Diurnal and seasonal characteristics of ozone and PM2.5 in Great Smoky Mountain National Park, Look Rock, TN Lee Harden Environmental Science Program, Appalachian State University, Boone, NC Abstract Data obtained from January 2008 to December 2011 in Great Smoky Mountain National Park, Look Rock, TN, by the National Park Service air quality monitoring network, were used to document overall trends, the diurnal and seasonal characteristics, correlations, and background levels of ozone (O3) and PM 2.5. The overall trend for ozone and PM2.5 indicated a sinusoidal pattern of rise in the fall from year to year. Wind speed had an inverse correlation with ozone and PM2.5 concentration. The diurnal characteristics of ozone and PM2.5 showed little year to year variation, but the summer and spring months exhibited the highest concentrations of both pollutants, while the fall and winter months exhibited the lowest concentrations of ozone and PM2.5. Correlation plots confirmed the relationship of high concentrations in spring and summer. Background levels of ozone and PM2.5 both indicated levels of these pollutants to be relatively constant from 2008-2009 at this site. Overall the transportation and production patterns of theses pollutants at this site are showing no noticeable rise or fall in concentration. 1.0 Introduction Air pollution in national parks is a topic of increasing importance and has drawn the interest of a wide range of organizations given the link between air pollution and human and environmental health. Particulate matter, or PM, is the term for particles found in the air, including dust, dirt, soot, smoke, and liquid droplets. Major natural sources of PM include terrestrial dust caused by winds, seaspray, biogenic emissions, volcanic eruptions, and wild-fires. Although most PM particles tend to be quite large, they have been of less concern for human health since they tend to be removed in the upper respiratory system [1]. PM2.5 – particles less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter – is formed from the reaction of anthropogenic emissions with sunlight. Epidemiological studies (e.g. [2]) have shown a correlation between increased mortality and levels of airborne particles, particularly PM2.5. Dockery and Pope (1994) [3] showed a clear relationship between mortality rates and the concentration of fine particles PM2. 5, as well as with particle sulfate. Fine particles (PM2.5) are also responsible for most of the light scattering, or visibility reduction, which is a concern for park visitors who come to enjoy 18 the beautiful scenery and natural landscapes. Ozone (O3) is another potentially harmful pollutant when it is present in high concentrations. The Great Smoky Mountain National Park (GSMNP) has recorded some of the highest levels of ozone of any national park. At ground level, ozone is the primary component of smog and is created when specific pollutants react to the presence of sunlight. In urban areas, vehicular and industrial emissions are chief contributors to ozone production. Ground-level ozone adversely affects health (e.g. acute respiratory problems and immune system impairment) and damages the environment (e.g. plant growth and reproduction rates, agricultural yields, and nutrient cycling). Ozone has the ability to travel long distances via metrological transport and can be deposited over rural areas like GSMNP. One of the possible mechanisms for long range transport of ozone from lower altitudes (Knoxville, TN or Atlanta, GA) to higher altitudes (GSMNP) is the nocturnal low-level jet (LLJ) [1]. The LLJ is a thin layer of fast moving air (10-20m/ s) located 100 to 200m above the ground [4]. Stull (1988) [4] suggests that the LLJ is capable of transporting 80-100ppbv ozone over a distance Journal of Student Research in Environmental Science at Appalachian of 300km during night hours. We hypothesize that the LLJ is responsible for the high ozone concentrations observed in the GSMNP because there are few local sources for such high levels of pollutants. In this study, ozone and PM 2.5 and their effects on the high elevation environments of GSMNP Look Rock, TN are examined. Data from 2008 to 2011 were collected from the National Park Service air quality monitoring network. The goals of this study are 1) to analyze diurnal and seasonal variations of ozone and PM 2.5 at GSMNP Look Rock, TN Monitoring site ; 2) to determine if there are any distinct temporal or seasonal patterns for O3 and PM2.5; 3) to measure the frequency of ozone and PM 2.5 exceedences to determine if there is a pattern to their occurrence; 4) to see if there are any correlations between O3, PM2.5, and wind speed ; and 5) to determine the long term trends of O3 and PM2.5 at GSMNP, Look Rock, TN. 2.0 Site Description The data sets used for this project span from January 2008 to December 2011 and were obtained from the National Park Service air quality monitoring station located in GSMNP, Look Rock, TN (35° 37’ 59”N and 83° 56’ 32”W; elevation 793m) – see Figure 1. GSMNP is surrounded by a red spruce Frasier fir forest and ~816 square miles (2113 km2) of national park land. The clos- est major U.S. interstate (I-140) is ~35km north north-west from the collection site and the closest maintained highways are ~10km away, one to the north-east and another to the south-west. Prevailing winds come from the southwest 10 months out of the year and from the northeast from September to October [5]. Note that these conditions would not facilitate direct contamination of the site by vehicular emissions. The National Park Service air quality monitoring station measures ozone (parts per billion by volume, ppbv ) using a UV-absorption analyzer, a weather station including wind speed (m/s), wind direction, air temperature (OC), solar radiance (W/m2), and relative humidity. The measurements are taken on a continuous year-round basis with a time resolution of 1 min. The data used in this analysis was taken from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2011. 3.0 Methods The high-resolution (1 minute) time series of ozone, PM 2.5, solar radiation, and wind speed at the GSMNP site were plotted. The ozone and PM2.5 time series were analyzed to determine whether they were increasing or decreasing over time and to determine if there were any patterns or relations to wind speed and solar radiation. Minute-resolution ozone and PM 2.5 data were averaged over each of the four years (2008-2011) and plotted to determine the average diurnal Figure 1. Map of the Great Smokey Mountain National Park with the Look Rock monitoring station location marked in yellow. Adapted from Google Earth. Volume 3, 1st Edition • Spring/Fall 2013 19 characteristics of ozone and PM2.5 over the study period. The same minute-resolution data were also averaged over each of the seasons of the four-year study period and plotted. Seasonal delineation was based on the standard calendar year seasonal definition (e.g. March 20 and September 23, 2011 marked the beginning of the spring and fall seasons in 2011, respectively). Yearly and seasonally-averaged wind rose plots were constructed to aid in determining whether there was a directional dependence for ozone and PM2.5 (not reported). Additionally, the number of O3 and PM2.5 exceedances – events in which levels exceeded EPA levels of “Public Health Concern” – were recorded to determine if the number of exceedences where increasing or decreasing over time. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the State of North Carolina established exceedance threshold for tropospheric ozone at 80 ppbv (parts per billion by volume) sustained for at least an 8-hour period, above which levels are potentially unhealthy. The EPA’s outgoing PM2.5 exceedance threshold (1997-2012) was 15 μg/m3 (yearly averaged measurements), and is 12 μg/m3 (yearly averaged measurements) as of Dec. 2011; the 24-hour PM2.5 limit is 35 μg/m3 (daily averaged measurements). Seasonal correlation plots for ozone and PM2.5 were plotted to determine how ozone and PM2.5 were related over the seasons. Lastly, the lowest quartile of ozone and PM2.5 levels were analyzed to determine if background ozone and PM2.5 levels were increasing or decreasing over time. The lowest quartile values of ozone and PM2.5 are assumed to represent background levels free of significant pollution. 3.0 Results and Discussion 3.1 Time Series Results of Ozone and PM2.5 The complete time series of ozone, PM2.5, solar radiation, and wind speed over the 2008-2011 study periods is illustrated in Figure 2. The mean ozone concentration over this period of time was 44.2ppbv (represented by the red line on Figure Figure 2. O3 (A), PM2.5 (B), and solar radiation (C), and wind speed (D) plots for Great Smokey Mountain National Park Look Rock, TN. 20 Journal of Student Research in Environmental Science at Appalachian 2-A (top)). The blue line on Figure 2-A represents the EPA standard for troposhperic ozone of 80 ppbv. The EPA standard was exceeded 82 times in 2008, 69 times in 2009, 81 times in 2010, and 83 times in 2011. The number of exceedances has been generally constant every year except 2009 where there were only 69 exceedences above 75 ppbv. The mean PM2.5 concentrations over the 2008-2011 study period were 11.1 ug/m3 (red line in Figure 2-B). The EPA standards for PM2.5 concentration are 12ug/m3 for primary (healthbased standard – not indicted on Figure 2-B), 15ug/m3 for secondary (welfare-based standard – blue line on Figure 2-B), and 35ug/m3 for both primary and secondary (green line on Figure 2-B). As shown in Figure 2, the primary PM2.5 level (12ug/m3) was exceeded 146 times in 2008, 127 times in 2009, 102 times in 2010, and 121 times in 2011. The secondary PM2.5 level (15ug/ m3) was exceeded 91 times in 2008, 77 times in 2009, 70 times in 2009, and 78 times in 2011. The 35ug/m3 concentration threshold was exceeded 5 times in 2008, 0 times in 2009, 1 time in 2010, and 1 time in 2011. The yearly mean concentrations of ozone and PM2.5 are shown in Table 1. The ozone, PM2.5, solar radiation (see Figure 2-C), and wind speed plots (see Figure 2-D) exhibit a sinusoidal pattern commensurate with seasonal changes. All of the peaks and troughs occur at relatively the same time of year except for wind speed, which shows troughs where there are peaks in ozone, PM2.5, and solar radiation, indicating that ozone and PM2.5 concentrations are at their greatest when wind speed is lowest. When wind speed is higher, the atmospheric pollutants get dispersed over a larger area and the concentration of pollutants decreases. Table 1: Concentrations of ozone [ppbv] and PM2.5 [ug/m3], averaged per year from 20082011. Year Mean Ozone Cocnetration [ppbv] Mean PM2.5 Concentration [ppbv] 2008 44.3 12.0 2009 40.1 10.1 2010 45.9 11.0 2011 46.3 11.2 Volume 3, 1st Edition • Spring/Fall 2013 3.2 Diurnal Results of Ozone and PM2.5 The concentrations of ozone and PM2.5 at each of the 24 hours per day readings were averaged yearly from 2008-2011, resulting in a yearlymean diurnal cycle (see Figure 3). Ozone varies consistently throughout the day for each of the four years (Figure 3 – top panel). The diurnal ozone showed a decrease in production from 12am to 10am, and an increase from 10am to 9pm with a peak at 3pm, which illustrates the photochemical production process of ozone. The yearly means of PM2.5 (Figure 3 – bottom panel) mimic the variations of ozone. The greatest drop in ozone and PM2.5 concentrations occurred from 2008 to 2009 where the mean went from 44.3ppbv to 40.1ppbv and 12.0 ug/m3 to 10.1ug/m3, respectively (see Table 1). 3.3 Diurnal Seasonal Characteristics of O3 and PM2.5 The diurnal cycles of ozone and PM2.5 at GSMNP Look Rock, TN were seasonally averaged for each season from 2008-2011 (see Figures 4-7). Overall ozone values were the highest in the spring (Figure 4-A) and summer (Figure 5-A) with means of 49.7ppbv and 49.4ppbv respectively. The fall (Figure 6-A) and winter (Figure 7-A) season had the lowest concentrations of ozone with means of 38.7ppbv and 38.6ppbv. The increase in afternoon ozone concentrations is likely due to photochemical ozone production. Reduction in evening ozone concentrations may be due to vertical synoptic transport [6,7,8] in which boundary layer ozone is transported upward in the troposphere. The summer trend of ozone from year to year decreased from a mean of 51.63ppbv in 2008 to a mean of 43.6ppbv in 2009. The lower values for ozone (and PM2.5) in 2009 could suggest weaker meridional transport compared to 2008 [6,7,8]. Ozone levels are highest in the spring and summer, which is likely due to mid-boundary layer mixing where remnant air is mixed downward during the day, causing higher concentrations during these seasons [6,7,8]. The average seasonal diurnal cycles of PM2.5 at GSMNP Look Rock, TN, showed that PM2.5 concentrations started off low and peaked in the afternoon when photochemical production of PM2.5 is at its highest. The summer mean concentration dropped from 17.3 ug/m3 in 2008 to 13.5 ug/m3 in 2009, similar in behavior to the 21 Figure 3. Average Diurnal cycles for O3 and PM2.5 from 2008-2011. Figure 4. Average Summer diurnal cycles for O3 and PM2.5 from 2008-2011. Figure 5. Average Fall diurnal cycles for O3 and PM2.5 from 2008-2011. 22 Journal of Student Research in Environmental Science at Appalachian Figure 6. Average Winter diurnal cycles for O3 and PM2.5 from 2008-2011. Figure 7. Average Spring diurnal cycles for O3 and PM2.5 from 2008-2011. pattern seen in O3 for the summer of 2008-2009. From the summer of 2009 to 2010, the PM2.5 concentration increased by ~1.5 ug/m3, indicating little year-to-year variability. The highest levels for PM2.5 are observed during the summer and spring months. This mimics the seasonal variation of ozone and indicates stronger photochemical production and transport during these seasons. None of the diurnal average concentrations were above the concentrations set by the EPA for PM2.5 (primary=12ug/m3, secondary=15ug/m3, and combined=35ug/m3). 3.4 Seasonal Correlations between O3 and PM2.5 Correlations of ozone with PM2.5 for the differVolume 3, 1st Edition • Spring/Fall 2013 ent seasons are shown in Figure 8. The spring correlation plot shown in Figure 8-A shows a positive relationship between ozone and PM2.5. The spring and summer seasons exhibited the strongest correlation between ozone and PM2.5 – the spring correlation plot had a linear fit of y = 0.1386x + 5.205 while the summer correlation plot (Figure 8-B) had a linear fit of y = 0.2355x + 3.470. The fall and winter also showed positive relationships between ozone and PM2.5, but the correlation was not as strong as it was for the summer and spring seasons. The linear fit for the fall shown in Figure 8-C was y = 0.1249x + 3.510 and for winter shown in Figure 8-D was y = 0.1228x + 3.650. The linear fits for these seasons are very similar, indicating that the production and transport patterns of ozone and PM2.5 dur23 Figure 8. Ozone and PM2.5 seasonal correlations. ing these months has little variation. 3.5 O3 and PM2.5 background levels In order to discover whether the background ozone and PM2.5 levels were increasing or decreasing over the period of this study, the lowest quartile of both pollutants were plotted. The linear fit for the lowest quartile of ozone (Figure 9, top panel) was y = 0.0606x + 35.45, which indicates a small background year-to-year increase in ozone production or transport. In 2008, the greatest number of points above the linear regression line compare to the other years. The linear fit for the lowest quartile of PM2.5 (Figure 9, bottom panel) was y = 0.0013x + 7.620. Background PM2.5 levels increased negligibly yearto-year from 2008-2011. 4.0 Summary The atmospheric conditions of PM2.5 and ozone at GSMNP Look Rock, TN, from 2008-2011 are generally stable and show little year-to-year variation over this time period. The overall trends for ozone, PM2.5, solar radiation, and wind speed were analyzed to determine the broad characteristics of these pollutants at this site. A positive relationship between ozone, PM2.5, and solar radiation was observed. Wind speed had a negative relationship with pollutant concentrations. 24 Aside from the drop in ozone and PM2.5 mean concentrations from 2008-2009, no other significant variations in either ozone or PM2.5 were observed. Seasonal average diurnal profiles for ozone and PM2.5 showed summer and spring months had the highest production and transportation rates for both ozone and PM2.5, while fall and winter months experienced the least variation in production of ozone and PM2.5. Seasonal correlation plots between ozone and PM2.5 showed a positive correlation for all seasons, but the strongest correlations were seen in summer and spring. Background ozone and PM2.5 levels, determined by analyzing the monthly average lowest quartile concentrations for ozone and PM2.5 from 2008-2011, exhibited only a minimal increase from 2008-2011. The ozone and PM2.5 concentrations at the Look Rock, TN site in the Great Smoky Mountain National Park were generally steady from 20082011, although this area has experienced some of the highest number of ozone exceedences of any national park in the United States. References [1] Chemistry of the Upper and Lower Atmosphere, Academic Press, San Diego, 2000, Pages 957-969, ISBN 9780122570605, 10.1016/B978-012257060-5/50025-3. Journal of Student Research in Environmental Science at Appalachian Figure 9. Background ozone and PM2.5 represented by the lowest quartile of the range of data from 2008-2011. [2] Bascom, R., P. A. Bromberg, D. L. Costa, R. Devlin, D. W. Dockery, M. W. Frampton, W. Lambert, J. M. Samet, F. E. Speizer, and M. Utell, “Health Effects of Outdoor Air Pollution, Part1,” Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., 153, 3-50 (1996a). [3] Dockery, D.W. and C.A. Pope. 1994. Acute respiratory effects of particulate air pollution, Annual Review of Public Health, 15: 107-132. [4] Stull, R. B. An Introduction to Boundary Layer Meteorology, Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht/Norwell, MA, 1988. [5] Environmental Protection Agency, 2001. National air pollutant emission trends, 1999, EPA-454/R-01-004, Washington, DC. [6] Mao, H., and R. Talbot (2004a), The role of meteorological processes in two New England ozone episodes during summer 2001, J. Geophys. Res.,109, D20305, doi:10.1029/2004JD004850. [7] Mao, H., and R. Talbot (2004b), O3 and CO in New England: Temporal variations and relationships, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D21304, doi:10.1029/2004JD004913. [8] Mao, H., and R. Talbot (2004c), Relationship of surface O3 to large-scale circulation patterns during two recent winVolume 3, 1st Edition • Spring/Fall 2013 ters, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2003GL018860. 31,L06108, 25
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