Population Growth and Structures Factors that affect world population growth: - Birth rates (number of babies born per 1000 people per year); age of women marrying, education, contraception, pro-natalist and anti-natalist policies - Death rates (number of deaths per 1000 people per year); health care, sanitation, availability of clean water, water, drought and famine World population has increased exponentially since 1900. Population growth rate has slowed down BUT population is still growing. Developing Country Developed Country Wide base = high birth rate Narrow top = high death rate and shorter life expectancy Youthful population eg Gambia/Mexico Narrow base = low birth rate Similar numbers in each age group = low death rate Wide top – long life expectancy Ageing population eg Japan/UK The Demographic Transition Model Stage 1 High birth rates: no birth control, children seen as an asset to work so large families. High death rate: frequent famines, outbreaks of diseases like typhoid. Stage 2 High birth rates. Falling death rates: improved hygiene/health care/nutrition, safer drinking water, better sewage disposal. Stage 3 Falling birth rates: birth control, less children dying, preference for smaller families for economic reasons. Falling death rates. Stage 4 Low birth rates: women delaying having, birth control Low death rates: continual improvement in health care Stage 5 Low birth rate: fewer younger people to have children. Slightly rising death rate: many old people. Factors leading to fall in birth rate: • Authorities provide family planning clinics • Small families accepted as normal • Uncertainty about future economic growth • More people in big cities and more machinery on farms so less need for children • Free government contraceptive supply • Equal female education • Women career orientated • National population policy • Female income needed • Children contribute less to family income Problems and Solutions to Population Growth The population of some countries is growing too fast! This can lead to: - A shortage of resources and food - Unemployment - Lack of money for basic healthcare and schooling - Low living standards and rising crime - Tensions between different ethnic groups And in urban areas: - Overcrowding and shanty towns And in rural areas: - Pollution - Overgrazing - Traffic - Pollution congestion - Deforestation - Soil erosion Desertification Lack of basic public services Some countries try to reduce their population growth… Country Population Policy Impacts of Policy China One-child policy introduced in 1979. It gave benefits to women who had only one child (eg better housing and cash bonuses). Young people persuaded to delay marriage. Easy access to contraception. Exceptions made in 1997, 2001 and 2011 to allow some people to have 2 children. As of 1/3/2016 all can have 2 children. Positive: • Birth rate now 1.7. • Prevented approx 440 million births. Negative: • Ageing population today. • “Little Emperor Syndrome” as people wanted boys. • Possible shortage of workers Indonesia Transmigration policy – since the 1960s millions of people have neem moved to islands of low population densities. Positive: • 20 millions people have moved. Negative: • Not reduced population growth. • Deforestation on islands people moved to. • Tensions between locals and migrants. Ageing Population The Changing Population of the UK In France they are trying to solve the problem of an ageing population by encouraging people to have more children. They are doing this by: - Giving parents 3 years paid parental leave. - Full time schooling from age 3 reduces child care costs. - The more children a woman has, the earlier she can retire. What is happening? • The population of the UK is ageing. • Low birth rates and smaller families result in fewer children. • Better health care and more advanced medicines mean people live for longer. What are the problems caused? • Rising demand for health care because of age-specific disease and illness. • Elderly people need other services such as nursing homes, day-care centres and home helps. This puts pressure on social care. • The rising cost of pensions – more elderly people but fewer working people so taxes have to be raised to pay for pensions. What are the advantages? • ‘Younger’ retired people tend to be wealthy and have lots of leisure time. They spend money on travel and recreation. This is called the ‘grey pound’. • Many do voluntary work or look after grand children to their parents can work. Migration Push factors are the disadvantages of living in a place. Lack of jobs Improved job opportunities Low wages Natural hazards Pull factors are the advantages of where people want to move to. High wages Improved quality of life Push Why do people move? Pull factors factors Poor quality of life Conflict Freedom from oppression Lack of amenities Forced migration is compulsory migration. It is due to push factors. Forced migrants are refugees. Better amenities Better environment Voluntary migration is when a person makes the decision to move. Pull factors are the most important here. Host country is the country where the migrant settles. Country of origin is the country from which a migration starts. Migration in the EU People are moving within the EU for economic reasons Young single Skilled, wellSome people who do educated people professional not intend to stay who cannot find people, including permanently. jobs in their own doctors and country. dentists. Benefits of migration Helps employers find workers in shortage areas eg care and farm workers Local economies boosted as migrants spend money in shops; especially retired migrants in Spain Local councils collect more tax Migrants pay tax to support services like health and education but do not use them very much Problems with migration x Local people might resent large numbers of newcomers x Pressure on rental properties x Migrant workers often take low-paid jobs so unskilled locals lose out Migration into the EU People are moving into the EU Some people leave their Some people arrive in countries because of war search of work and a or violence to seek better life but safety. without a visa so are called illegal migrants. They are asylum seekers Impacts of refugees on host countries who, if allowed to stay, x Refugees need housing, health care, support with learning become classed as the language and children need to go to school. This all has refugees. to be paid for by the government. x Some refugees are treated badly by people who do not understand what it is like to flee your own country. There can be conflict with local people. x The asylum process is expensive and can take months or even years. People cannot work until it is finished. Test Yourself What does the Demographic Transition Model show? What affects world population growth? How are countries trying to reduce their birth rates? What are the advantages and disadvantages of an ageing population? Why do people migrate? What are the advantages of having a large number of immigrants?
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