FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Strong deceleration in Q3 payment delays as local firms turn in mixed performance -Singapore Commercial Credit Bureau Singapore, 01 October 2014 – Following two consecutive quarters of strong decline in payment performance, local payment delays have eased off in Q3. For the first time in three consecutive quarters, slow payments have shown visible signs of easing off as the proportion of payment delays inched up slightly from the previous quarter, increasing by less than 1 percentage point. This stands in contrast to the previous quarter when slow payments increased by slightly over 3 percentage points. Despite the downtrend, the decrease in prompt payments over the past three quarters has also similarly plateaued since its first decline in Q1 2014. Accounting for more than 10 per cent of the total payment transactions, partial payments continue to climb towards a new peak in two-and-a-half years. According to Singapore Commercial Credit Bureau (SCCB)’s proprietary payment statistics, overall payment promptness experienced a marginal decline quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) as it slid by 1.41 percentage points from 47.38 per cent in Q2 2014 to 45.97 per cent in Q3 2014. This marks the third consecutive quarter of decline in overall payment promptness since Q1 2014. SCCB notes that the year-on-year (y-o-y) increase in prompt payments is also being reversed for the first time since Q4 2013. Y-o-y prompt payments have declined slightly by 1.53 percentage points from 47.50 per cent in Q3 2013. Despite an increase in overall slow payments in Q3, payment delays have plateaued slightly, inching up a mere 0.82 percentage points from 41.1 per cent in Q2 2014 to 41.92 per cent in Q3 2014. A y-o-y analysis revealed that payment delays have dropped by 2.60 percentage points from 44.52 per cent in Q3 2013. Following seven consecutive quarters of increase since Q1 2013, partial payments have hit a new peak, increasing marginally by 0.59 percentage points from 11.52 per cent in the previous quarter to 12.11 per cent in Q3. From a y-o-y perspective, partial payments have climbed markedly by 4.13 percentage points from 7.98 per cent in Q3 last year. Singapore Payment Performance Overall Payment Performance (Q1 2010 - Q3 2014) 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% Overall Prompt Payment 30.00% Overall Slow Payment 20.00% 10.00% Page 1 of 4 Q3 - 2014 Q1- 2014 Q2 - 2014 Q4- 2013 Q2- 2013 Q3- 2013 Q1- 2013 Q4- 2012 Q3- 2012 Q2- 2012 Q1- 2012 Q4- 2011 Q3- 2011 Q2- 2011 Q1- 2011 Q4- 2010 Q3- 2010 Q2- 2010 0.00% Q1- 2010 PRESS RELEASE Contact: Eugene Zachariah, Marcom & Product Development [email protected] +65 6439 6670/+65 9478 5568 70.00% 60.00% Construction 50.00% Manufacturing 40.00% Retail 30.00% Services 20.00% Wholesale 10.00% 0.00% Q1- 2010 Q2-2010 Q3-2010 Q4-2010 Q1-2011 Q2- 2011 Q3- 2011 Q4- 2011 Q1- 2012 Q2- 2012 Q3 - 2012 Q4 - 2012 Q1 - 2013 Q2 - 2013 Q3 - 2013 Q4 - 2013 Q1 - 2014 Q2 - 2014 Q3 - 2014 PRESS RELEASE Slow Payments - A Sectoral Analysis (% of Payments made 30 days or more above terms) From Q1 2010 to Q3 2014 From a sectoral perspective, slow payments have improved slightly with 3 of five industries experiencing an increase in payment delays in Q3 2014. This marks a reversal in deterioration in the payment behaviour of local firms in Q2 when all five industries experienced an increase in slow payments. As with the previous quarter, the construction sector is the only sector which experienced an increase in payment delays y-o-y. Payment delays across the remaining industries continue to drop further with the wholesale sector experiencing the largest decrease in Q3. Despite being the slowest paymaster in Q3, the construction sector has emerged as one of the only two sectors experiencing a decrease in slow payments q-o-q. According to SCCB, payment delays within the construction sector fell for the first time after two consecutive quarters of increases since Q1 2014, slipping moderately by 3.16 percentage points q-o-q from 51.44 per cent in Q2 2014 to 48.28 per cent in Q3 2014. Last quarter, special trade contractors experienced the largest decline in slow payments, falling by 4.8 percentage points to 47.27 per cent q-o-q. Special trade contractors refer to the group of contractors undertaking specialized works, performing only part of the work covered by general contractors. Both building construction and heavy construction subsectors also experienced marginal declines in payment delays, posting 49.79 per cent and 48.01 per cent th respectively. Albeit the q-o-q improvement, payment delays within the sector edged upwards for the 4 consecutive quarter, by 1.55 percentage points from 46.73 per cent in Q3 last year, on a y-o-y basis. Owing to weaker consumer demand and a decline in tourist arrivals over the past quarter, the retail sector emerged as the sector with the second highest proportion of slow payments, registering 47.79 per cent. Food and beverage retailers, furniture and home furnishing stores, and retailers of building materials and garden supplies posted the largest proportion of payment delays at 60.16 per cent, 53.42 per cent and 48.18 per cent respectively. However, SCCB notes that slow payments within the retail industry dropped slightly by 1.5 percentage points q-o-q. On a y-o-y basis, payment delays have also decreased by 2.48 percentage points from 50.27 per cent in the same quarter last year. Meanwhile, the services industry registered the third highest proportion of slow payments, increasing marginally by 1.43 percentage points q-o-q from 43.85 per cent in Q2 to 45.28 per cent in Q3. According to SCCB, the impact of muted growth within the sector was more felt within the consumer segment. Health services experienced the highest proportion of payment delays, followed by education services and hotels and accommodation services at 53.75 per cent, 53.46 per cent and 51.72 per cent respectively. The largest increase in payment delays was experienced by the education services sub-sector, increasing markedly by 22.33 percentage points. Payment performance of sentiment-sensitive clusters remains weak with most sub-sectors registering increases in slow payments. Last quarter, the banking sector posted a moderate increase in payment D&B 2/4 PRESS RELEASE delays by 4.57 percentage points to 30.67 per cent. Credit agencies reported the highest proportion of slow payments at 51.02 per cent. On a y-o-y basis, slow payments within the services industry fell marginally by 0.54 percentage points from 45.82 per cent. Due to a sharp contraction in manufacturing output in the general manufacturing and transport engineering clusters, payment delays within the manufacturing industry has registered the largest increase among the five sectors, climbing by 1.63 percentage points from 42.56 percentage points in Q2 to 44.19 percentage points in Q3. Manufacturers of printing and publishing reported the largest increase and highest proportion of payment delays, up 6.43 percentage points q-o-q to 57.13 per cent while general manufacturers registered the second largest increase in slow payments, increasing 5.26 percentage points q-o-q to 48.57 per cent. Manufacturers of transportation equipment have also experienced the second highest proportion of payment delays, sliding by 1.85 percentage points to 50.43 per cent. On a y-o-y basis, payment delays have declined 3.13 percentage points from 47.32 per cent. Despite superseding the other industries as a better paymaster, the wholesale sector registered a 1.39 percentage point increase in slow payments q-o-q, from 33.72 per cent in Q2 to 35.11 per cent in Q3. Both payment delays within the wholesale trade of durable and non-durable goods have increased with the latter being the main contributor of the slower payments made last quarter. According to SCCB, payment delays within the wholesale trade of non-durable goods have increased by 5.77 percentage points to 34.74 per cent while wholesale trade of durable goods have increased marginally by 0.83 percentage points to 35.21 per cent. The overall slight increase in payment delays is likely to be due to the mixed performance experienced within the sector. On a y-o-y basis, payment delays within the whole sector experienced the largest decrease by 4.2 percentage points from 39.31 per cent. “On the overall, local firms have turned in a mixed performance with some sectors outperforming the other sectors. While cashflow woes continue to plague local firms, the shift from slow payments to partial payments is also evident based on the statistics for Q3. For three consecutive quarters, partial payments have accounted for more than one-tenth of total payment transactions. The signs are certainly encouraging as far as the deceleration in slow payments is concerned. This is also bearing in mind of the continuing cost constraints which cashstrapped local firms have to face.” commented Ms. Audrey Chia, D&B Singapore’s Chief Executive Officer. “The situation is quite unlike two years ago when the likelihood of slow payments becoming delinquent over time was higher. While our projections remain cautious in light of the low market confidence, we also observe that firms are less likely to defer payments to their creditors as this would ultimately put a dent in their creditworthiness in the long-term.” added Ms. Chia. Commentary D&B Singapore compiles the figures by monitoring more than 1.5 million payment transactions of firms operating through its Singapore Commercial Credit Bureau (SCCB). Payment data is contributed to the Bureau by local firms. Prompt payment is classified as when at least 90% of total bills are paid within the agreed payment terms while slow payment is classified as when more than 50% of total bills are paid later than the agreed credit terms. About Singapore Commercial Credit Bureau Established in 2005, Singapore Commercial Credit Bureau (SCCB) operates a database of local enterprises and their credit history to provide clients with the insight needed to build trust and improve the quality of business relationships with their customers, suppliers and business partners. SCCB operates under D&B Singapore. About D&B D&B is the world's leading provider of business-to-business credit, marketing and purchasing information and receivables management services. D&B manages the world's most valuable commercial database with information on more than 235 million companies. D&B has a database of 100 million tradelines on a global basis and 26 million within the Asia Pacific region. Information is gathered in over 220 countries, in 95 languages or dialects, covering 186 monetary currencies. The database is refreshed more than one million times daily as part of D&B's commitment to provide accurate, comprehensive information for its customers around the world. D&B 3/4 PRESS RELEASE For more information, please visit www.dnb.com.sg. Contact Information Eugene Z. Marcom & Product Development DID: +65 6439 6670 HP: +65 9478 5568 Email: [email protected] D&B 4/4
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