EVOLUTION, PRESENT STATE AND FUTURE OF POLITICAL PARTIES IN UKRAINE: EXPERT OPINIONS F or all-round assessment of the process of the multi-party system establishment in Ukraine, its present and future, Razumkov Centre asked leading political scientists about specificities of the multi-party system establishment in Ukraine; the place and role of political ideologies in that process; the present state of political parties in Ukraine and possible lines of their evolution. The answers of experts are presented by groups of the questions put, in the alphabetic order. an impetus to the emergence of parties. The emergence of most of them was prompted by the desire to do away with the monopoly rule of one party. This laid down the leader’s (or even fuehrer’s) approach to party building that levelled the role of classic ideologies in party life. Ihor KOHUT, Chairman of the Board, Laboratory for Legislative Initiatives What are the main features of Ukraine’s party system evolution compared to similar processes in other postSoviet countries? What trends are specific of Ukraine’s party system evolution now, what may their effects be? The key feature of political parties’ evolution in Ukraine (as well as in most post-Soviet countries) is that by the method of formation, execution of constituent documents, registration, the logic of internal systemic activity and specificity of participation in political processes most of them follow the CPSU model and pattern. Weak attempts to change the process of emergence and creation of new party projects fail. The very word combination “party projects” showily illustrates introduction of business approaches and strategies to the system of activity of modern political parties. Most attempts of Western party foundations and institutes to show an alternative way of development either failed or prompted emergence of party hybrids with typical for European parties outward signs, but Sovietstyle communist essence and goals. Although the principle “whatever we build, the CPSU goes out” rules, development of modern party systems in the European part of the USSR started in the turning year of 1989 – the year of the first free elections, when independent MPs came to the USSR Supreme Council. Creation of the Democratic Platform and other alternative groups gave 34 The described approach made parties more dependent on financial business influences. The sources of funds for most political parties still remain secret. By contrast to European countries where the state financially supports political parties and the system of private contributions is strictly regimented, Ukraine has not managed to work out and legislatively introduce balanced approaches to party funding in course of 18 years of independence. The undemocratic model of funding became one of the reasons for the crisis (or, rather, oblivion) of internal party democracy principles. In Ukraine, monopoly party funding in fact means control and manipulation of its activity. Similar processes take place in Moldova (for instance, they, as well as Ukraine, have passed but not implemented legislation on state funding of political parties). The only difference between the two countries is in the scale of financial and resource influence of FIGs. In Russia, they managed to “tame” the main political parties – i.e., to create a “virtual” party system where parties are drawn into a controlled and loyal structure. In Belarus, due to the specificity of its social development, parties play no significant role, oppositional parties remain on the outskirts of socio-political processes. Those two countries fundamentally differ in the authorities’ attitude to parties. A showy example: there are no members of any party in the top leadership of Belarus, while Russian leaders are honorary heads of United Russia party. Party building in the Caucasus has some common trends. For instance, Armenia has one big and strong party in power and many small ones. Oppositional parties suffer from the lack of funds and programme-ideological principles. They are tailored to political figures and operated as business projects – get funding from the party of power and support it at elections. • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 EVOLUTION, PRESENT STATE AND FUTURE OF POLITICAL PARTIES IN UKRAINE: EXPERT OPINIONS By and large, in most post-Soviet countries, political parties lost interest not only in ideologies and programmes, but even in rank-and-file members. Now, most of them are nothing but projects, that is why the authorities view them only as mutes. In such conditions, the trend whereby citizens’ involvement in party life is measured by 2% remains on the agenda. In the person of Yanukovych Ukraine got the first partisan President. Previous heads of state either avoided a party status or contented themselves with the status of honorary heads (as in the case of Yushchenko). This witnesses the growing influence of parties in the political system and formalisation of some aspects of democratic political competition. Given such shifts, it is very important at the present stage for Ukraine to solve the key problems of party building, namely to reform the election legislation, change the party funding system (with the need of introduction of partial state funding and publicity of sources of private funding), encourage internal party democracy (introduction of the institute of membership and an open procedure of delegation of members to party forums, election of the party leadership and candidates to representative bodies through “primaries” or other forms of internal party competition, work of specialised commission of ethics (elders’ quorums) solving internal party disputes and responsible for the “good name” of a party). Evidently, when studying evolution of political parties in the post-Soviet space, one should note different constitutional-legal modalities of their activity. Effective parliament is the main institute that can encourage democratic development of the party system, being a representative body, it should effectively discharge legislative and controlling functions. Emphasis should be made on the problem of imperative mandate, to ensure political responsibility of parties and individual party members. One should not forget about the format and procedures of national decision-making, since namely parties are to accumulate social interests, and therefore, protect interests of voters and meet their expectations. Andriy MELESHEVYCH, Dean of the Law Department, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy What are the main features of Ukraine’s party system evolution, compared to similar processes in other postSoviet countries? What trends are specific of Ukraine’s party system evolution now, what may their effects be? The main features of development and the present state of the Ukrainian party system most of all correlate with the development and state of democracy in the country. After the USSR break-up, many former Soviet RAZUMKOV CENTRE republics announced building democratic society as their future political goal. Some of them (namely, the Baltic states) successfully joined the world community of constitutional democracies. Now, the main political parties in those countries generally meet the traditional model of parliamentary parties of the European type. Some post-Soviet countries that never had democratic ambitions replaced one form of authoritarian society with another; parties are either absent there or present nothing more than a tool of keeping power by the ruling elite. Ukraine appeared in the group termed by T.Caroters as countries of feckless pluralism, lying in the grey zone between democracy and authoritarianism. Such a state is transitional and cannot last long, the country sooner or later either comes to standards of democracy or returns to an undemocratic system. Such was the drift of almost all other states of that group (Belarus, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan, Russia). In most of them, parties of power perform the main governing function. Ukraine is still in the state of “irresponsible pluralism”. On the one hand, formally, politics in Ukraine are made within the party system, there is a variety or parties, parties really compete for votes. Since 2005, parties’ role in the Ukrainian political system gained strength, they “seized” traditional for parliamentary parties political niches: electoral and governmental. Identifiability of parties in society increased. On the other hand, parties remain “fragile”, personified, largely non-ideological. They have no firm roots in society and do not represent voter interests; the level of public trust in them is too low. Their political accountability is in embryo. All leading parties are not ashamed to abuse power. They bear traits of parties of power, to a smaller or lesser extent. What factors exerted the greatest influence on Ukraine’s party system evolution in 1991-2010? The Ukrainian party system evolution was most of all influenced by three factors: (1) the election system of proportional representation; (2) the 2004 constitutional reform; (3) in a way, the Orange Revolution. Before 1998, when the mixed election system was used for the first time, political parties were practically inexistent in Ukraine. The mixed system of the Verkhovna Rada election catalysed institutionalisation of parties, political actors realised their value as a means of achievement of political power. The informal and amorphous party of power that seriously hampered the party system development was finally removed by the election system of proportional representation, under which, elections were held in 2006 and 2007. Although the 2004 constitutional reform deserves criticism, it was one of the main drivers of political parties and the party system development in Ukraine. Strengthening of Parliament’s role at the expense of presidential powers, namely, in formation of the Cabinet of Ministers and some control of its activity, in turn, helped parties fill one more their traditional niche – of Government formation. • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 35 UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM The Orange Revolution influenced the process of legitimisation of transparent and fair elections as the only mechanism of formation of the state authorities. It may be reasonable argued that the political elite of different colours better realised that abuses at elections may be too risky for ambitious politicians. Therefore, it may be said that an institutional and legislative mechanism has been established in Ukraine favourable for further development of the national party system, and political parties are the main (if not the only) means of coming to power. To be sure, growing identifiability of political parties potentially entails growing political responsibility to voters. Parties may wish that or not, but they cannot ignore this factor. In this connection, there are two options of Ukraine’s party and political system development. If parties, especially ruling parties, realise that they inevitably have to pass a test of political responsibility to society, at least during elections, and voters, instead of blindly following their idols, adequately perform their democratic function of the examiner, Ukraine has a chance to part with the stage of “feckless pluralism” and approach the world democratic community. Another option is to move in the opposite direction. Alarming signs of curtailment of democratic elements after the new team coming to power witness practical risks of establishment of an authoritarian party of power compromising the very idea of political parties in Ukraine. From this viewpoint, the next parliamentary and local elections may present kind of litmus paper, if any. Oleksiy HARAN, Professor of Political Science, Research Director, School of Political Analysis of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy What place did political ideologies occupy at initial stages of the multi-party system development in Ukraine, what place do they occupy now? If we speak about the “end of ideologies”, that idea proved rather controversial. On the one hand, there really arose a trend to convergence of all main ideologies of the present time: social democracy, liberalism, and conservatism. Barriers among them are often blurred. However, there remain differences: between the leftof-centre and right-of-centre in the European policy, between democrats and republicans in the USA. Although ideological borders are not so distinct as in the 1st half of the 20th century or right after World War II, some ideological markers remain. Ukraine really faces a problem with establishment of ideological and programme-oriented parties. The 36 problem is that all the period of independence we actually return to the need to defend, first, democracy, and second, sovereignty and independence. For that, broad non-ideological associations are needed. And the People’s Rukh of Ukraine arose in 1989 as a broad front uniting different ideological forces, from communist reformers to right radicals. However, Rukh rapidly radicalised and as soon as the fall of 1990 became a right-of-centre anticommunist force that set the goal of Ukraine’s independence. But when after 1991 Rukh was transformed into a party, this naturally narrowed its electoral base. Next, “Our Ukraine” could become a strong right-ofcentre party. Factors of Yushchenko’s victory included successful mobilisation of society under slogans common for the country’s West and East: fighting corruption, the rule of law, European values. There was an opportunity to establish a normal right-of-centre party of the European type, but the party was built by administrative methods, and it experienced what a party built “from the top” should have experienced. Plus internal contradictions: the party wouldn’t make up its mind and hesitated along with the President, which resulted in its marginalisation. There is an evident trend towards a decrease in the CPU influence: once, it collected over 20% of votes, now – only 3-5%. One of the reasons is that many leftminded and Russophile voters are engaged by the Party of Regions. If we speak about radicals, in principle, radical ideologies have never been strong enough in Ukraine: neither extreme left (communists de facto ceased to be “anti-systemic” yet in Kuchma’s times), nor extreme right, neither Ukrainian nationalists, nor pro-Russian ones. Such parties almost never passed the 3% barrier. The niche of social democracy might accommodate Moroz’s SPU. There was such drift, and it was positive, but after the 2006 elections it lost popularity and brought discredit upon itself, as “social democracy (united)” did previously. As a result, the niche remained vacant. What criteria and “markers” may be applied to categorise the leading political forces in Ukraine as left, centrist, right? How would the political forces represented in the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine be positioned of the left-right scale, if those criteria are used? After the sharp turn of SPU, the left-of-centre niche was claimed by BYuT (that at the 2002 elections, with such Ukrainian centre-right patriarchs as Lukyanenko and Khmara in its ranks, was to the right of Our Ukraine). But Batkivshchyna, a core of BYuT, suddenly turned right and became an associated member of the European People’s Party (along with Our Ukraine and Rukh). Key words of conservatism rhetoric dominated the discourse of Yushchenko. One of the problems lies in personal rivalry, in the result of which, Our Ukraine, For Ukraine!, the Ukrainian People’s Party, Rukh and others appeared in the same [part of the political] spectrum. This further complicates the process of creation of the right-ofcentre force and their ideological differentiation. • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 EVOLUTION, PRESENT STATE AND FUTURE OF POLITICAL PARTIES IN UKRAINE: EXPERT OPINIONS The Party of Regions, while being a party of big capital and comparing itself with US Republicans, now seems to demonstrate a non-ideological stand. Lytvin’s Bloc is out of the question: [it took] an absolutely servile, conformist stand. Indeed, it may be said that there are no parties in Ukraine clearly representing the basic political ideologies – liberalism, social democracy, conservatism. Those niches are basically free, but this does not mean that Ukrainian society does not need them. Therefore, Ukrainian society faces a dual task in the policy sector. On the one hand, creation of true programme-based parties. On the other, the present “Thermidorian” situation resets the task of establishment of a wide front to protect democratic freedoms and sovereignty of Ukraine. This, however, again hinders building of purely ideological parties, since ideological differences must be laid off. However, parties are in fact used solely as a tool of political struggle. That tool is often not backed with elaborate programmes containing not only a strategic idea of Ukraine’s development, but a list of concrete measures aiming to achieve those goals. As a rule, parties come to power absolutely unprepared to exercise it. Unfortunately, parties’ intellectual potential is weak, but even it is not fully used. There are no nationwide parties in Ukraine, due to the political split of society. Ukrainian parties mainly target voters of either South and East, or Centre and West. Catch-all parties in Ukraine (in their classic meaning) are out of the question. Meanwhile, an interesting phenomenon is observed: to promote their ideas on “hostile” ground, actually all parties use populist socioeconomic slogans. There can be no talk of a steady social base of parties in Ukraine, with few exceptions. Meanwhile, parties often break their election promises or pass decisions inconsistent with expectations of their voters. Ihor ZHDANOV, President, “Open Policy” Analytical Centre What place do Ukrainian political parties really occupy in the system of governance and in society? What functions of political parties do they really perform? Whose interests do they represent? Formally, political parties are one of the pillars of Ukraine’s political system. Parliament and most local councils are elected by closed party lists. In line with the election results, the winning parties (blocs) form parliamentary factions that make a coalition and form the Government. This formally gives parties (blocs) serious tools of influence on the Ukrainian foreign and home policy. However, given that most parties in Ukraine either serve their leaders or interests of financial-industrial circles, their formal status not always fits with the real one. In reality, the role of most Ukrainian parties is actually reduced to translation, integration and promotion of interests or a specific group of politicians – party leaders, or party sponsors from the same FIGs. Furthermore, the Constitutional Court’s recent ruling allowing individual membership in the coalition also seriously reduced the influence of factions (and therefore – parties) on formation of the Government and coalition. Concerning parties’ performance of their functions. The most effectively performed today is the function for which a party is actually created – fighting for power. RAZUMKOV CENTRE Unfortunately, parties have not become a social career lift, poorly perform functions of building the Ukrainian political elite. As a rule, on party lists appear either tested party “fighters” who are national deputies for several terms in a row, or party sponsors who fund the election campaign to secure a place in party lists for themselves. It is very difficult today to make a party career for a young and energetic, but not too experienced and monied party member. One of the main party functions, of social and public integration, is not performed at all today. On the contrary, at parliamentary or presidential elections, the election rhetoric used by most political forces further aggravates the split in Ukrainian society. Are political parties representing interests of social groups distinguished on the socio-economic basis relevant in today’s Ukraine, or transition to the model of catch-all parties is irreversible? There are no catch-all parties in Ukraine generating ideas acceptable for all strata, social and, even more important, regional groups without exception. The political split of society makes creation of such party (I say again, in the classic meaning) impossible. The idea of a catch-all party in Ukraine works only on the level of public opinion polls. After all, socio-economic problems are the same in all regions of Ukraine. Election slogans of the Party of Regions, “Our Ukraine” or BYuT on social issues differ only in details. All promise higher wages and pensions, lower taxes, greater social benefits. However, their election programmes have serious differences as far as they deal with political issues: language, lines of foreign policy, etc. Democratic countries now witness convergence of ideologies, parties gradually turn into voting machines, trying to target entire society in their programmes, the • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 37 UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM social base of traditional parties – social democrats, liberal democrats and conservatives – is gradually “diluted”. Similar processes take and will take place in Ukraine, with allowance for its specificity. As far as socioeconomic issues are concerned, parties will certainly “catch all” here. And this process was actually irreversible (with a small exception – for instance, CPU, that will continue to target specific electoral groups). Volodymyr FESENKO Chairman of the Board, Penta Center for Applied Political Research What place do Ukrainian political parties really occupy in the system of governance and in society? What functions of political parties do they really perform? Whose interests do they represent? In the system of governance, Ukrainian political parties occupy an unnatural monopoly place, but do not play a decisive role. The system of governance is influenced not as much by parties as institutions as by party leaders and their milieu, and by influential businesspolitical groupings within and beyond parties. Quite probably, under the new political regime, if it continues the way it is and takes root, political parties’ influence on the system of governance will even decrease. In Ukrainian society, the place of parties is important, but very controversial. First of all, the public perception of parties is mixed. On the one hand, Ukrainian voters got used to the present parties, view political parties as an element of the system of governance and one of the rules of the electoral democracy game. On the other, the attitude to parties is rather critical. According to the poll conducted by the Institute of Sociology of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and SOCIS Centre Are there political parties and movements in Ukraine, to which, power may be entrusted? % of those polled 1994 13.9 2000 16.7% 2004 2008 28.0% 31.2% 25.5% 29.8% Yes 58.1% No 52.1% 30.9% 43.6% 39.5% Hard to say/no answer 30.7% (April 2009), only 32.7% of respondents admitted the existence of a party whose ideological and programme goals they shared (48% did not see such a party), only 30.1% reported the existence of parties protecting the interests of the people like those respondents (46.2% denied the existence of such parties). According to the data of public opinion monitoring by the Institute of Sociology of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, the polarity of attitude to political parties goes up (See diagram). Out of all classic functions of political parties, Ukrainian parties are almost entirely concentrated on the function of struggle for presence in elected bodies of power (although they compete only with each other). That is, they mainly act as voting machines. The function of participation in state governance is a derivative of the electoral function. Our parties influence representative bodies mainly via their factions, while influence on the executive branch is mainly exercised via their representatives delegated to the concerned bodies of power. In both cases, that influence is mixed. Party discipline in factions is often weak, while representatives in the executive branch largely discharge lobbyist functions. The main problem is that Ukrainian parties do not generate a systemic vision of the state policy and, respectively, do not implement their political course in state governance bodies. The function of selection of leaders and elites is performed extremely poorly. In this country, leaders make parties, not vice versa. Low quality of political elites ensues from poor performance of that function, sale of ranks in election lists, absence of a systemic HR policy in parties, etc. The functions of representation and coordination of social interests are also poorly exercised. Modern parties increasingly part with their former role of exponents of specific social interests, representing instead interests of some charismatic leaders and businesspolitical groupings. One may also speak about some indirect representation of interests of big ethno-cultural communities (e.g., the Russian-speaking and Ukrainianspeaking population). Concerning the agreement of differing social interests, Ukrainian parties can hardly agree even their own party interests, due to their poor ability to come to terms. The function of involving citizens in politics is performed at an average level (although better than previously). According to the above-mentioned annual monitoring, currently, political party membership was reported by some 4% of respondents (for comparison: before 1998 – below 1%, in early 2000s – nearly 2%). This index meets European standards.1 The function of competition in struggle for political power is performed fairly well. Ukrainian politics are among the most competitive in Eastern Europe, let alone the post-Soviet space. Will they remain such? The 1 According to the data of comparative European studies, by different indices of party and political activity (participation in meetings and demonstrations, use of party symbols, etc.) Ukraine is ahead of actually all East European countries and yields only to some developed democracies. 38 • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 EVOLUTION, PRESENT STATE AND FUTURE OF POLITICAL PARTIES IN UKRAINE: EXPERT OPINIONS question remains open. A trend of transition to “controlled democracy” is not ruled out. Performance of the function of formation of the public opinion on socially important issues is unsatisfactory. This function is discharged in a deformed way, as party discussions emphasise problems not critical for society (such as the language issue), while strategic issues of state development, issues of the substance and forms of structural reforms are not mentioned in party political discussions. The culture of party discussions also remains very low, giving a bad example to citizens. The function of guarantee of the political system legitimacy is also performed ineffectively. The lack of the leading parties’ unity on the key issues of the state policy, extreme proneness of Ukrainian politics to conflicts undermine trust in the system of governance and in political parties as such. Are political parties representing interests of social groups distinguished on the socio-economic basis relevant in today’s Ukraine, or transition to the model of catch-all parties is irreversible? The model of representation of interests of specific social groups is being abandoned even by modern EU parties, so, one should not expect a stake on social and group “specialisation” from our parties. However, the model of catch-all parties does not fully work here because of the ethno-cultural variety of society. Connection with specific social groups can still be traced here. First of all, as we noted, it is the connection with some ethno-cultural groups. The mentioned Party of Regions in the recent years has been positioning itself as a party representing mainly the interests of the Russian-speaking population. Parties of the national democratic and nationalist trends target the Ukrainian-speaking population. Another example – SPU and Lytvyn’s Bloc that made a stake on Central Ukrainian regions and mainly rural voters. There were attempts, may be failed, to represent interests of the new middle class. However, work with the target social group and systemic representation of its social interests are not the same. In their programmes and election activity, our parties are mainly engaged not in formulation and representation of specific social interests, but rather in advancing mass social instincts, imitation and manipulation of social interests. Expert discussion, May 27, 2010 Vadym KARASIOV, Director, Institute of Global Strategies May a nationwide political party appear in Ukraine, for which, differences in socio-cultural orientations of citizens of different regions would not be of priority importance? Emergence of a nationwide political party in Ukraine is an academic rather than practical issue. Such party may appear only when the nation, having drawn its external administrative borders, stands as a mature and united politico-legal, national-cultural, language community. Such national community does not face the problem of choice of the civilisational code, and therefore, the format of statehood and the strategy of national development. Contradictions on social, economic, political and party development existing inside a mature nation are channelled to the competitive party system. In such societies parties represent interests of different social groups and compete, proposing programmes of socio-economic development; so, they can be mass and nationwide, since all guard state and national interests. In 1991, the idea of nation-building promoted by the mass national democratic movement, Rukh, was laid in the basis of Ukrainian statehood. However, after gaining independence, the idea of economic sovereignty and institutional signs of formal statehood replaced the idea of nation-building. The priority tasks of the post-Soviet political elite were to set up an autonomous from the Union centre administrative-bureaucratic system and to restore economic ties in the post-Soviet and post-socialist space. By contrast to post-socialist Eastern Europe, where democratic movements were to reconvert the political regime and reinstate market economy, in post-Soviet Ukraine the national movement was to get rid not only of the totalitarian past, but also of the imperial centre. That is, Ukraine faced a dual task – re-foundation of the Soviet republic on the principles of an independent state and nation-building, plus building democracy and market economy. While the administrative-bureaucratic system was built, parties were active as regional, local organisations. However, after the completion of the administrative project of statehood, the Ukrainian bureaucratic elite faced the problem of the political system modernisation. Then it appeared that the first stage of nation-building was wasted. All attempts of “nationalisation” of parties, i.e., transformation of regional-territorial associations into nationwide political organisations, failed. The RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 39 UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM unresolved issue of nation-building after every election froze electoral-regional differences in different aspects – language, economic, historic, confessional. The most critical factor hindering state- and nation-building is that those aspects overlap and are cemented by regional differences: in the country’s East – Russian-speaking population, Orthodox believers mainly of the Moscow Patriarchate, the Slavic-Russian identity, post-Soviet lo-tech industrial economy; in the West – Ukrainianspeaking, multi-confessional population, the UkrainianEuropean identity, small and medium business. Therefore, a civilisational split gradually appears in Ukraine: European West – Russian East. On the party field, those regional clusters are represented by two conventional “parties” – “the party of Europe” and “the party of Russia”. That is why a nationwide party is only feasible after maturing of either European Ukraine, or Russian Ukraine. Or there will be two separate Ukraines. What should its main programme principles be in the economy, social sector, home (including humanitarian), foreign policy? May such party be referred to some ideological trend? Formulation of the key programme principles of a nationwide party directly depends on the civilisational vector – pro-European, or pro-Russian. After Yanukovych came to power as a representative of the East, Ukraine began to rapidly enter the Russian space. The Party of Regions, most probably, will try to create an all-Ukrainian party of power on the basis of the pro-Russian foreign policy vector and frontal all-round integration with the Russian Federation – a version of “pro-Russian deviationists”. Deviationists, first of all because the programme principles of that party will pursue Ukraine’s involvement in the Russian geopolitical, cultural, humanitarian, socio-economic civilisational space. That is why the issues of home policy and socio-economic development will be subordinated to coordinates of the imperialist policy of Greater Russia. Can the ideology of such party be defined? Ideology cannot rest of a unilateral foreign policy turn alone, it is to have an internal national content. The absence of a national agenda, and therefore, a national programme of economic and social reforms will mean that Ukraine witnesses one more failed attempt of imitation of a nationwide party. Expert discussion, May 27, 2010 Mykola PRYMUSH, Professor, Donetsk National University May a nationwide political party appear in Ukraine, for which, differences in socio-cultural orientations of citizens of different regions would not be of priority importance? In its present meaning, a party is a group of people united for participation in political life and aiming to win political power. In terms of structure, three tiers may be distinguished in a party. The most uncertain and fuzzy tier is made up of the body of voters identifying themselves with a party and regularly voting for it at elections. The second one is presented by the official party organisation. A party organisational structure surely begins with voters. The third tier – a party in the system of governance, made up of officials in the state machinery appointed because of their membership in the concerned party (state administration heads, MPs, members of regional councils, local authorities, etc.). In many countries, communist, socialist and even social democratic parties are in decay, if not complete oblivion. Even conservative Britain witnesses the process of de-ideologisation of old parties and emergence of new ones. The fall of the “old labour” is especially evident. Today, it may be argued that not only Ukraine, but the whole world witnesses a crisis of ideas – up to complete dilution and disappearance of ideologies. Ukraine rejected socialism, but our political elite has not adopted Western liberalism either. Over the past 10 years, CPU, SPU, PSPU, a number of social democratic parties, Rukh actually passed from the picture. Meanwhile, parties adhering by classic liberal values did not appear and mature. However, any party without an ideology turns into an ad hoc committee or a lobbyist agency consciously manipulating people’s fears. Political ideologies become ever more changeable, designed not for decades, let alone centuries, but “from election to election”. On the one hand, this seriously undermines trust in such ideologies, on the other – lets politicians personifying them promptly respond to contemporary challenges. This lets political parties be more concentrated on implementation of priority national projects in the sectors of public health, education, agriculture and housing construction. The experience of United Russia party is demonstrative – although it arranges all-Russian competitions of social projects pursuing establishment of 40 • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 EVOLUTION, PRESENT STATE AND FUTURE OF POLITICAL PARTIES IN UKRAINE: EXPERT OPINIONS civil society institutes, even that party cannot be deemed nationwide, since it relies on the administrative resource in its work, and party ideas are imposed and implemented from the top. In this sense, the party entirely follows the sad path of CPSU: 1. Although United Russia defined its ideology in the programme documents (conservatism), the methods of work, party structure, conscience of many officials remained “soviet”, that is, party functionaries disregard socio-cultural features of Russia’s residents. This brings about the Chechen problem, [the developments in] Ingushetia; 2. Although United Russia collects over 60% of votes at elections, it ranks second in four regions: in Irkutsk, Bryansk, Sakhalin and Tula regions voters prefer communists. A similar situation, with serious reservations, is observed in Ukraine. The similarity with Russia is that officials’ minds and methods of their work retained elements of the Soviet administrative system, employment of the administrative resource is normal for them. This was evident in 1998 in SDPU(u), and in 2002 in the Bloc “For a United Ukraine!” The only difference from Russia is that in Ukraine, the socio-cultural dimension really matters: say, residents of the East and South are guided by the pro-Russian Party of Regions, residents of the Centre, North and West by nationalist parties declaring the course of European integration of the country. This means that establishment of a united nationwide party is not on the agenda, although many parties term themselves that way and propose a “nationwide development strategy”, but the alternatives proposed by them will hardly replace the old policy with its division into the left and right. Experts note that the decay of the left and right may lead to the complete loss of what we got used to: the rhythm of politics, its connection with the past and future, a distinct and clear set of threats and challenges, stable activity of voters and their political affiliation. This not only aggravates disappointment in politics, but enhances the impression of feebleness of the ruling elite that seems to care only about its financial interests. It should be stated that at present, there are no political, let alone ideological, project that could be termed as attractive and at the same time safe as the projects of a nation-state, democracy, welfare state or European integration. The political projects intended to fill that emptiness endanger democracy and integrity of society. Although the end of ideologies may seem tempting, without ideas, without discussion policy rots, and a voter cannot make a conscious choice. More than that, the consensus of elites depends on things silently but methodically eliminated from public discussion: the reasons for poverty, the power of big business, evisceration of democracy and so on. All this is replaced with farfetched problems of language, federalisation... The left utopia of “equality of the poor” has proven its incapacity and was rejected by society. Utopias of right liberals were shattered by the experience of reforms of RAZUMKOV CENTRE 1990s. The energy of the dogmatic confrontation of the “right and left” splits society, causes social conflicts. A national by its essence party is a party of civic accord, not civic confrontation. So, in view of the above and with account of established world and all-Ukrainian trends, it may be assumed that emergence of a nationwide party on the Ukrainian political Olympus is impossible, even on the condition of tolerant relations among regions in the sociocultural sector. What should its main programme principles be in the economy, social sector, home (including humanitarian), foreign policy? May such party be referred to some ideological trend? To which, if any? Let us assume that a new ideological teaching has been created. Its establishment as an actually ruling ideology will depend on great many factors lying beyond that teaching. Will there be people willing to take such teaching as the basis for their ideology? Will those people manage to create an organisation that will cherish, improve, protect and promote that teaching? Will they manage to work out on the basis of that teaching a programme of action similar to the one in due time created by communists led by Lenin? Will they manage to form perceptions of concrete current events in the spirit of the new teaching? Will there be large enough and socially active forces among the population ready to adopt the new ideology? To what extent will adherents of that ideology be ready to make sacrifice to protect the new ideology and achieve the ideals promoted by it? Considering those factors, Ukraine’s post-Soviet reality looks rather grim. The forces that do not want the appearance of the new ideology mentioned above and can hinder its appearance are strong; the forces that seek its emergence and are ready to make efforts for that are weak (if any). The whole system of education is designed not to give the way to people with a way of thinking letting them accept and understand new ideas. Mass media that became the main factor shaping ideological preferences of the population freely inoculate in people, from their very childhood, a way of thinking effectively ruling out any scientific perception of reality and scientific teachings. People at least interested in the ideas of the teaching cannot appear from nowhere. The new secular ideology is inimical for the state that rejected secular ideology and embarked on the road of revival of the religious principles. Business circles are at best indifferent to it. Political crises and social differences lead the process of ideological degradation of the country. That is why the new ideology may hardly hope for marked success in isolation from Western countries. It should be developed as an international rather than narrow national phenomenon. For an ideological teaching to survive and play a visible role, there should appear an organised group of people accepting that teaching as their convictions and ready to turn their efforts to its protection and promotion. Historic patience is needed here, because such activity can bring the desired fruit only in many years, maybe decades. • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 41 UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM If with time the number of people accepting the new ideology grows enough, they will be able to create a party relying on that ideology and to work out a programme of practical activity. The concrete form of that party will depend on specific conditions formed in the world at that time and the party members’ ability to understand them and to make right practical conclusions. But this is a matter for the future, and only hypothetic. So far, only one thing may be said for certain: the Party of Future should not view itself as an exponent of interests of some part of the country’s population, e.g.: suppressed, exploited, destitute, etc. classes, like proletariat in Marxism. This does not mean that such social groups are absent – they are numerous enough. However, the Party of Future should cede representation of their interests to other organisations, along with the use of those groups of people in the party interests (for instance, as voters). It should view itself, first of all, as a specific alliance that has one goal: development of a new ideology (ideology of the future), its promotion among compatriots irrespective of their social status, ethnic affiliation, sex, occupation and so on, growth of the number of like-minded persons and their unification for joint action to attain that goal. The very nature of the new ideology prompts that the new ideology may, first of all, be supported not by representatives of lower classes, but by people with relatively high education, culture, morality, intellect, i.e., part of the intellectual, creative and business elite disposed to individual opposition to the existing system and way of life, that sees and somehow realises the social essence of the main line of humanity evolution, concerned by ruinous effects of such evolution. Such people have to have rather high social status, be active and even successful in their activity. In the current global situation, the Party of Future may be conceived only on the highest level of intellectual, creative and moral life of modern society. The Party of Future should not be involved in smallminded socio-political fuss within the framework of the present social organisation. The opposition of such level should not act to the benefit of that organisation. It has a greater goal of the epoch-making scale – to lead the fight of humanity for a social ideal alternative to the Western one. Therefore, the Party of Future may be referred to the so-called ideology of Enlightenment – kind of synthesis of opposite ideas: conservatism and neoMarxism. Furthermore, the latter will go through complex transformations, for instance, in international policy and economy. The domain of international relations will gravitate to realist ideas of the need of armed defence of own territory, but with account of preservation of the dominant world order (for instance, China and Venezuela). In economics, socially oriented economy will grow in popularity with industrial introduction of high technologies (for instance, in the EU and USA). resting on traditions of classic morality; the social sector will pursue support for social justice and tolerance of socio-cultural differences in society. Valentin YAKUSHIK, Professor, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy How would you describe the present state of Ukraine’s party system? May one speak of its crisis? The idea of a “crisis of the party system” in presentday Ukraine prompts a question: “If this is a crisis, what is flourishing then?” The huge number of officially registered parties (at least 180) may certainly be viewed as a sign of the “crisis of overproduction”. However, active participation of many of them in parliamentary and extraparliamentary politics proves that they are a live, active, essential element of political processes in Ukraine (what type of processes, is another question). And the existence of a specific market of parties as merchandise, usually for a pretty penny, often “turnkey”, proves that parties as institutions of political system quite harmoniously fit into processes of extension of the principles of “free” (and sometimes “controlled”, as the associated democracy) market to almost all sectors of a “transitional” post-Soviet society. Some will certainly say that a “true”, “correct” party system must look like the modern British or German one. But first, why only modern? Their party systems, too, passed a number of stages, quite controversial, including from the viewpoint of the basic postulates of “pure democracy”. And, second, why namely those European countries? Why such neglect of the experience of no less great nations, such as, say, Japan or Brazil? And why forget about sub-Saharan Africa or traditionalist Oceanic states? In that case, conservatism will focus on the social and humanitarian sectors. In the humanitarian sector, the Party of Future will make emphasis on a new education system 42 • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 Expert discussion, May 27, 2010 EVOLUTION, PRESENT STATE AND FUTURE OF POLITICAL PARTIES IN UKRAINE: EXPERT OPINIONS Yet, nobody knows what should be seen as an example of “atypical” isomorphism (similarity of outward forms with different guts): (1) the present exemplary democratic state of party systems in the countries of Northern Europe that originated from a lucky concurrence of historic circumstances, or (2) flourishing “clannish-tribal” party building in the majority of modern African (and some post-Soviet, post-Communist) countries. Which of the problems faced by Ukrainian political parties and the party system are real, and which are imaginary? I will dwell upon two problems. The problem of internal party democracy. Party leaders in Ukraine are rightfully criticised for doing their utmost to bar true rotation of elites, both within parties and in the country as a whole. But who said that parties must be built on the basis of true internal democracy? Indeed, in Ukraine, parties are legislatively (and on the level of the dominant political discourse) “forced” to imitate internal democracy. But many (if not most) organisers of party building and immediate consumers of their political products prefer autocratic and authoritarian structures and processes within parties. And a “true” democracy should grant aspirants for the role of political “pastors” and their potential and actual “flock” alike the right to choose, including to choose the model of their party organisation structure. The problem of ideological parties. Political parties may rightfully be created not only to unite ideologically like-minded people (and their companions), but also to represent (including on the extra- and supra-ideological basis) specific clans, ethnic and sub-ethnic, language, regional and fellow countrymen groups, as well as groups structured on the basis of traditional ties among former and present colleagues and/or alumni. Given all this, Ukraine’s party system leaves much space for creation of comfortable conditions to promote club activities and structures under the mask of partisanship encouraging utmost self-actualisation and self-assertion of the “second and third echelon” leaders. In particular, this refers to self-education and “political tourism” projects enabled specifically thanks to numerous pan-European parties and global inter-party Internationals. Our compatriots often (and not without reason) see it as a specific market of “officially declared values-based loyalties” and associated club services and privileges. For instance, the dilemma once faced by Tymoshenko’s Batkivshchyna, the loyalty choice between the Socialist International (the Party of European Socialists) and the European People’s Party, was not essentially values-based but rather “market-motivated”. RAZUMKOV CENTRE Criticism of such events from the standpoint of specific values is normal, as normal as that political reality, though it may seem “perverted” and “cynical”. It is adequate to the type of society, its evolution and current general systemic state. What scenarios of Ukraine’s party system evolution are possible in the future? What factors will determine their choice? The following options seem possible, although not equally probable. 1. Continuation of the “controlled chaos” of party building specific of the “Orange” and early “post-Orange” period, preservation of an atomised party system with two varieties of opposing centres of gravity and two types of political cleavages: ethno-nationalism (with elements of tribalism) vs. civilisational conservatism; protection of oligarchic omnipotence and a system of bureaucratic arbitrariness vs. drift to social solidarity and humanistic justice. 2. Uncontrolled moderate polarisation of the party system on the basis of establishment of inter-party (and non-party) “megablocs” within the framework of the common logic of civilisational values-based cleavages along the conventional “West – East (South East)” axis. At that, there will remain a “grey zone” that may be filled by party and faction structures established by non-ethnonationalist, pragmatically minded groups split from BYuT. We may also witness further radicalisation of the present BYuT leadership and the political forces led by it, their further drift to a regional “political ghetto”. 3. Shift of real party politics from the capital (from national political institutes and mass media) to regions and regionalisation of the party system, formation of largely autonomous regional party systems. Such situation may arise in case of a weak-willed and amorphous policy of party- and coalition-building by the present political hegemon, the Party of Regions, and its political satellites, or, vice versa, domination of that policy by resolute and well-structured actions guided by strategically futureless, unrestrained bureaucratic (and business) egocentrism. 4. Formation of a precise, in terms of PR and political science, pluralistic party system with a hegemoniс party adopting effective elements developed by Liberal Democrats in Japan, Christian Democrats in Italy, the Institutional Revolutionary Party of Mexico, and United Russia party in the Russian Federation. Creation of such a party system is not ruled out, but is very unlikely, due to the wide range and complexity of the tasks associated with that project. What is undoubtful anyway is that Ukraine’s party system will be fundamentally reformatted in the near future, either evolutionarily or by leaps and bounds. • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 43 EVOLUTION, PRESENT STATE AND PROSPECTS OF UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT IN EXPERT ASSESSMENTS Evolution of the party system: the character and factors of influence of fighting for power, worst of all – the functions of social integration, social representation. The overwhelming majority of experts described the character of the party system evolution in course of 20 years as stagnation. Equal shares of experts believe that citizens’ interests in social processes should be represented by political parties and public organisations. Those two types of institutes are far ahead of others mentioned in the list (trade unions, mass media, individual politicians and so on). According to expert assessments, the greatest influence on its formation was exerted by changes in the legal framework of party activity (changes in the election legislation, adoption and amendment of the Constitution, passage of the laws On Associations of Citizens and On Political Parties). The second strongest influence was exerted by political events, including those that led to changes in the character of the political regime (first of all – the Orange Revolution, presidential elections of 2010 and Yanukovych’s victory there), and by some processes in political parties (the ban of CPU in 1991, reorganisation of Rukh into a political party in 1993). Assessed a bit lower was the influence of political processes and developments of late 1990s – early 2000s, and establishment of specific types of parties (“parties of power”, “leader’s parties”, etc). According to experts, political parties and the party system are most of all influenced by the stand of the biggest FIGs. A bit lower they assessed the effectiveness of mass media and actions of the authorities (creation of the legal framework of party activity). Still lower influence was reported for the public opinion, activity of international foundations and programmes, the stand of governments of foreign countries and governing bodies of their unions, the stand of Ukrainian civil society institutes. The stand of political parties of foreign countries ranked last. Present state of political parties: features and problems Interesting opinions were produced by experts regarding the features specific of Ukrainian parties. In particular, the majority of experts believes that there are parties in Ukraine representing interests of specific social groups and maintaining continuous contact with them. At the same time, also the majority of experts questions the very existence of nationwide parties financially independent from FIGs, regularly reporting to their voters and abiding by the principles of internal party democracy. Expert opinions about the existence of ideologically consistent parties split almost equally: 49% recognised the existence of such parties, while 44% denied it. Assessing parties’ possession of specific features, experts assessed the most critically their ability and willingness to defend the interests of ordinary people, and the ability to resolve concrete problems concerning ordinary citizens – over 40% of experts suggests that no political party has those qualities. The majority of experts (from overwhelming to simple) believe that few parties possess such qualities as: the ability to organise local activity; presence of strong leaders; the ability to work out a clear programme of action; sufficient funding; the ability to cooperate with public organisations and associations of citizens; existence of an elaborate strategy of the state development. Only 1-3% of experts believe that each of the above features is found in actually all Ukrainian parties. According to the absolute majority (90%) of experts, political parties in Ukraine serve the interests of financial and business structures. More than half of experts believe that they serve the interests of party leaders, and only 12% are sure that parties serve the interests of voters. The biggest shares of experts believe that political parties in the first place lack an articulated stand on the state development strategy, and the ability and willingness to defend the interests of ordinary people. Experts differently assessed parties’ performance of their functions. They best of all perform the function Somewhat fewer experts reported that parties lacked the ability to work out a clear programme of action, 1 All-Ukrainian expert poll “Development of political parties in Ukraine” was conducted by the Razumkov Centre Sociological Service on May 14-20, 2010. 100 experts were polled – representatives of the state authorities, think-tanks, political party leadership, higher educational establishments, experts, political scientists, lawyers. 44 • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 EXPERT ASSESSMENTS sufficient funding, the ability to resolve concrete problems concerning ordinary citizens, to organise local activity. The most pressing problems of political parties, according to experts, include political corruption, nonaccountability to voters and dependence on FIGs. They also mentioned, in the descending order: mainly regional support; weakness of programme ideological fundamentals; absence of permanent communication with society; lack of internal party democracy; absence of a stable social base and dependence on foreign influence. All those problems are quite urgent – from 3.47 to 4.32 points on a five-point scale. Parties and ideologies Experts much more definitely than ordinary citizens noted adherence of left, centrist and right parties to specific political principles (Table “Expert definition of the main principles of left, centrist and right parties”).2 In expert eyes, the difference of those parties regarding the key principles in different sectors of home and foreign policy looks quite distinct. Assessing Ukraine’s lead political forces in terms of “left – right – centre”, experts unanimously termed left the CPU. Expert definition of the main principles of left, centrist and right parties Trends In socio-economic policy In home and legal policy In humanitarian policy In foreign and security policy Left parties a ban on free purchase and sale of farming land; growth of the state sector of economy, nationalisation of previously privatised enterprises; protection of interests of lowincome citizens; fairer distribution of profit between enterprise owners and hired workers, growth of the cost of labour; a ban on sale of land to noncitizens of Ukraine priority of community (collective, territorial community, whole nation, etc.) rights over personal rights; equality of all citizens to the law – “one law for all”; formation of strong authorities, their empowerment to restrict civil rights and freedoms in the interests of state development the status of Russian as the second official language Ukraine’s accession to the Union of Russia and Belarus and to SES; accession to the defence union of CIS states (CSTO) Centrist parties protection of interests of the “middle class” – qualified employees with average incomes; priority development of small and medium business; creation of favourable conditions for foreign investments in Ukraine, protection of foreign investor rights; fairer distribution of profit between enterprise owners and hired workers, growth of the cost of labour restriction of power of the central government, delegation of some powers to regions; equality of all citizens to the law – “one law for all”; treatment of the authorities as the “hired worker” of society, provision of accountability and controllability of the authorities for society perception of the Ukrainian nation as all citizens of Ukraine irrespective of their ethnic origin; equal protection of rights of all ethnic groups by the state; equal treatment by the state of all Churches and confessions existing in Ukraine, partner relations with them, noninterference into confessional and church relations Ukraine’s implementation of the course of adoption of European standards of life and protection of civil rights, not raising the issue of membership in international organisations; Ukraine’s non-accession to existing military blocs, establishment of its status of a neutral state. Right parties state support for big national business; private land ownership, free purchase and sale of farming land; creation of favourable conditions for foreign investments in Ukraine, protection of foreign investor rights extension of some privileges to the elite ensuing from its status; priority of personal rights over community (collective, territorial community, whole nation, etc.) rights; strong authorities, their empowerment to restrict civil rights and freedoms in the interests of state development; restriction of power of the central government, delegation of some powers to regions; treatment of the authorities as the “hired worker” of society, provision of accountability and controllability of the authorities for society. perception of the Ukrainian nation as Ukraine’s citizens of the Ukrainian origin, the indigenous people; citizens of other ethnic origin – as national minorities; priority protection of the rights of the Ukrainian nation by the state; the official status of the Ukrainian language; state support for creation of the united local Orthodox church in Ukraine Ukraine’s accession to NATO; Ukraine’s accession to the EU in foreseeable future 2 A principle is referred to features of one group of parties if it was referred to it by over 50% of experts. Where a principle is referred to one group by less than half of experts, it is referred to the groups to which it was referred by not less than 30% of experts. Principles are grouped by sector, in the descending order. RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 45 PRESENT STATE AND PROSPECTS OF UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT The overwhelming majority called Lytvyn’s Bloc centrist. “Our Ukraine” was termed right by the majority of experts, although 27% called it centrist. The majority called the Party of Regions centrist, too, but quite many experts also referred it to left and to right political forces. A relative majority referred BYuT to centrist forces, although almost as many – to the right. Given the “markers” put by experts, such assessments are not surprising since programmes and approaches of the mentioned parties and blocs (except CPU) combine principles that, according to experts, are inherent in different political forces. Parties in Parliament: the majority and opposition, the election legislation According to nearly half of experts, parliamentary political forces do not seriously differ by election programmes (notable difference or, vice versa, its absence were reported by equal shares of respondents). Meanwhile, the opinions on the character of political forces’ activity are far less definite: a relative majority (39%) of experts believe that the difference is evident, 35% – that the difference is almost nonexistent. Every fifth expert noted small difference. Experts easily categorised parties by affiliation with the opposition. Over 70% of experts referred to opposition BYuT and Svoboda, more than 50% – People’s Self-Defence, Rukh, Civil Position, Our Ukraine, over 40% – the Front for Change and the Ukrainian People’s Party. Only 5% called Strong Ukraine party led by Tihipko oppositional. The overwhelming majority of experts noted insufficient protection of opposition rights in Ukraine: 46% believe that those rights are protected to some extent; 40% consider them entirely unprotected; only 13% suggest that opposition rights are protected in Ukraine. According to experts, relations among political forces at decision-making in Parliament are most of all influenced by the community/conflict of interests of those forces fighting for power and interests of financial sponsors of parties. The second important group of factors is presented by economic interests of the party leadership and internal party competition (conflicts among party or bloc leaders). Other factors include (in the descending orders): interests of party members, international influence, ideologies, election programmes; interests of voters who voted for those parties came last. Desired party model Expert ideas of the “standard model” of political party building are controversial. The overwhelming majority of experts are sure that parties must have an ideology, i.e., prefer “ideological” parties to “pragmatic”. Meanwhile, only 36% of experts sees it necessary for parties to represent some social group, 19% stands for the “catch-all” party model, 20% accepts both approaches. A relative majority (43%) of experts believe that parties in Ukraine should evolve towards the “catch-all” model, seek support of different groups of the population; three times fewer experts support the model of “class” 46 parties representing interests of specific social groups; 40% are sure that there should be parties of both types in Ukraine. A relative majority of experts also supports evolution of parties to “pragmatic”, whose programme documents will consider the needs and interests of the widest possible range of voters. Evolution of parties as “doctrinal” whose programme documents rest on classic political ideologies is supported by less than a quarter of experts. A third believe that there should be parties of both types in Ukraine. In the issue of relations between a faction and an MP elected by a party list of the relevant party or bloc, most experts support the so-called “imperative mandate”: believe that an MP should not be allowed not to join the faction or freely leave it, to stay unpunished in case of expulsion from his faction, to join the coalition “individually”, if his faction stays in opposition. Most experts support MPs right to vote differently from their faction and publicly criticise its position. Meanwhile, it should be noted that on all questions of the questionnaire, quite many experts had opposing opinions. Experts rather critically assess the effect of proportional election of the Verkhovna Rada and local self-government bodies. On a 10-point scale, all assessments ranged within 3.89-4.79 points. The influence of the proportional system on Parliament’s activity was assessed relatively higher, on the activity of district and city councils – the lowest. When asked about the ways to improve the present model of proportional election of Parliament, the overwhelming majority of experts mentioned introduction of open/regional election lists. The overwhelming majority also opposed cancellation of the election barrier. More than half supports the proposal to set up a differentiated barrier for political parties and election blocs. Proposals of a large increase of the election barrier and of the blocs’ ban to take part in elections met a mixed reaction (they were supported, respectively, by 45% and 41%, opposed – by 43% and 32%). Lines of the party system evolution By contrast to citizens, the absolute majority of experts admits the need of a multi-party system in Ukraine. Expert opinions about the number of parties split: roughly equal shares believe that there should be up to five parties, and from 5 to 10 parties, somewhat fewer – that there should be 10 to 20 parties. A relative majority of experts supports the option of a party system with 5-7 parties of different ideologies that can make coalitions in different formats, i.e., a multi-party system without a dominant party – moderate pluralism. Equal shares of experts (28% each) support, respectively, evolution towards the two-party system (with two strong centrist parties) and to the “tri-party” system, where one party (centrist) dominates, others (leftand right-of-centre) in turns make a coalition with it. • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 EXPERT ASSESSMENTS 20 years ago, a multiparty system began to be formed in Ukraine. Now, more than 170 political parties are registered. How would you describe the process of the multiparty system development in Ukraine? % of those polled experts Stagnation (absence of positive changes) Regress 18.0% 70.0% Progress 8.0% Hard to say 4.0% 7.22 7.18 2.55 2.50 2.02 90.0% 56.0% Of party leaders Of voters 6.73 6.65 6.23 6.14 Of the state authorities Hard to say 12.0% 9.0% 3.0% * Experts were supposed to give all acceptable answers. 6.10 6.03 5.71 5.36 5.29 5.04 4.92 4.92 4.91 4.62 Assessment of performance of their functions by Ukrainian political parties* average mark 4.56 Fighting for power Political recruitment (formation of the ruling elite) Formulation and implementation of the political course Social representation 2.13 Social integration 2.07 3.01 2.60 * On a fivepoint scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means complete nonperformance, “5” – full performance. Are there political parties in Ukraine meeting the following criteria? % of those polled experts Representing interests of certain social groups, maintaining permanent contacts with them 28.0% 8.0% 4.0% Business structures 3.0% Individual politicians 3.0% Hard to say 2.65 63.0% 31.0% 6.0 29.0% Public organisations Other Of financial and business circles 7.16 % of those polled experts Mass media 3.26 2.76 7.34 Who should represent your interests in social processes first of all? Trade unions 3.98 3.39 Whose interests do political parties serve in Ukraine?* % of those polled experts 4.60 * On a five-point scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means minimum influence, “10” – maximum influence. Political parties Stand of the biggest FIGs Activity of mass media Actions of the authorities (passage of laws, other regulatory acts dealing with political parties) Public opinion about political parties Activity of foundations, programmes, projects of assistance implemented in Ukraine with support from foreign countries and international organisations Stand of governments of foreign countries and governing bodies of their unions Stand of Ukrainian civil society institutes (non-governmental organisations, trade unions) Stand of political parties of foreign countries * On a five-point scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means minimum effect, “5” – maximum effect. Assessment of the intensity of influence of the following events on the party system formation in Ukraine in 1990-2010* average mark Adoption of the Constitution of Ukraine in 1996 Introduction of the entirely proportional system of election of the Verkhovna Rada in 2004. Adoption of the Law “On Political Parties in Ukraine” in 2001 Introduction of the mixed, majority-proportional system of election of the Verkhovna Rada in 1997. Amendment of the Constitution of Ukraine in 2004 providing for the Government formation by the coalition of parliamentary factions Presidential elections in 2004, the Orange Revolution Adoption of the Law “On Associations of Citizens” in 1992 Ban of CPU (as part of CPSU) in 1991 Presidential elections in 2010, victory of the Party of Regions’ leader Yanukovych Transformation of the People’s Rukh of Ukraine into a political party in 1993 Political crisis of 2006-2007, early elections in 2007 Establishment of own political forces by presidential candidates at the 2010 elections – Tihipko, Yatseniuk, Hrytsenko Campaign of protests “Ukraine without Kuchma” Legislative introduction of state funding of political parties in 2005 and its subsequent abolition Attempts to set up “parties of power” in Ukraine (People’s Democratic Party, Agrarian Party) Presidential elections in 1999 Conflicts between President Kuchma and the Verkhovna Rada in 1998-2000 “Tapegate”, “Gongadze case” Attempts to set up parties by business structures (Hromada, Party of National Economic Revival of Ukraine, etc.) Assessment of the effect of the following factors on the development of political parties and the party system in Ukraine*, average mark Building their programmes on the basis of some ideological principles and following them in their practical activityі 49.0% Abiding by principles of internal party democracy, letting young and promising party members occupy executive positions in the party and be elected to councils of different levels 28.0% Enjoying support in all regions of Ukraine, being truly nationalwide parties 27.0% Regularly reporting to voters for fulfilment of their party and election programmes 26.0% Funded mainly at the expense of membership fees, 16.0 independent from oligarchic structures 2.0% 44.0% 50.0% 64.0% 60.0% 72.0% 7.0 22.0 9.0 14.0 12.0 23.0% Yes RAZUMKOV CENTRE No Hard to say • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 47 PRESENT STATE AND PROSPECTS OF UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT What do political parties existing in Ukraine lack most of all? % of those polled A clear stand on the state development strategy The ability and willingness to protect interests of ordinary people The ability to work out a clear programme of action Sufficient funding The ability to resolve concrete problems concerning ordinary citizens The ability to organise local activity Political corruption 4.32 Nonaccountability to voters 4.24 31,0% 26,0% 13,0% 8,0% 7,0% 6,0% Strong leaders 0,0% The ability to cooperate with public organisations and 0,0% associations of citizens Other 6,0% Hard to say How urgent are for the present state of political parties of Ukraine the following problems?* average mark 3,0% 4.09 Dependence on FIGs Mainly regional support 3.85 Weakness of programme ideological fundamentals Absence of permanent communication with society 3.83 3.77 Lack of internal party democracy 3.76 Absence of a stable social base 3.57 Dependence on foreign influences 3.47 * On a fivepoint scale from 1 to 5, where «1» means minimum urgency, «5» – maximum urgency. To what ideological trend – left, right, or centrist – would you refer a party guided by the following ideological principles? % of those who know (have an idea) of the difference between rights and lest parties Socio-economic policy Creation of favourable conditions for foreign investments in Ukraine, protection of foreign investor rights State support for big national business Priority development of small and medium business Protection of interests of low-income citizens Growth of the state sector of economy, nationalisation of previously privatised enterprises Protection of interests of the “middle class” – qualified employees with average incomes Fairer distribution of profit between enterprise owners and hired workers, growth of the cost of labour Private land ownership, free purchase and sale of land, including farming land A ban on free purchase and sale of farming land A ban on sale of land to non-citizens of Ukraine Home and legal policy Equality of all citizens to the law – “one law for all” Extension of some privileges to the elite ensuing from its status Priority of personal rights over community (collective, territorial community, whole nation, etc.) rights Formation of strong authorities, their empowerment to restrict civil rights and freedoms in the interests of state development Treatment of the authorities as the “hired worker” of society, provision of accountability and controllability of the authorities for society Priority of community (collective, territorial community, whole nation, etc.) rights over personal rights Concentration of power in the capital, utmost controllability of developments in all regions of the country from the centre Restriction of power of the central government, delegation of some powers to regions Humanitarian policy Ukrainian nation means all citizens of Ukraine irrespective of their ethnic origin Ukrainian nation means Ukraine’s citizens of the Ukrainian origin There should be one official language in Ukraine – Ukrainian, Russian and other national languages should freely develop and be used across the whole territory of Ukraine in all sectors There should be two official languages in Ukraine – Ukrainian and Russian Ukraine should have one national Orthodox Church, the authorities should promote it by all means The state should protect canonical Orthodoxy in Ukraine The state should equally treat of all Churches and confessions existing in Ukraine, maintain partner relations with them, not interfere into confessional and church relations Foreign and security policy Ukraine should implement the course of adoption of European standards of life and protection of civil rights, not raising the issue of membership in international organisations Ukraine should set the goal of joining the EU in foreseeable future Ukraine should join the Union of Russia and Belarus and enter the SES Ukraine should not join existing military blocs and should have the status of a neutral state Ukraine should join NATO Ukraine should join the defence union of CIS states Left Right Centrist None Hard to say 6.0 38.0 48.0 7.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 72.0 77.0 15.0 48.0 4.0 79.0 45.0 52.0 26.0 10.0 11.0 25.0 14.0 66.0 9.0 27.0 35.0 62.0 15.0 7.0 63.0 34.0 28.0 7.0 16.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 9.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 11.0 34.0 5.0 10.0 28.0 47.0 40.0 41.0 16.0 28.0 9.0 17.0 13.0 8.0 19.0 11.0 32.0 36.0 20.0 8.0 9.0 18.0 30.0 41.0 12.0 9.0 56.0 15.0 13.0 6.0 11.0 27.0 28.0 22.0 20.0 8.0 16.0 32.0 43.0 7.0 13.0 31.0 6.0 15.0 64.0 62.0 7.0 4.0 10.0 6.0 14.0 4.0 52.0 41.0 3.0 7.0 63.0 6.0 19.0 9.0 55.0 17.0 20.0 13.0 21.0 8.0 14.0 18.0 7.0 13.0 28.0 12.0 13.0 62.0 12.0 8.0 10.0 29.0 56.0 3.0 9.0 8.0 81.0 27.0 2.0 70.0 54.0 4.0 11.0 74.0 4.0 34.0 7.0 54.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 7.0 9.0 7.0 10.0 12.0 4.0 9.0 12.0 11.0 * Experts were supposed to give all acceptable 48 • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 EXPERT ASSESSMENTS To what extend do Ukrainian political parties with whose activity you are familiar possess each of the following qualities or features? % of those polled experts This quality This quality is found is found in in actually all most political political parties parties This quality is found in a few political parties No political party has this quality Hard to say A clear stand on the state development strategy 3.0 15.0 56.0 23.0 3.0 The ability to work out a clear programme of action 2.0 5.0 70.0 20.0 3.0 The ability and willingness to protect interests of ordinary people 1.0 6.0 44.0 44.0 5.0 Sufficient funding 2.0 23.0 66.0 2.0 7.0 Strong leaders 1.0 17.0 75.0 6.0 1.0 The ability to organise local activity 1.0 8.0 75.0 12.0 4.0 The ability to resolve concrete problems concerning ordinary citizens 1.0 4.0 50.0 42.0 3.0 The ability to cooperate with public organisations and associations of citizens 2.0 12.0 62.0 19.0 5.0 How serious is the difference among the key political forces represented in the present Verkhovna Rada…? % of those polled experts To what political forces – left, right, or centrist – does each of the following political forces belong? % of those who know (have an idea) of the difference between right and left parties Our Ukraine Bloc 63.0% Yuliya Tymoshenko’s Bloc 36.0% Party of Regions 9.0 1.0% 5.0 27.0% 22.0% Notable difference 39.0% 1.0% 13.0 41.0% 49.0% Small difference 2.0% 3.0% Communist Party 4.0 of Ukraine Lytvyn’s Bloc 4.0 20.0% 90.0% 3.0% 10.0 1.0% 1.0% 16.0% 70.0% 14.0 To the right 0.0% 14.0 55.0% 17.0% To the left I have no idea of it 22.0% Difference almost absent Hard to say 35.0% 7.0% 6.0% In their election programmes To the centrist Hard to say In the character of their activity Are the opposition rights protected in Ukraine? % of those polled experts Which of the following political forces do you consider oppositional?* % of those polled experts Yes Partially 13.0% 46.0% Yuliya Tymoshenko’s Bloc 80.0% AllUkrainian Association Svoboda (Tiahnybok) 72.0% Political party “People’s SelfDefence” (Lutsenko) Political party “Civil Position” (Grytsenko) 56.0% Political party “Our Ukraine” (Yushchenko) 54.0% 45.0% Ukrainian People’s Party (Kostenko) 11.0% 5.0% Communist Party of Ukraine (Symonenko) 3.0% Socialist Party of Ukraine (Moroz) 3.0% Lytvyn’s Bloc (Lytvyn) 1.0% Party of Regions (Yanukovych) 0.0% None of them Hard to say 1.0% To what extent do the following factors influence relations among political forces at decisionmaking in the Verkhovna Rada?* average mark 48.0% Political party “Front for Change” (Yatseniuk) Political party “Strong Ukraine” (Tihipko) Hard to say 40.0% 58.0% People’s Rukh of Ukraine (Tarasiuk) Progressive Socialist Party of Ukraine (Vitrenko) No 61.0% 5.0% 2.0% * Respondents were supposed to give all acceptable answers. RAZUMKOV CENTRE Community/conflict of interests in fighting for power Interests of financial sponsors of parties Community/conflict of economic interests of the party leadership Internal party competition (competition among leaders of a party (bloc)) 4.47 4.44 3.84 3.12 Interests of party members 2.90 Outside (foreign) influence 2.89 Ideologies 2.47 Election programmes 2.38 Interests of voters who voted for those parties 2.01 * On a fivepoint scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means minimum influence, “5” – maximum influence. • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 49 PRESENT STATE AND PROSPECTS OF UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT With what approach to party building in Ukraine do you agree the most? % of those polled experts What approach to ideological fundamentals of party activity is more acceptable in the Ukrainian conditions? % of those polled experts Parties should have a certain ideology on whose values and principles party and election programmes rest Parties need not have a certain ideology, party and election programmes may by drawn up dependent on the political and electoral expediency 82.0% Both approaches are acceptable Parties should represent interests of a certain social group even if that stand is not popular among other voters 8.0% Parties need not represent interests of a certain social group. Their main task is to win the widestpossible support at elections 6.0% Both approaches are correct None of the mentioned approaches is acceptable 2.0% None of the mentioned approaches is correct Hard to say 2.0% Hard to say In what direction should political parties evolve in Ukraine, in terms of social representation? % of those polled experts As parties expressing interests of certain social groups 43.0% 40.0% Hard to say Hard to say Should MPs elected by party lists have the right…? % of those polled experts 52.0% To publicly criticise the position of their faction 52.0% To freely quit the faction on their own initiative To join the coalition of parliamentary faction if their party or bloc is in the opposition 42.0% 28.0% To face no sanctions being expelled from the faction 24.0% Not to join the faction of the party (bloc) by whose list they were elected 23.0% Yes No 39.0% 35.0% 50.0% 65.0% 61.0% 68.0% 23.0% 20.0% 2.0% As ideological parties whose programme documents rest on the classic political ideologies As pragmatic parties whose programme documents rest on consideration of needs and demands of the widest possible range of voters and resolved to meet them There should be parties of both types in Ukraine 3.0% To vote contrary to the position of their faction 19.0% In what direction should political parties evolve in Ukraine, in terms of programme principles? % of those polled experts 14.0% As parties claiming support with different groups of the population, “catchall” parties There should be parties of both types in Ukraine 36.0% 9.0 23.0% 42.0% 32.0% 3.0% From 2006, the Verkhovna Rada and local councils of different levels in Ukraine are formed on a partisan basis. How would you assess the effect of such way of formation on councils’ effectiveness?* average mark 4.79 13.0 Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 8.0 Regional councils 4.23 Supreme Council of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea 4.15 7.0 City councils 4.02 District councils 3.89 15.0 9.0 Hard to say * On a 10point scale from 1 to 10, where “1” means utmost negative influence, “10” – utmost positive influence. Recently, various initiatives have been put forward to improve the Law on election of national deputies of Ukraine. What is your attitude so the following proposals? % of those polled experts To introduce open election lists – where a voter himself assigns places to all or several candidates To substantially raise the election barrier (to 710%) Positive To ban participation of election blocs in elections, leaving only political parties 54.0% 29.0% 45.0% 41.0% To entirely cancel the election barrier (3%) 6.0 Hard to say 50 • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 10.0 7.0 5.0 7.0 43.0% 32.0% Negative Indifferent 2.0% 16.0 5.0 77.0% To introduce regional election lists To set for blocs a higher barrier than for political parties 1.0% 5.0 5.0 89.0% 87.0% 14.0% 13.0 3.0% 4.0 EXPERT ASSESSMENTS What line of future evolution of the party system in Ukraine is more favourable for the country development? % of those polled experts Does Ukraine need a multiparty system? % of those polled experts No Yes 88.0% Towards a twoparty system with two strong centrist parties (left and rightofcentre) alternating in power Towards a party system with 57 parties of different trends that can make coalitions in different formats 12.0% Hard to say 0.0% 28.0% 42.0% 510 1020 6.0% 2.0% 4.0% Up to 5 parties Towards a party system with a strong centrist party and weaker left and right parties in turns making a coalition with the biggest party 23.0% 31.0% 34.0% How many parties, roughly, should there be in Ukraine? % of those polled experts Over 100 20100 Other 2.0% 28.0% Hard to say Assessment of electoral resources of the following political parties and blocs* average mark Organisational resource (strength, ramified network of party organisations in regions, their efficiency) Financial resource (potential capability to raise funds for election campaign) Media resource (presence of own media, access to central and regional printed and electronic media) Administrative resource (presence of party representative on executive positions in central and local executive bodies, local self-government bodies) Ideological resource (presence of own party ideology shared by voters, ability to develop on its basis sound election programme documents) Human resource (presence of trained personnel to fill vacancies in central and local executive bodies in case of the party victory at elections) PR resource (presence of popular party symbols, a “hyped-up” brand, charismatic figures, ability to wage an effective advertising campaigns) Overall index (presence of different resources) Party of Regions 4.36 4.78 4.53 4.67 3.26 3.90 4.29 4.33 Yuliya Tymoshenko’s Bloc 3.86 4.08 3.45 3.03 2.89 3.23 3.94 3.73 CPU 2.74 2.18 2.02 2.05 3.18 2.17 2.67 2.40 NUNS Bloc 2.51 2.61 2.51 2.16 2.52 2.28 2.67 2.32 Front for Change 2.35 2.78 2.20 1.69 2.17 2.09 2.59 2.28 Lytvyn’s Bloc 2.24 2.44 2.16 2.35 1.94 2.28 2.22 2.17 Strong Ukraine 2.05 2.60 2.11 1.73 1.98 1.88 2.20 2.07 Svoboda 2.19 1.91 1.72 1.43 3.03 1.83 2.56 2.00 SPU 1.79 1.54 1.45 1.52 2.04 1.66 1.84 1.63 PSPU 1.52 1.51 1.40 1.34 1.80 1.35 1.62 1.46 Civil Position 1.53 1.49 1.47 1.27 1.89 1.48 1.58 1.44 * On a five-point scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means minimal resource, “5” – maximal resource. RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 51 PARTY SYSTEM OF UKRAINE AND ITS FUTURE: STABILISATION, PRESERVATION, (R)EVOLUTION? WE WITNESS INVOLUTION OF THE PARTY SYSTEM PARTIES CAN SUCCEED EVEN WITHOUT OLIGARCH SUPPORT Vitaliy KONONOV, Former President of the Green Party of Ukraine, National Deputy of Ukraine of the 3rd convocation I well remember the process of the Ukrainian multiparty system inception, after all, the Green Party was the third officially registered political party in Ukraine. But 20 years ago, when the party system in Ukraine was in the making, it was very difficult to predict that it would be as we see it now. When we were beginning, we thought that we would have a European model, and most of us thought of the German model of parliamentarianism… The reasons why Ukrainian citizens reject the multiparty system today are many. One may speak of the bad heritage of the Soviet times, when there was only one, Communist party. So, the very word “party” caused aversion in the Ukrainian people, not removed even now. Unfortunately, the ruling elite of independent Ukraine also worked a lot for the people not to love parties. I guess that one more word should be added to the subject of our discussion, “involution”, since the process of establishment of true parties is coming to nought in principle here. Today, there is a trend to political project creation by big capital. Organisations serving its interests are called parties, but in reality they are political corporations. We may say a lot of the problems hindering party development in Ukraine, but I cannot say what should be done for our people to accept political parties and to begin to vote for ideas, not for personalities. So, I expect conclusions from the expert discussion for myself, too. Expert discussion, May 27, 2010 Mykola KATERYNCHUK, National Deputy of Ukraine, Leader of the European Party of Ukraine Ukrainian society is now passing a test for its ability to protect the minimal democratic freedoms won over the last five years. In this respect, a lot will depend on parties, the party system. Public trust in political parties is very low. The main reason is that parties are simply used by business to solve its tasks – to control distribution of budget, privatisation, the media. For that, they only need to “promote” a leader and then to build a structure for him. That is why the majority of present-day political parties are election projects. Their role is confined to dialogue between the leader and potential voters supposed to like that leader. Those structures do not really participate in public life. Politicians and political parties should also be well aware of the possible effects of the economic crisis, since it will not only undermine certain economic or political freedoms, capabilities of trade unions, etc., but also destroy small political parties. Say, representatives of medium business represented in our party find it increasingly difficult to save funds to promote the party and its ideas. Some suggest that parties should unite. But here, the issue of leadership arises. Unfortunately, we witness a very negative trend in relations among politicians – to mutual mistrust, inability to keep one’s word, dishonesty, turning politics all cynicism and grime. That is why people believe that politics attract people whose qualities are below average. In such conditions one may speak of a crisis of political parties, making them to cooperate with oligarchs. However, political parties protecting interests of the bulk of the population, whose actions and decisions are clear for the people, have a chance to succeed. This is possible even without serious support from oligarchs who have actually monopolised influence on the political system. * The expert discussion took place on May 27. 2010. The texts are presented after the discussion records, in an abbreviated form, in the order of presentations by the panelists. 52 • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 PARTY SYSTEM OF UKRAINE AND ITS FUTURE: STABILISATION, PRESERVATION, (R)EVOLUTION? QUALITATIVELY NEW PARTIES WILL GROW FROM ASSOCIATIONS OF PUBLIC INITIATIVES Taras STETSKIV, National Deputy of Ukraine, Deputy Head of Our Ukraine – People’s Self-Defence Bloc faction provide for their integration and structuring, might become a serious political force. The new political process should start from the inventory of all that is active and viable in public life. Then, those elements might be networked. Then, a group of intellectuals might formulate some common stand. After all, according to a known saying by Aristotle, politics concerns all. Therefore, what we see in Parliament is no politics. Politics means representation of everyday life needs and interests of concrete territorial communities. Such might be the trend of building qualitatively new political parties. FOR PARTY DEVELOPMENT, INTERNAL PARTY DEMOCRACY SHOULD BE ENCOURAGED IN THE FIRST PLACE The present state of Ukraine’s party system may be described as stagnation with signs of degradation. Over at least 10 past years, two trends of its development became evident: some parties serve interests of concrete FIGs creating and funding them, others are fan clubs of their leaders. In the recent years, and especially during the latest election campaign, some trends were observed that may witness degradation of the party system. First, party fragmentation and cloning. Society expects from politicians steps towards unity, coming to a common idea of the country development. Nevertheless, politicians do the opposite: they create their own parties, and that process never ends. The main reason for that probably lies in political leaders’ fear of competition. That is why they start projects they lead from the very beginning, with party organisations set up specially for them. The second trend, substitution of practical activity with advertising. In any big city one will see great many billboards of political parties. In my opinion, this means that practical political activities are substituted with a certain amount of funds spent on advertising. Some parties even believe that elections can be won by advertising alone. It is rather often said that in wider Europe, ideological parties are an anachronism. This may be true, in a way. Classic ideological parties may be transforming, some convergence of the left and right is observed, but every serious political party has a certain set of values and at least proposes to society some ways of solution of pressing problems. What do our parties do? They write programmes, right things, but nobody reads those programmes or even pays attention to party names’ correspondence to their ideology. Why does it happen? The thing is that society does not view Ukrainian political parties as parties proper. The main problem of actually all Ukrainian parties is that they reflect no social interests, outline no prospects and do not continuously work with the population. Party activity does not grow from everyday needs of society. That is why they are select clubs. Society demands renovation, establishment of conceptual, if not ideological, parties, their unification. However, fear of competition makes such union impossible. In such condition, there is a different road. A new policy and new political parties might grow “from the bottom”, from different forms of civic activity. There are hundreds and thousands of local civil initiatives in all regions of Ukraine – environmental, educational, cultural, etc. A party that manages to unite those initiatives in a network, to establish communication among them, to RAZUMKOV CENTRE Ihor ZHDANOV, President, Open Policy Analytical Centre I would describe the results of the 20-year-long party system evolution as progress, however, not at every stage but for the whole period. If we compare the party systems of 2010 and 1990, we will see what we achieved. But at different stages of the party system development, indeed, highly varied processes took place. Now, we focus on the latest period. Stagnation of the party system is evident. As long as parties are “tailored to leaders” or represent interests of specific FIGs (sometimes combining both trends), discharge of classic functions by parties is out of question. Only one function is performed by 100%, fighting for power. Parties present a tool of political struggle used by few persons, party leaders or notorious oligarchs. The absence of ideological parties, with few exceptions, is conditioned not only by problems already mentioned here, but also by the absence of social demand for such parties. Motivation of voting at elections differs from support for a certain ideology. Society is ready to support leaders, which, in turn, prompts politicians to establish leader-oriented parties. Furthermore, dilution of the ideological basis and convergence of ideologies are observed all over the world, which also causes problems for establishment of ideological parties. I share the opinion expressed here that party orientation to leaders hinders unification processes. However, the lessons of party unification are different. On the one hand, attempts to create a united national democratic party on the basis of “Our Ukraine” failed. Meanwhile, in the other part of the spectrum, the Party of Regions successfully employed the scheme of “absorption” of small parties. That scheme worked thanks to the quite tough stand of the regionalists and their leader. Two main problems of parties and the party system development may be distinguished. The first is the lack of internal party democracy. Most decisions are taken without wide discussion in the • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 53 UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM party. Parties have kind of self-censorship, their members are afraid of expressing their opinion in order not to lose the leader’s trust, and with it a place in the closed election list. Second, monopoly funding of party structures by oligarchic groupings. The 2003 law introducing state funding of political parties somehow worked only in 2007. After that, observance of that norm of the law has always been suspended. To ensure development of parties and the party system, internal party democracy should be promoted in the first place. This may be achieved through amendment of the legislation, including adoption of a new election system prioritising public support for a candidate, not his devotion to the leader. Second, state funding of parties should be resumed, which will reduce their financial dependence on oligarchic groupings. The very model of economic development will play an important role there: if the country has not five billionaires but 250 citizens possessing hundreds of millions and engaged in politics, this will diversify sources of political party funding. FUTURE OF UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM IS WITH REAL PARTIES Oleh ZARUBINSKYI, National Deputy of Ukraine, Deputy Head of Lytvyn’s Bloc faction Such definitions as progress, regress of degradation are unlikely to adequately characterise the present state of the party system. It is better described by the word absence. What we see today is not a system in the direct meaning of that word. Problems of political parties have already been mentioned here. I would like to draw your attention to a new and very dangerous trend: creation of a market to purchase and sale parties in Ukraine. The scheme is very simple. A new ambitious politician comes with a provisional, “seasonal” rating, with his “group of support”. He needs a political party, but it is not that easy to create a new one. What does he do? Just buys one of 180 parties with a nice name established “turnkey” 5-10 years ago, leads it, and changes its name. Today, this is really a trend, such scheme has already been employed by a number of known politicians. I do not dare call such structures parties. Maybe in 10 years they will become parties, but now they are nothing but merchandise. How can this practice be changed? Politicians, by contrast to experts, can do that. That is why I would like to dwell upon two bills I submitted to the Verkhovna Rada. The first legislative initiative provides for amendment of the Law on political parties by introducing a norm that demands party reporting for fulfilment of their programmes. In practice, the overwhelming majority of political parties needs programmes for registration only, they may be quite “ideological”, contain some value system, 54 etc. – but voting by representatives of those parties in Parliament may have nothing to do with their programmes. Such instances are many. Speaking of so-called ideological parties, I dare say: interest rules out ideology. That is why a very simple norm is proposed: “political parties represented by national deputies of Ukraine shall annually report on the progress of implementation of the party programme and the election programme; parties – participants of election blocs release a joint report. Reports are published in official newspapers”. Next: the Law sets requirements as to the number of signatures in support for party establishment and existence of its organisational structures in regions. Meanwhile, many of the 180 existing parties have only the party leader, a few relatives, his wife and dog. What is proposed? The first proposal, maybe disputable: “a party shall be entitled to nominate candidates for participation in elections of the President of Ukraine and Parliament on the condition that it was registered not less than two years before the date of the elections in which it is going to take part” – not one year in advance, as today. The second proposal, “for participation in elections of the Verkhovna Rada of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, local councils and village, settlement, city heads, local organisations of political parties shall be registered one year before the election date”. This norm is absent from the current legislation. Third: additional grounds for cancellation of a registration certificate should include, first, the party (and the candidates nominated by it) getting at elections fewer votes than the number of signatures necessary for its registration, second, absence of party organisations in most regions of Ukraine over the entire period of its existence, not only six months after registration, as the case is now. I realise that not everybody will like those proposals, since then we will have much fewer than 180 parties. But I am sure that the future of Ukraine’s party system is with real parties engaged in practical work. IF WE WISH TO HAVE TRUE PARTIES, POLITICAL AND RULING ELITES SHOULD ENCOURAGE SOCIETY-BUILDING Vadym KARASIOV, Director, Institute of Global Strategies Analysis of Ukraine’s party system establishment after 20 years is a good idea, since 20 years are a revolutionary cycle ending either in Thermidor or in counterrevolution. Or vice versa – stabilisation of society. In terms of parties, the totality of parties over that period transforms into the party system, which we have not, as was said here. Our discussion is mainly technological, engineering. But if we don’t know what factors influence parties and the party system, are unfamiliar with its nature at this stage and in this society, all proposed legislative novelties will be vain. • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 PARTY SYSTEM OF UKRAINE AND ITS FUTURE: STABILISATION, PRESERVATION, (R)EVOLUTION? That is why I would like to focus on analysis of not even parties and the party system but the principle of partisanship. Because society partisanship either exists or not, it may be covert or suffer a crisis already mentioned today. If there is no difference between BYuT and the Party of Regions (two big parties), this means a crisis of the party system. Because parties mean difference. If there is no difference, there are no parties, no party system. Regress or progress? Compared to Russia and Central Asia – progress, compared to Central and Eastern Europe – stagnation. The case of Russia and Central Asia is clear: authoritarian regimes, institutionalisation of clannish policies and clannish economies, the problem of legal succession is solved: the Russian Federation is the legal successor to the Soviet Union. Central-Eastern Europe witnessed legal succession of independent states that existed between the first and second world wars. What changes took place in their party systems? Previously active parties were restored and began to work. Restitution was conducted, property was returned to citizens, and they began to vote not as people sustained by the budget – teachers, doctors, miners, but as owners. That is why they care about taxes, not about budget donations before elections. And what does representation mean? It is the problem of taxes. Without representation, there are no taxes, without taxes, there is no representation. Such is the principle of the parliamentary party model. In this respect, Ukraine is “in suspense”. It has not solved the problem of legal succession, nobody knows whether Ukraine is the legal successor to the Ukrainian SSR or UNR. It is neither Russia nor Eastern Europe, now in the EU. Such “suspended” status influences everything. Society was mentioned here. It is absent from Ukraine, only the population, people entitled to vote. Where do the Ukrainian problems lie, from the viewpoint of the party system? Ukraine was to solve four tasks: transition from plan to market; transition to democracy; nation-building; state-building. All those tasks solved in Central and Eastern Europe have been solved by half in Ukraine. If we take a look at market transformation, we moved “from plans to clans”, but not to the market. The same refers to democratisation. Such situation of half-reforms, half-transition, half-transit surely influences the state of the party system. Let us analyse structural factors influencing the party system in Ukraine. First: amorphous, decentralised society, and centralised power. Centralised society knows active public organisations, trade unions, student organisations. This de-atomises people, group identities are formed and picked up by parties. Such parties become civic, or popular. And in this country, parties are created by the authorities that are centralised and stronger than atomised society. That is why parties incorporating the political elite are established “from the top” here. If we wish to have true parties, political and ruling elites should encourage society-building. Second: weakness of ideological institutes, group identities. This feature is specific of post-Soviet countries, it is revealed in individualised political rivalry. In absence of group identities, where business or politics are driven by the principle of predatory individualism, interpersonal competition will be continuously generated. Against that background, parties created by the clannish principle, as closed structures, will have an advantage. RAZUMKOV CENTRE Third: the standing of the whole state. If the processes of state and nation building are not completed, formation of the country’s cultural, information, military borders is not over, Ukraine’s economic assets are overly exposed to outside pressure (first of all, Russian), only the party of power may be nationwide, as the case was under President Kuchma. But if Ukraine has no external borders, there will be internal ones. This means that the country is divided on the level of the party system proceeding from geopolitical, or civilisational differences. In Ukraine, geopolitical choice presents the main factor of split. This was not the case in Eastern and Central Europe where the elite united around one vector, return to Europe. That is why there are two parties in Ukraine – the party of the East (no matter who occupies that niche today), and the party of the West. With time, there may be the “party of Moscow” and the “party of Ukraine”, such will be Ukraine’s actual party system where parties will look for a place. What other options may there be? The party of power may be reinstated, which will mean movement to the dominant party system. There may be one nationwide party that will “knock” the country together. But it will be not a true party but an administrative structure created by the government. There is one more option. If in a few years the current authorities prove unable to fulfil their socio-economic promises, the political pendulum in Ukraine will waggle towards Europe. Only then may one tackle the issue of building a pro-European party system or a system of the European type in Ukraine. THE PARTY OF POWER IS BEING CREATED, ABSOLUTELY DISINTERESTED IN PUBLICITY AND DEMOCRACY OF UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM Viktor CHUMAK, Director, Ukrainian Institute for Public Policy Such assessments as stagnation and degradation may be supplemented with one more word, “deformation”. I mean deformation of not only the party system but also of the political system as a whole, including the institutes of constitutionalism, parliamentarianism, presidency, local selfgovernment, etc. And since the party system is related with those institutes, its deformation involves their deformation. In its present form, the party system has become the main hindrance for social development. Why main? Because that system does not produce the product wanted from it – development of society programmes making the basis for inter-party competition. In such conditions, parties are identified solely on the basis of regional geopolitical preferences or personal attitude to their leaders. • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 55 UKRAINE’S PARTY SYSTEM Another serious problem is presented by the absence of internal party competition and resultant inability to recruit best representatives of society to the authorities. And the absence of the critical mass of reform-minded people bars their implementation. Everybody understands that the main task of the parties in power is to use that power for access to state resources and participation in their redistribution. But parties exist not in and of themselves, they exist in an environment that influences them. Two points should be noted here. The first is the inadequate and deformed election system discouraging internal party competition and the party system development in general. The second is the deformation of the system of political party funding. At that, the current situation entirely suits the party and political elite. Unfortunately, I see no interested parties that could push some changes, except maybe the regional elite, currently underrepresented in power and therefore interested in changing the rules of the game. So, what should we do? First, reform the election system by introducing preferential election lists. Second, limit the “party market”. Participation in elections should be the main criterion of parties’ activity, while non-participation should present a reason for liquidation initiated by the state. Third, take legislative measures encouraging internal party competition (such as party “primaries”). Fourth, provide for obligatory state funding of parties taking part in elections (dependence of funding on election results is a disputable issue), and introduce obligatory declaration of party funding by legal entities and individuals and obligatory annual financial reporting of parties. Such steps will pave the way for some changes, but I do not think that this will happen in the nearest future, since today, the party of power is being created, absolutely disinterested in publicity and democracy of Ukraine’s party system. TO BE THE SWORD OF DAMOCLES OVER PARTIES IS NOT THE TASK FOR THE MINISTRY OF JUSTICE AND THE STATE The party was not registered, and that had an effect, after that parties became more accurate with document preparation. There is a problem of similarity of party names, when a newly-established party or a new name of an active party uses a known brand, for instance, with a different word order. Formally, we have no right to refuse registration of such party or approve changed names, even with a conclusion of linguistic expert examination in hand. Evidently, such party conduct should be assessed by voters. Unification or merger of parties is another problem. Analysis of the recent years’ developments in that field shows that the process of party unification requires legislative regulation: in what way this should be done, how the names of merging parties should be preserved, should they pass liquidation procedures, etc. So far, actually all attempts of unification have failed, in particular, due to the parties’ reluctance to reach a compromise. Some problems of internal party life. In the recent years, it became a usual practice that election of party leadership, change of names, amendment of constituent documents are executed at party congresses in presence of not less than 25 persons. At that, statutory norms are formally met, but such minimum number of delegates arouses concern. When checking powers of congresses and conferences of political parties, we cannot find 30% party organisations at the addresses specified in registers. In pursuance of its controlling powers, the Ministry of Justice annually monitors if territorial party organisations have been established within six months from the registration date. In 2009, suits were filed against eight political parties that did not even set up regional organisations within the prescribe term. Only one of those suits has been sustained. I wish to respond to the call made here: “to do something with “inexistent” parties”. In pursuance of final transitional provisions of the Law on political parties, in 2011, the Ministry will start a check of parties’ observance of the Law concerning participation in elections in course of 10 years after registration. But I wish to stress: the Ministry of Justice has clearly specified powers to control parties’ observance of the law and their statutes. To be the sword of Damocles over parties is probably not the task for the Ministry of Justice and the state. Rather, this is the task for the voters. IT IS NOT QUITE CORRECT TO SPEAK ABOUT DEGRADATION OF THE PARTY SYSTEM Olena SEMIORKINA, Director, Department of Legalisation of Associations of Citizens, the Ministry of Justice of Ukraine Mykhaylo HRYSHCHENKO, representative of the Front for Change party I would like to touch upon some aspects of the Ministry of Justice observance of the legislation on political parties, in particular, concerning their registration. Before 1997, the Ministry considering party constituent documents tried to establish their authenticity, later, that practice was abandoned. However, in 2007, we had to reapply it after the results of selective expert examination of signatures submitted in support for establishment of a political party proved that they were made with one hand. 56 Since I speak on behalf of a political party, please treat my presentation as kind of snapshot of problems mentioned today and concerning our political force, too. The first problem lies in building party social base, or, as it was said here, everyday work for the sake of • RAZUMKOV CENTRE • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 PARTY SYSTEM OF UKRAINE AND ITS FUTURE: STABILISATION, PRESERVATION, (R)EVOLUTION? community and society interests. It is much more difficult to organise such work than to build a “media pyramid” where the central office generates messages for end users. For instance, we applied a project approach: people who consider themselves experts in local problems send to us their proposals of local changes, and persons appointed on a competitive basis take part in local party policy making. The wish to set up a true Christian democratic party led to the establishment of the Christian Popular Union, and in 2003, after unification processes, the Christian Democratic Union party. Two years ago we again proposed unification with other parties, Christian by name, but unfortunately, they refused. The reasons for that have already been mentioned here, parties are merchandise that may be well sold before elections. The second problem, the essence of political activity. Our local coordinators, as in most political parties, are originates from business or public figures. That is why they too often understand political activity as charity: to paint fences, to plant trees, to see children in a boarding house, etc. To solve that problem, we set up the Front for Change – a specific project that enables continuous analysis of the authorities’ policy, contacts with expert circles. We had no other way but to be strong, to assert ourselves, to reach all strata of society. The tasks of building party social base, protection of its interests are now topical for any party. We undertook to protect Ukrainian believers and succeeded in that – pushed a number of legislative acts that facilitated the exercise of their religious rights. At the 1998 elections our party that did not serve big capital collected more than 4% of votes and was to come to Parliament. But our votes passed to the “party of power”. Such were the historic developments. Third, parties’ non-performance of the programme function, their lack of ideology. What complicates discussion of the programme in our party? First, it is very difficult to find organisational forms making it possible to draw up a party programme not as a document prepared by a few experts, adopted by a congress and communicated “from top downward”, but as a result of efforts of the entire party. It is hard to find formats of interaction among representatives of different regional organisations, combine different, sometimes opposite opinions in course of communication. Second, people in principle are not used to take part in such discussions, they prefer to wait for a party programme delivered to them “from the top”. Fourth, the problem of communication with voters and supporters. There are traditional communication means, and there are new ones we use. They include work on the Internet, in social networks, and direct communication “door-to-door”. Watching other national democratic parties, we see similar activities. That is why it is probably not quite correct to speak about degradation. I believe that the party system is going through evolution. On the remains of parties built for 20 years, new projects meeting present-day challenges are being built. TASKS OF BUILDING PARTY SOCIAL BASE, PROTECTION OF ITS INTERESTS ARE NOW TOPICAL FOR ANY PARTY Our today’s discussion is a good development: we should improve the party system. This is a duty of the state, too. That is why I appeal to the Ministry of Justice and support the idea that there should be no formally registered but inactive parties. According to Article 37 of the Constitution, parties are to take part in elections, protect political interests. If they do not perform those tasks why over 180 parties then? Then, the party system stagnates instead of flourishing. SOCIAL DEMOCRACY IN UKRAINE WILL BE REVIVED BY THE YOUTH Vitaliy SHYBKO, Director, Institute of Democracy and Social Processes, Member of the SPU Political Council (1998-2008), National Deputy of Ukraine of the 2nd, 4th, 5th convocations I don’t know if parties of liberal, conservative or communist trends also suffer a crisis. But I dare say that social democracy in Ukraine is indeed in crisis. Still, this is no tragedy, since this crisis is to lead to a revival. Volodymyr STRETOVYCH, National Deputy of Ukraine, Deputy Head of Our Ukraine – People’s Self-Defence Bloc faction, Leader of the Christian Democratic Union party In 1994, when I came to Parliament having won in a majority constituency, I was non-partisan. But I realised that the one-party system in Ukraine should yield to the multi-party system, and the country with strong Christian traditions should have a party protecting and implementing them. This led me to Christian democracy. RAZUMKOV CENTRE Social democratic and socialist parties active in Ukraine have done a useful thing. They promoted social democratic ideas in society, drew the attention of the world social democracy to Ukraine. And the crisis means that those parties are now rejected by society for a number of reasons. Today, many parties in Ukraine declare social democratic ideas. Social democratic parties in wider Europe and the world look for partners in Ukraine. Hence, despite the current crisis, the basis for social democracy development has been created in Ukraine. This will give the youth an opportunity to spread that idea and promote that movement. I believe that social democracy in Ukraine will be revived by the youth, simultaneously with European transformations in this country. • NATIONAL SECURITY & DEFENCE • No.5, 2010 • 57
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