Simultaneous determination of specimen composition and thickness

Simultaneous determination of specimen composition
and thickness using the Transmission Electron
Microscope
Boon, F.F.J.
DOI:
10.6100/IR529745
Published: 01/01/2000
Document Version
Publisher’s PDF, also known as Version of Record (includes final page, issue and volume numbers)
Please check the document version of this publication:
• A submitted manuscript is the author’s version of the article upon submission and before peer-review. There can be important differences
between the submitted version and the official published version of record. People interested in the research are advised to contact the
author for the final version of the publication, or visit the DOI to the publisher’s website.
• The final author version and the galley proof are versions of the publication after peer review.
• The final published version features the final layout of the paper including the volume, issue and page numbers.
Link to publication
Citation for published version (APA):
Boon, G. (2000). Simultaneous determination of specimen composition and thickness using the Transmission
Electron Microscope Eindhoven: Technische Universiteit Eindhoven DOI: 10.6100/IR529745
General rights
Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners
and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights.
• Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research.
• You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain
• You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal ?
Take down policy
If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately
and investigate your claim.
Download date: 17. Jun. 2017
Vlpxowdqhrxv ghwhuplqdwlrq ri vshflphq
frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv xvlqj wkh Wudqvplvvlrq
Hohfwurq Plfurvfrsh
SURHIVFKULIW
whu yhunulmjlqj ydq gh juddg ydq grfwru ddq gh Whfkqlvfkh Xqlyhuvlwhlw
Hlqgkryhq/ rs jh}dj ydq gh Uhfwru Pdjql?fxv/ suri1gu1 P1 Uhp/ yrru
hhq frpplvvlh ddqjhzh}hq grru khw Froohjh yrru Surprwlhv lq khw
rshqeddu wh yhughgljhq rs
grqghugdj 53 mdqxdul 5333 rp 49133 xxu
grru
Jhuehq Errq
jheruhq wh Ur}hqexuj
Glw surhivfkuliw lv jrhgjhnhxug grru gh surprwruhq=
suri1gu1 U1 Phwvhoddu
hq
suri1gu1 G1E1 Zlooldpv
Frsurprwru=
gu1lu1 J1I1 Edvwlq
Guxn= Xqlyhuvlwhlwvguxnnhulm/ Whfkqlvfkh Xqlyhuvlwhlw Hlqgkryhq
Ndiwrqwzhus= Jhuehq Errq
FLS0GDWD OLEUDU\ WHFKQLVFKH XQLYHUVLWHLW HLQGKRYHQ
Vlpxowdqhrxv ghwhuplqdwlrq ri vshflphq frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv xvlqj wkh
wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq plfurvfrsh 2 e| Jhuehq Errq1 0 Hlqgkryhq = Whfkqlvfkh
Xqlyhuvlwhlw Hlqgkryhq/ 53331
Surhivfkuliw1 0 LVEQ <306;905:;408
QXJL ;46
Wuhizrrughq=
dqdo|wlvfkh wudqvplvvlh hohnwurqhq plfurvfrslh 2 gxqqh odjhq 2
urhqwjhqplfur0dqdo|vh
Vxemhfw khdglqjv=
dqdo|wlfdo wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq plfurvfrs| 2 wklq ?opv 2 {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv
Lq d fdu |rx*uh dozd|v lq d frpsduwphqw/ dqg ehfdxvh |rx*uh xvhg wr lw
|rx grq*w uhdol}h wkdw wkurxjk wkdw fdu zlqgrz hyhu|wklqj |rx vhh lv mxvw pruh WY1
+U1P1 Sluvlj/ ]hq dqg wkh Duw ri Prwruf|foh Pdlqwhqdqfh1,
ddq plmq rxghuv
ly
Frqwhqwv
4 Lqwurgxfwlrq
414 Surmhfw hqylurqphqw 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
415 Txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq plfurvfrs| 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
41514 Fkhplfdo dqdo|vlv zlwk dq hohfwurq plfurvfrsh
41515 Wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq plfurvfrshv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
41516 Wzr gl>huhqw dssurdfkhv wr wklq dqdo|vlv 1 1 1
41517 Wkh ehvw ri erwk zruogv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
5 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv +wkhru|,
514 Lqwurgxfwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
515 Dq ryhuylhz ri sk|vlfdo hyhqwv lq uhodwlrq wr
516 Hohfwurq vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
51614 Hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
51615 Lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
517 [0ud| jhqhudwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
51714 Wklq ?op 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
51715 Exon vshflphq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
518 [0ud| hplvvlrq dqg ghwhfwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
4
4
4
5
6
8
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
<
<
43
46
46
46
47
47
47
48
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4<
4<
53
54
54
56
57
57
59
6 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
614 Lqwurgxfwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
615 Exon prghov 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
616 * +ã}, fxuyhv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
61614 Sursrvhg prghov 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
61615 Frpelqlqj wkh ] dqg D fruuhfwlrq idfwruv 1 1
617 Jdxvvldq edvhg * +ã}, prghoolqj 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
618 Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
U
61814 Gh?qlwlrq ri * +ã}, jhqhudwhg dqg hplwwhg1
y
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
FRQWHQWV
61815
Vxppdu| ri wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
66
7 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov iru wkh xvh lq wklq ?opv
714 Lqwurgxfwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
715 * +ã}, prghoolqj xvhg iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
71514 Edvlf sulqflsohv= d wklq ?op ri nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv
rq d vxevwudwh ri nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
71515 Uhyhuvh fdvh= Xqnqrzq ?op wklfnqhvv zlwk nqrzq frpsrvl0
wlrqv/ xvlqj phdvxuhg n0udwlrv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
71516 Ilop ri xqnqrzq wklfnqhvv dqg frpsrvlwlrq/ xqvxssruwhg ru rq
nqrzq vxevwudwh 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
71517 Rwkhu/ pruh frpsoh{ fdvhv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
6<
6<
73
8 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
814 Lqwurgxfwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81414 Dqdo|vlv frqglwlrqv lq wkh WHP 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
815 Prghov xvhg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq wkh WHP 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81514 Fol>0Orulphu 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81515 H{wudsrodwlrq Phwkrg 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81516 G[D phwkrg 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81517 Sdudphwhuohvv fruuhfwlrq phwkrg e| ydq Fdsshoohq 1 1
81518 í0idfwru dssurdfk +í0G[D, 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
816 Xvlqj d ixoo pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuh 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81614 Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81615 * +ã}, wklq ?op dqdo|vlv surfhgxuh/ dv sursrvhg lq wklv
817 Qhhg iru vwdqgdugv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81714 Ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
818 Phwkrgv iru vdpsoh wklfnqhvv ghwhuplqdwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
819 Frpsdulvrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv phwkrgv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81914 Phwkrgv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81915 Dssur{lpdwlrqv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81916 Devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81917 Sdudphwhuohvv phwkrgv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81918 Ixoo pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq phwkrgv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81919 Rxu * +ã}, phwkrg 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
7<
7<
83
84
84
87
88
89
89
8:
8:
8:
8;
8<
8<
94
94
95
95
96
97
97
9 H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
914 Lqwurgxfwlrq wr htxlsphqw dqg dqdo|wlfdo phdvxuhphqwv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91414 Lqlwldo vhwxs ri wkh WHP 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
9<
:3
:3
yl
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
Wkhvlv
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
73
77
78
79
FRQWHQWV
915
916
917
918
919
Sureohpv dqg wkhlu vroxwlrqv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91514 HGV wdnhr> dqjoh 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91515 Xvlqj exon vwdqgdugv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91516 Ehdp fxuuhqw dqg vwdelolw| 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91517 HGV vwdelolw| 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Qhz ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91614 SFG ghvljq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91615 Fxuuhqw phwhu 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Fkrlfh ri v|vwhpv xvhg iru whvwlqj wkh * +ã}, wklq
91714 Exon vshflphq frpsrvlwlrqv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91715 Xvhg suhsdudwlrq whfkqltxhv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
91716 Vwdqgdugv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Vriwzduh 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Ilqdo vhwxs 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
?op prgho1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
: Uhvxowv
:14 Lqwurgxfwlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
:15 Htxlsphqw whvw 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
:1514 Ehdp fxuuhqw phwhulqj 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
:1515 HGV olqhdulw| 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
:16 Exon dqdo|vlv whvwv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
:17 WHP wklq ?op dqdo|vlv whvwv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
:18 Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv 1
:1814 JdDv zdihu zlwk Wlwdqlxp frdwlqj 1 1 1 1 1
:1815 Fredow rq d JdVe zdihu/ zlwk uhdfwlrq }rqh
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
;8
1 ;8
1 ;9
1 ;9
1 ;:
1 ;;
1 <5
1 <6
1 435
1 436
; Glvfxvvlrq dqg frqfoxvlrqv
;14 Glvfxvvlrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv uhvxowv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;1414 htxlsphqw 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;1415 Exon dqdo|vlv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;1416 Wklq ?op dqdo|vlv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;1417 Dssolfdwlrqv1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;15 Ryhudoo frqfoxvlrqv dqg ?qdo glvfxvvlrq 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;1514 Xvlqj *SUR]D* lq WHP wklq ?op dqdo|vlv 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;1515 Ixuwkhu uhpdunv frqfhuqlqj wkh WHP wklq ?op dqdo|vhv
;16 Uhfrpphqgdwlrq iru ixuwkhu uhvhdufk dqg lpsuryhphqwv wr wkh
vhwxs 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
;1614 H{whqvlrqv ri wkh qhz phwkrg 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
yll
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
WHP
1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
:5
:5
:5
:6
:7
:7
:7
:9
:9
::
::
:;
:<
;3
43:
43:
43:
43:
43;
444
446
446
447
448
449
FRQWHQWV
D Olvw ri v|perov dqg deeuhyldwlrqv
44<
Vxppdu|
456
Vdphqydwwlqj
458
Qdzrrug
45:
Fxuulfxoxp Ylwdh
45<
ylll
Fkdswhu 4
Lqwurgxfwlrq
414
Surmhfw hqylurqphqw
Wkh uhvhdufk ghvfulehg lq wklv wkhvlv zdv fduulhg rxw zlwklq wkh Ghsduwphqw ri
Vrolg0Vwdwh dqg Pdwhuldov Fkhplvwu| dw Hlqgkryhq Xqlyhuvlw| ri Whfkqrorj| lq Wkh
Qhwkhuodqgv1 Wkh surmhfw zdv ?qdqfhg e| VRQ +Irxqgdwlrq iru Fkhplfdo Uhvhdufk
lq Wkh Qhwkhuodqgv,/ zklfk lv ?qdqfhg e| QZR +Wkh Qhwkhuodqgv Uhvhdufk Frxqflo,1
Wkh Ghsduwphqw kdv vhyhudo hohfwurq plfurvfrshv wr shuirup fkhplfdo +frp0
srvlwlrqdo, dqg vwuxfwxudo dqdo|vlv/ sulpdulo| xvhg lq wkh uhvhdufk rq vrolg vwdwh
fkhplvwu| dqg pdwhuldov vflhqfh1 Lq wkh frxuvh ri wkhvh lqyhvwljdwlrqv d orw ri h{0
shulhqfh zdv jdwkhuhg lq wkh ?hog ri dqdo|wlfdo hohfwurq plfurvfrs|1
415
41514
Txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq plfurvfrs|
Fkhplfdo dqdo|vlv zlwk dq hohfwurq plfurvfrsh
Lq d Vfdqqlqj Hohfwurq Plfurvfrsh/ VHP/ wkh vshflphq lv erpedughg e| hohfwurqv
iurp d ?qho| irfxvhg hohfwurq ehdp1 E| vfdqqlqj wkh ehdp ryhu wkh vshflphq/ vxuidfh
lpdjhv fdq eh rewdlqhg dw kljk pdjql?fdwlrqv +w|slfdoo| xs wr 4331333 {,1 Wkh
hohfwurqv shqhwudwh wkh vshflphq dqg froolgh zlwk wkh dwrpv ri wkh vshflphq pdwhuldo1
Lq wklv surfhvv/ zklfk zloo eh ghvfulehg lq pruh ghwdlohg lq wkh qh{w fkdswhu/ [0
ud|v duh jhqhudwhg lq wkh vshflphq dqg fdq eh hplwwhg iurp lw1 E| dqdo|vlqj wkh
hqhuj| glvwulexwlrq +wkh zdyhohqjwk, dqg wkh lqwhqvlw| ri wklv udgldwlrq/ zh fdq rewdlq
lqirupdwlrq derxw wkh fkhplfdo frpsrvlwlrq ri wkh qhdu vxuidfh od|hu ri wkh vshflphq1
Sorwwlqj wkh [0ud| lqwhqvlw| yhuvxv lwv hqhuj|/ dv vkrzq lq Iljxuh 414/ surylghv d
4
Fkdswhu 41 Lqwurgxfwlrq
('6#VSHFWUXP#RI#DQ#$O6=U7#7(0#VSHFLPHQ
733
+453#N9,
683
&RXQWV
633
=U0/
583
533
$O0.
483
=U0.D
433
=U0.E
83
3
3
5
7
9
;
43
45
(QHUJ\#+NH9,
47
49
4;
53
Iljxuh 4141 D w|slfdo HGV vshfwuxp ri d Do 6 ]u 7 vshflphq/ uhfrughg lq rxu
Wudqvplvvlrq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrsh +WHP, dw 453 nY1
fkhplfdo ?qjhusulqw ri wkh dqdo|vhg pdwhuldo1
Xqiruwxqdwho|/ wkh surfhvvhv ri jhqhudwlrq ri [0ud|v zlwklq wkh vshflphq dqg
wkdw ri hplvvlrq iurp lw/ duh frpsoh{1 Zh fdq rqo| jdwkhu lqgluhfw lqirupdwlrq
uhjduglqj wkh vxemhfw e| phdvxulqj wkh hplwwhg [0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv1 D prgho kdv wr eh
xvhg wr fdofxodwh wkh vshflphq frpsrvlwlrqv iurp wkh revhuyhg [0ud| hplvvlrqv= d
vr0fdoohg *pdwul{0fruuhfwlrq* prgho1
Hohfwurq plfurvfrshv/ vshfldoo| exlow iru wklv dqdo|vlv sxusrvh/ duh wkh Hohfwurq
Sureh Plfur Dqdo|vhuv +HSPD*v,1 Dowkrxjk wkh odwhudo uhvroxwlrq lq wkhvh lqvwux0
phqwv fdq eh lq wkh rughu ri vhyhudo qdqrphwhuv/ wkh vpdoohvw dqdo|vlv yroxph lv olplwhg
wr d plqlpxp ri derxw 4 çp6 1 Wkh uhdvrq iru wklv lv/ wkdw wkh hohfwurqv vsuhdg rxw lq
doo gluhfwlrqv rqfh wkh| duh lq wkh pdwhuldo1 Iru wkhvh w|shv ri dqdo|wlfdo plfurvfrshv/
pdwul{0fruuhfwlrq prghov ri yhu| kljk shuirupdqfh kdyh ehhq ghyhorshg1
41515
Wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq plfurvfrshv
Wkh frqfhsw ri d Wudqvplvvlrq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrsh/ d WHP/ lv voljkwo| gl>huhqw iurp
d VHP ru HSPD1 E| xvlqj d yhu| wklq vshflphq dqg d pxfk kljkhu dffhohudwlrq
5
Txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq plfurvfrs| 4151
yrowdjh +w|slfdoo| 53 nY iru HSPD dqg 433 0 633nY iru WHP,/ wkh hohfwurqv fdq
hdvlo| wudyho wkurxjk wkh vshflphq1 Wkh lpdjh lv rewdlqhg e| surmhfwlqj wkh hohfwurqv
wkdw wudyhoohg wkurxjk wkh vshflphq rqwr d vfuhhq1 Wklv fdq hlwkhu eh grqh e| xvlqj
d sdudooho ehdp +frpsdudeoh wr d volgh surmhfwru,/ ru e| vfdqqlqj wkh vshflphq zlwk
wkh hohfwurq ehdp +Vfdqqlqj WHP/ VWHP,1
Wkhvh plfurvfrshv doorz xv wr pdnh lpdjhv dw dq hyhq kljkhu pdjql?fdwlrq +xs
wr vhyhudo ploolrq wlphv,/ grzq wr dwrplf ohyhov1 Pruhryhu/ wkh dqdo|vlv yroxph lq dq
HSPD +wkh yroxph zlwklq wkh vshflphq lq zklfk [0ud|v duh jhqhudwhg, lv d whdugurs
ru erwwoh vkdshg zlwk d zlgwk ri derxw 4 çp/ zkloh lq wkh WHP/ zkhuh d wklq ?op
vshflphq lv xvhg/ rqo| wkh qhfn ri wkh erwwoh lv lq wkh vshflphq/ dqg wkhuhiruh/ wkh
zlgwk ri dqdo|vlv yroxph zloo rqo| eh voljkwo| odujhu wkdq wkh hohfwurq ehdp gldphwhu1
Khqfh/ dqdo|vlv dw wkh qdqrphwhu ohyho lv srvvleoh1
41516
Wzr gl>huhqw dssurdfkhv wr wklq dqdo|vlv
Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv xvlqj wkh WHP
Li wkh WHP vshflphqv duh yhu| wklq +w|slfdoo| ? 83 qp,/ wkhuh lv dq doprvw olqhdu
uhodwlrq ehwzhhq wkh lqwhqvlw| ri wkh [0ud|v/ fkdudfwhulvwlf iru d fhuwdlq hohphqw/ dqg
lwv frqfhqwudwlrq1 Wkhuhiruh/ frpsoh{ pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov duh qrw frpprqo|
xvhg lq dqdo|wlfdo WHP1 Lqvwhdg/ wkh vr0fdoohg *wklq0?op dssur{lpdwlrq* lv xvhg/ lq
zklfk lw lv dvvxphg wkdw wkh [0ud| jhqhudwlrq lv xqlirup wkurxjkrxw wkh ?op dqg wkdw
doo jhqhudwhg [0ud|v zloo dovr eh hplwwhg iurp wkh vshflphq1 Vrph pruh h{whqghg
prghov duh dovr edvhg rq wklv wklq ?op dssur{lpdwlrq/ exw dsso| dq dgglwlrqdo fru0
uhfwlrq iru devruswlrq ri wkh jhqhudwhg [0ud|v lq wkh vshflphq/ ghshqghqw rq lwv
wklfnqhvv1 Lw vkrxog eh fohdu wkdw vxfk fruuhfwlrqv duh rqo| dssolfdeoh zlwklq fhuwdlq
olplwv ^4`1
Iljxuh 415 vkrzv dq h{dpsoh ri frpsrvlwlrq fdofxodwlrq xvlqj wkh wklq ?op
dssur{lpdwlrq1 Gh ruljlqdo hplvvlrq gdwd iru wkh Do0N dqg Ql0N udgldwlrq hplwwhg
iurp d DoQl vshflphq zdv edvhg rq vlpxodwlrq xvlqj Edvwlq*v qhzhvw WID surjudp
^5`/ dv ghvfulehg lq vhfwlrq 7151 Lq wkh ?jxuh/ wkh vrolg olqh uhsuhvhqwv wkh frpsrvlwlrq
ydoxhv rewdlqhg iurp fdofxodwlrqv zlwk wkh edvlf Fol>0Orulphu phwkrg xvlqj wkh wklq
?op dssur{lpdwlrq +^6`/ vhh vhfwlrq 81514,1 Wkh nDoQl ydoxh zdv rewdlqhg xvlqj wkh
?uvw gdwd srlqw zlwk wkh vpdoohvw ?op wklfnqhvv1
Wkh grwwhg olqh vkrzv wkh fdofxodwhg frpsrvlwlrq ydoxhv diwhu dsso|lqj de0
vruswlrq fruuhfwlrq +vhh htxdwlrq 818 dqg 81; lq vhfwlrq 81514,1 Lq wklv fdvh wkh
h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg zdv xvhg wr rewdlq wkh nDoQl ydoxh iru }hur ?op wklfnqhvv
+xvlqj gdwd srlqwv dw 433 dqg 533 qp/ vhh vhfwlrq 81515,1 Lw vkrxog eh qrwhg wkdw wkh
frpsrvlwlrq edvhg rq vwrlfklrphwu| zdv xvhg wr fdofxodwh wkh frpelqhg devruswlrq
6
Fkdswhu 41 Lqwurgxfwlrq
$EVRUSWLRQ#HIIHFWV#RQ#FDOFXODWHG#FRPSRVLWLRQ#YDOXHV#RI#$O#LQ#$O1L1
5
0DVV#WKLFNQHVV#+PJ2FP ,
3
433
533
633
733
833
933
:33
;33
317
453
443
433
<3
;3
:3
93
83
73
63
53
43
3
316
(#RI#WKH#DFWXDO#
$O#FRQFHQWUDWLRQ#
:HLJKW#(#$O
3168
3158
315
3148
314
3138
3
3
833
4333
7KLFNQHVV#+QP,
4833
5333
Iljxuh 4151 Frqfhqwudwlrq ri Do lq DoQl fdofxodwhg dv ixqfwlrq ri vshflphq wklfnqhvv
xvlqj wkh wklq ?op dssur{lpdwlrq1 Wkh gdvkhg olqh uhsuhvhqwv wkh vwrlfklrphwulf Do
frqfhqwudwlrq/ zkloh wkh rwkhu olqhv vkrz wkh fdofxodwhg frqfhqwudwlrq ydoxhv xvlqj wkh
Fol>0Orulphu phwkrg/ zlwkrxw +vrolg olqh, dqg zlwk +grwwhg olqh, devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq1
Wkh ruljlqdo [0ud| hplvvlrq gdwd iru Do0N udgldwlrq lq DoQl dw 493 nY dqg :3ï wdnhr>
dqjoh zhuh rewdlqhg e| vlpxodwlrq zlwk wkh WID<<< surjudp ^5`1
frh!flhqwv/ qhhghg iru wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq fdofxodwlrqv1 Fdofxodwlrq lq wklv
pdqqhu fdq/ ri frxuvh/ qrw eh shuiruphg lq fdvh ri dq xqnqrzq vshflphq1 Ixuwkhu0
pruh wklfnqhvv lqirupdwlrq lv qhhghg dqg kdv wr eh phdvxuhg vhsdudwho|1
Iurp wkh ?jxuh lw vkrxog eh fohdu wkdw odujh huuruv duh lqwurgxfhg zkhq qhjohf0
wlqj wkh devruswlrq ri wkh Do0N udgldwlrq lq wkh frpsrvlwlrq fdofxodwlrq dv lv grqh
e| dqdo|wlfdo WHP prghov edvhg xsrq wkh wklq ?op dssur{lpdwlrq1 Wkh grwwhg olqh
fohduo| vkrzv wkdw hyhq zkhq dq dssursuldwh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq fdq eh pdgh wkhuh
lv vwloo dq huuru uhpdlqlqj gxh wr dvvxpswlrq wkdw wkh [0ud| jhqhudwlrq lq xqlirup
wkurxjkrxw wkh ?op1 Wkh pdjqlwxgh ri wkhvh huuruv lv ghshqghqw rq wkh wklfnqhvv
dqg frpsrvlwlrq ri wkh vshflphq/ dqg ri wkh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh xvhg1
7
Txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq plfurvfrs| 4151
Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv xvlqj wkh HSPD
Rq wkh rwkhu kdqg/ wkhuh duh dovr wklq ?op surjudpv ghyhorshg iru xvh rq wkh HSPD1
Lq wkh pdmrulw| ri fdvhv wkhvh surjudpv duh phdqw iru wkh dqdo|vlv ri wklq ?opv
+frdwlqjv, ghsrvlwhg rqwr d vxevwudwh1 Wkh lqflghqw hohfwurqv pd| eh vfdwwhuhg d vpdoo
dprxqw e| wkh wklq ?op/ exw duh dovr vfdwwhuhg e| wkh vxevwudwh/ dqg fdq hyhq eh
vfdwwhuhg edfn lqwr wkh wklq ?op rq wrs1 Wkhvh frpsoh{ v|vwhpv fdq rqo| eh kdqgohg
e| xvlqj pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov wkdw xvh d ghswk ghshqghqw [0ud| glvwulexwlrq
ixqfwlrq/ d vr fdoohg * +ã}, fxuyh1
Wzr gl>huhqw dssurdfkhv
Khqfh/ wkhuh duh wzr dssurdfkhv iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv= rqh ruljlqdwlqj iurp wkh WHP
zruog/ edvhg rq wklq ?op dssur{lpdwlrqv dqg h{whqghg zlwk fruuhfwlrqv iru devrus0
wlrq1 Wkh rwkhu dssurdfk/ ruljlqdwlqj iurp wkh HSPD zruog1 Wkhvh duh hvvhqwldoo|
h{whqvlrqv ri exon pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudpv/ zklfk kdyh ixuwkhu ehhq ghyhorshg iru
wklq ?op dssolfdwlrqv1 Wkh *SUR]D* surjudp ghyhorshg lq rxu jurxs lv dq h{dpsoh ri
wklv= lw lv ixuwkhu ghyhorshg wr d wklq ?op dqdo|vlv surjudp +WID,/ dqg hyhq h{whqghg
wr ghdo zlwk dqdo|vlv ri vxevwudwh0ohvv/ xqvxssruwhg wklq ?opv1
41517
Wkh ehvw ri erwk zruogv
Iru wklv wkhvlv/ zh wulhg wr dsso| wkh pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov/ ruljlqdwlqj iurp wkh
HSPD dqdo|vhv/ wr WHP wklq ?op dqdo|vlv/ wkxv frpelqlqj *wkh ehvw ri erwk zruogv*=
wkh kljk odwhudo dqdo|wlfdo uhvroxwlrq ri wkh WHP dqg wkh delolw| ri wkh HSPD wr
kdqgoh vshflphqv ri d odujh udqjh lq wklfnqhvv1 Wkh HSPD prghov pdnh xvh ri exon
vwdqgdugv/ xvxdoo| sxuh hohphqwv/ zklfk duh hdv| wr suhsduh dqg kdqgoh1 Wklv lv
lq frqwudvw wr wkh WHP prghov/ zkhuh pxowl0hohphqw wklq ?op vwdqgdugv ri h{dfwo|
nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq duh uhtxluhg1
Lq rxu jurxs/ pdq| |hduv ri uhvhdufk lqwr pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov iru HSPD
xvh kdg douhdg| ehhq shuiruphg1 Xqwlo qrz/ wkh HSPD pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov
frxog rqo| eh whvwhg wr derxw 73 nY> wkh| zhuh qhyhu dssolhg lq wkh WHP1 Dw ?uvw
vljkw/ wkhuh vhhpv wr eh dq dpd}lqj gl>huhqfh lq dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh ehwzhhq wkhvh
dssolfdwlrqv= dq HSPD xvhv yrowdjhv xs wr 73 nY/ zkloh d WHP xvhv yrowdjhv iurp ;3
wr 533 nY/ ru hyhq kljkhu +wkh pd{lpxp iru rxu WHP lv 533 nY,1 Krzhyhu/ d pdmru
sdudphwhu lqvlgh d pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prgho lv wkh *ryhuyrowdjh udwlr*/ X3 @ H3 @Hf /
zkhuh H3 lv wkh dssolhg dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh/ dqg Hf lv wkh plqlpxp dffhohudwlrq
yrowdjh qhhghg wr jhqhudwh wkh fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud|v iru wkh hohphqw ri lqwhuhvw +fulwlfdo
h{flwdwlrq yrowdjh,1 Uhjduglqj wklv ryhuyrowdjh/ wkh gl>huhqfh ehwzhhq HSPD xowud0
oljkw hohphqw dqdo|vlv dqg WHP lv qrw vr odujh1 Diwhu doo/ zkhq dqdo|vlqj dq xowud0oljkw
8
Txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq plfurvfrs| 4151
hohphqw olnh Erurq +zlwk Hf @ 3=4;8 nhY, lq dq HSPD dw 53 nY/ X3 zloo eh lq wkh
rughu ri 433/ dqg X3 kdv doprvw wkh vdph ydoxh/ zkhq dqdo|vlqj d phglxp oljkw
hohphqw olnh Do +zlwk Hf @ 4=7;: nhY, lq wkh WHP/ dw 493 nY1
Ixuwkhupruh wkh fruuhfwlrq prghov/ ghyhorshg lq rxu jurxs/ fdq dovr eh xvhg iru
dqdo|vlv ri wklq ?opv rq ydulrxv vxevwudwhv ru hyhq xqvxssruwhg/ dqg wkxv dssurdfk
wkh WHP frq?jxudwlrq1 Wkh| fdq ghwhuplqh erwk ?op frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv
vlpxowdqhrxvo| iurp rqo| rqh phdvxuhphqw dw rqh sduwlfxodu dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh/
dqg duh suryhq wr shuirup zhoo iru oljkw hohphqwv dv zhoo dv iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv/ wkdw
lv/ lq wkh HSPD/ ri frxuvh1
Frqvlghulqj wkhvh idfwv/ zh zhuh ri wkh rslqlrq wkdw wkh prghov ghyhorshg lq
rxu jurxs dqg lpsohphqwhg lqwr wzr surjudpv/ *SUR]D<9* ^7` iru exon dqdo|vlv dqg
*WID<<<* ^5` iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv/ zrxog r>hu d shuihfw edvlv iru d wklq ?op WHP
dqdo|vlv surjudp1 Vxfk surjudp zdv h{shfwhg wr eh deoh wr ghdo zlwk vshflphqv ri
d odujh udqjh lq wklfnqhvv dqg/ yhu| lpsruwdqwo|/ lw zrxog eh deoh wr ghwhuplqh wkh
frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv ri d vshflphq vlpxowdqhrxvo| iurp d vlqjoh phdvxuhphqw
dw rqh sduwlfxodu +vxlwdeoh, dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh1
9
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` ]hqml Krulwd1 Ryhuylhz= Txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv lq wkh dqdo|wlfdo hohfwurq
plfurvfrs|1 Pdwhuldov Wudqvdfwlrqv/ MLP/ 6<+<,=<7:8<8;/ +4<<;,1
^5` J1I1 Edvwlq dqg K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv1 D v|vwhpdwlf gdwdedvh ri wklq ?op phdvxuh0
phqwv e| HSPD/ sduw L= Doxplqlxp ?opv1 Vxeplwwhg iru sxeolfdwlrq/ +4<<<,1
^6` J1 Fol> dqg J1Z1 Orulphu1 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri wklq phwdo irlov xvlqj HPPD0
7 0 wkh udwlr whfkqltxh1 Lq= Surf1 Iliwk Hxurshdq Frqjuhvv rq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs|/
ss1 4738474/ +4<:5,1
^7` J1 I1 Edvwlq/ M1 P1 Glmnvwud/ dqg K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv1 SUR]D<9= Dq lpsuryhg
pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudp iru hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv/ edvhg rq d grxeoh
jdxvvldq * +ã}, dssurdfk1 [0ud| Vshfwurp1/ 5:=6843/ +4<<;,1
:
ELEOLRJUDSK\
;
Fkdswhu 5
Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv +wkhru|,
514
Lqwurgxfwlrq
Lq hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv/ d vpdoo yroxph ri wkh vshflphq wr eh dqdo|vhg lv
luudgldwhg zlwk dq hohfwurq ehdp lq rughu wr jhqhudwh fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud|v1 Iurp
wkh zdyhohqjwkv dqg lqwhqvlwlhv ri wkhvh [0ud|v/ wkh hohphqwv suhvhqw lq wkh vshflphq
pd| eh lghqwl?hg dqg wkhlu frqfhqwudwlrqv fdofxodwhg1
Lq vxfk d txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv/ wkh prvw lpsruwdqw wklqj wr uhdolvh lv wkh
frpsoh{ qdwxuh ri wkh surfhvv ri lqwhudfwlrq ehwzhhq wkh hohfwurq ehdp dqg wkh
vshflphq1 Pdq| surfhvvhv fdq wdnh sodfh/ dqg deryh doo/ wkh surfhvvhv lq xhqfh
hdfk rwkhu1 Wkh| fdq d>hfw wkh vshflphq dqg uhvxow lq surgxfwlrq ri gl>huhqw nlqgv
ri udgldwlrq ghshqglqj rq wkh hqhuj| ri lqflghqw hohfwurqv1
Rqh phwkrg zklfk lv edvhg rq wkh yhu| sulqflsohv ri doo wkh vhsdudwh h>hfwv lv
wkh Prqwh Fduor hohfwurq wudmhfwru| vlpxodwlrq1 Lq wkhvh vlpxodwlrqv wkh srvvleoh sdwk
ri hyhu| lqflghqw hohfwurq ri wkh hohfwurq ehdp lv suhglfwhg e| dsso|lqj wkh suredelolw|
irupxodv ri hyhu| hyhqw wkdw fdq wdnh sodfh1 Vlpxodwlrq ri pdq| wkrxvdqgv ri hohfwurq
sdwkv wkhuhiruh jlyhv xv dq xqghuvwdqglqj ri wkh surfhvvhv zklfk wdnh sodfh ehqhdwk
wkh vshflphq vxuidfh/ dqg fdq eh xvhg dv d phwkrg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv1
Lw lv wkh sxusrvh ri wklv fkdswhu wr ghvfuleh wkhvh surfhvvhv dqg wkhlu sured0
elolwlhv/ iroorzlqj wkh vljqdo sdwk iurp wkh yhu| ehjlqqlqj zkhuh wkh hohfwurq ehdp
hqwhuv wkh vshflphq/ wr wkh yhu| hqg zkhuh wkh [0ud|v duh frxqwhg e| wkh ghwhfwlrq
v|vwhp dqg uhfrughg lq d vshfwuxp/ vr dv wr surylgh d edvlv iru wkh glvfxvvlrqv lq wkh
vxevhtxhqw fkdswhuv1
Lq wkh qh{w vhfwlrqv/ dq hohfwurq zloo eh iroorzhg dorqj lwv sdwk wr lqwurgxfh
wkh whuplqrorj| dqg dv d jxlgholqh wr foduli| wkh fdofxodwlrqv pdgh lq wkh fruuhfwlrq
<
Fkdswhu 51 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv +wkhru|,
prghov zh zloo xvh wr shuirup txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv1 Wkh prghov wkhpvhoyhv zloo eh
glvfxvvhg odwhu lq wklv fkdswhu1
515
Dq ryhuylhz ri sk|vlfdo hyhqwv lq uhodwlrq wr
txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv
Wkh hohfwurqv shqhwudwlqj wkh vshflphq pd| froolgh zlwk wkh dwrpv ri wkh vshflphq1
Wkh hqhuj| ri wkhvh hohfwurqv lv ghwhuplqhg e| wkh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh xvhg lq wkh
plfurvfrsh dqg uhihuuhg wr dv H3 1 Wkh lqwhudfwlrq ri wkh lqflghqw hohfwurqv zlwk wkh
dwrpv ri wkh vshflphq fdxvhv wkh hohfwurqv wr vfdwwhu e| ydulrxv phfkdqlvpv lq zklfk
wkh gluhfwlrqv dqg2ru hqhuj| ri wkh hohfwurqv fkdqjh1 Hyhu| lqflghqw hohfwurq zloo jr
wkurxjk pdq| vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv/ dv orqj dv lw kdv nlqhwlf hqhuj| dqg lv vwloo zlwklq
wkh vshflphq1 Wkh suredelolw| ri wkhvh vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv lv ghvfulehg e| furvv vhfwlrq
irupxodv ru h{suhvvhg e| wkh phdq iuhh sdwk ri wkh hohfwurq1
Lq jhqhudo wkhuh duh wzr w|shv ri vfdwwhulqj= Hodvwlf dqg lqhodvwlf1 Hodvwlf
vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv d>hfw wkh gluhfwlrq ri wkh hohfwurq wudmhfwru|/ exw qr hqhuj| lv
wudqvihuuhg wr wkh vshflphq1 Wkhuhiruh wkhvh hyhqwv gr qrw frqwulexwh wr wkh sur0
gxfwlrq ri [0ud|v/ exw wkh| gr lq xhqfh wkh vsuhdglqj ri wkh hohfwurqv dqg wkhuhiruh
wkh wrwdo h{flwdwlrq yroxph1 Gxh wr wklv w|sh ri vfdwwhulqj/ hohfwurqv fdq hyhq eh
vfdwwhuhg rxw ri wkh vshflphq djdlq1 D sdudphwhu iru wkh dprxqw ri edfnvfdwwhuhg
hohfwurqv lv wkh vr fdoohg *edfnvfdwwhu idfwru*/ ì1 Wkhvh hohfwurqv fdq eh xvhg wr irup dq
lpdjh/ surylglqj lqirupdwlrq derxw wkh vshflphq frpsrvlwlrq/ vlqfh wkh edfnvfdwwhu
idfwru kljko| ghshqgv rq dwrplf qxpehu1
Lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv d>hfw wkh hohfwurq yhorflw|1 Wkh hqhuj| orvw e| dq
hohfwurq lq dq lqhodvwlf froolvlrq lv wudqvihuuhg wr wkh vshflphq dwrp dqg pd| ohdg
wr surgxfwlrq ri vhfrqgdu| hohfwurqv> Dxjhu hohfwurqv> fkdudfwhulvwlf dqg frqwlqxxp
[0ud| udgldwlrq +wkh odwwhu lv riwhq uhihuuhg wr dv *Euhpvvwudkoxqj*,> rwkhu hohfwurpdj0
qhwlf udgldwlrq lq wkh lqiuduhg/ ylvleoh dqg xowudylrohw> odwwlfh yleudwlrqv> dqg hohfwurq
rvfloodwlrqv1
Vlqfh lw lv gl!fxow wr rewdlq furvv vhfwlrqv iru hyhu| vshfl?f hyhqw/ doo lqhodvwlf
vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv duh xvxdoo| jurxshg dqg h{suhvvhg lq dq dyhudjh udwh ri hqhuj| orvv/
gH
gv / zkhuh v uhsuhvhqwv wkh glvwdqfh wudyhoohg lq wkh vshflphq1 Lq fdofxodwlrqv iru
txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv wklv frqwlqxrxv hqhuj| orvv dssur{lpdwlrq lv riwhq h{suhvvhg dv
wkh *vwrsslqj srzhu*=
V@ý
4 gH
ã gv
zkhuh ã ghqrwhv wkh pdvv ghqvlw|1
43
+514,
Dq ryhuylhz ri sk|vlfdo hyhqwv lq uhodwlrq wr txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv 5151
Li wkh hqhuj| wudqvihuuhg gxh wr dq lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj hyhqw/ lv kljk hqrxjk/
zklfk lv wkh fdvh li lw lv lq h{fhvv ri wkh fulwlfdo h{flwdwlrq hqhuj| ri d vshfl?f dwrplf
vkhoo ri wkh lqyroyhg dwrp/ dq hohfwurq fdq eh nqrfnhg rxw ri rqh ri wkh lqqhu vkhoov
ri wkh dwrp1 Wkh kroh/ fuhdwhg e| wkh lrqlvdwlrq ri dq lqqhu vkhoo/ zloo eh ?oohg
lpphgldwho| e| dq hohfwurq gursslqj lq iurp d kljkhu vkhoo1 Wkh hqhuj| lqyroyhg
zlwk wkdw wudqvlwlrq fdxvhv wkh surgxfwlrq ri dq [0ud| txdqwxp1 Wklv txdqwxp fdq
eh hplwwhg iurp wkh dwrp1 Krzhyhu 0 dqg xqiruwxqdwho| iru txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq
plfurvfrs| 0 lw lv pxfk pruh olnho| wr eh devruehg zlwklq wkh dwrp djdlq1 Wkh
hqhuj| lv glvvlsdwhg lq zhdno| erxqg rxwhu hohfwurqv/ zklfk fdq eh hmhfwhg1 Wklv lv
nqrzq dv wkh *Dxjhu h>hfw*1 Wkh suredelolw| ri d udgldwlyh wudqvlwlrq/ l1h1 wkh iudfwlrq
ri lrqlvdwlrqv ri d vshfl?f vkhoo wkdw uhvxow lq fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| hplvvlrq/ lv nqrzq
dv wkh * xruhvfhqfh |lhog* $
ç / zkloh $
ç . d @ 4 +zkhuh d lv wkh Dxjhu |lhog,1
Ilqdoo| wkh [0ud|v uhohdvhg lq dq lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj h>hfw kdyh wr wudyho wkurxjk
wkh vshflphq pdwhuldo wr uhdfk wkh vxuidfh1 Rq wkhlu sdwk rxw wkh| fdq eh uhdevruehg
e| rwkhu dwrpv lq wkh pdwhuldo1 Wkh prvw lpsruwdqw sdudphwhuv lq wklv devruswlrq
ri h{flwhg [0ud|v duh wkh pdvv0devruswlrq frh!flhqwv1 Dq devruehg [0ud| fdq djdlq
fdxvh qhz lrqlvdwlrqv lq wkh vdph zd| dv wkh lqflghqw hohfwurq/ uhohdvlqj qhz hohfwurqv
dqg2ru [0ud|v zlwk orzhu hqhuj|1 Wkh wudqvlwlrq iurp [0ud|v wr [0ud|v zlwk orzhu
hqhuj| lv fdoohg xruhvfhqfh1
Wkh sdwk zklfk lv wr eh iroorzhg e| wkh [0ud|v wrzdugv wkh [0ud| ghwhfwru lv
ghwhuplqhg e| wkh srvlwlrq +wdnh0r> dqjoh, ri wkh ghwhfwru1 Rqo| d iudfwlrq ri wkh
[0ud|v hphujlqj iurp wkh vshflphq*v vxuidfh lv froohfwhg e| wkh [0ud| ghwhfwru vlqfh
wkh [0ud|v duh hplwwhg lq doo gluhfwlrqv dqg rqo| wkrvh wkdw duh zlwklq wkh froohfwlrq
dqjoh ri wkh ghwhfwru duh uhfrughg1
Rqh vkrxog nhhs lq plqg wkdw hdfk ehdp hohfwurq pd| vfdwwhu pdq| wlphv1
Exw dovr/ vhfrqgdu| hohfwurqv/ rqfh jhqhudwhg/ fdq sduwlflsdwh djdlq lq d vfdwwhulqj
hyhqw1 Hyhq wkh [0ud|v surgxfhg lq wkh vshflphq fdq fdxvh qhz lrqlvdwlrq hyhqwv
uhohdvlqj qhz hohfwurqv dqg2ru gl>huhqw [0ud|v1
Iljxuh 514 jlyhv d srvvleoh wudmhfwru| ri rqh vlqjoh hohfwurq hqwhulqj d exon
vshflphq vlpxodwhg zlwk d Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq surjudp1 Li zh fdofxodwh dqg sorw
wkh sdwk ri pdq| hohfwurqv lq wkh vdph zd|/ d sorw olnh ?jxuh 515 lv rewdlqhg1 Lq wkh
odwwhu sorw/ lw ehfrphv fohdu wkdw wkh h{flwdwlrq yroxph lv d *whdu0gurs* vkdshg yroxph1
Iurp wklv zh fdq ghgxfh wkh odwhudo uhvroxwlrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv dv zhoo dv wkh ghswk
glvwulexwlrq ri wkh vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv1 E| glylglqj wkh vshflphq lqwr od|huv ri wklfnqhvv
ü} +ru pdvv0wklfnqhvv ü +ã},,/ wkh qxpehu ri vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv dqg wkhlu uhodwhg
hqhuj| fdq eh ghwhuplqhg dqg wkhuhiruh wkh dprxqw ri jhqhudwhg [0ud|v lq hyhu|
od|hu fdq eh fdofxodwhg1 Wklv uhvxowv lq d glvwulexwlrq ixqfwlrq ri [0ud| jhqhudwlrq
+*, yhuvxv ghswk +ã},/ wkh ** +ã}, fxuyh*1 Pruh ghwdlov derxw wkhvh * +ã}, fxuyhv zloo
eh jlyhq lq fkdswhu 61
44
Fkdswhu 51 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv +wkhru|,
Iljxuh 5141 Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq ri d vlqjoh hohfwurq wudmhfwru| lq Doxplqlxp/ dw
53 nY dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh1
Iljxuh 5151 Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq ri pdq| hohfwurq wudmhfwrulhv1 Fohduo| wkh *whdu0
gurs* vkdsh ri wkh h{flwdwlrq yroxph ehfrphv ylvleoh1
45
Hohfwurq vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv 5161
516
Hohfwurq vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv
Dowkrxjk pdq| irupxodv iru vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv duh nqrzq/ rqo| wkrvh wkdw duh hvvhqwldo
wr xqghuvwdqg wkh prghoolqj iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv zloo eh glvfxvvhg khuh1
51614
Hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj
Dv phqwlrqhg/ hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj fkdqjhv wkh gluhfwlrq ri wkh hohfwurqv/ exw wkh yhorflw|
uhpdlqv dssur{lpdwho| frqvwdqw/ w|slfdoo| ohvv wkdq 4 hY ri hqhuj| lv wudqvihuuhg1
Wkh hohfwurq lv vfdwwhuhg e| wkh Frxorpelf lqwhudfwlrq zlwk wkh fkdujh ri wkh dwrplf
qxfohxv +Uxwkhuirug vfdwwhulqj,/ dv sduwldoo| vfuhhqhg e| wkh dwrplf ruelwdo hohfwurqv1
Dv d uhvxow/ wkh hohfwurq ghyldwhv iurp lwv ruljlqdo lqflghqw sdwk e| dq dqjoh ëh+odvwlf, 1
Wkh dqjoh fdq eh dq|wklqj ehwzhhq 3ï dqg 4;3ï 1 Wkh furvv vhfwlrq â iru wkh hodvwlf
vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv wkdw h{fhhg d vfdwwhu dqjoh ë4 fdq eh ghvfulehg e| wkh vfuhhqhg
Uxwkhuirug h{suhvvlrq ^4`=
] ä
ë4
]5
â+ëh A ë4 , @
+515,
gâ+ë, @ 4=95 û 43ý53 5 frw5 + ,
H
5
ë4
zkhuh H lv wkh hohfwurq hqhuj| dqg ] wkh dwrplf qxpehu ri wkh lqyroyhg dwrp1
Iurp wklv htxdwlrq lw ehfrphv fohdu wkdw wkh suredelolw| ri dq hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj
hyhqw lqfuhdvhv zlwk wkh vtxduh ri wkh dwrplf qxpehu exw ghfuhdvhv zlwk wkh vtxduh
ri wkh hohfwurq hqhuj|1 Ixuwkhupruh/ vpdoo dqjoh vfdwwhulqj lv pxfk pruh olnho| wr
rffxu wkdq odujh dqjoh vfdwwhulqj1
51615
Lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj
Furvv vhfwlrqv iru wkh lqglylgxdo surfhvvhv lqyroyhg lq lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj duh gl!fxow
wr rewdlq1 Krzhyhu/ jurxslqj doo lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv wrjhwkhu jlyh xv dq dyhudjh
hqhuj| orvv udwh/ gH
gv 1 Ehwkh ^5` surylghv d xvhixo frqwlqxrxv hqhuj| orvv h{suhvvlrq/
jlylqj dq dssur{lpdwlrq iru gH
gv =
4=499Hp
]ã
gH
@ ý5äh7 Q3
oq
gv
DHp
M
+516,
zkhuh h lv wkh hohfwurq fkdujh/ Q3 lv Dyrjdgur*v qxpehu/ ã wkh ghqvlw|/ D wkh
dwrplf pdvv ri wkh hohphqw/ dqg Hp +nhY, wkh dyhudjh hqhuj| dorqj wkh sdwk vhjphqw
v1
Wkh phdq lrqlvdwlrq srwhqwldo/ M/ fdq eh dssur{lpdwhg e| vhyhudo irupxodv/
hdfk kdylqj lwv rzq dgydqwdjhv/ olplwdwlrqv dqg dssolfdwlrqv1 D jhqhudoo| xvhg
ghvfulswlrq lv jlyhq e| Vwhuqkhlphu +txrwhg lq Ehujhu dqg Vhow}hu +4<97, ^6`^7`,=
M @ +<=:9 . 8;=;] ý4=4< , û 43ý6
46
+nhY ,
+517,
Fkdswhu 51 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv +wkhru|,
517
[0ud| jhqhudwlrq
Wkh lrqlvdwlrq furvv vhfwlrq jlyhv ulvh wr wkh dprxqw ri fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud|v jhqhudwhg
lq d vfdwwhulqj hyhqw1 Qxphurxv h{suhvvlrqv fdq eh irxqg iru wkh lrqlvdwlrq furvv
vhfwlrq1 D uhylhz lv jlyhq e| Srzhoo ^8`^9`^:`1 Wkh edvlf h{suhvvlrq ri wkh lrqlvdwlrq
furvv vhfwlrq lv wkh rqh ghulyhg e| Ehwkh ^;`=
T @ 9=84 ü 43ý53
qv ev
orj +fv X,
X Hf5
+518,
zkhuh qv lv wkh qxpehu ri hohfwurqv lq wkh lqqhu vkhoo ri lqwhuhvw/ dqg ev dqg fv
duh frqvwdqwv iru wkh vshfl?f vkhoo1 Hf lv wkh fulwlfdo lrqlvdwlrq hqhuj| ri wkh vkhoo dqg
X lv wkh ryhuyrowdjh=
í ìwkh udwlr ehwzhhq wkh suhydlolqj ehdp hqhuj| dqg wkh fulwlfdo
lrqlvdwlrq hqhuj| HHf 1
51714
Wklq ?op
Lq fdvh ri d yhu| wklq ?op vshflphq/ wkh hodvwlf phdq iuhh sdwk/ gh?qhg dv wkh phdq
glvwdqfh dq hohfwurq kdv wr wudyho wkurxjk wkh vshflphq wr xqghujr dq dyhudjh ri
rqh hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj/ zloo eh vxevwdqwldoo| odujhu wkdq wkh vshflphq wklfnqhvv1 Wklv
phdqv hohfwurqv fdq eh frqvlghuhg wr jr wkurxjk wkh vshflphq zlwkrxw vljql?fdqw
gh hfwlrq1 Wkh hqhuj| orvv gxh wr lqhodvwlf vfdwwhulqj fdq dovr eh qhjohfwhg lq wkh
fdvh ri d yhu| wklq vshflphq/ hvshfldoo| lq WHP zkhuh wkh lqflghqw hohfwurq hqhuj| lv
pdq| wlphv wkh fulwlfdo hqhuj|1
Xvlqj wkh lrqlvdwlrq furvv vhfwlrq h{suhvvlrq/ wkh qxpehu ri fkdudfwhulvwlf [0
ud|v jhqhudwhg/ L/ fdq eh suhglfwhg e| wkh uhodwlrq=
L@
Q3 ãFD
TD $D dD Qh w
DD
+519,
zkhuh TD lv wkh lrqlvdwlrq furvv vhfwlrq iru wkh vkhoo ri lqwhuhvw/ dD lv wkh
suredelolw| ri hplvvlrq ri wkh [0ud| olqh ri lqwhuhvw uhodwlyh wr doo wkh olqhv wkdw fdq
eh hplwwhg ehfdxvh ri lrqlvdwlrq ri wkh vdph vkhoo/ Qh wkh qxpehu ri hohfwurqv wkdw
luudgldwhg wkh vshflphq +htxdov wkh hohfwurq ehdp fxuuhqw,1 DD lv wkh dwrplf pdvv ri
wkh hohphqw D/ FD wkh frqfhqwudwlrq +ru zhljkw iudfwlrq,/ $D wkh xruhvfhqfh |lhog
dqg w lv wkh vshflphq wklfnqhvv1
51715
Exon vshflphq
Lq wklfn wdujhwv/ hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj dqg hqhuj| orvvhv duh qrw qhjoljleoh1 Wkhuhiruh T
vkrxog eh lqwhjudwhg ryhu wkh hqhuj| udqjh iurp wkh lqflghqw hohfwurq hqhuj| H3 wr
Hf 1 Wkh wklfnqhvv vkrxog eh uhsodfhg e| d wklq volfh lq ghswk gluhfwlrq/ g} ru gã}1
47
[0ud| hplvvlrq dqg ghwhfwlrq 5181
Krzhyhu/ vlqfh wkh hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj fkdqjhv wkh hohfwurq*v gluhfwlrq dorqj lwv hqhuj|
orvv sdwk wkhuh lv qr gluhfw uhodwlrq ehwzhhq wkh ghswk dqg wkh hqhuj| glvwulexwlrq1
Wkhuhiruh wkh hqhuj| orvv h{suhvvlrq lv lqwhjudwhg ryhu wkh hohfwurq*v sdwk/ gv/ lqvwhdg
ri olqhdu ghswk +},1 Wklv uhvxowv lq wkh iroorzlqj h{suhvvlrq=
]
L@
Hf
H3
T
gH
gH@gv
+51:,
Wkh fdofxodwlrq ri gH@gv lv frpsolfdwhg vlqfh d iudfwlrq ri wkh hohfwurqv zloo
edfnvfdwwhu dqg ohdyh wkh vshflphq zlwk d fhuwdlq hqhuj| glvwulexwlrq1 Qhyhuwkhohvv/
wklv htxdwlrq lv yhu| xvhixo iru fdofxodwlqj wkh wrwdo dprxqw ri [0ud|v surgxfhg zlwklq
wkh vshflphq1 Pruh derxw wklv zloo eh h{sodlqhg lq wkh prghoolqj fkdswhu1
518
[0ud| hplvvlrq dqg ghwhfwlrq
Lq rughu wr ghwhfw wkh [0ud|v surgxfhg zlwklq wkh vshflphq/ wkh h{flwhg [0ud|v kdyh
wr wudyho ?uvw iurp d fhuwdlq ghswk zlwklq wkh vshflphq wr wkh vxuidfh1 Dorqj wklv
sdwk wr wkh vxuidfh wkh| pd| eh devruehg e| wkh pdwul{ pdwhuldo dqg pd| hyhq
jhqhudwh qhz [0ud|v ri d orzhu hqhuj|1 Wr fdofxodwh wkh dprxqw ri devruswlrq/ dqg
?qdoo| wkh wrwdo hplwwhg lqwhqvlw| ri d vshfl?f [0ud| olqh/ wkh ruljlq ri wkh jhqhudwlrq
ri wkh [0ud|v kdv wr eh nqrzq1 Wkhuhiruh wkh ghswk glvwulexwlrq ri wkh jhqhudwhg
[0ud| udgldwlrq +iru hdfk fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| olqh lqyroyhg, kdv wr eh nqrzq wr pdnh
dssursuldwh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrqv1
Wkh ghswk glvwulexwlrq ri wkh jhqhudwhg [0ud| olqhv lv ghvfulehg e| wkh vr0fdoohg
** +ã}, fxuyhv*/ lq zklfk * ghqrwhv wkh qxpehu ri jhqhudwhg [0ud|v dv ixqfwlrq ri wkh
pdvv ghswk/ ã}1 Lw vkrxog eh qrwhg wkdw wkh * +ã}, ydoxh lv gh?qhg ^<` dv wkh dprxqw
ri udgldwlrq jhqhudwhg e| d exulhg wklq od|hu dw ghswk ã} uhodwlyh wr d uhihuhqfh od|hu
ri wkh vdph wklfnqhvv iuhh lq vsdfh +xqvxssruwhg,1 Wkh prvw gluhfw zd| wr phdvxuh
* +ã}, fxuyhv lv e| xvlqj wudfhu h{shulphqwv dv sursrvhg e| Fdvwdlqj +4<84, ^<`1
Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuhv xvh * +ã}, fxuyhv wr prgho ghswk glvwulexwlrq ri wkh
jhqhudwhg [0ud|v1 Wkh fxuyhv duh uhfrqvwuxfwhg e| xvlqj wkh wrwdo hplwwhg lqwhqvlw|
+phdvxuhg/ dqg frpprqo| xvhg uhodwlyh wr d uhihuhqfh pdwhuldo,/ zklfk ri frxuvh lv
yhu| lqgluhfw hylghqfh1 Ixuwkhupruh/ wkh Prqwh Fduor hohfwurq wudmhfwru| vlpxodwlrqv
duh riwhq ri juhdw xvh/ frqvwuxfwlqj wkh h{suhvvlrqv xvhg lq wkh * +ã}, prghov1
Ilqdoo|/ rqo| d vpdoo sduw ri wkh udgldwlrq zklfk hvfdshv iurp wkh vxuidfh ri wkh
vshflphq zloo hqwhu wkh ghwhfwru/ vlqfh wkh udgldwlrq lv hplwwhg lq doo gluhfwlrqv dqg wkh
ghwhfwru rqo| fdswxuhv [0ud|v zlwklq d vpdoo vrolg dqjoh ghshqglqj rq wdnh0r> dqjoh
dqg froohfwlrq dqjoh ri wkh ghwhfwru1 Wkh ghwhfwru lwvhoi fdq eh d ZGV +zdyhohqjwk
glvshuvlyh vshfwurphwhu, ru HGV +hqhuj| glvshuvlyh vshfwurphwhu , w|sh1 Vlqfh wklv
48
[0ud| hplvvlrq dqg ghwhfwlrq 5181
wkhvlv lv derxw WHP/ dqg lq WHP/ HGV lv doprvw h{foxvlyho| xvhg/ ixuwkhu dwwhqwlrq
zloo eh frqfhqwudwhg h{foxvlyho| rq wklv w|sh ri ghwhfwru1
Wkh dprxqw ri [0ud|v ri d vshfl?f olqh/ ghwhfwhg e| HGV lv/ xqiruwxqdwho|/
qrw htxdo wr wkh dfwxdo dprxqw ri [0ud|v hqwhulqj wkh ghwhfwru/ exw lv lq xhqfhg
e| wkh ghwhfwru vhqvlwlylw|1 Wklv vhqvlwlylw| ghshqgv rq ghwhfwru sdudphwhuv vxfk dv
wkh ghwhfwru zlqgrz w|sh dqg wklfnqhvv xvhg/ wklfnqhvv ri wkh jrog frqwdfw od|hu
dqg vlolfrq ghdg od|hu exw dovr rq wkh frxqwlqj hohfwurqlfv1 D yhu| frpsuhkhq0
vlyh h{sodqdwlrq derxw [0ud| ghwhfwruv/ wkhlu ghvljq dqg rshudwlqj sulqflsohv/ wkh
ghwhfwlqj surfhvv dqg duwlidfwv dqg huuruv wkdw fdq dsshdu gxulqj ghwhfwlrq/ lv jlyhq
e| Jrogvwhlq hw do1 ^43/ fkdswhu 8`1
Dv lqsxw sdudphwhuv iru wkh pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudpv/ lqwhqvlw| udwlrv duh
phdvxuhg/ hlwkhu ehwzhhq wzr [0ud| olqhv ru ehwzhhq wkh vdph olqh phdvxuhg rq
vshflphq dqg vwdqgdug1 Wklv lv grqh wr dyrlg wkh qhfhvvlw| wr fdofxodwh wkh h>hfw ri
doo wkhvh/ riwhq xqnqrzq/ ghwhfwru sdudphwhuv1
Prvw WHP phwkrgv xvh udwlrv ehwzhhq wzr [0ud| olqhv ri gl>huhqw hqhuj|
+iurp gl>huhqw hohphqwv,1 Xvlqj wklv udwlr/ wkh ghwhfwru fkdudfwhulvwlfv dsshdulqj lq
qxphudwru dqg ghqrplqdwru ehorqj wr gl>huhqw hohphqwv1 Wklv phdqv wkdw wkh| gr
qrw fdqfho rxw exw uhvxow lq d +frpsrvlwlrq lqghshqghqw, frqvwdqw1
Li wkh udwlr ehwzhhq [0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv ri rqh vshfl?f olqh phdvxuhg rq wkh
vshflphq lq sursruwlrq wr wkh vwdqgdug lv xvhg/ olnh lq exon pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq sur0
judpv/ wklv udwlr lv uhihuuhg wr dv d n0udwlr +qrw wr eh frqixvhg zlwk n0idfwruv,1 Wkh
dgydqwdjh ri wklv phwkrg lv wkdw wkh ghwhfwru fkdudfwhulvwlfv fdqfho rxw frpsohwho|
+dv orqj dv wkh vdph dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh lv xvhg/ ri frxuvh,1
49
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` U1G1 Hydqv1 Wkh Dwrplf Qxfohxv1 PfJudz0Kloo/ Qhz \run/ +4<88,1
^5` K1D1 Ehwkh1 Kdqgerrn ri Sk|vlfv/ Yro1 57/ s1 5:61 Vsulqjhu/ Ehuolq/ +4<66,1
^6` U1P1 Vwhuqkhlphu Txrwhg e| P1M1 Ehujhu dqg V1P1 Vhow}hu1 QDVD Uhsruw VS0
63451 QDVD/ Zdvklqjwrq/ GF/ +4<97,1
^7` V1O1 Ehujhu dqg V1P1 Vhow}hu1 Vwxglhv ri Shqhwudwlrq ri Fkdujhg Sduwlfohv lq
Pdwwhu/ s1 5381 Qdw1 Uhv1 Frxqflo Sxeo1 4466/ Qdw Dfdg1 Vfl1/ Zdvklqjwrq/
+4<97,1
^8` F1M1 Srzhoo1 Uhy1 Prg1 Sk|v1/ 7;=66/ +4<:9,1
^9` F1M1 Srzhoo1 Xvh ri Prqwh Fduor Fdofxodwlrqv lq Hohfwurq Sureh Plfurdqdo|vlv
dqg Vfdqqlqj Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs|/ s1 <:1 Qdwlrqdo Exuhdx ri Vwdqgdugv/ vshfldo
sxeolfdwlrq 793/ +4<:9,1
^:` F1M1 Srzhoo1 Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ s1 461 Vdq Iudqflvfr Suhvv/ +4<<3,1
^;` K1 Ehwkh1 ]xu wkhrulh ghv gxufkjdqjv vfkqhoohu nrusxvnxoduvwudkohq gxufk
pdwhulh1 Dqq1 Sk|v1 Ohls}lj/ 8+8,=6588733/ +4<63,1
^<` U1 Fdvwdlqj1 Dssolfdwlrq Ghv Vrqghv Ìohfwurqltxhv à Xqh Pìwkrgh g*dqdo|vh
Srqfwxhooh Fklpltxh hw Fulvwdoorjudskltxh1 Sk1G1 wkhvlv/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Sdulv/
Iudqfh/ +4<84,1
^43` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq/ G1H1 Qhzexu|/ S1 Hfkolq/ G1F1 Mr|/ Mu1 D1G1 Urplj/ F1H1 O|pdq/
F1 Ilrul/ dqg H1 Olivklq1 Vfdqqlqj Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs| dqg [0Ud| Plfurdqdo|vlv1
Sohqxp Suhvv/ Qhz \run dqg Orqgrq/ +4<<5,1
4:
ELEOLRJUDSK\
4;
Fkdswhu 6
Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov=
Exon
614
Lqwurgxfwlrq
Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov duh qhfhvvdu| lq rughu wr frqyhuw wkh phdvxuhg lqwhqvlw|
udwlrv lqwr frqfhqwudwlrq xqlwv1 Dv phqwlrqhg lq wkh suhylrxv fkdswhu/ wkh lqwhqvlw|
udwlrv duh h{suhvvhg lq vr0fdoohg n0udwlrv/ wkh udwlr ehwzhhq wkh lqwhqvlw| ri wkh hplwwhg
fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud|v iurp wkh vshflphq lq uhvshfw wr wkh vdph [0ud| olqh iurp wkh
vwdqgdug1
Lq wkh hduo| vwdjhv ri wkh ghyhorsphqw ri pdwul{ fruuhfwlrqv prghov/ wkh prghov
zhuh lq xhqfhg e| wkh lqlwldo dvvxpswlrq ri d olqhdu uhodwlrq ehwzhhq frpsrvlwlrq
dqg jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw| dqg edvhg rq wkh fdofxodwlrq ri wkuhh idfwruv ]/ D dqg I= Wkh
dwrplf qxpehu fruuhfwlrq idfwru/ wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq idfwru dqg wkh xruhvfhqfh
idfwru/ uhvshfwlyho|1 Zlwk wkhvh wkuhh idfwruv wkh uhodwlrq ehwzhhq wkh phdvxuhg
lqwhqvlwlhv dqg wkh frqfhqwudwlrqv lv h{suhvvhg dv=
Fl
Ll
@ ^]DI `l ü
@ ^]DI `l ü nl
Fl> vwg
Ll>vwg
+614,
zkhuh Fl dqg Fl>vwg duh wkh frqfhqwudwlrqv ri hohphqw l lq wkh vshflphq dqg
wkh vwdqgdug/ uhvshfwlyho|/ dqg Ll dqg Ll>vwg wkh lqwhqvlwlhv ri wkh fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud|v
phdvxuhg dw wkh vshflphq dqg vwdqgdug1 nl lv wkh n0udwlr ri hohphqw l1 Wklv lv wkh
vr0fdoohg ]DI dssurdfk1
Odwhu/ wkh prghov zhuh pruh dqg pruh edvhg xsrq wkh xvh ri * +ã}, fxuyhv/
zklfk ghvfuleh wkh lqwhqvlw|/ */ ri wkh fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud|v jhqhudwhg dw d fhuwdlq
4<
Fkdswhu 61 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
ghswk +ã},1 Wkh lghd zdv edvhg xsrq phdvxuhphqwv lq zklfk d wudfhu hplwwlqj wkh
revhuyhg udgldwlrq zdv exulhg lq d pdwul{ dw ydu|lqj ghswkv1 Xvlqj wkhvh wudfhu
phdvxuhphqw dq h{shulphqwdo * +ã}, fxuyh frxog eh rewdlqhg1
Gxulqj wkh |hduv/ d orw ri lghdv iru wkh irup ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyhv kdyh ehhq
vxjjhvwhg= Iurp wkh ruljlqdo vlpsol?hg Sklolehuw +4<96, prgho ^4`/ zklfk zdv odwhu
prgl?hg +Uxvwh dqg ]hoohu 4<::, ^5` lqwr wkh ixoo Sklolehuw prgho/ wkurxjk pruh ru ohvv
uxglphqwdu| irupv olnh uhfwdqjohv +Elvkrs 4<:7 ^6`/ Oryh dqg Vfrww 4<:;/4<;3 ^7` ^8`,
dqg txdgulodwhudo vkdshv +Vhzhoo hw do1 4<;8 ^9`, wr pruh vrsklvwlfdwhg dqg uhdolvwlf
prghov +Sdfnzrrg dqg Eurzq 4<;4 ^:`/ Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu 4<;7 ^;`/ lpsuryhg e|
Edvwlq lq 4<;7 ^<`^43`^44`,1 Uhfhqwo| Edvwlq ^45` dgrswhg d qhz prgho/ d grxeoh
Jdxvvldq * +ã}, fxuyh/ lqwurgxfhg e| Phuohw 4<<5 ^46`1
Vlqfh wklv zrun lv hqwluho| edvhg xsrq * +ã}, prghoolqj/ rqo| eulhi dwwhqwlrq
zloo eh sdlg wr wkh roghu prghov1 D frpsuhkhqvlyh dqg ghwdlohg ghvfulswlrq ri wkh
hduolhu fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuhv lv jlyhq e| Ehdpdq dqg Lvdvl +4<:4, ^47`1
615
Exon prghov
Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov iru exon vshflphqv/ zkhuh wkh hohfwurq ehdp lv frpsohwho|
vwrsshg zlwklq wkh vdpsoh/ duh frpprqo| edvhg xsrq wkuhh vhsdudwh vwhsv=
î Iluvwo|/ d vwhs lq zklfk edfnvfdwwhulqj ri wkh lqflghqw hohfwurqv dqg [0ud| jh0
qhudwlrq zlwklq wkh vshflphq duh vhsdudwho| frqvlghuhg lq ghwdlo1 Erwk h>hfwv/
fdoohg wkh edfnvfdwwhu h>hfw +h{suhvvhg e| wkh U0idfwru, dqg wkh vwrsslqj srzhu
+h{suhvvhg e| wkh V0idfwru,/ uhvshfwlyho|/ duh frpelqhg wr wkh vr0fdoohg dwrplf
qxpehu fruuhfwlrq/ xvxdoo| h{suhvvhg dv wkh ] ý idfwru1 Wkh ]0idfwru lv sur0
sruwlrqdo wr wkh wrwdo qxpehu ri sulpdu| lrqlvdwlrqv jhqhudwhg lq wkh vshflphq1
î Vhfrqgo|/ lw lv qhfhvvdu| wr dgrsw vrph nlqg ri * +ã}, fxuyh lq rughu wr fdofxodwh
krz pxfk udgldwlrq lv jhqhudwhg dv d ixqfwlrq ri wkh pdvv ghswk1 Zlwk wklv
lqirupdwlrq lw lv srvvleoh wr fdofxodwh krz pxfk ri wkh jhqhudwhg udgldwlrq lv
orvw e| devruswlrq lq wkh vshflphq rq lwv zd| wr wkh vshfwurphwhu1 Wkh * +ã},
fxuyh dfwxdoo| uhsuhvhqwv wkh [0ud| lqwhqvlw| shu xqlw pdvv ghswk +ã}, uhodwlyh
wr wkdw surgxfhg lq d vlplodu/ exw lvrodwhg wklq od|hu1
Wkh udgldwlrq jhqhudwhg dw d fhuwdlq ghswk/ }/ kdv wr wudyho wkurxjk wkh vsh0
flphq wrzdugv wkh HG[ ghwhfwru sodfhg dw d wdnh0r> dqjoh ë1 Wkh [0ud| sdwk
ohqjwk zlwklq wkh vshflphq wkhuhiruh htxdov= } frvhf ë dqg wkh lqwhqvlw| * lv
uhgxfhg e| d idfwru h{s ^ýç} frvhf ë`
Vlqfh wkh devruswlrq idfwru/ fdoohg wkh D ý idfwru dqg pruh frpprqo| nqrzq
dv wkh vwdqgdug devruswlrq whup i +",/ lv wkh udwlr ehwzhhq wkh hplwwhg dqg wkh
53
* +ã}, fxuyhv 6161
jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw| lw fdq eh h{suhvvhg dv=
wrwdoo| hplwwhg lqwhqvlw|
@
i +", @
wrwdoo| jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw|
lq zklfk= " @
ç
ã
U4
3
* +ã}, h{s ^ý"ã}` g +ã},
U4
3 * +ã}, g +ã},
+615,
frvhf ë dqg ç@ã lv wkh pdvv devruswlrq frh!flhqw1
î Ilqdoo|/ lw lv vrphwlphv qhfhvvdu| wr dffrxqw iru vhfrqgdu| xruhvfhqfh/ zklfk
fdq wdnh sodfh zkhqhyhu rqh ri wkh sulpdu| jhqhudwhg udgldwlrqv lv ri vx!flhqwo|
kljk hqhuj| wr h{flwh rwkhu [0ud| udgldwlrq zlwklq wkh vshflphq1 Wklv zloo
ohdg wr hplvvlrq ri dq dgglwlrqdo [0ud| olqh/ exw dovr uhgxfhv wkh hplvvlrq ri
wkh sulpdu| [0ud| udgldwlrq fdxvlqj wkh xruhvfhqfh1 Wkh fruuhfwlrq iru wklv
skhqrphqrq lv frqwdlqhg lq wkh vr0fdoohg I ý i dfwru1
Qrwh wkdw wkh ]/ D dqg I idfwruv xvhg lq wkh ]DI dssurdfk/ vwdqg iru wkh udwlr
ehwzhhq wkh lqwhqvlw| jhqhudwhg lq wkh vshflphq dqg wkdw lq wkh vwdqgdug/ zkloh lq
wkh * +ã}, dssurdfk wkh ]/ D dqg I duh fdofxodwhg vhsdudwho| iru wkh vshflphq dqg
wkh vwdqgdug/ dqg ri frxuvh iru hdfk vshfl?f [0ud| olqh ri hdfk phdvxuhg hohphqw1
Ixuwkhupruh wkh ]/ D/ dqg I idfwruv duh qrw xvhg e| wkh * +ã}, surfhgxuh/ exw duh
rqo| fdofxodwhg wr ylvxdolvh wkh h>hfwv ri wkh dwrplf qxpehu/ wkh devruswlrq dqg wkh
xruhvfhqfh fruuhfwlrqv1
Ri doo wkuhh fruuhfwlrq idfwruv lqyroyhg/ wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq kdv uljkwixoo|
uhfhlyhg wkh prvw dwwhqwlrq/ vlqfh wklv xvxdoo| frqvwlwxwhv wkh pdmru fruuhfwlrq uhtxl0
uhg1 Wkh shuirupdqfh ri wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq lv frpsohwho| ghshqghqw rq wkh
* +ã}, fxuyh xvhg1 Wkhuhiruh d orw ri h>ruw kdv ehhq grqh wr ?qg wkh prvw dssursuldwh
* +ã}, e| xvlqj pdq| gl>huhqw prghov1
616
61614
) E45ä fxuyhv
Sursrvhg prghov
Sklolehuwv* prgho
Lq 4<96 Sklolehuw ^4` lqwurgxfhg d vlpsol?hg htxdwlrq iru * +ã}, wr ?w wkh irup ri wkh
h{shulphqwdo * +ã}, fxuyhv rewdlqhg e| wudfhu h{shulphqwv1 Wkh htxdwlrq zdv edvhg
rq wkh dvvxpswlrq wkdw wkh lrqlvdwlrq furvv vhfwlrq zdv frqvwdqw vr wkdw wkh [0ud|
lqwhqvlw| lv sursruwlrqdo wr wkh qxpehu ri hohfwurqv dqg wkhlu phdq sdwk ohqjwk lq hdfk
od|hu1 Xvlqj wkh Ohqdug h{suhvvlrq iru wkh qxpehu ri hohfwurqv dw d fhuwdlq ghswk/
q +ã}, @ q3 h{s+ýâã},/ zkhuh â lv wkh Ohqdug frh!flhqw/ dqg xvlqj edvlf vfdwwhulqj
54
Fkdswhu 61 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
htxdwlrqv/ wkh ghyhorshg * +ã}, irupxod ehfdph=
é
ë
ê è
4
* +ã}, @ 7 h{s +ýâã}, ý +7 ý *3 , h{s ýâ 4 .
ã}
k
+616,
Ixuwkhupruh wkh ydoxh ri * +3,/ wkh vxuidfh lrqlvdwlrq +ã} @ 3,/ zdv dvvxphg
wr eh }hur lq devhqfh ri dydlodeoh gdwd/ uhvxowlqj lq=
ë
ê
í
"ì
4
k "
@ 4.
4.
i +",
â
4.kâ
+617,
Sklolehuw dvvxphg k @ 4=5 ü D@] 5 dqg xvhg hpslulfdo ydoxhv iru â1
Xvlqj dq h{srqhqwldo vkdshg ghswk glvwulexwlrq ixqfwlrq iru wkh [0ud| jhqhud0
wlrq lv qrw yhu| uhdolvwlf/ vlqfh qr sursruwlrqdo uhodwlrq ehwzhhq oq * dqg ã} fdq eh
revhuyhg1 Ixuwkhupruh wkh dvvxpswlrq *3 @ 3 vljql?fdqwo| fkdqjhv wkh vkdsh ri wkh
* +ã}, fxuyh qhdu wkh vxuidfh1 Li devruswlrq lv kljk wklv uhvxowv lq odujh huuruv/ vlqfh/
lq vxfk fdvh/ prvw ri wkh revhuyhg [0ud|v ruljlqdwh iurp wkh vxuidfh duhd1
Wkh lpsuryhg Sklolehuw prgho
Pdq| lpsuryhphqwv wr wkh vlpsol?hg Sklolehuw prgho zhuh sursrvhg/ olnh lqwurgxflqj
ghshqghqfh rq wkh fulwlfdo h{flwdwlrq hqhuj|/ Hf / e| Gxqfxpe dqg Vklhogv +4<99,
^48`1 Ixuwkhupruh vhyhudo dowhuqdwlyh h{suhvvlrqv iru â dqg k kdyh ehhq sxw iruzdug
e| dprqj rwkhuv Oryh hw do1 ^49` dqg Uxvwh dqg ]hoohu +4<::, ^5`1 Olnhzlvh/ dwwhpswv
kdyh ehhq pdgh wr dyrlg wkh dssur{lpdwlrq *3 @ 31
Vtxduh dqg txdgulodwhudo prghov
Elvkrs +4<:7, ^6` sursrvhg d vtxduh prgho lq zklfk wkh [0ud| jhqhudwlrq lv dvvxphg
wr eh frqvwdqw iurp wkh vxuidfh grzq wr d fhuwdlq ghswk/ htxdo wr wzlfh wkh phdq
ghswk ri wkh [0ud| jhqhudwlrq/ }ç/ diwhu zklfk lw gursv wr }hur1 Wkh vlpsolflw| ri wklv
prgho zdv d elj dgydqwdjh/ krzhyhu/ zlwk prghuq frpsxwhu whfkqrorj| wklv lv ri qr
lpsruwdqfh dq| pruh1
Dq dssur{lpdwlrq pxfk forvhu wr uhdolw| zdv dfklhyhg e| wkh vr0fdoohg *txd0
gulodwhudo* prghov lqwurgxfhg e| Oryh/ Vhzhoo dqg Vfrww ^4:` ^9`1 Lq wkhvh prghov wkh
* +ã}, fxuyh lv frqvwuxfwhg e| wzr vwudljkw olqhv1 Wkh ?uvw rqh vwduwlqj dw *3 / jrlqj
xszdugv wr wkh pd{lpxp *p / dw wkh srvlwlrq ã}p / dqg wkh vhfrqg olqh vwduwlqj dw
*p dqg idoolqj grzq wr }hur dw ã}u 1 Wklv prgho douhdg| jlyhv ehwwhu uhvxowv lq fdvhv
ri khdy| devruswlrq1
55
* +ã}, fxuyhv 6161
Sduderolf prgho
Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu +4<;7, ^;` xvhg d grxeoh sduderolf prgho iru wkhlu fruuhfwlrq
surfhgxuh/ zklfk wkh| fdoohg wkh *SDS* phwkrg1 Lq wklv/ wkh * +ã}, fxuyh lv frpsrvhg
ri wzr sduderolf ixqfwlrqv/ zklfk duh mrlqhg wrjhwkhu vprrwko| e| pdwfklqj wkhlu
ghulydwlyhv dw wkh mrlqlqj srlqw1 Wkh sdudphwhuv ri wkh ixqfwlrqv duh fdofxodwhg e|
vhpl0hpslulfdo ixqfwlrqv edvhg rq wkh sk|vlfdo txdqwlwlhv dqg frqvwdqwv1
Jdxvvldq prghov
Zlwwu| qrwhg douhdg| lq 4<8; ^4;` wkh dssur{lpdwho| Jdxvvldq irup ri wkh * +ã},
fxuyh/ qhyhuwkhohvv/ d prgho edvhg rq d Jdxvvldq ixqfwlrq zdv qrw lqwurgxfhg ryhu d
orqj shulrg1 Wkh fdxvh iru wklv pljkw eh wkdw wkhuh lv rqo| dq dojheudlf vroxwlrq iru
wkh lqwhjudo ri d Jdxvvldq ixqfwlrq zkhq lqwhjudwhg iurp }hur wr lq?qlw| dqg fdq rqo|
eh lqwhjudwhg qxphulfdoo| lq doo rwkhu fdvhv dqg wkhuhiruh odujh frpsxwdwlrqdo h>ruw
lv qhhghg1
Sdfnzrrg dqg Eurzq lq 4<;4 ^:` lqwurgxfhg d prgho xvlqj d vxuidfh fhqwuhg
Jdxvvldq ixqfwlrq prgl?hg lq wkh qhdu0vxuidfh uhjlrqv e| dq h{srqhqwldo wudqvlhqw
ixqfwlrq dqg xvhg qxphulfdo lqwhjudwlrq wr rewdlq i +",1 Edvwlq/ ydq Orr dqg Khlm0
oljhuv +4<;7, ^<` ghulyhg dq dojheudlf irup xvlqj dq huuru ixqfwlrq/ zklfk rq lwv wxuq
zdv fdofxodwhg e| xvlqj d ?iwk ghjuhh sro|qrpldo dssur{lpdwlrq1 Uhfhqwo| Edvwlq/
Glmnvwud dqg Khlmoljhuv xvhg d vrphzkdw vlplodu prgho/ wklv wlph edvhg xsrq d grxeoh
Jdxvvldq ixqfwlrq ^45`1
61615
Frpelqlqj wkh ~ dqg ø fruuhfwlrq idfwruv
Sdfnzrrg dqg Eurzq ^:`/ dqg Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu ^;` zhuh wkh ?uvw wr dfwxdoo|
frpelqh wkh dwrplf qxpehu dqg devruswlrq h>hfwv lqwr rqh vlqjoh fruuhfwlrq sur0
fhgxuh1 Wklv lv grqh e| xvlqj wkh hplwwhg lqwhqvlw| yhuvxv ã} fxuyh1 Wklv fxuyh
lv rewdlqhg e| pxowlso|lqj hdfk srlqw ri wkh jhqhudwhg * +ã}, fxuyh e| h{s ^ý"ã}`
lq rughu wr fruuhfw iru devruswlrq1 Vxevhtxhqw lqwhjudwlrq iru ã} ehwzhhq }hur dqg
lq?qlw| |lhogv wkh txdqwlw| wkdw lv sursruwlrqdo wr wkh wrwdo hplwwhg lqwhqvlw|1 Wkh
devruswlrq idfwru i+", fdq eh uhfrqvwuxfwhg li qhfhvvdu|/ e| vlpso| lqwhjudwlqj wkh
jhqhudwhg dv zhoo dv wkh hplwwhg lqwhqvlw|1 Wkh udwlr zloo |lhog i+",1
Vlqfh wkhvh prghov uho| hyhq pruh rq wkh fruuhfwqhvv ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyhv/ lw
lv ri xwprvw lpsruwdqfh wkdw wkh htxdwlrqv xvhg lq wkh fdofxodwlrq ri erwk jhqhudwhg
dqg hplwwhg * +ã}, fxuyhv duh vx!flhqwo| uholdeoh dqg dv uhdolvwlf dv srvvleoh1
56
Fkdswhu 61 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
617
Jdxvvldq edvhg ) E45ä prghoolqj
Xvlqj d * +ã}, dssurdfk iru frpelqhg dwrplf qxpehu dqg devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq/ wkh
shuirupdqfh ri dq| pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prgho ghshqgv frpsohwho| rq wkh fruuhfwqhvv
ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh1 Wkhuhiruh/ uhdolvwlf * +ã}, fxuyhv kdg wr eh irxqg1 Sdfnzrrg dqg
Eurzq lqwurgxfhg lq 4<;7/ d * +ã}, prgho edvhg rq d Jdxvvldq glvwulexwlrq htxdwlrq1
Mxvw olnh wkh Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu prgho/ wkh| xvhg irxu sdudphwhuv wr ghvfuleh wkh
* +ã}, fxuyh1
Dv edvlf * +ã}, fxuyh/ d vxuidfh fhqwuhg Jdxvvldq fxuyh zdv xvhg1 Wklv vr0fdoohg
*xqglvwxuehg* Jdxvvldq fdq eh ghvfulehg e|=
k
l
* +ã}, @ ð h{s ýò5 +ã},5
+618,
lq zklfk ò lv d sdudphwhu iru wkh ghfd| udwh dqg ð lv wkh pd{lpxp ydoxh ri wkh
Jdxvvldq fxuyh zklfk lv uhdfkhg dw wkh vxuidfh1 Krzhyhu/ wkh * +ã}, fxuyh lv nqrzq
wr kdyh lwv pd{lpxp qrw dw wkh vxuidfh/ exw vrphzkdw ghhshu lq wkh vshflphq1 Lq
wkh prgho/ wklv lv dffrxqwhg iru e| lqwurgxflqj d wudqvlhqw ixqfwlrq=
è
é
ð ý *+3,
h{s +ýñã},
+619,
4ý
ð
ñ kdv d wzrirog ixqfwlrq= ?uvwo| lw lv d idfwru iru vfdwwhulqj zklfk frqwulexwhv wr
vsuhdglqj ri wkh hohfwurq ehdp/ pdnlqj lw ?qdoo| ehfrph d gl>xvh hohfwurq forxg>
vhfrqgo|/ lw lqfrusrudwhv wkh idfw wkdw wkh jhqhudwlrq ri [0ud|v ehfrphv pruh h!flhqw
zkhq wkh hohfwurqv vorz grzq lq wkh ?uvw sduw ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh1
Frpelqdwlrq ri htxdwlrq 618 dqg 619 jlyhv wkh ryhudoo * +ã}, fxuyh=
é
è
l
k
ð ý *+3,
* +ã}, @ ð 4 ý
h{s +ýñã}, h{s ýò5 +ã},5
+61:,
ð
Xvlqj wklv * +ã}, fxuyh/ wkh prgho lv qrz fkdudfwhulvhg e| sdudphwhulvdwlrq
ri wkh irxu lqsxw sdudphwhuv ò/ ñ/ ð/ dqg * +3,1 D ghwdlohg glvfxvvlrq rq wkh
sdudphwhulvdwlrq ri wkh odwwhu sdudphwhuv lv jlyhq e| Edvwlq +4<;9, ^44`1
618
Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho
Lq rughu wr ryhufrph vrph olplwdwlrqv lq wkh wrr uljlg vxuidfh fhqwhuhg Jdxvvldq
dssurdfk/ Edvwlq/ Glmnvwud dqg Khlmoljhuv ^45` uhfhqwo| fkdqjhg wr d qhz pdwkhpdwlfdo
prgho/ zklfk zdv lqwurgxfhg e| Phuohw ^46`1 Edvwlq prgl?hg wkh odwwhu prgho lq rughu
wr jlyh lw pd{lpxp h{lelolw| dqg fuhdwh d prgxodu vwuxfwxuh1 Wkh prgho lv edvhg
rq wkh dvvxpswlrq wkdw d * +ã}, fxuyh fdq eh ghvfulehg e| wzr Jdxvvldq eudqfkhv
57
Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 6181
ª+´],#FXUYH#$O0.Â#2#$O#53#N9
'RXEOH#*DXVVLDQ
613
518
ªP
ª+´],
513
418
/
5
413
E
318
´] P
D
313
3
533
733
933
;33
0DVV#WKLFNQHVV/#´]#+ÈJ2FPð,
4333
4533
Iljxuh 6141 Vfkhpdwlf uhsuhvhqwdwlrq ri wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq * +ã}, prgho1 Wkh ohiw0
kdqg eudqfk/ zlwk Jdxvvldq lqfuhdvh udwh ñ/ lv frqqhfwhg dw wkh wrs +zlwk frruglqdwhv
ã}p / *p , wr wkh uljkw0kdqg eudqfk zlwk Jdxvvldq ghfd| udwh ò1
zklfk duh vprrwko| frqqhfwhg dw wkh pd{lpxp *p dw +ã},p +?j 614,1 Wkh dqdo|wlfdo
ghvfulswlrq ri wkh wzr Jdxvvldq eudqfkhv *o+hiw, dqg *u+ljkw, fdq eh jlyhq dv iroorzv=
l
k
*o +ã}, @ *p h{s ýñ 5 +ã} ý ã}p ,5
iru 3 é ã} é ã}p
l
k
*u +ã}, @ *p h{s ýò5 +ã} ý ã}p ,5
+61;,
iru ã}p é ã} é 4
ì
í
zhuh *p @ * +3, h{s ñ 5 +ã}p ,5 dqg ñ kdv d frpsohwho| gl>huhqw phdqlqj wkdq lq
wkh vxuidfh fhqwuhg Jdxvvldq prgho1
Lq wklv prgho * +3,/ ã}p dqg ò duh frqvlghuhg wr eh lqghshqghqw txdqwlwlhv1
Wkh irxuwk lqghshqghqw sdudphwhu lv I L/ qrw ñ1 I L lv wkh lqwhjudo ri * +ã},/ ehlqj
wkh wrwdo jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw|/ ñ lv ghwhuplqhg e| xvlqj * +3,/ ã}p / ò dqg I L1 Wkh
irxu lqsxw sdudphwhuv duh fdofxodwhg wkurxjk lqghshqghqw h{suhvvlrqv/ doorzlqj xv wr
fkdqjh wkh h{suhvvlrqv xvhg iru hyhu| sdudphwhu/ dqg pdlqwdlq frpsohwh h{lelolw|
dqg prgxodu vwuxfwxuh ri wkh prgho1
58
Fkdswhu 61 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
61814
Gh?qlwlrq ri
U
) E45ä jhqhudwhg dqg hplwwhg1
Jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw|
Wkh wrwdo jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw| zlwklq wkh vshflphq I L/ lv wkh lqwhjudo ri * +ã}, ehwzhhq
}hur dqg lq?qlw|=
] 4
] ã}p
l
k
IL @
* +ã}, @
*p h{s ýñ 5 +ã} ý ã}p ,5
g +ã},
3
3
] 4
l
k
*p h{s ýò5 +ã} ý ã}p ,5
g +ã}, +61<,
.
ã}p
Wkh dojheudlf vroxwlrq ri wkh sduwldo lqwhjudo ri d Jdxvvldq ixqfwlrq olnh wklv/ fdq eh
rqo| jlyhq xvlqj wkh *huuru ixqfwlrq*=
è
s
ì é hui +ñã} ,
í
4
* +3, ä
p
5
5
h{s ñ +ã}p , ü
.
IL @
+6143,
5
ñ
ò
Wkh huuru ixqfwlrq fdq e| dssur{lpdwhg zlwk pruh wkdq vx!flhqw dffxudf|
^4</ s15<<` xvlqj wkh iroorzlqj ixqfwlrq=
ü
ý
+6144,
hui +{, @ 4 ý S +{,8 ü h{s ý{5 . î +{,
zkhuh S8 +zlwk lqsxw sdudphwhu { @ ñã}p , lv d ?iwk ghjuhh sro|qrpldo dqg
î +{, wkh huuru iru zklfk dssolhv mî +{,m é 4=8 ü 43ý: 1 Wkh ?iwk ghjuhh sro|qrpldo S8
fdq eh ghvfulehg dv=
S8 @ d4 w . d5 w5 . d6 w6 . d7 w7 . d8 w8
+6145,
zkhuh
w @ 4@ +4 . 3=65:8<44 ü {,
d4 @ 3=587;5<8<5/ d5 @ ý3=5;77<9:69/ d6 @ 4=754746:74
d7 @ ý4=78648535:/ d8 @ 4=39473875<
+6146,
+doo qxpehuv duh wdnhq iurp Deudprzlw} ^4</ s15<<`,
Hplwwhg lqwhqvlw|
Wkh hplwwhg lqwhqvlw| fdq eh irxqg e| pxowlso|lqj hdfk srlqw lq wkh * +ã}, fxuyh zlwk
wkh devruswlrq idfwru h{s +ý"ã},1 Xvlqj 61; wklv uhvxowv lq=
k
l
*o +ã}, @ *p h{s ýñ 5 +ã} ý ã}p ,5 ü h{s +ý"ã}, iru 3 é ã} é ã}p
l
k
*u +ã}, @ *p h{s ýò5 +ã} ý ã}p ,5 ü h{s +ý"ã}, iru ã}p é ã} é 4
+6147,
59
Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 6181
Lqwhjudwlrq ri wkhvh ixqfwlrqv zlwklq wkhlu olplwv |lhogv=
%ë ê
& é ë
ê
ë êè
s
5
"
*p ä
"
"
I LH>o @
h{s
ý "ã}p ü hui ñã}p ý
. hui
5ñ
5ñ
5ñ
5ñ
éí ì
è k
s
í " ìl
" 5
*p ä
h{s
ý "ã}p ü 4 ý hui
I LH>u @
+6148,
5ò
5ò
5ò
Wkh wrwdo hplwwhg lqwhqvlw| I LH lv wkh jlyhq e| I LH @ I LH>o . I LH>u 1
Fdofxodwlrq ri ñ
Dv zlwk wkh roghu Jdxvvldq prgho/ wkh prgho lv edvhg dv pxfk dv srvvleoh rq uhfrj0
ql}deoh dqg phdvxudeoh sdudphwhuv zlwk d fohdu sk|vlfdo edfnjurxqg1 Wkh irxu lqsxw
sdudphwhuv duh/ dv phqwlrqhg ehiruh/ edvhg rq lqghshqghqw h{suhvvlrqv1 Rqo| ñ lv d
ghshqghqw sdudphwhu dqg fdq eh ghulyhg iurp wkh rwkhu irxu sdudphwhuv e| uhzulwlqj
htxdwlrq 6143 wr=
í
ì
ì
í
h{s ñ 5 +ã}p ,5
h{s ñ 5 +ã}p ,5 ý S8
5I L
s @3
.
ý
+6149,
ò
ñ
* +3, ä
Iurp wklv lw lv fohdu wkhuh lv qr dojheudlf vroxwlrq iru ñ +qrwh wkdw dovr S8 lv
d ixqfwlrq ri ñã}p ,1 Khqfh d qxphulfdo surfhgxuh kdv wr eh xvhg wr ghwhuplqh wkh
ydoxh ri ñ1
Iru wklv wkh ixqfwlrq I FQ /
í
ì
ì
í
h{s ñ 5 +ã}p ,5
h{s ñ 5 +ã}p ,5 ý S8
5I L
s
I FQ @
.
ý
+614:,
ò
ñ
* +3, ä
lv plqlplvhg iru d ?{hg vhw ri * +3,/ ã}p / ò dqg I L sdudphwhuv e| ydu|lqj ñ1 Vlqfh
I L lv d prqrwrqlfdoo| lqfuhdvlqj ixqfwlrq/ wkh ghvluhg ñ ydoxh fdq eh ghwhuplqhg e|
?qglqj wkh srlqw ri lqwhuvhfwlrq/ zhuh I FQ @ 3/ xvlqj dq lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh edvhg
xsrq d vlpsoh vwudljkw olqh dssurdfk +?j1 615,1
Wkh irxu lqghshqghqw lqsxw sdudphwhuv
Lq wklv zd| wkh prgho ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh lv frpsohwho| hvwdeolvkhg e| 7 lqghshqghqw
sdudphwhuv ò/ *3 / ã}p dqg I L1 Wkh sdudphwhuv ñ dqg *p duh ghshqghqw1 Wkh 7
lqghshqghqw sdudphwhuv duh ghvfulehg e| sdudphwhulvdwlrqv zlwk dv pxfk uhodwlrq dv
srvvleoh wr sk|vlfdo txdqwlwlhv1 Hdfk sdudphwhulvdwlrq fdq eh fkdqjhg +dqg lqwhu0
fkdqjhg zlwk rwkhu h{suhvvlrqv, zlwkrxw d>hfwlqj wkh rwkhuv dqg zlwkrxw glvuxswlqj
wkh pdwkhpdwlfdo lqwhjulw| ri wkh prgho1
5:
Fkdswhu 61 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
)&1#DV#I+Ã,#$O0.Â2$O#53#N9
,QYHVWLJDWLRQ#RI#)&1
518
)XQFWLRQ#)&1#+ÈJ2FPð,
513
418
413
à 418Â
318
313
0318
à Â
0413
3
4333
5333
6333
7333
%HWD##+FPð2J,
8333
9333
:333
Iljxuh 6151 Yduldwlrq lq IFQ +Htxdwlrq 614: dv d ixqfwlrq ri ñ iru ?{hg ydoxhv ri
ò/ ã}p / dqg I L1 Wkh duurzv vkrz wkh lqlwldo hvwlpdwhv iru ñ zlwk zklfk wkh lwhudwlrq
surfhgxuh/ dlphg dw plqlpl}lqj IFQ/ lv vwduwhg1
î Ghfd| Udwh ò=
E| h{wudfwlqj wkh ò ydoxhv iurp qxphurxv ?wv ri * +ã}, fxuyhv zlwk wkh PF8
Prqwh Fduor surjudp/ Edvwlq hw do1 ^45` revhuyhg wkdw oq +ò@T, lv sursruwlrqdo
wr oq +H3 ,1 Wklv olqhdu uhodwlrq fdq eh h{suhvvhg dv=
ë
oq
ò
T
ê
@ L ý W oq H3
+614;,
zkhuh L lv lqwhufhsw/ W lv wkh wdqjhqw/ dqg xvlqj
v
T@
]
D
ü
ý
oq 4=499 HM3
H35 ý Hf5
5;
+614<,
Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 6181
L dqg W zhuh ?wwhg dqg wkh iroorzlqj uhodwlrqv zhuh irxqg=
oq L @ 45=<6::7 ý 3=336759848 ü ] dqg
4
W @
4=46<564 . 3=335::8958 ü ]
+6153,
+6154,
Frpelqlqj 614; zlwk 614</ 6153 dqg 6154 ?qdoo| uhvxowv lq dq h{suhvvlrq iru ò=
v
ü
ý
H3
]
h{s +45=<6::7 ý 3=336759848 ü ],
D oq 4=499 M
ü
+6155,
ò@
4
H35 ý Hf5
H 4=46<564.3=335::8958ü]
3
Iru wkh lrqlvdwlrq srwhqwldo M wkh htxdwlrq ri Vwhuqkhlphu ^53` zdv xvhg +vlplodu
wr wkh PF8 surjudp,/ dowkrxjk rwkhu h{suhvvlrqv fdq eh xvhg hdvlo|/ wkdqnv wr
lwv lqghshqghqw dqg prgxodu vwuxfwxuh1
Lw vkrxog eh qrwhg wkdw iru d frpsrxqg wdujhw/ d pdwul{ ri òlm ydoxhv +ò iru wkh
[0ud| olqh ri hohphqw l lqwhudfwlqj zlwk hohphqw m ri wkh pdwul{, lv fdofxodwhg/
zkhuh hdfk òlm ydoxh lv fdofxodwhg xvlqj htxdwlrq 61551 Wkh ydoxh ri òl iru wkh
[0ud| olqh ri hohphqw l lq wkh frpsrxqg frqwdlqlqj m hohphqwv/ lv wkhq frpsrvhg
dv iroorzv=
S Dm 4
Fm ]m òlm
4
m
@ S Dm
+6156,
l
òFrpsrxqg
Fm ]m
m
dqg
y
ì
x ]m í
H3>l
x
h{s +45=<6::7 ý 3=336759848 ü ] m , w Dm oq 4=499 Mm
òlm @
ü
4
5 ý H5
H3>l
4=46<564.3=335::8958ü]m
f>l
H3>l
+6157,
î Shdn srvlwlrq +ã}p ,=
Wkh shdn srvlwlrq ghqrwhg e| S zdv olqnhg wr wkh lrqlvdwlrq udqjh/ U3 / +?uvwo|
lqwurgxfhg e| Oryh/ Fr{ dqg Vfrww ^54`, zklfk lv wkh wrwdo sdwk ohqjwk wkh
hohfwurq wudyhov ehwzhhq wkh srlqw ri lqflghqfh zkhuh lwv hqhuj| htxdov H3 dqg
wkh srlqw zkhuh lwv hqhuj| gursv grzq wr wkh fulwlfdo h{flwdwlrq hqhuj| Hf / xvlqj
wkh h{suhvvlrq +lqvsluhg e| Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrluv* shdn srvlwlrq fdofxodwlrqv
^55`,=
S
e
@d. t
.
U3
H3
Hf
5<
H3
Hf
f
t
H3
Hf
+6158,
Fkdswhu 61 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
dowkrxjk rwkhu h{suhvvlrqv zhuh wulhg wrr1 d/ e dqg f zhuh sdudphwhulvhg e|
?wwlqj dqg irxqg wr eh=
s
d @ 5=43737;6 . 3=377<67347 ü ] ]
s
ý 8=84;786 ü 43ý7 ] 5 ] . 5=7958::4; ü 43ý8 ] 6
+6159,
zkhuh ] lv wkh dwrplf qxpehu ri wkh pdwul{ hohphqw/
ë
ê
5=83<49<7 7=9:58685
s
e @ h{s 5=954<954 ý
ý
]
]
dqg
é
6=5894:88 ý 3=39346734< ü ] . 4=5643;77 ü 43ý6 ] 5
f@
4 ý 4=:6:7369 ü 43ý5 ] . 5=857;68 ü 43ý7 ] 5
+615:,
è
+615;,
Lq fdvh ri d frpsrxqg pdwul{/ zhljkw iudfwlrq dyhudjhg ydoxhv ri wkh dwrplf
S
qxpehu/ ]f @ m Fm ]m duh xvhg1
Wkh
ý gH ülrqlvdwlrq udqjh U3 fdq eh irxqg e| lqwhjudwlqj dq hqhuj| orvv htxdwlrq/
gv / ryhu wkh udqjh iurp H3 wr Hf ri wkh sduwlfxodu olqh1 Edvwlq hw do1 xvh wkh
iroorzlqj voljkwo| prgl?hg hqhuj| orvv htxdwlrq=
4 gH
4 [ Fm ]m
4
@ý
+615<,
ã gv
Mf m Dm i +H@M,
zkhuh iru d frpsrxqg pdwul{ Mf lv fdofxodwhg dffruglqj wr=
S Fm ]m
oq Mm
m D
oq Mf @ S mFm ]m
m
+6163,
Dm
dqg wkh ixqfwlrq i +H@M, lv frpsrvhg ri wkuhh whupv=
i +H@M, @
6
[
Gn +H@M,Sn
+6164,
n@4
zlwk=
ý
ü
5=5 ü 43ý9
G4 @ 9=9 ü 43ý9 / G5 @ 4=45 ü 43ý8 4=68 ý 3=78M 5 / G6 @
M
S4 @ 3=:;/ S5 @ 3=4/ S6 @ ý3=8 . 3=58 ü M
+6165,
Diwhu lqwhjudwlrq ri 615< xvlqj wkh odwwhu sdudphwhuv lw iroorzv wkdw=
í
ì
4.Sn
4.Sn
6 M 4ýSn ü G
H
ý
H
[
n
f
3
4
U3 @ S Fm ]m ü
4
.
S
n
m
Dm
n@4
63
+6166,
Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 6181
î I L/ wkh lqwhjudo ri * +ã},
Wkh ydoxh iru wkh lqwhjudo ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh/ I L/ lv ghwhuplqhg e| fdofxodwlrq
ri wkh sulpdu| lqwhqvlw|/ S L iurp wkh edfnvfdwwhulqj idfwru U dqg wkh vwrsslqj
srzhu V4 =
] 4
S L 2 T +X3 , I L @ T +X3 ,
* +ã}, gã}
+6167,
3
zkhuh X3 @ H3 @Hf / dqg
U
+6168,
V
Iroorzlqj wkh dwrplf qxpehu fruuhfwlrq ri Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu +^55`/ dovr flwhg
lq ^56/ s1 651`, wkh ghfhohudwlrq ri hohfwurqv lv ghvfulehg e|=
] Hf
4
T +H,
@
gH
+6169,
gH
V
H3
gãv
SL @
Wkh lrqlvdwlrq furvv vhfwlrq T +X ,/ zkhuh X @ H@Hf / lv edvhg rq wkdw ghulyhg
e| Ehwkh +4<63, ^57`=
T2
oq +X ,
X p Hf5
+616:,
í ì
gH
Lqwhjudwlrq ri htxdwlrq 6169/ xvlqj htxdwlrq 615< iru gãv
/ zlwk Mf wkh phdq
lrqlvdwlrq srwhqwldo iru d frpsrxqg pdwul{ fdofxodwhg dffruglqj wr htxdwlrq
6163 dqg wkh lrqlvdwlrq srwhqwldo M/ dv ehiruh/ fdofxodwhg xvlqj wkh htxdwlrq ri
Vwhuqkhlphu ^53`/ wkh lqwhjudwhg h{suhvvlrq iru wkh vwrsslqj srzhu ehfrphv=
6
[
4
X3 Mf
@
Gn
S Fm ]m ü
V
H3 m Dm n@4
ë
H3
Mf X3
êSn %
Wn X3Wn oq +X3 , ý X3Wn . 4
Wn5
&
+616;,
zkhuh Wn lv gh?qhg e| Wn @ 4 . Sn ý p dqg wkh sdudphwhuv G dqg S duh dv
jlyhq lq 61651
Edvwlq hw do1 ^45` xvhg voljkwo| gl>huhqw ydoxhv iru wkh p frh!flhqw/ wr lpsuryh
shuirupdqfh rq wkh oljkw hohphqwv=
N olqhv
p @ 3=<
O olqhv p @ 3=;5
P olqhv p @ 3=:;
h{fhsw iru F Nò +p @ 3=;;;, / Q Nò +p @ 3=;9, dqg
R Nò +p @ 3=;<,
+616<,
64
Fkdswhu 61 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov= Exon
U lv fdofxodwhg xvlqj wkh h{suhvvlrq=
ç ^4 ý J +X3 ,`
U @ 4 ý ìçZ
+6173,
zkhuh wkh phdq edfnvfdwwhu frh!flhqw ìç lv jlyhq e|=
üú
û
ý
ìç @ 4=:8 ü 43ý6 ]çf . 3=6: 4 ý h{s 3=348 ü ]çf4=6
+6174,
dqg ]çf lv gh?qhg e| wkh iroorzlqj dyhudjlqj uxoh=
í[ s ì5
]çf @
Fm ]m
+6175,
ç / lv fdofxodwhg dv
Wkh phdq uhgxfhg hqhuj| ri wkh edfnvfdwwhuhg hohfwurq/ Z
iroorzv +xqghu qrupdo shushqglfxodu ehdp lqflghqfh,=
ç
ç @ H @ 3=8<8 . ìç . ìç7=88
Z
H3
6=:
+6176,
Wkh whup J +X3 , lv h{wudfwhg iurp wkh wkhruhwlfdo prgho ri Frxorq dqg ]hoohu
^58`=
#
$
4
X3 ý 4 ý
J +X3 , @
4ý
4.t
X3
4.t
+6177,
+5 . t, ü M +X3 ,
zkhuh
M +X3 , @ 4 . X3 ü ^oq +X3 , ý 4` dqg t @
ç ý4
5Z
ç
4ýZ
+6178,
Lw vkrxog eh qrwhg wkdw I L dqg T duh rqo| jlyhq e| sursruwlrqdolw| htxdwlrqv1
Vlqfh I L dv zhoo dv wkh * +ã}, ydoxhv duh frpprqo| xvhg wr ghvfuleh udwlrv
ehwzhhq vshflphqv dqg vwdqgdugv/ doo sursruwlrqdolw| frqvwdqwv zloo eh fdqfhoohg
rxw1 Hyhq T +X3 , lq htxdwlrq 6167 zloo fdqfho rxw/ dqg lv rqo| ri lpsruwdqfh
zkhq * +ã}, fxuyhv ri gl>huhqw dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv duh frpsduhg wr hdfk rwkhu1
î Vxuidfh lrqlvdwlrq ydoxh * +3,
Edvwlq wulhg d qxpehu ri h{suhvvlrqv iru * +3, lq wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho1
Iluvwo| wkh ruljlqdo h{suhvvlrq e| Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu ^55`/ zklfk zdv xvhg lq
wkh suhylrxv vxuidfh fhqwuhg prgho wrr=
ë
ê
4
* +3, @ 4 . 6=6 4 ý ð ì4=5
+6179,
X3
65
Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 6181
zlwk ð @ 5 ý 5=6ì1
Iru wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho/ Edvwlq ?wwhg d qhz h{suhvvlrq rq d odujh
dprxqw ri h{shulphqwdo gdwd froohfwhg iurp wkh wklq ?op phdvxuhphqwv rq
vxssruwhg dqg xqvxssruwhg Do dqg Sg ?opv rq pdq| gl>huhqw vxevwudwhv ^59`1
Wkh h{suhvvlrqv duh edvhg xsrq Uhkedfk dqg Ndugxfn*v ^5:` h{suhvvlrqv/ re0
wdlqhg iurp Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq/ xvlqj X3 ghshqghqf|=
ë
êd
4
s
* +3, @ 4 . e ü 4 ý
+617:,
X3
zlwk/ dffruglqj wr Uhkedfk dqg Ndugxfn=
ë
êë
ê
]
6=:
d @ 4 . 3=338
3=9; .
Hf
]
+617;,
dqg
ê
ë
ü
3=38 ý
ý3=34 . 3=37;38] ý 3=848<< ü 43ý6 ] 5 . 3=53;35 ü 43ý8 ] 6
e@ 4.
Hf
+617<,
Edvwlq irxqg sdudphwhulvdwlrqv zlwkrxw wkh qhfhvvlw| wr lqwurgxfh dq h{solflw
Hf ghshqghqfh lqwr wkh sdudphwhuv d dqg e dqg xvhg sdudphwhulvdwlrqv rqo|
ghshqghqw rq wkh dwrplf qxpehu ] ri wkh pdwul{ hohphqw=
ë
ê
4=557554
ý6
d @ 3=94:7:576 . 4=3<<4;38 ü 43 ] . s
+6183,
]
dqg
e @ ý3=54<977:; . 3=44665<97] ý 5=396;95< ü 43ý5 ] oq ]
+6184,
zkhuh lq fdvh ri d frpsrxqg pdwul{ d zhljkw iudfwlrq dyhudjhg dwrplf qxpehu
lv xvhg1
61815
Vxppdu| ri wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho
Lq wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho d Jdxvvldq * +ã}, fxuyh lv frqvwuxfwhg e| wzr vprrwko|
?wwhg * +ã}, fxuyhv/ rqh udqjlqj iurp ã} @ 3 wr wkh shdn pd{lpxp srvlwlrq ã}p ri
wkh Jdxvvldq fxuyh/ wkh rwkhu udqjlqj iurp wkh shdn pd{lpxp wr lq?qlw|1 Iru wkh
* +ã}, fxuyhv irxu sdudphwhuv duh xvhg= ò/ ñ/ ã}p dqg *3 / wkh vxuidfh lrqlvdwlrq ydoxh1
Krzhyhu/ ehfdxvh ñ @ i +ò> ã}p > *3 > I L,/ wkh irxu lqghshqghqw lqsxw sdudphwhuv duh
ò/ I L/ ã}p dqg *3 1
66
Grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho 6181
Hdfk sdudphwhu lv ghvfulehg e| d sdudphwhulvdwlrq ghulyhg e| edvlf sk|vlfv
dqg2ru h{shulphqwdo ?wwlqj dqg duh edvhg xsrq sk|vlfdo txdqwlwlhv dqg frqvwdqwv1
Wkh iroorzlqj olvw vkrzv wkhlu ghshqghqfh rq wkh sk|vlfdo sdudphwhuv=
ò @ i +H3 > Hf > ]> D> M,
ã}p @ i +H3 > Hf > ]> D> M,
I L @ i +H3 > Hf > ]> D> M,
* +3, @ i +H3 > Hf > ],
+6185,
zkhuh ] dqg D ghqrwh wkh dwrplf qxpehuv dqg pdvv ri doo hohphqwv/ wkh udgldwlqj
hohphqw lq txhvwlrq dv zhoo dv wkh pdwul{ hohphqwv1
Wkh edvlf surfhgxuh lv wr ghwhuplqh wkh wrwdo jhqhudwhg [0ud| lqwhqvlw| I L
xvlqj wkh dwrplf qxpehu fruuhfwlrq ri Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu ^55`1 Vxevhtxhqwo| ò/
ã}p / dqg * +3, duh fdofxodwhg dqg ñ lv fdofxodwhg xvlqj wkh rwkhu sdudphwhuv dqg dq
qxphulf lwhudwlyh dssur{lpdwlrq phwkrg1 Ilqdoo| *p lv fdofxodwhg1
Zlwk wkh rewdlqhg * +ã}, fxuyh ghvfulelqj wkh ghswk glvwulexwlrq ri wkh [0ud|
surgxfwlrq/ wkh wrwdo hplwwhg [0ud| lqwhqvlw| lv fdofxodwhg/ fruuhfwlqj wkh jhqhudwhg
lqwhqvlw| iurp hyhu| vshfl?f ghswk iru devruswlrq rq wkh sdwk wr wkh [0ud| ghwhfwru1
Qrwh/ wkdw * khuh vwloo ghqrwhv wkh lqwhqvlw| ri [0ud|v surgxfhg lq d wklq od|hu exulhg
ehqhdwk wkh vxuidfh lq uhodwlrq wr wkh vdph od|hu iuhh dqg xqvxssruwhg/ dqg wkdw wkh
* +ã}, fxuyhv iru hdfk hohphqw lq erwk vshflphq dqg vwdqgdug kdyh wr eh ghwhuplqhg
dqg lqwhjudwhg wr jhw wr wkh n0udwlrv ri hdfk hohphqw1
67
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` M1 Sklolehuw1 D phwkrg iru fdofxodwlqj wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq lq hohfwurq sureh
plfurdqdo|vlv1 Lq= Surfhhglqjv ri wkh 6ug Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Frqjuhvv rq [0Ud| Rswlfv
dqg Plfurdqdo|vlv +LF[RP,/ ss1 6:<86<5/ +4<96,1
^5` M1 Uxvwh dqg F1 ]hoohu1 Fruuhfwlrq g*devruswlrq hq plfur0dqdo|vh1 Frps1 Uhqg1
Dfdg1 Vfl1 Sdulv/ Vìulh E/ 5;7=83:8843/ +4<::,1
^6` K1H1 Elvkrs1 Wkh survshfwv iru dq lpsuryhg devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq lq hohfwurq
sureh plfurdqdo|vlv1 M1 Sk|v1 G= Dsso1 Sk|v1/ :=533<85353/ +4<:7,1
^7` J1 Oryh dqg Y1G1 Vfrww1 Hydoxdwlrq ri d qhz fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuh iru txdqwlwdwlyh
hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv1 M1 Sk|v1 G=Dsso1 Sk|v1/ 44=469<846:9/ +4<:;,1
^8` J1 Oryh dqg Y1G1 Vfrww1 D fulwlfdo dssudlvdo ri vrph uhfhqw fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuhv
iru txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq0sureh plfurdqdo|vlv1 M1 Sk|v1 G= Dsso1 Sk|v1/ 46=<<88
4337/ +4<;3,1
^9` G1D1 Vhzhoo/ J1 Oryh/ dqg Y1G1 Vfrww1 Xqlyhuvdo fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuh iru hohfwurq0
sureh plfurdqdo|vlv +sduw L/LL/LLL,1 M1 Sk|v1G= Dsso1 sk|v1/ 4;=4566845;3/ +4<;8,1
^:` U1K1 Sdfnzrrg dqg M1G1 Eurzq1 D jdxvvldq h{suhvvlrq wr ghvfuleh * +ã}, fxuyhv
iru txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv1 [0ud| Vshfwurp1/ 43+6,=46;8479/
+4<;4,1
^;` M1O1 Srxfkrx dqg I1 Slfkrlu1 D qhz prgho iru txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud| plfurdqd0
o|vlv1 Sduw L= dssolfdwlrq wr wkh dqdo|vlv ri krprjhqhrxv vdpsohv1 Uìfkhufkhv
Dìurvsdwldohv/ 6=4686;/ +4<;7,1
^<` J1I1 Edvwlq/ K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv/ dqg I1M1M1 Ydq Orr1 Wkh shuirupdqfh ri wkh prgl0
?hg !+ã}, dssurdfk dv frpsduhg wr wkh Oryh dqg Vfrww/ Uxvwh dqg vwdqgdug ]DI
fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuhv lq txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv1 Vfdqqlqj/
9=8;89;/ +4<;7,1
68
ELEOLRJUDSK\
^43` J1I1 Edvwlq/ I1M1M1 ydq Orr/ dqg K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv1
Hydoxdwlrq ri wkh
xvh ri jdxvvldq fxuyhv lq txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv= D qhz
rswlpl}dwlrq1 [0ud| Vshfwurp1/ 46+5,=<48<:/ +4<;7,1
^44` J1I1 Edvwlq/ K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv/ dqg I1M1M1 ydq Orr1 D ixuwkhu lpsuryhphqw lq
wkh jdxvvldq !+ã}, dssurdfk iru pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq lq txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq sureh
plfurdqdo|vlv1 Vfdqqlqj/ ;=7889:/ +4<;9,1
^45` J1 I1 Edvwlq/ M1 P1 Glmnvwud/ dqg K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv1 SUR]D<9= Dq lpsuryhg
pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudp iru hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv/ edvhg rq d grxeoh
jdxvvldq * +ã}, dssurdfk1 [0ud| Vshfwurp1/ 5:=6843/ +4<<;,1
^46` F1 Phuohw1 Hydoxdwlrq dqg ghvfulswlrq ri d qhz fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuh iru txdqwlwd0
wlyh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv1 Lq= Lqvw1 Sk|v1 Frqi1 Vhu1 Qr 463= Fkdswhu 5>
Suhvhqwhg dw Lqw1 Frqju1 [0Ud| Rswlfv dqg Plfurdqdo|vlv/ ss1 4568459/ +4<<5,1
^47` G1U1 Ehdpdq dqg M1D1 Lvdvl1 Hohfwurq ehdp plfurdqdo|vlv1 Pdwhuldov Uhvhdufk
dqg Vwdqgdugv/ PWUVD1/ +4<:4,1
^48` S1 Gxqfxpe dqg S1N1 Vklhogv1 H>hfw ri fulwlfdo h{flwdwlrq srwhqwldo rq wkh devrus0
wlrq fruuhfwlrq1 Lq= W1G1 PfNlqoh|/ N1I1M1 Khlqulfk/ dqg G1E1 Zlwwu|/ hglwruv/
Wkh Hohfwurq Plfursureh/ ss1 5;785<81 Zloh|/ Qhz \run/ Orqgrq dqg V|gqh|/
+4<99,1
^49` J1 Oryh/ P1J1 Fr{/ dqg Y1G1 Vfrww1 Dvvhvvphqw ri Sklolehuw*v devruswlrq fru0
uhfwlrq prghov lq hohfwurq0sureh plfurdqdo|vlv1 M1 Sk|v1 G= Dsso1 Sk|v1/ ;=49;98
4:35/ +4<:8,1
^4:` J1 Oryh/ G1D1 Vhzhoo/ dqg Y1G1 Vfrww1 M1 Sk|vltxh/ 78+froo1 F5,=54/ +4<;7,1
^4;` G1E1 Zlwwu|1 M1 Dsso1 Sk|v1/ 5<=4876/ +4<8;,1
^4<` P1 Deudprzlw} dqg L1D1 Vwhjxq1 Kdqgerrn ri Pdwkhpdwlfdo Ixqfwlrqv1 Gryhu/
Qhz \run/ +4<98,1
^53` U1P1 Vwhuqkhlphu Txrwhg e| P1M1 Ehujhu dqg V1P1 Vhow}hu1 QDVD Uhsruw VS0
63451 QDVD/ Zdvklqjwrq/ GF/ +4<97,1
^54` J1 Oryh/ P1J1F1 Fr{/ dqg Y1G1 Vfrww1 D vlpsoh Prqwh Fduor phwkrg iru
vlpxodwlqj hohfwurq0vrolg lqwhudfwlrqv dqg lwv dssolfdwlrq wr hohfwurq sureh pl0
furdqdo|vlv1 M1 Sk|v1 G= Dsso1 Sk|v1/ 43=:856/ +4<::,1
69
ELEOLRJUDSK\
^55` M1 O1 Srxfkrx dqg I1 Slfkrlu1 Edvlf h{suhvvlrq ri %SDS% frpsxwdwlrq iru txdq0
wlwdwlyh HSPD1 Lq= M1 G1 Eurzq dqg U1 K1 Sdfnzrrg/ hglwruv/ Surfhhglqjv ri
wkh 44wk Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Frqjuhvv rq [0Ud| Rswlfv dqg Plfurdqdo|vlv +LF[RP,/
ss1 57<85861 XZR/ Orqgrq/ Fdqdgd/ +4<;9,1
^56` M1O1 Srxfkrx dqg I1 Slfkrlu1 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri krprjhqhrxv ru vwudwl?hg
plfuryroxphv dsso|lqj wkh prgho %SDS%1 Lq= N1I1M1 Khlqulfk dqg G1H1 Qhzexu|/
hglwruv/ Hohfwurq Sureh Txdqwlwdwlrq/ ss1 648:81 Sohqxp Suhvv/ Qhz \run dqg
Orqgrq/ +4<<4,1
^57` K1 Ehwkh1 ]xu wkhrulh ghv gxufkjdqjv vfkqhoohu nrusxvnxoduvwudkohq gxufk
pdwhulh1 Dqq1 Sk|v1 Ohls}lj/ 8+8,=6588733/ +4<63,1
^58` M1 Frxorq dqg F1 ]hoohu1 F1 U1 Dfdg1 Vfl1 Sdulv/ 5:8 E=548/ +4<:6,1
^59` J1I1 Edvwlq dqg K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv1 D v|vwhpdwlf gdwdedvh ri wklq ?op phdvxuh0
phqwv e| HSPD/ sduw L= Doxplqlxp ?opv1 Vxeplwwhg iru sxeolfdwlrq/ +4<<<,1
^5:` Z1 Uhkedfk dqg S1 Ndugxfn1 Yhul?fdwlrq ri wkh jdxvvldq * +ã}, dssurdfk dqg
ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wkh olplwv ri ydolglw| e| wudfhu h{shulphqwv dqg Prqwh Fduor
fdofxodwlrqv1 Lq= G1H1 Qhzexu|/ hglwru/ Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ ss1 5;885;</ Vdq
Iudqflvfr/ +4<;;,1 Vdq Iudqflvfr Suhvv1
6:
ELEOLRJUDSK\
6;
Fkdswhu 7
Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov iru
wkh xvh lq wklq ?opv
714
Lqwurgxfwlrq
Zkhq wkh vdpsoh lv d wklq ?op/ vxssruwhg rq d vxevwudwh ri d gl>huhqw pdwhuldo ru
hyhq iuhh dqg xqvxssruwhg/ wkh hohfwurqv iurp wkh lqflghqw ehdp zloo shqhwudwh wkh
wklq od|hu dqg duh olnho| wr wudyho wkurxjk wkh od|hu dqg hvfdsh iurp lw dw wkh rwkhu
vlgh/ hqwhulqj wkh qh{w od|hu +zklfk fdq eh wkh vxevwudwh,/ ru hvfdslqj lqwr wkh ydfxxp
lq fdvh ri wkh xqvxssruwhg wklq ?op1 Ri frxuvh/ wkh sk|vlfv ri wkh vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv
lv vwloo wkh vdph/ dqg wkhuhiruh zh vkrxog eh deoh wr dsso| wkh vdph prghov1 Lq idfw
zh frxog vhh wkh exon fdvh dv d ghjhqhudwhg yhuvlrq ri wkh wklq ?op dqdo|vlv sureohp/
zlwk wkh ?op wklfnqhvv dssurdfklqj lq?qlwh ydoxhv1
Krzhyhu/ wkh vsuhdglqj ri wkh hohfwurqv gxh wr vfdwwhulqj/ wkh edfnvfdwwhulqj ri
hohfwurqv dqg wkh surgxfwlrq ri [0ud|v zloo eh gl>huhqw lq hdfk od|hu dqg/ pruhryhu/
wkh vfdwwhulqj lq rqh od|hu lq xhqfhv wkh sdwk dqg hqhuj| ri wkh hohfwurqv lq hdfk
rwkhu od|hu erwk deryh dqg ehorz wkh fxuuhqw od|hu1 Lq fdvh ri dq xqvxssruwhg ?op
iru h{dpsoh/ wkhuh zloo eh qr edfnvfdwwhulqj rqfh wkh hohfwurqv kdyh wudyhoohg wkurxjk
wkh ?op/ zkhuhdv lq wkh exon fdvh wkhuh zrxog eh dq dprxqw ri hohfwurqv uhhqwhulqj wkh
?op e| vfdwwhulqj edfn iurp wkh vxevwudwh/ frqwulexwlqj wr dq hqkdqfhg surgxfwlrq
ri [0ud|v lq wkh ?op1
Lw lv reylrxv wkdw wkh rqo| zd| wr jhw dq dssursuldwh dqdo|vlv lq fdvh wkh
h{flwdwlrq yroxph lv qrw d krprjhqhrxv pdwhuldo exw exlow xs ri gl>huhqw od|huv/ lv
e| kdylqj d ghswk0uhodwhg ghvfulswlrq ri [0ud| surgxfwlrq1 Vlqfh wklv lv h{dfwo| zkdw
wkh * +ã}, fxuyh grhv/ * +ã}, prghoolqj lv lghdo iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv1 Rq wkh rwkhu
6<
Fkdswhu 71 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov iru wkh xvh lq wklq ?opv
kdqg/ lw dovr ehfrphv hyhq pruh lpsruwdqw wr ?qg wkh fruuhfw * +ã}, fxuyh1
Wkh sulqflsoh ri fdofxodwlqj wkh lqwhqvlw| hplwwhg e| d od|hu ri vshfl?f frp0
srxqg orrnv yhu| vwudljkwiruzdug= Wkh fdofxodwlrq lv shuiruphg e| sduwldo lqwhjudwlrq
ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh ri wkh vshfl?f od|hu zlwklq wkh dssursuldwh ã} olplwv1 Krzhyhu/
hdfk * +ã}, fxuyh iru hdfk hohphqw lq hdfk od|hu lv d>hfwhg e| wkh suhvhqfh ri rwkhu
od|huv1 Wkhuhiruh dq lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh lv qhhghg/ rswlplvlqj hdfk od|hu/ wdnlqj lqwr
dffrxqw wkh gdwd iurp wkh rwkhu od|huv1 Riwhq wkh wklfnqhvv ri wkh od|huv lv dovr
xqnqrzq dqg wkxv wkh ã} olplwv iru wkh lqwhjudwlrq duh xqnqrzq sdudphwhuv1 Lq wklv
fdvh wkh phdvxuhg lqwhqvlwlhv uhodwlyh wr exon vwdqgdugv iru wkh ?op fdq eh xvhg lq dq
lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh wr ?qg wkh od|hu wklfnqhvv1
715
) E45ä prghoolqj xvhg iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv
Edvwlq dqg Khlmoljhuv vwduwhg lq 4<<3 ^4`^5` ^6` wkh ghyhorsphqw ri wklq ?op dqdo|vlv
iurp wkhlu * +ã}, exon pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudp 4SUR]D41 Wkh ?uvw prgho xvhg
wkh vxuidfh fhqwuhg Jdxvvldq * +ã}, dssurdfk/ dv ghvfulehg lq wkh suhylrxv fkdswhu
6171 Wkh edvlf surfhgxuh iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv xvlqj wkh vxuidfh fhqwuhg Jdxvvldq
lv ghvfulehg h{whqvlyho| e| Edvwlq ^7`1 Wkh sulqflsoh zloo dovr eh ghvfulehg lq wkh
qh{w sdudjudskv/ exw zlwk uhvshfw wr wkh qhz grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho ^vhfwlrq 618`
dqg Edvwlq*v odwhvw fruuhfwlrq surjudp +4SUR]D<94, ^8`1 Wkh lpsohphqwdwlrq ri
wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho lqwr Edvwlq*v ruljlqdo WID +wklq ?op dqdo|vlv, surjudp
uhvxowhg lq d qhz yhuvlrq> WID<<< ^9`1
71514
Edvlf sulqflsohv= d wklq ?op ri nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq dqg
wklfnqhvv rq d vxevwudwh ri nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq
Wkh dlp ri wkh * +ã}, prgho lv wr fdofxodwh wkh hplwwhg lqwhqvlwlhv iru doo hohphqwv
lqyroyhg1 Lq rughu wr gr vr/ iru hdfk hohphqw lq wkh ?op0vxevwudwh frpelqdwlrq d vlqjoh
frqwlqxrxv * +ã}, fxuyh lv sdudphwhulvhg1 Zkhq wkh * +ã}, prgho lv xvhg wr fdofxodwh
frpsrvlwlrq dqg2ru wklfnqhvv iurp n0udwlrv/ wkh prgho lv xvhg lwhudwlyho|/ dgmxvwlqj
?op wklfnqhvv dqg frpsrvlwlrq/ dqg uhfdofxodwlqj wkh * +ã}, fxuyh sdudphwhuv iru
hdfk hohphqw lq hyhu| lwhudwlyh vwhs/ lq rughu wr pdwfk wkh lqwhqvlwlhv rewdlqhg e|
phdvxuhphqwv1
Wkh vlpsohvw fdvh ri d wklq ?op rq d vxevwudwh lv d frpelqdwlrq ri qhljkerxulqj
hohphqwv lq wkh shulrglf v|vwhp/ iru h{dpsoh dq Do ?op ri pdvv wklfnqhvv W rq d Vl
vxevwudwh1 Vlqfh wkh surfhvvhv ri hohfwurq vfdwwhulqj dqg ghfhohudwlrq dqg wkrvh ri
[0ud| jhqhudwlrq zloo yluwxdoo| eh wkh vdph lq erwk hohphqwv/ wkh * +ã}, fxuyhv iru
?op dqg vxevwudwh zloo eh doprvw lghqwlfdo1 Wkhuhiruh hlwkhu ri wkhp frxog eh xvhg
73
* +ã}, prghoolqj xvhg iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv 7151
wr fdofxodwh wkh hplwwhg lqwhqvlwlhv iurp ?op dqg vxevwudwh1 Sduwldo lqwhjudwlrq ri
wkh Do0Nò * +ã}, fxuyh ehwzhhq wkh ã} olplwv 3 dqg W zloo |lhog wkh wrwdo jhqhudwhg
Do0Nò udgldwlrq lqwhqvlw|/ zkloh lqwhjudwlrq ri wkh Vl0Nò fxuyh ehwzhhq W dqg 4 zloo
|lhog wkh jhqhudwhg Vl0Nò lqwhqvlw|1 Ri frxuvh/ erwk lqwhqvlwlhv kdyh wr eh fruuhfwhg
iru vhoi devruswlrq/ dqg dgglwlrqdoo| wkh hplwwhg Vl0Nò udgldwlrq +vxevwudwh, kdv wr eh
fruuhfwhg iru devruswlrq gxh wr sdvvlqj wkurxjk wkh ryhuod|lqj Do od|hu1 Li wkh od|hu
wklfnqhvv lv xqnqrzq/ wkh phdvxuhg lqwhqvlw| udwlrv uhodwlyh wr wkh exon vwdqgdugv iru
?op dqg vxevwudwh hohphqwv fdq eh xvhg lq dq lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh wr fdofxodwh lw1
Wklv ?uvw dssur{lpdwlrq zrunv ?qh dv orqj dv wkh gl>huhqfh lq dwrplf qxpehu
ehwzhhq wkh vxevwudwh dqg ?op hohphqwv lv vpdoo/ vd| 6 wr 7 xqlwv1 Zkhq krzhyhu/
wkh dwrplf qxpehu ri hohphqwv lq wkh vxevwudwh lv vxevwdqwldoo| kljkhu ru orzhu wkdq
wkh dwrplf qxpehu ri wkh hohphqw lq ?op/ d fruuhfwlrq kdv wr eh dssolhg lq rughu
wr ghdo zlwk wkhvh gl>huhqfhv1 Wklv sureohp lv vroyhg e| xvlqj wkh iroorzlqj edvlf
dvvxpswlrqv=
î Wkh ã} vfdoh lq hdfk sduwlfxodu * +ã}, fxuyh lv frqwlqxrxv dfurvv wkh lqwhuidfhv/
dqg iru hdfk hohphqw lq wkh ?op ru vxevwudwh/ rqo| rqh frqwlqxrxv * +ã}, fxuyh
lv fdofxodwhg1
î Rqo| wkh * +ã}, fxuyhv iru wkh hohphqwv lq wkh ?op duh d>hfwhg e| wkh qdwxuh dqg
wklfnqhvv ri wkh rwkhu ?opv dqg wkh vxevwudwh/ zkhuhdv wkh vxevwudwh hohphqw
fxuyhv uhpdlq xqd>hfwhg1
î Wkh vkdsh sdudphwhuv ò/ ã}p / *3 / dqg I L/ dv ghvfulehg lq vhfwlrq 618/ iru wkh
* +ã}, fxuyhv ri hdfk hohphqw lq wkh ?op ydu| ehwzhhq wzr h{wuhphv/ w|slfdo ri
hlwkhu h{wuhpho| wklq ?opv ru h{wuhpho| wklfn ?opv1 Lq wkh odwwhu fdvh/ lw zloo eh
fohdu wkdw wkh exon sdudphwhuv iru wkh ?op hohphqw zloo eh dssurdfkhg/ zkhuhdv
lq wkh iruphu fdvh/ wkh sdudphwhuv fdq eh dssur{lpdwhg dv li wkh hohphqw
zdv glvvroyhg lq wkh vxevwudwh1 Lq doo lqwhuphgldwh fdvhv/ wkh sdudphwhuv duh
frpsrvhg wkurxjk zhljkwlqj surfhgxuhv/ lq zklfk wkh Jdxvvldq sdudphwhuv iru
hdfk sduwlfxodu hohphqw lq hdfk ri wkh od|huv dqg lq wkh vxevwudwh duh dvvljqhg
vshfl?f zhljkw idfwruv ghshqglqj rq wkh glvwdqfh wr wkh od|hu h{dplqhg1
Fdofxodwlrqv lqyroyhg zlwk wklq ?op dssurdfk1
Lq wkh iroorzlqj glvfxvvlrq rq wkh wklq ?op dssurdfk/ wkh vxevfulswv e/ i / dqg v zloo
eh xvhg wr lqglfdwh wkdw zh duh ghdolqj zlwk exon/ ?op ru vxevwudwh txdqwlwlhv1
D vwhs e| vwhs glvfxvvlrq ri wkh wklq ?op surfhgxuh=
41 Iluvwo| wkh exon vwdqgdug lqwhqvlwlhv iru doo hohphqwv lq ?op dqg vxevwudwh duh
fdofxodwhg1 Iru wkdw/ wkh ò/ ã}p / *3 / dqg I L ydoxhv iru hdfk hohphqw l duh ehlqj
74
Fkdswhu 71 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov iru wkh xvh lq wklq ?opv
fdofxodwhg dffruglqj wr wkh exon surjudp1
51 Wkh ò ydoxhv iru hohphqw l0udgldwlrq lq doo rwkhu hohphqwv m duh fdofxodwhg1
Vxevhtxhqwo| wkh ò ydoxhv iru wkh ?op hohphqwv duh frpsrvhg rq wkh edvlv ri
wkh exon frpsrvlwlrqv ri ?op dqg vxevwudwh wr |lhog òle>i dqg òle>v uhvshfwlyho|1
Wkhvh ò ydoxhv zloo eh xvhg odwhu lq d zhljkwlqj surfhgxuh wr hvwdeolvk wkh ?qdo
òl 0ydoxh w|slfdo iru wkh frpsohwh ?op2vxevwudwh frpelqdwlrq1
61 Lq d vlplodu zd| wkh frpsrvhg ydoxhv ri ã}p / *3 / dqg I L iru wkh exon frpsr0
vlwlrqv ri ?op dqg vxevwudwh duh ehlqj fdofxodwhg iru hdfk hohphqw l0udgldwlrq1
Li dq hohphqw rffxuv lq pruh wkdq rqh od|hu ru lq erwk ?op dqg vxevwudwh/ hdfk
hohphqw0od|hu frpelqdwlrq lv odehoohg dqg fdofxodwhg vhsdudwho|/ dqg odwhu rq/
dgghg wr |lhog wkh wrwdo hplwwhg lqwhqvlw| iru wkdw vshfl?f hohphqw1
71 Wkh qh{w dqg fuxfldo vwhs lv wr hvwdeolvk wkh ghswk ri shqhwudwlrq U{ iru
hdfk hohphqw l0udgldwlrq1 Vlqfh wkhuh lv qr ?{hg hqg wr wkh Jdxvvldq fxuyh
d frqyhqlhqw phdvxuh kdg wr eh fkrvhq dw zklfk wkh Jdxvvldq kdv gursshg
ehorz d fhuwdlq ohyho1 Edvhg xsrq wkh roghu/ vxuidfh fhqwuhg/ Jdxvvldq prgho/
l
Edvwlq ghvfulehg wklv srlqw e| ã} @ ã}p
. 5=8@òl 1 Vxevwlwxwlqj wklv srlqw lq
wkh htxdwlrq ri uljkw kdqg sduw ri wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq fxuyh iru wkh jhqhudwhg
lqwhqvlw| 61; uhvxowv lq=
í ý ü5 ý
ý l
ü
ü ì
l
l 5
* ã}p
ã}p
. 5=8@òl @ *p h{s ý òl
. 5=8@òl ý ã}p
@ 3=334<63 ü *p
+714,
Wklv fruuhvsrqgv wr wkh srlqw zkhuh wkh * +ã}, fxuyh gursv ehorz derxw 315 (
ri lwv pd{lpxp1
Krzhyhu/ wkh ?qdo òl ydoxh lv |hw xqnqrzq dqg kdv wr eh fdofxodwhg e| d
l
frpelqdwlrq ri òle>i dqg òe>v
/ xvlqj zhljkwlqj idfwruv wr zhljk wkhlu frqwulexwlrqv
ryhu wkh uhohydqw pdvv ghswk uhjlrq grzq wr U{ 1 Vlqfh U{ zdv wkh xqnqrzq wr
eh fdofxodwhg wklv sureohp kdg wr eh vroyhg e| xvlqj dq lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh1
+Qrwh wkdw *p lv dovr xqnqrzq,1
Lq wkh zhljkwlqj surfhgxuh +vlplodu wr wkh rqh xvhg e| Srxfkrx dqg Slfkrlu
^:`^;`,/ wkh zhljkwlqj idfwruv s iru hdfk sdudphwhu duh ghvfulehg dv ixqfwlrq ri
wkh pdvv ghswk e| d irxuwk ghjuhh sro|qrpldo=
s +ã}, @ Q +ã} ý O,5 ü +ã} ý U,5
+715,
lq zklfk O dqg U duh ixqfwlrqv ri U{ rswlplvhg iru wkh vshfl?f sdudphwhu1 O
dqg U duh wkh grxeoh urrwv rq wkh ohiw dqg uljkw kdqg vlgh ri wkh sro|qrpldo
75
* +ã}, prghoolqj xvhg iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv 7151
dqg Q lv d qrupdolvdwlrq idfwru wkdw hqvxuhv wkh qrupdolvdwlrq xqghu wkh s +ã},
fxuyh1 Iru wkh ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wkh dssursuldwh U{ ydoxh/ lq rughu wr ghwhuplqh
wkh ?fwlwlrxv *hqg* ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh iru hohphqw l/ wkh rswlplvhg urrwv xvhg
duh O @ ý3=7U{ dqg U @ U{ 1
ý l
ü
Wr vwduw wkh lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh/ wkh dyhudjh ri wkh ã}p
. 5=8@òl ydoxhv iru
wkh exon ri wkh ?op dqg wkh vxevwudwh lv wdnhq dv dq lqlwldo urxjk hvwlpdwlrq
ri U{ 1 Zlwk wklv lqlwldo U{ ydoxh dqg wkh urrwv phqwlrqhg deryh/ d qhz U{
lv fdofxodwhg e| lqwhjudwlrq ri wkh s ixqfwlrq1 Wkh qhzo| rewdlqhg U{ ydoxh lv
frpsduhg wr wkh suhylrxv rqh dqg wkh lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh lv vwrsshg zkhq wkh
uhodwlyh ghyldwlrq lv vpdoohu wkdq 314 (1 Li qrw/ wkh qhz U{ ydoxh lv djdlq xvhg
wr fdofxodwh qhz U dqg O ydoxhv dqg wkh surfhgxuh lv uhshdwhg1
81 Rqfh wkh ?qdo U{ ydoxh kdv ehhq rewdlqhg/ wkh irxu sdudphwhuv wr ghvfuleh
wkh * +ã}, fxuyh iru hdfk hohphqw lq wkh ?op2vxevwudwh frpelqdwlrq fdq eh
ghwhuplqhg e| fdofxodwlqj wkh zhljkw idfwruv xvlqj wkh dffrpsdq|lqj U dqg
O ixqfwlrqv iru hdfk sdudphwhu1 Edvwlq rswlplvhg wkhvh urrwv e| xvlqj wklq
?op gdwd iurp olwhudwxuh dqg ?qh0wxqlqj wkhq e| xvlqj wkh wklq ?op gdwdedvh ri
phdvxuhphqwv shuiruphg lq rxu rzq jurxs/ dqg irxqg wkh iroorzlqj h{suhvvlrqv=
O
ý3=6U{
ý3=<U{
ý3=;U{
ý3=8U{
ò
ã}p
IL
*3
U
U{
3=:U{
U{
3=8U{
+716,
Wkhvh ixqfwlrqv duh fkrvhq lq d vxfk zd| wkdw pruh zhljkw zloo eh dvvljqhg wr
wkh vxuidfh uhjlrqv iru wkh vxuidfh sdudphwhuv olnh *3 / zkloh iru wkh sdudphwhuv
ghvfulelqj wkh ghhshu sduwv ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh/ olnh ò/ pruh zhljkw zloo eh
dvvljqhg wr wkh ghhshu uhjlrqv1
Rqfh wkh Jdxvvldq sdudphwhuv iru hdfk hohphqw lq wkh ?op dqg vxevwudwh kdyh
ehhq ghwhuplqhg/ wkh jhqhudwhg dqg hplwwhg lqwhqvlwlhv fdq eh fdofxodwhg e| sduwldo
lqwhjudwlrq ehwzhhq wkh dssursuldwh olplwv= 3 wr W +?op wklfnqhvv, iru wkh ?op dqg
iurp W wr lq?qlw| iru wkh vxevwudwh1 Lw vkrxog eh qrwhg djdlq wkdw iru wkh vxevwudwh
hohphqwv lw lv dvvxphg wkdw wkh Jdxvvldq sdudphwhuv duh qhjoljleo| d>hfwhg e| wkh
suhvhqfh ri wkh ?op> wklv dvvxpswlrq vhhpv wr eh mxvwl?hg li wkh ?op fdq eh frqvlghuhg
wklq uhodwlyh wr wkh wrwdo shqhwudwlrq ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh1
Diwhu pdnlqj wkh dssursuldwh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrqv/ wdnlqj wkh udwlr wr wkh
hplwwhg lqwhqvlwlhv fdofxodwhg iru wkh exon vwdqgdugv zloo |lhog wkh vr0fdoohg n0udwlrv1
76
Fkdswhu 71 Pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prghov iru wkh xvh lq wklq ?opv
71515
Uhyhuvh fdvh= Xqnqrzq ?op wklfnqhvv zlwk nqrzq frp0
srvlwlrqv/ xvlqj phdvxuhg &0udwlrv
Qrupdoo|/ zkhq shuiruplqj phdvxuhphqwv rq wklq ?opv/ rqh zrxog olnh wr shuirup wkh
surfhgxuh phqwlrqhg lq wkh suhylrxv sdudjudsk wkh rwkhu zd| durxqg/ l1h/ vwduwlqj
zlwk phdvxuhg n0udwlrv dqg fdofxodwlqj wkh xqnqrzq ?op wklfnqhvv1 Vxssrvhg wkh
?op dqg vxevwudwh frpsrvlwlrq duh nqrzq/ dqg rqh zrxog olnh wr fdofxodwh wkh ?op
wklfnqhvv/ rqh vlqjoh n0udwlr iurp hlwkhu ?op ru vxevwudwh douhdg| lv vx!flhqw iru wklv1
Pruh n0udwlrv/ dqg lghdoo| doo n0udwlrv iurp doo hohphqwv lq erwk ?op dqg vxevwudwh
zloo wkhuhiruh surylgh xv zlwk lqirupdwlrq derxw wkh frqvlvwhqf| ri wkh v|vwhp dqg
rxu phdvxuhphqwv1 Jurvv ghyldwlrqv pd|/ iru h{dpsoh/ srlqw wr wkh suhvhqfh ri
xqdqwlflsdwhg od|huv ru hohphqwv1
Wr fdofxodwh wkh xqnqrzq wklfnqhvv xvlqj wkh wklq ?op dssurdfk dv phqwlrqhg
lq wkh suhylrxv sdudjudsk/ djdlq dq lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh kdv wr eh xvhg1 Vwduwlqj zlwk
vrph lqlwldo hvwlpdwh ri wkh ?op wklfnqhvv/ wkh n0udwlrv iru vxevwudwh dqg ?op/ ne>v
dqg ne>i uhvshfwlyho|/ fdq eh fdofxodwhg1 Vxevhtxhqwo| d qhz dssur{lpdwlrq iru wkh
?op wklfnqhvv fdq eh pdgh e| frpsdulqj wkhvh fdofxodwhg n0udwlrv zlwk wkh phdvxuhg
rqhv1 Xvlqj wkh qhz hvwlpdwhv/ wkh surfhgxuh lv uhshdwhg/ dqg wklv f|foh lv uhshdwhg
xqwlo wkh ghyldwlrq lq ghulyhg ?op wklfnqhvv lv vljql?fdqwo| orz1
Iru d ?uvw hvwlpdwlrq ri wkh ?op wklfnqhvv/ wkh surfhgxuh vwduwv zlwk wkh
fdofxodwlrq ri d jhqhudo udqjh ri shqhwudwlrq U4 1 Iru wklv sxusrvh wkh htxdwlrq
U4 @ 6H35 lv dgrswhg +U4 lq çj@fp5 ,1 Wkh ?op wklfnqhvv W / iru hdfk hohphqw l
lq wkh ?op/ lv qrz hvwlpdwhg dffruglqj wr=
Wil @ 3=68 ü U4 ü
l
np
l
ne>i
+717,
l
zkhuh np
lv wkh phdvxuhg n0udwlr iru hohphqw l1 Qrwh wkdw wklv n0udwlr fdq kdyh
frqwulexwlrqv iurp erwk ?op dqg vxevwudwh1
Iru wkh vxevwudwh hohphqwv wkh ?uvw hvwlpdwlrqv duh pdgh dffruglqj wr=
#
nl
Wvl @ 3=68 ü U4 ü 4 ý lp
ne>v
$
+718,
Doo hvwlpdwhv iru wkh ?op dqg iru wkh vxevwudwh duh wkhq dyhudjhg wr |lhog dq
lqlwldo Wi dqg Wv uhvshfwlyho|/ zkhuh Wv uhsuhvhqw wkh ?op wklfnqhvv edvhg xsrq wkh
vxevwudwh hohphqw phdvxuhphqw1 Lq fdvh wkh vdph hohphqw rffxuv lq erwk ?op dqg
vxevwudwh/ iru h{dpsoh dq r{lgh od|hu/ Do5 R6 / rq Do/ wkh +frpelqhg, n0udwlr iru wklv
ryhuodsslqj hohphqw lv xvhg lq wkh ?uvw hvwlpdwh iru wkh ?op wklfnqhvv lq wkh ?op
77
* +ã}, prghoolqj xvhg iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv 7151
hohphqw f|foh dffruglqj wr=
Wil @ 3=8 ü U4 ü
l
l
ý np
ne>v
l ý nl
ne>v
e>i
+719,
Wkh qh{w vwhs lv wr fdofxodwh wkh frpelqhg n0udwlrv/ nfl / zlwk wkh wklq ?op
surfhgxuh dv lq wkh suhylrxv sdudjudsk xvlqj wkh ?uvw hvwlpdwlrqv ri wkh ?op wklfnqhvv1
Wklv lv grqh iru hdfk lqyroyhg hohphqw1 Wkh frpelqhg n0udwlrv uhsuhvhqw wkh frpelqhg
frqwulexwlrqv iru wkh hohphqw l iurp wkh ?op dqg wkh vxevwudwh1
Vxevhtxhqwo| qhz hvwlpdwlrqv iru Wi dqg Wv kdyh wr eh pdgh e| frpsdulvrq
l
ri wkh fdofxodwhg n0udwlrv/ nfl / wr wkh phdvxuhg n0udwlrv/ np
1 Iru wklv wkh iroorzlqj
htxdwlrqv duh xvhg=
l
Wi>qhz
@ Wi>rog ü
l
np
nfl
+71:,
Li ryhuods ri dq hohphqw rffxuv/ ehfdxvh lw rffxuv lq erwk ?op dqg vxevwudwh/ wkh qhz
hvwlpdwlrq edvhg rq wkdw hohphqw lv jlyhq e|=
l
Wi>qhz
@ Wi>rog ü
l
l
ý np
ne>v
l ý nl
ne>v
f
+71;,
Wkh qhz ?op wklfnqhvv/ edvhg rq hvwlpdwhv ri wkh vxevwudwh gdwd/ lv fdofxodwhg e|=
l
Wv>qhz
@ Wv>rog ü
l
l
ý np
ne>v
l ý nl
ne>v
f
+71<,
Doo qhz hvwlpdwlrqv ri Wil dqg Wvl / edvhg rq wkh lqsxw iurp hdfk hohphqw lq ?op
dqg vxevwudwh/ duh qrz dyhudjhg djdlq dqg wkh surfhgxuh lv uhshdwhg1 Wkh lwhudwlyh
surfhvv lv vwrsshg rqfh wkh qhzo| fdofxodwhg ydoxhv iru W / gl>hu ohvv wkdq 314 (
iurp wkh suhylrxv rqhv/ ru zkhqhyhu qr frqyhujhqfh lv dfklhyhg zlwklq d uhdvrqdeoh
qxpehu ri f|fohv1 Xvxdoo| vxfk fdvhv lqglfdwh lqdghtxdwh phdvxulqj frqglwlrqv zkhuh/
iru h{dpsoh/ d wrr orz dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh lv xvhg dqg wkh * +ã}, fxuyh grhv qrw uhdfk
vx!flhqwo| lqwr wkh vxevwudwh1
71516
Ilop ri xqnqrzq wklfnqhvv dqg frpsrvlwlrq/ xqvxssru0
whg ru rq nqrzq vxevwudwh
Lq uhdolw|/ riwhq erwk wkh wklfnqhvv dqg wkh frpsrvlwlrq ri d ?op duh xqnqrzq1 Lw lv
reylrxv wkdw iru vxfk fdvhv d grxeoh lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh kdv wr eh xvhg1 Iru uhdvrqv
ri fodulw| zh zloo olplw wkh glvfxvvlrq wr wkh vlwxdwlrq zkhuh wkhuh lv qr ryhuods ri
hohphqwv lq ?op dqg vxevwudwh1
78
* +ã}, prghoolqj xvhg iru wklq ?op dqdo|vlv 7151
Dw wkh vwduw ri wkh grxeoh lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh/ wkh phdvxuhg n0udwlrv duh xvhg
dv gluhfw lqsxw iru wkh ?uvw hvwlpdwlrqv ri wkh zhljkw iudfwlrqv/ {l / ri wkh hohphqwv
suhvhqw1 Wkh zhljkw iudfwlrqv duh qrupdolvhg wr |lhog d wrwdo ri 433 (1 Qrz/ iru wklv
vwduwlqj frpsrvlwlrq doo fdofxodwlrqv ghvfulehg lq wkh suhylrxv vhfwlrq duh shuiruphg=
Wkh wklfnqhvv hvwlpdwlrqv duh pdgh dqg wkh hplwwhg lqwhqvlwlhv iru doo hohphqwv duh
fdofxodwhg1 Wkh uhvxowlqj fdofxodwhg n0udwlrv duh frpsduhg wr wkh phdvxuhg rqhv dqg
qhz hvwlpdwlrqv duh pdgh dffruglqj wr htxdwlrqv 71: dqg 71;1 Dw wklv srlqw dovr
qhz hvwlpdwlrqv iru wkh zhljkw iudfwlrqv duh pdgh vlpxowdqhrxvo|/ xvlqj wkh iroorzlqj
h{suhvvlrq=
{lqhz @ {lrog ü
l
np
nfl
+7143,
Diwhu hdfk f|foh lw lv fkhfnhg zkhwkhu frqyhujhqfh kdv ehhq rewdlqhg iru erwk ?op
wklfnqhvv dqg wkh zhljkw iudfwlrqv1 Wkh hqg ri wkh surfhgxuh lv qrz gh?qhg e| wzr
fulwhuld/ rqh iru wkh wklfnqhvv/ zklfk vkrxog ydu| ohvv wkdq 314 ( dqg d vhfrqg rqh iru
wkh zhljkw iudfwlrqv zkhuh wkh ghyldwlrq vkrxog eh zlwklq d fhuwdlq olplw/ vd| 313336
devroxwh1 Qrwh wkdw erwk fulwhuld vkrxog eh pdwfkhg dqg wkdw wkh olplwv iru wkhvh
fulwhuld fdq eh vhw dw fkrlfh1 Wkh ydoxhv xvhg khuh duh wdnhq iurp Edvwlq ^7`1
71517
Rwkhu/ pruh frpsoh{ fdvhv
Lw lv dovr srvvleoh wr vroyh pruh frpsoh{ vlwxdwlrqv zlwk wkh wklq ?op surjudp1 Hyhq
dq h{whqvlrq wr pxowlsoh od|huv dqg lq0ghswk sur?olqj kdv ehhq pdgh e| Edvwlq1 Lq
sulqflsoh/ lq0ghswk sur?olqj fdq eh grqh e| ydu|lqj wkh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh/ dqg wkxv
wkh shqhwudwlrq ghswk1 Pruh lqirupdwlrq derxw pxowlod|hu surfhvvlqj fdq eh irxqg
lq ^7` dqg ^9`1
Li dq hohphqw lv suhvhqw lv erwk ?op dqg vxevwudwh/ hlwkhu wkh ?op wklfnqhvv
kdv wr eh vxssolhg/ ru/ rqh fdq xvh lqirupdwlrq rq wkh vwrlfklrphwu|1 Wkh odwwhu
fdvh lv riwhq xvhg iru fdofxodwlrq ri r{lghv/ zkhuh vwrlfklrphwu| lv zhoo0nqrzq1 Lw lv
dovr srvvleoh wr fdofxodwh wkh frpsrvlwlrq ri dq xqnqrzq vxevwudwh exulhg ehorz d
wklq od|hu ri nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq/ exw xqnqrzq wklfnqhvv1 Wklv lv yhu| xvhixo lq exon
phdvxuhphqwv zkhuh gholehudwho| d wklq ?op +xvxdoo| fduerq, kdv ehhq ghsrvlwhg rq
wkh vshflphq/ dqg fdq dovr eh xvhg wr wdnh lqwr dffrxqw vxuidfh od|huv olnh qdwlyh
r{lgh vnlqv1
Pruh lpsruw wr wklv wkhvlv/ krzhyhu/ lv wkh xvh ri wkh wklq ?op surfhgxuh
lq fdvh ri dq xqvxssruwhg wklq ?op1 Lq vxfk fdvh wkh dssur{lpdwlrq lv edvhg rq
wkh dvvxpswlrq wkdw wkh vxevwudwh frxog eh uhjdughg wr kdyh dq dwrplf qxpehu
dssurdfklqj }hur1 Wklv lv lqghhg wkh olqh ri uhdvrqlqj iroorzhg lq wklv wkhvlv1 Pruh
derxw wklv phwkrg zloo eh ghvfulehg lq wkh qh{w fkdswhu1
79
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` J1 I1 Edvwlq dqg K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv1 Txdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv/
d qhz dssolfdwlrq= Wklq ?op dqdo|vlv1 Dwe Phwdooxujlh/ 6=:58:;/ +4<<3,1
^5` J1I1 Edvwlq/ M1P1 Glmnvwud/ K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv/ dqg G1 Nohsshu1 Txdqwlwdwlyh
hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv ri pxowl0od|hu vwuxfwxuhv1 Plnurfklplfd Dfwd ^Vxsso1`/
45=<68<:/ +4<<5,1
^6` J1I1 Edvwlq dqg K1M1P1 Khlmooljhuv1 Txdqwlwdwlyh HSPD ri wkh xowud0oljkw hohphqwv
erurq wkurxjk r{|jhq1 Plnurfklplfd Dfwd ^Vxsso1`/ 45=4<869/ +4<<5,1
^7` J1 I1 Edvwlq/ M1 P1 Glmnvwud/ K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv/ dqg G1 Nohsshu1 Lq0ghswk sur?olqj
zlwk wkh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|}hu1 Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ 5=5<876/ +4<<6,1
^8` J1 I1 Edvwlq/ M1 P1 Glmnvwud/ dqg K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv1 SUR]D<9= Dq lpsuryhg
pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudp iru hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv/ edvhg rq d grxeoh
jdxvvldq * +ã}, dssurdfk1 [0ud| Vshfwurp1/ 5:=6843/ +4<<;,1
^9` J1I1 Edvwlq dqg K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv1 D v|vwhpdwlf gdwdedvh ri wklq ?op phdvxuh0
phqwv e| HSPD/ sduw L= Doxplqlxp ?opv1 Vxeplwwhg iru sxeolfdwlrq/ +4<<<,1
^:` M1O1 Srxfkrx dqg I1 Slfkrlu1 Xq qrxyhdx prgëoh gh fdofxo srxu od plfurdqdo|vh
txdqwlwdwlyh sdu vshfwurphwulh gh ud|rq {/ sduwlh LL= Dssolfdwlrq ã o*Dqdo|vh
g*Ìfkdqwloorqv kìwhurjëqh hq surirqghxu1 Uìfk1 Dìurvsdw1/ 8=67<869:/ +4<;7,1
^;` M1O1 Srxfkrx dqg I1 Slfkrlu1 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri krprjhqhrxv ru vwudwl?hg
plfuryroxphv dsso|lqj wkh prgho %SDS%1 Lq= N1I1M1 Khlqulfk dqg G1H1 Qhzexu|/
hglwruv/ Hohfwurq Sureh Txdqwlwdwlrq/ ss1 648:81 Sohqxp Suhvv/ Qhz \run dqg
Orqgrq/ +4<<4,1
7:
ELEOLRJUDSK\
7;
Fkdswhu 8
Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
814
Lqwurgxfwlrq
Doo wkhru| ghvfulehg lq wkh suhylrxv fkdswhuv/ kdv ehhq lqwurgxfhg rq edvlv ri hohfwurq
sureh plfur dqdo|vhu +HSPD, dqg vfdqqlqj hohfwurq plfurvfrsh +VHP, xvh1 Prvw
ri wklv lv xvhg iru dqdo|vlv ri exon vdpsohv zlwk vrph h{whqvlrqv wr wklq ?op phd0
vxuhphqwv ghyhorshg iru wkh HSPD1 Wklv phdqv lpsolflwo|/ wkdw wkh prghov zhuh
ghyhorshg iru HSPD dqg VHP frqglwlrqv= dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv udqjlqj iurp dv orz
dv ÷ 5 nY xs wr d pd{lpxp ri 73 nY/ zlwk dq rffdvlrqdo phdvxuhphqw dw 83 nY1
Vlpxowdqhrxv zlwk wkh ghyhorsphqw ri wkhvh pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuhv iru
HSPD dqg VHP xvh/ dqdo|wlfdo wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq plfurvfrs| zdv ghyhorshg1
Krzhyhu/ wkhuh zdv olwwoh ru qr olqn ehwzhhq wkhvh wzr ?hogv ri hohfwurq plfurvfrs|1
Dqdo|wlfdo WHP kdv riwhq ehhq/ dqg suredeo| vwloo lv/ phuho| dq h{wud lqirupdwlrq
vrxufh wr WHP lpdjhv dqg wr vwuxfwxudo lqirupdwlrq rewdlqhg wkurxjk vhyhudo gl>udf0
wlrq whfkqltxhv1 Lw lv xvhg dv d txdolwdwlyh phwkrg/ qrw dv d txdqwlwdwlyh whfkqltxh
rq lwv rzq1
Iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|wlfdo WHP/ wkh WHP prghov zhuh edvhg rq wkh xowud wklq
?op dssur{lpdwlrq= Xvlqj wklq ?op uhihuhqfhv dqg dvvxplqj qr devruswlrq fruuhfwlrqv
kdg wr eh pdgh dv orqj dv wkh WHP vdpsohv zhuh wklq hqrxjk1 Lq vxfk fdvh rqh fdq
gluhfwo| ghulyh wkh uhodwlyh frpsrvlwlrqv iurp wkh shdn lqwhqvlw| udwlrv zlwk rqo| d
sursruwlrqdolw| frqvwdqw/ wr ghdo zlwk htxlsphqw vshfl?f sdudphwhuv1 Edvhg rq wklv
yhu| vwudljkwiruzdug prgho/ h{whqvlrqv iru ehdp vfdwwhulqj dqg devruswlrq fruuhfwlrqv
zhuh lqwurgxfhg1
Wkh dqdo|wlfdo WHP phwkrg sursrvhg lq wklv wkhvlv frpelqhv wkh frpsuhkhq0
vlyh ixoo pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq phwkrgv ghyhorshg iru HSPD xvh zlwk dqdo|wlfdo WHP
7<
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
phdvxuhphqwv1 Lw lv/ lq idfw/ dq h{wudsrodwlrq ri wkh * +ã}, dssurdfk iurp HSPD wr
WHP frqglwlrqv1 Wkh iroorzlqj vhfwlrqv zloo jlyh dq ryhuylhz ri txdqwlwdwlyh WHP
dqdo|vlv prghov dqg zloo glvfxvv wkhlu dgydqwdjhv dqg vkruwfrplqjv1
81414
Dqdo|vlv frqglwlrqv lq wkh WHP
Lw lv reylrxv wkdw wkhuh duh wzr pdlq gl>huhqfhv ehwzhhq WHP dqg HSPD dqdo|vlv
phdvxuhphqwv1 Iluvwo|/ lq WHP/ wkh vshflphqv duh xvxdoo| yhu| wklq/ w|slfdoo| lq wkh
rughu ri 433 qp1 Vhfrqgo|/ wkh phdvxulqj frqglwlrqv lq wkh WHP duh txlwh gl>huhqw
frpsduhg wr HSPD phdvxuhphqwv1 Lqvwhdg ri wkh 5073 nY dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh xvhg
lq wkh HSPD/ lq WHP dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv frpprqo| udqjh iurp ;3 wr 633 nY1 Wkh
frpelqdwlrq ri wkhvh wzr frqglwlrqv/ d wklq vshflphq dqg d kljk dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh/
uhvxowv lq d orz ehdp vfdwwhulqj zlwklq wkh vdpsoh1
Vlqfh wkh furvv vhfwlrq iru hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv lv lqyhuvho| sursruwlrqdo wr
wkh vtxduh ri wkh hqhuj|/ T å 4@H 5 / wkh dyhudjh vfdwwhulqj dqjoh zloo eh orz zkhq
wkh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh lv kljk1 Vr/ wkh hohfwurq sdwk lq d w|slfdo WHP phdvxuhphqw
zloo eh vwudljkwhu gxh wr wkh kljkhu ehdp hqhuj| dqg wkxv wkh ehdp vsuhdglqj zloo eh
orz1 Ixuwkhupruh/ dffruglqj wr Ehwkh/ wkh udwh ri hqhuj| orvv zlwk glvwdqfh wudyhoohg
lv lqyhuvho| sursruwlrqdo wr wkh hqhuj|= gH@gv å 4@H1 Wkhuhiruh/ dv wkh hqhuj| ri
wkh lqflghqw hohfwurqv lqfuhdvhv/ wkh hohfwurqv zloo qrw rqo| hqwhu wkh vshflphq zlwk
d kljkhu hqhuj|/ exw dovr orvh wkh hqhuj| dw d orzhu udwh/ djdlq uhvxowlqj lq d orzhu
ehdp vsuhdglqj lq d wklq vshflphq +ru d odujhu shqhwudwlrq ghswk lq fdvh ri d exon
vdpsoh,1 Dv dq h{dpsoh/ d Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq ri wkh sdwkv ri hohfwurqv/ zlwk dq
lqflghqw hqhuj| ri 533 nY/ lq dq Doxplqlxp ?op lv fdofxodwhg dqg vkrzq lq ?jxuh
8141
Li zh orrn dw wkh h{flwdwlrq yroxph/ d kljk hqhuj| hohfwurq ehdp zrxog uhvxow
lq d yhu| odujh shdu vkdshg yroxph/ lq fdvh ri d exon vshflphq/ zkhuhdv lq d wklq
WHP vshflphq/ rqo| wkh qduurz erwwoh0qhfn vkdshg duhd ri wklv h{flwdwlrq yroxph
zloo eh *zlwklq* wkh vshflphq1 Lq whupv ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh/ xvlqj d kljk dffhohudwlrq
yrowdjh zloo uhvxow lq vwuhwfklqj wkh fxuyh rxw lqwr odujh ghswkv lq wkh vdpsoh/ zkhuhdv
lq wkh WHP vshflphq/ zklfk fdq eh frqvlghuhg dv dq xqvxssruwhg wklq ?op fdvh/ rqo|
wkh yhu| ehjlqqlqj ri wkh fxuyh zloo eh *zlwklq* wkh vdpsoh1 Wklv lpsolhv wkdw prvw
dwwhqwlrq vkrxog jr rxw wr wkh vxuidfh sdudphwhuv olnh *3 1
Wkh orz ehdp vsuhdglqj lv dovr rqh ri wkh eljjhvw dgydqwdjhv ri dqdo|vlv xvlqj
d WHP= Gxh wr orz ehdp vsuhdglqj d yhu| kljk vsdwldo dqdo|vlv uhvroxwlrq fdq eh
rewdlqhg/ zlwk uhvroxwlrqv lq wkh rughu ri ehdp gldphwhu1 Ghshqglqj rq wkh WHP
xvhg wklv fdq eh lq wkh rughu ri 43 qp grzq wr dv orz dv 4 qp1 Wklv lv lq frqwudvw
wr HSPD exon phdvxuhphqwv zkhuh wkh ehdp vsuhdglqj uhvxowv lq d shdu vkdshg
h{flwdwlrq yroxph/ olplwlqj wkh vsdwldo uhvroxwlrq wr w|slfdoo| derxw 4 çp1
83
Prghov xvhg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq wkh WHP 8151
Iljxuh 8141 D Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq ri 5333 hohfwurq wudmhfwrulhv wkurxjk d 533 qp
wklfn Doxplqlxp ?op dw 533 nY1
Wklv h{wuhpho| vpdoo h{flwdwlrq yroxph rewdlqhg lq d WHP dqdo|vlv/ rq wkh
rwkhu kdqg/ dovr lv wkh eljjhvw glvdgydqwdjh= Gxh wr wkh yhu| vpdoo h{flwdwlrq yroxph/
wkh orz qxpehu ri vfdwwhulqj hyhqwv dqg wkh orz hqhuj| orvv/ wkh dprxqw ri [0ud|v
surgxfhg zloo eh yhu| orz/ uhvxowlqj lq orz frxqw udwhv1 Wklv ri frxuvh fdq eh frp0
shqvdwhg e| xvlqj d odujh ehdp fxuuhqw1 Wklv/ krzhyhu zloo uhvxow lq d kljk hqhuj|
ghqvlw| zlwk wkh fkdqfh ri vshflphq gdpdjh1 Ixuwkhupruh wklv odujh ehdp fxuuhqw lv
riwhq gl!fxow wr dfklhyh dqg wr pdlqwdlq vwdeoh lq d WHP dqg lq jhqhudo eulqjv rq d
odujhu ehdp vl}h1
815
81514
Prghov xvhg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq wkh WHP
Fol>0Orulphu
Dowkrxjk hduolhu uhsruwv rq frpelqhg xvh ri [0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv zlwk wudqvplvvlrq
hohfwurq plfurvfrs| duh nqrzq ^4`/ Fol> dqg Orulphu zhuh wkh ?uvw wr lqwurgxfh d
nlqg ri prghoolqj iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|wlfdo WHP phdvxuhphqwv1 Wkh| uhodwhg wkh
lqwhqvlwlhv/ phdvxuhg xvlqj dq HG[ ghwhfwru/ ri wkh fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud|v +LD > LE > ==,
wr wkh frpsrvlwlrqv lq zhljkw iudfwlrq +zw( = FD > FE > ==, wkurxjk wkh Fol>0Orulphu
htxdwlrq ^5`=
FD
LD
@ nDE
FE
LE
84
+814,
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
zkhuh nDE lv d sursruwlrqdolw| frqvwdqw lqfrusrudwlqj vshflphq fkdudfwhulvwlfv dv zhoo
dv htxlsphqw sdudphwhuv1 Ghvslwh lwv olplwdwlrqv wklv vlpsoh htxdwlrq vwloo uhpdlqv
wkh edvlv iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv diwhu pruh wkdq 58 |hduv1 Wkh n0idfwruv 0 qrw wr
eh frqixvhg zlwk wkh n0udwlrv xvhg lq * +ã}, prghoolqj 0 duh wkh fuxfldo sdudphwhuv1
Wkh| fdq eh fdofxodwhg/ ghwhuplqhg h{shulphqwdoo| ru ghulyhg iurp hduolhu uhfrughg
n0idfwruv1
H{shulphqwdo ghwhuplqdwlrq ri n0idfwruv uhtxluhv d odujh udqjh ri wklq ?op
vwdqgdugv1 Hdfk vwdqgdug vkrxog frqwdlq dw ohdvw wzr hohphqwv/ dovr suhvhqw lq
wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq/ wr ghwhuplqh wkh dffrpsdq|lqj nDE idfwru1 Wkh uhtxluhg
wklq ?op vwdqgdugv vkrxog kdyh d zhoo gh?qhg vwrlfklrphwulf frpsrvlwlrq/ vkrxog eh
vwdeoh lq wkh hohfwurq ehdp dqg xqfkdqjhg e| vshflphq suhsdudwlrq1 Dowkrxjk vxfk
vwdqgdugv surylgh dffxudwh n0idfwruv/ wklv phwkrg lv riwhq qrw sudfwlfdeoh ehfdxvh lw
lv riwhq lpsrvvleoh wr suhsduh wkh dssursuldwh wklq ?op vwdqgdugv dqg hyhq li lw zrxog
eh srvvleoh wr rewdlq d wklq ?op vwdqgdug lw vwloo wdnhv d vljql?fdqw dprxqw ri wlph
wr ideulfdwh wkhp dqg wkh| pd| ghwhulrudwh idvw gxh wr r{lgdwlrq1 Dq dowhuqdwlyh lv
wr xvh duhdv ri wkh vshflphq lwvhoi dv d vwdqgdug1 Wklv lv rqo| xvhixo li wkh vshflphq
surylghv duhdv ri zhoo nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq1
Dq dowhuqdwlyh wr phdvxulqj doo n0idfwruv/ lv wr ghulyh wkhp iurp wdeohv ri
suhylrxvo| ghwhuplqhg n0idfwru gdwd ^6/ s1 93;`1 Krzhyhu/ vlqfh wkh n0idfwru gdwd lv
dovr htxlsphqw ghshqghqw/ wkh| vkrxog eh fruuhfwhg zlwk htxlsphqw vshfl?f fruuhf0
wlrq idfwruv/ pdnlqj wkhp ohvv uholdeoh1 Dv d uhvxow wkh| duh xvhixo iru frpsdulvrq
sxusrvhv/ udwkhu wkdq iru gluhfw txdqwl?fdwlrq1
Dq rwkhu/ uhfhqwo| lqwurgxfhg zd| wr ghwhuplqh wkh n0idfwruv lv e| xvlqj d
wklq ?op vwdqgdug vxssolhg e| wkh Qdwlrqdo Lqvwlwxwh ri Vwdqgdugv dqg Whfkqrorj|
+QLVW= VUP 5396, ^7`1 Wklv vwdqgdug lv dq dpruskrxv plqhudo jodvv ?op1 Wklfnqhvv
dqg frpsrvlwlrq duh zhoo gh?qhg dqg duh vshfl?hg e| wkh pdqxidfwxuhu1 Lw frqwdlqv
dffxudwho| nqrzq dprxqwv ri Pj/ Vl/ Fd/ Ih dqg R shuplwwlqj ghwhuplqdwlrq ri n0
idfwruv ri frpelqdwlrqv ri wkhvh hohphqwv1 Xvlqj wkhvh ydoxhv dqg wkh jlyhq wklfnqhvv
rqh fdq fdofxodwh d udqjh ri n0idfwruv +h1j1 Pj wr ]q,
n0idfwruv fdq dovr eh fdofxodwhg iurp ?uvw sulqflsohv1 Wklv fdq r>hu dffxudwh
n0idfwruv/ krzhyhu/ lw lv gl!fxow wr wdnh htxlsphqw sdudphwhuv lqwr dffrxqw1 Wklv
riwhq uhvxowv lq huuruv xs wr 48 wr 53(/ zklfk lv xqdffhswdeoh lq prvw fdvhv1
Fdofxodwlrq ri n0idfwruv iurp ?uvw sulqflsohv
Iru d wklq vshflphq/ ixoo| wudqvsduhqw wr lqflghqw hohfwurqv dqg zkhuh [0ud| de0
vruswlrq lv dvvxphg wr eh qhjoljleoh/ wkh iroorzlqj uhodwlrqvkls krogv +vhh wklq ?op
85
Prghov xvhg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq wkh WHP 8151
dssur{lpdwlrq/ Ht1 519,=
Q3 ãF
T$dlw
+815,
D
zkhuh L lv wkh jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw| ri wkh fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| olqh/ Q3 lv Dyrjdgur*v
qxpehu/ ã lv wkh ghqvlw|/ F lv wkh frqfhqwudwlrq +zhljkw iudfwlrq,/ D lv wkh dwrplf
pdvv/ T lv wkh lrqlvdwlrq furvv vhfwlrq/ $ lv wkh xruhvfhqfh |lhog/ d lv wkh uhodwlyh
wudqvlwlrq suredelolw| +wkh udwlr ri wkh lqwhqvlwlhv ri Nò @ +Nò . Nñ , ,/ l lv wkh wrwdo
ehdp fxuuhqw dqg ?qdoo| w lv wkh wklfnqhvv ri wkh vshflphq1 Dvvxplqj doo jhqhudwhg
[0ud| udgldwlrq lv dovr hplwwhg iurp wkh vshflphq/ wkh dfwxdoo| phdvxuhg lqwhqvlw| ri
d fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| olqh ri d fhuwdlq hohphqw D/ fdq eh jlyhq e|=
L@
LD>p @ LD ü îD
+816,
zkhuh wkh fruuhfwlrq whup îD lv vshfl?f iru wkh phdvxuhg [0ud| olqh ri hohphqw D exw
dovr iru wkh vshfl?f HGV xvhg1
E| xvlqj wkh udwlr ehwzhhq lqwhqvlwlhv ri wzr gl>huhqw [0ud| olqhv +ri hohphqwv/
D dqg E,/ d frqfhqwudwlrq lqghshqghqw n0idfwru fdq eh ghulyhg e| vxevwlwxwlrq ri
Htxdwlrq 815 lq wkh Fol>0Orulphu Htxdwlrq 814/ uhvxowlqj lq=
nDE @
+T$d,D DE îD
+T$d,E DD îE
+817,
Wkh î whup lv qrw fdqfhoohg rxw/ vlqfh î lv gl>huhqw iru hdfk vshfl?f [0ud| olqh1
Fdofxodwlrq ri î uhtxluhv nqrzohgjh ri wkh devruelqj od|huv +zlqgrz/ frqwdplqdwlrq/
jrog frqwdfw dqg ghdg0od|hu, lq wkh HGV xvhg dqg lwv vhqvlwlylw| wr wkh vshfl?f
hohphqwv1
Wkh n0idfwruv fdofxodwhg lq wklv zd| dsso| lq wkh fdvh ri qr devruswlrq1 Li
devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq lv wdnhq lqwr dffrxqw dqg li wkh surgxfwlrq ri [0ud|v lv dvvxphg
wr eh frqvwdqw wkurxjkrxw wkh ?op/ wkh Fol>0Orulphu Htxdwlrq 814 fkdqjhv wr ^8`=
ì<
í í ì
;í ì <;
ã â ? ç @ ? 4 ý h{s ý ç
@
ãw
frvhf
ë
ã
ã
FD
LD
í ìD
í í ìE
ì
@ nDE
+818,
FE
LE = ç > = 4 ý h{s ý ç
ãw frvhf ë >
í ì
í ì
ã
ã
E
D
dqg çã
duh wkh pdvv devruswlrq frh!flhqwv iru wkh fkdudfwhulvwlf [0
zkhuh çã
D
E
ud| olqhv ri hohphqw D dqg E lq wkh vshflphq1 ã dqg w duh wkh ghqvlw| dqg vshflphq
wklfnqhvv +dw srlqw ri phdvxuhphqw, uhvshfwlyho|1 Wr dsso| wklv h{suhvvlrq ã dqg w
kdyh wr eh ghwhuplqhg dw hdfk phdvxulqj srlqw1
nDE lq wkh htxdwlrqv deryh lv wkh devruswlrq iuhh n0idfwru +nDE ,3 1 Wkh phd0
vxuhg n0idfwru +nDE ,p fdq eh gh?qhg dv=
+nDE ,phdvxuhg @
86
+nDE ,3
FI
+819,
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
zkhuh FI lv d fruuhfwlrq idfwru iru wkh suhvhqfh ri devruswlrq +xvlqj Ht1 818,=
í ì ;
ì<
í í ì
ç
ç
@
?
ãw
frvhf
ë
4
ý
h{s
ý
ã
ã
í í ìE
ì
FI @ í ìD
+81:,
ç
= 4 ý h{s ý ç ãw frvhf ë >
ã
ã
E
D
Li wkh jhqhudwlrq ri [0ud|v lv dvvxphg wr rffxu dw rqh0kdoi wkh wklfnqhvv ri wkh
wklq ?op wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq idfwru fdq eh vlpsol?hg wr=
è
é ãë ê
ë ê â
ç
ç
ãw
+81;,
FIi @ h{s ý
ý
ü frvhf ë
ã E
ã D
5
Li zh h{suhvv Htxdwlrq 819 lq orjdulwkplf irup dqg vxevwlwxwh Htxdwlrq 81; iru FI /
è
é ãë ê
ë ê â
ç
ç
ã
oq +nDE ,p @ oq +nDE ,3 ý w ü ý
+81<,
ý
ü frvhf ë
ã E
ã D
5
lw lv vhhq wkdw oq +nDE ,p lv olqhdu sursruwlrqdo wr wkh vshflphq wklfnqhvv w1
81515
H{wudsrodwlrq Phwkrg
Sureohpv lq h{shulphqwdo ghwhuplqdwlrq ri n0idfwruv dulvh zkhq vljql?fdqw [0ud| de0
vruswlrq rffxuv lq wkh vshflphq1 Wkh sureohp fdq eh vroyhg e| fkrrvlqj wklqqhu
duhdv lq wkh vshflphq> wklv krzhyhu fdxvhv qhz sureohpv= Lw fdq eh gl!fxow wr ?qg
vx!flhqwo| wklq duhdv/ dqg wr eh vxuh wkdw wkh wklfnqhvv lv ehorz wkh fulwlfdo ydoxh
iru wkh dvvxpswlrqv pdgh1 Ixuwkhupruh/ orz [0ud| frxqw udwhv/ fdxvhg e| wkh yhu|
vpdoo yroxph h{flwhg lq wkh wklq vshflphq/ uhtxluh orqj dftxlvlwlrq wlphv dqg wklv fdq
fdxvh frqwdplqdwlrq exlog xs1 Dovr wkh h>hfw ri vxuidfh od|huv vxfk dv r{lgh od|huv
dqg od|huv glvwxuehg e| wkh ?op suhsdudwlrq lqfuhdvhv zlwk wklqqhu ?opv1
Lq rughu wr xvh wklfnhu duhdv iru n0idfwru ghwhuplqdwlrq/ wkh h{wudsrodwlrq
phwkrg lv xvhg1 Wkh phwkrg frqvlvwv ri phdvxulqj pxowlsoh srlqwv rq wkh wklq ?op
vwdqgdug vshflphq dw yduldeoh ?op wklfnqhvvhv1 Sorwwlqj wkh n0idfwruv ghwhuplqhg iurp
wkhvh phdvxuhphqwv rq d orjdulwkplf vfdoh djdlqvw wkh vshflphq wklfnqhvv uhvxowv lq
d olqh ^9`^:`/ zklfk fdq eh h{wudsrodwhg wr wklfnqhvv }hur +w @ 3, lq rughu wr ?qg
wkh devruswlrq iuhh n0idfwruv/ +nDE ,3 1 Iru wklv/ wkh wklfnqhvv lq hdfk phdvxuhg srlqw
vkrxog eh nqrzq1 Krzhyhu/ iru d vr fdoohg *kdug [0ud| olqh*/ iru zklfk devruswlrq
lv qhjoljleoh/ wkhuh lv/ dffruglqj wr Htxdwlrq 815/ d olqhdu uhodwlrq ehwzhhq wkh ?op
wklfnqhvv w/ dqg wkh lqwhqvlw| L/ dvvxplqj wkh wklq ?op vfdwwhulqj dssur{lpdwlrq vwloo
krogv1 Khqfh/ lw lv srvvleoh wr sorw wkh n0idfwruv djdlqvw wkh lqwhqvlw| ri wklv *kdug
[0ud|* olqh lqvwhdg ri djdlqvw wklfnqhvv1 Rqfh wkh n0idfwru ri wkh devruswlrq iuhh olqh
kdv ehhq irxqg/ wkh wklfnqhvv fdq eh hvwlpdwhg dqg xvhg lq wkh ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wkh
rwkhu n0idfwruv1
87
Prghov xvhg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq wkh WHP 8151
Diwhu ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wkh devruswlrq iuhh n0idfwruv/ wkh vdph h{wudsrodwlrq
phwkrg fdq eh xvhg wr ghwhuplqh wkh devruswlrq iuhh lqwhqvlw| udwlr +LE @LD ,3 e|
sorwwlqj wkh udwlr djdlqvw wkh lqwhqvlw| ri d kdug/ qrq0devruehg/ [0ud| olqh1 Wklv
phdqv krzhyhu/ wkdw vhyhudo phdvxuhphqwv rq rqh vshfl?f frpsrvlwlrq duhd ri wkh
vshflphq zlwk yduldeoh wklfnqhvv kdyh wr pdgh1 Wkhuhiruh wklv phwkrg lv qrw vxlwhg
iru olqhvfdqv/ vpdoo duhd dqdo|vlv dqg frqfhqwudwlrq judglhqwv1
81516
G[D phwkrg
Wkh G[D/ gl>huhqwldo [0ud| dqdo|vlv/ zdv lqwurgxfhg e| Pruulv hw do1 +4<;3, ^;`
Wkh phwkrg pdnhv xvh ri wkh gl>huhqfh lq devruswlrq ehwzhhq gl>huhqw [0ud| olqhv
+xvxdoo| N dqg O olqh, ri wkh vdph hohphqw lq wkh vdpsoh1
Wkh lqwhqvlw| udwlr ehwzhhq wzr gl>huhqw [0ud| olqhv ri wkh vdph hohphqw fdq
eh h{suhvvhg dv iroorzv/ xvlqj Htxdwlrq 818=
ê<
ë í ì
;í ì < ;
ç
A
A
ç
A
A
ë
ë
ê
ê A
@
? ã
@ ? 4 ý h{s ý ã D>l ãw frvhf ë A
LD>l
LD>l
D>m
ë í ì
ê
í ì
@
+8143,
A
A
LD>m p
LD>m 3 A
ç
A
= çã
>A
A
>
=
4
ý
h{s
ý
ãw
frvhf
ë
ã
D>l
D>m
Vlqfh
ë
LD>l
LD>m
ê
FD
=nDl>Dm
F
D
3
í
í ì
í ì
ì
LD>l
lv lqghshqghqw ri frqfhqwudwlrq1 çã
dqg çã
LD>m
@
3
D>l
D>m
+8144,
duh krzhyhu frpsrvhg
iurp wkh devruswlrq frh!flhqwv ri wkh frpsohwh pdwul{/ dqg wkhuhiruh ghshqghqw rq
wkh frqfhqwudwlrq ri doo rwkhu hohphqwv1 Devruswlrq iuhh n0idfwru ghwhuplqdwlrq lq wklv
phwkrg lv htxlydohqw wr gluhfw fdofxodwlrq ri dq devruswlrq idfwru xvlqj d phdvxuhg
wklfnqhvv dqg Htxdwlrqv 819 dqg 81:1 Dv dq dowhuqdwlyh wkh h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg fdq
eh xvhg wr ghwhuplqh n0idfwruv1
Lq fdvh wkh frpsrvlwlrq lv nqrzq/ ãw fdq eh hdvlo| ghwhuplqhg e| fdofxodwlrq
ri wkh pdvv devruswlrq frh!flhqwv ri hdfk hohphqw lq wkh pdwul{ dqg vxevwlwxwlrq ri
wkhvh devruswlrq frh!flhqwv lqwr Htxdwlrq 81431 Lq fdvh ri dq xqnqrzq frpsrvlwlrq/
wkh frpsrvlwlrq lv fdofxodwhg xvlqj=
ë ê
FM
LM
@ nME
+8145,
FE
LE 3
zkhuh M lv rqh
í riì wkh hohphqwv +D> F> G> = = = , rwkhu wkdq E ri wkh pdwul{1 Wkh
uhtxluhv nqrzohgjh ri ãw/ fdxvlqj d sureohp/ zklfk fdq eh vroyhg
fdofxodwlrq ri LLEM
3
e| xvlqj dq lwhudwlyh vroxwlrq phwkrg/ vwduwlqj zlwk d lqlwldo ydoxh iru wkh frpsrvlwlrq=
FD @ 4> FE>F>=== @ 3 +iru ghwdlohg ghvfulswlrq ri wkh surfhgxuh vhh ^<`,1
88
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
81517
Sdudphwhuohvv fruuhfwlrq phwkrg e| ydq Fdsshoohq
Ydq Fdsshoohq +4<<3, ^43` +dqg ^44`^45`, lqwurgxfhg d sdudphwhuohvv fruuhfwlrq phwkrg
iru [0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv ri wklq ?opv1 Wkh phwkrg xvhv d qrq0olqhdu ?wwlqj ri pxowlsoh
dqdo|vlv srlqwv ri ydu|lqj wklfnqhvv1 Wkh phwkrg grhv qrw lqfoxgh d n0idfwru ghwhu0
plqdwlrq1
81518
l0idfwru dssurdfk +l0G[D,
Vrphzkdw vlplodu wr wkh sdudphwhuohvv phwkrg ri ydq Fdsshoohq lv wkh í0G[D phwkrg
lqwurgxfhg e| Zdwdqdeh ^46`1 Frpelqdwlrq ri wkh h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg dqg wkh
G[D phwkrg uhvxowv lq wkh í0idfwru phwkrg1 Wkh phwkrg shuplwv wkh ghwhupl0
qdwlrq ri n0idfwruv zlwkrxw sulru nqrzohgjh ri wkh ghqvlw| dqg2ru wklfnqhvv ri wkh
vwdqgdug vshflphq1 Wklv uhdolvhg e| xvlqj d qrq olqhdu ?wwlqj wr ghwhuplqh wkh í0
idfwru iurp pruh wkdq wzr gl>huhqw phdvxuhphqwv ri d kdug [0ud| olqh/ vlplodu wr wkh
h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg1
Gh?qlqj wkh í0idfwru dv=
íì
D
Q3 T$dl
+8146,
wkh lqwhqvlw| htxdwlrq +Ht1 815, lv uhzulwwhq dv=
ãw @ í
L
F
+8147,
Xvlqj wkh Fol>0Orulphu htxdwlrq dqg lqwurgxflqj devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq |lhogv +vlplodu
wr Ht1 815,=
ë í ì
ê<
;í ì <;
ç
A
A
ç
A
A
A
ã
âA
4
ý
h{s
ý
ãw
frvhf
ë
@
ã D
LMl ? ã Mm @ ?
FM
l
ë
ê
í
ì
@ nMm Dl
+8148,
ì
í
A
A
FD
LDl A
ç
A
= çã
>A
A
>
=
4
ý
h{s
ý
ãw
frvhf
ë
ã
D
l
Mm
zkhuh M lv dq hohphqw ri wkh pdwul{ rwkhu wkdq D +@ E> F> = = = ,1
Li Dl uhsuhvhqwv d kdug [0ud| olqh zlwk qhjoljleoh devruswlrqv/ dqg íDl wkh
fruuhvsrqglqj }hwd0idfwru rewdlqhg iurp phdvxuhphqwv ri Dl udgldwlrq/ Htxdwlrq 8147
fdq eh xvhg iru vxevwlwxwlrq ri ãw lq 8148/ jlylqj=
ê<
ë í ì
;í ì <;
LDl
ç
A
A
ç
A
A
A
ã
âA
í
frvhf
ë
4
ý
h{s
ý
Dl FD
@
ã
FM
LMl ? ã Mm @ ?
Dl
ë
ê
í
ì
@ nMm Dl
+8149,
ì
í
A
A
FD
LDl A
LDl
ç
A
= çã
>A
A
>
=
4
ý
h{s
ý
í
frvhf
ë
D
l F
ã
D
Mm
l
89
D
Xvlqj d ixoo pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuh 8161
D plqlpxp ri wzr +suhihudeo| pruh, phdvxuhphqwv ri d kdug [0ud| olqh/ zlwk
qhjoljleoh devruswlrq lq frpelqdwlrq zlwk d orz hqhuj| [0ud| olqh/ zlwk khdy| de0
vruswlrq/ lv qhhghg wr ghwhuplqh wkh í0idfwr-u1 Jlyhq wkh frqfhqwudwlrqv FD dqg FM
dqg wkh pdvv devruswlrq frh!flhqwv/ Htxdwlrq 8149 lv vroyhg iru nMl Dl dqg íDl e|
d qrq0olqhdu ohdvw0vtxduhv ?wwlqj surfhgxuh ^46`1 +Lq idfw wklv lv vlplodu wr xvlqj wkh
h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg zlwk d qrq0olqhdu ?wwlqj1,
Rqfh wkh í0idfwru dqg wkh ?uvw n0idfwru/ nEm Dl lv ghwhuplqhg/ wkh uhpdlqlqj +q0
5, n0idfwruv fdq eh ghwhuplqhg iurp phdvxuhphqwv rq vwdqgdug vshflphqv frqwdlqlqj
d nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq ri hohphqw D dqg rqh ru pruh rwkhu frpsrqhqwv M +@ F> G> = = = ,
xvlqj Htxdwlrq 81491
Frpsrvlwlrq ghwhuplqdwlrq lq wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq lv shuiruphg e| vroylqj
Htxdwlrq 8149 iru rqh phdvxuhphqw xvlqj wkh suhghwhuplqhg íDl dqg nMm Dl idfwruv lq
dq lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh dqdorjrxv wr wkh G[D phwkrg1 Qr wklfnqhvv phdvxuhphqw lv
qhfhvvdu| dqg wkh pdvv wklfnqhvv fdq eh fdofxodwhg xvlqj Htxdwlrq 81471
816
81614
Xvlqj d ixoo pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuh
Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq
Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq zdv wkh ?uvw phwkrg lqwurgxfhg lq WHP dqdo|vlv wr r>hu
vlpxowdqhrxv ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wklfnqhvv dqg frpsrvlwlrq xvlqj ixoo vfdwwhulqj fdo0
fxodwlrqv dqg devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq1 Dupljoldwr dqg Urvd +4<<3, ^47` lqwurgxfhg d
Prqwh Fduor edvhg phwkrg xvlqj 5 phdvxuhphqwv zlwk gl>huhqw vshflphq wlow dw wkh
vdph dqdo|vlv vsrw1 Wkh phwkrg lv xvhg dv d vwdqgdugohvv surfhgxuh dqg wkhuhiruh
dffxudwh ghwhfwru sdudphwhuv vkrxog eh dydlodeoh1
81615
) E45ä wklq ?op dqdo|vlv surfhgxuh/ dv sursrvhg lq wklv
Wkhvlv
Wkh phwkrg sursrvhg lq wklv wkhvlv/ kdv d frpsohwho| gl>huhqw dssurdfk wr WHP
txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv= Zkhuh doo suhylrxvo| ghvfulehg phwkrgv duh h{whqvlrqv ri wkh
wklq ?op phwkrg lqwurgxfhg e| Fol>0Orulphu/ rxu phwkrg lv qrw dq h{whqvlrq ri wkh
Fol>0Orulphu dssurdfk dqg lw grhv qrw pdnh dq| wklq ?op dssur{lpdwlrqv1
Wkh phwkrg xvhv ixoo pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq edvhg xsrq d * +ã}, fxuyh dssurdfk/ dv
ghvfulehg lq wkh suhylrxv fkdswhu +Vhfwlrq 715,1 Glmnvwud +4<<7/ ^48`, zdv wkh ?uvw wr
jlyh wklv phwkrg d wu| lq rxu oderudwru|/ exw h{shulhqfhg sudfwlfdo sureohpv fduu|lqj
rxw wkh ?uvw h{shulphqwv rq wkh WHP1 Wkh sureohpv +olvwhg lq ^48`, zhuh pdlqo|
fdxvhg e| hohfwurq ehdp lqvwdelolw|1 Ixuwkhupruh/ dffxudwh dqg uhsurgxfleoh uhvxowv
frxog qrw eh rewdlqhg e| wkdw wlph/ ehfdxvh ri dq xqxvdeoh WHP dqg HGV vhwxs +wkh
8:
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
vshflphq kdg wr eh wlowhg wr dftxluh HGV vshfwud, dqg wkh odfn ri dq dssursuldwh
ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu1
Wkh wklq ?op fdofxodwlrqv duh fduulhg rxw e| shuiruplqj wkh fdofxodwlrqv iru d
wklq ?op rq vxevwudwh vlwxdwlrq zkhuh wkh dwrplf qxpehu ri wkh vxevwudwh hohphqw
dssurdfkhv }hur1 Lq wkdw fdvh wkhuh lv qr edfnvfdwwhulqj frqwulexwlrq ri wkh vxevwudwh1
Wklv dssurdfk kdv ehhq suryhq vxffhvvixo dqg zdv whvwhg rq odujh vhulhv ri HSPD
wklq ?op phdvxuhphqwv zlwk Do dqg Sg ?opv rq ydu|lqj vxevwudwhv udqjlqj ehwzhhq
ehu|oolxp dqg elvpxwk ^49`1
Dsduw iurp vrph vriwzduh fkdqjhv pdnlqj wkh surjudp vxlwdeoh iru WHP
dqdo|vlv fdofxodwlrqv/ qr fkdqjhv wr wkh ruljlqdo HSPD wklq ?op prgho zhuh pdgh1
Wkhuhiruh wkh surfhgxuh lv h{dfwo| dv ghvfulehg lq wkh suhylrxv fkdswhu/ iru wkh fdvh ri
dq xqvxssruwhg ?op ri xqnqrzq wklfnqhvv dqg frpsrvlwlrq1 Dv ghvfulehg/ d grxeoh
lwhudwlyh surfhgxuh lv xvhg wr ghwhuplqh frpsrvlwlrq iru hdfk hohphqw lq wkh ?op dqg
wkh ?op wklfnqhvv1 Sxuh hohphqw exon vshflphqv +ru nqrzq frpsrxqgv, duh xvhg dv
vwdqgdugv1
817
Qhhg iru vwdqgdugv
Wkh qhfhvvlw| wr xvh vwdqgdugv lv vkrzq e| Krulwd +4<<;/ ^4:`,1 Lq klv ryhuylhz duwlfoh
kh suhvhqwv n0idfwru gdwd ri phdvxuhphqwv shuiruphg rq wkh vdph pdfklqh ryhu d
shulrg ri 5 |hduv= Yduldwlrqv lq n0idfwru ri pruh wkdq d idfwru 5 zhuh revhuyhg1 Dovr
wkhruhwlfdo ydoxhv dqg phdvxuhphqwv rq rwkhu exw vlplodu htxlsphqw vkrzhg odujh
ghyldwlrqv wr wkhvh phdvxuhphqwv1 n0idfwruv fdq fkdqjh iurp gd| wr gd| dqg iurp rqh
pdfklqh wr wkh rwkhu pdfklqh1 Wkhuhiruh/ vwdqgdugohvv phdvxuhphqwv duh rqo| vxlwhg
iru pdsslqjv/ txdolwdwlyh phdvxuhphqwv dqg yhu| urxjk txdqwlwdwlyh phdvxuhphqwv1
Wklv lv dovr wkh fdvh iru phdvxuhphqwv xvlqj wkhruhwlfdoo| ghwhuplqhg n0idfwruv ru
n0idfwruv ghwhuplqhg e| rwkhuv1
Li vwdqgdugv duh xvhg/ wkh| vkrxog eh uhfrughg zlwklq d vkruw shulrg ri wlph
ehiruh ru diwhu wkh phdvxuhphqwv shuiruphg rq wkh vshflphq ri lqwhuhvw/ suhihudeo|
lq wkh vdph plfurvfrsh vhvvlrq1 Wkh odwwhu lv riwhq qhfhvvdu| vlqfh vrph phwkrgv
uhtxluh frqvwdqf| ri wkh hohfwurq ehdp fxuuhqw1 Xvlqj d suhylrxvo| ghwhuplqhg vhw ri
vwdqgdugv +n0idfwruv, dqg dgmxvwlqj wkhp zlwk d fruuhfwlrq idfwru xvlqj d ihz qhzo|
phdvxuhg vwdqgdugv/ olnh Zlooldpv dqg Fduwhu vxjjhvw +4<<9 ^6/ ss1 93;1`, vhhpv wr
zrun zhoo1 Krzhyhu/ xqfhuwdlqw| derxw wkh dffxudf| uhpdlqv vlqfh fkdqjhv/ gxh wr iru
lqvwdqfh ghwhfwru zlqgrz dqg fu|vwdo frqwdplqdwlrq/ pd| uhvxow lq luuhjxodu fkdqjhv
lq d udqjh ri n0idfwruv1
Iru doo phwkrgv edvhg rq wkh edvlf Fol>0Orulphu phwkrg/ wklq ?op vwdqgdugv
duh uhtxluhg zlwk nqrzohgjh ri h{dfw frpsrvlwlrq/ fduhixoo| dqg uhfhqwo| suhsduhg wr
8;
Phwkrgv iru vdpsoh wklfnqhvv ghwhuplqdwlrq 8181
suhyhqw fkhplfdo frpsrvlwlrq fkdqjhv1 Wkh sursrvhg * +ã}, wklq ?op phwkrg xvhv
sxuh hohphqw exon vwdqgdugv/ zklfk duh uhodwlyho| hdv| wr suhsduh dqg gr qrw vx>hu
pxfk iurp vxuidfh h>hfwv/ vlqfh wkh [0ud|v ruljlqdwh iurp d odujh yroxph lq wkh exon1
81714
Ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw
Prvw WHP wklq ?op phwkrgv uhtxluh d frqvwdqw ehdp fxuuhqw gxulqj phdvxuhphqw
ri erwk vwdqgdugv dqg xqnqrzq vshflphq1 Phdvxulqj erwk vwdqgdugv dqg xqnqrzq
vshflphq pd| yhu| zhoo uhtxluh d vshflphq fkdqjh/ riwhq dorqj zlwk fkdqjh lq WHP
vhwxs dqg lw pd| hyhq eh qhfhvvdu| wr whpsrudulo| wxuq r> ?odphqw khdwlqj1 Ixu0
wkhupruh/ wkh phdvxuhphqwv ri vhyhudo vwdqgdugv dqg iru h{dpsoh d olqhvfdq rq wkh
xqnqrzq vshflphq pd| doo wrjhwkhu wdnh d frxsoh ri krxuv1 Nhhslqj wkh ehdp fxuuhqw
vwdeoh gxulqj doo wkhvh rshudwlrqv lv yhu| xqolnho| li qrw lpsrvvleoh1
Wkh * +ã}, phwkrg sursrvhg khuh/ xvhv exon vwdqgdugv1 Wkh gl>huhqfhv lq [0
ud| lqwhqvlw| rewdlqhg iurp exon vwdqgdugv dqg wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq zrxog eh kxjh
li wkh ehdp fxuuhqw kdg wr eh nhsw frqvwdqw1 Khqfh/ fkdqjlqj wkh ehdp fxuuhqw lv d
qhfhvvlw| dqg/ frqvhtxhqwo|/ d ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu lv uhtxluhg1 Pruh derxw wklv fdq
eh irxqg lq wkh h{shulphqwdo Vhfwlrq 9161
818
Phwkrgv iru vdpsoh wklfnqhvv ghwhuplqdwlrq
Iru wkh ghwhuplqdwlrq ri n0idfwruv xvlqj wkh G[D phwkrg/ exw dovr iru rwkhu sxusrvhv/
lw lv riwhq ghvludeoh wr nqrz wkh vshflphq wklfnqhvv1 Wkh wklfnqhvv fdq eh phdvxuhg
e| vhyhudo phwkrgv1
Frqwdplqdwlrq vsrw vhsdudwlrq
Rqh ri wkh hdvlhvw phwkrgv iru irlo wklfnqhvv ghwhuplqdwlrq lv wkh frqwdplqdwlrq vsrw
vhsdudwlrq/ lqwurgxfhg e| Orulphu 4<:9 +^4;`,1 Gxulqj wkh dqdo|vlv/ shuiruphg dw 3ï
wlow dqjoh/ d frqwdplqdwlrq vsrw lv iruphg rq erwk wrs dqg erwwrp ri wkh vshflphq1
Diwhu wkh dqdo|vlv wkh vshflphq lv wlowhg wr d vxlwdeoh exw zhoo0ghwhuplqhg dqjoh dqg
wkh vhsdudwlrq ri wkh vsrwv fdq eh xvhg wr fdofxodwh wkh irlo wklfnqhvv e| vlpsoh
jhrphwu|1
Wkh whfkqltxh lv nqrzq wr eh qrw yhu| dffxudwh dqg lw zloo lq jhqhudo ryhu0
hvwlpdwh wkh wklfnqhvv gxh wr wkh surmhfwlrq ri wkh wklfnqhvv ri wkh frqwdplqdwlrq
vsrwv1
8<
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
Frqyhujhqw ehdp hohfwurq gl>udfwlrq +FEHG,
Frqyhujhqw Ehdp Hohfwurq Gl>udfwlrq +FEHG, lv d pxfk pruh dffxudwh phwkrg iru
wklfnqhvv ghwhuplqdwlrq1 E| phdvxulqj wkh vsdflqj ri wkh h{wlqfwlrq plqlpd dqg
pd{lpd lq wkh FE gl>udfwlrq flufohv/ wkh wklfnqhvv fdq eh ghulyhg ^4<`1 Wkh dffxudf|
lv fodlphg wr eh ehwwhu wkdq 5( li orz rughu uh hfwlrqv duh dyrlghg/ hvshfldoo| lq
frpsrxqgv zlwk kljk dwrplf qxpehuv ^53`^54`1
Glvdgydqwdjh ri wklv phwkrg lv wkh olplwhg udqjh ri wklfnqhvv/ zklfk fdq eh
phdvxuhg1 Ixuwkhupruh/ wkh h{flwhg uh hfwlrq kdv wr eh lqgh{hg fruuhfwo| dqg wkh df0
frpsdq|lqj vsdflqj ri wkh uh hfwlrq sodqh vkrxog eh nqrzq +dqg wkhuhiruh wkh fu|vwdo
vwuxfwxuh dqg odwwlfh sdudphwhuv,1 Khqfh/ wkh phwkrg lv qrw yhu| zhoo vxlwhg iru d
wklfnqhvv phdvxuhphqw iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri dq xqnqrzq vshflphq1 Dovr vsh0
flphqv zlwk glvwruwhg fu|vwdo vwuxfwxuh/ ru dpruskrxv vshflphqv olnh jodvvhv/ fdqqrw
eh phdvxuhg xvlqj FEHG1
Surmhfwhg zlgwkv ri vwdfnlqj idxowv
Wkh surmhfwhg zlgwkv ri vwdfnlqj idxowv lq pdwhuldov ri kljk vwdfnlqj idxow hqhuj|
lv vrphwlphv xvhg wr ghwhuplqh irlo wklfnqhvvhv1 Wklv phwkrg/ krzhyhu/ lv yhu|
ghshqghqw rq plfurvfrsh frqglwlrqv dqg wkhuhiruh qrw yhu| uholdeoh ^55` dqg kdv rqo|
d olplwhg ?hog ri dssolfdwlrq1
Gluhfw fdofxodwlrq ri +pdvv, wklfnqhvv iurp [0ud| gdwd
Wkh G[D dqg í0G[D phwkrgv/ dqg wkh qhz phwkrg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv sur0
srvhg lq wklv wkhvlv/ duh doo deoh wr fdofxodwh wkh wklfnqhvv iurp wkh [0ud| gdwd dv
phqwlrqhg lq wkh ghvfulswlrq ri wkhvh phwkrgv +Vhfwlrqv 81516/ 81518 dqg 7,1 Wkh
* +ã}, wklq ?op phwkrg/ sursrvhg lq wklv wkhvlv/ krzhyhu/ zloo fdofxodwh wklfnqhvv dqg
frpsrvlwlrq ri wkh vshflphq vlpxowdqhrxvo| iurp rqo| rqh [0ud| phdvxuhphqw rq wkh
vshflphq1
Wkh pdlq gl>huhqfh ehwzhhq wkh gluhfw fdofxodwlrq ri wklfnqhvv iurp wkh [0ud|
gdwd frpsduhg wr wkh rwkhu wklfnqhvv ghwhuplqdwlrq whfkqltxhv lv wkdw wkh odwwhu |lhog
vr fdoohg olqhdu wklfnqhvvhv +w lq qp, zkloh wkh ?uvw |lhog vr fdoohg pdvv0wklfnqhvvhv
+ãw lq çj@fp5 ,/ wkh surgxfw ri olqhdu wklfnqhvv dqg ghqvlw|1
93
Frpsdulvrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv phwkrgv 8191
Wdeoh 8141 Frpsdulvrq ri uhtxluhphqwv dqg olplwdwlrqv ri fruuhfwlrq phwkrgv/ frqfhu0
qlqj phdvxuhphqw ri n0ydoxhv1 q lqglfdwhv wkh qxpehu ri phdvxuhphqw srlqwv uhtxluhg/
w ghqrwhv wkh vshflphq wklfnqhvv/ ã wkh ghqvlw|/ ç@ã wkh pdvv devruswlrq frh!flhqwv/
l ghqrwhv zkhwkhu wkh ehdp fxuuhqw vkrxog eh nqrzq +ru nhsw frqvwdqw,/ wkh froxpq
*Kdug [0ud|* ghqrwhv zkhwkhu wkh suhvhqfh ri d *devruswlrq0iuhh* [0ud| olqh lv uhtxluhg/
wpd{ lqglfdwhv wkh pd{lpxp xvdeoh wklfnqhvv ri wkh vshflphq/ üw Lqglfdwhv zkhwkhu
pxowlsoh phdvxuhphqwv dw ydu|lqj vshflphq wklfnqhvvhv duh uhtxluhg1
Phwkrg
WID +Fol>0Orulphu,
H{wudsrodwlrq
G[D7
í0G[D
ydq Fdsshoohq
Prqwh Fduor
* +ã}, wklq ?op8
4
5
6
7
8
uhtxluhphqwv+ qr@qrw uhtxluhg/ |@uhtxluhg,
q
w
ã
ç@ã l
Kdug [0ud| wpd{
4
qr qr qr
qr qr
vpdoo
è 5 qr qr qr
|4 |
phglxp
4
|
|
|
qr N.O6
odujh
è 5 qr qr |
|4 |
odujh
qr n0idfwru ghwhuplqdwlrq dydlodeoh
vwdqgdugohvv
4
qr qr |
|5 qr
4
üw
qr
|
qr
|
qr
Frqvwdqw dqg vwdeoh ehdp fxuuhqw uhtxluhg/ vhh 817141
Ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw uhtxluhg/ vhh 817141
Dw ohdvw rqh hohphqw vkrxog eh suhvhqw zlwk wzr [0ud| olqhv= ] è 531
Htxlydohqw wr gluhfw fdofxodwlrq devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq zlwk nqrzq wklfnqhvv1
D uhihuhqfh vshfwuxp lv uhfrughg iru hdfk vwdqgdug/ odwhu xvhg wr fdofxodwh n0udwlrv1
819
81914
Frpsdulvrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv phwkrgv
Phwkrgv
Doo phwkrgv phqwlrqhg deryh lq Vhfwlrqv 815 dqg 816 duh vxlwdeoh iru WHP txdq0
wlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv1 Zkdw glvwlqjxlvkhv rqh iurp wkh rwkhu duh wkh frqglwlrqv xqghu
zklfk wkh| fdq eh xvhg dqg wkh lqkhuhqw olplwdwlrqv uhvxowlqj iurp wkdw1 Wdeoh 814
jlyhv dq ryhuylhz ri wkh frqglwlrqv dqg uhvwulfwlrqv ri wkh ydulrxv fruuhfwlrq phwkrgv
frqfhuqlqj wkh ghwhuplqdwlrq ri n0idfwruv +ru uhihuhqfh vshfwud lq fdvh ri wkh * +ã},
prgho,1
D vlplodu wdeoh pdgh iru wkh ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wkh frpsrvlwlrq +dqg wklfnqhvv,
ri dq xqnqrzq vshflphq lv uhsuhvhqwhg e| Wdeoh 8151 Dv phqwlrqhg/ vrph ri wkhvh
phwkrgv fdq eh xvhg wr rewdlq wkh pdvv0wklfnqhvv1 Lq rughu wr jhw wkh olqhdu wklfnqhvv/
rqh kdv wr nqrz wkh orfdo ghqvlw|/ ã1
Pdq| lqyhvwljdwlrqv kdyh ehhq grqh frqfhuqlqj wkh dssolfdelolw| ri dqdo|wlfdo
WHP xvlqj wkh ydulrxv phwkrgv ^56`^8`^57`^58`^59`^5:`^<`^5;`1
94
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
Wdeoh 8151 Frpsdulvrq ri uhtxluhphqwv dqg olplwdwlrqv ri fruuhfwlrq phwkrgv/ frqfhu0
qlqj phdvxuhphqw ri wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq +iru dq h{sodqdwlrq ri v|perov/ vhh Wdeoh
814 ,1
Phwkrg
WID +Fol>0Orulphu,
H{wudsrodwlrq
G[D
í0G[D
Ydq Fdsshoohq
Prqwh Fduor
* +ã}, wklq ?op
4
5
6
7
81915
uhtxluhphqwv
q
w
ã
4
qr qr
è 5 qr qr
4
qr qr
4
qr qr
è 5 qr qr
5
qr qr
4
qr qr
+qr@qrw uhtxluhg/ |@uhtxluhg,
ç@ã l
Kdug [0ud| wpd{
qr
qr qr
vpdoo
qr
|4 |
phg1
|
qr N.O6
odujh
|
|
|
odujh
qr
|4 qr
odujh
|
|4 qr
odujh
|
|5 qr
4
üw
qr
|
qr
qr
|
qr
qr
|lhogv
ãw7
qr
qr
|
|
qr
|
|
Frqvwdqw dqg vwdeoh ehdp fxuuhqw uhtxluhg/ vhh 817141
Ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw uhtxluhg/ vhh 817141
Dw ohdvw rqh hohphqw vkrxog eh suhvhqw zlwk wzr [0ud| olqhv= ] è 531
Wr rewdlq olqhdu wklfnqhvv/ nqrzohgjh ri orfdo ã lv qhhghg1
Dssur{lpdwlrqv
Wkh pdlq uhdvrq iru huuruv lq wkh dqdo|vlv uhvxowv vwhpv iurp wkh gl>huhqfh lq devrus0
wlrq frh!flhqwv ri wkh [0ud| olqhv xvhg1 Zkhq wzr olqhv duh xvhg iru wkh dqdo|vlv/
rqh zlwk qhjoljleoh devruswlrq +zklfk lv qhhghg iru prvw phwkrgv, dqg rqh zlwk
kljk devruswlrq/ wkh udwlr ri shdn khljkwv zloo ydu| wkh prvw zkhq wkh wklfnqhvv lv
fkdqjlqj1 Jrogvwhlq hw do1 ^8` sursrvhg vrph jxlgholqhv iru wkh pd{lpxp xvhixo udqjh
lq vshflphq wklfnqhvv1 Li d phwkrg edvhg xsrq d olplwhg xvdeoh wklfnqhvv udqjh lv
xvhg/ wklfnqhvv vkrxog dozd|v eh fkhfnhg wr wkh fulwhuld1
Ehvlghv wkh devruswlrq/ wzr rwkhu dvvxpswlrqv duh pdgh> lq sduwlfxodu lw lv
dvvxphg wkdw rqo| d vlqjoh vfdwwhulqj hyhqw rffxuv dqg wkdw wkh jhqhudwlrq ri [0ud|v
wkurxjkrxw wkh ?op lv xqlirup1
81916
Devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq1
Wkh WID phwkrg lqwurgxfhg e| Fol>0Orulphu grhv qrw kdyh dq| devruswlrq fruuhf0
wlrq/ exw lw lv zlwkrxw grxew wkh hdvlhvw phwkrg1 Lw lv olplwhg wr yhu| wklq vshflphqv
+dqg vwdqgdugv$,1 Lq dq DoQl elqdu| frpsrxqg wkh fulwlfdo wklfnqhvv iru huuru vpdoohu
wkhq 8( zrxog eh durxqg 83 qp +dw :3ï ghwhfwru wdnh0r> dqjoh,/ xvlqj wkh Do N0
udgldwlrq1 Dowkrxjk wklfnqhvv lqirupdwlrq lv qrw qhhghg iru wkh dqdo|vlv lwvhoi/ lw lv
fohdu wkdw wkh wklfnqhvv vkrxog eh fkhfnhg wr vhh zkhwkhu wkh wklq ?op dssur{lpdwlrq
lv vdwlv?hg1
95
Frpsdulvrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv phwkrgv 8191
Lq wklv uhvshfw wkh h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg lv douhdg| d elj lpsuryhphqw1 Vsh0
flphqv dqg vwdqgdugv xs wr 533 0 833 qp fdq eh xvhg/ ghshqglqj rq frpsrvlwlrq
dqg dwrplf qxpehu ri wkh hohphqwv lqyroyhg1 Vlqfh wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq lv
shuiruphg e| olqhdu h{wudsrodwlrq/ wkh phwkrg lv rqo| ydolg dv orqj dv devruswlrq
fdq eh dvvxphg wr ydu| olqhduo| zlwk wklfnqhvv1 Krzhyhu/ zkhq wkh [0ud| jhqhudwlrq
lv qr orqjhu xqlirup wkurxjkrxw wkh ?op/ wkh olqhdu uhodwlrq lv qr orqjhu ydolg dqg wkh
phwkrg fdqqrw eh xvhg1 Dqrwkhu sureohp ri wkh h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg lv wkdw wkh
sdudphwhuohvv devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq fdq rqo| eh xvhg lq fdvh ri d elqdu| frpsrxqg/
vlqfh d wklug hohphqw zloo lq xhqfh wkh devruswlrq1
Wkh G[D phwkrg ghdov zlwk wkh devruswlrq sureohp e| xvlqj wzr gl>huhqw
olqhv iurp wkh vdph hohphqw suhvhqw lq wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq1 Xvlqj wkhvh lqwhqvlwlhv
ri wkh wzr olqhv dqg devruswlrq iuhh n0idfwruv wkh pdvv0wklfnqhvv fdq eh ghulyhg1
Rqfh wkh wklfnqhvv lv nqrzq/ devruswlrq fruuhfwlrqv iru wkh rwkhu hohphqwv fdq eh
fdofxodwhg1 Wkh phwkrg doorzv pruh hohphqwv wr eh suhvhqw/ dowkrxjk wkh lwhudwlyh
vroylqj surfhgxuh zloo ehfrph frpsoh{1 Wkh phwkrg doorzv odujh vshflphq wklfnqhvvhv
vlqfh lw grhv qrw uho| rq wkh dssur{lpdwlrq ri xqlirup [0ud| jhqhudwlrq wkurxjkrxw
wkh vshflphq1
Wkh í0G[D phwkrg xvhv wkh ehvw ri erwk= Lw xvhv dq h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg wr
ghwhuplqh wkh devruswlrq iuhh n0idfwruv +zklfk lv qrw lqfoxghg lq wkh G[D phwkrg,
dqg d gl>huhqwldo [0ud| whfkqltxh rq wzr [0ud| olqhv zklfk duh qrw qhfhvvdulo| iurp
wkh vdph hohphqw1 Dowkrxjk wklv grhv lqghhg holplqdwh wkh qhhg iru dq hohphqw zlwk
erwk d N dqg dq O olqh +lq d ghwhfwdeoh udqjh,/ d kljk hqhuj| [0ud| olqh zlwk qhjoljleoh
devruswlrq iurp d uhodwlyho| kljk dwrplf qxpehu hohphqw lv vwloo qhhghg1
81917
Sdudphwhuohvv phwkrgv
Wkh h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg/ dv zhoo dv wkh phwkrg lqwurgxfhg e| ydq Fdsshoohq/ kdv wkh
dgydqwdjh wkdw wkh| gr qrw qhhg dq| pdvv devruswlrq frh!flhqw1 Vlqfh wkh devruswlrq
lv sdudphwhulvhg e| ?wwlqj wr wkh vwdqgdug vshflphq/ wkh phwkrg grhv qrw doorz
rwkhu hohphqwv wr eh suhvhqw lq wkh pdwul{/ wkdw frxog lq xhqfh wkh sdudphwhulvhg
devruswlrq1 Wklv pdnhv wkhvh phwkrgv ohvv vxlwdeoh iru frpsoh{ vshflphqv/ li qrw
xvhohvv dw doo1
Ixuwkhupruh/ wkh| erwk uhtxluh pruh wkdq rqh phdvxuhphqw lq hdfk srlqw wr
eh dqdo|vhg rq wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq1 Lw lv qrw srvvleoh/ wkhuhiruh/ wr shuirup iru
h{dpsoh d olqhvfdq rq d vshflphq zlwk wkhvh phwkrgv1
96
Fkdswhu 81 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv lq WHP
81918
Ixoo pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq phwkrgv
Erwk Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq dqg wkh sursrvhg * +ã}, fxuyh phwkrg/ edvhg rq d ixoo
pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surfhgxuh/ duh phwkrgv wkdw xvh d prgho wr suhglfw wkh h{shfwhg
[0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv1 Wkh| doorz wkh xvhu wr fdofxodwh h{shfwhg lqwhqvlwlhv dw d jlyhq
wklfnqhvv dqg frpsrvlwlrq/ wkxv r>hulqj wkh srvvlelolw| wr ?jxuh rxw wkh h{shulphqwdo
frqglwlrqv qhhghg wr shuirup wkh phdvxuhphqw1
Wr fdofxodwh wkh frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv iurp phdvxuhg lqwhqvlwlhv/ wkh
prghov duh xvhg lwhudwlyho|= vwduwlqj zlwk lqlwldo hvwlpdwhv iru frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfn0
qhvv/ wkh h{shfwhg lqwhqvlwlhv duh fdofxodwhg dqg frpsduhg wr wkh phdvxuhg rqhv1
Qh{w/ wkh frpsrvlwlrqv dqg wkh wklfnqhvv duh dgmxvwhg lq wkh surshu gluhfwlrq wr jhw
d ehwwhu pdwfk zlwk wkh revhuyhg lqwhqvlwlhv1 Wklv lv uhshdwhg wloo wkh fdofxodwhg
lqwhqvlwlhv fruuhvsrqg wr wkh phdvxuhg lqwhqvlwlhv1 Wkh dgydqwdjhv ri wkhvh prghov
duh wkdw wkh| duh edvhg rq d uhdolvwlf ghvfulswlrq ri wkh surfhvvhv lqyroyhg lq wkh [0ud|
jhqhudwlrq dqg devruswlrq1
Wkh WHP Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq phqwlrqhg deryh xvhv wzr phdvxuhphqwv
rq wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq/ zklfk lv qrw frqyhqlhqw iru dqdo|vlv1 Dowkrxjk Prqwh
Fduor surfhgxuhv/ lq jhqhudo/ duh r>hulqj jrrg srvvlelolwlhv iru WHP pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq
sxusrvhv/ wkh| duh xvxdoo| rqo| xvhg wr fdofxodwh ehdp vsuhdglqj lq rughu wr shuirup
odwhudo uhvroxwlrq lpsuryhphqwv ^5<`^63`1 Plfkdho +4<<4, ^64` vlpxodwhg * +ã}, fxuyhv
lq +83qp wklfn, WHP wklq ?op vshflphqv xvlqj Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq/ vkrzlqj wkdw
wkh jhqhudwhg * +ã}, fxuyh fdqqrw eh dvvxphg frqvwdqw wkurxjkrxw wkh ?op/ dqg wkdw
devruswlrq fdq dovr qrw eh dvvxphg olqhdu zlwk ghswk1 Ixuwkhupruh/ qrw pxfk zrun
lv grqh dqg2ru sxeolvkhg zlwk uhvshfw wr wkh dqdo|wlfdo WHP ?hog1
81919
Rxu ) E45ä phwkrg
Wkh * +ã}, phwkrg sursrvhg lq wklv wkhvlv lv d frpsuhkhqvlyh pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq
phwkrg1 Wkh pdmru gl>huhqfh zlwk doo rwkhu sursrvhg phwkrgv lv wkdw lw lv edvhg
rq exon pdwul{ fruuhfwlrqv1 Wkh * +ã}, fxuyhv fdofxodwhg iru vwdqgdug dqg vshflphq
duh * +ã}, fxuyhv ri exon dqg wklq ?op rq vxevwudwh vshflphqv1 Wkh lqsxw sdudph0
whuv ri wkh prgho duh vr fdoohg n0udwlrv +qrw Fol> Orulphu n0ydoxhv, zklfk duh udwlrv
ehwzhhq lqwhqvlwlhv ri d fkdudfwhulvwlf olqh iurp wkh vshflphq dqg wkh vdph olqh iurp
wkh vwdqgdug1
Wkh vwdqgdugv xvhg duh exon vshflphqv1 Wkh idfw wkdw wkh| fdq eh sxuh
hohphqwv lv rqh ri wkh pdlq dgydqwdjhv ri wklv phwkrg1 Wkh sxuh hohphqw +ru frp0
srxqg, exon vshflphqv duh hdv| wr suhsduh dqg gr/ lq jhqhudo/ qrw ghwhulrudwh txlfno|1
Li r{lglvhg wkh| fdq eh uhsrolvkhg hdvlo| djdlq1 Ixuwkhupruh uhfruglqj uhihuhqfh shdnv
iurp sxuh hohphqw vwdqgdugv surylghv wkh phdqv wr ghfrqyroxwh ryhuodsslqj vshfwudo
97
Frpsdulvrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv phwkrgv 8191
shdnv zkhq phdvxulqj xqnqrzq vshflphqv1
Wkh phwkrg doorzv iru frpsoh{ vshflphqv zlwk pdq| hohphqwv/ zlwk dwrplf
qxpehuv iurp orz dqg kljk1 Iru hdfk hohphqw d vwdqgdug lv qhhghg1 Li frpsrxqg
vwdqgdugv duh xvhg/ vhyhudo hohphqw vwdqgdugv fdq eh uhfrughg iurp rqh vwdqgdug
vshflphq1 Vlqfh wkh phwkrg uhtxluhv rqo| rqh phdvxuhphqw rq hdfk dqdo|vlv srlqw
wr ghwhuplqh vlpxowdqhrxvo| wkh frpsrvlwlrqv dqg wkh wklfnqhvv/ lw lv vxlwhg iru pl0
furdqdo|vlv dqg olqhvfdqv1
Ixuwkhupruh/ vlqfh wkh phwkrg lv edvhg rq d frpsuhkhqvlyh * +ã}, pdwul{
fruuhfwlrq prgho zlwkrxw frpsurplvhv ri dq| nlqg/ dq| vshflphq wklfnqhvv fdq eh
kdqgohg/ iurp xowud wklq wr odujh wklfnqhvv ru hyhq frpsohwh exon1 Wklv doorzv wkh
xvh ri wklfnhu vshflphqv +zkhq odwhudo uhvroxwlrq lv ohvv lpsruwdqw, wr jhw pruh [0ud|
frxqwv dqg wkhuhiruh idvwhu dqg pruh dffxudwh dqdo|vlv uhvxowv zlwkrxw h{wuhph ehdp
fxuuhqwv zklfk frxog gdpdjh wkh vshflphq1
D glvdgydqwdjh ri wkh * +ã}, phwkrg pd| eh wkh qhfhvvlw| ri d ehdp fxuuhqw
phdvxuhphqw1 Dv phqwlrqhg ehiruh/ wkh ehdp fxuuhqw kdv wr eh fkdqjhg lq rughu
wr frpshqvdwh iru wkh vrphwlphv kxjh lqwhqvlw| gl>huhqfh ehwzhhq phdvxuhphqwv rq
exon vwdqgdug vshflphqv dqg wkh wklq ?op vshflphqv +vhh Vhfwlrq 81714,1 Vlqfh wkh
lqsxw uhtxluhg lv d n0udwlr/ wkh lqwhqvlwlhv kdyh wr eh nqrzq lq frxqwv
vüsD 1 Wkh rwkhu
wklq ?op phwkrgv xvxdoo| uhtxluh rqo| d vwdeoh ehdp fxuuhqw dqg gr qrw uhtxluh dq|
phdvxuhphqw ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw1 Krzhyhu= lw lv gl!fxow wr mxgjh wkdw wkh ehdp
fxuuhqw lv vwdeoh ryhu d orqj shulrg ri wlph zlwkrxw xvlqj d ghylfh iru phdvxulqj lw1
98
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` S1 Gxqfxpe1 Lq= V|ps1 Rq [0Ud| Rswlfv dqg [0Ud| Plfurdqdo|vlv/ s1 7641
Vwdqirug/ +4<96,1
^5` J1 Fol> dqg J1Z1 Orulphu1 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri wklq phwdo irlov xvlqj
HPPD07 0 wkh udwlr whfkqltxh1 Lq= Surf1 Iliwk Hxurshdq Frqjuhvv rq Hohfwurq
Plfurvfrs|/ ss1 4738474/ +4<:5,1
^6` G1E1 Zlooldpv dqg F1E1 Fduwhu1 Wudqvplvvlrq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs|= D Wh{werrn
iru Pdwhuldov Vflhqfh1 Sohqxp Suhvv/ Qhz \run/ +4<<9,1
^7` V1G1 Udvehuu|1 Fhuwl?fdwh ri Dqdo|vlv iru Vwdqgdug Uhihuhqfh Pdwhuldo 53961
Qdwlrqdo Exuhdx ri Vwdqgdugv +qrz QLVW,/ Jdlwkhuvexuj/ PG 53;<</ XVD1/
+4<;:,1
^8` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq/ M1O1 Frvwoh|/ J1Z1 Orulphu/ dqg V1M1E1 Uhhg1 Txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud|
dqdo|vlv lq wkh hohfwurq plfurvfrsh1 Vfdqqlqj Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs|/ L=6488657/
+4<::,1
^9` ]1 Krulwd/ W1 Vdqr/ dqg P1 Qhprwr1 Dq h{wudsrodwlrq phwkrg iru ghwhuplqd0
wlrq ri Fol>0Orulphu nd e idfwruv dw }hur irlo wklfnqhvv1 Mrxuqdo ri Plfurvfrs|/
476=5488564/ +4<;9,1
^:` ]1 Krulwd/ W1 Vdqr/ dqg P1 Qhprwr1 Ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wkh devruswlrq0iuhh nDQl
idfwruv iru txdqwlwdwlyh plfurdqdo|vlv ri qlfnho edvh door|v1 Mrxuqdo ri Hohfwurq
Plfurvfrs|/ 68+7,=6578667/ +4<;9,1
^;` S1O1 Pruulv/ P1G1 Edoo/ dqg S1M1 Vwdwkdp1 Wkh Fruuhfwlrq ri Wklq Irlo Plfurdqd0
o|vlv Gdwd iru [0Ud| Devruswlrq H>hfwv/ lq= Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs| dqg Dqdo|vlv1
Frqihuhqfh Vhulhv Qr1 851 Wkh Lqvwlwxwh ri Sk|vlfv/ Eulvwro dqg Orqgrq/ +4<;3,1
^<` ]1 Krulwd/ W1 Vdqr/ dqg P1 Qhprwr1 Hqhuj| glvshuvlyh {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv lq wkh
dqdo|wlfdo hohfwurq plfurvfrsh1 LVLM Lqwhuqdwlrqdo +wkh Lurq dqg Vwhho Lqvwlwxwh
ri Mdsdq,/ 5<+6,=4:<84<3/ +4<;<,1
99
ELEOLRJUDSK\
^43` H1 ydq Fdsshoohq1 Wkh sdudphwhuohvv fruuhfwlrq phwkrg lq {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv1
Plfurvfrs|/ Plfurdqdo|vlv/ Plfurvwxfwxuhv/ 4=4855/ +4<<3,1
^44` H1 ydq Fdsshoohq1 Dq devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq iru wudqvplvvlrq {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv
ri vdpsohv zlwk rqh nqrzq surshuw|1 yroxph 46/ ss1 9368937/ +4<<7,1
^45` H1 ydq Fdsshoohq dqg M1F1 Grxnkdq1 Txdqwlwdwlyh wudqvplvvlrq {0ud| plfurdqd0
o|vlv ri lrqlf frpsrxqgv1 Xowudplfurvfrs|/ 86=676867</ +4<<7,1
^46` P1 Zdwdqdeh/ ]1 Krulwd/ dqg P1 Qhprwr1 Devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq dqg wklfn0
qhvv ghwhuplqdwlrq xvlqj wkh í idfwru lq txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv1
Xowudplfurvfrs|/ 98=4;:84<;/ +4<<9,1
^47` D1 Dupljoldwr dqg U1 Urvd1 Vlpxowdqhrxv ghwhuplqdwlrq ri frpsrvlwlrq dqg
wklfnqhvv ri wklq ?opv e| {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv dw 633 nY dqg Prqwh Fduor
vlpxodwlrq1 Xowudplfurvfrs|/ 65=45:8469/ +4<<3,1
^48` M1P1 Glmnvwud/ J1I1 Edvwlq/ K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv/ dqg G1 Nohsshu1 Txdqwlwdwlyh
HSPD dqg WHP ri xqvxssruwhg ?opv1 Plnurfklplfd Dfwd/ 4472448=5::85;7/
+4<<7,1
^49` J1I1 Edvwlq dqg K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv1 D v|vwhpdwlf gdwdedvh ri wklq ?op phdvxuh0
phqwv e| HSPD/ sduw L= Doxplqlxp ?opv1 Vxeplwwhg iru sxeolfdwlrq/ +4<<<,1
^4:` ]hqml Krulwd1 Ryhuylhz= Txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv lq wkh dqdo|wlfdo
hohfwurq plfurvfrs|1 Pdwhuldov Wudqvdfwlrqv/ MLP/ 6<+<,=<7:8<8;/ +4<<;,1
^4;` J1Z1 Orulphu/ J1 Fol>/ dqg M1Q1 Fodun1 Ghwhuplqdwlrq ri wkh wklfnqhvv dqg
vsdwldo uhvroxwlrq iru wkh txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri wklq irlov1 Ghyhorsphqwv lq
Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs| dqg Dqdo|vlv/ HPDJ :8/ ss1 4868489/ +4<:9,1
^4<` S1P1 Nhoo|/ D1 Mrvwvrqv/ U1J1 Eodnh/ dqg M1J1 Qdslhu1 Sk|v1 Vwdw1 Vro1 +d,/
64=::4/ +4<:8,1
^53` V1P1 Doohq1 Irlo wklfnqhvv phdvxuhphqwv iurp frqyhujhqw0ehdp gl>udfwlrq
sdwwhuqv1 Sklorvrsklfdo Pdjd}lqh D/ 76+5,=6588668/ +4<;4,1
^54` V1P1 Doohq dqg H1 O1 Kdoo1 Irlo wklfnqhvv phdvxuhphqwv iurp frqyhujhqw0
ehdp gl>udfwlrq sdwwhuqv= Dq h{shulphqwdo dvvhvvphqw ri huuruv1 Sklorvrsklfdo
Pdjd}lqh D/ 79+5,=5768586/ +4<;5,1
^55` H1O1 Kdoo dqg M1E1 Ydqghu Vdqgh1 Rq surmhfwhg zlgwkv ri vwdfnlqj idxowv xvhg
iru irlo wklfnqhvv ghwhuplqdwlrqv1 Wkh Sklorvrsklfdo Pdjd}lqh/ 65+9,=45;<845<8/
+4<:8,1
9:
ELEOLRJUDSK\
^56` J1 Fol> dqg J1Z1 Orulphu1 Wkh txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri wklq vshflphqv1 Mrxuqdo
ri Plfurvfrs|/ 436=536853:/ +4<:8,1
^57` J1 Zlupdun dqg K1 Qrugìq1 D vwxg| ri idfwruv lq xhqflqj wkh dffxudf| ri txdqwl0
wdwlyh {0ud| dqdo|vlv ri wklq irlo vshflphqv1 Mrxuqdo ri Plfurvfrs|/ 47;=49:84:;/
+4<;:,1
^58` K1 Krhiw dqg S1 Vfkzdde1 Lqyhvwljdwlrqv wrzdugv rswlpl}lqj HGV dqdo|vlv
e| Fol>0Orulphu phwkrg lq vfdqqlqj wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq plfurvfrs|1 [0ud|
Vshfwurp1/ 4:+8,=534853;/ +4<;;,1
^59` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq/ G1E1 Zlooldpv/ dqg F1H1 O|pdq1 Fxuuhqw sureohpv lq {0ud|
hplvvlrq vshfwurvfrs|1 Xowudplfurvfrs|/ 5;=89893/ +4<;<,1
^5:` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq dqg G1E1 Zlooldpv1 H>hfw ri irlo wklfnqhvv rq txdqwl?fdwlrq ri
HGV vshfwud1 Lq= S1H1 Uxvvhoo/ hglwru/ Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ ss1 8348839/ Vdq
Iudqflvfr/ +4<;<,1 Vdq Iudqflvfr Suhvv1
^5;` V1 D1 Pÿoohu/ N1 Q1 Jroglh/ U1 Eÿunl/ U1 Kçulqj/ dqg D1 Hqjho1 Idfwruv
lq xhqflqj wkh suhflvlrq ri txdqwlwdwlyh vfdqqlqj wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq plfurv0
frs|1 Xowudplfurvfrs|/ 79=64:8667/ +4<<5,1
^5<` D1G1 Urplj Mu1/ V1M1 Solpswrq/ M1U1 Plfkdho/ U1O1 P|nohexvw/ dqg G1H1 Qhzexu|1
Dssolfdwlrq ri sdudooho frpsxwlqj wr wkh Prqwh Fduor vlpxodwlrq ri hohfwurq
vfdwwhulqj lq vrolgv= D udslg phkwrg iru sur?oh ghfrqyroxwlrq1 Lq= M1U1 Plfkdho
dqg S1 Lqjudp/ hglwruv/ Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ ss1 5:885;3/ Vdq Iudqflvfr/ +4<<3,1
Vdq Iudqflvfr suhvv1
^63` M1U1 Plfkdho1 Wkh h>hfw ri vshflphq wklfnqhvv dqg hohfwurq sureh fkdudfwhulvwlfv
rq wkh {0ud| vsdwldo uhvroxwlrq lq dqdo|wlfdo hohfwurq plfurvfrs|1 Lq= S1H1 Uxvvhoo/
hglwru/ Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ ss1 7<98833/ Vdq Iudqflvfr/ +4<;<,1 Vdq Iudqflvfr
suhvv1
^64` M1U1 Plfkdho/ D1G1 Urplj Mu1/ dqg M1L1 Jrogvwhlq1 Wklq ?op {0ud| txdqwlwdwlrq=
Qhz lqvljkwv zlwk wkh dlg ri prqwh fduor fdofxodwlrqv1 yroxph 7</ Er{ 9;33/ Vdq
Iudqflvfr/ FD <743409;33/ XVD/ +4<<4,1 Vdq Iudqflvfr Suhvv/ Lqf1
9;
Fkdswhu 9
H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
Wkh frqfhsw ri shuiruplqj dffxudwh txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|wlfdo phdvxuhphqwv uhtxluhv
d fulwlfdo orrn dw wkh ghvljq ri wkh WHP= Lq jhqhudo WHP*v duh qrw surgxfhg iru
dffxudwh phdvxuhphqwv ri [0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv/ frqwudu| wr HPSD*v1 Odujh dprxqwv ri
vwud| [0ud| udgldwlrq pd| ruljlqdwh iurp vfdwwhuhg hohfwurqv dqg rwkhu hohfwurqv wkdw
duh ghyldwhg iurp wkh pdlq ehdp sdwk1 Orz edfnjurxqg vshflphq kroghuv vkrxog
eh xvhg lq rughu wr plqlplvh vwud| udgldwlrq1 Ixuwkhupruh/ dqdo|wlfdo phdvxuhphqwv
uhtxluh d vwdeoh ehdp fxuuhqw ryhu dw ohdvw vhyhudo plqxwhv xs wr dv pxfk dv d frxsoh
ri krxuv1 Wklv uhtxluhv dq h{wuhpho| vwdeoh ehdp fxuuhqw dqg suhihudeo| d ehdp
fxuuhqw phwhu wr fkhfn wkh dfwxdo ehdp fxuuhqw1 Pruhryhu/ iru dqdo|vlv zh zrxog olnh
wr h{suhvv wkh [0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv lq fsv2qD +frxqwv shu vhfrqg shu qD,/ zklfk uhtxluhv
d ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu1
Wdnlqj wkhvh frqvlghudwlrqv lqwr dffrxqw zh pdgh vrph dowhudwlrqv wr wkh
ghvljq ri wkh kdugzduh ri rxu WHP/ dv zloo eh ghvfulehg lq wklv fkdswhu1 Lw vkrxog
eh qrwhg fohduo| wkdw lw zdv qrw rxu lqwhqwlrq wr exlog d qhzo| ghvljqhg dqdo|wlfdo
WHP1 Wkhuhiruh/ doo fkdqjhv zhuh pdgh dv prgl?fdwlrqv dqg2ru lpsuryhphqwv wr
wkh plfurvfrsh/ lq vxfk d zd| wkdw wkh| fdq eh hdvlo| xvhg ru lpsohphqwhg rq rwkhu
v|vwhpv wrr1
9<
Fkdswhu 91 H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
914
91414
Lqwurgxfwlrq wr htxlsphqw dqg dqdo|wlfdo phd0
vxuhphqwv
Lqlwldo vhwxs ri wkh WHP
Wkh dqdo|wlfdo phdvxuhphqwv shuiruphg wr fkhfn wkh dssolfdelolw| ri wkh qhz dqdo|vlv
phwkrg sursrvhg lq wklv wkhvlv kdyh ehhq shuiruphg rq d Mhro 5333 I[ WHP/ htxlsshg
zlwk dq HP0DVLG 53 Vfdqqlqj Wudqvplvvlrq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrsh +VWHP, xqlw1 D
Vhfrqgdu| Hohfwurq Lpdjh +VHL, ghwhfwru dqg d Wudqvplwwhg Hohfwurq Lpdjh +WHL,
ghwhfwru zhuh xvhg iru wkh lpdjh irupdwlrq lq vfdqqlqj prgh wr rewdlq vxuidfh dqg
wudqvplvvlrq lpdjhv/ uhvshfwlyho|1
Wkh Mhro 5333 I[ lv htxlsshg zlwk d f|olqgulfdo frsshu fdjh +?j 914, durxqg
wkh vshflphq fkdpehu/ dwwdfkhg wr d vpdoo Ghzdu dvn iru oltxlg qlwurjhq frrolqj e|
d wklfn/ khdw frqgxfwlqj/ frsshu vwuls1 Wklv dfwv dv f|olqgulfdo frog ?qjhu wr uhgxfh
vshflphq frqwdplqdwlrq1 Wkh frsshu fdjh kdv d wklfn wrs dqg erwwrp dshuwxuh sodwh
pdgh rxw ri fduerq wr uhgxfh hohfwurq dqg [0ud| vfdwwhulqj1 Wklv odujho| uhgxfhv
wkh dprxqw ri [0ud|v fdxjkw e| wkh HGV/ wkdw gr qrw ruljlqdwh iurp wkh vshflphq
exw dulvh iurp vfdwwhulqj ri hohfwurqv wr wkh ohqv srohslhfh ru rwkhu froxpq sduwv1
Ehvlghv wkh fhqwuh ehdp kroh/ wkh fduerq sodwh kdv d vhfrqg kroh/ zklfk dfwv dv
fduerq froolpdwru iru d :3ï wdnhr> dqjoh HG[ ghwhfwru1 Ixuwkhupruh wkh frsshu fdjh
kdv vhyhudo rshqlqjv iru ydulrxv ghwhfwruv1
Lq wkh lqlwldo vhwxs dq HGV zdv prxqwhg dw 3ï wdnhr> dqjoh/ l1h1/ sdudooho wr
wkh vshflphq sodqh1 Wklv vrphzkdw xqxvxdo vhwxs r>huhg wkh srvvlelolw| wr xvh d
srvlwlyh ru qhjdwlyh vshflphq wlow dqjoh dqg ghwhfw [0ud|v iurp hlwkhu wkh xsshu ru
wkh orzhu vlgh ri wkh vshflphq1 Wkh odwwhu vlwxdwlrq zdv vdlg wr kdyh wkh dgydqwdjh
ri ohvv qxlvdqfh ri frqwdplqdwlrq vlqfh wkh frqwdplqdwlrq exlogxs rq wkh erwwrp vlgh
ri wkh vshflphq lv voljkwo| orzhu wkdq rq wkh xsshu vlgh1 D glvdgydqwdjh lv/ krzhyhu/
wkdw wkh lqflghqw ehdp lv qrw shushqglfxodu wr wkh vshflphq lq wklv wlowhg vlwxdwlrq1
Wklv uhtxluhv dq h{wud wlow fruuhfwlrq lq wkh pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudp1 Wkh HGV
xvhg zdv d Qrudq HGV +w|sh= WQ0<<0956H 6287v, zlwk v|qwkhwlf xowud wklq QRUYDU
zlqgrz1
D Wudfru +qrz Qrudq, WQ 8835 v|vwhp lv xvhg iru wkh uhfruglqj ri HGV
vshfwud dqg shdn ?wv iru [0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv/ dqg lv dovr xvhg iru wkh ehdp frqwuro
wr uhfrug olqhvfdqv lq VWHP prgh1 Wkh shdn ?wwlqj +?wwlqj ri xqnqrzq shdnv wr
suhylrxvo| uhfrughg uhihuhqfh shdnv, lv shuiruphg e| edfnjurxqg vxewudfwlrq xvlqj
d wrs0kdw ?owhu ^4` +d pdwkhpdwlfdo ghvfulswlrq fdq eh irxqg lq ^5`,/ dqg d pxowlsoh
ohdvw vtxduhv ?wwlqj surfhgxuh1 Wkh gljlwdo wrs0kdw ?owhu fdqfhov rxw vorz yduldwlrqv
lq wkh vshfwuxp/ khqfh uhprylqj wkh edfnjurxqg zkloh nhhslqj wkh idvw fkdqjhv lq
wkh vshfwuxp/ surgxfhg e| jhqxlqh fkdudfwhulvwlf shdnv/ lqwdfw1 Diwhu edfnjurxqg
:3
Lqwurgxfwlrq wr htxlsphqw dqg dqdo|wlfdo phdvxuhphqwv 9141
&RROLQJ#VWULS
('6#KROH
%HDP#KROH
Iljxuh 9141 Wrs ylhz ri wkh frsshu frog0?qjhu zlwk wkh fduerq froolpdwru rq wrs=
Fohduo| ylvleoh lv wkh froolpdwru kroh iru :3 ü wdnhr> HGV1
vxewudfwlrq/ d pxowlsoh ohdvw vtxduhv urxwlqh lv xvhg wr ?w wkh vshfwudo shdnv wr
wkh suhylrxvo| uhfrughg uhihuhqfh shdnv +edfnjurxqg dovr vxewudfwhg,1 Lq idfw/ wkh
vshfwuxp lv uhfrqvwuxfwhg e| vfdolqj wkh vhsdudwh uhihuhqfh shdn vshfwud/ wr pdwfk
wkh revhuyhg shdnv iurp wkh vshflphq1 Wkh vfdolqj idfwruv +zklfk duh htxlydohqw wr
wkh n0udwlrv, duh rswlplvhg wr |lhog wkh plqlpxp vtxduhg ghyldwlrq iru hdfk srlqw lq
wkh uhfrughg vshfwuxp lq uhodwlrq wr wkh frqvwuxfwhg vshfwuxp=
"5 @
q
[
l@4
#
+|l ý |çl ,5
âl5
$
@ +q ý p,
+914,
zkhuh |l lv wkh lwk ?owhuhg srlqw dqg âl5 lv wkh yduldqfh ri wkdw srlqw lq wkh
vshfwuxp ehlqj ?wwhg1 p ghqrwhv wkh qxpehu ri uhihuhqfh vshfwud dqg q wkh qxpehu
ri srlqwv lq wkh vshfwuxp iru zklfk uhihuhqfhv duh gh?qhg1 |çl lv wkh lwk srlqw/ fdofxodwhg
e| dgglqj doo wkh srlqwv iurp wkh ?owhuhg uhihuhqfhv/ Ulm / vfdohg e| wkh vfdolqj idfwru
:4
Fkdswhu 91 H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
idfwruv Dm +m ghqrwhv wkh uhihuhqfh hohphqw,=
|çl @
q
[
Dm Ulm
+915,
m@4
Wkh txdolw| ri wkh ?w fdq eh mxgjhg e| wkh ydoxh ri wkh plqlplvhg "5 > d shuihfw ?w
uhvxowv lq "5 @ 4/ d srru ?w uhvxowv lq d kljk ydoxh ri "5 1
Wklv phwkrg ri uhihuhqfh shdn ?wwlqj lv deoh wr ghdo zlwk ryhuodsslqj vshfwudo
shdnv1 Ghfrqyroxwlrq lv vlpso| rewdlqhg e| vhdufklqj wkh ehvw ohdvw vtxduh ?w iru
pxowlsoh shdnv lq rqh duhd1
915
91514
Sureohpv dqg wkhlu vroxwlrqv
HGV wdnhr> dqjoh
Wkh lqlwldo 3ï wdnh0r> dqjoh ri wkh HGV lpsolhg wkh xvh ri d wlowhg vshflphq1 Vlqfh
wkh h{flwdwlrq yroxph dqg wkh * +ã}, fxuyh fkdqjh zkhq wkh vshflphq lv wlowhg zlwk
uhvshfw wr wkh hohfwurq ehdp/ wklv zdv qrw yhu| frqyhqlhqw iru wkh uhvhdufk rq wkh
qhz dqdo|vlv phwkrg/ ehfdxvh lw dgghg d qxpehu ri frpsolfdwlrqv wr vwduw zlwk1 Zh
zdqwhg wr nhhs wkh prghoolqj dv vwudljkwiruzdug dv srvvleoh1 Wkhuhiruh wkh ghwhfwru
zdv uhpryhg dqg uhexlow wr ?w wkh 73ï wlowhg sruw dydlodeoh rq wkh froxpq ri wkh I[
53331 Wkh fu|vwdo lq wkh ghwhfwru lv dovr wlowhg/ 63ï zlwk uhvshfw wr wkh ghwhfwru qr}}oh/
uhvxowlqj lq dq h>hfwlyh wdnh0r> dqjoh ri :3ï 1
91515
Xvlqj exon vwdqgdugv
Wkh sursrvhg phwkrg ri xvlqj * +ã}, edvhg ixoo pdwul{ prghoolqj/ xwlolvhv exon vwdq0
gdugv/ xvxdoo| sxuh hohphqwv1 Vlqfh wkh h{flwdwlrq yroxph lq d exon vdpsoh lv pdq|
wlphv odujhu wkdq wkdw lq d wklq WHP vshflphq/ wkh xvh ri exon vwdqgdugv zlwk vlplodu
ehdp fxuuhqwv dv xvhg rq d wklq WHP vshflphq/ zrxog ohdg wr kxjh [0ud| frxqw udwhv
iurp wkh exon vshflphqv/ fkrnlqj wkh HGV ghwhfwru1 Wkhuhiruh d vroxwlrq kdg wr eh
irxqg wr uhgxfh wkh [0ud| |lhog lq d frqwuroodeoh zd|1 Wzr vroxwlrqv wr wklv sureohp
frxog eh frqvlghuhg=
î Fkdqjlqj wkh froohfwlrq dqjoh +vrolg dqjoh, ri wkh HGV/ e| sduwldoo| vfuhhqlqj
wkh ghwhfwru lq fdvh ri d phdvxuhphqw rq d exon vdpsoh1 Wklv frxog eh uhdolvhg
e|/ iru h{dpsoh/ xvlqj d frqwuroodeoh dshuwxuh/ ru e| prylqj wkh ghwhfwru ixuwkhu
dzd| iurp wkh vshflphq1
î Fkdqjlqj wkh lqflghqw hohfwurq ehdp fxuuhqw1
:5
Sureohpv dqg wkhlu vroxwlrqv 9151
Wkh ?uvw lghd lv qrw dssolfdeoh1 Prylqj wkh ghwhfwru dzd| iurp wkh vshflphq
grhv qrw zrun vlqfh lw kdv d wlowhg fu|vwdo> wkh [0ud| sdwk iurp wkh vshflphq wr wkh
fu|vwdo zloo eh vfuhhqhg lq dq xqfrqwuroodeoh zd| e| wkh fduerq froolpdwru1 Xvlqj d
frqwuroodeoh dshuwxuh lv d srvvleoh vroxwlrq/ krzhyhu/ wkhuh lv olwwoh vsdfh wr prxqw
vxfk dq dshuwxuh ehwzhhq wkh fu|vwdo lq wkh HGV dqg wkh fduerq froolpdwru lq wkh
WHP1
Fkdqjlqj wkh ehdp fxuuhqw lv d ehwwhu vroxwlrq exw uhtxluhv wkdw wkh ehdp
fxuuhqw fdq eh phdvxuhg dffxudwho| ryhu pdq| ghfdghv1 Wklv lv qhfhvvdu| ehfdxvh
wkh n0udwlrv duh fdofxodwhg xvlqj wkh lqwhqvlwlhv lq frxqwv2slfrdpsüvhfrqgv +wklv lv
h{dfwo| wkh surfhgxuh rq dq HSPD,=
n@
LD lE WE
LE lD WD
+916,
Zkhuh LD lv wkh lqwhqvlw| ri wkh fkdudfwhulvwlf olqh ri hohphqw D dqg lD dqg WD duh wkh
dffrpsdq|lqj ehdp fxuuhqw dqg dftxlvlwlrq wlph/ uhvshfwlyho|1 Ydu|lqj wkh hohfwurq
ehdp fxuuhqw uhtxluhv= 4, wkh kdugzduh rq wkh plfurvfrsh wr fkdqjh wkh ehdp fxuuhqw/
suhihudeo| frqwlqxrxv> 5, wkh srvvlelolw| wr phdvxuh wkh ehdp fxuuhqw yhu| dffxudwho|
+vhh 916,1
91516
Ehdp fxuuhqw dqg vwdelolw|
Fkdqjlqj wkh ehdp fxuuhqw lq wkh plfurvfrsh fdq eh grqh e| fkdqjlqj wkh frqghqvhu
ohqv dshuwxuh/ ru fkdqjlqj wkh vsrwvl}h dqg2ru e| fkdqjlqj wkh eldv vhwwlqjv1 Wkh Mhro
5333 I[ kdv 6 vsrwvl}hv dydlodeoh lq VWHP prgh +V/P dqg O +dqg I prgh lq Orz
pdjql?fdwlrq,, dqg kdv 8 uhsodfhdeoh frqghqvhu ohqv dshuwxuhv1 Wkh dshuwxuhv zhuh
fkrvhq lq d odujh udqjh wr jhw d odujh ehdp fxuuhqw udqjh1 Vshfldo vpdoo dshuwxuhv/
vl}h 8 dqg 43 çp/ zhuh sxufkdvhg lq rughu wr xvh yhu| vpdoo ehdp fxuuhqwv qhhghg
iru phdvxuhphqwv rq wkh exon vwdqgdugv1 Wkh odujhu dshuwxuhv xvhg zhuh vwdqgdug
Mhro dshuwxuhv +53/ 453 dqg 533 çp,1 Wrjhwkhu zlwk wkh dydlodeoh vsrwvl}hv/ zklfk
surylgh urxjko| d idfwru 43 gl>huhqfh lq ehdp fxuuhqw/ wkh wrwdo ehdp fxuuhqw udqjh
fryhuv pruh wkdq 7 ghfdghv1 Wkh eldv vhwwlqj fdq eh xvhg iru ?qh dgmxvwphqwv ri wkh
ehdp fxuuhqw1 D iuhh ohqv frqwuro +dydlodeoh iurp Mhro, zrxog r>hu d frqwlqxrxv ehdp
fxuuhqw frqwuro1 Xqiruwxqdwho|/ wklv zdv qrw dw rxu glvsrvdo1
Hyhq zlwk d ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu/ wkh ehdp vkrxog eh vwdeoh gxulqj d w|slfdo
dqdo|vlv/ zklfk fdq wdnh xs wr vhyhudo plqxwhv1 Xqiruwxqdwho|/ zh zhuh qrw deoh wr
jhw vwdeoh ehdp fxuuhqwv +phdvxuhg zlwk rxu Sureh Fxuuhqw Ghwhfwru ghvfulehg odwhu,
zlwk wkh lqlwldoo| xvhg FhE9 ?odphqw1 D vwdeoh ehdp fxuuhqw frxog eh rewdlqhg zlwk
d Wxqjvwhq ?odphqw/ dqg wkhuhiruh prvw h{shulphqwv ghvfulehg lq wklv wkhvlv zhuh
shuiruphg zlwk wkh Wxqjvwhq ?odphqw1 Diwhu d orqj vhdufk/ lq frrshudwlrq zlwk wkh
:6
Fkdswhu 91 H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
vhuylfh hqjlqhhuv ri Mhro/ wkh ruljlq ri sureohp zdv hyhqwxdoo| irxqg wr eh lq wkh
frqwdfwv lq wkh Kljk Yrowdjh wdqn/ dqg vroyhg1
Gxulqj wkh vhdufk iru wkh ?odphqw sureohp/ lw zdv qrwlfhg wkdw roghu ?odphqwv
jdyh ulvh wr ehdp lqvwdelolwlhv1 Sduw ri wkh ehdp lqvwdelolwlhv zhuh fdxvhg e| edg
frqwdfwv ehwzhhq ?odphqw fu|vwdo +lq fdvh ri d FhE9 ru OdE9 ?odphqw, dqg prxqwlqj
zluhv/ fdxvhg e| vpdoo fudfnv lq wkh fu|vwdo prxqw dqg wkh fu|vwdo lwvhoi1 Wkhvh fudfnv
rffxuuhg dv d uhvxow ri wrr idvw khdwlqj ri wkh ?odphqw1 Dq dxwrpdwlf ?odphqw khdwlqj
xqlw zdv lqvwdoohg/ hqvxulqj vorz dqg vprrwk ?odphqw khdwlqj dqg d surorqjhg olihwlph
ri wkh ?odphqw1
91517
HGV vwdelolw|
Gxulqj wkh phdvxuhphqwv/ wkh HGV sdudphwhuv zhuh nhsw dv vwdeoh dv srvvleoh= Vlqfh
n0udwlrv duh phdvxuhg/ prvw sdudphwhuv zloo fdqfho rxw lq wkh udwlr ehfdxvh wkh|
lq xhqfh wkh phdvxuhphqw rq erwk vwdqgdug dqg vshflphq +vdph [0ud| hqhuj| dqg
olqh, lq wkh vdph zd|1
Lq rughu wr nhhs wkh glvwdqfh ehwzhhq ghwhfwru fu|vwdo dqg vshflphq frqvwdqw/
dqg wkhuhiruh nhhslqj wkh froohfwlrq0 ru vrolg0dqjoh wkh vdph/ wkh ]0srvlwlrq ri wkh
vshflphq vkrxog eh wkh vdph dw hyhu| phdvxuhphqw1 Krzhyhu/ iru vshflphq dqg
vwdqgdugv/ gl>huhqw kroghuv duh xvhg1 Ixuwkhupruh/ qrw doo exon vwdqgdugv kdyh wkh
vdph khljkw1 Wr nhhs wkh vxuidfh ri wkh vshflphq ru vwdqgdug lq wkh vdph ]0srvlwlrq
hyhu| wlph/ wkh vxuidfh zdv doljqhg wr wkh hxfhqwulf srvlwlrq ri wkh vwdjh= Wklv lv d
phfkdqlfdoo| ?{hg srvlwlrq/ frpsohwho| lqghshqghqw ri plfurvfrsh vhwwlqjv ru vdpsoh1
916
Qhz ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu
Dv phqwlrqhg ehiruh/ d Sureh Fxuuhqw Ghwhfwru +SFG, zdv qhhghg lq rughu wr fkhfn
ehdp fxuuhqw vwdelolw| dqg wr phdvxuh wkh h{dfw ehdp fxuuhqw/ vr wkh [0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv
frxog eh h{suhvvhg lq fsv2qDv1 Wr ghvljq d uholdeoh SFG/ vrph h{shulphqwv zhuh
shuiruphg lq zklfk gl>huhqw rswlrqv zhuh whvwhg1 Wkh uhvxowv ri wkhvh h{shulphqwv
duh ghvfulehg lq wkh qh{w fkdswhu1 Qh{w/ dq ryhuylhz lv jlyhq ri wkh SFG ghvljq
frqvlghudwlrqv1
91614
SFG ghvljq
Wkh Jdwdq orz0edfnjurxqg kroghu/ zklfk zh kdg dw rxu glvsrvdo/ zdv surylghg zlwk
d Idudgd| fxs zlwk dq hohfwulfdo frqqhfwlrq wr d soxj dw wkh hqg ri wkh vshflphq
kroghu1 Lqvshfwlrq ri wklv Idudgd| fxs vkrzhg/ krzhyhu/ wkdw lw zdv idu iurp shuihfw
dqg glg qrw |lhog dffxudwh hqrxjk ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqwv1 Wkh soxj surylghg
:7
Qhz ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu 9161
iru wkh hohfwulfdo frqqhfwlrq wr d fxuuhqw phwhu fdxvhg qrlvh/ srru frqwdfw dqg d odujh
yrowdjh r>vhw fdxvhg e| hohfwurfkhplfdoo| lqgxfhg yrowdjhv1 Zh uhsodfhg wkh soxj e|
d orz qrlvh wuld{ldo soxj1 Shukdsv wkh odujhvw sureohp ri doo zdv wkdw wkh Idudgd| fxs
rq wkh kroghu lv lqfrqyhqlhqw vlqfh lw lv doprvw lpsrvvleoh wr uhwxuq wr wkh dqdo|vlv
orfdwlrq diwhu hdfk ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw1
Khqfh/ d pruh vxlwdeoh SFG kdg wr eh ghvljqhg1 Wkh SFG kdg wr eh lqvhuwdeoh
lqwr wkh ehdp/ lqghshqghqwo| ri wkh vshflphq kroghu= Iru wklv sxusrvh wkh phfkdqlfdo
sduw ri d edfnvfdwwhuhg hohfwurq ghwhfwru 0 pdgh e| Mhro Qhwkhuodqgv 0 zdv xvhg1 Wkh
wls ri wklv ghwhfwru/ zklfk lv qrupdoo| lqvhuwhg mxvw deryh wkh vshflphq dqg krogv wkh
5 edfnvfdwwhuhg hohfwurq ghwhfwru hohphqwv/ zdv uhsodfhg e| dq hohfwulfdoo| lvrodwhg
wls1 D vklhoghg hohfwulfdo frqqhfwlrq zdv pdgh ehwzhhq wkh wls dqg d vshfldo Nhlwkoh|
orz vljqdo soxj/ prxqwhg dw wkh hqg ri wkh EH ghwhfwru phfkdqlfdo sduw +?jxuh 915
vkrzv wkh EHL sduw/ zlwk qhz wls dqg soxj,1
Iljxuh 9151 Sureh Fxuuhqw Ghwhfwru +SFG, zlwk prxqwlqj dqjh lq wkh plggoh1 Wkh
phfkdqlfdo sduw lv edvhg rq d EHL ghwhfwru/ zlwk d gl>huhqw wls +ohiw, dqg wuld{ldo orz
qrlvh frqqhfwru rq wkh uhdu vlgh +uljkw,1
Wkh ?uvw lghd zdv wr xvh d Idudgd| fxs rq wkh lqvhuwdeoh SFG wls/ lq rughu wr
fdswxuh 433( ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw1 Krzhyhu/ wzr sureohpv durvh1 Iluvwo|/ wkh yhuwlfdo
vsdfh dydlodeoh zdv rqo| 518 pp lq rughu wr pdlqwdlq hqrxjk vdihw| glvwdqfh wr wkh
fduerq dshuwxuh dqg wr wkh vshflphq lq wlowhg srvlwlrq1 Wklv uhtxluhg d volp Idudgd|
fxs ghvljq1 Vhfrqgo|/ lq rughu wr fdswxuh wkh frpsohwh ehdp/ dw dq| ehdp srvlwlrq/
wkh ehdp hqwudqfh kroh ri wkh fkdpehu0olnh Idudgd| fxs kdg wr eh txlwh odujh1 Wkhvh
uhtxluhphqwv zrxog ohdg wr wkh frqvwuxfwlrq ri d Idudgd| fxs zklfk lv qrw deoh wr
fdswxuh 433( ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw/ pdnlqj lw xquholdeoh1
Wkh dowhuqdwlyh zdv wr gurs wkh ghpdqg ri fdswxulqj 433( ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw/
dqg wr eh vdwlv?hg zlwk d uholdeoh phdvxuhphqw ri d ?{hg shufhqwdjh ri wkh ehdp
fxuuhqw1 Wklv zdv grqh e| xvlqj d srolvkhg dqg fduerq frdwhg dw SFG wls/ vwloo
wklfn hqrxjk wr vwrs grzq wkh lqflghqw hohfwurqv frpsohwho|1 Dowkrxjk vxfk d dw
:8
Fkdswhu 91 H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
wls zloo hplw vhfrqgdu| dqg edfnvfdwwhuhg hohfwurqv/ wkh fxuuhqwv lqyroyhg zlwk wklv
duh d ?{hg shufhqwdjh ri wkh wrwdo ehdp fxuuhqw +dw rqh vshfl?f dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh,1
Vlqfh wkh lqsxw sdudphwhuv iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv duh n0udwlrv/ wkh shufhqwdjh ri
wkh dfwxdo ehdp fxuuhqw fdqfhov rxw lq wkh udwlr +htxdwlrq 916,/ dqg wkhuhiruh lv qrw
uhohydqw1
Wkh ?qdo ghvljq ri wkh wls zdv dq doxplqlxp wls zlwk d srolvkhg lqvhuw ri
ylwuhrxv fduerq dw wkh hohfwurq ehdp fdswxulqj srvlwlrq dqg d vsxwwhuhg fduerq
frdwlqj ?qlvk rq wrs1 Wkh xvh ri fduerq/ ehlqj d oljkw hohphqw/ uhvxowv lq orz dprxqwv
ri edfnvfdwwhuhg dqg vhfrqgdu| hohfwurqv1 Wkhuhiruh/ pruh wkdq <3( ri wkh wrwdo ehdp
fxuuhqw fdq eh fdswxuhg1
91615
Fxuuhqw phwhu
Iru wkh dfwxdo fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw/ d 9845 Nhlwkoh| hohfwurphwhu zdv xvhg dv d
fxuuhqw phwhu1 Zlwk vrph dgylfh iurp Nhlwkoh| d uholdeoh/ orz qrlvh/ orz fxuuhqw
phdvxulqj ghylfh zdv vhwxs1 Orz qrlvh wuld{ldo/ grxeoh vklhoghg frqqhfwruv +FV0964,
dqg orz qrlvh fdeohv +VF055, zhuh xvhg wr frqqhfw wkh phwhu wr wkh SFG1 Wr suhyhqw
jurxqg orrs fxuuhqwv/ d fhqwudo vklhog jurxqglqj srlqw zdv fkrvhq dw wkh fxuuhqw phwhu
lqsxw1 Wkh 7 45 gljlw 9845 hohfwurphwhu kdv fxuuhqw phwhulqj udqjhv iurp 53 pD +÷
3148( uhdglqj . 4 çD, wr 5 sD +÷ 419( ugj1 . 919 iD,/ doorzlqj dffxudwh fxuuhqw
phwhulqj grzq wr ehdp fxuuhqwv ri 314 sD1
917
Fkrlfh ri v|vwhpv xvhg iru whvwlqj wkh ) E45ä wklq
?op prgho1
Lq rughu wr whvw wkh qhz dqdo|vlv phwkrg/ vshflphqv zlwk erwk uhodwlyho| kljk dqg
uhodwlyho| orz dwrplf qxpehu hohphqwv zhuh qhhghg1 Lq vxfk vshflphqv wkh fkdudf0
whulvwlf [0ud|v iurp wkh oljkw hohphqw duh kljko| devruehg zkloh wkh [0ud|v iurp wkh
kljkhu dwrplf qxpehu hohphqwv duh doprvw devruswlrq iuhh1 H{dpsohv ri vxfk v|vwhpv
duh Doxplqlxp lq frpelqdwlrq zlwk hohphqwv olnh Wlwdqlxp/ Qlfnho ru ]lufrqlxp1
D ixuwkhu uhtxluhphqw ri wkh whvw pdwhuldov lv wkdw wkh| fdq eh suhsduhg zlwk
h{dfw/ zhoo0nqrzq dqg krprjhqhrxv frpsrvlwlrqv dqg wkh| vkrxog eh vwdeoh hqrxjk
wr suhsduh wklq WHP vshflphqv/ hlwkhu e| phfkdqlfdo julqglqj frpelqhg zlwk lrq
ehdp ploolqj ru e| hohfwurfkhplfdo wklqqlqj dqg srolvklqj1
Wdnlqj wkhvh uhvwulfwlrqv lqwr dffrxqw/ wkh ?uvw whvwlqj wr ?qg rxw zkhwkhu wkh
* +ã}, *SUR]D* surjudp zrunv zhoo xs wr 533 nY/ zdv grqh xvlqj exon vwdqgdugv
dqg exon vshflphqv zlwk nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq> Dujrq duf phowhg elqdu| frpsrxqgv/
DoQl/ DoWl/ Do6 Wl/ Do6 Qe/ Do6 ]u7 / Do5 ]u/ DoDx5 zhuh xvhg/ wrjhwkhu zlwk sxuh Do/
:9
Fkrlfh ri v|vwhpv xvhg iru whvwlqj wkh * +ã}, wklq ?op prgho1 9171
Wdeoh 9141 Frpsrvlwlrq ri elqdu| frpsrxqgv xvhg iru vshflphqv dv phdvxuhg zlwk
HSPD1 Wkh suhvhqwhg ghyldwlrqv lqglfdwh wkh <8 ( frq?ghqfh udqjh dqg wkh ydoxhv
ehwzhhq eudfnhwv duh wkh frpsrvlwlrqv dffruglqj wr vwrlfklrphwu|1,
Frpsrxqg
DoQl
DoWl
Do6 Wl
Do6 Qe
Do6 ]u7
Do5 ]u
DoDx5
Dwrp ( Do
7;1< ÷ 316 +8313,
7<17 ÷ 31: +8313,
:61< ÷ 319 +:813,
:61; ÷ 315 +:813,
7516 ÷ 316 +751<,
971; ÷ 314 +991:,
651; ÷ 315 +6616,
Dwrp( P
8414 ÷ 316 +8313,
8319 ÷ 31: +8313,
5914 ÷ 319 +5813,
5915 ÷ 315 +5813,
8:1: ÷ 316 +8:14,
6815 ÷ 314 +6616,
9:15 ÷ 315 +991:,
Ql/ Wl/ Qe/ ]u/ dqg Dx vwdqgdugv1 Vxevhtxhqwo|/ wklq WHP vdpsohv zhuh suhsduhg
e| glpsoh julqglqj dqg lrq ploolqj ri wkh DoWl/ Do6 Wl/ DoQl dqg wkh Do6 ]u7 wr whvw
wklq ?op dqdo|vlv1
91714
Exon vshflphq frpsrvlwlrqv
Wkh frpsrvlwlrq ri doo vdpsohv zdv fkhfnhg lq rxu Mhro ;933 HSPD wdnlqj 63 dqdo|vlv
srlqwv +53 nY,1 Wkh dyhudjh n0udwlrv zhuh xvhg wr fdofxodwh wkh frpsrvlwlrqv xvlqj
wkh qhz *SUR]D<9* surjudp zlwk wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho1 Wkh Do6 Wl/ Do6 Qe/
Do6 ]u7 / dqg wkh Do5 ]u duh olqh frpsrxqgv/ zkloh wkh DoQl/ DoWl/ dqg wkh DoDx5 duh
qrw ^6`1 Wkh Do6 ]u7 vshflphq zdv irxqg wr frqwdlq vpdoo duhdv ri Do5 ]u6 skdvh1 Dq
ryhuylhz ri wkh HPSD dqdo|vlv uhvxowv lv vkrzq lq Wdeoh 9141
Wkh uhvxowv ri wkhvh HSPD dqdo|vhv duh frpsduhg zlwk wkh WHP dqdo|vlv
uhvxowv rewdlqhg odwhu dqg zklfk duh wr eh suhvhqwhg lq wkh qh{w fkdswhu1
91715
Xvhg suhsdudwlrq whfkqltxhv
Wkh vdpsohv dv zhoo dv wkh vwdqgdugv zhuh suhsduhg e| phfkdqlfdo julqglqj dqg
srolvklqj1 Hohfwurfkhplfdo srolvklqj zdv dssolhg iru wkh ?uvw doxplqlxp vwdqgdugv
dqg iru dq DoQl vshflphq/ exw wkhvh vshflphqv zhuh glvfdughg vlqfh srolvklqj zdv
qrw shuihfw dqg wkh phwkrg frxog qrw eh dssolhg wr rewdlq d jrrg exon vwdqgdug lq
wkh fdvh ri doxplqlxp ehfdxvh wkh ?qdo vshflphq wklfnqhvv zdv wrr vpdoo1
Diwhu wklqqlqj wkh pdwhuldo grzq zlwk frduvh julqglqj sdshu wr volfhv ri derxw
4 pp wklfnqhvv/ 6 pp glvfv zhuh fxw rxw e| xowudvrqlf guloolqj/ +ru lq fdvh ri pruh
eulwwoh pdwhuldo/ vdzlqj vtxduhv dqg vlpso| julqglqj wkhp wr 6 pp urxqg glvfv e|
kdqg,1 Vxevhtxhqwo|/ lqlwldo wklqqlqj ri doo pdwhuldov zdv grqh e| julqglqj rq VlF
julqglqj sdshu xvlqj julw vl}hv +Hxurshdq, 933/ 4533/ 5833 dqg 73331 Ilqdoo| wkh
::
Fkdswhu 91 H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
Wdeoh 9151 Srolvklqj phwkrgv xvhg iru sxuh hohphqwv vwdqgdugv dqg exon elqdu| frp0
srxqgv1
Pdwhuldo
Do
Wl2Ql2Fr
]u2Qe
Qe
DoWl2Do6 ]u7
DoQl2DoDx5
DoQe6
4
5
forwk
w|sh I4
w|sh I4
u
K|gursdo ð
Do +Kduwihow ) Fr1,
5
w|sh F05
w|sh I4
w|sh F055
u
K|gursdo ð
Do +Kduwihow ) Fr1,
srolvklqj djhqw
u
Kljk frqf1 Ilqdoð
+VlR5 ,
u
ð
Ilqdo +VlR5 ,
Zdwhu +dfwlyh srolvklqj glvf,
6çp/ 4çp Gldprqg lq Wulsoh
Ilqdo +VlR5 ,
4çp/ 3158çp Gldprqg
Zdwhu
u
ð
Vshfldo forwk iru VlR5 vroxwlrq/ sxufkdvhg iurp *Yrv hq ydq Hlmn Phwdooxujlh*
Ilqh orz sroh forwk/ sxufkdvhg iurp *Yrv hq ydq Hlmn Phwdooxujlh*
pdwhuldov zhuh srolvkhg e| wkh phdqv lqglfdwhg lq wdeoh 9151 Wkh ?qdo exon whvw
vshflphqv zhuh dssur{lpdwho| 318 pp wklfn zklfk lv lq doo fdvhv wklfn hqrxjk wr vwrs
grzq lqflghqw hohfwurqv ri 533 nY frpsohwho|1
Diwhu wkh exon phdvxuhphqwv kdg ehhq shuiruphg/ WHP wklq ?op vshflphqv
zhuh suhsduhg rxw ri exon vdpsohv1 Ixuwkhu wklqqlqj iurp rqh vlgh wr derxw 315 pp
zdv dssolhg/ iroorzhg e| glpsoh julqglqj xvlqj d Jdwdq glpsoh julqghu zlwk 53 pp
frsshu zkhhov zlwk 9 çp dqg 4 çp gldprqg lq rlo/ iroorzhg e| d ?qdo srolvk zlwk
u
srolvklqj zkhho dqg Do5 R6 ru VlR5 +Ilqdo ð
,/ grzq wr 43 0 53 çp wklfnqhvv lq wkh
fhqwuh ri wkh glpsoh1 Lrq ehdp ploolqj zdv xvhg wr rewdlq wkh ?qdo vshflphqv1
91716
Vwdqgdugv
Iluvwo|/ 6 pp exon vshflphqv iurp sxuh phwdov zhuh xvhg dv vwdqgdug pdwhuldov1
Wkh srolvkhg exon vdpsohv zhuh prxqwhg lq wkh Jdwdq orz edfnjurxqg kroghu1 Wklv
ghpdqghg fkdqjlqj lq dqg rxw wkh vshflphq kroghu iru hdfk qhz vwdqgdug1
Odwhu/ d vshfldo vohgjh0w|sh plql kroghu zdv pdgh rxw ri kljk fduerq frqwhqw
hsr{| pdwhuldo +vhh Iljxuh 916,1 Wklv orz edfnjurxqg plql kroghu zlwk wkh vwdqgdugv
zdv wkhq prxqwhg lq d jhqhudo0sxusrvh Mhro exon kroghu +vhh Iljxuh 917,1 Wkh plql
kroghu zdv proghg iurp WHP hpehgglqj hsr{| uhvlq +845 sroduehg . PQD, zlwk
dssur{lpdwho| 6 yroxph sduwv fohdq +khdwhg dqg ydfxxp wuhdwhg, dfwlyh fduerq
+wklv lv ?qho| vwuxfwxuhg/ dpruskrxv fduerq zklfk zloo qrw vphdu gxulqj julqglqj
ru srolvklqj,1 Ilqdoo|/ wkh plql kroghu zdv jrog frdwhg rq wkh edfnvlgh wr dfklhyh
rswlpdo hohfwulfdo frqwdfw wr wkh exon kroghu1
Wkh vwdqgdugv wkhpvhoyhv zhuh 317 0 318 pp wklfn/ 418 { 6 pp zlgh vwulsv ri
srolvkhg pdwhuldo +fdq eh srolvkhg lq exon, zklfk fdq eh volg lqwr wkh plql kroghu1
:;
Vriwzduh 9181
Iljxuh 9161 Plql exon vwdqgdugv kroghu/ pdgh ri Fduerq ?oohg sro|phu/ wr eh prxqwhg
lqwr d jhqhudo exon vshflphq kroghu
Xvlqj wklv v|vwhp/ xs wr derxw 9 vwdqgdugv fdq eh srvlwlrqhg lq dq dvvhpeo| wr
irup d eorfn ri vwdqgdugv1 Vpdoohu exon sduwlfohv fdq eh hpehgghg lqwr wkh vdph
fduerq0frqwdlqlqj uhvlq wr vlploduo| vkdshg vwdqgdug vwulsv1 Wklv lv xvhixo zkhq wkh
exon pdwhuldo fdq qrw eh iruphg lqwr d 6 pp zlgh vwuls +h1j1 li rqo| vpdoo oxpsv
ru fu|vwdov duh dydlodeoh,1 Il{hg vwdqgdug eorfnv fdq eh pdgh xvlqj wkh vdph uhvlq
wr prxqw vhyhudo exon vwdqgdugv lqwr rqh eorfn1 Lw vkrxog eh qrwhg djdlq wkdw hdfk
vwdqgdug pxvw eh dw ohdvw 316 pp wklfn +iru Do lq d 533 nY plfurvfrsh, wr pdnh vxuh
wkdw wkh hohfwurqv duh frpsohwho| vwrsshg zlwklq wkh uhihuhqfh pdwhuldo1
918
Vriwzduh
Doo vshfwud duh dftxluhg xvlqj wkh Qrudq *PlfurT* surjudp1 Wkh shdn ?wwlqj lv dovr
shuiruphg lq PlfurT/ xvlqj xvhu gh?qhg uhihuhqfhv1 Wkh uhjlrqv ri lqwhuhvw +URL,
duh xvxdoo| wdnhq ryhu wkh hqwluh shdn +Nò . Nñ , zlwk vrph edfnjurxqg rq erwk
vlghv ri wkh shdn wr hqvxuh surshu shdn ?wwlqj1 Rffdvlrqdoo|/ d vlqjoh Nò 0olqh lv xvhg/
zkhq shdn vhsdudwlrq ehwzhhq Nò dqg Nñ lv odujh hqrxjk wr rewdlq dq dghtxdwh
edfnjurxqg ehwzhhq wkh wzr shdnv1
Olqhvfdqv/ w|slfdoo| frqvlvwlqj ri 63 srlqwv ryhu d udqjh ri 4 wr 53 çp/ duh
fduulhg rxw xvlqj wkh *DxwrT* frppdqg ri PlfurT/ ru e| d vlpsoh vfkhgxoh frqwuroolqj
dftxlvlwlrq dqg ehdp pryhphqw1 D vpdoo prgl?fdwlrq wr wkh PlfurT surjudp pdgh
lw srvvleoh wr vdyh hdfk vshfwuxp dftxluhg lq wkh olqhvfdqv/ vr doo surfhvvlqj frxog eh
grqh vhsdudwho| diwhuzdugv li qhhghg1 Doo vshfwud ri vwdqgdugv zhuh rewdlqhg xvlqj
pxowlsoh dqdo|vlv srlqwv ru lq vorz vfdq prgh/ wr plqlplvh huuruv gxh wr vxuidfh ghihfwv
:<
Fkdswhu 91 H{shulphqwdo surfhgxuhv
Iljxuh 9171 Vwdqgdugv eorfn prxqwhg lq wkh Mhro exon vshflphq kroghu1
ru vpdoo orfdo lqkrprjhqhlw|1
Wklq ?op * +ã}, fdofxodwlrqv ri frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv zhuh shuiruphg zlwk
wkh WID<<< surjudp ^7`^8`1 Wkh *SUR]D<9* surjudp ^9`zdv xvhg wr fdofxodwh fru0
uhfwlrq idfwruv qhhghg lq fdvh ri frpsrxqg exon vwdqgdugv1
919
Ilqdo vhwxs
Diwhu doo wkh prgl?fdwlrqv lq wkh vhwxs ri wkh WHP dqg lq wkh dqdo|vlv v|vwhp/ dv
ghvfulehg lq wklv fkdswhu wkh ?qdo vhwxs lv dv iroorzv=
î Mhro I[ 5333/ zlwk OdE9 ?odphqw zlwk dxwrpdwlf khdwlqj xqlw1 Frqghqvhu
dshuwxuhv 533/ 453/ 53/ 43 dqg 8 çp +314pp sodwlqxp, duh xvhg wr dfklhyh d
yhu| zlgh fxuuhqw udqjh1 Wkh 43 dqg 8 çp dshuwxuh duh rewdlqhg iurp Djdu/
wkh 453 dq 533 çp duh Mhro w|shv1 Dv phqwlrqhg/ wkh hduolhu phdvxuhphqwv zhuh
shuiruphg zlwk d Wxqjvwhq ?odphqw/ odwhu d OdE9 +Mhro, ?odphqw zdv xvhg1
î D Qrudq HGV zlwk Qruydu zlqgrz lv prxqwhg dw 73ï zlwk uhvshfw wr wkh
vshflphq sodqh/ xvlqj dq lqfolqhg fu|vwdo uhvxowlqj lq d :3ï wdnh0r> dqjoh dqg d
vkruw ghwhfwru0wr0vshflphq glvwdqfh1
î D Jdwdq orz edfnjurxqg vshflphq kroghu zlwk Ehu|oolxp lqvhuw lv xvhg iru
kroglqj wkh WHP vshflphqv/ dqg d Mhro exon vshflphq kroghu lv xvhg/ wr krog
;3
Ilqdo vhwxs 9191
vshfldoo| ghvljqhg vwdqgdug eorfnv1 Wkhvh vwdqgdug eorfnv duh ideulfdwhg iurp
hsr{| +hpehgglqj, uhvlq zlwk kljk frqwhqw ri dpruskrxv fduerq/ uhvxowlqj lq d
orz edfnjurxqg1 Wkh eorfnv fdq frqwdlq vhyhudo vwdqgdugv +xs wr dssur{1 9,1
î D Sureh Fxuuhqw Ghwhfwru +SFG, lv prxqwhg dw wkh EHL sruw wr wkh froxpq1
Wkh SFG zdv exlow xvlqj d EHL ghwhfwru phfkdqlfdo sduw/ zlwk dq hohfwulfdoo|
lqvxodwhg doxplqlxp wls zlwk ylwuhrxv fduerq lqvhuw iru fdswxulqj wkh hohfwurq
ehdp1 Wkh lqvxodwhg wls lv frqqhfwhg wkurxjk d VF055 orz qrlvh wuld{ldo +grxeoh
vklhoghg, fdeoh/ xvlqj orz HPI frqqhfwruv zlwk ehu|oolxp0frsshu wr jrog frq0
wdfwv +Nhlwkoh| FV0964,1 D fhqwudo jurxqglqj srlqw lv fkrvhq dw wkh fxuuhqw
phwhu wr suhyhqw jurxqg orrsv1 Wkh wls lv lqvhuwhg shushqglfxodu wr wkh vshflphq
kroghu gluhfwlrq1 Wkh duudqjhphqw ri wkh vshflphq kroghu +lq wklv fdvh d jhqhudo
wzr vshflphq Mhro kroghu,/ wkh SFG wls dqg wkh HGV qr}}oh fdq eh vhh lq Iljxuh
9181
î D Nhlwkoh| 9845 hohfwurphwhu lv xvhg dv d fxuuhqw phwhu1 Wkh 7 45 gljlw/ dxwr0
vfdolqj/ fxuuhqw phwhu kdv phwhulqj udqjhv iurp 53 pD wr 5 sD/ zlwk vx!flhqw
dffxudf| wr phdvxuh ehdp fxuuhqwv grzq wr dssur{lpdwho| 314 sD1
î D WQ8835 dqdo|vlv v|vwhp lv xvhg iru sxovh surfhvvlqj4 / vshfwuxp uhfruglqj
dqg ehdp frqwuro/ shuiruphg e| *Ioh{wudq* vfkhgxohv ru e| xvlqj wkh *PlfurT*
surjudp1 Vshfwud ri vwdqgdugv zhuh rewdlqhg xvlqj pxowlsoh dqdo|vlv srlqwv
ru vorz vfdq prgh/ wr plqlplvh huuruv gxh wr vxuidfh ghihfwv ru vpdoo orfdo
lqkrprjhqhlwlhv1
Wkh WQ8835 dqdo|vlv v|vwhp lv rqo| xvhg wr gr wkh edfnjurxqg vxewudfwlrq
dqg wkh shdn ?wwlqj1 Wkh uhvxowv ri wkh shdn ?wwlqjv duh n0udwlrv/ wkh udwlr ehwzhhq
lqwhqvlw| ri d fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| olqh iurp wkh xqnqrzq vshflphq dqg wkh vdph
olqh rewdlqhg iurp wkh vwdqgdug1 Wkh vlpxowdqhrxv fdofxodwlrq ri frqfhqwudwlrq dqg
?op wklfnqhvv lv shuiruphg e| d vhsdudwh WID surjudp +e| Edvwlq/ ^:`, uxqqlqj rq
d WQ88351 Wkh *WID<<<* surjudp kdv ehhq xsgdwhg dqg qrz xvhv wkh qhz grxeoh
Jdxvvldq prgho +dv lq wkh *SUR]D<9* surjudp,1
Wkh WQ8835 dqdo|vlv frpsxwhu dwwdfkhg wr wkh WHP/ zdv krrnhg xs wr d
SF xvlqj d vhuldo sruw UV565 frqqhfwlrq lq rughu wr orj doo dqdo|vlv gdwd1 Wklv dovr
doorzhg xv wr wudqvihu vshfwud dqg VWHP lpdjhv wr d SF1
4 Doo dftxlvlwlrqv duh grqh xvlqj wkh *orz frxqw udwh* prgh ri wkh sxovh surfhvvru= Lq kljk frxqw
udwh prgh HGV olqhdulw| zlwk ydu|lqj ghdg wlph lv qrw jxdudqwhhg1
;4
Ilqdo vhwxs 9191
Iljxuh 9181 Wrs ylhz lqvlgh wkh WHP1 Duudqjhphqw ri wkh HGV/ wkh vshflphq kroghu
dqg wkh SFG wls fdq eh vhhq1
;5
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` I1K1 Vfkdpehu1 [0Ud| Ioxruhvfhqfh Dqdo|vlv ri Hqylurqphqwdo Vdpsohv1 Dqq
Dueru Vflhqfh/ +4<::,1
^5` S1M1 Vwdwkdp1 [0ud| Vshfwurp1/ 8=49/ +4<:9,1
^6` Z1J1 Pr>dww1 Kdqgerrn ri Elqdu| Skdvh Gldjudpv1
Frusrudwlrq/ Qhz \run/ +4<;7,1
Jhqlxp Sxeolvklqj
^7` J1I1 Edvwlq dqg K1M1P1 Khlmoljhuv1 D v|vwhpdwlf gdwdedvh ri wklq ?op phdvxuh0
phqwv e| HSPD/ sduw L= Doxplqlxp ?opv1 Vxeplwwhg iru sxeolfdwlrq/ +4<<<,1
^8` J1 I1 Edvwlq dqg K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv1 Tdqwlwdwlyh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv/ d
qhz dssolfdwlrq= Wklq ?op dqdo|vlv1 Dwe Phwdooxujlh/ 6=:58:;/ +4<<3,1
^9` J1 I1 Edvwlq/ M1 P1 Glmnvwud/ dqg K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv1 SUR]D<9= Dq lpsuryhg
pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq surjudp iru hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|vlv/ edvhg rq d grxeoh
jdxvvldq * +ã}, dssurdfk1 [0ud| Vshfwurp1/ 5:=6843/ +4<<;,1
^:` J1 I1 Edvwlq/ M1 P1 Glmnvwud/ K1 M1 P1 Khlmoljhuv/ dqg G1 Nohsshu1 Lq0ghswk sur?olqj
zlwk wkh hohfwurq sureh plfurdqdo|}hu1 Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ 5=5<876/ +4<<6,1
;6
ELEOLRJUDSK\
;7
Fkdswhu :
Uhvxowv
:14
Lqwurgxfwlrq
Wr dvvhv wkh shuirupdqfh ri wkh qhz dqdo|vlv phwkrg/ rqh kdv wr eh vxuh doo wkh xvhg
htxlsphqw lv shuiruplqj zhoo1 Qrw rqo| wkh dqdo|vlv phwkrg lwvhoi kdv wr eh whvwhg/
exw dovr wkh ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu/ wkh HGV dqg wkh plfurvfrsh lwvhoi/ dv idu dv vwdelolw|
dqg uhsurgxflelolw| duh frqfhuqhg1 Wkhuhiruh/ erwk wkh uhvxowv ri wkh dqdo|vhv rq wkh
whvw vshflphq/ dqg ri wkh whvwv rq wkh htxlsphqw +h1j1 wkh ghvljq ri wkh sureh fxuuhqw
phwhu, zloo eh jlyhq lq wklv fkdswhu1
Iluvwo|/ wkh whvw uhvxowv ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu duh vkrzq dqg glvfxvvhg1
Qh{w/ wkh uhvxowv ri wkh whvw dqdo|vlv/ shuiruphg rq exon vshflphqv ri elqdu| frp0
srxqgv/ duh vkrzq1 Vxevhtxhqwo|/ dqdo|wlfdo uhvxowv ri olqhvfdqv rq wkh wklq ?op WHP
vshflphqv duh vkrzq1 Wkhvh vshflphqv zhuh xvhg wr uhfrug olqhvfdqv ryhu d odujh
wklfnqhvv udqjh/ vwduwlqj dw wkh yhu| wklq hgjh ri wkh WHP vshflphq/ dqg hqglqj dw
d udwkhu wklfn duhd/ zkhuh rqo| yhu| orz wudqvplvvlrq zdv ylvleoh1 Wkh dqdo|vhv zhuh
shuiruphg ryhu d zlgh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh udqjh/ vwduwlqj dv orz dv 53 nY dqg jrlqj
xs wr 533 nY1 Ilqdoo|/ uhvxowv duh vkrzq ri phdvxuhphqwv rq vrph sudfwlfdo vdpsohv
iurp wklug sduwlhv1 Wkh uhvxowv ri wkh dqdo|vhv zloo eh glvfxvvhg pruh h{whqvlyho| lq
wkh qh{w fkdswhu1
;8
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
:15
:1514
Htxlsphqw whvw
Ehdp fxuuhqw phwhulqj
Lw lv gl!fxow wr fkhfn wkh ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqwv shuiruphg zlwk wkh qhz SFG/
vlqfh wkhuh lv qr rwkhu zd|/ qhlwkhu gluhfw qru lqgluhfw/ wr phdvxuh wkh ehdp fxuuhqw1
Wkh Idudgd| fxs/ vxssolhg rq wkh Jdwdq orz edfnjurxqg dqdo|wlfdo vshflphq kroghu/
zdv irxqg wr eh lqdghtxdwh= ehvlghv wkh xquholdeoh hohfwulf frqqhfwlrqv/ fdxvlqj qrlvh
dqg r>vhw lq wkh fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw/ zh zhuh deoh wr rewdlq VHL lpdjhv iurp wkh
erwwrp ri wkh fxs/ lqglfdwlqj wkdw hohfwurqv duh deoh wr hvfdsh idluo| hdvlo| iurp wkh
Idudgd| fxs1
Rwkhu Idudgd| fxs ghvljqv/ frqvwuxfwhg e| rxuvhoyhv/ zhuh wulhg1 Lw zdv irxqg
wkdw wkh wrs +hqwudqfh, kroh ri wkh fxs kdg wr eh dv vpdoo dv 63 çp lq rughu wr suhyhqw
vljql?fdqw dprxqw ri hohfwurqv hvfdslqj iurp wkh Idudgd| fxs dqg fdswxuh wkh ixoo
ehdp fxuuhqw1 Wklv vpdoo kroh/ krzhyhu/ uhtxluhv h{dfw srvlwlrqlqj ri wkh hohfwurq
ehdp/ zklfk lv yhu| lqfrqyhqlhqw1 Ilqdoo| xvlqj d dw srolvkhg vxuidfh/ pdgh ri jodvv|
fduerq/ wr fdswxuh wkh ehdp fxuuhqw zdv irxqg wr eh wkh ehvw vroxwlrq= Dowkrxjk
qrw 433 ( ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw lv fdswxuhg/ wkh shufhqwdjh ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw
fdswxuhg lv ?{hg/ lqghshqghqw ri wkh devroxwh fxuuhqw +qrw lqghshqghqw/ krzhyhu/ ri
wkh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh,1
Whvwv ri wkh ?qdo SFG ghvljq
Ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqwv zhuh shuiruphg ryhu d zlgh fxuuhqw udqjh/ lq rughu
wr fkhfn olqhdulw| dqg dffxudf| ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw phwhulqj1 D phwkrg wr ydu|
wkh ehdp fxuuhqw/ lv e| fkdqjlqj frqghqvhu dshuwxuhv1 Krzhyhu/ wkh h{dfw vl}h ri
wkh dshuwxuhv lv qrw nqrzq/ vr wkh h{dfw udwlrv ehwzhhq ehdp fxuuhqwv dw gl>huhqw
dshuwxuhv duh qrw nqrzq hlwkhu1 Dqrwkhu zd| wr ydu| wkh ehdp fxuuhqw lv e| xvlqj
gl>huhqw vsrwvl}hv +lq VWHP prgh,1 Wkh h{dfw vsrwvl}hv duh qrw nqrzq hlwkhu1
E| ydu|lqj vsrwvl}hv dw gl>huhqw frqghqvhu dshuwxuhv/ krzhyhu/ wkh udwlrv ehwzhhq
vsrwvl}hv dqg wkh udwlrv ehwzhhq wkh gl>huhqw frqghqvhu dshuwxuhv vl}hv fdq eh re0
wdlqhg1 Wdeoh :14 vkrzv wkh phdvxuhg +d, dqg wkh qrupdolvhg +e, ehdp fxuuhqwv1 Wkh
?uvw urz dqg froxpq ri wkh qrupdolvhg ehdp fxuuhqwv duh xvhg iru qrupdolvdwlrq/ dqg
duh/ wkhuhiruh/ htxdo wr 41 E| fkdqjlqj erwk vsrwvl}h dqg frqghqvhu dshuwxuh/ wkh
ehdp fxuuhqw zdv fkdqjhg ryhu pruh wkdq 8 ghfdghv1
Wkh wdeoh vkrzv fohduo| wkdw wkh fxuuhqw phwhulqj lv dffxudwh ryhu d zlgh
fxuuhqw udqjh1 Rqo| lq wkh h{wuhpho| orz fxuuhqwv d vpdoo ghyldwlrq lv qrwlfhdeoh1
Wkh vpdoo xfwxdwlrqv lq wkh kljkhu fxuuhqwv pd| kdyh frph iurp vpdoo ohqv dqg
ru ?odphqw lqvwdelolwlhv dqg duh/ wkhuhiruh/ uhdo fxuuhqw xfwxdwlrqv dqg qrw huuruv
ruljlqdwlqj iurp wkh ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqwv1 Vlqfh wkh orzhu olplw ri wkh ehdp
;9
Htxlsphqw whvw :151
Wdeoh :141 d=Ehdp fxuuhqwv lq sD phdvxuhg dw 453 nY zlwk ydu|lqj vsrwvl}hv +VWHP,
dqg frqghqvhu dshuwxuhv/ fkdqjlqj wkh ehdp fxuuhqw ryhu vhyhudo ghfdghv +vsrw w|sh
I lv lq Orz pdjql?fdwlrq prgh,1 e= Ehdp fxuuhqwv qrupdolvhg e| vsrwvl}h +xvlqj
wkh ?uvw froxpq, dqg e| frqghqvhu dshuwxuh +xvlqj wkh ?uvw urz,1 Doo ehdp fxuuhqwv/
h{fhsw iru wkh orzhvw wzr/ duh zlwklq 4 ( ghyldwlrq
d,
Vsrw
I
O
P
V
Frqghqvhu dshuwxuh +çp,
533 453
53
43
4477 787
4;13
6154
657 45;
813:
31<46
:;15 6413
4157
31553
531: ;14< 3165; 3138<3
48
31;65
31568
3138:3
313488
e,
Vsrw
I
O
P
V
Frqghqvhu dshuwxuh +çp,
533
453
53
43
41333 41333 41333 41333
41333 31<<8 31<<7 41336
41333 41333 4133: 41335
41333 31<<; 4133; 41348
48
41333
31<<:
41335
41363
fxuuhqwv xvhg lv durxqg 314 sD/ zh fdq dvvxph wkh ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqwv wr eh
ehwwhu wkdq 4( dffxudwh1
Wkh orz ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqwv vkrzhg d qrlvh ?jxuh ri dssur{lpdwho|
5 ü 43ý48 Dpshuh/ lqghshqghqw ri wkh ehdp fxuuhqw1 Wklv qrlvh lv frqvlghuhg wr
eh Jdxvvldq dqg lv dyhudjhg e| wkh phwhu uhdg0rxw1 D orqj whup dyhudjlqj fdq
eh shuiruphg e| xvlqj wkh fkdujh +frxorpe, phwhulqj ixqfwlrq ri wkh hohfwurphwhu/
zkhqhyhu d pruh dffxudwh phwhulqj lv qhhghg1
:1515
HGV olqhdulw|
Lq sulqflsoh/ wkh qxpehu ri [0ud| frxqwv/ frxqwhg e| wkh HGV/ vkrxog eh olqhduo|
uhodwhg wr erwk ehdp fxuuhqw dqg dftxlvlwlrq wlph1 Wkh HGV v|vwhp lv vxssrvhg wr
fruuhfw iru ghdg0wlph1 Wklv lv/ ri frxuvh/ rqo| ydolg zlwklq fhuwdlq olplwv1 Lq Iljxuh
:14 wkh [0ud| frxqwv ri d Fx0Nò shdn ri d 5 plqxwhv dftxlvlwlrq uhfrughg zlwk rxu
HGV v|vwhp/ duh sorwwhg yhuvxv ehdp fxuuhqw1 Wr rxu dvwrqlvkphqw/ wkh frxqw udwh
ehfrphv kljkhu wkdq vxssrvhg dw kljk frxqw udwhv1 Wklv vhhpv wr lqglfdwh wkdw wkh
v|vwhp lv ryhu0fruuhfwlqj wkh ghdg wlph1
;:
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
('6#FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
+493#N9/#&X0EXON#VSHFLPHQ/#453#V2DQDO\VLV#SRLQW,
68333
!#83(#'7
&RXQWV
63333
58333
53333
OLQHDU#ILW
48333
43333
“66(#'7
8333
3
3
315
317
319
31;
4
415
417
%HDP#FXUUHQW#+S$,
Iljxuh :141 Fkdudfwhulvwlfv ri wkh HGV= wkh qxpehu ri frxqwv lq d Fx8N ò shdn/ sorwwhg
yhuvxv wkh hohfwurq ehdp fxuuhqw1 Fohduo|/ olqhdulw| lv qrw jxdudqwhhg deryh dssur{ 68
( Ghdg Wlph1 Wkh olqhdu ?w lv ?wwhg wr wkh gdwd srlqwv zlwklq wkh dffhswdeoh GW0
udqjh1
:16
Exon dqdo|vlv whvwv
Wkh ?uvw whvwv ri wkh qhzo| sursrvhg phwkrg zhuh shuiruphg rq exon vshflphqv1 Dv
phqwlrqhg ehiruh/ d exon fdvh fdq eh frqfhlyhg dv d ghjhqhudwhg wklq ?op dqdo|vlv
sureohp/ zlwk wkh ?op wklfnqhvv dssurdfklqj lq?qlwh ydoxhv1 Wkhuhiruh/ wkh exon fdvh
lv wkh vlpsohvw fdvh/ zlwk wkh ohdvw qxpehu ri sdudphwhuv1 Rq wkh rwkhu kdqg/ wkh
vfdwwhulqj h>hfwv duh odujh lq d exon fdvh dqg dq devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq lv fhuwdlqo|
qhhghg= Hplwwhg lqwhqvlwlhv fdq eh rqo| d vpdoo iudfwlrq ri wkh wrwdo jhqhudwhg
lqwhqvlw|1 Khqfh/ whvwlqj rq exon vdpsohv zrxog lpphgldwho| uhyhdo lqdffxudflhv lq
wkh prghoolqj1
E| vwduwlqj wkh phdvxuhphqwv lq wkh WHP dw 53 nY dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh/ d
yrowdjh udqjh ryhuodsslqj wkh HSPD udqjh lv rewdlqhg1 Lq wkh orz dffhohudwlrq
yrowdjh udqjh +53 0 73 nY, wkh prgho lv nqrzq wr shuirup zhoo> diwhu doo/ wkh prgho
;;
Exon dqdo|vlv whvwv :161
3178
317
$O0.#LQ#$O61E
3168
$O0.#LQ#$O5=U
$O0.#LQ#$O6=U7
N0UDWLR
316
$O0.#LQ#$O$X5
3158
315
3148
314
3138
3
3
53
73
93
;3
433
453
473
493
4;3
533
$FFHOHUDWLRQ#YROWDJH#+NH9,
Iljxuh :151 n0udwlrv/ phdvxuhg zlwk wkh WHP/ ri wkh Do0N ò olqh lq Do 6 Qe/ Do 5 ]u/
Do 6 ]u 7 dqg DoDx 5 exon vshflphqv/ sorwwhg yhuvxv dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh1 Wkh vrolg
olqhv uhsuhvhqw wkh fdofxodwhg n0udwlrv/ xvlqj *SUR]D<9* zlwk grxeoh Jdxvvldq * +ã},0
prgho1
lv douhdg| whvwhg rq HSPD phdvxuhphqwv xqghu wkhvh frqglwlrqv1 Dq| huuruv lq wklv
udqjh zrxog/ wkhuhiruh/ lqglfdwh d phdvxuhphqw sureohp1 Dowkrxjk wkh WHP fdq eh
rshudwhg dw 53 nY/ lw lv qrw pdgh iru wkhvh frqglwlrqv/ dqg huuruv lq iru h{dpsoh wkh
h{dfw dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh fdq eh h{shfwhg1
Wkh exon phdvxuhphqwv zhuh shuiruphg rq Do6 Qe/ Do5 ]u/ Do6 ]u7 dqg DoDx5
exon vshflphqv/ suhsduhg dqg srolvkhg dv ghvfulehg lq wkh suhylrxv fkdswhu1 Wkh
Do0N udgldwlrq lv udwkhu khdylo| devruehg e| wkh rwkhu/ kljkhu dwrplf qxpehu/ dwrpv/
dqg wkhuhiruh/ d odujh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq lv qhhghg1
Wkh phdvxuhg n0udwlrv iru wkh Do0N fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| olqh lq wkhvh elqdu|
frpsrxqgv duh sorwwhg lq Iljxuh :151 Wkh vrolg olqhv lq wkh ?jxuh lqglfdwh wkh Do0N
;<
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
31<
31;
31:
N0UDWLR
319
318
317
316
=U0.#LQ#$O6=U7
315
=U0.#LQ#$O5=U
314
1E0.#LQ#$O61E
3
3
53
73
93
;3
433
453
473
493
4;3
533
$FFHOHUDWLRQ#YROWDJH#+NH9,
Iljxuh :161 n0udwlrv/ phdvxuhg zlwk wkh WHP/ ri wkh N0olqhv ri Qe dqg ]u lq Do 6 Qe/
Do 5 ]u/ dqg Do 6 ]u 7 exon vshflphqv/ sorwwhg yhuvxv dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh1 Wkh vrolg
olqhv uhsuhvhqw wkh fdofxodwhg n0udwlrv/ xvlqj *SUR]D<9* zlwk grxeoh Jdxvvldq * +ã},0
prgho1
<3
Exon dqdo|vlv whvwv :161
4
31<
31;
31:
N0UDWLR
319
318
317
316
$X0/#LQ#$O$X5
=U0/#LQ#$O6=U7
=U0/#LQ#$O5=U
1E0/#LQ#$O61E
315
314
3
3
53
73
93
;3
433
453
473
493
4;3
533
$FFHOHUDWLRQ#YROWDJH#+NH9,
Iljxuh :171 n0udwlrv/ phdvxuhg zlwk wkh WHP/ ri wkh O0olqhv ri Qe/ ]u dqg Dx lq
Do 6 Qe/ Do 5 ]u/ dqg Do 6 ]u 7 exon vshflphqv/ sorwwhg yhuvxv dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh1 Wkh
vrolg olqhv uhsuhvhqw wkh fdofxodwhg n0udwlrv/ xvlqj *SUR]D<9* zlwk grxeoh Jdxvvldq
* +ã},0prgho1
n0udwlrv fdofxodwhg zlwk wkh *SUR]D<9* surjudp/ edvhg xsrq wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq
prgho/ xvlqj wkh frpsrvlwlrqv dv rewdlqhg e| wkh HSPD phdvxuhphqwv +vhh Wdeoh
914,1 Hdfk sorwwhg phdvxuhphqw srlqw uhsuhvhqwv d vhw ri < dqdo|vlv srlqwv +93 v,1
Wkh huuru eduv lqglfdwh wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrq lq hdfk srlqw1 Wkh phdvxuhphqwv
zhuh shuiruphg xvlqj exon WHP vshflphqv ri sxuh Do/ Qe/ ]u/ dqg Dx dv vwdqgdugv1
Wkh ehdp fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqwv iru wkhvh dqdo|vhv zhuh shuiruphg zlwk d suholplqdu|
ghvljq ri wkh SFG/ dqg duh/ wkhuhiruh/ qrw yhu| dffxudwh lq wkh orz ehdp fxuuhqw udqjh
+?4 sD, xvhg dw kljk dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv1 Ixuwkhupruh/ WHP exon vshflphqv zhuh
xvhg dv vwdqgdugv/ prxqwhg lq wkh orz edfnjurxqg vshflphq kroghu1 Wklv uhtxluhg
pdq| vshflphq fkdqjhv/ wkxv wdnlqj xs d orw ri wlph dqg jlylqj ulvh wr odujhu huuruv
lq wkh dqdo|vhv1
<4
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
Wkh phdvxuhg N dqg O0 olqh n0udwlrv iru wkh Qe/ ]u dqg Dx duh vkrzq lq
Iljxuh :16 dqg :17 uhvshfwlyho|1 Hvshfldoo| wkh uhvxowv ri wkh Dx0O olqh phdvxuhphqwv
duh yhu| qrlv|1 Wklv lv fdxvhg e| wkh yhu| orz frxqw udwhv dw kljk dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv/
frqvlghulqj wkh idfw wkdw wkh dftxlvlwlrq wlph zdv rqo| 93 vhfrqgv1 Vwloo/ wkh uhvxowv
duh lq jrrg djuhphqw zlwk wkh fdofxodwhg ydoxhv1
:17
WHP wklq ?op dqdo|vlv whvwv
Diwhu wkh exon vshflphq phdvxuhphqwv/ zklfk jdyh d jrrg lpsuhvvlrq derxw wkh
shuirupdqfh ri wkh prgho dw kljk dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv/ WHP wklq ?op vshflphqv
zhuh pdgh rxw ri wkh exon elqdu| frpsrxqgv1 Rq wkhvh vshflphqv/ suhsduhg rxw ri
wkh exon elqdu| frpsrxqgv DoQl/ DoWl/ Do6 Wl dqg Do6 ]u7 / olqhvfdqv zhuh uhfrughg1
Wkh olqhvfdqv zhuh uhfrughg/ vwduwlqj dw wkh yhu| wklq hgjh ri wkh vshflphq dqg hqglqj
dw d wklfn duhd/ zkhuh rqo| olwwoh wudqvplvvlrq zdv ylvleoh1
Dw hdfk orfdwlrq/ frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv lv ghwhuplqhg vlpxowdqhrxvo| zlwk
wkh *SUR]D* wklq ?op dssurdfk1 Vlqfh wkh vshflphqv zhuh pdgh iurp d krprjhqhrxv
elqdu| frpsrxqg/ wkh rewdlqhg frpsrvlwlrq ydoxhv vkrxog uhpdlq frqvwdqw/ zkloh wkh
wklfnqhvv lv h{shfwhg wr ydu| ryhu d odujh udqjh1 Dw wkh wklfnhu duhdv/ devruswlrq
fruuhfwlrq dqg vfdwwhulqj skhqrphqd ehfrph pruh lpsruwdqw/ r>hulqj dqrwkhu whvw
iru wkh fruuhfwlrq prgho1
Wkh Iljxuhv :19/ :1:/ :1; dqg :1< vkrz wkh dqdo|vlv uhvxowv ri wkh olqhvfdqv dw
gl>huhqw dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv +hdfk olqhvfdq lv uhfrughg dw d voljkwo| gl>huhqw srvlwlrq
wr dyrlg h{fhvvlyh frqwdplqdwlrq exlog xs,1 Wkh pdvv wklfnqhvv lv lqglfdwhg rq wkh
ohiw \0d{lv zkloh wkh vlpxowdqhrxvo| rewdlqhg frpsrvlwlrq/ lv lqglfdwhg rq wkh uljkw
kdqg \0d{lv1 Wkh vrolg olqhv lqglfdwh wkh h{shfwhg frpsrvlwlrq/ dffruglqj wr wkh
HSPD dqdo|vhv +vhh Wdeoh 914,1 Vlqfh wkh * +ã}, fxuyhv xvh wkh pdvv wklfnqhvv/ doo
wklfnqhvvhv duh vkrzq dv d pdvv wklfnqhvv/ lq çj2fp5 1 Wdeoh :15 vxppdulvhv olwhudwxuh
ghqvlw| gdwd/ zklfk fdq eh xvhg wr fdofxodwh wkh olqhdu wklfnqhvv1 Iru h{dpsoh/ lq
wkh DoQl vdpsoh/ d pdvv wklfnqhvv ri 533 çj2fp5 fruuhvsrqgv wr d olqhdu wklfnqhvv ri
dssur{lpdwho| 675 qp1
Dv dq h{dpsoh ri krz srzhuixo wkh * +ã}, edvhg dssurdfk lv/ d olqhvfdq zdv
wdnhq dfurvv d julg0edu ri d uhjxodu WHP frsshu julg zlwk 58 çp zlgh julg eduv/
dqg d wklfnqhvv ri 48 çp dffruglqj wr wkh pdqxidfwxuhu1 Wklfnqhvv phdvxuhg zlwk d
plfurphwhu jdxjh zdv dovr irxqg wr eh 47 wr 48 çp1 Wkh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh xvhg
zdv 533 nY/ zklfk/ dw 48 çp ri frsshu uhvxowv lq n0udwlrv durxqg 317/ lqglfdwlqj wkdw
derxw *kdoi ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh* jhqhudwhg lq d exon vdpsoh/ lv lq wkh julg vdpsoh1 Wklv
lqglfdwhv wkdw wkh hohfwurqv kdyh hqrxjk hqhuj| wr shqhwudwh wkurxjk wkh julg edu1
Krzhyhu/ wkh hohfwurqv zloo vfdwwhu gl>xvho| rxw ri wkh froxpq d{lv/ dqg wkhuhiruh/ qr
<5
Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv :181
7KLFNQHVV#RI#JULG#EDU#LQ#D#&RSSHU#JULG
+7(0#533#NH9/#7)$,
/LQHDU#7KLFNQHVV#+PP,
48
43
8
3
3
8
43
48
53
58
63
'LVWDQFH#+PP,
Iljxuh :181 Wklfnqhvv sur?oh ri d julgedu lq d Frsshu julg/ phdvxuhg zlwk WHP
xvlqj wkh * +ã}, edvhg wklq ?op dqdo|vlv phwkrg1 Zlgwk ri wkh edu uhsruwhg e| wkh
pdqxidfwxuhu 58 çp/ dqg wklfnqhvv 48 çp1
Wdeoh :151 Olwhudwxuh gdwd ri ghqvlwlhv ri wkh frpsrxqgv phdvxuhg1
Frpsrxqg
DoQl
DoWl
Do6 Wl
Do6 ]u7
Ghqvlw| +j2fp6 ,
81;8 +816809183,
61;0713
6164 +617,
8168
vrxufh
Shduvrq ^4` +Lqwhup1 frpsrxqgv ^5`,
Lqwhup1 frpsrxqgv ^6/ s1:7`
Shduvrq ^4` +Lqwhup1 frpsrxqgv ^7/ s147:`,
Shduvrq^4`
wudqvplvvlrq lpdjh frxog eh vhhq1 Wkh uhvxowv zhuh xvhg wr sorw d wklfnqhvv sur?oh/
vkrzq lq Iljxuh :181
:18
Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv
Lq rxu Pdwhuldov Fkhplvwu| jurxs/ uhvhdufk lv grqh lqwr qhz frqwdfw pdwhuldov iru
vhplfrqgxfwru xvh1 Iurp wklv uhvhdufk wzr furvv vhfwlrq WHP vshflphqv zhuh re0
wdlqhg= rqh iurp d JdDv zdihu frdwhg zlwk d Wl od|hu/ zklfk kdg qrw ehhq dqqhdohg
dqg/ wkhuhiruh/ vkrzhg qr uhdfwlrq }rqh> dqg rqh iurp d JdVe zdihu frdwhg zlwk d
<6
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
4
453
Th ic kn e s s
31<
31;
Ni
31:
;3
319
318
93
317
73
316
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
$O1L#73#N9
Al
433
315
53
314
3
3
3
8
43
PP
48
533
4
31;
473
31:
453
319
433
318
;3
317
93
316
73
315
53
314
3
3
3
8
43
48
PP
53
58
4
493
31<
$O1L#453#N9
473
31;
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
453
31:
433
319
;3
318
93
317
316
73
315
53
314
3
3
3
8
43
48
<7
PP
53
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
31<
$O1L#;3#N9
493
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
4;3
Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv :181
583
4
31;
31:
483
319
318
433
317
316
83
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
533
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
31<
$O1L#493#N9
315
314
3
3
3
8
43
48
PP
53
58
413
633
31;
31:
533
319
318
483
317
433
316
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
31<
$O1L#533#N9
583
315
83
314
3
313
3
8
43
48
53
PP
58
Iljxuh :191 Olqhvfdqv rq dq DoQl WHP vshflphq dw ydu|lqj dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv1
Erwk frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv duh ghwhuplqhg vlpxowdqhrxvo| xvlqj wkh *SUR]D*
wklq ?op dssurdfk1
<8
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
4
453
Th ic kn e s s
31<
31;
Ti
31:
;3
319
318
93
317
73
316
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
$O7L#73#N9
Al
433
315
53
314
3
3
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
PP
583
4
$O7L#;3#N9
31<
31;
31:
483
319
318
433
317
316
83
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
533
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
:
315
314
3
3
3
8
43
48
53
58
P P 63
583
4
$O7L#453#N9
31<
31;
31:
483
319
318
433
317
316
83
315
314
3
3
3
8
43
48
<9
53
PP
58
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
533
Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv :181
4
633
$O7L#493#N9
31<
31;
31:
533
319
318
483
317
433
316
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
583
315
83
314
3
3
3
43
53
63
73
83
P P 93
4
683
$O7L#533#N9
31<
31;
583
31:
319
533
318
483
317
316
433
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
633
315
83
314
3
3
43
53
63
73
83
PP
3
93
Iljxuh :1:1 Olqhvfdqv rq dq DoWl WHP vshflphq dw ydu|lqj dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv1
Erwk frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv duh ghwhuplqhg vlpxowdqhrxvo| xvlqj wkh *SUR]D*
wklq ?op dssurdfk1
<:
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
4
;3
Th ic kn e s s
$O67L#73#N9
Al
31<
31;
Ti
31:
83
319
73
318
63
317
316
53
315
43
314
3
3
313
315
317
319
31;
413
PP
415
433
4
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
31<
$O67L#;3#N9
;3
31;
:3
31:
93
319
83
318
73
317
63
316
53
315
43
314
3
3
313
315
317
319
31;
413
PP
533
415
4
4;3
31<
$O67L#453#N9
493
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
<3
31;
473
31:
453
319
433
318
;3
317
93
316
73
315
53
314
3
3
313
318
413
418
<;
PP
513
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
93
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
:3
Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv :181
533
4
493
31;
473
31:
453
319
433
318
;3
317
93
316
73
315
53
314
3
3
313
318
413
418
PP
513
583
4
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
31<
$O67L#533#N9
533
31;
31:
483
319
318
433
317
316
83
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
31<
$O67L#493#N9
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
4;3
315
314
3
3
313
318
413
418
513
PP
518
Iljxuh :1;1 Olqhvfdqv rq dq Do 6 Wl WHP vshflphq dw ydu|lqj dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv1
Erwk frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv duh ghwhuplqhg vlpxowdqhrxvo| xvlqj wkh *SUR]D*
wklq ?op dssurdfk1
<<
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
453
4
$O6=U7#73#N9
31<
31;
31:
Th ic kn e s s
;3
Al
319
Zr
318
93
317
73
316
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
433
315
53
314
3
3
313
318
413
PP
418
513
4
:3
31<
31:
319
73
$O6=U7#;3#N9
63
318
317
316
53
315
43
314
3
3
313
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
31;
83
318
413
418
513
518
613
P P 618
533
4
4;3
31<
493
31;
473
31:
453
319
$O6=U7#453#N9
433
318
;3
317
93
316
73
315
53
314
3
3
313
318
413
418
513
433
518
PP
613
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
93
Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv :181
4
453
31<
31;
31:
;3
319
$O6=U7#493#N9
93
318
317
73
316
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
433
315
53
314
3
3
313
318
413
418
PP
513
4
473
31<
31;
433
31:
319
$O6=U7#533#N9
;3
318
93
317
316
73
: HLJKW#IUDFWRQV
0 DV V #WK LFNQHV V #
+ J2FPð,
453
315
53
314
3
3
313
318
413
418
PP
513
Iljxuh :1<1 Olqhvfdqv rq dq Do 6 ]u 7 WHP vshflphq dw ydu|lqj dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv1
Erwk frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv duh ghwhuplqhg duh ghwhuplqhg vlpxowdqhrxvo| xvlqj
wkh *SUR]D* wklq ?op dssurdfk1
434
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
&RPSRVLWLRQ##+$W#(,
;33N#493#N9,
483
458
$V
7L
0DVV0WKLFNQHVV
319
433
:8
317
83
315
58
5
*D
31;
0DVV#WKLFNQHVV#+ PJ2FP ,
7L#RQ#*D$V##+0DJ
413
3
313
3
83
'LVWDQFH#+QP,
433
483
Iljxuh :1431 D olqhvfdq rq wkh furvv vhfwlrqdo WHP vshflphq ryhu wkh JdDv2Wl
lqwhuidfh/ uhfrughg dw kljk pdjql?fdwlrq lq wkh WHP +VWHP prgh, dqg dqdo|vhg
xvlqj wkh qhz * +ã}, fxuyh edvhg/ WHP dqdo|vlv phwkrg1
wklq Fr od|hu1 Wkh odwwhu zdv dqqhdohg dqg fohduo| vkrzhg wzr uhdfwlrq surgxfwv1
:1814
JdDv zdihu zlwk Wlwdqlxp frdwlqj
Iru wkh dqdo|vlv ri wkh JdDv zlwk Wl frdwlqj vshflphq/ Wl/ Jd dqg Dv vwdqgdugv zhuh
qhfhvvdu|1 Krzhyhu/ vlqfh wkh jdoolxp dqg wkh duvhqlf N0olqh shdnv duh orfdwhg dw <158
dqg 43187 nhY uhvshfwlyho|/ wkh| ryhuods vljql?fdqwo| lq wkh HGV vshfwuxp1 Wkhuhiruh
lw lv qrw srvvleoh wr xvh d frpsrxqg JdDv pdwhuldo gluhfwo| dv d vwdqgdug iru erwk
hohphqwv1 Wr vroyh wklv sureohp/ d slhfh ri d JdVe zdihu zdv xvhg dv d frpsrxqg
vwdqgdug wr rewdlq wkh jdoolxp uhihuhqfh shdn +wkh fruuhfwlrq idfwruv qhhghg zhuh
fdofxodwhg zlwk wkh *SUR]D<9* surjudp,1 Vxevhtxhqwo|/ d JdDv uhihuhqfh vshfwuxp
zdv uhfrughg dqg wkh suhylrxvo| rewdlqhg jdoolxp uhihuhqfh iurp wkh JdVe/ zdv
xvhg wr ?w wkh jdoolxp shdn lq wkh JdDv vshfwuxp1 Xvlqj wklv shdn ghfrqyroxwlrq
whfkqltxh/ wkh pdwfkhg jdoolxp shdn frxog eh vxewudfwhg iurp wkh JdDv vshfwuxp/
ohdylqj vroho| wkh duvhqlf shdn/ zklfk frxog wkhq eh xvhg dv wkh duvhqlf uhihuhqfh1
Iljxuh :143 vkrzv wkh uhvxowv ri wkh olqhvfdq dfurvv wkh JdDv 2 Wl lqwhuidfh1
435
Dqdo|vlv ri sudfwlfdo vdpsohv iurp rwkhu vrxufhv :181
&R#RQ#*D6E#$QQHDOHG#+0DJ
93N#453N9/#6E0//#*D0./#&R0.,
*D
6E
&R
0DVV0WKLFNQHVV
5
31;
583
533
319
483
317
433
315
83
313
3
433
0DVV#WKLFNQHVV#+ PJ2FP ,
&RPSRVLWLRQ##+$W#(,
413
533
633
733
+QP,
3
833
Iljxuh :1441 D olqhvfdq rq wkh furvv vhfwlrqdo WHP vshflphq/ ryhu wkh JdDv2Wl
lqwhuidfh uhfrughg dw kljk pdjql?fdwlrq lq wkh WHP +VWHP prgh, dqg dqdo|vhg
xvlqj wkh qhz * +ã}, fxuyh edvhg/ WHP dqdo|vlv phwkrg1
Qrwh wkdw iru hdfk srlqw d shdn ghfrqyroxwlrq lv uhtxluhg/ e| ?wwlqj wkh vhsdudwh Jd
dqg Dv uhihuhqfh shdnv1
:1815
Fredow rq d JdVe zdihu/ zlwk uhdfwlrq }rqh
Wkh vhfrqg dssolfdwlrq/ zdv d furvv vhfwlrqdo WHP vshflphq ri d fredow frdwhg
jdoolxp0dqwlprq| vhplfrqgxfwru zdihu/ zklfk zdv dqqhdohg iru 6 krxuv dw 833ï F1
Wkh uhdfwlrq surgxfwv lq wkh uhdfwlrq od|huv/ vwduwlqj iurp wkh JdVe zdihu/ zhuh
fkdudfwhulvhg e| hohfwurq gl>udfwlrq dv FrVe6 dqg FrJd1 Iljxuh :145 vkrzv d WHP
skrwrjudsk ri wkh vshflphq/ zlwk wkh frqwdplqdwlrq vsrwv ri d olqhvfdq1 D frpsuh0
khqvlyh glvfxvvlrq rq wkh uhvxowv rq wkhvh wklug0sduw| vshflphqv zloo eh jlyhq lq wkh
qh{w fkdswhu1
436
Fkdswhu :1 Uhvxowv
Iljxuh :1451 WHP Skrwrjudsk ri wkh JdVe2Fr furvv0vhfwlrq vshflphq/ zlwk wkh
frqwdplqdwlrq vsrwv ri wkh olqhvfdq1
437
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` Z1E1 Shduvrq1 Kdqgerrn ri Odwwlfh Vsdflqjv dqg Vwuxfwxuhv ri Phwdov/ Yroxph 51
Shujdprq Suhvv/ Qhz \run/ 4vw hglwlrq/ +4<9:,1
^5` G1E1 Pludfoh dqg U1 Gdyrolfh1 QlDo dqg lwv door|v1 Lq= M1K1 Zhvweurrn dqg U1O
Iohlvfkhu/ hglwruv/ Lqwhuphwdoolf Frpsrxqgv= Sulqflsohv dqg Sudfwlfh/ Yroxph 5
Sudfwlfh/ s1 881 Zloh|/ +4<<8,1
^6` V1F1 Kxdqj dqg M1F1 Fkhvqxww1 Jdppd WlDo dqg lwv door|v1 Lq= M1K1 Zhvweurrn
dqg U1O Iohlvfkhu/ hglwruv/ Lqwhuphwdoolf Frpsrxqgv= Sulqflsohv dqg Sudfwlfh/
Yroxph 5 Sudfwlfh/ s1 :71 Zloh|/ +4<<8,1
^7` P1 \dpdjxfkl dqg K1 Lqxl1 Do6 Wl dqg lwv o45 yduldwlrqv1 Lq= M1K1 Zhvweurrn
dqg U1O1 Iohlvfkhu/ hglwruv/ Lqwhuphwdoolf Frpsrxqgv= Sulqflsohv dqg Sudfwlfh/
Yroxph 5 Sudfwlfh/ s1 47:1 Zloh|/ +4<<8,1
438
ELEOLRJUDSK\
439
Fkdswhu ;
Glvfxvvlrq dqg frqfoxvlrqv
;14
;1414
Glvfxvvlrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv uhvxowv
htxlsphqw
Iurp wkh htxlsphqw whvw phdvxuhphqwv lw lv fohdu wkdw wkh ?qdo vhwxs ri wkh WHP dv
ghvfulehg lq vhfwlrq 919/ lv vxlwhg iru dqdo|wlfdo phdvxuhphqwv1 Wkh SFG dqg fxuuhqw
phwhu duh dffxudwh hqrxjk wr frsh zlwk wkh zlgh fxuuhqw udqjh qhhghg iru dqdo|vlv
ri erwk exon dqg wklq ?op vshflphqv1 Frqfhuqlqj wkh HGV/ rqh vkrxog eh fduhixo wr
nhhs wkh ghdg wlph ri wkh HGV v|vwhp zlwklq dssursuldwh udqjh1 Suhihudeo| wkh ghdg
wlph vhwwlqj vkrxog eh dgmxvwhg ehwzhhq 53 dqg 63 ( e| ydu|lqj wkh ehdp fxuuhqw1
;1415
Exon dqdo|vlv
Wkh uhvxowv ri wkh exon dqdo|vlv duh lq doprvw dvwrqlvklqjo| jrrg djuhhphqw zlwk wkh
fdofxodwhg ydoxhv1 Dw orz dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv/ wkh ghyldwlrqv duh vrphzkdw odujhu/
suredeo| gxh wr wkh idfw wkdw wkh WHP lv qrw uhdoo| exlow wr eh rshudwhg dw yrowdjhv
ehorz ;3 nY1 Odujhu ghyldwlrqv dovr rffxu dw kljk dffhohudwlrq yrowdjhv1 Wkhvh duh
sduwldoo| fdxvhg e| wkh lqvwdelolw| ri wkh hohfwurq ehdp ri rxu plfurvfrsh dw wkhvh
rshudwlqj yrowdjhv/ exw dovr e| vwdwlvwlfdo huuruv gxh wr wkh orz frxqw udwhv1 Wklv fdq
hdvlo| eh ryhufrph e| xvlqj orqjhu dftxlvlwlrq wlphv1
Doo wkh phdvxuhg n0udwlrv ri wkh N0olqhv dsshdu wr eh voljkwo| kljkhu wkdq wkh
fdofxodwhg rqhv1 Lw lv qrw fohdu zkhwkhu wklv h>hfw lv fdxvhg e| huuruv lq wkh dqdo|vlv
ru e| wkh fdofxodwlrqv1 Wkhuh lv qrw hqrxjk gdwd dqg wkh vwdqgdug ghyldwlrqv lq hdfk
srlqw duh wrr odujh wr gudz frqfoxvlrqv iurp wklv1
Wr jhw d ehwwhu ryhuylhz ri wkh txdolw| ri wkh exon dqdo|vhv/ wkh ghyldwlrq
43:
Fkdswhu ;1 Glvfxvvlrq dqg frqfoxvlrqv
lq hdfk srlqw lv h{suhvvhg e| wdnlqj wkh udwlr ri wkh phdvxuhg n0udwlrv ryhu wkh n0
udwlrv fdofxodwhg zlwk wkh *SUR]D<9* surjudp1 Wkh klvwrjudp vkrzq lq Iljxuh
;14/ vkrzv wkh ghyldwlrqv/ zlwk uhvshfw wr wkh fdofxodwhg ydoxhv/ lq wkh uhvxowv ri doo
phdvxuhphqw srlqwv rq wkh exon Do6 Qe/ Do5 ]u/ Do6 ]u7 dqg DoDx5 +rqh dqdo|vlv srlqw
iru hdfk frpsrvlwlrq/ [0ud| olqh dqg yrowdjh frpelqdwlrq/ dv sorwwhg lq wkh Iljxuhv
:15/ :16 dqg :17,1 : gdwd srlqwv ri wkh frpsohwh vhw ri 444 srlqwv duh orfdwhg lq wkh
plqlpxp dqg pd{lpxp eduv ri wkh klvwrjudp lqglfdwhg e| wkh gdvkhg duhdv dqg
duh frqvlghuhg wr eh huurqhrxv dqdo|vhv dqg glvfdughg1 Rq wkh uhvxowlqj gdwd vhw ri
437 phdvxuhphqwv/ dq ryhudoo dyhudjh ydoxh ri 4136 dqg d u1p1v1 ydoxh ri 818 ( zdv
rewdlqhg1
;1416
Wklq ?op dqdo|vlv
Wkh uhvxowv ri wkh olqhvfdqv +Iljxuhv :19/ :1:/ :1; dqg :1<,/ vkrz wkdw wkh sursrvhg
phwkrg ri xvlqj wkh WID surjudp/ ghyhorshg iru HSPD xvh/ lv zhoo vxlwhg wr frpsxwh
vlpxowdqhrxvo| frpsrvlwlrq dqg wklfnqhvv lq WHP dqdo|vlv1 Wkh phwkrg lv zhoo
fdsdeoh ri ghdolqj zlwk odujh wklfnqhvv yduldwlrqv= wkh rewdlqhg frpsrvlwlrqv duh
frqvwdqw/ dv h{shfwhg/ zkloh wkh wklfnqhvv ydulhv ryhu d odujh udqjh1 Lw vkrxog eh
qrwhg wkdw vwdqgdugv duh wr eh uhfrughg fduhixoo|/ zlwk hqrxjk dftxlvlwlrq wlph wr
rewdlq vprrwk dqg zhoo gh?qhg shdnv/ vlqfh huuruv lq wkh vwdqgdugv zloo d>hfw doo
dqdo|vlv srlqwv1
Frpsrvlwlrq
Wr jlyh dq lpsuhvvlrq ri wkh h>hfw ri wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq/ wkh frpsrvlwlrq
fdofxodwlrqv rq wkh DoQl olqhvfdqv gdwd uhfrughg dw 493 nY duh dovr shuiruphg xvlqj
wkh vwdqgdug Fol>0Orulphu udwlr whfkqltxh ^4` dqg duh vkrzq lq Iljxuh ;151 Wkh ?uvw
dqdo|vlv srlqw/ uhfrughg dw wkh yhu| wklq hgjh ri wkh vshflphq/ zdv xvhg wr rewdlq wkh
NDoQl 0ydoxhv> doo frpsrvlwlrqv duh qrupdolvhg1 Dw d wklfnqhvv ri 533 çj2fp5 +dssur{1
673 qp, wkh huuru lq frpsrvlwlrq/ zlwk wkh Fol>0Orulphu phwkrg zlwkrxw devruswlrq
fruuhfwlrq/ lv douhdg| 43 ( iru wkh qlfnho dqg pruh wkdq 63 ( iru wkh doxplqlxp1 Lq
idfw lw lv hyhq zruvh= wkh Ql0Nò udgldwlrq lv kdugo| devruehg1 Wkh huuru lq wkh qlfnho
frqfhqwudwlrq lv d rqo| d uhvxow ri wkh qrupdolvdwlrq/ dqg lv fdxvhg ri dq hyhq odujhu
huuru lq wkh Do frqfhqwudwlrq1
Lq vrph ri wkh uhfrughg olqhvfdqv/ vpdoo frpsrvlwlrq ghyldwlrqv fdq eh revhuyhg
lq wkh yhu| wklq duhdv/ w|slfdoo| ehorz 4 çj2fp5 +dssur{lpdwho| ? 5 qp iru DoQl,1
Wkh qxpehu ri frxqwv lq wkh vshfwudo shdnv lq wkhvh yhu| wklq duhdv lv h{wuhpho|
orz> wkhuhiruh/ odujh vwdwlvwlfdo huuruv rffxu1 Ixuwkhupruh/ vshflphq frqwdplqdwlrq
+lqgxfhg e| wkh hohfwurq ehdp, fdq d>hfw wkh [0ud| hplvvlrq vlqfh/ lq vxfk fdvhv/
43;
Glvfxvvlrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv uhvxowv ;141
+LVWRJUDP#RI#444#EXON#DQDO\VHV#
+PHDQ #41363>#VWGHY# #31388/#437#SRLQWV,
58
1XPEHU#RI#PHDVXUHPHQWV
53
48
43
8
3
? 31;
31<
4
414
415 !4157
N0UDWLR#+PHDVXUHG,2#N0UDWLR#+FDOFXODWHG,
Iljxuh ;141 Klvwrjudp vkrzlqj wkh uhvxowv rewdlqhg zlwk wkh *SUR]D<9* surjudp rq
437 exon dqdo|vhv +Do 6 Qe/ Do 5 ]u/ Do 6 ]u 7 dqg DoDx 5 , ehwzhhq 53 dqg 4;3 nY1
43<
Fkdswhu ;1 Glvfxvvlrq dqg frqfoxvlrqv
58313
413
$O1,#493#N9
31<
31;
31:
48313
7KLFNQHVV
319
$O
318
1L
43313
317
:HLJKW#IUDFWLRQ#
0DVV#WKLFNQHVV#+ PJ2FPð,
53313
316
8313
315
314
313
313
3
8
43
48
'LVWDQFH##+PP,
53
58
Iljxuh ;151 Uhvxowv ri d olqhvfdq rq dq DoQl WHP vshflphq/ uhfrughg dw 493 nY
+vhh dovr :19,1 Wr vkrz wkh h>hfw ri wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq/ wkh frpsrvlwlrqv duh
fdofxodwhg wzlfh/ rqfh xvlqj rxu *WID* surjudp +vrolg pdunhuv,/ dqg rqfh xvlqj wkh
devruswlrq0ohvv Fol>0Orulphu udwlr whfkqltxh +rshq pdunhuv,1 Ri frxuvh/ wkh Fol>0
Orulphu phwkrg grhv qrw |lhog dq| wklfnqhvv lqirupdwlrq1
wkh frqwdplqdwlrq od|hu lv ri vljql?fdqw wklfnqhvv frpsduhg wr wkh wklfnqhvv ri wkh
vshflphq1
Wklfnqhvv
Dowkrxjk lw lv gl!fxow wr fkhfn zkhwkhu wkh wklfnqhvv sur?ohv duh hqwluho| uhdolvwlf/ lw
fdq eh vhhq wkdw wkh urxjkqhvv ri wkh wklfnqhvv sur?oh ghshqgv rq wkh wrwdo odwhudo
glvwdqfh ri wkh olqhvfdq= wkh olqhvfdqv rq DoWl dw 73 nY +Iljxuh :1:, dqg doo olqhvfdqv
rq wkh Do6 Wl +Iljxuh :1;, vkrz d vprrwk wklfnqhvv sur?oh dqg duh uhfrughg ryhu d
vpdoo odwhudo glvwdqfh ri d ihz plfurphwhu/ zkloh iru h{dpsoh wkh olqhvfdqv uhfrughg
rq wkh DoWl vshflphq dw 493 dqg 533 nY vkrz vwurqjo| xfwxdwlqj wklfnqhvv sur?oh
dqg duh uhfrughg ryhu d pxfk odujhu glvwdqfh ri derxw 93 çp1 Iurp wklv lw lv dssduhqw
wkdw wkh fdofxodwhg wklfnqhvv ydoxhv uhsuhvhqw wkh dfwxdo vshflphq wklfnqhvv sur?oh1
443
Glvfxvvlrq ri wkh dqdo|vlv uhvxowv ;141
Lq vrph ri wkh uhfrughg olqhvfdqv/ olnh wkh Do6 Wl dw 453 nY +Iljxuh :1;,/
vpdoo vwhsv dsshdu lq wkh rewdlqhg wklfnqhvv1 Dw wkh srvlwlrq zkhuh wkhvh vwhsv
rffxu/ wkh ehdp fxuuhqw zdv fkdqjhg odujho| wr uhdgmxvw wkh ghdg wlph ri wkh HGV
+dssur{lpdwho| iurp 73 ( edfn wr 53 (,1 Dssduhqwo| wkh frxqw udwh kdg ehfrph wrr
odujh wr vwd| zlwklq wkh olqhdu udqjh ri wkh HGV1 Vlqfh wklv d>hfwv doo hohphqwv/ wkhuh
zloo rqo| eh d vpdoo huuru lq wkh ghwhuplqhg wklfnqhvv/ dqg dv d uhvxow ri wklv/ dovr d
vpdoo huuru lq wkh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq1 Wkh odwwhu/ krzhyhu/ zloo eh yhu| vpdoo dqg
dffhswdeoh/ dv lv frq?uphg e| wkh idfw wkdw wkhuh lv qr ylvleoh fkdqjh lq wkh fdofxodwhg
frpsrvlwlrq1 D pruh frqvwdqw ghdg wlph vhwwlqj/ e| frqwlqxrxv yduldwlrq ri wkh ehdp
fxuuhqw/ vkrxog eh xvhg wr dyrlg wklv sureohp
Dowkrxjk/ iurp dq dqdo|wlfdo srlqw ri ylhz qrw yhu| lqwhuhvwlqj/ wkh frsshu julg
dqdo|vlv +Iljxuh :18, vkrzv krz srzhuixo wkh phwkrg lv1 Ri frxuvh/ lw vkrxog eh fohdu
wkdw wklv fdq qrw eh vhhq dv d uhdolvwlf wklfnqhvv sur?oh/ vlqfh dw wkh hgjhv ri wkh julgedu
wkh vxuidfh lv idu iurp krul}rqwdo/ fkdqjlqj wkh ohqjwk ri wkh [0ud| sdwk wkurxjk wkh
vdpsoh wrzdugv wkh HGV1 Ixuwkhupruh/ wkh odwhudo vsuhdglqj ri wkh hohfwurq ehdp
zloo eh odujh dqg/ frqvhtxhqwo|/ sduw ri wkh lqflghqw hohfwurqv zloo hvfdsh iurp wkh
vlghv ri wkh julgedu zkhq wkh ehdp lv orfdwhg qhdu wkhp1 Lw ghprqvwudwhv/ krzhyhu/
wkdw wkh phwkrg fdq ghdo zlwk yhu| wklfn vshflphqv 0 fdvhv zkhuh vshflphqv duh qrw
wudqvsduhqw wr hohfwurqv lq qrupdo WHP prgh 0 dqg wkdw wkh wklfnqhvv fdofxodwlrqv
duh fruuhfw1
Ryhudoo shuirupdqfh
Dq ryhuylhz ri wkh wklq ?op dqdo|vlv uhvxowv lv vkrzq e| wkh klvwrjudp lq Iljxuh ;161
Iurp wkh frpsohwh vhw ri 997 dqdo|vlv srlqwv/ 54 huurqhrxv gdwd srlqwv zhuh glvfdughg>
srlqwv zlwk h{wuhpho| orz frxqw udwhv/ lq xowud0wklq duhdv1 Rq wkh uhpdlqlqj gdwd vhw
ri 976 srlqwv dq dyhudjh ydoxh ri 4136 dqg d u1p1v1 ydoxh ri :14 ( zdv rewdlqhg1
;1417
Dssolfdwlrqv1
Lq wkh fdvh ri wkh furvv vhfwlrqdo vshflphq ri wkh JdDv zdihu/ frdwhg zlwk Wlwdqlxp/
vhsdudwh frpsrxqg vwdqgdugv kdg wr eh xvhg iru wkh jdoolxp dqg wkh duvhqlf/ vlqfh
wkhlu N0olqh shdnv ryhuods odujho| lq wkh HGV vshfwuxp1 JdVe zdv xvhg iru wkh Jd
uhihuhqfh/ dqg JdDv iru wkh Dv uhihuhqfh +dv ghvfulehg rq sdjh 435,1 Lq hdfk dqdo|vlv
srlqw wkh pxowlsoh ohdvw vtxduhv urxwlqh wdnhv fduh ri wkh shdn ghfrqyroxwlrq1 Hyhq lq
wklv gl!fxow vlwxdwlrq zlwk shdn ghfrqyroxwlrq dqg frpsrxqg vwdqgdugv/ wkh dqdo|vlv
phwkrg shuirupv zhoo1
Wkh vwhhs vwhs lq wkh frpsrvlwlrq +dovr ylvleoh lq wkh olqhvfdq rq JdVe vdpsoh,
jlyhv xv vrph lqglfdwlrq derxw wkh rewdlqdeoh uhvroxwlrq= wkh zlgwk ri wkh vwhs lv
444
Fkdswhu ;1 Glvfxvvlrq dqg frqfoxvlrqv
+LVWRJUDP#RI#997#7(0#WKLQ#ILOP#DQDO\VHV#
+PHDQ #41364>#VWGHY# #313:4/#976#SRLQWV,
453
1XPEHU#RI#PHDVXUHPHQWV
433
;3
93
73
53
3
? 31:8
31;:8
4
41458
4158 !
&RQFHQWUDWLRQ#+PHDVXUHG,2#&RQFHQWUDWLRQ##+FDOFXODWHG,
Iljxuh ;161 Klvwrjudp vkrzlqj wkh uhvxowv rewdlqhg zlwk wkh *WID<<<* surjudp rq 997
wklq ?op phdvxuhphqwv +DoQl/ DoWl/ Do 6 WL dqg Do 6 ]u 7 , ehwzhhq 73 dqg 533 nY1
445
Ryhudoo frqfoxvlrqv dqg ?qdo glvfxvvlrq ;151
dssur{lpdwho| 53 qp1 Frqvlghulqj/ wkdw wkhuh zloo eh d vpdoo dprxqw ri ehdp
vsuhdglqj lq wkh vshflphq/ dqg wkdw wkh plqlpxp rewdlqdeoh vsrw vl}h lq VWHP
prgh/ dv vshfl?hg e| Mhro/ lv 43 qp/ zh fhuwdlqo| fdq vd| wkdw wkh dqdo|vlv uhvroxwlrq
lv olplwhg e| wkh fdsdelolwlhv ri wkh plfurvfrsh/ dqg qrw e| wkh dqdo|vlv whfkqltxh1
Iru wkh dqdo|vlv ri wkh furvv vhfwlrqdo vshflphq ri wkh JdVe zdihu/ frdwhg zlwk
fredow/ sxuh hohphqw Ve dqg Fr vwdqgdugv zhuh xvhg dqg d slhfh ri wkh JdVe zdihu wr
rewdlq wkh jdoolxp uhihuhqfh1 E| wkh dqqhdolqj ri wkh fredow frdwhg JdVe zdihu wzr
uhdfwlrq od|huv kdg iruphg= FrVe6 dqg FrJd/ dffruglqj wr wkh fu|vwdo vwuxfwxuhv re0
wdlqhg iurp frqyhujhqw ehdp hohfwurq gl>udfwlrq1 Wkh fredow zdv frpsohwho| uhdfwhg/
vr wkhuh zdv qr sxuh fredow od|hu ohiw1 Wkh FrVe6 lv d olqh frpsrxqg/ zkloh wkh FrJd
kdv d odujh krprjhqhlw| udqjh/ zlwk d jdoolxp frqfhqwudwlrq udqjlqj iurp 63 wr ryhu
93 dw1 ( Jdoolxp dffruglqj wr wkh elqdu| skdvh gldjudp ^5`1
Wkh olqhvfdq dqdo|vlv lv lq djuhhphqw zlwk wkh fu|vwdoorjudsklfdo| rewdlqhg
lqirupdwlrq1 Lw dovr vkrzv wkdw wkhuh lv d vpdoo dprxqw ri jdoolxp suhvhqw lq wkh
FrVe6 od|hu +forvh wr wkh ghwhfwlrq olplw zlwk wkh dftxlvlwlrq frqglwlrqv xvhg/ exw
ylvleoh lq wkh HGV vshfwud,1 Wkh suhvhqfh ri wkh jdoolxp/ ohdgv wr d voljkw fkdqjh lq wkh
Fr dqg Ve frqfhqwudwlrq1 Lq dq rffdvlrqdo srlqw zkhuh wkh jdoolxp zdv qrw ghwhfwhg/
wkh frpsrvlwlrq ri wkh FrVe6 fruuhvsrqgv zlwk wkh vwrlfklrphwulf frpsrvlwlrq1 Wkh
jdoolxp fdq eh suhvhqw lq wkh FrVe6 odwwlfh> krzhyhu/ lw lv dovr srvvleoh wkdw lw lv
suhvhqw lq dq dpruskrxv od|hu rq wrs +dqg erwwrp, ri wkh vshflphq/ frqvlvwlqj ri
uhghsrvlwhg pdwhuldo dv d uhvxow ri vhyhuh lrq ehdp ploolqj1 Lw lv fohduo| ylvleoh wkdw
wkh FrJd lv qrw ri vwrlfklrphwulf frpsrvlwlrq dqg wkdw wkhuh lv dq h{fhvv ri Jd1
;15
;1514
Ryhudoo frqfoxvlrqv dqg ?qdo glvfxvvlrq
Xvlqj *SUR]D* lq WHP wklq ?op dqdo|vlv
Wkh * +ã}, edvhg dqdo|vlv phwkrg sursrvhg khuh/ vkrxog qrw eh uhjdughg dv d frp0
shwlqj phwkrg wr dq| ri wkh h{lvwlqj WHP dqdo|vlv phwkrgv edvhg rq wkh wklq ?op
dssur{lpdwlrq1 Rq wkh frqwudu|= Lw lv d frpsohwho| qhz dssurdfk wr WHP wklq ?op
dqdo|vlv1 Lw lv deoh wr ghdo zlwk vshflphqv ri d yhu| zlgh udqjh lq wklfnqhvv +xs wr
çp udqjh, dqg frpsoh{ frpsrvlwlrqv1 Dgydqwdjhv ri wkh phwkrg duh=
î Lw grhv qrw uhtxluh wklq ?op vwdqgdugv/ri h{dfwo| nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq/ exw xvhv
vlpsoh dqg hdv| wr suhsduh exon vwdqgdugv/ xvxdoo| sxuh hohphqwv1
î Lw lv qrw qhfhvvdu| wr fkhfn zkhwkhu dq| fulwhuld/ olnh pd{lpxp dssolfdeoh wklfn0
qhvv/ duh vdwlv?hg1
446
Fkdswhu ;1 Glvfxvvlrq dqg frqfoxvlrqv
î Lw xvhv n0udwlrv dv lqsxw sdudphwhuv/ fdqfhoolqj rxw prvw ri wkh xqnqrzq HGV
fkdudfwhulvwlfv1
î Vlqfh uhihuhqfh shdnv duh xvhg/ lw hqvxuhv dffxudwh shdn ?wwlqj dqg r>huv shdn
ghfrqyroxwlrq1
î Vshflphq ri dq| wklfnqhvv fdq eh dqdo|vhg/ dv zhoo dv frpsoh{/ pxowl hohphqwv/
frpsrvlwlrqv1
î Vlpxowdqhrxv ghwhuplqdwlrq ri vshflphq wklfnqhvv dqg frpsrvlwlrq lv r>huhg1
Wklfnqhvv phdvxuhphqwv xs wr pdq| plfurphwhuv fdq eh shuiruphg1
Ri frxuvh/ wkh phwkrg dovr kdv vrph glvdgydqwdjhv=
î Wkh xvh ri exon vshflphqv uhtxluhv dq hohfwurq ehdp fxuuhqw/ dgmxvwdeoh ryhu 6
wr 7 ghfdghv1 Prvw plfurvfrshv r>hu d udqjh ri dshuwxuhv dqg vsrwvl}hv/ wkdw lv
odujh hqrxjk wr dgmxvw wkh ehdp fxuuhqw wr wkh dssursuldwh ydoxh1
î D ehdp fxuuhqw phwhu lv dq devroxwh qhfhvvlw| rq dq| plfurvfrsh xvhg iru
dqdo|wlfdo sxusrvhv +uhpdunv wr wklv kdyh douhdg| ehhq pdgh e| Jrogvwhlq dqg
Zlooldpv +^6` 4<;<,,1 Xvlqj wkh eldv2Zhkqhow f|olqghu fxuuhqw uhdglqj rq wkh
plfurvfrsh +olnh lw lv grqh lq ^7`, dv d ehdp fxuuhqw uhdglqj/ lv qrw dgylvdeoh=
yduldwlrqv lq ohqv fxuuhqwv +iru h{dpsoh wkh frqghqvhu ohqv fxuuhqw, fdq ydu|
wkh fxuuhqw ri wkh lqflghqw ehdp vxevwdqwldoo|/ exw zloo jr xqqrwlfhg lq wklv
lqglfdwlrq1
Lq wkh vlwxdwlrqv/ zkhuh wkh xqnqrzq vshflphqv kdyh d olplwhg qxpehu ri
gl>huhqw hohphqwv dqg zhoo gh?qhg wklq ?op vwdqgdugv/ zlwk frpsrvlwlrqv vlplodu
wr xqnqrzq vshflphq duh dydlodeoh/ wkh Fol>0Orulphu phwkrg lv vwloo frqyhqlhqw1
Zlwk vlplodu frqglwlrqv/ exw zlwk vshflphqv ri voljkwo| odujhu wklfnqhvv/ zkhuh wkh
devruswlrq0iuhh wklq ?op frqglwlrqv duh qrw vdwlv?hg/ rwkhu phwkrgv edvhg rq wklv
Fol>0Orulphu +vxfk dv wkh í0G[D phwkrg, shuirup zhoo1 Lq wkhvh fdvhv wkh SUR]D
wklq ?op phwkrg lv dq htxdo dowhuqdwlyh wr wkhvh phwkrgv1
Krzhyhu/ lq rwkhu/ pruh gl!fxow fdvhv/ olnh zkhq vshflphqv ri pruh frpsoh{
frpsrvlwlrq duh wr eh dqdo|vhg dqg2ru suhsdudwlrq ri wklq ?op vwdqgdugv dqg wklq
WHP vshflphqv ehfrphv gl!fxow +ru hyhq lpsrvvleoh,/ wkh *SUR]D* edvhg wklq ?op
dqdo|vlv phwkrg sursrvhg lq wklv wkhvlv ehfrphv vxshulru1
;1515
Ixuwkhu uhpdunv frqfhuqlqj wkh WHP wklq ?op dqdo|vhv
Doo wkh phdvxuhphqwv lq wklv wkhvlv zhuh shuiruphg rq d vwdqgdug Mhro 5333 I[/
zlwk rqo| rqh pdmru prgl?fdwlrq= wkh lqvwdoodwlrq ri wkh sureh fxuuhqw phwhu1 Zlwk
447
Uhfrpphqgdwlrq iru ixuwkhu uhvhdufk dqg lpsuryhphqwv wr wkh WHP vhwxs ;161
wkh rewdlqhg uhvxowv/ lw lv qrw srvvleoh wr uh?qh wkh *WID* surjudp/ wkh wklq ?op
yhuvlrq ri wkh *SUR]D surjudp1 Suredeo|/ wkh fdofxodwlrqv e| wkh surjudp duh
pruh dffxudwh wkdq zh fdq phdvxuh/ hyhq lq WHP frqglwlrqv1 Ehwwhu dqdo|vlv uhvxowv
frxog eh rewdlqhg e| hlwkhu grlqj pdq| pruh phdvxuhphqwv/ hqodujlqj wkh gdwdedvh
dqg khqfh/ uhgxflqj wkh vwdwlvwlfdo huuruv ru e| xvlqj d plfurvfrsh pruh vshfl?fdoo|
ghvljqhg dqg exlow iru dqdo|vlv sxusrvhv +iru h{dpsoh dv lqglfdwhg e| O|pdq +4<<7,
^8`,1
Ixuwkhupruh/ lw vkrxog eh qrwhg wkdw lq wklq ?opv rwkhu sdudphwhuv/ vxfk dv
fu|vwdo rulhqwdwlrq/ fdq lq xhqfh wkh phdvxuhphqwv1 Zkhq lpsurylqj wkh vsdwldo
uhvroxwlrq hyhq ixuwkhu/ grzq wr wkh vxe0qdqrphwhu vfdoh +rqo| srvvleoh rq yhu| wklq
vshflphqv,/ wkh h{flwdwlrq yroxph ehfrphv vr vpdoo wkdw rqh fdqqrw dvvxph d krpr0
jhqhrxv glvwulexwlrq ri wkh hohphqwv dq| pruh/ dqg h>hfwv gxh wr wkh olplwhg qxpehu
ri dwrpv pd| ehfrph lpsruwdqw1 +vhh dovr ^9`,1
Frqfhuqlqj wkh hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj htxdwlrqv xvhg lq wkh prgho/ lw lv vrphwlphv
phqwlrqhg wkdw fruuhfwlrqv vkrxog eh pdgh iru uhodwlylvwlf h>hfwv ^:`1 D sursrvhg
phwkrg wr fruuhfw iru wkhvh h>hfwv/ lv e| lqfuhdvlqj wkh ydoxh ri wkh dffhohudwlrq
yrowdjh/ H3 1 Krzhyhu/ li rqh zrxog frqvlghu lqfrusrudwlqj vxfk uhodwlylvwlf fruuhfwlrq/
qrw rqo| wkh zdyhohqjwk +dqg wkhuh iru H3 , fkdqjhv/ exw pdq| pruh sdudphwhuv/ vxfk
dv wkh vshflphq wklfnqhvv zklfk lv vhhq e| wkh hohfwurq sdvvlqj wkurxjk1 Pruhryhu/
li dq| uhodwlylvwlf h>hfwv duh suhvhqw/ wkh| duh suredeo| douhdg| sduwldoo| hqforvhg e|
wkh pdq| sdudphwhuv lq wkh prgho1
;16
Uhfrpphqgdwlrq iru ixuwkhu uhvhdufk dqg lp0
suryhphqwv wr wkh WHP vhwxs
Dv phqwlrqhg lq wkh suhylrxv vhfwlrq/ pruh dffxudwh phdvxuhphqwv/ dqg2ru vlpso|
pdq| pruh phdvxuhphqwv/ duh qhhghg wr gr dq| lpsuryhphqwv wr wkh *SUR]D* dqg
wkh *WID<<<* surjudpv dqg wkh prghov rq zklfk wkh| duh edvhg1 Lq rughu wr gr vr/
d frxsoh ri vpdoo lpsuryhphqwv fdq vwloo eh pdgh wr wkh fxuuhqw vhwxs=
î Wkh SFG vkrxog eh dxwrpdwhg/ vlplodu wr dq HSPD1 Dq dxwrpdwhg SFG pdnhv
lw srvvleoh wr shuirup olqhvfdqv zlwk odujh dprxqw ri dqdo|vlv srlqwv dqg orqjhu
dftxlvlwlrq wlphv/ vlqfh wkh ehdp fxuuhqw fdq eh phdvxuhg ehiruh hyhu| srlqw
zlwkrxw lqwhuihuhqfh ri dq rshudwru1 Iru plfurvfrshv zlwk dxwrpdwhg vwdjh
frqwuro/ lw pljkw ph srvvleoh wr xvh d SFG rq wkh vshflphq kroghu ru rq wkh
vwdjh lwvhoi/ zkhq lqvwdoodwlrq ri d SFG ghylfh lv qrw srvvleoh rq wkh vshfl?f
plfurvfrsh/ vlqfh wkh vwdjh dxwrpdwlrq zloo doorz wkh xvhu wr uhwxuq dffxudwh wr
wkh dqdo|vlv srvlwlrq1
448
Uhfrpphqgdwlrq iru ixuwkhu uhvhdufk dqg lpsuryhphqwv wr wkh WHP vhwxs ;161
î Dowkrxjk wkh hohfwurphwhu xvhg iru wkh fxuuhqw phdvxuhphqw lv dffxudwh hqrxjk/
d vpdoo lpsuryhphqw fdq eh uhdolvhg lq vlwxdwlrqv zkhuh d yhu| orz ehdp fxuuhqw
lv qhhghg +vxfk dv kljk dwrplf qxpehu exon vwdqgdugv, e| xvlqj dq hyhq pruh
dffxudwh fxuuhqw phwhu/ vxfk dv wkh Nhlwkoh| 9751 D vhsdudwh vljqdo dpsol?hu
orfdwhg dw wkh SFG lwvhoi/ fdq uhgxfh wkh vljqdo qrlvh lqgxfhg e| wkh fdeolqj1
î Lqvwdoodwlrq ri d iuhh ohqv fxuuhqw frqwuro/ zloo doorz frqwlqxrxv yduldwlrq ri wkh
ehdp fxuuhqw1 E| ydu|lqj wkh ehdp fxuuhqw/ wkh HGV ghdg wlph frxog eh nhsw
frqvwdqw/ dyrlglqj frxqw udwh sureohpv1
î Wkh odujhvw lpsuryhphqw fdq suredeo| eh dfklhyhg e| lpsurylqj wkh HGV
+frxqwlqj, v|vwhp/ vlqfh orz frxqw udwhv dqg d olqhdu ehkdylrxu ri wkh HGV
dqg lwv sxovh0surfhvvlqj duh wkh wzr pdmru vrxufhv ri huuruv lq wkh rewdlqhg
dqdo|vlv gdwd1 Iru h{dpsoh/ d gljlwdo sxovh0surfhvvru lv deoh wr kdqgoh pxfk
kljkhu frxqw udwhv wkdq wkh fxuuhqw dqdorjxh v|vwhp1
Ixuwkhupruh/ whvwlqj ri wkh prgho frxog eh h{whqghg wr wlowhg vshflphqv dqg
wr xowud0oljkw hohphqwv1 Wkh odwwhu lv hvshfldoo| lqwhuhvwlqj/ vlqfh lq wkhvh fdvhv
dq dssursuldwh devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq ehfrphv kljko| lpsruwdqw1 Dowkrxjk lw
pd| vhhp vrphzkdw shfxoldu/ frpelqlqj wkh oljkw hohphqw fdvhv dqg wklq ?op
dqdo|vlv lq d WHP pd| eh srvvleoh= Diwhu doo/ prvw ri wkh hplwwhg udgldwlrq
lq fdvh ri d oljkw hohphqw exon vdpsoh ruljlqdwhv iurp wkh yhu| vxuidfh ri wkh
vshflphq/ zkloh doo wkh udgldwlrq jhqhudwhg ghhshu lq wkh vshflphq lv devruehg
dqg zloo qrw eh hplwwhg1 Lq rwkhu zrugv= wkh * +ã}, fxuyh ri wkh jhqhudwhg [0ud|
lqwhqvlw| uhdfkhv wr odujh ghswkv lq wkh vshflphq zkloh rqo| wkh udgldwlrq iurp
wkh yhu| ehjlqqlqj ri wkh fxuyh lv hplwwhg dqg fdq eh phdvxuhg e| wkh ghwhfwru1
Wkhuhiruh dqdo|vlv ri oljkw hohphqwv lq exon vshflphqv lv yhu| gl!fxow1 Lq wkh
wklq ?op dqdo|vlv fdvh/ wklv sureohp lv qrw suhvhqw vlqfh [0ud|v duh jhqhudwhg
lq wkh wklq ?op dqg prvw ri wkhp zloo dovr eh hplwwhg1
;1614
H{whqvlrqv ri wkh qhz phwkrg
Wkh WID surjudp lv deoh wr fdofxodwh n0udwlrv iru wklq ?op vshflphqv ri nqrzq
frpsrvlwlrq dw dq| dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh1 Wkhuhiruh lw vkrxog eh srvvleoh wr rewdlq
dq dffxudwh vshflphq wklfnqhvv ydoxh ri d WHP vshflphq ri nqrzq frpsrvlwlrq/ e|
phdvxulqj pxowlsoh gdwd srlqwv dw ydu|lqj wklfnqhvv/ ru e| ydu|lqj wkh dffhohudwlrq
yrowdjhv/ zlwkrxw phdvxulqj wkh exon vwdqgdug1 Zlwk d surjudp urxwlqh wr shuirup
wkh qhfhvvdu| fdofxodwlrqv/ wklv zrxog h{whqg wkh phwkrg/ pdnlqj lw vxlwdeoh iru xvlqj
erwk exon dqg wklq ?op vwdqgdugv1
449
Eleolrjudsk|
^4` J1 Fol> dqg J1Z1 Orulphu1 Txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv ri wklq phwdo irlov xvlqj HPPD0
7 0 wkh udwlr whfkqltxh1 Lq= Surf1 Iliwk Hxurshdq Frqjuhvv rq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs|/
ss1 4738474/ +4<:5,1
^5` Z1J1 Pr>dww1 Kdqgerrn ri Elqdu| Skdvh Gldjudpv1
Frusrudwlrq/ Qhz \run/ +4<;7,1
Jhqlxp Sxeolvklqj
^6` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq dqg G1E1 Zlooldpv1 H>hfw ri irlo wklfnqhvv rq txdqwl?fdwlrq ri HGV
vshfwud1 Lq= S1H1 Uxvvhoo/ hglwru/ Plfurehdp Dqdo|vlv/ ss1 8348839/ Vdq Iudqflvfr/
+4<;<,1 Vdq Iudqflvfr Suhvv1
^7` ]1 Krulwd/ W1 Vdqr/ dqg P1 Qhprwr1 Vlpsol?fdwlrq ri {0ud| devruswlrq fruuhfwlrq
lq wklq0vdpsoh txdqwlwdwlyh plfurdqdo|vlv1 Xowudplfurvfrs|/ 54=5:485:9/ +4<;:,1
^8` F1H1 O|pdq/ M1L1 Jrogvwhlq/ G1E1 Zlooldpv/ G1Z1 Dfnodqg/ V Yrq Kduudfk/ D1Z1
Qlfkroov/ dqg S1M1 Vwdwkdp1 Kljk0shuirupdqfh {0ud| ghwhfwlrq lq d qhz dqdo|wlfdo
hohfwurq plfurvfrsh1 Mrxuqdo ri Plfurvfrs|/ 4:9=;88<;/ +4<<7,1
^9` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq/ G1E1 Zlooldpv/ dqg J1 Fol>1 Txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud| dqdo|vlv1 Lq= G1F
Mr|/ D1G1 Urplj/ Mu1/ dqg M1L1 Jrovwhlq/ hglwruv/ Sulqflsohv ri Dqdo|wlfdo Hohfwurq
Plfurvfrs|/ fkdswhu 8/ ss1 488854;1 Sohqxp Suhvv/ Qhz \run dqg Orqgrq/ +4<;9,1
^:` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq/ M1O1 Frvwoh|/ J1Z1 Orulphu/ dqg V1M1E1 Uhhg1 Txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud|
dqdo|vlv lq wkh hohfwurq plfurvfrsh1 Vfdqqlqj Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs|/ L=6488657/
+4<::,1
44:
ELEOLRJUDSK\
44;
Dsshqgl{ D
Olvw ri v|perov dqg
deeuhyldwlrqv
Sdudphwhuv qrw lqfoxghg lq wkh olvw ehorz duh lqwhuphgldwh sdudphwhuv1 Zkhuh qhfhv0
vdu|/ wkh| duh vshfl?hg dw wkh sodfh ri xvh1 Sdudphwhuv lq wklv olvw fdq eh xvhg iru
gl>huhqw sxusrvhv dv zhoo/ lq vxfk d fdvh wkh sdudphwhu lv vshfl?hg lq wkh dffrpsd0
q|lqj wh{w1
Wdeoh ri orzhu fdvh v|perov
l
Jhqhudoo| xvhg wr ghqrwh d vshfl?f hohphqw1
i +",
Vwdqgdug devruswlrq whup/ zkhuh " @ çã frvhf ë1
nDE
Fol>0Orulphu n0idfwru/ sursruwlrqdolw| frqvwdqw1
nl
n0udwlr ri hohphqw l+lqwhqvlw| ri d fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| olqh ri hohphqw l
glylghg e| lqwhqvlw| ri wkh vdph udgldwlrq iurp d vwdqgdug,1
p
Pdvv1
v
+lq gv, Glvwdqfh wudyhoohg zlwklq vshflphq1
y
Yhorflw|1
}
Olqhdu ghswk lq vshflphq +uhodwlyh wr vxuidfh,1
Wdeoh ri xsshu fdvh v|perov
D
Dwrplf pdvv ri wkh hohphqw lqyroyhg1 Dovr xvhg dv devruswlrq idfwru/ D/
lq ]DI dssurdfk1
Fl > FD Frqfhqwudwlrq +zhljkw iudfwlrq, ri hohphqw l ru D uhvshfwlyho|/ zlwklq
wkh pdwul{ 1
44<
Dsshqgl{ D1 Olvw ri v|perov dqg deeuhyldwlrqv
Wdeoh ri xsshu fdvh v|perov +frqwlqxhg,
H
Hqhuj|= H3 / hqhuj| ri dq lqflghqw hohfwurq/ htxdov wkh dffhohudwlrq
yrowdjh hqhuj|1 Hf / fulwlfdo h{flwdwlrq hqhuj| ri d vshfl?f [0ud| olqh1
I
Xvhg dv xruhvfhqfh idfwru lq ]DI dssurdfk1
IL
Lqglfdwhv wkh wrwdo jhqhudwhg lqwhqvlw| zlwklq wkh vshflphq1 Htxdov wkh
lqwhjudo ri wkh * +ã}, fxuyh ehwzhhq 3 dqg 41
Ll > LD
Lqwhqvlw| +qxpehu ri [0ud| frxqwv, ri d fkdudfwhulvwlf [0ud| olqh ri
hohphqw l ru D1
M
Lrqlvdwlrq srwhqwldo1 Vhyhudo h{suhvvlrq fdq eh xvhg wr fdofxodwh1
Q3
Dyrjdgur*v Qxpehu/ 9=355469: û 4356 proý4 1
S8
Iliwk ghjuhh sro|qrpldo ixqfwlrq1
T
Lrqlvdwlrq furvv vhfwlrq1
U
Edfnvfdwwhu idfwru/ wdnlqj lqwr dffrxqw wkh orvv ri lrqlvdwlrq uhvxowlqj
iurp hohfwurq edfnvfdwwhulqj1
U4
Udqjh ri shqhwudwlrq ri wkh lqflghqw hohfwurqv1 Xvhg lq wklq ?op lwhudwlyh
surfhgxuh1
V
Vwrsslqj srzhu/ xvhg lq frqwlqxrxv hqhuj| orvv dssur{lpdwlrq1
W
Wklfnqhvv ri wkh ?op ru vshflphq1
X
Ryhu yrowdjh= X @ H@Hf dqg X3 @ H3 @Hf 1
]
Dwrplf qxpehu ri wkh hohphqw lqyroyhg1 Dovr xvhg dv dwrplf qxpehu
idfwru/ ]/ lq ]DI dssurdfk1
Wdeoh ri Juhhn v|perov
ò
Sdudphwhu xvhg wr ghvfuleh wkh ghfd| udwh lq wkh Jdxvvldq/ * +ã}, prgho
ñ
Sdudphwhu xvhg lq wkh vxuidfh0fhqwuhg/ vlqjoh Jdxvvldq/ * +ã}, prgho1
QRWH= Dovr xvhg lq wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho dv d ghshqghqw yduldeoh
zlwk d gl>huhqw phdqlqj$
ð
Sdudphwhuv xvhg lq wkh vxuidfh0fhqwuhg/ vlqjoh Jdxvvldq/ * +ã}, prgho1
%D
H!flhqf| ri HG[ ghwhfwru iru vshfl?f [0ud| olqh ri hohphqw D1
% +{,
Huuru whup1
í
Idfwru xvhg lq wkh í0G[D phwkrg1
ì
Edfnvfdwwhu frh!flhqw +glphqvlrq0ohvv,
ë
Wdnh0r> dqjoh> Dqjoh uhodwlyh wr vshflphq sodqh dw zklfk wkh HG[
ghwhfwru lv prxqwhg1
ç
Devruswlrq frh!flhqw/ xvxdoo| h{suhvvhg dv Pdvv devruswlrq frh!flhqw
ç
5
ã +fp 2j,1
ã
Ghqvlw| +j2fp6 ,1
ã}
Pdvv0ghswk/ jhqhudo ghswk sdudphwhu lq * +ã}, fxuyhv +j2fp5 ,1
453
Wdeoh ri Juhhn v|perov +frqwlqxhg,
ã}p
Pdvv0ghswk srvlwlrq dw zklfk wkh * +ã}, fxuyh uhdfkhv lwv pd{lpxp/
lqglfdwhg zlwk *p 1
â
Furvv vhfwlrq iru hodvwlf vfdwwhulqj1 Dovr Ohqdug frh!flhqw1
*
Jhqhudwhg +*j , ru Hplwwhg +*H , lqwhqvlw|/ xvxdoo| dv ixqfwlrq ri pdvv0
ghswk ã}1
*3
Sdudphwhu iru vxuidfh ydoxh ri * +ã}, fxuyh1
$l
Ioxruhvfhqfh |lhog iru d vshfl?f +N/O/P ru Q, [0ud| olqh iru hohphqw l1
Wdeoh ri vxe dqg vxshuvfulswv
+\ lv xvhg dv dq duelwudu| txdqwlw|1,
\f
Frpsrxqg/ dovr=
\f
Fulwlfdo= Uhihuulqj wr wkh fulwlfdo h{flwdwlrq hqhuj| wr h{flwh d vshfl?f
[0ud| olqh1
\lm
\ ri hohphqw l lq uhodwlrq wr hohphqw m1 h1j1 wkh devruswlrq ri udgldwlrq
iurp hohphqw l e| hohphqw m lq wkh pdwul{1 Xvhg dv vxe ru vxshuvfulsw1
\v
Dwwulexwh ri wkh vxevwudwh1
\i
Dwwulexwh ri wkh ?op1
\e
Dwwulexwh ri wkh exon= \e>i uhihuv wr wkh exon +frpsrvlwlrq, ri wkh ?op1
\p
Phdvxuhg/ dovr=
\p
Pd{lpxp= Xvhg wr lqglfdwh wkh pd{lpxp lq wkh * +ã}, fxuyh1
\vwg
Dwwulexwh ri wkh vwdqgdug1
\vs
Dwwulexwh ri wkh vshflphq1
\H
Hplwwhg
\J
Jhqhudwhg
\3
Dw vshflphqv vxuidfh/ zkhuh wkh hqhuj| ri wkh lqflghqw ehdp hohfwurqv
+H3 , htxdov wkh dffhohudwlrq yrowdjh lq nhY1
454
Dsshqgl{ D1 Olvw ri v|perov dqg deeuhyldwlrqv
455
Vxppdu|
Wkh pdlq remhfwlyh ri wkh uhvhdufk suhvhqwhg lq wklv wkhvlv zdv/ wr ghyhors d qhz
phwkrg iru vlpxowdqhrxv ghwhuplqdwlrq ri frpsrvlwlrq dqg wkh wklfnqhvv ri vshflphqv
lq d Wudqvplvvlrq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrsh +WHP,/ xvlqj [0ud| plfurdqdo|vlv1 Vxfk d
phwkrg r>huv dqdo|vlv ri wkh fkhplfdo frpsrvlwlrq dw yhu| kljk odwhudo uhvroxwlrq/ xs
wr qdqrphwhu vfdoh1
Dowkrxjk vxfk phwkrgv h{lvw/ glvdgydqwdjhv ri wkh h{lvwlqj txdqwl?fdwlrq sur0
fhgxuhv duh wkh orz dffxudf| dqg wkh sureohpv dvvrfldwhg zlwk suhsdulqj wkh wklq vsh0
flphqv qhhghg iru wkh dqdo|vlv1 Vrph ri wkh sureohpv lqyroyhg zlwk wkh txdqwl?fdwlrq
duh fdxvhg e| wkh odfn ri dq dssursuldwh pdwul{ fruuhfwlrq prgho1 Vxfk d prgho lv
qhfhvvdu| wr frqyhuw wkh phdvxuhg [0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv lqwr wkh vshflphq frpsrvlwlrq/
wdnlqj sdudphwhuv olnh devruswlrq dqg xruhvfhqfh lqwr dffrxqw1
Wkh fruuhfwlrq prghov frpprqo| xvhg lq dqdo|wlfdo wudqvplvvlrq hohfwurq pl0
furvfrs| duh udwkhu vwudljkwiruzdug dqg duh doo edvhg rq d shdn udwlr phwkrg lqwur0
gxfhg e| Fol> dqg Orulphu lq 4<:51 Wkh| xvh pdq| dssur{lpdwlrqv dqg dvvxpswlrqv
dqg duh wkhuhiruh lq jhqhudo rqo| vxlwhg iru shuihfwo| suhsduhg xowud wklq vshflphqv dqg
qrw iru pruh gl!fxow vlwxdwlrqv vxfk dv oljkw hohphqw dqdo|vhv1 Lq frqwudvw wr txdq0
wlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv rq d WHP/ pxfk pruh uhdolvwlf dqg frpsoh{ fruuhfwlrq prghov duh
ghyhorshg iru dqdo|vlv zlwk dq Hohfwurq Sureh Plfur Dqdo|vhu +HSPD,1 Zh irxqg
wkdw vxfk d prgho frxog dovr eh xvhg vxffhvvixoo| iru dssolfdwlrq lq wkh dqdo|wlfdo
WHP1
Wkh sduwlfxodu prgho zh xvhg zdv edvhg rq wkh %Grxeoh Jdxvvldq% *+ã},
dssurdfk/ zklfk zdv ruljlqdoo| ghyhorshg iru exon phdvxuhphqwv lq dq HSPD +xs
wr 73 nY, dqg lpsohphqwhg lqwr d frpsxwhu surjudp fdoohg *SUR]D<9* e| J1I1
Edvwlq lq rxu jurxs1 Odwhu rq/ wklv prgho zdv dovr h{whqghg wrzdugv dssolfdwlrqv lq
Wklq0Ilop dqdo|vlv +*WID<<<* surjudp,1 E| xvlqj wkh odwwhu surjudp lq frpelqdwlrq
zlwk dqdo|vlv shuiruphg lq wkh WHP/ zh duh deoh wr fdofxodwh erwk frpsrvlwlrq dqg
wklfnqhvv iurp [0ud| gdwd phdvxuhg zlwk dq HG[0ghwhfwru dw rqh vlqjoh dffhohudwlqj
yrowdjh1 Erwk wklq dqg wklfn vshflphqv fdq eh dqdo|vhg/ dqg oljkw hohphqwv fdq dovr
456
Dsshqgl{ D1 Vxppdu|
eh vwxglhg/ doo zlwkrxw pdmru fkdqjhv wr wkh WHP vhw0xs1
Lq wklv qhz/ *+ã}, edvhg/ wklq ?op dqdo|wlfdo WHP phwkrg/ wkh ehdp fxuuhqw
lv d ylwdo/ vlqfh wkh udwlr ehwzhhq wkh hplwwhg [0ud| lqwhqvlwlhv +lq frxqwv2vhf2qD,
iurp vshflphq dqg vwdqgdug +wkh vr0fdoohg n0udwlr, lv wkh fuxfldo lqsxw sdudphwhu
lqwr wkh fruuhfwlrq surjudp1 Wkhuhiruh/ zh kdyh ghvljqhg dqg lqvwdoohg dq dffxudwh
dqg kljko| vhqvlwlyh sureh fxuuhqw phwhu/ zklfk fryhuv d odujh udqjh lq fxuuhqwv1 Wkh
odwwhu lv qhfhvvdu| lq rughu wr ghdo zlwk wkh kxjh gl>huhqfhv lq frxqw udwhv ehwzhhq
exon vwdqgdugv dqg wklq ?op vshflphqv1 Wklv qhz ghylfh pdnhv lw srvvleoh wr phdvxuh
wkh hohfwurq ehdp fxuuhqw zlwk wkh uhtxluhg kljk suhflvlrq1
H{whqvlyh whvwlqj kdv ehhq shuiruphg e| WHP phdvxuhphqwv rq d udqjh ri exon
vdpsohv ri nqrzq elqdu| frpsrxqgv ri Do dqg Qe/ ]u/ dqg Dx/ dv zhoo dv wklq ?op
+WHP, vshflphqv pdgh iurp frpsrxqgv ri Do dqg Ql/ Wl/ dqg ]u/ lq rughu wr ydolgdwh
wkh *+ã}, prgho xqghu WHP frqglwlrqv +xs wr 533 nY,1 Iru wkhvh phdvxuhphqwv/
wkh prgho zdv irxqg wr shuirup dvwrqlvklqjo| zhoo1 Ilqdoo|/ phdvxuhphqwv rq furvv
vhfwlrqdo WHP vshflphqv zkhuh shuiruphg dv dq ryhudoo whvwlqj ri wkh phwkrg1
Wkh uhvxowv ri wkhvh phdvxuhphqwv fohduo| ghprqvwudwh wkdw wkh *+ã}, prgho
fdq eh xvhg dv dq dghtxdwh fruuhfwlrq prgho iru WHP txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv rq erwk
wklq dqg wklfn ru hyhq exon vshflphqv/ r>hulqj dffxudwh dqg kljk uhvroxwlrq txdqwl0
wdwlyh dqdo|vlv hyhq rq oljkw hohphqwv1
457
Vdphqydwwlqj
Gh grhovwhoolqj ydq khw rqghu}rhn/ zhhujhjhyhq lq glw surhivfkuliw/ zdv khw rqwzlnnhohq
ydq hhq qlhxzh Uùqwjhq plfur0dqdo|vh phwkrgh whu jholmnwlmgljh ehsdolqj ydq
suhsduddw0vdphqvwhoolqj hq 0glnwh lq hhq Wudqvplvvlh Hohnwurqhq Plfurvfrrs1 Hhq
ghujholmnh phwkrgh pddnw dqdo|vh ydq gh fkhplvfkh vdphqvwhoolqj phw }hhu krjh
uxlpwholmnh uhvroxwlh prjholmn/ }rgdw gh vdphqvwhoolqj ehsddog ndq zrughq ydq }hhu
nohlqh ghwdlov/ lq gh rugh ydq hqnhoh qdqrphwhuv +plomrhqvwh ploolphwhuv,1
Rivfkrrq ghujholmnh whfkqlhnhq do ehvwddq/ kheehq gh kxlgljh phwkrghq jhhq
krjh qdxznhxuljkhlg hq2ri yhuhlvhq suhsdudwlh ydq xowud0gxqqh suhsdudwhq/ zdw qlhw
dowlmg prjholmn lv1 Hhq ghho ydq gh}h sureohphq zrugw yhurru}ddnw grrugdw hu jhhq
jheuxln jhpddnw zrugw ydq jhvfklnwh pdwul{0fruuhfwlh0prghoohq= Hhq ghujholmn prgho
lv qrglj rp gh jhphwhq lqwhqvlwhlw ydq gh Uùqwjhqvwudolqj rp wh uhnhqhq wrw gh
jhyuddjgh vdphqvwhoolqj ydq khw suhsduddw/ zdduelm uhnhqlqj zrugw jhkrxghq phw
h>hfwhq }rdov devruswlh hq xruhvfhqwlh1
Gh prghoohq glh wrw yrrukhhq jheuxlnw zhughq lq gh dqdo|wlvfkh wudqvplvvlh
hohnwurqhq plfurvfrslh/ }lmq doohq ehwuhnnholmn hhqyrxglj hq jhedvhhug rs hhq slhn0
yhukrxglqj phwkrgh/ glh lq 4<:5 grru Fol> hq Orulphu jhòqwurgxfhhug zhug1 Gh}h
prghoohq jheuxlnhq yhoh ddqqdphv hq ehqdghulqjhq hq }lmq glhqwhqjhyrojh doohhq
jhvfklnw yrru xowud0gxqqh suhsdudwhq hq qlhw yrru prhlolmnhuh dqdo|vhq/ }rdov zdqqhhu
khw jddw rp dqdo|vh ydq olfkwh hohphqwhq1 Lq whjhqvwhoolqj wrw gh whfkqlhnhq yrru
nzdqwlwdwlhyh dqdo|vh lq gh WHP/ }lmq hu yrru dqdo|vh phw gh Hohwurq Sureh Plfur
Dqdo|vhu +HSPD, zho jhvfklnwh/ uhdolvwlvfkh pddu rrn frpsoh{h fruuhfwlh0prghoohq
rqwzlnnhog1 Lq glw surhivfkuliw zrugw ddqjhwrrqg gdw hhq ghujholmn prgho phw vxffhv
ndq zrughq lqjh}hw elm dqdo|wlvfkh wudqvplvvlh hohnwurqhq plfurvfrslh1
Khw vshfl?hnh prgho zdw zlm gdduyrru jheuxlnw kheehq/ lv jhedvhhug rs
gh *Gxeeho0Jdxvvlvfkh* *+ã}, prghoohulqj/ glh rruvsurqnholmn rqwzlnnhog zdv yrru
exon phwlqjhq lq hhq HSPD1 +wrw 73 nY, hq grru J1I1 Edvwlq elqqhq rq}h jurhs
jhòpsohphqwhhug lv lq hhq frpsxwhusurjudppd jhqddpg *SUR]D*1 Whyhqv lv glw
surjudppd lv yhughu xlwjheuhlg wrw hhq surjudppd gdw rrn jhvfklnw lv yrru gxqqh0
458
Vdphqydwwlqj
?op dqdo|vhv/ jhqddpg *WID<<<*1 Grru gh prjholmnkhghq ydq glw surjudppd wh
frpelqhuhq phw dqdo|wlvfkh hohnwurqhq plfurvfrslh }lmq zh lq vwddw jheohnhq }rzho gh
vdphqvwhoolqj dov gh glnwh ydq WHP suhsdudwhq jholmnwlmglj wh ehsdohq xlw gh phwlqjhq
ydq Uùqwjhqvwudolqj0lqwhqvlwhlwhq1 ]rzho gxqqh dov rrn glnnhuh suhsdudwhq nxqqhq
phw gh}h whfkqlhn zrughq jhdqdo|vhhug/ hq rrn gh dqdo|vh ydq olfkwh0hohphqwhq yrupw
jhhq sureohhp1 Glw doohv }rqghu vxevwdqwlîoh zlm}ljlqjhq ddq gh WHP kdugzduh1
Hhq ehodqjulmnh sdudphwhu lq gh}h whfkqlhn lv hfkwhu gh vwurrp ydq gh
hohnwurqhqexqgho/ rpgdw gh lqyrhu0sdudphwhu ydq khw surjudppd/ gh yhukrxglqj
lv ydq gh jhphwhq lqwhqvlwhlwhq +xlwjhguxnw lq sxovhq2vhfrqgh2qdqrdpshuh, wxvvhq
suhsduddw hq vwdqgddug/ gh }rjhqrhpgh n0udwlr1 Gddurp zdv khw qrglj hhq
qdxznhxuljh exqgho0vwurrp phwhu wh rqwzhushq/ zdduphh qdxznhxulj/ pddu wrfk ryhu
hhq jurrw ehuhln/ gh exqghovwurrp jhphwhq ndq zrughq1 Khw jurwh ehuhln lv qrglj
rpgdw gh exqghovwurrp ddqjhsdvw glhqw wh zrughq whq hlqgh gh jurwh yhuvfkloohq lq
lqwhqvlwhlw wxvvhq suhsduddw hq vwdqgddug rs wh kh>hq1 Gh qlhxz rqwzrushq exqgho0
vwurrp phwhu eh}lw yrogrhqgh ehuhln hq qdxznhxuljkhlg rp gh jhzhqvwh phwlqjhq xlw
wh yrhuhq1
Gh qlhxzh dqdo|vhwhfkqlhn lv xlwjheuhlg jhwhvw phw WHP0phwlqjhq rs hhq uhhnv
exon0suhsdudwhq ydq yhuelqglqjhq ydq Doxplqlxp phw Qe/ ]u/ hq Dx/ dov rrn rs
gxqqh0?op suhsdudwhq ydq Do phw Ql/ Wl hq ]u yhuelqglqjhq1 Glw rp qd wh jddq ri khw
*+ã}, prgho qrj fruuhfw lv yrru WHP rpvwdqgljkhghq }rdov hhq yhuvqhovsdqqlqj wrw
533 nY1 Elm gh}h phwlqjhq eohhn gh whfkqlhn elmqd yhued}lqjzhnnhqg jrhg wh zhunhq1
Dov grruvodjjhyhqgh whvw zhughq wrw vorw hhq ddqwdo *gzduvgrruvqhgh*0suhsdudwhq
jhdqdo|vhhug/ phw uhdfwlhodjhq wxvvhq phwdohq +Fr hq Wl, rsjhgdpsw rs kdoijhohlghu
pdwhulddo +JdDv hq JdVe,1
Gh uhvxowdwhq ydq do gh}h phwlqjhq odwhq gxlgholmn }lhq gdw gh yrrujhvwhogh
qlhxzh phwkrgh/ jheuxlnpdnhqgh ydq rs khw *+ã},0fxuyhq jhedvhhugh prgho/ jheuxlnw
ndq zrughq dov jrhgh dqdo|vh whfkqlhn lq nzdqwlwdwlhyh dqdo|wlvfkh wudqvplvvlh
hohnwurqhq plfurvfrslh1 Hq gdw gh}h whfkqlhn qdxznhxuljh dqdo|vh phw hhq krjh
uhvroxwlh prjholmn pddnw/ }hoiv rs olfkwh hohphqwhq1
459
Qdzrrug
Khw rqghu}rhn ehvfkuhyhq lq glw surhivfkuliw/ dovphgh khw surhivfkuliw }hoi/ lv wrw vwdqg
jhnrphq gdqn}lm gh phghzhunlqj ydq yhoh phqvhq rp plm khhq/ qlhw doohhq elqqhq khw
ydnjhelhg ydq gh hohnwurqhq0plfurvfrslh/ pddu }hnhu rrn gh whfkqlfl hq dooh phqvhq
glh jh}rujg kheehq yrru shuvrrqolmnh rqghuvwhxqlqj1 Elm gh}h zlo ln gdq rrn lhghuhhq
ehgdqnhq yrru }lmq ri kddu elmgudjh ddq glw surmhfw1
Lq khw elm}rqghu zlo ln hyhq qrhphq=
î Surihvvru Phwvhoddu/ khw oderudwrulxp yrru Ydvwh Vwri0 hq Pdwhulddo Fkhplh/
hq khw QZR yrru khw whu ehvfklnnlqj vwhoohq ydq gh}h rqghu}rhnvsoddwv1
î Jlho Edvwlq/ Kdqv Khlmoljhuv hq Glfn Nohsshu hq Pdufr Khqgul{/ yrru dooh
glvfxvvlh hq jh}hooljh jhvsuhnnhq glh ln phw khq khe nxqqhq yrhuhq ydqdi khw
hhuvwh prphqw gdw ln ddq glw surmhfw ehjrq1 Jlho lq elm}rqghu/ yrru khw vqhooh
hq }rujyxogljh fruuhfwlhzhun hq }lmq rqghuvwhxqlqj elm khw yroeuhqjhq ydq glw
surhivfkuliw1
î Kxxe ydq ghu Sdohq hq Vx}h Khlmqhpdqv yrru gh whfkqlvfkh glvfxvvlhv hq
uhdolvdwlh1 Kxxe lq khw elm}rqghu yrru gh yhoh jhvsuhnnhq ryhu ydq doohv zdw
qlhw phw glw rqghu}rhn wh pdnhq khhiw jhkdg1
î Fvded Fvhukäwl/ yrru gh dowlmg hqwkrxvldvwh rqghuvwhxqlqj/ gh JdVe hq JdDv
suhsdudwhq hq gh odvw0plqxwh phwlqjhq rs WHP jhelhg1
î Gh ?upd Mhro/ hq lq khw elm}rqghu kxq WHP whfkqlfxv Pu1 Lvklzdgd1
î Gh ?upd Qrudq/ hq vshflddo Zlp Ghnnhu/ glh phqlj sureohhp lq rq}h dqdo|vh
frpsxwhuv khhiw nxqqhq yhukhoshq/ wrw rs khw doohuoddwvwh prphqw1
î Surihvvru Zlooldpv/ iru klv nlqg lqylwdwlrq wr ylvlw klv jurxs dw Ohkljk Xqlyhuvlw|/
Shqqv|oydqld/ dqg klv sduwlflsdwlrq lq p| *surprwlh0frpplvvlh*1
45:
î Vdqghu ydq Edyho/ glh dov divwxghhughu hhq ghho ydq khw ghqnzhun hq gh phwlqjhq
yrru gh exqghovwurrp phwhu khhiw xlwjhyrhug1
î ]hnhu rrn plmq ndphujhqrwhq/ Pdun ydq Gdo hq Djqlhv}nd Nxg|ed0Mdqvhq/ yrru
gh dowlmg jh}hooljh vihhu hq glvfxvvlhv rs khw phhu shuvrrqolmnh yodn1
î Dooh DLR*v hq h{0DLR*v/ glh phw plm vdphq lq gh}h jurhs jh}hwhq kheehq/ yrru
dooh ohxnh jhvsuhnnhq hq dfwlylwhlwhq }rdov gh DLR0zhhnhqghq1
î Plmq yulhqglq/ Nodduwmh Eux|q/ yrru gh olhigh hq shuvrrqolmnh rqghuvwhxqlqj
wlmghqv gh oddwvwh mduhq1
î Hq wrw vorw/ plmq rxghuv/ }rqghu zlh plmq jhkhoh vwxglh qdwxxuolmn qrrlw prjholmn
zdv jhzhhvw1
Jhuehq Errq1
45;
Fxuulfxoxp Ylwdh
Rq Pd| 9wk 4<:3/ L/ Jhuehq Errq/ zdv eruq lq Ur}hqexuj +wkh Qhwkhuodqgv,/ zlwklq
wkh uhdfk ri wkh qhljkerxulqj Fkhplfdo Lqgxvwu|1 Rqo| kdoi d |hdu odwhu/ L pryhg wr
wkh frxqwu|vlgh dqg juhz xs lq wkh vpdoo yloodjh Jrxgvzddug1
Vhyhudo |hduv odwhu L ?qlvkhg vhfrqg vfkrro lq Duqkhp dqg ghflghg wr vwxg|
Fkhplfdo Whfkqrorj| dw wkh Wzhqwh Xqlyhuvlw| ri Whfkqrorj|/ zkhuh L sduwlflsdwhg
lq wkh frpsxwhu0vflhqfh rulhqwdwhg vfkrro r>huhg dw wklv vwxg|1 Lqvsluhg e| p|
qdwxudo fxulrvlw| L mrlqw wkh Ghsduwphqw ri Fkhplfdo Dqdo|vlv dqg judgxdwhg rq wkh
ghyhorsphqw ri dq H{shuw V|vwhp wr khos lqwhusuhwlqj uhvxowv ri hohfwurfkhplfdo phd0
vxuhphqwv1
Surfhglqj lq wkh dqdo|wlfdo ?hog/ L vwduwhg lq Dsulo 4<<8 dv d Sk1G1 vwxghqw dw
wkh Hlqgkryhq Xqlyhuvlw| ri Whfkqrorj|1 Khuh/ dw wkh Ghsduwphqw ri Vrolg0Vwdwh dqg
Pdwhuldov Fkhplvwu| L zrunhg rq d uhvhdufk surmhfw wr lpsuryh dqdo|wlfdo phdvxuh0
phqwv rq d Wudqvplvvlrq Hohfwurq Plfurvfrsh uhvxowlqj lq wklv wkhvlv1
45<
Wkhvhv=
41 * +ã},0prghoolqj fdq eh xvhg dv dq dghtxdwh fruuhfwlrq prgho iru erwk HSPD
dqg txdqwlwdwlyh WHP1
51 Wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho lv wkh prvw uhdolvwlf * +ã},0prgho fxuuhqwo| dydlo0
deoh1
61 Wkh idfw wkdw wkh grxeoh Jdxvvldq prgho frxog eh dssolhg vxffhvvixoo| dw WHP
frqglwlrqv/ suryhv wkh txdolw| ri wkh prgho lq lwv ruljlqdo dssolfdwlrq ?hog1
71 Dowkrxjk uhodwlylvwlf h>hfwv fdq sod| d vljql?fdqw uroh lq kljk hqhuj| vfdwwhulqj/
wkhvh fdq rqo| eh fruuhfwhg iru li doo sdudphwhuv duh wdnhq dv uhodwlylvwlf sdudp0
hwhuv1 D fruuhfwlrq vroho| iru wkh lqflghqw hqhuj| dv lv sursrvhg e| Jrogvwhlq hw
do1 4<:: ^4` lv lqfruuhfw1
81 Dq dffxudwh sureh fxuuhqw phwhu lv dq devroxwh qhfhvvlw| rq dq| hohfwurq pl0
furvfrsh xvhg iru txdqwlwdwlyh dqdo|vlv sxusrvhv1
91 Hohfwurqv frph lq gl>huhqw frorxuv/ lq d VHP wkh| duh juh|/ lq dq HSPD wkh|
duh eoxh/ lq d WHP wkh| duh juhhq dqg rq wkh frpsxwhu wkh| dsshdu lq doo
frorxuv1
:1 Vflhqfh lq lwvhoi vkrxog eh uhjdughg dv duw= qr rqh zloo eodph |rx li |rx gr qrw
nqrz zkr Idudgd| zdv/ exw wkh| zloo li |rx gr qrw nqrz zkr Prqhw zdv1
;1 Wkh remhfwlyh ri d Sk1G1 vwxg| lv wr ehfrph d frpshwhqw dqg dxwrqrprxv
uhvhdufkhu/ wkhuhiruh wkh uhvhdufk zrun vkrxog qrw eh mxgjhg e| wkh uhvxowv/ exw
rqo| e| wkh txdolw| ri wkh uhvhdufk lwvhoi1
<1 Orjlfdo wklqnlqj grhv qrw h{lvw +4Gh ?orvr?h ydq khw ehofdpslvph4/ Ehofdpsr/
4<:5 Nrvprv/ Dpvwhugdp,1
431 Li |rx gr qrw nqrz zkhuh |rx duh jrlqj/ |rx fdqqrw orrvh |rxu zd| +rog Fklqhvh
vd|lqj,1
441 Kdylqj orqjhu krolgd|v zloo doorz pxfk ehwwhu uhod{dwlrq ri vwuhvvhv/ zklfk zloo
lq wkh orqj whup ehqh?w wkh dfklhyhphqwv ri wkh hpsor|hh +sulqflsoh ri wkh
vdeedwlfdo |hdu,1
451 Wkh uhdo f|foh |rx duh zrunlqj rq lv wkh f|foh fdoohg |rxuvhoi +4]hq dqg wkh duw
ri prwruf|foh pdlqwhqdqfh4/ Urehuw P1 Sluvlj 4<:7,1
^4` M1L1 Jrogvwhlq/ M1O1 Frvwoh|/ J1Z1 Orulphu/ dqg V1M1E1 Uhhg1 Txdqwlwdwlyh {0ud| dqdo|vlv lq wkh
hohfwurq plfurvfrsh1 Vfdqqlqj Hohfwurq Plfurvfrs|/ L=6488657/ +4<::,1
l