December 12, 2013 ————-, 2013 Frequently Asked Questions About Pennsylvania’s Debt The urgency of raising the national debt ceiling, as well as the amount and use of debt generally by all levels of government, have been topics of national debate this fall. Pennsylvania’s borrowing activities differ greatly in size and purpose than the federal government’s, but still play an important role for the citizens of the commonwealth. Unlike the federal government, Pennsylvania cannot borrow to pay for its operating budget because the state constitution requires a balanced budget. However, the state constitution allows for temporary borrowing within a fiscal year to manage cash flow. Pennsylvania has a AA bond rating, meaning its debt is of high quality and subject to very low credit risk. Nationally, Pennsylvania ranks roughly in the middle-of-the-pack for its debt per capita, personal income and gross domestic state product. Q: Does Pennsylvania borrow or issue bonds to pay for its budget, like the U.S. government? No, Pennsylvania does not borrow to pay for its operating budget because the state constitution requires it to have a balanced budget. However, the state constitution allows for temporary borrowing within a fiscal year to manage cash flow, since much of the commonwealth’s tax revenues are paid in March and April, but expenses are incurred throughout the fiscal year. These loans, known as tax anticipation notes, must be repaid by the end of the fiscal year, and can only be paid from currentyear revenues. Aside from that, the balanced budget requirement means Pennsylvania cannot borrow money long-term to finance day-to-day operations of state government. Q: What does Pennsylvania do with the money it borrows? The state constitution lays out several purposes for which the commonwealth can incur direct debt, such as: To suppress insurrection or for disaster relief. To manage cash flow with tax anticipation notes. To refund existing debt. For purposes approved by the voters in referenda. For the approved capital budget. The majority of the commonwealth’s outstanding direct debt is for the capital budget, which is the portion of the state budget that provides for the construction, rehabilitation, renovation and improvement of state-owned facilities, including the acquisition of land and structures. Because these facilities are used over many years, the commonwealth uses bond financing to spread the costs over the life of the asset. Over the years, policymakers have found important state priorities that do not fit in one of the five constitutional categories for direct debt. In some of these cases, separate state authorities have been established with the ability to issue debt. Debt incurred by commonwealth authorities does not have the same full faith and credit general obligation pledge used for direct debt. Instead, the debt service is often backed by specific revenues pledged by the commonwealth to the authority, or by appropriations made each year by the General Assembly. A recent example of an authority issuing debt on behalf of the commonwealth is the refinancing of the unemployment compensation loan from the federal government by the Pennsylvania Economic Development Financing Authority. Q: Does Pennsylvania have a debt limit? Yes, Pennsylvania has a debt limit, but only for certain kinds of debt. The state constitution limits the amount of capital budget debt that can be incurred to 1.75 times the average annual tax revenues for all funds over the previous five fiscal years. The Auditor General certifies the capital budget debt limit, and the current debt ceiling is approximately $59.8 billion. Pennsylvania is nowhere close to its constitutional capital debt limit; however, it could not support the debt service requirements of a debt load near the limit. Aside from the constitutional limit on total capital budget debt, the capital budget act for each fiscal year specifies how much new principal can be incurred in that fiscal year for capital projects. For the 2013/14 fiscal year, the maximum amount of new principal debt that can be issued for the capital budget is $1.275 billion. The Redevelopment Assistance Capital Program (RACP) portion of the capital budget is subject to a statutory limit of $3.45 billion in total debt, recently set by Act 77 of 2013. The constitution does not place any overall limit on debt issued for insurrection suppression, disaster relief or voter-approved purposes. Debt was incurred for disaster relief such as flooding in the 1996 flood, and for voter-approved investments such as Growing Greener and Pennworks for water and sewer projects. The sizes of these issuances were limited by the acts passed by the General Assembly and the referenda approved by voters. Q: What is Pennsylvania’s bond rating? Pennsylvania has a AA bond rating, meaning its debt is of high quality and subject to very low credit risk. The three major rating agencies’ opinions are as follows: Moody’s Investors Service Aa2 (Stable) Standard and Poor’s AA (Negative) Fitch Investors AA (Negative) Recently, the commonwealth’s ratings were downgraded a notch within the AA category by rating agencies. In their opinion, the finances of the commonwealth will continue to be strained because of slow revenue growth and growing House Appropriations Committee (D) mandated costs, such as pension liabilities. These pressures limit the ability of the commonwealth to deal with unexpected fiscal issues, especially when reserves like the Rainy Day Fund are depleted. The credit downgrade matters to the extent that it leads investors to require a higher interest rate when the commonwealth issues debt, increasing the debt service paid each year. Other market factors can have a greater impact in determining the interest rates besides the bond rating, but it’s important to note that both short and long-term budgetary decisions affect our borrowing activities. Q: This fall, many people were concerned that inaction by Congress could cause the federal government to default on its debt. Could Pennsylvania default on its debt? Pennsylvania actually defaulted on its bonds in 1841. The commonwealth undertook a large canal construction effort, and intended to use the canal revenues to pay the debt service. The scheme collapsed when canal revenues only generated 12 percent of the projected income. Because of insufficient tax revenues at the time and unwillingness on the part of the General Assembly to raise sufficient taxes to meet the obligation, the commonwealth defaulted on its bonds. The ramifications of the 1841 event continue to be felt, as they prompted the General Assembly to place increased safeguards in the state constitution. In the event that the General Assembly does not appropriate enough money for debt service, the Treasurer is directed to set aside the first revenues collected to pay bondholders. Combined with Pennsylvania’s moderate bonded debt levels and long-time conservative debt policies, it is extremely unlikely that the commonwealth could default on its debt. Pennsylvania’s solid bond ratings reinforce the market’s confidence in its ability to pay its debts. However, there is a different, but related risk – that the General Assembly will not pass the capital budget each year in a timely fashion. While that delay doesn’t affect the payment of interest or principal to bondholders, construction contracts funded with bond proceeds could be affected if sufficient borrowing authority is not enacted on time. To save money on interest costs, the 717-783-1540 www.hacd.net [email protected] Budget Briefing Report on Key Issues—PA’s Debt December 12, 2013 - Page 2 of 3 commonwealth does not borrow the full project cost up front; instead it borrows on an as-needed basis to cover cash flow needs as construction progresses. A few times in recent years, the General Assembly has not passed a capital budget until later in the fiscal year. Without the statutory authority to issue the needed debt, the Capital Facilities Fund accounts, which pay for projects, ran very close to empty. Shutting down ongoing capital projects would have a negative economic impact across the state, so it is important that the General Assembly passes the legislation each year to make sure the bills are paid and projects continue as planned. Q: How much debt does Pennsylvania have outstanding? Net outstanding general obligation debt as of June 30, 2013, was approximately $10.86 billion. In addition, the commonwealth has approximately $2.2 billion in in long-term lease payment obligations. million was for lease payments. The remaining $1.275 billion in debt service is mostly paid by the General Fund, although other special funds contribute as well, like the Motor License Fund, and the Environmental Stewardship Fund. Q: For how long does Pennsylvania typically borrow? Generally speaking, the commonwealth issues 20year bonds. For capital projects, the state constitution requires the debt to be paid back within the useful life of the asset and the debt must also begin to be paid off within one-tenth of the term of the debt. This means that some projects with a shorter lifespan will be amortized within a shorter time frame. Q: How does Pennsylvania’s debt level compare with other states? Q: How much does Pennsylvania spend on debt service? A meaningful comparison of relative debt loads requires adjustment for the different wealth and population levels across the country. The annual Moody’s State Debt Medians report makes these adjustments to provide apples-to-apples comparisons amongst states. Annual debt service for General Obligation debt and lease payments was approximately $1.43 billion for the 2012/13 fiscal year. Of that total, about $156 The following table summarizes Pennsylvania’s position relative to other states, according to the most recent Moody’s report. Metric Pennsylvania Net Tax-Supported Debt Per Capita Net Tax-Supported Debt as a % of 2011 Personal Income Net Tax-Supported Debt as a % of 2011 Gross State Domestic Product $1,208 National Median $1,074 National Average $1,416 Pennsylvania Rank 22nd 2.8% 2.8% 3.4% 23rd 2.66% 2.47% 2.92% 20th Source: Moody’s 2013 State Debt Medians report, issued May 29, 2013. House Appropriations Committee (D) Miriam A. Fox, Executive Director House Appropriations Committee (D) Eric Dice, Budget Analyst 717-783-1540 Stephanie Weyant, Communications Director www.hacd.net [email protected] Budget Briefing Report on Key Issues—PA’s Debt December 12, 2013 - Page 3 of 3
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