HSBC Spotlight on U.S. Trade An examination of relative growth rates of international and domestic companies Upstate New York A lake freighter transferring its last load of grain before Lake Erie freezes. Buffalo Skyway in the background. Spotlight: Upstate New York Upstate New York has been an important part of the economic history of the United States, with business in the region undergoing recent transformation. Perched over the Erie Canal, the region was the major thoroughfare for transporting goods from the East Coast to Western United States by way of the Great Lakes. i Growing out of the prosperity that came with the boom of transports, the region cultivated a manufacturing sector in the 19th and early 20th centuries that was competitive on a national scale.ii Upstate New York is not only a manufacturing hub. The region is also home to a diverse array of well-established businesses representing the food and beverage industries, and a wide range of professional services firms ranging from environmental consulting to payroll processing. The economic prospects for the region are bright. New York State fared better economically during the Great Recession than the nation as a whole, and better than nearly all other states.iii In 2012, Governor Cuomo pledged an investment of $1 billion to revive the economy of Buffalo and western New York state.iv Exports of precious stones and metals, machinery, medical technology, and pharmaceuticals are driving air cargo growth in the region. In 2012, this part of the country alone exported $9.3 billion in machinery by water to markets including China, India, Germany, South Korea, and Saudi Arabia. According to the Weissman Center for International Business, New York is “within distance” of Los Angeles to become the largest trade region in the nation, and is positioned to potentially even surpass Los Angeles in that title.v When it comes to opening the floodgates of trade, Upstate New York would do well to allow history to repeat itself. One of the main strengths we’ve found in Upstate NewYork has been a great labor pool and a strong work ethic.There are people that have worked here a long, long time. And we offer a very exciting place where they can build a career. Kevin Neumaier President About the Report Spotlight on U.S. Trade, sponsored by HSBC and the World Trade Center The purpose of this research is to analyze the following themes with regard Buffalo Niagara, is a series of reports and analysis of publicly traded companies to international trade in the region: in key regions throughout the U.S. The inaugural report is focused on the • The impact of international trade on the top companies in the region top 30 publicly-held, non-banking businesses headquartered in Upstate New York, in the region that includes the greater metropolitan areas of Rochester, Syracuse, Buffalo-Niagara Falls, and the Capital District (AlbanySchenectady-Troy). To access the report online, visit: us.hsbc.com/spotlightuny Detailed methodology is located at the end of this report. 2 • The differences between companies with international trade and those that only sell products/services in the U.S. • Strategies for continued global expansion and success stories relevant to other business leaders Global Businesses in Upstate New York Fare Better than Domestic Businesses Most of the top 30 publicly traded companies in Upstate New York have grown over the last five years, despite a challenging economic environment. Global businesses in Upstate New York have fared better than businesses with U.S.-only sales, and revenue data for the top 30 publicly traded companies headquartered in the region demonstrate that global businesses in the region: • Enjoy a greater growth rate than domestic businesses • Earn more net and average revenue • Continue to widen the revenue gap between global and domestic businesses We’re always looking to be opportunistic and we really don’t let borders get in our way. David Klein Senior Vice President, Treasurer Inside Perspective: Constellation Brands’ approach was to strategically utilize mergers and acquisitions or invest in joint ventures to grow its brands internationally. Through the right acquisitions and resulting insights, Constellation was able to tackle the unique challenges of each market and find the best partners, such as financial services, tax and legal experts, for its needs without having to identify everything on its own. The company notes that while this was certainly an advantage, there was still a lot of work that went into identifying the right markets, acquisitions and investments, and that their extensive market research is essential to their success. Growth Rate Almost 3x Greater for Global Companies From 2007 through 2011, global companies in the region have consistently earned more revenue than domestic ones, even through the global financial crisis. Both global and domestic companies were on the decline from 2008 to 2010, and then posted revenue growth in 2011. In fact, the percentage growth for global companies in Upstate New York from 2010 to 2011 is almost three times the growth rate for domestic companies in the region, 4.59% compared to 1.69% respectively. At the current rate, revenue growth for domestic companies in Upstate New York is on track with U.S. GDP growth. During times of decline over the last five years, the drops for global companies were not as steep as those for domestic companies, with one exception. Domestic companies managed to increase revenues between 2007 and 2008, potentially not feeling the effects of the recession as quickly as global companies. From 2007 to 2008, domestic companies on the whole posted 6.2% growth, while global companies felt their steepest decline for the five year timeframe, with a decline of -7.19%. All told, based on the revenue share of global businesses in the region compared to domestic businesses, it is expected that we will continue to see global businesses post higher revenues and greater growth. This would be consistent with the “two-track economy” (domestic and global) described by many analysts watching the Dow Jones Industrial Average.vi Revenue Growth ofTop 30 Publicly Held, Non-Banking Businesses Headquartered in Upstate NY; U.S. GDP Growth, 2007-2011 3 Snapshot of the Region 4 Percentage of Top 30 Companies that are Global vs. Domestic Revenue Gap is Widening Between Domestic and Global Companies A little more than half of the top publicly traded companies based in Upstate New York earn revenue overseas. Of the thirty businesses reviewed for this report, seventeen have international revenue, and thirteen earn their revenue strictly through domestic sales. For each year between 2007 and 2011, the top global businesses in Upstate New York have generated more revenue than the top domestic businesses. In 2011, global businesses earned nearly $2.7 billion more than domestic businesses. The gap between global businesses and domestic businesses has been steadily widening since 2008. Top 30 Publicly Held, Non-Banking Businesses Headquartered in Upstate NY Industry Categorization of Top 30 Non-Banking Businesses The majority of businesses on this list report revenues of less than $1 billion, with an elite few earning well over this threshold. Among the top 30 public companies headquartered in Upstate New York, business services constitutes the largest industry segment by revenue with $3.4 billion in combined total revenue, the second largest segment in terms of the number of companies in that industry. Companies that fall into the business services segment are varied and include Computer Task Group, Synacor, Paychex, Home Properties, Sovran Self Storage, and OP-TECH Environmental Services. Headquartered in Upstate NY The next largest industry presence in terms of revenue is beverages, with revenue of $3.3 billion, occupied solely by alcohol manufacturer Constellation Brands. The third largest segment in the region is aerospace, with Moog Inc. and Astronics Corporation representing the industry. 5 The reality is, if we limited ourselves to the U.S. market, we would not have developed the technology that makes us as strong as we are in the U.S. Robert Brady Chairman and CEO Inside Perspective: Moog began developing its international business in 1965 when Bill Moog established the first wholly-owned subsidiary outside of Stuttgart, Germany. Subsequently, he established wholly-owned subsidiaries in England, Japan, Italy, France and Sweden, which all served to build momentum towards the global scale that Moog enjoys today. Robert Brady does not consider Moog to be a U.S.-based company that happens to do business outside the U.S.; instead, he views it as an international company that happens to be headquartered in the U.S. Nevertheless, he recognizes that business is done differently depending on where you are: for example, it’s different in Germany than it is in Italy or France, Japan and China are nothing alike, and Korea is still different yet. As such, it was critical that the American employees who were working for Moog abroad get acquainted with the nuances of doing business in the different countries. 6 Majority of Global Companies Rose Above Economic Environment The great news for the Upstate New York region is that most businesses analyzed have grown since 2007, despite the challenging economic environment. All but two of the top manufacturing businesses based in the region have grown during this period, such as the global distributor of test and measurement instruments, Transcat, Inc., which posted a 7.6% net growth. All but one of the business services providers have posted growth over the last five years, with Synacor, a global provider of internet software tools and portals, showing the highest net growth in the global set at 18.28%. The aerospace industry, represented by Moog Inc. and Astronics Corporation, has grown almost 10% each (9.26% and 8.65%, respectively). Other noteworthy growth over this time period includes IEC Electronics Corp.’s 25.28% net growth. IEC is a domestic provider of electronic manufacturing services primarily for military and defense systems, transportation products, wireless communication systems, and medical systems and instruments. The average net revenue growth for a top global company in the region is 2.76%, compared with 1.98% average growth for domestic companies. We may see even greater growth for those businesses who now operate domestically but are showing signs of international expansion, such as Paychex, Inc. and Plug Power Inc. As noted, Paychex already has a small operation in Germany, which accounts for less than 1% of their revenue. Analysts continue to watch the company to see if it will expand further overseas. Plug Power Inc., a fuel cell company that currently dominates the North American market, announced a joint venture in 2011 with French gas distribution company Air Liquide, a move that hasn’t yet yielded revenue but is noted by some analysts to have the potential to triple its market share by making the move to sell their products in Europe.vii Net Revenue Growth by Company, 2007-2011 7 Revenue from Abroad Continues to Grow In 2011, there were ten businesses reporting international revenue close to, or well above the average of 29% for 2011. Those businesses earning just around the average for the peer set include Ultralife Corporation (31%), Ecology & Environment (32%), and Anaren (33%). Moving further above the net average for international revenue are Constellation Brands (37%), Columbus McKinnon (40%), Albany Molecular Research (43%), Moog (45%), Taylor Devices (45%), Performance Technologies (46%), and Greatbatch (55%). Among these ten businesses, all but two posted overall revenue growth from 2010 to 2011. Global Revenue Average, Global Companies, 2007-2011 If I’m a U.S.-only player, I’ve limited the scope of my growth because the U.S. is only going to grow at a certain rate. If you’ve got a product that can compete globally, why wouldn’t you compete globally? Greg Rustowicz Chief Financial Officer 8 The Ceiling is Higher for Global Companies Total Revenue Distribution, Global vs. Domestic Businesses, Based on 2011 Revenue Standard deviation analysis demonstrates that companies with international sales have a significantly higher revenue range than domestic companies. The top end of the range for global companies is $2.5 billion, compared to $1.9 billion for domestic companies. In addition, the mean revenue for global businesses is $59 million higher than the mean revenue for domestic businesses—$642 million compared to $583 million respectively. Breakdown of Foreign Revenue The reported geographical sources of revenue varied widely from company to company. Based on available data, Europe was the region with the most reported sales between 20072011. However, sales to this region have declined over this period. The next largest revenue-generating regions are roughly equal, and include Canada, Australia/New Zealand (which is largely a function of Constellation Brands’ heavy presence in the region), and Asia. Asia is the region showing the most growth across the international revenue data available. Trade to Canada and Australia/New Zealand has been relatively steady over the last five years. Global Revenue by Geographical Region, Global Companies, 2007-2011 9 Advice from the Top When asked about the counsel they would offer U.S.-based business executives considering global expansion, business leaders in Upstate New York with considerable global footprints offer a cautious and measured approach. The unanimous response, is not surprisingly, “do your homework.” Executives make it very clear —this is difficult work with considerable hurdles, but it’s work that can benefit your business exponentially. More specific advice from business leaders includes: • Learn the business environment to the best of your ability – do market studies, get boots on the ground. • Enlist the help of experts, specifically for financial services, tax, legal and labor issues. • Understand the culture and discern the most appropriate ways to engage the community where you will be doing business. • Know that each country is different – there is no one size fits all for global expansion. 10 Go there and understand about what the business environment is. And get excellent tax and legal advice. Get your passport ready, and be ready to travel. Business is done differently, depending on where you are. John Mye Chief Financial Officer Robert Brady Chairman and CEO You’re not in America anymore, and the differences in culture, compensation and go to market strategies need to be adapted by country. Even very sophisticated companies make mistakes. Commission a market study to understand the market, the size of the market, who the players are, what the product needs are, and what you have to do to be competitive in that market. David Klein Senior Vice President, Treasurer Greg Rustowicz Chief Financial Officer Spotlight on Top Companies in Upstate New York On the following pages are the global stories of two of the largest, publicly traded non-banking businesses in Upstate New York. Constellation Brands is the largest global business, with over one-third of its revenue earned from overseas sales in 2011. Paychex is the top domestic business in Upstate New York, however, its story is rather different from the perspective of global vs. domestic. 11 Global Importer/Exporter: Constellation Brands Constellation Brands is the largest public company headquartered in Upstate New York. The company originated as a bulk wine trader in 1945 and has become one of the leading international producers and marketers of wine, spirits and imported beer. Headquartered in Victor, New York, Constellation Brands has grown through many U.S. and global acquisitions. In addition to its range of products, Constellation Brands essentially serves as both an importer of foreign wines, as well as an exporter of U.S. wines across the globe. International sales account for 37% of Constellation’s 2011 reported revenue, a figure which has fluctuated slightly over the past five years, as revenues have declined since the economic crisis took hold in 2008. The table below illustrates that the portion of sales that accounts for Constellation Brands’ international revenue is significantly higher than the average for its peers in the region. The company derives most of its international revenue from Canada, Australia and New Zealand. Constellation Brands, Percentage of Revenue from International Sales Compared to Average Percentage of International Revenue for Peer Set For us it’s figuring out how to get the balance right between having an appropriate investment in assets and people in international in a foreign geography where we can get a return. David Klein Senior Vice President, Treasurer 12 Increasing consumer demand in the wine market for AsiaPacific prompted Constellation Brands to open a Hong Kong office in 2011, where Datamonitor reports the company already has a strong presence.viii According to Constellation’s Senior Vice President in Asia, Phillip Kingston, “the China market, along with the broader Asia region, is very important to the company.”ix Based on conversations with Constellation’s Treasurer, it is clear that the company will take a measured approach to China expansion, developing a business strategy with copious on-the-ground insights. America’s Business... Is Paychex Heading Abroad? Paychex is a leading provider of payroll, human resource, and benefits outsourcing solutions for small to medium-sized businesses. Thomas Golisano founded Paychex in 1971 in Rochester, New York, with “just $3,000 and a good idea – to make payroll outsourcing easier and more affordable for small businesses.”xii The business grew significantly in the late eighties and early nineties, with multiple service expansions as well as substantial acquisitions. Currently, Paychex has more than half a million customers nationwide, and represents a broad range of industries. The company receives many accolades for its human resources management and employee training programs, and has been recognized multiple times by Fortune magazine as one of “America’s Most Admired Companies.” Paychex is primarily a U.S. business – it reports income only for the U.S., though it has operations in Germany that account for less than 1% of its 2012, 2011, and 2010 revenue. While Paychex is doing better financially than its closest competitor ADP, analysts cite that Paychex’s primary concentration in the U.S. is a potential weakness or hindrance to future growth. This begs the question – will Paychex seek to expand internationally? The company’s 2012 annual report entitled “America’s Business Is Our Business” makes no assertions of a global expansion strategy, and analysts watching the company note that they are eager to know what the company’s plans are, the topic having come up many times over the years. In their first-ever Investor Day held on July 18, 2012, CEO Martin Mucci responded to a question about what conditions would have to be in place for Paychex to more aggressively seek international expansionxi: I think we’ve probably been a little bit shy of going outside the U.S. during the recession, but I think that we’ve proven that we can do it in Germany. I think we’ve learned a lot there, that it took longer than expected... Martin Mucci Chief Executive Officer William Blair analyst, Timothy McHugh, notes in his report following the Paychex Investor Day that “management does sound a little more open to the idea than we would have said a couple of years ago,” but that he still puts “low odds on the company actually expanding internationally.”xii The world will just have to wait and see. 13 In Summary: Considerations for Companies in Upstate New York Today’s economic landscape is constantly shifting, and old paradigms of stability and growth no longer hold true. Emerging populations and fresh demands have buoyed companies partnering with international markets, as evidenced by higher growth rates and increased revenue. The research shows that companies that have expanded internationally frequently are more successful in finding new revenue streams, capturing loyal new customers, and becoming inspired by ideas in other markets. In looking toward the future of Upstate New York business, consider what participating in the global economy can do to unlock the growth potential that emerging markets offer businesses. Research prospective countries and tap the right strategic partners, including tax, legal and financial services, to make sure you get the best advice and handson experience in determining the opportu-nities that will strengthen and build your business. About HSBC HSBC Bank USA, National Association HSBC Bank USA, National Association, with total assets of $196bn as of 30 September 2012 (US GAAP), serves 3 million customers through retail banking and wealth management, commercial banking, private banking, asset management, and global banking and markets segments. It operates more than 250 bank branches throughout the United States. There are over 165 in New York State as well as branches in: California; Connecticut; Delaware; Washington, D.C.; Florida; Maryland; New Jersey; Pennsylvania; Oregon; Virginia; and Washington State. HSBC Bank USA, N.A. is the principal subsidiary of HSBC USA Inc., an indirect, wholly-owned subsidiary of HSBC North America Holdings Inc. HSBC Bank USA, N.A. is a member of the FDIC. HSBC Holdings plc HSBC Holdings plc, the parent company of the HSBC Group, is headquartered in London. The Group serves customers worldwide from around 6,900 offices in over 80 countries and territories in Europe, the Asia-Pacific region, North and Latin America, and the Middle East and North Africa. With assets of US$2,721bn at 30 September 2012, the HSBC Group is one of the world’s largest banking and financial services organisations. Interested in growing your trade business? HSBC provides financial services to the majority of the companies that conduct international trade in Upstate New York. Contact: Kevin B. Quinn, Senior Vice President, Head of Corporate Banking for Upstate New York, HSBC - North America e-mail: [email protected] telephone: 716.841.2556 About World Trade Center Buffalo Niagara World Trade Center Buffalo Niagara is an international business development organization that offers worldwide membership affiliation and helps companies expand internationally, find new markets, and increase competitiveness. WTCBN is part of a network of 300 World Trade Centers in over 100 countries and uses its distinct consulting capabilities to strengthen the competitive international position of companies in Western New York, the Southern Tier, the Finger Lakes, and southern Ontario. Information online at www.wtcbn.com 14 Methodology The companies covered in the report were identified using Hoover’s business directory to compile the initial list of companies. The companies were sorted by most recent total revenue and the top 30 non-banking institutions were selected for the analysis. Total revenue and international revenue data was then collected for the five year period of 2007 through 2011, using the Capital IQ data platform. All efforts were made to include all available data for each company, including Form 10-K reviews, and outreach to specific companies for missing figures. Any missing figures are noted in the report. For the purpose of this study, companies are distinguished by whether or not they report revenue from outside the U.S. and defined as one of the following: (1) Global – companies with reported revenue from outside the U.S. (2) Domestic – companies with no reported revenue from outside the U.S. In addition to data compilation, secondary research was conducted on the Upstate New York business community, as well as primary research among business executives who represent five of the top 30 companies included in the report. Business executives from Columbus McKinnon, Constellation Brands, Ecology & Environment, and Moog, Inc. participated in 30-minute telephone interviews to discuss the business climate in Upstate New York and share their perspectives on their experiences with international trade. Insights from these interviews are included and cited throughout the report. Multiple additional research sources were consulted, and are referenced throughout the report. Endnotes i Regional Plan Association, “Why Western’s Future Matters to New York,” August 11, 2005 ii The Economist, “Back in business,” June 30, 2012 iii Fiscal Policy Institute, “New York State Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2012-2013” iv The Economist, “Back in business,” June 30, 2012 v Weissman Center for International Business, “International Trade through the New York and New Jersey Region,” May 2012 vi Lahart, Justin. “Divided by Two-Track Economy.” The Wall Street Journal, September 7, 2010 vii http://seekingalpha.com/article/310039-plug-power-cuts-deal-with-gas-giant-air-liquide-to-expand-in-europe viii Constellation Brands, Inc. Company Profile. Datamonitor. February 14, 2011 ix “Wine Class is in Session.” Beverage World (online). April 4, 2012 x http://www.paychex.com/corporate/about-us.aspx xi http://seekingalpha.com/article/734761-paychex-s-ceo-hosts-investor-day-conference-transcript?page=34&p=qanda&l=last xii McHugh, Timothy. “Paychex,, Inc. No Significant Surprises, but Investor Day Demonstrates Improvements to IT and Sales.” William Blair Equity Research, July 19, 2012 Legal Disclosure United States persons (including entities) are subject to U.S. taxation on their worldwide income and may be subject to tax and other filing obligations with respect to their U.S. and non U.S. accounts. US persons and entities should consult a tax advisor for more information. © Copyright HSBC Bank USA, N.A. 2013 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, on any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of HSBC Bank USA. 15
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