Timing of shedding seeds and cones, and production in different stands of Scots pines at Abernethy Forest, Scotland R.W. SUMMERS* and R. PROCTOR Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, North Scotland Office, Etive House, Beechwood Park, Inverness IV2 3BW, Scotland * Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] Summary A study was carried out over 11 seed years on the timing of shedding of seeds and cones, and annual seed fall and cone production in three stands of native Scots pinewood and a Scots pine plantation in Abernethy Forest, Scotland. Peaks in seed fall took place mainly in May, and cones were shed mainly between June and August. There were few residual seeds remaining in shed cones. Synchronized peaks in seed fall and cone production (mast years) took place at 3-year intervals across the different stands. The difference between cohorts of high and low cone production ranged from factors of 5 to 20 among sites. Coefficients of variation for cone production ranged from 62 to 84 per cent among sites. There were no significant differences in cone production among sites, but there were site-related differences in seed fall. The larger canopy cover in the plantation probably accounted for the higher seed fall per square metre there, though variations in the amount of seed eaten by birds and mammals may also have been important. Canopy cover needs to be considered when converting cone densities under crowns to cone density per unit of woodland area. A similar calculation is difficult for seeds because they are lighter than cones and many fall outside the area under the crowns. The results are discussed in relation to the potential for tree regeneration and the availability of food for birds and mammals prior to seed dispersal. Introduction A forest of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) and birches (Betula spp.) once spread across Highland Scotland, but a recent survey showed that this woodland had been reduced in size to 84 scattered woods totalling 17 882 ha (Bennett, 1984; Jones, © Institute of Chartered Foresters, 2005. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] 1999). Despite the loss of so much pinewood, the remaining fragments are still of high conservation interest because of their high biodiversity (Anon. 1995). Many now have legal protection through designations such as Sites of Special Scientific Interest and National Nature Reserves (Warren, 2002), or have become Caledonian Forestry, Vol. 78, No. 5, 2005. doi:10.1093/forestry/cpi047 Advance Access publication date 8 August 2005 542 FORESTRY Forest Reserves under the management of Forestry Commission Scotland (Hamilton, 1995). There was concern that poor tree regeneration in many of the ancient native pinewoods was due to poor production of viable seeds from old trees (McIntosh and Henman, 1981). However, this fear was unfounded (Nixon and Cameron, 1994) and browsing by large numbers of deer and sheep appeared to be more important in limiting tree regeneration (Steven and Carlisle, 1959, p. 83; Scott et al., 2000). Nevertheless, good seed production is required to ensure the continuity of the native pinewoods. Conifer seeds are produced within protective woody cones, which shed the mature seeds when the scales of the dehiscent cones open out. The largely empty cones are then shed later. Seed production from conifers varies seasonally and annually (Gordon and Faulkner, 1992). Years of high seed production (‘mast’ years) are likely to be the ones that lead to seedling establishment because seed-eaters are satiated by the abundance of food and are unable to consume much of the production (Kelly and Sork, 2002). In Britain, seed eating takes place while the seeds are still within the cones (pre-seed dispersal) by crossbills (Loxia spp.), other finches (Fringillidae), tits (Parus spp.), great spotted woodpeckers (Dendrocopos major (L.)) and red squirrels (Sciurus vulgaris L.), whilst seed eating after seed dispersal is carried out by finches, microtine rodents, ants (Formicidae) and beetles (Coleoptera) (Steven and Carlisle, 1959; Smith and Balda, 1979). The seasonality and size of the annual fluctuations in production will have a bearing on the abundance, time of breeding, movements and survival of many animals, particularly seed specialists such as crossbills (Reinikainen, 1937; Summers, 1999). If we are to understand the population dynamics of pinewood birds and mammals, and the Scots pine itself, it is necessary to assess cone and seed production. In this paper, we made assessments of seed fall and cone production over 11 years at three sites within an ancient native pinewood in Scotland, and compared these with an area of Scots pine plantation. This provided data on the frequency of years for potential tree regeneration and estimates of the temporal (seasonal and annual) and spatial variation in the food availability for seedeating birds and mammals. Methods The study was carried out over 11 seed years (1992–2002) at Abernethy Forest (57° 15′ N, 3° 40′ W), the largest remaining fragment of ancient native pinewood in Scotland. Four sites were selected, three in stands of ancient native pinewood (Ice Wood, grid reference NJ0213; Bognacruie, NJ0414; and Memorial Wood, NJ0113) and one area of plantation woodland (Tore Hill, NH9917). The tree species in these areas were almost entirely Scots pine; the native stands were of local origin and the plantation grown from seeds of local provenance. The stands in Ice Wood and Bognacruie were old, open forest, characterized by trees with a median height of 13 m, diameter at breast height (d.b.h.) of 57 cm and density of 160 trees ha- 1 . The stands in Memorial Wood were high crown trees (median height of 19 m, d.b.h. of 44 cm and tree density of 320 ha- 1 ). The trees on Tore Hill were at the pole-stage of growth (median height of 15 m, d.b.h. of 28 cm and tree density of 570 ha- 1 ) having been planted in 1932 (Summers et al., 1997). Fifteen trees were systematically selected at 50–100 m intervals along 1–2 km transects set through each of the four sites. All or a segment of the area under the crown and out to the edge of the crown was demarcated on the ground (defined as a plot), and cleared of shrubs, twigs, branches and old cones. The first collection was in February 1992, so that the few cones of the 1992 cohort that may have fallen prior to this date may have been discarded, though an attempt was made to identify these. The average plot size was 8.2 m2 (range 1.9–33.6 m2). At the end of each month, the plots were visited and the cones that had accumulated within the demarcated areas were removed, allotted to a given cohort (defined as the year of shedding seed) and counted. The allocation of cones to cohorts was based on comparisons with cones still on the trees, where their positions relative to the whorls of branches and hence years could be assessed. The fallen cones included those that had been removed by crossbills and red squirrels to extract seeds and then dropped from the crown, as well as those shed by the trees. The collection of cones from a given cohort started in July of the year prior to shedding seed, to June of the year after shedding seed (i.e. 24 months over three calendar years) (Table 1). TIMING OF SCOTS PINE SEED AND CONE PRODUCTION 543 Table 1: The timing of collections of cones for the 1999 cohort Calendar year and month 1998 J A S O N D J F M A 1999 M J J 2000 A S Cone month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Cones older than this date were ignored. Old cones could be identified if they were grey and had lichens growing on them. Although cone and seed production will be highly correlated, cone production and seed fall need not be, because seed fall represents that part of the seed production that is not eaten prior to seed dispersal. Falling seeds were collected by setting seed traps (plastic pots 35 cm high and 40.5 cm in diameter) under or by five equidistantly spaced trees of the 15 trees in each site, from February to September each year, though some months were missed in the early years of the study. However, additional trapping was carried out throughout the winters of 1996/7 and 1997/8 to determine if there was any winter seed fall. The mouths of pots had an area of 0.13 m2 and a muslin cone was tied inside to catch falling seeds and other debris. The seed fall referred only to those seeds shed from cones, so did not include those taken by seed-eaters prior to seed dispersal. The seeds lost to birds and mammals included those in cones that were removed and dropped plus those taken from between scales when the attached cones were partially dehiscent. In order to count the number of seeds that were not shed from cones or not eaten, four fallen cones from the 2003 cohort were collected in July 2003 under the crowns of 10 of the study trees in the four sites. Cones were heated in an oven until the scales opened and the gaps between scales were searched for residual seeds. The small proximal scales do not part, so some seeds may have remained trapped between scales and not counted. Canopy cover was assessed at the 15 study trees in the four sites. A grid of 25 points was set out over an area of 20 × 20 m (5 m between points) centred on the study tree. At each point, the presence or absence of canopy directly above the observer (checked with a clinometer) was noted and the percentage cover calculated. O N D J F M A M J 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Analysis Means of the counts of seeds and cones were used to describe the patterns for each cohort (by month and the total). However, for testing the effects of site and cohort, Poisson regression models (log link function) were fitted to the data. In each model, the dependent variable was the total number of seeds or cones produced by each tree and for each cohort, and the independent factors were site and cohort. Because the collecting areas under the trees varied, log area was used as an offset variable when modelling cone numbers. A scale parameter using Pearson’s χ2 divided by the residual degrees of freedom accounted for over-dispersion (Crawley, 1993). The coefficient of variation (CV) in seed fall and cone production was used to express variability (Kelly, 1994). Counts of residual seeds from four fallen cones were summed for each tree, and a Poisson regression model fitted to the total number of seeds collected from each tree. The site effect was then examined. Over-dispersion was accounted for, as above. Results Seed fall The average density of seeds intercepted by the seed traps each month between February and September is shown in Figure 1, excluding years with low seed fall. During the early years (1993– 1995), seed trapping was not always carried out during February, March and September, but it was clear from the later years that few seeds fell then. Likewise, when trapping was continued through winters 1996/7 and 1997/8, very few seeds shed then, confirming that spring was the time when most seeds were shed. 544 FORESTRY Figure 1. Variations in the density of seeds (number for a given cohort per m2 of forest floor) falling in seed traps each month at four sites in Abernethy Forest: Ice Wood = filled diamonds; Bognacruie = open circles; Memorial Wood = filled triangles; Tore Hill = open squares. The year of seeding (cohort) is shown for each figure. Cohorts with poor seed fall are not shown. Note the different scales on the y-axes. In most years, the peak in seed fall took place in May and high seed fall often extended into June. In 1994 and 1998, the peak was in either May or June. In all years apart from 2000, seed fall was greater at the plantation on Tore Hill than at the other sites (Figure 1). The mean density of seeds shed by different cohorts is shown in Figure 2. Peaks in seed fall (mast years) took place in 1994, 1997 and 2000, and this was synchronous for the four sites. This was confirmed in six pair-wise comparisons among the four sites. The Pearson correlation coefficients ranged from 0.817 (P = 0.002) to 0.985 (P < 0.001). However, within the Poisson regression model, which included the combined effects of cohort, site and their interaction, there were significant differences in seed fall among sites (χ2 = 279, d.f. = 3, P < 0.001) as well as cohorts (χ2 = 1355, d.f. = 10, P < 0.001), and a significant interaction between site and cohort (χ2 = 85, d.f. = 30, P < 0.001). It was notable that the seed density was highest for Tore Hill, the plantation wood, but in 2002, there was poor seed fall at this site relative to the other woods, accounting for the interaction. The CVs for seed fall at the four sites were as follows: Ice Wood 107 per cent; Bognacruie 106 per cent; Memorial Wood 114 per cent; Tore Hill 99 per cent. The number of seeds retained in fallen cones was counted in freshly fallen cones in 2003 only. The majority of cones had no residual seeds, but 27 were counted in one cone (Figure 3). The median count was zero, and the mean was 1.9. There were no significant differences among the four sites in the numbers of residual seeds (χ2 = 2.33, d.f. = 3, n.s.). Cone production The average density of ground-collected cones that had been shed each month from the trees is shown in Figure 4 for different cohorts. The peak TIMING OF SCOTS PINE SEED AND CONE PRODUCTION Figure 2. Variations in the density of seeds for different cohorts (total number for a given cohort m-2 of forest floor) falling in seed traps at four sites in Abernethy Forest: Ice Wood = filled diamonds; Bognacruie = open circles; Memorial Wood = filled triangles; Tore Hill = open squares. Figure 3. Counts of residual seeds retained in fallen cones in July 2003 for all sites (n = 155). fall in cones took place in July (cone month 13) in most years, only 2 months after the peak in seed fall. However, the 2000 cohort had two peaks, in June and August. In July 2000, there were no days when the mean wind speed was over 10 knots. In contrast, such days were common to all other years. Therefore, the lack of windy days perhaps accounted for the less usual pattern of cone fall in 2000. Counts of cones for a given cohort stopped in the June after the calendar year of seeding (Table 1), leaving some cones on the trees. However, very few cones fell in the calendar year following the year of seeding (Figure 4, cone months 19–24). Therefore, the underestimate of total cone production is likely to be small. The average total density of cones (shed plus those fed on and dropped by seed-eaters) pro- 545 duced by different cohorts is shown in Figure 5. Peaks in cone production (mast years) were in 1994, 1997 and 2000, coinciding with peaks in seed fall (Figure 2). Thus, there were significant correlations between seed fall and cone production for the four sites: Ice Wood, r = 0.989, P < 0.001); Bognacruie, r = 0.943, P <0.001; Memorial Wood, r = 0.938, P < 0.001; Tore Hill, r = 0.938, P < 0.001. In addition, there was synchrony among sites in the cone production. In the six pair-wise comparisons among the four sites, Pearson correlation coefficients ranged from 0.759 (P = 0.007) to 0.963 (P <0.001). There were significant differences among cohorts (χ2 = 318, d.f. = 10, P < 0.001), but not amongst sites (χ2 = 2.9, d.f. = 3, n.s.). However, there was an interaction between site and cohort (χ2 = 45.7, d.f. = 30, P < 0.05). This was primarily due to the pattern at Tore Hill (the plantation), where the cone productivity alternated between being the most productive and least productive relative to the other sites (Figure 5). The peaks in cone production ranged from 27.1 to 39.2 cones m− 2 of ground under the crowns whilst the lows ranged from 2.0 to 5.7 cones m- 2 (Table 2). The differences between the lows and peaks ranged from a factor of 5 at Tore Hill to 20 at Ice Wood. The factors for the differences at Bognacruie and Memorial Wood were 10 and 11. The CVs in cone production for the four sites were: Ice Wood 84 per cent, Bognacruie 68 per cent, Memorial Wood 75 per cent and Tore Hill 62 per cent. Therefore, the plantation showed least variation. The CVs for cone production were also lower than for seed fall. The mean density of cones in Figure 5 refers only to the area under the crowns. However, the density of trees varied among stands leading to differing amounts of canopy cover. Estimates of mean canopy cover ranged from 44.8 per cent (SD = 13.6) and 46.1 per cent (SD = 16.4) for the two old open stands, to 52.0 per cent (SD = 10.1) for the high crown trees and 71.2 per cent (SD = 8.4) for the plantation at the pole stage of growth. Therefore, to obtain values of cone production per unit area of woodland, the mean density of cones under the crowns needs to be multiplied by the estimates of canopy cover to account for the open spaces. Table 2 shows the relevant adjustments made for years of high and low production. Thus, although the highest cone density under the crowns was in Ice Wood, the 546 FORESTRY Figure 4. Seasonal variations in the density of cones (number for a given cohort m- 2 of ground under the crowns) falling below trees at four sites in Abernethy Forest, but not dropped by seed-eating birds and mammals: Ice Wood = filled diamonds; Bognacruie = open circles; Memorial Wood = filled triangles; Tore Hill = open squares. The cone months run from July (cone month 1) in the year prior to seeding to June (cone month 24) in the year after seeding (see Table 1). The year of seeding (cohort) is shown for each figure. Cohorts with poor cone production are not shown. Note the different scales on the y-axes. low density of trees in Ice Wood meant that the overall cone density in the wood was less than in the plantation of dense trees and larger canopy cover at Tore Hill. Discussion Some studies of cone production are based on counting cones whilst still on the tree (Hagner, 1965; Gordon and Faulkner, 1992). Therefore, depending when the assessment is made, this technique may not take into account those cones that are fed upon and dropped by squirrels and crossbills. Such assessments may underestimate production. In this study, we counted fallen and dropped (fed upon) cones and were, therefore, able to account for seed-eaters, apart from any cones hoarded by red squirrels, though this Figure 5. Variations in the density of cones for different cohorts (total number for a given cohort m- 2 of ground under the crowns) falling and dropped by seed-eating birds and mammals below trees at four sites in Abernethy Forest: Ice Wood = filled diamonds; Bognacruie = open circles; Memorial Wood = filled triangles; Tore Hill = open squares. TIMING OF SCOTS PINE SEED AND CONE PRODUCTION 547 Table 2: Mean cone densities (total number for a given cohort m- 2 ) and ranges (in brackets) on the ground under the crowns of Scots pines for three cohorts of high production (1994, 1997 and 2000 cohorts) and four of low production (1992, 1996, 1999 and 2001 cohorts) at Abernethy Forest, plus adjusted densities allowing for differences in canopy cover Cone density under the crowns Site Cone density in the wood Mean Range Mean Range 39.2 27.9 27.1 27.4 (30.5–44.4) (20.9–31.9) (20.4–30.7) (23.5–32.6) 17.6 12.9 14.1 19.5 (13.7–19.9) (9.7–14.7) (10.6–16.0) (16.7–23.2) High production Ice Wood Bognacruie Memorial Wood Tore Hill Low production Ice Wood Bognacruie Memorial Wood Tore Hill 2.0 2.7 2.5 5.7 (1.2–2.9) (1.6–4.0) (1.6–3.9) (3.7–8.8) 0.9 1.2 1.3 4.1 (0.5–1.3) (0.7–1.8) (0.8–2.0) (2.6–6.3) Ice Wood, Bognacruie and Memorial Wood comprise stands of ancient native pinewood whereas Tore Hill is a plantation. appears to be rare in pinewoods (Gurnell, 1991). In addition, counts of cones on trees can achieve only a partial count, which requires multiplication by a constant (Gordon and Faulkner, 1992). This constant varies according to the location of trees, so is unsatisfactory. Our method, which involved collecting all fallen cones under the crown provides a better assessment of the production from a tree, though it is time consuming. A criticism of the method is that cones retained by the tree 1 year after shedding seed are not counted. However, this bias is likely to be small for Scots pines. For conifers that retain cones for many years (e.g. lodgepole pine Pinus contorta S.Wats.), this method is not suitable. Our results showed annual variations in cone production and seed fall at Abernethy Forest, with intervals of 3 years in peaks in production over an 11-year period. Gordon and Faulkner (1992) state that the interval between peaks in cone production by Scots pine is 2–3 years for France, though cautioned that these periods may not be applicable to Britain. However, Steven and Carlisle (1959, p. 86) indicate that it is 3–6 years for ancient native pinewood, and McVean (1963) reports 4 or 5 years. A long run (1933–1974) of qualitative assessments of cone abundance (ranging from ‘poor’ to ‘bumper’) for Scots pine woods in Strathspey showed ‘bumper’years every 2–5 years (Nethersole-Thompson, 1975). Where quantitative assessments of seeds and cones have been made, the runs of data tend to be short. For example, during 5 years at the Black Wood of Rannoch, two large falls of seed occurred 4 years apart (McIntosh and Henman, 1981). Thus, the findings of our study are in accordance with previous findings. They also showed that there was a similarity in production during mast years. We found that the cone production varied by factors of 5, 10, 11 and 20 between cohorts of high and low production at the four sites. A similar result was obtained by McNeill (1954), who found that plantation Scots pines produced 229–315 cones per tree in years of high production and 11–23 in years of low production (a factor of about 16). Kelly (1994) criticized the assessment of inter-mast periods because of the difficulty in defining mast years. The coefficient of variation is a more objective measure of the variability in production and values obtained in this study (62–84 per cent for cone production) are in the mid- to lower range for 144 woody plants (Herrera et al., 1998). In the Black Wood of Rannoch, seed densities of 300 m− 2 were recorded during two peak years (McIntosh and Henman, 1981). This was higher than the peak densities recorded in the ancient native stands at Abernethy Forest (150–250 seeds m− 2 ), but not as high as in the plantation 548 FORESTRY (over 400 seeds m− 2 ). Differences in canopy cover may have accounted partly for the differences in seed density between the different forests and among stand types at Abernethy Forest. Whilst many of the trapped seeds will have come from the crown above the traps, there will also have been seeds falling diagonally from neighbouring trees (McVean, 1963), and this effect will have been greater in the plantation where the canopy cover was greater. In addition, the cone sizes from the plantation are larger than from the older stands, and larger cones contain more seeds (Summers and Proctor, 1999). This too may have influenced the differences in seed fall in the different stands. Finally, it is possible that differences in losses due to seed-eaters among sites affected the number of seeds being shed. Cone production and seed fall showed similar patterns for the different cohorts. The seed fall referred to the portion not taken by seed-eaters prior to seed dispersal. Clearly, the level of seed consumption prior to seed dispersal was insufficient to disrupt the pattern as seen in the production of cones (Figures 2 and 5). It was notable, however, that the CVs for seed fall were greater than for cone production. If seed-eaters took proportionately more seeds in years with low cone production, this would lead to greater interannual variability in seed fall. The annual variations in cone production are believed to be influenced by the weather during the time of cone bud initiation and pollination (Gordon and Faulkner, 1992). However, responses to weather are believed to be proximate triggers, synchronizing the annual variations in seed production so that seed-eaters are swamped in mast years, or pollination efficiency is increased (Kelly and Sork, 2002). Other potentially ultimate causes are reviewed by Kelly (1994). mast years do not coincide with ground preparation. With a periodicity of 3 years between mast years, it is likely that the timing of seed bed preparation is not critical if trying to encourage tree regeneration, unless the site has a lot of grass. The seeds were largely shed from the cones over a 2-month period leaving no or a few residual seeds in the cones, at least in 1 year (Figure 3), and the cones were then shed mainly in July. Thus, the food available to crossbills and red squirrels declines rapidly during the summer. Red squirrels can switch to other food (e.g. fungi and berries) (Gurnell, 1991) before the next cohort of cones becomes available towards the end of July (Summers and Proctor, 1999). Crossbills, on the other hand, are more dependent on conifer seeds, so would need to switch to other conifers to avoid the summer shortage of Scots pine seeds. The shortage may be prolonged if a year of low cone production follows a year of high production. Also, given that the stands at four sites had coincident levels of production, it is likely a shortage would occur throughout the forest and maybe beyond. Koenig and Knops (1998) report synchronicity in Pinus up to 2500 km apart, though Scots pines in different parts of Sweden can show lack of synchrony (Hagner, 1965). Further work is required to find out if different Scots pine forests in Scotland have coincident patterns of cone production. This has implications for maintaining numbers of birds and mammals of conservation concern (Anon. 1995). Acknowledgements Mrs Elizabeth Kerr at the Meteorological Office, Edinburgh provided weather data. Drafts of the paper were kindly commented on by Alice Broome, Mark Hancock, David Jardine, Peter Lurz, Mick Marquiss and Jeremy Wilson. 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