JOINT STRATEGIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT (JSNA) BIRTHS IN HILLINGDON March 2016 Business Performance Team Births in Hillingdon The numbers of births per year in Hillingdon from 2006 to 2014 are shown in the table below. Over this time there was an increase of over 700 births per year, an increase of 20%. Live births 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 3,691 3,845 4,126 4,207 4,192 4,357 4,536 4,330 4,423 Source: National Statistics Predicted trend in births The figure below shows the range in the predicted trend in the number of births in Hillingdon, showing that the future number is expected to be around 4,500 per annum depending on the assumptions applied in the different birth projection models. Fertility rate The total period fertility rate is the average number of live children a group of women would have if they experienced the age-specific fertility rates for the calendar year in question throughout their childbearing lifespan). These rates are calculated by summing age-specific fertility rates in 5-year age-bands over all ages within the childbearing lifespan (age 11-49 years). The total period fertility rate in Hillingdon is higher than in London and England. Births by Ward 2016 - 2020 The figure below shows the estimated annual number of births by ward over the next 5 years, ranging from just over 80 per year in Ickenham to over 340 per year in Botwell. Low birthweight The figure below shows the proportion of births with a birthweight below 2,500 grams (defined as low birthweight). Hillingdon has a lower proportion at 6.4%, compared with 7.4% across England and 7.7% across London. Live Births by country of birth of mother The figure below shows live births by the country of birth of the mother. In 2001, 70% of births in Hillingdon were to mothers born in the UK; by 2014 this had fallen to 44%. The largest increase has been births to mothers born in the Middle East and Asia, the second most common group. The third most common has remained births to mothers born in Africa, and there has been a significant increase in births to mothers born in New EU Accession states, now the fourth most common group. The figure below compares the country of birth of mothers in Hillingdon in 2014 with London and England. In England 72% of mothers were born in the UK, while in both Hillingdon and London this was less than 45%. In Hillingdon 29% of mothers were born in the Middle East and Asia, while in London this was 20% and in England 10%. 10% of Hillingdon mothers, 13% of London mothers and 5% of mothers in England were born in Africa.
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