The Impact of Mesquite Trees (Prosopis juliflora) on Farm Profit Case Study " New Halfa Agricultural Production Corporation" (NHAPC) By Mohammed Ibrahim Musa B.Sc. (Agricultural economics), 1998 University of Kassala Supervised By Dr. Salah Mohamed Elawad A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fullfillment for the Requirements Of the Degree of Master of Science in Agricultural Economics Department of Agricultural Economics Faculty of Agriculture University of Khartoum Oct. 2003 Page Number Acknowledgement Dedication Abstract (English) Abstract (Arabic) i ii iii iv CHAPTER ONE Introduction 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Problem Statement 1.3 Objectives 1.4 Hypothesis 1.5 Methodology 1.5.1 Sampling technique 1.5.2 Sampling size 1.5.3 method of data analysis 1.6 Organization of Study 1 2 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 CHAPTER TWO Literature Review 2.1 Mesquite tree 2.2 Environmental characteristics of Mesquite 2.3 Mesquite uses 2.4 The negative effects of Mesquite 2.5 Mesquite problem on agricultural land 2.6 Mesquite and agricultural productivity 2.7 Mesquite management 2.8 Socio-economic measures CHAPTER THREE General Features of the Area and Mesquite Tree 8 11 12 15 15 17 18 19 3.1 Socio-economic characteristics of respondents 3.2 Mesquite uses 3.3 The effects of Mesquite on agriculture 3.4 Mesquite management CHAPTER FOUR Econometric Analysis 4.1 Multiple linear regression 4.2 Econometrics model specification 4.3 Result of regressions 4.4 Discussion of the crop regression equations CHAPTER FIVE Summary, Conclusions and Recommendations 5.1 Summary 5.2 Conclusions 5.3 Recommendations Bibliography 21 25 27 30 32 32 34 37 40 42 42 44 LIST OF TABLES Table Name Table (1-1): The Cost of Production in NHAPC SD per feddan Page No. 3 Table (1-2): The Crop Productivity in NHAPC per feddan 3 Table (1-3): The Selected Divisions and Sub-Divisions in NHAPC 5 Table (2-1): Mesquite Spread along River Gash 1962-1996 10 Table (2-2): Use for Mesquite in the Household: Kassala State 13 Table (3-1): Age by Group of Respondents in NHAPC 21 Table (3-2): Education Level of the Respondents in NHAPC 22 Table (3-3): Education Level and Productivity of the Respondents in NHAPC 22 Table (3-4): Family Size of the Respondents in NHAPC 23 Table (3-5): The Impact of Family Labor on Agricultural Productivity 23 Table (3-6): The Marital Status of the Respondents in NHAPC 24 Table (3-7): Other Occupations of the Respondents in NHAPC 24 Table (3-8): Livestock Ownership of the Respondents in NHAPC 24 Table (3-9): Useful of Mesquite Tree of the Respondents in NHAPC 25 Table (3-10): Type of Useful of Mesquite Tree of the Respondents in NHAPC 25 Table (3-11): The Purposes of Charcoal of the Respondents in NHAPC 26 Table (3-12): The Degree of Dependency of the Respondents in NHAPC 26 Table (3-13): The Effect of Mesquite on Productivity in NHAPC 27 Table (3-14): The Effect of Mesquite Density on Crop Productivity 28 Table (3-15): The Effect of Mesquite on Cost of Production in NHAPC 29 Table (3-16): The Size of the Effects of Mesquite on Cost of Production in NHAPC 29 Table (3-17): The Effects of Mesquite Density on Farm Income 29 Table (3-18): The Tools of Control 30 Table (3-19): the Role of Extension on Mesquite Control 30 Table (4-1): Cotton Regression Model in NHAPC 34 Table (4-2): Wheat Regression Model in NHAPC 34 Table (4-3): Dura Regression Model in NHAPC 35 Table (4-4): Groundnuts Regression Model in NHAPC 36 ACKNOWLEDEMENT I wish to Acknowledge my debts to my supervisor Dr Salah Mohamed El Awad for his continuous help, guidence, suggestions, criticism and valuable advices throughout the period of this study. Special thanks are due to the Economic and Social Research Institute for finance, facilities and encouragement during the course of this study. Thank is also due to the Staff of Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Khartoum for their advices and assistance. My deepest thanks are due to my family for their patience, services and continuous encouragement during the course of this study. DEDICATION To the soul of my Mother, To my Father, Brother and Sisters. I dedicate this work with my love. Mohammed ABSTRACT This study was conducted to identify the impact of Mesquite tree on farm production in NHAPC through its effect on tenant's profitabillity and with emphasis on its impacts on productivity and cost of production. The population of study is represented by the tenants in NHAPC who practice farming within the NHAPC according to the adopted agricultural rotation. Both primary and secondary data were used. The secondary data was obtained from the reports and records of NHAPC, Forestry authority and Ministry of agriculture. The primary data is collected through a questionnaire designed for tenants. The descriptive and analytical methodology was applied on the primary data compiled by interviewing the tenants in the scheme area. It is obvious from the findings of the study that the NHAPC tenants faced the problem of existence and spread of Mesquite tree, which reduces tenant's profitability from the main crops in the agricultural rotation (Cotton- Wheat- Durra and Groundnuts). The means adopted in controlling the tree and the attempts to limit its spreading are mostly manual. In addition agricultural extension services, whereby the tenant could get the information relevant for dealing with the tree, were abscent. The study recommended the necessity of coordination between NHAPC and Agricultural Research and Technology Corporation ARTC in order to find the best methods for administering Mesquite tree and controlling it, and encourage the undertaking of integrate economic, social and environmetal studies for the tree. ﺍﻟﺨﻼﺼﺔ ﺃﺠﺭﻴﺕ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﻟﻤﻌﺭﻓﺔ ﺃﺜﺭ ﺸﺠﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻜﻴﺕ ﻋﻠﻲ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺭﻋﻲ ﺒﻤﺅﺴﺴﺔ ﺤﻠﻔـﺎ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ،ﻤﻥ ﺨﻼل ﺘﺄﺜﻴﺭﻫﺎ ﻋﻠﻲ ﺭﺒﺤﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺍﺭﻉ ﻭﺫﻟﻙ ﺒﺎﻟﺘﺭﻜﻴﺯ ﻋﻠـﻲ ﺘﺄﺜﻴﺭﻫـﺎ ﻓـﻲ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺠﻴﺔ ﻭﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻑ ﺍﻹﻨﺘﺎﺝ. ﻴﺘﻤﺜل ﻤﺠﺘﻤﻊ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻤﺠﻤﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﻤـﺯﺍﺭﻋﻴﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻭﺠـﻭﺩﻴﻥ ﺒﻤﺅﺴﺴـﺔ ﺤﻠﻔـﺎ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴـﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ،ﻭﺍﻟﺫﻴﻥ ﻴﺒﺎﺸﺭﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ﺩﺍﺨل ﺃﺭﺍﻀﻰ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﺭﻭﻉ ﻭﻓﻘـﹰﺎ ﻟﻠـﺩﻭﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴـﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻤﻭل ﺒﻬﺎ. ﺍﺴﺘﺨﺩﻤﺕ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﻤﻌﻠﻭﻤﺎﺕ ﺃﻭﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺜﺎﻨﻭﻴﺔ ،ﺠﻤﻌﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻠﻭﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻨﻭﻴـﺔ ﻤـﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻘـﺎﺭﻴﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﻤﻨﺸﻭﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺨﺎﺼﺔ ﺒﻤﺅﺴﺴﺔ ﺤﻠﻔﺎ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ﻭﻫﻴﺌﺔ ﺍﻟﻐﺎﺒـﺎﺕ ﻭﻭﺯﺍﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋـﺔ ،ﺃﻤـﺎ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻠﻭﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻴﺔ ﻓﻘﺩ ﺠﻤﻌﺕ ﻋﻥ ﻁﺭﻴﻕ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺒﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺩ ﻟﻠﻤﺯﺍﺭﻋﻴﻥ ،ﻭﺍﺴﺘﺨﺩﻡ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻬﺞ ﺍﻟﻭﺼـﻔﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻠﻲ ﺒﺘﻁﺒﻴﻘﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻨﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻀﻤﻨﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻻﺴﺘﺒﻴﺎﻥ ﻤﻊ ﻤﺯﺍﺭﻋﻲ ﺍﻟﻤﻨﻁﻘﺔ. ﺍﺘﻀﺢ ﻤﻥ ﻨﺘﺎﺌﺞ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺃﻥ ﻤﺯﺍﺭﻋﻲ ﻤﺅﺴﺴﺔ ﺤﻠﻔﺎ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ﻴﻭﺍﺠﻬﻭﻥ ﻤﺸـﻜﻠﺔ ﻭﺠﻭﺩ ﻭﺍﻨﺘﺸﺎﺭ ﺸﺠﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻜﻴﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺘﻌﻤل ﻋﻠﻰ ﺨﻔﺽ ﺭﺒﺤﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺯﺍﺭﻉ ﻤﻥ ﺍﻟﻤﺤﺎﺼﻴل ﺍﻟﺭﺌﻴﺴـﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺩﻭﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ )ﻗﻁﻥ -ﻗﻤﺢ -ﺫﺭﺓ -ﻓﻭل ﺴﻭﺩﺍﻨﻲ( ،ﻭﺍﻥ ﺃﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻜﻡ ﻓﻲ ﻫـﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﺸـﺠﺭﺓ ﻭﻤﻨﻊ ﺍﻨﺘﺸﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻏﺎﻟﺒﹰﺎ ﻤﺎ ﺘﻜﻭﻥ ﻴﺩﻭﻴﺔ ،ﻤﻊ ﻏﻴﺎﺏ ﺩﻭﺭ ﺍﻹﺭﺸﺎﺩ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ ﻓـﻲ ﺘـﻭﻓﻴﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﻠﻭﻤـﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺯﺍﺭﻉ ﻓﻲ ﻜﻴﻔﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺎﻤل ﻤﻊ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﺠﺭﺓ. ﺃﻭﺼﺕ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺴﺔ ﺒﻀﺭﻭﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺴﻴﻕ ﺒﻴﻥ ﻤﺅﺴﺴﺔ ﺤﻠﻔﺎ ﺍﻟﺠﺩﻴﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ﻭﻫﻴﺌـﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﺤـﻭﺙ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻘﺎﻨﺔ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺇﻴﺠﺎﺩ ﺍﻓﻀل ﺍﻟﻁﺭﻕ ﻓﻲ ﺇﺩﺍﺭﺓ ﺸﺠﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻜﻴﺕ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺤﻜﻡ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ،ﻭﺘﺸﺠﻴﻊ ﻗﻴـﺎﻡ ﺩﺭﺍﺴﺎﺕ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﺠﺘﻤﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻭﺒﻴﺌﻴﺔ ﻤﺘﻜﺎﻤﻠﺔ ﻟﺸﺠﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻤﺴﻜﻴﺕ. CHAPTER ONE 1.1 Introduction Sudan was infested firstly by Mesquite in 1917. Imported from Egypt and South Africa, the samples cultivated in Shambat experimental fields, then after that spread over many areas in Khartoum Bahari through animal's wastes. The results of the experiments which was conducted in 1928 and 1938 showed the ability of Mesquite trees to grow on sand with annually 150m rainfall. Its spread started from its planting as a wind break belt in the area of South Khartoum airport Imported from United States of America, three types of Mesquite tree have been introduced in 1952. In addition eight types were introduced by Forestry Research Unit in 1980. Mesquite penetration of New Halfa Area: NHAPC is located at the west of the river Atbarawi between latitudes 15˚-17˚N., in an arid Climatic zone, characterized by annual 250500mm rainfall. The whole agricultural area in the scheme is estimated to be 345,000 feddan, cultivated in three crop rotation; Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts. In 1966 NHAPC experienced its first unpleasant acquaintance to Mesquite. As the investigations displayed, Forestry officials were the first to identify its threats to the scheme. They declared an eradication order, which took place shortly after that on the whole scheme area, with exceptions in some particular places e.g. around villages 1 and 33. Consequently, those few trees said to be responsible of its serious and disastrous spreading all over the area. Intensive extension of Mesquite tree in NHAPC results in a devastating hazard to the fertile areas and durable challenges to crop production. Its expansion over the Gardens and water-channels could be explained mainly by its easy spreading mechanisms, which depend on animals, humans and water. Also Mesquite tree is characterized by its ability to adapt to environmental conditions, showing strong ability to cope with defiant opposition. 1.2 Problem Statement Mesquite tree introduced to NHAPC in 1966, to fence the experimental plantation, and spread out into farms and canals afterwards. The Mesquite trees are highly adaptive to environmental changes, climate differences, drought and soil degradation. Despite the continuous efforts exerted by the concerned people to mitigate the effects of the Mesquite tree; it persists as a solid reality in NHAPC. NHAPC records experienced continuous rising in the cost of production, as in table (1-1) which shows the cost of production in the NHAPC for the period 1985/86 to 2000/01. Also the crops' productivity in NHAPC has been unstable; table (2-1) reflects the fluctuations of the Productivity of crops in NHAPC. Table (1-1): The Average Cost of Production in (NHAPC) SD per feddan Seasons Cotton Wheat Dura Groundnuts 1985/1986 1986/1987 1987/1988 1988/1989 1989/1990 1990/1991 1991/1992 1992/1993 1993/1994 1994/1995 1995/1996 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 64.01 70.92 77.60 109.80 125.00 182.50 389.50 1900.80 2599.30 6622.00 22000.00 32112.00 44705.00 50593.00 49305.00 50015.00 29.58 27.07 42.45 70.61 307.95 160.14 379.44 936.30 1310.65 3439.00 9629.40 21969.00 23536.00 26324.00 26985.50 24350.00 18.13 22.08 24.78 54.54 73.40 109.50 217.50 574.40 1440.00 2861.40 3509.00 10158.00 12865.00 13803.00 14145.00 14555.00 31.50 32.98 57.67 73.60 96.50 168.00 315.50 928.20 1723.00 3847.50 6240.00 16986.00 19415.00 20018.00 22777.00 22525.00 Source: NHAPC Table (1-2): The Average Crops Productivity in NHAPC Seasons 1985/1986 1986/1987 1987/1988 1988/1989 1989/1990 1990/1991 1991/1992 1992/1993 1993/1994 1994/1995 1995/1996 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 Source: NHAPC Cotton (kantar/fed) 5.49 6.22 4.23 4.23 4.61 4.01 4.67 2.98 3.03 4.01 3.25 3.20 3.98 3.03 3.60 4.00 Wheat (sack/fed) 4.00 4.50 5.00 6.00 6.20 4.10 7.00 4.30 3.70 6.00 6.49 5.60 7.30 4.10 4.50 7.00 Dura (sack/fed) 5.49 6.22 4.23 2.94 5.00 4.50 6.00 4.00 6.00 5.20 5.00 6.00 8.80 8.00 6.00 8.00 Groundnuts (sack/fed) 14.00 15.50 16.90 11.30 22.00 11.00 20.00 12.30 25.00 28.00 25.00 28.00 30.00 30.00 32.00 25.00 Furthermore, according to a recent report of Forest National Corporation, the Mesquite trees cover about 27.7% of all-agricultural area in New Halfa Agricultural Production Corporation equal to 108242 feddan. The trees, which also, cover about 1200 km from the total water-channels extension (4082 km), handicap the flow of water necessary for cultivation. In addition, Mesquite tree excludes vast areas from agricultural operations, depriving its tenants from benefiting from these areas. Also, as a result of presence of Mesquite trees costs of the agricultural operation increased to nearly 90% in some spots. In areas covered by Mesquite trees, caterpillar tracks are used instead of light tracks thus prolonging the phase of land preparation in agriculture from 25-38 days to 60-95 days in the summer season (Maher, 2001). All of the above mentioned effects lead to increasing in the cost of agricultural production and hence a reduction of net incomes. This study try to investigate that the presence and spread of Mesquite trees in the area is considered as one of the main reasons behind the deterioration of profit experienced by tenants in NHAPC, which has been reflected, by the high production cost and the productivity fluctuation. 1.3 Objectives of the Study The study is conducted to investigate the effects of Mesquite trees on farm profit in the NHAPC. More specifically, it aims: 1. To identity the economic uses of Mesquite trees on the living conditions of the people in NHAPC 2. To measure how Mesquite trees are affecting tenant's profit from Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts. 3. To valuate the extra cost of land preparation for cultivation of Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts, as a resulting from spread of Mesquite trees. 1.4 Hypothesis Mainly, this research study aimed to test the following hypothesis: The low tenant's profit is affected mainly by the low productivity of land as well as increasing of production costs which resulted from spread of Mesquite trees in the NHAPC. 1.5 Methodology This research study employed both primary and secondary data, which were collected from their respective sources. The primary data collected from the tenants of the NHAPC by using questionnaire. Regarding the secondary data, the NHAPC and Forestry Corporation records have been the main sources. 1.5.1 Sampling Technique Random stratification technique was used. According to available information about Mesquite density distribution in the NHAPC. The stratification technique adopted by dividing the study area into two strata; high Mesquite density stratum and low Mesquite density stratum(NHAPC record), from each stratum random sample was selected as shown in table (1.3) below. Table (1.3): The Selected Divisions and Sub-Divisions in (NHAPC) Project. Type of Mesquite Density Division Selected Sub-division Debira High Low High 1. 2. 1. 2. 1. 2. 1. 2. 1. 2. 10 Sheikh Omer Saserabe Demiat Low Elsedira Total 1.5.2 Sample Size 5 Faras Hajir Argin Abu Najma El-Madina Degeim El-Shebake El-Alow Um Rahow Um Gargor Sample Size 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 100 The sample size will be determined according to the degree of precision aimed at in form of available resources such as cost and time. The sample size was determined according to Bhattacharya and Johnson (1977) the following formula will be used. n= ΚV D Where: n = Sample size. K = Z value (the normal deviation at 0.9 probability), which was found to be 1.645. V = The estimated standard deviation of income, which was assumed to be 3 (Ali, 2001). D = The magnitude of the difference to be selected (0.05). n= 1.645 ×3 0.05 = 98.7 ≈ 100 1.5.3 Method of Data Analysis Descriptive statistics include mean, frequencies, percentage, and standard deviation. Chi-square test, cross-tab and Ordinary Least Square (OLS), these methods were used to investigate the main factors affecting respondent's profit. 1.9 Organization of the Study The layout of this research is as following: chapter one presents the introduction, problem statement, objectives of the study, hypothesis, methodology and the organization of the study. Chapter two shows the literature review about the origin of Mesquite tree characteristics and effects. In chapter three we presented the general features of the area and Mesquite tree. The results and discussion were presented in chapter four. Finally, chapter five is about the summary, conclusions & recommendations of the study. CHAPTER TWO Literature Review 2.1 Mesquite Tree Botanically, Mesquite tree follows to the family of Mimosaceae and known by the latin name of Prosopis juliflora and Common names Mesquite, honey locust, ironwood, algaroba, honeypod, ablarroba, honey Mesquite, Texas ironwood. Tree height averaged between 20 and 40 feet. The tree weight on average about 50 pounds per cubic foot. Perino et al (2000). 2.1.1 Mesquite Nature and Classification Wunder (1966) reported that botanical specimens of the species, which has always been known in the Sudan as Prosopis Julifora. Abdel Bari (1986) stated that, the genus Prosopis comprises about 44 species mainly of American and a few of Asian and African distribution in arid and semi-arid areas of North and South Africa. JO (1998) revealed that Mesquite tree is a hardwood that grows naturally in North and South America and was introduced in Australia and South Africa in the 1940s. Its range in the United States is from the low deserts of California, southern Nevada and southwestern Utah, to Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Louisiana. It was also introduced to the Hawaiian Islands. Mesquite also grows naturally in Mexico and Jamaica and extends south from Central America to Venezuela. It was exported from Chile, Peru, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay. “The wood grows well on both sides of the equator,” explained Perino. “It was introduced in South Africa and Australia in the 1940s as a source of fodder for cattle. No one realized how quickly it would propagate and how hard it would be to manage”. Mesquite grows well in dry climates. It needs little water and its long roots will burrow deeply in the ground to obtain the moisture it needs. Mesquite varies from low and thorny shrubs to taller trees. The trees that get enough moisture are capable of growing to heights of 50 to 60 feet with trunks as wide as 3 feet. Kerry (1997) cited, “Texas Honey Mesquite will grow as a multibranched tree or shrub, and can be pruned into a lovely shade tree. It is a dense wood tree, and will grow slowly at the beginning. Once the tree becomes established, however, it will grow more quickly, up to 2 feet per year, it can grow to about 30 feet. If you prefer a hedge or screen, you can plant several Mesquite plants in a staggered row, and let them grow without pruning. You will have a substantial visual or physical barrier for your garden within a short period of time. The thorns on the branches make this plant an effective physical barrier”. Another attractive feature of this plant is its extreme heat and drought tolerance. It has deep roots, so that it can withstand extended periods of drought without extra water. The Texas Honey Mesquite is also one of the last desert plants to put on leaf growth after winter. Some locals claim that they know when they are free from danger of frost when the Texas Honey Mesquite has begun to put out leaves. The tree itself is cold hardy to 10 degrees. Frost damage may occur at zero degree, but the tree will survive. The fact that this tree is deciduous, that it looses its leaves in the winter, makes it a great tree choice for homes that benefit from solar gain in the winter. John (2000) reported that Mesquite (Prosopis spp.) is a thorny shrub or small tree that usually grows to about 3 meters but can reach 15 meters. Trees can appear rather untidy, with zigzag shaped branches. Leaves are fernlike and vary in shape depending on the species. Foliage is usually dark green but can be blue green. Small greenish-cream “lambs’ tails” flowers grow near ends of branches in wattle like spikes. Seedpods are 10-20cm long, with slight constrictions between the seeds. Each pod contains 5-20 hard seeds. Spines range in size from 4-75mm long and contribute to form impenetrable barriers. Mesquite possesses characteristics that makes it very competitive, including rapid germination of seedlings under a wide range of conditions, rapid vertical penetration of tap roots and long shallow lateral roots, an ability to resprout from dormant stem buds following injury, drought resistance, spines, readily dispersed hard-coated seed, long seed dormancy and high fecundity. Mesquite generally produces a single crop of seeds per season. Numbers recorded overseas include 630,000-980,000 seeds/tree/year. 2.1.2 Mesquite Spread Elsidig, et al. (1998), said that the nature of Mesquite stand spread is indicated by successive aerial photographs taken 1962, 1978 and 1992 along river Gash. These photos were supplemented by a complete survey of Mesquite forest along river Gash using the GPS technique early 1996. Table (2-1) shows the spread of Mesquite along river Gash . Table (2-1): Mesquite Spread Along River Gash 1962-1996 Year Method of Survey Area Feddan Hectare 1962 175.00 70.00 Aerial photo 1962 1978 750.00 315.00 Aerial photo 1978 1992 10900.00 4578.00 Aerial photo 1992 1996 15500.00 6510.00 GPS survey 1996 Resource: Sudanese Social Forestry Society Ballal (1988) mentioned that, availability of pods as fodder will ensure that, regeneration and spread of the species is more likely to happen through seeds disseminated in the animals’ droppings. About 5% of the seeds in the pods, when eaten by the goats, are not digested. During the drought periods that prevailed throughout the seventies and eighties in the Sudan, and due to the scarcity of forage, Mesquite was the only option on which livestock was entirely dependent. 2.2 Environmental Characteristics of Mesquite Elfadl (1977) found that, Mesquite trees reduced wind speed appreciably, by an average of 14.4%. The average daily potential evaporation was recorded outside the plantation was 9.4 mm while that inside the plantation was 7.3 mm Potential evaporation was reduced by 22% due to the effect of the trees. Also, he said that particle-size analysis of the soil under the Mesquite canopy showed considerable improvement in texture, followed by an increase of 75% in clay content; the organic matter in the soil under the canopy also increased significantly to 3.5 kg per year. In addition, total nitrogen increased by 11% and available phosphorus by 22%. Wunder (1966) assessed the environmental benefits of Mesquite plantation at kilo 10 towards South of Khartoum airport. The amount of sand accumulated in the plantation was based on the following figures:- Total width of plantation 450m - Total length 140m Mean height of sand layer was 0.8m and 16.8 truck loads of sand were carried away from this plantation. According to Hughes and Styles (1987) Mesquite exhibits considerable tolerances to environmental extremes of heat. In arid zones Mesquite trees provide an important insurance policy against drought years, through protection of soil cover and amelioration of environmental extremes of wind, insulation against temperature and water run off as well as production of a wide range of basic woody for rural people and many minor products such as gums, bee forage and dry season fodder for livestock. El Hassan (1997) reported that the Sudanese government and environmentalists are divided over what to do with Mesquite trees which were introduced to halt desert encroachment but have turned into a liability. He said that the Sudanese government in 1996 passed a law to have the Mesquite trees eradicated throughout the country. Justifying the new law, the country's Minister of Agriculture declared, "the effect of Mesquites on the environment and natural resources is more dangerous than that of drought." The Executive Director of the Sudanese Environment Conservation Society, described the government war on Mesquites as "an over reaction." He suggested the trees should be controlled instead of being eradicated. "Without the Mesquite roots, rain water will not infiltrate into the clay soil and will be lost through evaporation," he said. 2.3 2.3.1 Mesquite Uses Mesquite as Fuel: Elsidig et al.(1998), on their study based on household questionnaire, officials interviewing, aerial photograph and ground survey, used sample size 10% of people which was selected randomly in each village. The study showed that fire wood is the main fuel used in the household in Kassala State, with exception of New Halfa Agricultural Production Corporation, where people depend on agricultural wastes as substitute for fire wood. Also they reported that the major benefits, of Mesquite trees is to provide wood fuels for cooking and use in traditional industries, provision of fodder to livestock, use in building and construction and protection against desert encroachment (table 2-2). Table (2-2) Use for Mesquite in the Household: Kassala State Category Percentage of population who use Mesquite Construction Furniture Nutrition Other Gash river 55.00 45.00 22.00 0.00 Karab area 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 New Halfa 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Gash Delta 16.00 3.00 28.00 4.00 Source: Sudanese Social Forestry Society Charcoal is made by people for their own use in small quantities for commercial purposes. On the average for all area in Kassala State the total percent of population who made charcoal did not exceeding 13%. The share of Mesquite in charcoal making is highly significant. For the tenant's in New Halfa Agricultural Production Corporation who are more suffering from Mesquite invasion to their agricultural land, the tree cost them much time and money. Moreover, the ability to establish easily is an advantage for firewood collectors, who can find Mesquite on even the poorest of sites. 2.3.2 Mesquite as Fodder: Abdel Gabar (1986) reported, that the seeds had the highest protein content (32.5%) followed by leaves (14.8) while Mesquite whole pods had the least protein content. The relatively high protein content of the seeds makes them useful as protein supplement to poor grass. Also he conducted comparative feeding on Goats and Sheep using whole pods of Mesquite and also crushed pods supplemented with molass and karkade. He concluded that death of sheep and goats fed on crushed Mesquite, occurred during 12 and 13 weeks. He further explained the deaths to be attributed to the excessive accumulation of improperly digested Mesquite pods which favored the proliferation of bacteria leading to the production of lactic acid in excessive amounts. NFTA (1995), showed that in the semi-arid regions of north- western Argentina and northern Chile, the pods but not the leaves of the Mesquite trees are readily eaten by domestic livestock. Pods are high in sugar (about 35%) and contain 1012% crude protein. Seeds are sometimes ground into a concentrate for animal feed. Also, the pods of Mesquite trees are eaten by native peoples, especially as ground flour. 2.3.3 Mesquite as Commodity: Elsidig et al. (1998) reported that the activity of selling and purchasing of the Mesquite wood is practiced in the area along river Gash and south of Kassala town with exception of the New Halfa Agricultural Production Corporation. Norman et al. (2001), in a workshop attended by representatives from its natural range (Texas, Mexico, Peru, Argentina), delegates from international and national development and donor agencies attended together with representatives from a number of NGO's and industries working with Mesquite trees. On the commercial front: there are examples of private businesses based on Mesquite wood products including furniture and flooring, fuel wood, charcoal and also food and fodder products are marketed in Brazil, Haiti and Peru. Perino et al (2000) emphasized that commitment would be found to developing alternative for the landowners considering transforming their Mesquite forests into pasture or agricultural fields. If the values inherent in the tree, i.e., beans for food, wood for lumber and extract for medicinal use were recognized and diligently nurtured, it would follow they could profit as much from Mesquite as from cattle. They are not against agriculture or the cattle industries. It is the devastation of an established and intrinsically valuable forest and habitat they aim to reduce. Thriving and properly managed Mesquite forests have the potential of providing so much more for generations to come than a short term profit derived from its destruction. Moreover, establishing a commercial value for Mesquite through the development of Mesquite products and markets is their primary task. They have consulted for land owners and producers and purchased Mesquite from Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, Hawaii, Africa, and Argentina. And as they demonstrate economic viability of products derived from this tree, they contribute to the motive for implementing new forestry practices that will benefit land owners as well as the environment. 2.4 The Negative Effects of Mesquite Pasiecznik (1999) said invading Mesquite tends to form dense, impenetrable thickets. In pastures, it reduces grass cover and stocking density, threatening ranchers’ livehoods, even forcing the migration of traditional pastoralists. Invasions into agricultural land, along irrigation channels and water courses, are also a major problem. The trees are believed to deplete groundwater reserves and to reduce the growth of neighboring crops. Although the trees have many competitive ecological advantages over other plants, the seedlings are sensitive. They often colonize disturbed, eroded, over-grazed or drought-ridden land associated with unsustainable agronomic practices, such as following the introduction of cattle ranching in the Americas. Millions of hectares of rangeland have been invaded in this century, and the process is still occurring in South Africa, Australia and coastal Asia, where Mesquite species have been introduced. Also he stated that Mesquite trees are not voracious water users. Research on allelopmorph effects shows decreased seed germination and seedling growth, with negative effects apparently due to shade and root competition. However, there are many conflicting reports of plants being lusher and growing quicker under Mesquite canopies. Increased nematode populations near Mesquite are unconfirmed. Deaths from thorn pricks have been explained by secondary infection, although stout thorns certainly penetrate most shoes and are likely to cause injury. Where Mesquite is the most common trees, the pollen has been recorded as a major allergen. Elsidig et al. (1998) reported that the negative impacts of Mesquite are to increase cost of land preparation for agricultural production; deterioration of range land; reduces productivity of land, adverse effect in the pastoral environment in general and negative impact on biodiversity. 2.5 Mesquite Problems on Agricultural Lands Quits (1995) stated that "Mesquite is found almost everywhere in the Gash delta. It spreads rapidly, causing many problems in the agricultural bush land, where fallow land is invaded quickly". As a result of the rotating land tenure system in Gash Delta Scheme, farmers are not encouraged to clear their land after harvest; the farmers open their land for animals that spread the seeds. These seeds, therefore, would be the starting points for the invasion of Mesquite in the region. Irrigation Engineers and schemes owners and schemes managers reported many troubles created by Mesquite trees through its invasion to, the irrigation canals, causing canal leaking dredging and expensive maintenance operations. Norman et al. (2001) cited that Mesquite can be a harmful weed in the fertile irrigated agricultural lands, and is likely to get completely out of control and the end claiming the land. It created many problems to people by causing punctures on bicycles cars, tractors, trucks and hinders of freedom of movement especially in the agricultural scheme. Pasiecznik (1999), Mesquite with deep tap roots to keep trees green during droughts by accessing the water table, and lateral roots to draw on surface water during the rains and hence deprive other trees from water. Leaf adaptations reduce water loss, as expected in desert plants. Pot studies do not reflect actual water use in the field, and re-appearance of streams after land clearance has been explained by increased soil permeability following stump removal. John (2000) Mesquites are one of Northern Australia’s worst weeds. They are a group of thorny shrubs and trees that aggressively replace grasslands and thorn less shrub land. Most impacts are in pastoral and extensive grazing regions. Current infestations cover 800,000 hectares. Most of the arid to sub humid tropical areas of Australia are however climatically suitable for Mesquite, particularly along watercourses and floodplains, although it may also grow on uplands and poses a threat to all areas with agricultural and conservation value. 2.6 Mesquite and Agricultural Productivity Ibrahim (1992) reported that the Mesquite tree improve the physical and chemical characteristics of land. Mesquite is (Mimosoideae) then it improves the fertility of the soil around and under it. It happens by fixing the Ozot through a cooperative life between the Mesquite and soil bacteria. According to Lanino (1966) Mesquite tree improve the physical level of land. The content of Phosphor on leafs and fruits are 0.91% and 1.44% respectively. When they fall on earth these chemicals elements are added to the soil. Maher et al, (March 2001) mentioned that the Mesquite is deforming the kind of agricultural, because the areas in which there were high density of Mesquite were require long periods of land preparation, This affecting on productivity. Martin et al (1952) studied Mesquite tree in South Arizona, and demonstrated that, Mesquite tree had negative effect upon the water content, the effect is deep up to 30-45cm. 2.7 Mesquite Management John (2000) reported that, Mesquite can be removed by aerial spraying, pulled up mechanically or treated chemically from the ground. About 62 percent is treated from the air, 30 percent is removed mechanically, and the rest is chemically treated on the ground. Pasiecznik (1999), for over fifty years, ranchers in south-western USA and Argentina tried every possible technique to eradicate or control Mesquite. The end result millions of dollars were spent and still no cost effective programme found. In Sudan, the eradication programme includes even training children to uproot seedlings. In South Africa and Australia, amongst others, eradication or control programmes exist, and new methods of biological control using seed-eating beetles are being attempted. Also, Pasiecznik said some change in land-use systems appears necessary. For example Cattle spread seed widely, whereas sheep kill most seed digested and pigs kill them all. A reduction in stocking rates can encourage good grass cover, which prevents seedling establishment. But what to do with dense stands? They must be thinned, which is not a desirable job, to 100-200 stems per hectare. Stumps have to be removed or treated. Remaining trees must be pruned to single stems. Seedlings do not establish under tree canopies, so such a cover will prevent further establishment. Pruned crowns reduce root competition and grass growth will improve. With the production of fuelwood, sweet pods and straight trunks for timber, this can only be a profitable use of otherwise unproductive lands. Markets are developing around the world, as consumers become aware of the high quality of Mesquite timber, fuel, pod flour, animal feed, honey and gums. The species are over-exploited in their native range Americas, where Mesquite is well-liked and well-used for furniture, food, feed and a source of raw materials for industry. However, where introduced, such local knowledge has not followed, and Mesquite remains a neglected, unrespected weed. 2.8 Socio-economic Measures 2.8.1 Age: El-khider (1988) argued that farmers net income negatively related to farmer age and the younger educated farmers scored a high yields. This was also supported by Abdellrahim (1994) in his study of Kabkabia Small Holder Project, where he found that farmers' age has negative effect on project participations. And this consistent with the adoption theory that young farmer tends to be more innovative. Also Marshal (1967) found that income was negatively correlated with age, younger farmers tend to have higher incomes than older ones. 2.8.2 Education Level: Ali (1990), found a negative relationship between Cotton yield and tenant level of education, he attributed this to the fact that farmer with higher level of education were observed to be engaged in activities other than farming”. El-Hadari (1968) reported that illiterate farmers were found to be reluctant to adopt any techniques and are still using primitive tools and adopt the traditional agricultural practices of their ancestors. 2.8.1 Family Size: Abu-mihgan (1984) argued that small farmer's families participate in the decision-making process and provision of labour for different agricultural operations in the farm, also the larger the family size the more income is needed to meet the consumption needs of its members. For this reason the size of the family is very important and concluded that “it seems that there is a positive relationship between income and number of family members up to a certain level (5-7) after which the relationship becomes negative”. CHAPTER THREE General Features of the Area and Mesquite Tree 3.1 Socio-economic Characteristics of the Respondents: 3.1.1 Age of Respondents: Table (3-1), shows that 25% of the respondents were within the age group (20-39) years, which indicate that the younger's not preferred the agriculture and they engage in other sectors. In addition there were 33% of the respondents within the age group of (40-49) years and 42% of the respondents their age above the 50 years old. Table (3-1) Age by Group of Respondents in NHAPC Age by group Frequency Percent 20-29 4 4 30-39 21 21 40-49 33 33 50-59 23 24 60-69 18 18 Total 100 100 Source: field survey (2003) 3.1.2 Education level of Respondents: Table (3-2) revealed that 71% of the respondents have some sort of education while 29% were illiterate. From the 71% of educated respondent; 7% had informal education (khalwa), 19% had basic education while 41% with secondary education and only 4% with university level of education. However, the results obtained were consistent with what was mentioned by Ali with respect to Cotton and wheat (table 33). Table (3-2) Education level of the Respondents in NHAPC Education Level Frequency Percent Illiterate 29 29 Khalwa 7 7 Primary 19 19 Secondary 41 41 University 4 4 100 100 Total Source: field survey (2003) Education level Crops productivity Cotton kantar/fed Wheat Dura Ground. Sack/fed sack/fed Sack/fed. Illiterate 2.52 4.89 7.81 24.97 Khalwa 1.86 6.14 9.43 19.00 Primary 1.89 3.07 7.32 17.47 Secondary 1.83 3.83 7.34 18.43 University 1.75 3.75 12.25 24.00 Table (3-3) Education level and Productivity of the Respondents in NHAPC Source: field survey (2003) 3.1.3 Family size of Respondents: Table (3-4) showed that the majority of respondents with family size 3-6 persons (55%), while 42% with family of 7-10 persons and only 3% with family size 11-14 persons. Table (3-4): Family Size of the Respondents in NHAPC Number of family size Frequency Percent 3-6 55 55 7-10 42 42 11-14 3 3 Total 100 100 Source: field survey (2003) With respect to the impact of family labour on agricultural productivity table (3-5) indicate that the result achieved was consistent with what was reported by Abumihgan with respect to the food crops (Wheat and Dura). Table (3-5): The Impact of Family Labor on Agricultural Productivity Crops productivity No. of family labor on the field Cotton Wheat Dura Ground Kantar/fed Sack/fed Sack/fed Sack/fed Less than2 1.94 4.06 7.99 18.62 2-4 2.15 4.33 7.44 22.13 5-7 1.83 5.5 8.5 22.83 2.67 5 8.33 24.33 More than 7 Source: field survey (2003) 3.1.4 Marital status of Respondents: With respect to marital status, table (3-6) showed that the majority of the respondents were married (84%), while 15% were bachelors and only one percent was widowed, which reflect that this society was a good base of social settlement that encourage the process of development in the area. Table (3-6): The Marital Status of the Respondents in NHAPC Marital status Frequency Percent Bachelors 15 15 Married 84 84 Widowed 1 1 100 100 Total Source: field survey (2003) 3.1.5 Occupations Other Than Farming: Table (3-7) revealed that animal breeding is the second main economic activity after farming, (34% of the respondents). Other occupations were; labours 19%, officers 15%, merchants 6% and others about 4% of the respondents. Table (3-7): Other Occupations of the Respondents in NHAPC Other occupation Frequency Percent Labour 19 19 Animal breading 34 34 Officer 15 15 Merchants 6 6 Without 22 22 Other 4 4 Total 100 100 Source: field survey (2003) 3.1.6 Livestock Ownership: As the livestock was the second main economic activity, 74% of the respondents reported that they own some livestock (table 3-8); while only 46% rear the livestock for commercial purposes Table (3-8) Livestock Ownership of the Respondents in NHAPC Livestock owned Frequency Percent With live stock 74 74 Without live stock 26 26 Total 100 100 Source: field survey (2003) 3.2 Mesquite Uses 3.2.1 The Usefulness of Mesquite Trees: In table (3-9) which showed the usefulness of Mesquite tree for the respondents, more than half of them reported that the Mesquite tree were not useful for them while 46% reported they were useful for them Table (3-9): Useful of Mesquite of the Respondents in NHAPC Mesquite Uses Frequency Percent Useful 46 46 Not useful 54 54 Total 100 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) 3.2.2 The Uses of Mesquite Tree: With regard to the type of the use of Mesquite tree table (3-10) showed that 41% of the respondents used Mesquite tree as a fodder, while 30% of them used it as a charcoal and 28% of them used it as firewood. Table (3-10) Type Useful of Mesquite Tree of the Respondents in NHAPC The type of usefulness Frequency Percent Fire wood 13 28.3 Charcoal 14 30.4 Fodder 19 41.3 Total 46 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) Among the respondents who used the Mesquite trees as charcoal, 57% of respondents reported that they produce the charcoal for personal utilization while 43% produce charcoal for commercial purposes, as shown in table (3-11). Table (3-11): The Purposes of Charcoal of the Respondents in NHAPC The charcoal Frequency Percent purpose Personally 8 57.2 Market 6 42.8 Total 14 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) 3.2.3 The Degree of Dependency on Mesquite Tree as a fodder: With regard to the uses of Mesquite trees as fodder, as shown in table (3-12), 79% of the users reported that they depend lightly on Mesquite tree as a fodder, 10% reported that their dependence is under-moderate on Mesquite tree as fodder, and 10% of the users reported that they depend semi-full on Mesquite trees as fodder. This result indicates that none of the respondents fully dependent on Mesquite trees as fodder. Moreover, all of the respondents who used Mesquite as fodder reported that they obtain it through the grazing, which contribute on the diffusion of the Mesquite tree via its seeds. Table (3-12): The Degree of Dependency of the Respondents in NHAPC Degree of Dependency on Frequency Percent Mesquite tree Semi-dependent 2 10.5 Under-moderate 2 10.5 Lightly dependent 15 79.0 Total 19 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) 3.3 The Effects of Mesquite Tree on Agriculture 3.3.1 The Effects of Mesquite on Productivity: With respect to the effects of Mesquite on agricultural productivity table (313) showed that 86% of the respondents reported that Mesquite had negative effects on agricultural productivity, the majority of them on the high density area, while only 13% said that the Mesquite had a positive effects, most of them from the low density area and only 1% said there was no effect of Mesquite on the agricultural productivity. The chi-square test for the relation between the Mesquite density and the productivity showed that there was significant relation between the two variables and the correlation result revealed that there was a strong negative relation-ship between the productivity and the Mesquite density (-0.83) which indicate that as the Mesquite density increases the productivity will decrease. Table (3-13): The Effect of Mesquite on Productivity in NHAPC Mesquite density The effects of Mesquite on productivity Higher Total Lower % density% density% Negative 48.0 38.0 86.0 Positive 1.0 12.0 13.0 No effects 1.0 - 1.0 Total 50.0 50.0 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) Value of chi-square 11.47 value of correlation -0.83 sig. of chi-square 0.003 sig. correlation 0.005 This result was consistent with what was reported by Maher et. al. and Martin. Moreover, table (3-14) showed that the productivity of all crops increased as the density of Mesquite decreased, which reflect clearly the negative relationship between Mesquite density and the productivity. Table (3-14): The Effect of Mesquite Density on Crop Productivity Mesquite Density Crops productivity Cotton Wheat Dura Groundnut Kantar/fed Sack/fed. Sack/fed. sack/fed. High 3.65 3.65 6.80 15.15 Low 5.71 4.67 7.43 21.09 Source: field survey (2003) 3.3.2 The Effects of Mesquite on the Cost of Production: Table (3-15) revealed that the majority of the respondents 86% reported that Mesquite has increased the cost of production (48% in the higher density area and 38% in low density area) .While the remaining percentage of the respondents 14% reported that Mesquite density decreased the cost of production (12% in the low density area and 2% from the high density area). Moreover, as shown in table (3-16) 84% of the respondents reported that the Mesquite lead to large increase in the cost of production (49% of them form the high density area and 35% from the low density area), while 16% of them reported a medium increase in the cost of production (9% from the low density and 7% from high density area). According to significance of chi-square (0.004) test, a direct relationship has been found between costs of production and Mesquite density, that as the Mesquite density is in a high level of Mesquite density the average cost of production reached SD 63311.04 per feddan, whereas the average cost of production was SD 53236.06 per feddan when the Mesquite density is low with increasing rate of about 18.93%. Table (3-15): The Effect of Mesquite on Cost of Production in NHAPC The effects of Mesquite density Total Mesquite on cost Higher Lower of production density% density% Increase the cost Decrease the cost Total 48.0 38.0 86.0 2.0 12.0 14.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) Value of chi-square 3.306 sig. of chi-square 0.004 Table (3-16): The Size of the Effect of Mesquite on Cost of Production in NHAPC If it increased, the size Frequency Percent Large 72 83.7 Medium 14 16.3 Total 86 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) 3.3.3 The Effect of Mesquite on Farm Income: Also, opposite relationship between farm income and Mesquite density has been found as shown in table (3-17). The average farm income is SD 146282 per feddan when the density was low, and SD 103543 per feddan at the high density area. Table (3-17) the Effects of Mesquite Density on Farm Income Mesquite density Farm income SD/feddan Low density 146282 High density 103543 Source: field survey (2003) 3.4 Mesquite Management: 3.4.1 The Tools of Control: Table (3-18) showed that the majority of the respondents (97%) revealed that they control the Mesquite trees manually and 2% used mechanical tool while only one percent used chemical to control these trees. Table (3-18): The Tools of Control The tools of control Total% Mesquite density Higher Density% Lower density% Manual 48.0 49.0 97.0 Mechanical 1.0 1.0 2.0 Chemical 1.0 - 1.0 Total 50.0 50.0 100.0 Source: field survey (2003) 3.4.2 The Role of Extension on Mesquite Control: Table (3-19) indicates the absence of extension services on controlling the Mesquite tree, reported by a considerable number of respondents 59%, (36% from the lower density and 23% from the higher density area). However, 41% of the respondents reported that there was extension role on the controlling the Mesquite tree (27% of them from high density area and 14% from low density area). There is a significant relation between the tow variables as shown in table (3-19). Table (3-19): The Role of Extension on Mesquite Control Extension role to solve Mesquite problem Mesquite density Higher density% Lower density% Total% Yes 27.0 14.0 41.0 No 23.0 36.0 59.0 Total 50.0 50.0 Source: field survey (2003) Value of chi-square 6.986 sig. of chi-square 0.008 100.0 CHAPT ER FOUR Econometric Analysis 4.1 Multiple Linear Regressions Multi linear regression treats the regression of (Y) on two or more (Xs) are available to give additional information by means of a multiple regression on the (Xs). We consider Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), in which the regression is linear in the (Xs). (Pindyck and Robin, 1987). There is a certain assumption that underlay the variables of the model: 1- The relationship between the dependent variable and the explanatory variables is linear. 2- The error term (e) is sampling error. It has zero expected value or mean and constant variance for all observations. 3- The random variables are uncorrelated in statistical sense; errors corresponding to different observation have zero correlation. 4- The error term is normally distributed the error term is called homoscedastic, if it assumes the constant variance as stated above. On the other hand it is called heteroscedastic if the variance is not constant. 5- Error terms are independent from each other through time. These means that all the covariance of any (e) with any other (e) are equal to zero. In other word the value of the random term in any period does not depend on its value in other period. 6- Explanatory variables are themselves uncorrelated. 4.2 Econometrics Model Specification This research study used the ordinary least square (OLS) method in order to assess the impact of Mesquite tree of the farm’s profit in the (NHAPC). Four equations have been specified for four crops as in the follows general equation: Π = ∫ (Χ1 , Χ 2 , Χ 3 , Χ 4 , Χ 5 , Χ 6 ) …………………….4.1 The mathematical form of the model is: Π =β0+β1 Χ 1 +β2 Χ 2 +β3 Χ3 +β4 Χ 4 +β5 Χ5 +β6 Χ 6 ……………………..4.2 Where: Π Farm’s profit SD per feddan; β0….Β6 Coefficients Χ1 Crop productivity (Cotton- kantar/fed., Wheat, Dura & Groundnut sack/fed.) Χ2 Agricultural operation cost of agricultural crops SD per feddan; Χ3 Irrigation cost of agricultural crops SD per feddan; Χ4 Labor operating cost of agricultural crops SD per feddan; Χ5 Harvesting cost of agricultural crops SD per feddan; and Χ6 Mesquite density. (Dummy variable) Elasticity = ∆ Π % ⁄ ∆Xi% 4.2.1 The R-squared: R-squared is the coefficient of determination is the percentage variation in the dependent variable explained by the regression portion of the equation. It expresses how much of the variation in the dependent is explained by the independent variables in the regression equation. Computer packages calculate the R-square automatically. 4.2.2 The T-test: The T-test is related to the individual coefficient in the regression model. They are used to test whether each individual coefficient is significantly different from zero or not i.e. whether if there is any relationship at all. The T-value is calculated by division of regression coefficient of any variable by its standard error. 4.2.3 The F-test: The F-test is the same as the T-test, but rather than testing the individual coefficient, it test the whole regression model whether the equation hold or not. The null hypothesis here assumes that all regression coefficients are simultaneously equal zero. 4.2.4 Durbin – Watson Statistic: Pearce (1986), reveals that a statistical which diagnoses the problem of serial correlation of error term in regression. A value of around 2.00 usually indicates there is no problem. Through the actual ideal value varies with the number of estimated parameters and the number of observations. 4.3 Results of Regression: 4.3.1 Cotton Regression Equation: Equation (4.3) shows the result of Cotton regression equation. The f-test of Cotton equation is highly significant (0.000) indicating that the model is highly significant in explaining the variations in the Cotton profit. The t-tests of the equation variables are highly significant. Which indicate that all the variables have significant effect on the farm profit (table 4.1) Π = 1037.1 + 592.4Χ 1 − Χ 2 − 0.8Χ 3 − 1.1Χ 4 − 0.9 Χ 5 − 105.7 Χ 6 ……………..4.3 Table (4-1) Cotton Regression Model in (NHAPC) Variables Coefficients t. values Sig. Constant 1037.1 2.8 0.007 Cotton productivity 592.4 10.2 0.000 Agri. Operation cost of Cotton -1.0 - 19.8 0.000 Irrigation cost of Cotton -0.8 - 4.5 0.000 Labor Operation cost of Cotton -1.1 - 27.4 0.000 Harvesting cost of Cotton -0.9 - 20.5 0.000 Mesquite density -105.7 - 3.6 0.000 R-square = 0.90 Adjusted R-square = 0.89 Sig F value = 0.000 D-W = 1.9 4.3.2 Wheat Regression Equation: Equation (4.4) shows the result of Wheat regression equation where harvesting cost was not included in the model. The f-test of Wheat equation is highly significant (0.000) indicating that the model is highly significant in explaining the variations in the Wheat profit. The t-tests of the Wheat equation is highly significant at (0.000) for Wheat productivity and agricultural operation cost variables, at (0.003) for Mesquite density, at (0.026) for irrigation cost and not significant for labor operation cost. The results indicate that the labor operation cost variable is the only variable that has no significant effect on the farm profit (table 4.2). Π = 505.2 + 470.2Χ 1 − 1.2Χ 2 − 5.1Χ 3 − 110.4Χ 6 ………………4.4 Table (4-2) Wheat Regression Model in (NHAPC) Variables Coefficients t. values Sig. Constant 505.2 1.2 0.023 Wheat productivity 470.2 6.1 0.000 Agri. Operation cost of Wheat - 1.2 - 5.7 0.000 Irrigation cost of Wheat - 5.1 2.2 0.026 Labor Operation cost of Wheat 0.6 0.8 0.44 - 110.4 - 3.1 0.003 Mesquite density R-square = 0.71 Sig F value = 0.000 Adjusted R-square = 0.6 D-W = 2.0 4.3.3 Dura Regression Equation: Equation (4.5) shows the result of Dura regression equation. The f-test of Dura model is highly significant (0.000), indicating that the model is highly significant in explaining the variations in the Dura profit. The t-tests of Dura equation is highly significant (0.000) for Dura productivity, irrigation cost, labor operation cost and harvesting cost variables, at (0.044) for Mesquite density and not significant for agricultural operation cost. The result indicates that the agricultural operation cost variable has no significant effect on the farm profit can be explained by the fact that Dura production depend mainly on manual labor (table 4.3). Π = 1297.2 + 373.4Χ 1 − 1.1Χ 3 − 1.4Χ 4 − 1.1Χ 5 − 245.0Χ 6 …………4.5 Table (4-3) Dura Regression Model in (NHAPC) Variables Coefficients t. values Sig. Constant 1297.2 6.7 0.000 Dura productivity 373.4 16.9 0.000 Agri. Operation cost of Dura 0.4 0.9 0.334 Irrigation cost of Dura - 1.1 - 5.5 0.000 Labor Operation cost of Dura - 1.4 - 8.7 0.000 Harvesting cost of Dura - 1.1 - 4.0 0.000 - 245.0 - 2.0 0.044 Mesquite density R-square = 0.953 Sig F value = 0.000 4.3.4 Groundnuts Regression Equation: Adjusted R square = 0.950 D-W = 1.9 Equation (4.6) shows the result of Groundnuts regression equation. The f-test of Groundnuts equation which is highly significant (0.000) indicating that the model is highly significant in explaining the variations in the Groundnuts profit. The t-test of Groundnuts equation is highly significant for all variables included in the model. Which indicate that all the variables have significant effect on the farm profit (table 4.4). Π = 2218.9 + 172.9Χ 1 − 0.9Χ 2 − 3.0Χ 3 − 2.0Χ 4 − 0.7 Χ 5 − 326.5Χ 6 ……………4.6 Table (4-4) Groundnuts Regression Model in (NHAPC) Variables Coefficie t. values Sig. nts Constant 2218.9 3.6 0.000 Groundnuts productivity 172.9 8.8 0.000 Agri. Operation cost of Groundnuts - 0.9 - 7.6 0.000 Irrigation cost of Groundnuts -3.0 -3.2 0.002 Labor Operation cost of Groundnuts - 2.0 -2.7 0.007 Harvesting cost of Groundnuts -0.7 - 5.2 0.000 - 326.5 - 2.3 0.025 Mesquite density R-square = 0.72 Adjusted R-square = 0.70 Sig F value = 0.000 D-W = 1.7 4.3 Discussion of the crop regression equations The effect of each independent variable in the profit of these crops will be discussed separately; these independent variables are productivity, agricultural operation cost, irrigation cost, labor operation cost, harvesting cost and Mesquite density. 4.4.1 Productivity: As shown in tables (4.1), (4.2), (4.3) & (4.4) the productivity variables has got coefficients of 592.4, 470.2, 373.4 and 172.9 for Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts respectively. All the crops coefficients have got high level of significance (0.000) and with a positive sign mean a positive relationship with the dependent variable. The magnitude of coefficients means, with increasing the productivity variables by one percent will increase the profit by (0.39, 0.75, 0.46 and 0.28) for Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts respectively. 4.4.2 Agricultural Operation Cost: The agricultural operation cost variable has got coefficients of -1.0, -1.2, 0.4 and -0.9 for Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts as shown in tables (4.1), (4.2), (4.3) and (4.4), respectively. The crops coefficients for Cotton, Wheat, and Groundnuts has got high level of significant (0.000) and with a negative sign means a negative relationship with the dependent variable, except Dura crop which was not significant and has positive sign which indicte that the agricultural operation (use of agricultural machinery) was less utilize in case of Dura that it has no significant effect on Dura profit. The coefficients magnitude means that increasing the agricultural operation cost variables by one percent will increase the profit by 0.2 for all crops under the study. 4.4.3 Irrigation Cost: The irrigation cost variable has got coefficients equal to -0.8, -5.1, -1.1 and 3.0 for Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts, respectively. The crops coefficients was highly significant at (0.000) for Cotton and Dura (0.002) for Groundnuts and (0.026) for Wheat as shown in tables (4-1), (4-2), (4-3) and (4-4), these coefficients with negative sign means that increasing the irrigation cost variables by one percent will decrease the profit by 0.2 for all crops under the study, except the Wheat which decreased by 0.19. 4.4.4 Labor Operation Cost: The labor operation cost variable has got coefficients of -1.1, 0.6, -1.4 and 2.0 for Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts, respectively. The crops coefficients has high level of significant (0.000) for Cotton and Dura and at (0.007) for Groundnuts while the Wheat crop is not significant at any level of significance and with positive sign which indicates that the labor operation cost of Wheat has no significant affect on profit table (4-2). Tables (4-1), (4-3) and (4-4), shows these coefficients with negative sign means that with increasing the labor operation cost variables by one percent will decrease the profit by 0.2 for all crops under the study. 4.4.5 Harvesting Cost: The Harvesting cost variable has got coefficients of -09, -1.1 and -0.7 for Cotton, Dura and Groundnuts respectively. The crops coefficients has high level of significant (0.000) for all crops except Wheat crop, because the harvesting cost has not been included in the model due to the fact that harvesting cost is unified regardless to Mesquite density. According to tables (4-1), (4-2), (4-3) and (4-4), these coefficients with negative sign means that increasing the harvesting cost variables by one percent will decrease the profit by 0.2 for all crops under the study. 4.4.6 Mesquite density: The Mesquite density variable has got coefficients of -105.7, -110.4, - 245.0 and -326.5 for Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts respectively, which indicate highly significant. The negative sign of these coefficients means that increasing the Mesquite density variable by one percent will decrease the profit by 0.13, 0.07, 0.03 and 0.04 for Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts, respectively. CHAPTER FIVE SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1 Summary: This study was conducted in NHAPC, season 2002/2003. The main objective of the study was trying to investigate the effects of Mesquite trees on farm profit in the NHAPC. The specific objectives were: to identity the economic uses of Mesquite trees on the living conditions of the people in NHAPC, to measure how Mesquite trees are affecting tenant's profit from Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts, to valuate the extra cost of land preparation for cultivation of Cotton, Wheat, Dura and Groundnuts, as a resulting from spread of Mesquite trees. This study employed both primary and secondary data, primary data from field work by means of formed structural questionnaire for respondents and secondary data collected from NHAPC reports and records, Forestry Corporation recordas. The stratified random sampling technique was used for selection of the respondent tenants, according to available information about Mesquite distribution in NHAPC. Many statistical techniques have been utilized to analyze the data. Descriptive analysis used for describing socio-economic characteristic of tenants in NHAPC. The results showed that 71 percent of respondents have some sort of education, 55 percent of respondents with family size ranging between (3-6) persons while 42 percent with family size between (7-10) persons and 85 percent of the respondents were married. Animal breeding is the second main economic activity after farming as 74 percent of the respondents reported that they own some livestock. Moreover, 54 percent of the respondents reported that the Mesquite trees were un-useful. Those who reported whom said its useful they used Mesquite as fodder; charcoal and firewood. Chi-square test has been used to measure the relationship between the Mesquite density and the productivity, the result revealed that there was a strong negative relationship between productivity and the Mesquite density, the majority of the respondents (86 percent) reported that Mesquite has increased the cost of production, the average cost of production per feddan has increased to SD 53236.06 in low density area and to SD 63311.04 in higher density area. Also crop income per feddan has increased when the Mesquite density decreased to SD 103543 in higher density and to SD 146282 in lower density area. Almost all respondents (97 percent) reported that they control the Mesquite trees manually and there is no any significant relationship between density of Mesquite trees and tools of control. Considerable number of them (59 percent) reported that there was no any extension role on controlling Mesquite trees. Also it has been found that there is a significant relationship between density of Mesquite trees and existence of extension services. The regression analysis has been utilized to investigate the impact of Mesquite tree on farm profit. The regression equations showed that the productivity has a positive signifficant effect on the profit of all crops while the other variables (agricultural operation cost, irrigation cost, labor operation cost, harvesting cost) has negative signifficant effects on farm profit with exception of labor operation cost in case of Wheat and agricultural operation cost of Dura. The Mesquite density variable (dummy variable) has found to have a higher negative effect on farm profit. 5.2 Conclusions: This study revealed the following conclusions: First: According to the analysis of the regression equations the New Halfa Agricultural Production Corporation’s NHAPC tenants are facing problems from Mesquite trees density. This decreased their farm profit for all crops. Second: In NHAPC, there is a negative relationship between productivity and Mesquite density, i.e. Mesquite density increased cost of production. Third: Absence of extension services about Mesquite trees. Foourth: The control of Mesquite trees depend on manual tools only, however, chemical and mechanical tools are not used which indicates that the control progamme depend on the farmers alone without any government efforts. Fifth: Mesquite uses as fodder are not considered, because the farmers depend on agricultural waste. 5.3 Recommendations: This research study suggests the following recommendations: First: The extension services should take the responsibility of informing the tenants, about Mesquite trees. Second: Integrated economic, social, and environmental studies should be undertaken. Third: The co-ordination between NHAPC and Agricultural Research station to provide the best integrated management programme for controlling the Mesquite trees. Fourth: Improve the tools of control to become more efficient Fifth: Feasibility studies of Mesquite products processing and manufacturing should be carried out to reveal investment opportunities from the trees and combating Mesquite trees (i.e. furniture, charcoal ... etc). BIBLIOGRAPHY Abdel Bari, E (1986). The identity of the Common Mequite, Prosopis spp pamphlet No 1. Prosopis Project. Botany Department, University of Khartoum- Forestry Reseach Center- Soba. Abdel Elhafiz, A.M. (1980). Farmers contact with agricultural services. M.Sc. Thesis. Faculty of Agricultural, University of Khartoum, Sudan. Abdel Elrahim, A.H. (1994). Evaluation of the Non governmental organizations (NGOs) in food security: A case study of Kabkabiya small holders projects. M.Sc. thesis, Faculty of Agricultural, University of Khartoum, Sudan Abdel Gabar, A. Ibrahim (1986) Comparative feeding trials on Goats and Sheep, using pods of Mesquite (Prosopis chilensis, Molina, Stuntz). Prospis project supported by IDRC. Pamphlet No.3. Forestry Research Center Abu-Mihgan, A.M. (1984). The effects of some socio-economic factors on sugar cane production in Guneid sugar-cane scheme. Unpublished M.Sc. Thesis, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Khartoum, Sudan Ali, A,I. (2001) Economic of Groundnuts Production in New Halfa Agricultural Production Corporation, M.Sc. thesis, Faculty of Agricultural, University of Khartoum, Sudan. Ali, A.M. (1976). The relationship of education and other variable to net farm income, none land farm investment and desire to continue farming of small farmers in Wisconsin and North Corolina, Ph.D. Thesis, Faculty of Agricultural , University of Khartoum, Sudan. Ballal, M, Mukhtar (1988) Phonology, pod production and seed treatment of Mesquite in the Sudan. Pamphlet No 6. Prosopis Project. Forestry Reseach CenterSoba. Bhattacharya, G.k. and Johnson,R.A (1977). Statistical Concepts and Method. John Wiley and Sons, New York and London. David Perino and partner Kathryn Ehrhorn (2000) Eradication programs http://www.spMesquite.com/eradication.html El-Amin, S.E. (1996). Fctors affecting Wheat production in Rahad Scheme, M.Sc. Thesis, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Khartoum, Sudan. Elfadl, M. Ahmed (1977) Management of Prosopis Juulifora for use in Agroforestry Systems in the Sudan. Doctorate thesis- Department of Forestry Ecology, University of Helsinki El Hassan Yahya (1997) Reported. sudan.html El-Khidir, E.E. (1988). Analysis of factors contributing to net income variation among the mechanized farming in Gedaref Region. M.Sc. Thesis, Department of Rural Economy, Faculty of Agricultural, University of Khartoum, Sudan Elsidig Elnour Abdalla (1998) Socio-Economic, Environmental and Management Aspects of Mesquite in Kassala State (Sudan), Sudanese Social Forestry Society, (SSFS). FAO (1990). Agric. Eng. In developments Tillage for crop production in areas of low rainfall. FAO Agric. Services, 23. Greg Mt.Joy (2000) Fiscal and economic data, www.state.tx.us/comptrol/fnotes/fn0009/fn.html Hughes, C. E &Styles, B.T (1987) The benefits and potential risks of woody legume introduction. The international tree crops J,4: 209-248 Jo-Ann Kaiser (1998) Wood Products Magazine, Sept. http://www.spMesquite.com/articles/inroads.html John R Thorp (2000) Flower of Mesquite A mature Mesquite tree http://www.weeds.org.au/docs/msqstrat.pdf Kerry Krumrine (September 1997) Prosopis juliflora var. glandulosa or Texas Honey Mesquite http://weather.nmsu.edu/nmcrops/ornamentals/honey.html Larson, W.E. (1967). Improvement tillage parameters for evaluating tillage practices in the U.S.A. – Neth J. Agric. Science. Maher M A,et al, (March 2001) The Mesquite challenging and fact, report of Mesquite in the New Hallfa Agricultural Corporation, (in Arabic). NFTA, (1995). A quick guide to useful nitrogen fixing trees from around the world. www.winrock.org/forestry/factnet.htm Norman Jones and Christian Taupiac (2001), prosopsis workshop, World Bank, Washington DC www.UTF-8&start=10&sa=N Omer, A.B. (1986). Wheat tillage systems and sowing method experiments 1985/86 season. NHAPC. Annual Report. Pasiecznik, N. (1999), Prosopis : pest or providence, weed or wonder tree. ETFRN News 28 : 12-14.) Peearce David W (1986) The dictionary of modern economics, London and Basingstoke: Macmillan Pindyck, S and Robin Feld, D (1987) Econometric model and economic forecast, Singapore Snedecor George W, and Cochran William G, (1982) Statistical methods, the Iowa state university, press Ames Iowa U.S.A. Wunder, W, G (1966) Prosopis Julifora in the arid zone of Sudan. UNDP, Forestry Research and Education Project Pamphlet No 26 Forestry Research Inst. Soba.
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz