Roanoke College Poll Release April 10, 2012 1. Do you think things in the Commonwealth of Virginia are generally going in the right direction or do you think things have gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction 41% (243) Wrong track 45% (264) Unsure/mixed 14% (82) 2. Do you think things in the COUNTRY are generally going in the right direction or do you think things have gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction 23% (134) Wrong track 71% (423) Unsure/mixed 6% (38) 3. A year from now, do you expect that economic conditions in the country as a whole will be better than they are at present, or worse, or just about the same as now? Better 38% (210) Worse 26% (143) About the same 36% (200) 4. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor of Virginia? Approve 56% (286) Disapprove 30% (151) Mixed/unsure 14% (73) 5. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President of the United States? Approve 38% (224) Disapprove 54% (320) Mixed/unsure 9% (51) 6. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Approve 9% (54) Disapprove 81% (471) Mixed/unsure 10% (58) 7. What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today? Economy (general) 34% (201) Unemployment/jobs 19% (112) Budget deficit/debt 7% (42) Gas prices/energy 6% (34) All others 34% (204) Unsure 1% (5) Please tell me if you have a generally favorable or unfavorable impression of the following people or if you don’t know enough about them to have formed an opinion. 8. President Barack Obama Favorable 41% (250) Unfavorable 49% (297) Mixed/unsure 8% (45) Don’t Know 2% (11) 9. Governor Bob McDonnell Favorable 46% (275) Unfavorable 24% (143) Mixed/unsure 15% (89) Don’t Know 16% (95) 12. Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney Favorable 27% (164) Unfavorable 43% (261) Mixed/unsure 16% (97) Don’t Know 13% (80) 13. Former Governor George Allen Favorable 38% (227) Unfavorable 28% (169) Mixed/unsure 10% (63) Don’t Know 24% (144) 14. Former Governor Tim Kaine Favorable 40% (240) Unfavorable 32% (193) Mixed/unsure 10% (57) Don’t Know 19% (112) 15. As you may know, by 2014 nearly all Americans will be required to have health insurance. People who do not buy insurance will pay a penalty while people who cannot afford it will receive financial help from the government. Do you approve or disapprove of this policy? Approve 32% (189) Disapprove 57% (343) Mixed 9% (52) Don’t Know 3% (15) Results for Q. 16-20 will be released soon. 16. What is your present religion, if any? Are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Mormon, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox, Jewish, Muslim, Buddhist, Hindu, atheist, agnostic, something else, or nothing in particular? [NOTE TO INTERVIEWER: If the respondant says Baptist, Methodist, Lutheran, Presbyterian, Pentecostal, Episcopalian, Church of Christ, or Disciples of Christ, Congregational or United Church of Christ, Holiness, Reformed, Church of God, Nondenominational or Independent Church code this as PROTESTANT and select the appropriate response for the next question.] 17. IF RESPONDENT SAID NATIVE AMERICAN, WICCAN, PAGAN, ETC, DO NOT READ, BUT ENTER CODE 2 (NOT CHRISTIAN) Do you think of yourself as a Christian or not? 18. DO NOT READ QUESTION IF R VOLUNTEERED DENOMINATION IN PREVIOUS QUESTION. RECORD RESPONSE IN APPROPRIATE CATEGORY. As far as your present religion, what denomination or church, if any, do you identify with most closely? Just stop me when I get to the right one. Are you (READ) Baptist, Methodist, Lutheran, Presbyterian, Pentecostal, Episcopalian, Church of Christ, or Disciples of Christ, Congregational or United Church of Christ, Holiness, Reformed, Church of God, Nondenominational or Independent Church, Something else Or none in particular? 19. To help describe your faith, would you say that you agree or disagree with each of the following statements: The Bible is the word of God. Christians should share their faith in Jesus with others who might not already believe. Salvation only comes through Jesus and not through the practice of other religions. 20. Do the following terms describe your religious identity? Born-again Bible-believing Evangelical Fundamentalist 21. Are you registered to vote in Virginia? Yes 90% (537) No 10% (62) 22. If the election for United States Senate were held today and the two candidates were George Allen, the Republican and Tim Kaine, the Democrat, would you vote for [ROTATE] Tim Kaine 36% (211) George Allen 44% (257) Undecided/Someone else 19% (113) (VOLUNTEERED) 23. How much thought have you given to the coming presidential election? Quite a lot, only a little or none at all? Quite a lot 64% (379) Only a little 27% (160) None at all 10% (56) 24. Over the course of the campaign, are you getting more interested or less interested in the outcome of the election this November or is your interest the same? More interested 67% (393) Less interested 19% (112) The same 14% (81) Results for Q. 25-27 will be released soon. 25. In addition to being a political leader, some people also see the President, whoever it may be, as a moral leader. Do you see the President as a moral leader? Yes No Unsure 26. Thinking about your vote for President, how important is it for a candidate to have very strong religious beliefs. Is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not important at all? Very important Somewhat important Not very important Not important at all 27. And what if a candidate had religious beliefs that were very different form yours? Would you be more likely to vote for them, less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference to your vote? More likely Less likely No difference 28. Just in general, how well do you think Barack Obama understands the needs of people like you? Very well, fairly well, not too well, or not at all well? Very well 24% (140) Fairly well 27% (157) Not too well 16% (93) Not at all well 33% (192) 29. Just in general, how well do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs of people like you? Very well, fairly well, not too well, or not at all well? Very well Very well 11% (56) Fairly well 29% (154) Not too well 29% (153) Not at all well 31% (165) 30. And if the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney, the Republican [ROTATE]? [OTHER RESPONSES VOLUNTEERED] Obama 40% (237) Romney 46% (271) Uncertain 8% (48) Someone else 6% (35) 31. [IF OBAMA] How certain are you that you will vote for Obama? Are you very certain, somewhat certain or not certain? Very certain Somewhat certain Not certain 81% (190) 14% (33) 5% (10) 32. [IF ROMNEY] How certain are you that you will vote for Romney? Are you very certain, somewhat certain or not certain? Very certain 72% (193) Somewhat certain 21% (55) Not certain 7% (19) 33. [IF OBAMA] How enthusiastic are you to vote for Obama? Are you very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic or not enthusiastic? Very enthusiastic 62% (143) Somewhat enthusiastic 31% (73) Not enthusiastic 7% (17) 34. [IF ROMNEY] How enthusiastic are you to vote for Romney? Are you very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic or not enthusiastic? Very enthusiastic 31% (83) Somewhat enthusiastic 47% (125) Not enthusiastic 22% (57) [IF OBAMA] Would you be likely to do any of the following activities for Obama? 35. Contribute money to his campaign? Yes 49% (117) No 42% (100) Maybe 8% (19) 36. Volunteer your time for the campaign? Yes 43% (102) No 47% (110) Maybe 10% (23) 37. Talk to others informally about voting for him? Yes 58% (136) No 37% (86) Maybe 6% (13) 38. Put a sign in your yard or a bumper sticker on your car? Yes 50% (117) No Maybe 45% (105) 6% (14) [IF ROMNEY] Would you be likely to do any of the following activities for Romney? 39. Contribute money to his campaign? Yes 20% (52) No 74% (195) Maybe 6% (16) 40. Volunteer your time for the campaign? Yes 20% (52) No 73% (192) Maybe 8% (20) 41. Talk to others informally about voting for him? Yes 45% (118) No 48% (128) Maybe 7% (18) 42. Put a sign in your yard or a bumper sticker on your car? Yes 30% (79) No 64% (168) Maybe 6% (17) 43. [IF UNCERTAIN] Are you leaning toward voting for Romney or Obama? Obama 15% (7) Romney 29% (13) Uncertain 51% (23) Someone else 5% (2) 44. [IF UNCERTAIN] Is it possible that you won’t vote in November? Yes 36% (74) No 65% (134) 45. [IF YES TO 44] Would you be more likely to vote if someone other than Romney was the Republican nominee? Yes 56% (40) No 24% (17) Unsure 20% (14) Results for Q. 46-56 will be released soon. 46. Do you happen to know if Barack Obama is Protestant, Catholic, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, atheist, agnostic, or some other religion? Protestant Catholic Mormon Jewish Muslim Atheist Agnostic Some other religion DK/NA 47. [IF SOME OTHER RELIGION] And do you know if he is a Christian or not? Christian Not Christian 48. Does Obama’s religion make you more likely to vote for him, less likely or make no difference in your vote? More likely Less likely No difference 49. Do you happen to know if Mitt Romney is Protestant, Catholic, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, atheist, agnostic, or some other religion? Protestant Catholic Mormon Jewish Muslim Atheist Agnostic Some other religion DK/NA 50. [IF SOME OTHER RELIGION] And do you know if he is a Christian or not? Christian Not Christian 51. Does Romney’s religion make you more likely to vote for him, less likely or make no difference in your vote? More likely Less likely No difference 52. Now thinking about the Mormon religion, also known as the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints, how much would you say you know about the Mormon religion and its practices? A great deal, some, not very much or nothing at all? A great deal Some Not very much Nothing at all 53. Please tell me what one word best describes your impression of the Mormon religion. Tell me just the one best word that comes to mind. [OPEN-END.] 54. [ASK IF R IS NOT A MORMON] Do you, yourself happen to know anyone who is Mormon? Yes No 55. [ASK IF R IS NOT A MORMON] Based on what you have read or heard about Mormons, do you think their religion is a Christian religion, or do you think it is not a Christian religion? Mormon is Christian Mormon is not Christian Unsure 56. [ASK IF R HAS A RELIGION OTHER THAN MORMONISM AND NOT ATHEIST, AGNOSTIC OR NOTHING IN PARTICUALR AND NOT CHRISTIAN] From what you know, do you think that the Mormon religion and your own religion have a lot in common, or do you think that the Mormon religion and your religion are very different? A lot in common Very different 57. Now, I'd like to ask some questions about you. How old are you? 18-29 10% (61) 30-49 33% (199) 50-64 39% (234) 65 or older 18% (109) 58. Code respondent's sex Male 48% (292) Female 52% (311) 59. How much education have you completed? Less than high school 4% (24) High School 20% (120) Some college/tech school 24% (145) Associate’s degree 8% (48) Bachelor’s degree 26% (157) Advanced degree 18% (105) 60. I'm going to read several income groups. When I come to the group that includes your annual family income, please stop me. Less than $20,000 10% (53) $20,001-$35,000 11% (63) $35,001-$50,000 19% (105) $50,001-$75,000 20% (109) $75,001-$100,000 16% (88) More than $100,000 25% (138) 61. What is your race? White African-American Other 78% (472) 16% (95) 6% (36) 62. In what county do you live? [IF NOT IN COUNTY, THEN WHICH CITY. IF THERE IS A CITY AND COUNTY WITH THE SAME NAME, ASK IF THEY LIVE IN CITY OR COUNTY.] RECODED TO REGION Southwest Virginia 19% (115) Shenandoah Valley 8% (49) Southside 11% (67) Central VA/Richmond 21% (129) Northern VA 22% (131) Tidewater 19% (112) 63. Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate or conservative? Liberal 17% (101) Moderate 38% (223) Conservative Other 40% (235) 5% (27) 64. And would you describe your political party affiliation as Democrat, Republican, Independent, some other party or no affiliation? Democrat 30% (166) Republican 33% (182) Independent 29% (163) Other/None 8% (45) 65. From what you have heard about the Tea Party movement, do you strongly agree, agree, disagree, or strongly disagree with their views or don't you know enough to have an opinion either way? Strongly agree 10% (46) Agree 30% (133) Neutral 14% (60) Disagree 23% (104) Strongly disagree 23% (102)
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