Monthly y Weather Bulletin No. 270 OCTOBER 2008 Although it was a cool and wet month generally, October was also very sunny, particularly in the west and southwest, where some stations had their sunniest October on record. This picture was taken at Monkstown, Co. Cork on a typically sunny evening. (picture Irish Examine) COLDER, WETTER BUT SUNNIER THAN NORMAL EVERYWHERE Mean monthly air temperatures were below normal everywhere, by around one degree generally. They were close to normal for much of the month, but dropped well below the average during the final week, when falls of hail, sleet or snow were also recorded. It was the first month with below normal mean temperatures at all stations since October 2004, INSIDE East African cyclone- page 2 Wind & Elements .......... 4 Marine & Pressur e ....... 5 Pressure Agmet /Lab b .................. 6 /La and it was the coldest October for 15 years in the east of the country. There were between 12 and 17 ground frosts recorded in some inland areas during the month, more than twice the normal amount for October, with severe ground frost in places at the end of the month. Dublin Airport’s minimum air temperature of -1.3°C on the 29th was its lowest for October since 1948. Diary ..................... 8 R ainfall ainfall .................. 10 Tempera emperature ture .......... 12 Sunshine ............... 14 Sunniest October on record in west World ther ....... 15 orld wea weather Featur e ................. 16 eature Forecasting changes in fish stocks caused by ocean warming Produced by Met Éireann, Glasnevin Hill, Dublin 9. Annual subscription 80 euro For more informationtel: +353-1-8064260 fax: +353-1-8064216 [email protected] www.met.ie/climate Notes on the tables and map showing location of stations appear in January issue 2 WEATHER October 2008 SAUDI ARABIA 9-day rainfall totals (mm) between October 18th and 26th 25 YEMEN Indian Ocean SOMALIA 50 100 150 200 250+ Tropical Storm 03B moved northwestwards across the Gulf of Aden on the 22nd, before coming ashore over southern Yemen on the 23rd.The cyclone produced several days of heavy rain in the region, equalling the totals normally recorded in a full year in places. Up to 200mm of rain fell over parts of south Yemen and eastern Somalia, with between 50mm and 100mm in many other parts of both countries.The rainfall chart above is derived from radar sensors on board the NASA Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite. The deluge brought destructive flooding that resulted in at least 180 deaths; the depression also had an unusual amount of electrical activity, with nine deaths reported due to lightning strikes. (images courtesy NASA Earth Observatory) Monthly rainfall totals were above normal for the fifth successive month; since the beginning of June, stations in the Dublin area have received around 80% of the amount normally recorded in a full year. This month, many stations had their wettest October since 2000. Some rainfall was measured on each day, with heaviest daily falls on the 4th, 9th/10th, 14th, 23rd and 25th. Over the western half of the country, there were between 22 and 25 wetdays during the month (days with 1mm or more rainfall), compared with the normal range for October in this area of between 17 and 22 wetdays. Despite the high rainfall totals, it was a sunny month everywhere, with around 30% more sunshine than normal generally. Shannon Airport had its sunniest October since records began there in 1945. The highest daily sunshine values were recorded between the 1st and 8th, on the 21st and 31st. 1st to 26th: The month’s weather was dominated by frontal systems associated with Atlantic depressions, some of which deepened considerably as they tracked to the northwest of Ireland. These fastmoving systems brought rain or showers each day, with heavy falls in all areas at times. The 4th, 10th, 23rd and 25th were particularly wet, bringing flooding locally; Kenmare, Co. Kerry, suffered severe flooding on the 23rd, with 2-day falls of over 75mm in the area. Winds during this period were strong at times and the week between the 19th and 26th was very windy, when southwest to westerly winds reached gale to strong gale force. After a cool start to the month during the first three days, temperatures were close to normal for most of the period. Slacker winds allowed ground frost to become widespread in inland areas on the 5th and 6th. Some sunshine was recorded on most days, often between showers, particularly during the first week. October 2008 3 WEATHER 27th to 31st: A cold front moving southeastwards across the country on the 26th introduced a very cold Arctic airstream over Ireland. Wintry showers, some heavy, were recorded each day, with a band of rain over all areas on the 29th falling as sleet or snow as it moved eastwards across the country; snow accumulated in some northern and upland areas. Both daytime and nightime temperatures were between five and eight degrees below normal, with widespread ground frost, severe in places. Strong north to northwesterly winds veered to a more northeasterly direction later. Wind and elements: Mean windspeeds for the month were above normal everywhere, varying between 8 and 14 knots generally (15 and 26km/h), up to 20 knots (37km/h) at Malin Head. These were the highest mean values for October for between 7 and 10 years. The month’s strongest winds were in the period 19th to 26th; the highest gust, 67 knots (124km/h), was recorded at Belmullet on the 25th, its highest October gust since 2000. Thunder was recorded on the 2nd, 20th, 21st, 26th, 27th and 30th. Hail showers were widespread at times in the periods 1st to 3rd and 20th to 30th, with snow in places on the 28th and 29th. Fog was most widespread between the 6th and 15th. Synoptic chart at 0000UTC on 28th Visible satellite image at 1353UTC on 27th Above and left The month ended with a very cold northerly airstream over Ireland, bringing frequent wintry showers. (image courtesy Wokingham Weather, www.btinternet.com/~wokingham.weather) 4 WIND & ELEMENTS October 2008 ELEEMEENTS WIND (KNOTS) County / Station Mean speed CO. CARLOW Carlow (Oak Park) CO. CAVAN Ballyhaise CO. CLARE Shannon Airport CO. CORK Roche’s Point Cork Airport CO. DONEGAL Malin Head CO. WEXFORD Johnstown Castle Days with Hours with gales gale gusts gale gusts Fog 0 5 36 7.2 230° 21 23/15 230° 38 20/0913 0 2 6 9.4 220° 28 23/15 230° 42 20/0910 0 6 19 0 0 2 1 1 13.7 10.1 200° 39 23/13 220° 31 23/13 200° 49 23/1440 220° 47 23/1340 1 0 10 9 157 44 0 0 0 0 10 2/16 250° 64 23/1530 200° 64 25/0829 8 24 254 1 0 8 0 0 220° 47 23/1602 0 12 67 1 0 1 1 2 12.1 240° 32 20/06 230° 32 23/16 210° 35 25/10 210° 55 25/0909 3 10 81 1 0 1 0 2 10.6 200° 32 23/12 200° 48 23/1143 0 12 63 0 0 5 0 1 16.0 10.8 210° 46 23/13 250° 32 23/15 200° 67 25/0807 200° 49 23/1235 6 0 24 10 224 58 0 2 0 0 10 2 1 0 0 9 7.5 210° 22 25/07 250° 35 20/0944 0 4 7 10° 42 6.5 190° 20 23/14 190° 33 23/1027 190° 33 25/1027 0 0 0 8.0 200° 24 23/14 200° 40 23/1504 0 2 28 N Elements are not available for automatic stations Dublin Airport Calm: 0.1% NW N NW NE NE 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% W E SE SW Thunder 180° 37 23/1355 190° 37 25/0903 Valentia Observatory Calm: 0.1% Snow Snow Lying Hail 180° 26 10/02 190° 26 25/08 12.6 Casement Aerodrome CO. KERRY Valentia Observatory CO. MAYO Belmullet Knock Airport CO. OFFALY Birr CO. WESTMEATH Mullingar Max. Gust dir. speed date/time 8.6 19.2 CO. DUBLIN Dublin Airport Max. 10-min. mean dir. speed date/hour W E SW SE S S 1-10 knots >10 knots PERCENTAGE FREQUENCY OF WIND DIRECTION MARINE OBSERVATIONS FROM IRISH MARINE DATA BUOY NETWORK Wind Direction degrees from north 5 MARINE & PRESSURE October 2008 360 300 Buoy 200 Sea surface temp. Mean wind speed (°C) 100 (knots) Max. 10-min wind Mean wave height Max. wave height (knots) (m.) (m.) M2 n/a 20.7 42 1.7 4.9 M3 13.1 n/a n/a 3.7 7.3 M4 12.8 n/a n/a 4.3 8.5 M5 13.7 17.7 32 2.2 5.8 M6 14.1 20.3 38 3.3 6.3 0 Wind Speed 50 Wind speed values are for Buoy M5 knots 40 30 20 10 Malin 12.3 Head 0 Sea Temperature 16 Summary of Mean Monthly Values °C 15 z Malin Head 14 13 M4 12 11 Wave Height 14 12 M2 metres 10 M6 8 6 4 2 0 10 15 DATE 20 25 M5 31 M3 10 0 Hourly wind and wave conditions at M3 (51.22°N, 10.55°W) MEAN ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE 00 10 L 993 70˚N 08 10 Mean sea level pressure values for the month varied between 1008hPa in the north and 1014hPa in the south; they were close to normal in the south but a little below normal in the north. The lowest pressure value of the month, 985.8hPa, was measured at Malin Head on the 20th as a very deep depression passed to the north of the country. Pressure recovered quickly over subsequent days, and Johnstown Castle measured the month’s highest value of 1027.1hPa on the 24th. 1015 00 60˚N 10 1008 101 16 10 6 50˚N 102 4 H 1026 L 10 40˚N 24 10 L 1017 H 1019 Monthly mean MSL pressure, based on 1200 UTC values 30˚N 1030 1020 1010 1000 990 • Valentia Observatory 5 6 — — • — — Malin Head 980 1 2 3 4 7 8 1 5 100 1 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Mean daily Mean Sea Level pressure (hPa) 6 AGMET / LABORATORY Soil Temperatures at 0900UTC 9.5 (0.0) Mean 100mm Soil Temperatures (°C) at 0900UTC (difference from 1961-90 normals in brackets) 10.4 (0.0) 7.4 9.1 (0.0) 10.5 (-0.2) 9.0 (-0.3) 8.4 (-1.1) 10.2 (-0.2) 9.6 (-0.9) 9.0 (-1.1) -10/2 -10/0 -10/1 -10/1 -10/1 -8/1 -9/0 -10/1 -5/1 Soil Moisture Deficits (mm) 10th of month / end of month -10/1 -10/1 (0 represents field capacity, -10 saturation) -10/1 electrical conductivity (μS/cm) PRECIPITATION 8 pH and electrical conductivity are not available on dry days (<0.2mm) 200 7 pH 150 6 100 5 50 4 0 3 NO2-N 4.5 4 3.5 SO2-S 3 2.5 2 SO4-S 1.5 z z z (μgs/m3) 1 0.5 0 data shown here are interim values and are subject to change AIR 100mm 200mm 300mm CO. CARLOW CARLOW (OAK PARK) CO. CAVAN BALLYHAISE CO. CLARE SHANNON AIRPORT CARRON CO. CORK ROCHE’S POINT FERMOY (MOORE PARK) CORK AIRPORT SHERKIN ISLAND BALLINCURRIG (PEAFIELD) CO. DONEGAL MALIN HEAD CO. DUBLIN TUCSON PHOENIX PARK DUBLIN AIRPORT CASEMENT AERODROME CO. KERRY VALENTIA OBSERVATORY CO. LIMERICK MOUNT RUSSELL CO. LOUTH ARDEE (BOHARNAMOE) CO. MAYO BELMULLET STRAIDE KNOCK AIRPORT CO. MEATH WARRENSTOWN CO. OFFALY BIRR CO. TIPPERARY FETHARD (PARSONSHILL) CO. WATERFORD DUNGARVAN (CARRIGLEA) CO. WESTMEATH MULLINGAR CO. WEXFORD JOHNSTOWN CASTLE JOHN F. KENNEDY PARK CLONROCHE (KNOXTOWN) Chemical Analysis of Precipitation and Air Samples at Valentia Observatory 250 °C County/ Station 7.8 9.0 (-0.5) October 2008 8.4 9.6 10.0 7.8 9.2 9.9 10.2 10.7 10.9 12.0 11.6 9.7 10.3 9.0 11.2 9.3 10.5 11.0 10.0 12.0 10.5 11.3 11.3 11.7 12.5 11.3 9.5 10.8 11.9 8.2 8.2 9.0 10.1 9.2 10.0 10.9 10.1 11.0 10.5 11.7 13.1 9.2 10.0 8.8 10.3 10.6 10.4 9.5 7.4 11.2 12.3 8.7 9.9 8.2 9.4 11.0 9.0 10.1 12.0 8.9 10.2 10.7 11.3 8.8 10.3 11.5 9.6 9.7 9.7 10.4 10.9 10.4 10.8 12.9 11.5 Acid rain occurs when pollutants combine with moisture in the air to form sulphuric or nitric acid. pH is the simplest way of measuring the acidity of precipitation. Usually pH of 7.00 is considered neutral but this is not the case in rainfall samples. Pure water in the atmosphere has an equilibrium pH value of 5.65 at 20°C owing to carbon dioxide in the air dissolving to form carbonic acid. Any value below pH 5.65 is considered acid while any value above is considered alkaline. Sulphur dioxide and sulphate in air contribute to the formation of sulphuric acid; nitrate in air contributes to the formation of nitric acid. Conductivity measures the total ion activity in the rainfall, i.e. the higher the conductivity the greater the number of ions present. 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 days with ground frost 1.0 2.4 -1.0 -1.0 5 12 31 31 0 0 1 1 58 15 57 12 34 5 150 32 0.1 0.1 -2.8 -2.8 5 12 31 31 10.9 11.1 7.5 9.8 -0.6 3.0 3.4 -2.2 -2.2 Co. Donegal Glenties 1-10 96.1 - 10 10 11-20 40.9 9 8 21-end 138.5 - 11 10 month 275.5 153 30 28 14.1 13.3 10.4 12.5 5.9 6.8 3.7 5.4 10.0 10.1 7.1 9.0 -1.0 Co. Kerry Ardfert 1-10 96.4 11-20 34.8 21-end 49.6 month 180.8 Co. Louth Ardee 1-10 11-20 21-end month Co. Waterford Dungarvan 1-10 50.1 11-20 34.8 21-end 38.2 month 123.1 47.5 16.6 27.7 91.8 Co. Wexford 1-10 74.3 Johnstown Castle 11-20 52.2 21-end 56.6 month 183.1 - 0 0 5 5 - - - - 0 0 2 2 - - 43.8 34.2 40.7 118.7 - 9.4 10.2 7.1 8.8 11.5 11.2 9.2 10.6 - - 11.5 11.5 8.4 10.4 -0.6 4.2 6.0 -1.0 -1.0 5 17 31 31 0 0 1 1 70 22 71 20 46 7 187 49 2.4 3.4 -3.6 -3.6 5 17 31 31 7 5 6 113 18 6 3 5 14 14.6 14.0 10.6 13.0 4.6 5.9 2.5 4.3 9.6 10.0 6.6 8.7 -1.3 0.9 3.0 -2.0 -2.0 6 15 29 29 0 0 2 2 54 14 57 13 31 4 142 31 -2.5 -0.1 -5.5 -5.5 6 5 15 1 29 5 29 11 8 5 4 17 15.2 15.1 12.0 14.0 7.4 8.0 3.8 6.3 11.3 11.6 7.9 10.2 -0.7 3.2 4.0 -1.9 -1.9 8 17 29 29 0 0 1 1 69 21 72 23 43 8 184 52 2.0 2.4 -4.0 -4.0 3 17 29 29 0 0 2 2 - 12.2 12.5 9.5 11.3 44.5 22.9 54.0 121.4 138 - 10 5 6 3 - 10 6 170 26 14 13.9 14.6 11.3 13.2 7.6 9.1 4.7 7.1 10.8 11.9 8.0 10.2 -0.6 4.7 5.7 0.0 0.0 3 17 29 29 0 0 0 0 64 17 75 23 43 8 181 47 2.1 4.2 -2.7 -2.7 3 17 29 29 0 0 2 2 10.6 11.3 7.0 9.6 11.7 12.2 8.9 10.8 36.8 23.5 49.8 110.1 121 - 9 7 9 25 Soil Moisture (mm) 1-10 11-20 21-end month 28.2 0.3 20.6 49.1 - 0 0 0 65 46 83 Deficit Accum’ltd Deficit Surplus 1-10 Johnstown Castle 11-20 21-end month 37.0 14.0 5.2 56.2 - 0 0 0 25 51 51 Co. Wexford MONTHLY EVAPORATION (MM) FROM CLASS A PAN Clare Cork Kerry Kildare Mayo Offaly Waterford Wexford 140 7.7 8.4 5.2 7.0 Amount Station 42.9 19.9 49.8 112.6 15.2 14.5 11.6 13.7 Period County 12.1 12.2 9.6 11.3 9 5 8 22 P.E. (mm) Valentia Obs. 11.3 11.6 8.3 10.3 30.7 25.9 30.9 87.5 9 7 9 25 MEASURED POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION (P.E.) AND SOIL MOISTURE Station Co. Kerry - % of average 7.1 7.5 3.5 6.0 - total no. of hours 14.7 14.7 11.5 13.5 1-10 48.5 11-20 26.0 21-end 33.4 month 107.9 lowest min. 6 5 5 16 amount 9 6 8 108 23 Co. Cork Fermoy - 1.7 6 - 2.6 15 - -1.0 29 - -1.0 29 mean 30cm at 0900h date 3 3 18 2 29 7 29 12 9.4 9.6 6.8 8.5 mean 10cm at 0900h lowest "grass-min." -1.2 -0.7 -5.5 -5.5 5.2 5.9 3.2 4.7 degree days > 4.4°C 66 19 67 20 39 7 172 46 13.6 13.3 10.3 12.3 days with air frost diff. from average 0 0 1 1 mean daily 8 17 29 29 mean min. 2 1 4 7 mean max. 6 15 31 31 rain days wet days -1.4 -0.5 -4.8 -4.8 8 6 7 21 1-10 65.3 11-20 26.5 21-end 42.9 month 134.7 (HOURS) 52 11 53 11 32 4 137 27 10 7 9 26 Co. Cavan Cavan (Loreto) SUNSHINE 0 0 2 2 - period degree days > 10.0°C TEMPERATURE (°C) (MM) date RAINFALL % of average 10-DAY VALUES FOR SELECTED AGROMETEOROLOGICAL STATIONS Station 7 AGMET October 2008 Monthly Rainfall (mm) Kilmaley n/a Fermoy (Moorepark) 107.9 Valentia Observatory 244.8 Poulaphuca 144.6 Newport (Furnace) 249.4 Derrygreenagh 119.2 Dungarvan (Carriglea) 123.1 Johnstown Castle 183.2 Monthly Evaporation (mm) n/a 20.7 49.0 17.7 14.1 6.4 20.9 45.8 P.E. (Penman) GLOBAL SOLAR RADIATION (MJ/sq.m.) Station total(mm) 1st-10th 11th-20th 21st-end Co.Carlow 67.50 47.79 54.77 23 Carlow (Oak Park) Co.Cavan 58.39 55.89 53.66 21 Ballyhaise Co.Clare 25 Shannon Airport Co.Cork 23 Cork Airport 78.15 52.71 65.92 n/a Roche’s Point Co.Donegal 52.69 58.27 44.97 36 Malin Head Co.Dublin 72.97 52.86 59.10 28 Dublin Airport 27 Casement Aerodrome Co Kerry 78.61 56.16 59.66 32 Valentia Obs. Co.Mayo 66.17 65.74 50.78 30 Belmullet 21 Knock Airport Co.Offaly 67.38 57.72 54.51 23 Birr Co.Westmeath 62.56 54.39 54.01 22 Mullingar Co.Wexford 68.37 54.77 59.78 25 Johnstown Castle Total 170.06 167.94 196.78 155.93 184.93 194.43 182.69 179.61 170.96 182.92 8 DIARY Wednesday 1st: Overnight showers were widespread and heavy in Ulster, lighter elsewhere. The showers continued through the morning and spread countrywide by afternoon, becoming confined to the west and southwest by evening. Sunny in the south and east, cloudier further north. Winds were strong northwesterly for most of the day, decreasing to light by evening. Rainfall: trace to 10mm, heaviest at Belmullet, trace at Birr Temperature: max. 11°C to 14°C, min. 4°C to 8°C, no ground frost Sunshine: 3 to 9 hours, sunniest at Dublin Airport, 3 hours at Malin Head Thursday 2nd: Showers in the west and north overnight, mostly dry and clear elsewhere. The showers continued during the morning in the west and north, with sunny spells over the rest of the country. The showers became more widespread during the afternoon with some thundery outbreaks over the northern half of the country. Winds were moderate northwesterly, increasing to strong with gale gusts, decreasing by evening in all but the west and north. Rainfall: trace to 7mm, heaviest at Birr, trace at Casement Aerodrome Temperature: max. 10°C to 13°C, min. 3°C to 7°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C at Claremorris Sunshine: 2 to 7 hours, sunniest at Cork Airport, 2 hours at Knock Airport Friday 3rd: Scattered showers overnight, mainly in the western half of the country. A cool, breezy day with sunny spells generally, cloudier in the north and west with a few scattered showers. Cloudy, wet weather moved in from the Atlantic late in the evening. Winds were gale force and gusty on northern coasts overnight, light to moderate northwesterly elsewhere, backing southwesterly during the afternoon, remaining strong on the western seaboard. Rainfall: nil to 1mm, heaviest at Malin Head Temperature: max. 9°C to 13°C, min. 2°C to 8°C, ground temperatures down to -2°C at Claremorris Sunshine: 2 to 7 hours, sunniest at Shannon Airport, 2 hours at Malin Head Saturday 4th: A dry start in most parts. Rain spread from the northwest during the moring, giving some very heavy falls. By late evening the rain had cleared most of Ulster, but continued over the remainder of the country, resulting in some very heavy falls, particularly in the southwest. No sunshine. Winds were moderate to strong and gusty, southwesterly, later veering northerly. Rainfall: 10 to 39mm, heaviest at Valentia, 10mm at Malin Head Temperature: max. 13°C to 16°C, min. 6°C to 11°C, no ground frost Sunshine: nil to trace Sunday 5th: Heavy rain in the east and southeast cleared the southeast coast by dawn. A dry start elsewhere with a slight to sharp frost in places. Long sunny spells throughout, although remaining cool. Some showers in the afternoon in the extreme north, but it remained dry elsewhere. Becoming cold after dark. Winds were light to moderate northeasterly, veering light southerly. Rainfall: nil to 22mm, heaviest at Johnstown Castle Temperature: max. 11°C to 15°C, min. 1°C to 8°C, ground temperatures down to -4°C at Casement Aerodrome Sunshine: 7 to 10 hours, sunniest at Knock Airport, 7 hours at Malin Head Monday 6th: Early rain in western coastal areas moved slowly eastwards during the morning. The day was generally dull and damp with patches of rain and drizzle and some fog patches, just a few short sunny spells, with afternoon temperatures around normal. Rain moved in from the Atlantic in the evening and moved eastwards across the country. Light to moderate south or southeasterly winds were fresh and gusty at times on northwestern coasts. Rainfall: <1 to 10mm, heaviest at Valentia, <1mm at Malin Head Temperature: max. 14°C to 18°C, min. 1°C to 11°C, ground temperatures down to -3°C at Casement Aerodrome Sunshine: nil to 4 hours, sunniest at Belmullet, nil at Cork Airport Tuesday 7th: Rain over the western half of the country spread to all areas before dawn. A clearance reached the southwest by late morning and gradually crossed the country during the afternoon and evening, finally clearing the northeast coast around dusk. Scattered light showers followed the clearance, but these died out later. Sunshine in the west and southwest, cloudy further east. Winds were light southeasterly, veering west or northwesterly during the morning and early afternoon, later backing southwest or westerly. Rainfall: 4 to 18mm, heaviest at Belmullet, 4mm at Valentia Temperature: max. 12°C to 15°C, min. 6°C to 11°C, no ground frost Sunshine: nil to 6 hours, sunniest at Valentia October 2008 Wednesday 8th: Mostly dry apart from some isolated light showers in Ulster during the afternoon. Sunny countrywide. After a cold start, temperatures rose above normal and it was mild by afternoon, cold again inland after dark. Winds were light south or southwesterly in direction. Rainfall: nil to <1mm generally, 3mm at Malin Head Temperature: max. 14°C to 17°C, min. 4°C to 10°C ground temperatures below zero at Claremorris Sunshine: 8 to 10 hours, sunniest at Dublin Airport, 8 hours at Malin Head Thursday 9th: Early rain in the west spread countrywide during the morning. The afternoon was wet in most parts of the country, with very heavy rain in parts of the west and southwest. Rain and drizzle continued over much of the country during the evening, again heaviest in the southwest and west. Winds were southwesterly, strong and gusty, easing later. Rainfall: <1 to 25mm, heaviest at Valentia, <1mm at Johnstown Castle Temperature: max. 13°C to 16°C, min. 4°C to 13°C, no ground frost Sunshine: nil to trace Friday 10th: Rain and drizzle in the north and west spread gradually southeastwards overnight, becoming countrywide by late morning. A narrow band of heavy rain moved into the northwest and west around mid-afternoon and crossed the country during the afternoon and evening. Dry weather followed. Very mild. Winds were strong southwesterly, decreasing light and quite variable in direction. Rainfall: 6 to 22mm, heaviest at Claremorris, 6mm at Carlow (Oak Park) Temperature: max. 14°C to 17°C, min. 9°C to 12°C, no ground frost Sunshine: nil to trace Saturday 11th: Long sunny spells everywhere during the morning, except in the south where fog persisted until noon. There were showers during the afternoon that moved southeastwards as the day progressed, but amounts were small. Rain in the extreme southeast during the evening, dry elsewhere. Light southwesterly winds. Rainfall: nil to <1mm generally, 3mm at Johnstown Castle Temperature: max. 13°C to 16°C, min. 3°C to 10°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C at Claremorris Sunshine: 2 to 6 hours, sunniest at Knock Airport, 2 hours at Cork Airport Sunday 12th: Fog persisted in the south of the country for much of the morning, with sunny spells elsewhere. The fog lifted during the afternoon and there were some clear spells, also some drizzle along southwest coasts. Winds were light, south to southwesterly in direction. Rainfall: nil to 1mm, heaviest at Cork Airport Temperature: max. 13°C to 17°C, min. 1°C to 9°C, ground temperatures down to -2°C at Casement Aerodrome Sunshine: <1 to 4 hours, sunniest at Dublin Airport, <1hour at Malin Head Monday 13th: Rain in the northwest towards morning spread southwards during the day, becoming light and patchy. Drier, clearer weather with wellscattered showers and sunny spells followed on in the afternoon. Remaining dull and damp with some fog patches in the southwest and south. Mild. Winds were light to moderate southwesterly, easing later. Rainfall: nil to 4mm, heaviest at Valentia, nil at Dublin Airport Temperature: max.14°C to 17°C, min. 4°C to 12°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C at Claremorris Sunshine: nil to 6 hours, sunniest at Dublin Airport, nil at Valentia Tuesday 14th: After a dry start, rain spread across the country from the south and west during the morning, with heavy downpours in many places. Dry weather followed from the northwest later in the afternoon. Winds were variable, light to moderate, becoming northwesterly later. Rainfall: nil to 38mm, heaviest at Johnstown Castle, nil at Malin Head Temperature: max. 11°C to 15°C, min. 2°C to 10°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C at Knock Airport Sunshine: nil to 7 hours, sunniest at Belmullet, nil in the south and east Wednesday 15th: Rain in the northwest spread southeastwards to all areas during the day, with just a few sunny spells. Showers returned to western areas during the evening. Winds were light southwesterly, gusty in some coastal areas. Rainfall: trace to 9mm, heaviest at Knock Airport, trace at Johnstown Castle Temperature: max. 11°C to 14°C, min. 3°C to 9°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C at Birr Sunshine: 1 to 3 hours, sunniest at Belmullet, 1 hour at Cork Airport October 2008 DIARY 9 Thursday 16th: Cold overnight with showers, some of hail, mainly in the west. It was a cool, breezy day with scattered showers and sunny spells. The showers gradually died out in the evening. Winds were light to moderate west or northwesterly, backing southwesterly and easing during the afternoon. Friday 24th: Overnight showers, mainly in the western half of the country. A dry start to the day in most parts, but showers lingered into the afternoon in parts of the midlands. Sunshine throughout, particularly in the east. Dry in all areas by evening. Winds were southwesterly, strong and gusty. Rainfall: nil to 5mm, heaviest at Malin Head Temperature: max. 11°C to 14° min. 4°C to 8°C, ground temperatures below zero at Birr Sunshine: 4 to 7 hours, sunniest at Dublin Airport, 4 hours at Belmullet Rainfall: nil to 4mm, heaviest at Knock Airport Temperature: max. 11°C to 14°C, min. 4°C to 9°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C at Cork Airport Sunshine: 5 to 8 hours, sunniest at Dublin Airport, 5 hours at Belmullet Friday 17th: Scattered showers in western and northern coastal areas overnight. Mist or fog cleared slowly during the morning to give a mostly dry day with scattered showers and sunny spells, mainly in eastern and southern areas. Winds were light to moderate, southwesterly, gusty in the northwest. Saturday 25th: Heavy rain reached the west during the early hours and moved gradually eastwards throughout the day. The rain was persistent in most areas, causing some localised flooding. No sunshine. Winds were southwesterly, strong to gale force initially, reaching storm force at times with severe gusts. Rainfall: nil to 3mm, heaviest at Belmullet Temperature: max. 10°C to 14° min. 2°C to 10°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C in the midlands Sunshine: trace to 5 hours, sunniest at Valentia, trace at Knock Airport Rainfall: 8 to 22mm, heaviest at Valentia, 8mm at Carlow (Oak Park) Temperature: max. 13°C to 15°C, min. 7°C to 12°C, no ground frost Sunshine: nil to trace Saturday 18th: Mild overnight with light rain or showers in western areas. Rain and drizzle moved eastwards during the morning and afternoon. Dry in most parts by evening. Generally cloudy with just a few sunny spells. Winds were southwesterly, light to moderate, occasional gusts on northwestern coasts. Rainfall: trace to 4mm, heaviest at Claremorris, trace at Casement Aerodrome Temperature: max. 12°C to 15°C, min. 6°C to 11°C, no ground frost Sunshine: 1 to 4 hours, sunniest at Shannon Airport, 1 hour at Knock Airport Sunday 19th: Some rain and drizzle overnight in the north and northwest. The rain continued throughout most of the day in all areas with some heavy falls, particularly in the west and southeast. Generally overcast with just a few sunny spells. Winds were southwesterly, strong and gusty. Rainfall: trace to 10mm, heaviest at Claremorris, trace at Casement Aerodrome Temperature: max. 13°C to 16°C, min 9°C to 13°C, no ground frost Sunshine: nil to 2 hours, sunniest at Malin Head Monday 20th: Showers continued into the early part of the night, heaviest in the west. By afternoon, the showers had become countrywide with the heaviest falls still in the west. Some of the showers were of hail and there were scattered thunderstorms; sunny spells also between showers. Winds were strong southwesterly, gradually decreasing. Rainfall: 1 to 11mm, heaviest at Shannon Airport, 1mm at Dublin Airport Temperature: max. 12°C to 15°C, min. 5°C to 9°C, no ground frost Sunshine: 2 to 4 hours, sunniest at Knock Airport, 2 hours at Birr and Casement Aerodrome Tuesday 21st: Heavy showers continued during the night, mainly over the western half of the country. The shower activity lasted all day in the west, with occasional lighter ones further east. Some of the showers were of hail and there were scattered thunderstor ms. Sunshine between the showers countrywide. Winds were westerly, light inland, fresh near coasts. Rainfall: nil to 7mm, heaviest at Malin Head, nil at Dublin Airport Temperature: max. 10°C to 12°C, min. 3°C to 7°C, ground temperatures down to -2°C at Claremorris Sunshine: 4 to 9 hours, sunniest at Cork Airport, 4 hours at Malin Head Wednesday 22nd: Cold overnight with scattered showers, most frequent in western areas. The day was cool and breezy with isolated showers and sunny spells. Wet and windy weather in the northwest during the late afternoon spread southeastwards to most areas during the evening. Remaining mild after dark. Winds were southwesterly, light to moderate, becoming strong and gusty. Rainfall: nil to 3mm, heaviest at Belmullet, nil at Dublin Airport Temperature: max. 11°C to 14°C, min. 4°C to 9°C, ground temperatures down to -2°C at Carlow (Oak Park) Sunshine: nil to 6 hours, sunniest at Dublin Airport, nil at Belmullet Thursday 23rd: Mild overnight and during the day. Very wet and windy with some severe gusts. The rain was heavy and persistent at times, particularly in the western half of the country, leading to flooding in places. Clearer, less windy weather with scattered showers followed from the west in the late afternoon and evening. Winds were southwesterly, strong and very gusty, easing slightly later, remaining strong in the northwest. Rainfall: 5 to 42mm, heaviest at Valentia, 5mm at Ballyhaise Temperature: max. 14°C to 16°C, min. 5°C to 9°C, no ground frost Sunshine: nil to 1 hour, sunniest at Belmullet Sunday 26th: Rain, heavy at times overnight in the southern half of the country, cleared by morning. Scattered showers elsewhere. The day was cool and windy with scattered showers and sunny spells. Cold after dark with the showers becoming confined to the western half of the country; showers turned wintry on northwestern coasts. Winds were westerly, fresh to strong and very gusty, gale force on northwestern coasts, easing gradually by evening. Rainfall: 1 to 9mm, heaviest at Malin Head, 1mm at Shannon Airport Temperature: max. 9°C to 14°C, min. 3°C to 7°C, ground temperatures down to -1°C at Claremorris Sunshine: 4 to 8 hours, sunniest at Shannon Airport, 4 hours at Malin Head Monday 27th: Heavy showers in the west overnight, some with hail. The showers continued in the west and north during the day, but were isolated in the east. Sunny spells in all areas. Showers became confined to Atlantic coasts by late evening. Winds were moderate northwesterly, occasionally strong and gusty in the north. Rainfall: nil to 7mm, heaviest at Knock Airport, nil at Dublin Airport Temperature: max. 8°C to 10°C, min. 1°C to 6°C, ground temperatures down to -2°C at Claremorris Sunshine: 3 to 8 hours, sunniest at Shannon Airport, 3 hours at Knock Airport Tuesday 28th: Showers in the west overnight, some of sleet or hail. Early frost cleared quickly. Sunshine and showers during the day, the heaviest of the showers in the west. Generally dry in most parts by evening. Cold with a sharp to severe ground frost during the evening. Winds were north to northwesterly, light, increasing to gale force with stronger gusts, falling light again by evening. Rainfall: nil to 6mm, heaviest at Claremorris, nil at Casement Aerodrome Temperature: max. 5°C to 10°C, min. -3°C to 5°C, ground temperatures below zero at all inland stations, down to -7°C at Carlow (Oak Park) Sunshine: 2 to 7 hours, sunniest at Shannon Airport, 2 hours at Knock Airport Wednesday 29th: A dry, cold night with a sharp to severe frost in many inland areas. Rain reached the west coast by dawn and spread quickly across the country, giving some very heavy falls, particularly in northern parts. Showers followed, affecting most parts during the evening. Very little sunshine. Winds were moderate to strong and gusty, variable in direction. Rainfall: 3 to 18mm, heaviest at Malin Head, 3mm at Roches Point Temperature: max. 6°C to 12°C, min. -2°C to 5°C, ground temperatures below zero at all inland stations, down to -7°C at Carlow (Oak Park) Sunshine: nil to 1 hour, sunniest at Cork Airport Thursday 30th: Scattered showers overnight. Sunny spells and showers during the morning. Showers in the east during the afternoon, some heavy and of hail. Winds were easterly, light to moderate with occasional gusts. Rainfall: nil to 9mm, heaviest at Casement Aerodrome Temperature: max. 6 °C to 10°C, min. 1°C to 7°C, ground temperatures down to -3°C at Birr Sunshine: trace to 9 hours, sunniest at Knock Airport, trace at Cork Airport Friday 31st: Mostly dry and clear overnight with a widespread frost. Sunny spells throughout, with isolated showers in the north and west. Frost after dark. Winds were light to moderate, easterly in direction. Rainfall: nil to trace generally, 1mm at Belmullet Temperature: max. 8°C to 11°C, min. -2°C to 7°C, ground temperatures below zero at most inland stations, down to -8°C at Birr Sunshine: 5 to 9 hours, sunniest at Cork Airport, 5 hours at Malin Head 10 Wetter than normal everywhere, very wet in west October rainfall totals were above normal everywhere and it was a particularly wet month in the west. Despite record high sunshine totals for the month in places, up to twice the normal rainfall totals were measured at some Connacht stations. Monthly totals ranged from 92mm at Ardee (Boharnamoe), Co. Louth, to 533mm at Maam Valley, Co. Galway, with percentage of normal values between 108% at Fermoy (Moorepark), Co. Cork, and 200% at Galway (University College). It was the wettest October for eight years at many stations and the wettest since 1967 at Galway. Rainfall was fairly evenly spread throughout the month, with very few dry days. Most stations recorded their heaviest daily falls on the 4th, 9th or 14th. Exceptionally heavy rainfall was recorded in the west on the 9th, when Maam Valley measured the highest daily fall of the month, 89.5mm. This was the highest such fall for October since records began in the area in 1968. Between 13 and 18 wetdays were recorded over most of the east and south of the country (days with 1mm or more of rainfall), but more than 20 wetdays were measured in western and northern areas. RAINFALL County/ Station October 2008 Total % of Amount 1961-90 (mm) average CO. CARLOW CARLOW (OAK PARK) 96.6 CO. CAVAN BALLYHAISE 117.0 CAVAN LORETO COLLEGE 134.7 CO. CLARE SHANNON AIRPORT 156.4 CARRON 295.6 CO. CORK ROCHE’S POINT 109.4 FERMOY (MOOREPARK) 107.9 CORK AIRPORT 139.2 SHERKIN ISLAND 127.8 BALLINCURRIG (PEAFIELD) 140.1 CO. DONEGAL MALIN HEAD 144.8 GLENTIES HATCHERY 275.5 BALLYSHANNON(CATHLEEN'S FALL) 177.3 CO. DUBLIN DUBLIN (PHOENIX PARK) 113.5 DUBLIN AIRPORT 97.4 CASEMENT AERODROME 117.7 DUBLIN (MERRION SQUARE) 99.8 CO. GALWAY GALWAY (UNIV.COLL.) 257.6 MAAM VALLEY 532.7 CONNEMARA NATIONAL PARK 308.9 BALLYGAR 158.9 CO. KERRY VALENTIA OBSERVATORY 244.8 ARDFERT (LISCAHANE) 180.8 CO. LIMERICK MOUNT RUSSELL 164.1 CO. LOUTH ARDEE (BOHARNAMOE) 91.8 CO. MAYO BELMULLET 177.5 STRAIDE 196.0 KNOCK AIRPORT 192.5 CO. MEATH WARRENSTOWN 106.8 CO. OFFALY BIRR 121.0 DERRYGREENAGH 119.2 CO. SLIGO ARDTARMON 155.5 CO. TIPPERARY FETHARD (PARSONSHILL) 147.0 CO. WATERFORD WATERFORD (TYCOR) 121.3 DUNGARVAN (CARRIGLEA) 123.1 CO. WESTMEATH MULLINGAR 123.9 CO. WEXFORD JOHNSTOWN CASTLE 183.2 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARK 150.0 CLONROCHE (KNOXTOWN) 167.5 Most in a day / date Number of Raindays Wetdays (>0.2mm) (>1mm) 119 22.0 4 24 13 119 16.1 17.7 9 9 26 26 21 21 168 177 23.1 49.6 4 9 25 29 25 25 123 108 110 109 20.0 21.3 27.2 15.2 23.0 14 4 14 4 14 22 23 27 25 23 13 16 18 21 17 122 153 150 16.7 27.1 19.5 29 22 4 30 30 28 27 28 22 162 22.7 18.6 23.2 38.0 4 4 4 7 20 21 21 17 16 14 16 10 63.3 89.5 70.5 27.3 9 9 9 9 27 30 31 29 23 25 25 21 32.9 47.9 4 4 26 25 24 22 26.8 4 26 22 113 17.4 4 18 14 132 145 23.0 37.8 28.0 9 9 9 29 29 29 25 25 25 127 16.7 4 21 16 144 139 19.9 17.9 4 4 24 21 16 15 18.3 29 27 22 27.9 4 24 17 19.8 20.5 14 4 23 25 15 17 18.7 4 27 20 37.3 30.6 33.0 4 14 4 26 19 25 14 16 16 171 154 200 174 147 156 116 170 136 11 RAINFALL October 2008 Total rainfall (mm) < 100 100 - 150 150 - 200 200 - 300 300 - 400 > 400 Percentage of normal rainfall 100 - 125% 125 - 150% 150 - 175% 175 - 200% Daily 0-24h rainfall values(mm) 42 39 25 20 15 10 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 1 12 1 3 14 1 5 16 1 7 18 1 9 20 2 1 22 2 3 24 2 5 26 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 0 31 Valentia Observatory Dublin Airport Birr 12 TEMPERATURE October 2008 Cooler than normal everywhere Mean air temperatures for the month were below normal everywhere, the first month with below normal mean temperatures at all stations since October 2004. They varied between 8.1°C at Derrygreenagh, Co. Offaly, and 11.4°C at Sherkin Island, Co. Cork. Although just slightly cooler than normal in parts of the west, mean temperatures were over a degree below normal at many eastern and midland stations, where it was the coldest October since 1993. There was little variation in temperature throughout most of October, but colder spells were recorded at the beginning and particularly at the end of the month. The highest temperatures were observed around the middle of the month, with the highest value of 18.3°C recorded at Dungarvan (Carriglea), Co. Waterford on the 13th. Air and ground frost became widespread at the end of the month, paricularly on the 29th and 31st. The month’s lowest air temperature, -3.0°C, was recorded at Casement Aerodrome on the 29th, its lowest such value for October since 1993, while Birr measured the lowest grass minimum value of -7.5°C on the 31st. A total -1.5° to -2°C -1° to -1.5°C -0.5° to -1°C 0° to -0.5°C Mean Temperature (difference from 1961-90 normals) of between 4 and 12 ground frosts were recorded at most stations, but none was recorded at Malin Head. Daily 0-24h maximum temperatures (°C) 20 15 10 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1 2 13 14 1 5 1 6 17 1 8 1 9 20 21 2 2 23 24 2 5 2 6 27 28 2 9 30 31 Daily 0-24h minimum temperatures (°C) 15 10 5 0 -55 1 2 z 3 4 5 6 7 8 Valentia Observatory 9 1 0 11 12 1 3 1 4 15 16 1 7 1 8 19 20 2 1 2 2 23 24 2 5 2 6 27 28 2 9 3 0 31 z Dublin Airport z Birr County/ Station CO. CARLOW CARLOW (OAK PARK) CO. CAVAN BALLYHAISE CAVAN LORETO COLLEGE CO. CLARE SHANNON AIRPORT CARRON CO. CORK ROCHE’S POINT FERMOY (MOOREPARK) CORK AIRPORT SHERKIN ISLAND BALLINCURRIG (PEAFIELD) CO. DONEGAL MALIN HEAD GLENTIES HATCHERY BALLYSHANNON(CATHLEEN'S FALL) CO. DUBLIN DUBLIN (PHOENIX PARK) DUBLIN AIRPORT CASEMENT AERODROME DUBLIN (MERRION SQUARE) CO. GALWAY GALWAY (UNIV.COLL.) MAAM VALLEY CONNEMARA NATIONAL PARK BALLYGAR CO. KERRY VALENTIA OBSERVATORY ARDFERT (LISCAHANE) CO. LIMERICK MOUNT RUSSELL CO. LOUTH ARDEE (BOHARNAMOE) CO. MAYO BELMULLET STRAIDE KNOCK AIRPORT CO. MEATH WARRENSTOWN CO. OFFALY BIRR DERRYGREENAGH CO. SLIGO ARDTARMON CO. TIPPERARY FETHARD (PARSONSHILL) CO. WATERFORD WATERFORD (TYCOR) DUNGARVAN (CARRIGLEA) CO. WESTMEATH MULLINGAR CO. WEXFORD JOHNSTOWN CASTLE JOHN F. KENNEDY PARK CLONROCHE (KNOXTOWN) 13 TEMPERATURE October 2008 °C Mean max. Mean/ deviation Mean from 1961-90 min. average -0.9 Highest max./date Lowest min./date Lowest grass min./date Days with air frost ground frost 16.8 13 -2.2 29 -7.3 29 1 9 16.0 10 16.1 10 -0.7 29 -1.0 29 -3.7 29 -4.8 31 1 2 6 7 12.8 5.8 9.3 11.9 12.3 5.1 4.7 8.5 8.5 13.6 12.6 7.5 6.1 10.6 9.4 -0.5 -0.4 17.8 6 16.3 10 -0.1 31 -0.2 29 -4.6 31 -3.5 29 1 1 5 5 13.0 13.5 12.5 13.8 13.0 8.1 6.0 6.5 8.9 5.2 10.6 9.8 9.5 11.4 9.1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.9 -0.3 16.1 17.6 15.9 16.7 17.3 1.4 -2.2 0.5 1.6 -2.5 -2.4 -5.5 -3.2 -1.7 -4.6 29 29 29 29 29 0 1 0 0 1 1 12 5 1 7 12.3 12.5 12.5 7.7 5.4 6.6 10.0 9.0 9.6 -0.8 -1.0 -0.8 15.6 9 10 2.1 30 16.4 10 -1.0 31 17.0 6 0.6 31 0.6 28 -2.8 31 0 1 0 0 5 13.1 12.5 12.3 12.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 7.2 9.5 9.2 9.1 10.0 -0.9 17.6 13 -1.2 29 17.0 13 -1.3 29 16.8 13 -3.0 29 17.4 9 10 1.6 29 -5.0 29 -3.5 29 -6.3 29 1 1 1 0 8 4 6 13.6 13.8 12.8 13.1 6.7 7.1 7.6 5.0 10.2 10.5 10.2 9.1 -0.8 17.0 11 17.4 8 15.5 8 16.6 8 -0.5 1.4 2.1 -1.0 29 29 29 31 -3.0 29 -2.9 29 7 1 -5.1 31 1 0 0 2 13.6 13.7 8.5 7.0 11.1 10.4 -0.5 -0.6 15.9 8 17.8 12 3.8 29 -1.0 31 -1.8 29 -3.6 31 0 1 5 2 12.7 6.8 9.8 16.4 10 -0.4 31 -5.8 31 1 4 13.0 4.3 8.7 -1.3 16.7 11 -2.0 29 -5.5 29 2 11 13.3 13.4 11.3 8.3 5.6 5.2 10.8 9.5 8.3 -0.1 -0.7 16.0 17.0 15.0 6 6 6 3.1 29 -0.8 31 -0.2 29 0.7 29 -7.2 31 -1.3 29 0 1 1 0 17 3 12.5 5.0 8.8 -1.2 16.7 13 -1.3 29 -5.0 29 1 4 12.9 12.6 5.7 3.6 9.3 8.1 -1.0 -1.6 17.0 10 17.0 13 -1.8 31 -2.6 29 -7.5 31 -3.9 29 2 5 10 9 13.2 7.0 10.1 17.2 6 2.0 29 -2.1 31 0 2 12.2 5.1 8.7 15.9 8 -2.6 29 -3.5 29 2 3 13.7 14.0 6.7 6.3 10.2 10.2 -0.6 -0.7 17.6 13 18.3 13 -0.3 29 -1.9 29 -4.0 29 1 1 2 12.3 4.9 8.6 -1.1 16.3 13 -1.1 29 -5.1 29 1 8 13.2 13.0 12.8 7.1 5.7 5.2 10.2 9.4 9.0 -0.6 -1.2 16.7 13 17.2 13 16.5 13 0.0 29 -1.8 29 -1.1 29 -2.7 29 -6.0 29 -7.0 29 0 1 2 2 11 18 -1.2 -1.5 13 13 13 13 13 29 29 29 29 29 9 14 SUNSHINE County/ Station Daily mean (hours/day) % of % of average possible Most in a day/date CO. CAVAN CAVAN (LORETO COLLEGE) 2.82 26 8.9 5 CO. CLARE SHANNON AIRPORT 3.84 145 36 10.1 5 FERMOY (MOORE PARK) 3.63 140 34 10.0 5 CORK AIRPORT 3.70 132 35 10.0 5 SHERKIN ISLAND 4.08 128 38 10.1 5 BALLINCURRIG (PEAFIELD) 3.81 10.8 4 CO. CORK CO. DONEGAL MALIN HEAD 2.73 112 26 7.5 8 BALLYSHANNON(CATHLEEN'S FALL) 3.09 129 29 8.4 5 DUBLIN AIRPORT 3.90 125 37 9.8 5 8 CASEMENT AERODROME 3.57 116 34 9.6 5 4.23 155 40 10.0 5 VALENTIA OBSERVATORY 3.40 135 32 9.5 5 ARDFERT (LISCAHANE) 3.83 36 9.4 5 8 CO. DUBLIN CO. GALWAY GALWAY (UNIV.COLL.) October 2008 Sunnier than normal everywhere Sunshine totals for October were above normal everywhere and were well above normal in the west. Amounts ranged from 85 hours, or 112% of normal, at Malin Head to 131 hours, or 155% of normal, at Galway (University College), where it was the sunniest October since records began there in 1966. Shannon Airport also had its sunniest October in over 60 years of record. Sunshine was fairly evenly distributed over the month, but the 5th and 8th were particularly sunny. The highest daily value, 10.8 hours, was measured at Ballincurrig, Co. Cork, on the 4th, however. Global solar radiation totals were above normal almost everywhere, varying between 99% of normal at Birr and 119% at Belmullet. CO. KERRY CO. MAYO BELMULLET 3.51 8.6 5 STRAIDE 3.84 133 33 9.4 8 KNOCK AIRPORT 3.38 10.3 5 100 - 125% 125 - 150% >150% CO. OFFALY BIRR 3.53 133 33 9.7 5 3.92 138 37 9.4 8 JOHNSTOWN CASTLE 3.55 121 33 9.1 5 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARK 3.94 135 37 9.7 5 CLONROCHE (KNOXTOWN) 3.81 9.7 5 CO. WATERFORD DUNGARVAN (CARRIGLEA) CO. WEXFORD Sunshine values are not available for automatic synoptic stations Total Sunshine (percentage of 1961-90 normals) Daily sunshine values(hours) 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Valentia Observatory 9 1 0 11 12 1 3 14 15 1 6 17 1 8 1 9 20 2 1 2 2 23 2 4 25 26 2 7 28 29 3 0 31 Dublin Airport Birr 15 WORLD WEATHER October 2008 % OCTOBER RAINFALL (percentage of 1961-1990 normal) 200 150 125 100 75 50 0 °C +5 +3 +1 OCTOBER MEAN TEMPERATURE (difference from 1961-1990 normal) -1 -3 -5 Intense rainfall produced by the Atlantic's sixteenth tropical depression of the season resulted in widespread floods and landslides across parts of Central America around mid-October. Originating from a low pressure system near Costa Rica, the depression made landfall in Honduras on the 16th. Here, heavy rain destroyed a large area of farmland and 62 bridges were demolished, forcing a national state of emergency. In parts of Costa Rica, precipitation levels were as high as 2100 mm, the heaviest falls in 40 years. Storm-related fatalities were reported across Central America- 29 in Honduras, seven in Costa Rica, four in both Nicaragua and Guatemala and one in El Salvador. Global weather highlights of the month Cold weather over the northern Alps at the beginning of the month brought early winter conditions above about 1000m in parts of Switzerland and Austria. On some northern slopes in Switzerland, between 5 and 15cm of snow fell between the 2nd and 3rd, closing several high roads and passes to traffic. Unusually heavy rain fell across Algeria during the first two weeks of the month, resulting in flash floods that claimed the lives of 65 people and destroyed nearly 600 homes in the town of Ghardaia. On the 20th, storms in Morocco brought heavy rain and flash floods that claimed the lives of 11 people. Data supplied by NOAA Climate Prediction Centre, US Department of Commerce In Tibet, a heavy snowstorm during the last week blocked roads, triggered avalanches and caused power outages. It was reported that the average snow coverage was 150cm. Nine people were killed in what was described as one of the worst snowstorms in living memory. October was extremely hot and dry over South Australia, with most rainfall stations recording rainfall totals in the lowest 10% of records for the month. Maximum temperatures were between two and three degrees above average, while nights were the warmest for October since 1950. 16 FEATURE FISH STOCK CHANGES WITH WARMING OCEANS A joint study being undertaken by the Marine Institute, N.U.I. Galway and N.U.I. Maynooth suggests that familiar fish species such as cod, salmon and eel, as well as other native coldwater species, might eventually become a rarity in Irish waters. Longterm changes in the temperature and salt content of our seas, brought about by climate change, may force species such as these into deeper, colder waters, to be replaced by warmwater species such as sea bass. Given its location, Ireland is an ideal laboratory from which to study the effects of climate change on the oceans, which in turn are the largest drivers of weather patterns on the planet. Almost 70% of the earth is covered by the sea, which acts not only as a transporter of solar heat from the equator to the poles, but also as the world’s largest natural processor of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Understanding the interactions between the oceans and the atmosphere is one of the greatest challenges facing climate scientists- not least of which is the difficulty in telling which changes occur naturally and which might be due to global warming. Oceanographers have long known that seawater surface temperature in the Atlantic Ocean rises and falls naturally over a cycle of between 50 and 58 years, according to a phenomenon called the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). At present the Atlantic is in a warm phase, which is expected to further increase the temperature of the ocean’s surface around Ireland over the next 15 to 30 years. As well as this naturally occurring increase, however, records of sea surface temperature at Malin Head (see chart below) suggest that the present warm cycle is half a degree warmer than the last one. Furthermore, the Malin Head data shows an increasing rate of warming since the 1990s, with the warmest years on record occurring since 1995. This is consistent with datasets from other sources, showing a gradually upward trend in Irish sea surface temperatures. October 2008 The current Marine Institute study, part of the National Strategy for Science, Technology and Innovation, brings together historical records of marine fisheries data with research into the phenomenon of ocean acidification and the effects of climate change on migratory fish. Fifty years of continuous data is available from the Burrishoole River Catchment system at Newport, County Mayo, giving catch records of fish such as salmon, sea trout and eels. Other data being included in the study come from the network of floating weather buoys around the coast, readings from underwater “gliders” and plankton recorders, together with satellite observations. This data is analysed at the Marine Institute’s headquarters at Oranmore by a new supercomputer system, to produce forecasts of future ocean conditions and the implications for fish stocks. Warmer and saltier ocean conditions in the future, becoming increasingly like the Mediterranean rather than the Atlantic, will have a gradual but profound change on the marine animals and plants that live there. Sample records from the Continuous Plankton Recorder survey carried out over the years show that microscopic plant species, or phytoplankton, that used to only bloom during spring and summer, now have an extended growth season. Further up the food chain, microscopic carnivores called zooplankton have extended their range northwards, associated with warm water currents in some years in the North Atlantic. This change in turn is reflected in the abundance of large carnivorous fish, which rely on the zooplankton as food in their own early stages of life. Records from the Marine Institute’s annual ground fish stock survey of commercial species show a gradual decline in coldwater species such as cod, with an increasing abundance of warmer water species such as lesser-spotted dogfish, sea bass and boarfish. Seawater temperature and the availability of zooplankton may also be driving the large changes in population size of salmon, sea trout and eel observed by analysing the Burrishoole records. (This article, reproduced by kind permission of the Marine Institute, can be seen in full on the website www.marine.ie) Mean Annual Sea Temperature at Malin Head (°C), 1961-2007 12.5 12.5 12.0 12.0 11.5 11.5 11.0 11.0 10.5 10.5 10.0 10.0 9.5 9.5 _____ 10-year running mean 9.0 9.0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
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