 1986). Although t h e Okavango d r a i n a g e basin (almost 200000 km2) is a p a r t of t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin, i t h a s n o t t h e e x p e c t e d e f f e c t s o n t h e Zambezi r i v e r itself (runoff) d u e to t h e b u f f e r e f f e c t of t h e Okavango d e l t a a n d t h e unstable connection between them. 2.3.3. Kafue armmps The Kafue r i v e r i s t h e l a r g e s t t r i b u t a r y of t h e Zambezi r i v e r . Almost 1 5 0 0 km in length i t d r a i n s a n area of about 155000 km2. Three main swamps make up t h e drainage basin (Figure 7). Lukanga swamp This occupies a shallow depression extending to about 2600 km2, but 2 100 km2 only i s permanent swamp. The a v e r a g e water capacity i s estimated at 7.38.10 m3 (Burgis and Symoens 1987). I t r e c e i v e s water from s e v e r a l catchment streams as well as from t h e Lukanga r i v e r , a t r i b u t a r y of t h e Kafue, which drains a n area of 1 4 2 4 5 km2. During high water level periods, i t also r e c e i v e s water from t h e Kafue r i v e r itself. Busanga swamp This comprises about 1 0 0 0 km2 along t h e Lufupa r i v e r , a t r i b u t a r y of t h e Kafue r i v e r . Although i t i s not well known ecologically n o r i s i t exploited because it i s in t h e tsetse fly zone, t h i s swamp i s similar to t h e Lukanga swamp f r o m t h e physiographical point of view (Burgis and Symoens 1987). K-e flats A t Itezhitezhi t h e Kafue r i v e r b r e a k s through a r a n g e of l o w hills b e f o r e i t flows eastward across t h e Kafue flats. Here i t meanders f o r 410 km traversing a distance of 250 km across t h e floodplain at a n a v e r a g e gradient of only 2.7cm/km (White 1973; Dudley 1974). During i t s c o u r s e through t h e flats, t h e r i v e r falls only 15 m in 410 km (Rees 197th). After flowing through t h e floodplain, t h e r i v e r plunges down 670 m as i t flows through t h e 30 km Kafue Gorge to t h e Zambezi river. I t i s typical f o r t h e waters of t h e Kafue r i v e r to start to r i s e in l a t e November or e a r l y December shortly a f t e r t h e start of t h e rainy season. The highest water levels are in April/May, about o n e month a f t e r t h e termination of t h e local rainfalls (Dudley 1979), when about 5 6 5 0 km2 may b e inundated; t h e water recedes slowly until November. The natural hydrological cycle of t h e Kafue f l a t s v a r i e s tremendously. Three-quarters of t h e floodplain c a n change from a n aquatic to a t e r r e s t r i a l environment within one season. A t t h e e a s t e r n end of t h e Kafue flats, a shallow area of about 1 2 1 5 km2 i s flooded more or less permanently (Burgis and Symoens 1987). The major input of water to t h e system i s f r o m t h e headwater ".I \ .-,' , I. 'I ..2 ,p4.' - ,/':7 " ' . -- ,a I u *. loaf 'I ,. .?7 / , , x' . -- > ) . I - .. ,, -'+--. \ '. > ,f -: a .* ' .,,/ % - - 4- * /-' fl' ,/ - it1: ~ ..- /-- .: . . . . I , L....l. ...-0 0 .- W I O O I D D Figure 7. Location of swamps on the Kafue river system (Burgis and Symoens, 1987). areas of t h e Kafue r i v e r above Itezhitezhi (controlled by a dam since 1978), d i r e c t rainfall, and seasonal runoff from t h e surrounding higher grounds. Water is lost by discharge through t h e Kafue Gorge (regulated by a dam since 1972) and by evapotranspiration. A tentative water balance in t h e Kafue r i v e r system is given by Burgis and Symoens (1977) (Figure 8). Thus, i t has been estimated t h a t from t h e e n t i r e runoff of t h e Kafue drainage basin, which is about 1 2 . 1 6 . 1 0 ~ m ~7. 3 p e r c e n t ( o r 8.88.109m3) r e a c h e s t h e Kafue Rail Bridge (downstream Kafue flats). The remaining 27 p e r c e n t ( o r 3.28.109m3) is believed to be lost through evapotranspiration jointly from t h e Kafue floodplains and t h e Lukanga and Busanga swamps. Figure 8. Water balance d t h e Kafue r i v e r system (Burgis and Symoens, 1987). A review of t h e examples cited above, mainly of t h e Okavango delta and t h e Kafue flats f o r which more d a t a are available, shows t h e importance of swamps in t h e water balance of an e n t i r e drainage basin, especially in those tropical regions where t h e evapotranspiration process is intensified. 3. Flow Regime of the Zambezi The general f e a t u r e of hydrological cycles in t h e t r o p i c s i s v e r y similar to those in more moderate regions, although several factors affecting water movement from t h e atmosphere through and o v e r t h e e a r t h ' s s u r f a c e into t h e r i v e r s are of p a r t i c u l a r importance, and t h e resulting effects deviate f r o m t h a t experienced outside t h e tropics. For instance, t h e specific function of interception, different time and space distribution of rainfall, t h e pronounced influence of swamps, and soil problems are e x a c e r b a t e d in these regions (Balek 1977). global water balance f o r t h e e n t i r e Zambezi r i v e r i s estimated and evaluated for t h e different subcatchment basins corresponding to t h e t h r e e s t r e t c h e s identified above (Table 6). %ble 6. Water balance of t h e Zambezi drainage basin (Balon and Coche 1974; UNEP 1986a; Davies 1986). Zambezi stretches Upper Middle Lower Drainage basin (km2> 320 000 1118000 1400 000 Precipitation (km3> 360 830 1317 Evapotrans iration (km ) 245 688 1000 ? Runoff (km3> 49.2 74.8 106.4 A s shown above, water retention systems like swamps and man-made lakes play a c r u c i a l role in t h e global water balance of t h e Zambezi r i v e r system, also in t h e dynamics of t h e flow itself. For t h e s a k e of presentation and because i t corresponds t o reality from t h e hydrological point of view, t h e Zambezi r i v e r will be examined in t h r e e sections which more or less coincide with t h e t h r e e natural stretches. 3.1. The Upper Stretch The u p p e r s t r e t c h corresponds to t h e section between t h e s o u r c e of t h e Zambezi in a marshy bog n e a r t h e Kalene hills about 1 5 0 0 m above sea-level and t h e Victoria Falls n e a r t h e town of Livingstone. The 1 6 5 0 wide Victoria Falls with a mean annual discharge of 1 2 3 7 m3/s form a 98 m high b a r r i e r between t h e u p p e r and t h e middle Zambezi. The u p p e r s t r e t c h i s t h e most natural to t h e Zambezi r i v e r owing to t h e absence of impoundments. Rainfall in t h e drainage basin r a n g e from 1 4 0 0 mm/year in t h e headwater zone to 700 mm southward. Temperatures r e a c h 20-22°C with a r a n g e of 6-8" C. The rainy season i s between November and April, and t h e d r y season from May to July. The double flood peak r e c o r d e d during t h e rainy season upstream from t h e Barotse is balanced by t h e d r y season. The resulting single flood peak due t o t h e buffer effect of t h e Barotse swamps i s then f u r t h e r equalized by t h e Chobe swamps (Balon and Coche 1974). Figure 9. Average flow regime (1925-1966) a t Livingstone, and flow regime during a d r y (1949-1950) and a w e t (1957-1958) period (Balon and Coche, 1974). Next, a c h a r a c t e r i s t i c flood peak i s observed at Livingstone. Figure 9 gives t h e a v e r a g e monthly runoff at t h e Livingstone pump station calculated from t h e d a t a obtained between 1925 and 1966. The flow starts to i n c r e a s e in December t o r e a c h a peak in April (3500 m3/s), then i t d e c r e a s e s to about 350 m3/s in October. However, because of t h e e r r a t i c rainfall p a t t e r n of t h e region, t h e Zambezi flow v a r i e s greatly from y e a r to y e a r . Table 7 gives t h e frequency p e r month of t h e minimum or maximum discharge. Thus, Balon (Balon and Coche 1974) h a s estimated t h a t i t normally t a k e s approximately t h r e e to f o u r weeks f o r t h e base flood peak to move from Balovale, upstream to Barotse swamps, to Kariba. The annual runoff from t h e u p p e r Zambezi Tcrble 7. Frequency of minimum and maximum d i s c h a r g e between 1 9 2 5 and 1966 (Balon a n d Coche 1974). Minimum d i s c h a r g e Maximum d i s c h a r g e Months Frequency Months Frequency September October November December 9 26 20 1 February March April Hay June 2 11 23 6 1 catchment during t h e p e r i o d 1924-1979 (Figure 1 0 ) shows a r i s e during t h e l a t e 1940s and e a r l y 1950s. According to DuToit (1982), only 30 p e r c e n t of t h e i n c r e a s e could b e explained by a n i n c r e a s e of rainfall o v e r t h e catchment a r e a . Various explanations f o r t h e i n c r e a s e in r i v e r flow h a v e been suggested, such as changes in rainfall p a t t e r n s (spatial a n d seasonal distribution of mean water d e p t h s as well as intensities) a n d c h a n g e s in t h e watershed r e s p o n s e (Puzo 1978). To s u p p o r t t h i s idea, DuToit (1982) o b s e r v e d t h a t t h e v a r i a t i o n s of t h e mean annual d i s c h a r g e became m o r e pronounced in t h e y e a r s 1950-1980, suggesting t h a t t h e s u r f a c e runoff i n c r e a s e d at t h e e x p e n s e of t h e underground water t a b l e r e c h a r g e a n d increasing t h e d i f f e r e n c e s in runoff between w e t and d r y y e a r s . Undoubtedly, f u t u r e man-made d r a i n a g e of t h e Barotse and Chobe swamps would promote t h i s e f f e c t . O t h e r hypotheses c o n c e r n changes in t h e f e a t u r e s of t h e catchment r a t h e r t h a n c h a n g e s in t h e rainfall (Puzo 1978). Variations in t h e annual flow from high to low flow y e a r s h a v e become m o r e pronounced, which might suggest t h a t when r a i n d o e s o c c u r , i t flows off t h e land rapidly d u e to superficial c h a n g e s r a t h e r t h a n percolation, maintaining a supporting flow through a following d r i e r y e a r (DuToit 1982). Possible d r a i n a g e of Barotse a n d Chode swamps should heighten t h i s e f f e c t . In a n y c a s e , t h e problem remains unsolved. Since 1980-1981, t h e u p p e r Zambezi catchment h a s e x p e r i e n c e d a n unprecedented d r o u g h t causing o t h e r problems f o r t h e management of t h e Kariba R e s e r v o i r . Figure 10. Annual r u n o f f s of t h e u p p e r Zambezi oatchment during the period 1924-1979 (five y e a r s running means, DuToit, 1983). 3.2. The Middle Stretch The n a t u r a l r i v e r situation of t h e middle as well as t h e lower s t r e t c h e s h a s changed drastically by c r e a t i n g l a k e s Kariba a n d Cahora Bassa, both within t h e flooded area a n d downstream from t h e dams. Before t h e impoundments, t h i s r i v e r was defined as a "sand-bank" r i v e r , like t h e Huangwa a n d t h e Limpopo r i v e r s , by Jackson (1961). Due to t h e c r e a t i o n of t h e two man-made lakes, t h i s p a r t of t h e r i v e r should now b e considered as a " r e s e r v o i r r i v e r " , such as t h e Kafue o r t h e S h i r e r i v e r s . In i t s n a t u r a l s t a g e , t h e middle Zambezi h a s had two high flood p e r i o d s e v e r y y e a r (Figure 11): t h e "Gumbura" as called by t h e local people comes usually in F e b r u a r y . with l e s s t u r b u l e n t flood waters, c a r r y i n g local runoff. The second high flood, known as the"Murorwe" used to come in April, but s i n c e t h e K a r i b a w a s constructed, i t n o l o n g e r inundates t h e floodplain below t h e wall. One c a n notice t h a t t h e Kafue catchment runoff joining t h e Zambezi down- stream and t h e K a r i b a i s flattened d u e to a n accentuation of t h e n a t u r a l " r e s e r v o i r r i v e r " of t h e Kafue r i v e r by i t s impoundments (Itezhitezhi, Kafue Gorge dams). Figure 12 r e p r e s e n t s t h e situation in r e c e n t y e a r s f o r t h e monthly inflows a n d spill a g e s f o r Lake Kariba. This g r a p h r e v e a l s t h e f a c t t h a t f o r t h e p e r i o d considered, t h e K a r i b a scheme d o e s not s e e m to h a v e r e g u l a t e d t h e Zambezi flow on a monthly s c a l e , although t h e inflow i s somewhat g r e a t e r t h a n t h e outflow during t h e f i r s t p a r t of e v e r y r a i n y season, a n d t h e outflow is somewhat g r e a t e r t h a n t h e inflow during t h e d r y season. On t h e o t h e r hand, t h e Kariba scheme h a s r e g u l a t e d well months Figure 11. Mean monthly flows upstream from Kariba f o r t h e period 1924-1979 (DuToit, 1982). t h e s h a r p flood peaks of 1963,1969 and 1970. For instance, t h e flood peak at Vict o r i a Falls in 1969 was estimated at 8100 m3/s, while t h e spilling through t w o floodgates amounted no more than 3000 m3/s. 3.3. The h e r Stretch Before t h e Kariba impoundment w a s built, t h e Zambezi showed a r e g u l a r annual cycle, usually reaching i t s peak in February or March at 5000-20000 m3/sec and falling to 200-800 m3/sec in October-November. t h e flow into t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r is regulated. Now 90 p e r c e n t of The Kariba dam has resulted in an i n c r e a s e in d r y season flows and a delay in t h e timing of floods Figure 12. Monthly inflow and outflow f o r Kariba from October 1976 to September 1979 (DuToit, 1982). during t h e w e t season (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). The flood magnitude h a s been decreased by a n a v e r a g e of 24 p e r c e n t during eight y e a r s in t h e 19'70-80 period. The e r r a t i c water management of Cahora Bassa h a s completely a l t e r e d t h e normal water flow downstream to t h e floodplain and t h e delta. A s shown in Figure 13,maximum discharges almost always t a k e place out of season. Most y e a r s tend to have t w o flood releases, and in some cases even t h r e e as in 1981 (Figure 13). Since t h e closure of t h e Cahora Bassa dam in December 1974,a period of t w o y e a r s (1979 and 1980) may b e considered as "normal" from t h e hydrological and operational perspectives, although even during t h i s period t h e Zambezi hydrologi- cal cycle w a s tremendously disturbed (Figure 14) with a retention of flood peak in t h e r e s e r v o i r between February and May, creating t w o artificial flood peaks out of season. 8. m 16 m > ram IL .m b m i: ,lorn ., 1 IP P w e 13. Water flow through Cahora Bassa reservoir. (A) total monthly inflow and outflow volume; (B) difference in monthly inflows (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). I O I I N O I J I F I M I A I M I J J I I A S I ~ nm Figure 14. Water flow Ulrough Cahora Bassa reservoir in 1980. Shaded area represents buffering e f f e c t of the lake during floods. 3.4. Conclusions As shown above, now t h e Zambezi i s f a r from from t h e description of Jackson's in 1 9 6 1 as having sand-bank c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s : ' k a v e v e r y d e e p beds with welldefined s t e p banks c u t in t h e alluvial e a r t h , through which t h e r i v e r s meander at l o w level, often little more t h a n a connection between a s e r i e s of pools fringed with r o c k s and sand b a n k s with l i t t l e aquatic vegetation, and still less marginal vegetation on t h e banks, while t h e flood i s violent but of comparatively s h o r t duration, with t h e floodplains inundated f o r a relatively s h o r t s p a c e of time." (Jackson 1961) The impoundment of t h e middle a n d lower Zambezi a n d i t s main t r i b u t a r i e s (Kafue a n d S h i r e ) h a s transformed t h i s r i v e r to a " r e s e r v o i r system" dependent on anthropogenic management. The international s t a t u s of t h e Zambezi r i v e r escalates t h e problems r e l a t e d to i t s management. As underlined by Bernacsek and Lopes (1984) f o r instance, d e s p i t e t h e f a c t t h a t about 9 0 p e r c e n t of t h e inflow into Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r is r e g u l a t e d , major problems in flood prediction and management remain. The following c h a p t e r i s devoted to t h e s e international c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e Zambezi r i v e r basin. Chapter II: The Zambezi Drainage Basin 1. Political Boundaries The Zambezi drainage basin i s s h a r e d by eight countries of t h e southern Afric a n region. They are Angola, Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe (Figure 15). According to t h e i r geographical locations, they s h a r e t h e catchment with a l a r g e r a n g e of s u r f a c e contributions. Table 8 surnrnarizes t h e contributions of t h e eight countries to t h e Zambezi drainage basin. Table 8. S h a r e of t h e Zambezi drainage basin by t h e eight countries. Total s u r f a c e km2 Countries I 1I I S u r f a c e in t h e watershed km2 % watershed Angola Botswana Malawi Mozambique Namibia Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe The concept of t h e drainage basin means t h a t all land drained to a r i v e r o r i t s t r i b u t a r i e s belongs t o t h e catchment of t h i s r i v e r . One must also consider t h a t some countries do not have d i r e c t contact with t h e Zambezi r i v e r itself, but t h a t p a r t of t h e t e r r i t o r y i s drained by a t r i b u t a r y of t h e Zambezi. This i s t h e case in Malawi and Tanzania t h a t are drained towards Lake Malawi and t h e S h i r e (Figure 15). These boundary differences among countries entail different i n t e r e s t s in t h e Zambezi r i v e r . Complicating t h e political situation in each country as well as f o r international negotiations, many ministries s h a r e water administration and management in e a c h nation. Table 9 gives t h e number of ministries concerned with water management in e a c h country. f'l ZAMBEZI D R A I N A G E BASIN POLITICAL BOUNDARIES Figure 15. Political boundaries of t h e Zambezi drainage basin. TabLe 9. Number of ministries sharing water administration in t h e Zambezi countries. Countries Angola Botswana Malawi Mozambique Namibia Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe Number of ministries ND 6 5 6 ND 8 7 8 2. Economic Situation 2.1. Population 2 Within i t s area of about 1400000 km , t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin h a s more t h a n 20 million inhabitants. Table 10 gives t h e population distribution within t h e catchment f o r each country. Among them Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe account f o r 94.70 p e r c e n t of t h e population in t h e basin, while t h e o t h e r s s h a r e 5.3 p e r c e n t although t h e drainage area they c o v e r i s a q u a r t e r of t h e t o t a l Zambezi catchment. The g e n e r a l p a t t e r n i s towards a n i n c r e a s e of population in e a c h country since 1965, and a d e c r e a s e in p e r c e n t a g e of population economically a c t i v e in a g r i c u l t u r e (Figure 16). Nonetheless, more t h a n 70 p e r c e n t of t h e population is involved in a g r i c u l t u r e in a l l t h e r i p a r i a n countries, e x c e p t Botswana (66 p e r c e n t ) and Namibia (38.3p e r cent). TabLe 10. Population distribution of t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin. Angola Botswana I1 poiEion , / 1 Z of t o t a l X of basin population , population Basin population , 1 8900000 303740 3.41 1149000 8100) 0.70 Malawi 7178000 ( 7178000 100 Mozambique 14342000 2566708 ( 17.89 ( I Namibia 1596000 40010 1 2.50 1I Tanzania 23334000 815420 3.49 Zambia 6898000 4482396 ( 70.2 Zimbabwe 9099000 65603791 72.1 p Total , 72496000 , 21954753 1 30.3 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! 1.38 0.04 32.70 11.69 0.18 3.71 20.42 29.88 p 100 v a s t region generally with sandy soil. Predominant c r o p s are sorghum and bulrush millet. (c) E a s t e r n Cuando-Cubango i s a region of p o o r soil and s p a r s e population. Subsistence farming and food collecting are dominant with pastoralism in t h e d r y s o u t h e a s t e r n area. Figure 16. Evolution of population in t h e Zambezi riparian countries (.-.) and percentage of population economically active in agriculture (.---.) (FAO, 1986). 2.2. Land-Use For each country sharing t h e Zambezi r i v e r basin, t h e statistics shown below were taken from t h e FA0 Production Yearbook (1977-1987) concerning t h e whole country, and not just t h e p a r t belonging to t h e Zambezi catchment. Nevertheless, t h e s e d a t a provide a quite a p p r o p r i a t e idea of t h e situation on t h e drainage basin, at l e a s t f o r Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Concerning t h e o t h e r countries* it shows at l e a s t b e main f e a t u r e s and tendency. 2.2.1. Angola Since 1965, statistics show a n increase in a r a b l e land mainly between 1970 and 1975 which is certainly due t o increased deforestation during t h e s a m e period. However, permanent c r o p area has not increased. The p a r t of Angola belonging to t h e Zambezi drainage basin c o v e r s t h r e e regions: (a) East Central Moxico, with r i v e r basins subject to flooding, and villages located on low elevations. Hoe cultivation of subsistence c r o p s i s done during t h e rainy season. The region close to t h e Zambezi r i v e r i s a more favoured area f o r c r o p farming with relatively import a n t stock raising, e x c e p t in t h e tsetse-infested zones. (b) Southern Moxico is a Table U . Land-use in Angola. Statistics in km2. Land-Use ! 1965 ! 1970 / 1975 ! 1980 ! 1985 Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation 2.2.2. Botswana A s shown above, Botswana's area belonging to t h e Zambezi drainage basin is mainly r e p r e s e n t e d by t h e Okavango region. In Botswana, t h e r e is a major study called "Southern Okavango Integrated Water Development Study" under preparation. I t seems t h a t s o m e 150 krn2 would be suitable for large-scale irrigation f o r agricultural development (UNEP 1986b). The Okavango delta i s a l s o subject to large-scale c a t t l e raising, mainly in t h e southern p a r t of t h e delta. Development of t h i s region i s due partly to t h e eradication of t h e tsetse fly which h a s allowed settlement by people. Table 12. Land-use in Botswana. S t a t i s t i c s in km2. Land-Use Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation 2.2.3. Malawi Almost 1 0 0 p e r c e n t of Malawi t e r r i t o r y belongs to t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin. Table 23. Land-use in Malawi. S t a t i s t i c s in km2 Land-Use Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation Tea a n d t o b a c c o are t w o main c r o p s t h a t c o v e r 210 and 900 km2, r e s p e c t i v e l y . Coffee now s u r v i v e s l a r g e l y as a small-holder c a s h c r o p in t h e n o r t h . Commercial s u g a r production i s impossible without i r r i g a t i o n . More a n d more land i s becoming permanently cultivated a n d u s e of a r t i f i c i a l f e r t i l i z e r i s increasing, although no f e r t i l i z e r is used to grow c a s s a v a , millet, maize, sorghum, cotton a n d r i c e , e x c e p t when c o t t o n a n d r i c e are grown in organized land schemes w h e r e f e r t i l i z e r u s e i s encouraged. 2.2.4. Mozambique With a b o u t 20 p e r c e n t of i t s t e r r i t o r y , t h e area belonging t o t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin h a s g r e a t a g r i c u l t u r a l potential. Thus, almost 2 5 0 0 km2 were identified as potential a r a b l e land mainly on t h e Zambezi flood plains. Table 14. Land-use in Mozambique. S t a t i s t i c s in km2. Land-Use Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation Tete highlands r e g i o n i s predominantly humid and t e m p e r a t e with mainly ferr a l l i t i c soils on which maize and p o t a t o e s are cultivated. Close t o t h e Zambezi r i v e r , soils are predominantly brown soils with sorghum, millet, maize a n d cotton production. The main t y p e s of farming in t h e r e g i o n s belonging t o t h e Zambezi watershed are semi-subsistence farming a n d subsistence farming with livestock. 2.2.5. Namibia The area of Namibia belonging t o t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin i s called t h e Caprivi s t r i p , a region v e r y s p a r s e l y populated. S t a t i s t i c s f o r t h e whole c o u n t r y given in Table 15 cannot b e t a k e n as r e p r e s e n t a t i v e of t h e Caprivi s t r i p land use. Table 25. Land-use in Namibia. S t a t i s t i c s in km2. Land-Use Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation 1 ND ND 1 35000 60 1 32000 70 1 29000 80 26000 80 2.2.6. Tanzania Almost t h r e e p e r c e n t of Tanzania t e r r i t o r y which i s d r a i n e d to L a k e Malawi i s still at i t s e a r l y s t a g e of a g r i c u l t u r a l development. A s shown in Table 1 6 , i t i s not t h e case f o r t h e main p a r t of t h e t e r r i t o r y . In t h i s small a r e a , i r r i g a t i o n p r a c t i c e s are not well developed. E x c e p t f o r t o b a c c o , n o s u b s t a n t i a l c a s h c r o p i s grown, b u t normal s u b s i s t e n c e c r o p s are p r o d u c e d . Table 16. Land-use in Tanzania. S t a t i s t i c s in km2. Land-Use Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation 2.2.7. Zambia In Zambia, t h e t o t a l area of a r a b l e land i s estimated at a b o u t 1 0 million hect a r e s . A t p r e s e n t , t h e development of t h i s r e s o u r c e b a s e h a s high p r i o r i t y in t h e national development planning. Although t h e amounts v a r y c o n s i d e r a b l y f r o m y e a r t o y e a r , maize, groundnuts a n d c o t t o n are most i m p o r t a n t sectors of involvement. T h e t w o main t y p e s of t i m b e r are p i n e a n d e u c a l y p t u s f o r u s e in t h e mining a n d c o n s t r u c t i o n i n d u s t r i e s . Commercial cultivation i s mainly a l o n g t h e Kafue r i v e r system a n d t h e s o u t h e r n agricultural belt. Table 17. Land-use in Zambia. S t a t i s t i c s in km2. Land-Use Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation 2.2.8. Zimbabwe Due to i t s dominance in t h e economy, t h e government h a s d e c l a r e d t h e development of a g r i c u l t u r e as t h e highest p r i o r i t y in t h e c u r r e n t five y e a r s national development plan (UNEP 1986b). One principal means of increasing a g r i c u l t u r a l production is to i n c r e a s e t h e t o t a l area of cultivated land mainly in t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin. Table 28. Land-use in Zimbabwe. S t a t i s t i c s in km2. Land-Use Arable Permanent crop Permanent pasture Forest Irrigation The area lying in t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin i s divided i n t o t h r e e geographic a l regions: (a) t h e high veld, t h e highest extensive s u r f a c e which l i e s l a r g e l y between 1 2 0 0 and 1 5 0 0 m e t r e s , forms t h e watershed between t h e Zambezi r i v e r and t h e n o r t h . (b) In t h e western p a r t of t h e Zambezi basin t h e middle veld forms a v e r y e x t e n s i v e plateau. ( c ) The Zambezi low veld is more limited a n d i s mostly cutoff from t h e rest of t h e country by s t e e p e s c a r p m e n t s a n d rugged t e r r a i n . The main c r o p s are maize a n d Virginia tobacco. F o r e s t s are important, especially in t h e n o r t h w e s t e r n q u a r t e r with extensive r e s e r v e s of indigenous hardwoods c o v e r i n g some 9 5 0 0 km2, a n d in t h e e a s t e r n highlands t h e r e are a b o u t 650 km2 of pines. 3. Water Quality A w a t e r quality s u r v e y of t h e Zambezi r i v e r system i s not y e t v e r y developed (UNEP 1986b), mainly d u e to t h e s h o r t a g e of manpower a n d equipment. Yet, hydro-chemistry of t h e middle a n d lower Zambezi i s relatively well documented. A s u r v e y h a s been made principally of t h e main t r i b u t a r i e s of t h e Zambezi r i v e r , and t h e main impounded zones. Thus, Coche (1968), and Balon and Coche (1974) have detailed t h e physic-chemistry of Lake Kariba, while McLachlan (1970a), King and Lee (1974)and Bowmaker (1976)have focused on t r i b u t a r i e s entering Lake Kariba. Hall et aL. (1976;1977) have described t h e physico-chemical s t a t u s of t h e lower Zambezi p r i o r to and during t h e closure of t h e Cahora Bassa dam and its main t r i butaries. Hydro-chemical and hydrobiological surveys have been done also on t h e Kafue f l a t s (Carey 1971; S a l t e r 1979; 1985). S o m e information i s available on smaller impoundments like t h e McIlwaine lake on t h e Hunyani r i v e r (Marshall and Falconer 1973a,b). N o major pollution problems have been r e p o r t e d on t h e Zambezi drainage sys- t e m (UNEP 1986b), e x c e p t at some specific s i t e s such as t h e copperbelt in Zambia, Lusaka and H a r a r e areas, and some o t h e r major towns from which domestic and industrial effluents could o c c u r . The regulation of t h e middle and lower Zambezi and t h e i r transformation into a "reservoir r i v e r " might a g g r a v a t e t h e water quality problems, like eutrophication due to f e r t i l i z e r leaching. Although soil fertilization i s not developed, as shown in Table 19, t h e situation may change if l a r g e scale irrigation development o c c u r , and also because development of agricultural programmes i s one of t h e main goals of t h e r i p a r i a n countries. Another problem t h a t could a r i s e soon i s sedimentation in man-made lakes due to soil erosion in deforested areas (see Section 3). Presently, t h e water quality of t h e middle and lower Zambezi depends mainly on processes t h a t o c c u r in t h e impoundments. Water quality d a t a will b e given in Chapter 3 on impoundments. TrrbLe 19. Fertilization rates in countries sharing t h e Zambezi drainage basin (FA0 Fertilizer Yearbooks 1981,1986). Angola Botswana Malawi Mozambique Namibia Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe 1970 1976 1980 0.9 3.8 1.7 ND 1.7 4.1 23.1 2.1 0.7 0.4 8.3 3.5 2.2 1.5 ND ND 2.6 2.8 7.5 7.9 24.2 27.8 1970 1984 1 1 0.4 0.27 5.5 0.27 2.412.18 ND ND 3.0 1 0.31 8.510.83 30.3 15.85 I 1976 1980 1984 0.3 0.31 0.17 0.31 0.17 2.18 1.35 ND ND 0.96 0.39 1.57 1.27 7.55 6.37 0.13 0.13 0.61 ND 0.44 1.40 7.24 Another problem r e l a t e d to t h e development of a g r i c u l t u r e is t h e use of pesticides, especially DDT to e r a d i c a t e tsetse flies which are a sine qua none condition b e f o r e settlement c a n begin in t h e s e infested areas. DDT i s a l s o used for t h e e r a d ication of Anopheles flies, c a u s e of malaria. The u s e of pesticides i s dangerous because of concentration in t h e food chain. Endosulfane and o t h e r "soft" pesticides have been t e s t e d as substitutes f o r DDT. 4. Energy Planning The S o u t h e r n African Development Coordination Conference (SADCC) w a s established in April 1980 by a declaration of t h e governments of t h e nine independent states of s o u t h e r n Africa, namely Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Swaziland, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The objectives of t h e regional energy policy h a v e been summarized by Bhagavan (1985) as follows: - "to r e s t r i c t t h e u s e of petroleum products solely t o applications where a l t e r n a t i v e r e s o u r c e s cannot b e envisaged - t o develop regional electrification and extend i t to t h e t r a n s p o r t and a g r i c u l t u r a l s e c t o r s , to exploit t h e vast h y d r o e l e c t r i c r e s o u r c e s of t h e region in o r d e r to a c h i e v e this, and a l s o t o make use of small h y d r o e l e c t r i c power plants throughout t h e r u r a l areas - to promote t h e interconnection of t h e national g r i d system t o e n s u r e t h a t production and distribution capacity i s utilized more efficiently among t h e various states in t h e region - to develop prospecting and exploitation of fossil fuel deposits, such as oil, n a t u r a l g a s and coal - to develop new technologies f o r t h e utilization of s o l a r energy, biomass and o t h e r renewable e n e r g y s o u r c e s and t o make them available t o t h e r u r a l areas - to promote r e s e a r c h and development in renewable energy technologies at t h e regional level - to promote regional programmes of and utilization of wood." r e f o r e s t a t i o n and efficient exploitation This review of objectives offers a c l e a r idea of what is at s t a k e on t h e Zambezi drainage basin since t h e signing of t h e declaration by seven of t h e eight riparian countries of t h e Zambezi r i v e r , and i t is assumed by both SADCC and t h e South West African People's Organisation (SWAPO) t h a t a n independent Namibia would join SADCC. 4.1. Fuelwood Fuelwood i s t h e primary s o u r c e of energy f o r all r u r a l households and a l a r g e p a r t of t h e urban households of t h e r i p a r i a n countries of t h e Zambezi r i v e r . Table 20 gives t h e evolution of wood use as a s o u r c e of energy in t h e Zambezi r i p a r i a n countries. Table 20. Evolution of woodstock in 103m3 used as energy s o u r c e in t h e Zambezi r i p a r i a n countries (FA0 Forest Products 1975, 1986). Angola Botswana Malawi Mozambique Namibia Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe Fuelwood plays a dominant r o l e in t h e curing of tobacco and tea, t h e major cash c r o p s of t h e region. For instance, Bhagavan (1985) r e p o r t e d t h a t in Malawi and Zimbabwe, tobacco and tea curing accounts for about 40 p e r c e n t of t h e total firewood consumption. A s a n example, Hosier (1986) gives t h e energy consumption in Zimbabwe (Figure 17) with t h e actual end-use and projected requirements for t h e y e a r 2000. I t a p p e a r s t h a t even in Zimbabwe with abundant supply of coal and electricity, wood r e s o u r c e s will continue t o b e essential for most of t h e foreseea b l e future. This poses a major problem due to t h e increasing scarcity of fuelwood supplies in all t h e Zambezi r i p a r i a n countries. Due to this demand for fuelwood in r u r a l and urban households a s well as clearing land f o r a g r i c u l t u r e and timber , 8o 1 End-use requirements in 1982 Fuelwood Coal Commercial wood L ~ q u ~fuel d Electrlclty Rural Industry Households Transport Agriculture Urban Other Households SECTOR Projected end-use requirements for 2002 Fuelwood Coal Commerc~al wood Liquid fuel Electr~clty Rural Industry Households Transport Agriculture Urban Other Households Figure 17. Energy consumption in Zimbabwe (Hosier, 1986). t r a d e , r a p i d deforestation i s o c c u r r i n g on t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin, contributing t o soil erosion as well as t o changes in runoff from such disturbed areas. Thus, Mumeka (1986)h a s shown t h a t deforestation led t o a n i n c r e a s e in streamflow, and a change in t h e flood h y d r o g r a p h of t h e Kafue headwaters. Elwell (1978;1984)and Elwell a n d Stocking (1982)h a v e developed models to p r e d i c t soil losses by a r a b l e lands in Zimbabwe. Such estimations of soil loss are v e r y important in determining t h e impact of sediment t r a n s p o r t e d by r i v e r s on r e s e r v o i r life of man-made lakes in t h e Zambezi basin (Bolton 1984;Kabell 1984;P i t t a n d Thompson 1984;White and Bettess 1984). 4.2. Hydroelectric schema and other energy sources F i r s t , dealing with oil production, Angola i s t h e only Zambezi r i p a r i a n country t h a t p r o d u c e s a n d e x p o r t s substantial quantity of oil. On t h e o t h e r hand, t h e r e are massive deposits of coal in Botswana, Mozambique, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Unfortunately. t h e d e c r e a s e in world demand f o r coal h i n d e r s p r i v a t e foreign investment f o r developing coal r e s e r v e s f o r e x p o r t (Bhagavan 1985). Concerning n a t u r a l gas, big r e s e r v e s h a v e been discovered only at two o f f s h o r e s i t e s in Mozambique. Actual and potential h y d r o e l e c t r i c power are abundant. T h e r e i s more t h a n enough installed generation c a p a c i t y today t o meet t h e c u r r e n t demands of u r b a n households, industries a n d t h e s e r v i c e sector. Table 21 gives t h e net capacity installed in e l e c t r i c i t y generation plants, while Table 22 shows t h e utilization of e l e c t r i c i t y according t o t h e t y p e of plant. Table 21. Installed c a p a c i t y of e l e c t r i c i t y generating plants of t h e Zambezi r i p a r i a n c o u n t r i e s (UN Yearbooks 1972,1983,1987). Thermal c a p a c i t y lo3 kw Angola Botswana Malawi Mozambique Namibia Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe Hydroelectricity c a p a c i t y lo3 kw 1961 1970 1980 1985 1961 1970 1980 1985 60 101 200 200 28 211 400 400 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND 11 94 21 241 39 280 34 280 28 114 67 1520 126 1523 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND 30 241 502 94 184 487 70 190 487 180 191 906 1 65 ND 20 43 562 49 180 705 188 1538 705 260 1538 633 Table 22. Utilization of installed e l e c t r i c i t y generating c a p a c i t y according to t h e t y p e of plant and c o u n t r y . 1 Angola 1 Botswana Malawi 1 I Mozambique 1 Namibia Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe 1 Thermal KWH p e r KW 1 Hydroelectricity Kwh p e r KW 1961 1970 1980 1985 1961 1970 1980 1985 517 ND 3000 1383 ND ND 1672 1147 1228 ND 609 1711 ND 1851 970 2388 2000 ND 769 1607 ND 2571 526 1094 2275 ND 771 1464 5357 ND 2000 1846 2464 ND 5038 2353 ND 6224 910 7443 2750 ND 6030 8914 ND 2819 5722 5685 3338 ND 3775 1008 ND 2365 6538 5355 183 1051 I 1 1 6186 3925 Nowadays, even if utilization of t h e existing e l e c t r i c i t y c a p a c i t y scheme i s below t h e potential, t h e supply of e l e c t r i c i t y comfortably e x c e e d s demand in t h e Zambezi r i p a r i a n c o u n t r i e s . Bhagavan (1985)underlined t h a t "demand h e r e means ability of t h e end-use customer to pay t h e a s k e d f o r p r i c e which effectively l e a v e s o u t a b o u t 70 to 90 p e r c e n t of t h e population, who at p r e s e n t d o not h a v e t h i s ability to pay." If a t t e m p t s were made to m e e t t h i s l a r g e r need, t h e p r e s e n t supply would b e clearly inadequate. L a r g e s t installed and potential capacity in h y d r o e l e c t r i c i t y of t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin i s based mainly on t h e Zambezi r i v e r itself and o n t h e Kafue r i v e r (Table 23). Table 23. H y d r o e l e c t r i c power plants on t h e Zambezi and t h e Kafue r i v e r s (Bolton 1983). Power P l a n t Victoria Falls Kariba C a h o r a Bassa Kafue G o r g e Installed capacity in Mw 108 Provision capacity in Mw 5. Main Issues From t h e g e n e r a l f e a t u r e s of t h e Zambezi r i v e r system a n d i t s d r a i n a g e basin, i t a p p e a r s t h a t two main issues must b e f a c e d from t h e water management point of view: ( a ) t h e soil e r o s i o n problem due t o intensive deforestation, a n d (b) reserv o i r o p e r a t i o n s in o r d e r t o optimize t h e i r h y d r o e l e c t r i c power generation and planned secondary uses. In f a c t , t h e s e two main challenges are interconnected in t h a t t h e erosion p r o c e s s entails a n i n c r e a s e in s i l t deposition in r e s e r v o i r s diminishing t h e i r r e a l s t o r a g e capacity. The main man-made l a k e s on t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin l i e in t h e middle s t r e t c h of t h e Zambezi r i v e r (Kariba, Cahora Bassa) and on t h e Kafue r i v e r (Figure 18). R e s e r v o i r o p e r a t i o n along t h e Zambezi i s interconnected. F o r t h e s a k e of presentation, however, t h e following c h a p t e r will d e a l with e a c h of t h e s e impoundments s e p a r a t e l y . Constraints imposed by o p e r a t i o n of upstream dams will a l s o b e considered. ItezhlTezhi Kafue Swamps Kafue Gorge + ,.--.\ - I Kariba Ma na Pools Marromeu / - % A Cahor: Bassa I I Ocean Figure 18. Schematic r e p r e s e n t a t i o n of impoundments on t h e middle Zambezi (Pinay et &., 1!388). Chapter ILI: Impoundments on the Zarnbezi River System 1. Lntroduction I t h a s a l r e a d y b e e n mentioned t h a t a b o u t 5 7 0 km of t h e Zambezi r i v e r are now r e g u l a t e d by man-made l a k e s , r e p r e s e n t i n g 6 5 p e r c e n t of t h e middle Zambezi s t r e t c h . Although t h e m o r e visible c o n s e q u e n c e of dam c r e a t i o n i s flow c o n t r o l of t h e r i v e r , o n e must k e e p in mind t h a t i t a l s o l e a d s to development of d r a i n a g e b a s i n - r e s e r v o i r i n t e r a c t i o n s (Figure 1 9 ) . S i n c e t h e s e i n t e r a c t i o n s are initiated by r e s e r v o i r c o n s t r u c t i o n , development follows as a m a t t e r of c o u r s e , causing l a r g e s c a l e environmental d i s t u r b a n c e s . Thus, i t i s e s s e n t i a l to c o n s i d e r t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p s between r e s e r v o i r a n d i t s d r a i n a g e basin. Although t h e s e man-made l a k e s w e r e c o n s t r u c t e d f o r t h e s o l e p u r p o s e of h y d r o - e l e c t r i c p o w e r g e n e r a t i o n , management of t h e s e impoundments h a v e p o s e d f a r too many ecological p r o b l e m s b o t h in r e s e r v o i r s a n d in t h e r i v e r downstream (Begg 1973; Davies 1975a-b; DuToit. 1 9 8 2 ; S h e p p e 1985). F u r t h e r m o r e , now t h a t t h e l a k e s are t h e r e , i t i s a c h a l l e n g e to t r y to u s e them as a r e s o u r c e f o r optimal biological p r o d u c t i o n (Table 2 4 ) . It. a p p e a r s t h a t f o r e v e r y function, t h e guidelines f o r optimal u s e could b e a hind r a n c e to achieving o t h e r water management goals. CMANGING L A N E WATERSHED Figure 19. D r a i n a g e b a s i n - r e s e r v o i r i n t e r a c t i o n s (Simons, 1979). Thus, t h e following c h a p t e r will d e a l with d i f f e r e n t uses and t h e i r c o n s t r a i n t s f o r t h e main impoundments c i t e d in Table 24. Table 24. Main u p s t r e a m and downstream p u r p o s e s of t h e major man-made lakes i n t h e Zambezi r i v e r system (Pinay e t a l . 1988). --- Kariba Upstream purposes Fisheries Irrigation Recreation Animal husbandry Swamps Main p u r p o s e of dam + + + + I 1 1 Power generation Kafue G o r g e C a h o r a Hassa + + + + + I I Downstream purposes Dam o p e r a t i o n Navigation Irrigation Animal husbandry Fisheries Swamps maintenance Itezhi-Tezhi 1 I --- + Kafue swamps Water storage Power generation Power generation Mana pools Marromeu I C a h o r a Bassa Kafue G o r g e + + Mana pools Kafue + 2. Kariba Impoundment 2.1. H i s t o r i c a l Aspects Originally t h e K a r i b a p r o j e c t was conceived as a national p r o j e c t . I t was cons t r u c t e d in t h e h e a r t of t h e F e d e r a t i o n of Rhodesia and Nyasaland t o p r o v i d e a functional r e i n f o r c e m e n t of t h e political s t r u c t u r e . A loan f r o m t h e World Bank in 1956, g u a r a n t e e d by t h e United Kingdom a n d t h e F e d e r a t i o n , was with r e s p e c t t o t h e p u r p o s e of power p r o d u c t i o n by installing a h y d r o - e l e c t r i c plant having a maximum c a p a c i t y of 1200000 kw (Austin 1968). L a k e K a r i b a was completed in 1 9 5 9 , inundating 5250 km2 of t h e f o r m e r Gwembe valley o n t h e middle Zambezi. Thc: scheme was vital to t h e development of t h e F e d e r a l economy, p a r t i c u l a r l y to t h e expanding c o p p e r mining i n d u s t r y in N o r t h e r n Rhodesia (now Zambia). Justifica- tion f o r t h e s c h e m e w a s p a r t l y t h e f a c t t h a t i t would d e c r e a s e t h e c o p p e r b e l t ' s d e p e n d e n c e upon Rhodesian c o a l . The F e d e r a t i o n of Rhodesia a n d Nyasaland was dissolved at t h e e n d of December 1 9 6 3 , a n d l a t e r on O c t o b e r 2 4 , 3.964, N o r t h e r n Rhodesia became t h e independent state of Zambia. A t t h e b r e a k - u p of t h e F'ederation, t h e two c o u n t r i e s e x p r e s s e d t h e d e s i r e t h a t " t h e i n t e g r a t e d system f o r t h e c o n t r o l of t h e g e n e r a t i o n of e l e c t r i c power a n d i t s transmission in t h e t e r r i t o r i e s should c o n t i n u e t o b e o p e r a t e d a n d fully developed as a single system u n d e r t h e joint ownership of t h e government." (Austin 1968). The C e n t r a l African P o w e r Corp o r a t i o n was e s t a b l i s h e d in 1 9 6 3 in o r d e r to allow Zambia a n d S o u t h e r n Rhodesia t h a t became Zimbabwe in 1980, t o s h a r e equally t h e a v a i l a b l e g e n e r a t i n g o u t p u t f r o m t h e K a r i b a complex. Thus, a n i n t e r c o n n e c t e d system between t h e two count r i e s h a s b e e n developed (Figure 20). 2.2. M a i n Features o f M a n - M a d e Lake Kariba T h e Zambezi r i v e r c a t c h m e n t a b o v e t h e K a r i b a dam i s composed of t h r e e main g e o g r a p h i c a l e n t i t i e s (Figure 21): (a) N o r t h e r n Highlands, a b e l t of high ground:; between 1 0 0 0 a n d 2 0 0 0 m e t r e s c o v e r i n g 220 670 km2; (b) C e n t r a l P l a i n s , a r e l a tively f l a t p l a t e a u between 1 0 0 0 a n d 1500 m e t r e s c h a r a c t e r i z e d b y l a r g e swampy areas ( B a r o t s e a n d Chobe swamps), with a n area of 2 8 6 3 7 0 km2; ( c ) Rhodesian Highlands comprising of a peneplain lying between 650 a n d 1 3 0 0 m e t r e s c o v e r i n g 1 5 6 1 8 0 km2. Total area c o v e r s a b o u t 6 6 3 8 2 0 km2, constituting m o r e t h a n a t h i r d of t h e t o t a l d r a i n a g e basin of t h e Zambezi. L a k e K a r i b a i s s i t u a t e d on t h e Zambezi at a n a l t i t u d e of 4 8 5 m e t r e s a b o v e sea-level. I t w a s completed in 1 9 5 9 when a concrete a r c h dam r i s i n g 1 2 8 m a b o v e t h e r i v e r b e d a n d measuring 5 8 0 m e t r e s long w a s closed. I t i s s i t u a t e d at t h e b o u n d a r y between Zambia a n d Zimbabwe. L a k e K a r i b a (Figure 22) i s divided i n t o f i v e b a s i n s defined by n a r r o w c h a i n s of islands a n d b e l t s of shallow water. G e n e r a l c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e r e s e r v o i r itself are given in Table 2 5 a n d in Annex I. , I 110 R A Y Y ( S S L * LINES O T M R ~ R U I Y . 5 Y Z 1W I I -- L 1 - , - I R E P U B L I C OF Figure 20. I n t e r c o n n e c t e d system between Zambia and Zimbabwe (CAPC 19f14). I Figure 21. Drainage basin of t h e Zambezi r i v e r upstream from t h e Kariba D a ~ n (Balon and Coche, 1974). Table 25. General c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of K a r i b a r e s e r v o i r (Jackson and Davies 1976). Feature Catchment Geographical position: Longitude Latitude Direction of main a x i s Direction of predominant wind Number of basins Height of wall Maximum d e p t h Mean d e p t h Maximum drawdown Maximum length G r e a t e s t width Total a r e a at c a p a c i t y Maximum floodgate d i s c h a r g e Power c a p a c i t y p e r t u r b i n e Total power output of dam Actual filling time Impounded water mass Infestant a q u a t i c macrophytes p r e s e n t in t h e system Kariba 663,820 m m m m km km 3km' m sec-1 MW MW years 26'40'E-2g03'E 16"2E1S-1E06'S SW-NE SE-NW 5 128 120 29.5 14 300-320 40 5 250 6 500 100 1200 - m3 1. S a l v i n i a molesta 2. P i s t i a s t r a t i o t e s 2.3. Hydrology The Zambezi i s t h e major r i v e r flowing into Lake Kariba and provides between 7 0 and 8 0 p e r c e n t of i t s water. The remainder is supplied by o t h e r t r i b u t a r i e s and d i r e c t rainfall. Average inflow into t h e Kariba l a k e from t h e Zambezi between 1925 and 1959 was 1133 m3s-I (Balon and Coche 1974), while t h e t o t a l input from o t h e r t r i b u t a r i e s was 319 m3s-l. On t h e basis of t h e i r individual catchment a r e a s , t h e main secondary r i v e r s are t h e Gwaai, Sanyati and Sengwa (Table 26, Figure 22). Altogether t h e s e r i v e r s situated in Zimbabwe d r a i n 63.6 p e r c e n t of t h e l a k e catchment area. ZIMBABWE Figure 22. Man-made Lake Kariba and i t s main t r i b u t a r i e s (adapted from Marshall a n d J u n o r , 1983). Table 26. D r a i n a g e basin areas of t h e main s e c o n d a r y t r i b u t a r i e s of L a k e Kar.it)i: K a r i b a Basins North S h o r e I Drainage basin km2 - 1 South S h o r e I Tributaries Tributaries Mlibizi (1) Gwaai 1 D r a i n a g e basin krn2 I 47 1 4 0 I Chimene Binga (2) 2 290 850 Zongwe Chezya Sengwa (3) 2 274 Lufna Bumi (4) 2 567 - A[ ----- -- -- Mwenda Zengwa 27" 5100 One of t h e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e s e c o n d a r y t r i b u t a r i e s i s t h e i r e r r a t i c : discharge. For instance, absolute minimum and maximum average annual d i s c h a r g e s were 7 5 m3.s-I in 1946/47 a n d 8 5 2 rn3.s-I r e s p e c t i v e l y (Ralon and Coche 1974). T h e r e f o r e , o v e r a l l a v e r a g e d i s c h a r g e (318 m3.s-l) h a s n o t c h a n g e d s i n c e t h e c r e a t i o n of L a k e K a r i b a , although t h e a v e r a g e Zambezi inflow h a s increi~::ud f r o m 1 . 9 9 9 m3.s-I between 1925-1966 p e r i o d t o 1 . 5 1 7 m3.s-I between 39C)9-1~9titIb Concerning t h e hydrological c y c l e , t h e s e c o n d a r y t r i b u t a r i e s featur.e a main flood s e a s o n between J a n u a r y a n d March ( a b o u t 5 6 p e r c e n t of t h e a n n u a l d i s c h a r g e ) , a n d c o n s t i t u t e t h e Gumbura floods c i t e d previously ( C h a p t e r I , S e c t i o n 3.2). T h e Zambezi flood (Murorwe) o c c u r s between March a n d May ( F i g u r e 1 1 ) . 2.4. R e s e r v o i r O p e r a t i o n The dam was c l o s e d o n D e c e m b e r 2, 1958, when t h e l a k e s t a r t e d to fill f r o m i t s r i v e r - b e d b a s e of 3 9 1 m a b o v e sea level. The filling p h a s e finished in 1 9 6 3 . During t h e f i r s t p h a s e p e r i o d , w a t e r l e v e l f l u c t u a t i o n s w e r e v e r y i m p o r t a n t ( F i g u r e 23). Water l e v e l s rose f r o m 420 m a b o v e sea l e v e l in 1959-1960 e x t r e m e l y r a p i d l y (6 m e t r e s e v e r y 24 h o u r s ) . Until t h e e i g h t m e t r e s d r o p in 1964, conditions had b e e n improving. Considering t h e K a r i b a l a k e ' s b a t h i m e t r y (Figure 2 4 ) t h e s e drawdowns e n t a i l i m p o r t a n t v a r i a t i o n s o n t h e waterlogged area. During t h i s filling p e r i o d , 3 -1 d i s c h a r g e s from K a r i b a dam were much lower (annual a v e r a g e 258 m . s ) , com3 -1 p a r e d to t h e n a t u r a l flow of t h e Zambezi r i v e r at K a r i b a s t a t i o n ( 1 423 m . s ). Table 2 7 g i v e s t h e monthly flows f r o m t h e K a r i b a dam d u r i n g t h e filling p h a s e . Figure 29. L a k e l e v e l s on t h e K a r i b a ( m e t r e s a.s.1.) r e c o r d e d o v e r t h e per,ioc! 1961-71 (Begg, 1973). Table 27. L a k e K a r i b a monthly d i s c h a r g e s in c u b i c m e t r e s p e r s e c o n d (Balorl arrd Coche 1974). - . Year Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar 1958-59 1959-60 1960-61 1961-62 -. 472 283 330 378 472 33 283 142 283 330 3 7 8-- 3 7 8 24 142 330 378 14 142 283 330 19 19 19 24 194 142 142 189 1 8 9 236 330 330 330 3 3 0 330 3 7--8 - 3 7 8 -- 37 8- -425 425 - ..- Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept .--.- - 288 283 378 425 - 270 283 378 37H - S i n c e t h e end of t h e filling p h a s e , r e s e r v o i r o p e r a t i o n h a s managed t o provic!~: t h e b e s t h y d r o p o w e r p r o d u c t i o n . T h e Zambezi flow o r d i s c h a r g e below t h e K a r i b a dam c o n s i s t s of two components whose i m p o r t a n c e v a r i e s g r e a t l y a c c o r d i n g t o t h e e n g i n e e r i n g n e e d s d u r i n g t h e y e a r : ( a ) t h e t u r b i n e flow r e l e a s e d t h r o u g h t h e t a i l races i s closely r e l a t e d to t h e e l e c t r i c i t y power r e q u i r e m e n t s . T h e c e n t r e s of t h e l a k e water i n t a k e s are s i t u a t e d at a b o u t 462.5 a n d 447.5 m.a.s.1. r e s p e c t i v e l y . At a n a v e r a g e o p e r a t i n g water l e v e l of t h e r e s e r v o i r (485 m.a.s.l.), t h e w a t c ? r i s t h e r e f o r e drawn f r o m a d e p t h of at l e a s t 2 0 m e t r e s ; (b) t h e s p i l l a g e flow is r e l e a s e d t h r o u g h o n e or m o r e of t h e six s l u i c e g a t e s built i n t o t h e dam (457-466 m) f o r controlling t h e l a k e water level (Balon a n d C o c h e 1974). Maximum floodgate 3 -1 d i s c h a r g e i s a b o u t 6 5 0 0 m .s b u t v a r i e s depending on t h e hydrological condi- tions. F o r i n s t a n c e , T a b l e 28 g i v e s t h e number of d a y s of f l o o d g a t e d i s c h a r p e between 1 9 6 1 a n d 1 9 7 8 . Figure 24. B a t h y m e t r y o f L a k e K a r i b a ( B a l o n a n d C o c h e , 1974). l I b M s 227. Floodgate discharge at Kariba dam in days p e r month between 1961-1978 (Guy 1981). Year Jan 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 4 6 22 31 31 17 31 20 31 8 5 Feb Mar 28 29 12 1 9 29 28 28 28 13 31 4 1 31 31 31 31 31 15 28 5 28 31 31 28 31 Apr May 29 30 1 11 12 30 27 30 30 30 30 27 30 25 30 Month Jun Jul 3 11 20 Aug Sept 31 31 12 24 31 30 Oct Nov Dec 17 30 31 21 16 31 31 2 23 1 31 1 31 31 31 30 10 30 31 30 15 29 31 2 Energy demand constitutes t h e main p a r a m e t e r regulating t h e turbine discharge. Current monthly turbine flow r e l e a s e s are almost t h e same whatever t h e period considered (Figure 25). Evaporation i s a n o t h e r kind of output from t h e lake. Since t h e creation of Lake Kariba, increased evaporation and increased rainfall o v e r t h e l a k e have affected t h e downstream flow. According to Dutoit (1982), between 1975/76 and 1979/80,about 7 p e r c e n t of t h e total annual inflow into Lake Kariba consisted of rainfall, while 14 p e r c e n t of t h e t d a l annual inflow was lost through evaporation. In terms of total input and output from t h e Kariba r e s e r v o i r , i t seems, as mentioned previously (Chapter I, Section 3.1) t h a t t h e monthly downstream flow regime was much t h e same as i t would have been without the Kariba dam. On t h e o t h e r hand, Guy (1981) showed from inflow and outflow r e c o r d s (1966-1978 Figure 26) t h a t seasonal differences have become more pronounced, with w e t seasons being "wetter" and d r y seasons "drier". This remark i s in contradiction with t h e r e s u l t s of Attwell (1970) where r e s e r v o i r operation of the Kariba tends to stabilize t h e flow. DuToit (1982) r e p o r t s t h a t t h e mean annual flow of t h e u p p e r Zambezi w a s Figure 25.T u r b i n e flow r e l e a s e s of t h e K a r i b a Darn. July 1983-June 1 9 H 4 ( ( : & l J C , 1984). 42.5. 109m3 with a minimum of 19.2.109m3 in 1958/59. F u r t h e r m o r e , extrernt: monthly flows w e r e 2 3 . 1 109m3 in March 1958 a n d 0 . 3 7 . 1 0 ~ min~ November 1924. This c o n s t i t u t e s a r a t i o of 6 2 : l . Thus, t h e a n n u a l a n d s e a s o n a l v a r i a t i o n s in t h e flow of t h e Zambezi are of m a j o r s i g n i f i c a n c e to t h e e c o l o g i c a l dynamics of t h e r i v e r downstream f r o m t h e dam. l h e rnonthl! d ~ l l ~ ~ r c n c e ~ h c t w c c n t h c a r n ooul u na t t c r f l o u i n g i n t o a n d out ol I aLc R a r ~ h a1he Ilnlt, arc r n ~ l l ~ a r d * l r nlU') ' x The u p p c r f i ~ u r ci n d l c a ~ c s ~ hnormal c p a l ~ c r n o l f l o ulor thc Zarnhcr~R ~ \ e r ~ J \ L .on c Ithc ~ n l l o ufipurc\ lor I ~ k K c a r ~ h aOctohcr . (thc *tart o l the h!drolog~cal !cart I \ lndlcatcd nn ~ h ch o r ~ / u n t a laxl\ The d a ~ aarc lor the pcrlud Octobcr 1% to July IY?& Figure 26. Water balance in t h e Kariba r e s e r v o i r (Guy, 1901). 2.5. Water Level F l u c t u a t i o n s Routine in t h e c o u r s e of management of a h y d r o e l e c t r i c power instal la ti or^ is t h e determination of d i s c h a r g e rates t o m e e t power demand and flood c o n t r o l . These activities, in t u r n , a f f e c t t h e water levels of t h e l a k e (Magadza 1906). Thus, t h e l a k e i s c h a r a c t e r i z e d by l a r g e fluctuations in t h e water level with a n annual amplitude of a r o u n d t h r e e m e t r e s and long-term fluctuations t o e x t r e m e s of more t h a n eleven metres (Ramberg et al. 1907). The promising e f f e c t s of drying and wetting soils are quite well known, a p r o c e s s t h a t a c c e l e r a t e s t h e decomposition of o r g a n i c s resulting in n u t r i e n t r e l e a s e (Chauvet 1987; F a b r e (forthcoming); Pinay a n d Decamps 1988). It i s likely t h a t t h e p r o c e s s of drying and wetting i s largely responsible f o r t h e important flushes of g r a s s in t h e Kariba l a k e s h o r e , t h e inundation of which led to t h e r e l e a s e of l a r g e quantities of materials into t h e water. A s h o r e line exposed t o drawdowns are c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of a n ecotone: "the zone of transition between a d j a c e n t ecological systems, having a set of c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s uniquely defined by s p a c e a n d time s c a l e s and by t h e s t r e n g t h of t h e interactions between a d j a c e n t ecological systems" (Clements 1905; Holland 1907). The margin of t r o p i c a l man-made l a k e s a c t as man-made floodplains: l a k e level fluctuations a d d t o t h e o r g a n i c a n d mineral n u t r i e n t pools of both t h e t e r r e s t r i a l and aquatic: components of t h e ecosystem through drowning during advancing and standing Figure 27. Interactions between terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems during waterlevel fluctuations (Davies, 1986). vegetation, and animal material during retreat. In addition, migratory terrestrial herbivorous interactions take place in this ecotone (McLachlan 1974; Davies 1986) (Figure 27). These interactions a r e beneficial f o r game pastures and lake productivity. Thus, n u t r i e n t e n r i c h m e n t i s a positive e f f e c t o n submerged p l a n t s . F i g u r e 2 R g i v e s a n example of t h e d e p t h d i s t r i b u t i o n of a n a q u a t i c p l a n t community. This e n t i r e community f o r m s a n i m p o r t a n t s o u r c e of c o n s u m e r food as well as a prott:ct i v e canopy f o r i n v e r t e b r a t e s a n d fish (McLachlan 1969; 1 9 7 0 a , b ) . If t h e water level f l u c t u a t i o n s h a v e a p o s i t i v e r e c i p r o c a l e f f e c t f o r t e r r e s t r i a l as well as f o r a q u a t i c l i f e , i t i s i m p o r t a n t t h a t t h e p a t t e r n of water level v a r i a t i o n in Lake K a r i b a is c o n t r o l l e d to r e s e m b l e t h e n a t u r a l c y c l e of t h e Zambezi r i v e r without Figure 28. Example of d i s t r i b u t i o n p a t t e r n of some of t h e m a j o r a q u a t i c p l a n t s on t h e K a r i b a s h o r e l i n e (McLachlan, 1 9 6 9 ) . a r t i f i c i a l floods o u t of s e a s o n . F o r i n s t a n c e , Bowmaker (1973) recommended t h a t t h e half-cycle f l u c t u a t i o n in l a k e l e v e l s should n o t e x c e e d 2 m e t r e s , a n d t h a t t h e rate of c h a n g e should b e l e s s t h a n 0 . 6 metre/month. 2.6. Water Chemistry S i n c e t h e K a r i b a r e s e r v o i r h a s r e a c h e d i t s post-filling p h a s e , t h e Zambezi p r o v i d e s a b o u t 7 0 p e r c e n t of inflow water a n d c o n t r i b u t e s most of t h e input of dissolved a n d s u s p e n d e d m a t e r i a l s in t h e l a k e . T h e r e f o r e , t h e Zambezi u p s t r e a m from t h e K a r i b a h a s a r e l a t i v e l y l o w n u t r i e n t l e v e l c o m p a r e d t o o t h e r r i v e r s (Mitchell 1973). The e l e c t r i c conductivity of water h a s b e e n found to b e a useful index f o r estimating t h e d e g r e e of mineralization of w a t e r s . In t h e case of t h e K a r i b a reserv o i r , s t r o n g r e l a t i o n s h i p s e x i s t between conductivity o n t h e o n e hand, a n d total solids c o n t e n t , salinity, total ionic c o n c e n t r a t i o n s a n d t o t a l alkalinity o n t h e other(Balon a n d Coche 1974). Thus, t h e mineral c o n t e n t i n c r e a s e s from Basin 1 to Basirr 5. The proximity to t h e Zambezi d i c t a t e s t h e physico-chemical c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of Basins 1 a n d 2; b u t t h e s e r i v e r i n e f e a t u r e s c h a n g e to l a c u s t r i n e f e a t u r e s in t h e o t h e r basins. S i n c e t h e c l o s u r e of t h e K a r i b a dam, f o u r p h a s e s of chemical evolution may b e distinguished in t h e most l a c u s t r i n e p a r t of t h e r e s e r v o i r on t h e b a s i s of t h e p a t t e r n of v a r i a t i o n of t h e water c o n t e n t in dissolved s u b s t a n c e s (Figure 29). L.5 . 1959 111 1963 1966 1969 1972 I -' 500 -490 --o ----G---,o---O---t 0.---+ - - - - G - - - ( -480 Max water level -470 - -460 5 * 2 * rn P rn \ -450 t20rn~cromhos Conducl~voly .*. h .-C U -----A- -440 ' 8 -- - 7 -470 D -410 9 V, D VI -400 1.5 '" - 390 .-0- *-FILLING -TRANSITION - STABILIZATION l95l'l95Q'1l6O'l96l1~962'1961'1964'l965'1~66'l96I'1968'l96dl97O~I97i'l97~ 1973 Figure 29. T h e p h a s e s of chemical evolution in S a n y a t i b a s i n of L a k e K a r l b a (Balon a n d Coche, 1974). P h a s e I c o r r e s p o n d s to t h e f i r s t y e a r of r a p i d flooding of t h e valley soils, adding l a r g e q u a n t i t i e s of o r g a n i c a n d i n o r g a n i c m a t t e r to t h e solution. During p h a s e 11, t h e rate of flooding d e c r e a s e s , a n d t h e newly flooded s o i l s are l e s s r i c h t h a n t h o s e flooded e a r l i e r . P h a s e I11 s t a r t e d at t h e completion of t h e filling p h a s e - l a c u s t r i n e conditions d e v e l o p a n d salinity i n c r e a s e s . During P h a s e IV, chemical c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s v a r y a c c o r d i n g to t h e s t o r a g e level of t h e r e s e r v o i r a n d within a n a r r o w r a n g e . On t h e b a s i s of i t s t o t a l mineral c o n t e n t , t h e K a r i b a l a k e c o n t a i n s w a t e r s of low t o t a l ionic c o n c e n t r a t i o n s (Balon a n d Coche 1974). T a b l e 2 9 g i v e s t h e main chemical n a t u r e of t h e Zambezi r i v e r u p s t r e a m a n d downstream from t h e r e s e r v o i r as well as in t h e l a k e . Although t h e Zambezi r i v e r must b e c o n s i d e r e d as t h e m o s t i m p o r t a n t f a c t o r in determining t h e l a k e ' s chemical c h a r a c t e r , p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r t h e two u p p e r basins, t h e local i m p o r t a n c e of t h e o t h e r inflowing r i v e r s c a n n o t b e i g n o r e d . S e c o n d a r y r i v e r s are i m p o r t a n t in terms of t h e chemical n a t u r e of t h e i r w a t e r s . Begg (1969) Table 29. Main c h e m i c a I c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o n t h e Zambezi r i v e r flowing t b r o u g t ~ K a r i b a l a k e (Davies 1986). Variable Units Water t e m p e r a t u r e pH Dissolved oxygen TransparencySecchi Total a l k a l i n i t y Chloride Calcium h a r d n e s s Total h a r d n e s s Zambezl at K a r i ba i nflow Station Lake K a r l ba Basin 5(') Lake K a r i ba 0utflow2 Homothermy e s t a b l i s h e s at 22m 8.4(0.44) Colour Conductivity Ammonia Nitrite Nitrate Orthophosphate Silica Sulphate Magnesium Sodi urn Potassium Calcium Iron Manganese all et al. (1977) (e)Calculated from Coche (1968) a n d Balon & Coche (1974). (3)Calculated from Coche (1968) as mean of a n n u a l c y c l e f r o m t h e e a s t e r n s e c t l o n of Basin 4 ( t h e e q u i v a l e n t of Basln 5 of Begg (1970), c l o s e to t h e dam wall). (')calculated from Begg (1970). S S u r f a c e measurements (Kariba). B Bottom m e a s u r e m e n t s (Kari ba). suggests t h a t Lake Kariba receives t h e major p a r t of i t s supply of dissolved salts from secondary rivers. In f a c t they mostly influence t h e lake's chemical content in t h e vicinity of t h e i r e n t r y (Balon and Coche 1974). The chemical contribution of t h e Zimbabwean input waters is particularly important due t o t h e i r l a r g e drainage basin (Table 26) (King and Lee 1974; Bowmaker 1976; King and Thomas 1985). The Sanyati r i v e r , f o r instance, has g r e a t influence on t h e limnological characteristics of Basin 5 at t h e e a s t e r n end of Lake Kariba. Concerning t h e r e s e r v o i r itself, t h e establishment of a thermocline during t h e w a r m season entails a separation of deep water from surface ones. This hypolimnion (below t h e thermocline) is r i c h e r in mineral content than t h e epilimnion. Furthermore, mineralization processes t h a t o c c u r in t h e lower l a y e r s entail a depletion in dissolved oxygen, which could, in t u r n , lead t o a solution of f e r r o u s iron and hydrogen sulfide (H2S). These processes r e f l e c t oxido-reduction potentials in t h e hypolimnion. This w a s t h e case during filling and post filling phases. Nowadays, reduced conditions still o c c u r until t h e water mixes in t h e cooler season. These reduced conditions hinder fish settlement in t h e hypolimnion. On t h e o t h e r hand, when deoxygenated water is discharged into t h e r i v e r , e i t h e r by floodgate spillage o r via t h e tailraces from t h e lowest turbines, t h e dissolved oxygen concentrations in t h e r i v e r downstream from t h e dam a r e liable t o drop. 2.7. Sediment Deposition The area of t h e drainage basin of Lake Kariba is about 650.103km2. Of this, 4 0 . 1 0 ~ k m lies ~ upstream from t h e Victoria Falls. The Barotse plain and Chobe swamps in t h e upper Zambezi catchment a c t as a sediment t r a p f o r virtually a l l t h e sediment from this p a r t of t h e basin. Thus, t h e silt load of t h e r i v e r water as i t r e a c h e s t h e lake is relatively light. Tributaries downstream from t h e Victoria Falls drain t h e remaining 1 7 0 . 1 0 ~ k mof~ Lake Kariba's drainage basin; 1 4 0 . 1 0 ~ k m ~ lie in Zimbabwe, and 30.103km2 lie in Zambia. Finally, i t a p p e a r s t h a t t h e bulk of t h e sediment deposited in Lake Kariba originates from t h e tributaries. It is estimated (Stocking and Elwell 1973; Bolton 1984) t h a t t h e sediment yields of t h e drainage basin of Lake Kariba downstream from t h e Victoria Falls lies in t h e r a n g e 40-400 t/km2/year. Figure 30 gives as a n example, t h e potential erosion hazard in t h e Zimbabwean p a r t of t h e Kariba drainage basin. On t h e basis of t h e s e estimations, t h e mean annual input of sediment to Lake Kariba lies in t h e r a n g e of 7 to 70.10% (Bolton 1984). In t h e case of Lake Kariba, t h e long time scale involved suggests t h a t m o s t of t h e sediment will r e a c h a high - w k4mt10l crmlm hazord based on Scoch~ng and Elwell Z Very l a w Drolnopc basinr sludlcd and Chthworh by Ward to L B d o u ovcmgc to a n a g r Figure 30. Potential erosion hazard in Zimbabwe (Stocking and Elwell, 1973; Bolton, 1984). degree of consolidation, and Bolton (1984) assumes t h a t t h e annual rate of loss in storage capacity of Lake Kariba lies between 7 and 70.106.m3. The dead storage ~, o v e r 60 p e r cent of total capacity of Lake Kariba is about 1 1 6 . 1 0 ~ mrepresenting r e s e r v o i r capacity. A t t h e p r e s e n t rate of input, this storage would be filled in 1600-16000 years. Bolton (1984) concludes that t h e effect of sediment on t h e operation of t h e project is small. Nevertheless, such siltation should o c c u r n e a r secondary tributary inlets, and would b e appreciable at this small scale with r e s p e c t to navigation o r fisheries. 2.8. Ecological Aspects The formation of a lake provides a changed habitat f o r t h e development of a new ecosystem. Immediately a f t e r t h e r i v e r is dammed, t h r e e phenomena a p p e a r simultaneously: (a) t h e normal flow of t h e r i v e r is stopped, (b) t h e r e i s a continuous increase in t h e area of t h e new habitat as t h e lake fills up; (c) expanding lake margins drown t h e surrounding land. Initially t h e resulting environment is initially extremely unstable, but a f t e r a few y e a r s r e a c h e s a n "equilibrium". The major f a c t o r in t h e filling phase is t h e continuous increase in t h e size of t h e lake, and t h e major input is derived from t h e newly inundated materials a t t h e advancing shoreline. During this phase, t h e contributions of r i v e r s i s relatively minor. Thus, t h e nutrients leached from t h e flooded t e r r e s t r i a l habitats and t h e rising lake waters enable a n increased productivity. During t h e filling phase, t h e floating f e r n Sadvinia molests showed a n explosive growth, and with t h e help of t h e available nutrients, this aquatic weed covered 22 p e r cent of t h e lake's s u r f a c e by 1962, but l a t e r (1970) declined to 15 p e r cent. Coverage declined again to about 1 p e r cent of t h e l a k e in 1980 (Marshall and Junor 1981). This well-known natural phenomenon of increased production in newly c r e a t e d lakes is also noticeable in fish production. When filling is completed (Figure 31) t h e extraneous input from r i v e r s naturally remains t h e same, while t h e now almost s t a t i c shoreline i s relatively small (Mchchlan 1974). Some possible pathwaya by m m s of which materials enter m d l a v e the lake emrystem during the hlling p h u e (A) and the post-filling p h u e (B). T h e probable relative importance of a& pathn-ay is indiated by the thicknar of the u r o w . Input from ( a ) afRuent river, (6) decomposition of flooded biota and leaching of mil, (c) eroding shore-liner, (4 decomporition of aquatic biota. Uptake by (e) exploding animal m d plant populations. Lar in effluent. Position of thennaline is indiated by a broken line. Living t e r n t r i a l woodland, d m e d f o m u , aquatic biota m d the bm wall arc shorn, in both tnnaccta. Figure 31. Relative importance of input and output of materials during t h e filling and post-filling phases of Kariba r e s e r v o i r (McLachlan, 1974). Another important f e a t u r e of l a r g e r e s e r v o i r s , such as t h e Kariba, i s t h e thermal stratification of water during t h e hot season from November to March. Thus, a thermocline lies at about 25 metres below t h e s u r f a c e , and r a r e l y goes below 35 metres (Coche 1968; McLachlan 1970a). The establishment of such a t h e r mocline s e p a r a t e s t h e oxygenated epilimnion and t h e cooler deoxygenated hypolimnion. A s stratification o c c u r s , a chemocline simultaneously develops at t h e depth of maximum density change, coinciding with t h e thermocline and t h e oxycline. The natural fish population in t h e middle s t r e t c h of t h e Zambezi b e f o r e impoundment is described as a p r o p e r t y of t h e fauna r e f e r r i n g largely t o t h e main- stream where, since no "reservoir" swamps o c c u r (as on t h e u p p e r Zambezi), r i v e r flow dwindles almost to a t r i c k l e between sandy pools during t h e d r y season (Bell Cross 1972;Jackson 1986). From 156 species r e c o r d e d in t h e Zambezi r i v e r system, only 27 have been r e c o r d e d in t h e Gwembe valley b e f o r e i t w a s flooded by Lake Kariba (Balon 1978). With t h e formation of Lake Kariba, a n area of 5 250 km2 of s t a t i c water w a s suddenly imposed on t h e fish. A s t h e rising waters gradually moved to t h e floor of t h e Zambezi valley, t h e r e w a s m o r e s p a c e , more floods o c c u r r e d each y e a r , and many species of fish flourished. Balon quoted, f o r instance, t h a t in less than t w o y e a r s t h e native species Brachyalestes imberi, v e r y successful during t h e filling phase w a s entirely displaced by a n invader from t h e u p p e r Zambezi: Atestes t a t e r a l i s more adapted to t h e new conditions. Disper- sal of fish species according t o conditions existing in t h e five basins of t h e Lake I YEAR P i 32. Evolution of littoral and pelogic c a t c h e s in the Zimbabwean p a r t of Lake Kariba (Ramberg nt ad.,1987). Kariba i s dictated by a marked gradation from fluviatile to p a r t l y lacustrine, to lacustrine conditions, when passing from Basin 1(Mlibizi) through Basin 5 (Sanyati) (Begg 1974). Thus, t h e Cyprinidae family, r e p r e s e n t e d by Labeo congoro and Labeo u l t i v e l i s in t h e commercial c a t c h is dominant in r i v e r i n e basins (1 and 2) and in t h e vicinity of affluent r i v e r s while t h e Cichlidae family composed mainly of R l a pia mortimetf, ZUapcar rmdaLlC and' S s r g o c h r o m i s c o d r i n g t o n i h a s adapted to t h e lacustrine d i t i o n s . F o r example, t h e b t a l l i t t o r a l c a t c h o n t h e Zimbabwean side of Lake Kariba w a s at f t s highest in 1964 (Pigure 32), when 2 6 0 0 tons were landed, a f t e r which it declined b between 800-1000 b n s p e r y e a r (Ramberg e t al. 1987) caused mainly by t h e development of t h e initial high leaching of nutrients from t h e submerged land. A s a r e s u l t , a f t e r a s h a r p i n c r e a s e in prcxiuction i t went down d u e to t h e f a c t t h a t a l l t h e dominant l i t t o r a l fish s p e c i e s were p r e s e n t in t h e middle of t h e t r i b u t a r i e s of t h e Zambezi b e f o r e t h e l a k e w a s formed, and many of them are typical r i v e r i n e species. Concerning t h e pelagic fishes, L i m n o t h r i s s a mtodon w a s introduced from l a k e Tanganyika in 1968. This small sized clupeid sardine locally called "kapenta" propagated rapidly and commercial fishing s t a r t e d in 1974 on t h e Zimbabwean side. A t p r e s e n t , most of the c a t c h in Lake Kariba (some 8000 of 10000 tons in 1980), consists of t h e s a r d i n e L i r n n o f h r i s s a miodon. This is p a r t l y b e c a u s e t h i s fish i s short-lived with a r a p i d breeding potential (reaching c a t c h a b l e size 4-5 c m in length, a f t e r five to six months) and because i t i s situated at t h e end of a s h o r t food-chain (phytoplankton, zooplankton, L. miodon), i t is a b l e to respond to periods of t r a n s i e n t food abundance (Marshall ef a l . 1982). Thus, t h e tigerfish ( h y d r o c y n u s v i f t a f u s ) h a s switched from a d i e t of l i t t o r a l fish to t h e pelagic L. miodon. Prediction models on Lake Kariba's s a r d i n e yields are a b o v e r e a l c a t c h e s (Machena a n d F a i r 1986). Total annual c a t c h in Lake Kariba w a s a b o u t 24 000 tons in 1985, with 15000 tons f o r Zimbabwe r e p r e s e n t i n g 80 p e r c e n t of i t s production), and 9000 t o n s f o r Zambia (Magadza 1986; Ramberg e t ul. 1987). I t a p p e a r s t h a t fish production as a s o u r c e of protein f o r t h e population i s o n e of t h e main t a r g e t s of r i p a r i a n countries, and especially f o r Zimbabwe (Kenmuir 1982). Nevertheless, there are limihtions on fish production: (a) t h e f e e b l e primary production, d u e to small input from t h e Z m b e z i ; (b) r a p i d t u r n o v e r (less than f o u r y e a r s ) of t h e water in t h e r e s e n o i r which p r e v e n t s accumulation of energy; (c) thermal stratification hindering n u t r i e n t exchange within w a t e r l a y e r s (Mtada 1987); (d) l a r g e drawdowns o u t of season which limit fish spawn. Another f e a t u r e to b e t a k e n into account i s t h e significance of t r i b u t a r i e s in fish yields. Owing t o / l U T R l l N 1 LOAD 0 0 0 _ + -........ _ _ _ _ .-- G rib,,: ar ......,~ ,.r.rl / _ _ -_- _ _ - - _.-t,!m-l,F: I...@, F i i e 33. Evolution of Lake Kariba in t e r m s of ecological v a r i a b l e s (Balun, 1978). t h e i r n u t r i e n t r i c h n e s s compared to t h e Zambezi, t h e y sustain a l a r g e p r o p o r t i o n of t h e l a k e ' s primary production. Hence, n e a r l y 30000 t o n s of fish w e r e c a u g h t between 1976 and 1981, of which some 80 p e r c e n t was t a k e n from t h e Sanyati basin drained by one of t h e main secondary t r i b u t a r i e s of t h e K a r i b a l a k e (Kennmuir 1984). The evolution of t h e fish population i s similar to t h a t of most African manmade l a k e s showing a transition in time of r i v e r i n e t y p e of fish to lacustrinea d a p t e d cichlids, b u t also shows a s p e c i e s cline from o n e end of t h e l a k e (Mlibizi) to t h e o t h e r (Sanyati). This confirms Rzoska's statement (Rzoska 1966) t h a t t h e successive c h a n g e s in a newly c r e a t e d l a k e o c c u r o v e r a period of t h e o r d e r of t e n to twenty y e a r s . Figure 33 summarizes t h e evolution of Lake Kariba in t e r m s of ecological variables. The new l a k e underwent t h e e u t r o p h i c p h a s e a f t e r which i t s h b i l i z e d i n t o t h e oligotrophic phase, and will p r o b a b l y r e t u r n to a shte of eutrophy u n d e r additional man-made influenaes in t h e f u t u r e . SCALE 1 3 5 3 3 0 i o n o r o r I - Farrst KEY - Arras Communal Lana. Oamr ZAMBIA ZIMBABHE 1 O l b m ~ n m t I w p m - 0 w t n Ioatm of fahlnt ump m o w hDrr kdcatlon of W l l l l . d q c w 4 O n e pm rcscne ... Rob.bk I hundrm pm r t v n c r sp-a -I 7 nune Lh.Fn Plan area h ~ oft urue fly g m b n l o n p r to endcarton ompr'P 1 L w m o n 01 t w m l la(nI8t~r~ Figure 34. A . T h e Sebungwe r e g i o n a n d land-use (Taylor, 198%); B. Detailed map of vicinity d i s t r i c t s of L a k e K a r i b a a n d land-use (Magadza, 1986). on 2.10. Other U r n of the h k e W b m Environs The surroundings of t h e Zimbabwean p a r t of Lake Kariba belong t o t h e Sebungwe region, a n area of about 40 000 km2 constituting 10 p e r c e n t of Zimbabwe (Figure 34). Approximately 15000 km2 in t h e north of t h e region i s infested with t h e tsetse fly. Low rainfall, unsuitable soils and marked slopes make this region a marginal agricultural land (Taylor 1982). The fly f r o n t is demarcated by t h e n o r t h e r n Sebungwe game fence. The region is divided between game r e s e r v e s , agricultural, and p a s t u r e areas (Figure 34). Although this region i s still sparsely populated, man's influence o v e r t h e p a s t hundred y e a r s h a s been considerable. The spectacular r u r a l population change in t h e sixties w a s t h e r e s u l t of t h e resettlement of t h e Tonga population, who initially lived in t h e Gwende valley, p r i o r to t h e filling of t h e Kariba in t h e southern Sebungwe (Figure 35). Rural development and wildlife conservation entail cohabitation problems due to t h e i r different requirements. This conflict i s sharpened by t h e f a c t t h a t Zimbabwe e a r n s conside r a b l e foreign c u r r e n c y f r o m t h e tourist industry. Lake Kariba i s one of t h e major a t t r a c t i o n s and nowadays t h e r e are l a r g e investments in hotel accomodation and o t h e r r e l a t e d tourist facilities (Magadza 1986). The p r e s e n t population of t h e Kariba town i s 13000. The majority of t h e employed a r e engaged in natural r e s o u r c e s and wildlife r e l a t e d activities, such as fisheries, hunting, tourism, and crocodile farming. POPULATION INCREASE National land No increase 0-20% 40-60% 60-80% 1900 I I I I 1920 1940 1960 1980 Year Figure 35.Rural population change in the Sebungwe region (Taylor, 1982). 3. Cahora Bassa Impoundment 3.1. Historical Aspects The idea of constructing a dam at Cahora Bassa w a s suggested a hundred y e a r s ago, although f i r s t d i r e c t measures were t a k e n to implement t h e idea not e a r l i e r t h a n 1956. The s i t e of t h e dam, t h r e e hundred kilometres from t h e mouth of t h e r i v e r i s called "Kebra-Bassa", meaning "where t h e work stops" by slaves who came o v e r 450 y e w s a g o with t h e Portuguese expeditions, where they were confronted with falls a n d r a p i d s t h a t stopped them in t h e i r upstream progression (Gaster 1974). Construction of t h e second dam in t h e middle Zambezi commenced in t h e C a h o m Bassa Gorge in 1969. The resulting l a k e began to fill on December 5, 1974. The impoundment of Cahora Bassa l a k e began six months b e f o r e t h e independence of Mozambique in 1975. Political arguments developed in P o r t u g u e s e publications in o r d e r to point o u t t h e benefits t h a t t h e region would r e c e i v e from t h e l a r g e impoundment, mainly as a driving f o r c e behind economic development taking into account t h e r i c h n e s s of t h e tete region in coal, iron, chromium, nickel, manganese, c o p p e r and aluminium (Hall and Davies 1974; Davies et erl. 1975). A t independence, t h e v a s t sums of foreign c a p i t a l invested in t h e p r o j e c t were safeguarded by a P o r tuguese administrative company with t h e authority to o p e r a t e t h e dam, s e l l t h e power and pay outstanding financial obligations (Bolton 1986). Thus, t h e sharing of t h e Cahora Bassa dam between Portugal and Mozambique is 82 and 18 p e r c e n t , respectively. On August 2 , 1984, a n agreement w a s signed by Portugal, Mozambique and South Africa stipulating t h a t two-thirds of t h e hydroelectricity produced at Cahora Bassa should b e sold t o South Africa. In f a c t , since October 1983, almost no e n e r g y h a s been produced d u e t o sabbotage of t h e o v e r h e a d transmission lines leading from t h e dam to t h e only major consumer of t h e Republic of South Africa. 3.2. Main Featurea of the Man-Made Lake of Cahora Bassa The t w o main r i v e r s flowing into t h e Cahom-Bassa r e s e r v o i r at Zumbo are t h e Zambezi and t h e Huangwa. The catchment area of t h e Zambezi r i v e r a b o v e Cahora Bassa l a k e consists of l o w hydrological subcatchments: (a) t h e Kariba catchment ( s e e C h a p t e r 3, Section 2). from which t h e releases from Kariba dam r a n g e between 26 and 97 km3 p e r y e a r , with a n a v e r a g e of 51.5 km3; t h i s r e p r e s e n t s almost 7 5 p e r c e n t of t h e total inflow into t h e C a h o m Bassa r e s e r v o i r ; (b) Kafue catchment ( s e e C h a p t e r 3, Section 4) with a mean annual d i s c h a r g e of 10.3 km3 ( m g e 2-30 km3); (c) Chongwe and Recomenche catchments along t h e north shore; and (d) Chewore catchment along t h e south s h o r e of t h e Zambezi r i v e r between t h e Kafue confluence and t h e Zumbo basin. Each of these catchments has an a r e a of 15000 km2. The o t h e r main r i v e r reaching t h e Cahora Bassa lake in Zumbo basin is t h e Huangwa r i v e r . It has a drainage basin of 147 500 km2 in Zambia. The average annual discharge is about 13 km3, but as t h e r i v e r is unregulated, floods peak rapidly. About 90 p e r cent of t h e flow into Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r is regulated (Kariba, Kafue river). Regarding t h e l a t e r a l inflows along t h e r e s e r v o i r s h o r e s , t h e total north s h o r e catchment is 16000 km2, while t h e south s h o r e i s 40 966 km2 (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). The Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r w a s formed with a 176-metre high wall and a n area of about 2700 km2, with a n average depth of 26 metres. The lake consists of seven basins (Figure 36). Its length and width are approximately 250 km and 38 km, respectively. Table 30 and Annexes I and I1 give t h e main features of t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r . 7MLe YO. Main c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e Cabora k s s a r e s e r v o i r (Jackson and Davies 1976). Cabora Bassa Feature Catchment Geographical position: longitude latitude Direction of main axis Direction of predominant wind Number of basins Height of wall Maximum depth Mean depth Maximum drawdown Maximum length G r e a t e s t width Total area at capacity Maximum floodgate discharge Power capacity p e r turbine Total power output of dam Actual filling time Impounded water m a s s Infestant aquatic macrophytes present in t h e system m m m m km km km2 m 3sec- 1 MW MW years m3 30°25'E-3Z044'E 15°29'S-26000'S W-E SE-NW 5 176 151 26 36 250 38 2 739 13600 430 3 870 -- 1.S. molesta 2. P. s t r a t t o t e s 3. AaoLla n t l o t t c a 4. E t c h h o r n t a c r a s s t p e s Figure 36.Cahora Bassa man-made lake (Bernacesk and Lopes, 1984). of 7.1010n3 is intended f o r t h e production of 2 150 MW from five t r i b u t a r i e s . Another f o u r are planned f o r f u t u r e installation bringThe impounded w a t e r ing a t o t a l p o t e n t i d power production of C a h o m Bassa to 3 870 Mw (Chapter 3,Sec- tion 3.4). 3.3. Hydrology The C a h o m Bassa l a k e l i e s e n t i r e l y in Mozambique, b u t t h e bulk of t h e 1000000 km2 d r a i n a g e basin l i e s in o t h e r countries. mainly Angola, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The r e s e r v o i r consists of s e v e n basins from upstream to downstream: t h e y are Zumbo, Messenguezi, Carinde, Mucanha, Mague, Chicoa and Garganta (Figu r e 36). S u r f a c e s of t h e s e basins as well as t h e catchment areas t h e y d r a i n are indicated in Table 31. Table 32. C a h o r a Bassa r e s e r v o i r basin s u r f a c e areas with waterlevel at 326000 a.s.1. a n d affluent catchment areas (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). North S h o r e catchment (km2> Basin surface (km2> South S h o r e catchment (km2) 3 598 Zumbo 330.5 25 215 639 86 Messenguezi 469 Carinde 82.6 9760 275 2 536 Mucanha 335.8 Mague 839.5 3 654 2 132 Chicoa 546.3 1657 333 Garganta 61.3 241 16 006 Total 40966 6 682 164 None of the 20 r i v e r s draining the total north s h o r e catchment into t h e reserv o i r i s perennial. The t o t a l south s h o r e catchment i s l a r g e r t h a n t h e n o r t h . Thirty-six r i v e r s e n t e r t h e l a k e including t w o perennials constituting 71.9 p e r c e n t of t h e south s h o r e d r a i n a g e basin. These are t h e Hunyani, with a d r a i n a g e basin of 23897 km 2 e n t e r i n g t h e Zumbo basin and Messenguezi with a catchment area of 5556 km2, which e n t e r s t h e l a k e in t h e Messenguezi basin. Table 32 gives t h e rnorphometry of t h e C a h o m Bassa basins. Trrble 32. Morphometry of the Cahora Bassa basins (Bernacsek a n d Lopes 1984). Basins Zumbo Messenguezi Carinde Mucanha Mague Chicoa Garganta Extreme length km Mean b r e a d t h krn Surface km2 Catchment basin area 57.5 38.4 17.6 39.5 71.5 55.7 24.5 5.75 12.21 4.69 8.50 11.74 9.81 2.50 330.5 469.0 82.6 335.8 839.5 546.3 61.3 87.18 22.17 4.37 20.39 7.37 6.94 9.36 Concerning inflows into t h e C a h o m Bassa lake, t h r e e main p a r a m e t e r s must b e t a k e n into account: inflow of t h e t w o main t r i b u t a r i e s (Zambezi a n d Huangwa r i v e r s ) , inflow of l a t e r a l r i v e r s , a n d precipitation o v e r t h e r e s e r v o i r area. Rainfall in t h e vicinity of t h e r e s e r v o i r area h a s been calculated as 650 mm p e r y e a r a n d almost all rainfall o c c u r s between November a n d March. Evaporation f r o m t h e l a k e s u r f a c e h a s a bimodal distribution peaking in April, a n d again m o r e strongly in October. I t h a s been estimated at 4.73 km3/year (Bernacsek a n d Lopes 1984). Inflows f o r l a t e r a l affluents are almost unknown but, taking into a c c o u n t t h e small t o t a l catchment area (only 6.7 p e r c e n t of t h e total Cahora Bassa d r a i n a g e basin) t h e i r contribution i s minor. Assuming a runoff coefficient of 0.20,a n d t h e annual rainfall o v e r t h e region, t h e t o t a l l a t e r a l inflow volume affluents i s estimated at 7.41 km3/year. Inflow at Zumbo basin is t h e sum of flows of t h e t w o main inflow s t r e a m s , t h e Zambezi a n d Huangwa r i v e r s (Figure 37). Due to t h e f a c t t h a t inflow in Cahora Bassa i s 90 p e r c e n t r e g u l a t e d (Kariba, Kafue), t h e flood p a t t e r n h a s changed s i n c e t h e s e impoundments. he pro-Karlba r i v e r showed a r e g u l a r annual cycle, usually peaking in F e b r u a r y or March (5000-20000 rn3/s) a n d falling in October-November to 200-800 rn3/s. The Kariba dam h a s r e s u l t e d in a n i n c r e a s e in d r y season flows and a delay in t h e timing of floods during t h e w e t season. Thus, t h e flood magnitude i s d e c r e a s e d by a n a v e r a g e of 24 p e r c e n t during t h e 1970-80 period, while b e f o r e the Kariba dam was built, t h e a v e r a g e r a t i o between t h e max- imum a n d minimum flow of t h e Zambezi at Cahora Bassa Gorge was roughly 40:l. Figure 37. Total monthly inflow in Zumba basin of Cahora Bassa l a k e (Bernacsek a n d Lopes, 19B4). 3.4. Rememoir Operation The main p u r p o s e of t h e C a h o r a Bassa r e s e r v o i r i s e n e r g y power generation; dam o p e r a t i o n s e e k s to maximize e l e c t r i c i t y generation. The dam possesses eight r e c t a n g u l a r flood g a t e s and five hydraulic t u r b i n e - a l t e r n a t o r s (Annex 11). The t o t a l d i s c h a r g e capacity of t h e Cahora Bassa i s a b o u t 1 6 2 5 0 m3/s. Considering t h e morphology of t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r and i t s inflows a n d outflows, t h e l a k e h a s a v e r y high o u t p u t p e r unit r e s e r v o i r area (1.4 h!w/km2) compared to t h e K a r i b a (0.3 Idw/km2). The s t o r a g e r a t i o , which is t h e total r e s e r v o i r c a p a c i t y divided by t h e mean annual inflow is 0.86 f o r t h e Cahora Bassa while i t i s 3.5 f o r Kariba. R o m t h e point of view of e l e c t r i c i t y generation, dam o p e r a t i n g pro- c e d u r e s s e e k to maintain a r a t h e r constant water level of t h e l a k e , a n d depend on t h e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e dam (Figure 38): t h e water level cannot e x c e e d 330.5 m.a.s.1. a n d cannot d r o p below 295 m.a.s.1. This gives a maximum working w a t e r level r a n g e of 35.5 metres. Nevertheless, t h e water level should remain as close to the maximum permissible level as possible in o r d e r to maximize t h e h e a d to t h e turbines. However, b e c a u s e of t h e r e s e r v o i r c a p a c i t y there i s n o a l t e r n a t i v e I b C 53 - - -700 00-- 20700 1 :1 - &mrnX/set OISCH. 17.00 RY S L A S O U R I V L I LCVCL A1 I.MO m Iw D l S C H -10.00 ------ D l V SCASDU l l V U LCVCL A 1 ------ -! 1 Figure 38. Morphometric c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of Cahora Bassa dam (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). o t h e r than to release water from t h e r e s e r v o i r before each rainy season t o accomodate. and temporarily s t o r e , incoming flood waters which are then released during t h e following d r y season. This entails important drawdowns as will be shown below (Chapter 111, Section 3.5). Since t h e constrbction of t h e Cahora Bassa dam in 1974. only two y e a r s (1980 and Lo a lesser e x t e n t 1979) c a n b e considered to have been "normal" hydrologically and operationally. A combination of natural (hydrological) and socio- political events have led to e r r a t i c behaviour. Furthermore, almost no electricity has been produced at t h e Cahora Bassa power plant since October 1983 due to sabbotage of t h e transmission lines. The effect on t h e flow of t h e Lower Zambezi down- stream from t h e Cahora Bassa dam is important (Figure 39). Figure 39. Monthly maximum and minimum of t h e Zambezi at Tete below Cahora Bassa impoundment (Bolton 1986). After 1974,when t h e Impoundment w a s completed, t h e r i v e r levels became f a r more e r r a t i c and unseasonal. This can b e a t t r i b u t e d to t h e poor hydrological operation of Cahora Bassa dam. Even If such problems may b e of a "relatively s h o r t term" nature, t h e i r effects f r o m t h e ecological point of view are highly disruptlve. As a n example of "normal management", t h e p a t t e r n of annual fluctuation in water level, water gain and loss are illustrated in Figure 40. Mainstream inflows peak in March. Then floodgate discharge o c c u r s from May to July, but t h e peak is in December-January. Turbine discharges should b e virtually constant throughout t h e y e a r and are roughly comparable to floodgate releases. Consequently, t h e r e s e r v o i r level peaks in June and then falls to a mlnlmum dmwdown in January. Water level, water gain and lose data f o r the period 1975-1982 are given in Annex 11, Sectlons 3.1-3.4. . ll m . I000 9W a 00 . 100 . hW ? C m . 'w YU FER MAR LPR M Y UN lliL WG SEP OCT WOV DEC 5 . LOO . 1.00 - - 0 00 u0)lrn ?m 40. Mean monthly water level, water gains a n d water losses from Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r , a v e r a g e s f o r 1979 and 1980 (Bernacsek a n d Lopes, 1984). 3.5. Water Level Fluctuations R e s e r v o i r s with a high output p e r unit r e s e r v o i r area like t h e Cahora Bassa maximize power output f o r a given level of environmental disruption, but with important consequences on r e s e r v o i r s t o r a g e r a t i o and drawdown. Thus, t h e maximum drawdown in normal o p e r a t i o n i s 34 m e t r e s which entails a l e s s s t a b l e aquatic environment and a l s o poses more difficulties f o r shoreline habitation, f i s h e r i e s a n d navigation (Bolton 1986). F o r water level at t h e maximum permissible level of 330.50 m e t r e s a b o v e sea-level, t h e Cahora Bassa l a k e h a s a n area of 3014 km2. For t h e minimum operational water level, which is 295.0 m.a.s.1, t h e l a k e h a s a n area of 838 km2. Thus, a c t u a l drawdown of 34 m e t r e s entails tremendous variations in t h e area of Lake water s u r f a c e . Figure 41 gives t h e relationship between l a k e waterlevel and surface area and t h e proof. These c u r v e s h a v e been plotted from d a t a given in Annex 11, Section 4. Due to t h e f a c t t h a t t h e predictability of flood timing and size i s p o o r , drawdowns must b e of sufficiently high magnitude to MEAN DEPTH ( m l 5 0 10 D A M CREST 25 20 15 30 35 LO ~krn'r 50 55 L5 60 70 65 331.00m a.s. 1.3 fl I ' . l . - 1,000 5 00 . A 1 . ' 1,500 a . l . ' " 2,000 l A a . 2,500 . . . 3, WO SURFACE AREA ( krny I Fi.an 41. Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r s u r f a c e a r e a a t water levels 295.00 to 331.000 m.a.s.1. (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). incorporate a significant safety margin. They must allow sufficient s t o r a g e capacity for incoming floods as well as r e t a i n sufficient water in o r d e r to maximize hydropower production. The theoretical design for water level fluctuations for t h e Cahora Bassa i s given in Table 33. W L e 33. Maximum permissible water level at t h e end of each month on t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). Month Maximum Month Maximum water level m.a.s.1. July August September October November December 324.7 323.4 322 320.6 319.1 317.6 water level m.a.s.1. January February March April May June 316 321 326 326 326 326 Theoretically, t h e water level should fluctuate around a median of 321 m.a.s.1. within a ten-metre r a n g e , which is significantly higher than t h e median of 312.75 m.a.s.1. between dead s t o r a g e (295 m.a.s.1.) and maximum permissible level (330.5 m.a.s.1.). A 10-metre fluctuation i s excessive from a f i s h e r y p e r s p e c t i v e (Chapter 111, Section 3.9). I t i s clear t h a t flood prediction must include close and continual liaison with t h e power plant managers and hydrologists of t h e Kariba, Kafue and Itezhi-Tezhi dams, permitting t h e reshaping of t h e design c u r v e . It a p p e a r s t h a t it would b e possible t o r e d u c e t h e magnitude of annual fluctuations t o 3 o r 4 metres and r a i s e t h e median level to 324 m.a.s.1. (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). Variations in r e s e r v o i r water level from 1975-1982 are plotted in Figure 42. The observed changes in water level are f a r from t h e design operation c u r v e and show t h e seasonal floods as well as d r a s t i c drawdowns. 1:: x 128 T . '>tx 1 7 . OC 1 1 7 x 11c m OC I I b OC 18' 0 0 112 OC 11C OC 1CtOS 106 ffi i c , a? rczm l'x DO rrtm 29630 Figure 42. Variations of water level in Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). 3.6. Water Chemistry Physim-chemical assessments of t h e Zambezi r i v e r p r i o r to t h e c l o s u r e of t h e Cahora Bassa dam (Hall 8t d. 1977) showed t h a t t h e water quality of t h e Zambezi r i v e r entering Mozambique was mainly determined by outflows of t h e Kariba and t h e Kafue dams. Since t h e c l o s u r e of t h e dam, i t h a s been noticed t h a t t h e r e i s a substantial i n c r e a s e in dissolved substances between Kariba dam and t h e Zumbo basin f o r during t h e passage of water through t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r , t h e r e i s a n i n c r e a s e by a f a c t o r of 1.24 f o r t o t a l dissolved solids (97.47 t o 120.67 mg/l) and of 1.03 f o r conductivity (114 to 117 j6). This i n c r e a s e in conductivity i s small %ble 34. Main physico-chemical c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e Cahora Bassa lake (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). Parameter Unit Mean Ranee Cations Na Ca Anions C1 HCO, SiO, Organf c m a t t e r Dissolved solids Dissolved gases mg/l mg/l pH units Turbidity Species Jackson turbidity unit Mean concentration (mg/l) Milliequivalent Cations: Calcium Sodium Magnesium 16.08 6.08 4.16 0.401 0.264 0.171 Totals 26.32 0.836 Anions: Bicarbonate Chloride Sulphate 70.54 8.66 6.69 0.578 0.244 0.070 Totals 85.89 0.892 oompnred to Ule value obtained in Kariba (1.36) (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). Table 34 gives t h e main physim-chemical c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e Cahora Bassa reservoir. W b l e 35. Average values (and s t a n d a r d deviation) of middle a n d lower Zambezi (Hal1 #t d . 1977). Parameters Units Huangwa Water temperature pH i is solved oxygen Transparenay Total alkalinity Chloride Calcium hardness Total hardness Colour Conductivity Ammonia Nitrites Nitrates Orthophosphates Silica Sulphates Suspended solids Na K Ca Mg Fe Mn Stations Shire Hunyani Messenguezi mg 1;' ~ 0 , mg 1- SiO, mg I-' SO, On t h e o t h e r hand, t h e influence of t h e main t r i b u t a r i e s o n t h e w a t e r quality of t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r i s q u i t e important, mainly in t h e vicinity of t h e i r confluence. Their importance i s enhanced d u e to t h e high concentration of dissolved matter (Table 35). The influence of t h e S h i r e o n t h e w a t e r quality of t h e Zambezi r i v e r downs t r e a m Cahora Bassa dam h a s b e e n discussed by Hall et al. (1977). Due to t h e s h o r t r e s i d e n c e time of w a t e r in t h e C a h o r a Bassa r e s e r v o i r (0.61 y e a r ) , t h e e f f e c t of l a t e n t h e a t of impounded w a t e r mass in t h e r e s e r v o i r d o e s not e x e r t as g r e a t a n e f f e c t as in t h e Kariba r e s e r v o i r , which h a s a longer r e s i d e n c e time (4.0 y e a r s ) . Thus, Bernacsek a n d Lopes (1984) consider t h r e e p h a s e s of thermal evolution of impounded w a t e r in t h e C a h o r a Bassa r e s e r v o i r : (a) filling p h a s e - t h e peak inflow at Zumbo basin t a k e s p l a c e in March-April during which time almost 24.26 km3 ( r e p r e s e n t i n g 43.5% of t h e t o t a l r e s e r v o i r volume) e n t e r t h e r e s e r v o i r . This incoming m a s s of relatively warm w a t e r (25°C from t h e Kariba metaliminion) would r e ~ h c et h e r e s i d e n t water mass of the f o u r western basins (from Zumbo to Mucanha). High wind velocittes mainly from the s o u t h e a s t in March tend to k e e p t h e new w a t e r mass well mixed, Which makes s t r a t i f i c a t i o n in t h e s e shallow basins difficult; (b) cooling p h a s e - by t h e middle of t h e y e a r , the a i r t e m p e r a t u r e and water inflow r ~ c minima. h I n c r e a s e d d i s c h a r g e through Cahora Bassa dam from May to July (22.15 km3 or 39.7% of t h e t o t a l r e s e r v o i r volume at 326.00 m.a.s.1.) would draw t h e cooled and well mixed mass of water i n t o t h e e a s t e r n basins; (c) heating p h a s e - a i r temperatures reach t h e i r maximum in t h e l a t e r months of t h e y e a r resulting in heating of t h e s u r f a c e l a y e r of t h e r e s e r v o i r . Wind may p r e v e n t t h e development of s e v e r e stratification, and tend to i n c r e a s e t h e d e p t h of t h e heated u p p e r l a y e r t h r o u g h mixing. In t h e d e e p e r e a s t e r n basins, s t r a t i f i c a t i o n should b e b e t t e r developed. Another c h a r a c t e r i s t i c of t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r i s t h e intense olive g r e e n c o l o u r of t h e water (Gliwicz 1982) t h a t p e r s i s t s t h r o u g h t h e y e a r reducing light p e n e t r a t i o n dramatically and preventing growth of phytoplankton. Regarding t h e dissolved gases, Bond et arl. (1978) d e t e c t e d oxyclines in t h e latter p a r t of t h e y e a r in e a s t e r n basins which c o r r e s p o n d s to t h e thermal s t r a t i f i c a t i o n . Meanwhile, the western basins d o not develop oxyclines d u e to the well oxygenated Zambezi inflow and wind-induced mixing. In order to deduce water quality in t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r , it a p p e a r s t h a t the s h o r t r e s i d e n c e time of t h e water e n t a i l s a weaker influence of t h e impoundment on t h e physico-chemical evolution t h a n in t h e case of t h e Kariba, f o r instance. 3.7. Sediment Deposition N o quantitative estimate of t h e rate of sediment accumulation in t h e C a h o r a Bassa h a s been published. However, some estimates h a v e been published including o n e r e p o r t e d by Bolton (1984). Regarding t h e input of sediment to t h e r e s e r v o i r , a l a r g e p a r t of t h e catchment area of t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r c a n b e neglected: t h e K a r i b a dam r e g u l a t e s almost 65%of t h e d r a i n a g e basin t r a p p i n g a l l i t s incoming sediment, while t h e Kafue dam r e g u l a t e s a f u r t h e r 15 p e r c e n t of t h e e n t i r e basin of the C a h o r a Bassa lake. T h r e e d i f f e r e n t subcatchments should b e considered t o have a n impact o n t h e sediment input in t h e lake: (a) t h e basins of t r i b u t a r i e s in Zimbabwe (42.10'km2), (b) t h e basins of minor t r i b u t a r i e s in Zambia a n d Mozam- bique (35.103km2), a n d ( c ) t h e Huangwa basin (148.103km2). The Huangwa basin in Zambia i s t h e principal source of sediment to t h e C a h o r a Bassa. Erosion rates h a v e been a c c e l e r a t e d by c h a n g e s in land u s e s i n c e t h e t u r n of t h e c e n t u r y . It i s r e p o r t e d t h a t sediment concentration in t h e r i v e r r a r e l y falls below 1 0 0 0 mg/l. Thus, i t i s believed t h a t sediment from t h e Huangwa r i v e r to t h e C a h o r a Bassa r a n g e s between 15 and 1 5 0 . 1 0 ~t / y e a r . Concerning t h e basins of minor t r i b u t a r i e s in Zambia a n d Mozambique, Bolton (1984) suggests t h a t sediment is of t h e o r d e r of 4 -xr+ rbG Ctaboro Basso . Karlba \ l k o ~ n ae b a s ~ nof Lake aboro Bassa In Zimbabwe ~ c n r ~ cruslon a l hazard based an Stocking ond Elwell L'my low lo lav - -- - - Ele~l~an (rn oms1 I -. - --- - - - - - - - - r Normal malrnum - - - -owollng - -- -level - - L-326 - m- oms - - l- kcanpadze Barn Lhstame lmm dom (bnI Figure 43. Potential erosion hazard in W o n Bassa tributary basins in Zimbabwe and longitudinal profile of C a h o m Bassa r e s e r v o i r (Bolton, 1984). 200 t/km2, and sediment input rate f r o m these t r i b u t a r i e s into t h e Cahora Bassa should r a n g e between 3 and 3 0 . 1 0 ~t/year. Finally, taking into account t h e r e s u l t s of Stocking and Elwell (1973), i t a p p e a r s t h a t t h e Cahora Bassa's t r i b u t a r i e s in Zimbabwe (Figure 43) should provide total sediment discharge which ranges between 2 and 2 0 . 1 0 ~t/year. Making t h e same assumptions f o r t h e consolidation of deposits as for t h e Kariba, t h e loss of s t o r a g e capacity lies in t h e range of 20 and 2 0 0 . 1 0 ~t / y e a r . The sediment input rate to t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r a p p e a r s to b e a f a c t o r t h r e e times g r e a t e r than t h a t of Lake Kariba. I t s s t o r a g e capacity i s considerably smaller. Considering t h e design of t h e Cahora Bassa p r o j e c t a minimum drawdown level of t h e r e s e r v o i r i s taken to b e 295 m.a.s.l., and t h e "dead" s t o r a g e below this level i s almost 12.5.10 9 m 3. This would b e filled in a period of 60-600 y e a r s if all sediment would b e deposited in t h e dead s t o r a g e , although due to t h e p a r t i c u l a r s h a p e of t h e Cahora Bassa Lake (Figure 43). a significant proportion of t h e incoming sediment will accumulate within t h e "line" s t o r a g e of t h e r e s e r v o i r . The bulk of t h e incoming sediment passes through a broad shallow basin (Mucangadze basin) which is separated from t h e d e e p e r parts by a n a r r o w r e a c h constricted by islands. Thus, sediment deposit in the Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r should affect i t s operation much sooner than expected. 3.8. Ecological Aspects The Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r has, as mentioned above, a high output p e r unit r e s e r v o i r area for i t i s a kind of a "riverine" r e s e r v o i r as compared t o a relatively s t a b l e 'lacustrine" one such as t h e Kariba. The r i v e r i n e influence i s more accentuated within t h e lake, especially in t h e western basins. Furthermore, its s h o r t water m a s s t u r n o v e r cannot lead to lacustrine conditions e x c e p t in t h e e a s t e r n basins. During t h e filling phase of t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r between December 1974 and March 1975, downstream flow of t h e Zambezi r i v e r h a s been reduced from a n a v e r a g e discharge of 3000 to 60 m3/sec (Davies 1975a.b). This flow s h o r t a g e certainly h a s had ecological consequences t h a t persisted beyond t h e only filling period. On t h e o t h e r hand, t h e duration of t h e initial "productive phase" h a s been s h o r t e r than t h e Kariba, certainly due to a more r a p i d lake water exchange (Bond e t crl. 1978). So no special massive release of minerals from drowned t e r r e s t r i a l habitat have taken place during t h e f i r s t y e a r of t h e life of t h e Cahora Bassa. The brief duration of maximum flooding probably did not allow sufficient time f o r decomposition of plant matter to o c c u r . Thus, expected aquatic macrophyte infestation (Davies e t crl. 1975) as seen in t h e case of t h e Kariba did not o c c u r . Only 0.32 p e r c e n t of t h e e n t i r e r e s e r v o i r s u r f a c e w a s covered with water hyacinth ( E t c h h o m i a c r a s s i p e s ) . I t seems t h a t t h e small r e l e a s e of minerals from flooded t e r r e s t r i a l environments, wind-wave action as well as imporh n t drawdown have hindered a l a r g e infestation of t h e lake s u r f a c e with aquatic m c r o p h y t e s (Bond a n d R o b e r t s 1978). A marked hydrological heterogeneity along t h e east-west and t h e north-south a x e s of t h e Cahora Bassa l a k e i s a p p a r e n t . The east-west heterogeneity c o n c e r n s transition from r i v e r i n e t o lacustrine environmental conditions within subbasins, while t h e north-south heterogeneity i s d u e to t h e prevailing wind (NWSE and N-S, respectively, 35 and 20% of f r e q u e n c y ) causing d i f f e r e n c e s in t e m p e r a t u r e and oxygenation within t h e r e s e r v o i r . 3.9. Fish Population A total of 58 fish s p e c i e s was recognized from t h e middle Zambezi b e f o r e t h e c l o s u r e of t h e C a h o r a Bassa. Among them almost 4 3 p e r c e n t , o r , n e a r l y half of t h e total number consisted of two s p e c i e s of t h e family Charicidae, t h e small carnivorous Alestes i m b e d and t h e piscivorous Hydrocynus v i t t a t i s (Jackson and R o g e r s 1976). The c l o s u r e of Cahora Bassa dam in December coincided with t h e seasonal spawning migration up inflowing r i v e r s , of many cyprinid, c h a r a c i d , silur o i d a n d o t h e r non-cichlid fish species, a n d consequently a v e r y high survival of t h e newly spawned juveniles a c c u s e d in t h e s e newly flooded area w h e r e t h e y could find b e t t e r p r o t e c t i o n from p r e d a t o r s and more abundant food t h a n in t h e old confined r i v e r (Jackson and Davies 1976). Nowadays 33 s p e c i e s of fish h a v e been recognized in t h e C a h o r a Bassa r e s e r v o i r , r e p r e s e n t i n g many zoological levels (25 g e n e r a and 13 families) (Bernacsek a n d Lopes 1984). Among t h e s e families Charac i d a e are still well r e p r e s e n t e d with Hydrocynus v i t t a t u s ( t i g e r fish) and Alestes species. From t h e Dishtichodotridae family, Distthodus scheuga i s most common. In t h e Chicoa basin f o r instance it i s t h e dominant consumer of primary production a n d forms a major p r o p o r t i o n of t h e gillnet c a t c h . Among t h e Cyprinidae family, f o u r s p e c i e s of Labeo e x i s t in t h e C a h o r a Bassa basin. They are a common component of commercial c a t c h , especially in t h e western basins. Concerning t h e Clupeidae family, L i m n o t h d s s a mtodon s p e c i e s introduced from Lake Tanganiika to t h e Kariba is now well established in t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r . I t i s assumed t h a t t h e introduction w a s natural. P r i o r to t h e impoundment at Cahora Bassa t h e r e w e r e speculations as t o w h e t h e r or not L i m n o t h d s s a was c a p a b l e of establishing itself by travelling down t h e Zambezi r i v e r from t h e Kariba (210 km) (Kenmuir 1975; Jackson a n d Davies 1976). Thus Ltmnothrtssa is now well established at least in t h e e a s t e r n l a c u s t r i n e basins of t h e Cahora Bassa (Bernacsek and Lopes 1984). The b a s i c i n f r a s t r u c t u r e of commercial f i s h e r i e s on t h e Cahora Bassa i s v e r y limited in comparison to o t h e r major African r e s e r v o i r s . This i s d u e mainly to t w o f a c t o r s : (a) an extended p e r i o d of w a r f a r e in t h e a r e a , and (b) o t h e r government p r i o r i t i e s (marine fisheries). Nevertheless, a t o t a l yield of 4 3 4 3 tons of t h e fish h a s been estimated f o r Cahora Bassa in 1982, while a t o t a l annual yield of s a r d i n e s could b e approximately 6 0 0 0 tons (Bernacsek a n d Lopes 1984). It i s a l s o estimated t h a t t h e potential yield f o r Cahora Bassa could b e 6 700 tons of t a b l e fish and 8 0 0 0 tons of s a r d i n e s p e r y e a r . These estimates seem to b e close to calculations based on t h e Morpho Edaphic Index (MEI) developed f o r o t h e r man-made l a k e s in Africa (Figure 44). This index estimates a n annual yield from water conductivity of t h e r e s e r v o i r a n d i t s mean d e p t h according to t h e following equation: yield = 23.3956 M E I O . ' ~ ~ ~e x p r e s s e d in kg/ha/year; ME1 = conductivity in p.5 divided by m e a n d e p t h (metres). 'OoO 1 t B R E S I I O N EQUATIONS RESERVOIRS : 23.1956 l H E l o'A"'l f 1 I0 100 - 1 toot UORPHO EDAPHIC INDEX Figure 44. Relationship between morpho-edaphic index (MEI) a n d annual fish yield f o r African r e s e r v o i r s (Bernacsek a n d Lopes, 1984). The conductivity of C a h o r a Bassa is 117 p.5 and t h e mean d e p t h i s 20.92 m at r e f e r e n c e level 326 m.a.s.1. This gives a n ME1 of 5.59. The yield calculated according to t h i s formula i s 48.32 kg/ha/year equivalent to a n annual c a t c h of 1 2 8 7 7 tons. This is quite in a c c o r d a n c e with estimates from Bernacsek and Lopes (1984). The ME1 Index i s a n interesting tool f o r generating estimates of r e s e r v o i r yields a n d total c a t c h at d i f f e r e n t water levels. Figure 45 gives t h e relationship between water level and t o t a l annual c a t c h in Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r . I t c a n b e noticed t h a t within t h e r a n g e of 310.0-330.5 m.a.s.l., t h e relationship i s approximately linear. An i n c r e a s e in m e a n water level from, f o r instance, 322 to 325 m would theoretically i n c r e a s e t h e c a t c h by 709 tons. Thus, i t i s clear t h a t from t h e f i s h e r y p e r s p e c t i v e , t h e design water level fluctuations of o v e r 10 metres is unacceptable. The b e s t i n t e r e s t s of t h e f i s h e r i e s are s e r v e d by t h e highest possible mean o p e r a t i n g level 324 m e t r e s a.s.1. with a small annual fluctuation (3 o r 4 metres). / / ---tam eLAO tm -- ----_-____-LlWbGC LtVLL ----.-14m 1 0 . 0 0 m r &1 - I . - a _ . . . - . . - - 11,000 u.ooa PREDlClED TOTAL CATCH l t o n s l y r 1 Y - . . . I - - - I&WO - - - - . I ~ . " . 1L.000 Figure 45. Relationship between water level of C a h o m Bassa l a k e and total potential annual c a t c h p r e d i c t e d by ME1 equation f o r African r e s e r v o i r s (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). 3-10.Other Purposes The Cahora Bassa p r o j e c t ' s potential to transform t h e region remains high, a n d o n c e t h e unique short-term political and economic situation improves, benefits could b e substantial (Bolton 1984). As y e t , however, t h e far-reaching multiple purp o s e benefits (i .e. e n e r g y power, mining, irrigation, tourism) envisaged by t h e p l a n n e r s h a v e not materialized. Even concerning t h e main p u r p o s e of t h e Cahora Bassa impoundment, e l e c t r i c a l power generation, t h e o u t p u t is v e r y small. P r a c t i cally t h e only p r e s e n t u s e is t h e a r t i s a n a l fishery. Nevertheless, if t h e estimate of fish yield i s high, t h e real h a r v e s t i s f a r from t h e existing potential. 4. Impoundments on the Kafue River 4.1. Historical Aspects The Republic of Zambia i s o n e of t h e most industrialized countries of t h e Zambezi drainage basin. Copper mining dominates t h e economy of Zambia and adequate supplies of low-cost electricity are vital t o t h e country, of which t h e c o p p e r industry is a n extensive user. Copper mines are located mainly in t h e u p p e r p a r t of t h e Kafue drainage basin. Until 1972, electricity produced in Zambia came from t h e Victoria Falls power plant and from t h e Kariba dam from which hydropower output w a s s h a r e d with Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe). Thus, Zambia's requirements of power were m e t from s o u r c e s outside t h e country s h a r e d with o t h e r s . A s a consequence of reducing i t s supplies caused by conflicting interests, Zambia s t a r t e d to plan f o r self-sufficiency. The Kafue r i v e r i s in f a c t a v e r y a t t r a c t i v e system from t h e energy power production point of view. A s t h e r i v e r belongs entirely to t h e Republic of Zambia, i t s drainage basin includes t h e c o p p e r belt area and t h e r e is a rapid d r o p of t h e r i v e r in t h e gorge t o give a good impoundment zone, Zambia decided t o construct a power plant on t h e Kafue Gorge. The f i r s t dam was c o m pleted on t h e Kafue Gorge below t h e Kafue swamps in 1972. L a t e r on, in o r d e r t o g e t sufficient s t o r a g e without a g r e a t increase in s u r f a c e a r e a , a second dam w a s built at Itezhi-Tezhi at t h e u p p e r end of t h e flats in 1977. 4.2. Main Features of the Kafue Impoundments The Kafue r i v e r i s almost 1 5 0 0 km in length up to i t s confluence with t h e Zambezi r i v e r , with a catchment a r e a of about 155000 km2 up t o t h a t point (Chapter 1, Section 2.3; Figure 46). The Kafue r i v e r i s one of t h e major t r i b u t a r i e s of t h e Zambezi r i v e r . I t s drainage basin can b e subdivided into t h r e e subbasins: (a) t h e u p p e r half of t h e catchment area in t h e wetter n o r t h e r n p a r t of Zambia, roughly north of Itezhitezhi, (b) t h e middle, area r e f e r r e d to as t h e "Kafue flats" from Itezhitezhi to t h e Kafue Gorge, and ( c ) t h e lower p a r t of t h e r i v e r , t h e Gorge where t h e r i v e r d r o p s steeply from t h e plateau to t h e level of t h e Zambezi r i v e r (Figure 46 and 47). Taking advantage of t h i s geomorphological f e a t u r e , t h e f i r s t dam was built in t h e Kafue Gorge. Water from t h e r e s e r v o i r i s c a r r i e d through a h e a d r a c e tunnel of 1 0 km, and then falls vertically f o r 410 metres to t h e power plant just above t h e r i v e r (Sheppe 1985). Figure 46. K a f u e drainage basin and K a f u e flats ( R e e s 1978b and Handlos 1982). The catchment a r e a above t h e dam is about 150000 km2, providing a mean annual inflow of 10.3.10 9 .m 3. This impoundment generates power with four turbines with a maximum discharge capacity of 200 m3/sec (Annex I). A s m o s t of t h e reservoir i s in t h e Kafue flats, t h e s t o r a g e capacity i s low and t h e s u r f a c e a r e a is large, resulting in g r e a t water loss through evapotranspiration. Then, in o r d e r to provide sufficient s t o r a g e without a g r e a t increase in s u r f a c e area and water losses, a second dam w a s built at Itezhitezhi (Figure 46) in 1977. It forms a l a r g e r e s e r v o i r with 8 . 5 . 1 0 ~rn3 capacity which provides m o s t of t h e s t o r a g e capacity f o r t h e Kafue Gorge power plant (Annex I). Figure 47. Longitudinal profile of t h e Kafue r i v e r (Handlos, 1982). 4.3. Hydrology In view of t h e drainage basin of t h e Kafue r i v e r , t h e r e i s a g r e a t difference in t h e runoff contribution between t h e u p p e r p a r t of t h e catchment (upstream Kafue Hook) and t h e lower p a r t . The rainfall in t h e u p p e r p a r t s of t h e catchment i s m o r e than in t h e lower p a r t ; hence t h e contribution to t h e runoff in t h e r i v e r i s m o r e from t h e u p p e r regions. Thus, 93240 km2 covering t h e u p p e r p a r t of t h e catchment a r e a provide a n annual a v e r a g e runoff of about 10.109 m 3, while t h e drainage basin lying between Itezhitezhi and t h e Kafue Gorge (59569 km2) provide only a n a v e r a g e runoff of 1 . 1 . 1 0 ~ m ~ .Differences in precipitation amounts between t h e s e t w o p a r t s of t h e Kafue drainage basin as well as t h e important evapotranspiration which o c c u r s in t h e Kafue f l a t s increase t h e differences in runoff contribution by them. Thus, i t i s r e p o r t e d t h a t in t h e upper drainage basin, t h e a v e r a g e rainfall i s close to 1 4 0 0 mm/m2 annually, while in t h e flats, rainfall a v e r a g e s 800 mm/rn2. Estimates of evapotranspiration in t h e Kafue f l a t s are about 2700 mm/m2 p e r annum. The balance between precipitation and evapotranspiration i s negative within t h e Kafue flats. Figure 48. Discharge a t Itezhitezhi (broken line) and Kasaka (solid line) from 1950 to 1965 (1952-53 missing). Each hydrological y e a r begins in October (Handlos, 1982). On average, significant amounts of r a i n in t h e flats begin about mid-November and continue until about t h e middle of March. Rainfall and runoff from t h e local t r i b u t a r i e s account f o r t h e initial flooding and waterlogging of t h e Kafue f l a t s between December and February (Handlos 1982). Rainfall from t h e n o r t h e r n catchment runoff to Itezhitezhi and peak in March, and then flows slowly southwards, finally reaching a peak at Kafue Gorge in May, often well a f t e r t h e local r a i n s in t h e f l a t s have ended. The r a i n s in t h e n o r t h e r n p a r t of t h e catchment con- tinue until mid-April, t h u s continuing to f e e d water into t h e Kafue r i v e r f o r almost a month a f t e r t h e local r a i n s in t h e Kafue f l a t s h a v e ended (Hutchinson 1974). A s a r e s u l t , high water levels are maintained on t h e Kafue f l a t s f o r 6-7 months (December to June). T h e r e f o r e , much of t h e flooding between March a n d June i s due to t h e runoff from t h e n o r t h e r n p a r t of t h e Kafue d r a i n a g e basin. The Kafue r i v e r meanders f o r a distance of 410 km as i t t r a v e r s e s t h e 250 km distance a c r o s s t h e Kafue flats. The normal channel of t h e r i v e r i s estimated t o b e a b l e t o c a r r y 170 m3/s of water, but during t h e height of t h e flood (2500 m3/s b e f o r e t h e Itezhitezhi impoundment), t h e water spills into t h e Kafue f l a t s area a n d floods t h e f l a t s if t h e y have not a l r e a d y been inundated by local rainfall a n d r u n o f f , or maintains t h e a l r e a d y o c c u r r i n g flood. Figure 48 gives d i s c h a r g e s at Itezhitezhi and Kasaka (Kafue Gorge) b e f o r e t h e Kafue impoundments. 4.4. Reservoir Operation The main p u r p o s e of t h e s e two impoundments on t h e Kafue r i v e r i s power gene r a t i o n , even if planned r e s e r v o i r o p e r a t i o n t r y to t a k e into account some o t h e r secondary goals (Howard a n d Williams 1982). Among t h e f a c t o r s favouring Itezhitezhi as t h e s i t e f o r t h e main backup s t o r a g e f o r t h e g o r g e power station, i s t h e f a c t t h a t i t i s a b l e to c o n t r o l practically t h e e n t i r e yield of t h e r i v e r (almost 90 p e r c e n t of t h e flow). However, o n e of t h e major disadvantages of t h e Itezhitezhi s i t e i s t h a t t h e t r a v e l time to t h e Kafue Gorge f o r water r e l e a s e d from Itezhitezhi i s a b o u t two months, a factor t h a t a d d s to t h e complexity of r e s e r v o i r operation. F r o m t h e point of view of power generation, production of 600 Mw in t h e g o r g e power s t a t i o n needs a r e g u l a t e d flow corresponding to 170 m3/sec at t h e g o r g e ~ Itezhitezhi (Balasubrahmanyam a n d Abou-Zeid 1982a). A s t o r a g e of 4 2 0 0 . 1 0 ~ min r e s e r v o i r was decided as t h e b a s e amount f o r power production in t h e Kafue Gorge power plant. To t h i s w a s added a s t o r a g e of 750.106m3 f o r flooding t h e f l a t s even in t h e d r y y e a r s in r e s p o n s e to ecological dictates. Together with a d e a d s t o r a g e of 750.106m3, t h e g r o s s s t o r a g e works o u t to b e 5 7 0 0 . 1 0 ~ m ~During . a "normal" y e a r b e f o r e t h e Itezhitezhi dam w a s built, t h e flow in t h e western f l a t s r a n g e d from 30 to 1400m3/sec with r e c o r d e d e x t r e m e s of 1 0 a n d 2 7 0 0 m3/sec. F o r normal o p e r a t i o n , i t w a s stipulated t h a t t h e Itezhitezhi r e s e r v o i r should r e a c h i t s full r e t e n t i o n level of 1023.5 m in J a n u a r y or F e b r u a r y depending on t h e hydrological conditions in t h e y e a r (Balasubrahmanyam and Abou-Zeid 1982b). Once t h e reserv o i r r e a c h e d i t s full r e t e n t i o n level, practically a l l t h e inflow into Itezhitezhi should be released downstream (Figure 49). During d r i e r y e a r s t h e flow p a t t e r n would b e as in Figure 49. I , I..,. OC I ' hOv ' DEC 'JAU ' FEI .WAR 'A?. ....".*. 1.- LAY' J U U '. . . I 'JUL * Y I -. 'A& .I I. .l* * ,I ' s E . ~' Figure 49. The Kafue hydrograph f o r a n a v e r a g e y e a r at Itezhitezhi (above) and during a d r y y e a r (below) (Balasubrahmanyan and Abou-Zeid, 1982b). Only regulated releases to m e e t power generation requirements, plus t h e 1 5 m3/sec stipulated f o r o t h e r uses are made monthly, e x c e p t in March when 300 m3/sec i s released to maintain at least partial flooding of t h e f l a t s (White 1973; Balasubmhmanyam and Abou-Zeid 1982b). However, i t a p p e a r s t h a t in m o s t y e a r s , r e s e r v o i r operation follows t h e second p a t t e r n (Sheppe 1985). Nevertheless, Itezhitezhi r e s e r v o i r o p e m t i o n should provide optimum water to t h e Kafue Gorge power plant (Figure 50). . h f o m It~zh~lezh . 9" ' 9" . \ $ Follorlng rules OI operoljln IY d . w Of 9h. *afue Gmpl and Itezh~lezn~ 171 O Y @ JF Y A Y J J A S O N D m72 1173 1171 19 75 1976 '9:- Figure 50. Water s u r f a c e elevation at t h e Kafue Gorge dam (Balasubrahmanyan and Abou-Zeid, 1982b). 4.5. Water Level Fluctuations The Kafue flats c a n b e divided into t w o main p a r t s , from Namwala t o Nyimba and from Nyimba to t h e Kafue Gorge. The second (eastern) section is affected by t h e fluctuation of t h e Kafue Gorge r e s e r v o i r . Normal operation of t h e dam envisages maintenance of t h e Kafue Gorge r e s e r v o i r a t t h e 975.3 m level from August t o November, rising t o t h e full retention level of 976.6 m in December, maintaining this level until t h e following March. Thus, inundation of areas in t h e section Nyimba to Kafue Gorge v a r y e a c h y e a r between 600 and 1 6 0 0 km2, which implies t h a t at least 600 km2 i s always inundated. In t h e r e a c h between Namwala and Nyimba, fluctuation of levels in t h e Kafue Gorge have no effect, but this r e a c h i s under t h e influence of regulation from t h e Itezhitezhi dam. Another e f f e c t of t h e s e impoundments on t h e floodplain has been to greatly r e d u c e t h e amount of land t h a t i s seasonally flooded. According to Lagler et aL. (1971), b e f o r e impoundments total a r e a of f l a t s liable t o flooding w a s 6604 km2, while t h e mean maximum area inundated by high water from 1954 to 1964 w a s 4820 km2 and estimated mean area flooded annually f o r a 4-month period w a s 2 8 3 3 krn2. Nowadays, Itezhitezhi dam releases water at a relatively constant rate to a s s u r e a continuous supply to t h e g o r g e power plant, thus reducing t h e height and e x t e n t of t h e floods in t h e flats. Consequently, t h e western p a r t of t h e Kafue f l a t s is no longer flooded (Sheppe 1985). In o r d e r t o p r e s e r v e some semblance of the floodplain ecosystems, i t would b e necessary to a s s u r e r e l e a s e of sufficient water and at t h e r i g h t time from Itezhitezhi but t h i s goal i s in conflict with t h e demand f o r e l e c t r i c power, and t h e power agency wants t o minimize flooding in o r d e r t o r e d u c e water loss by evapotranspiration. 4.6. Water chemistry The relationships between t h e Kafue r i v e r and i t s floodplain are numerous and reciprocal. Thus, r i v e r floods markedly influence biogeochemical c y c l e s which o c c u r in floodplain soils, while in t u r n t h e s e p r o c e s s e s ( r e s p i r a t i o n , mineralization, etc.) influence t h e water quality of t h e r i v e r . The a v e r a g e conductivity, which i s a good indicator of variations of r i v e r load, w a s measured at 1 7 2 pS with a r a n g e of 1 1 0 to 260 pS ( S a l t e r 1985). Seasonal variation of conductivity p r e s e n t s t w o maxima, o n e between August and October (230 pS) and o n e between J a n u a r y and June (260 pS). The f o r m e r should b e d u e t o slow leaching of ions from soils during t h e d r y season, while t h e latter should b e t h e r e s u l t of t h e flushing of t e r r e s t r i a l n u t r i e n t s into a q u a t i c systems during flood periods. The a v e r a g e annual pH i s 7.9 but i t s values r a n g e between 6.7 to 9.3 depending on t h e hydrological cycle. A s h o r t a g e of dissolved oxygen c a n o c c u r during floods d u e t o high biochemical demand in oxygen by decomposition p r o c e s s e s ( S a l t e r 1979). 4.7. S e d i m e n t D e p o s i t i o n Sediment deposition in Kafue r e s e r v o i r s i s not a n important problem because t h e Kafue r i v e r flows through s e v e r a l floodplains (Lukanga, Busanga, Kafue f l a t s ) which act as sediment t r a p s . One of t h e consequences on t h e Kafue r i v e r downs t r e a m from t h e Kafue Gorge dam i s i t s l o w concentrations of suspended matter. On t h e o t h e r hand, i t s ionic composition (dissolved m a t t e r ) i s v e r y high. 4.8. Ecological Aapects The aquatic and t e r r e s t r i a l ecosystems of t h e Kafue f l a t s are closely i n t e r r e lated. The annual cycle of flooding and drying e x e r t s a profound influence on life in t h e two biological systems. P r o c e s s e s are q u i t e common to t h o s e d e s c r i b e d f o r t h e Kariba (Chapter 111, Section 2.8), b u t at a r e a l l y b r o a d e r s c a l e s i n c e i t conc e r n s a n area of a b o u t 5 6 0 0 km2. F u r t h e r m o r e , t h e p a r t i c u l a r hydrological c y c l e of t h e Kafue r i v e r influences t h e s e processes. Thus, as t h e floodwaters r e c e d e and the flood plain d r i e s up (May-September), t h e vast quantity of aquatic vegetation i s heavily grazed by herbivorous animals o r burned down (Figure 51). For instance, t h e Kafue lechwre (Kobus leche k-ehsts), a n endemic antilope well stu- died by Rees (Rees 1978a-e), feeds on this stranded vegetation. When floods occur, usually in December, t h e aquatic vegetation begins a period of rapid growth. I t coincides with t h e reproduction period of most fish species (Lagler e l C 'I*rrestri.l and A q u a t i c Reduction Increasing T e r r e s t r i a l and A q u a t i c Production Decreasing ------ -----HiBhest *rreatrial Nutrients Unshed I n t o Aquatic Bystem d I n u n d a t e d by Tlood Waters \ -I G r a s s e s Exposed by F a l l i n g Water Are Crazed by I e c h v e and C a t t l e , a n d Are m p l d Crorth of r)puatic vegetation Burned by F i r e s Reproduction Rapid Growth Of PI~hes ---- Fishes I n c r e a s i n g l y Vulnerable t o P r e d a t i o n a s A v a i l a b i l i t y o f Food and S h e l t e r Decreaaec Rapidly Expanding Aquatic E n v i r o m e n t Aquatic Environment D i s s o l v e d Qrygen C o n d i t i o n s I ~ m d n g T o l e r a b l e Only Temperature F a l l i n g a n d Photo R r i o d D e c r e a s i n g T e m p r a t u r e e Riming d Photo P e r i o d Lengthening bnths J Rainy Season F W A W J Dry B ~ m o n J A S W ~ t e rLevel 0 N Rainy Seasc: Figure 51. Generalized annual ecological cycle of t h e Kafue f l a t s (Lagler e l aL., 1971). The resultant young fishes find food and s h e l t e r in t h e vegetation in t h e fringe zone of t h e floodplain margin. A s t h e flood crest begins to move downstream from t h e flats, decomposition of organic matter inundated by t h e flood o r washed in by runoff deoxygenates t h e waters from place to place. After t h e maximum flood i s r e a c h e d , t h e aquatic ecosystem starts a period of slow contraction while primary production d e c r e a s e s along with t h e falling temperature and diminishing photo period (Lagler et al. 1971). By July or August t h e floodplain i s d r y and t h e surviving aquatic animals are concentrated in t h e lagoons and t h e r i v e r . This rough description of a n a v e r a g e annual cycle in t h e Kafue f l a t s must not disguise one of t h e most important p r o p e r t i e s of any ecosystem, which i s i t s variability from y e a r t o year. Occasional extreme conditions may exclude long-lived species t h a t cannot t o l e r a t e even one unfavourable y e a r , but on t h e o t h e r hand, variability of habitats may permit a n increased variety of species to live in one area (Sheppe 1985). The effect of t h e dams is t o r e d u c e t h e amount of y e a r to y e a r variations, but variation will not b e eliminated altogether, because of variation in local rainfall; t h e Itezhitezhi r e s e r v o i r is not l a r g e enough t o buffer all variations in runoff from t h e u p p e r drainage basin. 4.9. Fish and Fisheries The Kafue fishery is o n e of t h e m o s t productive in Zambia. Of t h e 67 fish species known to o c c u r in t h e Kafue fishery, 21 are of some commercial significance. Of t h e s e ten are more p r e f e r a b l e t o o t h e r s . They belong t o a Sarothero- d o n s p , T i l a p i a s p Lapeo sp, C l a r i a s s p , Serronochromis s p , Schilbe s p and Heps e t u s s p (Chipungu 1981;Muyanga and Chipungu 1982). P r e - and post-impoundment studies have been c a r r i e d out in o r d e r t o assess t h e e f f e c t of water regulation on fish populations (Dudley 1974; 1979;Dudley and Scully 1980). I t i s c l e a r t h a t seasonal flooding of t h e Kafue flats provides a n extension to fish habitats f o r about six months of t h e y e a r . Thus, t h e life cycle of fish i s closely r e l a t e d t o t h e flooding regime (Williams 1971). A s i s shown in Figure 52,t h e high production of fish on t h e Kafue flats, and in t u r n , commercial fishery, are dependent on t h e flooding regime. There h a s long been a major fish industry on t h e flats, supported by high fish productivity in t h e floodplain. The fishermen o p e r a t e largely f r o m small villages situated along t h e r i v e r using gill-nets. Few villages on t h e r i v e r banks o r mounds are sufficiently elevated to b e habitable during t h e high water period. A s floods r e c e d e , fishermen and t h e i r families migrate along t h e r i v e r and adjacent lagoons in temporary camps (Lagler et al. 1971). Table 36 gives t h e evolution of t h e fish yield on t h e Kafue f l a t s from 1969 to 1978. The slight increase in fish yield in t h e Kafue f l a t s i s due t o a significant i n c r e a s e in fishing effort. In f a c t , t h e c a t c h p e r boat p e r night h a s dropped in c o n t r a s t to t h e predicted increase in ichthyomass. Also, t h e r e have been a f e w noticeable changes in relative abundance and weight of t h e commercially important species. The m o s t significant change w a s t h e decline in catches of Sarotherodon m a c r o c h i t , R l a p i a r e n d a l l i , and R l a p i a s p a r r m a n i i (Muyanga and Chipungu 1982). Fish yield in t h e Kafue f l a t s w a s and still remains a n important p a r t of t h e .r..c. .-.I,. C".l.<l.. ,".tr"-.-. .. #""..,.B,,t, DO.ll... .. I... Figure 52. Some interrelationships of factors of fish production in the Kafue flats (Lagler et al.,1971). W L e 36. Evolution of fish yield in Kafue flats (Chipungu 1981). Year 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 Fish yield@) 5728 5558 8247 7874 6289 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 fish production of t h e Republic of Zambia. The fish industry i s actually one of t h e main reasons why t h e Kafue f l a t s seems t o be a n a t t r a c t i v e area f o r t h e population (Sheppe 1985). Considering t h a t fish i s a staple food in Zambia and t h a t t h e fishery provides many jobs, this activity should b e seen as a n important f e a t u r e in t h e region. 4.10. Other U s e s Other uses are actually developed or being developed in t h e Kafue flats. A s shown previously, about 15 m3/s are available from t h e Itezhitezhi f o r o t h e r uses. I t a p p e a r s t h a t irrigation r e q u i r e s one l i t r e p e r second and p e r h e c t a r e . This means t h a t given t h e p r e s e n t restrictions, only 15000 h a can b e i r r i g a t e d in t h e Kafue flats. In Zambia, t h e most important c r o p s grown under irrigation are wheat and sugar cane, potatoes and vegetables. Table 37 gives a seasonal cropwater requirement f o r i r r i g a t e d c r o p s . Table 37. Seasonal c r o p water requirement f o r i r r i g a t e d c r o p s in Zambia (Kicle 1982). I Crop Sugar cane Wheat Citrus Potatoes Vegetable Seasonal water (mm) 300-500 250-450 Among o t h e r s , t h e m o s t important agricultural p r o j e c t in t h e Kafue flats i s t h e Nakambala s u g a r estate in t h e southeast edge of t h e flats just off t h e floodplains. I t occupies some 10300 h a and depends largely on irrigation (Sheppe 1985). From planting to cutting t h e c a n e plant, i t r e q u i r e s about 2000 mm of water f o r i t s optimum growth (Pike 1982). Of this, 750 mm i s assumed to b e normally provided by rainfall and t h e remaining 1 2 5 0 mm must b e supplied by t h e irrigation system on t h e Kafue r i v e r itself. Concerning t h e livestock in t h e Kafue flats, Bingham (1982) r e p o r t e d t h a t about 250 000 c a t t l e depend on t h e flats for d r y season grazing between August and November. The r i s e of water level with t h e r a i n s in December forces t h e c a t t l e off t h e flats. These h e r d s belong to t h e Tonga people to t h e south and t h e Ila in t h e west. Both numbers a n d distribution of l a r g e mammals in t h e f l a t s h a v e been g r e a t l y r e d u c e d d u r i n g t h i s c e n t u r y , especially t h e lechwre, b u t also buffalo, z e b r a and eland among o t h e r s . In o r d e r to s t o p t h i s d i s a p p e a r a n c e of mammals, Lochinvar Ranch was d e c l a r e d a National P a r k in 1972,a n d t h e Blue Lagoon Ranch achieved t h e same s t a t u s in 1973 (Mwenya a n d Kaweche 1982). Wildlife utilization in t h e Kafue f l a t s h a s e n c o u r a g e d tourism as w e l l as subsistence a n d r e c r e a t i o n hunting. The small amount of accomodation available a n d t h e lack of c a t e r i n g are t h e major limiting f a c t o r s f o r tourism in t h e Kafue f l a t s . Chapter TV: Consequences of Impoundments on the Zambezi Drainage Basin The preceding description of t h e impoundments on t h e Zambezi basin are mainly a b o u t man-made lakes. The Zambezi r i v e r system h a s gradually changed due to human i n t e r f e r e n c e s , and h a s r e a c h e d t h e second s t a g e of a n t h r o p i c development according to David (1985). Here, t h e n a t u r a l runoff system gradually changes t o become more regulated. Thus, i t h a s been said t h a t almost 570 km of t h e Zambezi i s regulated by man-made lakes. Moreover, t h e s t o r a g e capacity along t h e r i v e r system h a s increased tremendously. These r e s e r v o i r s were built f o r t h e sole p u r p o s e of generating hydropower. Nevertheless, they a f f e c t many d i f f e r e n t substances of t h e fluvial ecosystem. In t h e previous c h a p t e r , t h e consequences of dam impoundments on t h e r e s e r v o i r s themselves, particularly with r e s p e c t t o limiting secondary uses h a v e been described. However, downstream e f f e c t s on t h e s e huge r e s e r v o i r s must also b e considered. Thus, a quick overview of t h e main challenges t h a t have emerged will b e given in t h e following sections. 1. C o n s e q u e n c e s Downstream from the Kariba Dam 1.1. M a n a Pools Wildlife R e s e r v e Within Zimbabwe, t h e r e i s a wildlife estate covering virtually a l l of t h e valley between t h e e a s t e r n end of Lake Kariba and t h e Mozambique b o r d e r , occupying some 1 2 0 0 0 km2 (Figure 53). The Government of Zambia h a s d e c l a r e d a l a r g e a r e a o n i t s s i d e of t h e Zambezi r i v e r as a national p a r k , which t o g e t h e r with t h e Zimbabwean p a r t c o v e r 1 6 8 0 0 km2. This area i s particularly r i c h in l a r g e mammals (Du Toit 1984, 1985) t h a t f e e d on vegetation growing on t h e Zambezi floodplains, a n area providing food, s h a d e and water f o r game animals and b i r d s during t h e d r y season. Both t h e hydrologic a n d t h e biological cycles of t h e floodplain are similar to t h a t of t h e Kafue swamps (Chapter 111, Section 8). N O ~ I D Park ~O~ F w e 53. Mid Zambezi wildlife area (DuToit, 1985). The Kariba impoundment h a s d i s r u p t e d t h e ecological equilibrium, a n d t h i s may b e a t t r i b u t e d to d i f f e r e n t r e a s o n s (Figure 54). - D e c r e a s e in flood p e a k s in t h e f l o w a n d d u r a t i o n , a n d out-of-season floods a f f e c t t h e r i c h n e s s a n d biomass of t h e vegetation. This d e c r e a s e in flood d u r a t i o n c a u s e s game animals to p a s t u r e on t h e floodplain, which in t u r n also a f f e c t s t h e vegetation biomass. - The t r a p p i n g of sediment in t h e Kariba r e s e r v o i r provides a silt-free o u t l e t for water which c a u s e s a n i n c r e a s e in bank erosion. - The o v e r p a s t u r e b y game on r i p a r i a n vegetation influences t h e effectiveness of t h e p l a n t s o n t h e banks in reducing erosion. F o r instance, a c c o r d i n g to Guy (1981) between 1954 and 1973,1030 h e c t a r e s were lost to e r o s i o n o v e r a d i s t a n c e of a b o u t 40 km. This s t r e t c h r e p r e s e n t s only 10 p e r c e n t of the total length of t h e bank downstream from Lake Kariba to t h e Zimbabwe-Mozambique b o r d e r . I t may t h e r e f o r e b e assumed t h a t many more hec- tares of soil were e r o d e d outside t h i s area. p a r t i c u l a r l y downstream from Mana Pools. This wildlife area i s a n important s o u r c e of f o r e i g n c u r r e n c y for Zimbabwe, a n d conservation i s of utmost ecological and economic i n t e r e s t t h a t must b e cons i d e r e d from t h e point of view of r e s e r v o i r o p e r a t i o n management. 1 I QUALITY I BANKS EROSION K A R I B A OUTFLOW I\ I decrease E I VEGETATION I ( QUANTITY 1 Floods less in surface and duration II decrease of resources Figure 54. Consequences of Kariba outflow on t h e ecological equilibrium of Mana Pools floodplain. 1.2. Inflow at Cahora Bassa The Kariba outflows constitute about 75 p e r cent of t h e total inflow into t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r . The discharge capabilities of t h e Cahora Bassa dam and i t s s t o r a g e capacity are too small t o p r o t e c t t h e dam from overtopping even floods below t h e design flood magnitude. On t h e o t h e r hand, flood generation within t h e Cahora Bassa drainage basin i s extremely i n t r i c a t e and difficult to p r e d i c t accurately. Accordingly, t h e water level in t h e Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r must be drawn down heavily each y e a r during t h e d r y season in anticipation of t h e next flood in t h e rainy season. Moreover, t h e presence of t h r e e major impoundments within t h e catchment, each with i t s own specific operating rules, i s a n additional complication. In fact, t h e Kariba r e s e r v o i r operations seem to have considerable influence on t h a t of t h e Cahora Bassa. The upstream regulation affects t h e flood discharges downstream. In t h e d r i e s t y e a r s , regulation is likely to reduce t h e annual maximum t h r e e month floods since natural floods will b e s t o r e d in t h e upstream r e s e r v o i r s to provide electricity at a later date. In t h e wettest y e a r s , assuming t h e r e s e r voirs are o p e r a t e d according t o a reliable flood r u l e c u r v e procedure, t h e annual maximum three-month floods will also be reduced, t h e amount being equal t o t h e total s t o r a g e capacity of t h e r e s e r v o i r s ( o r flood control - Bolton, 1983). Between these extremes, t h e effect will depend on t h e operating policy adopted f o r t h e upstream r e s e r v o i r s . For instance, t h e Kariba p r o j e c t was not y e t operated consistently according t o flood r u l e c u r v e procedures between 1971 and 1980, as shown in Table 38. Table 38. Reservoir levels at Kariba on February 1 (Bolton, 1983). Year Reservoir level (m.a.s.1.) Flood s t o r a g e provided (103m3) 1971 484.2 27.6 1972 483.7 30.3 1973 483.3 32.2 1974 484.6 25.4 1975 486.6 14.9 1976 484.7 25.0 I t h a s been suggested by Rendel, Palmer and Tritton (Bolton, 1983) t h a t 3 0 . 8 . 1 0 ~ mshould ~ b e t h e flood s t o r a g e on February 1 ( r e s e r v o i r level a t 483.6 9 3 m.a.s.1.) and 13.7.10 m ( r e s e r v o i r level at 486.8 m.a.s.1.) on March 1. I t a p p e a r s t h a t a joint operating policy i s necessary in o r d e r t o optimize hydroelectric power generation by each power plant a s well as t o sustain ecological equilibrium in t h e valleys. 2. T h e C o n s e q u e n c e s Downstream from the Kafue Gorge Dam The consequences downstream from t h e Itezhitezhi dam have already been elaborated in t h e previous c h a p t e r . Concerning t h e Kafue Gorge dam, t h e consequences downstream from t h e impoundment seem to be similar to t h a t of t h e Kariba. Thus, i t is essential t h a t a joint operating policy which should involve managers of t h e Kariba, Itezhitezhi, Kafue Gorge and Cahora Bassa r e s e r v o i r s as well as t h e wildlife conservationist b e developed in o r d e r t o sustain t h e s e v e r a l p u r p o s e s at s t a k e on t h i s p a r t i c u l a r r e a c h of t h e Zambezi. 3. The Consequencea Downstream from the Cahora Bassa Dam 3.1. Ecological Consequencea The s h o r t a g e of flow downstream from t h e dam during t h e filling p h a s e h a s a l r e a d y been mentioned (Davies 1975a,b). Moreover, e r r a t i c management until now h a s not allowed a n y kind of ecological r e s t o r a t i o n in t h e fluvial system downstream from t h e r e s e r v o i r . The annual floods b e f o r e t h e Cahora Bassa impoundment r e j u venated t h e e n t i r e r i v e r i n e and floodplain system with water, f r e s h s i l t and nutrients. A t p r e s e n t , floods t h a t are buffered are even worse, f o r t h e y o c c u r o u t of season disrupting t h e whole n a t u r a l c y c l e of flood a n d e b b , even if a f r e s h d i s c h a r g e of 7.109m3 o v e r a p e r i o d of 1 2 d a y s in F e b r u a r y e a c h y e a r is planned. On t h e o t h e r hand, sediment t r a p p e d in t h e r e s e r v o i r is n o longer available t o sustain t h e maintenance of t h e Zambezi d e l t a , a t r i a n g u l a r area of 1 8 0 0 0 km2 with a sea f r o n t a g e 120 km long. The Marromeu Buffalo R e s e r v e c o v e r s 1 6 0 0 km2 of t h e delta. The evolution of t h i s area i s v e r y close to t h a t of t h e Mana Pools (Section 1.1): d e c r e a s e of flood p e a k , overgrazing, l e s s input of s i l t from t h e r i v e r , and erosion. In addition, t h i s d e c r e a s e in sediment deposition as well as t h e d e c r e a s e in r i v e r flow n o longer h i n d e r intrusion and salinization by sea water in t h e alluvial soils devoted mainly to s u g a r c a n e a g r i c u l t u r e . This d e c r e a s e of t h e suspended m a t t e r load in t h e Zambezi r i v e r could a l s o h a v e a negative e f f e c t on t h e fish yield along t h e c o a s t . 3.2. Navigation and Irrigation I t was assumed t h a t t h e Cahora Bassa p r o j e c t should not only provide hydroelectricity but a l s o water f o r a g r i c u l t u r a l p u r p o s e s downstream from t h e r e s e r v o i r a n d a 500 km long navigable s t r e t c h . A t p r e s e n t , navigation o n t h e lower Zambezi is r e s t r i c t e d to a few f e r r i e s . P r o s p e c t s of f u t u r e expansion of navigation depends p a r t l y on t h e minimum g u a r a n t e e d flow of t h e r i v e r (1600 m3/s from Cahora Bassa), but more on t h e morphological c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e channel (Bolton, 1983). Today v e r y l i t t l e w a t e r i s e x t r a c t e d f r o m t h e Zambezi f o r i r r i g a t i o n . In f a c t , f o r t h e f o r e s e e a b l e f u t u r e , w a t e r i s unlikely to b e a limiting f a c t o r in t h e possible expansion of i r r i g a t e d a g r i c u l t u r e . Chapter V. Conc3usions In t h i s r e p o r t , t h e Zambezi d r a i n a g e basin c o n s t i t u t e s o n e entity, and i t i s only f o r t h e s a k e of p r e s e n t a t i o n t h a t i t i s s e p a r a t e d into d i f f e r e n t topics. It i s shown t h a t t h e r e are many i n t e r r e l a t i o n s h i p s amongst t h e r i v e r system components, s u c h as hydrological, biological, chemical, a n d anthropogenic, whatever t h e p e r c e i v e d scale may b e . In a l a r g e international r i v e r basin such as t h e Zambezi, t h e p r o s p e c t s of long-term i n t e g r a t e d development may a p p e a r a t t r a c t i v e , b u t given t h e available r e s o u r c e s and t h e complexity of t h e issues, s h o r t t e r m expediency a n d narrowly defined objectives are likely to dominate policy formulation in t h e f o r e s e e a b l e f u t u r e . The proposed new impoundments on t h e Zambezi r i v e r c o n c e r n mainly power plants (Figure 55). Taking into a c c o u n t t h e a c t u a l power g e n e r a t i o n c a p a c i t y and t h e a c t u a l demand f o r i t , i t seems more r e a s o n a b l e even from t h e h y d r o e l e c t r i c i t y generation p e r s p e c t i v e to t r y to optimize e n e r g y o u t p u t from t h e a l r e a d y existing hydropower plants. In such circumstances, t h e r e i s a n u r g e n t need f o r f u r t h e r studies of existing p r o j e c t s to focus attention on t h e impacts of l a r g e dam p r o j e c t s and to e n a b l e more r e a l i s t i c estimates of t h e t r u e costs a n d benefits. 11250 A1 E A C H DAM SITE - IWOMWI E Il2LO M W I 11soo - UrnMWl UlLOYElREI E ; m',g,.,;cr m m 0 ID ¶Dl L a UD 7uo 1 (, r' b r o , r , AJJr... I s In= Esd..easrr ,Linbrbur , Sep. b ! ~. c u l c e b C c r ~ t -- 1980. - -.*, Source: FolcAo (1Yb3) --- Figure 55. Proposed hydroelectric development on the Zambezi river (Bolton, 1983). - - .- . -. 1 REFERENCES Attwell, R.J. (1970) Some e f f e c t s of Lake Kariba on t h e ecology of a floodplain on t h e mid-Zambezi valley of Rhodesia. B o l . Conserv. 2(3)189-196. Austin, R.H.F. (1968) International legal a s p e c t s of t h e Kariba p r o j e c t . In: N . Rubin a n d W.M. Warren (Eds.) "Dams in Africa", 146-157. Bailey, R.G. (1985) The f a c t o r of s c a l e in ecosystem mapping. E n v i r o n . Manag., 9(4)271-276. Balasubrahmanyam, S. a n d Abou-Zeid, S.M. (1982a) The Kafue r i v e r hydro-electric development. Proc. Nut. Sem. o n E n v i r o n m e n t a n d Change: t h e Consequences of Hydroelectric Power Development o n t h e U t i l i z a t i o n of t h e K-e R a t s , University of Zambia, Lusaka, 1978, 31-33. Balasubrahmanyam, S. a n d Abou-Zeid. S.M. (1982b) Post-Itezhitezhi flow p a t t e r n of t h e Kafue in t h e Kafue flats region. Proc. Nut. Sem. o n E n v i r o n m e n t a n d Change: t h e Consequences of Hydroelectric Power Development o n t h e U t i l i z a t i o n of t h e K-e R a t s , University of Zambia, Lusaka, 1978, 63-67. Balek, J. (1977) Hydrology a n d w a t e r r e s o u r c e s in t r o p i c a l Africa. Development i n Water Science, 8 , E l s e v i e r , Amsterdam, 208p. Balon, E.K. and Coche, A.G. (1974) Lake Kariba: on man-made t r o p i c a l ecosystem in c e n t r a l Africa. Monographiae B o l o g i c a e , 24, W. Junk P u b l i s h e r , 767p. Balon, E.K. (1978) Kariba: t h e dubious benefits of l a r g e dams. Ambio, 7(2)40-48. B a x t e r , R.M. (1977) Environmental e f f e c t s of dams a n d impoundments. Ann. Rev. Ecol. a n d S y s t . , Vol. 8, 255-283. Beadle, L.C. (1932) Scientific Results of t h e Cambridge Expedition to E a s t African Lakes in 1930-1 IV. The Waters of Some E a s t African Lakes in Relation to t h e i r Fauna a n d Flora. J. Limn. Soc. (Zool.), 38, 157-211. Begg, G.W. (1969) Observations on t h e water quality a n d n a t u r e of t h e affluent r i v e r s of Lake K a r i b a with r e f e r e n c e to t h e i r biological significance. L i m n . SOC.S. Mr. Newsl. (Suppl.), 13, 26-33. Begg, G.W. (1970) Limnological o b s e r v a t i o n s on Lake K a r i b a during 1 9 6 7 with emphasis o n t h e s p e c i a l f e a t u r e s . Limnol. Oceanogr., 1 5 , 776-788. Begg, G.W. (1973) The biological consequences of d i s c h a r g e a b o v e a n d below K a r i b a Dam. In: "Congr. Comm. Int. G r a n d e s Barrages", Madrid, 421-430. Begg, G.W. (1974) The distribution of f i s h e s of r i v e r i n e origin in r e l a t i o n to t h e limnological c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e f i v e basins of Lake Kariba. Hydrobiolog i a , 44, 272-285. Bell-Cross, (1972) The fish f a u n a of t h e Zambezi R i v e r system. A r n o l d i a (Rhod e s i a ) , 5(29)1-19. Bernacsek. G.M. a n d Lopes, S. (1984) Investigations into t h e f i s h e r i e s and limnology of C a h o r a Bassa r e s e r v o i r s e v e n y e a r s a f t e r dam c l o s u r e . FAO/GCP/MOZOOG/SWE Field doc., 149p. Bhagavan, M.R. (1985) The e n e r g y sector in SADCC c o u n t r i e s . Ambio, 14(4-5)214-219. Bingham, M.G. (1982) The livestock potential of t h e Kafue flats. Proc. Nut. Sem. o n E n v i r o n m e n t a n d Change: t h e Consequences of Hydroelectric Power Development o n t h e U t i l i z a t i o n 01 t h e K-e Feats, University of Zambia, Lusaka, 1978, 95-103. Bolton, P. (1983) The regulation of t h e Zambezi in Mozambique: a study of t h e origins and impact of t h e Cahora Bassa project. PhD. thesis, University of Edinburgh, 571p. Bolton, P . (1984) Sediment deposition in major r e s e r v o i r s in t h e Zambezi basin. In: "Challenges in African Hydrology and Water Resources", Proc. Harare S y m . , IAHS Publications 144, 559-567. Bolton, P. (1986) Mozambique's Cahora Bassa project: a n environmental assessment. In: E. Goldsmith, N. Hildyan (Eds.) 'The Social and Environmental Effects of Large Dams", Wodebridge Ecological Centre, Vol. I1 Case Studies, 156-166. Bond, W.J. and Roberts, M.G. (1978) The colonization of Cahora Bassa, a man-made lake by floating aquatic macrophytes. HydroWologia, 60, 243-254. Bond, W.J. Coe, N., Jackson, P.B.N. and Rogers, K.H. (1978) The limnology of Cahora Bassa, Mozambique, during i t s f i r s t y e a r . Freshwater Biology, 8 , 433-447. Bowmaker, A.P. (1973) Hydrophyte dynamics in Mwenda Bay, Lake Kariba. Kariba S t u d . , 3, 42-59. Bowmaker, A.P. (1976) The physico-chemical limnology of t h e Mwenda r i v e r mouth, Lake Kariba. Arch. HydroMol.. 77, 66-108. Burgis, M.J. and Symoens, J.J. (1987) African wetlands and shallow water bodies. . et documents No. 211, 650p. Directory. E d i t i o n s d e 1 ' 0 ~travauz CAPC (1984) Annual r e p o r t s and accounts. Central African Power Corporation, 32p. Carey, T.B. (1971) Hydrological survey of t h e Kafue floodplain. Fish. Res. Bull. Zambia, 5 , 245-295. Chauvet, E. (1987) Changes in t h e chemical composition of a l d e r , poplar and willow leaves during decomposition in a r i v e r . Hydrobiologia, 148, 35-44. Chipungu, P.M. (1981) The impacts of t h e Kafue dam on t h e Kafue floodplain fishery Zambia. FA0 Fisheries Dept., Report No. FAO-FI-CIFA/T8 N o . 8 , 120-129. Clements, F.E. (1905) Research Methods in Ecology. University Publishing Co., Lincoln, Nebraska (USA). Coche, A.G. (1968) Description of physico-chemical a s p e c t s of Lake Kariba, a n impoundment, in Zambia Rhodesia. Fish. Res. Bull. Zambia, 5 , 200-267. David, L. (1985) Water t r a n s f e r in a small country: Hungarian experiences and perspectives. In: G.N. Golubev and A.K. Biswas (Eds. ) "Large-Scale Water Transfers: Emerging Environmental and Social Experiences", 135-156. Davies, B.R. (1975a) They pulled t h e plug out of t h e lower Zambezi. N r i c a n Wildlue, 29(2)26-27. Davies, B.R. (1975b) Cahora Bassa hazards. Nature, 254, 477-478. Davies, B.R., Hall, A. and Jackson, P.B.N. (1975) Some ecological a s p e c t s of t h e Cahora Bassa dam. Biol. Conserv., 8 , 189-201. Davies, B.R. (1979) Stream regulation in Africa: a review. In: J.V. Ward and J.A. Stanford (Eds.) 'The Ecology of Regulated Streams", 113-142. Davies, B.R. (1986) The Zambezi River System. In: B.R. Davies and K.F. Walker (Eds.) 'The Ecology of River Systems", 225-267. Davies, B.R. and Walker. K.F. (1986) River systems as ecological units. An introduction t o t h e ecology of r i v e r systems. In: B.R. Davies and K.F. Walker (Eds.) 'The Ecology of River Systems", 1-8. Dudley, R.G. (1974) Growth of Tilapia of t h e Kafue floodplain, Zambia: predicted effects of t h e Kafue gorge dam. Trans. Amer. f i s h . Soc., No. 2, 281-291. Dudley, R.G. (1979) Changes in growth and size distribution of Sarotherodonmacrochir and Sarotherodon-andersoni f r o m t h e Kafue floodplain, Zambia since construction of t h e Kafue gorge dam. J. F'ish Biol., 14(2)205-223. Dudley, R.G. and Scully, R.J. (1980) Changes in experimental gillnet catches from t h e Kafue floodplain, Zambia since construction of t h e Kafue gorge dam. J. FEsh Biol., 16(5)521-537. Du Toit. R.F. (1982) A preliminary assessment of t h e likely environmental impacts of t w o proposed hydroelectric schemes on t h e Zambezi r i v e r , Zimbabwe. M. Env. S t u d . Proj. Rep., Dept. Environmental Studies, University of Cape Town, 199p. Du Toit, R.F. (1983) Hydrological changes in t h e middle-Zambezi system. 7Re Zimbabwe Science News, 17(7-8)121-125. Du Toit, R.F. (1984) Some environmental a s p e c t s of proposed hydroelectric schemes on t h e Zambezi r i v e r , Zimbabwe. Biol. Conserv., 28, 73-87. Du Toit, R.F. (1985) A middle way for wildlife parks. New Scient., 105, 33-36. Ellis, M.M. (1941) Freshwater impoundments. T r a n s . Am. Fish. Soc., 71, 80-93. Elwell, H.A. (1978) Modelling soil losses in Southern Africa. J. Agric. Engin. Res., 23, 117-127. Elwell, H.A. (1984) S h e e t erosion from a r a b l e lands in Zimbabwe: prediction and control. In: "Challenges in African Hydrology and Water Resources", IAHS Publications No. 144, 429-438. Elwell, H.A. and Stocking, M.A. (1982) Developing a simple y e t p r a c t i c a l method of soil loss estimation. Trop. Agric., 59(1)43-48. Fabre, A. (Forthcoming) Experimental studies on some f a c t o r s influencing phosphorus solibilization in connexion with t h e drawdown of a r e s e r v o i r . Hydrobiologia. FA0 (1975) Yearbook of Forest Products 1974. FA0 Statistics Series. FA0 (1977) Production Yearbook 1976. FA0 Statistics S e r i e s , No. 7, Vol. 30, 296p. FA0 (1981) FA0 Fertilizer Yearbook 1980. FA0 Statistics S e r i e s 30. FA0 (1986) FA0 Fertilizer Yearbook 1985. FA0 Statistics S e r i e s 36. FA0 (1986) Yearbook of Forest Products 1985. FA0 Statistics Series. FA0 (1987) Production Yearbook 1986. FA0 Statistics S e r i e s 76, Vol. 40, 306p. FAO-UN (1969) R e p o r t to t h e Government of Zambia on Fishery Development in t h e Central Barotse Floodplain. Second Phase. FAO/UNDP (TA) (2638), 80p. Gaster, P. (1974) Cahora Bassa. Ecologist, 4(3)109. Gliwicz, Z.M. (1982) R e p o r t p r e p a r e d a f t e r f i r s t t h r e e months of work in Songo. FA0 MONAP GCP MOZ (006). 8p. Guy, P.R. (1981) River bank erosion in t h e mid-Zambezi valley downstream of Lake Kariba. Biol. Conserv., 19, 199-212. Hall, A. and Davies, B.R. (1974) Cahora Bassa: Apreciacao global do sen impact0 no Vale d o Zambeze. Rev. Econ. Mozambique, 11(7)15-25. Hall, A. Davies. B.R. and Valente, I. (1976). Cahora Bassa: some preliminary physico-chemical and zooplank ton pre-impoundment survey results. Hydrobiologia, 50, 17-25. Hall, A., Valente, I.M.C.B. a n d Burholt, M.S. (1977) The Zambezi r i v e r in Mozambique: t h e suspended solids regime and composition of t h e middle and lower Zambezi: p r i o r t o t h e c l o s u r e of t h e Cahora Bassa Dam. Departmento d a Quimica, Univ. Aveiro, Mimeo, Portugal, 12p. Handlos, W.L. (1982) Introduction t o t h e ecology of t h e Kafue f l a t s . In: Proc. Nut. Sem. o n E n v i r o n m e n t a n d Change of t h e Consequences of Hydroelectric Power Development o n t h e U t i l i z a t i o n of t h e Ka&e R a t s , Lusaka 1978, University of Zambia, p. 5-29. Holland, M.M. (1987) Technical consultation on ecotones. SCOPE/MABS UNKSCO. Hosier, R.H. (1986) Energy planning in Zimbabwe: a n i n t e g r a t e d a p p r o a c h . Ambio, 15(2)90-96. Howard, G. W. a n d Williams, G. J. (1982) The consequences of h y d r o e l e c t r i c power development o n t h e utilization of t h e Kafue flats. In: Proc. Nut. Sem. o n E n v i r o n m e n t a n d C h a n g e of t h e Consequences of Hydroelectric Power Development o n t h e U t i l i z a t i o n of t h e Ka&e R a t s , Lusaka 1978, University of Zambia, 159p. Howard-Williams, C. a n d Gaudet, J.J. (1979) S t r u c t u r e and function of swamps. Document p r e p a r e d f o r Societas Internationales Limnologiae, UNEP Workshop, University of Nairobi, December 1979. Hutchinson P. (1974) The climate of Zambia. &casional S t u d y , No. 7 , Zambia Geog r a p h i c a l Association, Lusaka, 95p. Jackson, P.B.N. (1961) Ichthyology. The fish of t h e middle-Zambezi. Kariba Studies. Manchester University P r e s s , 36p. Jackson, P.B.N. (1986) Fish of t h e Zambezi system. In: B.R. Davies and K.F. Walker (Eds.), 269-288. Jackson, P.B.N. and Davies, B.R. (1976) Cahora Bassa in i t s f i r s t y e a r . Some ecological a s p e c t s a n d comparisons. The R h o d e s i a Science News, 10(5)128-133. Jackson, P.B.N. and Rogers, K.H. (1976) Cahora Bassa fish populations b e f o r e and during t h e f i r s t filling phase. Zoologica Aj'ricana, 11(2)373-397. Kabell, T.C. (1984) Sediment s t o r a g e requirements f o r r e s e r v o i r s . In: "Challenges in African Hydrology a n d Water Resources", IAHS Publications, No. 144, 569-576. Kenmuir, D.H.S. (1975) S a r d i n e s in Cabora Bassa lake? New S c i e n t i s t , 65, 379-380. Kenmuir, D.H.S. (1982) Fish production p r o s p e c t s in Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe Agric. J., 79,ll-17. Kenmuir, D.H.S. (1984) Fish population changes in t h e Sanyati basin, Lake Kariba, Zimbabwe. S o u t h Aj'rican J. Zool., 19(3)194-209. Kiele, A.C. (1982) I r r i g a t i o n development a n d t h e Kafue flats. In: Proc. Nut. Sem. o n E n v i r o n m e n t a n d C h a n g e of t h e Consequences of H y d r o e l e c t r i c Power Development o n t h e U t i l i z a t i o n of t h e Ka&e R a t s , Lusaka 1978, University of Zambia, 69-73. King, R.D. and Lee, R.E. (1974) The e f f e c t of r i v e r flooding on t h e Mwenda River mouth, Lake Kariba, Rhodesia. Arch. Hydrobiol., 74, 32-38. King, R.D. a n d Thomas, D.P. (1985) Environmental conditions and phytoplankton in t h e Mwenda River, a small intermittent r i v e r flowing into l a k e Kariba. Hydrob t o l o g i a , 126(1)81-89. Kovacs, I. and David, L. (1977) Joint use of international w a t e r r e s o u r c e s . Ambio, 6(1)87-90. Lagler, K.F., Kapetsky, J.M. a n d S t e w a r t , D.J. (1971) The Fisheries of t h e Kafue River Flats, Zambia, in Relation t o t h e Kafue Gorge Dam. FAO-UN, University of Michigan, 161p. Machena, C. and F a i r , P . (1986) Comparison of fish yields from prediction models between l a k e s Tanganyika a n d Kariba. Hydrobiologia, 137, 29-32. Magadza, C.H.D. (1986) Conflicts of r e s o u r c e u s e on t h e Lake Kariba environs. Nature a n d Resources, XW(4)2-12. Marshall, B.E. a n d Falconer, A.C. (1973a) Physico-chemical a s p e c t s of l a k e McIlwaine (Rhodesia), a e u t r o p h i c t r o p i c a l impoundment. Hydrobiologia, 42, 45-62. Marshall, B.E. a n d Falconer, A.C. (1973b) Eutrophication of a t r o p i c a l African impoundment (Lake McIlwaine, Rhodesia). Hydrobiologia, 43, 109-123. Marshall, B.E. and J u n o r , F. J.R. (1981) The decline of S a l v i n i a molesta on Lake Kariba. Hydrobiologia, (83)477-484. Marshall, B.E., J u n o r , F. J.R. a n d Langerman, J.D. (1982) F i s h e r i e s a n d fish production o n t h e Zimbabwean s i d e of Lake Kariba. Kariba S t u d i e s , 1 0 , 175-231. McLachlan, A.J. (1969) The e f f e c t of aquatic macrophytes on t h e v a r i e t y and abund a n c e of benthic fauna in t h e newly c r e a t e d l a k e in t h e t r o p i c s (Lake Kariba). Arch. H;ydrobiol., 66, 212-231. McLachlan, A.J. (1970a) Some e f f e c t s on t h e annual fluctuations of water level on t h e l a r v a l chironomid communities of Lake Kariba. J. Anim. Ecol., 39, 79-90. McLachlan, A.J. (1970b) Submerged trees as a s u b s t r a t a f o r benthic fauna in t h e r e c e n t l y - c r e a t e d Lake Kariba (Central Africa). J. Appl. Ecol., 7 , 253-266. McLachlan, A.J. (1974) Development of some l a k e ecosystems in t r o p i c a l Africa with s p e c i a l r e f e r e n c e to t h e i n v e r t e b r a t e s . Biol. Rev., 49, 365-397. Mitchell, D.S. (1973) Supply of plant n u t r i e n t chemicals in Lake Kariba. In: W.C. Ackermann, G.F. White and E.B. Worthington (Eds. ) "Man-made Lakes: Their Problems and Environmental Effects", 165-169. Mitchell, D.S. and Marshall, B.E. (1974) Hydrobiological o b s e r v a t i o n s on t h r e e Rhodesian r e s e r v o i r s . Fresh. Biol., 4, 61-72. Mtada, O.S.M. (1987) The influence of t h e r m a l s t r a t i f i c a t i o n on pelagic fish yields in Lake Kariba, Zambia, Zimbabwe. J. fish Biol., 30(2)127-133. Mumeka, A. (1986) Effect of deforestation and subsistence a g r i c u l t u r e on runoff of t h e Kafue r i v e r headwaters, Zambia. Hydrol. Sci. J., 31(4-12)543-554. Muyanga, E.D. and Chipundu, P.M. (1982) A s h o r t review of t h e Kafue f l a t s f i s h e r y , from 1 9 6 8 to 1978. Proc. Nat. Sem. o n Environment a n d Change of the Consequences of Hydroelectric Power Development o n the U t i l i z a t i o n of the KqTue m a t s , Lusaka 1978, University of Zambia, 105-113. Mwenya, A.N. a n d Kaweche, G.B. (1982) Wildlife conservation in t h e Kafue f l a t s in t h e light of h y d r o e l e c t r i c development. Proc. Nat. Sem. o n Environment a n d Change of the Consequences of Hydroelectric Power Development o n the Utili z a t i o n of the Kr&e m a t s , Lusaka 1978, University of Zambia, 129-135. P e t e r s e n , R.C. jr., Lauge Madsen, B. Wilzbach, M.A., Magadza, C.H.D., P a a r l b e r g , A., Kullberg, A. and Cummins, K.W. (1987) S t r e a m management: emerging glob a l similarities. Ambio, 16(4)166-179. P i k e , J.R. (1982) Nakambala a n d t h e Kafue flats. Proc. Nat. Sem. o n Environment a n d Change of the Consequences ofH;ydroelectric Power Development o n the U t i l i z a t i o n of the K-e m a t s , Lusaka 1978, University of Zambia, 75-79. Pinay, G. and Decamps, H. (1988) The r o l e of r i p a r i a n w o o d s in regulating nitrogen fluxes between t h e alluvial a q u i f e r and s u r f a c e water: a conceptual model. Regulated R i v e r s , 2 (forthcoming). Pinay, G., Salewicz, K.A. and Kovacs, G. (1988) An a t t e m p t to f a c i l i t a t e water management issues in t h e Zambezi r i v e r basin using decision s u p p o r t systems. Regulated R i v e r s (forthcoming). P i t t , J.D. a n d Thompson, G. (1984) The impact of sediment o n r e s e r v o i r life. In: "Challenges in African Hydrology and Water Resources", IAHS Publications NO. 1 4 4 , 541-548. Puzo, W. (1978) P a t t e r n s of man-land relations. In: M.J.A. Werger and A.C. van Bruggen (Eds.) ' T h e Biogeography and Ecology of S o u t h e r n Africa, 1049-1112. Ramberg, L. Bjorkramberg, S , Kautsky, N. and Machena, C. (1987) Development and biological s t a t u s of Lake Kariba. A man-made t r o p i c a l lake. Ambio, 16(6)314-321. Rees, W.A. (1978a) Do t h e dams s p e l l d i s a s t e r f o r t h e Kafue lechwe? Oryz,231-234 Rees, W.A. (1978b) Ecology of Kafue lechwe. Soils, water levels and vegetation. J. Appl. Ecol., 15(1)163-176. R e e s , W.A. ( 1 9 7 8 ~ )The ecology of t h e Kafue lechwe: t h e food supply. J. Appl. Ecol., 15, 177-191. Rees, W.A. (1978d) The ecology of t h e Kafue lechwe: i t s nutritional s t a t u s and h e r b a g e intake. J. Appl. Ecol., 15, 193-203. R e e s , W.A. (1978e) The ecology of t h e Kafue lechwe: as a f f e c t e d by t h e Kafue Gorge h y d r o e l e c t r i c scheme. J. Appl. Ecol., 15, 205-217. Rzoska, J . (1966) The biology of r e s e r v o i r s in t h e USSR. In: L. McConnel and R.M. (Eds.) "Man-Made Lakes". Academic P r e s s , London. S a l t e r , L.F. (1978-79) A study of t h e runoff of f e r t i l i z e r s from a g r i c u l t u r a l land on t h e Kafue f l a t s , Zambia. Zambian Geog. J., 33-34, 95-103. S a l t e r , L.F. (1985) Preliminary study of water quality in t h e Kafue f l a t s , Zambia. S u i d &'rikaanse m d s k r i g vir Wetanskap, 81, 529-531. Schulze, R.E. and O.S. McGee (1978) Climatic indices o n classifications in r e l a t i o n to t h e biogeography of S o u t h e r n Africa. In: M.J. Werger and A.C. van Bruggen (Eds.) "Biogeography a n d Ecology of S o u t h e r n Africa", W. Junk P u b l i s h e r s , The Hague, 19-52. S h e p p e , W.A. (1982) E f f e c t s of human a c t i v i t i e s on Zambia's Kafue f l a t s ecosystems. Environmental C o n s e r v a t i o n , 12(1)49-57. S h e p p e , W.A. (1985) E f f e c t s of human a c t i v i t i e s on Zambia's Kafue f l a t s ecosystems. E n v i r o n . Conserv., 12(1)49-57. Simons, D.B. (1979) E f f e c t s of s t r e a m regulation on channel morphology. In: J.V. Ward and J.A. S t a n f o r d (Eds.) ' T h e Ecology of Regulated Rivers", 95-111. Stocking, M. and Elwell. H.A. (1973) Soil erosion h a z a r d in Rhodesia. Rhodesia Agric. J . , 70(4)93-101. Taylor, R.D. (1982) Buffer zones? Resolving t h e conflict between human and wildlife i n t e r e s t s in t h e Sebungwe region. Zimbabwe Agric. J., 7 9 , 179-184. Tinley, K. (1975) Marromeu wrecked by t h e big dam. &'rican Wildltge, 29(2)22-25. UN (1972) World S u r v e y Supplies 1961-1970. UN S t a t i s t i c a l P a p e r s , S e r i e s J , N o . 1 5 , 373p. UN (1983) Yearbook of World Energy S t a t i s t i c s . UN S t a t i s t i c a l P a p e r , S e r i e s J , N o . 25, 783p. UN (1987) E n e r g y S t a t i s t i c s Yearbook. UN S t a t i s t i c a l P a p e r , S e r i e s J , No. 2 9 , 437p. UNEP (1986a) Diagonistic study o n t h e p r e s e n t state of ecology a n d t h e environmental management of t h e common Zambezi r i v e r system. UNEP/WG/147.2, 90p. UNEP (1986b) Assessment of t h e p r e s e n t a n d f u t u r e a c t i v i t i e s r e l a t e d to t h e Zambezi Action Plan. UNEP Mission of E x p e r t s to t h e Zambezi Countries, 115p. Vieira, M.C. (1961) Rio Zambeze esquema p a r a a o r g a n i z a c a o d e um sistema d e a v i s o d e c h e i a s e m Mocambique. Boletim d e Sociedade d e s Estudos d e Mocambique, 126, 1-7. Walter, H., Harnickell, E. a n d Mueller-Dombois, D. (1975) Climate diagram maps of t h e individual c o n t i n e n t s a n d t h e ecological climatic r e g i o n s of t h e e a r t h . Supplement to t h e Vegetation Monographs, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 36p. Welcomme, R.L. (1977) Some f a c t o r s affecting t h e c a t c h of t r o p i c a l r i v e r f i s h e r i e s . In: "Symposium on R i v e r a n d Floodplain F i s h e r i e s in Africa", Bujumbwa, CIFA Technical R e p o r t , No. 5 , 266-275. Wetzel, R.G. (1975) Limnology. W.B. S a u b e r s Co., 743p. White, E. (1973) Zambia's Kafue h y d r o e l e c t r i c scheme a n d i t s biological problems. In: W.C. Ackermann, G.F. White and E.B. Worthington (Eds.) "Man-Made Lakes: T h e i r Problems a n d Environmental Effects", 620-628. White, W.R. a n d Bettess, R. (1984) The feasibility of flushing sediments t h r o u g h r e s e r v o i r s . In: "Challenges in African Hydrology a n d Water Resources", IAHS Publications, No. 144, 577-587. Williams, R. (1971) Fish ecology of t h e Kafue r i v e r a n d floodplain environment. fish. Res. Bull. Zambia, 5, 305-330. Wilson, B.H. and Dincer, T. (1976) An introduction to t h e hydrology a n d h y d r o g r a phy of t h e Okavango d e l t a . In: Proc. of the S y m p o s i u m on Okavango Delta a n d i t s F'uture U t i l i z a t i o n , Gaborone, Botswana, 33-47. Annex I. Technical Details o n t h e Main Impoundments of t h e Zambezi D r a i n a g e Basin (Bolton, 1983). Karibn - C d ~ o r al{nss;~ Cmstructim cam~nced lrprnmdinq c-nced .K-; , luc ~ L . , I I I D;,m Kafue Iiorqe I)ouq -11 I?.~II IJCI. 1 ' 1 7 ~ ~ Sept 1969 Dec 1974 .July 1955 k c 1950 1967 1970 cupola arch concrete cupola arch concrete gravity earth-rockri I 1 197 1 D m details Type ktcrial I h x ~ n u nh e i c p t (m) Crest l e n g t h (rn) Volune o f d m (m' x 10') Hock excevation underqround (m' x 1 0 ' ) 0;*n c r e s t a l t i t u d e (10 1l.D. 5+illway c a p a c i t y ( m 9 / s ) l(33 X)3 550 1100 331.0 13950 ( a t 329 m) 131 50 633 375 975 1200 580 + 320. 489.5 981.5 9500 ( a t 409 m) 4250 y r : ~ vtl ) e a r t l n - r u ~ k 11 f I 0 ,' 1tNln U5llfl !I lfl11.5 421li1 -- Reservoir d e t a ~ l s Storoqe c a p a c i t y : l l v e ( d m 10'1 dead r lood total Surfoce m e n , normal o p e r a t i o n (km') H r ~ x i n ml e n q t h ( k a ) Muxinun p r o j e c t e d drawdown (rn) - v i ~ l wnot known; iw1udt:s ** tlie N o r t h Il;lnk Powcr 5 l ; t t l o n ; includes p a r t i a l l n u n d a l ~ o nu r 1111 K.tlue f l i ~ l s . Knr~ba - Ci~bor:i flason K;tl KofueraryeDano tor ! k l d ~ L t , ~Dam h~ Ilydrolo~~y Cutchnent oren ( k a g x 1 0 ' ) Q111rnr.. ue;m amon1 i n f l o w (m' x l f l ' ) 4pl1rou. min. ret)ul;~ted flow (III'/S) l k ~ x i m u nunretjuleted flow (m3/s) t l i r ~ i r m nunrequlated flow (cnS/s) 1OUU 84 • 2lOfl 3flD00 Power G e n e r a t ~ m Cahora nosria South l u r b l n e Lype Nupber o f sets Connerci;~l 1-r oveilnble H i ~ t e dt r r t ~ u tp e r s e t (Md) l b r i m w n t u r b i n e d ~ s c h a r g e(rn1/o) ( C l x ~ u mqrovs head (m) IkneraLor output n t 50 llz (kV) Power f a r t o r V e r t i c a l Francis b i n r i p a l t r ; ~ n s m i s s i m v o l t : ~ q e (kV) I'rojected cnertly p o L e n t i a l (IWh/yr) Projected u l t i o t c upar*t¶ - v i ~ l u en o t Lmo*n; 6 50 52 1500 160n0 ( i n 1950) 2Un ( i n 1949) am 5 K n r i l ~ aSouth Knri11.1 N t , r t l ~ V e r t i c a l Franc15 4 1976 150 200 1on 10 0.9 6 March 1977 Oec 1959 415 452 1 2U 111 0.U5 111" 140 110 10 0.9 f>33 (d.c.) 10.5 (99:. p r o b ) 20.5 (95% p r o b ) 3non a l l m ~ n qf o r c v a ( ~ t ) r a t l o na t Kar~b:>; 150 10 180 2400 10 ** 330' (a.c. over 111 - 1 5 ~ 0 i8on o r i q i n n l l y r a t e d e t 100 IM V r r t l c a l Francis 4 2 Annex 11. (1) Details of the Cahora Bassa Dam (Bolton, 1983; Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). JSE Annex 11. (2) Hydraulic c e n t r a l c i r c u i t and technica! d e t a i l s of t h e C a h o r a Bassa (Bolton, 1983;Bernacsek a n d Lopes, 1984). HYDRAULIC CENTRAL CIRCUIT JiEX TECHNICAL DATA FOR CAHORA RASSA DM Ah3 SOUTH SHOOE POhTR STATION Geographical p o s i t i o n 15035'S; 32044'E Date of c l o s u r e 5 December 1974 Dam v a l l C r e s t h e i g h t above r i v e r b e d Uaximum t h i c k n e r r of f o u n d a t i o n Uinimum t h i c k n e s r of v r l l ( n e a r c r e r t ) Volume of c o n c r e t e ured Flood ( r l u i c e ) g a t e 1 Number D i r c h a r ~ ec a p a c i t y of r i n g 1 8 s l u i c e ate ( a t 326.00 m.a.r.1.) T o t a l d i s c h a r 8 e c a p a c i t y of e i g h t r l u i c e g a t e r ( a t 326.00 m.a.r.1.) Spill (flap) gate Discharge c a p a c i t y ( a t 326.00 m.a.s.1.) Turbines Number Generating c a p a c i t y of r i n g l e t u r b i n e Norm1 t o t a l g e n e r a t i n g c a p a c i t y (4 turbine11 Haximum t o t a l g e n e r a t i n g c a p a c i t y (5 t u r b i n e s ) Design rpeed of t u r b i n e C r o r r head t o t u r b i n e r Flow t o s i n g l e t u r b i n e Normal t o t a l t u r b i n a t e d flow (4 turbine11 Haximum t o t a l t u r b i n a r e d f l w (5 t u r b i n e r ) T o t a l m.aximm d i s c h a r g e c a p a c i t y of dam and power s t a t i o n ( a t 326.00 m.a.s.1.) 5 (4 o p e r a t i o n a l + rtandby) 415 nu I 660 Wv 2 075 UW 107.1 RPM ( c o n r t a n t ) 103.5 m L(0 m'lrec 1 840 m J / r c c 2-300 3I n e c Annex 11. (3.1) Hydrological data for the Cahora Bassa 19'74-19'76 (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). '(~96~; 'sad07 pue yasaeu 'I1 XauuV -JW) 8,!,6T-L,!,61 EssE€i eJoqe3 ar17 JoJ e7eQl e ~ ! a o l o J Q ~ (2'~) H Annex 11. (3.3) Hydrological data for the Cahora Bassa 1979-1980 (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). nmotmIcu DATA ra wau M:sr u : s t n v o ~ ~ I919 Annex 11. (3.4) Hydrological data for the Cahora Bassa 1981-1982 (Bernacsek and Lopes, 1984). W T D R O U Y l C U DATA TQ r.brwv Ib 114.11 1 a81 I lIb.70 2 012 Ib 1II.M 2 051 m 111.C. PI 4 uin 2 M ? WrYI U S S A NSCRVOIR 1981 I o.oa 1.0 1.b5 1.0 1 ,&I 3.Y 0.09 1.0 1.59 1.5 1 Ill 1 I 1.11 1.b) 1.90 I1 11 I 1 Z6'iZ 9 cs.:z 6l"Z I LS'IZ :6'0Z PZ'OZ (9'61 12.61 99'81 19'01 16'11 5S'LI Qi'Ll 99'91 09'91 70'91 05'51 (=) 750 C ,I0 C 716 Z 568 Z @I82 171 2 599 Z I65 2 115 Z 577 2 ElC 2 COC Z ECZ Z 591 2 860 Z ICJ 2 996 1 i06 I 6C9 I .010 000 OW OSZ 005 000 -051 005 005 SZI OSL rUZE 000 0.10 5SZ 052 ,079 005 005 ('=I) ( 01 89 19 79 I9 65 55 25 61 17 77 E7 01 BC 9C 7E ZE OE 8Z amlor a..~,n, 1.101 ZI'SI 11'71 BZ'7l Z9'CI 9I'CI 59'11 OI'ZI IL'II 16'111 BC'OL 69'6 FE'6 79'8 ZZ'O SC'L 90'1 7C'P Z5.5 1L.7 ('t.¶...rn) 1aAaI ra1.n L='V .a>. 1 00' ICC OS'OCC OO'OCC OJ'6ZC OO'BZC 0 0 ' 1ZC 00'9ZC OO'FZC OO'7ZC 0O'C:C OO'ZZC OO'IZC OO'OZC 00'6IC 00'81C OO'LIC 00'91C UO'SIC 00'7IC LLL 91L 959 16s 6CS LO7 927 I1C LIC 592 CIZ C9l CII 590 ILO I16 9i6 189 8C8 . ( 1 qldap u*W $10 052 -079 051 052 051 052 -090 SLC SZI 000 519 -079 05L 518 519 518 -599 0000 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I I L 92 SL CZ I2 02 91 LI 91 71 CI 21 01 6 9 1 9 5 7 1 W'CIC OO'ZIC OO'LIC OO'OIC 00' 60C 00'90C 00'10C 00'90C W'SM W'WC W'COC OO'ZOC 0 0 ' IOC W'WC 00'66Z 0 0 ' 962 00'162 00'962 00'562 (-1-s.m-m) ('=I) (I-) ma13 '3*;sns 970 C ZCO f OCO C ZZO C 710 C 0 C 866 Z 066 Z 286 Z 750 C 716 Z 996 Z 888 Z 018Z CCLZ 859 1 856 Z 088 Z 2082 9iLZ OF9 Z 056 Z il8 2 56LZ 8112 C79 1 E76 Z 798 Z L81Z I l l 2 5C9 Z 5E6 2 958 Z 61LZ COLZ 829 Z L16 Z 678 Z Z11Z 969Z li9 Z 616 Z I18 Z 79LZ 889Z (19 Z I16 Z CC9 Z 9F1Z 0891 909 Z E06 Z 5ZB Z 67LZ CL9Z 865 Z C85 015 8C7 99C 96: Z Z Z Z Z 915 COi OC7 6 682 Z Z Z Z Z 695 567 CZ7 ZSC 282 Z Z Z 2 195 887 917 57E SLZ 755 187 607 9CC 89t Z Z Z Z L75 717 LO7 ICC 19Z Z Z Z Z 2 6E5 997 56C 7;:C 751 Z Z Z Z T ZCS 657 LBC LIE 172 Z Z Z Z Z Fi5 Z57 O8C OLE O7Z 968 CC8 ILL OIL 059 1 688 928 79L M1 779 I (88 OZB 851 169 8C9 I 018 8U9 97L 589 9Z9 1 I I 1 798 I08 07L 619 GZ9 1 I I 858 56L 7CL CL9 719 1 L I ! 1 158 68L 8Z1 199 809 I L 1 I 1 578 C8L 1 Z99 i09 I I I 1 I I 1 1 L I I I 1 118 718 iSL 169 ZC9 i .7 Z Z Z I I I 1 L L I 1 08Z 6ZZ 811 821 610 5LZ Z Cll CZI 710 0LZ 81Z 891 811 690 59Z CIZ (91 CII 590 C Z I I I I I I 1 I I I 550 1 800 1 296 L16 050 1 COO 1 156 Z16 570 I 866 (56 806 I70 I 766 876 E06 9C0 I 686 776 668 6 0 8.0 1'0 9.0 5.0 7.U r I l r x u o j uo!l.nba I I I I 982 7CZ (81 CCl 780 I I I 090 I :I3 1 996 6 ,(q-x) 6C8 LLL 911 959 165 16Z 6 881 8C1 680 9 772 (61 (71 760 eU' 1 I ' T7C I ZOC 67Z 861 871 860 I 7 C Z I 0C ; 6 8 1 9 5OC LOC 752 COZ (51 COI I I Z Z Z Z I ZIE 09Z 802 851 I L15 577 CLE EOC CCZ 6CS I 787 I 9Z7 I ILCI LIC I 195 1 015 I 757 I 86CI 1 I Z Z Z Z Z 1 9 FZC 775 1 187 1 LC7 1 LLCI I C CLS I 915 1 657 I 7071 O5C I I 1 1 I 055 I (67 1 LC7 I ZBCI #LC I 615 I li5 I 9 7 I 6U71 F<C I 1 I I I 1 6 8 955 I 667 L (77 1 18Cl CCC 1 585 I 1Z5 I 117 I 5171 09C I I I 1 568 Z 818 Z I7LZ 599Z I65 Z 295 1 LO5 1 877 1 C6C1 6CC I I u! mr C1856'I I 1 I I I LC0 I 586 6Cb 768 C ' O (5'95Z . I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 1 I I 1 ZZO 1 516 OC6 988 110 I I16 9i6 188 i.0 1'0 0.0 • 7 I LZ0 I 086 7Cb 068 - I a f i a l ) 8C159'O I 1 7 C Z I OlC I65 I CC5 I 917 1 0271 99C I I I CCC 8 1 9 1 / 1 1 II , 11 1 IJ"a.1 a'.llnS .(886~'sad07 pue y a s ~ e u J a g )slaAa1 Jalem s n o y m 78 JloAJasaJ essea z l o q e 3 aq7 JO q ~ d a pueau pue PeJe a ~ e j d n s'aunloa ~ q o (l 9 ) -11 xauuv - 9TT -
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz