South Canterbury Coastal Streams (SCCS) limit setting process: Wainono Lagoon: Current state and Scenario 1 (pre HDI & WD) Ned Norton 20 June 2013 Introduction This report provides a high level summary of the current biophysical state of Wainono Lagoon and the predicted state under so-called Scenario 1 (pre HDI & WD), which includes three alternative river minimum flow and allocation sub-scenarios (Table 1). This report is the first in a series that will eventually consider several more future scenarios involving significant changes to land use and water management in the Wainono catchment. This report forms part of a multidisciplinary set of reports that includes assessments of lowland and hill-fed streams, groundwater resources, and the social, cultural and economic implications of scenarios for communities in the South Canterbury Coastal Streams (SCCS) area. All these scenario assessments are designed to inform a communityinvolved process of developing water quantity and quality limits in the sub-regional section of the proposed Land and Water Regional Plan (pLWRP) for Canterbury1 . Table 1: Brief description of Scenario 1 and sub-scenarios 1a, 1b and 1c This scenario considers what the future will look like until Hunter Downs Irrigation (HDI) and Waihao Downs (WD) irrigation schemes are built, these being consented schemes that will bring new (Waitaki) water into the SCCS area. Scenario 1 Key assumptions include: (pre HDI & WD) Negligible new irrigated area is possible due to in-catchment water constraint 2 All land users operating at Good Management Practice (GMP ) Three sub-scenarios with different flow and allocation limits are considered as below. Scenario 1a Assumes the pLWRP minimum flow and allocation limits for streams, rivers and 3 groundwater within the SCCS area . These allocation limits are approximately the current total allocation but no more. Scenario 1b Assumes alternative minimum flows that are generally higher and with smaller total 4 allocations to better meet the preferences of Manawhenua and to benefit environmental values. Scenario 1c Assumes alternative minimum flows that are generally 25% lower than Scenario 1a, but with the same allocation limits as Scenario 1a (i.e. current allocation), to provide some increase in supply reliability to existing users but no new users. 1 See SCCS website for further details - South Canterbury Coastal Streams GMP refers to good nutrient and irrigation management as assumed in the ‘Canterbury look up tables”. Specifically this covers: use of nutrient budgets, application of fertiliser according to code of practice, stock exclusion, efficient irrigation application (80 % application efficiency), and compliant effluent systems. 3 See Section 15 of the pLWRP - Proposed Canterbury Land & Water Regional Plan 4 The flow and allocation preferences of Manawhenua are expressed in a report (Tipa 2012) available on the website ( http://ecan.govt.nz/publications/Reports/cultural-associations-flows-water-implications-wainonocatchment.pdf ). These are partly (but not entirely) based on recommendations in the proposed NES (i.e. minimum flow 90%MALF; allocation 30% MALF) (MfE 2008). 2 A detailed description of Scenario 1 and key assumptions is provided on the project website1. For Wainono Lagoon, the main relevant changes expected from the current situation to Scenario 1 are: The Wainono Restoration Project5 is expected to partly reduce sediment load to the Lagoon by reducing soil erosion loss at the farm level, and is also expected to enhance Wainono marginal wetlands through willow control and strategic riparian planting. Nitrogen (N) load to the Lagoon is expected to increase slightly (~10%) as a result of limited intensification of land-use permitted under the pLWRP utilising the existing irrigated area in the catchment. Phosphorus (P) load is expected to be not significantly changed. Three sub-scenarios with different river flow and allocation limits for Wainono Lagoon tributaries (Hook, Waihao and Merrys Stream) as described in Table 1. Summary of Wainono values Much has been written about Wainono Lagoon and its values. A recent review (Benn 2011)6 collates the previous literature and summarises biological, physical, recreational, historical, social and cultural values. Tipa (2012)7 has recently summarised water-dependent cultural values of the Waihao-Wainono catchment, identified key issues and threats, and documented river flow management preferences for manawhenua8. In brief, Wainono Lagoon is a medium-sized (approximately 325 ha), turbid (murky – low clarity) coastal lake which is usually about 1m deep and is separated from the sea by a gravel bar up to 8m height. The Lagoon receives inflow from Waituna Stream, the Hook River, the northern Hook Beach Drain, as well as reverse flow at times from the Waihao River via the Waihao Arm (also referred to colloquially as the Dead Arm). The water can range from brackish to fresh depending on flow, level and sea wave conditions. The Lagoon and its tributary catchments support numerous plant and animal species including 26 fish species and over 100 bird species (Benn 2011). It features at times shallow water aquatic weedbeds (macrophytes), flax, rush and sedge swamp, saline mudflats, shingle beach ridge habitat, as well as willows and introduced grasses (Benn 2011; Golder 2012). The Lagoon and its associated wetlands meet the criteria of internationally significant wetlands under the Ramsar Wetland Convention although this status has not been formalised. The Lagoon and wetlands have national status of Wildlife Refuge and Conservation Area. To manawhenua, Wainono is a taonga (treasure) equivalent to Te Waihora (Lake Ellesmere) and Wairewa (Lake Forsyth). It provides important habitat for waterfowl, migrating birds, coastal birds and native fish, many of which are taonga species, in particular tuna (eels). To manawhenua, the value of the Waihao-Wainono system as home to taonga species, and as a source of mahinga kai cannot be overstated; the health of mahinga kai will be the ultimate indicator of the health of the system (Tipa 2012). The treasured status is reflected in the designation of the Lagoon and the lower reaches of its tributaries (Hook, Waituna and Waihao) as the “Waihao Mataitai Reserve” which prohibits commercial fishing and promotes customary sustainable management. The Lagoon and 5 See SCCS website for further details - Wainono Lagoon See http://ecan.govt.nz/publications/Plans/draft-instream-intrinsic-values-wainono-waihao-report.pdf 7 See http://ecan.govt.nz/publications/Reports/cultural-associations-flows-water-implications-wainonocatchment.pdf 8 Manawhenua are those who exercise customary authority or rangatiratanga over an area 6 surrounding area also has sites of considerable historical significance to both Maori and Europeans, with numerous sites identified as wahi taonga (treasured places) and wahi tapu (sacred places). The Lagoon and surrounds are also important to both local and regional communities for amenity and recreation including bird watching, walking, picnicking, whitebaiting, eeling, floundering, water fowl hunting and trout fishing (Benn 2011). Summary of biophysical state under Scenario 1 (pre-HDI & WD) Key biophysical aspects of the lake that influence the above values are summarised in Table 2 below. The expected state for Scenario 1 (pre HDI & WD) is described in Table 2 with reference to current conditions. An assessment is also made of the relative merits of Scenarios 1a, 1b and 1c for each indicator (see three far right columns in Table 2). The relative assessment is made using a five-class scale as shown in the coloured diagram below. Where there is a clearly defined desired outcome, an assessment is made of the likelihood that the outcome will be achieved… (five-class scale)… Where there is not a clearly defined desired outcome, the assessment reflects only the relative merit of each scenario… (five-class scale)… Almost certainly Probably Possibly Unlikely Highly unlikely Very high (maximum) High Medium Low Very low (minimum) Table 2: Summary of expected biophysical state of Wainono Lagoon under Scenario 1 (pre-HDI & WD), and assessment of the relative merits of Scenarios 1a, 1b and 1c against each biophysical indicator according to the defined five-class scale. A narrative explanation of the difference between scenarios is shown in italics for each indicator. Indicator Coastal morphology Scenario 1 (pre-HDI &WD) Wainono is a shallow coastal lake separated from the sea by a gravel barrier built by wave action from sediment (gravels) carried northwards along the coastline. The gravel barrier is migrating landwards at a long-term rate of about 0.5m/year (Benn 2011) and this, amongst other factors, continues to very gradually decrease the size and change the shape of the Lagoon. While this natural coastal erosion process will continue, the Lagoon and associated gravel barrier are expected to be permanent features of the landscape, albeit slowly changing shape, for the foreseeable future relevant for planning and management (B. Gabites and J. Cope, ECan, pers.comm, and Gabites 2012). There is no appreciable difference between scenarios for coastal processes. Lake openings Regular opening to the sea via the 100 year old Waihao Box (Figure 1) allows the Lagoon water to flow to the sea, maintaining lake level typically at average about 1m amsl although level varies within hours as the Box alternately opens and constricts with wave-driven gravel. The Box provides drainage and alleviates flooding of low lying land, as well as provides passage for fish species that need to migrate to and from the sea at certain times of the year to complete their life cycles (e.g. diadromous species such as tuna (eels) and inanga (whitebait)). There seems to be general agreement amongst local landowners, farmers, manawhenua, fishers and recreationists that the Waihao Box has served this purpose very well and there appears to be strong desire to retain the current system. There is no appreciable difference between scenarios for Waihao Box openings, although higher river minimum flows (Scenario 1b) could arguably assist in a small way to keep the Box open. 1a 1b 1c Lake level Water level is typically around 1.0 m above msl but this fluctuates depending on the size of inflows and the state of opening of the Box. When the Box is closed water backs up the Waihao Arm and raises water level in the Lagoon. The size of the Lagoon increases significantly at higher water levels (e.g. ~420 ha at 1.5m amsl) (Benn 2011) and during floods can inundate large areas of land to the north and south. Conversely when the Box is open and inflows are small, the water level can drop dramatically leaving exposed mudflats hundreds of metres from the normal water edge vegetation line; this situation stresses most of the aquatic communities although probably favours some specialised de-watering resilient species. While level management at the Box is the primary driver of Lagoon level, higher river minimum flows (Scenario 1b) would be better than lower minimum flows under Scenario 1c for reducing low lake level stress on Lagoon ecology. Freshwater versus brackish state The Lagoon varies between a fresh and brackish state in both time and space; the eastern edges near the beach barrier have higher salinity. The main source of seawater is waves overtopping the barrier during storms and barrier seepage during wave run-up at high tides, and occasionally reverse flow through the Box and up the Waihao Arm (Goring 2006). Lagoon communities are adapted to living in this variable environment; some saline tolerant plant turf communities inhabit the eastern margins and are of high ecological/botanical value (Boffa Miskell 2007). There is no appreciable difference between scenarios for salinity state. Macrophyte beds Whilst macrophyte beds have been periodically present historically, the Lagoon is now predominantly in a phytoplankton (algae) dominated state. Some macrophytes have re-established at times (e.g. Ruppia sp. present in summer 2012/13; M. Schallenberg pers. comm.) suggesting the Lagoon may be a ‘flipping type’ lake that could periodically ‘flip’ between macrophyte and phytoplankton states. This suggests there is potential for the long-term return of macrophyte beds and this would improve water clarity conditions in the vicinity of the beds (M. Schallenberg pers. comm.). Species have in the past included Myriophyllum sp., Lilaeopsis novaezelandiae, Rupia megacarpa and Ranunculus sp. (Tipa 2012). Some local residents recall macrophytes being more widespread prior to the 1968 Wahine storm and consider that the storm permanently damaged Wainono beds in a similar way to those damaged in Te Waihora. There is little difference between scenarios for macrophyte beds, although higher river minimum flows (Scenario 1b) would be better than lower minimum flows under Scenario 1c for providing fresh water germination conditions for Ruppia sp in spring. Water quality (clarity & colour) The Lagoon is highly turbid, meaning it has low visual water clarity that varies between about 10 cm to 40 cm (black disc), depending on the amount of bed sediment re-suspension that varies with wind strength. Water colour varies between a translucent green colour (32.5 Munsell Units) during calm conditions (Figure 3), to a murky coffee colour (20 MU) when fully mixed; this change can occur within minutes due to wind mixing (Sutherland and Norton 2011). The greenness of the water is caused by algae (phytoplankton); the brown coffee colour is caused by re-suspended sediment and dominates colour during windy conditions. There is little difference between scenarios 1a and 1c for water clarity and colour. Scenario 1b with its higher minimum flows and smaller allocation would slightly favour clearer water during calm, low lake level, but clarity and colour would still be dominated by re-suspended bed sediment and green algae most of the time. Water quality (sediment) The Lagoon has historically (and still currently) received high loads of sediment from erosion in the catchment, which has been exacerbated by land vegetation clearance for agriculture. Sediment loads arrive predominantly during floods, primarily from the Hook catchment (see Figure 2). This has contributed to the accumulation of a thick layer of fine sediment on the lake bed. This sediment re-suspends during common (most days) windy conditions, creating the turbid (murky) conditions described above, and contributing to algae (phytoplankton) growth by contributing sediment-associated nutrients to the water column (e.g. Schallenberg and Burns 2004). The Wainono Restoration Project is targeting on-farm measures to reduce erosion and sediment loss from the catchment through time. This is a positive effect common for all scenarios; there is no appreciable difference between scenarios for water suspended sediment or Lagoon bed sedimentation. Water quality (nutrients, dissolved oxygen, pH, temperature) The Lagoon is “hypertrophic”, meaning it has very high nutrient (N and P concentrations and is highly productive with respect to phytoplankton (algae) growth. The current annual average Trophic Level Index (TLI) is approximately 6.5 (Sutherland and Norton 2011) (Figure 4), although this is highly variable in time (Figure 5) and in different parts of the Lagoon. This exceeds the maximum TLI of 6.0 set in the pLWRP outcomes for coastal lakes. The historic (pre-European) trophic state of the lake is unknown but may have been in the order of 4-5 (i.e. Meso- to Eutrophic). In simple terms the high nutrient state means that the Lagoon is usually dominated by phytoplankton (as opposed to macrophytes) and is subject to algae blooms that can cause large fluctuations in dissolved oxygen (DO) and pH that can cause stress to aquatic life (e.g. Sutherland and Norton (2011). Intense blooms can increase pH and at pH greater than 9.2, dissolved reactive phosphorus may be released from iron oxides in the Lagoon sediment further stimulating algae blooms and significantly increasing the risk of toxic cyanobacteria blooms (e.g. Gibbs and Norton 2013). In general, water quality (e.g. nutrients N and P, DO, pH, temperature, salinity, turbidity, colour, clarity, algae [chlorophyll a], TLI) is highly variable both temporally and spatially in the Lagoon due to variable flow level, contaminant loads from tributaries, in lake biological processes, wind-driven mixing, bed sediment re-suspension and saline intrusions (Sutherland and Norton 2011) There is little difference between scenarios 1a and 1c for water quality. Scenario 1b with its higher minimum flows and smaller allocation would afford more dilution of catchment contaminant loads and is therefore slightly better for Lagoon water quality. Cyanobacteria and/or other toxic algae The high nutrient state of the Lagoon (TLI 6.5) increases the risk of cyanobacteria and/or other toxic algae blooms. Nuisance blooms have not been commonly reported by the public but have been observed in the short blind ‘Dead Arm’ coming off the Waihao Arm approximately 2km south of the Wainono outlet (Sutherland and Norton 2011), and toxic species (e.g. Planktothrix sp.) in the lagoon itself (Figure 6)(G. Clarke, pers.comm). The level of risk of cyanobacteria bloom formation can be estimated using a probability model (MfE 2009) based on key factors influencing blooms (lake size, P and N concentrations, and wind speed measured continuously at a recorder station on the lake). Wainono Lagoon is currently at moderate risk using this method (Figure 7). There is no appreciable difference between Scenarios 1a,b and c for toxic bloom risk. Fringing wetlands Only modest remnants remain of the fringing wetlands that would once, prior to draining the land for human occupation and agriculture, have stretched to the south near the Waihao River and to the north near Makikihi. Nonetheless the fringing wetlands that remain are highly valued for intrinsic, scenic, and biodiversity value (Benn 2011). They also likely play a role in metabolising some of the nutrient load entering the Lagoon from neighbouring land. Wetland plant community types include ‘flax swamp’, ‘rush swamp’ and ‘sedge swamp’, and ‘mudflat’ (Benn 2011). Also noteworthy are native wetland saltmarsh turf communities with high ecological values (Boffa Miskell 2007; Benn 2011). Key threats include invasive weeds (e.g. grey willow and reed canary grass), dewatering from low tributary inflows and drainage, and damage from stock access. There is limited difference between Scenarios 1a,b,c for fringing wetlands, although higher river minimum flows (Scenario 1b) would be better than lower minimum flows (Scenario 1c). Some improvement is expected compared to current as a result of stock exclusion (rules of the pLWRP), weed (willow) control and enhancement planting efforts under the Wainono Restoration Project. Biodiversity Wainono Lagoon and its catchment support significant biodiversity including fringing wetland plant communities (see description above), sporadic macrophyte communities (see description above), 18 native fish species including threatened species; Canterbury mudfish; longfin eel; torrentfish, giant kokopu, inanga, lamprey and bluegill bully (Allibone et al., 2010). Wainono is the largest coastal lagoon between Karitane and Te Waihora (Ellesmere) and thus provides valuable feeding and roosting habitat for many coastal bird species. At least 90 bird species have been recorded at the Lagoon and the site is particularly important for a number of nationally threatened species including: white heron, grey duck, royal spoonbill, wrybill plover, black stilt, southern New Zealand dotterel, Australasian bittern, black-billed gull and black fronted tern. Full species lists (including aquatic invertebrates and phytoplankton) for the whole catchment are provided in Benn (2011) and for the Lagoon itself in Golder (2012). For migratory fish species (e.g. eels, inanga, koaro, common bully and torrentfish), Scenario 1b with its higher minimum flows and smaller allocation would be significantly better than Scenario 1a, which is in turn better than Scenario 1c. Mataitai Reserve (fisheries & other mahinga kai) The Mataitai Reserve was approved in 2012 and includes Wainono Lagoon and that portion of the Waihao River catchment, Waituna Stream and Hook River east of State Highway 1 (Figure)(Tipa 2012). Mahinga kai include indigenous fish species, plants for eating and weaving, and birds including eggs. Key species are tuna (eel), patiki (flounder) and inanga (whitebait) these fisheries have been subject to variable exploitation historically but could recover under the Mataitai Reserve, provided habitat quality is maintained and enhanced, and recruitment from the sea is maintained (i.e. the Box). The tuna (eel) in particular has a special historic significance. It was on the visit of the first recorded waka Uruao that the river was named Waihao by the wife of Rakaihautu in recognition of the sweetness of the hao eel, a significant species in the river (Tipa (2012). “Whanau want to see increased populations of mahinga kai with fish species (in particular tuna) having free passage throughout the system at all Microbial quality for recreation stages of their life cycle. All species will be fit for use, and the river system will be desirable for whanau to access and use. The health of mahinga kai will be the ultimate indicator of the health of the system” (Tipa 2012). Scenario 1b with its higher minimum flows and smaller allocation has been specifically designed to reflect the flow preferences of manawhenua. Scenario 1b would be significantly better than Scenario 1a, which is in turn better than Scenario 1c for fisheries and other mahinga kai of the Mataitai Reserve. While the Lagoon is not popular for direct contact recreation, mahinga kai gathering and waterfowl hunting bring people into contact with the water and so microbial quality is relevant. Indicator microorganism (E.coli) concentrations measured by ECan monthly from July 2007 to June 2009 th satisfied the criteria for ‘Fair’ contact recreation grade (95 percentile = 410 E.coli/100mL). The Lagoon would rarely achieve the highest microbial quality for contact recreation due to significant (and highly valued) bird populations (see above). The risk of cyanobacteria blooms (see above and Figure 7) is also relevant for recreation. Some improvement in (stock-sourced) microbial contamination is expected due to stock exclusion rules in the pLWRP. However it seems unlikely that E.coli concentrations will reliably meet better than ‘Fair’ contact recreation due to valued bird populations. There is negligible difference between scenarios on this. References Allibone, R.; David, B.; Hitchmough, R.; Jellyman, D.; Ling, N.; Ravenscroft, P.; Waters, J. (2010). Conservation status of New Zealand freshwater fish, 2009. New Zealand Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research 44 (4):271-287. Benn, J. (2011). Instream intrinsic values of the Wainono Lagoon-Waihao River catchment. Draft/Living Document. Department of Conservation, Canterbury Conservancy, Christchurch, New Zealand. Gabites, B. (2012). A summary of Environment Canterbury’s coastal environment monitoring programme for the coastline south of Timaru – 1977 to 2011. Environment Canterbury Report No. R12/116 (ISBN 978-1-927234-10-5 (web)). Gibbs, M., Norton, N. (2013) Te Waihora / Lake Ellesmere: Water Quality Mitigation and Restoration Opportunities. NIWA Client Report CHC2012-138, prepared for Environment Canterbury, Draft as at November 2012. Golder Associates (2012). Ecological Flow Review. Waihao River and Wainono Lagoon Catchment. Report Number 0978110112_001_R_Rev1. Submitted to Canterbury Regional Council, Christchurch. Goring, D.G. (2006). Wainono Lagoon: Seawater Incursion. A report prepared for Environment Canterbury by Mulgor Consulting Limited, May 2006. Boffa Miskell (2007). Hunter Downs Irrigation: Terrestrial ecology, wetlands, and mudfish ecological assessment. Prepared for Meridian Energy Limited by Boffa Miskell Limited (Report No. C05244A), June 2007. Ministry for the Environment and Ministry of Health (2009) New Zealand Guidelines for Cyanobacteria in Recreational Fresh Waters – Interim Guidelines. Prepared for the Ministry for the Environment and the Ministry of Health by S.A. Woods, D.P. Hamilton, W.J. Paul, K.A. Safi & WM Williamson. Ministry for the Environment, Wellington. MfE (2008). Proposed National Environmental Standard on Ecological Flows and Water Levels (Discussion Document).Ministry for the Environment, Wellington. Schallenberg, M., Burns, C.W. (2004). Effects of sediment resuspension on phytoplankton production: teasing apart the influences of light, nutrients and algal entrainment. Freshwater biology, 49, 143-159. Sutherland, D., Norton, N. (2011) Assessment of augmentation of water flows in Wainono Lagoon. NIWA Client Report CHC2011-043. Tipa, G. (2012). Cultural Associations and their Flow and Water Management Implications for the Waihao / Wainono Catchment. A Draft Working Document (not yet endorsed by Te Runanga o Waihao) prepared by Tipa & Associates for Environment Canterbury, December 2012. Figure 1. The Waihao Box facilitates flow from the Waihao-Wainono catchment draining to the sea. The lower Waihao River (top right) joins the Waihao Arm (also known colloquially as the Dead Arm – centre right) at the Waihao Box. Figure 2. Photos illustrating the high sediment load plume from the Hook River entering Wainono Lagoon (left) and sediment-laden water flowing from Wainono Lagoon down the Waihao Arm and through the Box to the sea (right) during flood conditions in August 2012. Figure 3: The Waihao Arm at Poingdestres Road, approximately 1 km downstream from the Wainono outlet, showing the green colour of Wainono outflow water during calm conditions on the Lagoon. Figure 4. Illustration of Trophic Level Index (TLI) scale showing relative position of current state (today) and Scenario 1 (pre-HDI & WD) versus estimated historic (pre-European) state and ECan (pLWRP) outcome target. Figure 5. Trophic Level Index (TLI) (moving annual mean) based on ECan lake edge measurements since March 2000. Note this is based on a TLI(3) calculation using TP, TN and chlorophyll a but not Secchi depth. Figure 6. A surface scum algal bloom on Wainono Lagoon containing the potentially toxic cyanobacteria (Planktothrix sp.). Photo taken from a helicopter during ECan surveys in March 2011. Figure 7. Estimated level of risk of cyanobacteria bloom formation in Wainono Lagoon currently and under Scenario 1, using a weighted probability function model described in the Interim New Zealand Cyanobacteria Guidelines (MfE 2009). The risk is currently moderate (weighted probability 0.4 -0.6 which constitutes the Interim Guidelines ‘Alert level’) as assessed by Sutherland and Norton (2011). Figure 8. Location of the Waihao Mataitai Reserve (red area and lines) that came into effect on 13 September 2012. Mataitai reserves can be established over traditional fishing grounds of special importance to local Maori. Establishing a mataitai reserve does not prevent recreational fishing, access to reserves, beaches or rivers, and does not change existing arrangements for access to private land. Only commercial fishing is prohibited in a mataitai reserve (Tipa 2012).
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