The Great Plains Sociologist The Official Journal of the Great Plains Sociological Association Volume 21, 2010 Great Plains Sociologist Editors Daphne E. Pedersen, University of North Dakota Laura Colmenero-Chilberg, Black Hills State University The Great Plains Sociological Association publishes the Great Plains Sociologist (GPS) as a general sociological journal. We endeavor to publish articles of general interest to sociologists in the region and beyond. The organization primarily seeks to serve sociologists from the Great Plains; however, that does not limit material published in the journal by author or subject. The following guidelines are offered to authors who wish to submit work to the GPS for publication. 1. Topics should be of interest to a wide audience of sociologists. This should not be read as implying that a majority must agree with the findings or discussions. Popularity of findings plays absolutely no role in the decision to publish. The decision to publish is based on quality of work. 2. Manuscripts should be in the range of 15 to 25 journal pages, including tables, charts, etc. 3. GPS will consider many types of manuscripts for publication. We publish traditional research articles that empirically test hypotheses derived from social theory, thought pieces explicating ideas or investigating specific topics, and articles that focus on teaching techniques or experiences to mention but a few. 4. Articles submitted for review should be saved as Word documents and emailed to the editor. Upon acceptance, full contact information for each contributing author, including a brief biographical sketch, must be submitted. Contact information for submission of articles: Daphne E. Pedersen [email protected] (701) 777-4247 5. Manuscripts submitted for publication are emailed to the journal editor and then sent to at least two reviewers for comment and recommendation. The journal editor also reads submissions and has responsibility for the final decision to publish or not. The editor and reviewers may request that a manuscript be rejected, or rewritten and resubmitted. 6. To preserve anonymity, please attach a cover page to the manuscript that contains authorship, address, and institutional affiliation. The next page should contain the title of the article only. The authorship page will be removed and retained by the editor to assure anonymity. Please omit author citations in the reference page and text. 7. Manuscript format should follow American Sociological Review (ASA) standards, including intext and bibliographic references. 2 About the Authors Donald E. Arwood is Professor of Sociology at South Dakota State University. The main focus of Professor Arwood's research has been the elaboration of the structural symbolic interactionist perspective, particularly as it relates to the self as both a social product and a social force. W. Trevor Brooks is a first-year professor at Coastal Carolina Community College. His scholarly areas of interest are demography, the family, and statistics. Pamela Carriveau is an associate professor of political science at Black Hills State University. Her current research focuses on social policy issues ranging from abortion policy at the state level to education policy in an international context. Laura Colmenero-Chilberg is an associate professor of sociology at Black Hills State University. Her current research interests include investigations into the changing definitions of self related to attitudes towards abortion and images of gender in popular culture, more specifically popular genre fiction. Matti Grotte is a 2010 graduate of the University of North Dakota, where she majored in Sociology and minored in Psychology. She is considering graduate school to become a high school guidance counselor. Brittney Hansen earned her undergraduate degree in Biology from the University of North Dakota in 2010. She also completed a minor in Sociology, having an interest in medical sociology. Krista Lynn Minnotte is an Assistant Professor of Sociology at the University of North Dakota. Her research program centers on workfamily issues along with gender and workplace organizations. Joshua J. Turner is a research associate at the National Strategic Planning and Analysis Research Center at Mississippi State University. His research interests include demography, labor market trends, and survey design. 3 Index of Articles Page Number Title Author(s) 5 Structural Conditions and Migration in the Dakotas Joshua J. Turner W. Trevor Brooks Donald E. Arwood 28 Understanding Workday Housework Participation: Testing Three Theories Krista Lynn Minnotte Matti Grotte 51 Voters Reframe the Abortion Policy Debate: A Theoretical Analysis of Abortion Attitudes in South Dakota Pamela Carriveau Laura ColmeneroChilberg 94 Fat Matters: From Sociology to Science Brittney Hansen 97 Debating Sex and Gender Laura ColmeneroChilberg Book Reviews 4 Structural Conditions and Migration in the Dakotas Joshua J. Turner Abstract W. Trevor Brooks Donald E. Arwood This study examines the influence of selected structural conditions on the county-level net-migration trends of North Dakota and South Dakota. Key principles from Lee’s Theory of Migration (1966) and Wallerstein’s World Systems model (1974) were integrated to explain how geographic context, economic dependency, and pace of economic development combine to serve as the main catalysts behind the migration patterns in these two states. Results indicate that commuting patterns, the percentage of workers employed in extractive industries, the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing, and job change rates were significant predictors of county migration patterns. INTRODUCTION Migration is not a random occurrence, it is a selective process influenced by a variety of factors. One set of factors that cannot be ignored includes structural conditions like natural amenities (Cromartie 1998; Johnson and Beale 2002), interstate access (Lichter and Fuguitt 1980), and adjacency to metropolitan areas. These conditions play a crucial role in determining whether an area is likely to attract new populations or lose existing ones. The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between structural conditions and the county-level net-migration rates of North Dakota and South Dakota. Net-migration is an indicator of the movement of populations (both domestic and international) into or out of an area. For a county to have experienced a positive rate of net-migration more people would Joshua J. Turner, Mississippi State University, 203 Robert Louis Jones Circle, Mississippi State, MS 39762; e-mail: jturner@ nsparc.msstate.edu 5 have moved into it rather than moved out. Conversely, a negative rate of net-migration is the result of the number of out-migrants exceeding the number of in-migrants (Weeks 2008). Figure 1 Distribution of Non-Metropolitan vs. Metropolitan Counties in North Dakota and South Dakota, 1990-2000 The counties of these two states were selected for several reasons. First, they comprise a sparsely populated region, heavily isolated from the major urban centers of the country. Nonmetropolitan counties account for over 90 percent of the counties in these states (U.S. Census Bureau 2000; see Figure 1). This provides researchers with a setting to test the possibility of a core-periphery relationship, a concept that will be defined later in the study. Second, the pattern of net-migration among these non-metropolitan counties runs counter to national trends between 1990 and 2000, a period in which 71 percent of non-metropolitan counties recorded positive population change (Johnson 1999). During this same decennial census period, over 80 percent of the non-metropolitan counties in North Dakota and South Dakota recorded negative 6 rates of net-migration (U.S. Census 2000 Bureau; see Figure 1). Finally, this study presents an opportunity to add to the limited amount of research on the migration patterns of these two states. Up to this point, much of the research focusing on county-level migration in Great Plains states has been largely descriptive (Albrecht 1993; Kulcsar and Bolender 2006; Rathge 2005; 2008). Less emphasis has been placed on the possible theoretical frameworks that could help explain the role that certain structural conditions play in influencing migration rates in this region. Adding a theoretical approach to the literature will help researchers better understand the role that structural conditions, such as commuting patterns and job growth, have played in influencing the migration patterns of the Dakotas. This article begins with a review of past research identifying the relationships between migration, geographic context, and economic development. Key principles from Lee’s Theory of Migration (1966) and Wallerstein’s World Systems model (1974) are used to explain these relationships. From these theoretical frameworks, hypotheses are developed and tested in an attempt to show the viability of these theories in explaining the county-level net-migration in the Dakotas. REVIEW OF LITERATURE Historically, the non-metropolitan counties of the Great Plains have been susceptible to out-migration, even in times of overall growth for non-metropolitan counties on a national scale (Albrecht 1993). In the Dakotas, over 80 percent of non-metropolitan counties recorded negative rates of net migration between 1990 and 2000 (U.S. Census Bureau 2000). This runs counter to the “rural rebound” of the 1990s, a period in which 71 percent of non-metropolitan counties recorded gains in population (Johnson 1999). Geographic context has long been effective in predicting a region’s potential for 7 population growth and economic development (Lee 1966). Isolation from core areas or areas possessing greater concentrations of capital and higher levels of economic development has left many non-metropolitan-or peripheral-areas in a state of uneven development relative to their metropolitan counterparts (O’Hare and Mather 2008). Lack of development brings with it a lack of economic diversity and opportunity, as well as increased levels of social isolation for areas already dealing with high levels of geographic isolation (O’Hare and Mather 2008; Tickamyer and Duncan 1990). In addition to being isolated, the Great Plains is heavily dependent on extractive industries, particularly agriculture (White 1998). Data on the county typology of North and South Dakota show that 70 percent of counties are classified as being farming or mining dependent1. The average net-migration rate for these counties was recorded at - 6.04 migrants/1,000 population between 1990 and 2000 (U.S. Census Bureau 2000; USDA-Economic Research Service 2004). The reduced demand for labor due to technological advancements in agriculture has resulted in a decrease in occupational opportunity in agriculturally-dependent counties that have failed to develop employment opportunities in alternative industries (Rowley 1998). This situation has contributed to the redistribution of population in states located in the Great Plains (Albrecht 1993; Bowers 1998; Cromartie 1998; Davidson 1996; Rathge 2005; Rathge and Highman 1998). In this situation, metropolitan counties located in Great Plains states are likely to receive in-migrants from their non-metropolitan counterparts (White 1998). Indeed, between 1990 and 2000, metropolitan counties in the states of North and South Dakota 1 A county is classified as farming-dependent when farm earnings account for at least 15 percent or more of total county earnings or when farming occupations account for 15 percent or more of all occupations in a county’s workforce. Similarly, a county is classified as mining-dependent when at least 15 percent of total county earnings are derived from mining related occupations (USDA-ERS 2004). 8 averaged a net-migration rate of 8.82 migrants/1,000 population compared to a negative average of - 5.56 migrants/1,000 population for non-metropolitan counties (U.S. Census Bureau 2000; USDA-Economic Research Service 2004). Metropolitan counties provide opportunities in industries that call for specific levels of education and training. They also possess infrastructures that allow them to attract industries associated with amenity-based development such as manufacturing, retail sales, and entertainment and recreation services (Nord and Cromartie 2000). The migrants that do move to disadvantaged counties tend to work in unskilled labor and have lower educational attainment (Domina 2006; Nord 1998). Access and proximity to urban centers through commuting has influenced in-migration to some non-metropolitan counties (Johnson and Beale 1994). The ability to commute to work attracts younger adults with families who are allowed access to urban centers while being able to raise children in a more rural environment (Johnson and Fuguitt 2000). These smaller communities adjacent to more metropolitan areas are attractive to those who desire less expensive housing and the possibilities of maintaining family ties (Nitschke 2004). More convenient access to interstate highways has helped to increase the ability of people to commute and gain access to urban centers (Lichter and Fuguitt 1980). Access to interstate highways has also been viewed as a potential force behind population gain, population redistribution patterns, and job increase (Lichter and Fuguitt 1980; Smith 1971; Voss and Chi 2006). Some support can be found for these statements when looking at the migration trends of the Dakotas. Metropolitan counties with interstate access were among the fastest growing counties in the Great Plains region. For example, Lincoln County, South Dakota, was one of the top 60 fastest-growing counties in the nation, with a population change rate of 56.4 percent between 1990 and 2000 (U.S. Census Bureau 2001). 9 The Sioux Falls metropolitan statistical area- of which Lincoln County is a part and where South Dakota’s two interstate highways intersect- was also among the fastest growing small metropolitan areas during this period (U.S. Census Bureau 2001). THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK This study integrates key principles from Lee’s Theory of Migration (1966) and Wallerstein’s World Systems model (1974) to explain the migration patterns of North and South Dakota. The consolidation of these two frameworks serves as an example of theory integration. This occurs when relevant parts from at least two theories are integrated to more effectively explain what neither theory can sufficiently do alone (Wagner and Berger 1985). Lee (1966) argues that populations can be influenced to leave a place of origin if more favorable opportunities are perceived to exist in a new destination. In Lee’s model, negative features influencing out-migration are seen as “push” factors, while positive features influencing in-migration are seen as “pull” factors. Many of Lee’s key theoretical statements are appropriate for explaining the migration trends of the Dakotas. For instance, Lee (1966:52) highlights how new and more diverse opportunities can affect volumes of migration by arguing, “The volume of migration within a given territory varies with the degree of diversity of areas included in that territory,” and, “new opportunities are continually created in places to which workers must be drawn, and old enterprises are ruthlessly abandoned when they are no longer profitable.” In another set of statements, Lee (1966:54) points to the role that economic development can play in the migration process by stating, “The volume and rate of migration vary with the state of progress in a country or area,” and “higher rates of progress can lead to the creation of populations that respond quickly to new opportunities and react swiftly to diminishing opportunities.” 10 These statements made by Lee relate well to the migration trends observed in the Dakotas, where economic opportunities are more abundant in counties with access to a core city. Conversely, North and South Dakota’s most remote counties continue to lose economic activity or fail to attract new development, which may push existing residents to migrate. According to Lee both of these situations can contribute to out-migration. The addition of Wallerstein’s model (1974) helps explain why origins and destinations exist. This model is often used to explain the exploitive relationship between less developed countries and the multinational corporations of core countries (Massey, Arango, Hugo, Kouaouci, Pellingro, and Taylor 1993). However, it is also useful in explaining the exploitive relationship between the economic centers and peripheral hinterlands within countries (Galtung 1971). In this scheme, the penetration of capitalist economic relations into the rural hinterland displaces workers, creating a mobile population that is prone to migrate to centers of more diverse economic activity (Rogers, Korsching, and Donnemeyer 1988). A World Systems perspective puts metropolitan counties in the core areas and centers of diverse economic activity, while placing the non-metropolitan, agriculturally dependent counties, into the periphery (Krugman 1991; White 1998). This industrial dominance leads to the further dependence and spatial inequality of non-metropolitan counties that lack access to basic amenities and the necessary networks for competing with urban economies. Here the justification of integrating key ideas from both Lee and Wallerstein is reinforced, as parallels can be drawn between their explanations of migration patterns. While Lee describes the characteristics of areas most likely to lose or gain population through migration, the addition of Wallerstein’s concepts of “core” and “periphery” places the counties of the Dakotas into an appropriate geographic context to show the interdependent relationship that exists between the metropolitan and non-metropolitan counties of the two states. The 11 map in Figure 1 illustrates the spatial concentration of metropolitan counties in these two states, while also displaying the lack of access some non-metropolitan counties have to metropolitan areas. The general proposition of this study focuses on the influence of selected structural conditions on the migration patterns of North and South Dakota. From this general proposition several hypotheses can be deduced. These hypotheses, which are listed below, relate well to the arguments of Lee and Wallerstein and to the main goal of this study for a number of reasons. First, they test the very “push” and “pull” factors that Lee argues influence the migration process. Second, using levels of rurality and commuting patterns as independent variables strengthens the possibility of displaying a core- periphery relationship described by Wallerstein. Finally, a focus on a county’s share of employment in specific industries and rates of job change is an effective way to test the frameworks of the two selected theorists, as both approaches place an emphasis on the relationship between economic development and migration. From these general propositions this study proposes the following hypotheses: H 1: There is a negative relationship between higher levels of rurality and net-migration. H 2: There is a positive relationship between the percentage of workers commuting out of their home county for work and net-migration. H 3: There is a positive relationship between interstate access and net- migration. H 4: There is a negative relationship between the percentage of workers employed in extractive industries and net-migration. H 5: There is a positive relationship between the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing and net-migration. H 6: There is a positive relationship between the percentage of workers employed in retail services and net-migration. H 7: There is a positive relationship between job change rate and net-migration. 12 METHODOLOGY Data and Units of Analysis Data were collected from the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service, the U.S. Department of Transportation, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Counties were selected over other possible units of analysis because they have defined political boundaries in which decisions are made (Lichter and Johnson 2006). All counties (n=119) were included in the sample, regardless of total population, and combined into one analysis. Operationalization of Concepts Net-migration rates. The dependent variable for this study was the county-level netmigration rates recorded between the years of 1990 and 2000. These rates measure the number of in- and out- migrants (both domestic and international) per 1,000 population (Tarver 1961). The mean net-migration rate for all counties was recorded at - 4.23; that is, for every 1,000 people living in a county, 4.23 more people migrated out between the years of 1990 and 2000 (U.S. Census Bureau 2000). Geographic context. Three variables were used to measure a county’s geographic context: (1) Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, (2) the percentage of residents commuting outside of their home county for work, and (3) interstate access. Rural-Urban Continuum Codes classify counties based on population size, adjacency to metropolitan areas, and levels of rurality (USDA-Economic Research Service 2004). These codes range from “1” to “9.” Counties assigned codes ranging from “1” to “3” are classified as metropolitan while those coded “4” through “9” are classified as non-metropolitan. A total of eleven counties (9.2 percent) were classified as metropolitan counties. These counties were all assigned a code of “3,” meaning they were located in metropolitan areas of fewer than 250,000 residents. 13 The majority of counties (53.7 percent) were assigned a Rural-Urban Continuum Code of “9.” These counties are classified as being non-adjacent to metropolitan areas and either completely rural or home to an urban population of fewer than 2,500 residents (USDA-Economic Research Service 2004). The second geographic context variable focused on the relationship between commuting and net-migration. This was achieved by utilizing U.S. Census Bureau data that measured the percentage of workers commuting outside of their home county for work. In 2000, the average percentage of workers commuting outside of their home county for work in North and South Dakota was recorded at 20.27 percent (U.S Census Bureau 2000; See Table 1). Table 1 Correlation Values for Independent Variables and Net-Migration Rates Independent Variables N Rural-Urban Continuum Code Percentage Commuting Out of County for Work, 2000 Interstate Runs Through County (0=no, 1=yes)† Percentage Employed in Extractive Industries, 2000 Percentage Employed in Manufacturing, 2000 Percentage Employed in Retail, 2000 Job Change Rate, 1990-2000 *p= .05; **p= < .01; ***p= < .001 † Eta utilized for this variable 119 119 119 119 119 119 119 County Mean -20.27 -18.02 7.30 10.22 13.36 r-Value -.474*** .388*** .301*** -.578*** .420*** .342*** .569*** Presence of an interstate highway was the third variable used to measure the relationship between geographic context and net-migration. These counties were identified using data from the U.S. Department of Transportation (2007). To measure this relationship a dummy variable was created. Counties with an interstate highway running within its boundaries were assigned a code of “1” (n= 36) while those without an interstate highway were assigned a code of “0” (n= 83). 14 Economic dependency. Three variables were used to examine the relationship between economic dependency and net-migration. These variables were the percentage of workers employed in industries related to resource extraction (most notably agriculture), manufacturing, and retail services. Figures in Table 1 show that on average 18.01 percent of workers in these counties were employed in extractive industries in 2000, compared to 7.30 percent in manufacturing and 10.22 percent in retail services (U.S. Census Bureau 2000). Though these variables only test the relationship between economic dependency and net-migration at one point in time, they are effective in displaying how a county’s share of employment in a specific industry can help to predict migration trends and whether certain industries are associated with a positive or negative rate of net-migration. Economic development. Job change rates provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (2000) were used to examine the relationship between county-level economic development and rates of net-migration. These rates measure the percent change in total employment, while also serving as an indicator of job creation, a chief indicator of economic development. The average job change rate for the counties under analysis was recorded at 13.36 percent between the years of 1990 and 2000. This was lower than the nation as a whole, which recorded a job change rate of 19.54 percent (Bureau of Economic Analysis 2000; See Table 1). Modeling Strategy Hypotheses were tested through bivariate correlations and an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression analysis. Bivariate correlations were used initially to display individual relationships between the selected independent variables and net-migration. An Ordinary Least Squares regression model was then utilized to illustrate the combined influence these variables have on the strength and direction of county-level net-migration and as the deciding factor in accepting or rejecting the research hypotheses. 15 RESULTS Results from the bivariate correlations show initial empirical support for all research hypotheses. The percentage of workers employed in extractive industries (r = - .578; p < .001) and job change rates (r = .569; p < .001) show the strongest relationships with net-migration rates. All other independent variables are moderately associated with the dependent variable (See Table 1). When combined into one regression model the seven independent variables account for 61.1 percent of the variance in the dependent variable. Support is found for four of the original seven research hypotheses, while three are found to be statistically insignificant. The results of the bivariate analysis and the regression model as they relate to the hypotheses are discussed in greater detail in the following sections. H1: There is a negative relationship between higher levels of rurality and net-migration. Rural-Urban Continuum Codes and rates of net-migration were utilized to test the association between rurality and net-migration. As seen in Table 1, the strength of the bivariate relationship is negative, moderate (r = - .474), and statistically significant (p < .001).1 Results from the regression analysis (see Table 2) reveal that the strength of the relationship between Rural-Urban Continuum Codes and rates of net-migration becomes statistically insignificant when other variables are controlled for (β = -.072; p < .374). 1 Although there is no consensus on the verbal interpretation of values of r, this study applies the following scale: .01 to .25 = weak; .26 to .50 = moderate; .51 to .75 = strong; .76 to 1.00 = very strong. 16 Table 2 OLS Regression Analysis of Net Migration Rates for the Counties of North and South Dakota, 1990-2000 (N= 119). b Constant Rural-Urban Continuum Code Percentage Commuting Out of County for Work, 2000 Interstate Runs Through County (0=no, 1=yes) Percentage Employed in Extractive Industries, 2000 Percentage Employed in Manufacturing, 2000 Percentage Employed in Retail, 2000 Job Change Rate, 1990-2000 R2 = .611 S.E. Beta t-Value pValue .0570 .3740 -10.776 -.384 5.602 .431 -10.776 -.072 -1.924 -.893 .274 .047 .371 5.882 -1.409 1.471 -.066 -.958 .3400 -.293 .091 -.295 -3.220 .0020 .242 .560 .163 .109 .284 .039 .146 .146 .300 2.225 1.973 4.164 .0280 .0510 < .0001 <.0001 H2: There is a positive relationship between the percentage of workers commuting out of their home county for work and net-migration. This relationship is moderate, positive (r = .388) and statistically significant (p < .001) in the bivariate analysis. The relationship remains statistically significant when included in the regression analysis (β = .371; p < .0001) and it is also the strongest relationship in the analysis. H3: There is a positive relationship between interstate access and net-migration. Though found to be positively and significantly associated with net-migration in the bivariate analysis (r = .301; p < .001), this is not the case in the regression model. In fact, when included with other factors, access to an interstate highway becomes a negative (β = -.066) and statistically insignificant predictor (p < .340) of net-migration. H4: There is a negative relationship between the percentage of workers employed in extractive industries and net-migration. Findings from the bivariate analysis support the argument that greater dependence on extractive-related industries is associated with negative 17 net-migration (r = -.578; p < .001). Indeed, there is a strong, negative association. This relationship remains statistically significant in the regression model (β = - .295; p < .0020). H5: There is a positive relationship between the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing and net-migration. The bivariate analysis reveals a moderate positive association between the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing and rates of netmigration (r = .420; p < .001). The results from the regression model do not discount this relationship; even when controlling for the relationships between all of the independent variables with net-migration, the relationship between employment in manufacturing and netmigration remains positive (β = .146) and statistically significant (p < .028). H6: There is a positive relationship between the percentage of workers employed in retail services and net-migration. Though it displays a moderate statistically significant association in the bivariate analysis (r = .342; p < .001), the percentage of workers employed in retail services does not produce a statistically significant relationship in the regression model (β = .146; p < .051). H7: There is a positive relationship between job change rate and net-migration. The relationship between job change rate and rates of net-migration produces the second strongest association of the relationships in the bivariate analyses (r = .569; p < .001). When combined with other variables in the full regression model job change rate remains as the second strongest predictor of county-level net-migration (β = .300; p < .0001). To summarize these tests, the bivariate analyses provided support for all of the hypotheses. However, when put to the strain of statistical control in the regression analyses, higher levels of rurality, interstate access, and the percentage of workers employed in retail trade were found not to be statistically associated with net-migration, leading to the rejection of Hypotheses 1, 3, and 6. Final results show that the percentage of workers commuting out of 18 their home county for work, the percentage of workers employed in extractive industries, the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing, and job change rates were found to be statistically associated with net-migration, which lead to the acceptance of Hypotheses 2, 4, 5 and 7. DISCUSSION Though some of the hypotheses were not supported by the regression analysis, this study reveals a number of findings which support themes from the theories of both Lee (1966) and Wallerstein (1974). When tested individually, all indicators of geographic context, economic dependency, and economic development are significantly associated with netmigration. When controlling for other factors, four variables are found to be statistically significant in the regression analysis: percentage of workers commuting outside of their home county for work, the percentage of workers employed in extractive industries, the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing, and rate of job change. The percentage of workers commuting out of their home county for work is the strongest predictor of county-level net-migration. The positive association between these two variables supports findings in the literature and suggests that regardless of a county’s metropolitan or non-metropolitan status, greater access to labor markets may act as a pullfactor, influencing migration into a county. The percentage of workers employed in extractive industries, especially in agriculture, is the only variable to be negatively and statistically related with net-migration. If a relatively high percentage of workers employed in extractive industries is a reflection of a lack of economic diversity, and researchers we reviewed imply that it is (Rogers et al. 1988; Rowley 1998), this negative relationship lends support to the ideas of both Lee (1966) and Wallerstein (1974) who make note of how locations failing to develop industrial diversity face the threat of population 19 loss through out-migration. More substantial support will come if subsequent research projects find that this negative relationship holds up when changes in employment and net-migration are studied over time. The percentage of workers employed in manufacturing and job rate change may reflect a more diverse economy; if they do, they serve as examples of how greater economic diversity or a greater pace of economic development can lead to positive net-migration. This is an argument made several times by Lee (1966) and Wallerstein (1974) as well as those who have used the key principles of these theorists to explain migration (Rogers et al. 1988). The rate of job change, (recorded at 13.36 percent for the Dakotas between 1990 and 2000), most likely the better indicator of economic diversity, may represent new economic opportunities, a pullfactor known to spark in-migration. In general, counties with relatively higher percentages of persons commuting out of the county to work, relatively higher percentages employed in manufacturing but lower percentages employed in extractive industries, and relatively higher rates of job growth experienced relatively higher rates of positive net-migration. As seen in a comparison of maps in Figures 1 and 2, many but certainly not all of these counties are metropolitan or near metropolitan counties. In theoretical terms, and maybe in actual terms, these counties possess greater access to valued resources and opportunities. Conversely, the Dakotas’ most isolated counties may lack the assets to attract new development, which may lead to an increased dependency on core and metropolitan areas, leading to further complications for populations that may already be aging, isolated, or economically disadvantaged. 20 Figure 1 Net-Migration Rates in North Dakota and South Dakota 1990-2000 (Positive vs. Negative) Having an Interstate highway running through these counties may not be the best way to alleviate these problems. An Interstate may simply make it easier for people and business to pass right through them. Decreasing the dependency of peripheral counties may take a multifaceted approach. As Whitener and Parker (2007) have noted, addressing these discrepancies may require unique policy options that entail local, state, and national governmental action to stimulate peripheral counties' economies and living conditions by enhancing web-based economic activities, luring economic activities that add value to agricultural products, strengthening schools and other public services, and building up and improving access to recreational activities. Taking these measures may help improve the quality of life in peripheral counties; whether they influence higher levels of in-migration is a potential topic for another study. 21 CONCLUSION The objective of this study was to explain the relationship between structural conditions and the county-level migration patterns in North and South Dakota. While past research involving the Dakotas focused more on describing the population issues of the Great Plains region as a whole (Albrecht 1993; Rathge 2005; 2008) this study introduced an alternative for explaining migration patterns in two states where research is limited. Final results indicate that the prevalence of commuting, the percentage of workers employed in extractive industries, the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing, and rate of job change are all statistically significant predictors of county-level net-migration. In the future, research could be expanded by including more states from the Great Plains region to determine whether results from this study are found to be unique to certain states or consistent across the entire region. It will also be important for future studies to analyze the impact technology has had on the Dakotas, by investigating whether technology has displaced workers in non-metropolitan areas, thus further supporting dependency themes. 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Our results show that none of the theories are useful in predicting fathers’ workday housework performance; however, two theories are beneficial for predicting mothers’ performance. Specifically, mothers with more traditional gender ideologies (in support of gender ideology theory) along with mothers who work fewer hours than their partners (in support of time availability theory) perform more workday housework. Additionally, and in support of an extended version of time availability theory, we find the use of flexible scheduling among mothers is associated with higher levels of workday housework performance. Implications of the study are discussed. INTRODUCTION The large scale entrance of women into the paid labor force has served to challenge a “traditional” division of labor in which women care for the family domain and men attend to breadwinning (Bianchi, Milkie, Sayer, and Robinson 2000; Deutsch 1999; Hochschild 1989). Women have succeeded in joining the ranks of men in the workforce, but the concomitant change of men increasing their participation in the family work, including housework, has been slow and uneven (Coltrane 2000; Hochschild 1989). The gender gap evident in the housework performance of husbands and wives creates tension and stress for married and partnered Krista Lynn Minnotte, Ph.D., University of North Dakota, Department of Sociology, Gillette Hall Room 202, 225 Centennial Drive Stop 7136, Grand Forks, ND 58202-7136; e-mail: [email protected] 28 women (Hochschild 1989; Milkie, Raley, and Bianchi 2010). Indeed, the unequal division of housework labor is often implicated in conflict between partners and has been linked to reductions in relationship quality (Kluwer, Heesink, and Van de Vliert 1996; Stevens, Kiger, and Riley 2001). Considering that the division of labor becomes increasingly traditional following the transition to parenthood (Baxter, Hewitt, and Haynes 2008; Nomaguchi and Milkie 2003), these tensions may be heightened among partners who have children. For these reasons, understanding the housework participation of married or partnered individuals with children in the home is a particularly worthwhile project. Scholars have noted that while men’s relative housework hours have increased that much of this is explained by women cutting back on their housework time (Press and Townsley 1998). As such, scholars over the past few decades have sought to elucidate mechanisms explaining participation in housework, with research consistently finding that gender remains one the most important predictors of this variable (Coltrane 2000; Shelton and John 1996). As scholars have sought to explain the gendered division of household labor, three key theories have been the most influential: relative resources theory, time availability theory, and gender ideology theory. This paper examines how well each of these three theories explains housework participation, while also extending time availability theory to include other workplace factors that may serve to expand or contract the time available to do housework. In particular, we consider the role of nonstandard work hours and the use of flexible scheduling (Noonan, Estes, and Glass 2007; Presser, 1994; 2003). We devote our attention to housework performed on work days—days that are likely to be the most stressful and difficult to manage, especially among households with dependent children. We contribute to the understanding of the gendered division of household labor by focusing on workday housework, which is largely unexplored in the literature, along with our incorporation of an expanded version of time 29 availability theory. To address our research questions we use data from a nationally representative sample of employed adults in the United States, with our attention restricted to those who are married or partnered with children under the age of 18 living in the home. Analyses are conducted separately by gender to explore gendered processes that may come into play in explaining workday housework participation. Predicting Housework Performance As mentioned earlier, three primary theories have been used by scholars to explain participation in housework: relative resources theory, gender ideology theory, and time availability theory. In this section of the paper, we review key literature pertaining to each of the theories, and then propose the hypotheses that will guide our analyses. Relative Resources. According to relative resources theory, individuals use their resources, typically in the form of earnings, to bargain for reduced housework performance (Coverman 1989; Shelton and John 1996). Operating from the assumption that housework is unpleasant, individuals are viewed as using income to buy their way out of this form of labor. Along these lines, in married or partnered relationships housework performance is tied to earnings, with those who earn higher incomes performing less housework. Hence, as women’s earnings increase relative to their partners, their partner’s housework contributions should increase; and when women’s earnings are low compared to their partners, women’s housework contributions will remain high. Studies that have examined the linear relationship between relative income and housework have found that men tend to perform more housework when their wives make greater contributions to household income (Bianchi et al. 2000; Ross 1987). Here we consider whether the proportion of household income contributed by the respondent (compared to his or her partner or spouse) is related to the respondent’s housework 30 performance. We propose the following hypothesis based on the central argument of relative resources theory: Hypothesis 1: Proportional income will be negatively related to workday housework performance. Gender Ideology. Scholars have also proposed that individuals’ beliefs and attitudes regarding gender are central to the division of household labor, with gender ideologies playing an especially important role (Hochschild 1989). Gender ideology is defined as “how a person identifies herself or himself with regard to marital and family roles that are traditionally linked to gender” (Greenstein 1996:586). Gender ideology theory suggests that women who hold traditional gender ideologies will regard the home as their province, and hence will perform more housework than egalitarian women who are oriented to both work and home; whereas men who are more traditional will perform less housework than more egalitarian men because traditional men will view housework as “women’s work” (Coverman 1989; Fuwa 2004; Shelton and John 1996). We argue that gender ideologies may be especially important in predicting workday housework performance, as traditional women may feel pressure to perform housework on such days to ensure they are behaving in accordance with their gender ideologies despite their paid labor force participation. Egalitarian women, on the other hand, may feel no such need to demonstrate their dedication to traditional beliefs by performing housework on work days. Previous scholarship has demonstrated that men with more egalitarian gender ideologies tend to perform more housework than more traditional men, and women with more egalitarian gender ideologies spend less time performing housework than more traditional women, even when employment and parental status are controlled for (Bianchi et al. 2000; Fuwa 2004; 31 Gazco-Windle and McMullin 2003; Presser 1994; Ross 1987). Gender ideology theory leads us to propose the following hypotheses: Hypothesis 2: Mothers with more traditional gender ideologies will perform more housework on workdays than more egalitarian mothers. Hypothesis 3: Fathers with more traditional gender ideologies will perform less housework on workdays than more egalitarian fathers. Time Availability. Time availability theory contends that among partnered individuals that whichever partner has fewer time commitments will perform more housework, with time commitments typically determined by considering labor force hours (Coverman 1989; Shelton and John 1996). As such, individuals who work more hours compared to their partners should perform less housework and those individuals who work fewer hours than their partners should perform more housework. Two reviews of the housework literature have concluded that work hours are negatively related to the housework performance of both men and women (Coltrane 2000; Shelton and John 1996). A few scholars have expanded time availability to consider the use of flexible scheduling in predicting housework, as the use of flexible scheduling may lead to individuals adjusting their work schedules to meet their family needs (Noonan et al. 2007; Silver and Goldscheider 1994; Wharton 1994). Indeed, findings from previous studies indicate that some women deliberately choose to work in jobs characterized by flexibility in the scheduling of hours in the hopes of being more available to take care of needs emerging from the family domain, such as housework (Hilbrect, Shaw, Johnson, and Andrey 2008; Wharton 1994). Although a relationship between the use of flexible scheduling and enhanced housework performance is often assumed to exist, very little research has examined the relationship between these two variables, with existing research tending to focus on only women (e.g., 32 Silver and Goldscheider; Wharton 1994). For instance, Silver and Goldscheider (1994) in their examination of the availability of flexible fringe benefits and women’s housework performance found that these benefits were associated with increased housework performance among mature women but not among younger women. A potential limitation of their research is its focus on the availability of policies, as we know from previous scholarship that the provision of flexible scheduling benefits does not necessarily result in their use due to fear of career repercussions (Blair-Loy and Wharton 2002; Secret 2000). Hence, we cannot know if the women in Silver and Goldscheider’s study actually used the flexible fringe benefits that were available to them, and presumably it is the use of the policies that allows workers to expand their time to attend to family needs. This means that it is especially important to examine how the actual use of such policies is related to housework performance, and only a few studies have done so. One such study using a Midwestern sample of employed parents found that wives who use flexible scheduling, in contradiction to their predictions, actually performed less housework (Noonan et al. 2007). Despite this contradictory finding, we expect flexible scheduling to be associated with higher levels of workday housework performance because it allows workers the ability to arrange their work hours so as to better take care of family-related needs, including housework on the days when they are working (Wharton 1994). Nonstandard work hours are another mechanism that may serve to expand the time an individual has available to perform housework on days when they are working. Presser (1994; 2003) has been at the forefront of calling attention to both the increasing prevalence of nonstandard work hours in our 24/7 economy and the ramifications of this important change for a variety of marital and family outcomes, including the division of domestic labor. Presser’s (2003) work demonstrated that among couples with children that wives spend more time on female-typed household tasks when they work nonstandard shifts, and at least one study has 33 found that shift work is associated with a general increase in the housework participation of women (Silver and Goldscheider 1994). Moreover, Presser’s research (1994; 2003) indicated that when husbands and wives work different schedules (usually due to one partner working a nonstandard schedule) that this tends to enhance men’s housework participation. In the present study, we are unable to consider the role of the spouse’s schedule, but we do examine whether there is a relationship between the nonstandard work hours of the respondent and the respondent’s workday housework performance. We argue that nonstandard hours are likely to enhance housework performance because a respondent who works nonstandard hours most likely works a different shift than his or her partner, which leaves the respondent primarily responsible for household tasks that arise when he or she is not at work. Regarding the extended version of time availability theory, we put forth the following hypotheses: Hypothesis 4: Relative work hours will be negatively related to workday housework performance. Hypothesis 5: The use of flexible scheduling will be positively related to workday housework performance. Hypothesis 6: Nonstandard work schedules will be positively related to workday housework performance. Demographic Control Variables. We also take into account a number of demographic control variables in our analyses, including age, race, education, and the presence of children under the age of 6 in the household. Age is important to consider, as previous research indicates that housework performance may differ among younger versus older respondents (e.g., Silver and Goldscheider 1994). For instance, Bianchi and colleagues (2000) found that age was negatively related to the housework performance of husbands. Previous research has also indicated that the division of household labor may be more traditional among certain ethnic 34 groups, such as Hispanics (Sayer and Fine 2010), whereas it tends to be egalitarian among other groups, such as African-Americans (John and Shelton 1997), leading us to include race in our analyses. Studies have shown that children, especially the presence of children under the age of 6, are related to increased housework performance among men and women and to a larger gender gap in housework performance (e.g., Bianchi et al. 2000; Perkins and DeMeis 1996). For that reason, we include the presence of children under age 6 as one of the variables in our study. METHOD To address our proposed hypotheses we use data from the 2002 National Study of the Changing Workforce (NSCW). A questionnaire regarding work and family life was developed by The Families and Work Institute (Bond, Thompson, Galinsky, and Prottas 2003), which was then used by Harris Interactive to collect the data. The data is a nationally representative sample of employed adults who were interviewed during an eight month time period. The sample was generated using random-digit dialing, with interviewers determining eligibility at the time of the telephone call. To be eligible for participation an individual had to be at least 18 years of age and employed in the paid labor force. After eligibility was determined, a computer-assisted telephone interviewing system was utilized to obtain the data with the interviews lasting approximately 45 minutes. The resulting dataset for the 2002 NSCW contained 2,810 employees, including 1,640 women and 1,170 men. For the purposes of this study, analysis was restricted to those respondents who were married or partnered, whose spouse or partner was employed in the paid labor force, who reported having at least one child under the age of 18 living in their home, and who were not missing data on any of the study variables (N = 613). Please note that although our data contain some measures regarding the 35 spouse or partner of the respondent that we do not have couple data; the mothers and fathers in the sample are not married or partnered to each other. Measures Dependent variable. Workday housework performance was measured by asking the respondents “on average, on days when you're working, about how much time do YOU spend on home chores -- things like cooking, cleaning, repairs, shopping, yardwork, and keeping track of money and bills?” Respondents gave their answers either in minutes or hours, and for the purposes of this analysis all responses were converted to hours. Independent variables. The variable relative work hours was created by taking the respondent’s report of how many hours he or she worked on average per week at all jobs and subtracting the respondent’s report of his or her partner’s average work hours per week at all jobs. Positive scores on the variable indicate that the respondent reports working more hours than his or her partner, negative scores indicate the partner works more hours than the respondent (according to the respondent), and a score of zero indicates that the respondent works the same number of hours as the partner (according to the respondent). Use of flexible scheduling was measured by one item that asked respondents the extent to which they used flexible scheduling options that were available at their place of work. Responses ranged from “a lot” (coded as a 1) to “not at all” (coded as a 4). The scores were then reverse coded such that higher scores reflect greater use of available flexible scheduling. Additionally, respondents who reported that their workplace did not have flexible scheduling options available were assigned a code of 0 on this variable. Hence, the final range of scores for this variable is from 0 = no flexible scheduling available to 4 = uses a lot. To measure nonstandard work hours respondents were asked to characterize the schedule they worked at their main job. Response categories that respondents could select from included a regular daytime shift, a regular 36 evening shift, a regular night shift, a rotating shift, a split shift, a variable schedule with no set hours, or some other schedule. Respondents who indicated working a regular daytime shift were coded 0 on nonstandard work hours and all other respondents were coded 1 (indicating they worked a nonstandard work schedule). Gender ideology was measured by asking respondents to indicate their extent of agreement with the following statement: “it is much better for everyone involved if the man earns the money and the woman takes care of the home and children?” Available response categories ranged from 1 = strongly agree to 4 = strongly disagree. The responses were reverse coded such that higher scores are indicative of more traditional gender ideologies. To examine the effects of differential income we included a measure of proportion of income that indicates the proportion of the total household income that was contributed by the respondent (respondent’s income divided by the respondent’s income plus the partner’s income). Demographic control variables. Age was measured in years. Race was entered as a series of dummy variables (African-American, Hispanic, and other race) with White used as the reference group. Education was also a series of dummy variables (less than high school, some college, college graduate, and postgraduate degree) with high school education serving as the comparison group. Lastly, the presence of children under 6 was a dummy variable that was coded 1 for the presence of such children in the household and 0 if no such children were present. Analytic Strategy. To address our hypotheses separate Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression equations were estimated for fathers and mothers in order to address gendered processes that may come into play. Each OLS regression equation contains the demographic control variables (age, race, education, and presence of children under 6) along with the 37 independent variables (relative work hours, use of flexible scheduling, nonstandard work hours, gender ideology and proportion of income) in predicting workday housework performance. RESULTS The descriptive statistics for the study variables are displayed in Table 1, along with the results of t tests pertaining to all non-dummy variables. It is noteworthy that there is a statistically significant difference between the means of mothers (M = 3.11, SD = 2.16) and fathers (M = 1.94, SD = 1.50) on workday housework performance, with mothers performing significantly more workday housework than fathers. Among fathers we find that roughly 12% self-report as Hispanic, 10% self-report as Black, 74% self-report as White, and 5% self-report as some other race. For mothers we find that approximately 12% self-report as Hispanic, 7% self-report as Black, 78% self-report as White, and 3% self-report as some other race. Among mothers we find that roughly 8% have less than a high school education, 28% have a high school diploma, 31% have some college, 24% have a four year college degree, and 8% have a postgraduate degree as their highest level of education. Among fathers we find that approximately 15% have less than a high school education, 30% have a high school diploma, 26% have some college, 20% have a four year college degree, and 10% have a postgraduate degree as their highest level of educational attainment. On average, the fathers are significantly older (M = 39.58, SD = 8.39) than the mothers (M = 38.45, SD = 8.74) in our sample. Roughly 47% of the fathers and 38% of the mothers report the presence of at least one child under the age of 6 within the home. Mothers and fathers report fairly similar gender ideologies (M = 2.44, SD = 1.10, M = 2.36, SD = 1.13, respectively), and similar levels of working a nonstandard work schedule (29% of fathers and 26% of mothers). On average, mothers, who contribute about 40% of their household income, also earn significantly less than their spouses or partners (measured proportionately) compared to the fathers, who contribute 38 about 67% of their household income. Mothers, on average, also work significantly fewer hours than their spouses or partners compared to fathers. Mothers average approximately 9.89 hours less work hours per week (SD = 18.76) than their partners or spouses, compared fathers who on average work about 12.77 hours more per week (SD = 18.13) than their partners or spouses. Mothers, on average, are also significantly more likely to use flexible scheduling (M = 2.20, SD = 1.32) than the fathers in the sample (M = 1.90, SD = 1.29). Table 1 Descriptive Statistics (N = 308 fathers and 305 mothers) Fathers Variables Age Hispanic African American White Other race Less than high school High school Some college College degree Postgraduate degree Presence of children under 6 Gender ideology Proportion of income Relative work hours Use of flexible scheduling Nonstandard work hours Workday housework performance M SD 39.58* .12 .10 .77 .05 .15 .30 .26 .20 .09 .47 2.44 .67* 12.77* 1.90* .29 1.94* 8.39 .32 .30 .42 .21 .35 .46 .44 .40 .29 .50 1.10 .19 18.13 1.29 .45 1.50 Mothers M SD 38.45* .12 .07 .82 .03 .08 .28 .31 .24 .08 .38 2.36 .40* -9.89* 2.20* .26 3.11* 8.74 .33 .38 .38 .17 .27 .45 .46 .43 .27 .49 1.13 .19 18.76 1.32 .44 2.16 *Indicates a t test of the difference between the means was significant at the .05 level or higher. Note that t tests were not performed on the dummy variables. aThe comparison group is Whites. bHigh school degree is the reference category. cHigher scores indicate a more traditional gender ideology. dThe higher the score, the greater the proportion of income contributed by the respondent. eThe higher the score, the more hours the respondent works relative to his or her partner. The results of the OLS regression models are shown in Table 2. First, we note that the OLS regression model fails to achieve statistical significance for the fathers, and none of the 39 variables are significant in predicting fathers’ workday housework performance. That is, neither relative resources theory, gender ideology theory, nor time availability theory are predictive of men’s workday housework. Next, we briefly describe the findings pertaining to the control variables for mothers. The results indicate that Hispanic mothers report performing significantly more workday housework than White mothers do. In terms of education, mothers with less than high school education and mothers with college degrees report significantly higher levels of workday housework than mothers with high school degrees. Next, we address whether or not the findings support the hypotheses for mothers. Hypothesis 1 states that proportional income will be negatively related to workday housework performance, and the results fail to support this hypothesis for mothers. Hypothesis 2 concerning the relationship between mothers’ gender ideologies and mothers’ workday housework performance is supported. The results indicate that more traditional gender ideologies are positively related to workday housework performance. Hypothesis 3 regarding fathers’ gender ideologies is not supported. Hypothesis 4 predicts that relative work hours will be negatively related to workday housework performance, and this hypothesis is supported for mothers. The findings show that the more hours a mother works relative to her partner or spouse the less workday housework she reports performing. Hypothesis 5 concerning the use of flexible scheduling is supported for mothers, as higher scores on the use of flexible scheduling are associated with greater levels of workday housework. regarding nonstandard work hours is not supported for mothers. 40 The last hypothesis Table 2 Summary of Regression Analyses for Variables Predicting Workday Housework Performance (N = 308 men and 305 women) Fathers Variables B SE B Mothers Β B SE B β -.01 Control variables Age -.01 .02 -.05 -.004 .02 Hispanica -.30 .32 -.06 .89 .44 African Americana -.04 .38 .08 -.15 .47 -.02 Other racea -.04 .38 -.01 .18 .61 .02 Less than high schoolb -.16 .41 -.03 -1.03 .50 -.13* Some collegeb -.13 .23 -.04 -.35 .34 -.07 College degreeb -.38 .26 -.11 -.71 .34 -.15* Postgraduate degreeb Presence of children under 6 -.39 .34 -.08 -.79 .48 -.11 .25 .23 .08 -.53 .30 -.12 Gender ideologyc .10 .09 .08 .23 .12 .12* Proportion of incomed -.41 .57 -.05 -.22 .77 -.02 Relative work hourse Use of flexible scheduling -.002 .01 -.02 -.02 .01 -.17** -.02 .07 -.01 .28 .10 .17** Nonstandard work hours -.10 .21 -.03 .44 .30 .09 .12* Independent variables Adjusted R2 -.002f .09 *p <.05. **p <.01. ***p <.001. aThe comparison group is Whites. b High school degree is the reference category. cHigher scores indicate a more traditional gender ideology. dThe higher the score, the greater the proportion of income contributed by the respondent. eThe higher the score, the more hours the respondent works relative to his or her partner. fNote that the OLS regression model is not significant for men. 41 DISCUSSION The present study sought to examine the utility of three traditional housework theories (relative resources, gender ideology, and time availability) in predicting workday housework hours among partnered mothers and fathers using data from a nationally representative sample of working adults. We narrowed our examination to consider the mechanisms predicting workday housework performance among married or partnered workers with at least one child under age 18 living in the home. In particular, we followed other scholars in extending the time availability perspective to consider not only relative hours worked, but also the use of flexible scheduling (Noonan et al. 2007; Silver and Goldscheider 1994; Wharton 1994) and nonstandard work hours (Presser 1994; 2003). We focused on the performance of housework on workdays because we view these housework hours as especially burdensome, and hence they may be more likely to cause stress and conflict among working parents who are married or partnered. It may also be the case that increasing men’s contributions to workday housework is especially difficult. The results from the present study suggest that important gendered processes may be at play in the performance of workday housework hours. Indeed, our study suggests that none of the traditional theories are useful in predicting fathers’ performance of workday housework hours. Not only are none of the variables significant in predicting such fathers’ workday housework hours, but the model itself is not significant—suggesting that these variables, taken together, play little, if any, role in shaping fathers’ workday housework hours. The existing scholarship has tended to predict men’s housework in general rather than men’s housework on workdays, which may help explain why little variation in fathers’ housework is explained by our study (e.g., Baxter et al. 2008; Bianchi et al. 2000; Gazso-Windle and McMullin 2003; John and Shelton 1997; Presser 1994). Future research would benefit from identifying factors that do 42 make a difference in predicting the workday housework performance of partnered men with dependent children. For example, in keeping with an extended time availability perspective, scholars could consider the role of work-to-family conflict in predicting workday housework performance. In contrast to the lack of significant predictors of housework for fathers, among mothers support is found for the extended time availability theory and gender ideology theory, suggesting these theories are salient for explaining variation in mothers’ workday housework performance. In terms of the extended time availability theory, we find that partnered mothers’ use of flexible scheduling is associated with increased workday housework performance. In this way, it does appear that flexible scheduling policies enhance working mothers’ ability to attend to family needs, such as the performance of household chores, on workdays. However, we find no evidence of such a relationship for working partnered fathers, which is in accordance with the findings from a study conducted by Noonan and colleagues (2007). Together these findings suggest that workplace flexibility, while it may be beneficial for fathers in other ways, does not appear to enhance their performance of household chores on days that they are working. We encourage future research to consider whether the use of flexible scheduling is predictive of other forms of family work, such as emotion-work performance (Minnotte, Stevens, Minnotte, and Kiger 2007; Minnotte, Pedersen, Mannon, and Kiger 2010) or child care. Our findings differ from those of Noonan and colleagues (2007), in that they found a negative relationship between use of flexible scheduling among mothers and their housework performance, whereas we found a positive relationship. We believe a potential explanation for the contradictory nature of our finding is that their study focused on a Midwestern sample, while our study considered a nationally representative sample of employed fathers and mothers. It could be that the predictors of housework performance are potentially shaped by 43 regional differences. Moreover, given that their study focused on households with children around age 7 the results may be also more salient to families with young children. Regardless, the results from our study suggest that the use of flexible scheduling may expand the time mothers have available to perform housework on workdays. Our study finds tentative support for gender ideology theory in predicting mothers’ workday housework performance, with mothers adhering to more traditional gender ideologies reporting greater performance. We find no evidence of gender ideology shaping the workday housework performance of working fathers. We think part of the reason we failed to find a relationship is that we were unable to take into account the gender ideology of the fathers’ partners. Indeed, previous research suggests that partners’ gender ideologies work in concert to affect the domestic labor performance of men, with egalitarian men married to egalitarian women being especially likely to have high levels of housework performance (Greenstein 1996). The present study is characterized by four primary limitations that should be taken into consideration. First, although we were able to examine the role of two key partner characteristics (income and work hours), a full examination of how the dynamics of the couple come into play in shaping the division of domestic labor is not possible with the present data. In order to fully address the couple-level characteristics that undoubtedly shape the negotiation of housework on workdays data from couples is essential. For instance, the present study failed to find a significant relationship between nonstandard hours and workday housework performance, which might be explained by our inability to directly take into account the partner’s work schedule. We assume that most of the time if the respondent works a nonstandard shift that his or her partner probably works a standard shift, especially since the strategy of rotating shifts is sometimes undertaken by couples to avoid non-family childcare or to save money on childcare (Deutsch 1999). 44 We also know from previous research (e.g., Presser 1994) that when husbands work hours that differ from those of their spouse this tends to increase the amount of housework performed by such husbands. Hence, our failure to find such a relationship may stem from our inability to take the partner’s work schedule into account. A second limitation of our study concerns the measurement of variables concerning the respondent’s partner or spouse. Even though we do include some couple level mechanisms in the present study (relative work hours and proportion of income), we should be mindful that all data regarding the respondent’s spouse were gathered from the respondent, and may not accurately represent either the partner’s true work hours or the partner’s actual income. Third, the use of a one-item measure of gender ideology is not ideal, especially since people’s gender ideologies are often complex and dynamic. However, we note that this one item has traditionally been used in many indexes of gender ideology (Davis and Greenstein 2009). Lastly, we must be mindful that our operationalization of housework, like other telephone survey measures of housework, is generally not considered as reliable as other measures, such as time diaries or interviews conducted in person (Bryant, Kang, Zick, and Chan 2004). Hence, telephone surveys, such as the one used by the present study, may lead to overestimations of time spent on housework (Press and Townsley 1998). For these reasons, we must remain cautious in the interpretation of the results of the present study. In conclusion, we have addressed the relative utility of three theories in predicting the workday housework performance of partnered mothers and fathers with children under the age of 18 living in the home. Our results point to the salience of the use of flexible scheduling in predicting mothers’ workday housework performance, with such use associated with increased housework among the partnered mothers of dependent children in our sample. No such relationship was found among the men in the sample. Altogether, our results suggest that 45 future research consider expanded versions of time availability theory rather than just examining the sheer number of hours worked. 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Wharton, Carol S. 1994. “Finding Time for the Second Shift: The Impact of Flexible Work Schedules on Women’s Double Days.” Gender & Society 8:189-205. 50 Voters Reframe the Abortion Policy Debate: A Theoretical Analysis of Abortion Attitudes in South Dakota Pamela Carriveau Abstract Laura Colmenero-Chilberg Since the Supreme Court’s announced its decision in Roe v. Wade (1973), individuals and groups opposed to legalized abortion in the United States have battled to reverse the ruling. Using established political processes, incremental steps such as parental consent requirements and/or twenty-four hour waiting periods have been strategically advanced as they charted the path to their real goal – an all-out abortion ban. Contemporary South Dakota Pro-Life activists abandoned this incremental approach in 2006, in the belief that the time was ripe for a voter-supported broadbased abortion ban that could be used to challenge the Supreme Court decision. They failed, however, to find the right combination of policy components to appeal to a majority of South Dakota voters. The November 2006 election resulted in 56% of South Dakota voter opposing the ban compared to 44% who supported it. The November 2008 election results were extremely close – 55% to 45%. However, analysis of individual attitudes towards abortion using 2006 GSS data suggested that a much wider margin of opposition and support exists in the voting public. When we compare the individual responses to abortion questions to the severe requirements of the proposed ban, we find that as many as 92% of the voters should have opposed the law. In this article, we attempt to explain the discrepancy between attitude preference and voting behavior by showing how the debate on abortion, in South Dakota specifically but also across the nation, has been reconceptualized not as a rational calculation of preferences about abortion but perhaps as a much broader referendum on family values. Pamela Carriveau, Ph.D., Black Hills State University, Black Hills State University, Political Science and Sociology, 1200 University St., Spearfish, SD 57799; e-mail: [email protected] 51 INTRODUCTION Abortion has been a relentlessly controversial issue in contemporary American society. Historically, however, this has not always been the case. Prior to the 19th century, abortion was merely one of the many choices in the reproductive lives of women (Hull and Hoffer 2001). Women chose abortion for a variety of reasons including an inability to provide economically for their children, unwed pregnancies, pregnancies due to rape, and a fear for their personal physical or mental health. Attitudes about abortion were considered private affairs and not openly discussed, and abortions were often self performed with or without the help of herbalists and midwives, doctors, family and/or friends. Products used were locally produced with herbal knowledge widespread. During the 19th century, many of the products that were used as abortifacients were fairly easily obtained at local businesses; they were often indirectly but publicly marketed to women as products that could restart or regulate menstruation with common knowledge understanding the true purpose of the remedy (Hull and Hoffer 2001; Myrsiades 2002). It was during the latter half of this century that abortion was criminalized in the United States (Hull and Hoffer 2001). While abortion continued to be illegal in the United States for most of the 20th century, by the 1960s it was a fairly noncontroversial issue in American society as a whole and seen as a “humanitarian medical issue under the control and supervision of physicians” (McDonagh 2007:188). The largest dissenting group was Roman Catholics. In 1973 when Roe v Wade reestablished the legality of abortion for American women, the arguments in favor were framed as a protection of women, returning the decision whether to terminate a pregnancy to the woman who was pregnant. Soon after the Supreme Court decision, however, concern with the morality of abortion resurfaced as a central moral concern for not just Roman Catholics but also increasingly for American Evangelical Protestants. Since the 1970s the number of citizens at 52 the ideological extremes of the abortion issue has increased, but the number of people found in the middle has remained fairly stable (Sullins 1999). This ideological extremism both solidified and became increasingly part of the public dialogue during the 1980s and the 1990s, driving a cultural wedge in American attitudes between those who increasingly identified themselves as either Pro-Life or Pro-Choice (Hoffman and Johnson 2005; Joffee 2005). The issue of abortion was assaulted directly with attacks on women’s health clinics and the doctors and nurses who participated in or performed abortions. Other more indirect battles were also fought over issues such as RU486, stem cell research and partial birth abortions. From the passage of Roe v Wade, the public battle on abortion would lead us to believe there have been two and only two clearly delineated and contradictory positions on this issue – Pro-Life and Pro-Choice. Traditionally, identification of membership in particular demographic categories such as religion, political party, level of education, etc., have provided placement into one of these two groups, and voting behaviors were thought to be clear (Adams 1997; Bohlzendahl and Myers 2004; Craig and O’Brien 1993; Evans 1997, 2002; Hoffman and Miller 1998; Jelen and Wilcox 2003) Those identified as Pro-Life would vote to ban abortion, seeing it as an issue about the right to and sanctity of life. Those identified as Pro-Choice would vote to retain it, seeing it as an issue about the limitation of individual rights. More recently the boundaries began to blur somewhat between the two categories with identification of differing attitudes towards traumatic and convenience abortions. Traumatic reasons, such as danger to a woman’s life and health or in the case of rape or incest, have tended to elicit much stronger support for abortion from the general public. Elective (or what have been called convenience) abortions, such as for reasons of financial hardship, a desire for no more children, or if the mother is unmarried, have found much lower levels of support 53 (Hoffman and Johnson 2005). This idea that there are women and circumstances that are “worthy” of abortion and those that are “unworthy” is somewhat reminiscent of past sociological discussions on the worthy and unworthy poor (Gans 1972). Even as advocates of both the ProLife and Pro-Choice movements have used “absolutist rhetoric” (Strickler and Danigelis 2002:189) to battle it out in the media, contemporary Americans have proved somewhat ambivalent in their attitudes towards abortion, and the extremist definitions of the two categories have not necessarily matched this ambivalence. Most Americans support abortion remaining legal (Joffee 2005), but the blurring of the boundary between the two opposing positions has raised the idea that the deciding element for many centers on the reason motivating the wish for the abortion (Hoffman and Johnson 2005; Shaw 2003). WHAT VOTER CHARACTERISTICS SEEM TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE? Several variables commonly have been investigated by researchers attempting to identify American attitudes towards abortion. The first three -- education, gender, and race -have been found to have inconsistent predictive abilities for attitudes about abortion. Three other variables – political affiliation, church affiliation, and church attendance -- have proven to be somewhat more explanatory about American attitudes on abortion than any of the others. Education In the past, education was identified as a strong indicator of a person’s stance on abortion (Chafetz and Ebaugh 1983; Granberg 1991; Harris and Mills 1985; Jones and Westoff 1978; Petersen and Mauss 1976). The higher the level of education a person had, the more likely they would be to support abortion, even within religious traditions (Evans 1997). There has been a decline, however, in this correlation between education and support for abortion, regardless of religious affiliation (Petersen 2001). Active affiliation (and the key here is level of 54 church attendance, not just congregational membership) appears to reduce the liberalizing effects of education (Jelen and Wilcox 2003). Gender Gender is another commonly believed correlate with pro-abortion attitudes. In particular, liberal gender attitudes have been linked to higher levels of support for the ProChoice position. There has been a clear liberalization of gender attitudes in American society (Bolzendahl and Myers 2004), but while past studies may have found that gender can be explanatory of liberal gender ideology (Craig and O’Brien 1993; Luker 1984), more recent research would indicate that a that this does not necessarily provide a link to higher levels of support for abortion (Jelen and Wilcox 2003; Kaufmann 2002; Strickler and Danigelis 2002). Many areas that were one time perceived as feminist (right to equal pay, job opportunities, and education) have gained such broad cultural acceptance that they are just commonly held by a large portion of the population and are no longer identified with feminism. This change has not occurred in attitudes towards abortion (Bolzendahl 2004). Some research indicates that attitudes about abortion actually have become more divided over time related to this one issue (DiMaggio, Evans, and Bryson 1996). Race In general, abortion attitudes are not strongly affected by race and ethnicity, although Black Americans and Hispanics traditionally have been identified as more Pro-Life than White Americans (Evans 2002; Hall and Ferree 1986). Strickler and Danigelis (2002) found that by the middle 1990s, there was a greater proportion of African American adults who were ProChoice than there were White adults. Black Americans have increasingly diverged on the issue of abortion from both White evangelicals and Roman Catholics (Evans 2002). Hispanic Americans, even with their overwhelmingly Roman Catholic tradition, are shown to have the 55 same attitudes about abortion as the general population, although there is a greater inclination for them to be Pro-Life (Bolks et al. 2000; Roberts 2007). In the case of both Hispanics and Black Americans, race seems to trump religion. Political Affiliation The Republican Party today is the usual political affiliation of Pro-Life proponents and the Democratic Party for Pro-Choice advocates. It is interesting to note that this is a relatively recent situation. In the 1968 election between Humphrey and Nixon, Pro-Lifers voted predominantly for Humphrey and Pro-Choicers for Nixon (Adams 1997). Distinctly different positions on abortion are found beginning with the 1984 Democratic and Republic National Platforms (Carmines and Woods 2002). As recently as 2008, the Republican National Platform clearly indicated “At its core, abortion is a fundamental assault on the sanctity of innocent human life” (p. 59), while the Democratic National Platform stated “The Democratic Party strongly and unequivocally supports Roe v Wade and a woman’s right to choose a safe and legal abortion … and we oppose any and all efforts to weaken or undermine that right” (p. 52). This switch in focus has been perceived to be as a result of the guiding hand of party elites (Adams 1997; Carmines and Wood 2002; Roh and Haider-Markel 2003). Some researchers have proposed the abortion issue can actually serve as a tactical tool for political elites to position themselves in the nominating process (Jelen and Wilcox 2003; Layman 2001). Religious Affiliation Roman Catholics were the group that began the Pro-Life crusade. After Roe v Wade, Evangelical Protestants joined the battle, and today the Pro-Life position is usually presented through the lens of a fundamentalist religious orientation identified as the Christian Right. American Christian religious affiliation can be divided into three major groups: 56 Roman Catholics, Evangelical Protestants, and Mainline Protestants1. The first two groups have been seen as overwhelmingly Pro-Life with the last one Pro-Choice. There have been recent changes in this positioning. Roman Catholics have become increasingly polarized over the issue of abortion (Evans 2002; Hoffman and Johnson 2005), even while the official position of the church is Pro-Life, and this “within-group” diversity has increased over the past 30 years (Evans 2002; Hoffmann and Miller 1998). Hoffmann and Miller (1998) looked at attitudes among different religious groups to abortion from 1972 to 1994 and found that over time, both Catholics and Protestants have become slightly less unified regarding abortion. Protestants, primarily Lutherans and Methodists, have diverged on the issues of abortion. According to Sullins (1999), over time younger Roman Catholics have become slightly more permissive in their attitudes towards abortion, while younger Protestants have become slightly less permissive. Even some Evangelical Protestants seem to be moving in a less divisive direction. “[A] younger generation of evangelical pastors – including the widely emulated preachers Rick Warren and Bill Hybels – are pushing the movement and its theology in new directions” (Kirkpatrick 2007:40) including a renewed focus on saving souls, spiritual growth, social justice and a movement away from the strident anti-abortion and anti-same sex marriage arguments of the past. Alliances between the Christian Right and Roman Catholics also seem unlikely to broaden beyond the common attitude towards abortion. Bendyna et al. (2001) identify strong differences on issues such as the death penalty, Creationism, and social welfare. Church Attendance Church attendance has proven to be one of the strongest indicators of attitudes towards abortion, trumping all of the others characteristics, including religious affiliation. Younger Protestants overall attend religious services more, and they have become less Pro-Choice. 1 There is some disagreement (both popular and academic) about how Latter Day Saints (LDS) should be categorized, but the GSS clearly places the LDS in the Protestant classification along with the Jehovah’s Witnesses and Christian Scientists (Smith 1986/87). 57 Church attendance has dropped among young Roman Catholics since 1972, and they have become more Pro-Choice in their attitudes (Jelen and Wilcox 2003; Sullins 1999). Even frequent attendees of denominations that voice a stronger Pro-Choice message are more ProLife in their attitudes (Jelen and Wilcox 2003). Overwhelmingly, it seems that those individuals who have active participation in their religious organization are more strongly against abortion then those with lesser levels. SOUTH DAKOTA AND ABORTION IN 2006 AND 2008 In 2006 South Dakota took center stage in the first legislative attempt to set up a direct legal challenge to Roe v Wade. In the past, political action only had been taken to chip away at the decision (parental consent, etc.). South Dakota was an interesting state to select for this attack on reproductive rights. With a population under 800,000 people and predominantly rural in geography, there was actually only a single abortion provider in the state, located in its largest city (Sioux Falls) in the far southeast corner. South Dakota already had one of the most restrictive climates in the nation for abortion: parental consent for minors, a 24-hour waiting period for all women seeking abortion, pharmacies allowed to refuse to provide contraception (Halloran 2006), and, most recently, a 2008 requirement that doctors providing a woman with an abortion ask if she wished to see the sonogram of the fetus. South Dakota is also one of only six states in the nation with a “trigger” law on the books that would automatically make abortion illegal in the state if federal policy allows it (Vestal 2006). The South Dakota state legislature successfully passed HB 1215 in 2006, which would have made all abortions in the state a felony except in the case of threat to the pregnant woman’s life. The bill failed to include the traumatic exceptions often highlighted as necessary to draw the backing of moderates – rape and incest (Hoffman and Johnson 2005), but it was signed into law by Governor Mike Rounds who had openly proclaimed his support for the 58 legislation: “I am Pro-Life and I do know that my personal belief is that the best way to approach elimination of abortion is one step at a time. And I do think that this court will ultimately take apart Roe v Wade one-step at a time” (“South Dakota legislature attacks Roe v Wade” 2006). The law was subsequently referred to South Dakota voters prior to its effective date where it was defeated 56% to 44% (Kafka 2007). Commonly held reasons for its defeat were varied. Its failure to include the traumatic exceptions for rape and incest made it unappealing to many voters, including many conservatives: “The fact that this bill didn’t have exceptions for the mother’s health was what concerned a lot of women, even conservative women” (Sunshower 2006:28). It was also perceived as the government forcing its will on individual decision makers: “People in South Dakota don’t like government telling them what to do” (Bravin 2006). For some Native American women, the issue was seen as opposing traditional cultural values. Theresa Two Bulls, a one-time vice president of the Ogala Sioux Tribe and present state senator, explained, “In our tradition, the woman is the backbone of the family. It’s up to her to decide when and where to have and raise children” (Sunshower 2006:27). Native Americans are 8.5% of South Dakota’s population (U.S. Census Bureau 2008). The 2008 South Dakota abortion ban bill was not brought to the legislature directly. Preceded by HB 1193 which stated, “No facility that performs abortions may perform an abortion on a pregnant woman without first offering the pregnant woman an opportunity to view a sonogram of her unborn child,” Initiated Measure 11 targeted the perceived failure of the 2006 legislation to address voter dissatisfaction with its lack of exceptions for traumatic reasons. The 2008 legislation included exceptions for the life and/or health of the mother, or in the case of rape or incest. While these exceptions seemed to provide much broader latitude to allow abortion, in reality they were highly regulated exceptions with the health of the mother 59 related to “the serious risk of substantial and irreversible impairment of a major bodily organ or system of the woman” (Initiated Measure 11 Initiative Petition 2008). Framed as a method to protect women and children, Initiated Measure 11 included rigorous ties to the criminal justice system through required biological sampling for forensic DNA testing of both the mother and the aborted fetus as part of its intention to “deter fraudulent claims” (Ballot Pamphlet 2008) and severe penalties for doctors who didn’t meet the requirements of the law including being charged with a Class 4 felony with punishment of up to 10 years in jail and a fine of up to $20,000 (Initiated Measure 11 Initiative Petition 2008). came from both ends of the ideological spectrum. Resistance to Initiated Measure 11 Many religious conservatives found themselves unable to vote for a ban that provided exceptions for any reason. To try to deal with this moral conflict for Roman Catholics, dioceses in South Dakota urged congregants to vote for the measure. In an open letter to his diocese, Bishop Blase Cupich of the Diocese of Rapid City said, “The ultimate and preferred goal is to defend the right to life for all the unborn against the violence of abortion. However, a gradualist approach is also a responsible and justifiable way of proceeding” (Cupich 2008). At the other end of the spectrum, ideological liberals could not support the idea of any limitations on the ability of a woman to have an abortion. Regardless of the included exceptions, the 2008 abortion ban was defeated, this time with a 55% to 45% vote. THEORETICAL ANALYSIS – CHANGING SYMBOLS Symbolic Interactionism can provide a lens through which we can try to interpret the failure of the 2006 and 2008 attempts to ban all forms of abortion in South Dakota. Blumer explained, “Humans act toward a thing on the basis of the meaning they assign to the thing” (Blumer 1969:2). One key to understanding human behavior like voting to support or not support specific policy positions (for this study, abortion) lies in this very process of social 60 interaction. Abstract representations, symbols, can have different meanings for different individuals. The meanings attached to symbols arise out of the context of individuals’ social interactions and their interpretation of the situations within which the symbols exist (Blumer 1969). Meaning is not inherent but rather is constructed as action takes place within this interpreted social environment. Words or gestures that evoke common meanings among users and others in their social groups are called significant symbols (Mead 1934). They are important in social interaction because they allow people to communicate and “enable people to anticipate how others are likely to act in a situation” permitting coordination of action (Sandstrom, Martin, and Fine 2006:4). The meanings people give to things are not static but can change as the individual’s interpretation of the interactive process changes (Blumer 1969), and “…people create, negotiate, and change social meanings through the process of interactions” (Sandstrom, Martin, and Fine 2006:1). When we try to understand the narrow margins by which the South Dakota 2006 and 2008 abortion legislation failed there are two important significant symbols to consider – the symbol of family and that of abortion itself. Abortion and family are symbols that have had different meanings for different people at different points in history. People perceive their social environment as composed of divergent social categories that have values, beliefs and significant symbols attached to them, and these are held to be important by individuals that identify themselves as members of the social category (Miller and Hoffman 1999). There are, of course, many social category groupings in each individual’s life. Individuals essentially choose “sides” and then coordinate their actions based on the unique value-set they perceive to be held by members of that social category. Once an individual has self-identified with a particular social category, the norms of that category provide a polarizing vehicle, which leads to a differentiation of others into in-groups or out-groups, impacting attitudes and behaviors of the individuals in both sets of groups. The 61 decision in Roe v Wade (1973) and the formation of Jerry Falwell’s Moral Majority and Pat Robertson’s Christian Coalition as political forces in the 1970s and 1980s led to the solidification of two clearly delineated and meaningful oppositional positions about the meaning of abortion and the family, and by extension to two recognized social categories – Pro-Life and Pro-Choice. For the Pro-Life social category, a significant symbol has been that of abortion. This very same significant symbol is influential for the Pro-Choice social category. How can both sides use the same symbol? Although the symbol itself is the same, the definition of that symbol and its meaning is widely different, and the difference in the symbol itself revolves around two contradictory but equally powerful definitions of family. It is these two contradictory definitions of family and their symbolic meaning that we find in the contemporary abortion dispute – the traditional family structure vs. the contemporary family structure. Advocates of the Pro-Life position have identified with the definition of the traditional family based on a clearly identified set of family values articulated by Talcott Parsons in the mid-20th century. He branded it as the only family structure leading to societal equilibrium. This explanation of the structure of the family has been adopted (although falsely) as the historical norm (Coontz 1992, 2005). To have traditional family values has included a very specific set of criteria. One of the most visible contemporary definers and proponents of this traditional family values set has been Dr. James Dobson with his Focus on the Family franchise. On the Focus on the Family website (http://www.focusonthefamily.com), the value set of the traditional family are clearly articulated: heterosexual marriage and nuclear family structure originated in the plans of the Christian God; distinctly divided gender roles and responsibilities with the husband clearly identified as breadwinner and the wife as homemaker; the permanence of marriage; sexual relations only within marriage, and the sanctity of life. The opposite characteristics (definitional of the contemporary family values structure) are seen as harmful to the family, and 62 ultimately to society as a whole. They include non-traditional family structures and roles, and the acceptance of divorce, cohabitation and premarital sex, and abortion. The traditional family values position holds that failure to comply with the characteristics of the traditional family endangers the institution of the family, society as a whole, and the United States as a nation. Advocates of the Pro-Choice position have argued the opposing position on the health and structure of the family: the family is not deteriorating; in fact, it might even be stronger than in the past. Researchers such as Amato (Amato 2004), Coontz (1992; 2005) and others (Sandberg and Hofferth 2001) would indicate that families are undergoing change, but that they are resilient and even happier today than they have been in the past. Families are not defined by a single structure, but may have multiple forms and instead are defined by whether they undertake a certain set of core responsibilities: physical maintenance and care of members; addition of new members to the family unit through procreation or adoption; engagement in the socialization of new generations; social control of the family unit, production, distribution and consumption of goods and services necessary to the family; and maintenance of the family and motivation of its members using love (Cheal 2002). Radical Pro-Life and Pro-Choice individuals from the adoption of Roe v Wade have defined the meaning of the abortion symbol in a consistent manner: Pro-Life extremists have seen abortion as a serious social problem undermining the traditional family, the symbol of the ideal America, and the glue holding society together. Pro-Choice extremists have not seen abortion as harmful to the social system and consider it may even be beneficial to families, since the opportunity to exercise reproductive choice was and is an exercise of individual civil and human rights leading to a more egalitarian and democratic society as a whole. The definition of the abortion symbol from the position of the extremists is clear and not in question, but what about those individuals who do not hold these same extremist positions? How do they 63 interpret the situation and define the abortion symbol and the institution of the family? What impact do they see abortion having on traditional American society and its bedrock, the traditional family? Some Pro-Choice voters may have redefined the significant symbol of abortion. These individuals may still label themselves as Pro-Choice, but where abortion was once for them the symbol of individual freedom and reproductive rights, it is now perceived to be a symbol of destruction, a serious social problem eroding the foundations of the American family and by extension American society as a whole. For them, the two symbols – abortion and family – are inextricably intertwined, and in contemporary American society, the changing face of the American family and its perceived fragility has huge emotional currency. This identification of the family as a significant symbol with a traditional family values definition as a concern for some who might otherwise define themselves as Pro-Choice may help explain the unexpected results associated with the 2006 and 2008 South Dakota failed abortion initiatives. Where do we see evidence that members of the Pro-Choice social category are concerned about the fitness of the American family? If this explanation is viable, then there should be an indication of a changing meaning of the symbols of family and abortion for some who have defined themselves as Pro-Choice. In South Dakota, the organization that holds the Pro-Choice position is meaningfully named South Dakota Campaign for Healthy Families. In the literature they provided for canvassing purposes during the 2008 election period, the family and the effects on it are also clearly highlighted: “The decision to have an abortion is profoundly difficult for a woman and her family. This complex, personal decision should be between a woman, her family, her God and her doctor. No woman makes this decision without consulting with family and after deep soul-searching. Sometimes a woman decides that ending a pregnancy is the best decision for her and her family” (http://sdhealthy.3cdn.net/423df35d50e0f58a5a_w4m6bpntq.pdf) . 64 A series of television advertisements aired during summer and fall of 2008 from this group advocated the idea that the proposed abortion would give Government (which level is not indicated) undeserved power “over certain personal and private medical decisions of South Dakota families” (http://www.sdhealthyfamilies.org/news/entry/new_ad_highlights_unprecedented_government _intrusion_of_measure_11/). An example of this on the national level was the clear inclusion of the traditional family symbol in both the 2008 Republican and Democratic Platforms: “It’s time we just stop talking about family values and start pursuing policies that truly value families” (p. 15) and “We support the appointment of judges who respect the traditional family values and dignity of human life” (p. 52). Commentary on the fast-approaching destruction of the traditional American family is found in both the scholarly and popular presses. In the scholarly press, research like that done by Gallagher (1996:184) blames the deterioration of the family on women’s failure to seek out suitable breadwinners freeing them to be homemakers who can “devote their talents and education and energy to the rearing of their children, the nurturing of family relationships, and the building of community and neighborhood.” Ten years later, Thistle (2006:7) continued to support this idea highlighting the harms suffered through the loss of the “traditional” male and female division of labor resulting from an increased presence of women in the workplace: “While emphasis on women’s role as mothers, for example, once blocked their opportunities outside the home, the withdrawal of support for women’s domestic labor in recent years is creating new hardships.” This paper argues that some South Dakotans, in particular some of those who have identified themselves as Pro-Choice, may have changed their voting behaviors on abortion after 65 redefining the meaning of abortion and the family, adopting new symbolic meanings for them. Critical for the analysis in this study is the idea that social categories are not cemented in meaning, and over time they can be and are reconstructed based on the changing interactions and definitions assigned to the significant symbols that represent the social categories. Using the lens of Symbolic Interactionism we can investigate the possibility that the changing meanings of the significant symbols abortion and the family may provide an explanation for voting behaviors in middle-ground voters in the Pro-Choice social category. HYPOTHESES American citizens had never had the opportunity to vote directly on the issue of abortion. The 2006 South Dakota abortion ban legislation, referred to the voters through the referendum process, provided this opportunity. Using attitudinal survey data we attempted to make sense of the 2006 abortion ban vote. It quickly became clear that the established causal variables used to explain attitudes toward legalized abortion were not capable of explaining the results of this election. The initiative driven 2008 South Dakota abortion ban election results provided another opportunity to collect data related to this issue. This situation, an election in 2006, an attitudinal survey from 2006, and an election in 2008, presented a unique opportunity for the study of abortion attitudes and votes in a quasiexperimental design. We could use public opinion survey data to measure support for the abortion ban and then compare the survey data to the actual vote on the proposed abortion bans recorded in both the November 2006 and November 2008 elections. Initially, we expected that the percentage of voters supporting/opposing the abortion ban in 2006 would be different than the percentage in 2008. The 2008 abortion ban was the less restrictive of the two, thus we expected there would be more public support for the 2008 ban. Additionally, we expected that the 2006 attitudinal data would predict the voting behavior for both elections; people who 66 expressed agreement/disagreement with abortion in different situations would vote accordingly in both 2006 and 2008. However, analysis of the actual election returns in conjunction to the attitudinal survey data made clear that neither of these expectations were supported. More people voted for the abortion ban than would be expected based on their expressed attitudes about abortion. Also, the for and against vote distributions in 2006 were practically identical to the vote distributions in 2008 even though there were significant differences between the 2006 and 2008 abortion ban policies. If attitudes about abortion were not guiding the vote decisions, what was? Based on language used by both sides of the abortion ban campaigns, we decided to investigate the influence of attitudes about family values on expressed abortion attitudes. Using Blumer’s symbolic interactionist lens with the opposing symbols of traditional family values and contemporary family values, we developed a new composite independent variable which served as an indicator of commitment to “family values” and used it model attitudes toward abortion. The use of this variable in our model provided one possible explanation for the discrepancy between the attitudinal survey data and the actual vote outcome in South Dakota. Hypothesis 1: Voters with traditional family values will be more likely to support the abortion ban. Hypothesis 2: Family values attitudes can be used to explain why the vote results in 2006 and 2008 are so similar. METHOD In order to assess the level of support for the proposed South Dakota abortion ban with exceptions for the life/health of the mother and victims of rape/incest, we utilized the 2006 General Social Survey from the National Opinion Research Center. This raised the question of 67 whether national survey data could be disaggregated in such a way as to analyze regional or state attitudes. A number of researchers have used aggregated individual responses in national surveys to develop indicators of state level attitudes on issues (Brace, Sims-Butler, Arceneaux, and Johnson 2002; Erikson, Wright, and McIver 1993; Griffin 2006; Jones and Norrander 1996; Norrander 2001; Norrander and Wilcox 1999). Specifically, Brace et al. (2002) analyzed the use of national GSS data to study state level attitudes on a number of issues, including abortion. They found, “while the sampling strategy used to collect the data was not designed to produce representative state samples, these samples appear to be representative” (177). However, sample size can be a significant problem when national data is broken down by state. In order to use GSS data specific only to South Dakota and attain a sample size large enough for statistical analysis, we would have needed to pool survey responses over a long period of time. For example, Brace et al. (2002) pool state specific GSS data from 1974 to 1998. Although Brace et al. (2002) find high reliability and validity, especially with abortion attitudes, using this method, our theory argued that the causes of abortion attitudes had changed in the last three decades. Consequently, we were unwilling to use the pooled state-specific data over such a long period of time. As an alternative, we decided to analyze attitudinal data only from the 2006 GSS survey but expanded our sample to the regional level to increase our sample size. The West North Central region is comprised of Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas. We hypothesized that attitudes about family values influence abortion attitudes, thus, we first operationalized family values and then conducted reliability testing on this composite measure to ascertain its usefulness. Next we mapped the frequency distributions of abortion attitudes for the West North Central (which contains South Dakota) as well as the other regions in the United States. These frequencies were categorized by the conditions under which the 68 abortion would occur: any reason, not married, married but doesn’t want more children, low income, strong chance of a serious birth defect, pregnant as a result of rape, and in the case that the woman’s own health was seriously endangered by the pregnancy. These categories corresponded to the exceptions (or lack thereof) included in the 2006 and 2008 abortion bans, which allowed us to speculate how the votes on the ban should have distributed had people voted solely on their attitudes about abortion. Given the difference between the expected vote distribution and the actual vote distribution, we attempted to construct a better predictive model for abortion attitudes using OLS regression. Specifically we compared a model including a family values variable to one without this variable to show that the family values variable exhibits a strong relationship to abortion attitudes. Finally, we employed bar charts to better illustrate the influence of family values attitudes on abortion attitudes. These charts provided some support for our second hypothesis, that family values attitudes explain why the vote distributions in the 2006 and 2008 abortion ban votes were so similar even though the proposed policies were significantly different. Dependent Variables The GSS asked seven questions regarding legalized abortion. Respondents answered either “yes” (1) or “no” (2). “Please tell me whether or not you think is should be possible for a pregnant woman to obtain a legal abortion… If If If If If If If she wants an abortion for any reason. she is not married and does not want to marry the man? she is married and does not want any more children? the family has a very low income and cannot afford any more children? there is a strong chance of serious defect in the baby? she became pregnant as a result of rape? the woman’s own health is seriously endangered by the pregnancy? 69 These questions were considered separately as well as in a simple additive scale which ranges from approval in all cases (7) to disapproval in all cases (14). The first four questions listed above have been described in some of the literature as “elective” reasons (some groups/research refer to these questions as the “convenience” rationales for abortion) while the final three questions are referred to as the “traumatic” reasons for legalized abortion (Hoffman and Johnson 2005). Independent Variables A number of independent variables are used to explain levels of support (or lack thereof) for an abortion ban in general and for the proposed South Dakota initiative. Arguably, level of support for legalized abortion varies across the country. The GSS breaks the fifty states and District of Columbia into nine different regions. See Table 1. (1) New England = Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island (2) Middle Atlantic = New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania (3) East North Central = Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio (4) West North Central = Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas (5) South Atlantic = Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, District of Columbia (6) East South Central = Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi (7) West South Central = Arkansas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Texas (8) Mountain = Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico (9) Pacific = Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii South Dakota is located in the West North Central Region. The West North Central region includes an interesting combination of states covering a large area of the country. Politically, Minnesota is moderately liberal while South and North Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas are more conservative (and the western sides of these states also have strong libertarian elements.) This raised the question of whether data from the West North Central region would accurately reflect the attitudes of citizens of South Dakota. But just as this West North Central region includes liberal and conservative communities, so does the state of South Dakota. Within the state, 70 people often refer to “east river” and “west river” when discussing politics – the Missouri River splits the state nearly down the middle. “East river” includes the Sioux Falls area as well as four of the state’s public universities and is reliably more liberal especially compared to “west river.” Table 1 Percentage of “Yes” Responses for Each Abortion Question for Each Region Woman’s health seriously endangered Pregnant as a result of rape Strong chance of serious defect Low income – can’t afford more children Married – wants no more children Not married Abortion if woman wants for any reason GSS Abortion Questions Middle Atlantic 46.0% 42.4% 47.2% 47.3% 77.8% 82.2% 89.3% East North Central West North Central South Atlantic 42.1% 40.8% 41.6% 41.5% 72.3% 75.9% 84.1% East South Central West South Central Mountain 30.0% 29.0% 30.6% 35.1% 64.3% 70.1% 77.1% Pacific 51.2% 51.9% 54.3% 55.8% 80.5% 82.8% 92.2% All Regions Combined 40.4% 40.1% 42.5% 42.6% 74.2% 77.6% 87.9% 35.5% 38.8% 36.1% 37.7% 74.6% 76.9% 90.8% 35.9% 37.0% 38.3% 37.4% 71.2% 75.0% 87.9% 28.3% 25.9% 33.5% 31.3% 65.0% 71.1% 85.6% 45.9% 45.3% 47.4% 48.1% 84.3% 85.4% 93.7% 71 In addition to studying abortion attitudes based on region, we also modeled abortion attitudes using a number of independent variables. As mentioned earlier: gender, race, education level, income level, political ideology, and religion have been used in the past to predict abortion attitudes. The GSS allowed us to model these variables as well: Female: 0 = Male; 1 = Female. White: 0 = Black and Other; 1 = White. Education: 0 1 2 3 4 = = = = = Less than high school; high school; junior college; bachelor; graduate Family Income 2006: 1 = Under $1,000; 2 = $1,000 to $2,999; 3 = $3,000 to $3,999; 4 = $4,000 to $4,999; 5 = $5,000 to $5,999; 6 = $6,000 to $6,999; 7 = $7,000 to $7,999; 8 = $8,000 to $9,999; 9 = $10,000 to $12,499; 10 = $12,500 to $14,999; 11 = $15,000 to $17,499; 12 = $17,500 to $19,999; 13 = $20,000 to $22,499; 14 = $22,500 to $24,999; 15 = $25,000 to $29,999; 16 = $30,000 to $34,999; 17 = $35,000 to $39,999; 18 = $40,000 to $49,999; 19 = $50,000 to $59,999; 20 = $60,000 to $74,999; 21 = $75,000 to $89,999; 22 = $90,000 to $109,999; 23 = $110,000 to $129,999; 24 = $130,000 to $149,999; 25 = $150,000 or over. Political Views (Ideology): 1 = extremely liberal; 2 = liberal; 72 3 4 5 6 7 = = = = = slightly liberal; moderate; slightly conservative; conservative; extremely conservative. The GSS accessed respondents’ religious choices in a number of ways, including affiliation and level of fundamentalism, but church attendance has been one of the most reliable predictors of attitudes toward abortion in earlier research. Church attendance: “How often do you attend religious services?” 0 = Never 1 = Less than once a year 2 = Once a year 3 = Several times a year 4 = Once a month 5 = Two to three times a month 6 = Nearly every week 7 = Every week 8 = More than once a week As the literature review above notes, past research has had mixed success with these standard predictors of abortion attitude. Upon study of the rhetoric used in the 2006 and 2008 abortion ban campaigns (by both those who supported and opposed the ban), we identified a concept that we believe will be particularly effective in understanding how someone feels about the abortion issue: family values. As discussed in the theory section above, traditional family values include heterosexual marriage and nuclear family structure originating in the Christian God’s plan; distinctly divided gender roles and responsibilities with the husband clearly identified as breadwinner and the wife as homemaker; the permanence of marriage; sexual relations only within marriage; and the sanctity of life. Contemporary family values include support of non-traditional family structures and roles, divorce, cohabitation and premarital sex, and abortion. To operationalize this concept we created an index using questions asked in the GSS related to these aspects of family values. These questions include: 1. Bible as word of God 73 “Which of these statements comes closest to describing your feelings about the Bible? a. The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. b. The Bible is the inspired word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word. c. The Bible is an ancient book of fables, legends, history, and moral precepts recorded by men.” 2. Premarital sex “If a man and woman have sex relations before marriage, do you think it is always wrong, almost always wrong, wrong only sometimes, or not wrong at all?” 3. Extramarital sex “What is your opinion about a married person having sexual relations with someone other than the marriage partner -- is it always wrong, almost always wrong, wrong only sometimes, or not wrong at all?” 4. Homosexual sex “What about sexual relations between two adults of the same sex -- do you think it is always wrong, almost always wrong, wrong only sometimes, or not wrong at all?” 5. Divorce law “Should divorce in this country be easier or more difficult to obtain than it is now?” 6. Better for a man to work, woman to tend the home “It is much better for everyone involved if the man is the achiever outside the home and the woman takes care of the home and family.” 7. Mother working does not hurt children. “A working mother can establish just as warm and secure a relationship with her children as a mother who does not work.” Once coded appropriately, we created a simple additive index of these variables resulting in a variable we call Family Values Index, which ranges from contemporary family values to traditional family values with an alpha of .681 when we looked at the nation as whole and an alpha of .697 for the West North Central region (which includes South Dakota). Given the exploratory nature of this research, these levels were acceptable even though they fell just shy of the standard .7 alpha criteria for an adequate scale. Our theory provided strong justification 74 for the inclusion of all of these items in the Family Values Index based on face validity. Item analysis also supported the inclusion of each item, although some more than others. See Table 2. The items related to premarital sex, homosexual sex, women staying at home, and their interpretation of the Bible strongly correlate with one another. The questions regarding women working (R2 = .174) and divorce laws (R2 = .227) were the weakest correlates. We elected to retain both of these questions even though they stand out as the least productive items in the index because opposition to divorce and beliefs regarding the effect on the well-being of the children of the mother working are fundamental to the traditional family values position. Table 2 Item Analysis of Family Values Index All Regions West North Central Squared Multiple Correlation Alpha If Item Deleted Squared Multiple Correlation Alpha If Item Deleted .174 .681 .213 .696 Mother Working Hurts Children Man Work, Woman Home Premarital Sex .255 .640 .315 .644 .362 .598 .381 .643 Extramarital Sex .121 .664 .285 .663 Homosexual Sex .399 .584 .480 .573 Bible .244 .638 .217 .673 Divorce .070 .685 .137 .705 Family Values Index All Seven Items Cronbach’s Alpha = .681 75 Cronbach’s Alpha = .697 RESULTS The 2006 South Dakota abortion ban (Referred Law 6) included exceptions that would allow a woman to get an abortion only in the event that her life was in danger. This ban was rejected by the voters by a 55.57% to 44.43% margin. Activists supporting an abortion ban modified the exclusions in 2008 to be slightly more expansive in hopes of attracting enough voter support to pass the ban. Thus, the 2008 South Dakota abortion ban (Initiated Measure 11) included exceptions for the health of the mother and in the case of rape or incest. In an interesting turn of events, once again the voters in South Dakota rejected the ban by a very similar margin with 55.21% voting against the ban and 44.79% voting for it (South Dakota Secretary of State Election Results 2008). This was a surprising result. Why were the vote margins practically the same given the differences between the two abortion bans? To begin to answer this question we first turned to public opinion survey data on abortion attitudes. Using the 2006 GSS, we looked first at the frequency distribution of responses in the abortion scale for respondents living in the West North Central region, which includes South Dakota, illustrating the differing levels of support for legalized abortion. See Table 3. Looking at the extremes of the scale, 33% of the respondents supported legalized abortion for any reason while only 8.5% supported a complete abortion ban by responding “no” to legalized abortion for all of the reasons offered in the survey. The breaking point between the elective and traumatic reasons for legalized abortion is also telling; 47.2% of the respondents indicated “yes” to at least one of the elective reasons. However, relating this to the November 2008 vote on the South Dakota ban, the initiative did not provide exceptions for all of the traumatic reasons listed, only in the case of rape/incents and when the health of the mother was seriously threatened. Thus, this data shows that without the inclusion of an exception for “a strong chance of a serious birth defect,” only 28.3% of the respondents should 76 Table 3 Percentages Abortion Attitudes Scale West North Central Region All Regions Percent Cumulative Percent Percent Cumulative Percent Yes in every case. 33.0 33.0 35.4 35.4 Yes in every case, yes to not married. 4.7 37.7 4.9 40.3 Yes in every case, yes to not married, yes to married. 6.6 44.3 4.6 45.0 Yes in every case, yes to not married, yes to married, yes to low income. 2.8 47.2 5.4 50.4 21.1 71.5 Elective Reasons Above – Traumatic Reasons Below Yes in every case, yes to not married, yes to married, yes to low income, yes to serious birth defects. 24.5 71.7 South Dakota Abortion Ban 2008 – Below Yes in every case, yes to not married, yes to married, yes to low income, yes to serious birth defects, yes to rape. 8.5 80.2 9.8 81.2 Yes in every case, yes to not married, yes to married, yes to low income, yes to serious birth defects, yes to rape, yes to health of the mother. 11.3 91.5 9.0 90.2 9.8 100.0 South Dakota Abortion Ban 2006 - Below No in every case 8.5 N=106 77 100.0 N=1764 have supported an abortion ban like the one proposed in South Dakota in 2008 and only 8.5% of the voters should have supported an abortion ban like the one proposed in South Dakota in 2006.1 Instead of answering the question we posed above, this analysis of attitudinal data raised additional questions. We not only lacked an explanation for why the 2006 and 2008 votes were so similar, even though the abortion bans were different, now we had to ask why the actual vote distributions were roughly 55% to 45% for both years instead of the 72% to 28% for the 2008 ban and 91% to 9% for the 2006 ban indicated by the attitudinal data. In the context of the 2008 election, why did roughly 18% of the voters (the difference between 45% and 28%) vote for a ban that did not include exceptions they personally supported as valid? For the 2006 election, that number increases from 18% to 36% of the electorate voting against their preferences. Given the lack of exit polling data that might more directly address this discrepancy, we turned again to the GSS available attitudinal data and decided to specify a predictive model of abortion attitudes. Surveys of previous research had identified a number of independent variables used to predict abortion attitudes. These included gender, race/ethnicity, education level, income, political ideology, and religion. Using OLS regression we modeled the relationship between our 1 Because we were attempting to evaluate actual voting behavior rather than just attitudes, it could be more accurate to map the attitudes of likely voters rather than those of the general adult population. We ran this analysis, selecting for people who had voted in the 2000 and 2004 presidential election, and found that likely voters appeared to be slightly less supportive of an abortion ban than the adult population in general. However, a t-test comparison of all respondents to likely voters showed that the means were not significantly different between the two groups. The focus on likely voters dropped our sample size for the West North Central region from N=106 with all respondents to N=82 with just the likely voters. Small samples sizes affect generalizability as well as tests of statistical significance. Additionally, elections with abortion bans attract a lot of voter attention. According to the South Dakota Secretary of State’s Office – Voter Statistics, the voter turnout in the 2006 election, an off-year election that did not have even a South Dakota Senate race to draw voter attention but did include the more restrictive abortion ban initiative, the voter turnout of registered voters was 67.3% (58% of the voting age public). This was a remarkably high voter turnout for an off-year election; only Minnesota had higher turnout that election. The 2008 election included the presidential race as well as the revised abortion ban, drawing high voter interest. For these reasons the rest of this analysis continued to include all respondents rather than limit itself to only likely voters. 78 abortion index and these standard independent variables for both the West North Central region and for the entire United States. See Table 4. Education level, political ideology, and church attendance were statistically significant predictors of abortion attitudes for both the West North Central region and for the nation as a whole. As education increased, so did abortion tolerance; conservatives and frequent church attendees were less tolerant of abortion. Gender, race, and income were not significant predictors of abortion attitudes in either model. These results corresponded to those found in most of the earlier research on this topic. Unfortunately, these results did not seem to clearly address the questions we identified regarding the difference between expressed attitude and voting behavior in South Dakota. Table 4 OLS Regression of Abortion Attitudes Index Without Family Values West North Central Constant Female White Education Family Income Political Ideology Church Attendance N B (Std. Error) 8.019 (1.001) .370 (.427) -.721 (.643) -.394* (.192) -.019 (.019) .461** (.160) .394*** (.080) 101 Beta .074 -.100 -.178 -.094 .255 .426 All Regions B (Std. Error) 7.792 (.214) .021 (.108) -.169 (.124) -.439*** (.045) .002 (.003) .405*** (.038) .321*** (.020) 1716 R .598 .500 R-Square .358 .250 p<=.000***; p<=.01**; p<=.05* 79 Beta .004 -.029 -.208 .015 .230 .354 In the 2008 election, the campaigns both for and against the abortion ban appealed to voters’ notions of family values. As noted above, the campaigns’ marketing research found this concept to be especially salient to the abortion issue for voters in South Dakota. We decided to operationalize the concept of family values in an index and then construct a model that would include this independent variable. See Table 5. Table 5 OLS Regression of Abortion Attitudes Index With Family Values West North Central Constant Family Values Index Female White Education Family Income Political Ideology Church Attendance B (Std. Error) 5.401 (1.860) .188* (.082) -.188 (.599) -.476 (.957) -.404 (.270) -.039 (.027) .484* (.223) .324* (.122) Beta .294 -.037 -.064 -.190 -.186 .249 .350 All Regions B (Std. Error) 4.664 (.440) .250*** (.023) -.179 (.151) -.032 (.175) -.191** (.067) -.006 (.005) .174** (.056) .178*** (.030) N 49 761 R .706 .587 R-Square .499 .344 p<=.000***; p<=.01**; p<=.05* 80 Beta .397 -.036 -.005 -.091 -.037 .103 .200 Looking at the OLS regression model of abortion attitudes, the family values index predicts attitudes about abortion in the expected way; as you move away from contemporary family values to traditional family values, opposition to legal abortion increases (b=.188* for West North Central and b=.250*** for all regions). Of interest to us was the observation that among all independent variables included in the model, family values seemed to be one of the strongest predictors of abortion attitudes (Beta = .294 for West North Central and Beta = .397 for all regions). In the West North Central model, only church attendance was a stronger predictor (Beta = .350) and in the model for All Regions, family values is the strongest predictor of abortion attitudes. Additionally, the general predictive power of the model increased with the inclusion of the family values variable. In the West North Central model without family values, R = .598, while the model including family values has an R of .706. In the All Regions model without family values, R = .500, while the model including family values has an R of .587.1 The family values variable appears to be a valuable addition to the study of abortion attitudes, providing strength and clarity to the abortion attitude model. Additionally, we argued that it provided an explanation for the puzzling questions we have raised regarding the vote margins in the 2006 and 2008 elections as well as the apparent difference between voting behavior and attitudinal data on abortion. Simple bar charts presenting the relationship between family values and abortion attitudes lend support to this argument. See Figures 1 and 22 . Looking at the chart presenting this relationship for all regions, among people who supported banning abortions for “elective” reasons, people with traditional family values outnumbered those with contemporary family values. Among people who supported abortion 1 It is also interesting to note that including the family values variable affected the performance of one of the other independent variables in the models. In the second model for the West North Central region only family values and political ideology were significant, education level was no longer significant. 2 For both Graphs 1 and 2 the contemporary/traditional family values continuum was roughly divided in half with those scoring in the lower half labeled “contemporary” and those scoring in the upper half labeled “traditional.” 81 for at least one of the “elective” reasons, people with contemporary family values outnumbered those with traditional family values. Figure 1 shows that traditional family values were prevalent among those surveyed from the West North Central region. As shown by our regression models, the family values variable was the strongest predictor of abortion attitude. Figure 1 West North Central Region: Abortion Attitudes by Family Values 82 Figure 2 All Regions: Abortion Attitudes by Family Values Although we do not have the exit polling data necessary to test this directly, we argued that individuals who ascribed to traditional family values may be more likely to vote to support 83 the abortion bans even if they also believed that there should be additional categorical exceptions to the ban. For example, because of his or her commitment to traditional family values someone who believed there should be exceptions to the ban in the case of severe birth defects may have still voted for the ban because he or she believed the threat abortion makes to traditional family values outweighed his or her belief in a birth defect exception. In the language of our theory, this person may have voted against his or her abortion symbol in favor of his or her family values symbol. Thus, the addition of exceptions to the abortion ban between 2006 and 2008 did not make a difference in the final vote margin because the vote decision was not about the included exceptions; it was about family values. However, the percentage of the electorate adhering to traditional family values arguably would not have changed between 2006 and 2008, thus providing a plausible explanation for the vote results in 2006 and 2008 being almost identical though the proposed policies were significantly different. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION Although the abortion issue has been receiving attention for decades, the vote in South Dakota in 2006 was the first public referendum on the issue. This provided the first opportunity we have had to compare public opinion polling data with an actual voting event and as a result we became aware of this very interesting discrepancy between expressed attitudes about legalized abortion and an actual vote on an abortion ban. Changes in the exceptions to the abortion ban between 2006 and 2008 did not result in a meaningful change in voter response to the bans. It appears people did not vote in accordance with their expressed opinion about the necessity of legal abortion in the cases of birth defects, rape/incest, and a threat to the health of the mother. As a result, the inadequacy of the standard predictors of abortion attitudes, especially in relation to voting behavior, was exposed. In the context of the South Dakota elections we 84 conceptualized, operationalized, and modeled a new variable: family values. The addition of this variable has increased the strength of our abortion attitude model. It also provided one plausible, although one we admittedly could not test directly, explanation for the discrepancy between expressed abortion attitude and actual vote choice on the abortion issue. There are some real limitations to what we were able to accomplish with this research. We could not directly connect the attitudinal data on family values or abortion to choices made by voters about the abortion bans. This means we were unable to directly test either one of our hypotheses. Instead we relied on logical inference to draw comparisons between our model of abortion attitudes and actual voting behavior. This is why we offer this research as a theoretical analysis of abortion attitudes in South Dakota. Additionally, while attitudes about family values may strongly influence attitudes about abortion, other attitudes may have also influenced the actual abortion ban vote choice. Future research should investigate the effect of other symbols on the abortion vote as well as the possibility that the family values symbol may resonate more with certain types of voters than with others. Some might argue the theoretical and operational integrity of the family values index, suggesting that we simply took a number of issues strongly correlated with abortion, stuck them in an index, and then used them to predict abortion attitudes. In response, we offer that “family values” is a symbol that has meaning in society. It is used by both those on the traditional and on the contemporary side of the issue. As was shown above in our theory, “family values” has been used somewhat casually by sociologists but used frequently by the general public. What was surprising was that we could not find any examples from the relevant literature of ways to operationalize this concept. Scholars talk about “family values” but apparently have not attempted to model it quantitatively. Consequently we were obliged to create our own operationalization using items available to us in the GSS. However, we do 85 recognize that an index is only as valid as its constituent parts. We were somewhat limited by the questions asked by the GSS in 2006. On past surveys the GSS has asked different questions, collected different data, which might better fit the family values theoretical concept. Next steps include further refining the operationalization of this concept and then testing its utility in other contexts. Experimental research designs should also be utilized to draw clear connections between the family values symbol and the abortion issue. We also plan a more extensive analysis of relevant content to clearly support our argument that “family values” as a symbol has been employed by all sides in the South Dakota abortion ban campaigns. An obvious next step in this research project would be to collect attitudinal and vote choice data that is specific to South Dakota. This would address a number of the weaknesses with the study we present here. First of all, we relied on a national survey to study attitudes in South Dakota. Although we could study the specific region (West North Central) in which South Dakota is placed by the GSS, we could not confirm that the attitudes of this wider region matched those of respondents specific to South Dakota. Secondly, we could not directly connect a voter’s attitudes about abortion and their vote choice with our current data. We theorize that, logically, the attitudes expressed in the GSS survey should correspond to the choices voters made in the 2006 and 2008 elections but that is a theory we cannot actually test with our current data. A survey of South Dakota voters would address both of these problems. However, we used the vote in South Dakota merely to identify a possible problem with using attitudinal data to study the abortion issue in general. Abortion attitude does not appear to be the same as abortion vote choice. Based on this observation we identified a different theoretical concept to be used to analyze abortion attitudes, family values. 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Hofferth. 2001. “Changes in Children’s Times with Parents, U.S. 1981-1997.” Demography 38:423-36. Sandstrom, Kent L., Daniel D. Martin, and Gary Alan Fine. 2006. Symbols, Selves, and Social 92 Reality. Los Angeles: Roxbury Publishing. Shaw, Greg M. 2003. “The Polls – Trends: Abortion.” Public Opinion Quarterly 67:407-429. South Dakota Healthy Family website. Retrieved November 11, 2008 (http://www.sdhealthyfamilies.org/). South Dakota Secretary of State. “Official General Election Results, Statewide Ballot Questions, November 4, 2008. Retrieved March 16, 2009 (http://www.sdsos.gov/electionsvoteregistration/pastelections_electioninfo08_generalbq .shtm). Strickler, Jennifer and Nicholas L. Danigelis. 2002. “Changing Frameworks in Attitudes toward Abortion.” Sociological Forum 17:187-201. Sullins, D. Paul. 1999. “Catholic/Protestant Trends on Abortion: Convergence and Polarity.” Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 38:354-369. 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Fat Matters is multi-faceted book written by a range of experts that examines the underlying factors behind the ‘Obesity Epidemic’. The aim of the book is to review in a systematic way different aspects of this growing issue from a variety of angles, from sociology, through medicine to technology. Each chapter attempts to define, explain, or present ways to remedy some aspect of the current obesity epidemic plaguing the United Kingdom and the United States. An underlying concept that is mentioned frequently throughout the text is the influence of the media on what society feels is acceptable in terms of how an individual feels about the way they look. In this text there is not a direct thesis question to be answered, but the goal of reviewing the ‘Obesity Epidemic’ is obtained. Not only does the text define and explain obesity from a sociological and scientific perspective, it presents new and upcoming research that can further our understanding of obesity and how to curb its detrimental effects for the individual and society as a whole. The book also presents an introduction into a new field of research by arguing that obesity is not only a sociological phenomenon but also a psychological one. This Brittney Hansen; e-mail: [email protected] 94 research is relatively new and through further study can provide important insights into obesity that are currently unknown. In addition to current and upcoming research the text delves into the current public debate regarding obesity and who is to blame. The debate focuses on whether or not obesity is to be blamed on the individual themselves or the society that influences that individual and enables them to become obese. Much research has shown that obesity is a social construct and is greatly influenced by society. Although the text is a summary of many separate endeavors within the topic of obesity, I found it to be put together well. The key points of the book were well supported; each point that was emphasized was backed with valid research. Media and cultural influence on obesity seemed to be a central theme throughout the text and it was validated through a variety of studies. An average person without a medical or sociological background could read the text and understand the research and views presented. Fat Matters had both its strengths and weaknesses. I felt its main strength was the fact that it was relatively easy to read and understand. Another is the presentation of obesity through many different lenses to illustrate the complexity of the issue; there are many underlying, contributing factors in addition to those that are more obvious. The main weakness of the text is the difference in writing styles from chapter to chapter. Although the topics fit together well, I found it difficult sometimes to transition from one author’s writing style to the next. In addition, many topics were covered in the book relatively quickly and could have been presented in greater depth. I felt that much more information could have been presented that would have be not only interesting, but informative to the reader. Fat Matters does not necessarily make a great contribution to the field of sociology or medical sociology, but it is an adequate introduction into one of the subfields in medical sociology. It is ideal for individuals interested in understanding a sociological perspective of a 95 common medical condition. A Medical Sociology professor could use this text as a resource for his/her students to see how a common medical issue is viewed through a sociological lens. Fat Matters is a compilation of literary works on the subject of obesity in the UK and the US; its point is to review the obesity epidemic and the multiple factors that tie into it. I feel it succeeds in this mission. It covers a lot of ground in 10 relatively short chapters and provides a decent introduction into obesity as a social phenomenon. 96 Book Review Debating Sex and Gender By Georgia Warnke Reviewed by: Laura Colmenero-Chilberg Warnke, Georgia. Debating Sex and Gender. Oxford University Press, 2011, 144 pp., $19.95 paperback. Georgia Warnke’s Debating Sex and Gender, the fifth offering in Oxford University Press’s Fundamentals of Philosophy Series1, takes as its central focus a continuing concern in feminist scholarship -- the definitional problem between sex and gender. The first four chapters of this text review the historical debates that have waged on this topic, reviewing the core questions that have arisen in the past fifty years of scholarship in this area. In Chapter One the key question is, “What are the relationships and/or differences between the biologically based and the culturally based gender?” Using the work of Worthman on hormones and Fausto-Sterling on bone density, Warnke ends the chapter by pointing out that recent research supports a “reciprocal conception of the causal process” (p. 28) where sex may lead to gender but the reverse may also be true. Laura Colmenero-Chilberg, Ph.D.; Department of History and Social Science, Sociology Program, Black Hills State University, 1200 University, Unit 9120, Spearfish, SD 57799-9120; e-mail: [email protected] 1 Other texts in this series include Biomedical Ethics by Walter Glanno;, Mind: A Brief introduction by John R. Searle; A Contemporary Introduction to Free Will by Robert Kane, and Political Philosophy by A. John Simmons. 97 Chapter Two begins with the stark binary attitude most western cultures have about gender and then moves onto discussing how intersexed individuals have fit into these social systems as well as how other cultures have created social space for a variety of different gendered identities including berdache, hijras and American transgendered people. Warnke suggests, “Perhaps, however, we would do better to conceive of both sex and gender as bell curves rather than as absolutes” (p. 51). Chapter Three focuses on the idea of gender as both performance and performative, beginning with the work of Harold Garfinkel and the “Agnes” research and moving onto more contemporary theorists such as Judith Butler and her discussion of the necessity to move beyond the heteronormativity of much of the modern investigations into gender. Chapter Four finishes the review of past scholarship on gender by discussing the attempt to broaden feminist inquiry beyond its initial white, middle class base into gender’s intersections with race, class, etc. Warnke looks to the work of scholars such as Mohanty and Minh-ha who point out our continued habit of perceiving gender as if it were separate from these other statuses, our failure to understand that “[r]ace is classed and gendered; class is raced and gendered; age is raced, gendered and classed; and so on” (p. 98-99). In Chapter Five, Warnke pulls together the disparate threads of this issue and considers a broader theory of identity asking us to consider that perhaps “sex and gender are simply ways of understanding who we and others are and, as such, that they must conform to the conditions of understanding” where “our understandings of meaning and context reciprocally constitute each other” (p. 119). Coherent and well-written, this relatively short text is a useful summary of the key points that are involved in this debate. Warnke’s writing style is easily understandable. 98 Debating Sex and Gender will serve as an excellent supplementary text in undergraduate Sociology of Gender and Women’s Studies courses. 99 Are you interested in a graduate program that permits students to engage in focused study of the problems of crime, crime control, and the criminal justice system while simultaneously developing a strong foundation in related areas of criminological theory, research methods, and administration? North Dakota State University offers both a Master of Science in Criminal Justice Administration and a Doctor of Philosophy degree in Criminal Justice, designed to train graduate students in this increasingly marketable field. North Dakota State University Graduate Studies in Criminal Justice ~ (Ph.D. and M.S. degree programs) www.ndsu.edu/cjps/ Masters program offers specialized curriculums ~ Criminology track and Applied track Doctoral program with an emphasis on criminological theory/methods, policing and corrections 2:1 Student/Faculty ratio Funding opportunities in the form of teaching/research assistantships and tuition waivers Travel support to attend regional and national conferences Solid relationship with local, state and regional criminal justice agencies The Faculty Kevin Thompson ~ Professor and Department Head (Ph.D., University of Arizona, 1986) Delinquency; Quantitative Methods; Alcohol and Drugs; Juvenile Drug Courts Thomas McDonald ~ Professor (Ph.D., Southern Illinois-Carbondale, 1972 Criminal Justice; Deviant Behavior; Treatment and Reintegration; Evaluation Research Carol A. Archbold ~ Associate Professor/C.J. Graduate Director (Ph.D., University of Nebraska-Omaha, 2002 Police Studies; Race, Gender and the Criminal Justice System; Qualitative Research Methods Amy Stichman ~ Assistant Professor (Ph.D., University of Cincinnati, 2003) Institutional Corrections; Correctional Program Effectiveness; Sex Offender Laws and Treatment Sarah Browning ~ Assistant Professor (Ph.D., University of Toronto, 2007 Violence; Causal risk Factors for Substance Abuse; Drug Courts; Quantitative Methods Courtney Waid ~ Assistant Professor (Ph.D., Florida State University, 2010 Offender Treatment and Reintegration; Penal Control; Fear of Crime; Juvenile Justice Policy 100
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