MATHEMATICAL MODEL WITH DIATOMS, COROPHIUM AND SNAILS Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of New Brunswick Hu Xi, James Watmough and Wang Lin OUTLINE 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Introduction Objectives Model Dynamics Interpretation Next Steps INTRODUCTION 1. 2. 3. Both the amphipods Corophium volutator and mud snails Ilynassa obsoleta feed on diatoms Snails also feed on Corophium Diatoms, Corophium and snails form a competitive, predator-prey relationship (i.e. intraguild predation) OBJECTIVES 1. 2. 3. Formulate a mathematical model based on the relationship among diatoms,Corophium and snails. Analyze the model and find out the conditions under which both diatoms and Corophium will persist in the system. Assess how an increasing population of snails may affect populations of Corophium and diatoms. DIATOM DYNAMICS Logistic growth Functional responses of Corophium and snails dN N A1CN A2 SN rN (1 ) dt K N B1 N B2 N: abundance of diatoms C: abundance of Corophium S: abundance of snails DIATOM-COROPHIUM DYNAMICS dN N A1CN A2 SN rN (1 ) dt K N B1 N B2 dC eA1CN (d d 2 S )C dt N B1 Birth Death N: abundance of diatoms (chlorophyll a (mg/m2) ) C: abundance of Corophium S: abundance of snails (constant) S (Snail abuindance) Bifurcation diagram: lines represent changes in the system’s dynamics B2 (speed of the snail response) S (Snail abuindance) Bifurcation diagram: lines represent changes in the system’s dynamics I will start to show the dynamics here: B2 (speed of the snail response) Corophium abundance) when s=0. phase plane: diatoms and corophium oscillate. Diatom abundance as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash Corophium abundance) . S=1 Limit cycle: Diatom abundance S=1 Corophium abundance) as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash. Spiral to an equilibrium: Limit cycle: S=1 Diatom abundance S=80 Corophium abundance) as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash. Limit cycle: S=1 Spiral to an equilibrium: Diatom abundance S=80 Corophium abundance) as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash. Spiral to an equilibrium: S=81 S=80 Diatom abundance Equilibrium disappear S (Snail abuindance) Bifurcation diagram: lines represent changes in the system’s dynamics I will now start to show the dynamics here: B2 (speed of the snail response) Corophium abundance) when s=0. phase plane: diatoms and corophium oscillate. Diatom abundance Corophium abundance) as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash. Diatom abundance Corophium abundance) as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash. Limit cycle: S=1 Spiral to an equilibrium: S=81 Diatom abundance Corophium abundance) as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash. Limit cycle: S=1 Spiral to an equilibrium: S=81 Diatom abundance Corophium abundance) as snail abundance increases, oscillations first disappear, and then populations crash. S is 200 Diatom abundance SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS 1. As snail abundance increases from zero, the Corophium-diatom dynamics shift from oscillating, to monotonic, to extinction of Corophium and then diatoms. 2. The model will be extended to include snail dynamics, and then simplified by assuming diatom growth is rapid. Thank you
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