T H E Financial Standard SUMMER 2015 Crunching the Numbers: A Retirement Income Planner Carolie W. Johnson CLU, ChFC , CFP Registered Principal Carlton W. Johnson Financial Consultant Wildrick & Johnson Financial 10 Fairmount Ave. Chatham, NJ 07928-2343 Tel:(973) 635-6272 Fax:(973) 635-6551 [email protected] [email protected] www.wildrickjohnson.com The numbers don’t lie. With more of the population moving toward retirement and living longer in retirement (see article on page 3) income generation and cash flow strategies have risen to the top of the retirement planning priority list. Today individuals from all demographic groups—from young workers to retirees, from the ultra-high-net-worth to those of relatively modest means—may be concerned about market volatility, the future of Social Security and health care costs. As a result, many investors have assumed a conservative stance, and are more interested in increasing their savings and holding on to what they have accumulated than they are in taking their chances in the often fickle stock market. And when it comes time to roll up their sleeves and get serious about planning for retirement, cash-flow projections—or the process of determining how much will be needed to meet retirement income targets and managing assets to ensure an adequate income stream throughout retirement—are of primary importance. Creating “What-If” Scenarios Enlisting the assistance of a financial advisor, individuals will want to consider all potential sources of income, all anticipated expenses, and then assemble various hypothetical asset allocations to determine the best scenario for their unique situation.1 When conducting this exercise it is prudent to maintain conservative assumptions with regard to investment returns and to factor in the effects of inflation on regular household expenses as well as bigger-ticket items, such as health care premiums. Once this initial analysis has been done, an advisor can assist you in constructing “what-if ” scenarios that present best and worst case outcomes. For instance, if you are particularly concerned about Social Security, you may want to review your estimated benefit statement, available on the Social Security Administration’s website, and then reduce that amount by 25% to 50% to give you a ballpark figure to plan around. This approach may take some of the anxiety out of one of the big “unknowns” in the planning process and help you to prepare accordingly. From Planning to Implementation Once you are armed with some planning foresight, you can begin to take steps to address gaps in your retirement income strategy. For instance, you may resolve to save more. Or you may determine that retiring a few years later than originally planned will help to extend savings and 1 Asset allocation does not assure a profit or protect against a loss. (Continued on back) Securities Offered Through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC After-Tax 401(k) Contributions: More Attractive Than Ever If you are a high-earning individual who is not taking advantage of after-tax contributions to your employersponsored retirement plan, now may be the time to do so. Recent guidance from the Internal Revenue Service has made after-tax 401(k) contributions more attractive than ever. A Simplified Process Now the IRS has authorized individuals holding both pretax and after-tax amounts in a 401(k) or similar qualified retirement plan to transfer—through direct, trustee-to-trustee rollovers— the pretax portion of a distribution to a traditional IRA and the after-tax portion of a distribution to a Roth IRA.1 Prior to the new ruling, plan participants could only accomplish this end result through more complicated, indirect 60-day rollovers, not through simplified direct rollovers.2 It should be noted that while the new rule can be used when distributing money from either a regular 401(k) or a Roth-style 401(k), the real benefit comes when the after-tax contributions reside in a regular 401(k). In this case, the plan participant can move after-tax dollars from a tax-deferred account to a tax-free account with no upfront costs, in what essentially amounts to a tax-free conversion.1 Importantly, the IRS has stated that all disbursements—both pretax and after-tax—from a retirement plan made at the same time will be treated as a single distribution even if they are sent to multiple new accounts. Prior to the ruling, the IRS treated distributions from a retirement plan that were rolled over to multiple new accounts as separate distributions, each requiring that a proportional share of pretax and after-tax monies be disbursed.3 While the new rule does not change the IRS’s determination of what portion of a distribution comes from pretax money or after-tax money, it does simplify the process by treating all disbursements made at the same time as a single distribution. How It Works If you are left wondering how the “proportional share” rule works under the new IRS guidance, consider this example. You have an account balance of $250,000 that consists of $200,000 in pretax money and $50,000 in after-tax money— held in a regular, not Roth, 401(k). You separate from service and request a distribution of $100,000. The pretax amount of your distribution would consist of $80,000 and the after-tax amount would be $20,000. Under the new rules, you would be permitted to roll over the entire $80,000 of pretax money to a traditional IRA and the entire $20,000 of after-tax money to a Roth IRA.3 (Note: Be sure to communicate to your plan administrator in advance which dollars—after-tax or pretax— are to be transferred to which IRA.) A New Opportunity The new IRS guidelines present a powerful opportunity for those whose employer accommodates after-tax contributions to truly maximize their retirement savings. With the current annual pretax contribution limit of $18,000—or $24,000 for individuals age 50 or older—high-earning employees who are not making after-tax contributions are missing out on the chance to save significantly more (the total cap on additions to defined contribution plans is $53,000 in 2015, or $59,000 for those age 50 and up), while also reaping the full benefits of both traditional and Roth IRAs when the time comes to distribute plan assets. 1 Fairmark.com, Tax Guide for Investors, “Isolating Basis for a Roth Conversion,” September 23, 2014. 2 The Internal Revenue Service, Notice 2014-54, “Guidance on Allocation of After-Tax Amounts to Rollovers,” September 18, 2014. 3 The Internal Revenue Service, Employee Plans News, December 23, 2014. The Roth IRA offers tax deferral on any earnings in the account. Withdrawals from the account may be tax free, as long as they are considered qualified. Limitations and restrictions may apply. Withdrawals prior to age 59 may result in a 10% IRS penalty tax. Future tax laws can change at any time and may impact the benefits of Roth IRAs. Their tax treatment may change. Life Expectancy and Your Financial Future New research indicates that Americans are living longer than previously estimated. How might a longer lifespan impact your financial future— and what steps can you take to help ensure your money lasts as long as you will need it to? What the Data Said In the nearly 15 years since the Society of Actuaries (SOA)—the largest professional association for actuaries in the United States—published its last major findings on longevity, the life expectancy of men age 65 has risen two years, from age 84.6 in 2000 to age 86.6 in 2014. Similarly, among 65-year-old women, longevity rose 2.4 years, from age 86.4 in 2000 to age 88.8 in 2014.1 While the new data is aimed primarily at helping retirement plan sponsors and public policy makers in assessing the financial implications of longer lives, it can also be a useful tool in helping individuals—particularly retirees or those nearing retirement—to reassess their own financial plans. Two More Years How might those additional two years of life impact your retirement outlook? In general, it could mean that the average person might experience a retirement that lasts approximately 10% longer than originally expected. That added time may require individuals to rethink their retirement accumulation and/or distribution plans and make adjustments as needed. For instance, workers still accumulating retirement assets who had an estimated savings goal of $1 million might now need to increase that amount to $1.1 million to finance those two added years. Similarly, current retirees might need to scale back on their annual withdrawal in order to create reserves for the added time spent in retirement. Increased longevity could also translate into reduced Social Security benefits— both for recipients who choose to retire before their normal age as well as for those who choose to delay receiving benefits. Given these potential outcomes, there are some important but manageable steps that retirees or those near retirement can take now to help ensure their money lasts throughout their lifetime. Proactive Planning Helps Perhaps the most important way to help safeguard retirement income is to keep a close eye on cash flow. For retirees, that means keeping a detailed budget with an itemized accounting of income and expenses on a monthly, quarterly and/or annual basis. For those not yet retired, developing some general budget projections may help you anticipate and plan ahead for future income and expenses. Yet even the best laid plans may veer off track due to circumstances and events that are impossible to predict. As you monitor your finances, keep the following factors in mind. n Inflation and health care costs n Interest rate trends and market moves, which could result in an increase or decrease in income from your savings and investments n Changes in federal, state and local tax rates and regulations n Changes in Social Security or Medicare benefits or eligibility, as well as new rules affecting employer-sponsored retirement benefits and private insurance coverage n Life events that could affect your cash flow, such as marriage, the death of a spouse or the addition or loss of a dependent By working together with your accountant or other financial professional you can make a plan that takes into account not only the predictable financial hurdles you will face in retirement, but also the many contingencies over which you have little or no control. 1 Society of Actuaries, press release, “Society of Actuaries Releases New Mortality Tables and an Updated Mortality Improvement Scale to Improve Accuracy of Private Pension Plan Estimates,” October 27, 2014. The calculations presented are based on public mortality tables, which were developed with certain populations in mind, and reflect probabilities based on averages in large populations. A Retirement Income Planner (Continued from page 1) Understanding TaxableEquivalent Yields enhance Social Security benefits. Another resolution may be to spend less by paring back on luxuries and relying less on credit cards. Municipal bonds have historically been a haven for high-net-worth investors because their income returns are generally free from federal income taxes and, in some cases, state and local income taxes. Due to their favorable tax status, municipal bonds can provide yields equivalent to those of taxable bonds with higher pretax yields. Hence the term, “taxable-equivalent yield” to describe the comparison. To illustrate the concept, the table below shows the yield an investor would need to earn on a taxable investment to achieve the same result as on a tax-free investment. For example, an investor in the 35% tax bracket would have to earn a yield of 6.15% on a taxable investment to achieve the same after-tax result as an investor earning a yield of 4% on a tax-free investment. Municipal Bond Taxable-Equivalent Yields at a Glance Tax-Free Equivalent Tax Rate 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 2.22% 3.33% 4.44% 5.56% 6.67% 7.78% 8.89% 10.00% 15% 2.35% 3.53% 4.71% 5.88% 7.06% 8.24% 9.41% 10.59% 25% 2.67% 4.00% 5.33% 6.67% 8.00% 9.33% 10.67% 12.00% 28% 2.78% 4.17% 5.56% 6.94% 8.33% 9.72% 11.11% 12.50% 33% 2.99% 4.48% 5.97% 7.46% 8.96% 10.45% 11.94% 13.43% 35% 3.08% 4.62% 6.15% 7.69% 9.23% 10.77% 12.31% 13.85% 39.6% 3.31% 4.97% 6.62% 8.28% 9.93% 11.59% 13.25% 14.90% Source: ChartSource®, Wealth Management Systems Inc. Does not consider the effects of the 3.8% surtax on investment income for high-income taxpayers, nor does it consider state taxes. Municipal bond interest may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. (CS000008) © 2015 Wealth Management Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Not responsible for any errors or omissions. Rethink Your Investment Strategy In terms of investments, another strategy may be to opt to pursue higher returns. History shows that stocks have proven to be the one asset class that has the best chance of outpacing inflation over time—a key necessity for retirement portfolios.2 On that score, high-quality dividendpaying stocks may be a prudent way to maintain some exposure to stocks while also creating a source of income.3 Other income-oriented investments to consider holding in a retirement portfolio include: Municipal bonds. Within the universe of fixed income, municipal bonds may be one of the better choices for individuals in or approaching retirement, especially for those in higher income tax brackets or who live in states with high income taxes. Interest earned on municipal bonds is typically exempt from federal income taxes and may be exempt from state and local income taxes as well (see sidebar to left).4 Guaranteed income instruments. You may want to consider including a source of guaranteed income in your retirement arsenal, particularly if you are concerned about outliving your assets. One such vehicle is a fixed annuity. Fixed annuities earn a guaranteed rate of interest for a specific period of time—a feature that can be helpful when forecasting your regular cash flow in retirement.5 Keep in mind, however, that one annuity can be very different from another, and the rules are complex. Be sure to consult with your financial advisor before investing. 2 Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing in stocks involves risk, including loss of principal. 3 Companies that offer dividend-paying stocks cannot guarantee that they will always be able to pay or increase their dividend payments. 4 Any capital gains are taxable for federal and, in most cases, state purposes. In addition, some municipal bonds may be subject to the federal alternative minimum tax. Municipal bonds are subject to availability and change in price. They are subject to market and interest rate risk if sold prior to maturity. Bond values will decline as interest rates rise. Interest income may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. 5 Guarantee is provided by the issuing insurance company. The opinions voiced in this newsletter are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. No strategy assures success or protects against loss. (1-388052) 6/15
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