10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Reductions in Atherogenic Lipids and Major Cardiovascular Events: A Pooled Analysis of 10 ODYSSEY Trials Comparing Alirocumab to Control Running Title: Ray et al., Lipid reductions + CV events in ODYSSEY Kausik K Ray, MD, MPhil1; Henry N Ginsberg, MD2; Michael H Davidson, MD3; Robert Pordy, MD4; Laurence Bessac, MD5; Pascal Minini, PhD6; Robert H Eckel, MD7; Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Christopher P Cannon, MD8 1 Imperial Centre for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, Department of Primary Care and Publi Public Health, College, Heal lth th,, IImperial mper mp e iall Co C llege, London, UK; 2Columb Columbia bia i University, New York, York, NY; 3Department of Medicine Medicine, e, Un Univer University e si er sity ty off Ch Chic Chicago icag ic a o Me M Medicine, diciine n ,C Chicago, hiccag ago, o, IL; IL; 4Re Regeneron Rege gene neron Pharmaceuticals, Phar Ph arma ar m ceut utic ut ical ic a s, al Tarrytown, Taarrytown, rrr NY; Y 5S Sanofi, ano nofi, Paris, Parris, France; Pa e; 6Bios Biostatistics staatist stics an andd Pr Pro Programming, ograammin ng, S Sanofi, anofi, C Chilly-Mazarin, hillyy-Mazzarrin France; Fra Fr ancee; 7Un University Universi sity si ty off Co C Colorado, lo ora radoo, An A Anschutz scchu hutz tz Med Medical edic ed i al ic a Campus, Cam ampu pus, Aurora, Aur urorra, C CO; O; 8 Harvard Clinical Research Institute Institute, Boston Boston, MA Address for Correspondence: Kausik K Ray, MD, MPhil Imperial Centre for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Department of Primary Care and Public Health School of Public Health, Imperial College Reynolds Building, St Dunstan’s Road London, W68RP, UK Tel.: 44 (0)207 594 0716 Fax.: +44 (0)207 594 0854 Email: [email protected] Journal Subject Terms: Coronary Artery Disease; Atherosclerosis; Vascular Disease; Pharmacology; Lipids and Cholesterol 1 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Abstract Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Background— A continuous relationship between reductions in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has been observed in statin and ezetimibe outcomes trials, down to achieved levels of 54 mg/dL. However, it is uncertain whether this relationship extends to LDL-C levels <50 mg/dL. We assessed the relationship between additional LDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), and apolipoprotein B100 (apoB) reductions and MACE among patients within the ODYSSEY trials that compared alirocumab versus controls (placebo/ezetimibe), mainly as add on to maximally tolerated statin. Methods— Data were pooled from 10 double-blind trials (6699 patient-years follow-up). Randomization was to alirocumab 75/150 mg every 2 weeks or control for 24–104 weeks, added to background statin therapy in 8 trials. This analysis included 4974 patients (3182 alirocumab, 1174 placebo, 618 ezetimibe). In a post hoc analysis, the relationship between average on treatment lipid levels and percent reductions in lipids from baseline were correlated with MACE (coronary heart disease death, non-fatal myocardial infarction [MI], ischemic stroke, or unstable angina requiring hospitalization) using multivariable a analyses. Results— Overall, 33.1% of the pooled cohort achieved average LDL-C <50 mg/ g//dL ((44.7–52.6% 44.7 44 .7–5 .7 –52. –5 2..6% 6 mg/dL allocated to alirocumab, 6.5% allocated to ezetimibe, and 0% allocated to placebo). In total, 104 patients experienced MACE (median time to event: 36 weeks). For every 39 mg/dL lower achieved LDL-C, the risk of MACE appeared to be 24% lower (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.76, confidence interval reductions 95% co conf nfid nf id den ence c int ntterval [CI]: 0.63–0.91; P=0.0025). P=0.00225) 5 . Percent red duc u tionns in LDL-C from baseline wer were re iinversely nversely y ccorrelated orrre r laate tedd wi w with th hM MACE A E rates AC ra (H (HR HR 0.71 0.71 [0.57 [0. 0 577 to to 0.89] 0.89 0. 89]] per 89 per additional addiiti tion onnal a 50% % reduction red educ uction uc Materially similar from m baseline; P=0.003). P=0 0.003 033). ) Ma Mate terially te ly sim milar strengths strrengt gths of association assoc ociatiion to those oc thos osee described os desccri ribe b d for fo LDL-C LD DL-C were with achieved non-HDL-C percentage wer re observed wi w th ac chieved ed d non-HDL L-C andd aapoB pooB levels leeve vels ls or or per rceentaage g rreductions. eductionns. Conclusions— post ODYSSEY percentage reductions Conc nclu nc lusionss— In lu n a pos ost hocc an aanalysis alys ysis ys is ffrom room 100 O DYSS DY SS SEY trials triaals greater tr greateer pe gr erc rcentag ag ge red ductionns in LDL-C LDL-C with MACE, LDL LD L-C C and d lower low ower err oon-treatment n-trrea eatm tmen ent LD DL-C C were weree aassociated s ocia ss ocia i te tedd wi ith a llower ow werr iincidence nccid iden en nce ooff MA MACE C , CE including LDL-C mg/dL). These findings require further validation in the ncluding very low levels of LDL C (<50 mg/dL) ongoing prospective ODYSSEY OUTCOMES trial. Clinical Trial Registration: clinicaltrials.gov identifiers: NCT01507831, NCT01623115, NCT01709500, NCT01617655, NCT01644175, NCT01644188, NCT01644474, NCT01730040, NCT01730053, NCT01709513. Key-words: PCSK9; low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; apolipoprotein; cardiovascular events; MACE, ASCVD, Risk reduction, Alirocumab, ODYSSEY 2 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Clinical Perspectives: What’s new? x Cardiovascular benefits of statins and add-on lipid-lowering therapy only extend to LDLC levels of ~54 mg/dL. We investigated whether this relationship extends below 50 mg/dL using data from ODYSSEY trials of alirocumab (PCSK9 monoclonal antibody) versus placebo/ezetimibe. x About half of alirocumab-treated patients achieved LDL-C <50 mg/dL. For each 39 Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 mg/dL lower achieved LDL-C, MACE incidence fell by 24%, and 50% reductions in LDL-C from baseline reduced MACE by y 29%. x Similar associations were observed with non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol choleest sterol oll aand nd apolipoprotein B achieved levels and percentage reductions and MACE. x Low L ow LD LDLLDL-C -C levels were not associated with wiithh excess treatment treatme ment eemergent mergent adverse events. What are th he cli inicall implications? implication i s?? the clinical x These analyses provide further reassurance about the safety and cardiovascular benefit of achieving even further reductions in LDL-C with alirocumab beyond what was previously achieved with statins and ezetimibe. x Limitations include the low number of events (104), the limited duration of the studies (24-104 weeks) and the post hoc nature of this analysis. x If the forthcoming outcomes trials of PCSK9 inhibitors such as alirocumab demonstrate additional reduction in MACE with further LDL-C reduction, then guideline committees may investigate lower LDL-C goals or a larger reduction in LDL-C from untreated baseline for those at highest risk of MACE. 3 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Introduction Statins have been the cornerstone of global lipid modification guidelines for the prevention of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).1 With accumulating evidence, each subsequent iteration of clinical guidelines have extended statin indications and have recommended the achievement of progressively lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) goals2-4 or most recently percentage reductions in LDL-C using the most potent statins.5 Recently, the IMPROVE IT trial demonstrated that further reductions in LDL-C to a mean of 54 mg/dL with a non-statin lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) in statin-treated individuals provided additional Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 reductions in MACE,6 supporting the concept that lower LDL-C levels are better, and consistent with observational data from several statin trials.7-9 Inhibitors of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) offer the prospect of achievingg even lower LDL-C levels than ezetimibe when added to statins. Data from the phase 3 OD DYS Y SEY tria iall pr ia rog o ra r m, iin n wh whic icch aver erage ac chi h ev ved L DL-C DL -C levels lev ev vel elss of < 50 m g/dL g/ dL wer e e ob er obse serv se r ed ODYSSEY trial program, which average achieved LDL-C <50 mg/dL were observed en alirocuma mabb wa ma w ddedd to statin therapy,10-12 th herapy,10 10-112 allows allo al lows lo w for ws for the exploration explo loraatiion of changes chan ch angges in event even when alirocumab wass aadded ates at much h lower LD LDL-C levels than previously previiously analyzed. rates In addition, percent reduction in LDL-C has also been cited as being important in some guidelines 5, 13, 14 and as patients in the ODYSSEY trials have already had their LDL-C reduced by 30–50% with statins, these trials allow us to explore the relationship between further percentage reductions in LDL-C and risk. Therefore, we assessed whether the relationship between LDL-C and risk extends to very low levels of LDL-C (<50 mg/dL) in the ODYSSEY trial program. We hypothesized that, among patients already receiving maximally tolerated statin therapy, both lower achieved LDL-C and greater percentage reductions from baseline would translate into lower rates of MACE. Furthermore, as many guidelines increasingly recommend 4 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) or apolipoprotein B100 (apoB) as potential alternatives to LDL-C for assessing the efficacy of LLT, we provide similar analyses using these lipid parameters for comparison.4, 15, 16 Methods Patient population The Phase 3 ODYSSEY trial designs have been reported previously.6, 11, 12, 17-22 Briefly, patients were enrolled if they had established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or high CV Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 risk such as heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) with LDL-C inadequately controlled on their existing treatment (statin/other LLT/diet). The main exclusionn cr criteria rit iter eria er iaa w were eree er baseline LDL-C <70 mg/dL for those with ASCVD and very high risk or <100 mg/dL for high risk isk patients without ASCVD at screening. Individuals with triglyceride levels >400 mg/dL were excl excluded clud uded (for fu furthe further her de he deta details tail ta ilss on iinclusion il nclu nc lusion lu on and exclusion exc x lu lusionn criteria cri rite teri te r a se see ee eT eeTable1, able11, on ab onli online line li n Sup ne Supplemental uppl up plem pl emen em e ta Mat Material). ater at e ial). For th er the present pressent analysis an nalysis dataa w were ere ppooled ooleed fr from om 110 0P Phase haasee 3 OD ODYS ODYSSEY Y SEY tri YS ttrials rialls (eFigure (eFigur ure 1). Patients were rand randomized domized to receive alirocumab b or control (p ((placebo lacebo or ezetimibe) with double doubleblind treatment periods of 24–104 weeks. Six of the 10 studies, representing ~80% of the population, had a minimum study duration of 52 weeks. All study protocols were approved by the relevant local independent review boards, and all participating patients provided written, informed consent. Lipid measurements LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation unless triglycerides were >400 mg/dL when it was determined by beta quantification. ApoB levels in serum were determined using immunonephelometry by a central laboratory (Medpace Reference Laboratories, Cincinnati, OH, 5 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 US, and Leuven, Belgium, except for the LONG TERM study, which used Covance Central Laboratories, Indianapolis, IN, USA, and Geneva, Switzerland) and non-HDL-C via subtraction of HDL-C from total cholesterol. MACE definitions MACE was defined as per the primary endpoint of the ODYSSEY OUTCOMES study:23 coronary heart disease (CHD) death, non-fatal myocardial infarction [MI], ischemic stroke, or unstable angina (UA) requiring hospitalization. Cardiovascular events were adjudicated by a central Clinical Events Committee12 (the same Committee is involved in the ODYSSEY Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 OUTCOMES trial23). UA cases considered here were limited to those with definite evidence of he ischemic condition, i.e., small proportion of UAs qualified (see definition of UA UA in n the the the Supplemental Material). Statistical Analysis Baseline Base selline characteristics se chara ra acter eristi t cs and ti a d distribution an dist di stri st ribu ri uti tion of lipid lipiid parameters li paara rame mete me terss te Baseline Base seli se l ne data we w were ree poo pooled ooled fo for all random randomized omized pati patients ienntss and and presented prresen nteed st stratified traatiifi fied accor according o diing to or whether the studies were placebo-controlled placebo-controllled d or ezetimibe-controlled. For continuous variables, the data are reported as means and standard deviations or median and interquartile range if they were not normally distributed. The distribution of LDL-C, non-HDL-C and apoB levels at baseline and average “on treatment” levels or average percentage reductions in these parameters during the study treatment period are depicted graphically and analyzed using descriptive statistics comparing treatment groups (alirocumab versus placebo, or versus ezetimibe). These include only patients in the safety population i.e. patients randomized and who received at least 1 dose or part of a dose of study treatment. 6 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Lipid changes and risk of MACE Irrespective of treatment allocation patients were pooled into one overall cohort and the relationship between LDL-C and MACE during the treatment period was assessed using 1) achieved LDL-C levels during treatment and 2) percentage reductions in LDL-C from baseline. Average on-treatment LDL-C or the mean percentage reduction during the treatment period were determined from the area under the curve (using trapezoidal method), taking into account all LDL-C values up to end of treatment period or occurrence of MACE, whichever came first. Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 The relationship between on treatment LDL-C and MACE was assessed using a priiorr hhistory isto is to ory of of MI M multivariable Cox regression model with adjustment for age, gender, diabetes, prior or stroke, baseline LDL-C and smoking status as previously published.24 Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for every 39 mg/dL lower LDL-C to provide a 2 comparison comp mparison wit mp with ithh th it the he Ch Chol Cholesterol oles ol esteero roll T Treatment r atme re m nt Tri Trialist rial ri a istt (CT (CTT) CT TT) me m meta-regression taa-re regr re gresssi s on lline. inee.25 in Similar Sim millar analyses anal alyyses were cconducted al o ducteed fo on for or the percent percentage ntage re reduction educttionn in L LDL-C DL-C from DL from baseline baseeline andd ssubsequent ba ubsequen ub nt risk isk of MACE M CE MA C with h HR and 95% C CII expressed for for each 50% reduction in i LD LDL-C. DL-C C. To assess the shape of association, the adjusted rates of MACE and associated 95% CI were determined from a multivariate Poisson model and depicted graphically as a function of average LDL-C levels or average percentage reduction during treatment. Instead of using all available lipid measurements (average LDL-C levels or reductions) sensitivity analyses were conducted using only LDL-C values and percentage reduction at Week 4 and subsequent events after excluding events that occurred prior to Week 4. Finally, similar analyses to those described above were conducted for non-HDL-C or apoB. All analyses were generated using SAS version 9.4 and all tests and confidence intervals were two-sided. 7 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Safety analysis For safety, treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) were defined as those events occurring from the first dose of study treatment and up to 70 days after the last dose. The principal analyses compared randomized treatment to alirocumab versus control. We also explored the strength of association between any TEAE and LDL-C levels or percentage reductions in LDL-C using multivariable logistic regression, after adjustment for the same covariates included in the MACE analyses. Data are reported as odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI per 39 mg/dL difference or 50% reduction in LDL-C. The shape of the association was also depicted graphically using adjusted Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 TEAE rate and associated 95% CI plotted against average LDL-C levels or percentage LDL-C eductions derived from multivariate logistic regression models. reductions Results Base selline characteristics se chara ra acter eristi t css ti Baseline Thee bbaseline aseline characteristics cha haraacterristicss ooff individua ual studies studdie ies are ar sh show own in ow in eT Table22 iin n th he online n S ne upplem menta individual shown eTable2 the Supplemental material l, andd the pool led d summary of placebo and ezetimibe comparator trials are shown in Table T bl Ta be material, pooled 1. In the placebo-controlled trials, 2318 patients were treated with alirocumab and 1174 were treated with placebo; in the ezetimibe-controlled trials, 864 were treated with alirocumab and 618 were treated with ezetimibe. Hence, a total of 4974 patients were included in the lipid and MACE analyses described below. Overall the average age was ~60 years, with patients being mostly white and having an average body mass index of ~30 kg/m2. Approximately two thirds were male, one third had diabetes, two thirds had a prior history of ASCVD, and about one-fifth were smokers. One third of participants in the placebo-controlled trials had HeFH. 8 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Baseline lipids Baseline lipid values for individual studies are reported in eTable 3 in the Supplement. Pooled mean baseline LDL-C levels ranged from 123.2 to 126.8 mg/dL, non HDL-C between 154.2 to 156.9 mg/dL, and apoB between 101.8 to 104.3 mg/dL (Table 1). As expected, the distribution of baseline lipids at randomization was fairly similar between alirocumab and the control groups (eFigure 2 in the Supplement). Lipid levels during treatment Figure 1 illustrates the distribution of different lipid parameters during treatment. The mean LDLDownloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 C levels achieved during treatment were: in placebo-controlled studies, 56.9 and 126.5 mg/dL among those treated with alirocumab and placebo, and in ezetimibe-controlled stu udi dies es, 64.0 es 64 0 and and n studies, 100.9 mg/dL with alirocumab and ezetimibe, respectively (Table 2; individual trial dataa in eTable eTabl 4). Correspo p nding values for non-HDL-C and apoB shown in Table 2. Similar results were Corresponding obta ain ined usingg Week Wee eek 4 ac achi h ev hi ved llipids ipid ip i s in iinstead steadd of o av veraage levels lev evelss throughout thro th rouggho h utt the the entire ent n iree duration dura du rati ra tion ti o of on obtained achieved average he study stt (eTab ab ble l 5). 5)). the (eTable O erall, 33. Ov 3 1% % of patients achieved an average LD DL-C C <500 mg/d / L during treatment. In Overall, 33.1% LDL-C mg/dL placebo-controlled studies, 52.6% of alirocumab and 0% of placebo treated patients achieved LDL-C levels <50 mg/dL. In the ezetimibe-controlled studies, the corresponding figures were 44.7% for alirocumab and 6.5% for ezetimibe arms, respectively. Thus when all patients were pooled, the overall distribution of each lipid parameter during treatment largely reflected the greater proportion of patients achieving very low levels of LDL-C, non-HDL-C and apoB in the alirocumab group (eFigure 3). Percent reductions in lipids from baseline Figure 2 depicts the distribution of the average percentage change from baseline in LDL-C, non- 9 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 HDL-C, and apoB during the trials. The average percentage change in LDL-C from baseline during treatment was -55.4% for alirocumab and +2.7% for placebo; and -48.1% with alirocumab and -18.0% with ezetimibe, respectively, in placebo- and ezetimibe-controlled trials (Table 2, individual trial data in eTable 4). Corresponding results for non-HDL-C and apoB are shown in Table 2 and eTable 4. When Week 4 percentage reductions were assessed rather than the average reductions over the course of the trial similar values were observed (eTable 5). The combined distribution plot (eFigure 3) mainly reflected the greater reductions in lipids achieved with alirocumab versus the relatively modest reductions observed with ezetimibe and with placeboDownloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 treated patients largely remaining unchanged from baseline. On treatment lipid levels and MACE A total of 104 first MACE were reported: 20 CHD deaths, 64 non-fatal f MI, 16 ischemic strokes, and 4 unstable angina episodes occurred (median time to event: 36 weeks), among 4974 patients treated reaateed during a tot total o al ot a ooff 66 6699 99 ppatient-years a ie at ient n -ye nt year a s of ffollow-up. o lo ol ow-uup. A lower lowe lo werr ri rrisk sk of MA MACE ACE was w s ob wa obse observed serv se rvved with th h lower lower achi achieved h eved LD hi LDL-C C levels ((Figure Figu gure 3; aad adjusted dju usted dH HR R 0. 00.76, 76, 95 95% CI CI: 0. 00.63–0.91 63–0.991 perr 39 m mg/dL g/dL lower ower achieved LDL LDL-C; DL-C C; P=0.0025; Table 2). Sim Similar i il i ar results were obtained using a single Week k4 LDL-C measurement instead of average levels throughout the trial (eTable 5). In pairwise comparisons of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and apoB, there was a strong and significant correlation between levels of each lipid parameter (all correlation coefficients >0.9; P<0.0001; eTable 6). As with achieved average LDL-C, lower (average) achieved non-HDL-C and apoB levels were associated with a lower risk of MACE (Figure 3). A 39 mg/dL difference in LDL-C corresponds to a 42 mg/dL difference in non-HDL-C and 27 mg/dL difference in apoB in the present pooled datasets. For each 42 mg/dL lower non-HDL-C the HR was 0.77 (CI 0.65– 10 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 0.93; P=0.0056; Table 2). The corresponding HR for each 27 mg/dL lower apoB was 0.72 (CI 0.60–0.86 ; P=0.0002; Table 2). Percentage reductions in lipids and MACE LDL-C percent reduction was inversely correlated with MACE rates (Figure 3; HR 0.71 [0.57– 0.89] per additional 50% reduction in LDL-C; P=0.003; Table 2). Similarly the risk of MACE was also lower with greater percent reductions from baseline in both non-HDL-C (Figure 3, HR 0.71 [0.52–0.97] per 50% reduction; P=0.0323) and apoB (Figure 3, HR 0.68 [0.54–0.85] per 50% reduction; P=0.0008; Table 2). Qualitatively similar results were observed using a single Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Week 4 measurement of LDL-C or non-HDL-C and Week 12 apoB instead of using average values throughout the trial (eTable 5) Safety Overall incidence of TEAEs, serious TEAEs, deaths, and discontinuations due to TEAEs were similar imi mila lar between la betweeen al alirocumab lirroccum mab and and control con ontrol ol patient patients n s within nt wi n the the pools poo ools lss of of placebop ac pl aceboo- and and ezetimibee ettimi ez mibe bebe controlled cont ntro nt r lled studies ro studi d es (eTable di (eeTabble 7) 7).. A high higher g err rrate ate off in injection njec ection on si site t reactions, te reactio ions, mo m mostly stly mildd inn intensity st intensity y and an self-limiting, elff limiting, were observed with alirocumabb compared with controls. Analyses A alyses comparing the An h relationship between a 39 mg/dL lower LDL-C and odds of any TEAE were not significant (OR 1.02, 95% CI: 0.96–1.09, eFigure 4). Nor was there any significant association between a 50% lowering of LDL-C and odds of any TEAE (OR 1.02, 95% CI: 0.93–1.13; eFigure 4). Results Currently all global guidelines for ASCVD risk reduction focus on optimization of statin therapy as the first option for reducing LDL-C for those at high risk.4, 5, 13 The therapeutic limits of statins and the clinical scenarios in which they have been tested have therefore established the 11 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 boundaries of contemporary clinical guidelines and the recommendations they have set, whether that be a LDL-C goal or a percentage reduction in LDL-C. Based on randomized clinical trial data of intensive versus standard statin therapy7, 8, 25 knowledge of the distribution of LDL-C levels in general populations26, 27 and what it is achievable on average with the most potent statins, guidelines such as the updated Adult Treatment Panel III and those from the European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society recommended pragmatic goals for LDL-C of <70 mg/dL for those at highest ASCVD risk.2, 4 More recently, the ACC/AHA guidelines and the UK NICE guidelines have argued that Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 most statin trials have tested whether a certain percentage reduction in LDL-C translates into a reduction eduction in clinical events rather than a LDL-C goal, and thus recommended LD LDL-C DL--C re reductions edu duct ctio ct ions io of at least 30–50% for those at elevated risk, again based on what is achievable using the most potent statins.5, 13 Until recently, it was uncertain based on trials data whether consistently achi achieving hiev eving LDL ev LDL-C L-C levels leeveels <70 <70 7 m mg/dL, g/ddL, g/ L orr achiev achieving vin ing ffurther urthe herr pe he perc percentage rcen rc ntage tage g red reductions educti tion ti onss in LDL on LDL-C DL--C af DL afte after t r maxi maximizing ximi xi m zing statins, staati t ns,, would wo translate traanslate into tr to a lower low werr risk ris isk of M MACE. ACE AC E. T Th Thee IM IIMPROVE PR ROV OVE E IT trial extendedd our evidence-base beyondd stati statins, ins, de ddemonstrating monstrating that LDL-C levels on average 54 mg/dL with ezetimibe plus statins further reduced MACE as compared with the achievement of an LDL-C of ~70 mg/dL with statins alone.6 The risk reduction observed in the IMPROVE IT trial was also entirely consistent with the absolute reduction in LDL-C that would have been predicted by the CTT statin derived regression line, supporting the notion that LDL-C reduction by statins and ezetimibe confer similar benefits and that the real determinant of the relative risk reduction is the magnitude of the change in LDL-C rather than the mechanism by which this is achieved. If the findings of IMPROVE-IT are considered as a further percentage reduction in LDL-C, then they support the notion that starting 12 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 with a baseline LDL-C of ~70 mg/dL, a further 20% reduction in LDL-C translates into a 6–7% lower risk of MACE. However, the question remains as to whether the additional percentage reduction in LDL-C (of 50–60%) and even lower on-treatment LDL-C level (<50 mg/dL) that can be achieved by adding a PCSK9 inhibitor to a statin will be associated with a lower risk of MACE. The present analysis reports data from 10 randomized trials in the ODYSSEY trial program, providing information on 6699 patient-years of exposure and suggests that there is continuous relationship between average on-treatment LDL-C and MACE with no evidence of Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 discernable attenuation even at low achieved levels of LDL-C (<50 mg/dL). Furthermore, for every additional 39 mg/dL lower LDL-C achieved with either alirocumab or ezetimibe ezetiimi mibe be (on (on ttop op of maximally tolerated statins in most patients), there was a further 24% lower risk of MACE (HR 0.76, 95% CI: 0.63–0.91). This is remarkably similar to the CTT point estimate of a 22% risk reduction eduuction (ratee rratio atiio 0. 0.78, .78 78,, 95% 9 % CI 0.76–0.80) 95 0.7 . 6– 6–0.80) for fo every ev y 39 m mg/dL g dL g/ L reduction red educ ucti t onn in in LDL-C LD C achieved achi ac h ev hi eved e with th h statins.25 statins.255 Similarly, S Si miilarly, we observed obbserved an inverse i verse relationship in rela l tionshhip with addi additional d tional percentage reductions iinn LDL-C and MACE, without evidence of attenuation of benefit for greater percentage reductions in LDL-C. In multivariable regression analyses, each 50% incremental reduction in LDL-C on top of statins was associated with a further 29% reduction in the risk of MACE (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.89). There was a significant correlation between LDL-C and non-HDL-C, between LDL-C and apoB and between non-HDL-C and apoB (all P<0.0001). As with LDL-C, we observed a continuous relationship between lower achieved levels of both non-HDL-C and apoB with lower rates of MACE (HR 0.77 [95% CI 0.65–0.93] per 42 mg/dL difference and HR 0.72 [0.60–0.86] 13 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 per 27 mg/dL difference, respectively), with no discernable evidence of attenuation at lower levels. Furthermore, greater percentage reductions in non-HDL-C and apoB were also both associated with a lower risk of MACE with no evidence of attenuation of benefit. Our findings are consistent with epidemiological studies in statin naïve populations which have suggested a continuous relationship between LDL-C, non-HDL-C and apoB and risk28 with no apparent attenuation of the relationship as well as the data from the statin trials where a continuous relationship between on-treatment LDL-C, non-HDL-C and MACE29 have been observed without evidence of a threshold. Although LDL-C continues to be the main target of Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 lipid lowering strategies, levels of non-HDL-C and apoB have been shown to more closely correlate with risk of MACE, as these parameters more accurately reflect the actu actual uall nnumber umbe um berr of be circulating atherogenic particles or their cholesterol content, particularly in patients with elevated TGs that likely have elevations in non-LDL atherogenic particles.30 Our findings showed materially mate terrially sim te similar mil ilar a benefit ben nef efit it w with itth reductions redu re ducction du ons in each eac a h parameter ac p rame pa mete me teer in i ppart art du art dduee to the he cco-linearity o-li ol near li a it ar ityy of tthe h he parameters para ameters andd the thee relatively rellativelly small number numb m er off eevents. ven ents.. Prior P Pr ior workk bby y Ro R Robinson binson et al.31, 32 have h ve ddemonstrated ha emonstratedd that the bbenefit eneffit off LLT T is also related to the percentage reduction in LDL-C and non-HDL-C with consistent benefits between statins. While high-intensity statins have offered us the scope of a 50% reduction in LDL-C, the addition of a PCSK9 inhibitor to statin therapy offers us a further 50–60% reduction in these parameters on top of statins, or ~75–80% total reduction from the patient’s untreated baseline LDL-C level. Consistent with this rationale is the recent 2016 ACC pathway for the addition of non-statin therapies for those individuals with high absolute risk and high LDL-C levels despite maximally tolerated statin therapy.14 Our observation that high-risk patients with LDL-C levels 14 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 between 120–130 mg/dL, despite maximally tolerated statin, derive benefit from a further 50% reduction in LDL-C or lower achieved absolute levels lends support to the consensus statement. As we approach the possibility of achieving lower LDL-C levels consistently with PCSK9 inhibition, concerns have been raised about the potential safety of achieving very low levels of LDL-C (e.g. <50 mg/dL). The present Phase 3 clinical trial analyses provide further data regarding the overall safety of alirocumab and lower LDL-C levels not being associated with an increase in total adverse events (AEs). These findings add to earlier observations from highintensity statin trials which have also failed to demonstrate any relationship adverse events and Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 lower achieved LDL-C levels.24, 33, 34 Limitations The limitations of the present analysis merit consideration. Importantly, although adverse consequences of very low LDL-C were not identified in these trials, the long-term effects of very low ow w le levels of LD LDLLDL-C L C in Lindu induced duce du c d by P PCSK9 C K9 inhib CS inhibitors bit itorrs aree un unkn unknown. know kn o n. Mo ow M Moreover, reover re err, while whil wh ilee these il th hesse data data are derived deri riive v d from rrandomized ando an domi mized co controlled ontrolled trials, triials, thee aanalyses naaly ysees ar aaree ob observ observational rvaationa nal in naturee and andd derive derived ed from a relativ relatively i ely smal small ll number of events and d as such we cannot therefore the h refore exclude d the potenti potential iall for fo confounding as an explanation for the observed associations. We have attempted to take these into account via statistical adjustment and conducting sensitivity analyses using alternative methodology which have produced materially similar findings. Furthermore, the 10 studies pooled differed most notably in prevalence of HeFH, diabetes, age, prior history of MI or stroke and baseline LDL-C. Studies derived principally from HeFH patients tended to be a decade younger, have fewer patients with diabetes and higher baseline LDL-C levels. Similarly, in trials without background statin therapy baseline LDL-C was higher. Therefore, a potential critique of the analyses of achieved LDL-C and MACE could be that patients that achieve lower LDL-C had 15 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 lower baseline LDL-C and lower risk than patients at higher baseline LDL-C levels. However, we controlled for baseline LDL-C in all analyses and thus we do not believe that baseline LDL-C levels accounted for our findings. Furthermore, we also assessed percentage reductions in LDL-C which provided similar quantitative findings. Further reassurance of our methodology arises from the magnitude of the association observed between a 39 mg/dL difference in LDL-C and MACE, which is similar to the point estimate derived from the CTT meta-regression line and lies within its confidence intervals. For the safety analysis, we only looked at overall TEAE rates to maximize power, and more sophisticated analyses looking at specific TEAEs would be more Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 informative in larger trials with longer follow up than the present pooled data. In summary, these analyses provide further reassurance about the safety and and cardiovascular benefit of achieving even further reductions in LDL-C, non-HDL-C and apoB beyond what was previously achieved with statins alone. The results of the large cardiovascular outc outcomes comes studi studies diees w di with ithh PC PCSK PCSK9 SK99 inhibitors SK inhi in hibi hi b to ors such as a O ODYSSEY DY YSS SSEY EY OUT OUTCOMES UTCO UT COME M S are are as asse assessing s ssin ingg whether in whet wh e her et PCSK PCSK9 SK9 inhibition SK inhibiti tioon with ti withh alirocumab aliroc ocumab on top oc to of m maximally axim imal ally al ly tolerated tol olerrated d statin statinn therapy th herapy err reduces redu d cess MACE. du MACE CE. If these hese trials tria i ls demonstrate demonstrate effectiveness of further LD LDL-C DL-C reducti reduction, ion, then guideline committees ma may investigate lower targets or a larger reduction in LDL-C from untreated baseline for those at highest risk of MACE. Acknowledgments The following individuals from the study sponsors were involved in critical review of the manuscript: Carol Hudson, BPharm, and William Sasiela, PhD (Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.); L. Veronica Lee, MD, and Michael Howard, MBA (Sanofi). Medical writing support was 16 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 provided by Rob Campbell, PhD, Prime Medica, Knutsford, UK, funded by Sanofi and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Sources of Funding This analysis was funded by Sanofi and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Disclosures KK Ray: Personal fees (data safety monitoring board) from AbbVie, Inc., consultant Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 fees/honoraria from Aegerion, Algorithm, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cerenis, Eli Lily and Company, Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Kowa, Medicines Company, MSD, Novartis, D, N ovar ov arti ar tis, ti s, Pfizer, Regeneron, Reservlogix, Sanofi, and Takeda, and research grants from Kowa, Pfizer, and Regeneron. HN NG Ginsberg: insberg: G Grants raant n s an and nd pe ppersonal rson rs onal on al ffees eess from S Sanofi, a of an ofi, ggrants rant ra ntss fr nt ffrom om mR Regeneron, egen eg eneronn, co cons consultant nsultaantt ffor ns or Amgen Pfizer. Am mge gen and forr Pf P izer. iz MH Davidson: Consultant/advisory board fees from Merck, Sanofi Sanofi, f , Regeneron, Amgen and Lipimedix. R Pordy: Employee and stockholder, Regeneron. L Bessac and P Minini: Employees and stockholders, Sanofi. RH Eckel: Personal fees from Sanofi/Regeneron, Ionis Pharmaceuticals, UniQure, and Merck. CP Cannon: Grants from Arisaph, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Merck and Takeda; consulting fees from Alnylam, Amgen, Arisaph, Boehringer Ingelheim, Boehringer Ingelheim/Eli Lilly, BMS, GlaxoSmithKline, Kowa, Merck, Takeda, Lipimedix, Pfizer, Regeneron and Sanofi. 17 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 References Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 1. Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults. Executive Summary of The Third Report of The National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, And Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol In Adults (Adult Treatment Panel III). JAMA. 2001;285:2486-2497. 2. Grundy SM, Cleeman JI, Merz CN, Brewer HB, Jr., Clark LT, Hunninghake DB, Pasternak RC, Smith SC, Jr., Stone NJ. 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Baseline characteristics Placebo-controlled trials Ezetimibe-controlled trials* Alirocumab (n=2324) Placebo (n=1175) Alirocumab (n=864) Ezetimibe (n=620) 58.7 (11.6) 58.8 (11.4) 61.9 (9.4) 62.1 (9.5) 1415 (60.9) 712 (60.6) 581 (67.2) 388 (62.6) 2139 (92.0) 1072 (91.2) 745 (86.2) 548 (88.4) 30.1 (5.6) 30.3 (5.6) 30.2 (6.0) 30.0 (5.7) 838 (36.1) 419 (35.7) 40 (4.6) 43 (6.9) 699 (30.1) 355 (30.2) 283 (32.8) 192 (31.0) 1615 (69.5) 834 (71.0) 651 (75.3) 411 (66.3) 1454 (62.6) 766 (65.2) 611 (70.7) 390 (62.9) 199 (8.6) 86 (7.3) 67 (7.8) 42 4 (6.8) (6.8)) 97 (4.2) 56 (4.8) 33 (3.8) 199 (3.1) (3. 3 1) 453 (19.5) 231 (19.7) 146 (16.9) 118 (19.0) High Hi gh‡ 1327 (57.1) 682 ((58.0) 58.0) 430 43 (49 (49.8) 9.8) 265 (42.7) Moderate M oderate§ 65 650 50 ((28.0) 28.0 28 .0)) .0 314 31 ((26.7) 26.7 7) 208 208 (24.1) (24 4.1 . ) 1522 (24.5) (24.5 5) Low L owۅ 344 (14.8) 34 177 17 ((15.1) 15.1)) 47 47 (5. (5.4) .4) 277 (4.4) 0 0 17 178 78 ((20.6) 20 0.6) 1176 766 (28.4) 3 (0.1) 2 (0.2) 1 (0.1) 0 non-HDL-C 126.8 (46.3) 155.7 (49.6) 126.8 (44.8) 155.5 (48.5) 123.2 (51.5) 154.2 (57.2) 125.5 (56.9) 156.9 (64.1) apoB 104.3 (29.0) 104.0 (28.5) 101.8 (30.7) 102.5 (32.2) Age, years, mean (SD) Sex, male, n (%) Race, white, n (%) 2 BMI, kg/m , mean (SD) HeFH, n (%) Diabetes, n (%) ASCVD, n (%)† Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 CHD Ischemic stroke/TIA PAD Current smoker, n (%) Statin intensity, n (%) No sstatins tatiins Missing Baseline lipids, mg/dL, mean (SD) LDL-C Pooled data of all randomized patients from the 10 trials included in this analysis. *In combination with statins or not. † Patients may be in more than one category. ‡ Atorvastatin 40 to 80 mg, rosuvastatin 20 to 40 mg or simvastatin 80 mg. § Atorvastatin 20 to <40 mg, rosuvastatin 10 to <20 mg or simvastatin 40 to <80mg. ۅ Atorvastatin <20 mg, rosuvastatin <10 mg or simvastatin <40 mg. ASCVD, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart disease, HeFH, heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia, non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; PAD, peripheral artery disease, SD, standard deviation, TIA, transient ischemic attack. 21 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Table 2. Achieved lipid levels and percentage reductions during treatment and relationship to MACE Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Placebo-controlled trials Average achieved, mg/dL LDL-C Ezetimibe-controlled trials Alirocumab Placebo Alirocumab (n=2318) (n=1174) (n=864) 56.9 (38.8) 126.5 (43.9) 64.0 (42.4) MACE versus average achieved level (pool of all patients from the trials) Category N Hazard ratio (95% CI) P-value Ezetimibe (n=618) 100.9 (50.8) Per 39 mg/dL 4972 0.76 (0.63 to 0.91) 0.0025 difference 128.5 (55.2) Per 42 mg/dL 4974 0.77 (0.65 to 0.93) 0.0056 difference 89.2 (31.0) Per 27 mg/dL 4871 0.72 (0.60 too 0.86) 0 866) 0. 0 000 0. 0.0002 difference MACE versus % change in in average a errag av agee level leve le vell ve non-HDL-C 82.0 (41.8) 156.0 (47.2) 91.1 (45.6) apoB 57.1 (29.1) 104.1 (28.1) 64.9 (28.1) Average age % change from baseline LDL-C C -55.4 (23.5) 2.7 (25.7) -48.1 (23.8) -18.0 (28.9) non-HDL-C HDL-C -46.9 (20.7) 2.6 (21.1) -40.3 (20.1) -16.8 (20.5) apoB --45.5 45.5 ((22.8) 45 22.8) 22 2.2 (24.0) -35.9 (20.9) -12.0 ((20.1) 20.1) Per 50% reduction Per 50% reduction Per 50% redu re duct du c ionn reduction 4972 0.71 (0.57 to 0.89) 0.003 0.0030 4974 0.71 (0.52 to 0.97) 0.032 0.0323 48711 0.68 (0.54 to 0.85) 0.000 0.0008 Lipidss aree m mean ean (SD). Ha Haza Hazard ardd rat ratio, atio o, 95% % cconfidence onfiden nce in interval nteerval (C (CI) CI) an and nd P-va P-value vallue determined va deteerm mined ed from mam multivariate ultivariate C Cox ox m model. odel. Multivariate variate te aanalysis naly na lysi ly siss ad si adj adjusted justed d onn bbaseline aselinee ccharacteristics hara ha raact cter eristiics ((age, er age, ag e, ssex, ex x, ddiabetes, iaabet ettes, ess, pr prio prior iorr hi io hist history storyy of st o M MI/stroke, I/sstroke ke, ba ke base baseline seli se line li ne LDL LDL-C DL-C and smoking sm mok status). ). Average LDL LDL-C DL-C during the treatment peri period iod determinedd from f om the area under the fr th curve (using trapezoidal m method), ethod), t taki taking ing into account unt all LDL LDL-C C values up to end of treatment period or occurrence of MACE MACE, whichever comes first first. For patients with no post postbaseline LDL-C, LDL-C at baseline was used. Note: 2 patients with missing baseline LDL-C and 3 with missing baseline apoB were excluded from the multivariate analysis. Non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; MACE major adverse cardiovascular events. 22 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Figure Legends Figure 1. Distribution of achieved levels of LDL-C (A), non-HDL-C (B) and apoB (C) during treatment, stratified by control group.For patients with no post-baseline lipid measurement, baseline values were used. Non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, lowdensity lipoprotein cholesterol. Figure 2. Distribution of the percentage reductions in LDL-C (A), non-HDL-C (B) and apoB (C) Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 from baseline during treatment stratified by control group. For patients with no post-baseline ipid measurement, baseline values were used. Two patients with missing baseline ne L DL-C DL -C and and lipid LDL-C hree patients with missing baseline apoB were excluded from the analysis.Non-HDL-C, nonthree high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Figu gure gu r 3. Relationship Relaatio i ns nshipp between betw ween on-trea atment llipids ipids ds aand nd rreductions educ ed uctionns in llipid ip pid d levels with w th wi h MACE. MACE. E. Figure on-treatment M CE E rate by b achieved levels of LDL-C, LDLL C, non-HDL-C, and d Panels A A,, B and C show adjusted MA MACE apoB, respectively, during follow up. Corresponding results for percent reductions are shown in panels D, E and F, respectively. Multivariate analysis adjusted on baseline characteristics (age, sex, diabetes, prior history of MI/stroke, baseline LDL-C and smoking status). Non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; MACE major adverse cardiovascular events. 23 Figure 1A Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 1B Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 1C Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 2A Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 2B Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 2C Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 3A Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 3B Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 3C Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 3D Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 3E Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Figure 3F Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Reductions in Atherogenic Lipids and Major Cardiovascular Events: A Pooled Analysis of 10 ODYSSEY Trials Comparing Alirocumab to Control Kausik K. Ray, Henry N. Ginsberg, Michael H. Davidson, Robert Pordy, Laurence Bessac, Pascal Minini, Robert H. Eckel and Christopher P. Cannon Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Circulation. published online October 24, 2016; Circulation is published by the American Heart Association, 7272 Greenville Avenue, Dallas, TX 75231 Copyright © 2016 American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved. Print ISSN: 0009-7322. Online ISSN: 1524-4539 The online version of this article, along with updated information and services, is located on the World Wide Web at: http://circ.ahajournals.org/content/early/2016/10/21/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604 Free via Open Access Data Supplement (unedited) at: http://circ.ahajournals.org/content/suppl/2016/10/24/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024604.DC1 Permissions: Requests for permissions to reproduce figures, tables, or portions of articles originally published in Circulation can be obtained via RightsLink, a service of the Copyright Clearance Center, not the Editorial Office. Once the online version of the published article for which permission is being requested is located, click Request Permissions in the middle column of the Web page under Services. Further information about this process is available in the Permissions and Rights Question and Answer document. Reprints: Information about reprints can be found online at: http://www.lww.com/reprints Subscriptions: Information about subscribing to Circulation is online at: http://circ.ahajournals.org//subscriptions/ Dr. Carolyn Lam: Welcome to Circulation on the Run, your weekly podcast summary and backstage pass to the journal and its editors. I'm Dr. Carolyn Lam, associate editor from the National Heart Center and Duke National University of Singapore. Today we will be discussing the pooled analysis results of the 10 ODYSSEY Trials with important implications for the reduction of lipids in major cardiovascular events. But first, here's your summary of this week's journal. The first paper provides experimental data on vascular disease that brings into focus the critical roles of transcription factors such as GATA2 in the maintenance of endothelial cell function, as well as the role of selected microRNAs as a novel player of vascular regulation. In this study by first author Dr. Hartman, corresponding author Dr. Thum from Hanover Medical School, and colleagues, authors used GATA2 gain and loss of function experiments in human umbilical vein endothelial cells to identify a key role of GATA2 as a master regulator of multiple endothelial functions, and this via microRNA-dependent mechanisms. Global microRNA screening identified several GATA2-regulated microRNAs, including miR-126 and miR-221. GATA2 deficiency led to vascular abnormalities, whereas supplementation with miR-126 normalized vascular function. In a mouse model of carotid injury, GATA2 was reduced and systemic supplementation of miR-126-coupled nanoparticles enhanced miR-126 availability in the carotid artery and improved reendothelialization of injured carotid arteries in vivo. In summary, GATA2-mediated regulation of miR-126 and miR-221 has an important impact on endothelial biology. Thus, modulation of GATA2 and its targets miR-126 and miR-221 represents a promising therapeutic strategy for the treatment of vascular diseases. The next study is the first to show that current smokers from the general population have lower levels of circulating cardiac troponin I, a seemingly paradoxical observation given the known detrimental cardiovascular impact of cigarette smoking. First author Dr. Lyngbakken, corresponding author Dr. Omland, and colleagues from the University of Oslo used data from the large population-based HUNT study, in which cardiac troponin I was measured in 3,824 never smokers, 2,341 former smokers, and 2,550 current smokers. Current smokers had significantly lower levels of cardiac troponin I than never smokers and former smokers, an association that remains significant even after adjustment for potential confounders. The authors also found an association between increasing concentrations of troponin I and clinical endpoints, namely acute myocardial infarction, heart COTR134_24 Page 2 of 8 failure, and cardiovascular death in the total cohort. However, this association was attenuated in current smokers and was significantly weaker than in never or former smokers with a p for interaction of 0.003. The prognostic accuracy of troponin I as assessed by C-statistics was lower in current smokers than in never smokers. Troponin I provided no incremental prognostic information to the Framingham Cardiovascular Disease risk score in the current smokers. Together, these results suggest that mechanistic pathways other than those involving subclinical myocardial injury may be responsible for the cardiovascular risk associated with current smoking. Future studies are needed to determine whether a lower cardiac troponin I threshold should be considered for exclusion of myocardial infarction in smokers or whether prognostic tools other than measurement of cardiac troponins should be utilized when evaluating risk of future events in current smokers. The next study contributes to our understanding of cardiomyocyte signaling in response to ischemic injury. In the study by first author Dr. [Wool 00:05:04], corresponding author Dr. [Ju 00:05:04] from Tongji University School of Medicine in Shanghai, and colleagues, authors sought to understand the role of low-density lipoprotein receptor-related proteins 5 and 6 as well as beta-catenin signaling in the heart. They did this using conditional cardiomyocyte-specific knockout mice who had surgically induced myocardial infarction. They found that deletion of lipoprotein receptor-related proteins 5 and 6 promoted cardiac ischemic insults. Conversely, deficiency of beta-catenin, a downstream target, was beneficial in ischemic injury. Interestingly, although both insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 and Dickkopf-related protein 1 are secreted betacatenin pathway inhibitors, the former protected the ischemic heart by inhibiting beta-catenin, whereas the latter enhanced the injury response mainly through inducing lipoprotein-related protein 5 and 6 endocytosis and degradation. These findings really add to our understanding of the beta-catenin signaling pathway in ischemic injury and suggests that new therapeutic strategies in ischemic heart disease may involve fine-tuning these signaling pathways. The next paper from the International Consortium of Vascular Registries is the first study allowing an assessment of variations in repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms in 11 countries over 3 continents represented by the Society of Vascular Surgery and European Society for Vascular Surgery. Dr. Beck from University of Alabama-Birmingham School of Medicine, and colleagues, looked at registry data for open and endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair during 2010 to 2013, collected from 11 countries. These were Australia, Denmark, Hungary, Iceland, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Switzerland, Germany, and the United States. Among more than 51,000 patients, utilization of endovascular aortic repair for intact aneurysms varied from 28% in Hungary to 79% in the United States, and COTR134_24 Page 3 of 8 for ruptured aneurysms from 5% in Denmark to 52% in the United States. In addition to the between-country variations, significant variations were present between centers within each country in terms of endovascular aortic repair use and rate of small aneurysm repair. Countries that more frequently treated small aneurysms tended to use the endovascular approach more frequently. Octogenarians made up 23% of all patients, with a range of 12% in Hungary to 29% in Australia. In countries with a fee for service reimbursement systems, such as Australia, Germany, Switzerland, and the United States, the proportion of small aneurysms and octogenarians undergoing intact aneurysm repair was higher compared to countries with a population-based reimbursement model. In general, center-level variation within countries in the management of aneurysms was as important as variation between counties. Hence, this study shows that despite homogeneous guidelines from professional societies, there is significant variation in the management of abdominal aortic aneurysms, most notably for intact aneurysm diameter at repair, utilization of endovascular approaches, and the treatment of elderly patients. These findings suggest that there is an opportunity for further international harmonization of treatment algorithms for abdominal aortic aneurysms. This is discussed in an accompanying editorial entitled, Vascular Surgeons Leading the Way in Global Quality Improvement, by Dr. Fairman. The final paper from Dr. Gibson at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and Harvard Medical School and colleagues, presents the results of the apoAI event reducing in ischemic syndromes I, or AEGIS-I, trial, which was a multicenter, randomized, doubleblind, placebo-controlled dose-ranging phase 2b trial of CSL112, which is an infusible, plasma-derived apoAI that has been studied in normal subjects and those with stable coronary artery disease, but now studied in the current study in patients with acute myocardial infarction. The trial showed that among patients with acute myocardial infarction, four weekly infusions of a reconstituted, infusible, human apoAI, CSL112, was associated with a dose-dependent elevation of circulating apoAI and cholesterol efflux capacity without adverse hepatic or renal outcomes. The potential benefit of CSL112 to reduce major adverse cardiovascular events will need to be assessed in an adequately powered phase 3 trial. Now for our future discussion. Today I am delighted to have with us Dr. Kausik Ray from Imperial College London, who's the first and corresponding author of a new paper regarding the pooled analysis of the 10 ODYSSEY Trials. To discuss it with us is Dr. Carol Watson, associate editor from UCLA. Kausik, just let me start by congratulating you on this paper. I believe this is the first data that allows us to look under the 50 mg/dL mark of LDL and really ask if the LDL MACE relationship extends below this level. Dr. Kausik Ray: COTR134_24 Yes, the reason for looking at this is that the IMPROVE-IT trial really looked at people down to an average LDL cholesterol of about 54, and with the new Page 4 of 8 PCSK9 inhibitors, which instead of giving you a 20% further reduction LDL, they give you the opportunity for a further 50 to 60% reduction. We actually get the chance to get people down to levels like 25 mg/dL, and the question is, does the benefit continue at that level? We did a pooled analysis of 10 of the ODYSSEY Trials, really in some ways to try and help predict what you might see in ODYSSEY outcomes, what you might see in the [Fuliay 00:12:00] trial, and to also manage expectations as well, because there's probably been a lot of hype around the two New England Journal papers about 50, 60% reductions of all potential reductions based on small numbers of events. So the question is, if you reduce LDL by 39 mg/dL, how might that reduce your risk, and is the relationship continuous? So those were the aims. Dr. Carolyn Lam: That's great, and maybe could you give us an idea of the number of patients you are looking at and the number of events? Dr. Kausik Ray: Yeah. In the 10 pool studies, we had just under 5,000 individuals, and we had just about 6,700 person years' worth of followup. In total, we had 104 first MACE events. To put this into context, it's about one third of the number of events that the first [framing 00:12:53] of analysis had. It's an observation analysis rather than randomized trial data, so you got to bear that in mind with the usual caveats that go with observational data. But the same endpoints that were adjudicated, this is [inaudible 00:13:10] heart disease death, non-fatal MI, ischemic stroke, and unstable angina requiring hospitalization. This is the same endpoint that is in the ODYSSEY Outcomes Trial, so it's interesting in that regard. Dr. Carolyn Lam: Yeah, it sure is. So what's the bottom line? What did you find? Dr. Kausik Ray: What we found was that there was a continuous relationship all the way down to LDL cholesterol levels of about 25 mg/dL, that every 39 mg/dL lower on treatment LDL, your risk went down by about 24%. If you looked at [apo-like 00:13:48] approaching be on non-HDL cholesterol, again, you found the same continuous relationship with a similar point estimate for a similar standardized difference in LDL cholesterol. We also looked at many of the guidelines, talk about percentage reduction. We actually looked at percentage reductions. If you start with a baseline LDL of X and you achieve a 50% further reduction in LDL, how much further benefit does that give you? A 50% further reduction gave you a 29% further lower risk of MACE. So we didn't find any threshold or limit all the way down to LDLs of about 25. Dr. Carolyn Lam: That's really a key, novel finding that you contributed, so congratulations once again. I suppose the question will always be, you're talking about relative risk reductions here. At such low levels, can you give us an idea of the absolute risk reductions? Dr. Kausik Ray: Yes. You've got to remember that the relative risk reductions are what you can apply to population differences. If you pick a high-risk patient population, you COTR134_24 Page 5 of 8 would expect to see a much bigger absolute risk reduction than maybe this study or another study. Similarly, if you pick a low-risk group, you are going to see a much smaller absolute benefit. I always try to advise a little bit of caution that if you basically look at the range ... If you start with let's say an LDL of 150 and you go down to let's say an LDL of 25, you are talking about a 1.25% absolute risk reduction. Remember, these patients are possibly going to be a slightly lower risk than the ones that are recruited into the ODYSSEY Outcomes and into the [Fuliay 00:15:46] trial, for example. Dr. Carolyn Lam: I think you mentioned what I was going to just ask you about. This is observational. You had 104 events, and I suppose another limitation might be that your followup was two years at max, if I'm not wrong? What do you say about that, and are there plans for future analyses? Dr. Kausik Ray: Within the context of these studies, I think that the whole of this data will eventually become dwarfed by what we see with the big CDOTs, because you've got 18, 27,000 people, 3 years' worth of exposure and followups, so you are going to have many, many more events. That is a limitation, but I think what is interesting is that we know that the baseline LDL cholesterol level is around about 90 mg/dL. We don't actually know what the actual baseline ... because the baseline [characters 00:16:43] haven't been published for ODYSSEY Outcomes, but the [Fuliays 00:16:46] around about 89. What it tells you is what the point estimate is likely to be. It's likely to be in the 24 to 32% ballpark because that's what your baseline LDL is and that's what we'd predict in the regression lines that we observed here. I think that we're not going to get many more events in these studies because largely the randomized period of followup is now over. Many of these people are now into open labels, extensions for safety, so we won't get many more events from this. In terms of, I think, the way people should maybe look at this is possibly as a taster for what's to come in the next 18 months or so. I think for the time being it answers two questions. Is lower likely to be better? And it is. I think the other question it tells is how might you get people down to LDLs below 50? One of the important things was that if you were just on statins, in this population, if you were recruited on the basis of a high baseline LDL, you got no additional people down to LDLs below 50. You got under 10% with add-on [inaudible 00:18:05], but you got around about 50% when you used the PCSK9 inhibitor as an add-on to existing therapy. It tells you about how to get to such low levels as well. I think that's the other key thing that it actually gives you. We did an analysis of safety [inaudible 00:18:23], and I think that's really important. Once you see the efficacy, or if you see the MACE events continue to go down ... If you looked at treatment-emergent adverse events ... and I completely take the fact that it's every side effect reported altogether, which may or may not be linked to LDL levels specifically, but when we did that, the COTR134_24 Page 6 of 8 relationship actually was just a horizontal line, so there was no relationship with percentage reduction or on treatment LDL, so it gave us a nice idea of both safety and efficacy that we might experience in the big outcome studies. Dr. Carolyn Lam: All right. Obviously the big outcome studies are going to be game changers, and I'd really love to invite [Carol Scotts 00:19:09] here, because there's a whole lot of other things that need to be considered if this becomes the case, isn't it? Carol, I really appreciated that you invited an editorial, and the editorial is by Neil Stone who entitles it, Looking Beyond Statins: Will the Dollars Make Cents? Please tell us about the discussions about this paper that occurred. Dr. Carol : I would again like to congratulate Dr. Ray on a fantastic paper, and I would like to reiterate exactly what he said. I think it really does give us some comfort about this class of medication and its relative safety. I think that's very important, because I can't tell you how many patients I get and how many referring physicians I get who worry when their patients come back with LDLs of 20 or below. I think that gave us some comfort, and I do also think it was very important to show that this would fall along the same regression line that statins perhaps would fall. As with all the caveats that Dr. Ray said, I agree with all of them, but I do say this is a tasty little taster, and I appreciate and congratulate you for publishing this. The editorial by Dr. Neil Stone was quite interesting. As you said, he subtitled it, Will the Dollars Make Cents? C E N T S or S E N S E, sort of a play on words there. Will the relative benefits that we can achieve with this class of medications make sense for the cost of these drugs? That's obviously a very separate issue from what was discussed in the manuscript, but it's something to think about. We understand that there are additional patients that will be helped if they can get their LDL down, and we hope that that will translate into the outcomes. Again, just as Dr. Ray mentioned, we will have to wait for the cardiovascular outcomes trials to be completed. When they are, if they do show the benefits that we hope, will their price point make them accessible to enough patients for this to be a widely applied, utilized therapy? Or will they not? That's part of what was discussed in Dr. Stone's editorial. Dr. Kausik Ray: When we were writing the manuscript and stuff like that, and we were doing this and everybody's like, "Oh, wow, look at the graphs." I said, "Look, we need to balance all of these bits and reassure ... We've got an opportunity." So I suggested them giving those additional analyses, and you saw how big the online supplement was. There was a ton of work that we put into this, and to format it into a concise ... I really want to just thank the editorial board for giving us the chance and actually being able to help us and work with us on this, because it's really important. I hope people look at all of those things because it will help people also that question the LDL. They all talk about the hypothesis COTR134_24 Page 7 of 8 and the safety of really low LDLs, and people come off statins as a result. I think this will help. Dr. Carolyn Lam: COTR134_24 You're listening to Circulation on the Run. Thank you so much for being with us, and don't forget to tune in next week. Page 8 of 8 Supplemental Material 1 Definition of unstable angina used in the ODYSSEY studies A diagnosis of an unstable angina (new ACS event without elevation in cardiac biomarkers) that meets the primary endpoint requires the following: Admission to hospital or emergency room (until at least next calendar day) with symptoms presumed to be caused by myocardial ischemia with an accelerating tempo in the prior 48 hours. and/or prolonged (at least 20 minutes) rest chest discomfort AND New high-risk ECG findings consistent with ischemia (or presumed new if no prior ECG available), as defined below: – New or presumed new ST depression >0.5mm in 2 contiguous leads or T wave inversion >1mm in leads with prominent R wave or R/S >1 in 2 contiguous leads – New or presumed new ST elevation at the J point in >2 contiguous leads >0.2mV in V2 or V3 in men or >0.15 mV in women in V2 or V3 or >0.1mV in other leads – LBBB (new or presumed new) AND Definite contemporary* evidence of angiographically significant coronary disease as demonstrated by: 2 – Need for coronary revascularization procedure (PCI or CABG) excluding those performed to treat only restenosis lesion(s) at previous PCI site(s) OR – Angiographic evidence of at least 1 significant (> 70%) epicardial coronary stenosis not due to restenosis at previous PCI site. *The coronary revascularization procedure or the diagnostic angiography must have been performed during the hospitalization for that event. 3 eTable 1. Key inclusion and exclusion criteria for trials included in this analysis Study Inclusion criteria LDL-C exclusion criteria FH I, FH II1 Patients with HeFH not adequately controlled with a maximally-tolerated stable daily dose of statin* for ≥4 weeks prior to screening ± other LLT LDL-C <70 mg/dL (for patients with documented clinical ASCVD) or LDL-C <100 mg/dL (for patients with no documented ASCVD) HIGH FH2 As above LDL-C <160 mg/dL. COMBO I,3 COMBO II4 Patients with hypercholesterolemia (non-FH), not adequately controlled with a maximally-tolerated stable daily dose of statin* for ≥4 weeks prior to screening (± other LLT in COMBO I; no other LLT allowed in COMBO II) LDL-C <70 mg/dL (for patients with documented clinical ASCVD) or LDL-C <100 mg/dL (for patients with no documented ASCVD) LONG TERM5 Included both HeFH and non-FH patients, otherwise inclusion criteria as for the FH studies above LDL-C <70 mg/dL. OPTIONS I,6 OPTIONS II7 Patients with HeFH or non-FH, receiving either atorvastatin 20 or 40 mg (OPTIONS I) or rosuvastatin 10 or 20 mg (OPTIONS II) ± other LLT (apart from ezetimibe as it was used as a comparator) LDL-C <70 mg/dL (for patients with documented clinical ASCVD) or LDL-C <100 mg/dL (for patients with no documented ASCVD) ALTERNATIVE8 Patients with HeFH or non-FH and documented statin intolerance† and moderate to very high cardiovascular risk;‡ patients were not receiving a statin but other LLT (apart from ezetimibe) were allowed LDL-C <70 mg/dL for very-high risk, LDL-C <100 mg/dL for moderate or high risk MONO9 Subjects with 10-year risk of fatal CV events of ≥1% and 5% based on the European Systematic Coronary Risk 10 Evaluation (SCORE) not receiving statin or other LLT (history of CHD or HeFH was an exclusion criterion for this study) LDL-C <70 mg/dL or >190 mg/dL Exclusion criteria common to all studies Age <18 years Use of fibrates, other than fenofibrate 4 Fasting serum triglycerides >400 mg/dL Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 Clinicaltrials.gov identifiers: LONG TERM, NCT01507831; FH I NCT01623115; FH II, NCT01709500; HIGH FH, NCT01617655; COMBO I, NCT01644175; COMBO II, NCT01644188; MONO, NCT01644474; OPTIONS I, NCT01730040; OPTIONS II, NCT01730053; ALTERNATIVE, NCT01709513. ASCVD, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; LLT, lipid-lowering therapy. * Maximally tolerated statin dose = the highest tolerable registered dose of daily statin currently administered to the patient, i.e. rosuvastatin 20 or 40 mg, atorvastatin 40 or 80 mg; or simvastatin 80 mg. Lower doses could be used e.g. in the case of intolerance or local practice according to the investigator’s judgment. † Inability to tolerate 2 or more statins because of muscle-related symptoms. ‡ Moderate risk = 10-year risk of fatal CV events of ≥1% and 5% (SCORE); high risk = SCORE ≥5%; eGFR 30 to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2; type 1 or 2 diabetes mellitus without target organ damage; or HeFH; very-high risk = CHD, ischemic stroke, peripheral artery disease, transient ischemic attack, abdominal aortic aneurysm, or carotid artery occlusion >50% without symptoms; carotid endarterectomy or carotid artery stent procedure; renal artery stenosis or renal artery stent procedure; or type 1 or type 2 diabetes mellitus with target organ damage. References 1. 2. 3. Kastelein JJ, Ginsberg HN, Langslet G, Hovingh GK, Ceska R, Dufour R, Blom D, Civeira F, Krempf M, Lorenzato C, Zhao J, Pordy R, Baccara-Dinet MT, Gipe D, Geiger MJ, Farnier M. ODYSSEY FH I and FH II: 78 week results with alirocumab treatment in 735 patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia. Eur Heart J. 2015;36:2996-3003. Ginsberg HN, Rader DJ, Raal FJ, Guyton JR, Baccara-Dinet MT, Lorenzato C, Pordy R, Stroes E. Efficacy and Safety of Alirocumab in Patients with Heterozygous Familial Hypercholesterolemia and LDL-C of 160 mg/dl or Higher. Cardiovasc Drugs Ther. 2016;30:473-483. Kereiakes DJ, Robinson JG, Cannon CP, Lorenzato C, Pordy R, Chaudhari U, Colhoun HM. Efficacy and safety of the PCSK9 inhibitor alirocumab among high cardiovascular risk patients on maximally tolerated statin therapy: the ODYSSEY COMBO I study. Am Heart J. 2015;169:906-915.e913. 5 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Cannon CP, Cariou B, Blom D, McKenney JM, Lorenzato C, Pordy R, Chaudhari U, Colhoun HM. Efficacy and safety of alirocumab in high cardiovascular risk patients with inadequately controlled hypercholesterolaemia on maximally tolerated doses of statins: the ODYSSEY COMBO II randomized controlled trial. Eur Heart J. 2015;36:1186-1194. Robinson JG, Farnier M, Krempf M, Bergeron J, Luc G, Averna M, Stroes ES, Langslet G, Raal FJ, El Shahawy M, Koren MJ, Lepor NE, Lorenzato C, Pordy R, Chaudhari U, Kastelein JJ. Efficacy and safety of alirocumab in reducing lipids and cardiovascular events. N Engl J Med. 2015;372:1489-1499. Bays H, Gaudet D, Weiss R, Ruiz JL, Watts GF, Gouni-Berthold I, Robinson J, Zhao J, Hanotin C, Donahue S. Alirocumab as add-on to atorvastatin versus other lipid treatment strategies: ODYSSEY OPTIONS I randomized trial. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2015:31403148. Farnier M, Jones P, Severance R, Averna M, Steinhagen-Thiessen E, Colhoun HM, Du Y, Hanotin C, Donahue S. Efficacy and safety of adding alirocumab to rosuvastatin versus adding ezetimibe or doubling the rosuvastatin dose in high cardiovascular-risk patients: the ODYSSEY OPTIONS II randomized trial. Atherosclerosis. 2016;244:138-146. Moriarty PM, Thompson PD, Cannon CP, Guyton JR, Bergeron J, Zieve FJ, Bruckert E, Jacobson TA, Kopecky SL, Baccara-Dinet MT, Du Y, Pordy R, Gipe DA. Efficacy and safety of alirocumab versus ezetimibe in statin-intolerant patients, with a statin-re-challenge arm: The ODYSSEY ALTERNATIVE randomized trial. J Clin Lipidol. 2015;9:758-769. Roth EM, Taskinen MR, Ginsberg HN, Kastelein JJ, Colhoun HM, Robinson JG, Merlet L, Pordy R, Baccara-Dinet MT. Monotherapy with the PCSK9 inhibitor alirocumab versus ezetimibe in patients with hypercholesterolemia: results of a 24 week, double-blind, randomized Phase 3 trial. Int J Cardiol. 2014;176:55-61. Reiner Z, Catapano AL, De Backer G, Graham I, Taskinen MR, Wiklund O, Agewall S, Alegria E, Chapman MJ, Durrington P, Erdine S, Halcox J, Hobbs R, Kjekshus J, Filardi PP, Riccardi G, Storey RF, Wood D. ESC/EAS Guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemias: the Task Force for the management of dyslipidaemias of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and the European Atherosclerosis Society (EAS). Eur Heart J. 2011;32:1769-1818. 6 eFigurre 1. Overv view of stu udies included in th his analys sis ALI, alirocumab; CV, cardiovascular c r; EZE, ezetimibe; HeFH, he eterozygous fa amilial hyperch holesterolemia a; LLT, ering therapy; PBO, placebo o; Q2W, everyy 2 weeks. lipid-lowe ALI 75/15 50 indicates sttudies using a dose titration n strategy, whe ereby ALI 75 mg m Q2W was increased to 150 1 mg Q2W at Week W 12 if LDL-C at Week 8 was ≥70 mg g/dL (or, in OP PTIONS I, OPT TIONS II, and ALTERNATIV VE, ≥70 or 100 mg/dL, dependiing on CV riskk). ALI 150 ind dicates studiess where patien nts received 15 50 mg Q2W frrom the n all but two sttudies, patients also receive ed background d statin therapy ± other LLT (EZE was nott allowed outset. In as background LLT in EZE-controlle ed studies). Th he statin was at a maximally to olerated dose in 6 studies (8 85% of all es were performed without background statin patients in the 10 trialss). Under “additional populattions”, 2 studie NATIVE, in pattients with doccumented stattin intolerance e, and MONO, a monotherapy study perfo ormed (ALTERN without background b LL LT). OPTIONS S studies included patients at a high CV riskk receiving mo oderate to high h doses of potent statins. *No other non-statin LL LT allowed in COMBO II. †Concomitant C statin and dose es were atorva astatin 20 or 40 4 mg in S I and rosuva astatin 10 or 20 2 mg in OPTIONS II. OPTIONS 7 eTable 2. Baseline characteristics in Phase 3 ODYSSEY trials (randomized population) Study Group Age, years, mean (SD) Male, n (%) Race, white n (%) BMI, kg/m2, mean (SD) HeFH, n (%) ALI 150 (n = 1553) 60.4 (10.4) 983 (63.3) 1,441 (92.8) 30.2 (5.7) 276 (17.8) 545 (35.1) 1,187 (76.4) PBO (n = 788) 60.6 (10.4) 474 (60.2) 730 (92.6) 30.5 (5.5) 139 (17.6) 269 (34.1) 612 (77.7) ALI 150 (n = 72) 49.8 (14.2) 35 (48.6) 64 (88.9) 28.8 (5.2) 72 (100) 9 (12.5) 32 (44.4) PBO (n = 35) 52.1 (11.2) 22 (62.9) 30 (85.7) 28.9 (4.2) 35 (100) 6 (17.1) 22 (62.9) ALI 75/150 (n = 209) 63.0 (9.5) 131 (62.7) 170 (81.3) 32.6 (6.3) 0 94 (45.0) 179 (85.6) PBO (n = 107) 63.0 (8.8) 77 (72.0) 88 (82.2) 32.0 (7.1) 0 42 (39.3) 87 (81.3) ALI 75/150 (n = 323) 52.1 (12.9) 180 (55.7) 300 (92.9) 29.0 (4.6) 323 (100) 32 (9.9) 154 (47.7) PBO (n = 163) 51.7 (12.3) 94 (57.7) 144 (88.3) 30.0 (5.4) 163 (100) 25 (15.3) 81 (49.7) ALI 75/150 (n = 167) 53.2 (12.9) 86 (51.5) 164 (98.2) 28.6 (4.6) 167 (100) 7 (4.2) 63 (37.7) PBO (n = 82) 53.2 (12.5) 45 (54.9) 80 (97.6) 27.7 (4.7) 82 (100) 3 (3.7) 32 (39.0) ALI 75/150 (n = 479) 61.7 (9.4) 360 (75.2) 404 (84.3) 30.0 (5.4) 0 145 (30.3) 461 (96.2) EZE (n = 241) 61.3 (9.2) 170 (70.5) 206 (85.5) 30.3 (5.1) 0 76 (31.5) 224 (92.9) ALI 75/150 (n = 104) 63.1 (10.2) 64 (61.5) 91 (87.5) 31.2 (6.9) 12 (11.5) 58 (55.8) 59 (56.7) EZE (n = 102) 64.8 (9.6) 67 (65.7) 91 (89.2) 31.2 (5.9) 4 (3.9) 45 (44.1) 66 (64.7) ALI 75/150 (n = 103) 59.9 (10.2) 59 (57.3) 87 (84.5) 31.0 (6.9) 14 (13.6) 37 (35.9) 60 (58.3) Type 2 diabetes, n (%) ASCVD, n (%) Placebocontrolled LONG TERM (MTD statin) HIGH FH (MTD statin) COMBO I (MTD statin) FH I (MTD statin) FH II (MTD statin) Ezetimibecontrolled COMBO II (MTD statin) OPTIONS I (atorvastatin 2040 mg) OPTIONS II (rosuvastatin 1020 mg) 8 Study ALTERNATIVE (no statin) MONO (no statin) Male, n (%) Race, white n (%) BMI, kg/m2, mean (SD) HeFH, n (%) Type 2 diabetes, n (%) ASCVD, n (%) 61.8 (10.3) 57 (56.4) 88 (87.1) 31.1 (6.4) 14 (13.9) 44 (43.1) 63 (61.8) ALI 75/150 (n = 126) 64.1 (9.0) 70 (55.6) 117 (92.9) 29.6 (6.6) 14 (11.1) 36 (28.6) 71 (56.3) EZE (n = 125) 62.8 (10.1) 67 (53.6) 116 (92.8) 28.4 (4.9) 25 (20.0) 24 (19.2) 58 (46.4) ALI 75/150 (n = 52) 60.8 (4.6) 28 (53.8) 46 (88.5) 30.1 (5.9) 0 3 ( 5.8) 0 EZE (n = 51) 59.6 (5.3) 27 (52.9) 47 (92.2) 28.4 (6.7) 0 1 ( 2.0) 0 Group Age, years, mean (SD) EZE (n = 101) ALI = alirocumab; ASCVD = atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; atorva = stoarvastatin; BMI = body mass index; EZE = ezetimibe; LDL-C = low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; MTD, maximally tolerated dose of statin; PBO = placebo; Q2W = every 2 weeks: rosuva = rosuvastatin; SD = standard deviation. 9 eTable 3. Baseline lipid values in individual studies (randomized population) Trial LONG TERM HIGH FH COMBO I FH I FH II COMBO II OPTIONS I OPTIONS II ALTERNATIVE MONO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE n=1550 n=788 n=72 n=35 n=207 n=107 n=322 n=163 n=167 n=81 n=479 n=241 n=104 n=101 n=103 n=101 n=126 n=124 n=52 n=51 122.7 121.9 196.3 201.0 100.2 106.0 144.8 144.4 134.6 134.0 108.6 104.6 109.6 99.7 113.1 111.1 191.1 193.5 141.1 138.3 (42.6) (41.4) (57.9) (43.4) (29.5) (35.3) (51.1) (46.8) (41.1) (41.4) (36.5) (34.1) (36.4) (29.2) (30.0) (45.7) (72.7) (70.9) (27.1) (24.5) Group LDL-C non- 152.6 152.0 223.9 231.5 130.0 133.4 170.3 169.6 159.0 157.5 139.1 136.8 137.3 126.7 142.1 140.8 230.0 229.8 167.4 164.0 HDL-C (46.6) (45.8) (58.8) (47.6) (34.0) (39.8) (54.6) (50.6) (44.8) (43.7) (40.4) (40.4) (39.3) (35.1) (37.1) (49.8) (80.4) (82.7) (0.3) (29.7) 101.9 101.4 138.2 146.6 90.8 91.4 114.4 113.4 107.9 107.7 94.3 93.5 93.1 86.5 95.8 95.1 141.7 138.2 104.3 104.3 (27.7) (27.3) (32.0) (28.3) (21.4) (24.1) (30.8) (28.5) (27.4) (23.9) (23.2) (23.1) (23.7) (20.3) (21.5) (26.4) (39.5) (37.4) (18.4) (19.1) apoB ALI, alirocumab; EZE, ezetimibe; non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; PBO, placebo. Lipids are means (SD), mg/dL. 10 eFigurre 2. Distriibution of lipid levels at base eline in pooled treatment grou ups accord ding to control used d in the OD DYSSEY trials t and overall dis stributions for all gro oups comb bined 11 12 Two pattients with miissing baseline LDL-C an nd 3 patientss with missing g apo B were e excluded frrom the analysiss. Non-HD DL-C, non-hig gh-density lip poprotein cho olesterol; LDL-C, low-den nsity lipoprote ein cholesterrol. 13 eFigurre 3. Distriibution of average achieved a l lipid levels s and perc cent reduc ction in lipid ds from ba aseline du uring treatment for all a treatme ent groups s combine ed 14 Non-HD DL-C, non-hig gh-density lip poprotein cho olesterol; LDL-C, low-den nsity lipoprote ein cholesterrol. 15 eTable 4. Average achieved lipid levels and percentage reductions during treatment in individual trials (safety population) Trial LONG TERM HIGH FH COMBO I FH I FH II COMBO II OPTIONS I OPTIONS II ALTERNATIVE MONO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE n=1550 n=788 n=72 n=35 n=207 n=107 n=322 n=163 n=167 n=81 n=479 n=241 n=104 n=101 n=103 n=101 n=126 n=124 n=52 n=51 49.8 120.5 111.5 183.9 52.2 102.2 76.3 153.4 68.2 138.7 53.5 82.4 58.7 78.1 67.9 89.3 103.3 160.7 68.3 111.7 (34.6) (39.0) (65.0) (47.0) (25.6) (34.9) (41.0) (49.1) (35.9) (41.5) (31.4) (33.3) (33.4) (32.2) (33.1) (42.4) (68.0) (58.3) (20.5) (22.6) 75.1 151.1 137.5 213.8 80.1 130.4 99.7 181.0 91.0 163.2 80.6 110.2 83.4 103.3 93.1 116.5 135.5 191.6 91.1 135.8 (38.1) (42.7) (65.1) (50.2) (31.2) (38.6) (44.3) (52.4) (39.2) (46.3) (34.2) (38.2) (36.8) (36.5) (38.2) (44.3) (70.4) (64.2) (20.3) (26.6) 51.5 101.0 90.5 136.4 59.5 91.2 71.4 118.9 64.4 107.6 59.0 79.6 58.3 76.3 67.0 83.8 90.2 121.5 65.9 92.8 (28.4) (26.3) (36.2) (30.1) (20.3) (25.8) (27.0) (29.6) (23.7) (23.4) (22.5) (24.2) (25.9) (25.7) (27.3) (26.5) (38.0) (32.2) (14.6) (17.2) -59.9 2.3 -42.9 -7.2 -46.8 -1.6 -45.8 8.6 -48.6 5.0 -50.1 -19.4 -45.8 -21.4 -40.2 -13.5 -47.5 -15.7 -51.1 -18.7 Group Average achieved, mg/dL LDL-C non-HDL-C apoB* Average % change from baseline † LDL-C 16 (22.1) (27.6) (27.4) (21.5) (23.7) (17.5) (23.8) (23.8) (22.2) (16.5) (24.6) (26.3) (27.1) (20.3) (24.7) (51.7) (19.0) (16.0) (13.0) (11.0) -50.5 2.0 -38.0 -6.3 -37.7 -0.5 -39.9 8.5 -42.1 4.6 -41.0 -18.0 -38.3 -18.2 -34.4 -13.8 -41.9 -15.7 -44.9 -16.7 (19.4) (22.1) (24.4) (20.0) (20.3) (15.8) (21.4) (20.7) (20.1) (16.0) (20.8) (22.2) (23.5) (18.0) (21.4) (28.9) (14.5) (11.8) (11.3) (11.2) -50.1 2.0 -33.6 -5.6 -34.2 1.5 -36.3 6.2 -39.6 0.8 -36.9 -13.9 -36.4 -12.2 -29.4 -9.2 -36.9 -11.1 -36.7 -10.2 (22.6) (26.4) (24.4) (18.5) (20.3) (18.8) (19.9) (19.2) (18.2) (12.3) (20.6) (19.8) (24.7) (20.5) (25.1) (28.9) (15.9) (12.3) (13.4) (11.8) non-HDL-C apoB ‡ ALI, alirocumab; EZE, ezetimibe; non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; PBO, placebo. Lipids are means (SD), mg/dL. For patients with no post-baseline lipid values, baseline values were used. *Two patients with missing baseline and no post-baseline apoB were excluded from the analysis. †Two patients with missing baseline LDL-C were excluded from the analysis. ‡103 patients with missing baseline apoB were excluded from the analysis. 17 eTable 5. Week 4* achieved lipid levels and percentage reductions in individual trials (safety population) LONG TERM Trial Group ALI PBO HIGH FH COMBO I FH I FH II COMBO II OPTIONS I OPTIONS II ALTERN. MONO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI PBO ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE ALI EZE n=1550 n=788 n=72 n=35 n=207 n=107 n=322 n=163 n=167 n=81 n=479 n=241 n=104 n=101 n=103 n=101 n=126 n=124 n=52 n=51 Achieved mg/dL LDL-C MACE vs achieved level (pool of all patients from the trials) Category 47.9 120.1 100.4 181.7 52.2 101.6 77.8 146.5 76.2 134.3 52.4 76.6 50.4 72.7 62.5 79.0 107.1 156.4 68.0 112.1 (37.1) (42.5) (74.3) (51.5) (33.0) (36.0) (43.3) (53.8) (37.8) (43.9) (34.4) (31.3) (30.6) (30.6) (33.9) (36.4) (69.8) (55.9) (20.6) (24.7) N HR P(95% CI) value Per 39 0.79 mg/dL 4972 (0.67 to 0.0092 difference 0.94) 0.81 non-HDL- 71.0 149.5 124.6 209.9 78.3 128.0 100.6 173.5 97.4 156.8 78.2 103.8 73.7 96.8 86.8 104.6 138.8 189.7 91.6 136.5 Per 42 mg/dL 4974 (0.68 to 0.0141 (39.6) (46.5) (73.0) (57.6) (37.6) (41.3) (47.8) (57.5) (43.6) (46.8) (38.2) (35.7) (32.9) (36.8) (39.7) (38.9) (79.2) (67.0) (23.1) (29.2) C decrease 0.96) apoB † % change from baseline LDL-C‡ 48.8 99.5 84.4 131.7 61.4 93.2 75.8 115.6 73.6 105.7 58.6 76.8 60.4 73.3 66.7 81.1 91.2 121.4 66.3 92.1 (30.9) (27.6) (36.2) (29.3) (25.5) (31.7) (30.0) (29.5) (30.2) (24.9) (24.8) (22.8) (26.7) (23.2) (27.9) (25.5) (37.9) (33.1) (18.4) (17.8) Per 27 0.79 mg/dL 4871 (0.67 to 0.0072 decrease 0.94) MACE vs % change 0.74 -61.6 1.3 -50.7 -9.4 -48.7 -1.7 -46.1 3.5 -43.7 1.2 -52.0 -24.9 -53.4 -26.4 -45.4 -23.7 -45.9 -18.3 -51.5 -18.6 Per 50% 4972 (0.60 to 0.0030 (24.3) (30.1) (27.2) (19.3) (25.3) (25.0) (22.9) (33.3) (20.2) (16.0) (26.3) (23.7) (25.4) (22.6) (23.8) (46.4) (18.2) (11.8) (12.8) (12.2) reduction 0.90) 0.71 non-HDL- -53.4 0.5 -45.1 -9.0 -40.3 -2.4 -40.4 4.0 -39.2 0.3 -43.4 -22.3 -45.3 -23.1 -39.5 -22.9 -41.2 -16.9 -45.1 -16.3 Per 50% 4974 (0.54 to 0.0147 (20.1) (24.0) (23.9) (19.0) (21.0) (20.8) (20.9) (29.5) (18.8) (15.2) (22.5) (21.4) (21.7) (19.4) (20.5) (24.4) (15.0) (11.0) (10.5) (12.1) reduction C 0.94) apoB§ 0.75 -52.8 0.4 -38.1 -9.1 -32.9 3.2 -32.8 2.9 -31.9 -1.0 -37.7 -16.5 -34.4 -15.0 -29.4 -12.1 -35.3 -11.2 -35.8 -11.1 Per 50% 4871 (0.61 to 0.0064 (2.54) (30.5) (24.4) (16.6) (22.9) (21.1) (20.4) (18.3) (20.1) (15.1) (21.8) (19.9) (23.8) (16.8) (25.9) (26.4) (19.2) (13.5) (16.7) (13.9) reduction 0.92) 18 ALI, alirocumab; ALTERN., ALTERNATIVE; EZE, ezetimibe; non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; PBO, placebo. Lipids are means (SD), mg/dL. *Week 12 data shown for apoB as no Week 4 values were collected. For patients with no lipid values at Week 4 (or Week 12 for apoB), baseline values were used. †14 patients with missing baseline apoB and no Week 12 apoB were excluded from the analysis. ‡Two patients with missing baseline LDL-C were excluded from the analysis. §103 patients with missing baseline apoB were excluded from the analysis. 19 eTable 6. Correlation between average LDL-C, non-HDL-C and apoB during the treatment period Average Average LDL-C non-HDL-C Average LDL-C during the treatment period - Average non-HDL-C during the treatment period 0.973 Average apoB during the treatment period (P<0.0001) Average apoB 0.973 0.922 (P<0.0001) (P<0.0001) - 0.922 0.948 (P<0.0001) (P<0.0001) 0.948 (P<0.0001) - Pearson correlation coefficient Non-HDL-C, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. 20 eTable 7. Safety summary for the 10 Phase 3 trials used in this analysis* Placebo-controlled trials Ezetimibe-controlled trials Alirocumab Placebo Alirocumab Ezetimibe (n=2318) (n=1174) (n=864) (n=618) TEAEs 1851 (79.9) 954 (81.3) 657 (76.0) 457 (73.9) Treatment-emergent SAEs 385 (16.6) 202 (17.2) 147 (17.0) 86 (13.9) 16 (0.7) 13 (1.1) 6 (0.7) 9 (1.5) 144 (6.2) 67 (5.7) 84 (9.7) 66 (10.7) Nasopharyngitis 291 (12.6) 142 (12.1) 52 (6.0) 41 (6.6) Injection site reaction 167 (7.2) 62 (5.3) 25 (2.9) 13 (2.1) infection 162 (7.0) 94 (8.0) 62 (7.2) 40 (6.5) Influenza 147 (6.3) 63 (5.4) 37 (4.3) 23 (3.7) Urinary tract infection 128 (5.5) 65 (5.5) 21 (2.4) 25 (4.0) Back pain 123 (5.3) 70 (6.0) 33 (3.8) 26 (4.2) Diarrhoea 123 (5.3) 57 (4.9) 30 (3.5) 21 (3.4) Headache 119 (5.1) 64 (5.5) 43 (5.0) 24 (3.9) n (%) TEAEs leading to death TEAEs leading to discontinuation TEAEs in ≥5% of patients Upper respiratory tract 21 Arthralgia 118 (5.1) 76 (6.5) 42 (4.9) 26 (4.2) Myalgia 111 (4.8) 46 (3.9) 62 (7.2) 48 (7.8) Accidental overdose 30 (1.3) 17 (1.4) 54 (6.3) 24 (3.9) SAE, serious adverse event; TEAE, treatment-emergent adverse event. *Placebo-controlled studies: Phase 3 (LONG TERM, FH I, FH II, HIGH FH, COMBO I); ezetimibecontrolled studies: Phase 3 (COMBO II, OPTIONS I, OPTIONS II, ALTERNATIVE, MONO). Originally published by Elsevier and reproduced under STM Permissions Guidelines from: Gaudet D, Watts GF, Robinson JG, et al. Effect of Alirocumab on Lipoprotein(a) Over ≥1.5 Years (From the Phase 3 ODYSSEY Program). Am J Cardiol. 2016;(epub ahead of print). DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2016.09.010. 22 eFigurre 4. Adjus sted rate of o any TEA AE by ave erage LDL--C during treatmentt period d: (A) achie eved LDL--C during treatmentt, (B) perc centage re eduction in n LDLC from m baseline e (multivarriate analy ysis adjustted on bas seline cha aracteristics; pool o of Phase 3 studies) A B LDL-C, llow-density lipoprotein ch holesterol; TEAE, treatme ent-emergen nt adverse evvent. 23
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