Journal of Environmental Quality TECHNICAL REPORTS SURFACE WATER QUALITY Antecedent Moisture Controls on Stream Nitrate Flux in an Agricultural Watershed Caroline A. Davis,* Adam S. Ward, Amy J. Burgin, Terrance D. Loecke, Diego A. Riveros-Iregui, Douglas J. Schnoebelen, Craig L. Just, Steven A. Thomas, Larry J. Weber, and Martin A. St. Clair N itrate-nitrogen (N) loading in the Upper Mississippi River Basin is largely responsible for the annual Gulf of Mexico hypoxia zone (Turner and Rabalais, 1994; Rabalais et al., 1996; Goolsby and Battaglin, 2001). The midwestern United States is the primary source of agricultural-derived nitrate-N transported by the Upper Mississippi River (David and Gentry, 2000; Alexander et al., 2008) due to extensive agricultural activity. Dramatic increases in nitrate-N loading over the last half century are widely attributed to increased application rates of nitrogenous fertilizer (Kanwar et al., 1985; Burkart and James, 1999; Tilman et al., 2001) and extensive installation of artificial drainage systems (Zucker and Brown, 1998; Schilling and Helmers, 2008). Although the regional source area for the excess nitrate-N transported by the Upper Mississippi River is well established, the factors controlling nitrate-N loading to surface waters draining agricultural landscapes are complex, interdependent, spatiotemporally variable, and poorly documented. The fate of nitrate-N in a watershed is largely determined by the physicochemical interaction of the intrinsic watershed properties (e.g., geology, hydrology, biology) and by anthropogenic (e.g., land cover, fertilizer application) and hydrometeorologic (e.g., climate, precipitation) variables (Randall and Mulla, 2001). The ability to quantify the relative contribution of these variables in relation to nitrate-N dynamics is a necessary step toward predicting watershed-specific nitrate-N export and thus to targeting conservation and land management activities (Dinnes et al., 2002; Gassman et al., 2010). In the absence of excessive changes to the intrinsic and anthropogenic characteristics of a watershed, as observed over the past half century and on substantially shorter timescales (e.g., <10 yr), the effects of dynamic hydrological processes may dominate nitrate-N mobilization and export (Donner and Scavia, 2007). Of continued and growing interest is the flushing of agricultural Abstract Evaluating nitrate-N fluxes from agricultural landscapes is inherently complex due to the wide range of intrinsic and dynamic controlling variables. In this study, we investigate the influence of contrasting antecedent moisture conditions on nitrate-N flux magnitude and dynamics in a single agricultural watershed on intra-annual and rainfall-event temporal scales. High temporal resolution discharge and nitrate concentration data were collected to evaluate nitrate-N flux magnitude associated with wet (2009) and dry (2012) conditions. Analysis of individual rainfall events revealed a marked and consistent difference in nitrate-N flux response attributed to wet/dry cycles. Large-magnitude dilutions (up to 10 mg N L 1) persisted during the wet antecedent conditions (2009), consistent with a dominant baseflow contribution and excess groundwater release in relation to precipitation volume (discharge > > precipitation). Smaller-magnitude concentrations (<7 mg N L 1) were observed during the drought conditions of 2012, consistent with a quickflow-dominated response to rain events and infiltration/ storage of precipitation resulting in discharge < precipitation. Nitrate-N loads and yields from the watershed were much higher (up to an order of magnitude) in the wet year vs. the dry year. Our results suggest that the response of nitrate-N loading to rain events is highly dependent on intra-annual antecedent moisture conditions and subsurface hydrologic connectivity, which together dictate the dominant hydrologic pathways for stream recharge. Additionally, the results of our study indicate that continued pronounced wet/dry cycles may become more dominant as the short-term driver of future nitrate-N exports. C.A. Davis, D.J. Schnoebelen, and L.J. Weber, Lucille A. Carver Mississippi Riverside Environmental Research Station, IIHR-Hydroscience & Engineering, Univ. of Iowa, 3388 Highway 22, Muscatine, IA 52761; A.S. Ward, School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana Univ., 1315 Tenth St., Bloomington, IN 47405; A.S. Ward, Dep. of Earth & Environmental Sciences, Univ. of Iowa, 121 Trowbridge Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242; A.J. Burgin, T.D. Loecke, and S.A. Thomas, School of Natural Resources, Univ. of Nebraska–Lincoln, 412 Hardin Hall, Lincoln, NE 68583; D.A. Riveros-Iregui, Dep. of Geography, Univ. of North Carolina, 327 Saunders Hall, Chapel Hill, NC 27599; C.L. Just, Dep. of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Iowa, 4111 Seamans Center, Iowa City, IA 52242; M.A. St. Clair, Dep. of Chemistry, Coe College, 1220 1st Ave. NE, Cedar Rapids, IA 52402. Assigned to Associate Editor Patrick Inglett. Copyright © American Society of Agronomy, Crop Science Society of America, and Soil Science Society of America. 5585 Guilford Rd., Madison, WI 53711 USA. All rights reserved. No part of this periodical may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. J. Environ. Qual. doi:10.2134/jeq2013.11.0438 Received 3 Nov. 2013 *Corresponding author ([email protected]). 1 nitrate-N in response to rainfall events ( Jiang et al., 2010) and their relation to the annual variability in hypoxic extent in the Gulf of Mexico (Donner and Scavia, 2007). Nitrate-N flux and loads in surface waters are determined by stream discharge and mobilized nitrate dynamics as well as nitrate-N storage on the landscape. The relationship between stream nitrate-N concentration and discharge is not straightforward, however, displaying both positive and inverse relationships between different stream segments spatially and temporally in terms of seasonality (Arheimer et al., 1996; Bohlke et al., 2007) and scale of investigation (Turgeon and Courchesne, 2008). Studies in agricultural watersheds have documented increasing nitrate-N concentration with increasing stream discharge on a seasonal timescale (Tomer et al., 2003; Tiemeyer et al., 2006), although the magnitude of this relationship is highly variable. On the timescale of individual precipitation events (hours to days), a positive relationship between discharge and nitrate-N is often referred to as a “concentration” pattern, whereas the inverse is referred to as a “dilution” pattern (Poor and McDonnell, 2007). Hydrologic connectivity, defined here as the degree of spatial linkage between surface–subsurface water flow, and the dominant hydrologic flow pathways for water recharging a stream segment may be responsible for differences observed in the concentration or dilution signal (Green et al., 2007; Tesoriero et al., 2009). A dilution signal may also be observed in a nitrate-N source-limited system, whereas a concentration signal may indicate an “infinite” nitrate-N source (Poor and McDonnell, 2007; Murphy et al., 2013). Rainfall-driven variations in stream nitrate-N concentrations and discharge reflect the degree of hydrologic connectivity of a watershed (Biron et al., 1999; Mitchell et al., 2006). Pre-event conditions influence the connectivity of subsurface hydrologic flow pathways contributing water to streams as well as the distribution and availability of nutrients for leaching (Soulsby, 1995; Biron et al., 1999; Stieglitz et al., 2003; Freeman et al., 2007). Under wet antecedent conditions, catchments are in a spatially connected or active state where pre-event water contributions may dominate (Grayson et al., 1997; Ali and Roy, 2010). Under dry antecedent conditions, the catchment is in a disconnected or disorganized state that promotes new water infiltration (Grayson et al., 1997; Ali and Roy, 2010). The quantitative measure of hydrologic connectivity and antecedent moisture conditions is complicated, requiring the use of surrogates or proxies (see review by Ali and Roy [2010]). Further, the magnitude and dynamics of nitrate-N flux associated with differing antecedent moisture conditions over variable timescales and spatial scales is not well understood, limiting our ability to predict nitrate-N flux and load response to rainfall events. We investigated the influence of contrasting antecedent moisture conditions on nitrate-N flux on intra-annual (weeks to months) and rainfall event (hours to days) temporal scales in a single agricultural watershed. To evaluate nitrate-N flux magnitude associated with intra-annual wet/dry cycles, we analyzed the nitrate-N flux–discharge relationship for the wet conditions of 2009 (the 11th wettest year in 141 yr of record) (Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship, 2010) and drought conditions observed during 2012 (the 19th driest year in 141 yr of record) (Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship, 2013). To quantify nitrate-N exports associated with individual rainfall events within each wet/dry cycle, we calculated nitrate-N loads and yields in relationship to event discharge and precipitation volume. We discuss the dominant hydrologic processes driving nitrate-N export under contrasting antecedent conditions and how those may relate to short-term climate extremes or pronounced wet/dry cycles, which may affect future nitrate-N mobilization and export. Materials and Methods Study Site Description The study was conducted in the Clear Creek watershed (HUC-10: 0708020904) within the Lower Iowa River watershed, located in eastern Iowa (Fig. 1a). Clear Creek drains approximately 267 km2, discharging into the Iowa River near Coralville, IA. Land use in the watershed is predominantly agricultural (Table 1), with growing urbanization near the outlet of the watershed. The geologic setting is in the Southern Iowa Drift Plain (Prior, 1991), dominated by glacial deposits atop Devonian age bedrock and characterized by rolling hills and uplands dissected by tributary streams (Schwob, 1964). Soils in the watershed are dominantly fine-grained, organic-rich, siltyclay loam to silty loam of the Tama-Downs, Fayette-Downs, and Colo-Nevin-Nodaway (Dideriksen et al., 2007). Intensive agricultural activities combined with highly erodible soil has led to significant rates of erosion in the watershed (Abaci and Papanicolaou, 2009; Loperfido et al., 2010). The climate in the study area is characterized by marked seasonal variations, with warm summer, cold winter, and wet spring seasons, reflective of Iowa’s mid-latitude and interior continental location (Highland and Dideriksen, 1967). Mean annual temperature is about 9°C, whereas mean annual precipitation is 889 mm. Nearly 75% of the bulk annual precipitation occurs during the growing season (Apr.–Sept.; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [2013a]). In Iowa, the recommended rate of fertilizer application is 105 to 195 lb N acre 1 (11,768–21,856 kg km 2), depending on the soybean–corn rotation schedule (Iowa State University For proofing purposes only © ASA, CSSA, SSSA 2 Fig. 1. Maps showing (a) location of Clear Creek watershed (dark gray shaded) within the Lower Iowa River watershed in eastern Iowa and (b) location of nutrient monitoring and rain gauge sites. Discharge (Q) was measured at two USGS stream gaging stations located at Oxford (MS-OXF) (USGS 05454220) and Coralville (DS-COR) (USGS 05454300). US-HST, Homestead; US-SAC, South Amana. Journal of Environmental Quality Extension, 2007). Anderson and Downing (2006) measured atmospheric nutrient deposition at several sites across the state of Iowa in 2003 and estimated the annual atmospheric deposition of nitrate-N as 7.7 kg ha 1 yr 1 (770 kg km 2 yr 1). were obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s observed precipitation coverage (4 km × 4 km resolution; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2013b) and are presented as daily and hourly precipitation estimates for the US-HST, MS-OXF, and DS-COR 2012 monitoring sites. Monitoring Methods Two monitoring campaigns were conducted in the Clear Creek watershed in 2009 (Putney, 2010) and 2012. Both campaigns used in situ continuous monitoring nitrate sensors at three locations within the watershed (Fig. 1b). The 2009 and 2012 monitoring studies differ in the location of the monitoring for the uppermost site in the watershed; the 2009 study monitored at the South Amana site, whereas the 2012 study monitored at the Homestead site (Fig. 1b). Site-specific characteristics of the upstream South Amana (US-SAC) and Homestead (US-HST), middle Oxford (MS-OXF), and downstream Coralville (DSCOR) sites are shown in Table 1. Stream nitrate concentration (C) was measured as nitrate + nitrite as N (mg N L 1) using a Nitratax sc plus (5 mm; Hach Co.) with a measurement range of 0.1 to 25 mg N L 1 and 0.1 mg N L 1 resolution. Data were collected using a CR1000 datalogger (Campbell Scientific Inc.) logging continuously at 15-min intervals, except for the 2009 South Amana site, which measured at 1-h intervals. Gaps in the nitrate dataset reflect brief power outages or other operational issues with the equipment. Each sensor was serviced and calibrated before field deployment by the Hach Service Department as per the manufacturer’s specifications. Discharge (Q) was measured at two U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) stream gaging stations located at MS-OXF (USGS 05454220) and DS-COR (USGS 05454300), and 15-min Q data were obtained from the USGS National Water Information System. Annual mean Q as measured at the USGS stream gauge near the outlet of Clear Creek for 1980–2012 was 2.35 ± 1.78 m3 s 1 (USGS 05454300). Q at the ungaged locations was estimated by using a variation of the “Flow Anywhere” method developed by Linhart et al. (2012), where the drainage-arearatio method is modified to regionalize equations for Iowa. The equation developed for aggregated region 3 was used to estimate Q at the US-SAC and US-HST and the USGS Oxford location as the reference gauge. Daily and hourly precipitation data were obtained from rain gages operated by the Iowa Flood Center (http://ifis.iowafloodcenter.org/ifis/en/) during the 2009 monitoring campaign at the US-SAC and OXF01 locations (Fig. 1b). The OXF01 rain gauge location was used to estimate rainfall at the MS-OXF and DS-COR monitoring sites for the 2009 study. Precipitation data for the 2012 monitoring campaign Antecedent Conditions and Selection of Rainfall Events Antecedent moisture conditions for each of the sites, preceding each of the selected rainfall events, are described here by antecedent precipitation (APx) and Palmer Drought Index (PDI) values. The APx values represent the total precipitation (in mm) for the preceding x days and were calculated for 7 and 30 d before the rainfall event using the nearest rainfall estimate location. The PDI values describe long-term meteorological conditions and were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center (National Climatic Data Center, 2013). The National Climatic Data Center’s calculated weekly PDI values represent moisture conditions ranging from extreme drought to extremely moist. Rainfall events were chosen using the following criteria: (i) >10 mm rainfall measured or estimated at each of the three rain estimate locations within the watershed, (ii) Q and C data available for at least two of the in situ monitoring stations, and (iii) no measurable rainfall at the monitoring stations for 24 h preceding the start of the event window (after Inamdar et al. [2004]). Rainfall event window timeframes were selected to encompass the inflection point (i) of the Q hydrograph, maximum or peak deviation (max), and final (f ) return of the hydrograph to near that of the inflection point. In instances where the hydrograph does not return to near that of the inflection point (e.g., if rain occurs before the hydrograph returning to initial values), the end of the window is considered to be the final point (Qf ) in our analysis. A total of 23 rainfall events measuring >10 mm at OXF01 occurred during the 2009 intra-annual window, with 13 meeting the above criteria. In contrast, 11 events measuring >10 mm at MS-OXF occurred during the same time frame in 2012, with seven events meeting the criteria for analysis. Four rainfall events, distributed within each intra-annual window, were selected for analysis in this study and are representative of the dynamics observed in the complete data set. For proofing purposes only © ASA, CSSA, SSSA Analysis of Nitrate-N, Discharge, and Rainfall Data Solute–discharge relationships are commonly used to investigate watershed-scale dynamics, chemostatic behavior, and Table 1. Characteristics of nutrient monitoring field stations. Station Drainage area Elevation Corn Homestead (US-HST) South Amana (US-SAC) Oxford (MS-OXF) Coralville (DS-COR) km2 21.2 26.2 157.5 254.3 m 226–271 231–278 213–278 164–278 Land cover† Row crop (2009/2012) Soybean Total Other‡ ————————————————— % ————————————————— 35/47 38/25 73/72 27/28 54/60 29/22 82/82 18/18 37/41 26/22 63/63 37/37 30/35 23/19 54/55 46/45 † Land cover percentages determined using National Land Cover Data for 2009 and 2012. ‡ Includes the following National Land Cover Data values: 24, 27, 28, 36, 37, 58, 59, 60, 62, 63, 111, 121, 122, 123, 124, 131, 141, 142, 152, 171, 181, 190, 195, 236. XXXBHSPOPNZPSHtXXXDSPQTPSHtXXXTPJMTPSH 3 water source areas (Godsey et al., 2009; Guan et al., 2011). To evaluate the relationship between area-weighted N flux (FAW ) and Q between the two contrasting wet/dry years, we used a power law relationship (FAW = aQb; after Tomer et al. [2003]), where a is the intercept value relating to nitrate-N concentration, and b is the slope of the function. Tomer et al. (2003) describe the possible reasoning for differences in values for the resulting slope as (i) b = 1 if concentration does not change, (ii) b > 1 for high flows exhibiting increased concentration or more effective removal at low flows, and (iii) b < 1 associated with dominant baseflow. Tomer et al. (2003) further suggest that in different locations within a watershed, or with different land use patterns, high flows may result in dilutions and b < 1. Nitrate-N load (kg) and yield (kg km 2) were calculated for each of the selected rainfall events. We also calculated total rainfall volume (Pv) occurring within the drainage area and total discharge volume (Qv) at each monitoring station for each of the selected rainfall events. are highly variable spatially between sites for the same rainfall event and temporally between different events for a single site. Thus, the calculated FAW values are also highly variable (Fig. 3c) spatially and temporally. The three highest-magnitude FAW variations are noted in late June (20 June 2009), mid-July (11 July 2009), and late August (28 Aug. 2009) and correspond to peak variations in the measured Q and C (Fig. 3a–c). The FAW values calculated for the US-SAC location for the three aforementioned high-magnitude events range from 213 to 391 kg d 1 km2 1. In contrast, the calculated FAW values for the MS-OXF site range from 124 to 166 kg d 1 km2 1. For the dry year (2012), measured Q and C values (Fig. 3d–f ) display a dilution response to rain events, similar to those observed in 2009, through mid-June 2012. During the month of July 2012, however, background or baseflow Q (Fig. 3d) and C (Fig. 3e) values steadily decrease, up to an order of magnitude below that of the early June values. Beginning in late July, C values (Fig. 3e) begin to show a concentration response to rainfall events, which persists through the end of the intraannual window. Baseflow C measured in 2012 (Fig. 3e) was consistently lower than in 2009 (Fig. 3a). Similar to the 2009 results, the 2012 C response varied spatially between sites for the same rainfall event and temporally between different events at a single site. The calculated 2012 FAW values (Fig. 3f ) display similar trends as the C values (Fig. 3e), albeit several orders of magnitude lower than the corresponding time frame in 2009. After July 2012, the US-HST displayed an FAW range of 0.5 to 1.2 kg d 1 km2 1 (Fig. 3f ) for the three-highest magnitude events (4 Aug. 2012, 7 Sept. 2012, and 12 Nov. 2012). Similar yet lower FAW values were calculated for the MS-OXF and DS-COR sites. Increased Q led to increased FAW for all three monitoring sites in 2009 and 2012; however, the slope of the relationship was smaller in 2009 (b < 1) than in 2012 (b > 1) (Fig. 4). The results of the 2009 monitoring campaign for the combined three sites have a higher relative Q and FAW (approximately two orders of magnitude) compared with that of the 2012 monitoring. The a value is higher for the 2009 relationship than for 2012, owing to the consistently higher background magnitude of C measured in 2009. For both relationships, the correlation coefficient is near 0.8. Characteristics of the selected rainfall events, including antecedent conditions preceding each rain event, are summarized For proofing purposes only Results The antecedent conditions for 2009 and 2012 are shown in Fig. 2 as cumulative rainfall since 1 May and as weekly PDI values for each intra-annual temporal window. Cumulative rain measured in 2009 far surpassed rainfall measured in 2012 by at least 600 mm during the same time frame (Fig. 2). The PDI values for 2009 range from +3 to +4, indicating very moist to extremely moist conditions. In contrast, the 2012 values range from 0 to 4, suggesting midrange to extreme drought conditions. Variability in the temporal Q, C, and FAW for the wet year (2009) monitoring campaign are shown in Fig. 3a–c. A general decreasing trend is observed in the background or non-event C values through the 2009 time series (Fig. 3b); the highest value of 14.5 mg N L 1 was observed at the US-SAC location in June, and the lowest background value of 5.2 mg N L 1 was noted at the DS-COR site in late September. A relatively consistent spatial gradient in the background C values occurs along the flow gradient (Fig. 3b), ranging from 9.3 to 14.5 mg N L 1 at US-SAC, from 6.9 to 11.0 mg N L 1 at MS-OXF, and from 5.2 to 9.3 mg N L 1 at DS-COR. There is a dilution response of the C values (Fig. 3b) associated with rain events (Fig. 3a) that is approximately coincident with peaks in the Q hydrograph (Fig. 3a), at all sites during 2009. The magnitude of the C dilutions © ASA, CSSA, SSSA Fig. 2. Time-series showing cumulative rain since May 1 and associated weekly Palmer Drought Index (PDI) values for 2009 and 2012. 4 Journal of Environmental Quality For proofing purposes only Fig. 3. Time-series showing (a, d) discharge, (b, e) nitrate concentration, and (c, f) area-weighted nitrate-N flux for the 2009 and 2012 monitoring campaigns, respectively. Daily rainfall data are presented for the Oxford rain gauge site. Numbers 1 through 4 shown in (a) and (d) represent individual rainfall events analyzed for each intra-annual window. DS-COR, Coralville; MS-OXF, Oxford; US-HST, Homestead; US-SAC, South Amana. in Table 2. Each of the rainfall events is unique in duration, coverage, total rain volume, and event discharge volume when comparing between events, sites, and years (2009 or 2012). However, consistent differences in antecedent moisture conditions between the 2 yr are observed, especially in the AP30 and PDI values. The AP30 values range from 97 to 214 mm, and the PDI values are increasingly positive (greater than +3) preceding 2009 events, whereas calculated values of AP30 and PDI for 2012 are 10 to 86 mm and increasingly negative (less than 1), respectively. of nitrate-N exported between the 2 yr of investigation. Most notably, the magnitude of the temporal FAW was appreciably higher in the wet year (2009) (Fig. 3b,c), when PDI values were dominantly positive (Fig. 2). The higher FAW magnitude observed in 2009 was largely driven by the higher relative Q as opposed to the contribution by C magnitude, as evidenced by the qualitative similarity in the duration of the individual Q and FAW peaks and the dilution of C in response to increased Q. Previous studies describe seasonal differences in C patterns, which are widely attributed to seasonal variations in Q. For example, Poor and McDonnell (2007) describe seasonal © ASA, CSSA, SSSA Discussion Antecedent Moisture Controls on Intra-Annual Nitrate-N Dynamics A watershed’s capacity to mobilize nitrate-N is dependent on numerous interacting properties and processes. One difficulty in assessing landscape-wide nitrate-N mobilization is in our ability to separate, characterize, and quantify the relative contributions of the interdependent and often competing properties and processes. We monitored a single watershed over a relatively short time frame (<4 yr), in which we assume little measurable change in the intrinsic (e.g., geology, geomorphology) or anthropogenic (e.g., land use, fertilizer application) properties of the landscape. The primary difference between the two individual years is in the antecedent moisture conditions due to short-term hydrometeorologic variability (Fig. 2). Our intra-annual results (Fig. 3 and 4) showed marked differences in the magnitude XXXBHSPOPNZPSHtXXXDSPQTPSHtXXXTPJMTPSH Fig. 4. Area-weighted nitrate-N flux versus discharge shown as aggregated data for all three monitoring sites during the 2009 and 2012 monitoring campaigns. FAW, area-weighted nitrogen flux. 5 differences in C patterns in an agricultural watershed shifting from a C dilution response in the fall and winter to a C concentration response in spring and a decreasing trend in nitrate-N export associated with a wet period. Our results show a consistent C dilution response throughout the wet year (2009) and a shift from C dilutions in early summer 2012 to C concentrations after July and through the end of the study (Fig. 3). Although previous studies attribute the shift in C patterns to seasonal characteristics (Webb and Walling, 1985; Poor and McDonnell, 2007), our results suggest that antecedent conditions can hold a primary control on C behavior and seasonal variability. The consistent dilution response observed during the 2009 monitoring campaign is likely the result of relatively unchanging antecedent moisture conditions and consistently positive PDI values. We attribute the apparent shift or threshold behavior in the 2012 C response (Fig. 3e) to the rapid depletion of soil moisture due to lack of rain, as evidenced by the sharp decline in weekly PDI values (Fig. 2) during June and July. Furthermore, we hypothesize that this threshold behavior is the result of a decrease in catchment connectivity, where the soil profile is increasingly disconnected from the stream channel and deeper alluvial groundwater sources. It is likely that this threshold behavior appears concurrent with seasonal patterns, as previous studies have suggested (Poor and McDonnell, 2007); however, the lack of a threshold response in the wet year (2009) provides additional evidence that such a threshold may be driven by distinct changes in antecedent moisture conditions. At the timescales of individual rainfall events and intraannual dynamics, we find that nitrate-N loading to streams and dynamics between C and Q are highly variable. Our study adds to previous works that suggest nitrate-N dynamics occur at rapid timescales spanning minutes (event-based) to weeks (intra-annual). For example, weekly surface water sampling for nitrate-N and averaging of daily stream discharge may be acceptable for evaluating nitrate-N flux on a seasonal or yearly scale; however, this approach is not sufficient to capture individual or sequenced event-related nitrate-N flux (Sebestyen et al., 2008; Raymond and Saiers, 2010; Pellerin et al., 2012). Furthermore, previous research established that a single storm event or flood period imparts a large amount of the cumulative yearly nitrate-N flux from a watershed (Goolsby et al., 1993; Hubbard et al., 2011). In addition to the importance of the temporal scale of investigation, the selection of an appropriate temporal frequency of measurement of the hydrologic and hydrochemical variables For proofing purposes only Table 2. Characteristics of selected rainfall events and antecedent moisture conditions preceding each event. Event no. Event window 1 23 June 2009, 08:00 26 June 2009, 16:00 2 3 July 2009, 16:00 7 July 2009, 16:00 3 Aug. 2009, 16:00 30 Aug. 2009, 16:00 4 24 Sept. 2009, 00:00 28 Sept. 2009, 00:00 1 2 Station† Event Total event duration rain h mm US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR# US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR# US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR# US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR# 3 3 3 10 9 9 24 20 20 8 5 5 11 26 26 42 35 35 143 109 109 26 21 21 US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR 6 6 5 1 1 2 3 2 2 8 8 7 28 30 15 20 24 24 16 14 17 42 34 23 Event rain volume Event discharge volume (Qi to Qf )‡ ————— m3 ————— 2009 284,027 2,087,783 3,692,749 14,886,933 6,200,546 20,818,419 1,109,607 1,991,805 5,712,366 10,736,474 9,098,617 13,795,964 3,746,744 13,403,599 18,027,125 127,346,486 28,533,204 164,225,783 677,724 862,779 3,479,398 4,000,683 5,540,591 6,369,436 2012 598,781 280,677 4,751,175 1,432,910 6,198,921 2,271,507 431,554 76,644 3,718,866 290,971 6,049,982 950,395 345,243 14,366 2,317,630 41,204 3,912,604 395,885 884,686 315,595 5,452,319 1,208,371 7,709,821 2,985,822 AP7§ AP30§ ——— mm ——— 118 60 121 0 0 0 25 24 33 10 7 17 185 120 214 191 106 194 140 120 135 164 97 145 +3 to +4 +3 3 +3 to +4 4 4 4 4 12 4 8 5 5 7 6 10 6 5 6 4 43 36 38 14 10 12 48 46 68 59 67 86 0 0 © ASA, CSSA, SSSA 30 May 2012, 16:00 2 June 2012, 00:00 4 Aug. 2012, 00:00 7 Aug. 2012, 08:00 3 22 Oct. 2012, 00:00 25 Oct. 2012, 08:00 4 10 Nov. 2012, 00:00 25 Nov. 2012, 00:00 PDI range¶ 3 wk 1 wk 3 to 4 4 4 to 3 3 3 3 to 4 † DS-COR, Coralville; MS-OXF, Oxford; US-HST, Homestead; US-SAC, South Amana. ‡ Qf, final discharge value; Qi, initial discharge value. § Antecedent precipitation at 7 d (AP7) and 30 d (AP30) preceding the event. ¶ Palmer Drought Index range for 3 wk preceding the event and for the week of the event. # Rainfall estimates from OXF01. 6 Journal of Environmental Quality affects interpretation of the data. Solute–discharge relationships can be highly dependent on scale of measurement (Arheimer et al., 1996; Turgeon and Courchesne, 2008). Consistently high C values observed during 2009 baseflow suggest that the mobile nitrate pool is not source or transport limited but may be attributed to “biogeochemical stationarity,” as discussed by Basu et al. (2010). Biogeochemical stationarity postulates that legacy accumulations of nutrients within a landscape result in a buffering effect to the expected variability of C. Evidence of stationarity is not apparent in 2012, where a transition to lower baseflow C values occurs concurrently with a decline in PDI values and thus soil moisture. We suspect that the decrease in baseflow C is the result of the subsurface becoming increasingly disconnected from the legacy stores, and thus both transport and source limited. At low baseflow, there is greater contact between the water source and the stream channel and higher residence times, which can promote denitrification in the subsurface and uptake by in-stream aquatic vegetation (Alexander et al., 2000; Tomer et al., 2003), hence a lower relative N. Table 3. Event-related nitrate load and yield calculated for the selected rainfall events during the 2009 and 2012 monitoring campaigns. Event no. 1 2 3 Station† US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR US-SAC MS-OXF DS-COR Event load (Fi to Ff )‡ kg 2009 122 602 1280 299 5136 5464 1584 23,262 25,647 79 – 1148 2012 – 270 267 3 11 41 0.1 0.5 6.1 134 409 643 Event yield (Fi to Ff ) kg km 2 4.7 3.8 5.0 11.4 32.6 21.5 60.6 147.7 100.9 3.0 – 4.5 For proofing purposes only Antecedent Controls on Event-Related N Flux How in-stream N concentrations respond to rainfall events is highly dependent on intra-annual antecedent moisture conditions. Although each rainfall event is unique in its own characteristics (e.g., intensity, duration), we observed a marked and consistent difference in the character and magnitude of the C response to precipitation, with large dilutions (up to 10 mg L−1) dominant during the wet year rainfall events (2009) and small concentration peaks (<7 mg L−1) persisting during the drought conditions of 2012. The calculated event N load and yield were appreciably higher during the wet year (2009) (Table 3), primarily driven by the larger event Q measured in 2009. Additionally, we found a large (up to two orders of magnitude) difference between the total Qv and Pv between the two contrasting wet/dry years (Fig. 5). For 2009, we observe a Qv in excess of Pv, which suggests that excess water is released from the subsurface beyond that added by the rain event. Iqbal (2002) explained this as groundwater being released to the stream due to excess vertical fluid pressure from infiltrating rain water, creating increased horizontal flow. In contrast, we observe the storage of event water in 2012, as shown by the negative Qv-Pv values in Fig. 5. A clear difference is observed in the relationship between FAW and QAW (Fig. 4) and in Qv-Pv (Fig. 5) for the two contrasting years, suggesting that different hydrologic processes dominate. In 2009, baseflow contributions likely dominate during rain events because b < 1, C dilutions are observed (Tomer et al., 2003), and excess water volume is released during 2009 rain events (Fig. 5). In contrast during the drought conditions of 2012, quickflow or overland flow likely dominate the hydrograph signal, resulting in C concentrations, b > 1 in the relationship between FAW and QAW (Fig. 4), and a water deficit in Qv-Pv (Fig. 5). Quickflow can be generated regardless of soil moisture conditions, although in a wet year the in-stream nitrate-N concentration response is likely overwhelmed by the much larger-magnitude groundwater delivery response. In addition to antecedent controls on rain event water storage/release and nitrate-N flux magnitude, nitrate-N stores in soils are a function of antecedent moisture conditions and inputs to the landscape. We suggest that nitrate-N stores are depleted 4 1 2 3 4 US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR US-HST MS-OXF DS-COR – 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.006 0.003 0.024 6.3 2.6 2.5 † DS-COR, Coralville; MS-OXF, Oxford; US-HST, Homestead; US-SAC, South Amana. ‡ Ff, final nitrate N flux value; Fi, initial nitrate N flux value. by flushing during the wet year (2009) and that nitrate-N accumulates during the dry year (2012). A Conceptual Understanding of Hydrologic Connectivity and Nitrate-N Mobilization © ASA, CSSA, SSSA XXXBHSPOPNZPSHtXXXDSPQTPSHtXXXTPJMTPSH On the basis of our findings, we suggest that the degree of hydrologic connectivity in relation to antecedent conditions Fig. 5. Bar charts showing difference between discharge volume and event precipitation volume for the selected events. DS-COR, Coralville; MS-OXF, Oxford; US-HST, Homestead; US-SAC, South Amana. 7 dictates C response, and thus FAW magnitude, in response to precipitation at intra-annual and individual event timescales. Increased hydrological connectivity during wet cycles means that precipitation events rapidly mobilize water to the stream, with both the baseflow contribution and overland flow diluting the in-stream C. The higher degree of spatial subsurface connectivity may result in a dominant pre-event water contribution (Grayson et al., 1997; Ali and Roy, 2010). Flux of nitrate-N is high due to excess groundwater released to the stream (Iqbal, 2002) and encountering the mobile nitrate-N pool. In a study on connectivity of hillslopes to riparian areas, Jencso et al. (2009) suggest that a wet, connected state, that is highly transmissive, is required for flushing of solutes from the landscape to the stream through groundwater. Similarly, McGlynn et al. (2004) proposed that landscape elements with increased hydrologic connectivity link source area flow paths to streams. As in Jencso et al. (2009) and McGlynn et al. (2004), the magnitude of the nitrate-N flux response documented here is likely associated with integrated spatial landscapescale connectivity. In contrast, during dry periods the primary contribution is flushing of nitrate-N overland or from the nitrate-N stores in the vadose zone, providing enrichment of the in-stream nitrate-N. Nitrate-N flux is lower, being transport limited as opposed to supply limited (Basu et al., 2010). Under dry antecedent conditions, the catchment is in a disconnected or disorganized state that promotes new water infiltration (Grayson et al., 1997; Ali and Roy, 2010), and storage. In summary, our results suggest marked differences in nitrate-N flux response attributed to wet/dry cycles and more specifically the water source compartment that dominates event recharge to the stream (Fig. 6). In 2009, large-magnitude dilutions (up to 10 mg N L−1) persisted during wet antecedent conditions, consistent with a dominant baseflow contribution and excess groundwater release in relation to precipitation volume (discharge > > precipitation). Smaller-magnitude concentrations (<7 mg N L‒1) were observed during the dry conditions of 2012, consistent with a quickflow dominated response to rain events and infiltration/storage of precipitation resulting in discharge < precipitation. Nitrate-N loads and yields from the watershed were much higher (up to an order of magnitude) in the wet year vs. the dry year. Conclusions We collected high temporal resolution in-stream nitrate-N data to characterize the response of an agricultural landscape to intra-annual and rainfall event dynamics. This allowed us to characterize the variability in nitrate-N flux across spatial scales in a nested watershed and in response to multiple rainfall events. We find evidence that antecedent moisture conditions, in particular short-term climate extremes in the form of wet/ dry cycles, are a primary control on intra-annual nitrate-N flux character and magnitude. Our study was conducted in a single watershed with the primary uncontrolled variable being precipitation and moisture conditions. Results of this study demonstrate the complexity of climate–landscape interactions in agricultural watersheds and demonstrate the potential of highresolution nitrate-N monitoring to advance our understanding of coupled hydrological and biogeochemical systems. Given that individual precipitation events can be responsible for a significant portion of total annual load For proofing purposes only © ASA, CSSA, SSSA Fig. 6. Generalized conceptual diagram summarizing the hydrologic and nitrate N observations from this study. PDI, Palmer Drought Index. 8 Journal of Environmental Quality (Hubbard et al., 2011), it is important to understand the relationship between short-term hydrological dynamics and nitrate-N loading to surface waters. Further, due to the drought conditions of 2012, we speculate that the lack of rainfall led to enrichment of nitrate-N in soils. The result of this drought-related nitrate-N retention and reduced loading was one of the smallest Gulf of Mexico Dead Zones on record in 2012 (7480 km2; Louisiana Universities Marine Consortium [2013]). The small size of the 2012 Dead Zone was clearly linked to the hydrologic control of decreased nitrogen inputs to the Mississippi River basin. Acknowledgments This study was supported by IIHR– Hydroscience & Engineering at the University of Iowa and by the U.S. National Science Foundation (DEB-1263559) and EPSCoR (EPS-1101284). The authors thank Maclaine Putney for permission to use the 2009 nitrate dataset, the IIHR Model Annex staff for assistance with field site construction and data collection, and the City of Coralville. The authors also gratefully acknowledge the support of the Roy J. Carver Charitable Trust. Lastly, we greatly appreciate the reviews by three anonymous reviewers whose comments significantly improved the manuscript. Donner, S.D., and D. Scavia. 2007. 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